Latest / The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show / It's a Numbers Game: REPUBLICANS MISSING IN ACTION! Democrats Surge as Midterm Panic Sets In!

Transcript

It's a Numbers Game: REPUBLICANS MISSING IN ACTION! Democrats Surge as Midterm Panic Sets In! · The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Welcome back to A Numbers Game with Ryan Groduski. Thank
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: you guys for being here. We are less than a
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: week away from the midterm elections. I have some news
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: about the show. I know a number of you have
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: asked me to do a live stream on election night.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: I cannot. I was thinking about it. I was planning
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: on it. But here's the problem. I'm traveling to a
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: family member's house. And the way it works in my
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: family is boundaries are suggestions, not rules. So if I
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: go off into another room to do a taping for
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: three hours or more, I will get a knock on
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: the door every five to nine minutes saying, are you hungry?
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Do you want to play a card game? What's going on?
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: How are things going? And it won't be good for me.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: The audience might actually laugh. They might think it's really funny.
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: But I will lose my mind after a while, and
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: it will not be good for anybody. So... That being said,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: I will not be doing a live stream on election night.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: Like some of you asked, I'm sorry about that. I
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: will have a brand new episode the following morning on
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: Wednesday morning. I'm going to break down all the data
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: that's currently available for me. You know, the really good data,
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: the really good polling firms like Pew Research, that takes
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: months to assemble. So whatever preliminary information is available for me,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: I'm going to go off of it and we're going
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: to go over all the big election results. I'm going
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: to bring everything to you guys, but I cannot do it.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: on election night, which I wasn't, I should have assembled more.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: If I'm still doing this podcast in two years from now,
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: we'll talk to me then. Maybe we'll be doing it
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: for the presidential elections, but I can't do it for
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: election night this night, sadly enough. Okay, that's the game
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: plan with the show. Speaking of what we can do,
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: I can go through the early voting data because we
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: have loads of it. Over 35 million people have voted nationwide.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: Millions more are coming in as we speak. Let's start
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: with two of the states that Democrats are doing very
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: well because this election is looking like it is a
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: very strong Democratic showing. Democrats overall are voting like it's
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: a presidential election and Republicans are voting slightly higher than
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: a normal midterm. The two states that they're doing exceptionally
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: well in, Kansas and North Carolina. So far, Democrats have
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: turned out 95,000 votes, early votes in Kansas. That's only
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: 6,000 short of their 2024 numbers. Think about that. 6,000
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: is not a big number. That's a very high turnout
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  Speaker 1: for Democrats. Republicans, on the other hand, have 80,000 votes
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: in the early vote. That's 66,000 fewer votes than in
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: 2024 in the state of Kansas. I mean, the numbers
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: are there, but they're not voting. And what's even worse
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: for Republicans is that high propensity Republicans are showing up.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: low propensity Republicans are not. So it's not like they're,
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: it's not as if Republicans are just getting the low
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: propensity out and they're not cannibalizing their election day vote.
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: They very much seem to be cannibalizing election day voters
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: and just not getting out these low propensity individuals who
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  Speaker 1: voted for Trump. In 2024, Republicans had a 45,000 person advantage.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: In 2022, they had about 5,000 vote advantage. In 2026,
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: Democrats have a 16,000 vote advantage. Democrats are at 94%
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: of their presidential numbers. Republicans are at 55%. Now, remember
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: back in 2022, in that midterm election, Republicans lost the
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: Kansas governor's race. They barely won the attorney general's race.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: And they won the Senate seat by a big number,
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: but it was a popular incumbent. So we'll see if
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: that changes the entire recipe this time around. Their town,
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: once again, 15,000 votes when they were up 45,000 votes
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: just in 2024, and they were up 5,000 votes in 2022.
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  Speaker 1: Over in North Carolina, which the Senate there is considered
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: a loss, but they have a considerable amount of House
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: seats that Republicans need to win to at least stop
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  Speaker 1: the damage, stop the bleeding in the House representatives. Democrats
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: currently have a 285,000 vote lead in North Carolina. Now,
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: It's not because Republicans aren't voting. Republicans are actually up 4%
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: of their 2022 numbers. They cast 13,000 more ballots than
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: they had cast in 2022. Democrats are up 44% of
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  Speaker 1: their 2022 numbers. Independents are up 59%. The craziest thing
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: is in North Carolina, 107,000 Democrats who have voted in
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  Speaker 1: this election so far didn't cast a ballot in 2024.
