Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 21: Army v Navy Betting Preview, Early Playoff Leans and How to Not Cheat on your wife
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen. Boys and girls, it's your favorite time
- 0:05Speaker 1: of week.
- 0:05Speaker 2: You download the crazy sheet, You get ready to talk
- 0:07Speaker 2: about some bowls, some playoffs, some coaches getting fired, some
- 0:11Speaker 2: coaches cheating other wives.
- 0:12Speaker 1: It's all out there for us.
- 0:14Speaker 2: I'm market, I'm here in the podcasting studio, Scott, he's
- 0:16Speaker 2: at home, brother, How the hell are you?
- 0:18Speaker 3: Man? I am great, just you know, excited. Another good
- 0:21Speaker 3: championship week. Man, that was that was That was good football.
- 0:25Speaker 3: I actually switched my bet on tu Lane as the
- 0:28Speaker 3: weather got shittier closer to gold time. I actually switched
- 0:33Speaker 3: to Tulane, which was a very nice play. Ohio State
- 0:37Speaker 3: he did it again. Man, he can't help but go
- 0:41Speaker 3: conservative in these big games. He just can't help himself.
- 0:45Speaker 3: It's the damnedest thing. You got the most talented roster
- 0:49Speaker 3: in college football. Man, fling it let us some bit
- 0:52Speaker 3: you said. I would tell the quarterback if you throw
- 0:54Speaker 3: it to anybody but Lake or or what's what's the
- 1:02Speaker 3: other kid? Why am I going to bring that Smith?
- 1:06Speaker 3: Jeremiah Smith? Then I'm gonna bench when it's third down,
- 1:11Speaker 3: throw one of them in the ball to strut to them.
- 1:13Speaker 3: Don't care if their double covered, don't care. You have
- 1:16Speaker 3: the easiest job in college football, Jillian, just throw it
- 1:19Speaker 3: to one of the dudes. I mean, I it was
- 1:22Speaker 3: amazing to me. I did not get to watch all
- 1:25Speaker 3: of that game, I will readily tell you, but stunt
- 1:28Speaker 3: Signetti is just I mean, first time two time Coach
- 1:35Speaker 3: of the Year was that. Walter Camp I think is
- 1:38Speaker 3: the is the to the first time, first guy to
- 1:40Speaker 3: ever win it twice back to back and deservedly so
- 1:46Speaker 3: has taken what I read this. I did not realize
- 1:50Speaker 3: that Indiana was one of the I knew they were
- 1:52Speaker 3: not a good program overall, but I think I've read
- 1:55Speaker 3: that they were the losingest program in the Big Ten.
- 1:58Speaker 1: And knowing that Hour five and then in.
- 2:01Speaker 3: The Power five and I'm like, okay, I didn't know
- 2:03Speaker 3: they were the worst team of the Big ten, and whoa,
- 2:06Speaker 3: they have the worst losing percentage of Power five. The
- 2:09Speaker 3: job he's done is incredible, I mean, just absolutely incredible,
- 2:15Speaker 3: and kudos to him. Duke found a way to throw
- 2:19Speaker 3: a monkey in the uh in the wrench if you would,
- 2:23Speaker 3: if you would, it was fabulous to see that. I
- 2:29Speaker 3: said all along, if you're the ACC I would have
- 2:33Speaker 3: gone on and said, we're gonna make Miami are nominee.
- 2:36Speaker 3: They're gonna be the Conpresce champion because we're gonna chose
- 2:39Speaker 3: the highest ranked team after the conference championship game. They
- 2:44Speaker 3: were stupid to not do it. Big Twelve's already set
- 2:46Speaker 3: the precedent that you can do it with Baylor years ago. Stupid,
- 2:52Speaker 3: you get what you deserve. Come on, Notre Dame, come
- 2:55Speaker 3: on down to the SEC. That's what they really want.
- 2:58Speaker 3: They really want to go Notre Dame and you n
- 3:01Speaker 3: C and get to eighteen teams. Come on, let's let's
- 3:05Speaker 3: do this deal. We got a home for you, brother,
- 3:07Speaker 3: come on, come on down, get ready for it, which
- 3:12Speaker 3: would be absolutely fabulous. Won't happen because Notre Dame's Notre Dame.
- 3:16Speaker 3: But you know, at the end of the day, had
- 3:19Speaker 3: the head mattered it deservedly. So it is a complete
- 3:23Speaker 3: and utter joke, Mark at NIP that we have two
- 3:27Speaker 3: group of five teams in the playoffs. They had. They
- 3:31Speaker 3: don't have a relevant win all year anybody in the
- 3:36Speaker 3: Power five over a major program. Oh USF they beat Florida.
