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TUESDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball March Madness First Four & NIT & NHL & NBA | 3/17/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: There was this complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five. I don't even know what to
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: tell you above that I just don't want to do
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: Own four that I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Man with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: slump continues, I've.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: Reached a new peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my bruins hat Man. I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape.
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: March ninth, I think who even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I can possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die, at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least OWN two yesterday and yesterday did not go well
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: for me. Own five the worst month that I've ever
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, The slump disconvenuous, The slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end.
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: It all these losses stay with me, they fester. Jerry,
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: what's up, everybody? It's toed back with the toadstl Sports.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: It is Tuesday, Saint Patrick's Day, March seventeenth. I'm being
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: irish by where my Celtics at. There. You gotta support
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: the team, man, gotta support the team.
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: He man, I'm just trying to support the team.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: You sit down, you're disturbing everybody.
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: Because you know messing.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: That actually hurts because the Devils beat the Ruins yesterday,
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: which I told you that would happen. Although the Bruins
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: they had a five on three pretty late in the
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: third period in a tie game and didn't score, So
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: isn't that just great?
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: But I will be happy about.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: The Celtics so getting a win last night against the
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: Suns in a close game, so.
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: There you go.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: Yesterday was bad, of course, owing to the Calgary Flames.
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: I mean, don't look at the final score. In that game.
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, it was closer than the final score looked.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: I don't really think it was the wrong side. I mean,
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: they did have more shots, they won more face offs there,
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: winning the game early. They did give up an empty
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: net goal at the end of the game, and it
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: was three to two I want to say, into the
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: third period or maybe really late in the second period.
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, they.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: Just they definitely had chances to at least push that
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: thing and cover the pock line, but no. And then
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: of course we lost on the Washington Wizards by a
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: half point, so that's really fun. They were like hovering
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: right around that seven mark for it felt like the
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: entire fourth quarter. Like I don't know, I wasn't really
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: paying attention to it, but I'm like, oh, they're down seven,
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: they're down eight, they're down seven, they're down eight.
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: I'm like, oh, come on, man.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: And then they lose by exactly eight, even though the
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: seven is the key ish number in basketball where you
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: stop intentionally fouling at that point of though, of course,
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: of you I don't know if they did, but if
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: you intentionally foul at six, of course you might give
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: up two free throws and lose by eight, So yeah,
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed about it. We're gonna move on it today.
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have one play today and it is going.
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: To be in the NIT. That is where the NIT
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: is starting.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: Man, not to be ignored. If you can find some
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: angles to look at there. The first round is a
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: little bit tricky, but I think we do have some
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: angles to work with in the one play that I have,
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: and that's where I'm going with it. We'll start with
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: college basketball March Madness, the actual tournament official starts. I
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: consider March Madness to be like all the conference tournaments really,
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: but we do have the playing games starting tonight on
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: True TV as usual, though I guess Disney is taking
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: it over within the next couple of years, which angers me.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: The first game up is always one of the sixteen
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: seed playing games, and it is UNBC, the winners of
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: the American American East.
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: Is that what it's called?
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: And Howard out of the MEAC now UNBC, I mean everybody,
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: I feel like all the talk is UNBC beat Virginia
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: that one year back at twenty eighteen or whatever. It's
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: a sixteen seed, So that alone, I feel like the
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: public is gonna maybe bet this game because oh my god,
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: it's the start of March madness.
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: Let's bet some of these games UNBC.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: Hey, I remember them, they beat Virginia.
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: I feel like the public is gonna.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: Be betting UNBC for that reason. I would go the
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: other way with it. This is not the same year
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: and not the same team. The conference is really bad
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: this year. The I mean, both these teams came out
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: of horrible conferences, but the American East was even worse
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: than it usually is. Vermont was way down this year.
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: Now I am assuming that UNBC is ranked higher than Howard. Yeah,
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: they are, and ken Bum's rankings not by much. They're
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: one eighty five Howard's two oh seven. That's why UNBC
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: is a favorite here, although actually it looks like they're
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: gonna go off and under dog because they're down from
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: one to a pick them now. All the money is
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: coming in on Howard. Uh sixty nine percent of the
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: tickets are on UNBC, sixty percent of the cash on Howard.
