Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 04/01/26

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MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 04/01/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: Fall System's Golf clear the Lift.
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: What's going on everybody? Good morning, Happy Wednesday with my
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: man Matt talking some baseball. First Baseball show with Matt,
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: very excited. We got ourselves a good one. Ten games again,
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: twelve fifteen Eastern Star time. You can see right here
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: nine to fifteen am over here. It's early, but hey,
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: early baseball is always a good day. Sweating your teams.
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: It's like golf tomorrow. You're able to sweat your golf
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: teams throughout the day and it just makes the day
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: go by a little faster. You can always look and
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: enjoy the sweat baseball. I absolutely love it, one of
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: my favorite parts about baseball. Very happy it's back. Hey,
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: there's still NBA going on though. Matt and Rio will
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: be on later. I will be talking some MMA later
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: with Big Marley and look at that. Some PGA talk
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: as well, Tamba and Alex blakel So. Four shows on deck. Yeah,
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: always gotta go in at the Nation. All you gotta
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: do is hit that subscribe button notify you when we
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: go live. We got Jason Jawn, Mark, Philly Jordan, They
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: the bad Lands, Michael Warren appreciate everyone hanging out and
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: I want to shout out two people. One is Jay Bannick.
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: Absolutely crushed yesterday, high stakes crusher. He was in chat
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: and he won like forty four thousand minus a lot
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: of entry fees, but thirty thousand plus. He one great
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: day for him. Congrats to you. And then let me
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: get it was Da, I believe is what it's just
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: as in discord. Yeah, Da had himself a great night
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: as well. Let's see he had eighty four dollars and
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: fifty cents and a two thousand, three hundred and fifty
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: three dollars, so big, congrats to you and went freed
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: Hunter Brown stacked the Tigers and then he Mini stacked
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: the d Backs, Fernandez going deep twice. Min Price got
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: the job done yesterday, so hoping to run it back. Matt,
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: bring you in. How are you doing today? I'm sad
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: to talk some ball with you.
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: I'm good man.
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 2:25
  Speaker 3: I always hype for the start of baseball season, for
• 2:28
  Speaker 3: baseball season in general, I will say, just thinking about it,
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: since you commented West coast time central anytime zone, but
• 2:37
  Speaker 3: east is usually better for sports, but early baseball East
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: coast time might be the king for that. Still, you
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: know what I mean.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: That might be the Yeah, like you said, it might
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: be literally the only thing right at the end of
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: the day. I mean, I'm gonna get off the show,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna get my teams in, I'll be at the
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: gym at nine thirty and it'll all be good there.
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: So I still am not going to complain one bit.
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: But you're right that might be because otherwise the East
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: is the not low. For sure, i'd feel worse. Oh yeah,
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: i'd be a brutal.
• 3:05
  Speaker 3: And part of me is like even a little bit
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: jealous of you now that like you're just straight waking
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: up into MLB. Like I agree, you know, like that's
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: also awesome. It might not be awesome as there's as
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: the season goes on and you get sick of it,
• 3:19
  Speaker 3: but for right now, at the beginning of the season,
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: it's it's sick. So I'm with you. Fund Slate, Today
• 3:23
  Speaker 3: we got a ton of good pitching options. Feels almost
• 3:27
  Speaker 3: better than Opening Day somehow similar to Opening Day. If
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: nothing else, good matchups for some of these pitchers. High
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: ownership on a couple of guys, but hard to argue it.
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: Fund Slate to break down because I think there's some
• 3:40
  Speaker 3: good spots to target. I think there's some good hitting spots,
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: but obviously, with so many good pitching options, the premier
• 3:47
  Speaker 3: hitting spots are at a premium. So excited to break
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: it down with you, man.
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I think that's the best description right there.
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: I mean, what a massive DraftKings continues. I think it's
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: similar to yesterday's slate in the sense of, like I
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: want to spend up at pitching, maybe even more so
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: than yesterday. Like I mean, there is Miz at eight
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: point five k but like when you get to the
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: bottom and the ownership showing, people just aren't gonna go
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: dumpster diving when you have schemes Crochet Sale Sanchez, Miz,
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: Freddie Pralta, like there is big Boy Arms, which means
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: the other side, like you said, will be low team totals,
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: which then if you're at sabersim you can just go
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: to team stack sort by runs only two teams projective
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: for over five runs and then three other teams projective
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: for five point four point five or more. So I
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: do think it gets relatively condensed at BADS, but what
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: condensed if you play PGA, it's very similar to that,
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: Like Bat's ownership is spread out now twenty five percent.
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: Jesus Sanchez is chalk Like, that's just the definition of
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: chalk in baseball. If you come from the NBA streets,
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: you're seeing guys at eighty five percent some days. Obviously
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: a lot more variants in baseball. You only get four
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: at bats. Basketball a lot easier to project minutes, all
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: that good stuff. But pitching absolutely loaded, which yeah, does
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: mean there's more limited bats at least for high run totals.
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: When you have a full time job. East coasted the best.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: That definitely makes sense. Full time job, having the get
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: up right now and then go do that and I
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: get teams in and all that, that would be tough
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: for sure. Very blessed Philly, Sanchez and Gosslin. All right, yeah,
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: we'll get into it in a sec. Again, like button
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: subscribe button helped us out a ton. We always start
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: with weather, at least that's what I do. I look
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: at Kevin Roth's weather stuff on prop finder that is
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: his new location. Shout out to Roth doing the people
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: or helping the people out. So two games on this
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: late that he has yellow orange. The first is the
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: Pirates in the reds. He said it should start dry.
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: The radar gets acted pretty quickly, increasing chance for delay
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: as the game goes on. No promises it finishes. That
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: still kind of sounds promising for schemes though, as the
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: game goes on. So I'm going to act like, right
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: now that game's fined Matt's Cardinals a tight window between
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: early afternoon storms and the late afternoon storms. With the
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: you get it done a late start or delay as possible.
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: They'll want to check back yellow Orange. I usually don't
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: get too concerned with yellow oranges. So we're gonna talk
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: like all ten games do play, but always monitor it
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: as yeah, whether the last thing you want is a
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: zero in your lineups when it's all said and done.
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: Any others. Before we get into the pitching.
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: Well, as far as weather goes, I do feel usually
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: a little bit more comfortable with day games, just because
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: they have so much more time to get the games
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  Speaker 3: in and less obviously the weather is just so bad,
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: which if that is the case, usually the game just
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: gets postponed anyways, So feel pretty good about these games
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: getting in now. You could say that maybe a couple
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: of the pitching options are riskier than others, and I
• 6:39
  Speaker 3: wouldn't argue that, but as of now I'm going to
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: play it straight up and just presume that both games
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: are good to go. Still a couple of hours to lock,
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: so things could change. The other thing I like about
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: is slate though. Usually when we have these afternoon slates,
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: first games at twelve, oftentimes the last games at four
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: or three. I like how today it's not exactly a
• 7:00
  Speaker 3: sprint splight, but I believe the last games at like
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: two to twenty, so only a couple hour window in
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: between the first and last game, which is nice.
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: Oh, absolutely, that's a great call, something I always look
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: at for sure. And yeah, right here, baseball lineups do
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: come out a lot earlier. We should have before the
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: twelve to fifteen start. I'm assuming I'm hoping all twenty
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: lineups are in. You can see the last start to twenty.
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  Speaker 2: Like you said, only a two hour window, two hours
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: and five minutes to be exact, which you'll love to
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: see it for sure. Get those teams in then you
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: can go about your day and yeah, just keep looking
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: at the phone seeing who's hitting a home run. All right,
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: let's dive into pitching. I'm gonna say we'll go eight
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: point five k up today, just because I mean it
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: is so loaded again, I think it's gonna be a
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: pretty quick talk and we go eight point two k
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: in below. I'm expecting some of these guys to put
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: up twenty five plus, kind of like we said yesterday,
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: and there was I mean you freed Hunter Brown, there
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: was names that at Otani, names that did get there
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: for sure and up top, and I'm expecting that as
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: well today. I think these pitchers, still I said it yesterday,
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: probably five hundred to eight hundred dollars underpriced. Still Fande
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: has done a better job to start the year with pricing,
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: and there's always enough cheap bats to make it work.
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: So I definitely plan on spending up. And wow, there's
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: a lot of good options. Eight point five k, miz
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: who had a great, great opening day all the way
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: up to Chris Sale at nine point nine k take
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: it away. I don't know if you want to go
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: bottom the top, top to bottom, how you want to
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: do it, but let's hear it.
