Latest / Yaron Brook Show / Oct 7 -- Lessons Learnt?; Mamdani; Bond Vigilantes; Half Fought War; More | Yaron Brook Show
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: The Radical. Fundamental Principles of Freedom. Rational Self-Interest. And Individual Rights.
- 0:14Speaker 1: This is the Yaron Brook Show. Fundamental Principles of Freedom.
- 0:21Speaker 1: Alright everybody, welcome to Yaron Brook Show. On this Wednesday,
- 0:26Speaker 1: October 7th. A date that I think will forever, forever
- 0:35Speaker 1: be remembered, just like 9-11, as tragic and horrific. It
- 0:42Speaker 1: was three years ago, three years ago, at 6.29 a.m.
- 0:46Speaker 1: Israel time. It was a Saturday. It was a holiday,
- 0:50Speaker 1: Simchat Toa, a religious holiday, when over 3,000 Hamas terrorists
- 0:57Speaker 1: and Gazan civilians broke through the fence, came in on gliders,
- 1:05Speaker 1: invaded Israeli territory. Over the next 24 hours or so,
- 1:12Speaker 1: they would murder 1,200 people. They would rape. They would torture.
- 1:19Speaker 1: They would burn. They would behead. They would destroy. They
- 1:26Speaker 1: took 251 people alive. Prisoners, kidnapped, hostage, from babies to
- 1:39Speaker 1: elderly Holocaust survivors. And it was not just uniquely cruel
- 1:49Speaker 1: and disgusting. After all, pogroms against the Jews have always
- 1:54Speaker 1: been thus. But what made this different is here, They
- 2:02Speaker 1: actually filmed it. They documented it. They uploaded it in
- 2:07Speaker 1: real time to social media. And they did so with pride,
- 2:15Speaker 1: with great satisfaction. I mean, there was a guy who
- 2:18Speaker 1: called his parents from the kibbutz to boast that he'd
- 2:22Speaker 1: killed Jews with his own hands. It wasn't like his
- 2:27Speaker 1: parents chided him or anything. They were proud. And that's
- 2:34Speaker 1: a phone call that certainly has stayed with me for
- 2:39Speaker 1: three years. Maybe will stay with me forever. It tells
- 2:44Speaker 1: you almost everything you need to know about the enemy,
- 2:47Speaker 1: about the culture that produces such an enemy, about the scale,
- 2:53Speaker 1: you know, the self-deception that Israel engaged in and the
- 2:59Speaker 1: West still engages in to pretend that Otherwise, with regard
- 3:06Speaker 1: to the culture of the enemy. Now today in Israel,
- 3:13Speaker 1: there was, as is Israel's habit, tradition, a moment of
- 3:18Speaker 1: silence at 629. The country stood still. People stopped their cars,
- 3:26Speaker 1: got out, and stood in remembrance. In Kfar Aza, where
- 3:32Speaker 1: attackers killed half the 14-man civil defense squad at the
- 3:37Speaker 1: armory just after 7 a.m. They killed, you know, 64.
- 3:45Speaker 1: They kidnapped 19 from a kibbutz of under 1,000. There
- 3:52Speaker 1: were memorials at the Nova site where 378 were killed,
- 3:56Speaker 1: 44 were taken. And protesters died at the Dizengar Fountain
- 4:03Speaker 1: in the heart of Tel Aviv read, Netanyahu today, quote,
- 4:15Speaker 1: we will complete the mission. We have settled the score
- 4:18Speaker 1: and will continue settling the score with all the murderers.
- 4:24Speaker 1: No announcement of a commission to investigate the failure that
- 4:27Speaker 1: led to October 7th. Indeed, the Likud, his political party
- 4:32Speaker 1: today of all days, chose to make a statement that
- 4:37Speaker 1: the PM had no advance warning, in spite of the
- 4:40Speaker 1: reports we've heard, because according to them, these are all
- 4:44Speaker 1: false political propaganda. A story came out today, and I'm
- 4:55Speaker 1: not going to read it to you because it's long
- 4:57Speaker 1: and because I'll get too emotional if I read it.
- 5:02Speaker 1: But a story came out today which is the other side,
- 5:05Speaker 1: another aspect of what happened on October 7th that I
- 5:08Speaker 1: think we should all be very much aware of. And
- 5:16Speaker 1: that is the heroism of those who stood against the terrorists.
- 5:22Speaker 1: This could have been a lot worse. It's the story
- 5:27Speaker 1: of Lieutenant Colonel O. Ben Yehuda. a female commander, a
- 5:35Speaker 1: commander of a caracal, a mixed-gender light infantry battalion that
- 5:41Speaker 1: guarded about 40 kilometers of the Egypt-Gaza-Israel border from its
- 5:45Speaker 1: base in Nakhon Raviv. You know, if you have access
- 5:49Speaker 1: to Times of Israel, timesofisraeloneword.com, check it out. You know,
- 5:56Speaker 1: the untold heroics of the female fighters there. who held
- 6:01Speaker 1: off Hamas at Sufa. It's an amazing story. Just of
- 6:08Speaker 1: astounding bravery and courage. A story that is now really
- 6:13Speaker 1: being told for a variety of reasons. A story of
- 6:20Speaker 1: how a soldier responds, how a commander responds. A story
- 6:25Speaker 1: of immense... You know, just the ability to command, the
- 6:30Speaker 1: ability to control yourself, the ability to be rational and
- 6:32Speaker 1: to fire. But it's also a story of failure, of
- 6:36Speaker 1: the failure to get helicopters there to support her, the
- 6:40Speaker 1: failure to bring reinforcements. I mean, she basically stood from 7.45 a.m.
- 6:49Speaker 1: with 12 soldiers until 1 p.m. alone, facing hundreds of
- 6:56Speaker 1: Palestinian fighters. taking casualties, but inflicting many, many more. She
- 7:03Speaker 1: prevented many, many deaths, saved many additional Israeli villages and
- 7:12Speaker 1: towns from being overrun by the Hamas terrorists. And her
- 7:20Speaker 1: story should be told and people should read it. It
- 7:23Speaker 1: very much reminded me of some of the stories of
- 7:26Speaker 1: the tankers that we told a little bit of about
- 7:30Speaker 1: the Yom Kippur War that Nikos and I talked about
- 7:32Speaker 1: on Sunday. He was a woman who stood alone, not
- 7:38Speaker 1: completely alone, 12 soldiers, plus a female medical team, not
- 7:45Speaker 1: equipped to deal with hundreds. And yet, partially because of
- 7:49Speaker 1: her own past experience, she had some anti-attack missiles with her,
- 7:53Speaker 1: which everybody always made fun of her for carrying around.
- 7:56Speaker 1: They came in very handy that day. Anyway, I encourage
- 8:00Speaker 1: you to read the story. If you can find timesofisrael.com,
- 8:04Speaker 1: read it. Take with you some Kleenex, because if you're
- 8:12Speaker 1: like me, you will get teary-eyed. But it's important also
- 8:17Speaker 1: to recognize the heroism of that day, the people who
- 8:23Speaker 1: stood and fought and prevented this from becoming even worse
- 8:28Speaker 1: than it was. The failures have and will and hopefully
- 8:32Speaker 1: will for many years be discussed, debated, analyzed, learned from, maybe.
- 8:42Speaker 1: But we should also take the time to recognize the heroes,
- 8:47Speaker 1: to recognize those who fought and in many cases died
- 8:54Speaker 1: protecting their lives, their communities, their friends, their people. And,
- 9:02Speaker 1: of course, for Israel, it's never over. We saw that
- 9:07Speaker 1: last week with the passengers on the Dubai flight to
- 9:10Speaker 1: Tel Aviv, having to overpower a hijacker. You know, this
- 9:20Speaker 1: was demanded, constant vigilance. constant heroism for a country that
- 9:26Speaker 1: is constantly under attack. So I want to talk a
- 9:30Speaker 1: little bit about the lesson learned if anybody has learned anything,
- 9:36Speaker 1: but maybe we have learned something and we can, we
- 9:39Speaker 1: can at least discuss them. Um, and, and as I said,
- 9:47Speaker 1: by the way, we talk about this more and talk
- 9:49Speaker 1: about the heroism and talk about the horrors. Um, I
- 9:53Speaker 1: do recommend Fauda. Fauda Season 5 deals with October 7th.
- 9:58Speaker 1: It is powerful. It is riveting. It is, you know, shaking.
- 10:06Speaker 1: But it is important. It is important to watch. It
- 10:09Speaker 1: is important to see. It is important to witness. But
- 10:13Speaker 1: it is also about heroism. It is also about the response. So,
- 10:18Speaker 1: So Fauda, all the seasons are worth seeing. And Nikos
- 10:21Speaker 1: and I will talk about it, not this coming Sunday,
- 10:23Speaker 1: but the following Sunday, we will discuss the series Fauda,
- 10:28Speaker 1: and in particular, season five of Fauda. So I highly
- 10:31Speaker 1: recommend it. And check it out. It's on Netflix. But yes,
- 10:38Speaker 1: you will get a sense of kind of the horror
- 10:41Speaker 1: of what was experienced on October 7th in that show.
- 10:45Speaker 1: And again, important, important, to see it in spite of
- 10:50Speaker 1: its horrific nature. The series, there are two episodes that
- 10:53Speaker 1: dwell on it. The rest of the series is action
- 10:56Speaker 1: in the post-October 7th period. It constitutes basically a flashback,
- 11:03Speaker 1: a two-episode flashback to October 7th. But again, watch it.
- 11:10Speaker 1: We'll talk about it. So lesson number one. Lesson number one.
- 11:17Speaker 1: And by the way, I'm hoping to put up an
- 11:19Speaker 1: essay summarizing all of this later today up on Substack,
- 11:25Speaker 1: Euron AI Substack. If you haven't subscribed, you should subscribe
- 11:28Speaker 1: to the Euron AI Substack. It will be an essay
- 11:33Speaker 1: that takes this material and basically puts it in essay
- 11:36Speaker 1: form with the help of, you know, AI, with Euron AI. Okay.
- 11:42Speaker 1: trained on all my stuff, and it will be available
- 11:46Speaker 1: on Substack. So it still needs quite a bit of editing,
- 11:51Speaker 1: but hopefully we'll have that done tonight, if not tonight,
- 11:54Speaker 1: then tomorrow morning. So lesson number one that I think
- 11:58Speaker 1: is really important. This was not, emphasis on not, an
- 12:05Speaker 1: intelligence failure. This was an act of evasion. This is directly, unequivocally,
- 12:14Speaker 1: unquestionably the result of evasion. Now, if you were with
- 12:21Speaker 1: us for the last year on the Nico Show, you
- 12:24Speaker 1: know that the Yom Kippur War in 1973 was similar.
- 12:31Speaker 1: I was 12 in the synagogue. Sirens go off. My
- 12:34Speaker 1: father runs home for his uniform. Again, memories that will
- 12:37Speaker 1: stay with me forever. Israel had information about the upcoming
- 12:46Speaker 1: possibility of an attack. Soviet families evacuated two days before.
- 12:53Speaker 1: King Hussein warns Golda Meir personally. He actually meets with
- 12:57Speaker 1: her to warn her. This is before there's peace between
- 13:00Speaker 1: Jordan and Israel. Divisions of you know, Egyptian tanks visible
- 13:09Speaker 1: on the canal, the Egyptians practicing what they are going
- 13:13Speaker 1: to do over and over again, visibly. What was lacking
- 13:20Speaker 1: was not intelligence. What was lacking was the willingness to
- 13:24Speaker 1: let the evidence overturn an existing conception of the world.
- 13:31Speaker 1: What was called, what came to be called in Israel,
- 13:33Speaker 1: the concept of The concept was the Arabs won't attack
- 13:38Speaker 1: because they can't win. They know they can't win. We
- 13:41Speaker 1: showed them that in Six-Day War. They'll never attack us.
- 13:43Speaker 1: And therefore, all the evidence of the census, all the intelligence,
- 13:47Speaker 1: all the data didn't matter. It didn't sink in because
- 13:53Speaker 1: the concept held. Exactly the same thing happened on October 7th.