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: It feels like these opening round games, the team that
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: you don't expect to win like always wins pretty much.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: I like Howard in this one Man Howard.
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: They're more experienced team. I believe.
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know how many returning starters they really do have,
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: but this Howard team has made this tournament like three
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: of the last four years or four of the last
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: five or something like that, so I assume they have
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: guys who have been on some of those teams still
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: on their team. So yeah, I think Howard is gonna
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: be overlooked here. That's the way I would look here
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: because their conference is just considered to be one of
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: the worst always, and the American East sometimes has teams
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: that get in and you know, do damage in the tournament,
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: like Vermont has had wins you know, UNBC whatever.
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I like Howard here. Man. I don't remember
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: what they did in the turn.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: I think they got into I think they skipped the
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: play in last year, Howard, if I remember correct. Maybe
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong about that, but I think they were one
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: of the sixteen seeds that didn't have to play in
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: the play in last year, so they lost obviously, But whatever,
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: I like Howard here. And then the you know, more
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: impactful play in game after that is NC State and
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: Texas trying to play into an eleven seed, and the
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: winner of this would play BYU in the first round,
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: Texas has dropped from a one point favorite to a
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: pick them. We don't really see the percentages yet here,
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: although the placement of the zero percents here leads me
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: to believe that the cash percentage is actually majority on
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: Texas Right now, this is a tough call for me.
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, I kind of agree with Texas. These teams
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: are both really similar though, Like they're both good on offense,
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: they're both bad on defense. Texas does play slower than
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: NC State does, and Texas I believe, is the much
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: more unlucky team this year, although they were both pretty
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: unlucky according to Kenbon. But I also don't like the
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: ACC as much. I think Texas definitely faced the more
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule in the SEC. You also kind of have
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: to take into account, like what do these teams do last?
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: How did they get knocked out of their conference tournaments?
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: Whatever?
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: You know, Texas had a really bad loss, right like
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: they lost is a pretty big favor.
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: To Old Miss.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: I know Ole Miss really impressed in that tournament and
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: looked good. But NC State lost in you know, a
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: more acceptable manner, and this is like what the public
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: is gonna think. Oh, NC State lost to like Virginia,
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: I think, or something like that by seven, Like, that's
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: not a bad looking loss. Texas losing Old Miss looks
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: so bad that I think nobody's gonna want them.
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: I like Texas in this game. Uh Texas.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: Also, if they have returning starters from last year, they're
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: gonna remember what happened last year. They were in one
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: of the playings last year. They were in the last
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: day of playings last year and they had like a
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: twenty something point lead over Xavier and somehow lost the game. Anyway,
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: So I think if Texas has guys back from that team,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: they're gonna remember that. And they have this I'm pretty
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: sure they have the same Wait, do they have the
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: same coach?
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: Maybe they don't.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: No, I think they don't have the same coach anymore
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: because they think they brought in Sean Miller this year.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: But whatever, I mean, if there are any guys from
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: that that remember and Texas remembers that as a program,
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: like there's no way they should have lost that game.
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: And now basically they kind of get like a redo
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: in the first four here, like let's not do that again,
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: Let's actually win the game this time. So I would
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: lean to Texas here. Texas is the more imbalanced team.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: So I mean, yeah, I don't really want to have
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: money on either of these games or anything. I probably
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: feel strongly about Howard than this game. But look at
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: Texas on Ken Bomb here. Yeah, I mean they're outside
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: of the top one hundred on defense, which is not good,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: but they're almost top ten offense. NC State is a
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: little bit more balanced, top twenty offense and inside the
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: top one hundred on defense. NC State does play faster
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: than Texas. Like I said, Texas is gonna try to
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: slow the game down a lot of times. I do
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: like the team that wants to slow the game down
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: and ugly it up a little bit more because the
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: team that wants to go fast becomes a little bit
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: more uncomfortable when that happens, and it's easier for the
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: slowdown team to control the pace of the game.
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: It's just easier to slow it down.