• 8:26
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll just talk them. Each guy throw is kind
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: of how I see ownership playing out. And I will
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: say there is one guy that's not necessarily cheap, but
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: below that eight point two range that I do have
• 8:37
  Speaker 3: a lot of interest in But to your point, it's
• 8:40
  Speaker 3: really hard to spend down at pitching simply because of
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: the opportunity cost up top, Like, you're not just fading
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: one to two elite pitchers, you're fading three, four, five
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: of them, and it's likely a couple of them have
• 8:54
  Speaker 3: real big games. Now, the guy I like that's cheaper,
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: I think can match the top guys, So we'll see.
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: But starting up top, it's hard to see Chris Saale
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: not being the highest known pitcher on the slate. Just
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: a DFS king guy who has elite upside every time
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: he steps on the hill facing an athletics team that
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: we know likes to strike out. We saw what happened
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: in their first series against Toronto. Gousman and Cease I
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: think had eleven and twelve, and then Eric Lower had nine.
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: So you get Sale here, who's coming off like a
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: kind of rough for him opening start, even though he
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: was still really good. I think he's the best pitcher
• 9:37
  Speaker 3: on the slate in a really good spot, and ownership
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: will be there. I don't think you have to play
• 9:42
  Speaker 3: him because they're such good pitching on this slate, but
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: he looks like the top dog to me. I think
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: Christopher Sanchez is probably next in a really good matchup
• 9:51
  Speaker 3: against Washington. The field has kind of bought into him.
• 9:54
  Speaker 3: I've been on him for a long time. I've always
• 9:56
  Speaker 3: really liked his stuff, coming off a dominant debut in
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: his season debut, so I think going to him at
• 10:05
  Speaker 3: ninety two hundred makes a ton of sense. Again, really
• 10:08
  Speaker 3: good spot. I think the Washington lineup has some pop,
• 10:11
  Speaker 3: but much better against right handed pitching. So I think
• 10:15
  Speaker 3: Sanchez is likely to come in as the second highest,
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: maybe the third highest, because I think that ownership will
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: be fluid after sale. I think Sale will be the
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: highest on and then after that we'll see. I think
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: it's between Sanchez and then the next guy before I
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: let you talk talk to them. Here is Kevin Gausman,
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: one of those guys that dominated the A's in his
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: season debut. Now he gets the Rockies at home. Like,
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: I don't know what else there is to say. Really,
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: I was all over Scherzer last night and he wasn't great,
• 10:47
  Speaker 3: but he put up twenty Fantasy points and Gousman is
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: the far superior pitcher right now. Now. I do feel
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: a little bit at Gousman, like he can get in
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: his own head and he can dominate really bad matchups
• 10:59
  Speaker 3: and then can struggle in some really good ones. But
• 11:03
  Speaker 3: I'm not not playing him because of that. He looks
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: really good at nine K. Couldn't ask for a better spot,
• 11:07
  Speaker 3: and he's got strikeout upside. So all three of those
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: guys look good. And then man Skiins Crochet per whole. Like,
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: there's really good pitching options on this slate. How do
• 11:17
  Speaker 3: you see it?
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm in agreement. I think Chris Sale is the
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: sp one. I do think that this ownership I mentioned
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: yesterday with Gilbert little different situation because of Otani coming
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: down with the weather wrist. But I could see Chris
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: Sale being like thirty eight percent. And maybe I'm wrong
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: because there are so many other good pitching options. But
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: the only K prop on this late at eight and
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: a half, I mean, just he'll have run support behind him,
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: good Win equity, the best K prop. I still think
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: nine point nine K like he's close enough to Croche,
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: to Gosman Sanchez Crochet where people are gonna find the
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: money and roll with it. He is the highest projected
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: pretty much everywhere, and I have no argument there at all.
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: Number two for me, would be Gossman at nine K.
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: Like you said, I just want to pick on these
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: rocks on the road all year ninety four. I was like,
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: looking at the pitches right now that Sabersim's projecting because
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: earlier in the year it does vary a little more
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: like miz at eighty six. I want guys somewhat extended.
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: Gossman also Toronto, one of the highest run totals there,
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: should have run support. It all makes a lot of
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: sense and lines up for him. Seven and a half
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: k prop. Nothing bad to say about Sanchez. Shout out
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: to our man Hebrew Cheetah Opening Day won it with
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: Christopher Sanchez. I believe at like seven percent or something
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: wins one hundred K there. I had nothing bad really
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: to say about too many of these guys like Crochet.
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: The matchup's tough against Houston, but he's gonna be contrarian.
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: Like I'm not sure I believe that twenty eight percent
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: mark that we're showing or that we're taking the average with.
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: I think some of I would take some of this
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: off and then that would go to Sale. I don't know.
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: Skeens is the tough one in the sense of like, yeah,
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: Opening day was terrible. O'Neil Cruz got to be the
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: worst center fielder ever and just was gonna cost this
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: dude too many earned runs and stuff where it shouldn't
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: because he can't even get this love on the ball.
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: With that being said, the ultimate competitor in the sense
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: of like he wants to rebound after that matchup for
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: sure and when people aren't going to go there as
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: much seven and a half k prop there. I believe
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: he's number three on the slate. I actually might be
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: number two on the slate because he's plus one hundred
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: Gossen's plus one eleven on the over So that feels
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: like the contrarian pivot. I actually prefer him to Crochet
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: if choosing it is close, and I'm just buying into
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: the talent. I'm buying into. Yeah, that last start him
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: having a little being a little salty about it and
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: want to rebound of aaldi feels tough on this slate,
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: and then you're getting to the Freddy and the misrange.
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, man, mis pitch count was better than I expected,
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: and it was promising and his stuff is just so good.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, wouldro if had a solid game yesterday when
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: he got there. I'm always in playing him an eight
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: point five K, especially because you do get enough of
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: a discount kind of five hundred Gossman seven hundred Sanchez
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: with ownerships still showing low because of his projection, I
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: would hunt the upside. Let me see his uh his
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: k prop six and a half. Yeah, minus one oh five.
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: That's better than Freddy. That's better than It's kind of
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: close to Christopher Sanchez, like forty cents in juice, but
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: it's better than a Valdi on this late I will
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: I think I prefer Miss to Freddy just because I'm
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: looking for like twenty four plus on this late because
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: I do think some of the guys up top have
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: it or are going to get there. And I do
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: think Miss in a good game when his control is on,
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: if he's efficient, has that type of upside. But after that, yeah,
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: we're missing above Evaldi Peralta would be my least favorite.
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: But I want to live in this range primarily. I
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: think I do know who your interest will be, Matthew Boyd.
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: I mean great Weather. We'll talk about that below. AK.
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: Maybe I am wrong, but I really wanted two pitchers
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: in this range for most of my teams.
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I get it. It's hard to get away from
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: this range just because these guys are so good and
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: their strike out upside each one of them is just
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: so high. I'm with you, I think that the Crochet
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: ownership is inflated. I just have a hard time seeing
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: him be similarly owned to these other guys when he's
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: in just such a tough spot, which to me makes
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: him intriguing in tournaments. I'm with you on skeens, and
• 15:16
  Speaker 3: I have no problems with MZ or Freddie playing limited lineups.
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: I'm just not sure I'll get to either of them
• 15:22
  Speaker 3: because I think I would rather spend up or go
• 15:26
  Speaker 3: down a little bit. And there are actually two guys
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: a little bit cheaper if you want to just pivot
• 15:31
  Speaker 3: right there, that I think are viable.
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: Here is it Boyd and Kakuchi the two guys in
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: that regular win game.
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: So it's boy for sure, I think Kakuchi yes. So
• 15:40
  Speaker 3: maybe three guys and then why not Sandy al Kintara
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: here eight k in also a really good matchup at
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: home against the White Sox. Like talk about really good
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: pitcher parks against the really weak lineup and a guy
• 15:55
  Speaker 3: that I feel good about again. I like his stuff. Obviously,
• 16:02
  Speaker 3: I think he's really prime for a bounce back year.
• 16:06
  Speaker 3: I thought he looked pretty good on opening day. I'm
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: gonna take advantage of the spot, the price, and the ownership.
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: I don't think he has the upside of the guys
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: up top, but I think he can give you a
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: really really good start here at a much cheaper price
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: point and kind of get you off or get you
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: on a different build. So I'm not exactly sure how
• 16:26
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna play it, Like, I might not play him personally,
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: but I think he's definitely in play, if that makes sense.