- 3:43Speaker 3: Florida sucks. That's not even a good win. That's not
- 3:46Speaker 3: even a good win. Literally, there are no good wins
- 3:50Speaker 3: and we have two of these jackasses taking up spots. Yes,
- 3:54Speaker 3: I think Notre Dames should have been in, but no,
- 3:56Speaker 3: they shouldn't have been over Miami. Sorry, September matters as
- 3:59Speaker 3: much as no kudos for the committee to doing that,
- 4:02Speaker 3: but at the end of the day, they should have
- 4:04Speaker 3: said it that this whole six week process does nothing
- 4:08Speaker 3: but confirm for me eighties are fucking idiots. They're idiots
- 4:13Speaker 3: and hundred years check, God will never be around a
- 4:15Speaker 3: microphone again ever.
- 4:17Speaker 1: Ever, you just just.
- 4:19Speaker 3: Be honest, and they need we need to put one
- 4:22Speaker 3: person on that committee who's just gonna go, you know what,
- 4:26Speaker 3: We're gonna put some common sense here. You know what
- 4:28Speaker 3: we're gonna do. We're gonna make Alabama one seed higher.
- 4:31Speaker 3: We're just gonna flip teams so we don't have a rematch.
- 4:34Speaker 3: You know what we're gonna do. We're gonna make Tulane
- 4:36Speaker 3: the twelve instead of the eleven because they're gonna get
- 4:38Speaker 3: their ass kicked by either one of these teams, so
- 4:41Speaker 3: that Old Miss and Tulane don't have to play again
- 4:43Speaker 3: in Oxford like they did in September. Oh, and then
- 4:46Speaker 3: we probably may alter old miss a little bit so
- 4:50Speaker 3: that they don't go to George or have to play
- 4:52Speaker 3: Georgia again like they did in September or early October
- 4:56Speaker 3: whenever that game was. This committee is full of idiots.
- 5:00Speaker 3: Just a little common sense, and nobody's angry, nobody's pissed off.
- 5:05Speaker 3: But instead everybody thinks these people are dumbasses. Most of
- 5:10Speaker 3: all anybody who likes Notre Dame.
- 5:16Speaker 2: I thought the committee didn't have any balls, I would
- 5:20Speaker 2: have bumped out Bama and put another day. Personally, I mean,
- 5:23Speaker 2: I understand Bama's in the SEC and they've got it.
- 5:27Speaker 3: Big ten. Wasn't gonna go for that either, because it'll
- 5:29Speaker 3: happen may happen to them next year.
- 5:32Speaker 1: Yeah, but Bama's leaking oil.
- 5:33Speaker 2: You can't look tell me that you've watched that timber
- 5:35Speaker 2: last month and gone that team can win the Natty.
- 5:38Speaker 3: They can one hundred percent. Mark totally agree with you. Look,
- 5:42Speaker 3: I think Vanderbilt playing better football than Alabama right now.
- 5:45Speaker 3: But again it gets they're gonna talk about head the head,
- 5:47Speaker 3: They're gonna talk about all that one hundred percent. Like
- 5:50Speaker 3: I think, personally, you're gonna laugh when I tell you this.
- 5:53Speaker 3: I think Vandy ought to be ranked ahead of them
- 5:55Speaker 3: in Texas, and that's the two teams they lost to,
- 5:58Speaker 3: because I do think they're playing better football. At the
- 6:00Speaker 3: end of the day, Texas has got had too many
- 6:05Speaker 3: bad games to make the playoffs. I don't want to
- 6:07Speaker 3: hear from the worms you lost three times. You're not
- 6:10Speaker 3: not in because of Ohio State. You're not in because
- 6:12Speaker 3: of Florida. Oh and everybody knows that if Mississippi State
- 6:15Speaker 3: hadn't wept the bed, you'd lost that game. Oh And
- 6:18Speaker 3: if Kentucky hadn't west the bed, you'd have lost that
- 6:21Speaker 3: game too. You just you got lucky to be two
- 6:24Speaker 3: really bad football teams. So everybody sees that, and I
- 6:29Speaker 3: just you know, at the end of the day, we've
- 6:31Speaker 3: got to figure out a way to get the twelve
- 6:33Speaker 3: best teams. We don't even need sixteen, and I'm find
- 6:36Speaker 3: one to sixteen great and gives us eight home games.
- 6:39Speaker 3: There'll be some there'll be some fun stuff that's more
- 6:41Speaker 3: people to get to. Please don't go to twenty four.
- 6:44Speaker 3: For the love of everything Holy, I do not need
- 6:49Speaker 3: to see bad football teams that are twenty third and
- 6:51Speaker 3: twenty fourth in the country in this playoffs. So that
- 6:54Speaker 3: they can get their asses kicked by four touchdown. I mean,
- 6:58Speaker 3: we can't even get Tennessee Ohio State not to be
- 7:01Speaker 3: a blowout. How the hell are we gonna get a
- 7:04Speaker 3: JMU at Ohio State or at Indiana not a blowout?
- 7:09Speaker 3: Let's can we move on. I don't need any of that.
- 7:12Speaker 3: We don't need twenty fourteen. We need twelve to sixteen teams.