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: And then, like I said, Texas is three hundred and
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: forty fifth, so they're like a bottom twenty team in luck,
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: meaning they've underperformed this year. NC State also has, but
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: you know, they're like bottom one hundred in luck as
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: opposed to bottom twenty and I think people, you know,
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: are gonna look at the records too and probably think, oh,
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: NC State the better team. Also, the talk is NC
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: State got screwed, like that's the NC State should have
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: been in the tournament instead of Missouri, which I don't
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: really disagree with.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: I don't know why Missouri got a ten seed.
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: I guess probably because they had to shuffle the teams
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: around and they got to play in Saint Louis and
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: against a somewhat questionable maybe in Miami team. I don't
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: know why that happened, and NC State wound up getting
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: stuck here, which you could see that going both ways, right,
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: Like NC State might be pissed, but if all the
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: discussion and you know, that might fire them up.
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: But if all the discussion is NC.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: State is better than this and they deserve to be
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: in the tournament, that almost seems.
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: Like a death sentence to me.
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: Like when people are saying that, it's saying this team
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: is you know, better than better than this, It should
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: have been seated better than this. A lot of times
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: I think people get that wrong and that team winds
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: up losing, and it you know, can even have like
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: a mental impact there. So yeah, I like Texas in
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: that one. All right, Kyle, what's up? Thanks for hanging out.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: And then you know, I think regardless of which team
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: wins that game, you know, I'm tempted to at least
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: pick them in my bracket to beat b Yu BYU,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: you know, with their injured player there, Saunders. We'll talk
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: about that when we get to it. All right, we
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: also have the n T on the ESPN networks, taking
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: over all the espns starting at six pm.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: I don't remember exactly what the bracket structure looks like
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: in the n I T, but a lot of interesting
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: matchups here. Now. The thing about the n I T
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: is first round.
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to like identify like who's the most disappointed
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: team here and like do they really want to be here?
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: And so a lot of times I will go against
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: one of those like blue blood teams that usually is
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: in the actual tournament. And I am gonna do that
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: here as well. So you probably know what my play
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: is already. I'll talk about that when we get to it.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: These other games I think are a little bit harder
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: to predict because you're a lot of cases you're looking
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: at two teams that are coming off losses that should
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: have should not have happened. And keeping mind that in
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: the NIT, the opening rounds here are hosted by the
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: higher seed, so the higher seed here is actually playing
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: on their home arena, so they get home advantage.
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: So keep that in mind.
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Not neutral sites until you get to the NIT Final Four,
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: which I don't even know if they still played in
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: Madison Square Garden or not, because now you have the
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: NIT competing with the CBC the College Basketball Crown, which
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: is going to start at some point too, and that
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: I believe is only in what is that that's a
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: sixteen team tournament, I think, I don't know, and the
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: NIT is thirty two I think. Anyway, Liberty is playing
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: George Mason. We know Liberty took a pretty ugly loss
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: in their last game and they got knocked out of
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: the Conference USA Tournament by Missouri State, and.
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: Liberty was supposed.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: To win that conference, even though I told you Liberty
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: was very, very overrated, But that was such a bad
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: loss that maybe they do want to redeem themselves from that.
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: George Mason.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: I actually here on the show fading George Mason in
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: their tournament loss in the A ten with Saint Bonaventure.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: I think George Mason definitely was an overrated team this year,
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: but Liberty also was. So that's kind of the question here, Like,
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: you have two teams that are high in KEM. Bump's
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: luck Index, especially Liberty, so I mean, I don't want
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: to get involved in this game. Liberty was the second
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: luckiest team in the country. They're pretty prolific offensively but
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: bad defensively. Liberty also plays really slow, and they're also undersized,
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: but I don't think that's really gonna matter against Mason,
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: who isn't you know. I don't think they're exactly like
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: a huge team either. George Mason's a much more balanced team.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: They also play slow, but they also are really lucky,
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: and you're asking Mason to lay six five and a
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: half here low total because it's expected to be a
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: low scoring game. I think Liberty probably is the more
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: embarrassed team off losing to Missouri State, so I would
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: probably slightly lean with the market here and towards taking
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: the points with Liberty.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: Liberty.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: Also, you know the fact that they're on the road
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: here at George Mason is not that big of a
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: deal because both schools are in Virginia, so Liberty doesn't
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: have to travel very far for this, so you know,
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna be that unfamiliar surrounding to them. Fifty
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty percent of the cash on Liberty,
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: so the money is kind of agreeing with Liberty here.