- 14:01Speaker 1: There was a new concept. This concept said Hamas has
- 14:04Speaker 1: been bought off. Qatari cash, nice homes. They're interested in governing.
- 14:12Speaker 1: When lookouts reported drills that looked like they were practicing
- 14:18Speaker 1: on models of kibbutzim. When Shin Bet chief sits across
- 14:23Speaker 1: the prime minister, Netanyahu, on October 1st and uses the
- 14:26Speaker 1: word earthquake. When the UAE leader reportedly calls 10 days before.
- 14:32Speaker 1: when Egyptian intelligence chief reportedly flying to Tel Aviv less
- 14:35Speaker 1: than two weeks before, when other intelligence agencies from the
- 14:42Speaker 1: Shin Bet to military intelligence receive information, they observe, whether it's,
- 14:53Speaker 1: you know, listening or whether it's actually seeing, none of
- 14:58Speaker 1: it penetrates. None of it is taken seriously by the
- 15:02Speaker 1: upper echelons of the political class and the upper echelons
- 15:06Speaker 1: of the military, because they have a concept. Hamas is
- 15:12Speaker 1: an interesting. I mean, there was a guy, Yigal Khamon.
- 15:17Speaker 1: There's a story about him in the Free Press from
- 15:19Speaker 1: a few days ago, October 4th. He's 80 years old.
- 15:24Speaker 1: He's a former colonel in the military intelligence, a counterterrorism
- 15:27Speaker 1: advisor to Shamir and Rabin. when they were prime ministers,
- 15:31Speaker 1: former founder of Memory, which reads Arabic and Persian press
- 15:36Speaker 1: every day. On August 31st, 2023, he published, quote, Signs
- 15:41Speaker 1: of a Possible War in September, October. Terror chiefs escalating
- 15:47Speaker 1: threats of a, quote, comprehensive regional war. Hamas, Hezbollah, Palestinian
- 15:52Speaker 1: Islamic Jihad, and other Iranian proxies acquiring weapons that, quote,
- 15:56Speaker 1: can cause a large number of Israeli fatalities. And now
- 16:00Speaker 1: he didn't name the day and the exact border. I mean,
- 16:03Speaker 1: there's only so much you can do. But he named
- 16:05Speaker 1: the war. He saw it coming. He saw it coming,
- 16:14Speaker 1: but the political leadership, the senior military leadership, Now, what
- 16:22Speaker 1: was he reading? He was reading the threats themselves in
- 16:25Speaker 1: their own languages, what military intelligence was doing, I'm sure,
- 16:28Speaker 1: at the same time. He knew of a large Hamas
- 16:32Speaker 1: military drill in Gaza in September 2023, which he now calls, quote,
- 16:38Speaker 1: the final walkthrough. He saw Qatari cash flowing in, Qatari
- 16:44Speaker 1: and Iranian cash, with Israel's approval. And Which made the
- 16:52Speaker 1: tunnels possible. He writes, quote, it was all open source.
- 17:00Speaker 1: We're not dealing with secrets. We believed them. We didn't
- 17:05Speaker 1: dismiss it as bullshit. That's the whole lesson right there.
- 17:12Speaker 1: Information wasn't hidden. It was the willingness to believe it
- 17:15Speaker 1: that was. I mean, Jack Sullivan, the week before, Jack Sullivan,
- 17:22Speaker 1: you know, Biden's national security advisor, the week before, the
- 17:26Speaker 1: Middle East region is quieter today than it has been
- 17:29Speaker 1: in two decades. Retired General Amir Avivi on September 5th.
- 17:33Speaker 1: Neither Hezbollah nor Hamas won the confrontation. On October 6th,
- 17:36Speaker 1: the day before, Cameron emailed a friend, give me some
- 17:41Speaker 1: three weeks more, as I predicted. It turned out to
- 17:44Speaker 1: be one day. It's not that nobody knew. They knew.
- 17:55Speaker 1: It's that they evaded that knowledge. Because knowing would have
- 18:00Speaker 1: required acting. Acting would have required admitting by the prime
- 18:07Speaker 1: minister himself. That 15 years of policy towards Gaza had
- 18:12Speaker 1: been a mistake. So it was easier to evade the
- 18:18Speaker 1: knowledge itself. The lesson here is not get better intelligence.
- 18:25Speaker 1: Israel has the best in the world. It proved it
- 18:28Speaker 1: in Lebanon and Iran just a few months later. No
- 18:33Speaker 1: amount of intelligence will protect you from a leadership that
- 18:37Speaker 1: has decided in advance what the enemy wants for pragmatic, pragmatic,
- 18:42Speaker 1: unprincipled reasons. It is pragmatism, evasion, Immorality that led the
- 18:55Speaker 1: Israeli leadership to allow this to happen. And as we'll see,
- 19:03Speaker 1: no consequences. Not to the political leadership. Oh, no. We
- 19:08Speaker 1: might be rewarding them with another four years in power.
- 19:15Speaker 1: Lesson number two. And this is a lesson I've been
- 19:19Speaker 1: talking about since 9-11. The enemy is an ideology, not
- 19:24Speaker 1: an organization. Israel defined the war as a war on Hamas,
- 19:30Speaker 1: at least in the beginning. This was America's mistake after 9-11.
- 19:34Speaker 1: It's Al-Qaeda. Then it became terror. Then anything but an ideology.
- 19:38Speaker 1: But Hamas is one franchise. Islamic totalitarianism. The world under
- 19:44Speaker 1: Sharia by force. That is the enemy. Go on, Spooksman.
- 19:50Speaker 1: October 7th, the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, October 7th, is coming.
- 19:55Speaker 1: From the river to the sea is not a slogan
- 19:56Speaker 1: about borders. It's a statement of genocidal intent. The people
- 20:03Speaker 1: chanting it in London, New York, understand it better than
- 20:06Speaker 1: the And some on the right who pretend it's ambiguous.
- 20:14Speaker 1: There is an enemy. But that enemy is Hamas. It's Hezbollah.
- 20:21Speaker 1: It's the Houthis. It's Iraqi militias. It's Tehran. It's Iran.
- 20:25Speaker 1: It's the Muslim Brotherhood. It's Qatar and Turkey who are
- 20:31Speaker 1: the bankers and the diplomats. It all is together. cannot
- 20:37Speaker 1: be separated out and has to be dealt with and
- 20:40Speaker 1: thought of as one. Now, Israel, I think, has come
- 20:45Speaker 1: to this realization and to some extent always knew it. Again, evasion. Now,
- 20:53Speaker 1: this idea, this Islamist idea, Sharia domination of the world,
- 20:59Speaker 1: has a big constituency in the Muslim world. Among the Palestinians,
- 21:06Speaker 1: a majority voted for Hamas in 2006. They're not innocent.
- 21:12Speaker 1: Polls through 2025 to 2024-25, post-October 7th, show majorities on
- 21:20Speaker 1: the West Bank of Palestinians approving of October 7th. These
- 21:24Speaker 1: people are not innocent. Hamas manufactures that constituency, as does,
- 21:34Speaker 1: you know, the entire educational institutions under the Palestinians, they
- 21:40Speaker 1: recruit children as young as 12, and their educational institutions
- 21:47Speaker 1: are dedicated to teaching hatred, hatred of Jews, hatred of Israel.
- 21:56Speaker 1: I mean, and that is the nature of their culture,
- 22:02Speaker 1: the nature of this ideology. In 2005, when Israel left Gaza,
- 22:07Speaker 1: evacuated its own civilians from Gaza, evacuated the settlements that
- 22:12Speaker 1: it had left in Gaza, that it had built in Gaza,
- 22:15Speaker 1: they had left some greenhouses. Greenhouses. You'd think the Gazans
- 22:19Speaker 1: would embrace the greenhouses and use them to grow. No.
- 22:24Speaker 1: As soon as they left, Palestinians walked in and destroyed
- 22:28Speaker 1: them all because Jews had built them. Like it or not,
- 22:34Speaker 1: Palestinian culture, Palestinian culture has chosen death over life, destruction
- 22:42Speaker 1: over production. Now, this is not genetics. This is being
- 22:47Speaker 1: chosen and it can be unchosen. But to unchoose it,
- 22:54Speaker 1: to eject this culture of death, They have to be defeated,
- 23:02Speaker 1: and defeated badly enough for them to question the choices
- 23:06Speaker 1: they have made. See Germany, Japan in 1945. You can
- 23:12Speaker 1: kill Sinwa, Nasrallah, Chania, Khamenei, as Israel did, but as
- 23:18Speaker 1: long as the ideology is funded, taught, and sheltered. There's
- 23:24Speaker 1: another Sinwa. A peace board created by Trump But shared
- 23:31Speaker 1: by Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey is a joke. It's the
- 23:37Speaker 1: enemy's lawyers drafting the settlement. It's a compromise with an
- 23:43Speaker 1: ideology that wants to kill you. Lesson three. Defense is
- 23:55Speaker 1: not deterrence. Offense is not strategy. Wasn't a strategy in
- 24:02Speaker 1: the Yom Kippur War. Should not have been a strategy here.
- 24:05Speaker 1: For 15 years, Israel managed Gaza. Rockets? We have the
- 24:11Speaker 1: Iron Dome. Tunnels? We'll build a billion-dollar barrier. Tunnels into Israel. Army?
- 24:18Speaker 1: We'll mow the lawn. You know, whenever they pop up,
- 24:22Speaker 1: we'll trim it. Great technology. But the technology became an
- 24:27Speaker 1: excuse not to win. Not to destroy the enemy. Every
- 24:34Speaker 1: intercepted rocket was a rocket Hamas was allowed to build.
- 24:38Speaker 1: Every tunnel was dug with cement and cash Israel let through.
- 24:44Speaker 1: Much of it Qatari money that the PM personally approved.
- 24:54Speaker 1: I mean, the fact that you have a standing army
- 24:56Speaker 1: holding defensive positions and you need 48 hours to get
- 24:59Speaker 1: the reserves to come, which almost was disastrous on the
- 25:07Speaker 1: Yom Kippur War, and again here. I mean, this is
- 25:11Speaker 1: a country that its narrowest, with regards to the West Bank,
- 25:15Speaker 1: is nine miles wide. It's a country in which the villages,
- 25:21Speaker 1: the kibbutzim, are so close to Gaza, they could, you know,
- 25:25Speaker 1: the Gazans just walked over there. Yeah, they had senses.
- 25:32Speaker 1: Israel had senses. That fancy fence and the Palestinians just,
- 25:37Speaker 1: the Gazans, the Hamasniks just drove right through it. So,
- 25:50Speaker 1: you can't defend A small country like Israel. The only
- 25:56Speaker 1: way to defend. Is to take the initiative. It's to
- 26:02Speaker 1: destroy your enemy. It's to preempt any attack. It's to
- 26:08Speaker 1: take intelligence seriously. It's not like America has done. Bill,
- 26:15Speaker 1: you know, spend trillions on Homeland Security and airport theater.
- 26:20Speaker 1: To road. your own people's freedoms. It's to take the war,
- 26:27Speaker 1: to take the battle, to take the struggle to the enemy.
- 26:31Speaker 1: Destroy them where they live. And create barriers. This is
- 26:39Speaker 1: why Israel probably for now needs to be in Lebanon,
- 26:43Speaker 1: needs to be in Syria, needs to be in Gaza.
- 26:48Speaker 1: You can't allow the enemy to be as close as
- 26:50Speaker 1: it was. Walls can be blown up and driven right through.
- 27:02Speaker 1: Lesson number four. The goal of war is victory, not proportionality.
- 27:10Speaker 1: Before October 7th, just war theory was gospel in the IDF. Walter,
- 27:16Speaker 1: the author of the most important book about just war theory,
- 27:20Speaker 1: was taught at West Point and probably taught in Israel.
