Latest / Disguised Coverage / Inside Bills vs Broncos: X's & O's, Preview, Stock Up.Down, & more | DC

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Inside Bills vs Broncos: X's & O's, Preview, Stock Up.Down, & more | DC · Disguised Coverage

0:00
It's thirty eight. All bills can win. In here, Wake puts it
0:03
down, the kick is on the way and dock m the bell good one?
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How the hell that one home? How one? They were a party
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one not party y? Incredible? Why not combat by my bell? Jacksonville's
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perfect record on the line right here, quick kicking, look excited. Touchdown
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Kyle Williams touchdound amazing, unbelievable. They puttied william Who's has to full back
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and he scores a touchdown. It's wealthier to face tackle. What's good?
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Folks, Family, friends, loved ones, enemies, friendemies, Wizards which
1:21
is Muggles, mud bloods, people of Middle Earth to another episode of disguised
1:23
coverage, the only podcast in existence that gives you an equal amount of blueberries
1:26
in each muffin and is presented by the best pizza in Buffalo, New York.
1:30
That is One Pie Pizza. You can find the online menu in the
1:33
episode show notes, whether here on YouTube or whichever podcasting app or platform you
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are listening to this show on. I'm your host, Anthony. Find me
1:41
on Twitter at pro Underscore Underscore ant that's pro two Underscores a n T.
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In tonight's episode of Disguised Coverage, we are going inside the matchup for the
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Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos coming up in week ten, Monday Night Football.
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Front half of the show, we will be diving into the x's and o
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is, the matchup pieces, the hows and whys of this matchup, and
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breaking down what will matter most and again the most important piece of that the
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house and the whys. On the back end of this episode, as this
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tradition, here going to dive into the game tape from Cincinnati Bengals. Got
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several pieces that myself and Eric will be breaking down in the film room tomorrow
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night, but several pieces that we won't be hitting on tomorrow. I'm going
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to be diving into here on this show from a stock up and stock down
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perspective. Again, for those who don't know, but I'm pretty sure everyone
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does, the Bills lost to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week nine, but there
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were some positives that came out of it along with a bunch of negatives.
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So we're going to dive into the tape on the back end of that add
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some context and perspective to a bunch of it. But as I said,
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front half of this episode as we do here is going to be focused on
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the Bills and Broncos matchup, the X's and OS preview, and anything and
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everything from a matchup and schematic perspective to really again put this matchup in this
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game into context, to preview and decide what will decide this game in terms
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of winners and losers and why. And to do that, I bring on
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my guests here. Raoul, somebody who Joe I told you this offline.
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I'm gonna say to everybody out here, in the ether and in existence,
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you're my go to guy for Broncos stuff. I don't even remember. I
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know we like followed each other, like randomly, maybe like a couple of
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years ago. But you're a film guy, you know advanced metrics and status.
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You got a good head on your shoulders. I gravitate towards the type
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of content you produce and how you break down the game and see it,
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and just how objective and thorough your analysis is. So I had you earmarked
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the whole time, even though I got to reached out a little bit late,
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like we were talking about offline. So I appreciate you taking the time.
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I respect your work. Thank you for joining me and welcome to the
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show. I that was quite the intro. Thank you. I really appreciate
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it. Yeah. No, likewise, like you're somebody that I follow just
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because you're you're very objective and you're very thorough and yeah, I thrive on
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that, and I try to keep up with all the other teams. So
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the people that are like that are the people I gravitate towards. So I
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appreciate it. Yeah, hell yeah. And I always tell everybody on the
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show, like if even if you're just a Bills fan, you're not a
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football fan, it's important that you stay up on every other team because every
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other team is your enemy. And you're a great one for anything and everything.
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Denver Broncos real quick. Oh you got a shout out already. Rieman
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here says you have a great beer. You do have a great beer.
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Yes, it is absolutely tremendous. I love it. Other comment I wanted
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to bring up so Roy here says, holy crap, we get two trees.
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So Joe, I'm a big to give you a little background here,
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I'm big into Christmas. I tried to convince the wife to leave our Christmas
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tree up all year round about like two or three years ago. I lost
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that battle. But my idea was you leave it up all year round,
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and you change ornaments in garland based on whatever holiday is going on in that
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month. So for February, yep, it's all hearts and red, it's
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a Valentine's Day tree. Come April it's all pastels and eggs. It's an
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Easter. It's an Easter tree. All that. I lost that battle,
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but what she did was a little, you know, compromise. She got
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me this little tree that stays up all year round, and I change the
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garland based on the theme or holiday of that month. But come November I
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started to bring out the bigger Christmas tree, still decorated for Fall, but
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then it gets more Christmasy as we get towards Christmas. Roy recognizes the tree
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every week. I appreciate him for it. It's a big thing. I'm
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very into the tree as I am, you know, with the fall to
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core, But that's all the wife. She changes all everything is. They're
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pumpkin there, fall there, Now they're pumpkin up there. There's a little
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like Fallish themed truck up there. That's all the wife. But yeah,
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this show is really just so I can do have the trees and then have
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the background. Everything else is secondary and ancillarry forth it. Yeah yeah,
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yeah, Oh. I like what Joe says here, Anthony's ending up doing
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the show from a pine forest. I might, I might just add more
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trees and I'm just gonna look like I'm in a real yeah, fir tree,
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pine tree forest the week before Christmas. Just yeah, camp out right
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now, I just do I should do all trees. Everyone's be like,
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where the hell is he speaking of? Where the hell I am? The
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Broncos, where they are, where they sit? Winners of Too Straight against
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the Green Bay Packers and the Kansas City Chiefs, and then had a bye
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week this past week. In Week nine, a team that started out fashion
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three losses in a row, including a game they kind of gave away to
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Washington, and then they got, you know, give up seventy in Miami
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in a game that I don't want to say put the Dolphins on the map.
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A kind of further the notion that the Dolphins are world beaters just with
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how they smack Denver. But they've kind of righted the ship a little bit.
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They beat Kansas City, they play a Taylor Swift song as they're doing
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handshakes and Kansas City's leaving, which I think is fantastic and also again kind
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of you know, they had a bit of an ugly loss a couple of
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weeks before in Kansas City, but again they win to in a row.
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They beat Kansas City at home, they have the bye week. What's the
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temperature of this team? Where do they sit? Are things starting to click?
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Is it not? And their last two wins are a facade? What's
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your analysis and take on where the Denver Broncos currently sit right now? It's
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kinda there's a there's a long answer to short answer, and I think the
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long answer is essentially they kind of got lucky in that they caught the Packers.
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The Packers are a mess and they kind of are just kind of stumbling
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through the season to be on us, like they're really injury plagged and granted,
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you know, credit to Denver forgetting the win because they definitely dropped the
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ball a couple of times against like the Raiders. They got the Raiders in
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Week one. I don't know how they lost that game. The only reason
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they beat the Bears is because Jonathan Cooper had a scooping score in that game
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they lost. That game was that game was peak, Like Bears are just
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throwing everything away like that. I just didn't Yeah, it's just brutal.
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And again, like that's been kind of the season is it's just felt like
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Denver's found a way to lose to the point where at one point I thought
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Sean Payne was tanking and just kind of like secretly throwing games without like kind
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of anyone catching on. But uh, but no, they beat the Packers,
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which you know, kudos to them, and then they kind of got
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a gift in that Patrick Mahomes caught the flu the day before Denver played them,
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and if like, and I know you watched the game, Yeah,
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Denver did a lot of things right, but Patrick Mahomes definitely had an off
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game, Like there's no way around that. And granted, again, like
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you can only play the games in your schedule when you have them. But
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I do think optimism in Denver and I don't want to be young with the
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guy rainning on the parade here, but realistically there's a lot of talk like
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Javonte Williams is saying like we're not going to settle for the playoffs, We're
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going for the Super Bowl, it's like you are three and five. Like,
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realistically, Denver needs to probably win at least seven more games to make
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the dance in this play the AFC Playoff, you know, race. I
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think Football Outsiders are like what is was once. Football Outsiders gives Denver a
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two point seven percent chance at the playoffs with what their schedule is the rest
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of the way, they have about a twenty percent chance at getting a top
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five pick. Still, so they're kind of in the murky middle. That
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said, like they're they are coming to form. The defense does look better
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than it has that seventy point game. We'll get into this probably in a
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little bit because I have some notes on it, but they're better than that
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game for sure. So like if Bills fans kind of think like this is
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going to be a walkover on defense, I do think you're going to be
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surprised there. They're they're playing higher than their talent level for sure, but
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they're much more sound scheme wise than they were a month ago. At the
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same time, on offense, traditional staffs paint a picture that Russell Wilson's like
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airing it out and killing people because he has sixteen touchdowns and only four picks.
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It's a lot of Sean Payton kind of controlling what's happening on offense.
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They're very, very groundbound. They're taking the air out of the football a
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lot like russ Is dumping it down to running backs that are really high rate.
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So again, they I think they could give you issues. I think
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if Josh Allen or like a dulon Kin Kate fumble, it happens again,
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Dever has the talent to pull this out. But I do think they're underdogs
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for a reason in this game coming into this year, so, you know,
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to give people a little peek behind the curtain. You and I were
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chopping it up offline, and we're having a really good time, which is
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part of the reason why we started a little late tonight. But part of
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what we were talking about was fan bases and expectations for players for teams.
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What was what was your expectation for this Broncos team coming in? Were you
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all aboard, you know, the Sean Payton momentum or did you have roster
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concerns? Were you not a believer in Sean Payton? Like, what were
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your thoughts and expectations for this Denver Broncos team coming into the twenty twenty three
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season, especially you know whether or not that was potentially shaded by what happened
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in twenty twenty two, and it was. I mean last year was really
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a perfect disaster. I've never had a year where I I skipped a game.
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Last year like there was like Brett Rippon, Brett Rippan playing with Hackett
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was just it was at a point where I was like, I'm gonna be
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honest, I know how this game is gonna go. It's sound so brutal,
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like, oh, who's there Brett Rippon, Like running with Nate Hackett,
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Like it just sounds so bad. It's not fair like it and it
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turned out exactly how you kind of expected it to. But like going into
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this year, like I had a lot of concerns about Russ, Like Russ
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clearly and again I'll go into this more, but Russ is kind of a
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forkes and knives quarterback and he always has been. He he's very good at
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the things he's very good at. God help you if you need soup,
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because like there's certain things he just kind of takes off the table because he's
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a little bit shorter, and because of that, that does limit some of
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the things, like his quick game has just not been a good part of
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his game for a long time. The problem is, and last year really
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exposed this because like I went into last year thinking like we got Russ,
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like we're gonna go to the super Bowl. He's slowing down athletically in this
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level of like he's not as elusive in the pocket as he used to be.
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Still elusive, you can tell that he has more trouble rolling out and
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just creating throwing lanes for himself, and those kind of things really became exposed
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because Hackett wasn't doing anything to help him this year. Like with Peyton,
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that is getting it like they're bouncing back in the right way, but it's
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still I went into this year thinking with Peyton, with the concerns I have
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about the roster, they lacked some issue, like they lack talent on the
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defensive line. There is Mike McGlinchey is and again I'll get into this more,
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but Mike McGlinchey was a bad signing. And then they don't have a
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real pass catching tight end. So like those issues are going to crop up
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and they're old, like in a lot of spots. So I thought like
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they could, if everything bounced right, and make the playoffs and maybe be
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like a spicy team and like the first game, but I didn't think they
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were going to go much farther than that unless everything kind of went their way.
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But more realistically, I thought they were going to be a team that's
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kind of like hovering around eight and eight nine nine eight, like being that
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team, and then everything kind of fell apart early and now they're kind of
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starting to look like that team over the last month. But they kind of
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dropped the ball in the first month of the season. Yeah, and once
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you kind of like dig yourself that hole, especially in a conference that is
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full of good teams and full of parody, and then like a division that
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I mean, even though the Chargers are underperforming, but you've got the Chiefs,
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You've got the Chargers, and it just once you start behind the eight
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ball, can be tough to dig yourself out. And I love your just
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your analysis on the Broncos as a squad like coming into this year, and
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I made it a point to give them no expectations this year because I bought
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in to what they were going to be last year. I just thought they
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had such a good unit on defense, and I love their DC who then
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everro who left and went to Carolina, Like I love Patrick's certain. They
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have so many good like individual pieces like what you had with Browning and Certain
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and Justin Simmons, Like you had these premier players on the defensive side of
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the ball, and that's not even even just a highlight. With the other
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quality players like you have Draymond Jones on the front who then left and went
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to Seattle, like he had all these like quality guys. And then offensively,
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I was like, I like Cortland Sutton, I like Jerry Judy,
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I really like Javonte Williams and put Russ. I was like, okay,
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to the point, I'm a notorious like draft late quarterback for fantasy football.
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But I took Russ in like round ten, and I was like, oh
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man, I'm sitting pretty like this is beautiful. Like I got Russ late
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like with my receivers and man, and I got nothing from Russ, and
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I just kept waiting. I was like, no, this will be the
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week. He'll turn it around. He'll turn it around, and they just
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never hit that piece. And then you bring in Sean Payton, who I
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know Sean Payton has his detractors, but his success what he did in New
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Orleans, granity and Drew Brees, but being able to finagle without Breeze at
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times, and I think it was possible to come into this season and kind
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of be on that you know, positivity buzz a little bit. But then
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yeah, you can come out and you lose bad. You have a bad
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loss to the Raiders, another bad loss to Washington, but then you know,
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you get that win against the Packers. And I think anytime anybody beats
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the Chiefs they feel good about themselves, but especially the Denver Broncos, who
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just could burst like Peyton Manning retired wild like they just could not get that
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monkey off their back. And it's funny too. I saw somebody from the
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Case Sports Network tweeted out it was a threat I think on like Thursday or
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Friday of who the quarterbacks were in the league for every team the last time
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the Broncos beat the Chiefs and started off with Peyton Manning and then it was
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like all just these random quarterbacks and really kind of put into perspective and then
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you know, whether it was the flu or a game plan or whatever,
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Yeah, Broncos get that win and if I'm a Broncos fan, I'm riding
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that momentum. I'm coming into this game thinking we beat Kansas City. The
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Bills have been floundering a bit. I'm coming into this game trying to like
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ride high. You know, no pun intended on the mile high piece,
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like if I'm a Broncos fan or this Broncos team, like maybe thinking the
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Bills are wounded. You bea Kansas City, see what you can do.
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And then from a Bills fan perspective, like rg's comment here is so good,
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Like can someone relay to all the Broncos fans that literally no one has
15:22
faith in the Bills and we take no team lightly. It's just such a
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fun juxtaposition of where these two teams are, what the expectations were for them
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coming into the season, and what we can potentially see in this game.
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And Joe, that's where the conversation shifts. So I like the way we
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set the table here. Now we switch to the meat of this piece.
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So the schematic components that will decide Bills versus Broncos in Week ten. For
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those of you who don't know or are playing at home, myself and Joe
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are going to give our top three matchup pieces for Bills Broncos. And we
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say top matchup pieces, we mean the matchup pieces schematically that will decide who
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is going to win this game. They could be as wide scale or as
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granular as possible. They could be players specific, position, concept, anything
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and everything is on the table. I don't know Joe's answers, he doesn't
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know mine. So we could have the exact same, we could be completely
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opposite. We have no idea. It's part of the fun. It's chaos,
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it's tremendous. Joe, you are the guests. The floor is yours.
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You can if you have them ranked, you can go in whichever order,
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from three to one or one to three. If they're all equal,
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that's cool. The floor is yours. You know, do as you will.
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I mean, so I kind of started like really wide and the kind
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of worked down. It's like how I looked at it. But and we
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kind of were talking a little bit about this before the show. But I
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think probably the biggest matchup that's going to decide this game is going to be
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Vance Joseph versus Ken Dorsey in a lot of ways, and I know they're
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both like Vance Joseph, you know, back during the Dolphins game was laughing
16:45
stock and Ken Dorsey's kind of like really under fire right now. But honestly,
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the Bills offense is still very good and at least on paper when you
16:55
look at the matchups, they should be able to move the ball. But
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at the same time advanced Joseph over the last couple of games, like their
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red zone defense has been really really astounding, to the point where like that
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is the thing that at least in Denver people are kind of hanging their hat
17:07
on. It's like, yeah, they might move the ball on us,
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but they're not gonna score. The Bills are gonna score. Like I've looked,
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I've looked at all the numbers and stuff. You guys are still averaging
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twenty five points a game. You guys basically have scored within the twenty and
17:21
was it like ninety percent of the time. So I'm and again, Josh
17:25
Allen's a cheek code like you get. And I remember, like I took
17:26
you guys for granted a couple of years ago, and like there's still Bills
17:30
fans around me for this, but like that year that Josh Allen wasn't quite
17:33
a passer yet, but he was like a full time starter goes in that
17:37
game, and the thing is, like, you get close to the red
17:38
zone, his rushing ability makes him such a threat you can't you can't just
17:42
shut him down. And I think that's gonna be a thing that's going to
17:47
Like the Broncos are gonna need to score in this game, but advanced Joseph
17:49
can slow you guys down just enough. I think that's gonna make a difference.