- 7:17Speaker 3: They just need to be the best sixteen. They need
- 7:19Speaker 3: to be the best twelve and then we'd all be okay.
- 7:22Speaker 3: It just give me one guy on that committee with
- 7:25Speaker 3: some common sense to just sit there and go. You know,
- 7:27Speaker 3: it's a really dumb ass idea to have three rematches,
- 7:30Speaker 3: and what is a total of what how many games?
- 7:33Speaker 3: Eight games, nine games? How many we get out of
- 7:36Speaker 3: this whole thing? We're gonna get three rematches? That is
- 7:39Speaker 3: just dumbass. I mean, just do something smart one time.
- 7:45Speaker 3: We already know that y'all can't negotiate a contract, so
- 7:49Speaker 3: at least have the intelligence to go. You know, I
- 7:52Speaker 3: bet people don't want to watch three rematches.
- 7:57Speaker 2: I think that you're and again this is a I'm
- 8:00Speaker 2: like podcast and we'll move on this in a second.
- 8:02Speaker 2: But I've determined that if you work in academic institutions
- 8:07Speaker 2: for your entire career that you're not gonna make You
- 8:11Speaker 2: don't even know how to make good decisions, in my
- 8:12Speaker 2: personal opinion, because you look at these ads and the
- 8:15Speaker 2: contracts that they signed with these coaches, and it even
- 8:18Speaker 2: kiff it stringing you know, old miss along and stringing
- 8:21Speaker 2: them along and stringing Florida, and it's like, come on, dude,
- 8:25Speaker 2: it's like, make a decision, move on, operate like you're
- 8:29Speaker 2: living in the real world. And then today, yesterday, I
- 8:32Speaker 2: wake up the charon board fired at Michigan.
- 8:35Speaker 1: I'm like, WHOA didn't see that coming.
- 8:37Speaker 2: And then I read through it and I'm like, of
- 8:40Speaker 2: course he's having an affair with the.
- 8:41Speaker 1: Girl all the staff. What an idiot?
- 8:44Speaker 2: I mean, how many times have you read this book.
- 8:47Speaker 2: Here's the thing, man, I'm gonna tell you this one time.
- 8:49Speaker 2: If you're gonna have an affair, fuck a fat chick, dude,
- 8:52Speaker 2: because no one's going to believe her when she comes
- 8:54Speaker 2: out and tells everybody. And then you could be like,
- 8:57Speaker 2: why would I hooked up with her? She's a fat chick.
- 8:59Speaker 2: It makes total sense. But when you got some hot
- 9:02Speaker 2: twenty year old co ed. Yeah, everybody's like, oh, I
- 9:05Speaker 2: see it, yep, I gotta let him go.
- 9:07Speaker 1: He's moving on.
- 9:07Speaker 3: It's anyway, don't get a hot nanny. Don't get a
- 9:12Speaker 3: hot nanny. Don't get a hot I mean, I mean,
- 9:15Speaker 3: just sid It's like, yeah, and you, honestly, here's the thing.
- 9:20Speaker 3: And if I rolled in to the Christmas party with
- 9:24Speaker 3: my wife and I have a twenty two year old,
- 9:28Speaker 3: smoking hot secretary, which just why I don't have a secretary,
- 9:31Speaker 3: so we don't have to worry about any of that.
- 9:33Speaker 3: But Beth would look at me and be like, you're
- 9:36Speaker 3: getting a new secretary. Not happening because she's not an idiot. Dude,
- 9:40Speaker 3: Your dudes, it's undefeated and untied. Don't put yourself in
- 9:45Speaker 3: that situation. You got to have just a little bit
- 9:48Speaker 3: of intelligence in the hiring process to say, you know,
- 9:52Speaker 3: this could end up being a train wreck. This is
- 9:54Speaker 3: probably a bad idea.
- 9:56Speaker 1: This is going to distract me.
- 10:00Speaker 2: Offense is gonna look shitty all season because all my
- 10:02Speaker 2: creativity is gonna be used chasing this girl around.
- 10:05Speaker 1: That's why your offense sucked.
- 10:07Speaker 2: You paid this to ten million dollars to play quarterback
- 10:09Speaker 2: for you and your offense was fucking terrible.
- 10:11Speaker 1: Fix it anyway, that's uh you got I mean Baylor. Hell.
- 10:16Speaker 2: The dude that was in charge of the college football
- 10:19Speaker 2: selection committee, Mac Rhodes A. D. Baylor was fired this
- 10:23Speaker 2: year for having an affair. It got caught like he
- 10:27Speaker 2: went on bonkers crazy. The dude in charge of picking
- 10:30Speaker 2: the teams like that was gonna run the committee was
- 10:32Speaker 2: having a bear.
- 10:33Speaker 3: It just kind of Sharon Moore is in jail right
- 10:37Speaker 3: now because he went over there and broke into her house,
- 10:42Speaker 3: threatened to kill her, and then threatened to kill himself.
