Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 266 - 4/28/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 266 - 4/28/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 266 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:37
  Happy Monday, the final Monday and the month of April before we
• 0:41
  turn the page into May and I got to say guys, my birthday is May
• 0:44
  1st, so I don't know if we can keep this little mini hot streak
• 0:47
  going here into the birthday, the week but I'm open so fingers
• 0:51
  crossed. But of course almost May, it
• 0:54
  feels like spring is you know is coming here quick and before you
• 0:57
  know it it'll be summer. So I hope everyone had a great
• 1:00
  weekend. I am excited to share with you
• 1:02
  guys today, all baseball, all MLB, which I think is going to
• 1:05
  be OK with you guys cuz we're kind of lighting it up here a
• 1:09
  little bit in Major League Baseball.
• 1:10
  Don't tell, don't tell anybody, but because we don't want to
• 1:13
  jinx it anyway, I do have a four pack of Major League Baseball
• 1:16
  sweats for you. I know it's a smaller than usual
• 1:19
  slate. There's only eight games
• 1:20
  overall, but I didn't find 4 that caught my eye here and
• 1:23
  three of the four pretty, pretty cheap prices, I would argue.
• 1:25
  So we'll talk about MLB for today.
• 1:28
  Ideally, at least get 2. If we get three of these, that
• 1:31
  would be even better. And we'll see if we can start
• 1:33
  our week off with a bang. Now looking back toward the
• 1:37
  weekend, hope everyone again had a great weekend.
• 1:39
  I got to tell you a little bit of what's going on in my life.
• 1:42
  I am like deep, deep, deep in the car buying game because my
• 1:46
  wife has a 2015 Subaru Crosstrek, treated her very
• 1:50
  well. But it's got 140,000 miles.
• 1:53
  We took it in for an oil change, dropped it off Friday.
• 1:55
  Saturday morning, I get a call saying there's a lot of problems
• 1:59
  with your car. So they listed about $12,000
• 2:03
  worth of worth of problems that need to be fixed.
• 2:06
  And it's, you know, usually you get the, you know, the at least
• 2:08
  with my Subaru dealer, you know, they'll send you an e-mail.
• 2:10
  It'll be like red. This is like very, very
• 2:13
  dangerous. You got to do it now.
• 2:14
  Yell orange is like, yeah, maybe in a month or two.
• 2:16
  Green is like you're good for a while.
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  They're all red. They're all $12,000.
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  So it was like, what are we going to do?
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  So my wife had a freak out. She loves this car.
• 2:25
  She's like, oh, do we just, you know, pay for the improvements
• 2:28
  and keep it or do we ditch the car and get a new one?
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  So we decided to ditch it and get a new one.
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  And I'm deep in the car buying process.
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  So if you have any car buying tips, let me know.
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  But basically my dad, who's always with my right hand man,
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  my agent, he's a, he's a great dude and he's kind of shown me
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  how to, you know, go to different dealerships and, you
• 2:48
  know, play the game, negotiate and play them off each other.
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  So I'm deep in the car buying process.
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  So I didn't get to watch all the games I wanted to this weekend
• 2:58
  as we were driving to and from all these dealerships.
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  But sometimes you don't have to watch them and they still cash.
• 3:03
  Since we last talked guys from Friday, Saturday, Sunday into
• 3:07
  now 9 and 3 + 3.27 units. Remember Friday 3 and 1 + 1.13
• 3:13
  units. We won with the Cubbies, the
• 3:14
  Cardinals and the Timberwolves. Only loser was the Giants.
• 3:18
  Had a great Saturday 4 and O + 2.74 units.
• 3:21
  Golden State in the NBA, San Fran, the Mets and Detroit in
• 3:25
  the in Major League Baseball Sunday was 2 and 2 - 0.6 units.
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  But I will argue that was one of the more frustrating days
• 3:34
  because we did have San Francisco and Minnesota and
• 3:36
  baseball loser was a Cubs late. They went in tech strings and
• 3:39
  couldn't get anything going and Merryweather came in, blew it.