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: And then Boyd and to a lesser extent, Kakuchi just
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: playing off the weather. I was on Boyd on opening
• 16:40
  Speaker 3: Day and he looked so good to start, and then
• 16:44
  Speaker 3: it just got shelled in that like fourth or fifth inning,
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: whatever it was. The Nats really got to him. So
• 16:50
  Speaker 3: I'm not not playing him because of that. But you know,
• 16:52
  Speaker 3: that's live, Like he's fine. I feel like I would
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: just rather go to Sandy if I'm spending down, and
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: then he's cheap enough where I could make the argument. Obviously,
• 17:02
  Speaker 3: tough spot, but he could really take advantage of the
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: weather here, So it's not that I don't like these
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: pitching options to like your original point about why you
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: want to get up top, it's just about how good
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: the guys up top are. One other guy I'll throw
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: in there that we have on ship it as number
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: two and just the pitcher rankings, and another team I
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: never mind picking on with left handed pitching is is
• 17:25
  Speaker 3: Texas Trevor Rodgers coming off a really good opening day start.
• 17:31
  Speaker 3: I just mentioned him because he clearly doesn't look as
• 17:35
  Speaker 3: good as the guy's up top, and he's not crazy cheap,
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: but he's gonna be really low owned, low owned enough
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: in my opinion, and baseball is gonna baseball, and he's
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: got good enough stuff where wouldn't shock me to see
• 17:46
  Speaker 3: him have one of the better starts of the day.
• 17:48
  Speaker 3: Now you can mention that with like everyone, and I
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: don't want to do that, but I think he was
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: at least worth shouting out yeah.
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: I mean I have the pitcher rankings up as well.
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: That definitely stood out to me. Now I use that
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: as part of my process, not end all be all.
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: That was one I kind of was like.
• 18:03
  Speaker 3: Eh, same, it's that's going to change like closer to lock.
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: Also, it's it sometimes does when lineups come out and
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: when like data keeps refreshing k props, all this run
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: totals it could so yeah, all that are our stack rankings,
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: pitcher rankings, that stuff does. Hitter rankings does update as
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: lineups come in and all of that. But yeah, again,
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: I just because it says that doesn't mean it's it's
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: it's the Bible, it's gospel whatever, like you can get
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: away from that because I'm looking right there, all right,
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: Texas is favored in this game. Four point four runs,
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: they're implied, whereas you mentioned, Uh, Sandy sure, three point
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: eight uh implied run for the White Sox. This is
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: the game. If I'm going down, though, I'm going to
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: just this win game. I mean, how often do you
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: see We say it all the time. If the winds
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: blown out and Wrigley, it has a huge impact. If
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: it's blown in heavy, it has a huge, huge impact.
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: There's no way the Cubs would be implied for three
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: point eight runs against Kakuchi at home with that lineup
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: if there was no significant weather. I'm looking right now
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: again on that prop finder where Roth is at and
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: it is forty degrees and seventeen mile an hour winds
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: blowing directly in that is very very big at Wrigley Field.
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: So Matthew Boyd and again he's the only one really
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: getting ownership down below. I'm going right back to him.
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: He busted for me. I had a bunch in the
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: opening day, seven point three k's of phenomenal price tag
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: and then yeah, I'm taking some shots on Kakuchi. He's
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: someone I always over the years. You can play him,
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: you can stack against him. I don't see myself playing
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: too many Cubs to day just because of that weather.
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: Now maybe that does bite me, but when his control
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: is on, he is tough, and the case they can
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: come four and a half K prop, which isn't great,
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: but it's juice on the over at minus one thirty seven.
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: And when you compare that to almost everyone in his
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: range and even some people higher, it's it's up there.
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: So and Boyd's I always say k prop Boyd six
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: and a half juice on the under. But for seven
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: point three K with a run total three for the Angels,
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: that obviously stands out pretty strong. So I wouldn't play
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: both together. If I'm playing one of them, I am
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: pairing them with an upper tier arm and that's my
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: way to get different to them. Probably eat a chalk
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: your staff.
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I can dig that. And I guess, like, I
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: understand why you originally didn't say Sandy at all, because
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: if you look just by projection, you're not gonna get
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: to him, because both Boyd and Kakuchi look better. But again,
• 20:30
  Speaker 3: I baseball projections are done much different to me than
• 20:34
  Speaker 3: baseball projections, And while I think pitchers are much more
• 20:38
  Speaker 3: projectable than hitters on a day to day basis, it's
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: still not close to the NBA. So I'm personally, and
• 20:45
  Speaker 3: maybe it's to my detriment, willing to give up a
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: little bit in projection to gain some on ownership or
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: if I think the field is just off a little bit,
• 20:53
  Speaker 3: so I understand, like why Sandy wasn't on your list,
• 20:57
  Speaker 3: why he's not getting owned. I just think the field
• 21:00
  Speaker 3: might be overlooking him a little bit.
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: Yeah, to be honest, it was mainly just because the
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: range she's in he was close enough to miss or
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: Boyd was below, and even Freddy and his k prop
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: was five and a half juice on the under on
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: a slate that I think you're probably gonna need at
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: ak and above twenty plus, but his pitch count's good,
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: the matchup is solid, the park's good, like I And
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: again I just actually looked he uh right. When we
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: were talking, someone bet some money. I think it was
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: five and a half plus one twenty on the over
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: something like that. Now it's plus one oh six, So
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: someone did bet his over. I'm a huge prop strikeout
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: prop guy when it comes to pitching strikeouts or how
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: you get a lot of points. And obviously if you're
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: letting up a lot of runs, your leash is shorter
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: your pitches.
• 21:48
  Speaker 3: It's all about strikeouts and home runs on DraftKings, no doubt.
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, so that's how I look at a lot
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: and not great but not terrible in this range. And yeah,
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: very low ownership and one hundred percent agree with you
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: on the projection. Giving up project for decreased ownership is
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: something you should be looking at in baseball, all right,
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: Sean love some rogers today, Jordan talking about Chris Crush
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: Davis Willie K. Might be your first time here, so
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: good to see you. I say that all the time,
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: busted for you. It's a DFS term for sure, but
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: take it however you want in your brain. That is
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: pitching on this slate, though, we will head over to
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: the Stone, one of the best tools in baseball before
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: we do so. I just want to show off again.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: So much going on right now, four shows in four
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: different sports today. NBA is going on, PGA, MLB, MMA,
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: NASCAR and NHL all going on. A lot of big
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: prizes out there. Always love golf, big boy prizes in
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: the golf street. It's a very fun sweat for multiple days.
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: If you do want to join us, you can get
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: in as low as nineteen dollars. That's five days. You
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: get all the content, so that'll get you all of
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: these sports for nineteen dollars. You get sabersim like we
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: just showed off to build one hundred and fifty teams,
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: and you get access to the Discord, the best discord community.
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: So many of these people in chat in the Discord
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: as well. I don't think there's a better deal out there.
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: If you are saying you just play MLB, you just
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: want MLB content. We do have single sport as well.
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: Single sport. You can go right there to MLB less
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: than a dollar a day if you want our content
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: over here, and again that does show stack rankings hitter rankings,
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: pitcher rankings, the slate plan every day with cores cash
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: Core on it, and the Stone a one stop shop
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: projections ownership for both sites. Of course, just twenty more
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: dollars if you want. Sabersim definitely helps build MLB teams
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: make it very easy. Again, only twenty more dollars for
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: the month, and it only gets cheaper if you are
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: build annually, if you know you'll be with us the
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: whole year. And Sabersim actually doesn't even offer single sport
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: monthly package. So if you know you're just playing MLB
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: for the whole summer and you want that, this is
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: the best deal around. All right, let's go to the
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: Stone and talk some bats again. Ten games and when
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: there's a lot of good pitchers like we have today,
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: let me zoom out real quick so we have it
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: all well and there's a lot of good pictures. That
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: means beast kind of get a little more condensed, and
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: again ownership gets spread out. But a slate like yesterday
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: felt like a lot more wide open than some of
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: these today. Like we'll get right into it. The A's
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: against Chris Sale. I mean, if you want leverage, sure
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: it's not something I'll be looking to do to get different.
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: I'd rather play Sandy by a mile or even Boyd
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: Kakuchi together, which again I'm not gonna do. But I'm
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: not playing the a's today. Did do okay yesterday? I
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: know they're in your course, so shout out to that
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: on the brave side though, one of the highest run totals.
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: Definitely gonna get some ownership against Louis Severino. So how
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: do you see them fit amongst the slate?
• 24:38
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the athletics have more a role on
• 24:41
  Speaker 3: the slate than you're giving them credit, just because of
• 24:43
  Speaker 3: how good the pitching is all over. So they're not
• 24:46
  Speaker 3: a top stack for me. I'm not gonna play them,
• 24:49
  Speaker 3: but if I were playing one fifty, I wouldn't be
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: exing them out because.