17:52
Absolutely. I'm in a I've got two points to kind of relate to
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that. I'm gonna go with this for piece. So I'm kind of in
18:00
that same boat for this first matchup piece. I kind of went wide scale,
18:04
but a little more niche for me in particularly. I have other stuff
18:07
too. Yeah, no, of course. So my first piece here is
18:11
just the Bills passing offense versus the Broncos passing defense. So I think a
18:17
lot of people look at the numbers, especially from like an ep of the
18:19
EPA is kind of the rage now for a lot of people. And when
18:22
I say the rage, I mean people are raging against it and saying it
18:25
sucks and it's stupid. It doesn't tell you anything but that Miami game is
18:30
such an outlier for everything for the Broncos defense because it was so extreme that
18:34
it skews the numbers very, very heavily. But if you look at their
18:38
passing from it from a defensive perspective, you look at their EPA allowed per
18:42
pass on defense. So on the year they're at zero point one to three
18:48
EPA per pass, which is last in the league. So from an EPA
18:51
per pass perspective, they are the worst pass defense in the league. But
18:55
so much of that is skewed by the Denver game or I'm sorry, the
18:57
Miami game. So if you look at it from a week weak perspective against
19:00
the Raiders zero point two to six, against Washington zero point one to three,
19:06
against Miami zero point nine to three, almost giving up a point per
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pass attempt, which is wild. But then Chicago zero point eleven versus the
19:15
Jets negative point zero five negative is better for those who don't know at home.
19:18
First Kansas City the first time zero point zero nine versus Green Bay zero
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point one to nine, and then in the most recent game against Kansas City,
19:26
which they won, negative zero point three to five, which is a
19:30
tremendous performance against Kansas City Chiefs from an EPA per pass perspective, and for
19:36
those of you who don't necessarily want to like get bogged down an EPA.
19:38
It's also the first time that I think it's the first time in twenty six
19:41
games that Patrick Mahomes didn't throw a touchdown in the game. So like,
19:45
they were good all round in that game. And to your point, that
19:48
Miami game was even worse than the numbers actually show, because if you remember
19:53
at the end of the game, Mike White was moving down the field and
19:56
kneeled on fourth down, they could have kicked their the twenty seven yard line.
20:00
They could have made NFL history and tied with a field goal with the
20:03
backup quarterback in So like, they were terrible with that said, Justin Simmons
20:10
missed that game. He was replaced by Delarian Turnergel, who had never played
20:12
on defense before. And I knew going into that game that was gonna be
20:15
a bad matchup just based on like, you can't lose your like Hall of
20:19
Fame ish caliber safety and replace him with a first time ever guy who hasn't
20:23
played defense, Like, that's gonna hurt against Tyreek Hill. And it did.
20:29
But that said, going into this game. Like one of the things
20:33
that's really big for Vance Joseph, I think in the last month or so,
20:36
is he started to move away from like like when it started out,
20:40
like and Sean Payne had said this basically that they were going to be running
20:44
like the Fangio esque scheme, but then he hires Vance Joseph who has no
20:48
background in it, and so like it was kind of a question I had
20:51
back in training camp, And it was one of those things back in camp
20:52
where everyone was like wondering and asking the media members who were there, we
20:56
are they running like a Fangio system? Are they running like band Joseph's defense,
21:00
Because like, again, like Van Joseph was the head coach in Denver,
21:03
like people are familiar with what he did. It was very like Wade
21:06
Phillips ask where a lot of cover three, a lot of man coverage,
21:08
you're gonna play out of base like Joseph used to play out of a base
21:12
a lot. And it was one of those things like Fangio doesn't necessarily do
21:17
that. He runs a lot of like Penny fronts or like it's essentially like
21:19
a modern Bear front, and so like, there was a lot of questions,
21:22
and then the other thing was one high versus too high. Fanjo basically
21:26
bases almost everything out of a two high shell and then we'll shade down and
21:30
change up the post snap beans. Joseph traditionally at least was very very much
21:34
like he's gonna run out of like a single high shell unless he's in passing
21:40
downs. And so early in the season and again after that Miami game,
21:45
coach vass I think you probably know who he is, kind of did this
21:48
a film breakdown of like what the heck went wrong? And he came to
21:52
the same conclusion a lot of people is. It's like it didn't look like
21:55
vance Joseph really knew how to match what he was trying to call with what
21:59
the offense was doing. Like there was just issues with like alignments, like
22:03
he was calling the wrong formations for like while he was facing stuff like that,
22:06
and it was it was the kind of stuff that like I was calling
22:07
for him to get fired early because it was just like, how how can
22:10
you do this? Like how are you gonna run this defense? And then
22:12
ask somebody it's like giving a Lamborghini to a sixteen year old, like you're
22:15
gonna have a car accid. But in the last month, like the Broncos
22:21
have like simplified what they're trying to do. They're moving towards more Vance's defense,
22:25
and it works like they're still running a lot of like the Penny personnel,
22:27
they're running like a lot more stuff like that, but like Vance has
22:30
gotten better and also like they're not necessarily calling things that aren't in his wheelhouse
22:36
anyway, And I think he's also learning like the things that he's like implementing
22:38
the parts that work for him and work for like what the defense is already
22:41
doing. And I think that's helped a lot. Guys are in the right
22:45
position a lot more often. And again, like I said, they're playing
22:48
higher than their talent level because as we kind of dig it into the defensive
22:51
matchups, first of all, obviously Patrick Sir Tamper Stefan Diggs is gonna get
22:55
probably the most ink in the passing game. Yeah, because like unlike the
22:59
chief really because the Chiefs number one receiver is Travis Kelcey and everybody knows it.
23:03
You're not necessarily gonna put sirtina on him. You're gonna use him some.
23:07
But like that's not what they did every snap. I would bet that
23:11
they're gonna use r Tan on Stepan Digs a lot, and then the Bills
23:14
are gonna try and hide him and move him around to try and get him
23:17
away from Sir Tan because the other cornerback wasn't even starting at the beginning of
23:21
the season. It's Fabian Moreau. And to his credit, Fabian Moreau is
23:25
playing better than the Broncos old cornerback to Demary Mathis, but a lot of
23:30
this is also like he hasn't played a lot yet and he's had some pre
23:33
favorable games he's played against Jordan Love, who's erratic is probably the kindest word
23:37
I can say. That's a very positive way to say it. Maybe he'll
23:41
get better, but like he's he's not there yet, And the Packers have
23:45
very young receivers, so like they were not able to expose Moreau, and
23:48
then the Chiefs other than Rice, Like the Chiefs receivers are bad, like
23:52
just straight up bad right now, and maybe they're good by the playoffs,
23:56
but they haven't been able to punish teams with their other receivers yet. So
24:00
if you shut down Kelsey, you kind of hide and morow like you're not
24:03
going to get hurt by him too much. And granted again he's playing okay,
24:07
Yeah, but I do think that you guys, with Gabe Davis,
24:08
you guys could punish that, especially if the Broncos fall asleep on playing coverage
24:12
over the top. I'm so like caught into this specific matchup piece because there's
24:22
so like you said, you know, the Bills offense is better than what
24:25
it seems like, but so much of the conversation around because if you look
24:27
whether it's you know, all these advanced metrics that everybody suddenly hates, if
24:33
you're looking at EPA, if you're looking at DVOA, like, there's all
24:36
this data raw and advance that points to the Bills offense being a very good
24:41
offense from an efficiency standpoint, and they have been. It's the reason,
24:45
you know, from a past perspective, they're third in EPA per pass on
24:48
the entire year. If you're looking at the offense as a whole, they're
24:52
second in the entire NFL and EPA per play on offense, behind only the
24:56
Miami Dolphins. Like, this offense has been a very good offense and Josh
25:00
Allen is second inn EPA, you know per attempt, there with what he's
25:04
doing. So if you're looking at it from the whole holistic offense perpective or
25:07
Josh Allen perspective from an advanced data standpoint, it's been working. The problem
25:11
with this offense is they've almost been too efficient to the point that the explosives
25:18
have started to kind of wean away from the offense. And some of that
25:21
is that the bigger and larger conversation with what modern NFL defenses are doing and
25:26
how they're putting a cap on offenses and limiting explosives and YadA YadA, YadA
25:29
and all that stuff. And then some of it is, you know,
25:32
Ken Dorsey, some of it is poor execution and poor reading by Josh Allen.
25:36
It's all this, you know, it's a combination and amalgamation of all
25:38
of those things that have resulted in some of the struggles offensively. But on
25:42
the whole, they've been a very efficient offense. And the reason their EPA
25:45
per play is so high and why they function so well in DBOA is because
25:48
they do move the ball on large very well as an offense. The problem
25:52
is they get into these drive stalling moments, whether it's a turnover or a
25:57
big sack giving up or a penalty, or a big drop or a mis
26:02
execution or a bad design, and you know, the defense runs of blitz
26:04
because they know the protection that the Bills are going to use, and they
26:07
know the hot route they're going to have, and they snuff it out all
26:10
of these, you know, potential possibilities. And these are all things that
26:12
have caused the Bills offense to stall out at different points over the past several
26:15
games, getting into third and longs and opening themselves up to creative pressure packages
26:21
from defenses. But I look at this Broncos defense with Curtain and with Baron
26:26
Browning coming back, who I really, really really like. I'm going to
26:29
talk about him as a second in a second. I look at the capability
26:32
that they have from an individual player standpoint, and with Vance Joseph and kind
26:34
of settling in a little bit more. And my bigger, like, my
26:37
bigger matchup within the big matchup there on that side of the ball is because
26:41
you know, I do think the Bills are going to move the ball,
26:42
But do they shoot themselves in the foot in the red zone or on third
26:47
downs or as they start to you know, because they'll start to drive on
26:49
their own fifteen, and they're looking beautiful, and they move it down to
26:53
the opponent's thirty, and all of a sudden, the drive ends at the
26:56
opponent forty eight because they had a false start and then it incomplete and then
27:00
a sack, and these things that just kind of snowball lead them to not
27:03
be effective and overall, like with the matchup piece, you know Denver coming
27:08
into this past week, sixty percent zone coverage, so you're looking into heavy
27:12
zone defensive team pretty evenly split though from a post snap coverage standpoint in terms
27:18
of middlefield closed versus middlefield open forty four percent middlefield close forty percent middlefield open,
27:22
so almost dead even split when it comes to single high versus two high
27:26
looks post snap. But what I do like, and this ties into some
27:29
of the Fangio pieces, but also with what Vance Joseph has been doing.
27:33
They're ninth in two high shells pre snap at fifty eight percent, so they're
27:37
showing some too high but then either staying in or spinning, which adds that
27:41
disguise piece. But they do have that tendency to spin a safety post snap
27:45
with what they're doing, and Josh Allen has been inefficient in his diagnosing of
27:48
coverages and in hitting his hot reads and figuring out what he's going to hit
27:52
post snap. So you add in the playmakers that they have on the back
27:56
end and then on the front two again from an overall schematic standpoint, but
27:59
then from individual standpoint, Baron Browning came back from injury versus the Green Bay
28:03
Packers. So he's only played two games, not a large sample size thus
28:04
far, but amongst the one hundred and twenty eight edges in all of football
28:08
that have forty that have at least forty five pass rush snaps, he's second
28:14
in pass rush productivity, which is a formula that combined sacks, hits,
28:17
and hurries aka pressures relative to how many times you rush the passer. In
28:21
two games, he has ten pressures, two sacks, two hits, and
28:26
six hurries. He's also ranked eighteenth amongst two hundred qualifying defenders, that's anybody
28:30
who plays defense. He's eighteenth in pressure percentage at twenty three point one percent.
28:36
So, whether it's certain making a play on the back end that causes
28:37
Josh Allen to hold the ball, whether it's Browning beating with that speed he
28:42
can give Spencer brown problems. He can give Deon Dawkins problems. And so
28:45
whether it's him or Nick Benito, who at Oklahoma was so fun just how
28:51
he rushes the passer but doesn't really play run defense. And I still see
28:53
that kind of happening a little bit in Denver. But with Browning and Benito
28:59
and even with what Jonathan Cooper gives you, like, you have a fun
29:03
ish group coming off the edge and seeing what they can do, and I
29:07
wonder their level of impact in addition to the coverage structures that we'll see from
29:11
Vance Joseph, but I really looked at that individual playmaker piece to see if
29:15
that gets this Bills offense off track and causes them to go into these kind
29:19
of drive stalling moments, because it could be anything. It could be Browning
29:23
comes around the edge and strip sacks Allen or draws a hold or certain makes
29:27
a play on the ball, or just any type of anything like from an
29:30
individual player standpoint, let alone the schematic piece. And that's something that's just
29:34
caused the Bills to shoot themselves in the foot or teams to shoot the Bills
29:38
on the foot over and over again, especially during these last several weeks where
29:42
we've seen a lot of losses. Yeah. Well, and to be honest,
29:47
like if I could get Baron Browning like my body parts to help him
29:52
stay healthy, I would because like this Broncos defense in a lot of ways
29:56
is kind of it's changed in part because he's been in the games, because
29:59
before I think Warren Shorp had this. But like over the course of the
30:03
season, the Broncos are still ranked last in terms of like creating pressure.
30:07
And part of that also is obviously the Dolphins game, and part of that
30:10
is, you know, also like for a big chunk of the season they
30:11
didn't have Browning. But as you kind of alluded to with Bonito, Benito's
30:15
fairly one dimensional still. And at the same time, and I like Cooper,
30:19
Cooper is one of those guys that probably should have been a fourth round
30:22
pick. He fell in the draft because the questions about his heart because he
30:26
yep. But at the same time, like Cooper has I remember looking at
30:32
this up and it's like fourth percentile or something arm length and he's not such
30:36
a dynamic athlete. No, he's a t Rex. Yeah, and he's
30:40
he's just a grinder. He's just physical grinds and makes things happen. And
30:44
he's a good athlete, but he's not an elite athlete. So again,
30:47
somebody like Spencer brown who has that length. I don't necessarily think Cooper is
30:51
gonna win individually. He go win by scheme pressure, but you need Browning
30:55
in the game to kind of make them have to respect at least one of
30:57
the edges. So when he's out, kind of know like a Pnito's and
31:00
you can run at him, and if it's just Cooper, you don't really
31:03
have to worry about him. And the other problem the Broncos have, at
31:06
least in from their interior. Zach Allen's played way better than I expected after
31:11
he replaced He was signed in the Cardinals to replace Draymont Jones pairs with Vance
31:15
Joseph all that I was kind of nervous because he had played alongside JJ Watt
31:18
before. He's playing well. He's creating pressure. According to Sports in Full
31:22
Solutions, he's creating pressure on twelve percent of his snaps right now, which
31:25
is not bad. But that said, the rest of the Broncos interior defensive
31:29
line are basically nose tackles. DJ Jones and Mike Purcell neither one of them
31:33
are going to create pressure. And then the Broncos are relying really heavily on
31:37
Jonathan Harris, and he's playing better than you know, you would hope,
31:40
but really he should be like kind of your end of the d line rotation
31:42
guy. So he's he's good ish, he's there, but he's not going
31:48
to create pressure on his own and that's a concern because again, at the
31:52
same time, you guys have James Cook, like if you split out or
31:55
use him in a way that like kind of isolates to Josie Jewell, Josie
31:59
Duwele is not good in a foot race. Like Josie Duwell and Alex Singleton
32:01
are a decent pairing of linebackers and they play well in the scheme, but
32:07
where so Alex Singleton kind of struggles if you get a blocker on him because
32:09
he doesn't do a great job of shutting blocks. And then Josie Jewell is
32:15
slow in like a lot of Broncos fans kind of over over react to that
32:21
based on like Travis Kelsey's gonna catch passes on everybody like tight ends. A
32:27
tight end catching passes on you is not a direct result of linebackers. I
32:30
know in Madden it is, but in real life it's not. But at
32:31
the same time, like a good offensive coordinator can isolate that guy sometimes,
32:37
especially in the spread sets that you guys use. Dalon kin Kid and James
32:39
Cook both are quick enough that if they get isolated on Jewel, that's a
32:44
problem for Denver. That's a fair point. Jewel is very much like I
32:49
feel like he just came like a couple of generations too late for the type
32:52
of linebacker he is, Like he's meant to be in the nineties and maybe
32:57
even a little bit in the two thousands, but like he just you saw
33:00
the type of game that he had at Iowa and I was like, oh,
33:02
that's not going to translate great. And you know, I actually saw
33:06
a bunch of people who were using that to knock Jack Campbell coming out of
33:08
Iowa. People like, well, he's just another Josiejewel. It's like they're
33:10
not even close the same type of player with how they move. But there's
33:15
just something I don't know if it's the name or just the grittiness and the
33:17
physicality. I just like the way Josie Jewel plays, even though I know,
33:20
like what you're gonna get from him and coverage and like and to be
33:23
fair to him, like he plays smart, like he's he's a good he
33:28
has to because he's not. Like yeah, but I just mean like like
33:30
early on, like in his career, his rookie year, like he was
33:34
rough. Like the first time I saw him at the Vands Joseph defense,
33:37
it was bad, like and they and they started him anyway, And so
33:39
I was a little nervous when you went from a barrow to Joseph again,
33:43
just because like, well, what are we going to do with Jewel because
33:45
they just paid him. Yeah, but Jewel again to his credit, like
33:47
he's he's a quick player, Like mentally he's very quick. It's just physically
33:52
he just he has limitations. And that's why he fell in the draft.