• 3:41
  But the one that really grind my gears, as Peter Griffin would
• 3:45
  say, was the Detroit Pistons. I remember at the car
• 3:47
  dealership, the Pistons were up, I want to say like 11 points in
• 3:51
  the fourth quarter. I get a chance to, you know,
• 3:54
  step away from the car negotiating.
• 3:57
  I go to the bathroom, quote UN quote the bathroom.
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  I pull up the game. Pistons are down one.
• 4:02
  I'm trying to stat track, see what's going on.
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  I'm going on Twitter. I see that they lose by one.
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  I'm like, come on. Because if you notice on Sunday,
• 4:08
  that Pistons move was dog to fave, great bet split favorites
• 4:12
  off a loss which has treated us very well.
• 4:14
  It wasn't until later in the day that I saw how they lost #1 the
• 4:19
  refs, the frickin refs again, degenerate gamblers complain
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  about the refs. Usually it's just shut up.
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  Sometimes the break goes, breaks go your way, sometimes they
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  don't. But that last second shot with
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  the Pistons, he clearly got fouled.
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  Refs do not call a foul on Josh Hart on Hardaway.
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  Game's over there, lose by one. What was really annoying though
• 4:37
  is I noticed again after the game, ESPN had the 2 minute
• 4:41
  report and they had a headline that said basically the refs
• 4:43
  admit that they screwed up. So the refs literally said after
• 4:46
  the game, yeah, we should have called a foul there on Josh Hart
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  at the end of the game. I'm like, well, come on, why
• 4:52
  didn't you call a foul? I'd rather even, you know, in a
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  way, I, I, I, I'm glad they're honest about it, but it's almost
• 4:57
  like salt in the wounds. I'd rather they said, yeah, we
• 4:59
  still didn't think it was a foul because it it almost feels
• 5:02
  worse. It's more annoying.
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  And like, pay a regular season game, you lose by one, no big
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  deal. This is basically their season.
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  You know, if, if Hardwick gets fouled there three shots,
• 5:12
  they're down by 1, you know, he only has to make 2 and they win
• 5:15
  the game. Instead, they lose the game.
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  If you're like me and you had Pistons, you lost the bet and
• 5:20
  probably the season for the Pistons is over.
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  So again, the freaking refs man screwed us on the Pistons.
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  But hey, what are you going to do?
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  That being said, I just had to vent on that very quick.
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  Let's get right back to Major League Baseball.
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  As I mentioned, a four pack overall, and we'll see if we can
• 5:35
  have a a winning day here today. So first one I want to talk
• 5:38
  about is a early game early ish game four O 5:00 PM Eastern
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  Time. This is an NL matchup and Elise
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  between the Mets and the Washington Nationals.
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  So let's set the stage talk line movement and of course I'll give
• 5:49
  you my play for this one. So going into it, we got the
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  final game of a four-game series and believe it or not, the
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  Nationals 13 and 15, they've taken two of the first three.
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  They won yesterday, eight to seven as a + 130 home dog.
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  Now pitching match up in this one for today.
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  The Mets were 19 and 9. They're going to go with the
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  righty Griffin Caning. He wasn't very good with the
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  Angels, but he's been pretty good with the Mets.
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  Three and one 3.12 ERA. Meanwhile, the Nats are going to
• 6:13
  turn to fellow ready Trevor Williams.
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  He's one and two 5.11 ERA. So what are we seeing across the
• 6:19
  market here? Well, this game open New York
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  around a kind of hefty -150 Rd. favorite.
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  Washington around a + 130 home dog and sharps have absolutely
• 6:28
  hammered the New York Mets here. Mets have gotten steamed up -150
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  now all the way up to -170 some shops even -175 S massive steam
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  hitting the Mets telling me a lot of smart money is going with
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  New York here. Now the Mets have a pretty good
• 6:42
  bet split both DraftKings and Circa.