- 10:45Speaker 3: I mean, it's like you read this and it's like
- 10:48Speaker 3: a soap opera. It's like, come on, man, it's just
- 10:53Speaker 3: come on. Just don't don't hire the hot girl to
- 11:00Speaker 3: be your personal assistance. This is not that complicated. You've
- 11:04Speaker 3: got enough landlines out there that you do not need
- 11:08Speaker 3: to put one in your own office that you have
- 11:11Speaker 3: to stumble over every day every day. Again, it is
- 11:17Speaker 3: undefeated and it is untied. I tested unefeeded and untied.
- 11:24Speaker 3: You will lose. You will lose. You may you may
- 11:26Speaker 3: score an early touchdown, You're gonna lose.
- 11:30Speaker 2: Yes, from the Biblical times, it's anyway, all the way back.
- 11:35Speaker 1: Got it. It's gotti. Moving on.
- 11:37Speaker 2: We got a game, we got two games on Saturday,
- 11:39Speaker 2: we got some playoff games next week. We got some
- 11:42Speaker 2: championship odds that we can steal bet into.
- 11:45Speaker 1: Let's dig in a little bit.
- 11:46Speaker 2: This weekend Army Navy game will be played in Baltimore.
- 11:50Speaker 2: Totals thirty eight and a half. I believe Navy is
- 11:53Speaker 2: favored by fixing this one last. I look, uh, and
- 11:57Speaker 2: so you're sitting there trying to figure out where you're
- 11:58Speaker 2: gonna go. This is an Army team that obviously last
- 12:02Speaker 2: year Army had a fantastic season. This year not, as
- 12:06Speaker 2: you know, kind of fell off a little bit. And
- 12:09Speaker 2: but this team has been improving as the season's gone on.
- 12:12Speaker 2: They started out rough, lost to Tarleton State at home.
- 12:16Speaker 1: Seemed to be improving. This Navy team.
- 12:18Speaker 2: If you haven't watched this Navy team, this isn't your
- 12:20Speaker 2: dad's Navy. They throw the ball, got some excitement in there.
- 12:24Speaker 2: They last year came into this game after Army had
- 12:27Speaker 2: to play for the conference championship in the American and
- 12:30Speaker 2: in won and really handled their business in that game.
- 12:33Speaker 2: And so this week they go to Baltimore they match
- 12:36Speaker 2: up again. This is a huge spread, six and a
- 12:39Speaker 2: half points. I mean for teams, Army is still one
- 12:42Speaker 2: of the slowest teams in the country as far as
- 12:45Speaker 2: running the ball, grinding it out. Weather looks like it's
- 12:48Speaker 2: just gonna be a typical Northeastern day. It's gonna be
- 12:51Speaker 2: in the high thirties forties. Doesn't look like we're gonna
- 12:54Speaker 2: have any major wind, rain or snow, So you're just
- 12:58Speaker 2: gonna get a gritty ass game that's going to go
- 13:00Speaker 2: on up there. I would lean to get a touchdown Army,
- 13:04Speaker 2: but I have not touched this game.
- 13:05Speaker 1: Are you gonna get involved?
- 13:07Speaker 3: Oh? Man, there's no way. I bet on this game
- 13:10Speaker 3: every year. But at the but at the end of
- 13:13Speaker 3: the day, I man, I like the I like the
- 13:15Speaker 3: under here last year went over. Forty four was the
- 13:19Speaker 3: total last year. But here's what you've been looking at.
- 13:22Speaker 3: This is the last ten year scores forty four, thirty eight,
- 13:26Speaker 3: thirty seven, thirty fifteen, thirty eight, twenty seven, twenty seven,
- 13:31Speaker 3: thirty eight, and thirty eight. That's your totals. Man, give me,
- 13:37Speaker 3: give me some under I think maybe gonna win this
- 13:40Speaker 3: football game. I'll I'll give you another bet that I
- 13:43Speaker 3: that I really like Lake Corvath plus one passing touchdown.
- 13:47Speaker 3: I think he will have one or more throwing touchdowns
- 13:52Speaker 3: in this ball game. So that's another That's another bet
- 13:55Speaker 3: that I that I like your plus one o five
- 13:58Speaker 3: on that number. So I so I like that, but
- 14:01Speaker 3: easy way to get it. I think that both of
- 14:04Speaker 3: these teams are gonna What makes this game so great,
- 14:09Speaker 3: it's just the absolute war that goes on. And that's
- 14:14Speaker 3: all you can call them. These guys live for this game,
- 14:17Speaker 3: but they've also got to live with the losses of
- 14:19Speaker 3: this game the rest of their careers. And it is
- 14:24Speaker 3: it is sutt and I don't mean football careers, I
- 14:27Speaker 3: mean career the rest of their military and professional careers.
- 14:31Speaker 3: They're gonna be bumping into these guys forever. It is
- 14:34Speaker 3: a gigantic deal. There's nothing like it. We say it
- 14:37Speaker 3: every year. Last year was your first time to go.