33:55
I think him even being a like a starter whatever tier you want to put
34:01
him in, with his lack of like athleticism, it's a testament to his
34:06
processing and how intelligent of a player he is, Like he will get there
34:09
because he's reading, he studies tape, like he's diagnosing properly, and he's
34:14
processing quickly. Like there's a difference between like foot speed and play speed and
34:17
he can play fast because of how good of a process or he is.
34:20
But exactly your point, it doesn't matter how good of a process or he
34:22
is if you can isolate him in space against a tight end like Dalton Kincaid
34:27
and create that one on one that's advantaged Kincaid every single week. Like you
34:30
watch what he was doing in space against Logan Wilson, Jermaine Pratt against Cincinnati
34:35
and those. That level of athleticism that linebacker is worlds higher than what Jewel
34:39
has. From his perspective. I also look to see if the Broncos how
34:44
much they try to game up from a rush perspective. The right side of
34:47
the Bills line, so Spencer Brown, right tackle has been the biggest weakness
34:52
on the Bills offensive line. He's played better this year though, but they've
34:53
given him a lot of help. They he's he's the side that's getting whether
34:58
it's the running back help and protection or or you know, when they do
35:00
the popular thing that McVeigh started with, you know, the spread, but
35:04
you got like the two chippers aligned next to each tackle, they'll give him
35:07
all the help. They did it, you know against the Raiders with Max
35:10
Crosby. Every time Crosby was across from Spencer Brown. It was literally like
35:15
they were like, here's Dawson Knox, Here's Dalton kin Cade, here's a
35:17
running back, like they're giving him chip help so that way he's not one
35:21
on one. The Bengals gamed him up and Osirus Torrance, the Bill's rookie
35:25
guard from Florida who's at a very good year. They got beat real,
35:30
real, real bad on just off the top of my head. Three just
35:32
basic stunts off that right side combination of Hubbard and bj Hill and Hubbard and
35:38
DJ Reader just not passing off correctly and not communicating giving up that inside shoulder
35:45
both you know, Torrents and Brown and just having that edge or you know
35:50
they weren't in both both kinds of stunts where the tackle goes first and the
35:52
end goes first, and they're both getting collapsed in and someone's coming in free.
35:55
They did not have a good game from an execution standpoint and or from
35:59
a commune unication standpoint against two man games. And I look to see if
36:01
the Broncos, whether it's through you know, five or six man pressures potentially
36:06
or just your standard we're going to rush for let's try to game you up
36:08
a little bit, especially with Browning coming back, trying to create some runways
36:13
or some extra pathways for him. Spencer brown Will also, you know,
36:16
struggle in space at times, so if you want to isolate him in a
36:20
one on one and see what happens. I look to see overall again,
36:22
you know, pass rush tying it into pass defense. But that's really where
36:27
my head is at. Like this, The Bill's rushing offense, which is
36:30
another point I'm going to get to, has been inconsistent lately in terms of
36:32
how many times they run the ball and or individual effectiveness a tied with it
36:37
that this offense is so pass heavy at certain points. And then seeing where
36:42
the Broncos have been with their struggles but kind of turning the corner potentially,
36:46
I look to see that piece, all right. Second point, what do
36:50
you got for your second matchup piece here for Bills Broncos Russell Wilson versus the
36:53
Bills pass defense. And again you and I talked touched on a little bit,
36:58
and we talked about this a little bit of Russell Wilson ready with the
37:00
forks and knives comparison, but in a lot of ways, and this is
37:05
One of the reasons also why I really love the Sean Payton trade looking back
37:07
on it, is the fact that the bronco was traded for him a I
37:09
hated it because they gave up at first, but also because they gave up
37:13
that first. At the end of the day last year, Russell Wilson ran
37:16
the room like he got to do what he wanted to do. Hacket essentially
37:21
brought plays to the table that he said Russ liked. Russ had his own
37:24
QB coach, he had his own office, like this whole thing. That's
37:28
not how it is with Sean Payton, Like this is Sean Payton's offense that
37:30
he is dialing around Russ. And again, in a lot of ways he's
37:34
managing it and we're seeing a better version of Russell Wilson because of it.
37:39
But at the same time, he struggles with quick game, he's indecisive at
37:46
times. And again this is Russ for his career. Like Russ takes a
37:50
lot of sacks. People always wanted to blame the offensive line or Steve Pete
37:53
Carroll. I almost said Steve Carroll. But the thing is like it's a
37:59
Russ thing, and you can see it on the tape a and like there's
38:00
times he locks onto his first read and he's just kind of it almost reminds
38:04
you of a rookie sometimes where you can watch other people getting open and it's
38:07
like Russ, like they're open, like just get off your read. He
38:10
had a play in the Chiefs game right before the half uh and it gave
38:15
It was the fumble that gave the Chiefs the field goal. You can see
38:20
he has other options and he's holding onto it. Garret Bowles gives up pressure
38:23
immediately and Russ steps up to avoid the initial pressure that comes to him.
38:30
But then he decides to try and reset to throw deep down field instead of
38:32
just taking whatever he can and just not giving the ball up. And because
38:37
he kind of resets, he ends up giving the Chiefs the time to fumble,
38:39
like force the fumble and then they get three points out of it.
38:43
And honestly, like that could have cost the Broncos the game. I was
38:45
yelling at my TV so hard because I was just like why, Like Bronco
38:51
is gonna Bronco. I guess, like this is why you haven't won and
38:52
god knows how many years. I was just like I can't believe, like
38:55
there's no reason to do that situationally right now, Like how guy can as
39:00
you were narrating it, I can picture I could picture it again in my
39:04
head and I'm right back there and I'm mad yelling at my TV again.
39:07
But before the Chiefs game, PFF had found, like, according to their
39:10
metrics, that Russell Wilson at the highest rank of quarterback caused pressure of any
39:15
quarterback in the NFL with at least fifty pressure dropbacks. And that's just you
39:20
know, and again like that's not surprise that anyone who watches Russell Wilson played
39:22
football. But in the past, like Russell Wilson, he's also a big
39:27
game hunter. Again, like Russell Wilson has like the arm talent and he's
39:30
accurate enough that he's always kind of like that has been something you live with
39:35
because he creates so many big plays on his own that shouldn't be there.
39:38
And the thing is, like, good Russ, Yes he still does that,
39:43
but like this year we're seeing Peyton kind of try and manage him because
39:45
like they're trying to hide like those bad plays more often. And I do
39:51
think playing against the Bills, like, yes, you guys lost her.
39:54
Davis White and yes, at least on paper, individually, the Broncos receiver
39:58
should win their matchups. If you guys complicate the coverage is enough and make
40:02
Russ have to like sit there and think about it, You're gonna get home.
40:07
You know. It's super funny because I think I think people see Russ
40:13
as I don't want to say this is still the same quarterback that he was,
40:20
you know in Seattle, but I think they think of him as this
40:22
extremely mobile guy who just finagles out of pressure and kind of creates magic.
40:28
And like you said, like there were like some you know cracks in the
40:32
armor with his time at Seattle, but I think a lot of it,
40:35
you know, got blamed either on the offensive line or the coordinator yep,
40:38
or the injury, like all these pieces that kind of explained. I mean,
40:40
it's the whole reason we let the whole like, let Russ cook thing,
40:44
because there was literally like a movement that was like, no, Russell
40:46
Wilson's this awesome, dynamic quarterback, Let him do his thing. But if
40:50
you look at so I've also tied into this matchup piece as my second I
40:54
just generalized that it's the Bills passing defense versus the Broncos passing offense. But
40:58
I've got some specific points we go into, but some of the notes.
41:00
Yeah, So if you're looking at Russell Wilson this year, amongst the forty
41:07
one qualifying quarterbacks, he is fifth in terms of pressures that get converted into
41:14
sacks and it's a pretty high clip. He's at twenty seven percent even on
41:19
the dot. The only quarterbacks that are ahead of him. Sorry, that's
41:22
twenty twenty. Let me go back to the numbers. I saw Carson Wentz
41:23
on the dad and I was like, that doesn't make sense if we're looking
41:27
at where Okay, so that was last year, which was still bad.
41:29
This year in twenty twenty three, he's six, so not really better.
41:31
Twenty three percent pressure converted to sack percentage. The only quarterbacks that are ahead
41:37
of him are Ryan Tannehill, Desmond Ritter, Sam Howell, Daniel Jones,
41:42
and Aidan O'Connell. So not exactly a murderer's row in terms of processing or
41:46
experience for quarterbacks. So you look at where russ sits from a pressure converted
41:50
to sack percentage, So not only is he kind of creating some of that
41:52
pressure, but when he is. He's not really able to tap into that
41:57
Russell Wilson magic that he used to and dance and make the he plays ont
42:00
of nowhere and on of nothing and you know, throw a moon ball.
42:04
And then on top of that, if you look at his overall time to
42:07
throw three point one to two seconds on the year, which is the third
42:12
longest, the only quarterbacks that I have a longer time to throw are justin
42:15
Fields at number one at three point two three, And everybody, I feel
42:19
like at this point knows his struggles and why he holds onto the ball so
42:22
much. Jalen hurts his second, but I think some of that is more
42:24
play design and creation and how that Eagles offense works. So Wilson, to
42:29
your point, he's holding onto the football. He doesn't have the magic,
42:31
whether it's you know, mentally or the juice piece or just the intangible aspect
42:36
that he used to have when he was playing in college and playing early on
42:38
in Seattle. So he's inviting that pressure. He's not getting away from it
42:43
enough and it's significantly hindering this Broncos offense. And it's even like when you
42:46
look at their numbers on the year, so on the year. They're sixteenth
42:51
in EPA per pass at negative point zero two, which isn't bad, so
42:53
kind of like middle of the road in EPA per pass. But they've had
42:57
several really really really poor performances. Week six against Kansas City, their passing
43:01
EPA was twenty point eight three. Week three versus Miami it was negative negative
43:07
thirteen point four to six. So Week six vers Kansas City negative twenty eight
43:10
point eight three. Week three versus Miami negative thirteen point four to six.
43:15
Week eight versus Kansas City, even in that win negative eight point three to
43:17
two, like the Broncos offense from a passing perspective, just if they were
43:22
just trying to find ways to like give the game away between what the defense
43:24
was doing and then what Javonte Williams was doing. I feel like the passing
43:27
offense was like, no, let's keep this game close and try and make
43:30
something of it. So another negative game against Kansas City there, Week five
43:35
versus the Jets negative seven point seven three, and then Week one versus the
43:38
Raiders negative zero point two seven. They've been poor overall, you know,
43:43
on the on the year, kind of sitting in the middle. But if
43:45
you look at what they've been in those games where they really struggled. So
43:49
five of their games have been really significantly poor performances. But the Bills passing
43:52
defense has been on a precipitous drop since Week five against Jacksonville when they lost
43:57
Matt Milano and when Daikwon Jones went down there. You know it was early
44:01
in the year, but I think Daikwon Jones is playing an all Pro level
44:05
for them on the interior and was so significantly important to this Bill's defense.
44:08
The week before, the Bills lost to Davius White against Miami, so again,
44:14
they've been on this precipitous drop. I'm not going to go through the
44:16
numbers piece by piece, but literally since the Jacksonville game, they've been giving
44:21
up more EPA per pass every single week and they've been losing because of it.
44:27
Can Denver exploit those vulnerabilities, especially at that linebacker spot where they're trying
44:30
to fill in for Matt Milano. Tyrel Dodson and Dorrian Williams, who both
44:35
tried to fill in for Matt Milano, have been not great. They each
44:38
have their weaknesses overall in coverage. Dorrian Williams is a spot drop linebacker from
44:43
Tulane, who is not ready from a coverage knowledge standpoint to be functioning in
44:46
the NFL. Tyrell Dobson does not have the athleticism to be a starting level
44:51
linebacker in this game. Both of them have had struggles and weaknesses and trying
44:55
to replace Milano, and they both might play because Bernard, who started and
45:00
has had a good year, had concussion this past week, so we'll see
45:04
if he clears protocol and can play. So if he doesn't, you're looking
45:07
at Williams and Dodson. The Bills of overall had their struggles from a past
45:10
perspective, and then not to mention too some of the coverages as they played,
45:14
they've had struggles stopping the run. They've had to commit defenders to the
45:17
box, whether it's nickel corner Taron Johnson or spinning a safety down, which
45:22
they've done more, which limits the coverages and the disguising they can do on
45:25
the back end. Then also, you know, because they don't have faith
45:29
in Dodson and or Williams in coverage, they've been using more three safety sets
45:34
on third downs. They'll put Jordan Poyer in as the dime linebacker on the
45:37
second level, but that's potentially, you know, been thrown into chaos now
45:40
because Micah High got hurt last week against Cincinnati, so he might not play,
45:45
which hurts their opportunity to go three safeties. There's the multitude of storylines
45:50
within the bigger storyline when it comes to the Bills pass defense. In addition
45:52
to some of the lack of pressure they've been consistently generating. Even though Leonard
45:57
Floyd has been great, there's all these pieces that kind of late and this
46:00
Broncos offense has struggled. Russell Wilson invites the pressure, he doesn't get away
46:06
from it. You're going up against this unit that was crushing everybody with simulated
46:08
pressures and disguising their looks and five and six man pressures and having strong coverage
46:14
and route distribution, closed downs on the back end. But again, each
46:17
each piece, overall pressure and coverage execution on the back end. It's been
46:22
on a steady precipitous drop since Week five when they started to have all these
46:25
injuries start to happen. They had more injuries coming out of the Cincinnati game.
46:30
I really I just don't want this to be the game where could happen,
46:35
But like this could be the game where like Russell Wilson throws for like
46:37
three hundred and four yards and three touchdowns and then like, I don't think
46:40
it will happen, but if it did, the Bills defense is just so
46:44
banged up, and like, I don't know, is this the game where
46:46
Russ finally cooks? Like I don't think so, but it's they're just so
46:51
banged up. They can't execute at the level they need to, and they
46:53
can't run the whole menu and the whole gamut of what they used to run
46:58
before they had those injuries. Well, and I'm really curious to see if
47:01
Sean Payton kind of continues with the same game plan that they use against the
47:05
Chiefs, in part because with all the injuries and what you were just talking
47:08
about, if you can kind of force the Bills to commit more and more
47:12
bodies to trying to stop the run game, that's gonna take less pressure off
47:16
of Russ to like kind of make the right reads because it kind of makes
47:20
the game easier. Because here's the thing. The Broncos don't have a receiving
47:22
tight end, like really like Adam Troutman is their tight end because Greg Golsich
47:28
got hurt, and behind him is Chris Maynards was essentially an offensive lineman as
47:31
it is is Broncos. He was used in Jacksonville last year, is basically
47:36
like a six offensive lineman. I think there was some Oh I wish I
47:38
could remember the stat like when Manhurts was in for Jacksonville, like they had
47:43
like an eighty percent or like some ridiculous run rate. It was literally like,
47:45
if Manhurts is in there, he's blocking, it's a run. That's
47:49
it, and that's basically his job now. And then even even still,
47:52
the Broncos have been using Quinn Bailey, a six offensive lineman, as another
47:55
tight end a lot. So the Broncos basically if they go into twelve personnel,
48:00
like they don't really have a matchup threat out of twelve personnel, that's
48:04
going to probably challenge those linebackers. But what they'll probably do is try and
48:07
make you guys have to respect the run first and go out of play action
48:10
as much as they can from it, because then they can try and get
48:14
ISO shots. Because again, if if Christian Benfert's hurt, and I know
48:17
he got hurt in the Bengals game, but I don't I haven't yet seen
48:20
like where he's at now. But if he's still hurt, you guys' cornerback
48:23
room is really depleted too. And it's a it's a hamstring injury too,
48:28
so soft tissue is so wonky. He could be good to go or could
48:30
turn into like an out or two week type of thing. Like it's so
48:34
tricky. And the thing is Courland Sun's been legitimately good this year. He's
48:37
not back to like pre injury twenty nineteen, Like I don't think he Elver's
48:42
gonna get there again. But he's a he's goods and he's Bruss's favorite target.
48:46
And what he do or what he's able to do, is he's able
48:49
to play bullyball. He's not always able to create a lot of like separation,
48:52
but he can play through contact. He goes up and gets it,
48:55
and he can secure in traffic a lot and as good at scheming him open.