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  At DraftKings the Mets are getting 85% of money line bets,
• 6:49
  92% of money line dollars. Then at Circa the Mets are
• 6:53
  getting 60% of money line bets but 88% of money line dollars.
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  So I always like it when both DraftKings and Circa they have a
• 7:00
  different clientele. DraftKings obviously national
• 7:03
  public book. On average Joe's bet through
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  DraftKings. Circa Sharp book out in Vegas
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  caters to wise guys. I always like it when you have a
• 7:10
  similar low bets, higher dollar split at both books plus the
• 7:13
  line move. So that's really lighting up
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  here on the Mets. The Mets have a lot of system
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  matches. Favorites off a loss this year
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  are 112 and 6264 percent, 8% ROI.
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  Favorites with a line move in their direction, 183 and one O
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  164% with a 6% ROI. Favorites who made the playoffs
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  the previous year, 132 and 7763% with a 3% ROI.
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  And then favorites -150 or more. You got to win at a high rate to
• 7:41
  overcome the juice, but you are overcoming the juice.
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  These bigger favorites are 117 and 5070% with a 7% ROI.
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  I'm going to lean on hopefully Cannon pitching a good game and
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  the bats of the Mets getting to Williams but also Mets.
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  If this becomes a bullpen game we're going to have to sweat it,
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  but hopefully the Mets bullpen comes through.
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  They are the 5th best bullpen in baseball, 2.76 ERA.
• 8:03
  Washington is a 6.2 O bullpen ERA that is dead last, the worst
• 8:07
  in baseball. New York in the spot is
• 8:09
  typically done well in terms of bouncing back after a loss.
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  There's seven and one off a loss this year, 88% and canning, who
• 8:16
  I mentioned, or canning or canning interchangeable.
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  I don't know which one's right, but the Mets are four and O in
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  his four April starts. He's giving up one runner or
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  less in three of those four starts.
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  Doesn't hurt. Popped open the Juice Reel app
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  and there's a 10% sharp mush edge here on the New York Mets.
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  So I know it's a little bit more expensive, but tons of steam, a
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  lot of system matches, good bet splits like the Mets here to get
• 8:40
  a win hopefully and start our day off right.
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  I got New York -160 again, hint hint, tip jar.
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  Follow the plays on the the juicer lap.
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  For $4.99 a week you would have gotten that better number.
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  Now I think your best number is around -170 at Caesars.
• 8:57
  Next one for you. Early ish evening game as well.
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  6:10 PM Eastern Time. Let's look at the Twins visiting
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  the Guardians now. This is the opening game before
• 9:06
  game set. We have the twins coming in 12
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  and 16 on the year. Did just sweep the Angels though
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  15 nothing yesterday as a big -180 home favorite.
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  On the other hand though, the guardians 15 and 12, but they
• 9:16
  just dropped two or three against the Red Sox.
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  They got rolled 13 to 3 yesterday as a + 100 home dog.
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  So pitch a match up for this one.
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  We got the Twins going with the ready Bailey Ober.
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  He's two and one of the five point O 4 ERA.
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  Meanwhile, the Guardians are going to counter with fellow
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  ready Gavin Williams. He's two and one of a 4.15 ERA.
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  So what do we see across the market here?
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  This game open with Cleveland a very short home favorite -115
• 9:42
  Twins around plus one O 5. And it looks like wise guys are
• 9:45
  saying, hey, that opener was way too short because you've got
• 9:47
  you've had a lot of smart money. Lay the modest chalk with the
• 9:51
  Guardians and steam Cleveland up -115 to now -130 some shops even
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  closer to -135 now. The bet splits look pretty good
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  at both Circa and DraftKings for the Guardians.
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  At DraftKings, 75% bets 81% dollars.
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  At Circa, 83% bets 97% dollars. So another angle here that I
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  like is when the bet split low bets higher dollars is even
• 10:14
  greater. At Circa.
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  Like anything low bets higher dollars to me is just a basic
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  indicator of the bigger sharper wagers in your favor.