- 27:24Speaker 1: The result, an enemy who hides behind its own children
- 27:28Speaker 1: is rewarded with impunity, immunity, immunity. Roughly a quarter to
- 27:34Speaker 1: a third of Israeli soldiers killed in Gaza died from
- 27:37Speaker 1: friendly fire. Much of it from rules of engagement designed
- 27:43Speaker 1: to protect the enemy's population at the expense of Israel's soldiers. Now,
- 27:54Speaker 1: after October 7th, something broke and it was the right thing.
- 27:58Speaker 1: Hamas's leadership, Hezbollah's entire command in an afternoon of pages
- 28:02Speaker 1: in 2026, Iran's political, religious, military leadership in one day
- 28:08Speaker 1: at home with their families present, all killed, not proportional,
- 28:13Speaker 1: shouldn't have been proportional. The point of the war is
- 28:17Speaker 1: not to march. It's not to match the enemy's capabilities.
- 28:22Speaker 1: It's to destroy them. Destroy them. To use whatever means
- 28:28Speaker 1: you have to win the war. And to make sure
- 28:34Speaker 1: that the enemy is no longer a threat to you.
- 28:40Speaker 1: You know, they keep coming at Israel with a genocide charge,
- 28:44Speaker 1: which they know nothing about. They have no understanding of.
- 28:49Speaker 1: It's just... A blood libel. A genocide when you have
- 28:56Speaker 1: wartime births that exceed deaths. You have polio vaccinations of children.
- 29:01Speaker 1: You have food convoys and humanitarian pauses. This is just
- 29:07Speaker 1: a weapon to smear Israel. And of course, the hardest
- 29:20Speaker 1: part of all of this at least early on, was
- 29:23Speaker 1: the fact that to win, to really win, which Israel
- 29:28Speaker 1: did not do, Israel had to disregard the hostages that
- 29:33Speaker 1: were being held. And that's a hard task. But the
- 29:41Speaker 1: reality is, the fact is, the fact that we all know,
- 29:46Speaker 1: even if it's hard to admit, is that every negotiation
- 29:52Speaker 1: legitimizes Hamas. Every exchange of hundreds of murderers for a
- 29:57Speaker 1: handful of hostages taught the next generation that kidnapping works.
- 30:03Speaker 1: A government's first duty is to the millions who will
- 30:07Speaker 1: be threatened by the next October 7th. Not to the
- 30:11Speaker 1: hundreds held by this one, although every effort to free
- 30:14Speaker 1: them should have been made, short of negotiating with monsters.
- 30:20Speaker 1: It's tragic. It's tragic. But it's reality. And, of course,
- 30:28Speaker 1: now Hamas has no hostages. And still victory eludes Israel.
- 30:35Speaker 1: Thanks to the United States. Lesson number five. The West's
- 30:42Speaker 1: reaction to October 7th revealed hatred of the good for
- 30:49Speaker 1: being the good. I mean, the real shock after October
- 30:53Speaker 1: 7th wasn't what happened in Israel. I mean, it was
- 31:01Speaker 1: shocking enough, but it wasn't surprising given the nature of
- 31:09Speaker 1: Hamas and Palestinian culture and the nature of pogroms. The
- 31:16Speaker 1: real shock was Sydney and London and Paris and Harvard,
- 31:23Speaker 1: Columbia and Cornell. Before Israel fired a shot already on
- 31:29Speaker 1: October 8th, crowds in Sydney chanting for Jews to burn.
- 31:37Speaker 1: Same day, 34 Harvard student groups, student groups, not students,
- 31:41Speaker 1: student groups. Israel is entirely responsible. Tenured professors were exhilarated
- 31:52Speaker 1: by what they saw on October 7th. Within weeks, the
- 31:56Speaker 1: biggest campus movement in a generation, not to mourn the
- 32:01Speaker 1: dead or free the hostages, but to blame Israel for
- 32:07Speaker 1: whatever deaths occurred and to stop them from defending themselves.
- 32:15Speaker 1: And that's been institutionalized, completely institutionalized now. I mean, it's quiet.
- 32:20Speaker 1: There are no demonstrations in campuses because it's now embedded
- 32:24Speaker 1: at the institution. You know, the attempts to document anti-Semitism
- 32:33Speaker 1: at MIT, resisted by the institution. Britain's Green Party, a
- 32:38Speaker 1: major political party in Great Britain, adopts Zionism as racism.
- 32:42Speaker 1: Nobody says a word. Support for Israel now is a
- 32:47Speaker 1: litmus test in both political parties. This was never about Palestinians.
- 33:02Speaker 1: They don't care about Palestinians, the demonstrators, the leftists on campuses.
- 33:06Speaker 1: One iota, they don't care about Palestinians. This is all
- 33:11Speaker 1: about the settler-canonian framework, the oppressor-oppressed intersectional victim rankings. It's
- 33:19Speaker 1: a dressed-up way of saying achievement is guilt, failure is virtue.
- 33:24Speaker 1: Israel builds, Gaza burns greenhouses. Deeks tunnels under hospitals. Israel, therefore,
- 33:30Speaker 1: is hated because it builds. Hatred of the good for
- 33:37Speaker 1: being the good. And it didn't stay on the left.
- 33:45Speaker 1: Tuck up platforming Holocaust revisionists. Defending Hitler, left and right.
- 33:52Speaker 1: Candace Owens. The America First crowd discovering Jews are the
- 33:57Speaker 1: reason for every, every American problem. Indeed, left and right
- 34:02Speaker 1: anti-Semitism now, they agree on more than they disagree. It's
- 34:11Speaker 1: a wholesale rejection of reason. The embrace of the tribe
- 34:15Speaker 1: over the individual and resentment of success. Israel is a
- 34:21Speaker 1: successful country. It is therefore resented and rejected. And the institutions,
- 34:34Speaker 1: the supposedly institutions that are supposed to provide us with
- 34:38Speaker 1: objective knowledge never thought they would. But think about the UN,
- 34:43Speaker 1: the ICC, the Red Cross, and then the New York Times,
- 34:48Speaker 1: rape dogs, blood libel. Timed exactly to bury the story
- 34:53Speaker 1: of sexual violence inflicted by Hamas, Palestinians. They showed themselves
- 35:01Speaker 1: for what they really are. Haters of Israel, haters of Jews.
- 35:08Speaker 1: And today, today, you know, on October 7th, you get
- 35:13Speaker 1: fresh examples in New York and London. We'll talk about
- 35:20Speaker 1: that in a few minutes. Lesson six. A free people
- 35:29Speaker 1: should hold its leaders accountable. After 1973, October 1973, the
- 35:38Speaker 1: Yom Kippur War, Golda Meir and Moshe Dayan resigned. Prime Minister,
- 35:42Speaker 1: Defense Secretary. There was a commission. And it held the
- 35:49Speaker 1: political class responsible. Political leadership. In 1977, Labor, the political
- 35:57Speaker 1: party that has governed Israel from its founding, never came
- 36:01Speaker 1: close to losing, lost. Failure has consequences, should have consequences.
- 36:12Speaker 1: After October 7th, the IDF chief, military intelligence chief, the
- 36:17Speaker 1: head of the Shin Bet, the head of the Gaza division,
- 36:20Speaker 1: all out, all left. Political leadership all stayed. 15 years
- 36:29Speaker 1: of buildup. Qatari suitcases filled with cash. Warning some Gulf
- 36:34Speaker 1: leaders and his own security chief. And three years of, oh,
- 36:41Speaker 1: none of it reached me. I didn't know. There was
- 36:44Speaker 1: no intelligence. It's all the army's fault. And at the
- 36:49Speaker 1: same time, blocking a state commission. Blaming the generals that
- 36:52Speaker 1: he appointed. And today, the Likud saying, yeah, he didn't know.
- 37:00Speaker 1: It wasn't him. I mean, today, in ceremonies in Israel,
- 37:11Speaker 1: bereaved families demanding responsibility. Yoram Yehudi, whose son was killed
- 37:22Speaker 1: at Nova Festival. There is no accountability. And that is
- 37:25Speaker 1: a basic requirement from the government. Inav Zanguke says, quote,
- 37:32Speaker 1: they're trying to make us forget what happened on October 7th.
- 37:35Speaker 1: We won't forget. We will demand the truth. Three years on,
- 37:41Speaker 1: no state inquiry, and the man in charge is running again.
- 37:49Speaker 1: And has a chance of winning. Now, I've got lots
- 37:55Speaker 1: of reasons to vote against Netanyahu in the coming elections.
- 37:59Speaker 1: Lots of them. Going back 20 years. More than 20 years.
- 38:04Speaker 1: It's not personal. But this is the number one reason.
- 38:11Speaker 1: He was in office. Not just during October 7th. But
- 38:16Speaker 1: in the decade and a half leading up to October 7th,
- 38:20Speaker 1: in the decade and a half that Hamas was preparing, arming, building,
- 38:24Speaker 1: creating the infrastructure for October 7th, he is responsible. The
- 38:30Speaker 1: very idea of voting for this man, given that history,
- 38:36Speaker 1: disgusts me to no end. Netanyahu is establishing a political
- 38:46Speaker 1: culture where a catastrophe under your watch carries no cost.
- 38:56Speaker 1: And that kind of culture, that kind of political culture
- 39:00Speaker 1: will only lead to more catastrophes. Now, granted, America was
- 39:09Speaker 1: the same. Nobody resigned after 9-11. Over 20 years of
- 39:13Speaker 1: altruistic nation-building and nobody, nobody, will resign over the failures
- 39:19Speaker 1: of Afghanistan, the failures of Iraq, the failures of nation building?
- 39:29Speaker 1: Will anybody resign over a ridiculous 2026 ceasefire that left
- 39:34Speaker 1: the Iranian regime standing? Would anybody resign over the shocks
- 39:40Speaker 1: to the oil market because of lack of planning? No.
- 39:45Speaker 1: We now live in countries, Israel and the United States,
- 39:49Speaker 1: Where there is no accountability. Our political leaders are immune
- 39:55Speaker 1: from it. And we, the voters, don't seem to care.
- 39:59Speaker 1: We don't seem to care. We evade. We ignore. We forget.
- 40:06Speaker 1: We pretend. All gone. All right. One more lesson and
- 40:17Speaker 1: then the deeper lesson. Lesson seven. Israel's dependence on Washington
- 40:24Speaker 1: is a strategic liability. The patent, consistent enough to write
- 40:31Speaker 1: into doctrine, the United States gives Israel a free hand
- 40:35Speaker 1: to almost win and then stops it. Gaza, munitions slow
- 40:41Speaker 1: walked by Biden. Corridors Hamas used to resupply. Creeded. by
- 40:50Speaker 1: America forcing Israel to provide them. Lebanon truths, a truce
- 40:55Speaker 1: even after Hezbollah leadership is eliminated and Israel's on the
- 40:58Speaker 1: brink of winning. Iran, leadership decapitated, but ceasefire in weeks.
- 41:05Speaker 1: Iran's own 10-point plan as the basis for negotiation. Vance
- 41:11Speaker 1: goes to Islamabad. Homo is left to Tehran. Vance today,
- 41:16Speaker 1: we'll talk about it, I think, Oh, we just want
- 41:19Speaker 1: them to stop enriching up to a certain level. It
- 41:22Speaker 1: used to be no enrichment at all. Iran's National Security
- 41:27Speaker 1: Council declared victory. You know, this is the pattern. If
- 41:31Speaker 1: we go back to Gaza, withdraw first, disarm later. Shouldn't
- 41:37Speaker 1: Hamas be disarmed by now? Never defined and completely unenforced.
- 41:43Speaker 1: Who's going to enforce Hamas disarmament? Hamas says it means
- 41:47Speaker 1: to give up rockets and keep rifles. There's no de-radicalization,
- 41:53Speaker 1: which is what is necessary in Gaza, without disarmament. And
- 41:58Speaker 1: no disarmament while Israel is not allowed to go in
- 42:04Speaker 1: and do the job. And indeed is told to leave first.