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: Would you ex anyone out in one fifty though?
• 24:55
  Speaker 3: Nah?
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: No? Yeah, if you were playing fifty, if you were
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: playing fifty teams, would you have any a.
• 25:02
  Speaker 3: If I were playing fifty, and I'm saying five.
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: Man stacks, like, of course, if you get a sprinkle
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: a two or a one or whatever, But would you
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: have any a's in a five in fifty teen five
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: man stacks? Maybe?
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: But if so, very few to your okay, so yeah,
• 25:19
  Speaker 3: but they're not even if you had one or two,
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: like you might be overweight at the field.
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: So hey, the Rockies did get the job done two
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: nights ago or whenever it was at like one percent
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: or less than one percent in the flagship. It's not
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: how often you win, it's when you win, especially when
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: you win, how much do you win, especially with all
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: these top heavy prizes, so it doesn't have to pay
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: off much. So yeah, that makes sense.
• 25:41
  Speaker 3: The intrigue for me just comes from the fact that,
• 25:42
  Speaker 3: again there's like seven aces on this slate and Sale
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: is going to be by far the highest owned, and
• 25:50
  Speaker 3: the Athletics do have home run up side, so like Sale, again,
• 25:55
  Speaker 3: I'm not going to stack the Athletics here, and my
• 25:58
  Speaker 3: strategy in MLB is usually not to stack against pitchers
• 26:02
  Speaker 3: like that, so I'm not gonna do it today. But like,
• 26:05
  Speaker 3: I think there's merit to it all. I'm trying to say,
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: like I think that they look better than some of
• 26:11
  Speaker 3: the other offenses that are facing really good pitching, and
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: you might think those offenses look better. I just think
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: the leverage angle of going against Sale makes the Athletics
• 26:20
  Speaker 3: look better.
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: That makes total sense. I mean, that's that's all we're
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: doing in baseball. It's a high variant sport. Leverage. Ownership
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: means so much in this board, more than almost any
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: So what are your thoughts on the Braves though on
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: this late.
• 26:35
  Speaker 3: Yeah, the Braves look good, you know. I think that
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: like Sevarrino has shown well, he was really good in
• 26:44
  Speaker 3: the WBC. Pretty sure he was good in his first start.
• 26:49
  Speaker 3: You know, the Braves have a good offense. I expect
• 26:51
  Speaker 3: them to be good this year. They're not like my
• 26:53
  Speaker 3: top stack on the board, but I would understand why
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: they were anyone's top stack, just because even like the
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: bad pictures on the slate aren't gas cans, they're just
• 27:04
  Speaker 3: not as good as the top guys. So there really
• 27:07
  Speaker 3: aren't any stacks that you're like, you know, feeling like
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: you just have to just load up on. And that's
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: why I think ownership is gonna be pretty spread out.
• 27:15
  Speaker 3: I think Atlanta will be at the upper end of
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: that range. I don't have any strong takes here. I'm
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: not sure if I'm personally gonna play them, but I
• 27:24
  Speaker 3: have no problem with them at all.
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: That makes sense. The Drake Baldwin I mean he's absolutely
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: been on fire, so that might elevate his ownership even
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: a little more. He was chalk yesterday, like twenty twenty
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: five percent in some contests. But I mean the thing
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: with several Reno. He doesn't miss many bats, but he
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: keeps the ball on the ground. Now, this lineup is
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: is a lineup I like one through nine. Like I
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: talked about, Dom Smith in the eight hole has pop.
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: You only can play hit one of him or Matt Olsen.
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: So when you do play Dom Smith, that's one way
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: to get different amongst your stacks. But Jorian my brave
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: stacks would have Ronald Dacunya. He just like I said,
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: a walk yesterday, a walk then turns into a stolen base.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: Right there, you have eight points. Then he gets driven
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: in by Baldwin and boom, you're cooking in the first inning.
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: As much upside as anyone in baseball, they also let
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: people down. I already saw someone in Discord saying, like
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: I swore off the Braves last year, never played them
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: at work, Like it's time to start doing that now.
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: I hope people think like that. You know what I mean,
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: You're gonna fail in baseball. You're gonna lose. You might
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: have three winning days all month in baseball, or four
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: winning days. But if you're all the way to the
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: right in first, second or third place, if you're you're
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: playing for that point one percent win equity or your threshold,
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: the ninety nine percent outcome, that's where all the money
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: is made. Like I said Rio, he said it on
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: the NBA show, he wins one hundred K. Obviously, one
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: hundred K is a lot. He could have the worst
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: MLB season all year and still probably finish in the green.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: Or he's probably gonna play over one hundred k in volume,
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: but he doesn't expect to cash zero the whole time.
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: But you are really playing when it's one hundred k
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: to thirty five to twenty to like ten or five,
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: and that was actually a good pay out tructure. Sometimes
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: it's fifty to fifteen to like ten or five. You
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: need that first place equity, and the way to get
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: there in baseball is holding hands with less people. When
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: you're jamming two chalk pitchers and the chalks deck and
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: you're getting different with two or three other spots, you
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: are parlaying me everything pretty much in your lineup to hit.
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: Whereas the mass point. I'm not doing it today. I'm
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: not advocating for it. But if you're playing the A's,
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: if the A's get there or they put up twelve runs,
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: you could have a pitcher score thirteen on this slate
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: and not even close to the optimal lineup. But because
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: you're so different and so little people did that, it
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: just might be enough. You have to be less perfect
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: that way.
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: Man, that's another really good point that you brought up to,
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: kind of piggybacking what I said. That's how top heavy
• 29:44
  Speaker 3: these prize pools are now makes it so getting different
• 29:47
  Speaker 3: just means that much more. I feel like you're preaching
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: to the choir over here. I finished eighth in that
• 29:52
  Speaker 3: big NBA Milli last week or a couple of weeks ago,
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: whatever that was, and like it was a nice payday,
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: but like it certainly wasn't a min and like, no,
• 30:01
  Speaker 3: you feel I mean not even close. Obviously you feel
• 30:03
  Speaker 3: that huge difference. So getting all the way to the
• 30:06
  Speaker 3: top is what counts. Now. Obviously there's a lot of
• 30:09
  Speaker 3: luck involved in that, but you put yourself in the
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: best position, right, and it's not that the athletics are
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: gonna come through often it's that when they do, not
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: only are they going to be low owned and the
• 30:21
  Speaker 3: field isn't playing them, they have home run upside. So
• 30:25
  Speaker 3: like you talked about with strikeouts, like when the A's
• 30:27
  Speaker 3: get there, they're not like hitting fifteen singles off of
• 30:31
  Speaker 3: Chris Sale, you know what I mean, they're hitting like
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: three bombs and then they're getting to the bullpen, which
• 30:36
  Speaker 3: isn't gonna happen often, but it could happen. So that's
• 30:40
  Speaker 3: all I'm saying.
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah, no, absolutely, and yeah eighth and the Millie. I
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: mean it's like, yeah, I'll take the payday, but man,
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: yeah you move up four or five spots even like
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: it's night and day there. So, And I'll also shout
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: out to Saber sim if you do have the Ultimate
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: package or even if the core or the starter plan,
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: when you're sorting by Saber Score, you put how many
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: people in the contest, it can actually I don't know
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: for sure if Saber Score reads how top heavy it is.
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: I know the ultimate package with the SIMS, whether you're
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: playing the highst like you upload your entries, they can
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: see what contests you're in. They know the payout structure,
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: and they do help build for that payout structure, since
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: it does change the flatter you build different teams than
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: you do with how top heavy. It is, all right,
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: nice game on the slate, the Rangers and the O's
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: pretty good total here Trevor Rodgers, Nathan Evaldi on the mound. Yeah,
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: I mean obviously like it shows Trevor Rodgers number two
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: of Valdi number eight. I always love playing Corey Seeger
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: now probably not today Lefty Lefty, but I mean the
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: homer yesterday wasn't on the slate, just an absolute monster.
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: And on the O side, Pete Lonzo also went yard
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: wasn't on the slates. This game was a little earlier
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: on the Turbo slate. But yeah, I like what I
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: see from the new O's line up, at least the
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: top half. The bottom half, I guess a little more difficult,
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: but they're cheap. They're really cheap. If you do want
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: to go double spend pitching, both of these teams are
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: they fit that build pretty well? So you have any
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: interest in either.
• 32:03
  Speaker 3: This game's interesting because on a lot of slates, neither
• 32:06
  Speaker 3: of these pitchers would be guys I'd want to pick on.
• 32:09
  Speaker 3: But because of how this slate kind of lays out.
