Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Show | March 5, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

NBA Show | March 5, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:04
Fall systems, Go clear, were lifting what's going on? Everybody talking hoops
0:38
with my man Rio? Eight games on a Tuesday, we're talking about a
0:42
pre show Rio definitely like how the schedule is only one game at seven pm
0:46
Eastern, a lot of games at seven thirty, one game at eight,
0:50
one game at eight thirty fan duel DraftKings, not including the ten pm Eastern
0:54
game. But of course we have showdown content. Should be a pretty good
0:57
one the Suns and the Nuggets, so ill throughout the whole night. If
1:00
you don't want to be around until ten pm Eastern a thirty, so seven
1:03
to eight thirty, easy, pasy, most of them done at seven thirty.
1:07
Get some showdown content and big prize pools out there in the industry.
1:11
And just like our man Jordan said, a lot of Millie cues up there,
1:14
satellites tomorrow, the big twenty five hundred. So if you do want
1:17
to try and get in retreat cheaper, take a shot, maybe chase the
1:22
overlay. Definitely check that out. Throw it over to you though. Eight
1:25
games, tons of injury news like always, and it's only going to get
1:27
worse these next month month and a half. How was it going on?
1:30
This Tuesday afternoon. Man, yeah it's going good. A lot of injury
1:34
shenanigans yesterday very upsetting obviously, the Utah Jazz stuff, County George head Hendricks
1:42
skinning ruled out after the game, had the weird Anthony Edwards coming off of
1:46
the bench. She had Patrick Beverley randomly starting post lock. So yeah,
1:51
a lot of a lot of weird stuff going on in the NBA right now.
1:53
They got to they got to improve their reporting for sure. But yeah,
1:57
looking forward to talking these nine games or eight games tonight. Everything's condensed
2:01
within an hour and a half windows, the don't have to sit around all
2:04
night. But yeah, we definitely will have showdown stuff up tonight. Been
2:07
been pretty good. Had a somebody come over from the Djen Merger step into
2:13
the NBA streets last night and ship showdown, So shout out to him.
2:16
I think his name is Eric. Yeah, good job shipping that stuff over
2:20
there. But yeah, I'm looking forward to talking this one with you tonight.
2:23
Yeah, it was really cool to see Eric. It's really cool helping
2:25
members. Wait, you've done a lot of that so far. Take a
2:29
lot of time studying NBA incorporated into our sleatepan which breaks down upper tier,
2:34
mid tier and lower tier options, has a blurb about each guy. A
2:38
lot of advanced stats, advanced data like Rio talks about on these shows.
2:42
We have correlation tools, ceiling rankings, projections of course, that updated throughout
2:46
the night, a lot of these Q tags right now on the projections.
2:50
You see someone's gonna get ruled out, Things are going to change. You
2:53
need updated quick projections. We have those over here. Cash Report updated throughout
2:58
the night. If you want to see who Rio on his favorite five players
3:00
or who's going to be playing his main team, we don't advocate for that.
3:04
We don't want you just coming over plugging Rio's core and then hope it
3:07
hits. But it is if you only got five minutes, or you're debating
3:10
one v one, two v twos, it's always nice to see him.
3:14
Hamdwhich has been on fire on the fanuel side, NADS is up. There
3:16
a lot of content over here at Ship in Nation, not just MBA either.
3:21
Man. If you look at our price, you might think it's one
3:23
sport, NBA, MMA, PGA, NHL, MLB will be here in
3:29
about a month, NASCAR going on as well. No better time. Get
3:31
in the Nation, Get in the discord. If you do join. Any
3:36
monthly, six month, or annual package gets you in the discord. Weekly
3:39
does not. You can check out our content though, if you just want
3:43
to give it a try for a week for a cheapest price. Before you
3:46
do, though, make sure he's that called Hoop fifteen gets you fifteen percent
3:50
off fifty eight dollars a month if you want to get everything included for all
3:53
the sports. Like I said, that's as cheap as pretty much some niche
3:57
sports out there nowadays per month. So I want to give you the best
4:00
content, the cheapest play, a little more action. No better option than
4:03
ship in nation dot com. Hams in here. We got our man Marley
4:08
in here. Jake talking about your lettuce. I was noticing that too in
4:12
that meeting. Reel's got the flow going, Ben's in here, Philly Fantom
4:15
pair by Jordan, Stephanie, William Jasmin, what's going on? Jake'son here,
4:19
Gator Nation, Juice is in here, Eddie's in here as well.
4:24
Hope everybody having a good Tuesday. Again. Appreciate that like buttons. Always
4:28
appreciate that subscribe button. I got nothing else real any broad Slane overviews besides
4:32
a bunch of injury news. We talked about condensed start times, which is
4:36
nice. A lot of seven thirty games will go game by game, too
4:41
many Q tags a list from the jump, unless there's something particular like Wemby
4:45
or something that you're definitely looking that closely, but broad slate overview before we
4:48
go game by game. Yeah, I mean it's looking like a mid tier
4:51
type of bill tonight. We did get some more value, obviously upping up
4:55
in the Philadelphia side of things with the Maxi news. We'll touch on that
4:59
when we get to that game. But yeah, I think it's gonna be
5:02
a mid tier type bill. You obviously have Luca twelve to two. He's
5:04
been crushing. I would love to get to him, but it might be
5:06
kind of tough tonight with all the value looking like it's gonna be at the
5:10
point guard position. But yeah, I mean, righting of the Sleigh plan,
5:15
I skipped over a lot of the nine K range, went all the
5:17
way down to eight K, and then a lot of these seven K plays
5:20
which look really good and kind of underprojected in my eyes. So I'm looking
5:25
forward to kind of getting over the field on some of these plays in the
5:29
seven k range tonight. I love it, love to hear that again.
5:32
Ownership projections. I like real Y and NBA because you look at the chalk
5:38
and stuff. You get a lot of low own gems from real guys that
5:40
are one percent two percent. They don't always hit. But of course NBA
5:44
I jam in a lot of chalk in tournaments. You got to have that
5:46
one spot two spots to differentiate, just like MMA and stuff. Nobody does
5:51
it better than Rio finding these low in play, so I'm excited to hear
5:55
who those are. Don't think it'll be any in the first game. You
5:58
can tell me if I'm wrong, though, But the game on an Island
6:00
to start off the slate seven pm Eastern Orlando Magic Charlotte Hornets. Looking at
6:05
the total two seven and a half, very low big spread in this one
6:09
with the Magic eight and a half point favorites, Magic side, no foults,
6:13
Charlotte's side, no Seth Purry, no Cody Martin. Nick Richards is
6:16
questionable. They're obviously still without Mark Williams, so if Richards is out,
6:20
Grant Williams will start again. They will go small. First game of the
6:26
night on an Island at seven though, plenty of injury Q tags, important
6:30
ones that can change the slate a lot of seven thirty games, so we'll
6:32
probably get a lot of that news before this game. But even if we
6:36
do get all the injury news, I'm not sure A low spread, pretty
6:41
big low total, pretty big spread is the spot I want to get to
6:45
me. Chich is the one that's popping with some ownership five K point guard
6:48
shooting guard eligible. Outside of that, though, I don't know Apaulo or
6:51
Franz one off low own pieces, but I'm not seeing much in this one.
6:56
What about you? Yeah, I think you're just kind of getting some
7:00
low owned plays in this game, just to be different, because I don't
7:02
think this is a very good game to attack right off the bat. These
7:05
are two teams that play very slow pace. The Magic getting pretty healthy right
7:10
now. They obviously run a pretty pretty deep rotation. None of these guys
7:13
are seeing upper thirties minutes, which is definitely what you'd want in DFS.
7:16
Did have marcou Foltz get rolled out, but I mean that's not really enough
7:20
to bring much into play. Might be adding a little bit more ball handling
7:25
for Paulo Bancaro, Maybe the minutes floor is a little bit safer for Jalen
7:29
Suggs and Cole Anthony. I think the only guys that I'm really considering in
7:32
this one on the Orlando side of things the guys that are going to be
7:35
scoring around the ram Aton because this Hornets team, they've been improving a lot
7:40
defensively, but they're still a pretty weak rim defense. So I'm looking to
7:43
guys like Paulo Bancaro. He's pretty expensive though, kind of priced up to
7:47
his ceiling price right now with a fully healthy team at eight point six K,
7:50
but yeah, good spot for him against a team that rings SPOTOM four
7:56
in DVP versus power forwards. I think Franz Wagner is fine to keeping a
7:59
play as well. He leads a team in rim scoring the season, but
8:01
he hasn't really shown much upside in quite a few games. I think if
8:05
we knew that Wendell Carter was gonna get thirty plus minutes, he would definitely
8:09
be in play. But they sometimes run a three headed monster at center position.
8:13
You know they're gonna have go go out there. Sometimes they'll put Mo
8:18
Wagner out there. He could definitely take away minutes if he's hot, so
8:22
he's definitely not a smash play by any means, but he's looking at really
8:24
low ownership, so I think that he's okay, and I think that really
8:26
the only guy I'm considering on the horn side of things is meat Chitch.