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  When you get a big discrepancy like that and an over 90%, that
• 10:25
  tells me again, an overload of a big respected money here coming
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  in on the Guardians. Now the Guardians lighten up a
• 10:32
  lot of systems. I have 9 system matches on the
• 10:34
  Guardians. Here are the top ones.
• 10:36
  Home favorites off a loss 72 and 3369 percent, 15% ROI this year.
• 10:42
  Home favorites of the winning record, 95 and 4269 percent, 12%
• 10:47
  ROI. Favorites of the line move in
• 10:48
  their direction 64 percent, 6% ROI.
• 10:52
  Favorites who made the playoffs the previous year, 63%, 3% ROI.
• 10:56
  And this one's a little wonky, but Monday home favorites with
• 10:59
  line movement in their direction.
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  I don't know if it's something to do with the weekend being
• 11:03
  over in a new week beginning and what the deal is, but you have
• 11:06
  seen in that spot, Monday home favorites do very, very well.
• 11:10
  Those Monday home favorites with line move in their direction are
• 11:12
  now 16 and four this year, 80 percent, 25% ROI.
• 11:17
  We do have some correlative vetting here.
• 11:18
  I know the total is bouncing around between 8:00 and 8:00 and
• 11:20
  a half, but there are a bunch of books at 8 that would
• 11:23
  technically be a favorite. Low total correlative vetting
• 11:25
  with the fair amount of expected runs scored.
• 11:27
  More likely to come from the better team based on the minus
• 11:30
  number in front of their odds. Home Rd. hopefully benefits the
• 11:33
  Guardians. They're eight and four at home
• 11:34
  this year. Twins are only three and 10 on
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  the road. Cleveland has the more explosive
• 11:38
  bats. They're hitting 237.
• 11:40
  Doesn't sound great, but they have hit thirty home runs.
• 11:43
  Minnesota on the other hand is only hitting 226 and only scored
• 11:47
  21 home runs. It's also a bit of a by law in
• 11:49
  Cleveland. Again, they lost two or three
• 11:51
  against Boston, whereas Minnesota just coming off a
• 11:54
  sweep. So let's see if we can buy law
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  on the Guardians here. It doesn't hurt a 17% sharp mush
• 12:00
  edge on Cleveland in the juicer lab.
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  So I'm going to go with the steam and the system matches and
• 12:06
  and bet splits and I'm going to go Guardians.
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  So shop around. I got Cleveland -125 I believe
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  your best number now is around -130 next one for you.
• 12:15
  Another early ish game. 6:35 PM. Let's look at the Yankees
• 12:19
  visiting the Baltimore Orioles. Now this is the opening game of
• 12:22
  a three-game set. We have the Yankees coming in 17
• 12:25
  and 11. Just took two or three against
• 12:27
  the Jays. They swept yesterday's
• 12:29
  doubleheader 11 to 2 as a -, 2 O, 5 home favorite and 5:00 to
• 12:33
  1:00 as a -, 165 home favorite. You know the O's something's up
• 12:37
  with them to start the year, they're only 10 and 17.
• 12:40
  They just got swept by the Tigers, as we mentioned, or I
• 12:43
  don't know if I mentioned that, but they did fall 7 nothing
• 12:46
  yesterday as a plus 2O5 road dog.
• 12:49
  So in this series opener, the Yankees are going to go with the
• 12:51
  righty Will Warren, he's one and O 4.79 ERA.
• 12:55
  Meanwhile, the OS are going to go with the ready Tomoyuki
• 12:59
  Sugano 2 and one 3.54 ERA. Now what do we see across the
• 13:03
  market here? Well, if you like Cleveland, I
• 13:06
  think you like the Yankees. Just like Cleveland, Yankees
• 13:09
  open as a very short -115 Rd. favorite.