49:00
And then at the same time you have Jerry Judy and granted again Jerry
49:04
Judy and Marvin Mims is kind of like this whole, like the Broncos almost
49:07
traded Jerry Judy and so like a lot of Broncos and fans are kind of
49:09
like over him already because they mentally prepared to, you know, say like,
49:12
oh, he's crap anyway, we don't care that we got a fifth.
49:15
And then Marvin Mimms, who just hasn't received a lot of targets,
49:20
but at the same time, like both of them are dynamic enough to cause
49:22
issues for your secondary Jerry Judy is very good at creating separation, like in
49:27
his route stem and while he's not as physical either like through the catch point
49:32
or like as reliable at bringing the ball down, he can create separation enough
49:36
against like overmatched corners that that could be a problem for you. And Marvin
49:39
Mims is just straight up a vertical threat, and that's part of the reason
49:43
why he hasn't gotten a lot of touches. It's because the Broncos drafted and
49:45
basically to take the top off the defense. Well, if you guys are
49:49
missing Benford, if Tide is playing hurt, or if he's not playing all
49:52
of a sudden, Marvin Mims looks like a very very likely go ball threat.
49:58
Yeah, and if they have to spin a safety down to try and
50:00
stop the run. Because I like Javonte Williams and I like what the Broncos
50:04
do with the run game. And so if this is just basic you know
50:07
numbers at a certain point, like if you have to spin a safety down
50:09
to try and stop the run, you now have single coverage looks and you
50:14
create more one on one opportunities. And if you want to run Mims up
50:16
the seam where you want to run crossers, or you want to just put
50:20
him vertical on haul because I don't know what, I don't know what the
50:23
corner situation, there's a there's a realistic chance at the starting corners for the
50:27
Bills on Sunday or Josh Norman and Rasul Douglas and Rasul Douglas is sweet.
50:30
I really like that trade pickup. But if I can get that matchup,
50:34
I'm putting Mims on Norman and I'm just like, bro, just run fast,
50:37
just just hall ass up the side line at that point, yep,
50:40
and Russell is gonna throw you a moon ball or vice versa if you get
50:44
Courtland Sutton on Norman. I've been a big Courtland Sutton fan since his time
50:49
at SMU, and I just value him a lot. Is I don't think
50:52
he's ever going to be like that. I think at times he can flash
50:54
like he's a low end wide receiver one, but I think he's such a
50:58
good like high end or middle tier wide receiver two with his hands, his
51:01
size, the physicality, and I don't know how the Bills match up with
51:07
him from a secondary standpoint, with how injured and banged up they are,
51:09
and if for Uss is just throwing moon balls or jump balls to sudden like
51:13
that physical presence we saw. We've seen now multiple times the Bills struggle to
51:16
kind of match up from a frame and size perspective against t Higgins the multiple
51:21
times that they played Cincinnati. Sutton is not as fast as Higgins, but
51:24
he's thicker, he's bigger, he can still climb the ladder like. He
51:28
presents just such a mismatch against the Bill's secondary in particular because of his size
51:32
and his frame and how he works. And I wonder if you know so
51:37
russ On the year averaged up the target he's sitting at seven point eight.
51:42
Oh okay, I have a different Yeah, it depends on where SIS differents
51:46
from PFF. I have PFF up for this time. That always shives me
51:50
nuts. There's multiple advanced metrics sites like I'll look up like pass rush snaps,
51:54
which is a basic thing. Like PFF will say one thing and Sis
51:58
says another, and I'm like, how do you guys not have the same
52:00
pass rush? It's just a basic thing. We'll probably get into that when
52:04
we talk about von Miller, because I was listening to a PIFF podcast this
52:07
morning and their metrics for Vaughn's pressures and a Siss pressures is completely different,
52:13
so wild and same thing with even like PFF with how they do sacks because
52:16
they don't give they don't give half sacks, so if you get a half
52:20
sack, it's automatically a hole. So I use PFF because for Pastor's productivity
52:23
all the time. And I'll be like, oh, like Timmy has like
52:27
twelve sacks, but actually Timmy only has like eight because they counted all the
52:30
halves as holes and it's just driving me nuts. Like, so that's the
52:34
a dot, right there is a good example. But per PFF, there's
52:37
that a dot. But the bigger one for me is the percentage of throws
52:42
that Russ's throne. Twenty point five percent of his throws this year have come
52:46
in the middle of the field zero to nine yards, so he works that
52:51
underneath spot all in the area where it's easy to mislead Dorian Williams or get
52:58
a mismatch on the athletic frame and skill set of Tyrel Dotson. Like I
53:02
wonder, I'm worried about two things I'm worried about Goball, Well, three
53:06
things I should say. I'm worried about. Go Bills, Go Bills,
53:08
Go balls to Marvin Mims, one on one opportunities with Courtland Sutton, both
53:13
of those things stemming off of the Bills struggling to stop the run with their
53:17
front or with a light box and having to spin a safety down, so
53:21
you have one on one opportunities there. And then yeah, exploiting over the
53:23
middle and kind of spreading the Bills out and taking advantage of those pieces with
53:28
where Russ is like to work and with what their skill sets, you know,
53:30
lean towards from a wide receiver standpoint. And Bill's fan you know you
53:35
mentioned Jerry Judy. I didn't even talk about him. A bunch Bills fans
53:37
know him. A lot of Bills fans wanted the Bills to jump on that
53:40
Jerry Judy trade train, even after Steve Smith kind of tried to bury him
53:45
on national television, which is just wild but kind of on part for what
53:49
Steve Smith does. Yeah, like they got some pieces and so much of
53:52
anything will start with the run game. Like I think, I just there
53:55
are little matchup pieces that as it is just a why sure of football,
54:00
I'm like, oh, this could kind of work for the Broncos that they
54:02
can lean into this and if this can work, and man, that's a
54:06
scary thought for Bills fans because I think everybody kind of chalked this game up
54:08
initially is all Monday night in Buffalo. That's a win. And if you
54:12
really look at it from an X as an O standpoint, there are some
54:14
pieces that Denver can lean into offensively that can give you cause for concern.
54:17
Your last point here what you got from a matchup perspective for Yeah, go
54:22
ahead, Like McGlinchey versus the Bill's pass rush. Uh, this is probably
54:28
the Broncos best offensive line since the Manning years in all honesty, But that
54:31
said, mcglinchy looks like an eighty seven million dollar mistake. And again,
54:36
like you and I have talked about it before the show, but like he
54:37
wasn't a good pass protector with San Francisco no, they tried to hide him
54:42
a lot, and they paid so much. They paid him so much money.
54:46
Like immediately, Powers and the fy niners analysts that I keep up with
54:51
all kind of laughed about it. And so that immediately to me was like
54:54
and I knew McGlinchey wasn't like great, but I was kind of like,
54:58
oh maybe. And then I started to see like the you know, the
55:00
feedback, I was like, oh no, and yeah, as you kind
55:02
of like look through the tape like like I like, I went back over
55:07
the Chief Scain like before the show today. And the thing is, like,
55:09
the thing that's really frustrating with McGlinchey is it's it's not even one specific
55:13
thing that's causing all these issues. He's he loses in a lot of different
55:16
ways. He's just he's a bad pass protector. And I looked up the
55:21
numbers again. This is according to Football Sports Info Solutions. But he has
55:25
already has twenty seven blown blocks this year. He had twenty two last year
55:30
across seven team games, So like he has twenty seven in eight and the
55:35
only player in the league with more, according to SIS, is Vederian Lowe
55:38
for the Patriots. Oh yeah, and the just so, and I know,
55:45
and again I talked to you about this before, but like von Miller
55:49
is gonna be a big story piece going into this game for the Broncos side
55:52
of it, because again, this is von Miller playing against Denver. Like
55:55
there's a lot of Broncos fans who still kind of consider vond like an honorary
55:59
Bronco and like they kind of hold on to like every time, Like when
56:02
Denver beat the Chiefs, von Miller had a whole like like we did it,
56:06
like that kind of thing, and everyone kind of just jumped on it.
56:08
And I know that Von you know, is coming back from the ACL
56:10
He's not looking like he used to. Like there's a lot of concern on
56:14
your guys' side about him, But if they match him up against McGlinchey,
56:17
I still think there's a decent chance he's gonna get a win. Von has
56:22
been he's been building each week, and I don't think he's anywhere close to
56:27
what fans or analysts like thought he could be or wanted him to be with
56:30
the Bills. But exactly like we talked about, like and we were talking
56:32
about this offline, he's thirty four years old. He's not even a full
56:36
year removed from that ACL tear. It's the same ACL he tore what when
56:39
he was like twenty five, like nine years ago something like that. Like
56:43
it's expected that it's gonna take him a little time. He's still wearing that
56:45
brace, but he's been showing little flashes and little spurts here and there.
56:50
But to your point with mcglinche, so I've got some numbers on him,
56:53
So sah, he's a brutal seventy nine so per pff, I know,
56:59
I say, now we got to put out like what site we're using for
57:00
our metrics, so that way, because they just want to clarify, there
57:05
are as I go back here, seventy nine qualifying tackles this year in twenty
57:09
twenty three. From a pass block efficiency standpoint, out of those seventy nine,
57:15
Mike McGlinchey is seventy fourth out of seventy nine qualifying tackles in pass blocking
57:22
efficiency. Then if you want to look from a volume standpoint and just go,
57:24
oh, let's look up total pressures. He's given up the second most
57:29
pressures amongst tackles in the entire league. He has given up Let me go
57:32
back to it here thirty one pressures at this point on the year. Just
57:37
and that's just from like that's not even including like a true pass set perspective
57:39
where his numbers get more significantly, you know, worse. From an efficiency
57:45
standpoint, he again, I don't know why they paid him as much as
57:49
they did, And I get trying to reinforce the offensive line and money gets
57:53
money gets thrown at offensive lineman wrong or incorrectly like all the time because it's
57:58
such a premium position. But yeah, I was not I didn't want to
58:01
dump on him too much, but I was thinking of going to spot track
58:04
and looking up like where he qualifies for offensive tackle money, because he got
58:07
paid like handsomely, and just you look at the production again, he's second
58:10
from a volume standpoint, second most pressures given up amongst all tackles, and
58:15
then from an efficiency standpoint, seventy fourth out of seventy nine. And he
58:19
was a big ticket free agent, like from a spending standpoint, that was
58:22
brought in and if he can potentially allow you know, vond to get going,
58:25
that would be extremely helpful for the Bills. And I highlight Von because
58:30
obviously from the Broncos perspective, that's the player they're going to be watching for
58:32
the most but you guys have other pass rushers. But I would say,
58:37
like, you know, go ahead, go ahead, no you go,
58:38
you're the guest. Oh, I was just gonna say, you know,
58:40
like McGlinchey has given up pressures to everybody likes. It's not just the premier
58:46
edge rushers that are beating him like a drum. It's it's everybody who kind
58:50
of tease off against it. And that's the concern because you guys, maybe
58:53
they're not premier names, but like Rousseau is a decent player, Like you
58:58
guys have pieces that could like really abuse him. And again, like not
59:01
to say that the Broncos, the rest of the Broncos line is like,
59:04
you know, just gonna completely wall you off. But like I'm not really
59:07
worried about those other matchups the same way, just because like the Broncos will
59:09
win some, they'll lose a couple, but like McGlinchey, you could really
59:13
scheme and just destroy it. And that's a concern because it's happened this year.
59:17
And see tied in with that though, I hate to keep like banging
59:21
this drum like some of that injury piece, so Greg russau Is is working
59:23
with multiple foot slash ankle injuries and he's still putting together some good snaps.
59:28
But he is not I don't want to put a percentage on it, but
59:30
he is not at a healthy standpoint order in order to be consistently effective.
59:36
Luckily for them, Leonard Floyd has been a tremendous signing. Came in signed
59:40
in June. One year deal. Look to be kind of just like,
59:44
okay, have him be the number two or one while Vaughn is out.
59:47
Vaughn comes back, you're work him in. You'll see what happens. But
59:51
he's just been absolutely tremendous. Like he gives him consistent passwords, pop off
59:54
the edge, he can rush off both sides. He's been a tremendous help.
59:59
My biggest thing with that, I think you'll see him more on the
1:00:02
offensives right the defense is left to get matched up against McGlinchey. Aj Panessa
1:00:07
has been a real nice piece for the Bills this year from a pass rush
1:00:13
standpoint, and out of where there's my notes here. Out of one hundred
1:00:17
and fifteen qualifying edges, aj Panessa currently sits at twenty second in terms of
1:00:23
pass rush productivity. He's been strong off the edge, but he's more of
1:00:28
he's gonna be going up against your left tackle. He doesn't really have side
1:00:31
versatility. Rousseau is mainly a guy that will line up against your right tackle,
1:00:35
but he'll flex every now and again. Floyd can do both sides.
1:00:38
Von can do both sides, but we know he'll work against the right tackle
1:00:40
more so when it comes to him a Glinche standpoint, I'm looking at Von
1:00:45
I'm looking at Leonard Floyd. I think Rousseau is going to play again.
1:00:49
Maybe not because he's just so banged up, but if he's in there,
1:00:52
he's not a moves guy as much as he has a long arm, speed
1:00:54
to power, good hands from a pop and shock and placement standpoint to see
1:00:59
what he can do there. So I really expanded it because I don't I
1:01:02
still don't know what you're gonna get from Vaughn on like a weekly basis.
1:01:06
So I'm looking at it as McGlinchey Versusvon Miller slash Leonard Floyd, and you
1:01:09
know, the shell of Greg Russol. But and that's one of the things
1:01:14
that like I had to go back over the Chiefs game in Park. So
1:01:15
I wanted to see, like what specifically is mcglinchy really struggling with the most
1:01:21
just based on like what is he gonna you know, what's gonna be the
1:01:22
problematic matchups in this game. And again the fact that he was like everyone's
1:01:27
going to struggle against Chris Jones. Chris Jones is just Chris Jones. But
1:01:30
but the way mcglinchy would struggle with Chris Jones, he gave up his chest
1:01:34
and Chris Jones were just longmarm and so like, and this is like,
1:01:37
you know, again, this is six foot eight, three hundred and thirty
1:01:39
pound offensive tackle and Chris Jones is just basically riding him back and at the
1:01:45
same time, like he'll overset and get beat on spins inside like counters will
1:01:49
get it. Like so again, like Leonard Floyd will probably get some wins
1:01:53
von Miller if von Miller's like okay, he's probably gonna at least pressure us.
1:01:59
I don't know if he's gonna bring him down, but I can see
1:02:01
vond having like again his like resurgent game man. That's music to Bills fans
1:02:07
ears. It would be nice to see just just a little more of those
1:02:10
glimpses, and it's been such a disappointing to piece thing or disappointing piece as
1:02:15
well when it comes to vond because I think at this point, like a
1:02:17
lot of Bills fans were all like, Okay, just let him rest,
1:02:20
bring them back little by little, But now it's kind of like with all
1:02:23
the other injuries, it's like no, man, like, yeah, you
1:02:27
gotta play him and you need to kind of get back to form, and
1:02:30
it's not kind of like, well we can handle him with kid gloves and
1:02:31
let everybody else do the heavy lifting. Like it's been a significant piece.
1:02:36
I like that matchup piece a lot in terms of seeing if they can get
1:02:38
af from a glimsey, and they're gonna need to generate pressure again, especially
1:02:40
with how banged up the I mean, the D line's banged up, but
1:02:43
how banged up the back seven is. From a coverage standpoint, justf the
1:02:46
Bills, the Bill's front is going to have to win in this game.
1:02:50
That ties a little bit into my third point as well. I kind of
1:02:53
combined two of them for this third point here, but my first one is
1:02:58
can the Bills stop the run with light boxes and or just their defensive line
1:03:01
we have continued to see really since Taekwon Jones went out and then you know
1:03:07
that coincided with Malana going out, But more and more, really, especially
1:03:12
with that Patriots game, we've seen the Bills have to walk a safety up
1:03:15
to consistently stop the run. They are getting gouged in gap scheme runs in
1:03:21
zone as well, but those gap scheme ones are really killing them, and
1:03:23
a lot of it too. Ever since the whatever Week nine or eight last
1:03:29
year against the Packers where the Packers showed everybody like if you just use kind
1:03:32
of jet motion right before the snap, the Bills will shift consistently at the
1:03:37
second level, and then you can use that to create leverage and just run
1:03:40
back the way that the motion came from. And all of a sudden,
1:03:44
you've either got, you know, a light box with Tarren Johnson, you
1:03:47
know, the five foot nine, you know Nickel corner is in the box
1:03:51
playing like a linebacker role, and and it's a six man box on top
1:03:54
of it. So it's light from a numbers perspective, and it's light from
1:03:58
like a weight in size and frame perspective. So teams will manipulate the Bills
1:04:01
with motion and even when they don't like they're just they're not gaps sound consistently
1:04:08
enough. And this is a team that they like the one gap. They
1:04:11
love to penetrate and get upfield, and they're gonna get god from time to
1:04:15
time. You can get them with trap, you can get them with wham
1:04:16
if you catch them at the right time on just like Dart or if you
1:04:19
ran to run like a GT counter like, there's a chance you're gonna catch
1:04:23
them out and you can get a big gain and gout them for like ten
1:04:25
to fifteen something like that. But you remove Daikwon Jones and all of a
1:04:30
sudden and then you you know have the injury with Greg Russeau, who does
1:04:33
so much for them set in the edge against the run, and you remove
1:04:36
Matt Milano and then potentially Torell Bernard. You've kind of removed a lot of
1:04:41
the teeth from this Bill's run defense. And again it started with that Pats
1:04:45
game. They just have to. You're seeing more blitzes from a percentage standpoint
1:04:48
for the Bills, but it's not because they're blitzing more against the pass.