8:31
But I'm not even too too happy about that. Ownership at thirty percent magic
8:35
a little bit worse versus pick and roll ball handlers he's been. He has
8:39
a really solid role as the lead point guard for this team that over seven
8:43
minutes of touch time last game. But I think five K is is pretty
8:46
priced up for what his upside is even in this matchup. If you're GONFA
8:50
Cameron Lowry, who ownership should be I don't know, relatively similar. I
8:54
think people are gonna want to go to some of these sixers. Me just
8:58
being the first game at Locks, I think five K five point two k
9:01
ownership relatively close. Who would you pick if you had to pick one,
9:05
I'd go Lowry for sure. I think the minutes are way way higher for
9:09
Lowry and not really is not all that much worse for him. Do you
9:13
think it'll be ownership will be pretty similar as well. I think Lowry probably
9:18
gets gets more than metchitch right now. Yeah, I think now that we
9:22
have that news, I could definitely see Lowry being higher owned. What about
9:28
Definitely a noe for me, but Richie small is always appreciate you and your
9:31
hope you're doing well. No burd tion's for you as well. Eight Yeah,
9:35
eight games. That's the first one that locks on the island. Plenty
9:37
of Q tags that news should open up. Don't think we really need to
9:41
go there as well, So that's the first game. Yeah, you like
9:43
Paulo katuron span at eighty six. Still, man, it's tough for me,
9:48
No GPPs for me. I'm saving it for tomorrow, looking to get
9:52
back on track there. But if I was, it's still will probably be
9:54
a pretty tough play at eight six relative thists late. He does fit a
9:58
mid tier bill though, and they'll be very low all and so you can
10:01
eat chalk around it if you do want to go to Paulo's side. Pretty
10:03
much removed to the to the next Sorry to me to cut you off real
10:07
quick. I just want to toss in one name, that is I think
10:11
it's kind of like a dart throat candidate to start tonight. But obviously we
10:13
know that Orlando is one of the bigger teams, you know, hypewise,
10:18
they have Apollo, he's tall, they have Wendell, they have all those
10:20
backup centers. I think that if Richards Richards is out tonight, Grant Williams
10:26
probably the most likely star candidate, but it wouldn't be too crazy to think
10:30
that Marcus Bolden could get the start. He only played eight minutes last game.
10:33
But Toronto not a team you really need to size against. So I
10:37
just I think that's a possible star candidate at at mid mid price if Richards
10:43
is out, But I'm not sure if Steve Clifford is smart enough to do
10:45
that. And so if he started, you'd be fine with that, even
10:48
though, like what is his even if he starts, what's his minutes?
10:52
You think twenty Like they can still go Burtion's, they can still go Grant
10:56
Williams, J. T. Thor Or like they have Pope Goo like,
11:01
I mean, they definitely have bigs. I would say the ceiling, Yeah,
11:07
I would say the ceiling will probably be twenty minutes for him. If
11:09
he was starting and just center eligible, you still be fine with that.
11:13
Yeah, I mean I think anytime you have somebody starting. That's mind.
11:16
Priced at the center position should have a little bit of interest, because you
11:20
would really wouldn't. I mean, you'd kind of be happy with sixteen eighteen
11:22
points from that position if that allows you to get up to Luca. Yeah.
11:26
The only the only reason I'm really asking is, like campaign is the
11:30
guy right now people are going for for really cheap three point two k I
11:33
guess completely different positions. Yeah, I mean if you wanted to double it
11:37
and get on a different bill too, that makes sense. Just if you
11:39
was starting, though, I think it probably would be more than likely.
11:41
Grant Williams, let's keep it going. Next game plenty of these at seven
11:46
to thirty pm Eastern New Orleans Pelicans, Toronto Raptors two twenty eight and a
11:50
half total. Another big favorites are the Pelicans at nine and a half.
11:54
Injuries in this one nothing on the Pelicans side, they are healthy. The
11:58
same cannot be said about Toronto. Of those Scottie Barnes yaka Peardle, Bruce
12:01
Brown all out man. Obviously they already had one game without Scotty. These
12:07
guys like quickly RJ. Barrett massive bumps In terms of usage. The pricing
12:11
has come up a bit on these guys though, seven to seven eight K.
12:15
I still think they're fine, don't love them, but I think ownership
12:18
I don't know. Somewhere between the teams the mid teens, probably Kelly Olynic
12:22
I think it's the biggest bump in terms of I mean ownership wise, best
12:28
play in this game, probably without Yaka Peardle Olynics should start for him six
12:33
point three K power forwards eligibility, which is definitely nice. He gets the
12:37
most ownership, I think, talking about some other value, I thoughout the
12:39
last one my man Warra Jordan Warre three point four K. You know he's
12:45
gonna chuck another guy gets down there. The campaigns and bolding starts, there's
12:48
enough cheap pieces where Lucas gonna get some ownership. Luca one of these three
12:54
K punts or four K punts two of them that mix in the five to
12:56
six K range. Would not be surprised to see a lot of people on
13:00
that build. But yeah, definitely an appealing game. I didn't even talk
13:03
Pelican side, but one of CJ zion Ingrim I think you're all fine as
13:07
Conturion s Fens too. I would make a rule max one break down this
13:11
one. Yeah, I think you pretty much broke it down exactly how I
13:16
would. I agree with you on the max one rule for the Pelicans Big
13:20
three. I will continue to side with Zion just because I think the matchup
13:24
is probably the best for him. This Raptors team been been saying it every
13:28
time we do these shows. They've been just terrible defensively, and Scottie Barnes
13:31
was really the last man standing for them that was a decent defender. He
13:35
was. He was taking on a pretty big role as the lead, the
13:41
lead go to guy on defense. But now that he's gone, now that
13:43
Purtle's gone, who I mean, I think it's kind of slightly negative doc
13:46
for teams playing them because I love attacking Yaka purdle Down Lows just a terrible
13:50
defender. But I mean, Keller Linnock really not much better. He's a
13:54
stiff for sure. So I could see Zion putting up a big score.
13:58
I've talked about him with the ball handling role. He had a really bad
14:01
game versus the Pacers in a really good matchup last time out. Only played
14:05
twenty one minutes of that one, but was really really underwhelming, only nineteen
14:07
points. Seventy five DK points, but I think he bounces back in a
14:11
pretty big way here tonight, So I like him the most. On the
14:13
Pelican side of things, I think even Jonas Valanchunas is finely keeping your playerpool.
14:18
We've seen at times the Pelicans will kind of unleash him in really good
14:22
matchups. He's going to have a really big matchup advantage here against Kelly Linok.
14:26
So I think that he's totally fine at six point two K. I
14:30
think Trey Murphy is pretty sneaky at five point six K. He's shooting much
14:33
better over his last three game, shooting fourteen for thirty one from deep.
14:37
Raptors are a terrible defending three point line over the past two months. They're
14:41
giving up, I believe, the third or fourth most three pointers per game
14:46
over the last two months. So I like Trey Murphy. I think I
14:50
sided with him over Herb Jones, But I mean, it's not really a
14:52
big ownership discoun They're both going to be pretty low owned. And then I
14:56
think that Larry Nance is even fine to consider if they do decide to go
15:01
small. This Raptors team has been playing much faster and they don't really have
15:05
a true center tonight. I'm not sure how much John tay Porter is gonna
15:09
play tonight. They could They could just run a small ball lineup, which
15:11
they did a lot last game. So I think that Larry Nance is fine
15:16
to keeping your playpool. I would definitely max won him and Jones found Tunas.
15:22
And then on the Raptor side of things, I think I'm gonna be
15:26
off of Emmanual Quickly and RJ Barrett at these price tags, matchups are not
15:28
great for them. One of these guys is gonna see HERB Jones on defense,
15:33
so one of them is probably gonna have a bad game, regardless of
15:35
all the usage. Quickly is priced up to a K. See, I
15:39
think I'm gonna be off these guys and look to the value a little bit
15:41
more. Kelly Olynok is an awesome play tonight at six point three K.
15:46
We know that he can stuff the stat sheets, got close to triple double
15:50
upside when things are going right for him, so I definitely like him with
15:52
the power forward eligibility. And then these value players are a little bit tougher
15:58
for me to get to. I think it's hard, kind of hard to
16:00
overlook oshaiak Baji. I know that people are gonna say that I'm a homer
16:03
because I chose the only two jazz guys or ex jazz guys for this Raptors
16:07
team. But I mean, he played thirty three minutes last game, took
16:10
twenty shots, only shot one for seven from deep, so I kind of
16:12
left a lot of meat on the bone and he's only four point eight K.
16:17
I think it's gonna have a pretty big defensive responsibility tonight, risability responsibility
16:21
tonight, excuse me guarding one of brandon Ingram or CJ McCollum. But yeah,
16:26
kind of hard to overlook those minutes that he got. And then I'm
16:30
not too sure what they're gonna do with these backup center minutes because it could
16:33
be Bouchet, but he's been out of the rotation. They did give John
16:36
T Porter some minutes last game. Like I mentioned, I think could go
16:38
Jordan Lvara out there and he would be good at three point four K.
16:44
But yeah, these guys don't really look too exciting. I don't think I'm
16:48
gonna get to many of these guys tonight. Yeah. No, I have
16:51
the front court on both sides outside of Kelly O. I like Kelly Olynnick.