• 13:12
  We've now seen the Yankees get steamed up all the way to -130
• 13:15
  So yes, the price has gotten more expensive, but it's gotten
• 13:18
  more expensive for a reason. Looks like a lot of smart money
• 13:21
  has poured in on the Bronx Bombers 'cause that adjustment
• 13:24
  in their favor. Bet splits look really good as
• 13:26
  in particular at Circa. At Circa right now, the Yankees
• 13:30
  are getting 72% of money line bets, but 90% of money line
• 13:35
  dollars. So it tells me out in Vegas you
• 13:37
  got the bigger, sharper betters backing the Bronx Bombers as my
• 13:41
  allergies, of course, always come into play this time of
• 13:44
  year. Apologize for that, but anyway,
• 13:47
  some system matches on New York. We do have favorites with line
• 13:50
  movement in their direction. 64 percent, 6% ROI this year.
• 13:54
  Favorites who made the playoffs the previous year 63% with a 3%
• 13:58
  ROI. Yankees do have the better bats,
• 14:01
  hitting 26245 homers, 155 runs scored.
• 14:05
  Orioles only hitting 223 with 33 homers and 108 runs scored.
• 14:10
  Hopefully we get a good start out of Warren.
• 14:11
  Hopefully the bats of New York can get to Sugano.
• 14:14
  We do have a much better bullpen.
• 14:17
  Yankees are 3.2 O ERA, 7th best in baseball.
• 14:20
  Baltimore is the 7th worst 4.75 ERA.
• 14:25
  Yankees are also hitting 256 on the road.
• 14:27
  That's the 4th best in baseball. Orioles only hitting 235 at
• 14:30
  home. That's 24th.
• 14:32
  Didn't hurt that juice reel. We had an 11% short mush edge
• 14:36
  there on the Yankees. I always like it when you kind
• 14:39
  of breakdown the game from a market perspective, then you
• 14:42
  layer in your system matches in your bet splits, and then the
• 14:44
  cherry on top is like a good Juice Reel or Rhythm Edge.
• 14:48
  Now last butt of the night, let's go to Houston.
• 14:51
  Let's look at the Tigers visiting the Strohs. 8:10 PM
• 14:54
  Eastern Time. First pitch.
• 14:56
  Tigers come in 18 and 10 again, just swept away the Orioles at
• 14:59
  home. Look at the Astros.
• 15:01
  They just lost two or three at KC, but did avoid the sweep with
• 15:05
  A7 and three win yesterday. Now Tigers come in 18 and 10,
• 15:09
  they're going to throw out their Jack Flaherty right-handed
• 15:12
  pitcher one and two 2.63 ERA this year.
• 15:15
  You know, all the Houston Astros who are 14 and 13, they're going
• 15:19
  to send out fellow ready Ronel Blanco.
• 15:21
  He's two and two with an ERA of five point O1.
• 15:24
  So what do you see across the market here?
• 15:26
  Well, a very sharp dog to fave line move in favor of the
• 15:29
  Strohs. This game opened with Detroit,
• 15:33
  kind of a very short -115 -, 110 favorite price.
• 15:37
  You had Houston around even money plus one O 5 - 1 O 5.
• 15:41
  But all movement has been toward Houston.
• 15:43
  Houston has now gotten steamed up all the way to -120 So they
• 15:47
  basically open as a very short dog.
• 15:50
  Now they're a favorite. So it tells me you got a lot of
• 15:52
  money pouring in. My favorite systems, as always,
• 15:55
  dog to fave line move, really good bet splits on the strokes
• 15:58
  at DraftKings. Only 36% bets but 51% dollars so
• 16:03
  that would actually make you to fade the trendy dog reverse line
• 16:05
  move. Publix going Detroit yet line is
• 16:07
  going to Houston. Circa really good bet split as
• 16:10
  well. 58% bets so technically be public but 83% of dollars so low
• 16:16
  bets. Higher dollars at both
• 16:17
  DraftKings and Circa in favor of the Stroh's.
• 16:21
  Then Houston is just lighting up a ton of system matches here.