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: And you'll notice that in the NIT schedule makers are
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: actually kind of kind to a lot of the teams,
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: and a lot of the teams are playing games sort
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: of in their region of the country. Next game up
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: is UNC Wilmington and Yale. Yale, you know, really really
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: should be in the tournament, man, So I think Yale,
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, they may be the more disappointed
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: team here. I think they're clearly the better team, as
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: the Odsburgers are telling you, they are favored here and
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: at home. Yale really should have won that game against Penn.
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know how Yale's gonna respond, especially
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: when that just happened on Sunday. You know, like these
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: other teams have had a little bit of time to
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: kind of stew on it and get over it, and
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, or not get over it,
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: depending on the situation. Yale played very recently, You Wu
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: and see, Wilmington was the one seed in their conference
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: in the Colonial, and I was saying that I thought
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: Hostra was actually the best team in that conference. In
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: Hostra did win the tournament there and got into the
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: NCAA Tournament. Wilmington, though, you know, a loss to Campbell
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: is not great, although I told you I liked Campbell
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: to cover in that one, because you would see Wilmington
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: really really struggled against fast paced teams this year, like
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: William and Mary beat them both times. Campbell was able
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: to beat them there. But maybe you and see Wilmington
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: the more embarrassed team now they've had more time off.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: Now they do up here in New England right now.
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: Though actually I don't know about new Haven here, but
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: in Boston it's been sixty degrees the last couple of days.
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: But it's raining.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't know, man, this is a hard
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: game to figure out. I think Yale maybe hasn't had
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: the time to get over it yet. And Yale's still
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: thinking we should be in the tournament right now. Like
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: the way they lost that game was ridiculous. Penn with
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: what's his name power I think is his name, hit
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: multiple threes at the end just to send it into
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: overtime and then another one in overtime, I think. And Penn,
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: I think is also playing down one of their best
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: players too. Yeah, that was just such a fluke man.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: I just I don't know the money is coming in
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: on un see Wilmington.
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: I think I would agree. Yale's a five point favorite,
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: fifty seven percent of tickets, ninety four percent of the cash.
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: On Wilmington, I'll agree with it, even though yes, I
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: agree that.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: The worst team Yale does not play fast, so that
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: will play into what UNC Wilmington wants to do. Right,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: Like I said, UNC Wilmington, that's what they want to do.
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: They want to play slow, just like Yale does. They
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: do not want to go up tempo. Neither of these
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: teams are going to here.
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: Yale is very good on offense, but they're not good
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: on defense.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: They're actually lucky according to Keim Palm, it's sixty ninth
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: and lock all, though Penn is also a.
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: Very lucky team.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: I believe Wilmington is lucky as well, but not as lucky.
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: And there are a much more balanced team.
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: And I know I leaned against the balanced team in
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: the George Mason game because George Mason is also balanced.
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: But at this one, I'm gonna lean to.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: Wilmington is the more balanced team, They're the better deffense
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: getting points in this case, So I'll lean to Wilmington
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: there and Yale, and you know, I think as it
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: had time to really get over that disappointment yet, although
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll be angry, you know, they should have won
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: that game. But when you're like on the verge of
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: being in the tournament and this is a Yale program
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: that's I believe they've won the IVY like three years
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: in a row or something, and you know they should
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: have done it again. And when you're Yale like that,
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: like do you really want to be here in the
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: NIT playing against UNC Wilmington. Probably not, so, you know,
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: so I would lean to Wilmington in that one. Wyoming
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: and Wichita State. I've seen some love for Wichita State
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: in this tournament here. Wichita State just lost though, like
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: they're gonna, you know, maybe take some time to get
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: over that. They lost in their conference final to South Florida,
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: who it wasn't a close game though, like South Florida
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: had that game in hand pretty.
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: Much the entire way. Wyoming lost back on.