16:55
I like Zion, but like the John z Porters, the Larry nance
16:59
Is, the Joe Owls feels so bouchet. It's just so clogged and a
17:03
lot of unknowns, especially on the Toronto side. So I like Warre's value.
17:07
What about Gary Trent if you have no interest in quickly or I mean,
17:11
he's gonna be pretty low all in point guard, shooting guard. Obviously
17:15
he's got to make some shots. But if Herb's getting if Herb's getting the
17:21
r J treatment, quickly is getting double their eyes around him, I mean
17:26
there's got to be some open, open threes for him. Hey, yeah,
17:29
yeah, I don't mind that at all. I think the price likes
17:32
pretty good. He probably could use him as a pivot to some of these
17:34
guys like Lowry or metic because in that same range. But yeah, I
17:40
mean the Pelicans they've been a little bit more vulnerable to three point shooters as
17:44
of late, but yeah, all around been pretty solid. So I don't
17:47
know. If I mean he's taking a ton of shots, I guess I'd
17:51
be okay with it. I think that Lowry probably has a higher ceiling,
17:55
though I think that Trent's better than Mitch but I think that Lowry's probably better
17:59
than the Trent. Okay, but yeah, I do think Trent comes at
18:03
an ownership discount from metch it. So I like that. What I think
18:07
probably HERB goes quickly if they go and then Ingram goes r J. If
18:12
I had to guess, is that how you think? So too, Jovel,
18:18
Kelly CJ. Trent. Yeah, I think that makes sense. Yeah,
18:23
yeah, all right, yeah, I'd still Max one of those Pelicans
18:26
studs really the only interest on them for me as conturing options. I like
18:30
Zion too, science usually my preferred just feels like when he gets to the
18:33
paint, when he's on one, he can put up a big score eight
18:37
point one k, whereas b I that and then more scoring dependence. However,
18:41
they show massive games too, so I have side Zion if I had
18:45
to, Kelly Olinny definitely my favorite play. I still probably like very quickly
18:48
a little more than you would be Max one and then Warra Gary Trent is
18:52
how I see it for a little cheaper in the mid tier. Appreciate that,
18:56
Jordan, Hey, yeah, I do. I've noticed a lot of
18:59
those new ship at logos, the blue, the black, the white,
19:03
very clean love it, love it, love it. Seeing the discord out
19:07
there, people changing their pictures on DraftKings, on FanDuel. You're want a
19:11
little extra mojo. You're in a close battle for first place. Hey,
19:15
the ship at logo. I'll help you push you to the top. You
19:17
can find that in the discord, probably find that on Google images out there
19:21
as well. But hope everybody out there doing well. We're gonna keep it
19:23
rolling. Eight games. Will talk about six games left. Boston Celtics,
19:27
Cleveland Cavaliers two fifteen and a half total, big favorites. Again, a
19:33
lot of story this late, a lot of big favorites. We have Boston
19:37
eight and a half points. Injuries on both sides. Porzingis, Jalen Brown
19:41
questionable, obviously very big for Boston. Cleveland we already got d Mitch out,
19:45
stress out, LeVert questionable, Achorro questionable. Definitely huge news in this
19:52
game on both sides. I guess I'll throw it to you if you have
19:55
any leans. But man, some of these Cleveland guys definitely more than Boston.
20:00
If Brown and Porzingis are in, no one's really gonna get played,
20:03
like maybe Porzingis or Tatum as conturion spends. They're gonna be low owned though.
20:07
If they're out, Tatum becomes popular, the Drews, the Whites of
20:11
the world. Cleveland though, even if Lavert Acorro are in, Sam Merrill
20:17
because he probably I think he will get the spot start for Shrews. Could
20:21
be wrong if you think they go LeVert, let me know. But Meryl
20:23
Garland, Lavert, Mobiley, Jared Allen, all of them already solid plays
20:29
and they have two Q tags that are important in the rotation. So monitor
20:32
in Cleveland for sure. Boston injury is important. Do you have a lean
20:36
on these guys. It's at seven point thirty, hopefully get it before lock.
20:40
Yeah, I think that. I think Jalen Brown is pretty likely to
20:44
play. I do think that Porzingis is more on the the doubtful side of
20:48
questionable. He's been dealing with, you know, a plethora of lower body
20:52
injuries, so I think they could probably give him the night off and then
20:56
they'll put al Horford back into the starting lineup and not much would really change
21:00
from a usage standpoint. I'm kind of seeing Derek White be the guy that
21:03
steps up when any of these starters have missed. But Tatum and Brown two
21:07
usage monsters. I don't think that he would be a great play by any
21:10
means, but yeah, the cav side of things is really big, because
21:11
I mean they could be they could be really thin tonight. I mean I
21:15
could see they could. They might only have eight bodies if both Laverta and
21:19
Coral were to miss. But I do think that Dean Wade is the most
21:23
likely candidate to start for Max Shrews tonight. Pretty solid defender. I think
21:27
they'll definitely need his defense for for Jason Tatum tonight. So I think that
21:32
he is the most likely candidate to start. But if you think they go
21:34
o Carra at the two, if he plays Dean at the three, and
21:37
they just and then Merrill comes off the bench, yeah, I think that's
21:40
how they would do it. They like Merrill coming off the bench as the
21:44
kind of the spark plug. But I think that he's pretty safe for his
21:48
minutes regardless with no Donovan Mitchell would have with Dean Wade, then yeah,
21:52
talk about that aspect that. Sorry if I'm cutting you off, what your
21:56
mind to say, But because I was expecting it probably be Mayll. But
21:59
the changes a little self for me, like Dean Wade at three to two
22:02
adds in that campaign. The Wars of the World is value that could open
22:06
up Lucas, especially if he starts, because I don't know. I think
22:08
probably some projections each side might have a different whether it's Mari, whether it's
22:12
Wade, whoever it is starting, So how would that impacted if it is
22:17
If it is way, I mean, I don't think that. I think
22:21
the projection right now is kind of I think that's like where he should be.
22:25
Like, I think that he is projected as the starter in terms of
22:30
like his his DraftKings projections. I don't think that he's like a great value
22:33
by any means, because we kind of know what Dean Wade is. He's
22:36
a very very low usage guy. Really doesn't do much outside of play defense.
22:41
I mean, he's not going to take a ton of shots, he's
22:42
not going to grab boards, he's not gonna get assists. He's kind of
22:47
just out there to play defense and run up and down the court, stand
22:48
the corner. Because I mean, you have big usage guys. You know,
22:52
obviously they had Donald Mitchell when he's out there, big usage guy,
22:56
Garland Evan Mobley, two big usage guys. So I don't think that Dean
23:00
Wade is a great value play even if he's starting. I actually think that
23:03
I would much rather just find one hundred dollars to get to George Kniyang.
23:07
As much as I dislike him as a as a player, I mean,
23:08
I know he's going to be out there and shooting the ball. He hasn't
23:11
shut the ball all that well lately, but he's got a little bit of
23:14
a ceiling to him. Whereas Dean Wade, I think that his ceiling is
23:17
probably capped, like seventeen points. I think I think Nyang is more likely
23:21
to get into the twenties if if things are going right for him. But
23:25
that's just a very that's like a very very large field GMP type thing.
23:29
I don't think you're running to play that in single entries or anything like that.
23:33
But yeah, I mean I like I like, I like Mobily a
23:34
ton Here matchup is not great, obviously, the Celtics one of the better
23:38
into your defense this season, but he's really benefited, benefited in a big
23:41
way with Donovan Mitchell off the court. The season twenty two percent usage rate
23:45
is averaging over fifty DK points per thirty six minutes with him off the court,
23:51
but I mean his playmaking has been pretty good. Has had six seven
23:53
and seven assists and three out his last four games, so they're clearly running
23:56
the offense through him. Yeah, I think that. I think he'd be
24:00
a great play at seven point five K tonight, and ownership is kind of
24:04
in check. I'm seeing eleven percent on him. That's that's fine. I'm
24:08
not too excited about Jared Allen. He hasn't really shown the same upside as
24:12
he did earlier this season. Definitely has a lot to do with sharing the
24:15
core with Evan Mobley. Mobley has taken away a lot of the rebounding upside
24:18
off of Jared Allen right now. So yeah, I think that Mobile is
24:22
a much better play for two hundred more. I think Garland is a great
24:26
play, and he's looking at single digit ownership. I think people are kind
24:30
of scared off of the matchup. Obviously Drew Holliday Derek White elite defenders,
24:34
but this matchup has kind of yielded a lot of score, a lot of
24:37
points to opposing ball handlers. The Celtics at bottom six and pick and roll
24:42
defense this season and they've given up thirty seven points to Luca. Obviously it's
24:48
Luca. They give him thirty two to Maxi and thirty four to Jalen Brunts,
24:51
and all those guys are top of the league and in pick and roll
24:55
scoring the season. Garland's going to lead the team in usage. With Mitchell
24:59
off the court, Season's gonna have the ball in his hands a ton.
25:02
So I think that he's a fine play at seven point two K. I
25:03
think he's got a little bit of upside in this matchup. And then kind
25:07
of all the secondary guys are really just like Lvert. I think he'd be
25:11
totally fine if he's in, but might be on some sort of minutes restriction.