• 32:13
  Speaker 3: I think you have to at least have some interest
• 32:15
  Speaker 3: in the Bats here, because again, Evaldi is not a
• 32:20
  Speaker 3: guy I usually ever want to pick on it. I'm
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: not saying that I'm going to go, you know, push
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: all my chips in on Baltimore here, but I'd much
• 32:26
  Speaker 3: rather use Baltimore here than basically every team facing an
• 32:32
  Speaker 3: elite pitcher, because I don't think e Ebaldi is that now.
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: Baltimore has not gone off to a great start. They're
• 32:38
  Speaker 3: striking out like twenty seven percent of the time against
• 32:40
  Speaker 3: Righty's so I'm a little bit hesitant there, but their
• 32:43
  Speaker 3: upsides real and I feel like a bunch of their
• 32:45
  Speaker 3: main guys are starting to get going. So Baltimore's stack
• 32:49
  Speaker 3: is intriguing to me here. I don't think that they
• 32:52
  Speaker 3: get a lot of ownership, and I think their upside
• 32:56
  Speaker 3: is high as far as home run equity goes. I
• 33:00
  Speaker 3: feel kind of similar about Texas, but I also at
• 33:05
  Speaker 3: some point just have to come to the realization that
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: Trevor Rogers is actually good, which I haven't yet, not
• 33:12
  Speaker 3: that I've stacked against him, I just haven't really used him,
• 33:15
  Speaker 3: and he's been good. So Texas much worse against left
• 33:19
  Speaker 3: handed pitching. I really like Nimo at the top of
• 33:22
  Speaker 3: this lineup, and they're seeing the ball well right now.
• 33:25
  Speaker 3: So like again, because of how this slate plays out
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: with so many good pitching options, I don't think the
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: Texas stack is out of play. I just don't think
• 33:35
  Speaker 3: it's likely to get there, and I probably won't play them. Baltimore,
• 33:39
  Speaker 3: I think, is in my inner circle though, like wildly
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: in play for me, haven't built my lineups yet, so
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: I'm not sure I'm gonna get there, but wouldn't be
• 33:47
  Speaker 3: surprised if I did. I like this lineup quite a bit,
• 33:50
  Speaker 3: and it's not that I think e of all these
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: gas Can, I think he's good, but Philly got to
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: him in his first start, and he's not one of
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: the five, seven, eight nine best pitchers on this particular slate,
• 34:03
  Speaker 3: which is pretty crazy.
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you on the text. I don't
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: love the O's as much as you do. I don't
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: love Texas too much, but at or at the price
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: of these guys, like it's Pete, Alonzo and Gunner above
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: five K. Otherwise it's four point three K Ward and
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: everyone else below, though, so I'd be lying if I'm
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: playing double spend pitching teams, which I do want to
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: do a lot. It fits the bill very nicely, and
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: I do prefer them over Texas. Again, Trevor Rodgers has
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: been good. I do think of all these a good
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: pitcher as well. He definitely has his blow up potential. Obviously,
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: Camden moving left field back two years ago whenever it
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: was has hurt this production a little bit. But because
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: of the pricing on the o's, I think they're more
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: of like fillers, like in the three like I do
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: mainly five threes, five to two ones. I think they're
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: mainly in the two ones or the threes that I'd
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: be good with. Again, I'm I'm playing twenty plus teams today,
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: so maybe a stack or two here. The os I
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: always trust, trust your opinion there, But they do fall
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: down the list a little bit, like we'll get into
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: this next game, and yeah it's a little chalkier, so
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: that's unfortunate. But I do like the Pirates more than
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: them in a vacuum. But again, we're talking like double
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: the ownership, so maybe I have to reconsider that a
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: little bit. But Andrew Abbot Paul Skins on the mound.
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: As far as the Pirates. What I like about him.
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: I always like great American small park playing bats in there.
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: I always like guarantee nine to eight bats. The Pirates
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: are on the road, and then Abbott doesn't miss too
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: many bats and his ground ball percentage isn't good, like, yeah,
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: you can get the ball in the air against him.
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: Some of my favorite bats, I mean, Brian Reynolds always
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: stands out in the three hole only four point two K.
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: The main appeal for them and why they are getting
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: some ownership though, is I mean, look at the prices
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: in these guys four point four K four two four
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: to one everyone else below that easily fits with double
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: spend builds. So maybe when I do do that, maybe
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: I play a schemes or I play a crochet who
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: I think might be a little more contrarian, or Freddie Peralta,
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: or I don't play at Chris Sale, and that's my way.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: I'm getting a little different. Also, I'm curiously are your
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: thoughts on this fando? I think because the wind means
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: a little more. But I do like correlating my picture
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: with my stack sometimes if I already do like the
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: picture and I like the bats, because you're just saying
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: that they're getting run support, so the win comes more likely. Again,
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: it's kind of minuscule stuff. I'm curious to hear if
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: you look at that at all. And again Fandul, because
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: the wind does mean a little more. I think there's
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: a little more merit to it. But and then the
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: Red side, I'll let you talk about it. But if Skeen's,
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: if O'Neil Cruz is doing what O'Neil Cruz does, or
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: if Skeens has that same first start, the Reds could
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: be a sneaky at no ownership. I prefer them to
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: the A's if I had to choose, but they're less
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: leverage off of the picture on the other side.
• 36:48
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think because of that, and that alone is
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: why I prefer the A's. But the dimmers is minuscule
• 36:53
  Speaker 3: because neither of them look good right like you, both
• 36:56
  Speaker 3: are very unlikely to get there, so you know what
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: you're getting into when you either of them. And if
• 37:01
  Speaker 3: you wanted to argue the Reds over the age, I
• 37:03
  Speaker 3: wouldn't like. My only argument I would be the ownership.
• 37:07
  Speaker 3: So I think we view it very similarly. I'm with
• 37:09
  Speaker 3: you on the pirates now because of ownership, as you mentioned.
• 37:14
  Speaker 3: I think that you can make the case that Baltimore
• 37:16
  Speaker 3: looks better, but on paper, I would rather have my
• 37:19
  Speaker 3: offense facing Andrew Abbott in great American small park than
• 37:22
  Speaker 3: facing Evald in Baltimore. To that point, I get it
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: makes sense. I like the Pirates lineup today. Mangum up
• 37:30
  Speaker 3: top is a guy I'm a fan of. So yeah,
• 37:33
  Speaker 3: I mean the bottom it drops off pretty hard, but
• 37:37
  Speaker 3: I could see stack in Pittsburgh here, I think they've
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: got upside guaranteed nine at bats. I go back and
• 37:42
  Speaker 3: forth on using my offense with my pitcher. I think
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: more often than not it's beneficial. Excuse me. Sometimes again,
• 37:53
  Speaker 3: rarely you'll run into the occasion where like if the
• 37:56
  Speaker 3: offense just goes too ham and goes too crazy, the
• 38:00
  Speaker 3: pitcher gets pulled earlier because they don't need him when
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: it's like a stud.
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: But again, that's like.
• 38:06
  Speaker 3: A rare occasion when they're putting up a ton of runs.
• 38:09
  Speaker 3: So I guess in that case they'll take that anyways,
• 38:11
  Speaker 3: So I don't play for win equity that much, like
• 38:15
  Speaker 3: I think playing two pitchers together, I'm a big fan
• 38:18
  Speaker 3: of just playing for that environment. But I'll still take
• 38:22
  Speaker 3: the four points when I can get him, So totally
• 38:24
  Speaker 3: makes sense to me to play your offense with your
• 38:26
  Speaker 3: pitcher if it's a tie breaker or something like that.
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah. No, again, I think it's a little more on
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: FANDO or the win equity means a little more. I
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: just yeah, what you said makes total sense. It is
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: a rare outcome. But like you said, I if the
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: Pirates do have fourteen runs through four innings, maybe Skemes
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: gets pulled at eighty four pitches instead of that. But
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: to be honest, maybe after his last start. Maybe not.
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: Then I go back you pitch in the WBC, So yeah,
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: maybe a little trying to rest his arm. But I
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: mean that's that's a very very very rare outcome. Is
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: they're only implied for four point four runs on this slate.
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: Any Reds you said no? You said no Reds.
• 39:00
  Speaker 3: Nah, And Steve's got babbit the hell out out of
• 39:03
  Speaker 3: it the first start. So like, I'm not worried about
• 39:05
  Speaker 3: him here, it's just do you want to use him
• 39:08
  Speaker 3: against a good Reds lineup in this ballpark? Yeah, with
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: some weather concerns also when we've got other really good pitchers.