- 42:09Speaker 1: America is not the enemy. But America is not... And
- 42:15Speaker 1: it hasn't been guided by an American first, an American
- 42:19Speaker 1: self-interest for a very, very, very long time. Altruism under Democrats,
- 42:28Speaker 1: whim combined with altruism combined with craving for a deal
- 42:33Speaker 1: under Trump. Israel can't rely on that, shouldn't be able
- 42:38Speaker 1: to rely on that. It needs to find a way.
- 42:43Speaker 1: to establish strategic independence. Now, we'll see if it can
- 42:50Speaker 1: act alone, right? It can act alone, but can it
- 42:56Speaker 1: weaponize itself alone? Can it build the weapons it needs?
- 42:59Speaker 1: Can it get the ammunition alone? It needs to figure
- 43:03Speaker 1: that out. It needs to solve that problem. But of course,
- 43:07Speaker 1: there is a deeper lesson, and that is a philosophical lesson.
- 43:14Speaker 1: A collision between a culture of life and a culture
- 43:16Speaker 1: of death. And a culture of life took the hit.
- 43:23Speaker 1: Not because it's weaker. Because it stopped believing it had
- 43:28Speaker 1: the right to win. You can think of two philosophical causes.
- 43:34Speaker 1: You can probably find more. But two that strike me. Pragmatism.
- 43:40Speaker 1: Pragmatism cripples Israel's leaders. before October 7th, with no principles,
- 43:48Speaker 1: only situational awareness or whatever. A pragmatist looks at Hamas' character, sorry,
- 43:55Speaker 1: Hamas' charter, and sees rhetoric. At a Qatari suitcase full
- 44:02Speaker 1: of cash and sees potential for stability. At a fanatic
- 44:07Speaker 1: and sees a man who must deep down just want
- 44:10Speaker 1: a nice house. The concept was pragmatism. Pragmatism in action. Oh,
- 44:19Speaker 1: Hamas doesn't really mean their propaganda because pragmatists can't take
- 44:23Speaker 1: ideas seriously. They don't take other people's philosophy seriously because
- 44:27Speaker 1: they don't take their own. There is none. A nation
- 44:34Speaker 1: run by pragmatists is always going to be surprised by
- 44:38Speaker 1: somebody else's willingness to actually die for a cause. It's
- 44:42Speaker 1: the stormed itself. It's a stormed itself on the one
- 44:45Speaker 1: tool that it can use to predict the future. Reason.
- 44:51Speaker 1: Long-term thinking. Principles. The willingness to believe what people say.
- 44:59Speaker 1: And then monitor and judge what they actually do. Pragmatism
- 45:08Speaker 1: is an evil ideology that leads to death and destruction.
- 45:15Speaker 1: And of course, it is combined with the altruism that
- 45:18Speaker 1: has just crippled the West. Altruism is not kindness, as
- 45:23Speaker 1: you know. It's the doctrine of self-sacrifice, the placing of
- 45:27Speaker 1: other people's well-being above your own. The demand that you
- 45:32Speaker 1: sacrifice your values, your life, your happiness, your success, your life.
- 45:39Speaker 1: for the sake of your enemies. That is the standard
- 45:43Speaker 1: of our morality. Just war theory is just altruism applied
- 45:47Speaker 1: to combat. Oppressed is altruism applied to sociology, to the
- 45:55Speaker 1: state of society. I mean, American foreign policy, it can
- 46:03Speaker 1: only justify war as a sacrifice for Afghans or the regions.
- 46:08Speaker 1: never to eliminate a threat to Americans. You know, the
- 46:14Speaker 1: United States has aircraft carriers, F-35s, B-2s, but it's hampered
- 46:22Speaker 1: in using them by a code of ethics that says
- 46:26Speaker 1: you can't be too self-assertive. You have to do it
- 46:32Speaker 1: for their sake. I mean, victory is the one outcome.
- 46:38Speaker 1: That is not a sacrifice. And therefore it's the one outcome.
- 46:42Speaker 1: That is banned. And therefore it's the one outcome. That
- 46:45Speaker 1: is impossible to America. And has been impossible for America.
- 46:48Speaker 1: Since World War II. And. When you really take this
- 46:57Speaker 1: altruism seriously. When self-sacrifice. And the oppressor oppressed. And anti-colonialism.
- 47:04Speaker 1: And seeing. Successful. the success be literally sacrificed in blood
- 47:11Speaker 1: in front of you, it becomes nihilism very quickly. I mean,
- 47:14Speaker 1: that exhilarated professor, those students celebrating October 7th, those demonstrators
- 47:19Speaker 1: today in London and New York celebrating October 7th, that's
- 47:23Speaker 1: pure hatred. That's pure desire for destruction. So the ultimate
- 47:34Speaker 1: lesson is we need a new philosophy. Why didn't Israel
- 47:40Speaker 1: act before October 7th? Altruism and pragmatism. What we need
- 47:48Speaker 1: is a philosophy, a reason, rational self-interest applied to the nation.
- 47:55Speaker 1: We need to take seriously the job of the government
- 47:58Speaker 1: to protect individual rights. The right to life of its
- 48:01Speaker 1: own citizens. That to be its only priority. And the
- 48:08Speaker 1: confidences say we are right, they are wrong, and we
- 48:12Speaker 1: will fight for our own lives and liberty. Now, Israel's
- 48:18Speaker 1: showed glimpses of this in Lebanon and in Iran. It's
- 48:23Speaker 1: recently dropped some of the apologies and embraced some moral
- 48:29Speaker 1: clarity and engaged an overwhelming force. Will that last? Will
- 48:39Speaker 1: its new philosophy of preemption sustain itself? We will see.
- 48:52Speaker 1: The West needs pride in itself, confidence in itself, the
- 48:56Speaker 1: willingness to fight, not to sacrifice, to fight for itself.
- 49:07Speaker 1: Without that, Cannot win. Cannot achieve much. And to move
- 49:17Speaker 1: on to today's kind of news. beyond October 7th, or
- 49:23Speaker 1: maybe not beyond October 7th, to today, the mayor of
- 49:28Speaker 1: New York, greatest city in the world, the mayor of
- 49:33Speaker 1: New York, Zoran Mamdani, put out a statement commemorating 9-11. And,
- 49:38Speaker 1: you know, He acknowledged in the statement that Hamas killed
- 49:44Speaker 1: more than 1,100 Israelis and abducted 251 others. But then,
- 49:50Speaker 1: he turns to the Israeli government's devastating ongoing genocide, genocide,
- 49:55Speaker 1: he uses that term, in Gaza, in which it has
- 49:59Speaker 1: killed more than 74,000 Palestinians, including more than 21,000 children. Thus,
- 50:06Speaker 1: Mamdani being a complete tool Of Hamas propaganda. And misinformation.
- 50:15Speaker 1: He continues quote. Occupation and apartheid continue. Where war crimes
- 50:20Speaker 1: are met with impunity. And again he quote. Our tax
- 50:26Speaker 1: dollars fund these war crimes. So on October 7th. On
- 50:31Speaker 1: October 7th. Of all the days of the year. Mamdani
- 50:35Speaker 1: chooses to attack Israel. to spread blood libel, to spread lies,
- 50:43Speaker 1: to pile on on the false, absurd, ridiculous accusations of genocide,
- 50:50Speaker 1: which have disproven over and over and over again. Indeed,
- 50:54Speaker 1: the part blaming Israel is longer than the part about
- 50:57Speaker 1: the massacre of Hamas. Mayor of New York City, You
- 51:07Speaker 1: guys voted for him. Some of you. Anyway, somebody out
- 51:10Speaker 1: there voted for him. Maybe not anybody who listens to
- 51:12Speaker 1: this show. Americans voted for this guy. Today, it's also
- 51:22Speaker 1: true that Hamas and Iran marked the anniversary as a celebration. Now,
- 51:31Speaker 1: there was a letter published today, I guess by a Jinsa,
- 51:36Speaker 1: What does GINSA stand for? Let me just, let me just,
- 51:39Speaker 1: I don't remember what it just stands for. GINSA, the
- 51:47Speaker 1: Jewish Institute for National Security of America, right? Open letter,
- 51:52Speaker 1: 75 plus retired U.S. military leaders, legal experts, rejecting the
- 51:59Speaker 1: genocide claim. There were 13 generals, 27 lieutenant generals, 19
- 52:05Speaker 1: major generals, five brigadier generals, all saying this is no genocide. Indeed,
- 52:11Speaker 1: Israel fought in Gaza to a large extent by the
- 52:19Speaker 1: rules of just war theory, sadly, in my view, sadly,
- 52:22Speaker 1: not in their view. Quote, the precedent established today regarding
- 52:27Speaker 1: Israel will shape the conditions under which American forces fight tomorrow.
- 52:33Speaker 1: Israel fought about as clean by just war theory standards
- 52:40Speaker 1: as you can. But the haters don't care. The haters
- 52:47Speaker 1: don't care. Genocide where the population has actually increased. The
- 52:52Speaker 1: population in Gaza has actually increased during this war. More people.
- 52:57Speaker 1: And Israel having the capabilities to basically eradicate the population completely. Hasn't.
- 53:06Speaker 1: In the meantime, in London, a pro-Palestinian march went ahead
- 53:10Speaker 1: in central London on October 7th. Now, the police asked
- 53:19Speaker 1: organizers to move to another day, but people still showed up.
- 53:23Speaker 1: Chants like Zionists not welcome here, from the river to
- 53:26Speaker 1: the sea, some scuffles, five people arrested outside the Board
- 53:31Speaker 1: of Deputies building for inciting racial hatred. calling for an intifada.
- 53:41Speaker 1: I mean, remember, just not that long ago, two Jewish
- 53:44Speaker 1: men were killed at a Heaton Park synagogue on Yom
- 53:47Speaker 1: Kippur last year. Two stabbed in Golden's Green in April.
- 53:52Speaker 1: Terror charges last year over a plot against Manchester Jews. Again,
- 53:56Speaker 1: the Greens voting days ago to equate Zionism with racism. So, yeah,
- 54:05Speaker 1: Britain has a problem Britain has a problem. Now, I
- 54:09Speaker 1: don't think the demonstrations in London were big this time because, again,
- 54:14Speaker 1: the police asked them to move it to a different date.
- 54:17Speaker 1: But the very fact that they were allowed or that
- 54:20Speaker 1: anybody felt compelled to go march on October 7th. I mean,
- 54:31Speaker 1: here's the reality. On the anniversary of from the mayor
- 54:37Speaker 1: of the city with the most Jews outside of Israel.
- 54:42Speaker 1: He mourns the dead Jews in one paragraph and indicts
- 54:47Speaker 1: the living ones in three paragraphs. That's the pattern. Jews
- 54:52Speaker 1: and Israelis are sympathetic as victims. Criminals as victors. Victors,
- 55:00Speaker 1: you're strong. Victims, yeah, altruism. Okay, we don't like victims. Genocide?
- 55:08Speaker 1: Was 74,000 dead in a war Hamas started? 74,000? How
- 55:15Speaker 1: many of those are combatants? Nobody tells you. How many
- 55:19Speaker 1: of 21,000 they say are children? How many of those
- 55:22Speaker 1: children had weapons on them? How many of those children
- 55:25Speaker 1: are over 12 and were in combat roles under Hamas?
- 55:29Speaker 1: No answer. How many children born during this period? More
- 55:34Speaker 1: than 74,000. How many of the 74,000 are natural deaths?
- 55:39Speaker 1: No answer. Genocide? Talk about, you know, Orwellian doublespeak. I mean,
- 55:48Speaker 1: Israel ran vaccination campaigns and let in food convoys. Now,
- 55:53Speaker 1: I'm against all that. But they did. That's a fact.
- 56:06Speaker 1: If fighting an enemy who hides among civilians is genocide,
- 56:10Speaker 1: then no free nation can ever defend itself. Because the
- 56:16Speaker 1: bad guys will always hide behind civilians. They'll know that's
- 56:21Speaker 1: your weakness, and they'll use it, and they'll exploit it. So, yeah,
- 56:35Speaker 1: it's a pretty... It's a pretty crazy world we live
- 56:38Speaker 1: out there where this is just accepted. And, you know,
- 56:46Speaker 1: on top of that, you know, we get an interview
- 56:50Speaker 1: with J.D. Vance saying that Iran must make a meaningful
- 56:57Speaker 1: cut in enrichment capacity to end the war. Meaningful. Undefined.