25:15
He's missed quite a few games recently. I think a Coral would be
25:18
would be a good value played four point three K if you were to be
25:22
in. But and then yeah, Meryl, I do like Merrill coming off
25:26
the bench regardless. I think he's got a ton of upside, just a
25:27
sniper from deep, and Celtics have been a little bit more vulnerable to three
25:30
point shooters at times this season. Yeah, great breakdown. I definitely like
25:34
Garland and I was surprised too. Jordan brought it up. He thought his
25:38
ownership would be a little higher, especially if these Q tags, Like if
25:41
Lavert is out, he's gonna get a bump. The ownership's gonna follow a
25:45
Corol, maybe not as much, but definitely the Coro's of the world.
25:48
Avert's impact. Yeah, Nang like three point three k I like, I
25:53
actually did like his game. I've always liked this game since I would stay.
25:59
Oh yeah, Iowa State where Hallie Berman went too. I mean,
26:02
because he just lays like an old man. The pumpe gets people to jump
26:04
like he creates space. Yeah, he can hoop, of course, but
26:08
I would want Dean Wade playing with the starters literally as all Cardio Kneean comes
26:12
in, he would do something. I probably would need at least one of
26:18
them to be out to get to Niang. If they're both out, I
26:19
would have interests because they would be thin. And I guess to this question,
26:23
if a Coro and Lavert a out, Crareg Porter would get some minutes
26:27
I think, and definitely blow all run he would get, but even normal
26:32
run he would get. What do you have interest there at three at mind
26:36
price? Yeah, I think you're gonna need for sure, Carris Lavert out
26:40
to get to Creig Porter, but probably both Livert and a Coral because they're
26:42
gonna have to do some do some walking things with their lineup. They're also
26:47
gonna have to uh well, I mean, if if the game's close,
26:49
you're seeing probably thirty eight minutes out of Garland tonight, so that's like ten
26:53
backup point Perard minutes for a Porter junior. But I do think they would
26:56
have to run him alongside Garland at times, So yeah, I don't hate
27:00
that play, but yeah, definitely would probably need both of Lavert and Acor
27:04
out to get there. But yeah, I mean he's three k. You're
27:07
probably right if the game does blow out, he would be out there,
27:11
so yeah, I mean there's a couple different avenues for him. Yeah.
27:15
Yeah, And again I wouldn't play him just because a blow If both guys
27:18
are in, I wouldn't get to him. If one of them are out.
27:21
I would definitely monitor that projection and compare him to the campaigns, the
27:23
Wars, these other cheap pieces, and if you've projected similarly, I think
27:27
it'd be good to go. But one of them has to be out for
27:30
sure as how I see it. Let's keep a rolling real plenty games still
27:33
left to talk about selling seven thirty Detroit Pistons Miami Heat low total two seventeen.
27:40
Another big favorites the Heat at eleven and a half. Quentin Grind's doubtful
27:45
for Detroit does not mean much on the Miami side, Richardson, Kevin Love,
27:49
Tyler Hero all out low total, big spread in terms of ownership.
27:55
I don't see much of this game. A Bam, Jimmy Rogier, Max
28:00
on the Detroit side, I don't know, probably just Cade if you could
28:04
talk me to Durham, But I don't know. I don't love picking on
28:07
Bam down low. But now that I say that, I do feel like
28:10
you mentioned Miami at least at one point during the year was going through it
28:14
everywhere, even in the pain, I thought. But I don't like picking
28:17
on Bam. Probably know Duran Cad if he gets hot and next one Bam,
28:22
Butler, Rogier out of game. I like much at all, and
28:25
like that Boston Cleveland game already better, especially on the Cleveland side and injuries.
28:30
If one of kp or Brown and the Cleveland stuff, like, that's
28:33
a game I like so much more than this game. I like the Pelicans
28:36
game a little more. So, Yeah, I guess long winded way of
28:38
probably saying fate, I think I have a little bit more interested in this
28:42
game than you do, because I do have a lot of interest in BAM
28:45
and Jimmy in particular. We know the Pistons defense, they've been really bad
28:51
all season long. They've gotten a little bit better since they got Isa Stewart
28:55
back in the line up. So it does kind of have me a little
28:56
bit worried about the matchup for Jimmy, but not enough to get me off
28:59
of him. I mean, he's just playing great as of late, has
29:03
over forty nine and a half DK points in five of his last six games,
29:07
playing a ton of minutes kind of rounding into the playoff Jimmy forum that
29:11
we love. But yeah, I mean the price tag is good for him,
29:14
ownership looks fine eight point one K. So yeah, I think that
29:17
he's a totally fine option. I think he's got a ton of upside in
29:19
this matchup BAM as well in a really good spot. The Pistons are bottom
29:25
four DVP versus centers this season, as well as being dead last to pick
29:29
and roll roll men. BAM top nine in the league in that category.
29:33
I think the price tag is really good on him at eight point four K.
29:34
I prefer him to Sangoon, who's looking at similar ownership. I think
29:40
he's a little bit cheaper, but I definitely like the matchup a lot better
29:41
for Bam. I think that Rosier is just okay. I think the twenty
29:45
percent ownership might be a little bit much for him. I think it probably
29:49
gonna be a little lower than that. Yeah, it probably comes down.
29:53
Maybe that has a lot to do with him having the shooting guard eligibility as
29:56
well, but yeah, I mean he's gonna have a good ball handing role
30:00
with Tyler Herro sideline is however long he's gonna be sidelined. Four Pistons are
30:04
bottom two in pick and roll ball handling defense points per game allowed the season,
30:08
so there's definitely an upside case. Obviously it's the Pistons. Anybody could
30:11
have a good game against them. But I think I'm kind of okay getting
30:15
away from that. I think I much rather find the money get up to
30:18
Jimmy or Bam if I'm looking to get guys in this game, and then
30:22
I don't think that I mean, Kid is fine. I think at seven
30:25
point nine k really low ownership on him. I'm seeing he's got a ton
30:30
of upside. I mean, he go ahead. I was gonna say like
30:33
five percent, and that's probably like max five percent. Yeah, I think
30:37
that's the high end. I think he probably comes in two to three.
30:41
Yeah, But I mean the matchup is pretty tough for pick and roll ballhandlers.
30:45
Heat or top three in in the league in that category, but they're
30:48
giving up the Heater, giving up a ton of points to catch and shoot
30:52
scores. So I think that Kate could definitely get it going from there.
30:55
But we've seen point guards have some pretty good big games against the Heat.
30:59
I mean, even go back. I believe it was last time that Heat
31:02
played, which was against the Jazz, Kiancey George had a really big game.
31:06
I mean, he's I think Kate is definitely better than Kyancey George right
31:08
now. But yeah, I mean the minutes have been pretty good for Kid
31:12
as well. He saw thirty six plus minutes in three straight games before only
31:15
seeing twenty three minutes last game, which was really hurtful for me because I
31:19
had a prop on Kid that was looking like it was gonna smash. But
31:25
yeah, I mean I think kid is totally fine. I think he's really
31:27
the only one I'm strongly, strongly considering on the Detroit side of things.
31:32
I think the matchup is pretty good for Fontechio. He's kind of been getting
31:34
tocked up by by Monty Williams. But I don't know if there's enough enough
31:41
upside for Fontechio in this game. It is a good matchup for catch and
31:45
shoot guys three point shooters, but I don't know if I'll be going there.
31:48
I wouldn't call it crazy. I mean, what, dude's also going
31:52
to be one or two percent. That's only a random dudes. Hey,
31:55
Rio says a random name like that, it's gonna be such low on four
31:57
point four K twenty five, You're definitely happy makes a couple of shots.
32:02
I don't mind that at all. Small Ford power forward not the best position.
32:06
I just got to be careful because all these guys I'm mentioning are ext
32:09
jazz. I was gonna say, Rio, you said it for the people,
32:13
so there might be a little biased, But you did say Kay's better
32:15
than Kante George. At least you said that for You're not all the way
32:21
home yet, what about Yeah, so just Kate, I don't mind if
32:24
I attacking you call. I actually like it at that ownership. Is there
32:29
any worry? I know we talk a lot about blowouts and stuff, Bam
32:31
Jimmy, But I guess of the question Jimmy or Paulo, like I probably
32:37
just I don't know. I guess that game is blow at risk as well.
32:40
What are your thoughts there? Yeah, I think it's gonna be Jimmy
32:44
for me. I think there's just a lot less mouse to feed in Miami
32:46
than there is in Orlando right now because it's it's Terry and his BAM and
32:52
that's pretty much it. Like, those are the guys that are taking away
32:54
usage from Jimmy, whereas Paulo has got to compete with Fronds, got to
33:00
compete with Window, Carter, Jalen Suggs, Cale Anthony take away some usage
33:04
when they're out there as well. Charlotte's been playing a little bit better defensively
33:07
too. So Yeah, I think I'll lean Jimmy over a follow tonight.
33:12
Cool. Definitely good question, Jake. Two guys he likes a lot in
33:15
the mid tier. About halfway through the show, about two hundred watching appreciate
33:20
everyone hanging out I hope you guys having a great Tuesday. Big contests of
33:23
course tonight, big contest tomorrow. We got million Maaker satellites out there.
