Latest / The Jake Wimberly Podcast / Keith Hardy Interview

Transcript

Keith Hardy Interview · The Jake Wimberly Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's time just kids back in the game in the
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: afternoon drive that's entertain on.
• 0:05
  Speaker 2: The Fish and the specializes in the Mississippi sports you love.
• 0:08
  Speaker 3: Now we're talking live and look on the ESPN one
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  Speaker 3: oh five point nine in the Zone and online the
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  Speaker 3: Zone one o five nine drive cord.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Taking in on a Friday to the weekend we go
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: and also into August. Believe it or not, Tomorrow's August First,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: brought to you by Meristar Casino. Get out and play today.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: Get out to the Bottlenecke Blues Bar. Four great restaurants
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: on the property, and don't forget about the Gurky Cigar Lounge.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: You can go to the hotel, but you'll need a reservation.
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: Keith Hardy best sports book manager in the state. And
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: that's not flexing on that. That is absolutely true. If
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: you don't believe it, go see and talk to him.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: He is on your radio.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: Keith. Welcome in, sir. How are you, Jake.
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: My man? I appreciate thanks for having me on. You
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: wouldn't believe it, but I've actually got some customers.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I believe that you probably do.
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: It's Friday afternoon, and look, we're getting closer to football
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  Speaker 1: and uh you know, people are going to put money
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  Speaker 1: in probably on NBA futures, Major League Baseball, a lot
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: of football futures.
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: That sports book is hot, but it's fixing to get
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  Speaker 2: real hot.
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: Oh yes, sir, you know what. That's one thing we've
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: been getting some of it's been coming in, been getting
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: some futures. I know you and Baby were talking about
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: Mississippi State when in a conference game.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we got a question from one of our listeners,
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: can they win more than one conference game? And we
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: were kind of chalking out and taking the ones off
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  Speaker 1: we felt like would be losses. And I think there's
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: four opportunities for victories in the conference this year, at
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: least at face value. And I think it's South Carolina
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  Speaker 1: on the road, Missouri at home, Auburn at home, and.
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  Speaker 2: Vanderbilt at home.
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  Speaker 1: And you know, if they can play better defensively, they're
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: gonna score points.
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  Speaker 2: I think they'll win a couple of conference games.
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: Well, Jake, we've got them over under a team total
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  Speaker 3: at four and a half. I'm liking the over.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I like the over two form Mississippi State.
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  Speaker 1: You know, but for Jeff Levy, he needs to be
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: over the over, meaning you know it can't be just
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  Speaker 1: over the four and a half. He at five. He
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: needs to get to six. You know he two went.
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: Beaver made a good point. He won two games this
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  Speaker 1: first year, coming off a disastrous year from Zach Arnett.
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  Speaker 1: And I know they won a few more ball games
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  Speaker 1: that year, but that team was lethargic. It was bad
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  Speaker 1: off the field. On the field, there was a mess.
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: So he comes in and you know, look he created
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: some of the mess too his first year, Jeff Levy.
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: But from two wins to five, I mean if they
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  Speaker 1: make that two or three game progression again this year,
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: I think you got to start saying, hey, look he's
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: doing something in starbul Why do you want to.
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: See some progress? Hey, Jake, So we've got home Miss
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  Speaker 3: at over under seven and a half. But it's a
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  Speaker 3: minus one fifty nine eight games. That shouldn't be any
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  Speaker 3: problem for all Miss. What do you think.
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't say it won't be any problem, But I
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  Speaker 1: think ole Miss wins eight. I've got him at eight
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: and four, and I wouldn't be you know, I think
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: that that flex windows of sorts of wins and losses
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  Speaker 1: live somewhere between eight and ten.
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: It may fall at nine.
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  Speaker 1: I mean there's some games on that schedule that you
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: know could get dicey for ole Miss. You know, they
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: don't have a cake walk week one. I believe they're
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be somewhere around a five to seven point favorite
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  Speaker 1: over Louisville week one on a neutral site.
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  Speaker 2: LSU at home, you know, at Florida.
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  Speaker 1: Uh, having host Missouri at Texas, Georgia at Oklahoma. There's
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  Speaker 1: gonna be some you know, some four quarterball games on
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  Speaker 1: Saturdays where Ole Miss is gonna have to hold on.
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  Speaker 3: I've got one fifty minus one fifty nine. I thought
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  Speaker 3: that was a little high, but uh, and I guess
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  Speaker 3: that means y odds maker they like eighty. I've got
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: value for you, Jake, I got some value for you.