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: but not in 2022. They are infrequent voters. Republicans, they
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: have about 44,000 people who cast a ballot in 2024,
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: but not in 2022. Huge number of infrequent voters who
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: are showing up for Democrats that are not showing up
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: for Republicans. And the crazy thing about North Carolina is this,
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: is that Republicans have the numbers to win. There are
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: still 1.67 million Republicans in North Carolina that have not
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: voted compared to 1.29 million Democrats. Republicans have the number,
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: maybe not to win the Senate seat, but definitely to
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: take these House seats, these competitive House seats in all
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: these parts of the state. And it's shocking. how little
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: turnout there is in such a very 50-50 state. Remember,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: North Carolina is a state that Trump won by, I think,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: three points last time. So in a state like this,
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: for a 400,000 voter disparity is enormous, and it could
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: cost Republicans two to three houses for sure. Now, I'm
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: going to talk about reliable voters and non-reliable voters, voters
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: who've turned out in all four or three of the
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: last four elections, and voters who've turned out in Zero,
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: one or two of the last four elections. Those are
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: the infrequent voters. I call them occasional voters. Occasional Republicans
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: are up 6.7 percent since 2022. They have almost a
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: 7 percent increase in voting. Infrequent Democrats, occasional Democratic voters,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: they're up 95 percent. Like that is wild. That's almost
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: double their amount of infrequent voters. There are low propensity
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: voters who are showing up, which is what I think
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: many pundits are missing is how many low propensity Democrats
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: are coming out. And it's good that they're from the
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: Democrat perspective. It's good they're coming out because they're not
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: reliable to show up on Election Day. Those same voters
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: who are not reliable to show up on Election Day
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  Speaker 1: from the Republican side are not showing up in the
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: same numbers. And you're going to see that in state
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: after state after state. Let's look at Texas. Texas obviously
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: has the governor's race, the Senate race, all the statewide
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: offices and the state legislature. After seven days of early voting,
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  Speaker 1: more than 4.3 million people have voted. Now, remember, Texas
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: does not do voter registration by party. One of the
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: great things that irk me in life is no voter
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: registration by party. It makes things really hard to decipher,
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: unlike North Carolina and Kansas, which thankfully do do voter
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: registration by party. So this is a little murky. Overall,
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: the electorate is 59% white. That's down from 65% white
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: in 2024. The Latino vote is way up to about 22%.
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: That's up from 18% from 2024. The Black vote is 12%,
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: which is like a point up, half a point up.
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  Speaker 1: It's basically the same thing it always is. 45% of
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: all the Latinos who have voted are low-perpensity voters. They
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: are voters who are occasional voters. Those are voters who
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: are infrequent voters. A lot of them are voters who
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: did not show up in 2018 or in 2022. That's
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: a real red flag for Ken Paxton's campaign. 34% of
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: black occasional voters have showed up and just 26% of
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: white occasional voters have showed up. Flashing red signs for
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: the Republicans. You need to get your low propensity voters out.
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: You cannot demonize early voting. Now, The real problem for
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: Republicans is that the rural vote is down. The rural
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: vote comes in 90% plus for Republicans. It was about 20%
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: of the overall vote in 2022 and 2024 in the
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  Speaker 1: early vote. It's 17% now. The exurban vote is also
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  Speaker 1: down about a half a point. This is another huge
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  Speaker 1: Republican voting block. So who is up if the exurbs
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: and the rural areas are down? The suburbs and the
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: urban vote. Both are voting very, very high. Voters who
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  Speaker 1: are occasional voters, voters who don't vote in every single election,
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  Speaker 1: those who voted in zero, one or two of the
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  Speaker 1: last few elections since from 2020 to 2026, including the
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  Speaker 1: 2026 primary, there are, of those voters, about 1,060,000 of
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  Speaker 1: them were Democrats and only 670,000 were Republicans. Among reliable
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: voters who have turned out, 440,000 of them were Democrats.
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  Speaker 1: 613,000 are Republicans. So Republicans are really dependent on their
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: reliable voters, the voters we know will show up on
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: election day. Democrats are getting those voters out who we
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: don't know when they would vote, if they would ever vote.