33:29
NBA still going month and a half left. If you're buckled in watching playing
33:34
NBA right now, you guys know the grind. It's only going to get
33:37
worse with these Q tags. You need projections, you need updates, cash
33:40
report if something changes, which a lot of stuff does nowadays, changes are
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33:47
correlation tools, everything you need in the NBA streets. We got you covered
33:52
at Shift, the Nation Discord, a lot of very familiar faces in YouTube
33:55
chat helping people out in there as well. Showdown Core reports. Today's a
34:00
perfect day, ten pm Eastern hour and a half. It's on nine games,
34:04
only eight on the main slates. It's on an island at ten pretty
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good prize pools. Rio has you covered in a slate plan, rankings and
34:12
a breakdown how he's gonna attack that and shout out Eric new member from the
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merger with the gen just hopped in the NBA streets. You can really tell
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bringing you shows every single day. The game of the night in terms of
34:53
dfs with a lot of injury news, Philadelphia seventy six ers Brooklyn nets to
34:58
twelve and a half total one point favorites is the Philadelphia seventy six ers start
35:04
Brooklyn injury report. No Camp Thomas, no Ben Simmons, no Day Run
35:08
Sharp, Lonnie Walker's questionable, Philly Side, no EMBIID, no Maxie,
35:14
no Melton campaign questionable, kJ Martin questionable. It's a lot of cute taggs.
35:20
That's a lot of people out rio. You look at ownership in this
35:22
game, Ubra gonna be very popular, Claxon gonna be very popular. If
35:29
Camp playing, if campaign plays as of now, with all the injury stuff,
35:32
the value we have, I think he'll be a popular punt to get
35:36
a guy like Luca in etc. All these secondary pieces, Buddy cam Johnson,
35:42
Tobias Finney Smith, Dennis Schroeder, mckal Bridges, I think all those
35:46
guys are fine plays as well. So I'll throw it to you, how
35:49
many is too many? The pricing on both sides is so good with nobody
35:52
above what seven point five K in this game with big injury news on both
35:58
sides, Yeah, take it away. But obviously a game that jumps off
36:00
the page for DFS on this a game, yeah for sure. I mean
36:05
you're gonna see some pretty tight rotations in this game. I mean the nets,
36:10
yeah, they're gonna be. They could be really thin tonight. If
36:13
Lonnie Walker misses this game as well, I mean they might just have to
36:15
run out McHale, Cam Johnson, and Dennis Smith Junior for like thirty five
36:22
thirty six minutes tonight. They'll probably bring back in Jalen Wilson into the rotation
36:27
as well. I don't think that there'd be enough enough minutes for him to
36:30
be a play, but he's only three point four K, so maybe maybe
36:32
there's something. I mean, Lonnie, he's really only vacating about like fourteen
36:37
to eighteen minutes on the high end, so not too much changes. But
36:40
yeah, like you said, no Cam Thomas, no Ben Simmons, so
36:44
you'll see Cam Johnson and Dennis Roeder see a good amount of minutes. Obviously,
36:47
mckael bridge is gonna see his minut's no day run sharp means Claxon play
36:52
is probably thirty four thirty six minutes in this one. I think that he's
36:54
an awesome play. The Sixers team really been struggling defensively since Joel and we'd
37:00
went down pretty bad around the rim, giving up a ton of three pointers.
37:04
So I have a lot of interest in Claxon, a lot of interest
37:07
in Cam Johnson. Those are my two favorite plays on the net side of
37:12
things, I think. And then Dennis Schroeder. I think I'm kind of
37:15
okay getting away from him at six K because I'm seeing a good amount of
37:20
ownership on him. I think I'd rather get down to get down to a
37:24
Kyle Lowry in the same game, because I do expect Kyle Lowr to play
37:28
a ton of minutes tonight. He he started, what it was two games
37:30
ago, I believe, played thirty yeah, thirty six minutes against Charlotte,
37:34
played thirty three minutes last game versus Dallas. So we know that he's his
37:38
conditioning is there, He's going to play a ton of minutes. Always been
37:40
very durable. Yeah, I do expect him to start and have a pretty
37:44
pretty sizable role as a lead ball hander for this team. Kelly Bubray is
37:47
gonna have to take on a really big role as well, filling in for
37:51
Tyree's MAXI and yeah, I mean Tobias Harris gonna be a pretty solid spin
37:55
up as well. I mean, yeah, I don't know. I think
37:58
that probably two from each side. I think you could get to three Philly
38:01
guys, but probably two from Nets is the most I would want to go
38:06
in this one, though, I definitely could do three Philly like, assuming
38:12
Campaign might be one of them at three point two, I don't know.
38:15
Even so, you wouldn't be fine with three of I know you don't like
38:17
Schroder much. I love Claxon. I'm with you. There a Phinney Smith
38:22
or cam Johnson six one four five, and then either Bridges or I know
38:28
you don't like Schroeder. I don't know. I think I'd probably be max
38:30
three both sides in this one. That's how I see it right now.
38:32
I do prefer the Philly side the more I do it. But rank outside
38:38
of Claxon, who would your favorite Brooklyn Gadbe. I think it's gonna be
38:45
Cam Johnson, and then Dorian Finney Smith after that. I didn't mention him
38:49
when I was talking about this game, but I do. I do really
38:51
like Dorrian Finny Smith, and I think that he could see some small ball
38:53
center minutes because you have to. Yeah, I mean he's been he's been
38:58
playing a ton of minutes, and he he can do a lot of different
39:00
things, and he's got the assistant numbers have been solid around five last two
39:04
games or less, you know, five games or so. Rebounding been a
39:07
little bit underwhelming, but I mean he can, he can get hot from
39:09
deep. Not a terrible matchup for three point shooters as well. So yeah,
39:14
I really kind of like Drin Finnish Smith tonight. Yeah, I mean
39:17
like, and if Lonnie Walker's out, it's even more minutes. But we
39:21
saw I mean I remember this exactly because we were last Denver at the Live
39:25
Final in March when in Denver Live Final, when that's played Denver, they
39:30
won small ball five. Claxton gun followed trouble. Smith was guarding Jokic and
39:35
they were just playing like front playing fronting on playing behind double team them.
39:38
That way they could totally do it like Mobamba obviously is long. Claxton matters
39:44
up there, but like Paul Reid, I definitely would not be surprised to
39:46
see him go Smith Johnson Bridges and as smaller that way and just help.
39:52
So I like Phinney Smith definitely for value the minutes for four point five k,
39:57
very solid power forward eligibility. It's not like, I mean, you
40:00
play him, you hope for like twenty five you ain't getting your thirty five
40:02
to forty piece. But he makes a lot work on this late we'll we
40:07
ever seeing Michel Nuke again, I don't know. He definitely is my least
40:09
favorites. Nets like that talk about not no upside man, he just he
40:15
feels like the definition watch him this is the game though. But any thoughts
40:17
on him, no, I mean, yeah, I think that. I
40:22
mean I liked him as a player, but he just hasn't been hit this
40:25
season. I don't know what's going on. Could it could be fatigue.
40:30
He obviously hasn't always had like a really big defensive workload in years past.
40:35
This year has been a little bit different kind of having to do a lot
40:37
for this team, So maybe it does something to do with that. But
40:39
yeah, he's just I can't. I can't do it at seven point five
40:44
k I think I'm gonna need McHale to be in the six k's for me
40:46
to play him. Yeah, last question on this game, definitely Phinney Smith
40:51
for me. What about you though, Yeah, Phinney Smith. Yeah,
40:53
And I guess I shouldn't say definitely, Like that's the easiest question of all
40:58
time because it's Dory and Finney Smith. But I do lean Phinney Smith.
41:01
Keep keep a couple of games left. We have one, two, three,
41:06
four games left on the night, three games left on the slate.
41:08
Rio's over there, Diets, We're gonna keep it rolling. Atlanta Hawks,
41:12
New York Knicks two fifteen total Knicks three point favorites. Injuries in this one
41:16
very important. Brunson has continued to be questionable on the Knick side. They're
41:21
obviously so without Julius Randall og so monitor Brunson news for Atlanta. Trey Young's
41:27
still out, A Kungu is still out. I mean, man, if
41:30
Brunson's in this game, and this game is gonna be low owned regardless,
41:34
it looks like pretty much Brunson as a contrarian spend. If he plays at
41:37
nine point six K, I think would be fine. You love picking on
41:40
the Hawks, but man, like seven point nine K for Josh har seven
41:45
eight for Dante Bagdanovic, six K, like, these guys are all priced
41:50
like Brunson's out, so if he's out, you're not really getting value.
41:52
If he's in, definitely not good plays, Brunson would be fine. I
41:58
guess I'll throw it to you. If bruntson, do you think he has
42:00
a minutes limit? Nothing on the Hawks side, I'm really seeing their price,
42:04
Like Trey's out, A Kong moves out, No no Q takes to
42:07
make this body even better. So yeah, definitely a fade for me.