1:04:51
They're bringing more rum blitzes. They're bringing five and six to try and stop
1:04:56
the run, they're running run stunts, or they're just bringing seven and the
1:05:00
box or eight in the box because they're trying to stop the run because they
1:05:02
can't do it with their defensive line and their linebackers. They can't do it
1:05:05
with the front. So that piece starts a lot of the conversation for me.
1:05:09
One because I really like Devonte Williams and I think he's a good running
1:05:12
back. And if you allow this Broncos offense to get things working on the
1:05:15
ground, it just creates so many problems for the Bills defense. One because
1:05:19
it makes it easier for them to move the ball without having to put the
1:05:23
ball in Russ's hands. But two, like we talked about earlier, now
1:05:26
all of a sudden, the play action game becomes viable, and more importantly,
1:05:29
the play action shot game becomes viable in addition to being able to work
1:05:32
against single high looks, which favors you know, some of the skill set
1:05:34
that the Broncos have on the outside. So can the Bills stop the run
1:05:39
with light boxes and or like their defensive line. Then the other piece as
1:05:43
well, you know what wrinkle or tweak do we get from the Bills offense.
1:05:46
We've seen different things that they lean into these last several weeks, they
1:05:49
try to write the ship. You know, it's tempo, some of the
1:05:54
Josh Allen run game, some more RPOs, some gadget plays. Sometimes it's
1:05:58
more of a commitment to the run. It's kind of very much like a
1:06:01
wheel of fortune or kind of spin the dial and see what it lands on
1:06:04
for that week. But like we talked about earlier, like the Bills offense
1:06:08
continues to remain one of the most efficient in football. You know, DVOA
1:06:13
loves them, EPA loves them. But like we talked about, like they
1:06:16
hurt themselves with drivestallers like penalties or poor execution or poor design or just straight
1:06:21
up turnovers, an interception or a fumble whatever. They've seen success at varying
1:06:26
times, with commitments to varying run concepts. They have a couple like they're
1:06:30
really good at duo this year. They love dart that tackle rap play.
1:06:34
They'll lean into that piece. They like mid zone. So whether it's leaning
1:06:38
into you know, their run concepts and getting into the bag that way,
1:06:41
continuing to go with tempo, using RPO's gadget plays, some sort of wrinkle
1:06:45
that they've shown glimpses of at different times, based on situation, based on
1:06:49
opponent. Again, it seems like each week brings a different commitment to a
1:06:55
different tweak or wrinkle, and that tweak or wrinkle ends up playing a significant
1:07:00
in the success of the offense. And again, for a group that continues
1:07:03
to move the ball well and is operating very efficiently, but is missing some
1:07:06
of their explosives and is just missing out on capitalizing on a lot of the
1:07:12
positivity from their drives, I look to see, what, like, what
1:07:15
do they do to have an easy button for this game against the Denver Broncos,
1:07:18
Like I think like for me an immediate one if I'm just starting basically,
1:07:21
I am like we talked about earlier. I am running at Nick Benito
1:07:25
every time he's in the game. I don't care what pass is called.
1:07:28
I'm checking and we're booming and we're running right at Benito, like I am
1:07:30
running to that side. It could be something you know, little like midzone
1:07:34
we're going at but I am running downhill or I'm running gap scheme towards him.
1:07:39
I am leaving him unblocked. I'm kicking him out with that pulling guard
1:07:42
or the tight end and split flow, something like, I'm attacking that piece
1:07:45
and trying to create as much vertical displacement against him and the Broncos front as
1:07:49
possible to get Josh settled in, because I think the Broncos can, you
1:07:54
know, present some problems for the Bills from a pass perspective with how the
1:07:57
Bills are currently operating, But so much goes wrong for the Bills when they
1:08:00
either don't commit to the run or they can't run the ball successfully. And
1:08:06
it's so funny, and I think it's started. It's starting to come back
1:08:10
and vogue a little bit this type of conversation. But for as much of
1:08:12
a passing team as the Bills are, and for as much as the NFL
1:08:15
and modern day football is a passing league, so much of it still starts
1:08:18
with can you stop the run and can you run the ball? Because your
1:08:21
run fits dictate your coverage numbers, and that dictates what coverages you can play,
1:08:26
and then your offensive system is set off the same principle in same concept,
1:08:30
and so much of that, you know, how they stop them run
1:08:31
from numbers? And then can they run the ball on the other side starts
1:08:34
so much of the conversation for me, well, and I think from the
1:08:38
Broncos perspective, that's going to be kind of what they're trying to do to
1:08:42
win the game. In a lot of ways, they're going to commit to
1:08:44
stopping the non Josh Allen run game in part because if they kind of in
1:08:49
a way the Bills on offense. One of the reasons why you guys are
1:08:54
like kind of a erratic is that there's there's kind of this like this fight
1:08:59
going on right now of like how much support do we give Josh Allen by
1:09:01
putting the ball in like a traditional run game perspective, But at the same
1:09:06
time, like we need him to be able to do things to carry us
1:09:09
when he can, and that's when you're most dangerous. But that's also like
1:09:12
when Josh Allen is most likely to have some sort of critical error. Dude,
1:09:15
it's like, is I have to play with fire. But at the
1:09:20
same time, like from a from a defensive perspective, like for the Broncos,
1:09:24
like you guys are going to score. I would say like at some
1:09:28
point the Broncos need to force some sort of like you were saying, some
1:09:30
sort of big mistake on third down or some sort of turnover and steal a
1:09:33
possession, similar like what happens when you play Mahomes. So in a lot
1:09:36
of ways, Denver is gonna have to play with fire in that, Like
1:09:40
they're gonna have to shut down the traditional run game to force Josh Allen to
1:09:43
play hero ball, and then they're gonna need to be able to survive hero
1:09:45
ball enough that they kind of come out ahead. And then at the same
1:09:48
time, they're gonna need to be able to manage RUSS. So I think
1:09:50
on offense they're going to try and run the ball, force you guys to
1:09:54
commit to the box, play, the screen game, play the short game,
1:09:58
kind of keep us from like giving it up on a phone because Uss'
1:10:00
is fumble lat this year, and then take shots when they're available. And
1:10:04
if they do that and they steal one possession or like you know, you
1:10:08
guys just don't score and like a critical are like if they win the middle
1:10:11
eight and they can get a possession of somewhere else, the Broncos have a
1:10:13
really really good chance. And I think they're gonna try and like Peyton,
1:10:15
I think that's gonna be the game plan. It's going to be trying to
1:10:18
do that and it makes complete sense, Like you not to mention too like
1:10:23
the if you can run the ball, And I love the screen game piece
1:10:26
that you mentioned from Denver. The Bills defense is so poor against screens,
1:10:29
and it could be something as simple as like a smoke screen or a tunnel
1:10:31
screen, or just a screen to a running back out of the backfield.
1:10:33
Like they get gouged consistently in the screen game. So if you can in
1:10:39
the name of the name, to keep in mind, there is Julia McLaughlin
1:10:42
undrafted free agent for Denver. He's again he gets very limited touches. He
1:10:45
can scoop trying he got juice. He very very fast, very very quick,
1:10:50
and he's elusive and so like they try to give him some touches in
1:10:53
space, and the screen game is one of the areas where like you can
1:10:55
see him like a guy you're not going to see on like you know,
1:10:58
the broadcast leading up to the game, and all of a sudden he'll at
1:11:00
one huge play. So he's been consistent in like he's I hate using like
1:11:08
stigmatic like labels, but he is like the proverbial jitterbug and you just get
1:11:12
the ball in his hands and he is shaking dudes left and right, and
1:11:15
he's ducking under guys and he's just he's got so much juice when he touches
1:11:18
the ball like, he's so fun to see. I love that you mentioned
1:11:20
him. He like literally dudes like that, those quick, shifty, vertical
1:11:27
space, vertical speed type of guys who have a little shake to them.
1:11:30
They do so well against this Bill's defense because there's such a fast flowing defense
1:11:34
that you can catch them in their spots like where you can you can get
1:11:38
them to out leverage themselves and then make them pay by getting the ball into
1:11:42
an athletic, speedy ball carrier's hands. Yeah, I worry about that piece
1:11:46
as well. And then that ball control offense, like even just from again
1:11:50
an eat standpoint, like make things easy on Russ and run the ball and
1:11:55
grind things out. But then you also limit possessions for Josh Allen and the
1:11:58
Bills offense, and the Bill offense is already limiting possessions for themselves because of
1:12:02
them running this almost two efficient or ultra efficient offense where they're just moving the
1:12:08
ball so methodically. That and that's been a big piece too, Right,
1:12:12
They move the ball well, and they go on these seven to eight minute
1:12:15
drives. But they'll go on these seven to eight minute drives and they'll only
1:12:18
get a field goal or they'll turn the ball over or get a sack and
1:12:21
they don't get anything. Now you just wasted eight minutes a clock on offense.
1:12:26
Then, because they have all the injuries on the defensive side of the
1:12:29
ball, their defense isn't able to get offenses off the field as quickly.
1:12:32
So now you're just reducing and reducing all these opportunities and possessions for Josh Allen
1:12:39
and the Bills offense. And if you play into that hand, it kills
1:12:42
you and it makes every possession more valuable. And then so like when you
1:12:45
then give one away later, it's just it starts to compound all those mistakes
1:12:47
on top of itself. Absolutely, and then Josh Allen, the Yang and
1:12:51
Josh Allen, but this is more just kind of the bad side of it.
1:12:55
I don't know which one's bad, Yan or Yang, but it is
1:12:57
what it is. He wants everything all the time. I say it,
1:13:00
I've said adition so much like he wants blood on every single play, and
1:13:05
the bad and the good. He's guided by wanting blood and going for the
1:13:10
throat on that in both of those, the same thing, the thing that
1:13:13
makes him truck a linebacker to get an extra yard or hurdle somebody to get
1:13:16
an extra one or two yards, that's the same thing that causes him to
1:13:20
throw a ball that he should not throw in a situation that he should not
1:13:25
even be attempting, and it causes him to make a mistake. It's that
1:13:28
risk reward, It's that yin and yang nature of Josh Allen. That's how
1:13:30
that's his default setting. When he makes a mistake, he doubles down.
1:13:35
If he throws an interception, he comes back and he wants to make up
1:13:40
for that interception and get it all back right away. And that's when you
1:13:43
start to see if he makes one mistake, very rarely does he have a
1:13:45
game or he makes one or two mistakes. If he makes one or two
1:13:49
mistakes, especially early on, or if they're big mistakes, it doesn't stay
1:13:53
at one or two. It turns into four or five, six, and
1:13:56
it starts to snowball. And he compounds those mistakes on top of one another.
1:14:00
And that's also why I like the run game so much, because it
1:14:03
reduces how much he's taxed mentally and physically, but also it just gives him
1:14:09
a nice easy break. Just turn around hand the ball off gets some easy
1:14:12
yards, or get the ball in your playmaker's hands underneath or in a screen
1:14:15
or some gadget play like that to kind of just let him settle in,
1:14:17
let him take a breath and not have to feel like everything is on his
1:14:20
shoulders so he can get into a rhythm and settle down. Because everything schematically,
1:14:25
for as much as Dorsey struggles and Dorsey has his words and all of
1:14:28
that, everything schematically for the Bills offense gets thrown out the window when Josh
1:14:33
Allen feels like he has to take the game into his hands. And I
1:14:36
say, everything gets thrown out schematically. Sometimes in a good way because he's
1:14:40
a unicorn and makes things happen, or it can be in a bad way,
1:14:44
like against the Jets in Week one, when he just is making stupid
1:14:46
throws at stupid times. And that's why, from the Broncos perspective, you
1:14:50
want to get him in that mindset. Yeah, So Bans Joseph had a
1:14:54
play in the Chiefs game where they sent both corners and they drop too defensive
1:14:59
linemen and they play to cover three shell over the top of it, and
1:15:01
like I could see like early in the game, like if the Broncos kind
1:15:04
of like start to like sit down on the run game and Josh Allen gets
1:15:06
into a must pass situation, something just really bizarre and exotic like that,
1:15:11
Because if you kind of throw Josh Allen in this mode where all of a
1:15:14
sudden, someone's body is in a place where he doesn't expect it and you
1:15:17
kind of get him into the like what you said, where he starts to
1:15:19
be I have to play hero ball and make up for it. That's when
1:15:23
the Broncos can start to steal possessions and get ahead. So my last question
1:15:26
for you, and I know I've kept you too long. I sincerely apologize
1:15:29
to this conversation. The tall Yeah, same, So why my last question
1:15:32
for you? So that ties into some of the pieces man lou and or
1:15:35
Room and what the Bengals do, and they do it against everybody, but
1:15:38
their creativity in terms of like what they do on third downs and they did
1:15:43
this one specific thing Againt San Francisco, and they've done it a bunch,
1:15:45
but they did against the Bills. Their drop eight looks are really creative into
1:15:48
that they'll play Cover three with it, they'll play Cover four and they'll have
1:15:53
a low hole player and sometimes it's Logan Wilson, sometimes it's Sam Hubbard off
1:15:57
the edge. They'll get real creative in terms of what they do, and
1:15:59
no looks have presented problems for Allen, those creative type of looks, like
1:16:02
those creative drop eight looks. In the playoffs against the Bills, the Bengals
1:16:06
ran a ton of inverted Cover two and you didn't know who was going to
1:16:10
be the deep half player on what side and who was coming from where?
1:16:14
How much do I know what I've seen? You know, the past two
1:16:16
games that I watched, the Green Bay game and the Case game from the
1:16:19
Broncos perspective, But how much of that is baked into the Denver defense.
1:16:24
If you're in a non passing situation, if it's third and seven, third
1:16:28
and eight, what type of creativity from a looks perspective, either in the
1:16:30
front or on the back end or all of it tying it together? How
1:16:33
creative does Advanced Joseph get in those nome passing downs and situations They're pretty likely
1:16:39
to send somebody. I think they'll play games, but I think like traditionally,
1:16:44
like they do play pretty I don't think they're like super exotic on the
1:16:47
back end normally. I think we've kind of started to see that more and
1:16:50
more in the last couple of weeks because I think part of it also was
1:16:53
like Joseph kind of like settling into like what he thinks he can do.
1:16:56
But I also think, I guess Mahomes it was kind of like we have
1:16:59
to find stuff that just throws in and again, like I in a lot
1:17:01
of ways, like defensive coordinators like rightly so Tree Allen kind of in that
1:17:05
same tier because like he is a guy that like he can get you down
1:17:10
the field in forty seconds if he's on, so you have to throw things
1:17:13
at him that just kind of get in similar though the yin ingang part of
1:17:16
it. If you can get in his head like that, you can get
1:17:18
ahead of him. So I do think we're gonna see some stuff, like
1:17:21
we're gonna see more of that in this game than the Broncos have shown through
1:17:26
most of the season, because I think it's one of those things against like
1:17:29
top tier quarterbacks fans, Joseph's willing to do that, and I think that's
1:17:31
such a great plan because even if even if you get burned by it,
1:17:36
it that type of creativity or exotic stuff. And I'm not even talking to
1:17:40
the point of like exotic stuff that makes no sense, just doing it to
1:17:44
try and mentally tax Josh Allen and force him to be like, oh,
1:17:47
why why is that guy dropping? Or like what's happened there? Just that
1:17:50
little a like against the Chiefs game when they sent the two like again they
1:17:55
sent Patrick's or Tan down the like as a blitzer, and I was just
1:17:58
like, wait, why are you doing this? And like I went and
1:18:00
looked at and I was like, it makes sense against Mahomes because Mahomes is
1:18:03
never gonna expect it. So like I guess like if you're gonna do that
1:18:06
on a third and long because you know you have you know that your sound
1:18:10
behind it, and you can just kind of sit on top of it all.
1:18:14
So like in those kind of situations, like the fact that Jose was
1:18:15
willing to do it, I think it could. I could we could see
1:18:18
stuff like that again, just from that perspective of like if you can get
1:18:21
Josh Allen thinking about it, it slows him down because at this end of
1:18:25
the day, I know a lot of Bills fans are really down on Dorsey
1:18:27
after last week. You guys are good on offense. The Broncos are probably
1:18:30
going into this game knowing we're gonna give up some explosives. Our thing is
1:18:34
we need to probably steal possession or just slow it down enough that Josh Allen
1:18:39
makes a critical mistake. Yeah, you look to hold the Bills to three
1:18:43
when they do move the ball, or again, if the Bills move it,
1:18:45
you have the opportunity to draw and because they're not as explosive if you
1:18:50
get them into first and twenty. Before it used to be like, oh,
1:18:54
first and twenty, Josh Allen's going to complete a seventeen yard pass,
1:18:57
then it'll be second and three. Now it's like first and twenty becomes you
1:19:01
know, second and seventeen or second and thirteen, and then it's still third
1:19:04
and seven, third and eight, third, nine, and everything just compounds.