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  Speaker 1: And there's a huge gap, 600,000 vote gap. The entire
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: Democrat lead right now is coming from people who don't
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: typically vote. Democrats are at or above their 2024 early
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: turnout numbers with almost every single class of voter by
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: frequency of voting. People voted in one of the last four,
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  Speaker 1: two of the last four, three of the last four,
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  Speaker 1: four of the last four elections. Republicans are below their
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: 2024 numbers among every single group. They're only slightly higher
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: there than the 2022 numbers. And this is despite the
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: fact that millions of people have moved to Texas since 2022,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: including millions of Republicans. Now, that's a big swing for Democrats.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: And I know a lot of you are saying, calm down,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: calm down. It's still Texas. Texas is still Texas. It's
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: a state that Trump won by 14 points. Yes, it's
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: a state that Trump won by 14 points. The generic
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: ballot right now would say that it's a Republican plus
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: five to plus six state on the 2026 election. That
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: means if Donald Trump was running this year, he will
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: likely still carry Texas. The problem is, Ted Cruz did
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: not win by 14 points. Ted Cruz won by eight
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  Speaker 1: and a half points. And Ted Cruz is more popular
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: than Ken Paxton. So a 10 point swing in Texas
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: means James Tallarico is the United States Senator. You need
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: the generic ballot to really be R plus 10. And
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: it's probably R plus six right now. And Democrat counties,
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: because once again, don't have party registration because no one
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: can make my life easier. Democrat counties in places like
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: Dallas and Travis County, that's 99% turnout of 2024 and 90% respectively.
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: So 99% for Dallas County, 90% for Travis County. That's Austin.
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: Huge turnout in both counties for the Democrats. How are
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: Republican counties turning out? Well, you look at Montgomery County,
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: big turnout. Exurb, suburban, rural, not rural, but exurban, suburban,
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Republican County, 75% of their election from 2024. Bell County, 80%.
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: Ellis County, 81%. McAllen County, 79%. Hockley County, that's a
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: rural county, 66%. Madison County, another rural county, 62%. The
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: rurals are in the 60s, the exurbs are in the 70s,
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: and the Republican suburbs are in the 80s. Meanwhile, the
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: Democratic areas are in the 90s to 100s. This is
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: what you're seeing everywhere. The rurals have to come out.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: And that's the big question is like, when? When are
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: they going to show up? Because guess what? Look at
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: those counties. Every single senior citizen still watching CNN is voting.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: All the they, them libs are voting. All the Latino
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: Gen Z activists are voting. All the Kara Swisher listening
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: lesbians are voting. They're all voting. And the rurals, when
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: are we going to start seeing this pickup? They're saying
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: it's coming. They're saying it's coming. All the people saying,
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: don't worry, it's all fine. When? We are, Texas is
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: a state that votes 80% early vote. It can't all
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: wait on election day. Right now, I believe, experts believe
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: that Texas is probably R plus five, R plus six
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: overall generic ballot. Once again, that means if Trump ran,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: he would likely carry Texas. But the problem is, is
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: in order for Kim Paxton to win, in order for
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: John Cornyn to win, you really need an R plus
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: 10 year. And again, We're not there yet. And I
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: don't know if we're ever going to get there by
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: election day. There is a giant, big Republican MAGA, whatever
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: army in these states, in Texas, in Kansas, in North Carolina,
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: and they are just missing in action. Maybe they're complacent.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: Maybe they're angry. Maybe they don't like Trump, whatever. They
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: are missing in action. What are you waiting for? If
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: you are listening to this podcast and you have not
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: voted and you did not vote early, What are you
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: waiting for? If you've not dragged out someone from your
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: family or your close friends or a neighbor who you
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: know is not dependable, they never know where their car
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: keys are, they never know where their phone is, they
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: missed their kid at school, and you haven't dragged them
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: into voting, what are you waiting for? Because that is
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: the problem right now. Everyone's waiting, and I don't know
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: what for. Now, over to Iowa, this is a state
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: that actually Republicans are not doing terrible in. After 12
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: days of early voting, Democrats have a 51,000 voter advantage.
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: It's actually pretty on par in 2022 where Democrats had
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: a 47,000 voter advantage. Republicans have 21,500 more votes than
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: they did in 2022. Democrats have 25,000 more votes than
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: they did. It's about 3,500 more than last time. Not
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: terrible considering that that year was not a terrible year
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: for Republicans. They held on to the governor's mansion. They
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: flipped the AG's office. They flipped the treasurer's office. They
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: almost defeated Rob Sand, who was the Democrat nominee for governor.
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: And they had the Republican center win by 12 points
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: in the reelection. So it's actually not overall horrible. Over
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: in Ohio, which just started voter registration, so there's a
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: lot of independents on the books, way more than Republicans
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: and Democrats. There are 1,080,000 votes have been cast. 343
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: have come from Democrats. 287,000 come from Republicans. 451 from independents.