• 16:24
  If you look at the Houston Astros in the spot, they are
• 16:27
  checking off quite a few boxes. You have your favorites with
• 16:31
  line movement 64% 6% ROI money home favorites with a line move
• 16:35
  16 and 4 system. Remember this year favorite who
• 16:39
  made the post season 63 percent 3% ROI Non division favorites
• 16:43
  with steam 63 percent 5% ROI home faves off a win with a
• 16:47
  winning record 70% thirteen percent ROI.
• 16:51
  What else do I have both had both are coming off a win.
• 16:54
  Take the favorite, that's 22 and 1167 percent, 10% ROI.
• 16:59
  Home favorites, both above 500. Take the home favorite, 63
• 17:04
  percent, 6% ROI. And we have that Monday home
• 17:08
  favorite with steam. That's 11 and 2 so far this
• 17:12
  season, 85%. So a ton of system matches here
• 17:15
  on Houston. Now that Houston is officially
• 17:18
  the favorite, they would also be a favorite low total correlative
• 17:21
  betting favorite total. This one is 7 1/2 or 7 and we
• 17:25
  have a little little home Rd. Houston is 9 and six at home.
• 17:28
  Detroit is five and seven on the road.
• 17:31
  So I'm a kind of a big fan of Detroit.
• 17:33
  I think they're kind of a young, spunky team.
• 17:35
  But this spot really screams Houston.
• 17:37
  So I'm going to follow the sharp money and see if the Strohs can
• 17:39
  get a win for us. Shop around.
• 17:41
  I got Houston at -118 at FanDuel.
• 17:45
  So the Mets, the Guardians, the Yankees and the Strohs, let's
• 17:48
  try to get at least two. If we get three of those,
• 17:50
  that'll be even better. So that about does it for
• 17:53
  episode 266 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast.
• 17:57
  Powered by Rhythm as always, this is the part of the pod
• 18:00
  where you wrap things up. And I start first by saying
• 18:03
  thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 18:05
  out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
• 18:07
  the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
• 18:10
  with me. It means so much to me that
• 18:12
  we've created this community and I love it when you guys like DM
• 18:16
  me like before I even write the sharp report for visen.com and
• 18:19
  you say, oh, do you like this team or I think you're on that
• 18:21
  one. A lot of you guys are really
• 18:23
  getting sharp on me. So I love seeing that.
• 18:25
  But if you do enjoy the pod, you want to let me know you
• 18:28
  appreciate the pod or help me grow this podcast, could you do
• 18:30
  me a solid? Give it a five star review on
• 18:33
  Spotify or iTunes. If you want to leave a nice
• 18:35
  comment in the review section, that would also be great.
• 18:38
  If you want to click a follow button, if that's available, hit
• 18:41
  that. That way you'll be alerted as
• 18:42
  soon as it drops each day. It's usually a pop up on your
• 18:45
  phone notification. And if you want to recommend the
• 18:48
  pod to a friend, even better. Word of mouth to me, I think you
• 18:51
  take that more seriously if someone you respect or or know
• 18:54
  or like kind of kind of turns you on to something.
• 18:57
  But seriously, I appreciate you guys listening each day.
• 19:00
  Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
• 19:05
  sharp contrane betting, you notice we never talked about
• 19:07
  parlays because they're hanging out to the book and we don't bet
• 19:10
  based on what we think will happen or want to happen or hope
• 19:12
  will happen. We bet based on what the market
• 19:14
  is telling us. And that is I think not the only
• 19:18
  way to bet on sports, but it's the way that I've learned and I
• 19:21
  know is successful. If you continue to grind it and
• 19:23
  stick with it, it's really a long term approach trying to be
• 19:26
  against the public and with the house and with the sharps.
• 19:29
  That's what it's all about. But if you want to learn more
• 19:31
  about data-driven betting or let me know you appreciate the pod.
• 19:34
  I've written two books now. One's already out there and one
• 19:37
  is upcoming now. I would love for you guys to buy
• 19:39
  one or both. All you got to do is go to
• 19:42
  Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
• 19:46
  betting. It's got everything I've learned
• 19:47
  in the industry. I wrote it back in 2019.