- 14:40Speaker 3: If you have not been, you need to go. I
- 14:41Speaker 3: think my son last year was great. He's already asking
- 14:44Speaker 3: when we're going back. I mean, it is such a
- 14:48Speaker 3: great time to take your kids. Let them see the
- 14:51Speaker 3: pomp and the circumstance. Last year, Trump was there. It
- 14:55Speaker 3: was such a huge deal. It was a total fiasco
- 14:58Speaker 3: getting into the stadium, depending on what gate you were
- 15:01Speaker 3: going in, it was a total, total fiasco. And but
- 15:05Speaker 3: it's outstanding. Army has one six of the last ten
- 15:09Speaker 3: after Navy went on a total heater in the earlier
- 15:14Speaker 3: fifteen years of the UH of this millennium. I guess
- 15:18Speaker 3: we should say, and so anyway, the so so Armies
- 15:22Speaker 3: want a few here. Monkin's done a really good job
- 15:24Speaker 3: of leveling the playing field. Just don't think it's enough
- 15:27Speaker 3: this year. I like, give me Navy and the points.
- 15:34Speaker 2: You would you wouldn't You gonna take Navy to cover
- 15:37Speaker 2: six and a half and you want the under at
- 15:39Speaker 2: thirty eight?
- 15:39Speaker 1: I got you.
- 15:40Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna take and I will take Blake Corp.
- 15:42Speaker 3: And I'm gonna take Blake Corp. Mat they have to
- 15:44Speaker 3: throw in touchdown.
- 15:47Speaker 1: I like it. I like it.
- 15:48Speaker 2: I will probably just bet a half a unit on
- 15:51Speaker 2: the under in this one, specifically because I feel like
- 15:54Speaker 2: the under is always in play with these two teams.
- 15:57Speaker 2: Army's offense is really slow. They don't have much of
- 16:01Speaker 2: a passing attack at all. After losing their quarterback last year,
- 16:05Speaker 2: it's been a hard trudge for them to kind of
- 16:07Speaker 2: figure out the offense. But I'm gonna go under with
- 16:10Speaker 2: you here. I think this game just gets muddied up again.
- 16:13Speaker 2: There's so much emotion that goes on in this game.
- 16:16Speaker 2: It's not a fast track that they'll be playing on
- 16:18Speaker 2: in Baltimore, and so I look for the under in
- 16:20Speaker 2: this one.
- 16:21Speaker 1: I'll roll with you at thirty eight.
- 16:24Speaker 3: Under is my favorite play. But I just like this game.
- 16:27Speaker 3: I just like this game gives you a little skin
- 16:29Speaker 3: in it, you know, you know, it's kind of it's
- 16:32Speaker 3: kind of fun. Honestly, I could care less follow money
- 16:34Speaker 3: this weekend just because it's a it's been a really
- 16:37Speaker 3: good year. B because I just like this game. It's
- 16:39Speaker 3: such a war and my dad every time I bet
- 16:43Speaker 3: on maybe I feel like he's rolling over in his grave.
- 16:45Speaker 3: Just pissed off.
- 16:47Speaker 2: Oh second game, we got Saturday Scottie after the Heisman,
- 16:50Speaker 2: and they're putting this game on the same day as
- 16:52Speaker 2: the Army Navy game, which kind of pisses me off
- 16:55Speaker 2: a little bit. But the NFL has just kind of
- 16:57Speaker 2: trumped all the holiday season with when they're gonna have
- 16:59Speaker 2: game on Christmas and everything else. So you've got the
- 17:02Speaker 2: last inst the last time the LA Bowl would be
- 17:04Speaker 2: played at SOFI Stadium.
- 17:06Speaker 1: Beautiful stadium, by the way.
- 17:07Speaker 2: You've got Washington and Boise State in this one. Boise
- 17:11Speaker 2: State's fresh off of winning the MAC or the Mountain
- 17:14Speaker 2: West Championship last weekend against UNLV, beating them again.
- 17:19Speaker 1: You've got a Washington team that came in here.
- 17:21Speaker 2: You could argue that this Washington team, depending on what
- 17:24Speaker 2: your expectations were, either overperformed or underperformed.
- 17:27Speaker 1: On the season.
- 17:28Speaker 2: And I know that sounds like I'm kind of middling,
- 17:30Speaker 2: but I didn't have much expectations for Washington, and I
- 17:33Speaker 2: don't think most of the betting public did either, and
- 17:35Speaker 2: so I really think this Washington team is trending in
- 17:38Speaker 2: a good direction. I can't figure out the Washington fan
- 17:41Speaker 2: based likes Jetfish, you're not. I think there's still a
- 17:44Speaker 2: little butt hurt about losing their coach. But you know,
- 17:48Speaker 2: to go on to Miami. But that's what happened. I'm
- 17:50Speaker 2: excuse me going to Alabama. That's what happens here. But
- 17:51Speaker 2: where I'm gonna go with this one is Line's nine
- 17:54Speaker 2: and a half. I've seen some tenths.