- 57:03Speaker 1: What the hell does that mean? It used to be
- 57:07Speaker 1: they need to stop enriching. They need to give up
- 57:10Speaker 1: the centrifuges. Not anymore. Not anymore. Trump is desperate. So
- 57:15Speaker 1: now it's meaningful cut. So the lesson learned from the
- 57:20Speaker 1: last few years is, yeah, let's keep the Iranians going.
- 57:25Speaker 1: No regime change. No stopping funding terrorism around the world,
- 57:29Speaker 1: which were the war games to stop them. No stopping
- 57:32Speaker 1: building missiles around but not even taking away the capabilities
- 57:37Speaker 1: of building a nuclear weapon. No, we're going to leave
- 57:39Speaker 1: them with all that. And, you know, the Congressional Research
- 57:49Speaker 1: Services Office today, or yesterday, I think, also released this information,
- 57:54Speaker 1: like 81 USA craft lost or damaged since the war began. Eighty-one. Now,
- 58:01Speaker 1: 24 are drones, MQ-9 Reapers that were shot down. But
- 58:08Speaker 1: most of those airplanes are destroyed on the ground. Why?
- 58:14Speaker 1: Because we won't frigging win the war. Because we didn't
- 58:18Speaker 1: plan for what? For ballistic missiles and drones from Iran?
- 58:24Speaker 1: Zero reason for U.S. aircraft to be lost. How many
- 58:26Speaker 1: Israeli aircraft have been lost over Iran? Which is, how
- 58:31Speaker 1: many hundreds, thousands of kilometers away from Israel. None. Zero. Zilch.
- 58:43Speaker 1: The IRGC is back to threatening to block the southern
- 58:47Speaker 1: transit routes through the Hormuz Canal, even though through the
- 58:51Speaker 1: Hormuz Strait, even though it looks like at least oil
- 58:55Speaker 1: and LNG is coming out of the Persian Gulf almost
- 58:59Speaker 1: in quantities from before the war. but Iran is still threatening.
- 59:08Speaker 1: You know, it's, you just, just not going to, it's
- 59:11Speaker 1: not going to end it. They don't want to end it.
- 59:16Speaker 1: They don't want to win this war. Ken Paxton, who's
- 59:31Speaker 1: running in Texas and might lose Texas to a Democrat,
- 59:36Speaker 1: there's an audio out where he's saying at a Washington fundraiser,
- 59:40Speaker 1: it's the war, it's gas prices, it's diesel. That's our
- 59:46Speaker 1: biggest problem. It's affordability. And then he says, it's not tariffs.
- 59:52Speaker 1: Talk about evasion. Isn't tariffs the main reason that affordability
- 59:58Speaker 1: is unaffordable? That didn't make sense. But you know what
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: I mean. Yeah. I mean, more and more and more
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: Republicans are distancing themselves from Trump. Imagine if Trump had
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: won the war and he won. I don't know, four
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: months ago, five months ago? Republicans would be winning. So
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: we got a war seven months in. that shrunk from
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: regime change, or at least no proxies, no missiles, no nuclear,
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: to a meaningful cut in enrichment. And the timetable dictating
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: Trump's behavior and the administration's behavior, elections, will escalate it
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: after the midterms. Was this a war run for political convenience?
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: This is how you defend Americans? If this is a
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: war of self-defense, we're told. And think of the cost
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: of the damage of the prestige of, yeah. And then
- 1:01:13Speaker 1: you've got diesel, right? Remember diesel? Diesel prices are up
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: and everybody's panicking because diesel is so expensive. Well, it
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: turns out, according to Bloomberg, Bloomberg did a deep dive
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: into diesel prices. And what they found is that over
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: the last couple of months, cargoes of American fuel, diesel,
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: and crude to parts of the USA, to parts of
- 1:01:41Speaker 1: the country that need them, have dropped significantly. Guess when?
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: Since when? Since the White House pared down its Jones
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: Act waiver. Remember, originally Trump waived the Jones Act, and
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: then they said, We're only partially waiving the Jones Act.
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: You're going to have to have permissions and all kinds
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: of other restrictions. Since they shrunk it, the waiver, oil
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: shipments and diesel shipments have gone down, which has led
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: to higher pump prices and frustrated oil traders. I mean,
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: who's the constituency out there defending the Jones Act? How
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: can they be this stupid? How can this administration be
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: this dumb? Because I can't think of anything else that
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: it could be other than dumb. I mean, remember the
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: Jones Act requires any shipment between the U.S. ports to
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: go on a U.S.-built, U.S.-flagged, U.S.-crewed ship. In March, with
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: the Iran war, The White House issued a blanket waiver
- 1:03:01Speaker 1: so anybody could transport, any foreign tankers could transport anything
- 1:03:05Speaker 1: from the Gulf to the East and West Coast. Then,
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: out of nowhere, really, in mid-August, I guess after pressure
- 1:03:14Speaker 1: from shipbuilding interests and their allies in Washington, how big
- 1:03:18Speaker 1: are shipbuilding interests in the United States? I mean, shipbuilding
- 1:03:21Speaker 1: is almost non-existent in the United States. The blanket waiver
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: became case by case. Since August 17th, a shipper must
- 1:03:30Speaker 1: ask permission. The entity that gives permission has the Survey
- 1:03:36Speaker 1: Jones Act owners. They get 24 hours to claim they
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: could do the job, and the Pentagon decides. It's slow,
- 1:03:45Speaker 1: frequent denials, and some companies just stop applying. So 280
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: plus foreign flagged energy voyages between mid-March and mid-August under
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: the blanket waiver. Nine since August 17th. What? Nine. Gulf
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: to coast shipment down more than 500,000 barrels a day.
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: Back to pre-war levels. September was the fewest seasonal fuel
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: and oil arrivals on the West Coast since 2020. New
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: York and Louisiana arrived Supply is tightening. And the waiver
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: expires again in November 15th. The White House says the
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: waivers have allowed significantly more supply with safeguards for the
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: maritime industry. Really? Crippling America. I mean, crippling their own
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: chance at the ballot box. For what? For maritime industry
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: that doesn't really exist? How do you even start with
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: this administration? I don't know. All right, finally, let's talk
- 1:05:02Speaker 1: about bond vigilantes, right? I know you guys love it
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: when I talk about bond vigilantes. Bond vigilantes day two.
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: So yesterday, bond prices went above 5.35 for the first
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: time in 24 years. But then the U.S. had a
- 1:05:18Speaker 1: big auction today of 10-year bonds that they sold. And
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: the expectation was they would go for 5.35 or maybe
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: even higher. It turned out demand was actually pretty aggressive.
- 1:05:34Speaker 1: And a lot of people wanted American government bonds at 5.3.
- 1:05:41Speaker 1: So the price that these bonds sold was 5.3, still
- 1:05:45Speaker 1: way higher than what it was just a few weeks ago.
- 1:05:50Speaker 1: And bonds at 5.27. I haven't checked this afternoon what
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: they're trading at. But let's just see what they are
- 1:06:02Speaker 1: right now. Stocks are all down. 5.28. All right, so
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: just under 5.3. Yeah, stocks are down a lot today.
- 1:06:11Speaker 1: At least the Russell 2000 is down a lot. The
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: S & P 500 is down a little bit. Because,
- 1:06:17Speaker 1: I mean, the whole thing, the S & P 500
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: is now basically three stocks. Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft dominate
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: that index. But, you know, again, debt is past $ 40 trillion. So,
- 1:06:34Speaker 1: interest rate is way high. According to the IMF, speaking
- 1:06:42Speaker 1: in Singapore, je... Zheva, that's Georgieva, name of the person.
- 1:06:49Speaker 1: Global debt to GDP is the highest since World War II.
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: It's heading towards 100%. You know, high debt advanced economies,
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: he says, need to adopt credible medium-term plans to cut deficits.
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: No advanced economy that I know of is doing that.
- 1:07:09Speaker 1: Central banks, he says, need to keep a prudently hawkish bias.
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: We'll see. And he's worried, of course, that AI models
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: are going to run amok for whatever that's worth. In Paris,
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: in the meantime, you know, yesterday we had massive demonstrations.
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: Today we had problems at the Central Bank. Bank of
- 1:07:36Speaker 1: France Governor Emmanuel Moulin rejected Le Pen and Melchon's demands
- 1:07:41Speaker 1: that the European Central Bank buy or cancel French debt.
- 1:07:45Speaker 1: The ECB's job is inflation. Near 2%. That's it. Not
- 1:07:51Speaker 1: fixing countries' physical problems. Good for the banker, you know,
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: the governor of the Bank of France. Good for him.
- 1:08:05Speaker 1: He said, you know, the day before, Melchon, the far-left
- 1:08:13Speaker 1: candidate for the presidency of France, Melchon was threatening. that
- 1:08:18Speaker 1: if he won, he would prosecute the governor of the
- 1:08:22Speaker 1: Bank of France for treason. People are nuts. French debt
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: is just getting more expensive. The 10-year is at 4.91%.
- 1:08:40Speaker 1: European bank stocks are the lowest since July. You know,
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: we will see. We will see. They're Finance Minister France
- 1:08:50Speaker 1: told the Wall Street Journal this afternoon that he is
- 1:08:54Speaker 1: considering issuing more short-term debt because backers are walking away.
- 1:09:00Speaker 1: from long-term debt. Remind you of something? Wasn't that what
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: Besant was trying to do? And since Besant did that,
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: he said, at least you short-term debt, now buy long-term debt.
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: Since then, interest rates have only gone up, not down, up.
- 1:09:20Speaker 1: They don't learn these people. They really don't know. Yeah,
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: I mean, this is straight out of the shell game.
- 1:09:31Speaker 1: You know, let's shift the debt around. Let's pretend. Let's
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: play the bond market. Bond market is not stupid. Bond
- 1:09:38Speaker 1: market is not stupid. Let's see. Let me quickly go
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: through this, see if there's anything else I want to
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: talk about. We talked about that yesterday. We talked about that. Oh, yeah,
- 1:09:54Speaker 1: a few stories on the achievement side. We don't want
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: to forget those, right? You guys like the achievement section.
- 1:10:01Speaker 1: If you do, do a sticker right now to show
- 1:10:04Speaker 1: your support for the achievement section of the Iran Book Show.
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: Over the weekend, at the Aging Research and Drug Discovery
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: Conference in Boston, Nova Nodisc and Eli Lilly each presented data.
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: It's pretty amazing. The third GOP1 drugs, GOP1, we've talked
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: about GOP1 drugs before. The third GOP1 drug, slow biological
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: aging as measured by molecular clocks. According to Novo, blood
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: from 10,052 people, half on semaglutide which is a zeptic regovi.
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: Half on a placebo was drawn, and then their molecular
- 1:10:58Speaker 1: clocks were estimated at baseline, and then months later, these
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: are proteomic clocks that estimate age and mortality risk from
- 1:11:09Speaker 1: blood proteins. The result, the proteins on the drug came
- 1:11:14Speaker 1: out roughly two to three years biologically younger than the placebos.
- 1:11:21Speaker 1: On a hot protein clock, they were as much as
- 1:11:25Speaker 1: four years younger. I guess a professor from Harvard did
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: these measurements. Eli Lilly had a smaller study. And they
- 1:11:37Speaker 1: used an epigenetic clock. These are DNA changes. And they
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: were testing it for triazeptide. This is Monjaro and Zepbound.
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: Molecular time, they said, for the most part, moved more slowly.
- 1:11:56Speaker 1: Lily's Kevin Duffin says, quote, it's not like we're going
- 1:11:59Speaker 1: to reverse age by 30 years or something, but you
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: age slower, supposedly. Stephen Hova, who was from UCLA, who
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: invented aging clocks, says a two-year effect is a pretty
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: strong effect, enough to call the drugs juroprotectors. Now, there
- 1:12:20Speaker 1: are lots of caveats here. These are company readouts. It's
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: unclear whether the clocks are reliable biomarkers. The subjects were
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: overweight or diabetic. So would this happen in a healthy population?