• 19:49
  I think it holds up pretty well even in 2025, but it really
• 19:52
  provides the blueprint on how to read line movement, how to
• 19:56
  locate sharp action, how to go contrary and how to place a bet
• 19:58
  in person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
• 20:01
  a bankroll management plan. It's really geared toward brand
• 20:04
  new betters, but even for intermediate betters.
• 20:06
  And there's a lot of good systems and tips there as well.
• 20:09
  And then I would love for you guys to pre-order a copy of my
• 20:12
  new book. It comes out August 12th.
• 20:14
  It's called the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
• 20:17
  And if you want to pre-order copy, you would make my day.
• 20:19
  And then you'll bring either the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
• 20:23
  Or both the everything guided sports betting to the sports
• 20:26
  book. I'll sign them for you and I'll
• 20:28
  buy you a beer or ginger ale and we'll get some nachos and sweat
• 20:31
  some games together next. If you haven't done it yet, what
• 20:35
  are you waiting for? Go download rhythm and juice
• 20:37
  reel, my two favorite sports betting apps because they're all
• 20:40
  data based, which is right up my alley.
• 20:43
  So rhythm, fantastic job for their AI backed models and
• 20:46
  predictions for game bets and player props will be hosting the
• 20:49
  rhythm Lab tomorrow because tomorrow's a Tuesday, So 4:00 on
• 20:52
  Twitter. Hope to see you guys there.
• 20:54
  Then of course, juice reel or you can sign up to follow the
• 20:57
  all systems go best bet picks. That's the tip jar that I hold
• 21:00
  out at the end of the pod. Or if you played baseball back
• 21:03
  in the day in a small town like me, you'd pass the hat for
• 21:06
  everyone, put in a dollar or two.
• 21:08
  So you could, you know, pay the umpires and all that kind of
• 21:10
  stuff and pay for the new hats and jerseys or the lights,
• 21:13
  whatever. But anyway, if you enjoy the
• 21:16
  pod, the pod's free. Let me know you enjoy it by
• 21:18
  tipping your podcast host. And you can do it by signing up
• 21:22
  for the $4.99 a week best bet picks which are available on
• 21:26
  Juice Rail. You can follow the plays on the
• 21:28
  weekend, you can follow them everyday.
• 21:29
  You can tell you can fade. You knew whatever you want.
• 21:32
  But I would very much appreciate if you guys wanted to get those
• 21:35
  plays on Juice Rail. But Juice Rail isn't just for
• 21:37
  the ASG pod plays. You're also going to get you
• 21:40
  roll with Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush
• 21:42
  indicators, the arbitrage plays, the shop for the best line
• 21:45
  futures. You also get the cool graphs
• 21:47
  where you can track your sweat in terms of a a a green or a red
• 21:52
  like squiggle on a graph or a chart.
• 21:54
  It just kind of tells you how well you're doing.
• 21:55
  It's always kind of cool to track.
• 21:57
  And you can also again, sync up your books and get a running
• 22:00
  report card of your action, which is another great facet of
• 22:03
  it. So download rhythm, download
• 22:04
  Juicereel, give them a five star review in the App Store.
• 22:08
  Next, if you're betting on sports, you got to have a live
• 22:11
  odds page. Without it, you're blind.
• 22:13
  And I don't know how you're betting on sports because you
• 22:14
  got to know #1 all the games being played that day across all
• 22:18
  the different sports. But more importantly, the
• 22:20
  opening line to all the games, the current line.
• 22:22
  So you know which direction line is moving.
• 22:24
  Pull up the line history, see all the moves in between.
• 22:27
  Shop for the best line, picking off the the books that give you
• 22:30
  the best number. And I know there's a lot of live
• 22:32
  odds pages out there, but I would really recommend trying
• 22:36
  Odds Logic. It's the best and best, really
• 22:39
  the best value I would say because it's 99 bucks a month if
• 22:43
  you decide to keep it. But if you go to
• 22:46
  oddslogic.com/josh 123, that's Odds logic.com/josh 123.
• 22:52
  You got to add the slash Josh 123.