- 17:55Speaker 1: I've seen some nine and a half, I'm going to
- 17:57Speaker 1: hammer Washington in this game.
- 18:00Speaker 2: I don't think from what I can see, Fish says,
- 18:02Speaker 2: no one's opting out. They're here to win, They're here
- 18:05Speaker 2: to play the game. Boise State to me is leacoln oil.
- 18:08Speaker 1: I know.
- 18:08Speaker 2: I said that earlier about Bama. They got some injuries,
- 18:11Speaker 2: they're kind of banged up. I wouldn't be surprised if
- 18:13Speaker 2: you don't see a couple of these guys opt out.
- 18:15Speaker 2: But the biggest thing for me is, and I've realized
- 18:17Speaker 2: this as the season went on, the separation between the
- 18:20Speaker 2: G five and the Power five teams is so much
- 18:23Speaker 2: further this year than it has been history over the
- 18:26Speaker 2: last four or five years.
- 18:27Speaker 1: In my opinion. I mean, you go back and you
- 18:29Speaker 1: look at.
- 18:29Speaker 2: The season as a whole, and you really can't find
- 18:32Speaker 2: a G five win over a Power five team that
- 18:36Speaker 2: had any significance. South Florida beat Florida early on. Florida
- 18:40Speaker 2: was terrible. Obviously, they fired their coach, massively underperformed. You
- 18:45Speaker 2: had jmu who's in the tournament, and they played Louisville
- 18:49Speaker 2: close for a half and then they fell apart and
- 18:52Speaker 2: ended up getting kind of blown out in that game.
- 18:55Speaker 2: And so I just don't think I think the talent
- 18:57Speaker 2: gap is so wide.
- 18:58Speaker 1: Between these two teams. This isn't a Boise State team.
- 19:01Speaker 1: This is Anty one of.
- 19:01Speaker 2: Their better Boise State teams, and so everybody's going to
- 19:04Speaker 2: be playing for Washington. I'm gonna again put half the
- 19:07Speaker 2: unit down, give me the Huskies laying out of the half.
- 19:11Speaker 3: I agree with you here. I think this is as
- 19:13Speaker 3: much about the difference in the Peak five versus the
- 19:17Speaker 3: G five, and I think Washington it looks still a
- 19:21Speaker 3: really young football team. We were right about this football
- 19:23Speaker 3: team in the preseason. We felt like they were going
- 19:25Speaker 3: to be better, going to be improved, liked the quarterback
- 19:29Speaker 3: still only a sophomore, got a chance to really take
- 19:32Speaker 3: a step forward next year. This is a good team.
- 19:35Speaker 3: Boston's a phenomenal wide receiver, going to be really hard
- 19:38Speaker 3: for them to cover. So I at the end of
- 19:41Speaker 3: the day, I just think Washington is a team that's
- 19:45Speaker 3: trending in the right direction. Let's not forget Jet Fish
- 19:47Speaker 3: took a gigantic step year three at Arizona, gigantic step.
- 19:53Speaker 3: I think the same thing. He is in the same
- 19:56Speaker 3: position to take a gigantic step next year at Washington.
- 20:00Speaker 3: Now it's a much stuffer league, so that there's that
- 20:02Speaker 3: result in nine and three something like that. But I
- 20:06Speaker 3: think Washington is a potential playoff team next year. With
- 20:10Speaker 3: just a few good additions in the portal, they'll be
- 20:14Speaker 3: They'll be one of those big ten teams that we're
- 20:17Speaker 3: talking about next year that is has got a chance
- 20:21Speaker 3: to step forward if they get a break or two.
- 20:23Speaker 3: That's my honest opinion. Can happen in the portal. As
- 20:26Speaker 3: we know, you can win and lose in the portal.
- 20:28Speaker 3: H So we've got to wait and see what happens.
- 20:30Speaker 3: But they certainly feel like they're trending in the right direction.
- 20:32Speaker 3: To me, that translates the Bowl wins. Traditionally teams moving
- 20:36Speaker 3: in that direction. Uh, that's a good signer. Like you know, candidly,
- 20:40Speaker 3: State getting in at five and seven, Man, why doesn't
- 20:43Speaker 3: State have something to play for?
- 20:44Speaker 1: You?
- 20:44Speaker 3: Again, Camaro Taylor reps. You got a bunch of gunk kids.
- 20:47Speaker 3: They don't deserve to be there, but they're going to
- 20:49Speaker 3: be stoked to be there. State they play really well
- 20:52Speaker 3: in the Bowl game, you know so, and I think
- 20:54Speaker 3: I think Washington is very much falls into that category
- 20:58Speaker 3: and that matters in these games, these teams that want
- 21:00Speaker 3: to be there and the teams that don't. And so
- 21:03Speaker 3: I like Washington here.
- 21:04Speaker 2: No, I completely agree with you. I mean, and that's
- 21:07Speaker 2: what it comes down to with these bowl games.