1:19:09
Like I love that type of aspect. Man, It's I'm stressed as
1:19:13
a Bills fan, but as a football lover and person who just covers the
1:19:15
sport in general, I think there are some really fun schematic pieces that both
1:19:20
teams could get into in this game, and I'm not overlooking. I'm very
1:19:24
paranoid in terms of like a fan, and that's like, I'm very objective,
1:19:29
but the biggest thing that overrides, like my analysis is always just paranoia
1:19:32
for my individual team. Like, so I'm a Bills fan, and then
1:19:35
I'm also a Red Sox fan, and even though the Red Sox have won
1:19:39
World Series multiple in my lifetime, I am forever gun, shy, paranoid
1:19:44
growing up as a Red Sox fan and as a Bills fan. I am
1:19:46
secure in absolutely nothing. So I will never look past any opponent. But
1:19:50
in this instance, I do think there are legitimate pieces that make this matchup
1:19:54
very interesting on both sides of the ball. And yeah, I was pumped
1:19:58
to be able to sit down and chat with you about it. I love
1:20:00
Michael coming in saying that you have the best guest background ever. Yeah,
1:20:03
we chatted about it earlier. There's like Michael, Yeah, Michael gets it,
1:20:08
like there's physics formulas and charts and stuff behind you, Like it's awesome.
1:20:12
So I love that he called that out. And yet, Joe,
1:20:14
you were absolutely tremendous. You again, you were the person who I had
1:20:16
earmarked for this episode, and I was pumped to just bring you on and
1:20:19
talkball. And you were as advertised and everything that I hoped you would be.
1:20:24
And I hope you had a good time. And just in case people
1:20:26
don't know who you are, what you do, anything and everything. Whatever
1:20:29
you want to talk about, plug the floor is yours. Take it away.
1:20:33
Well, I mean, first of all, thanks for having me on,
1:20:35
because yeah, I've been looking forward to it since you reach out to
1:20:39
me. So, I mean, I'm on Twitter at Joo Underscore NFL.
1:20:45
I love talking ball. I'm a Broncos fan first and foremost. But similar
1:20:48
to what you're saying, like, I love watching football. I like watching
1:20:53
the Bills. It's fun. I like watching the Ravens. I like watching
1:20:55
good football. So yeah, it was good. Yeah, I'm glad you
1:21:00
had a good time man, and you near your work. Everything you do
1:21:01
on Twitter now and then going back to Mile High report stuff and everything that
1:21:04
you had, it's just you do really quality stuff. And I appreciate you.
1:21:10
Uh, and I when Michael shouting you out, he's like, I
1:21:13
got a shout out any physics, math, chemistry people. I love it.
1:21:18
Oh that's an awesome way. Again, Joe, I appreciate the Halidia
1:21:21
for taking the time and finding the space and everything. This was awesome.
1:21:26
I'm sure I'll see you out in the Twitter ether and the d ms and
1:21:30
all that kind of stuff. But again, you crushed it. I appreciate
1:21:31
the Halidia, Thank you so much for stopping by and have fun with the
1:21:34
rest of your night. Yeah, go Broncos. Oh nice later. Oh
1:21:43
man, he was awesome. Oh yeah, Michael, I say, repping
1:21:45
your people, that was the first thing. So when I brought him on,
1:21:49
I saw in his background. I was like, what do you got?
1:21:51
What formulas are behind you back there? And he was talking about the
1:21:57
everything from a physics standpoint that what he had and we were just talking about
1:22:00
was on the whiteboard. Yeah, he was a very awesome guest here on
1:22:04
this episode. We're going to transition now here, we're going to dive into
1:22:09
some stock up stock down pieces coming out of that Cincinnati Bengals game. Awesome,
1:22:13
Margie, I'm glad you liked him. Yeah, he's great. He's
1:22:15
just a good dude to talk ball like. We honestly could have gone into
1:22:18
this episode with just no structure and just talked about or just you know,
1:22:21
I honestly thought with him too, because he watches a lot of tape.
1:22:25
Like I thought it had, just throwing up some film and breaking down film
1:22:28
stuff and kind of going off the regular kind of cycle that we do here
1:22:31
on the show. He's awesome. I'm really pumped Dud's able to come on.
1:22:35
Dude lives in Alaska, so it was awesome that he was able to
1:22:38
make the time. I appreciate the hell out of him. But yeah,
1:22:40
he's great. Let's transition now before we do. If you haven't already and
1:22:44
you are enjoying this content, please please, please, thank you, drop
1:22:46
alike on this video. It goes a sincerely long way towards helping myself and
1:22:49
the entire team to track and trend in front of more eyes and ears.
1:22:53
So if you have not already, whether you're watching live now or watching later,
1:22:56
please drop alike on this video. It's extremely helpful for myself in the
1:22:59
entire Cover one team. And as we transition to the back end of the
1:23:02
show here and we throw up the sponsor, which is One Pie Pizza.
1:23:05
You can find the online menu in the episode show notes, whether here on
1:23:09
YouTube or whichever podcasting app or platform you are listening to this show on I
1:23:13
say it every week, and I don't just say it because I am partner
1:23:15
with them and they sponsor the show. The reason One Pie Pizza sponsors this
1:23:19
show is because I think they're the best pizza in Buffalo. Delicious, sweet
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sauce, pie cup and sharp pepperoni. They make their own their own homemade
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blue cheese, a great cheese, the sauce ratio. When you get vegetables
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and different toppings, they chop them all up and sprinkle them evenly across the
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whole pie. They're now doing a breakfast pizza. They're expanding into catering a
1:23:36
little bit like they're growing in terms of their business footprint and what they do.
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And they also get back to the community in a variety of ways every
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single year. So well, get yourself some One Pie Pizza again. Online
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menu can be found in the episode show notes, whether here on YouTube or
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whichever podcasting app or platform you are listening to this show on. Now,
1:23:57
let's transition stock Up. We're gonna show something here for some stock up candidates.
1:24:00
After Week nine versus the Cincinnati Bengals. I see Spin's comment here.
1:24:06
I like this. Diggs isn't stock up because Diggs is just digs, but
1:24:10
Spin says stock up Linval Joseph, Dane Jackson, Dalton Kincaid, stock down
1:24:15
everyone else. So tomorrow night in the film room, myself and Eric will
1:24:18
be breaking down a bunch of pieces from Dane Jackson and Dalton Kinkaid. So
1:24:23
those two will be saved for tomorrow night and the Cover one film room,
1:24:27
but they'll be diving into those pieces with Eric tomorrow night, which I'm pumming
1:24:30
for, and a bunch of other topics to break down the Bills Bengals tape.
1:24:32
Roy says, No, Shakir, maybe not for Spin, but for
1:24:36
me, You're gonna get some Coaluil Shakir. He is part of my stock
1:24:40
up piece in this game or coming out of this game. Again, we're
1:24:44
trying to find just because things did not go as planned does not mean there
1:24:48
weren't any bright spots. That doesn't mean there weren't any good pieces to come
1:24:55
from this game. And so with that being said, let us dive into
1:24:57
the tape and look at some of the stock up moments from this game.
1:25:01
Again. Wanted to highlight several players in this game. I was going to
1:25:04
do some schematic pieces, but there are a couple of individual performances that I
1:25:08
really liked in this game, and you know Roy kind of going there and
1:25:12
saying, no, no, Shakir, you are going to get some Khalis
1:25:15
Shakir here. Oh that kind of rhymes a little bit. He's my first
1:25:18
stock up player coming out of this game. And I put a tweet out
1:25:23
earlier that I'm going to pull up right now. Now. The sample size
1:25:29
is going to affect it a little bit for the stat that I'm about to
1:25:31
bring out right now. But amongst two hundred qualifying players, and this is
1:25:36
of any position, this isn't just wide receiver, so this is two hundred
1:25:40
qualifying anybody on offense, could be a wide receiver, could be a tight
1:25:44
end, could be a running back, anybody, and anybody out of two
1:25:46
hundred qualifying players of any position. Khalils Shakir is currently second in the entire
1:25:53
NFL in EPA per target at zero point seven to two. Now, granted,
1:25:58
he only has nineteen targets, so there would be some level or some
1:26:01
semblance of expectation of mean regression or regressing to the mean the more targets that
1:26:06
he sees, but this is still ridiculously strong again out of two hundred qualifying
1:26:11
players. Khalios Shakira is currently second in the entire NFL in EPA per target
1:26:15
at zero point seven to two. We're starting to see some more of that
1:26:18
boise state Koalios Shakir. We're starting to see some of the route running,
1:26:21
Nuance the savvy. We're starting to see some run after catch, some physicality,
1:26:25
some speed. He's really bringing a lot to this offense. It's nice
1:26:29
to see him getting incorporated more into this offense. He coming through, and
1:26:33
you know, I think Dalton Kinkaid is starting to get established more. I
1:26:36
think we've gotten to a point where, you know, I don't want to
1:26:41
kind of add fuel to this fire, but I think we've gotten to a
1:26:43
point where Dalton kink should probably be tight end one. And I'm not taking
1:26:47
Dalton Kincaid off the field in passing downs or passing situations for Dawson Knox,
1:26:54
which is either really good or really bad depending on how you're looking at it.
1:26:57
But I think Diggs is still your one. Kinkaid has emerged a real
1:27:00
quality number two, even though he's only a rookie. And then I think
1:27:03
having a third and fourth option of Shakir and or Davis, depending on how
1:27:06
it shakes out or what the matchup dictates. You're starting to get a nice
1:27:10
that kind of rounded out group of weapons and then still seeing what you have
1:27:13
in Hardy and Sherfield at times. I still think the run game needs to
1:27:15
be incorporated more and utilized because it does so much to open up this offense.
1:27:19
But that's a conversation for another time. But I let off with those
1:27:23
numbers for Shakir because they are legitimately impressive, and I wanted to pull up
1:27:26
two plays from this game that highlight some of what coolier Sekur has been doing
1:27:30
and what you are seeing from him and what we are seeing from him.
1:27:33
So I am highlighted there in the slot to the top. And this is
1:27:39
going up against Mike Hilton. I mentioned Hilton on the show before, one
1:27:43
of, if not the best nickel corners in the entire NFL. I think
1:27:46
at any given time it's between Hilton, Tarren Johnson, and Kenny Moore from
1:27:50
Indianapolis, who had two pick sixes this past weekend. I think it's between
1:27:55
one of those three and any given week, any given time for being the
1:27:58
best nickel corner in the NFL. But if I had to put my money
1:28:01
on somebody week in and week out, Mike Hilton is the best slot corner
1:28:04
nickel corner in all of football with what he can do. Cincinnati will even
1:28:08
use him as a post safety at times. So even though he's a slot
1:28:11
corner, there's times in certain looks based on personnel and alignment, Mike Hilton
1:28:15
will be the guy back here and he'll be lined up as a post safety,
1:28:18
fitting the run from deep or just covering deep and single high looks in
1:28:23
a variety of ways. Like man, it's really nice to see what Hilton
1:28:28
does to this Bengals defense. He was a huge free agent get for them
1:28:30
coming from Pittsburgh. He really helped transform this defense and make them into the
1:28:33
playoff caliber, championship caliber type defense that they are from a versatility and knowledge
1:28:39
and physicality standpoint. But I say all that to say this rep from Khalil
1:28:45
Shakir against him is extremely impressive. So on the snap here we get a
1:28:49
bit of the switch release and watcher secure does he goes to the outside and
1:28:54
you watch him just hit Hilton with this hesitation right here, breaks him down,
1:28:59
gets him to move his feet and then just goes right by him,
1:29:01
gets the field. If Allen actually leads this ball a little further and upfield,
1:29:06
this is the bigger game. Maybe even potentially a touchdown, although I
1:29:10
know Nick Scott number thirty three here does have a pretty good angle. But
1:29:14
what the Bills have done at different times this year, and now I'm gonna
1:29:16
played it in fast motion watching them break them down, Oh so pretty hits
1:29:19
him with that hesitation, almost like a crossover, like a point guard driving
1:29:23
the lane in the NBA. But what's nice what we've seen, and this
1:29:26
is where I give Dorsey some credit and shake heures some credit as well in
1:29:30
terms of playing into this what we've seen at times why this route works.
1:29:34
We've seen this follow concept for the Bills, and it usually does not work
1:29:39
for whatever reason, Like they just do not run the follow concept strong at
1:29:42
all. Beasley used to run it pretty well, but we saw it not
1:29:45
work a bunch last year. They've run in a couple times this year.
1:29:47
It's been mad. But what you'll see at times is this first receiver will
1:29:50
either come across or he'll just kind of go upfield, and you'll see what
1:29:55
you got from Shakir here which is player will come out and then come back
1:30:00
second like they'll run that follow route coming back across, and Shakira is playing
1:30:03
off of that, so Hilton is banking on that. That's what makes Hilton
1:30:08
kind of slow down, what allows Shakira to break break him down a bit
1:30:12
here, because again he's going outside. You fake outside and then you're gonna
1:30:15
come back inside on that follow route in this concept, and this is what
1:30:19
Shaki does. That's why Hilton passes off and he's ready and Shakira plays into
1:30:24
that, oh just breaks him down. Like that's a real pretty route.
1:30:28
That is a quality route from a nuance and craft standpoint when it comes to
1:30:33
playing the wide receiver position again. And not only is that a route good
1:30:38
in a vacuum like in and of itself, like if Shaki ran this quality
1:30:42
route against anybody, it would still be like a win. Like that's a
1:30:45
really good route regardless of who it's against. The fact that it comes against
1:30:48
arguably the best nickel corner in the entire NFL is even better. And the
1:30:54
fact that it comes off of similar looks and concepts the bills are run at
1:30:58
other times that also makes it even better as well. You know right,
1:31:00
the call from Dorsey, the design from Dorsey, but also secure playing into
1:31:04
that and making you know he's running B, but he wants to make B
1:31:09
look like a him operating with that level of deception and being able to translate
1:31:14
that physically and break down Hilton here on this route. This is just a
1:31:17
real, veteran, savvy, quality nuanced route against again, for my money,
1:31:23
the best nickel corner in all the football and Mike Hilton like and he's
1:31:25
he's not even close in terms of separation, like he's got him beat.
1:31:30
Again, this is still a nice gain, This is still a nice play.
1:31:32
But if Alan puts this more on an arc and kind of leads Shakir
1:31:36
more, this is more than just him going down at kind of being touchdown
1:31:41
at the fifteen, like he's going down to the five yard line. Maybe
1:31:44
he cuts it back, maybe he beats Nick Scott to the corner, like
1:31:47
this is a real This had more potential than what it did. But again,
1:31:50
fine, take take take the game that you got again, this is
1:31:55
just shout out to Shakir for the real quality route that he runs here and
1:31:58
doing it and winning like he wins decisively against the best nickel corner in all
1:32:02
the football and Mike Hilton. So real quality piece from Shakira again, just
1:32:05
being able to break him down and hitting him with that hesitation. It's like
1:32:11
a point guard driving the lane, hit with the crossover. Had some and
1:32:14
one mixtape stuff right there. That's real, pretty, very very very pretty.
1:32:18
Let's go to another play for mister Khalil Shakir. This one is subtle,
1:32:24
not as you know, dramatically tremendous from Shakir. So this is a
1:32:28
play later in the second quarter, first down again, as the comment here
1:32:34
says, this is a tuddy if the throw is a bit better too.
1:32:36
Yeah, if Alan led that ball a little more, put some more air
1:32:40
under it, led Shakiir a little bit, he's definitely getting past the fifteen.
1:32:45
Maybe it's a touchdown, maybe it's down at the five or you know,
1:32:46
goal to go situation. But there were some there were some yards left
1:32:50
on the table, some meat on the bone on that throw there from Alan.
1:32:54
Here's another one from Shakir, and this one is subtle, like,
1:32:58
this isn't crazy, like this is him running a deep sit route. Boom
1:33:01
okay, So he's hitching up right here, and again this isn't the craziest
1:33:05
thing in the world. This is just a nice piece to be quarterback friendly
1:33:10
and help out your quarterback. He turns. Here's Mike Hilton. If you
1:33:15
look from Shakiir's vantage point, if he's looking to Josh Allen, Sorry,
1:33:19
I am horrible at drawing straight lines. If you look at his vantage point
1:33:23
right, Hilton is right in that window for where Josh Allen wants to throw
1:33:27
this ball. So again, this is subtle, this is quick, this
1:33:30
is decisive. Shakir comes out of his break, he sits, realizes Hilton's
1:33:33
in that window, and watch him just oh cool. Let me work to
1:33:38
get open and make this so a little easier. That's it. And now
1:33:43
all of a sudden he works himself open on a route and makes himself more
1:33:45
available to Josh Allen, makes Allen's window and throw a bit cleaner helps him
1:33:50
out. From that regard, let's go to it from the end zone angle.