- 1:12:35Speaker 1: Nobody knows. One of the side effects of these drugs
- 1:12:39Speaker 1: is muscle loss, although you can combat that. Muscle loss
- 1:12:44Speaker 1: is associated with dying sooner rather than later. So hard
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: to tell, but there is some money being put into
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: a Texas trial of semaglutide in healthy over 60s. So
- 1:13:00Speaker 1: in a year or two, we'll know. But the evidence
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: keeps mounting. The GOP1 are, for lack of an alternative word,
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: miracle drugs. They're just pretty amazing. And it might soon
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: be the case that it will be advised that everybody
- 1:13:23Speaker 1: take them. Now, you know, these drugs are incredibly profitable
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: for these companies, but they are doing amazing work. Amazing work.
- 1:13:39Speaker 1: These are the most profitable drugs on earth. They might
- 1:13:42Speaker 1: be anti-aging drugs, or at least Slowing aging drugs. You know,
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: while they were developed for diabetes originally and then for aging.
- 1:13:55Speaker 1: I think I went through the story of GOP1s and
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: how they were discovered from the venom of a... I
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: don't know if I've done that whole... I should do that.
- 1:14:03Speaker 1: We should do the whole GOP1 where it comes from.
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: The venom of a lizard, right? And they have all
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: these benefits. All these benefits beyond... Weight loss, they improve
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: the health of your heart. They reduce all these diseases.
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: Not just because you lose weight, but even when controlling
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: for the weight loss. Here's another one. This one is
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: very personal. Very personal, because this will hopefully affect me.
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: This is out of Stanford Medicine. Something called the limiflex.
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: The limiflex is a flexible spinal implant for degenerative spondylolisthesis. Whatever.
- 1:15:01Speaker 1: Where a vertebra slips and pinches the nerves. The standard
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: fix is fusion. Fusion means screws, rods, bone grafts. A
- 1:15:14Speaker 1: segment of your spine never moves again. I got fusion.
- 1:15:18Speaker 1: When was it? 2011? 2010? 2011? Now I'm confused. Around then, right?
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: I got L4 and L5 fused. They're stuck together. I
- 1:15:31Speaker 1: have no mobility in L4 and L5 because my disc
- 1:15:36Speaker 1: ruptured and there was nothing there. There was no way
- 1:15:40Speaker 1: to save it other than to fuse it Well, Lemiflex
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: is two small titanium springs joined by textile bands looped
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: around the bony knobs of the back of the vertebra.
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: It stops the slip, but lets you bend. Now, I
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: don't know if this would be applicable in my case,
- 1:16:09Speaker 1: but You can imagine, maybe not this, maybe something else,
- 1:16:16Speaker 1: but this is huge. Louis Fielding, a mechanical engineer in
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: Stanford's biodesign program, sketched it in 2004 with spine surgeon
- 1:16:28Speaker 1: Todd Alleman. Alleman's question was, to control stability, do you
- 1:16:34Speaker 1: really need to get rid of all the motion, which
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: is what fusion does. So they founded a company, Empirical Spine,
- 1:16:43Speaker 1: pretty cool name. They launched in Europe in 2011 with 2,000
- 1:16:47Speaker 1: plus patients. I guess they launched a trial. There was
- 1:16:53Speaker 1: a US pivotal trial of nearly 300 patients versus fusion.
- 1:16:57Speaker 1: So fusion was the placebo, if you will. They found
- 1:17:01Speaker 1: a no less effective, shorter operation. I believe that my
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: operation got nine hours, but mine was particularly complex because
- 1:17:09Speaker 1: they had to clean up all the scar tissue for
- 1:17:12Speaker 1: previous operations on my back. Nine hours, and then I
- 1:17:16Speaker 1: had to go back into surgery for another, I think, four.
- 1:17:21Speaker 1: So a shorter operation. Some patients home the same day. Wow.
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: I was in hospital for a week. Faster return to work.
- 1:17:33Speaker 1: FDA approved it in February 2026. First U.S. surgery at
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: Stanford on April 30th, 2026. So it took 22 years
- 1:17:41Speaker 1: from sketch to patient. According to Fielding, quote, it's like
- 1:17:47Speaker 1: your car suspension. It's going to be the same at 100,000
- 1:17:51Speaker 1: miles as it was at first. Allman says, it's great
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: to see these patients four or five days out of
- 1:17:54Speaker 1: surgery feeling fine. I am so jealous. I mean, next
- 1:18:10Speaker 1: time I need fusion, I'm going to these guys. I mean,
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: this is what innovation looks like. This is what innovation,
- 1:18:20Speaker 1: you know, an idea turned into a product looks like.
- 1:18:24Speaker 1: Good for them. That is amazing. That is amazing. That
- 1:18:28Speaker 1: is what human beings can do. That is what achievement
- 1:18:31Speaker 1: looks like. That's what progress looks like. That's what success,
- 1:18:36Speaker 1: that's what civilization looks like. We need maybe we need
- 1:18:43Speaker 1: first to defeat the savages so we can purely focus
- 1:18:47Speaker 1: savages within and without. So we can purely focus on
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: things like that. All right. That is the news for
- 1:19:00Speaker 1: this October 7th, 2026. It's a Wednesday. Thank you all
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: for being here. Um, Yeah, not easy to do a
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: show on October 7th. I don't think it'll ever be
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: easy again to do a show on October 7th. Let's see.
- 1:19:27Speaker 1: Why does that get stuck? Maybe it's because... All right,
- 1:19:35Speaker 1: there we go. All right, a reminder to support the show.
- 1:19:40Speaker 1: If you view these shows as values, if you view
- 1:19:43Speaker 1: what I did today as a value, if it benefits
- 1:19:48Speaker 1: your life in some way, you're listening, so it has
- 1:19:52Speaker 1: to be doing something. Please consider supporting the show. And
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- 1:20:01Speaker 1: it with a question. A question, of course, I get
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- 1:20:06Speaker 1: during the show, the latter part of the show. And
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- 1:20:12Speaker 1: is a way to just money without a question, but
- 1:20:15Speaker 1: just value for value. Trade with me. If you like, like,
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: I guess like is not the right word. If you
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- 1:20:42Speaker 1: Stephen and Alan and Roland for their stickers so far.
- 1:20:47Speaker 1: And Exit just did one. Thank you all for that.
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- 1:21:12Speaker 1: monthly supporter, monthly regular supporter. Incredibly valued, and yeah, it
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: would be great to get many more of you out there,
- 1:21:19Speaker 1: particularly those who are not live and who do not
- 1:21:22Speaker 1: do Super Chats and Stickers, to become regular monthly supporters.
- 1:21:27Speaker 1: That would be huge. Let's see. Yes, the Ironman Institute.
- 1:21:39Speaker 1: You know, there's an Ayn Rand app. Ayn Rand app.
- 1:21:43Speaker 1: You should download this app. The app has a bunch
- 1:21:47Speaker 1: of Leonard Peikoff courses, Ayn Rand lectures, articles. It is
- 1:21:53Speaker 1: a treasure trove of objectivist content, all available to you
- 1:21:58Speaker 1: on your phone, on your iPad. Just download the app
- 1:22:01Speaker 1: and you can search it. It's a really, I mean,
- 1:22:04Speaker 1: they've improved the app a lot. Those of you who
- 1:22:05Speaker 1: might have tried it, Years ago, it's much, much better today.
- 1:22:09Speaker 1: It's really cool looking. In addition, right now, there is
- 1:22:14Speaker 1: a course up there. I think it's 12 lectures. It's
- 1:22:20Speaker 1: about somewhere between 11 to 12 hours of lecture by
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: me and Don Watkins on the morality of capitalism, on
- 1:22:28Speaker 1: capitalism more broadly. So it's a 12-hour lecture, a 12-hour
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: course on capitalism that is available on the app, exclusively
- 1:22:35Speaker 1: on the app. So check out the app, uh, you know,
- 1:22:40Speaker 1: download it from the app store, Ayn Rand Institute app. And, uh, again,
- 1:22:46Speaker 1: the real treasures there are the, are the Leonard Peikoff
- 1:22:48Speaker 1: and the Ayn Rand material. But yeah, there's a, there's a,
- 1:22:51Speaker 1: there's this great capitalism course that I don't think enough
- 1:22:53Speaker 1: people know about. I don't think enough people have really
- 1:22:56Speaker 1: downloaded and watched. Uh, it's right there. Check it out
- 1:23:00Speaker 1: on the app. All right. Um, Alex Epstein, of course,
- 1:23:06Speaker 1: is the number one world expert on all things energy, electricity,
- 1:23:13Speaker 1: environmental regulations, and now data centers and the attempt to
- 1:23:19Speaker 1: ban data centers and to attack AI. So check him
- 1:23:23Speaker 1: out and support him. But more importantly, just read him.
- 1:23:28Speaker 1: Read him to arm yourself, to gain the ammunitions, to
- 1:23:33Speaker 1: be able to fight the statists out there because they're
- 1:23:38Speaker 1: overwhelming us, right? All right, finally, we do have targets
- 1:23:42Speaker 1: for this show. I know I keep reminding you, but
- 1:23:46Speaker 1: the last two days and today, we seem to be
- 1:23:51Speaker 1: not making our targets. We seem to be defaulting on
- 1:23:55Speaker 1: our targets. The target is $ 250 an hour, which I
- 1:23:59Speaker 1: think is reasonable given the time and effort it takes
- 1:24:01Speaker 1: to produce these shows. Uh, today we'll, we'll go for
- 1:24:05Speaker 1: two hours. It looks like so that the target is $ 500. Uh, and, uh,
- 1:24:10Speaker 1: we are, you know, we are short that. So, um,
- 1:24:14Speaker 1: come on over. If you're not on YouTube, you can
- 1:24:16Speaker 1: come on over to YouTube to, to support the show with,
- 1:24:19Speaker 1: with a sticker or with a, uh, uh, with a
- 1:24:23Speaker 1: super chat question. Uh, but please consider doing that particularly today, uh, and, uh,
- 1:24:30Speaker 1: making sure that we get to our $ 500 goal. So, um,
- 1:24:34Speaker 1: Jump on over, people, and show that you value what
- 1:24:40Speaker 1: is being produced here. All right. Let us go to
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: our Super Chat questions. Let us start with the couple
- 1:24:48Speaker 1: of $ 50 ones. Thank you, guys. We'll start with Shahzbad.
- 1:24:53Speaker 1: Shahzbad has a quote from us from the Terminator. Kyle
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: Reese in Terminator 1. It can't be bargained with. It
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: can't be reasoned with. It doesn't feel pity or remorse
- 1:25:08Speaker 1: or fear. And it absolutely will not stop ever until
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: you are dead. So, you know, he's talking about an
- 1:25:19Speaker 1: AI-driven robot, right? We're talking about an ideology that cannot
- 1:25:24Speaker 1: be reasoned with. Islamism. An ideology that does not feel
- 1:25:30Speaker 1: pity or remorse or fear. It doesn't. It doesn't allow
- 1:25:33Speaker 1: its people to feel any of that. And it's not
- 1:25:36Speaker 1: going to stop. And I would just change the ending
- 1:25:39Speaker 1: of the quote from Kyle Reese. It absolutely will not
- 1:25:44Speaker 1: stop ever until it, they, are dead. Until that ideology
- 1:25:53Speaker 1: has been completely crushed. Until nobody can think that they
- 1:25:57Speaker 1: have any chance ever of succeeding. That's what it's going
- 1:26:00Speaker 1: to require. Until that happens, it'll keep coming after us.