42:10
But I guess any lenon Brunson, and then if he plays, do you
42:15
think he has a minutes limit? I mean, I think it makes sense
42:19
to give him, give him some rests. He's obviously been playing a ton
42:22
of minutes lately. Had the knee scare that a lot of people kind of
42:24
thought was season ending. It looked really bad. I think it turned out
42:28
to just be like nerve damage or something like that. But yeah, I
42:31
mean, the beat writers for the Knicks expect him to play tonight, which
42:36
is very surprising, and I kind of agree with that. I mean,
42:39
this team is they're gonna play their guys. If they have any chance to
42:43
play, they're for sure gonna play. And he's probably gonna play the same
42:45
amount of minutes that he's always played, So that's kind of what I'm expecting.
42:51
But I would definitely be prepared for the situation that he does not play,
42:54
because obviously a lot of these guys become great plays. But I mean,
42:58
I even think that I'm really surprised that the ownership in this game because
43:04
we know that the Hawks have been one of the worst teams defensively all season
43:07
long. They've provided some of the best game environments in DFS just because they
43:12
play with fast paced they give up a ton of points, three point shooters,
43:15
transition rampoints, all that stuff. But like the Knicks, they've been
43:22
really struggling defensively over the past month or so. Ranking bottom four in defensive
43:25
ratings since the first of February, allowing the fourth most three pointers over that
43:30
stretch. I think I believe teams are beating them even a lot in transition
43:34
as well. So I mean, I could see this game environment being really
43:36
good. This is one of the This is the closest spread on outside of
43:40
the Philly and Brooklyn game, but this is the closest spread on the slate.
43:45
So I could definitely see myself get into this one. I think that
43:46
both teams are gonna run really tight rotations. So yeah, I mean,
43:51
nobody wants to play to Jonte Murray nine point four k. I mean he's
43:54
all he's done is crushed with Trey off the court the season. He's averaging
43:59
just about fifty DK points per game in the nine games without Trey of the
44:02
season. Already mentioned about how the Knicks are struggling defensively right now, I
44:07
mean you're getting him at sub five percent. I'm seeing two to three percent.
44:14
He's got triple double upside. I mean, I'll definitely play a lot
44:15
of de John Say Murray. He I mean, his ballhanding role has been
44:19
elite. It's he's only behind Luka Doncic in terms of touch time over the
44:24
last four games. That's all long Trey Young's been out. But yeah,
44:30
I mean, I'll definitely play a lot of john State tonight. I think
44:32
that he's probably the only one I'm considering. Just Janon Johnson seems to be
44:37
hitting a wall right now. He's just really come crashing down to earth in
44:42
terms of his scoring only fourteen and seven real points in his last two games,
44:45
DK scoring only nineteen point twenty five twenty three point seventy five. So
44:49
I don't think I'll go there. I think you could get to bogged down
44:51
Bogdanovic with point guard shooting guard eligible if you you know, he's the same
44:55
price as Terry Rozier, So there's your pivot. The matchups for three point
45:00
shooters hasn't really done it since Trey Young's been out. Had a couple of
45:05
forty pointers mixed in there, thirty four against Utah, which is a really
45:07
good matchup for shooters, So I wouldn't mind going there. I think Sidik
45:12
Bay is fine at five point five K, but I don't love it.
45:15
He's probably got a little bit more upside than some of the others in that
45:21
range. I guess he's flashed thirty point upside. I think that's probably about
45:23
it for him, and then kind of still waiting for the big DEANDREI Hunter
45:28
game. It was on him a lot last week in the last two weeks,
45:30
so he's been playing pretty well coming off the bench, but still kind
45:32
of capped around twenty nine to twenty eight minutes. So I think that he's
45:37
he's just okay to keep in there. But yeah, I mean, I'll
45:38
play Josh Hart again. I mean it's hard to overlook what he did last
45:44
game, put up a nineteen rebound triple double game last time out. He's
45:47
going to play every single minute that he can. Played forty five last game,
45:51
paid forty seven the game before that. I mean, yeah, I
45:54
think you have to have consideration for Josh Hart even at eight K and I
45:59
think that people will definitely get off of him for just for the price tag
46:02
alone. And then Devincenzo, I think is is fine as well at seven
46:06
point eight K. Much would definitely prefer bruntson to be out to get to
46:09
him. But he's taking a ton of three pointers. In his last last
46:14
six games or last eight games, taken double digit three pointers and six of
46:16
those ones, So I think he's got huge upside if Bronson what to miss,
46:19
and then obviously mas McBride would come into play. If Brunton is out
46:22
as well, even at five point five k, I'd totally be fine there.
46:25
You think that's where like if Brunts is out and we get that news
46:30
before a lot, it's like Heart Dante in the mid tier becomes the chalk.
46:35
Do you think that eats these Philly net Skies and the Lucas or do
46:40
you still think? I mean, because like they're still up there in price,
46:45
I mean there's they're not in the six k's like where they're for sure
46:47
going to be forty fifty percent. Do you think that's where the bills would
46:52
go? Because I mean, man, I don't know. I don't know.
46:55
They're up there seven point nine k for Josh Freakinheart seven point eight k
46:59
for It's making me think if Brunton's in, I know I would much prefer
47:05
Hart because I think Hart Brunton being in does less for Heart. They still
47:07
need him to rebound. He'll still stand in the corner. The usage isn't
47:12
affected as much where Dante has to take over obviously a way bigger ball handling
47:15
role. I do like Brunson. I was laughing at a nons the Grace
47:21
comments and you put right when you were saying like, if he plays,
47:23
he's gonna play. I mean I like Brunton. Then at ninety six,
47:27
if you think he'll go out there and he can walk back into thirty eight
47:29
minutes in this matchup, if he plays, which is what it sounds like
47:32
he's he's definitely my favorite. If the minutes are gonna be there to Chante
47:37
on the other side, low ownership, I'll throw two questions back to you
47:40
in this game that will move on. But Brunton or Murray, I know
47:44
you like de Jonte a lot, but prices are pretty similar both point guard.
47:46
If you had to pick one, and then I guess just final thought
47:51
thoughts like would you max one of heart Dante it Brunton's in? Would you
47:54
be good with both? Do you think ownership would be high on both?
47:58
If brunts In was out, so Brunson or Murray, I probably go Brunson.
48:09
I don't know it's really close to because I do. I do think
48:12
that Dejontay's matchup is getting a little bit overlooked in this one and Brunson.
48:15
It does have a good matchup, but he will see de Johncey Murray on
48:20
defense. Most likely. Johntayate have not really been the same defender as years
48:22
past, but he's still still a solid defender that could give him some fits.
48:27
But I do think that Brunston probably steps right back into his normal thirty
48:30
seven thirty eight minutes if he plays Actually, no, no, you know
48:35
what, I I think I'm gonna take de Johntay Murray because I think there
48:37
is one piece of injury news that is a kind of affects him positively a
48:42
little bit. Uh. Kobe Buffkin was the backup point guard for the Hawks.
48:45
He's rolled out tonight, So I mean they're not gonna don't think they're
48:49
gonna run Trent for us out there for a ton of minutes. He's he's
48:52
kind of like the backup point guard right now. I mean, you could
48:53
see probably thirty eight forty minutes out of de Jontay in a close game as
48:57
well. And I think that the ultimate ceiling cases a little bit better for
49:01
Dejonte than Brunson, just because he's got the triple double upside. So I
49:06
think I'll side with de Jontay Murray. If if Brunson were to be out,
49:12
I don't think that I would Knox one Heart or Devin Schanza. I
49:15
do think that it would take a little bit of ownership away from the Philly
49:17
guys, but maybe not too much because they are almost a K and Tobias
49:22
Harris is only seven to two and Buddy Heal Luca, like I think a
49:27
lot of like the not even a lot. I think it would just separate
49:30
instead of just Luca, which I think is gonna be pretty. Luca is
49:34
definitely gonna be popular right now. There's enough value and the five K options
49:38
and lower hon late, but I think it would take some Luke ownership away,
49:43
goes some more in the mid tier. It's probably how I see the
49:45
Dante Heart, but again I don't know. That's why I was asking you,
49:49
because they're pretty, they're almost a K, and the Tears Lucas been
49:52
on and all these Q tags which could even open up more value like Lucas
49:58
still might be a priority for the more popular bills that way, So just
50:01
talking out loud, definitely important news with Brunton that game is that seven thirty
50:07
Eastern. A lot of important news at seven thirty definitely that Boston Cleveland game,
50:12
some injuries like Lonnie Walker in that Brooklyn game as well, and then
50:15
important news for Brunton here as well. So seven thirty pm Eastern, that's
50:19
where most of those games are. We're finally two games left on the slate,
50:22
though, we got eight and eight thirty pm Eastern, and of course
50:25
the showdown content on the game on the Island. Suns Nuggets won't talk about
50:30
on this show, but Rio will have his breakdown at schipinnation dot com.
50:35
Two games left. San Antonio Spurs, Houston Rockets. We got two twenty
50:38
seven and a half total, Rockets seven at point favorites. Important injury news
50:43
in this one. Wemby questionable, Champagne questionable on the Houston side. Nothing
50:49
in terms of injuries. I'll throw it back to you in this one.