• 22:54
  At the end. You'll get a 7 day free trial.
• 22:57
  You'll get 50% off your first month and you'll be off and
• 23:00
  running. So I'd love for you guys to test
• 23:02
  it out. It's got all the books.
• 23:03
  It's got books like Pinnacle and Circo, which are kind of rare to
• 23:06
  get on a live odds page. And really they're the first to
• 23:08
  move. So you see them move and then
• 23:10
  like if you see a baseball game where the favorite shoots up at
• 23:14
  Pinnacle, from -120 to -130 Pinnacle is a very big book, a
• 23:18
  global book that takes a lot of smart money.
• 23:20
  So probably in the next two minutes you're going to see all
• 23:23
  the books get up to -130 but before they move, if you
• 23:26
  immediately go find a book still at -120 you can get a good
• 23:30
  number. And that's really how I try to
• 23:31
  get a lot of my good numbers. But give it a shot.
• 23:34
  Again, odds logic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
• 23:40
  today's episode of the ASG pod #266.
• 23:43
  As always, guys, I'll leave you with a couple things.
• 23:45
  One whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 23:49
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 23:51
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 23:54
  Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield in my
• 23:58
  neck of the woods in Massachusetts.
• 24:00
  Or of course, the new book I love to go to the which is the
• 24:03
  Nash in Nashua. Or of course, out in the desert
• 24:05
  where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends
• 24:08
  his number runners with lowest use possible is found at the
• 24:10
  South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
• 24:13
  stadium swimming pool. When you cash a big ticket at
• 24:16
  Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me,
• 24:18
  you know, show me some nice winning tickets since Friday,
• 24:21
  the Cubs, the Cardinals, the T Wolves, Golden State, San
• 24:24
  Francisco, the Mets, Detroit, Minnesota, San Fran, whatever
• 24:28
  you do, don't show me that Pistons ticket.
• 24:30
  Call the damn foul. He got fouled.
• 24:32
  Call the foul. That really just pisses me off
• 24:35
  and annoys me. And I guess that's that's that's
• 24:38
  the life of a better. You go 9 and 3 + 3.27 units over
• 24:41
  a three day period and you're mad at the one loss that you
• 24:44
  had. So it is what it is.
• 24:47
  But I'm sure people have the next two and they're probably
• 24:49
  happy. So what are you going to do?
• 24:51
  But anyway, guys, first one's on me, next one's on you.
• 24:53
  I'll post about the book Sweat Sharp and Train Place all night
• 24:56
  long. So as always, guys, nine and
• 24:58
  three, this is going to be hard. There's a lot of combinations
• 25:01
  here. Nine and three, three and nine,
• 25:04
  eight and four, seven and 5-6 and six.
• 25:11
  Let's see if I can keep going here. 5 and 7, Four and 8/3 and
• 25:17
  9/2 and 10/1 and 11 or O and 12, God forbid.
• 25:24
  Again, previous night, weekend, doesn't matter.
• 25:27
  We're going to continue to grind whether we're hot weather or
• 25:29
  cold, never get too high or too low.
• 25:31
  We're going to consistently continue to fire on games that
• 25:34
  fit our model against the public, with the house, with the
• 25:37
  pros. Flat bet, avoid parlays, get
• 25:40
  that closing line value. If we can do that, if we can
• 25:42
  make bets of their head and not our heart and stick to the
• 25:44
  model, stick to the blueprint through the ups and downs,
• 25:46
  because Lord knows sports betting's got a lot of ups and
• 25:49
  downs. If we can do that, even though
• 25:52
  betting is hard, we're going to come out on top in the end.
• 25:55
  So hope everyone had a go, a good weekend.
• 25:57
  Let's have a good start to our week tonight.
• 25:59
  Let's get some winners on the diamond and then we'll be right
• 26:01
  back at it tomorrow, which will be a big Tuesday.
• 26:03
  That'll be episode 267 of the All Systems Go sports betting
• 26:07
  podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
• 26:11
  great Monday night.