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  Speaker 3: Penn State over nine and a half plus one twenty eight.
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  Speaker 1: Penn State over nine and a half plus one twenty eight. Oh, Keith,
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  Speaker 1: that's a slam dunk. They're gonna get ten. I mean,
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  Speaker 1: I mean, go through this schedule. I mean, they play Temple,
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  Speaker 1: they play Buffalo, they play a Wisconsin team that's the
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  Speaker 1: shell of itself. They play Northwestern that's four. Uh, They'll
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  Speaker 1: also play Purdue that's five. Minnesota six, Rutgers seven, Sorry, Keith,
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  Speaker 1: they play Maryland that's eight, and they need two more
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  Speaker 1: with games against Washington on the road, Michigan on the road,
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  Speaker 1: and then USC at home. So I think they can
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  Speaker 1: get to ten.
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: I listen, I got one more I wanted to let
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  Speaker 3: you know about. We've got Georgia at over nine and
• 4:57
  Speaker 3: a half, over under nine and a half.
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I like Georgia over nine and a half.
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  Speaker 1: And you know, I know it's it's that when you
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  Speaker 1: start getting up at you know, totals at nine and
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: a half and ten and ten and a half and eleven,
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  Speaker 1: those become very slim margins. But I think this Georgia
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  Speaker 1: team is very good.
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  Speaker 3: Uh.
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  Speaker 1: Offensive line wise, they could be the best in the conference,
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: one of the best in the country. They've got, you know,
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  Speaker 1: a flat dog at quarterback and gunner Stockton.
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be able to run the ball. That defense
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  Speaker 2: is going to be good. I like Georgia over nine
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: and a half.
• 5:27
  Speaker 3: And Jake, you know we're we're less than a week
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  Speaker 3: away from the Hall of Fame Game in the NFL.
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, the Hall of Fame game.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: I don't know that people keep it on maybe they
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: keep it on for background noise, but I think a
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: lot of people tune in initially. I know I will,
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: just because it's the first football we actually get to see,
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: and you know, you can it just kind of it's
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: one of those welcome gifts of like, hey, we're here.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: Uh so I can't wait for it.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah. That means, you know, the Hall of Fame game
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  Speaker 3: means the season is about to start, right, So yeah,
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: I'm looking forward to it. Next Thursday were.
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: Vision with Keith Hardy.
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: He is a sportsbook manager Adam Aristar Casino And of
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: course I get out, get the bet builder and shop around,
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  Speaker 1: all right. So, Keith, when you look at some other teams,
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: you know, there's there's some some good nuggets out there,
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: you know, as far as futures are concerned and the totals,
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: you know, let's take another one. And I know you
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: get a lot of people that, uh and let me
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: get over here to college and not the uh, not
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: the NFL. When I look at futures, let's go to
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: LSU because you get a lot of teams. You know
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: a lot of people that come in and play LSU.
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: Let me get their their number real quick. Louisiana let's
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: see there they are.
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: We've got LSU at eight and a half, Drake.
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: Now, Tiger fans are going to slam the over.
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: You know that eight and a half minus one thirteen?
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: Yeah, minus one and Keith tell people what that means
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: when you hear that eight and a half, but the
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: minus one thirteen or if it was a minus one fifty,
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: kind of explain that for everybody, Drake.
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: Whatever, you're looking at a bet and you're looking at
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: the odds, and next to the odds they'll have it,
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: there'll be a plus or minus number. The minus number
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: is what you have to risk to win one hundred,
• 7:09
  Speaker 3: and the plus number is what one hundred will pay you. Now,
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  Speaker 3: typically you know on a point spread everything is minus
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: one ten, but you'll see the money line often is
• 7:21
  Speaker 3: it doesn't have a point spread, that'll have a plus
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  Speaker 3: or minus. So for example, if a team's a big favorite,
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  Speaker 3: like I'm looking at Week one right now, let's see
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  Speaker 3: a big favorite. Okay, the Cardinals are at the Chargers.
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  Speaker 3: The Chargers are minus ten, but the money line is
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  Speaker 3: minus five hundred. That means you would have to risk
• 7:43
  Speaker 3: five hundred to win one hundred, and you don't have
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  Speaker 3: to actually risk five hundred. You could risk five dollars
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  Speaker 3: to win a dollar, so that is just what the
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  Speaker 3: odds are now. The plus number Arizona to win the
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  Speaker 3: game would be plus three seventy five. So when you
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  Speaker 3: see a plus number, that's what one hundred dollars will pay,
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  Speaker 3: and when you see a minus number, that's what you
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  Speaker 3: have to risk to win one hundred.