50:52
Is there a lean on Wenby for you? Because fees out? Obviously some
50:57
of these Spurs, the sells, the Sooacans, trade Jones, Keldon Johnson,
51:01
it'd be welcome back to Pop the Pop Show. Who knows what the
51:05
rotation is gonna be, but all those guys pretty much in that five K
51:08
range outside of a Cell just more mid tier options with the nets with Philly
51:14
that we would see again. This game is an hour after lock, thirty
51:17
minutes after the seven thirty games, so it's no telling when we'll get this
51:22
news. Hopefully we do get it before locked though. Houston side gonna get
51:24
some ownership. Jalen Green and Fred van Vleet, Dylan Brooks, Sengoon definitely
51:30
a good matchup for these Rockets. Start with the Spurs side though, start
51:34
with Lemby and Champagne and then break it down from there. Yeah, I
51:37
think that Wemby, I mean, he's game time decisions, so there's really
51:42
no true lean because that's that's more like fifty to fifty. I think that
51:45
he probably played tonight though. I was watching that Pacers game when he got
51:49
injured. It looked like a it might've just been like a stinger or something
51:53
like that, but he finished out the game. Was didn't really look too
51:58
affected by It happened with like two or three minutes left, so he finished
52:00
it out. Yeah, I mean, there's there's a chance they're cautious with
52:04
him. Obviously he's been playing great as of late. But yeah, I
52:07
mean, if that's like the you know, the biggest news on the slate,
52:12
second biggest news if you if you think Luca is is more doubtfully questionable.
52:15
But yeah, I was just kind of playing playing around with some practice
52:20
builds with Wemby in just some two B two is because this game does lock,
52:25
like you said, thirty minutes after that second group of games lock if
52:30
you start your lineups with Wemby and Trade Jones. I know, Trade Jones
52:32
doesn't really project that well, so this is just kind of a, you
52:37
know, an example of what you could do. But since there's only two
52:40
games that lock post five thirty or eight pm Eastern, you go Wemby and
52:46
Trade Jones. If Wenby gets ruled out, you can swap that to Luca
52:52
and and Zach Collins and it equals out to about the same amount of salaries.
52:55
So that's kind of the two B two swap you need to be having
52:59
in mind when you're when you're looking to play Wemby or looking to play Luca.
53:04
But yeah, I mean, obviously huge. If he's out, a
53:07
lot of a lot of usage is going to trickle down to den Vesel.
53:09
He's pretty priced up, but he's been playing pretty well. I don't love
53:13
the matchup, in particular, going up against Dylan Brooks, I probably would
53:15
look more so to the value guys in Jeremy Soshan, Kelvin Johnson definitely would
53:21
make sout Zach Collins a great value at four point five K. We've seen
53:23
him have a ton of success in spots starts this season, so he would
53:29
be he'd be a really strong play, don't. I don't have a strong
53:31
lean on Champagnee either, but I mean it doesn't really change much. You
53:34
would probably just see Malachi Brandam start again here. I mean he would be
53:37
an option at four point three K. Had a really good game last time
53:40
out, but kind of I know he ran pretty hot with the assists.
53:45
I don't think he's He's really not the lead ballhander for this team, so
53:47
I wouldn't expect six exists from him again, but he would probably get another
53:52
start and then the sorry the rocket side of things, uh Sang goun I
53:58
mentioned him earlier, Gonna be looking at similar ownership to Bam. I do
54:02
prefer Bam. Sengun's just he's just kind of fine right now. He hasn't
54:07
really put up like a GPP worthy score in a really long time. He's
54:10
only scored six x this current price tag once in the last eleven games,
54:15
did have fifty eight against the same San Antonio team earlier this season. Not
54:20
having to deal with Wemby down low would definitely improve his outlook a little bit.
54:22
So I would like him more if when we were to be out,
54:24
but we might not have the news, so we don't know. And I
54:28
really like the spot for both of these guards for event fleet playing huge minutes
54:30
again thirty six plus minutes at five straight games. Spurs are bottom three and
54:35
pick and roll defense this season, as well as being bottom three to opposing
54:38
point guards in DVP. Jalen Green in a groove right now, scoring thirty
54:43
four points in back to back games versus Phoenix. This is a really good
54:45
spot for him. The Spurs are dead last and DVP to shoot guards this
54:51
season. He's shown really big upside with this team fully healthy. Even so,
54:54
I like both those guys a lot, and I think that's pretty much
54:59
it for me. I'm not looking at gets like Brooks or whit More or
55:00
anything like that. Yeah, Jalen Green is my favorite play, but I
55:04
think ownership he probably will be the highest homee. But man, he is
55:07
thirty percent, thirty four, thirty percent usage rates, minutes are up there
55:12
twenty three, twenty eight to seventeen. I mean, the dude is absolutely
55:15
chucking, still sitting in the mid tier six K. But yeah, definitely
55:19
have a plan. I probably it would take me a little more time to
55:22
think, Like I wouldn't want trade Jones more than likely if Wemby was in,
55:25
I don't think he'd be the worst play. But like, man,
55:29
if Wemby's not in, I love the cell, then I'd like the trade
55:31
Jones. Kelvin Johnson's the world already liked Jalen Green. I do you think
55:36
Van Vleet's fine? You mentioned Zach Collins. He would start for Wemby become
55:39
a very good play at four or five, So you can do something with
55:43
like Sengoon just center eligible? Is that Collins just center eligible? And there's
55:46
two games again, we could get this Wemby news before lock, like it's
55:51
only one at one hour after lock, and there's only one game that starts
55:54
at seven eastern, like Andrew Martinez brought it up. But if you want
55:58
to fade that game, we don't even love it too much. If we
56:00
don't have Wemby News. Hopefully we get it before seven thirty, then you
56:04
can adjust include that game in the seven thirty docket. But like Zach Collins,
56:07
would definitely be a strong play. I don't even what are your thoughts
56:10
on Wenby if he does play as a contrarion spend in between the Lucas of
56:15
the world, and again we're talking like Luca plays, he is questionable.
56:17
We'll get to in a sec and expecting him to play. What are your
56:22
thoughts on a Wenby? You all play Luca. You miss some of the
56:24
mid tier bill, but there's plenty of value on this slide. So I
56:27
guess do you'll think he has slave breaking upside? Yeah? For sure,
56:31
Yeah, yeah, definitely. I mean he spent him seventy plus in four
56:37
of US last eight games, so I mean that's a pretty good success for
56:40
eight fifty percent in the last eight games. I mean he's yeah, he's
56:43
for sure got sleep picking upside. Matchup not the greatest. The Rocket's been
56:46
pretty pretty solid all season long. Defensively, I think that morse has to
56:51
do with them playing at such a slow pace that they don't really allow a
56:54
ton of their games. Just don't really see a lot of points in general,
57:00
but they've been playing a little bit worse lately, a little bit faster,
57:02
So yeah, I'd be totally fine with Wenby. It's nice that he
57:06
still has the power forward eligibility to I think they might end up taking that
57:09
way pretty soon. Just but yeah, I mean, we got to take
57:13
what we can get. I think Wenby's a great play regardless of the matchup.
57:16
I love it. Last game on the slate wrapping up coming up on
57:20
about an hour. Appreciate ever hanging out Rio with the great breakdowns again if
57:24
you catch him on the shows Tuesday Wednesday. Now you do have them Friday
57:29
wrapping up the NBA Show, but he has a slate plan rebreaks down upper
57:31
tier, mid tier, lower tier on the site beyond the paywall Monday through
57:36
Sunday, the Showdown Core reports Monday through a Friday, helping a lot of
57:39
people win some money late at night in the streets. Of course. NHL
57:44
PGA absolutely bet on fire the PGA content, best projections, best ownership in
57:49
the industry there, MMA shout up Big Marley, best ownership in the industry
57:52
right there as well. All sports one low price weekly monthly six months or
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annual packages Head of Shipping Nation dot com check the prices, but do use
58:02
the promo code if you do want to try Hoop fifteen to get you fifteen
58:06
percent off any of those packages. Last game of the night Rio Indiana Pacers
58:12
Dallas Mavericks eight thirty PM Eastern Big Boy total two forty six and a half.
58:16
So you look at these totals, this one by far on island five
58:21
points spread too. Not many five points spreads out there. Philly was only
58:23
one, Atlanta was only three. This is five though, So Man looks
58:28
to be the nut game in terms of Vegas props. However, lucas soaked
58:32
so much actually injuries Luca questionable, Maxi Kleban questionable, Derek Jones Junior questionable,
58:38
Pacer side Benedict mc third questionable, Aaron Smith questionable, Ben Sheppard questionable.
58:44
So there's some Q tags in this one that's important. I'm assuming Luca
58:47
plays with this total, with this spread, et cetera. I mean,
58:52
man, you look at all of it, you'd assumed great game to target
58:53
on the Dallas side, though it's really just Luca and Kyrie. You only
58:57
want to play. I prefer Luca, for sure. I would next one.
59:00
Now, if Lucas somehow ruled out and you have two V twos in
59:04
something you want to make sure you play Kyrie eight nine would be a phenomenal
59:07
play. Then you can upgrade something in the game before maybe Pacers side though.
59:13
The Mathura and the Nie Smith news I think is pretty interesting. Miles
59:16
Turner, Siakam, I mean, man, Tyreee, it's hard to even
59:21
bring up that name right now. He's been tweaking. But he's only nine
59:24
k start with Dallas. That's it's much easier. Do you agree? You
59:28
think Luca plays, Then go to the Indiana side, and if any of
59:31
these Q tags mean anything in this game, yeah, I think Luca probably
59:37
plays. Been dealing with these ankle injuries, the nose injuries all season long.