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know when was that Friday, maybe, but it's
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a travel for Wyoming here because
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: they were just out in Vegas.
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: Now they go to go to Wichita, though Wichita.
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: Was just in Birmingham, Alabama for their tournament and they
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: have to come back here too. Keeping in mind, Yale
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: was just in Ithaca, New York, which isn't that much
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: of a travel spot. Wilmington is having a travel up
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: there from where the hell was there? I don't even remember,
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: although they've been off for a while now, but I
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: forget where their tournament was, just to go through a
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: quick George Mason, by the.
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: Way, it was just in d C for their tournament,
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: I think. And then Liberty was in Huntsville, Alabama.
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: I want to say, is that where their tournament was
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: so a little bit of a weirder travel spot for
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: Liberty there.
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: You know.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: And then I don't know, I didn't I didn't go
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: over all the travel spots to these teams that I
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: should have mentioned that the opening round games that I
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: talked about are in Dayton, Ohio, of course, which isn't
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: really helpful to any of those teams, particularly you know,
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: and you got NC State coming up from Charlotte. Texas
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: is coming up from Nashville, so actually Texas's travel spot
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: is slightly better than NC State's. And then UNBC was
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: playing in where the hell was the American East Tournament.
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know.
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: They're coming from their home. They played at home in Baltimore,
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: and Howard is coming from Norfolk, Virginia, I think is
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: where their tournament was. I got it all in my mind, man,
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: I'm autistic. So not really a travel advantage for one
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: team or the other. They're just, you know, just to
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: keep that all in mind, you know, so talking about
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: the travel spots there. But anyway, yeah, Wichita, Wyoming, Wyoming
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: is not really a bad team, man, and they did.
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: They took a loss to UNLV.
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: I think Wyoming made a big comeback in that game
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: if I remember correctly, and almost was able to beat
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: UNLV out in Vegas. Wichita took kind of an uglier
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: loss there. Looking at the ken Bomb rangings here, Wichita
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: there are a good deepfense top one hundred deepfense, not
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: horrible on offense either, in a pretty unlucky team. According
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: to Kenbomb, perhaps Wyoming is in somewhat more of a
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: difficult spot here, although they're an unlucky team as well,
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: but they're better on offense and deepfense.
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: Both teams play slow.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Wyoming is still somewhat balanced though it looks like the
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: money is indicating on Wyoming right now, Whichita is up
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: to six and a half point favorite, and of course
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: they are on their home court here seventy five percent
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only seventy three percent of the cash on
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: which it toss and the money is indicating towards Wyoming.
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know that one. I'm not so sure about
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: that one. I don't really have a good opinion on
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: that one at all.
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: I think the travel might be a little bit more
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: difficult for Wyoming in that situation. They're a little bit
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: weirder of an environment for them to have to go to.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: They're a little bit out of their area of the country.
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: If I love Wyoming as much, I mean, I don't
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: know how easy it is to get overall loss against UNLV.
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but Wyoming has more rest after that,
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: at the very least so, And when you're talking about
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: teams that just lost, I don't think the rust is
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: really not much of a factor.
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: And with a slow paced team.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's as much of a factor either,
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: but Wyoming does rely more on their offense and their deepfense,
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: so maybe the rust will hurt a little bit.
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: A lot of things to.
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: Consider, Man, ESPN two has Davidson having to go to
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State.
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, that seems like maybe the.
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: Most difficult travel spot except for maybe what Saint Thomas
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: has to do here.
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: Davidson, I believe they're in North Carolina? Is that right?
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: They have to go to Oklahoma that's a still water
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: to play this game and step up in class and
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: play a Big twelve team.
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: That's not easy.
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: Man, Oklahoma State, I know this season wasn't what they
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: wanted it to be. They got knocked out of the
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: Big twelve tournament early. They didn't really have I mean,
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: I think they probably had aspirations to make the NCAAA
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: tournament early in the season, but those went away like
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: midway through the season.
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: Davidson did take a.
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: Really ugly loss which I lost on on the show
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: here they I don't know what that was that game
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: against a very overrated Saint Joe's team.
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: So Davidson might be pissed about that.