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  Speaker 2: Very good.
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  Speaker 1: Back to LSU at eight and a half, I still
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: think LSU is over over eight and a half.
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I like I like LSU, Jake. You know, because
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: I was just looking at the NFL, I wanted to
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  Speaker 3: throttle this out there. I've got it. I've got a
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: lock for you.
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: Week one, Jake, let's do it.
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: The Chiefs are hosting the Broncos. The Chiefs are minus three.
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: I am loving the Chiefs now. I might go minus
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: two and a half. So that's something to let your
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: listeners know. You can buy a half a point, or
• 8:42
  Speaker 3: a whole point, or several points. For example, in this game,
• 8:45
  Speaker 3: the Chiefs are minus three, but you can take it
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: down to minus two and a half. That way, you
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: know three is not a push. I hate to see
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: that that game winning field goal go through the upright,
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  Speaker 3: and it just means I tied, so I like to
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  Speaker 3: be nine. It's two and a half. But uh, it
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: goes to the play and this is only good for
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  Speaker 3: Week one win a team a division game where the
• 9:10
  Speaker 3: team lost to that team twice last year. In Week
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  Speaker 3: one they win at a seventy clip.
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  Speaker 1: How about that? That that's that's some good knowledge. And
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: of course the Chiefs were the logic. Last year. Mahomes
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: was hurt. He's by all accounts healthy. I do like
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: I do like that. I like the Chiefs to win
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: that ball game on uh July thirty first.
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: I like the Chiefs.
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: Uh we go uh y, yeah, you get it ready today?
• 9:37
  Speaker 3: You like it right? And in granted that, you know
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: things can happen. If something changes all of a sudden,
• 9:42
  Speaker 3: Mahomes is not gonna start well, there'll be a different
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: point spread. But that the trend is only good for
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: week one division matchup where the where one team lost
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: both games the previous year, they win it a high
• 9:59
  Speaker 3: cup it's something like seventy percent. So I just wanted
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: to just throw that out there to your listeners.
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: Keith, tell everybody to come see you and I appreciate you.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: Join us today, there's a lot going on out at
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: a Meristar.
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: Well, Jake, you know it's not just sports betting. It's
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: sports betting at a Marastar. So there's Baccarad, Blackjack, Crapston Roulette,
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: there's a bottlelecked blues bar for great entertainment. Of course,
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: all your favorite slot machines, video poker, live poker right
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: here next to the sports book. And when you come
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: down and we've got a thirty six foot video wall
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: with forty TVs all around. If there's something on direct
• 10:34
  Speaker 3: TV you want to watch, we can. If we can
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: find it, we're going to put it on for you. You
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: know there's part race and golf tennis. You don't see NNA,
• 10:44
  Speaker 3: so let us know when you come down. And if
• 10:46
  Speaker 3: you got questions, well we got answers. If you want
• 10:48
  Speaker 3: to know how to put the builder on your phone,
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: or if you want to figure out how these future
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: bets work. You have many questions at all, feel free
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: to ask us. And while you're here, you want to
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: get a by T, got pizza, wings, burgers if you
• 11:03
  Speaker 3: want to sit down and all you can eat that's
• 11:05
  Speaker 3: the Hair and His Buffet, Bourbon Steakhouse for fine dining
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: and of course the Red Lotus. That's our Asian cuisine,
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: so lots to do, food and drink. Oh and Jake,
• 11:17
  Speaker 3: all you gotta do is come up to me and say, hey,
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: I heard you on the radio. I heard you on
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: Jake Wimberley Show, and I walk you into the Gurkha
• 11:26
  Speaker 3: Cigar lounge. Let you pick out a stogy and get
• 11:29
  Speaker 3: you an adult bevy on me.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: What do you say to that, Jake, Keith, you got
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: the best ills in town. Sir, Thank you so much.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: Get out and see Keith. Tell you hear him on
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: the radio, who get your beverage and he will get
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: you a cigar from the Gurka Keith, have a great
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: rest of the day.
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: Look, we'll talk to you next week.
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: Thanks having Jake takes care of Thanks.
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: So much, Keith Harty on your radio, brought to you
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: by Maristarkasino. Get out and play today at a Maristar
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Back in a bit