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: Turnout is very, high in the suburbs, and like Texas,
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: very low in the rurals. Maine, the last state I
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: want to go over. Maine is, you know, Susan Collins,
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: kind of everything is riding on Maine. Right now, Republicans
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: have voted, have 42,000 votes in the books. 42,000 Maine
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: Republicans have voted. About 59% of their 2024 turnout. Democrats
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: have 98,000 votes already in the bank. That's 86% of
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: their 2024 turnout. Maine is one of those states that
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: hasn't had incredible early voting data. It's about 19% of
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: the overall electorate, much lower than other states. But still, Republicans,
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: especially in rural areas, you all need to go vote.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know what you're waiting for. Once again, missing
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: in action. The difference between a Democratic wave and a
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: Democratic tsunami comes down to can the rurals get to 90%
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: like the urban areas? Can they get to 80%? Can
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: they show up at all? We don't know. That's what
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: we're waiting for. That's what the Senate's going to come
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: down to. Can these rules show up at all? Because
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: so far, they are missing in action, and so are
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: a lot of Republicans. If you do not like that information,
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: do not shoot the messenger. Make sure you go out
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: and vote. Make sure you phone bank. Make sure you
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: door knock, and make sure you get your neighbors out
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: to vote. That's what you can possibly do right now.
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: Because a lot of you, I know, by the numbers,
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: have not voted and are saying, don't worry about me.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: I'll just do it on Election Day. And in that time,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: you could probably get out three, four extra people from
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: you alone that you know who are lazy voters or
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: infrequent Republicans. That's the difference between winning and losing right
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: now is those infrequent Republican voters. Are they going to
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: show up at all? OK, next up, let's talk about
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: some immigration news that the Trump administration is doing. Also,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: a really interesting story on millennials and and poverty and homeownership.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: And I was kind of hit by it all because
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: as a. aging millennial, it really spoke to me. That's
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: coming up next. Now, as the midterms are just a
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: week away, everyone's focused on that, but President Trump's administration
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: is making a big move on immigration right before the election.
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: According to the New York Times, the Trump administration is
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: trying to negotiate with the Mexican government on a cooperation
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: when it comes to fighting the cartel. Basically, the American
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: government now is trying to negotiate with Mexico to allow
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: our military in Mexico to fight the cartel, which would
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: be a giant transformation. This is a quote from the story.
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: In recent weeks, U.S. officials have delivered a memo proposing
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: a path of potentially having the U.S. security personnel accompany
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: counter cartel operations inside Mexico. According to officials briefed on
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: the letter, the memo include a number of other areas
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: where Washington wants to become more involved in Mexico's security,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: including broader intelligence sharing, according to the U.S. and Mexican officials.
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: The memo is one of the firmest moves yet to
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: get Mexico to accept a U.S. military presence in the country,
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: putting new strain on the cross-border relationship. President Trump has
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: repeatedly stated that he wants the U.S. military action against
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: the drug cartel in Mexico, which President Claudia Scheinbaum has
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: steadfastly opposed. The U.S. pressure temporarily subsides after Mexican officials
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: killed a top drug lord in February, acting in part
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: with U.S. intelligence. Several people familiar with the events said,
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: I cannot tell you how big of a win this
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: would be if President Trump can land this. We currently
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: have that type of military agreement with 19 Latin American countries.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: We can go in our special forces and execute a
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: top drug cartel person. It's not like we're dropping nukes
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: into Mexico. It's not going to destroy the entire country.
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: But Really cracking down on the cartel is so important
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: for not only drugs, but human trafficking into the United States.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: It's tremendously important. Unfortunately for us, Claudia Scheinbaum is one
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: of the last two real leftists elected in Latin America.
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: Her and Lula, who the Brazilian president who just surprisingly
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: won reelection a few days ago. Mexico is very adamant
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: there is not a cartel issue in that country, which
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: is like, I mean, it's like going back to the
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: 1950s in the Lower East Side and saying there's no
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: Italian mob problem. Like, it's just not true. It's not
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: true at all. Since 2024, since Scheinbaum took office, 14
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: Mexican mayors have been assassinated, which like, think about that.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: Think about how rattled America has been with the near
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: assassination attempts of our politicians and a few who have
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: been assassinated. imagine 14 prominent mayors in just two years
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: being a year and a half being assassinated it is
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: wild there are certain parts of that country that are
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: entirely controlled by the mexican drug cartel where policemen are
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: bribed where mayors are murdered and shine bombs like no
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: i don't see an issue here and maybe that's an
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: issue because of our own security maybe she's too afraid
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: to say speak up and say anything because they probably
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: could get her as well i don't know um But
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: that's really I mean, parts of Mexico are a failed state.