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: This is one of the situations where when you see
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: these NT games and you do see the little guy
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: like Davidson getting to play one of the big guys
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: like Oklahoma State, the little guy usually does get motivated
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: for it, you know what I mean, Whereas the big
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: guy might be like, oh, come on, we have to
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: play Davidson.
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean.
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: You don't really get excited about playing the little guy,
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: whereas if you're the little guy, you get more excited. Hey,
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: we get to play one of the big guys, you know,
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: improve ourselves. So that's all something to consider here. That
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: might motivate Davidson a bit more than Oklahoma State will
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: be motivated here.
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: Davidson.
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: Though, like I said, they're having to travel in from
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: their tournament was in DC. I believe in Oklahoma State
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: was playing in Kansas City, so the travel spot is
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: better for them. The money is coming in on Oklahoma's State.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: They're an eight and a half point favorite, eighty six
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety four percent of the cash on them.
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: I don't really disagree with Oklahoma State here. They're definitely
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: the better team. The question is how motivated is Oklahoma
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: State gonna be to play Davidson, you know what I mean,
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: Does Oklahoma State want to come in and are they
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: gonna say, yeah, we.
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: Want to win the NIT here?
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Maybe because I don't know this Oklhoma State team. They're
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: not one of those true like blue bloods that's like
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: always in the NCAA tournament, you know what I mean.
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: So even though that's like their goal to start the season,
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: it's not like they're a team that's constantly in the
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: tournament and now like, oh, all of a sudden, we're
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: not in the tournament. I don't think they've been in
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: that tournament for a while. I think they I think
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: it seems like they usually do play in the NIT
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: or maybe the you know, the Crown now, and it
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: seems like they're usually in one of these games. Oklahoma
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: State very very fast though, which I don't love. I
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: don't love these super fast tempo teams. And they're actually
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: really lucky this year, believe it or not. And they're
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: better on offense than deepfense. So I don't like any
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: of that really, Like matchup wise, Davidson is the better
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: depfense getting points here. They're gonna try to slow the
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: game way down. That's what Davidson does, and they are
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: actually kind of lucky as well Accorna Kent Bond. But
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: you know, I do a lot of times I do
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: like the better defense getting points like Davidson is. It's
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: just another reason to kind of just stay off the game.
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: But if Oklahoma State is able to speed the game
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: up and they really actually try, I don't think Davidson's
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: gonna really do that well in the game. So again
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: it all comes down to trying to gauge Oklahoma State's
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: motivation in that game. I really think so or most
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: of it does. So it's a difficult handicap.
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: Really. STEVENF.
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: Austin is playing Tulsa, so they Steven have Austin gets
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: to stay sort of in the same area of the country.
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: They were just playing in Lake Charles, Louisiana, of course,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: which you know, they probably should have a gripe with
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: the south Land because I don't know why MacNeice gets
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: to play that tournament on their home floor. But in
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: this case, I'm not that mad about it because MacNeice
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: is actually better than STEVENV. Austin and they made the
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: tournament again. But Steven of Austin did lose in the
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: final on that one, but they also lost badly. Like
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: if it was a close game, I might have a
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: different opinion on this game. Like if Steveen of Austin
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: almost won that game and they were coming up of that,
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: they could be in like a letdown spot, you know.
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: What I mean.
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: But that game was such a blowout loss. I think
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: it's easier to get over something like that. Tulsa, I mean,
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: they had a blowout loss too, and that was a
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: loss for me on the show.
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: That was bad.
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that was against Wichita. So you know,
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: Tulsa was sort of the front runner in the American
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: Conference for a while, even though I do think South
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: Florida is better than they are, and so I think
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: the right team won that conference. But yeah, I mean,
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: how are these teams going to react? I don't know,
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: It's really difficult to call. Both these teams were playing
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: basically up until the end of last week, didn't play
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: too many games in their tournament and whatever. But these
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: teams have had similar rests here. Tulsa is a seven
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, down from eight, but it
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: looks like the money is coming in Tulsa sixty two
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: tickets seventy three percent of the cash on Tulsa. Uh,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: Tulsa is a really good offense and not a very
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: good defense.