- 1:26:07Speaker 1: It'll keep trying to kill us and our children. It'll
- 1:26:10Speaker 1: keep trying to destroy the West. I don't think in
- 1:26:15Speaker 1: and of itself it can, but it'll keep trying. It
- 1:26:18Speaker 1: won't stop. It's like the Terminator, and we better learn
- 1:26:22Speaker 1: that lesson. Negotiating, compromising, only embolden it, strengthen it. The
- 1:26:32Speaker 1: only thing it understands is force, because it is force.
- 1:26:40Speaker 1: Molten Splendor. $ 50, thank you. Thank you for sharing lessons
- 1:26:46Speaker 1: not learned. Being a defender of reason and continuing to
- 1:26:50Speaker 1: explain the true motivations of all the religious zealots. Without
- 1:26:55Speaker 1: firing a shot, turn off the water, keeping those that
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: want them dead alive. Yeah, I mean, Throughout the war,
- 1:27:04Speaker 1: here's the ultimate in altruism, the ultimate in altruism. Throughout
- 1:27:10Speaker 1: the entire war and before the war, for the last,
- 1:27:14Speaker 1: you know, since 2005 when Israel left the Gaza Strip,
- 1:27:19Speaker 1: Israel has been providing the Gaza Strip. It's sworn enemies,
- 1:27:24Speaker 1: people committed to killing it, and who showed and expressed
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: that commitment on October 7th. And yet, even on October 8th,
- 1:27:31Speaker 1: Israel was supplying them. with water, electricity, cell phone, internet,
- 1:27:38Speaker 1: data coverage. And that was not turned off. It should
- 1:27:43Speaker 1: have been turned off immediately on October 7th. It's unthinkable
- 1:27:51Speaker 1: that you're supplying water to the people raping your daughters,
- 1:27:55Speaker 1: that you're supplying electricity to people killing babies. I mean,
- 1:28:03Speaker 1: talk about altruism. Oh, my God. It should make you
- 1:28:07Speaker 1: sick to your stomach. And these are the good guys
- 1:28:13Speaker 1: doing this. And imagine how the world would have been
- 1:28:17Speaker 1: apoplectic if Israel stopped providing water, electricity, food to the
- 1:28:21Speaker 1: Gaza Strip. Starved them from day one. Would have made
- 1:28:26Speaker 1: fighting them much easier. Mary Eileen. Netanyahu says he knew
- 1:28:38Speaker 1: of no October 7th warning. which is a lie. I agree.
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: The response should be, why didn't you know? It's your
- 1:28:46Speaker 1: job to know. Israel's intelligence is legendary. By the way,
- 1:28:51Speaker 1: Fauda's creed says they want him gone. Yeah, I mean,
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: I think most rational Israelis want him gone, but people
- 1:29:01Speaker 1: are so afraid. And he's been relatively tough since October 7th. So, yeah,
- 1:29:11Speaker 1: it's unexplainable to me. I mean, I don't know. I
- 1:29:13Speaker 1: think somebody wanted to debate me on Netanyahu. I can't
- 1:29:19Speaker 1: bring myself to even debate it. It's so obvious in
- 1:29:28Speaker 1: the idea of keeping him on so horrific. And people
- 1:29:32Speaker 1: say there's no alternative. There's nobody else. How do you know?
- 1:29:37Speaker 1: What Netanyahu has perfected over the last 20 or so
- 1:29:40Speaker 1: years is the ability to so dominate Israeli politics, particularly
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: on the right, that nobody else can arise. Nobody else
- 1:29:50Speaker 1: can rise up. Everybody who's tried to challenge him has
- 1:29:56Speaker 1: been destroyed. He needs to leave the political scene. At
- 1:30:01Speaker 1: some point he will, right? He's not a young man.
- 1:30:05Speaker 1: Sooner rather than later. And at that point, others will rise.
- 1:30:11Speaker 1: And then we can decide who's qualified and who's not.
- 1:30:14Speaker 1: As long as he's around, it's all about him. I mean,
- 1:30:17Speaker 1: the reality is, and I've talked about this many times,
- 1:30:20Speaker 1: the reality is that Israeli politics is overwhelmingly center-right. that
- 1:30:26Speaker 1: the four center-right political parties, or three center-right and one center,
- 1:30:31Speaker 1: called it, have a clear majority in the Knesset, in
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: the Israeli parliament, and could exclude the left, could exclude
- 1:30:41Speaker 1: the Arabs, could exclude the religionists, could exclude the religious fanatics,
- 1:30:47Speaker 1: the nationalists, and govern and do, you know, they could
- 1:30:51Speaker 1: liberate the economy and they could be tough politicians, But
- 1:30:57Speaker 1: they won't form a coalition because of Netanyahu. The other
- 1:31:03Speaker 1: political parties will not sit in a government with Netanyahu.
- 1:31:06Speaker 1: It's personality. It's not ideas. They all kind of agree
- 1:31:11Speaker 1: on the basic ideas. About 63 to 64 percent, 63
- 1:31:16Speaker 1: to 64 members out of 120, according to the polls,
- 1:31:21Speaker 1: basically all agree or basically center right. They're not that
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: different from the Likud, from Netanyahu's political party. And yet,
- 1:31:32Speaker 1: they can't form a coalition because of Netanyahu. Because he
- 1:31:36Speaker 1: is toxic. And he should be toxic. Because he is toxic.
- 1:31:42Speaker 1: All he has to do is step aside. And Israel
- 1:31:44Speaker 1: is immediately better off. Andrew, $ 50. Thank you, Andrew. Is
- 1:31:54Speaker 1: the Hamas-Palestinian culture pre-philosophical? Or do underlying ideas drive it?
- 1:32:00Speaker 1: It's not pro-life. But is it even advanced to be
- 1:32:06Speaker 1: systematically anti-life? Interestingly, it can't even clearly pass the threshold
- 1:32:11Speaker 1: choice under objectivism, life or death. It's dominated by ideas.
- 1:32:19Speaker 1: But what I meant called primitive or barbaric primitive ideas.
- 1:32:24Speaker 1: Because it's dominated by primitive philosophy or religion. Hamas and
- 1:32:29Speaker 1: much of Palestinian culture as it has evolved is dominated
- 1:32:34Speaker 1: by Islam and by a particular virulent form of Islam, Islamism,
- 1:32:42Speaker 1: world domination. But even the secular Muslims among the Palestinians
- 1:32:50Speaker 1: are inspired by emotion. They're inspired by hate, hate, hate
- 1:32:56Speaker 1: of Israel. And always have been. Yasser Arafat was no Islamist.
- 1:33:04Speaker 1: His ideology was nationalism and just hatred and power lust.
- 1:33:11Speaker 1: So the philosophy that guides them is some form of
- 1:33:14Speaker 1: combination of nationalism with religion. And You know, it is
- 1:33:27Speaker 1: a religion that elevates death. You get rewarded with death.
- 1:33:33Speaker 1: Most religions elevate death. Most religions celebrate death. I mean,
- 1:33:38Speaker 1: even Christianity says you're better off when you're dead. I
- 1:33:41Speaker 1: don't know why they don't all commit suicide, but you're
- 1:33:42Speaker 1: better off when you're dead. You know, you go to heaven.
- 1:33:45Speaker 1: I guess God doesn't want you to commit suicide because
- 1:33:48Speaker 1: he wants you to suffer on this earth because he
- 1:33:50Speaker 1: gets a kick out of your suffering. So they want
- 1:33:53Speaker 1: you to stay alive. The religion doesn't recognize the virtue
- 1:33:57Speaker 1: of suicide. But you're better off when you're dead. But
- 1:34:03Speaker 1: it's a culture that ultimately never really absorbed enlightenment. It's
- 1:34:11Speaker 1: like the culture of the dark ages in the West. Pre-philosophical.
- 1:34:19Speaker 1: Or at least pre the philosophy of reason. But it's
- 1:34:25Speaker 1: not like the Kantians, although the elements, the secular elements
- 1:34:30Speaker 1: are influenced by him, like the Germans were. The nationalism
- 1:34:34Speaker 1: is inspired somewhat by Kant and Hegel and stuff. But
- 1:34:38Speaker 1: the dominant, dominant in that world is Islam. Exploring Simons.
- 1:34:49Speaker 1: $ 50 sticker, thank you. Wes, $ 50 sticker, thank you, thank you, guys.
- 1:34:54Speaker 1: You guys, great help. We're now only $ 98, $ 98 away
- 1:34:59Speaker 1: from our goal. Not a lot of questions left, so
- 1:35:02Speaker 1: this is going to go by pretty quickly. But it
- 1:35:05Speaker 1: would be great if we could make our goal today.
- 1:35:07Speaker 1: That would be kind of cool. Exploring Simon, question. Premise,
- 1:35:15Speaker 1: tragedy experienced by political constituents. can be coercively used by
- 1:35:21Speaker 1: politicians to compel constituent dependency on the political system on politicians,
- 1:35:29Speaker 1: especially when commanding a monopoly of force thoughts. Yes, politicians
- 1:35:34Speaker 1: always command a monopoly of force, so it's not especially when.
- 1:35:37Speaker 1: It's always. That's what politicians do. They command a monopoly
- 1:35:40Speaker 1: on force. So, yes, they take advantage of fear. They
- 1:35:46Speaker 1: take advantage of tragedy. The Great Depression increases the power
- 1:35:50Speaker 1: of politicians. World War II increases the power of politicians. Any,
- 1:35:55Speaker 1: you know, I don't know, a sense among Americans that
- 1:35:59Speaker 1: things are not going well is exploited by politicians. Trump,
- 1:36:05Speaker 1: for example, particularly if you can find a way to
- 1:36:08Speaker 1: blame outsiders for it. So, yes, absolutely. Constant... angst, constant fear,
- 1:36:16Speaker 1: constant problems, and particularly big tragedies, are typically used by
- 1:36:21Speaker 1: politicians to expand their power, to grow their power. Now,
- 1:36:25Speaker 1: in Israel, it's not clear because in Israel, the security
- 1:36:31Speaker 1: kind of problems are so frequent that I think the
- 1:36:35Speaker 1: state has basically taken control over what it wants to
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: take control of. So I don't think there's an expansion
- 1:36:40Speaker 1: of political power since October 7th. Maybe, but I don't
- 1:36:48Speaker 1: think so. But certainly in the U.S., which does not
- 1:36:52Speaker 1: really face that many tragedies. But when it does, I mean,
- 1:36:55Speaker 1: think 9-11. And now we have the Department of Homeland Security.
- 1:36:58Speaker 1: We have ICE. We have secret courts, FISA courts. We
- 1:37:03Speaker 1: have the NSA spying on us. We have all kinds
- 1:37:05Speaker 1: of stuff. You know, the Patriot Act, which has never
- 1:37:09Speaker 1: been repealed. All kinds of stuff that violates our freedoms.
- 1:37:13Speaker 1: and increases the power politicians have over us. All right.
- 1:37:19Speaker 1: Exploring Simon premise to political groups, tribes can present themselves
- 1:37:24Speaker 1: publicly as antagonistic yet exchange in a tragedy by sacrificing liquidating, uh,
- 1:37:32Speaker 1: constituents targets from mutual political gain thoughts. Um, Sure. The
- 1:37:42Speaker 1: challenge with that is that you're attributing abilities to politicians
- 1:37:49Speaker 1: that I think they very rarely exhibit. You're attributing way
- 1:37:55Speaker 1: too much efficaciousness and efficiency on them. Their ability to
- 1:38:00Speaker 1: sacrifice or even liquidate constituents and coordinate all that for
- 1:38:06Speaker 1: mutual gain. It's just I can't think of examples, particularly
- 1:38:10Speaker 1: of liquidating In a free country where that exists. I mean,
- 1:38:16Speaker 1: Democrats and Republicans have a lot of shared interests in
- 1:38:20Speaker 1: the existence of the welfare state, in the existence of
- 1:38:22Speaker 1: the regulatory state. They don't have to really coordinate. And
- 1:38:28Speaker 1: I don't think they do much. particularly today. That would
- 1:38:33Speaker 1: require them to be able to step back from the
- 1:38:35Speaker 1: tribalism that they engage in on a regular basis. So
- 1:38:38Speaker 1: I don't know if you have particular examples of this one.