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: And the only way we're going to stop the drug
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: cartel problem is if we can go into those regions
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: of the world and get rid of them. rid of
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: their entire operations. There's no other way. We can't constantly
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: play defense once they're already in the borders of the
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: United States. And we cannot rely on Mexico as an
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: actual partner when it comes to cracking down on the
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: drug cartel. Okay. One more story before I get to
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: ask me anything. This is another story from the New
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: York Times that I found so interesting over the weekend.
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: It said, can't afford a home, can't afford a baby,
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: can't afford a life. This is 30. It's by Troy Closen.
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: I'm going to read from the article, quote, a young
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: woman in Queens celebrated her 30th birthday with a cake, champagne,
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: and the existential crisis over still living paycheck to paycheck.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: A 30-year-old man in Manhattan said, felt ready to consider marriage,
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: but knew he couldn't afford a wedding. And in Brooklyn,
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: a couple at 32 confronted a generational conundrum. Stay in
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: their hometown at their parents' age or move away to
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: start a family. Forget the kids. The 30-somethings are not
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: all right. Nearly two dozen people in their early 30s
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: said in interviews that the image of adult life that
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: they had been promised turned out to be a sham.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: Many work full-time jobs and earning up just to cover
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: costs of basic groceries but their salaries are losing ground
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: onto inflation and their healthcare costs are skyrocketing. They're cutting
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: back on salon visits, social activities, and fresh fruit runs,
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: which is such a weird thing. My fresh fruit run,
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: why would you even mention that? They feel priced out
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: of adulthood. On Thursday, the long-running Harvard Youth Poll found
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: that for the first time in its history, that more
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: young Americans expect to fall behind rather than surpass their
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: parents economically. Adam Kreidian, 30 years old, who lives in
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: Chelsea and does data work, thought about a future wedding.
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: Elopement sounds cheap. Children, costier for LGBTQ couples. And a
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: two-bedroom apartment, median asking price is $ 6, 000. Okay. I read
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: this article and I had a lot of feelings about
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: it because I am a native New Yorker. I am
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: an elder millennial. I'm a geriatric millennial. And I have
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: lived in New York for almost my entire life. My
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: first thought reading this about all of you who moved
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: to New York and like, oh, my God, it's so expensive.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: You can leave. You can leave. You came here like
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: you weren't dropped here. You weren't born here. You showed
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: up and then said, wow, this is really pricey. Get out. Like,
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: I don't understand that whole like I came from North Carolina.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: I still share a bedroom with eight people. Go back
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: to North Carolina then. Like, there's no reason for you
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: to be here. You weren't born here like it was.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: You don't have family here. You just showed up on
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: the bus. Take the bus back. That was my first
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: thought about reading all these transplants were like, it's so expensive.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: We need Mayor Mondani, which is like the overarching theme
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: of the entire piece. The second thing, as someone who's
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: in his 30s, his late 30s and a native New Yorker,
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: I under I relate a lot to what they're saying.
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: It's not true of me, but most of my friends
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: who I went to high school with and college with,
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: they still can't afford a home. They still rent. They
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: have zero or one child. Like this is very much
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: a New York and maybe urban phenomenon. But it's because
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: of the policies of those urban areas. And it's partially,
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: I'm going to take it back, partially our national policies
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: as well. It's not just our urban policies. It's a
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: mixture of both. Urban policies have nothing to do with
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: health care costs, which are way too high, which are
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: exploding year after year. And they've nothing to do with inflation.
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: That's all our federal stuff. So I take that back.
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: It parts federal policies. Absolutely. The rising cost of rents
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: and homeownership, that is a New York City problem. If
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: you live, if you want to live in a city
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: that you can afford a home that's actually a very
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: nice city, Grand Rapids, Michigan, Cincinnati, Ohio, Charleston, South Carolina,
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: Des Moines, Iowa. There are nice medium-sized cities in this
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: country where a majority of people my age own a home.