- 21:09Speaker 1: I will tell you this. Used to Bowl season, man,
- 21:12Speaker 1: we crushed. And now with bowl.
- 21:14Speaker 2: Season you got to pay attention to see who's there
- 21:17Speaker 2: on the roster and because those kids are gonna opt
- 21:19Speaker 2: out and it could be day up games. So I
- 21:21Speaker 2: would not make any Bowl dets prior to an hour
- 21:25Speaker 2: before the game.
- 21:26Speaker 1: Line movement's not gonna matter. Trust me.
- 21:28Speaker 2: You have to know who's actually on the field and playing,
- 21:31Speaker 2: and sometimes you will not know until they literally are
- 21:34Speaker 2: out there warming up.
- 21:35Speaker 1: And so hit Twitter, do a dig.
- 21:37Speaker 2: You can find it pretty easily because once they come
- 21:39Speaker 2: up for warm ups, it's pretty obvious. If there's a
- 21:41Speaker 2: star that's not suited up, not playing something like that,
- 21:44Speaker 2: you'll see it. And so but with the move in
- 21:47Speaker 2: the portal back to January, I think you're gonna get
- 21:51Speaker 2: more kids that will stick around and play and get
- 21:53Speaker 2: some more tape in. Again, I love Mississippi State and
- 21:56Speaker 2: a team like that getting in because that was a
- 21:58Speaker 2: team against the spread that well this season.
- 22:01Speaker 1: We thought this would be an improved team.
- 22:02Speaker 2: It's not just because it's your alma mater, but we
- 22:04Speaker 2: thought this would be an improved team. But their record
- 22:06Speaker 2: may not show it because their schedule was so damn hard.
- 22:10Speaker 2: But that's a much better football team than what their
- 22:12Speaker 2: record indicates, and I look forward to betting on those.
- 22:15Speaker 2: Let's talk about a couple other things, Scott. We got
- 22:17Speaker 2: four championship games next week. We've got the first round
- 22:21Speaker 2: of the playoffs, and you've got the two G five
- 22:23Speaker 2: teams that are gonna be in two lane, will be
- 22:25Speaker 2: traveling up to Oxford, JAMU across the country headed to Oregon.
- 22:29Speaker 2: Oklahoma and Alabama will match up again in Norman. And
- 22:32Speaker 2: then you're gonna have Miami playing right down the road
- 22:34Speaker 2: from when I am in College Station, Texas. You can
- 22:37Speaker 2: still bet these markets. You can still get chances if
- 22:39Speaker 2: you want to to make some plays to win the
- 22:42Speaker 2: national Championship. I would tell you, even where the numbers
- 22:45Speaker 2: are today, I still think, in my personal opinion that
- 22:50Speaker 2: winning the national championship at eight to one, I still
- 22:54Speaker 2: think Georgia is a value play.
- 22:56Speaker 1: I really do.
- 22:57Speaker 2: I think Georgia quietly is just starting to get the
- 23:02Speaker 2: steam rolling on this thing. Actually the number shrank. It
- 23:04Speaker 2: came down since Tuesday. Now it's down to five and
- 23:06Speaker 2: a half to six to one. It painted at most markets.
- 23:08Speaker 2: I still think George is a pretty good play if
- 23:11Speaker 2: you're looking to take a shot for somebody to win
- 23:13Speaker 2: this thing, if you want to take a long shot
- 23:15Speaker 2: to win this thing, I don't think Texas Tech is
- 23:18Speaker 2: a terrible bet. You can pick them up at eight
- 23:21Speaker 2: and a half to one if you want to. Their
- 23:23Speaker 2: defense is going to travel. And if you want to
- 23:26Speaker 2: take a really long shot, and I think this is
- 23:28Speaker 2: some good money here, you can get Miami at twenty
- 23:31Speaker 2: five to one. You can head you off of that
- 23:33Speaker 2: if you need to. Even starting in this very first
- 23:35Speaker 2: game against A and M I.
- 23:36Speaker 1: Think Miami's a live doll.
- 23:38Speaker 2: I really do in that first game, and I think
- 23:40Speaker 2: Miami's got a chance to make a run here.
- 23:42Speaker 3: I couldn't agree more. Look, Ay and a man, Look,
- 23:45Speaker 3: this is not discounting Mike Elko in the job that
- 23:48Speaker 3: they've done. But you cannot look the other way that
- 23:52Speaker 3: they played really bad teams in the Southeastern Conference. They
- 23:55Speaker 3: basically played the bottom of the league except for Texas.
- 24:00Speaker 3: They lost and they didn't play good football South Carolina,
- 24:03Speaker 3: Mississippi State. You know it's just you just you roll
- 24:06Speaker 3: down a list of who was bad Auburn, you keep
- 24:09Speaker 3: just trolling down. Is every team at the bottom of
- 24:11Speaker 3: the conference, and you can't look past that. Miami a talented,
- 24:16Speaker 3: talented team. You know this while this is a really
- 24:20Speaker 3: the biggest factor for them is the home field for
- 24:22Speaker 3: for A and m But I agree with you. I
- 24:24Speaker 3: think Miami is a live dog here, really got a chance.