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: So again I said at the beginning, I'm playing this
• 39:18
  Speaker 3: straight up, and I am, but if it's a tiebreaker,
• 39:20
  Speaker 3: I'd rather not play the guy with weather concerns for sure.
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: All right, Next game on the slates, the Nats and
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: the Phillies Christopher Sanchez Kate Cavally on the mound. The
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: Nats fall into the same bucket as the Pirates. As
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: the A's, they actually have a lower run total than them,
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: so I'd rather play both the Reds and the A's
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: of choosing over the Gnats. I do think Sanchez is
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: strong grades out well in our pitcher rankings. As far
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: as the Phillies, probably the chalkiest on the slate. We're
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: showing a bunch of ownership. Kate Cavali's no good missus.
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: No bats doesn't walk many people, so the balls are
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: always in play. And man, this Phillies lineup is elite,
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: to say the less, or it's to say yeah, to
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: say the least. To save the lest still early over here,
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: no coffee. But what I like about the Phillies is
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: I would be fine, like you can play this team
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: almost five through nine. Isn't my favorite way to do it, No,
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: I would probably like maybe skip one or two people below,
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: wrap it around Turner, schwarb or Harp or whatever. But
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: the bottom of the order like a Dolos Garcia, a JT. Realmuto,
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: Brandon Marsh Like, I'm totally good playing these guys, Bryson
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: Stott second base, shortstop eligible. It's easy to wrap around.
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: Granted they do have four outfielders. You can only play
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: three max. So if you're playing like two of them,
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: you can fill up your whole your roster with three
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: Phillies outfielders if you want. But more times than not,
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: when I'm stacking them, it'd probably be three position or
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: three infielder onesie position people and then two outfielders. But
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: the price is down below. I can double spend pitching
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: and then stacks somewhat to the bottom of the order.
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: With that being said, they're still showing to get quite
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: a bit of ownership, So I'll throw it to you
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: and let you take it away with these chalky Phillies.
• 41:01
  Speaker 3: Yeah, they're the top stack on the board from me.
• 41:03
  Speaker 3: I'm worried about ownership because they haven't been great to
• 41:06
  Speaker 3: start the year. Bryce Harper in particular, But we know
• 41:08
  Speaker 3: how good they are. Like, I'm not not playing them
• 41:10
  Speaker 3: because they haven't been great. Through five games or whatever.
• 41:13
  Speaker 3: So yeah, they look really really good here. I do
• 41:17
  Speaker 3: think that. Again I mentioned at the beginning they look good,
• 41:21
  Speaker 3: but Toronto looks good, Atlanta looks good. I think ownership
• 41:25
  Speaker 3: does get spread around. Philly will be the highest zoned
• 41:28
  Speaker 3: most likely, but I think there are ways to get
• 41:29
  Speaker 3: different with it, as you mentioned, using guys at the
• 41:32
  Speaker 3: bottom that won't be as highly owned. They look good here.
• 41:35
  Speaker 3: Cavali isn't a complete gas Can, but on this slate
• 41:39
  Speaker 3: he's way down in the rankings. Philly's got a great lineup,
• 41:43
  Speaker 3: big power upside. I'm with you here, they look really good.
• 41:48
  Speaker 3: I think that playing them is totally in play in
• 41:50
  Speaker 3: all formats. Just know that if you play them in tournaments,
• 41:52
  Speaker 3: maybe you want to get a little bit different elsewhere,
• 41:55
  Speaker 3: although I don't really think you need to play it
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: that way, Like this isn't the type of slate. It's
• 42:00
  Speaker 3: like Phillies in Colorado, and they're gonna be that highly owned.
• 42:03
  Speaker 3: They'll just be the highest one on this particular slave,
• 42:05
  Speaker 3: which I'm fine eating that. So with you there, and
• 42:09
  Speaker 3: the Nationals aren't the team I want to get to,
• 42:12
  Speaker 3: So yeah, we see this game very similarly.
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: How would you compare jumping into the next game Kyle
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: Kyle Frielan Kevin Gossman, the Blue Jays and the Rockies.
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: Blue Jays also like, if you're looking at these two
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: one hundred and one total ownership eighty nine for the
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: Blue Jays, maybe, I mean, it's hard to predict predict ownership,
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: so it might be a little closer. But two of
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: the chalkier teams, there's no doubt about that. Who would
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: you prefer and why, and then breakdown the Blue Jays,
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: But them versus Philly is important.
• 42:41
  Speaker 3: It's really close. I think both of these teams on
• 42:43
  Speaker 3: paper look like the top two stacks on the board.
• 42:47
  Speaker 3: I think there's a drop off after them. And if
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: ownership isn't gonna be if ownership is gonna really be
• 42:53
  Speaker 3: kind of spread out like it's showing everywhere, then I
• 42:56
  Speaker 3: think playing both those teams makes a lot of sense
• 43:00
  Speaker 3: with ownership as I'm seeing it, and I do think
• 43:03
  Speaker 3: that Philly ends up being the highest owned. Maybe I
• 43:06
  Speaker 3: leaned at Toronto. Freeland is certainly a guy I never mind,
• 43:11
  Speaker 3: I never mind picking on and I like the Toronto
• 43:14
  Speaker 3: lineup today, So yeah, I think both are wildly in playing.
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: I don't have a really strong lean. I'm not sure
• 43:20
  Speaker 3: if you do, but I guess because of ownership, give
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: me Toronto in a one v one there. Uh, their
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: entire lineup looks in play here. I Likeezu Sanchez made
• 43:30
  Speaker 3: it against the lefty. You got David Schnyder hitting second,
• 43:34
  Speaker 3: Akamoto hitting clean up. He was a monster in Japan,
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: so like I'm expecting big things from him in the
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: USA and hitting clean up against Kyle Freeland with lad
• 43:46
  Speaker 3: hitting in front of you, Like, you can't get much
• 43:49
  Speaker 3: better spots in a much better spot than that. So
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: I'm in on Toronto. I also like Philly a lot.
• 43:53
  Speaker 3: I don't have a strong lean. I do think that
• 43:55
  Speaker 3: like between them and Atlanta, who we started the show
• 43:58
  Speaker 3: with or started the the offensive breakdown way, I think
• 44:01
  Speaker 3: these two look a lot better personally.
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with that. I'd pick Phillies if I
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: had to choose my favorite stack, but at ownership it's yeah,
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: You're It's really close. I think I just prefer the
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: bottom of the order a little more than I do
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: the top of the order for the Phillies than the
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: Blue Jays, but it's definitely close. They're both cheap, like
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: outside of two guys pretty much on or three guys
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: for the Phillies, two guys for the Blue Jays. It's
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: easy to double spend if you're mixing in the bottom
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: of the order on both these teams. But again, you're
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: mixing the bottom of the order, it gets a little
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: less chalky. However, then you're kind of when you're still
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: playing that chalky team. If you're five manning on playing
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: the bottom of the order, you're really still hoping that
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: like the vlad and the Springers don't get there, because
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: if they do, people will have plenty of Blue Jay
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: stacks with them, and then you're kind of uphill climbing
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: from there the next game. The Marlins and the White
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: Sox Shane Smith Sandy, I'll contra on the mound. Sandy
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: does look good on uh elkin ta excuse me? Does
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: look good on are Pitcher rankings number five and yeah,
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: you liking him and Sandy right there? Limits my I
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: don't like the White Sox too much. I will say
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: I do like the Marlins, though the prices are solid
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: for him, the run totals not great, the ownerships mediocre.
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: Shane Smith had a brutal opening day like he was
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: solid last year, he's not. He was better than I
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: expected for a White Sox staff that was terrible, as
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: many know. But his stuff's not bad. But he gives
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: up a lot of fly balls. And this lineup I
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: don't think is terrible for the Marlins. I think Mars
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: at the top looks good. Augusta Ramirez is one of
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: the better young catchers. He's got a lot of pop.
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: Oh he's not in the lineup today. Shoot, I don't
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: mind Liam Hicks, but oh there's no Ramirez.
• 45:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that sucks. My first dummy lineup had him not
• 45:48
  Speaker 3: happy about that. But they're a little bit cheaper.
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: I guess they are cheaper for sure. I mean it's
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: still one who don't I like probably just eight and nine. Otherwise,
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: like the numbers, not like Norby. You can play them
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: at first base or third base, Edwards at second, Otto, Lopez, short, Hicks,
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: that catcher. They fill out positions really nicely, and outside
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: of Mars, they're not expensive one bit. So it fits
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: what I'm trying to do really well. I'm gonna say it.