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: And then there's Austin, Texas and New York City and
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: Los Angeles where very, very, very few of them own
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: a home. That's for a multitude of issues. Like they're
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: trying to make it seem in this article like it's
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: this phenomenon. One of the issues, a big part of
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: the issue is that there's no more real urban plight. Like,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: urban plight, as we understood in the 70s, 80s, and 90s,
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: is not a thing anymore. You would never want to
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: move to New York unless you were either gay, an
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: aspiring artist, or, like, someone who only could live and
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: exist in New York. You couldn't live in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: If you were, you know, Madonna in 1979, you couldn't
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: do what you wanted to do outside Detroit. Yeah, you
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: had to come to New York, and you had to
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: risk living in such a shithole city. However... We don't
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: have that anymore. New York's really nice. Austin's really nice.
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: LA is really nice. And I say really nice. It's
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: not what it was in the 70s. It's not what
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: it was in the 80s. It's not what it was
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: in the early 90s. And what happens with urban plight
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: is you get a lot of cheap housing. The home
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: my parents bought in, I think, 1992 was maybe 200
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: grand in New York City. Three bedroom, two bathroom in
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: New York City. That home today is worth about a
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: million dollars. Because why? New York City is desirable. I mean,
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: that is part of it. Another part of it, and
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: this is federally, that's locally. We cleaned up cities and
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: people want to come to cities. Federally, we've taken too
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: many immigrants. New York City, city of 40% immigrant population.
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: A lot of people here weren't here 30 years ago.
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: They have to live somewhere. Guess what? They crowd out
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: other people. They cause rents to increase. That's absolutely part
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: of it. Lastly, when it comes to the family and
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: housing component, which is what I know, like a libertarian
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: is going to say, well, it's because of zoning issues,
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: zoning issues, let's get rid of zoning issues. Build high
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: rises everywhere that everyone can have an apartment. If you
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: want a house that a family wants to live in,
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: the most conducive type of housing is single family homes.
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: Single family homes are the most conducive type of housing
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: to actually having people have children. People who live in
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: a single family house have more kids than people who
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: live in an apartment, who live in a two family house,
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: who live in a massive apartment. The least conducive type
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: of apartment building, sorry, the least type of housing to
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: have a family is an apartment building with 50 or
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: more people that live in it, 50 more units that
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: live in it. The type of homes that Mondani wants
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: to build, type of homes Kathy Hochul wants to build.
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: They want to destroy homes that actually families want to
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: live in to raise children And they want to build
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: homes that no one can have a family in. And
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: then they're going to sit there and shrug and say,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: I wonder why nobody's having kids anymore. Because you're not
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: creating the type of houses that people want to have
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: children in. That is part of the reason. Overall, this
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: is a very, very complicated issue. Policy is a big
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: part of it. Housing policy, immigration policy, overspending by the
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: federal government, which is for inflation. Healthcare policy, which I
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: am not smart enough to address. I'm going to do
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: an episode on healthcare in the new year. I promise you,
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: because I need to learn more about it because Republicans
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: didn't answer on it. That's all definitely there. There's definitely
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: government blame to have and policy blame to have by
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: the people who run the cities and the state and
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: the federal government. Then there's the marriage component. That has
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: nothing to do with the government, really. That has to
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: do with you. And I just had a conversation with
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: my friend the other day who's 31 years old. She
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: just turned 31 years old and she's been in a
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: relationship for three years. And I just said, you're not
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: young anymore. Like you've been in a relationship for three years.
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: And I know it's, I know it's her. I know
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: it's not the boyfriend. I know it's her who doesn't
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: want to get married. And I just said, every, you
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: do not understand the big thing that's away for you
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: and how, because you're afraid of losing the little things,
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: which you won't lose if you're married with children anyway.
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: Like you could still have brunch and have kids. Yeah.
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: Taller years are very, very difficult for sure. It gets
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: more difficult to find the time, but you can create
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: the time. You can move the time to do it.
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: Maybe less occasionally, but it makes it more special. But
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: the big things you're missing out on for these little freedoms,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: that's just the truth of it all. And that's a
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: you decision. That's not a government decision. That's not a policy.
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: That's a choice. And a lot of people are waiting
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: for it to be perfect. And I have a ton
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: of younger cousins. I am the... I have 36 first cousins.