- 1:38:43Speaker 1: I'd be interested. But, you know, yes, they could. But
- 1:38:47Speaker 1: it's not clear that, for example, during the Great Depression,
- 1:38:50Speaker 1: Democrats and Republicans united to exploit or to liquidate anybody.
- 1:38:55Speaker 1: I'm trying to think of other circumstances where this would
- 1:38:59Speaker 1: play out. I don't know what those would be. Silvanus, $ 100.
- 1:39:07Speaker 1: Thank you, Silvanus. Really appreciate that. Hello, Yvonne. Thanks for
- 1:39:10Speaker 1: covering the horrible date. Do you consider the more conspiratorial
- 1:39:14Speaker 1: explanations for why Israel failed to defend the 7th credible
- 1:39:19Speaker 1: at all or pragmatism enough in your opinion? Oh yeah, no,
- 1:39:24Speaker 1: they're not credible at all. They're all ridiculous. They exhibit
- 1:39:30Speaker 1: no understanding of the way Israelis think, of the way
- 1:39:37Speaker 1: politics in Israel functions or works. Like most conspiracy theories,
- 1:39:45Speaker 1: like most conspiracy theories they they you know nobody on
- 1:39:53Speaker 1: the inside reveals them there's no real information about them
- 1:39:56Speaker 1: they're vague and amorphous and you know just announced that
- 1:40:02Speaker 1: they are these incentives and motivations but with no evidence
- 1:40:05Speaker 1: no proof no nothing to suggest it's true so no
- 1:40:10Speaker 1: Netanyahu didn't do this on purpose in order to be
- 1:40:13Speaker 1: able to take over Gaza and go after Hezbollah. He
- 1:40:16Speaker 1: didn't want to go after Hezbollah. He was avoiding that.
- 1:40:19Speaker 1: It was his defense secretary that urged him on, and
- 1:40:21Speaker 1: it was only when Hezbollah attacked Israel that they attacked Hezbollah.
- 1:40:27Speaker 1: It doesn't make any sense. It doesn't add up to anything.
- 1:40:30Speaker 1: None of those conspiracy theories do. Pragmatism, evasion, altruism, the
- 1:40:38Speaker 1: desire for no confrontation, The desire for peace, so you
- 1:40:48Speaker 1: believe there's peace, because alternative is too painful politically and personally,
- 1:40:57Speaker 1: that explains what happened. You don't have to go to
- 1:41:00Speaker 1: any kind of conspiracy to explain what happened. And again,
- 1:41:02Speaker 1: it's not like this is a one-off and it never
- 1:41:04Speaker 1: happened before. It happened in the Yom Kippur War. It
- 1:41:08Speaker 1: happened in 9-11. There are plenty of reasons to believe
- 1:41:11Speaker 1: 9-11 was going to, something like 9-11 was going to happen.
- 1:41:15Speaker 1: There were intelligence reports. There was the other terrorist attacks
- 1:41:19Speaker 1: that al-Qaeda engaged in. We could have taken out bin
- 1:41:22Speaker 1: Laden well before 9-11, but they didn't because they evaded,
- 1:41:25Speaker 1: because they're cowards, because they won't stand up, because they'd
- 1:41:28Speaker 1: rather pretend that it's all peaceful out there and everything's good. Okay,
- 1:41:36Speaker 1: so exploring Simon says war between two competing nations. Let
- 1:41:40Speaker 1: me see if that fits in. Two political groups, tribes,
- 1:41:43Speaker 1: can present themselves publicly as antagonistic, yet exchange in tragedy
- 1:41:48Speaker 1: by liquidating constituents' targets for mutual political gain thoughts. Well,
- 1:41:53Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know that we see political tribes
- 1:41:59Speaker 1: coming together in order to go to war. Often was
- 1:42:06Speaker 1: opposed by quite a bit of the population. You know,
- 1:42:12Speaker 1: unless there's good reason for that war, like after October
- 1:42:15Speaker 1: 7th or like after 9-11. But even after 9-11, it
- 1:42:18Speaker 1: didn't last very long before people were against what the
- 1:42:21Speaker 1: United States was doing. So I don't see it. I
- 1:42:30Speaker 1: don't see it. I guess it's possible, but... I need
- 1:42:36Speaker 1: a real example. He says, if a nation is unwilling
- 1:42:39Speaker 1: to dominate and win a war, then what is the
- 1:42:42Speaker 1: reason for engaging in the war? Well, the reason for
- 1:42:46Speaker 1: engaging in the war is to eliminate the threat or
- 1:42:51Speaker 1: to reduce the threat or to kick the can down
- 1:42:54Speaker 1: the road in terms of the threat. And what's stopping
- 1:42:58Speaker 1: them from winning the war is the altruism. So, you know,
- 1:43:01Speaker 1: it might be very possible. that when they launch the war,
- 1:43:06Speaker 1: they want to win. But then they embrace altruistic premises
- 1:43:10Speaker 1: that don't allow them to win. And there's this, I
- 1:43:12Speaker 1: think Bush, I think Bush, I think Trump wanted to
- 1:43:15Speaker 1: win the war with Iran. He just wasn't thoughtful enough,
- 1:43:19Speaker 1: strategic enough, and then not willing to do what was
- 1:43:23Speaker 1: necessary to actually do it. So it's not that you
- 1:43:30Speaker 1: go to war saying, oh, we're not going to win.
- 1:43:33Speaker 1: I mean, I think the Americans wanted to win in Vietnam.
- 1:43:36Speaker 1: They just weren't willing to do what was necessary to
- 1:43:37Speaker 1: win in Vietnam. I think because of altruism. I think
- 1:43:40Speaker 1: America wanted to win in Iraq and Afghanistan. They just
- 1:43:43Speaker 1: weren't willing to do what was necessary. And they defined
- 1:43:46Speaker 1: winning as bringing democracy. Not bringing democracy would be wonderful
- 1:43:51Speaker 1: if these countries could become democratic. So they evade in
- 1:43:55Speaker 1: the name of altruism. What drives them is altruism. Not
- 1:43:58Speaker 1: some political motive of not winning so that we can
- 1:44:03Speaker 1: unite the people against and we get support from the people. So, no,
- 1:44:12Speaker 1: I don't think that's what's going on. Jennifer, thank you
- 1:44:16Speaker 1: for talking about October 7th. It's extremely difficult to talk about,
- 1:44:20Speaker 1: but it will always need to be talked about. Yes,
- 1:44:23Speaker 1: it will. Thank you, Jennifer. Appreciate it. Exploring assignment again.
- 1:44:28Speaker 1: In view of history of warfare and political corruption without accountability,
- 1:44:33Speaker 1: would it be rational to advise a young individual to
- 1:44:35Speaker 1: join the military within that context? I mean, my view
- 1:44:39Speaker 1: is the answer is no, particularly the U.S. military, where
- 1:44:45Speaker 1: they're explicitly hampered. They're explicitly, their hands are tied behind
- 1:44:50Speaker 1: their backs. They're explicitly used as sacrificial lambs. I mean,
- 1:44:55Speaker 1: during the war in Afghanistan and Iraq, I actively discouraged
- 1:44:58Speaker 1: people from joining the military because I thought it was,
- 1:45:03Speaker 1: It was suicidal, given the political and military leadership and
- 1:45:08Speaker 1: what they were doing. So, no, right? I'm talking about
- 1:45:15Speaker 1: the U.S. military, right? And I think this is particularly
- 1:45:17Speaker 1: true of the U.S. military. So, when you join the military,
- 1:45:24Speaker 1: you're entrusting your life, your life, in the hands of
- 1:45:31Speaker 1: military and political leaders. And our military and political leaders
- 1:45:34Speaker 1: are motivated by altruism, not by protecting the life of
- 1:45:38Speaker 1: the soldiers. Oh, God. I mean, these people in my
- 1:45:44Speaker 1: chat are so stupid and disgustingly dishonest. Sorry, not all
- 1:45:52Speaker 1: of you, obviously. It's just Tommy. Tommy, if you join
- 1:45:55Speaker 1: the U.S. military, you are fighting for Israel. It's such
- 1:45:57Speaker 1: a stupid, ignorant, ignorant of history, ignorant of fact, And
- 1:46:05Speaker 1: just shameful anti-Semitism because there's no other motivation, there's no
- 1:46:09Speaker 1: reason to evade reality to that extent other than anti-Semitism. See,
- 1:46:17Speaker 1: he's just a hater. J.J. Jigsby, just wanted to share
- 1:46:22Speaker 1: the news that I'm going to a culinary school to
- 1:46:25Speaker 1: pursue cooking. Wow. Which I've always loved. By the way,
- 1:46:28Speaker 1: are you going to cover Tucker's recent debate embarrassment just
- 1:46:32Speaker 1: for good fun, if nothing else. Probably, it's a long debate.
- 1:46:36Speaker 1: I have to figure out exactly how to do that.
- 1:46:40Speaker 1: Congratulations and good luck at the culinary school. Looking forward
- 1:46:44Speaker 1: to tasting your food. All right, this is a question
- 1:46:47Speaker 1: from yesterday, from Andrew. He says, Rami Manuel was interviewed
- 1:46:52Speaker 1: by Hannity. He said calmly that while he knows Hannity disagrees,
- 1:46:57Speaker 1: he believes that his religious morality, Hannity's, instructs him to
- 1:47:03Speaker 1: fight for the public's right to health care. Yeah, I mean,
- 1:47:08Speaker 1: and Andrew says true. Yes, it is true. You know, altruism,
- 1:47:12Speaker 1: which is the foundation of Christianity, demands you be sacrificed
- 1:47:18Speaker 1: so other people can have their health care. Right. Uh...
- 1:47:31Speaker 1: I don't have patience for this. All right. Sorry, I
- 1:47:36Speaker 1: just blocked Tommy for a while because today of all days,
- 1:47:40Speaker 1: I don't have patience for anti-Semitic bullshit and the rationalization
- 1:47:46Speaker 1: about how it's not really anti-Semitic. They're just trying to
- 1:47:49Speaker 1: be America first, which is, again, massive, massive, massive evasion
- 1:47:53Speaker 1: required in order to do that. And the only motivation
- 1:47:57Speaker 1: for such evasion is anti-Semitism in this context. Neal, Oz
- 1:48:03Speaker 1: Davidian drove his car back and forth 15 times, saving
- 1:48:07Speaker 1: over 120 lives while taking on guns and while taking
- 1:48:11Speaker 1: on guns and terrorists. Yes. I mean, there were there
- 1:48:15Speaker 1: were these dramatic, uh, amazing, um, acts of heroism that, uh, yeah,
- 1:48:23Speaker 1: we need to highlight. And again, this idea of driving
- 1:48:25Speaker 1: back and forth, saving people from the festival was something
- 1:48:29Speaker 1: highlighted in, in, uh, in, um, Fowler season five and
- 1:48:36Speaker 1: in Fowler season five, uh, One of the things that
- 1:48:39Speaker 1: is expressed is the cost. What did that cost them?
- 1:48:46Speaker 1: All right. Thank you to all the Super Chatters. We
- 1:48:50Speaker 1: made the goal. I really, really appreciate that. I will
- 1:48:54Speaker 1: be back tomorrow, same time, same place. I will be
- 1:48:58Speaker 1: putting up on Substack the essay, an essay that covers
- 1:49:05Speaker 1: these lessons learned. written by Iran AI. So I'll put
- 1:49:10Speaker 1: that up on Iran AI Substack later today. Please, please,
- 1:49:17Speaker 1: if you like it, if you value it, please share it,
- 1:49:22Speaker 1: like it, whatever. Come to read it on the Substack
- 1:49:26Speaker 1: and share it widely. It would be great if we
- 1:49:29Speaker 1: could get these ideas out there. One of the reasons
- 1:49:31Speaker 1: I'm doing the Substack is to get the ideas in
- 1:49:33Speaker 1: writing and get an opportunity to get it out there
- 1:49:36Speaker 1: to people. All right, guys, I will see you all tomorrow. Bye, everybody.