1:33:55
Here, I'm gonna kind of put a little marker here just for the
1:34:00
hell of it, so you can see like this is where Alan first looks.
1:34:04
Now, watch Shakir clear from the top. Here again from that end
1:34:09
zone angle, and again it's hard to see from the endzone piece. We
1:34:15
saw more from the sideline. But when Alan's trying to throw that, like
1:34:19
if he's thrown initially on that deep sit, the angle is not there like
1:34:24
Shakir was over this way. More, there is no direct line of sight
1:34:28
for Alan to hit this to Shakir. He would at best have to I
1:34:32
would play it for fast motion. He's gonna have to layer this throw,
1:34:36
and that's not the easiest throw. There is a nice triangle of coverage here
1:34:41
for the Cincinnati Bengals. Wow, I am horrible at lines. This is
1:34:45
just I need to practice this more boom, nice little triangle of coverage that
1:34:50
Khalil Shakira is in the center of a little Bermuda triangle action. So Alan
1:34:55
can try and make this throw. But that's not easy. You have to
1:34:57
layer it over the nickel corner, which we you got to put some air
1:35:00
under it, and then you have to do it with enough zip and force
1:35:02
that you don't allow this guy to make a play or that got to drive
1:35:05
on it make a play. So that's a hard throw. So Secure comes
1:35:09
out of this deep set route and again Hilton's underneath him. He's right in
1:35:13
the way. Oh, let me keep working work myself open boom and again,
1:35:17
going from the end zone angle, you can just see how an Alan
1:35:23
resets, Alan sees him work boom. All of a sudden, there's all
1:35:28
this space because Shaku just keeps working. Again, it may seem small or
1:35:31
like a given thing. Yeah, I do need a stylist. I mean,
1:35:35
man, just I'm also just horrible, Like I could probably have a
1:35:39
stylist. I'm just bad with like three hands, straight lines. I am.
1:35:44
I am not good. It's my it's my cross to bear. But
1:35:47
I respect your gabe. I appreciate you. Yeah, this is just a
1:35:50
good veteran savvy play. Again, this isn't the craziest thing in the world.
1:35:55
This isn't tremendous athleticism, This isn't some amazing skill set piece. This
1:35:59
is just it's a good heady football play. Like here, I run my
1:36:01
route, I look at my quarterback. Uh oh, there's somebody in my
1:36:05
line of sight to the quarterback, which means there's someone in the quarterback's line
1:36:10
of sight. Let me keep working towards the open space to uncover, so
1:36:15
to speak, make myself available. Like this is nice. Look at how
1:36:17
he doesn't he doesn't just sit and wait. He makes the first move.
1:36:21
That's the big piece too, right, This isn't Alan throwing him open.
1:36:25
He makes the first move. So Shakira is starting to move right there,
1:36:29
he's already starting to move. Alan is still hitched up. He still hasn't
1:36:31
thrown yet. He sees Shakir start working to the open field and then he
1:36:36
decides to throw it. So Shakir dictates this. Shakiir starts that piece and
1:36:42
again it's another just feather in the cap. It's a small thing, it's
1:36:45
a little play. I appreciate you Andrew saying be strong with that bird.
1:36:48
It's a tough one to it's It weighs on me. You know, I
1:36:50
lose a lot of sleep at night knowing that I can't draw straight lines,
1:36:55
and I'm not a good straight line darwer. But you know, again,
1:36:58
everybody, everybody has across the baron this is mine. So Kalosha cure a
1:37:01
couple of really good pieces in plays for him in this game. Another person
1:37:06
who I want to highlight coming out of the Cincinnati Bengals game is somebody who
1:37:14
I don't want to say. I don't want to say. He's been a
1:37:15
disappointment in his time with the Bills, but I don't think has matched the
1:37:18
excitement that I think people had for him potentially coming out and then especially having
1:37:24
injuries at this position group, it's put more onus and focus on to him.
1:37:28
The second person I want to highlight who and I will say I think
1:37:31
is underwhelmed in his time with the Bills so far. Granted he was banged
1:37:36
up last year, Tim Settle. He had a couple of really good pass
1:37:40
rush reps from the interior in this game. And I think with when you
1:37:45
lose Daikwon Jones, you are not going to be that's funny from spin.
1:37:50
Spin says, and it's gonna have gonna be having a nightmare about skewed lines
1:37:54
all night long. Just wake up in a cold sweat and it's been a
1:37:59
line's not straight? Oh straight lines. I like that, well played.
1:38:02
When you lose someone of Daikwon Jones's caliber, again, I'm going to continue
1:38:06
to bang this drum. I think Daikwon Jones was extremely valuable last year.
1:38:10
I think this year he was on pace for an All Pro season. What
1:38:12
he was doing against the run, what he was doing against the past.
1:38:15
Someone like him goes down, you are not going to holistically replace him with
1:38:18
anyone. But you have players that can do bits and pieces of what he
1:38:23
could do, like Poon Afford what he can do against the run, and
1:38:27
then Tim Settle what he's able to do from this is really good. These
1:38:32
jokes are fantastic. Reeven says, a non perpendicular cross to bear because you
1:38:38
can't throw straight lines. Sorry, I like it. I like it.
1:38:42
Uh yeah, Burning Bob says, Ant's never drawn parallel lines in his life.
1:38:46
Actually, probably that's probably true. That's probably a true fact. Fair
1:38:48
enough, fair enough, I respect it. Tim Settle kind of taps into
1:38:53
a bit of that pass rush pop capability. On the interior, I think
1:38:57
there is something that is still to be desired from a consistency standpoint when it
1:39:01
comes to playing and running, even from a consistency standpoint in rushing the quarterback.
1:39:04
But Subtle had a couple of really good reps in this game. He's
1:39:08
had a couple several really good flashes the past several games, but this game,
1:39:12
I thought he flashed a bunch from a past er standpoint. So I
1:39:15
haven't highlighted here. This ends up being a completion for the Bengals. But
1:39:20
you know, because Burrow just diagnoses everything and gets the ball out quickly like
1:39:24
he is one to do. But we're gonna end up getting kind of a
1:39:27
creeper simulated pressure. Look here, you're gonna Getterrell Dodson who is going to
1:39:30
come on the rush, and you're gonna get Shaq Lawson who's going to drop
1:39:33
out there. So as we let the play start to go, you'll see
1:39:36
Dotson starts to come forward. Now he's kind of declared before the snap has
1:39:41
happened, so we're kind of officially into stimulated pressure territory. But as we
1:39:45
watch here again we're keeping our eyes on Jim Subtle right here. Watch him
1:39:50
slant across and then just rip through. So we're gonna I'm gonna show from
1:39:56
the endzone angle two, which gives you a better appreciation for it. So
1:40:00
he gets in quickly like he's bearing down on Burrow, and again Burro gets
1:40:02
that ball out quickly. So it's unfortunate, but if we're timing it from
1:40:05
a two from a snap to pressure standpoint, so there the ball is out
1:40:11
at thirteen fifty one on the timer. So again, let's keep thirteen fifty
1:40:15
one. He's got to get this ball out in just over two seconds because
1:40:20
Tim Settle's bearing down and kind of heating him up. So again I've got
1:40:24
Settle highlighted forget everybody else, just focus on Settle. Look at the quickness,
1:40:27
look at the ability. Watch him rip through and bear down quickly onto
1:40:30
Joe Burrow. It's just Burrow reads it gets it out to IRV Smith nice
1:40:33
and quickly. This one will give you more of an appreciation for the move
1:40:38
that he has and what he does. So again I have Subtle highlighted.
1:40:42
So he slants on the snap, So he's lined up in this left side
1:40:45
B gap almost on the inside shoulder of the tackle like he's almost in a
1:40:48
four eye more than he is like a three tech. But he slants all
1:40:53
the way across crosses basically two gaps to go into the right side A gap.
1:40:59
Again it's the center. Watch him rip and it's not only that he
1:41:02
rips through. Watch how he doesn't get like, he doesn't get pushed to
1:41:06
the side, He doesn't have to kind of go around about way to get
1:41:10
the Burrow. He goes right through this shoulder and it's right down the pike
1:41:15
the leverage, so he's low man wins you know, you see that all
1:41:17
the time, and you see it here already. Like he's lower than the
1:41:20
center. He's got that lean going on, he's playing through that shoulder.
1:41:26
Watch him come straight down and straight through the shoulder of the center. That's
1:41:31
strength, Like, that's good core strength, that's good hip strength, that's
1:41:35
good ankle flection. Like, again, these are things that may seem little,
1:41:40
but these are big pieces that allow players to execute in this fashion.
1:41:43
Look at the bend in the ankle there. I kind of just look at
1:41:47
that, like he's on the ball of that right foot. Look at the
1:41:51
bend, like, look at the bend in the foot and the ankle flection
1:41:55
you have going on there. That is part of what is allowing him to
1:41:59
literally rush ru his man and he bears right down on Burrow. Now again
1:42:02
you're looking at this plane, You're like, oh, it was a completion
1:42:04
whatever, Like this is a good rush from settle again, to be able
1:42:08
to work through a man and not get pushed out, to be able to
1:42:15
still work that proverbial the shortest distance between two points is a straight line,
1:42:21
no pun intended to all the straight line stuff we've been talking about. But
1:42:25
he doesn't get rounded. He doesn't get bowed out. He is able to
1:42:28
just work right down the pike like this tanks. This takes good awareness from
1:42:32
a leverage standpoint. As he crosses across here the gap like watch, he
1:42:36
knows already sinks a little bit to be able to get underneath the center and
1:42:41
get through that shoulder, and then he rips through and this is where we
1:42:45
see the core strength, the ankle flexion, the flexibility and fluidity in his
1:42:49
hips and his lower body just to be able to work through. And he
1:42:51
almost gets a hand on the ball too. But watching him just work right
1:42:56
through the center, that's a really nice piece. And again this is something
1:42:59
that the Bills miss, like pass rush pressure consistently on the interior. I
1:43:02
still don't think ed Oliver's healthy when you're watching him play. And so even
1:43:06
if at Oliver was cooking, it's at Oliver and who else is doing something
1:43:11
on the inside. From a past er standpoint, you know what you get
1:43:13
with Jordan Phillips. But sometimes he's really hit or miss. Sometimes he looks
1:43:16
like he's running in quicksand or running in cement. This is a really good,
1:43:19
quick, fluid moving play from Tim Settle. That's a real nice piece
1:43:26
from him on this one. I'm gonna let it run from the other angle
1:43:29
as well. There you see him number ninety nine lining up in that left
1:43:34
side will from this vantage point right side b gap there center points him out,
1:43:40
actually points out Dodson Burtle's taking forever on the snap Boom rips right through
1:43:45
him. That's nice. That's quality rush again, it ends up being a
1:43:48
completion. You know, kudos to Burrow and IRB Smith, but that's a
1:43:53
really good piece from Tim Suttle. There. Now let's go to the next
1:43:57
play for mister Tim Suttle. I want to highlight again this one I think
1:44:00
more people are familiar with. This is the roughing the passer penalty on Tim
1:44:05
Settle. That I mean he slams Burrow on his face, so kind of
1:44:11
is rough in the pastor but it's a weak call. Like at the end
1:44:13
of the day, it's football like this is. It's kind of ticki tac
1:44:15
but also kind of could be called but it's disappointing to see because it ruins
1:44:19
a really good rush. I'm going to show it from the sideline view just
1:44:24
so you can get an appreciation for the quickness of how or get an appreciation
1:44:28
for the quickness in terms of how fast he bears down on Burrow. I
1:44:31
am highlighted there or circled there. I should say, just this is immediate,
1:44:36
instantaneous. Actually, let's go and let's time it. So the snap
1:44:42
is happening right now at eleven sixty one on the timer. This ball has
1:44:48
to get out. It's thirteen forty six. So Settle wins so quickly.
1:44:53
He's in the backfield and heating up Burrow in under two seconds. That is
1:44:56
tremendous. That is a ridiculously decisive and quick thory on the offensive line.
1:45:01
So watch just from a speed perspective, so quick, and it's all due
1:45:09
to the hand usage, which we're gonna show from the other angle. Oh
1:45:11
so quick, and then he grabs Burrow and slams him down penalty. Also
1:45:15
tremendous play by Dan Jackson on the back end. I'm not gonna break down
1:45:17
that piece from Dame Jackson because myself and Eric are going to do it tomorrow
1:45:20
night in the film room. But a great play from Dan Jackson on the
1:45:23
back end there, who had a really strong game as well. Settle wins
1:45:26
so quickly up front that if you look at it fast like you think,
1:45:30
you know, the guard just made a mistake or the center made a mistake
1:45:32
and nobody picked him up, Like it looks like he just came in free.
1:45:35
He doesn't. The right guard tries to block him. He just he
1:45:39
just beats him with his hands immediately, which we're gonna analyze on the back
1:45:42
oh bag and then gets them great play hands up. Doesn't understand why he's
1:45:46
called for rough in the pass or which is unfortunate. Here's Settle again highlighted.
1:45:50
So this end zone view really gives you an appreciation for the hand usage
1:45:55
on this one. Watch him come off. Oh, it's just the fluidity.
1:46:00
I'm just gonna keep going through in slow motion. Look at the fluidity.
1:46:06
So it's a swipe, but the precision and the hand technique. Just
1:46:12
watch his left hand, his left hand beating the right arm of the guard,
1:46:16
so his left hand swipes that away, and then his right hand swipes
1:46:21
away the inside arm, and this is all happening at the same time while
1:46:27
he's also moving towards the gap with his feet. It's just it kind of
1:46:32
and that swipe on the inside arm almost kind of works like a forklift.
1:46:35
Like look at the position. He's got that garden. Now that is a
1:46:39
complete win. He has turned him inside. There's nowhere left for this guard
1:46:43
to go, and not only again, Like I said, it's the timing
1:46:46
of all of it, him winning with the hands, but then continuing to
1:46:49
move in that way towards the gap to bear down on Burrow. Now he
1:46:54
can literally just go again straight down the pike and there's no interference. Like
1:46:58
that's just such a quick, decisive win. And it's because of the hand
1:47:00
technique and the placement. We're just watching in real time. Boom, I'm
1:47:05
just going to keep running it from that spot. Boom. Just look how
1:47:12
quick as I keep showing it, like you can it almost better than slow
1:47:15
motion you can kind of when you just keep watching it in real time.
1:47:18
It's some wax on wax off type of stuff like that is beautiful. Kapa
1:47:24
is literally left like grasping like he has nowhere to go when you watch him,
1:47:29
so he swipes the hands. Boom, look at the difference. He's
1:47:32
already passed Kapa and in the gap and Kapa is still basically like a yard
1:47:38
ahead of the lineman kind of leaning forward because he's left grasping an air cassetto
1:47:42
beat him so quickly. Good verbet here from Burn and Bob saying the hands
1:47:45
and feet working in concert, yes, like that's a real quality rush,
1:47:48
Like not only are both of his hands working in sync, they are working
1:47:53
in with working in tandem with his lower body and it's the reason he's able
1:47:58
to put it all together like this is just this is tremendous quality. And
1:48:01
this is the type of quality you're gonna need on the interier now whether he
1:48:05
can continue to operate at this level going forward. But again, he had
1:48:09
some flashes in this game. He's had some flashes to pass several games like
1:48:12
this is what the Bills need on the interier because they need somebody to step
1:48:15
up. They need some players making plays at some point. And oof,
1:48:17
that's beautiful. One more time in slow motion, stop that right arm,
1:48:25
swipe that with your left and then boom quick again, quick, decisive.
1:48:30
That's hand placement, that's hand technique, that's hand quickness. And then with
1:48:33
the lower body to go along with it. And then and we'll watch it
1:48:38
from the end zone angle. Oh, this is pretty. Here's subtle boom.
1:48:47
You can see it too, right, he gets that hand right on
1:48:49
that elbow of Kappa, that left arm of Kapa. Boom gets it right
1:48:56
on that elbow. I'm kind of on that form. That's how I was
1:48:58
able to lift and get through almost kind of yeah, that's why I said
1:49:00
it's almost not like a full swipe as it is like a swipe forklift type
1:49:04
of deal. Just bears right through. And then I get why they called
1:49:10
it like he slams him on his face, but also he doesn't do it
1:49:14
on purpose, like he comes through and is leaning, He's trying to avoid
1:49:17
the center and he gets grabbed right here, which also throws him off kilter.
1:49:23
So he comes in kind of bumbling and stumbling, does what he can.
1:49:28
Great play by Dame Jackson on the back end, but this is another
1:49:30
good example to give you the appreciation. Oh the quickness from this angle Boom
1:49:35
Boom, quick, decisive, technical, really good play from Tim Settle and
1:49:43
again the type of play that the Bills are going to need consistently from him.