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: I only have one older cousin. And a lot of them,
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: I tell the same thing too. If you are working
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: and you are stable in your job, i.e. means you've
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: been there for more than two years and you're not
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: about to get fired at any point in two years
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: and you're in a stable, loving relationship, get married. Don't
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: worry about the party. Don't worry about what you're presenting
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: on Instagram. It doesn't matter. It genuinely, truly doesn't matter.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: None of that matters. That's all the illusion of what
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: you think matter. It really, really, really doesn't. Year after
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: year after year, though, keeping it going, pushing aside, you
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: are missing the big things to hold on to little
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: things that actually mean nothing. And I just, I'm almost
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: out of my 30s. I'm almost on the other side
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: of this. I'm 40 and five months. And I just,
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: if I could talk to Not even just me, but
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: like my friends 10 years ago when we were going
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: into our 30s, I would just be like, don't wait.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: There's literally no point of waiting. You are waiting for
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: things that exist only in your own head. Nothing is perfect.
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: You're never fully prepared. You're never comfortable enough. Everything you
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: saw in television when you're ready to do everything is
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: not real at all you can do it and you
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: could ride waves together and it's actually easier when you're
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: together and not living together but actually married together you're
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: more invested with each other and your future once you
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: are married my own advice from this article because i
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: read it and i was both screaming at transplants anger
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: about government policy and anger at my fellow millennials. All right.
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: Ask Me Anything is coming up next. Stay tuned. Now
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: it's time for the Ask Me Anything segment. If you
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: want to be part of the Ask Me Anything segment,
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: email me ryan at numbersgamepodcast.com. That's ryan at numbers, plural numbersgamepodcast.com.
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: First question from my buddy, Peter Fumo. He says, I
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: have a potential dark horse candidate in 2028 if Vance
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: were chose not to run. It's definitely a crazy idea,
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: but hear me out. This person is not a politician himself.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: and has no presidential ambitions that I'm aware of. He's brilliant, articulate,
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: and supports the MAGA agenda, is feisty, and not afraid
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: to go after the press and after the Democrats, and
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: would draw support from people who enjoy for voting for first.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: My dark horse candidate is Scott Bessett. You have to
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: cut me some slack at this point. I am demoralized
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: by the polls that have something that I need to
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: occupy my mind. I love Scott Bessett. I think that
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: he's probably the best cabinet member. I mean, Scott's amazing.
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: He's funny. He's interesting. I think he's really smart on policy.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: I think he's got a really interesting life background. I
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: don't know if he'd go in a general election. He's tall.
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: So maybe that would work. All our presidents are usually tall.
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: So that may be an advantage to him. But he's
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: definitely an interesting guy. I love hearing about back room
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: stories about him and how many times he's threatened to
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: slap somebody like that gets me giggling. He's definitely an
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: interesting guy for sure. I wouldn't I wouldn't hate a
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: president Scott Bassett. I mean, I'd have to learn more,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: but I wouldn't hate it. Next question comes from Doug.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: Doug Rose. Hi, Ryan. The Black race grievance industry has
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: taken a beating in 2026 from the failed attempt to
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: run Carmelo Anthony into the victim martyr to pushing a
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: white supremacy lynching hoax in the South to Black Twitter
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: propping up cop killer Rodney Hilton Jr. in Ohio. I
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: actually did not read about Rodney Hilton Jr., so I
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: don't know that story. I will look it up. And
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: the failed attempts to bullying prosecutors in Mississippi to charging
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: Nolan Wells, his white friend, with bogus crimes. also missed
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: that story too. Even the mainstream media has been a
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: tad more cautious in pushing these stories than they have
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: in the past. Is it safe to say the George
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: Floyd hangover has broken in America, that black political influence
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: has declined, and the general public is more skeptical of
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: these obviously fake tales of victimhood? I don't know. I mean,
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: looking back, and I was only a child when the
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: OJ trial happened, But looking back after OJ, you would
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: have thought it was over after that. And then it continued.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: So is it ever really a story that will go away?
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: I don't think so, because the media is always sympathetic.
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: The media tells stories of assaults based upon the killer,
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: not the victim. In the sense that if the killer
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: fills a certain stereotype, they are more likely to cover
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: than not or cover it longer. If the killer is
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: a good-looking white varsity football player or a father or
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: a former or the guy who played the organ at
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: church or a Boy Scout leader or whatever, they're much
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: more likely to be fascinated with it than somebody who
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: is a lifelong criminal and, you know, it's just the
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: case like and if they're black i mean it's just
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: the case that is the truth the biggest serial killer
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: of the 21st century was a black immigrant from nigeria
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: or kenya and he was killing old ladies in texas
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: and no one covered it really i mean i think
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: breitbart news covered and that was about it so i
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: don't i don't know i i think it's hard to
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: sit there and say i think that Certainly the Cornell
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: case got a lot of interest at first or jumping
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: all over. And there are still some people defending the
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: Jane Doe in the entire incident. But it's lost a
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: lot of its steam because of because of all the
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: text messages. I just think there's always some kind of
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: something there. I wonder. This is very interesting. You know,
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: America is a multiracial country now. We were not always.