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: They play mid tem bone.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: They're somewhat lucky as far as uh, who are they
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: playing against Austin Steven of Austin. Steven of Austin better deepense,
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: wants to slow the game down and also kind of
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: a lucky team. So you know, again it's better deepfense,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: slow team getting points here though Steven have Austin, So
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: you have to kind of weigh that against the motivational
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: angles here, you know what I mean. So it's a
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: difficult call in that game too. The money is saying
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: to lay it with Tulsa, and again it's also gonna
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: depend on you know, is Tulsa gonna be super motivated?
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: Are they gonna be able to speed up the game?
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: All those things are you know, difficult to kind of
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: figure out there. I feel like I'm overanalyzing these games
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: just for the n I t because I want to
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: get to we got to get to hockey and NBA
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: here too. But you know, I'm gonna analyze every game
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: of the tournament too, so it's gonna get of a call.
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: Man then we have.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: The next game is Saint Thomas having to go to Seattle.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: That's not an easy trip either for a Summit team
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: that plays in Minnesota, and they were in Sioux Falls,
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: South Dakota for their tournament. Saint Thomas did suffer a
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: really ugly loss in their tournament though, to North Dakota.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: Really Saint Thomas should have won that game. Saint Thomas
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: made a really bad mistake at the end of that
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: game and loss, but the game should not have even
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: really been close, Like they're so much better than North
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: Dakota that was in the Summit semifinals.
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: I don't know how that happened.
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: Saint Thomas obviously had a shot to beat North Dakota
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: State and win that conference. Now they're playing in the
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: NIT going and they, you know, had a real chance
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: to make their first NCAA tournament bid, and now they're
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: going to have to play Seattle.
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: Seattle got knocked out of the West Coast Conference tournament.
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: It's somewhere in the middle of the tournament.
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: I believe they lost to who do they lose to
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara? No, they lost the Pacific that's right, Pacific.
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: And then I think Pacific lost to Santa Clara. Yeah,
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: so I mean Seattle. That's probably an easier loss to
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: get over.
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: I mean Saint Thomas, like they're right there, even though
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: it was a game they shouldn't have lost. For Saint Thomas,
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: they're sort of a mid tempo team. They're better on offense,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: the deepfense. Although decently balanced, they're unlucky according to Kem Bombs,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: so there is.
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: That meaning that they underperformed.
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: And then we got to Seattle here, Seattle's somewhat luckier.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: Seattle is the better depense, but they're very deficient on offense.
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: They play all these ugly, low scoring games even though
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: they're more of a mid tempo team. So I don't
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: think the tempo will be a concern here. But Seattle
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: is the better defense, and I feel like the public
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: likes offenses, you know, and they really don't like the
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: Seattle team. I'll lean to Seattle in this one. I
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: think it's a weird spot for Saint Thomas. I have
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: to go out and play on the Pacific Coast at
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: ten PM. I don't think they're gonna be really be
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: excited to do that when they were really close to
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: having that shot to make the tournament for the first time,
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent of ticket seventy seven percent of the
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: cash on them, Seattle's a two point favorite.
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: I'd probably lean to Seattle.
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: I mean maybe even on the money line in that case,
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: so you don't have to worry about the fact that
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: they can't score. Just ask them to win the game. Charles,
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out? Oh man, I'm still
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: like half a sleep here.
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: I feel like I just poked my own eye to
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: next game up will be my play. I mean, you
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: already know this. This is the only bet that I
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: have for today.
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: We're gonna do you know?
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: This is just the way that I've always kind of
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: handicapped the nit. We're gonna take South Alabama plus seventeen
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: and a half against Auburn. Auburn, I mean, come on,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: They're going from being the overall number one seed in
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: the tournament last year making the final four, being a
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: I believe a tournament team the year before that as well.
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: I think probably the last three years they were really
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: good and they were highly considered team in the tournament.
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: I think three years in a row. Now they're stuck
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: in the NIT. Yeah, I mean Auburn is the best
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: team in the NIT. I'm not gonna deny that. I
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: just think it's questionable.
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: Man. They got you know, Bruce Pearl's son took over.