1:49:46
Now, this last stock up player is someone I did not think I
1:49:50
would be doing a stock up for Terrell Dodson, and I am not a
1:49:57
big proponent of his game. I think Terrell Doddson and as we all know.
1:50:01
I don't think I'm about to say anything illuminating here. Tyrell Dodson has
1:50:04
his struggles in past garverage, and I think he's always going to Like he
1:50:09
does not have the athleticism or the fluidity to be able to live consistently in
1:50:13
a coverage world. From a high level, he's a thumper. He functions
1:50:16
against the run. That's where he's at his best. But we've seen him
1:50:19
overshoot gaps and go into the wrong gap and not maintain gap integrity. We
1:50:25
saw kind of a wishy washy play from him in the low red zone when
1:50:29
the Bengals ran duo on the touchdown to Joe Mixon. Like, even when
1:50:31
he's performing well, there's inconsistencies to his game, and again, a lot
1:50:36
of that is going to stem from his lack of athleticism. He is what
1:50:40
he is. I don't think he's a starting caliber level player. I think
1:50:44
I don't even know if he's a backup level like. I think he's really
1:50:46
more of like a low tier second string, third teams type of their third
1:50:50
string type of dude, special teams kind of guy. But he had a
1:50:54
couple of really good plays in this one, and I wanted to highlight some
1:50:58
of them. This is early on in the game. This is a second
1:51:01
and three and you see the motion from the Bengals, and like we talked
1:51:05
about earlier with Joe, you see the motion. It pulls the second level
1:51:09
defenders, makes them adjust. So now it's a six man box. But
1:51:14
if you're looking at it, especially with the wide alignments of Floyd and where
1:51:17
Bernard is like, you're creating a big advantage here where it's almost like five
1:51:23
on four for the Cincinnati Bengals. And watch Dodson diagnose. He sees the
1:51:30
poll. It's a little GT counteraction, so we get a pull from the
1:51:32
right guard and the right tackle. He diagnoses it, puts his foot in
1:51:35
the ground. Now watch him beat that pulling tackle to the spot. It
1:51:45
makes the play. This is a one yard gain on second and three Michaelde
1:51:51
from the end zone angle, so you get another appreciation for it there he
1:51:58
is in the middle, beats him around the corner. That's a good play
1:52:00
from Terrell Dodson right. I also agree with RJ here where he says I
1:52:04
hate the fact that Dodson switched to twenty five. That's the worst linebacker number
1:52:08
ever. I definitely don't like it. I don't like seeing twenty five on
1:52:10
a linebacker. I'm not like a numbers like Nazi. I like a lot
1:52:15
of the changes and letting guys wear whatever they want, especially because it harkens
1:52:17
back to college football. But I don't like twenty five on a linebacker.
1:52:20
I find it very confusing and I don't like it at all. But this
1:52:24
is a really good play from Dodson again to diagnose the pulling, to see
1:52:29
that flash of color, and to beat his man to the spot like that's
1:52:32
the piece too, Like this is a good quick play. Like look how
1:52:35
quickly he's on top of that. This isn't slow, This isn't him over
1:52:40
pursuing. He stays relatively tight to the pull and he kind of plays through
1:52:45
the pulling tackle a little bit and makes the tackle there. So this is
1:52:47
him beating to the beating the tackle to the spot. This is him recognizing,
1:52:50
diagnosing, processing, having a quick trigger and playing downhill like that is
1:52:55
a good play from Terrell Bernard again his best. He's at his best coming
1:53:00
downhill and making plays against the run. He has been inconsistent in that regard,
1:53:05
but he had several nice ones in this game, and that is one.
1:53:10
Let's continue to pull up some more here. We're gonna go with this
1:53:14
next play from mister Tyrrell Dodson again, have him highlighted here. This is
1:53:17
the point where Bernard is out with his concussion, so you're looking at Dodson
1:53:21
and mister Dorian Williams there. Here we go another run, just kidding,
1:53:28
it's pass this one. We saw some We've seen some decent to good blitzes
1:53:33
from Terrell Dodson. This one is fantastic. Watch out. He just absolutely
1:53:38
murks Mixing and runs through him on his way to Joe Burrow. Oof,
1:53:46
and then he clocks Burrow. I'm actually surprised. I mean, depending on
1:53:49
how not depending with how they call roughing the passer. Now, I thought
1:53:54
he got a little too close to Burrow's head. Like he clocks him.
1:53:57
He knocks Burrow clean off his feet and drives him the ground like it's not
1:54:00
even a tackle so much as it is a hit. This is nice,
1:54:02
This is quick, this is physical. Boo plays right through Burrow, I'm
1:54:09
sorry, plays right through Mixing and technically plays through Burrow as well. Boom
1:54:13
heats up Burrow, causes a little earlier throw, great coverage on the back
1:54:16
end from Dane Jackson and Micah Hyde will play it from the sideline angle.
1:54:23
Here's mister Dodson right there. Just watch him right through Mixing and Mixing is
1:54:30
a big dude, like over six feet I think in the two hundred and
1:54:33
thirty pound range. Like this isn't him running over a scat back or running
1:54:40
over you know, some little again third down back. This isn't him running
1:54:45
through you know, a Danny Woodhead tight back or like a Darren Sprolls,
1:54:48
like someone who's smaller and who's usually the nail versus the hammer. Like this
1:54:51
is mix In, who's a big, powerful dude, Like he's a thick
1:54:55
back, a bigger back, especially in today's NFL. And Dodson runs through.
1:55:00
But again, this isn't to say, like Dodson's suite and you know,
1:55:02
we don't have to worry about linebacker anymore, and everything's good. But
1:55:05
he did have some positive flashes in this game. And I think it's important
1:55:09
to you know, to be able to highlight even for players who aren't holistically
1:55:13
good, it is important to highlight some of their strengths and some of their
1:55:16
wins. To be able to show what they can do in certain situations and
1:55:19
maybe why they are on the field. Again, this is really good blitz
1:55:24
from him just running through mixing. That's a really impressive rep. And then
1:55:28
bearing down on Burrow and clocking the hell out of them. That's a good
1:55:30
rep. And then another play here for mister Tyrrell Dotson. I never thought
1:55:34
I'd be in a position where I was showing three plays for Terrell Dodson and
1:55:40
talking about him being a stock up candidate. I also think it's important to
1:55:43
mention too, because again I would hope Bernard clears concussion protocol, but it's
1:55:48
you know, it's never a guarantee in today's NFL, in today's sports world,
1:55:53
So there's a chance Bernard doesn't play, and then you're looking at Dodson
1:55:56
and Dorrian Williams, and all of a sudden, Dodson has to be the
1:55:59
leader at that second level. And even if Terrel Bernard does play, you're
1:56:02
still trying to mitigate a huge loss with Matt Mulano. So I think that's
1:56:06
part of the reason I wanted to highlight Dodson's play as well, because he
1:56:11
plays an important position for this defense. Overall, even if Terrel Bernard is
1:56:16
playing, but even more so if Bernard is out, it all goes to
1:56:19
that play that he's gonna try and hit. So here's another one for Dodson
1:56:25
comes through. Now what we've seen from him at times when he's over not
1:56:29
I don't want to say over pursuing when well, he can over pursue,
1:56:31
but when he's flowing sideline to sideline, there's times where he will overshoot or
1:56:35
undershoot and he'll lose gap integrity. And we see him on this one.
1:56:40
He decides to undershoot the left guard right here, So left guard climbs to
1:56:45
that second level and instead of playing over the top, he diagnoses what's happening
1:56:50
and cuts underneath and makes a play. And it's a physical play too if
1:56:54
I played in real time. Like he throws his like three quarters of his
1:56:58
body in front of mix and gives him a good pop and takes him right
1:57:00
down. Like that's a good play from Teryrell Dotson again, or Tyrel Dotson,
1:57:05
I should say, recognizes the position of the guard, puts his foot
1:57:09
in the ground, shoots underneath him. Look how also he reads the guard
1:57:14
and takes advantage of that momentum, he doesn't really play through the shoulder as
1:57:16
much as he just plays through the arm like that's a nice easy win.
1:57:20
You're running right through the arm, like that's a good setup. He shakes
1:57:24
him is able to play right through that arm, and then because he's playing
1:57:27
through the arm, he's able to cut across to be able to cut mixing
1:57:31
off. That's another key piece too, right, he doesn't play through the
1:57:34
arm here and get to north and south. He doesn't play through the arm
1:57:40
and go this way, which gives Mixing the opportunity to still hit that hole.
1:57:43
He plays through the arm and then cuts mixing off. Because here's the
1:57:47
piece that's also a potential negative with this play. Right now, you're kind
1:57:54
of looking at two guys somewhat in a similar type of gap. Whereas he
1:57:58
if he gets walled off and he gets here, this is the alley,
1:58:00
and that's the lane for mixing. So because Dodson doesn't play over the top
1:58:05
and force this back inside towards his help instead of going where, let's go
1:58:11
a little, instead of going this way, you know, and kind of
1:58:14
forcing everything back in towards his help, he has to make this play,
1:58:17
which he does and this is again what we've seen at times from him.
1:58:20
Sometimes he overshoots, sometimes he undershoots. He's inconsistent with how he plays his
1:58:26
gaps in terms of how he works. But this is a good job to
1:58:30
trust your instincts and trust that you can get through a guy. Again,
1:58:33
this is something that has hurt him in the past, but it works for
1:58:36
him here. And this is a good play. This is first and ten
1:58:39
and this is all him basically turning a first and tent into a second and
1:58:43
seven here he is right here. You'll see it even for this right.
1:58:49
There's the big hole there, like there's an alley, there's a lane,
1:58:53
so he undershoot, he undercuts it and undershoots it on that left guard there,
1:58:58
thinking he can make the play, and he does so. Kudos to
1:59:00
him. Here's Burrow checking, there's Dotson in the middle. Makes a nice
1:59:05
physical play and brings Mixing down again. He pops Mixing. Mixing is a
1:59:09
big back, a big physical dude. Good play from Terrell Dotson Again,
1:59:15
I never thought could be in a position talking about Terrell Tyrrell Dodson as a
1:59:20
stock up player in person. There's a couple other things to like as well,
1:59:25
dalton Kin, Kay Dane Jackson, some certain aspects of the team individually
1:59:29
and individually and schematically myself an er Turner, gonna be breaking that down tomorrow
1:59:32
night in the Cover one Film Rooms to make sure you bang it here live
1:59:35
tomorrow night, Wednesday, November eighth, at seven pm Eastern for another episode
1:59:40
of the Cover one Film Room where we're going to be diving into a bunch
1:59:43
of pieces from this game, as we do. But those are some pieces,
1:59:46
you know, I think we're looking at it from a stock down perspective.
1:59:49
You know It's Spin made the joke earlier in the comment, like,
1:59:53
you know, stock up these like three or four players and stock down everyone
1:59:56
else. There was a lot to not like from a stock down perspective.
1:59:59
I think the biggest one for me was the run game. I just I
2:00:03
didn't think. I didn't think the run game was used enough. They didn't
2:00:13
have a lot of attempts in this game, and even when they did,
2:00:15
like some pieces worked out well, but overall the effectiveness the Bills lost a
2:00:19
lot of individual one on one battles up front, especially against the run.
2:00:23
Dawkins McGovern morrise missed some pieces. I guess an offensive line play in general,
2:00:30
like I talked about earlier, with Joe Spencer Brown and o Cyrus Torrance
2:00:33
getting worked on a lot of two man games on the right side. Was
2:00:36
extremely disappointing to see the Bengals defensive line really ate up the Bills offensive line
2:00:43
last year in the playoffs, and I thought they were well better equipped to
2:00:46
take on Cincinnati this time with how mcgovernn was playing, how Spencer Brown was
2:00:53
playing, how Cyrus Torrence was playing, and they got beat a bunch in
2:00:57
pass protection again, especially on that right side. Torrance and Spencer Brown got
2:01:00
worked three times at the very least in terms of two man games and everything
2:01:06
that happened there. So I'm a bit down on the offensive line as a
2:01:09
whole, and more down on the run game, just from a lack of
2:01:12
commitment to it a lack of usage with it. The Bill's run game has
2:01:15
been very good for them this year, and it's been key in a lot
2:01:20
of their victories, just again taking the load off of Josh Allen, making
2:01:24
things easier and more simplistic for the offense and more streamlined. I didn't like
2:01:28
that they didn't commit to it enough. I know that's not the sexy thing,
2:01:30
But I do think the Bills need to run the ball more. I
2:01:33
think it'll open up and a lot of things for the offense and mitigate several
2:01:38
of their struggles. I know it's not gonna probably not going to create more
2:01:40
explosives, but it's gonna be hard to generate that and flip that switch automatically
2:01:45
anyway, although it could lead to some explosives with some play action passing and
2:01:47
chunk plays, which we will talk about another time. But I was disappointed
2:01:51
in the run game as a whole one, the individual execution. Like I
2:01:55
don't think the concepts of the scheme were bad. This isn't like a boo
2:01:58
door s or boo chromer type of thing. The players just didn't execute upfront
2:02:00
out a lot of blocks. They lost individually. You know, which is
2:02:03
understandable. DJ Reader is solid, BJ Hill is solid, Sam Hubbard is
2:02:08
solid, Trey Hendrickson is solid. Like you've got a squad of dudes from
2:02:11
a starting four perspective, but also from a depth standpoint that work up front.
2:02:15
So it's understandable that they lost to those dudes and got beat, but
2:02:24
it was disappointing to see individually and then just overall in conjunction with how it
2:02:28
tied into the run game and pass protection, especially on that right side.
2:02:31
It was disappointing to see, especially in a big game like that, but
2:02:34
of course correct and you try and go forward. Those are my biggest stock
2:02:38
down again, you know, the right side of the offensive line getting gamed
2:02:40
up by two man games in pass protection, the offensive line as a whole
2:02:43
winning individually in the run, and then the run game in general, just
2:02:47
not being really committed to from a play call standpoint, and or not having
2:02:51
the most effectiveness that they could have, again tied to the individual execution upfront,
2:02:56
and just losing and getting beat up and beat out. But that's it.
2:03:00
I appreciate the kind words that are starting to come in through on the
2:03:03
chat, not pulling them up because I think it's corny to pull up positive
2:03:08
things about myself, but I do see them and I sincerely appreciate them.
2:03:12
So thank you very much to everybody who tuned in live. They give very
2:03:14
much for the positive comments and the kind words coming in on the chat.
2:03:17
For me earlier in the episode, for Joe, who again was a tremendous
2:03:20
guest, I appreciate I like this from Nikki saying, by the way,
2:03:26
Anthony, the trick to drawing straight lines to is you draw them from your
2:03:29
elbow, not your wrist. I don't know if you're fooling with me or
2:03:32
not, but that sounds like it could be right. Also sounds like it
2:03:35
could be made up. I don't know. Time will tell. I appreciate
2:03:38
everybody for tuning in live on this episode. If you haven't already, please
2:03:42
please please and think you drop a like on this video again. It goes
2:03:44
a sincerely long way to it telling myself and the entire team to track and
2:03:46
trend in front of more eyes and ears. I know everybody's down and frustrated
2:03:53
and sad and annoyed and a lot of negative thoughts and emotions and feelings when
2:03:56
it comes to anything and everything, Buffalo Bill. So I appreciate you folks
2:03:59
taking the time out on your Tuesday night to join me for this episode of
2:04:01
disguised coverage, especially everyone who joined me live. If you didn't watch live,
2:04:04
I appreciate you taking the time in general. Anyway, if you are
2:04:09
watching on YouTube again live now or later, please please please and thank you
2:04:14
drop alike on this video. It goes a sincerely long way and means a
2:04:16
lot to myself and the entire team, So please, I hate asking for
2:04:19
it and chilling out, but it does make a big difference with the algorithm,
2:04:23
So please please and thank you drop alike on this video. It goes
2:04:27
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2:04:58
kind words that came my Wayreciate Joe Rauls for joining me earlier in the episode
2:05:02
and give an insight into the broncos. I appreciate everybody for stopping in and
2:05:06
again your support means more than you sincerely will ever possibly know. Thank you
2:05:12
again. I hope you and your family and friends and loved ones are all
2:05:14
doing well and staying safe. Be kind to one another, take care of
2:05:17
one another. I will see you tomorrow night, Wednesday, seven pm Eastern
2:05:21
for another episode of the Cover One Film Them, and then I'll see you
2:05:24
live next Tuesday, November fourteenth, nine pm Eastern for another episode of Disguised
2:05:30
Coverage. I see some comments in about the tree. Yep, we're it's
2:05:33
November. I'm counting that as Christmas season. We got fall decre for the
2:05:36
tree, but we busted out the big tree. Shout out to the wife.
2:05:40
I'm really digging the background that time of year. I appreciate you folks.
2:05:43
See you tomorrow night for the film Room, see you live next week
2:05:45
nine pm Eastern for another episode of Disguised Coverage. And until then, godspeed
2:05:49
and as always go Bills