59:40
It seems like, Yeah, I think that he's he's probably gonna play
59:45
tonight. This team they need wins badly. They're they're slipping in the standings.
59:49
They lost four out of their last five games, giving up a ton
59:52
of points as well, dead last in defensive rating over those last five games
59:55
as well. But yeah, I mean, I don't need to sell you
1:00:00
Luka Dnci. She's obviously been you know, MVP status this season, been
1:00:05
scoring a ton, but just to improve the fantasy outlook on him. Pacers
1:00:09
dead last and pick and roll defense this season, which is not something you
1:00:14
want to be going up against Luca, who's the top pick and roll scorer
1:00:16
this season. So yeah, I mean Luca, Luca is a great play.
1:00:20
I don't need to tell everybody that you guys already know that. If
1:00:22
he's out, yeah, definitely look to Kyrie Irving. I haven't seen the
1:00:27
situation with Luca out in this new new team with PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford
1:00:31
in there, I think that PJ probably would soak up a good amount of
1:00:35
usage on the offensive side of things. I think that Dante exem would come
1:00:37
back into play at three point a K if Luca were to be out,
1:00:40
maybe Jade Hardy, who's been out of the rotation for a bit. He's
1:00:45
still with the team, right, I think he's still there. But I
1:00:47
haven't seen anything but j You said Jane Hardy, Yeah, yep, yep,
1:00:52
he's saw on the roster mid price K. Yeah, so I mean
1:00:55
he's the way down there. Yeah, with beind X everything, Yes,
1:01:00
I mean expecting Luca to play tonight. But those are the guys Tim Hardwoo
1:01:04
Junior as well. All those are the guys that are gonna soak up the
1:01:07
usage for Luca if he's out. But do expect him to play tonight.
1:01:13
I did see. Yeah, Jordan mentioned PJ. Washington definitely like him tonight.
1:01:19
I'm not a huge fan of the match up for him, very very
1:01:22
much more like a three point shooter's taking a lot of three point attempts at
1:01:27
least seven, nine to ten in his last three games. Pacers do a
1:01:30
really really good job. I believe they're best in the league at UH three
1:01:34
pointers allowed per game, meaning they don't allow they allow the least. But
1:01:38
yeah, he should be able to score inside. Pacers are dead last and
1:01:40
DVP to opposing power forward side. I don't mind him at a five point
1:01:44
eight K at all any side of things. With the injury stuff, I
1:01:49
do expect Nei Smith to play. He's been you know, he returned from
1:01:51
injury a couple of games ago. With the I believe it's the shins that
1:01:54
he's dealing with. But yeah, he should be good to go. The
1:01:58
Mathurin downgrade definitely, you know that that changes things a bit He's seeing a
1:02:02
lot of those shooting guards, small forward minutes for the Pacers team. Good
1:02:07
matchup for those guys as well. If he misses, then maybe you know,
1:02:10
Nie Smith, who's only been seeing you know, he got to twenty
1:02:13
eight minutes last game versus San Antonio. But yeah, maybe he gets back
1:02:17
to you know, right before he got injured, he was up there like
1:02:21
thirty three to thirty six minutes some games, So maybe he gets back to
1:02:24
that, and I would not mind the matchup for him at all. Maverick's
1:02:28
giving up a ton of three pointers over the last five games and then yeah,
1:02:31
Halburn, uh yeah, tough tough to sell him right now too,
1:02:36
because just not shooting the ball well. Uh five for thirty one from three
1:02:40
point range over his last five games. Just shooting really, really poorly.
1:02:45
The ball handling role has very very much come down to where it was,
1:02:49
you know, earlier this season he was just dominating touch time and all those
1:02:52
things, playing really well. But yeah, all those numbers are starting to
1:02:55
come down a lot. But I mean the matchup could be pretty good for
1:02:59
him. Like a mentioned, Mavericks really struggling right now defensively, so yeah,
1:03:04
I'll probably I'll probably still have some of him, but very reluctantly clicking
1:03:07
his name tonight. And then I think Siakam is okay going up against PJ
1:03:13
Washington. PJ not a great defender. He's been had a couple of good
1:03:15
games mixing there, a couple of fifty pointers a couple of games ago,
1:03:19
So I think that he's okay. Yeah, I think I think that's really
1:03:22
all I'm looking at in this one. Miles Turner thoughts, I think I
1:03:29
think the price is fine, the contrarian center option and gives you more if
1:03:34
Wemby's out or something to go to Zach Collins or stuff there, so I
1:03:37
wouldn't mind it. Yeah, I think I would probably just be looking to
1:03:39
him as like a like a late swap type thing if I need to,
1:03:43
if I need to make up some points, because he's looking pretty low on.
1:03:45
But I don't love it necessarily. I do think that this game has
1:03:47
a chance to go smaller, you know, maybe we see more Jalen Smith
1:03:52
center minutes or Obi topping something like that. But yeah, I think I
1:03:54
think that he's just okay at six point six k great Man great breaks down.
1:04:00
Yeah, these last two games with Luca and Wemby. I'm expecting Luca
1:04:03
to play. We think Wemby plays as well, but easy pivot with Kyrie
1:04:08
at eight nine, you definitely would want to get him instead of Luca.
1:04:12
And then you find other upgrades. No Wemby's that Collins would be a great
1:04:15
play, but Sell becomes a better play, the Trey Jones, the Calvin's.
1:04:18
But if they're all in again a PM Eastern eight thirty, those two
1:04:21
games are we could very well get that news even before this first game of
1:04:26
the night, or at least a seven thirty games, which is the big
1:04:28
talking points on the slates. Injury news, very important turn on on Twitter,
1:04:32
Underdog mortifications, what I found to be the quickest real updates, a
1:04:38
lot of time in the discord telling people they're out as well, but definitely
1:04:42
make sure your self def those notifications on projections are updated throughout the nights.
1:04:45
We'll tag everyone either Boomer or ship A nation. Will take people in the
1:04:50
discord and let you know that tough slate. Someone said, I'm like,
1:04:54
yesterday it is, but hey, it's NBA in March. Someone's gonna get
1:04:58
ruled out. It's going to open up a whole team or a couple obvious
1:05:00
value plays. You'll see that projections, cash reports, et cetera. And
1:05:04
find some low owned options, whether it's who Real talked about, who's in
1:05:09
the sleigh plan. The core reports are tools, the rankings, the ceiling
1:05:14
rankings, the correlation tools. You're gonna eat chalk projections, core reports will
1:05:17
help you that way. Just got to find a little couple low own pivots.
1:05:20
All was yesterday. What you need real Pat Bev, Kobe White all
1:05:25
chalk chalk, chalk, chalk chalk. You only need a couple of pivots
1:05:28
there. That's the NBA streets for you. So hoop fifteen gets you fifteen
1:05:31
percent off PGA lock in a couple of days MMA Big Boy Card two ninety
1:05:35
nine. You go from one of the worst cars last week to one of
1:05:39
the best cars this week. Gonna be a lot of fun NASCAR content,
1:05:42
always a fun sweat in the streets. Make sure to use that code hoop
1:05:45
fifteen for fifteen percent off. We'll see in the discord. Any final thoughts.
1:05:49
So for the people real now, just see these guys in check.
1:05:53
Get me excited. Got Isaiah Thomas joining the Jazz You League team. Love
1:05:57
to see that there. Yeah, no good, good time to join right
1:06:00
now for sure. MMA, great card this weekend. Like you mentioned,
1:06:04
I think that Title Marley are two the best in the industry. Very biased
1:06:08
because they've won me a ton of money, but they do a great job
1:06:11
breaking down the slate. Marley does a really good job with his ownership.
1:06:15
You have a bunch of different things to look at at Marley's fight, rankings,
1:06:18
title, slate plan. All of it is a great breakdown. So
1:06:24
yeah, definitely looking forward to that. Obviously, we've been crushing it in
1:06:26
PGA. Another big weekend for a lot of our members, not just the
1:06:29
guys up top that are winning, but had a lot of membership over the
1:06:31
weekend, had a couple showdown winners. So yeah, I definitely get in
1:06:36
over here and now it's a great time. NBA is starting to heat up
1:06:39
a little bit with all these injuries. Going to be a race to the
1:06:43
finish line at this point. But yeah, I'm looking forward to tonight's slate
1:06:45
for sure. Yeah, it's going to be a grind end of the year,
1:06:48
but hey, there's nobody better t help you out than Rio stays on
1:06:51
top of all of it, and again, everything updated throughout the night,
1:06:56
that updates with the news, and of course PGA bent on fire and last
1:06:59
thing, shout out our man Nick absolutely bent on fire in the p pg
1:07:02
A streets. It's like three weeks in a row. I feel like he
1:07:05
ships up things. So DJA content, full fource, ready to rock.
1:07:10
Let's see some Shipping Nation logos up top in the NBA streets as well,
1:07:13
and hey, check out some NHL content which we have over here as well.
1:07:16
Good luck, everybody, be safe. Let's see some ship nation logos
1:07:20
up top for Rio untitled town. Have a good night, good luck.
1:08:00
The ing Don