- 24:27Speaker 3: I'll definitely take the three and a half unless something changes.
- 24:33Speaker 2: Looking at those other two games, I don't think JMU
- 24:37Speaker 2: nor do I think two Lane.
- 24:38Speaker 1: Stands a chance in either one of these games.
- 24:41Speaker 2: And I wouldn't be scared to lay it. I know
- 24:43Speaker 2: Kiffin's not there. The entire coaching staff for Old missus
- 24:47Speaker 2: back though from what I've read everybody, it's not just
- 24:50Speaker 2: Charlie Weiss junior. Kiffin actually cut the whole staff loose
- 24:53Speaker 2: to go back and coach that team. I don't know
- 24:55Speaker 2: if he's doing that so you know it looks better,
- 24:58Speaker 2: but I you know, I think that's better team. I
- 25:00Speaker 2: think they can win that game without kipping against two Lane.
- 25:03Speaker 2: Two Lanes just not that good, same thing. I love JMU.
- 25:06Speaker 2: I love that they're in. I don't think they stand
- 25:08Speaker 2: a chance against this Oregon team. I mean the physicality
- 25:12Speaker 2: and the athleticism that Oregon's gonna lay on these guys,
- 25:15Speaker 2: I think they're just gonna run them out of the building,
- 25:17Speaker 2: you know. And we're not at a point now where
- 25:19Speaker 2: you've got to call the dogs off. It's it's win
- 25:21Speaker 2: and win and keep going. And you want to create
- 25:23Speaker 2: that momentum and keep this thing rolling as the season
- 25:25Speaker 2: goes on. And so I would lay it with both
- 25:28Speaker 2: those teams. I don't think the Lions will shrink. I mean,
- 25:30Speaker 2: you probably lay it down and getting out in front
- 25:32Speaker 2: of it. So I would probably lean on doing that
- 25:34Speaker 2: if I were you. But yeah, I don't see how
- 25:37Speaker 2: the G five teams stick around. So that's kind of
- 25:39Speaker 2: where I am going into this championship round. I haven't
- 25:42Speaker 2: really dug into the bowl games yet. We'll start looking
- 25:44Speaker 2: at those next week, but that's where I am on
- 25:46Speaker 2: the championship set up.
- 25:48Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with you. I agree with you on
- 25:49Speaker 3: both of those. I think I'll missing a drill. Look,
- 25:52Speaker 3: I think there's gonna be a lot of anger and look,
- 25:55Speaker 3: the first time Two Lane rolled in there, I'm not
- 25:59Speaker 3: even sure half the people left the grove. I mean,
- 26:02Speaker 3: we were expecting that football teams we bet on tu Lane,
- 26:06Speaker 3: expecting that football team to kind of play flat, and
- 26:09Speaker 3: oh Miss didn't. Now, the crowd was pretty flat. It
- 26:11Speaker 3: was med at best. That ain't gonna be the case
- 26:15Speaker 3: in Oxford when they come rolling out on the nineteenth.
- 26:19Speaker 3: That's I think it's the nineteenth when they played me. Uh,
- 26:22Speaker 3: it's gonna be a different gig, buddy. It is gonna
- 26:25Speaker 3: be rowty, it's gonna be loud, it's gonna be full.
- 26:29Speaker 3: Man two Lanes walking into a totally different ball game
- 26:33Speaker 3: than they walked into when they played in September. So
- 26:35Speaker 3: I agree with you. I think they're gonna get drilled.
- 26:37Speaker 3: And I think the same thing's true. I think, man, Oregon,
- 26:40Speaker 3: will Gas can these guys where they can. I know
- 26:43Speaker 3: there's been some losses on this Oregon staff, but I
- 26:46Speaker 3: don't think that matters in this initial ball game. I
- 26:49Speaker 3: think they get I think they get drilled.
- 26:52Speaker 2: Yeah, with you, folks, thank you for the season. We've
- 26:55Speaker 2: got a couple more podcasts that will do between now
- 26:58Speaker 2: and the end of the year with our Christmas schedules up.
- 27:00Speaker 2: We're not sure when we get those out, but we
- 27:01Speaker 2: appreciate the downloads. We appreciate the shares.
- 27:04Speaker 1: Let us know you listen, give us a review.
- 27:06Speaker 2: Tell us if you're going to have an affair, would
- 27:08Speaker 2: you fuck a fat chick or would you go full
- 27:10Speaker 2: balls hot like these coaches do and just stick your
- 27:12Speaker 2: head in the sand and pretend nothing's gonna happen. Anyway,
- 27:15Speaker 2: talk to y'all soon. Everybody, have a great week, and
- 27:18Speaker 2: let's hope we can make a few more bucks.