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: Marlin's are one of my favorite sacks on the slate,
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: with all things considered, since I do want to spend
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: up at pitching. Uh yeah, that's uh. It's worse without Ramirez,
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: but it got cheaper and Liam Hicks a solid himself
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: as well. So yeah, what are your thoughts on the
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: Marlins and the White Sox.
• 46:30
  Speaker 3: I'm might take it a step farther than you. The
• 46:32
  Speaker 3: Marlins are my favorite Sack.
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: Let's go.
• 46:34
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I love them. Here Shane Smith, you weren't the
• 46:38
  Speaker 3: only one surprise by him last year because he was
• 46:41
  Speaker 3: a Rule five draft pick in it was like late
• 46:45
  Speaker 3: in twenty twenty four. He's only the second guy ever
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: to make the All Star Team being a Rule five
• 46:50
  Speaker 3: draft pick like the next year, Like what an anomaly?
• 46:52
  Speaker 3: I don't expect that to continue. The White Sacks have
• 46:55
  Speaker 3: an awful bullpen. I wish Ramirez were in here, but
• 46:59
  Speaker 3: I don't even think it matters. And this is one
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: where I'm glad you brought it up. I'm fine playing
• 47:04
  Speaker 3: one through nine in this lineup because it's not like
• 47:06
  Speaker 3: I love the eight nine hitters or seven eight nine hitters.
• 47:09
  Speaker 3: But it's also not like I love the top of
• 47:11
  Speaker 3: the lineup either. This is more a play against Shane
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: Smith and the White Sox bullpen, So I'm fine playing
• 47:17
  Speaker 3: any of the above. I don't think you have to
• 47:19
  Speaker 3: play the bottom of the lineup, but I'm cool shoving
• 47:22
  Speaker 3: my chips in per se a little bit with Miami here.
• 47:25
  Speaker 3: You can play them with anyone. Ownership won't be crazy
• 47:27
  Speaker 3: at all. I like them a lot.
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: Let's go, I know, White Sox for you, since you
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: liked some Alcantara. Yeah.
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: Like, I might not play a ton of Sandy, but
• 47:38
  Speaker 3: I'm not gonna stack the White Sox against him here.
• 47:40
  Speaker 3: He's I respect him too much and there's just other
• 47:43
  Speaker 3: spots I'd rather get to.
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: Sounds good, all right. Next game on the slates, Freddy
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: prawl to Matthew Libertor, the Cards and the Mets. If
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: Freddy didn't have the best opening day, got but he
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: battled back. He was impressive that way, which you love
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: to see. As far as the Cardinals with Libertor got
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: the south paw on the mound, another guy that does
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: not miss many bats. The balls are in play, but
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: a way better ground ball rate to lefties than the righties,
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: So mainly want to focus on the righties. If playing
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: the Mets, looking at ownership, they're not showing too much,
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: so we don't have this lineup out yet is what
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: I'm seeing, still not showing that it's out, but our
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: projected lineup only has one lefty and Jan Soto and
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: the rest righties, which you like to see. And if
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: this is the projected lineup for anyone that's been following
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: me for any bit of time, they know I get
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: hard over Tyrone Taylor, an ex brewer, and the nine
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: hole man that's my cheapie. If he is in there,
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: it just makes this lineup, like Luis Robert adole Viento's
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: Francisco said, this lineup's insane, Like I get signed me
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: up for these Mets. If they're only going to roll
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: out one lefty in that being Je Soto one through nine,
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: it's guaranteed ninth in at bats. I do believe this
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: was the Yeah, this is one of the weather concerns
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: though yellow orange, so I'm hoping it does play to
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: what Ross says. But the Mets are up there. If
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: they're going to be half the ownership or I guess
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: maybe two fifths of the ownership is the Blue Jays
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: as maybe the Braves as the Phillies. I think the
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: Mets are a team I want to get exposure to
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: and looking at it, Juan Soto six to three, and
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: then the door five to one and everyone else. This
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: cheat that kind of does just bring back to like
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: double spending a pitcher is too easy. They're under priced
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: from five hundred to eight hundred dollars in my opinion,
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: and these bats continue to be mispriced, so it makes
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: it easy to do so, Luis Robert four point six K.
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, I would over spending in baseball is
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: totally good because it takes one swing in the bat.
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I like the Mets one through nine. What
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: about you?
• 49:44
  Speaker 3: I think you like the Mets a little bit more
• 49:46
  Speaker 3: than me. It sounds like you like them. How I
• 49:48
  Speaker 3: like Baltimore, but I got arguments with it, and one
• 49:51
  Speaker 3: thing I like about them just from like a DFS perspective,
• 49:54
  Speaker 3: it doesn't mean anything. They were chalky last night and
• 49:56
  Speaker 3: let down today. They're not going to be owned, and
• 49:58
  Speaker 3: they're not facing a good picture. They're just kind of
• 50:01
  Speaker 3: falling through the cracks a little bit. I think they'll
• 50:03
  Speaker 3: get some ownership, so like they won't be like the
• 50:06
  Speaker 3: Athletics or Reds or Nationals, but you know that, like
• 50:09
  Speaker 3: they're gonna be owned, but they're not gonna be as
• 50:11
  Speaker 3: owned as the Blue Jays and Phillies, and I could
• 50:13
  Speaker 3: see why you like them close to as much as
• 50:16
  Speaker 3: those other teams. And if that's the case, why not
• 50:19
  Speaker 3: play them because they're not gonna be as highly owned.
• 50:21
  Speaker 3: So I get that. I think that lineup does look good.
• 50:23
  Speaker 3: Certainly the one Lefty Soto more than fine playing him
• 50:26
  Speaker 3: against lefty, especially if you're stacking them. You expect, you know,
• 50:30
  Speaker 3: libratory to not have a long outing and Saint Louis's
• 50:32
  Speaker 3: bullpen is not good. So yeah, I could definitely get
• 50:35
  Speaker 3: on board with the Mets here. I think big upside
• 50:37
  Speaker 3: at ownership levels that I'm very comfortable with. So I
• 50:41
  Speaker 3: like that call a lot. The Saint Louis side I'm
• 50:44
  Speaker 3: not really interested in. I think your point about Peralta
• 50:47
  Speaker 3: is exactly what I was gonna say. Gave up that
• 50:49
  Speaker 3: first inning bomb to Brandon Low, then battled, and that's
• 50:52
  Speaker 3: what you'll get from a guy like him when he
• 50:54
  Speaker 3: doesn't have his best stuff. So I don't love him today,
• 50:58
  Speaker 3: but I'd much rather use him than stack the Cardinals.
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: I agree. Now, the Cardinals do look good in our
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: hit A rankings ownership and they're very cheap, so I
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: was gonna say, I think you can do worse as
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: far as mini stacks and that. Like I always like
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: Alec Burlson. He's got pop, he's got the platoon advantage.
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: JJ Weatherholt at second base leading off Herrera in the
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: two spot, fills out a catcher spot. Win fiells out
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: shortstop like they fill out a lot of onesie positions
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: for cheap, so they fit a lot of two to ones.
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: Like again, I'm not five man sacking as much. If
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: I had a five man stack, any team that had
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: a like the Cardinals, the a's all that it probably
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: is the Cardinals. Now, it's not for the leverage aspects,
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: since Freddie will be a lot lower owned. I just
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: think it's most likely to happen and ownership is so low.
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean they look decent in the hitter rankings. Again,
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: hoping this game does play. It should right now, but
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: monitor what Ross says. But yeah, I like the Mets.
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: I definitely do like the Mets. Yep, Aaron again prop
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: finder for Roth. He has a yellow orange right now.
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: Yellow orange usually means that the game does play, but
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: possible delay. Uh and monitor what did he say?
• 52:06
  Speaker 3: Then you feel better about the bats anyways, Like.
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel better about the bats for sure. A
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: late started delay is very possible. So yeah, and again,
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: like you said, the day games, it's easier to get
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: in all right. Next game on the slate the Brewers
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: and the Rays. Drew Rasmussen Jacob Mazarowski on the mound
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: ownership not really going to either side. Rasmussen is not
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: a guy. Just really pick on, keeps the ball in
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: the ground, doesn't walk guys you do like I do,
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: like the Brewers against righties more than lefties because some
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: of their best bats to rang Yelich, I mean, look
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: at look at how many lefties the Brewers are throwing
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: out today, only two righty's, which you love to see
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: Brewers play. Obviously, that's where's any Brewers stuff up here? Well,
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: I guess not. I guess not, but yeah, Brewer fan
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: over here. I love that they got the lefties. I
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: love that they play small ball, but it's also hard
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: because outfield, outfield, outfield, outfield, outfield or first base. I'll
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: let you talk about them. I don't pick on Rasmussen
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: too much, even though he falls down the list in
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: the pitcher rankings stacking against Miz. I think as almost
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: you're just stacking against his control, hoping he's wild. He
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: walks guys, and then one hit you make a mistake.