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: We're usually biracial with some Native Americans in the middle
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: of it. And because people who write the news and
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: conduct the news were raised in a biracial America, they
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: view everything through the sphere of biraciality. They view everything
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: in your white adjacent or your black adjacent, and then
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: that's it. And they don't realize the tensions within the communities.
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: Like the reason Abdul El-Sayed is having a big problem
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: with blacks in Detroit is because blacks and Muslims in
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: Detroit don't really like each other. And I wonder if,
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: let's say Abdulaziz loses somehow, which I don't think he's
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: going to. Let's say he loses. How much collective punishment
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: are they going to weigh on the Black community for that?
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean? Or if we have a
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: number of high-profile Muslims who win the democratic elections this year,
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: how much more political capital do they receive versus Black politicians?
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean? There's a lot there. I
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: think as America changes racially, our opinions on a lot
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: of these things change for sure. But I don't think
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: that's ever going to go away. So that's my that's
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: my long and short of it all. Last question is
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: from Ryan. Ryan goes, I've been a listener of the
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: Numbers Game podcast since the first episode. Thank you. That
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: was not a great episode. Looking back now, I should
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: have called in like a big guest and I did
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: not know what to do. And there was no hand
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: guide to your first podcast episode. So I was winging it.
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: Always enjoying your commentary and political analysis. Will Georgia expected
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: to redistrict congressional seats next year? Not next year. They
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: redistrict in 2031 for the 2032 election. Wouldn't it make
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: sense for the legislature to also change how they award
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: Georgia's electoral college votes instead of the winner takes all
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: system award by congressional district to counter Georgia's left wing trends?
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: It seems to me that Georgia is the next Virginia.
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: Red states becoming blue and Republicans struggling to win statewide.
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: That is not a bad idea. Here's the problem. Why
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: I don't think that they're going to do that. I listen.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: I agree. I think that I think if you're seeing
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: your state continually moving left wing, all the blacks in
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: the north moving to Georgia, it makes sense to get
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: ahead of the game and then just fight over congressional districts.
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: But if that happens, you're talking about campaign stops on
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: happening in most of Georgia. You're talking about because at
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: that point, most of the seats in Georgia will be
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: strongly Democratic or strongly Republican. So very little campaigning happens.
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: Very little support for the U.S. Senate candidates happen. And
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: they start believing that it's not worth campaigning. It loses
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: political strength if it loses, if it splits its state.
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: I don't, you know, Nebraska and Maine are debating putting,
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: getting rid of the vote by congressional district. So I
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: don't see any states getting rid of that right now.
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: I don't see any states moving towards splitting by congressional district.
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: Maybe they will, but it's an interesting thought process. I
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: don't think that they will vote. Um, having worked a
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: little in Georgia, their leadership class is not very old
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: age wise, but it's very old, um, thought process wise,
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: kind of like Texas to a degree. And that's a
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: big problem. You need new, we need, if this election
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: is a massive wave against Republicans and it just knocks
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: Republicans off their socks, um, I hope the one thing
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: that happens, I hope we actually have generational leadership change.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: I really do. Baby boomers, love you all. Thank the
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: world of many of you, my own family included. But
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: maybe it's time to hand it over to the Gen
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: Xers or the millennials. Give us a shot. I think that,
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: you know, a baby boomer has been in charge of
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: this country's presidency. for 14 of the last 18 years.
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: It will be 16 when Trump's done. I think it's love.
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: I think the time has come to give the reins
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: over the next generation just a little bit. Actually, if
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: Kamala Harris or Rahm Emanuel become the president and their
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: president for eight years, I'm not wishing, I'm just saying
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: if they were, baby boomers would be in charge of
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: this country for like, I don't even know, like 24
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: out of 28 years. It would be insane. It would
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: be like 1992 to 2036 for one generation to lead
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: the White House. I think you all can take a break. Anyway,
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: thank you guys for listening to this episode. I appreciate
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: you all. If you like this podcast, please like and
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: subscribe on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, wherever you get
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: this podcast. And I will see you guys on Friday.