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: But the Rays are not a place I'm going to today.
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: Curious to hear your take on the Brewker though.
• 53:25
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so I'm kind of with you all around here,
• 53:27
  Speaker 3: Like as far as this slate low, the slate goes,
• 53:30
  Speaker 3: I would stack Milwaukee before I would play Rasmussen like easily,
• 53:34
  Speaker 3: but he's not a guy I'm going out of my
• 53:36
  Speaker 3: way to pick on you mentioned it keeps the ball
• 53:39
  Speaker 3: on the ground. The intrigue just comes from Milwaukee's lineup.
• 53:42
  Speaker 3: They're good, they run, they got power. I think you
• 53:45
  Speaker 3: could stack them on most days when they're not facing
• 53:47
  Speaker 3: an elite pitcher, and I don't think today's any exception.
• 53:50
  Speaker 3: I just don't think they stand out and they don't
• 53:51
  Speaker 3: look as good as the Toronto's, the Phillies, those teams,
• 53:55
  Speaker 3: but ownership is gonna be way lower, so I could
• 53:58
  Speaker 3: see like planning my flag on Milwaukee today. I don't
• 54:03
  Speaker 3: think I'm personally gonna do that, but I wouldn't have
• 54:05
  Speaker 3: an issue if anyone or you wanted to do that.
• 54:07
  Speaker 3: I think they've shown that they can get there against
• 54:10
  Speaker 3: basically anyone, especially a guy who's not an elite pitcher,
• 54:13
  Speaker 3: when we've got a bunch of those guys on this slate.
• 54:15
  Speaker 3: As far as the other side of this game, I
• 54:18
  Speaker 3: would rather use Mizerowski than play the Rays. So not
• 54:21
  Speaker 3: gonna get to Tampa here. Miss is in the pool.
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: For sure, agreat with a we're lockstep on that game.
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: Let's go to the Astros. In the Red Sox, gare
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: Crochet and Mike Burrows on the mound. I'll let you
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: go first in this one. Any interest in either side
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: which would be I mean, I assume Red Sox more
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: likely than the Astros, but both are going to be
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: low owned, no doubt about that.
• 54:42
  Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely more interested in in the Red Sox than
• 54:45
  Speaker 3: the Astros. Interestingly enough, Burrows was like kind of popular
• 54:48
  Speaker 3: and opening day against the Angels, not gonna get any
• 54:50
  Speaker 3: love today. I'm more on the Boston side. I think,
• 54:54
  Speaker 3: after you know, they got dominated by McCullers and Hunter Brown,
• 54:59
  Speaker 3: maybe a breath of fresh air facing Burrows here. I
• 55:02
  Speaker 3: still like this Red Sox lineup. It's hard not to
• 55:05
  Speaker 3: be a little bit down on them based on how
• 55:07
  Speaker 3: the start of the season's gone. But kind of to
• 55:09
  Speaker 3: what you said about Atlanta earlier, like if people aren't
• 55:12
  Speaker 3: gonna play them, it's only been five games. Like their
• 55:15
  Speaker 3: lineup is still really really good. They've got power and
• 55:19
  Speaker 3: speed up and down. I like Boston here. I'm kind
• 55:22
  Speaker 3: of talking myself into them more. They're expensive the guys
• 55:25
  Speaker 3: you want, so it's gonna be hard to get to.
• 55:27
  Speaker 3: But maybe that's where you flip the build a little
• 55:29
  Speaker 3: bit and use one of the cheaper pitchers. And if
• 55:31
  Speaker 3: Boston scores ten runs with a few home runs, that's
• 55:34
  Speaker 3: who you're gonna need. So they're on my short list
• 55:37
  Speaker 3: for sure. As bad of a spot as it is
• 55:40
  Speaker 3: for Crochet, there's almost never gonna be a spot where
• 55:45
  Speaker 3: I'd rather stack against Crochet than use Crochet, except for
• 55:49
  Speaker 3: when he's just getting crazy ownership for some reason and
• 55:52
  Speaker 3: there's some weird reason would have to happen, and today
• 55:55
  Speaker 3: is no different. Like, even in this tough spot, give
• 55:58
  Speaker 3: me the Crochet side over the Houston side, even though
• 56:01
  Speaker 3: I probably personally won't play Crochet.
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, very easy. I think if you're playing Chalk your
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: teams and you want to go Crochet as a pivot
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: is totally fine, but he does fall down the list
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: is compared to other spends. In my opinion, we did
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: just get that Mets order or lineup, and yeah, it's
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: all nine of these guys are in Tyrone. Taylor's in
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: the nine hole like I wanted to see. You love
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: to see that. Roberts in the five hole though, so
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: the order is a little different here, but it is
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: all nine guys. I definitely like the Mets myself. Like
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: I mentioned, nothing really more to add here. I'd rather
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: play the Red Sox and the Astros. I'd rather play
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: Crochet than the than the Strows. Not playing Burrows do.
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: I love the Red Sox, though not really like the
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: Marlin to be honest, I like the Brewers more who
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: we just talked about throwing seven lefties against Rasmustin more
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: So that's what I got there. Last game of the
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: Nights the Cubs and the Angels, or the day I
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: should say, Kokuchi and Matthew Boyd on the mound. Again.
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: This is if you're coming in late forty degrees at
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: rig Lee seventeen mile an hour win blowing in and
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: this is the park that impacts or is impacted the most,
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: whether the wins are going in or out, so I
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: rarely play regular games with weather blown in weather blowing in.
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: I think Matthew Boyd is a solid option down blow
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: will get some ownership. Kakuchi if I had to take
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: a flyer again, with how loaded pitching is on how
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: miss Price's bats are, I'm probably don't even go there.
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: But if I had to pick one guy really cheap,
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: it'd be him. But yeah, I guess I guess Cubs
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: if anyone, since Kakuchi really can get blown up. But man,
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: it is hard to play bats in this win game.
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: So maybe you can talk me into something.
• 57:41
  Speaker 3: No, I can't really I think that. You know, we
• 57:45
  Speaker 3: kind of said it when we talked about pitching, like
• 57:46
  Speaker 3: the weather is just so so pitcher friendly here, it's
• 57:50
  Speaker 3: hard to make a case for stack stacks on either side.
• 57:54
  Speaker 3: It would be the Cubs.
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: I guess.
• 57:55
  Speaker 3: The only thing I'll say is, I remember, especially at
• 57:58
  Speaker 3: the beginning of the year last year, the Cubs were
• 58:00
  Speaker 3: in a bunch of really tough weather spots and got there,
• 58:02
  Speaker 3: like their lineups different. Now, I know they had Kyle
• 58:05
  Speaker 3: Tucker last year, but they still got guys like their
• 58:07
  Speaker 3: lineups good and they run so like maybe if Kakuchi's
• 58:12
  Speaker 3: just off putting guys on base, Cubs could still score
• 58:15
  Speaker 3: a bunch of runs here, even if it's without as
• 58:16
  Speaker 3: many home runs. So maybe you think about using them
• 58:19
  Speaker 3: as like minis. I'm not gonna do that because I
• 58:23
  Speaker 3: respect Kahouchi enough, especially in weather like this, but he
• 58:26
  Speaker 3: is volatile to your original point about him, So yeah, Like,
• 58:30
  Speaker 3: I don't think the Cubs are the worst player in
• 58:32
  Speaker 3: the world, especially with no one on them. But again,
• 58:36
  Speaker 3: it's the type of thing where you know what you're
• 58:38
  Speaker 3: signing up for and you know that in this weather
• 58:40
  Speaker 3: it's not likely to get there.
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: No adlely for Baltimore. Does that change anything for you?
• 58:47
  Speaker 3: Nah? I mean makes it almost easier to stack than
• 58:50
  Speaker 3: with just Pisio in there. I love their lineup today,
• 58:52
  Speaker 3: So beside was a stud I'm in on Baltimore.
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: Let's go that is all ten games on the slates.
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: Always good talking some baseball with you, Matt first show.
• 59:02
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• 59:05
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• 59:07
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• 59:09
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• 59:12
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• 59:17
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• 59:20
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• 59:23
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• 59:25
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• 59:30
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• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: always good talking some baseball with you. Any final thoughts
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: before we get on on here.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 3: No great first MLB show, look forward to doing more
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 3: with you. Fun, slate to break down and let's ship it.
• 1:00:35
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