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: So their coach is fairly an experience hasn't dealt with
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: an NIT environment yet. Is he gonna be able to
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: motivate his players here?
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: Man, Again, this is like, this is not a spot
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: that Auburn is really used to, you know what. I mean,
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: They're used to being one of the best teams in
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: the country. We're in the tournament, we're trying to win
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: a championship here, and now they're in the NIT. And
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: even worse, they get matched up with a team that's
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: really gonna be gunning for them because South Alabama is
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: an in state little brother to them. So you know,
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: South Alabama is going to get excited about this, like, yeah,
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: they're in the NIT. Yeah, they're one of the better
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: teams in their Sun Belt conference there, you know, I mean,
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: they probably wanted to win their confidence. I don't know
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: if they really realistically thought that were gonna do that,
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: But South Alabama, the way they lost in that conference
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: tournament was so dumba like they lost to that Georgia
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: Southern team that just got super hot at the right time,
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: and Georgia Southern was just hitting all their threes.
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: Nobody could do anything about it. So South Alabama.
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: Went down as like a big favorite and it wasn't
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: even a close game in their first game of the tournament.
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: So I actually think South Alabama will be motivated, like, hey,
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: we don't want that to be the way our season ended,
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean.
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: And now we get to.
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: Play one of the big brothers in the state of Alabama.
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: We get to play Auburn. I think they're gonna be
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: super excited about this game. They have to go to Auburn,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: but of course they're staying in their home state of Alabama,
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: and I believe their conference tournament.
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: Might have been in Alabama too.
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: Where was the Sun Belts, I forget, No, that was
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: in Pensacola, I think. But still, they really don't have
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: to travel that far for this. I don't know Pensacola
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: was the aid. I don't remember the a Sun Maybe don't.
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: They're staying in the south of the United States though
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: for Auburn, I mean, not a bad travel spot for them.
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: Either because they're in North Alabama, you know, and they're
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: just coming in from Nashville. But the problem is, look
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: at how Auburn got knocked out. Man, Auburn was like
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: one win away from making the tournament, possibly because we
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: know they were like the first or second team left
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: out of the NCAA tournament, and they almost beat Tennessee.
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: They had Tennessee totally on the ropes.
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: They were beating Tennessee, which would have been a big
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: win because they're a good team, ranked team. Auburn was
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: winning by ten with like ten minutes to go in
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: that game, and they wound up completely imploding and losing
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: that game when it felt like they were that close
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: to having a tournament bid. Man, Like, I really think
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: that if they won that game, they might have actually
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: made the tournament instead of either Miami Ohio or SMU.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: And now they're here instead and they have to face
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: one of the little guys. I just don't know how
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: they get excited about it. Man, Do I think Auburn's.
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: Gonna lose this game?
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: Probably not, But I like South Alabama to cover a
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: man against a team whose motivation is gonna be a
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: brilliant question. The number did open nineteen and a half
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: seventeen and a half. Hopefully that's not gonna matter, because
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: when you get into a price range like that, it's
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: just a huge number. So hopefully it doesn't land in
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: the middle there.
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: I'll be pissed.
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: Fifty percent of tickets seventy percent of the cash. On
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: South Alabama, I think we are agreeing with the money
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: side here and South Alabama.
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: I believe they're the better defense here too.
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: Auburn, they're really good on offense top fifteen, but they're
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: outside the top one hundred on defense. And yes, by
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: the way, they are the highest kem Bomb ranked team
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: not in the tournament, sitting at thirty eighth in the
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: country according to can Bomb.
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: So great.
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: They're unlucky, I'm not gonna deny that, and they face
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: one of the most difficult schedules.
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: That's all true.
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: They I was gonna say they play fast, but ken
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: bomb is listing them as more of a mid tempo team.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: But it does seem like Auburn will just wind up
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: going up tempo with up tempo teams sell the Alabama
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: is not one of those teams. South Alabama's gonna try
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: to slow the game way down and they're not better
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: on offense or defense, but they're a little bit more
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: oriented on deep beense.
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: But they're a balanced team.
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: Now, I do worry they're lucky according to Ken Bump,
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: so there's a huge luck disparity in favor of Auburn here.
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: But again, this is all about motivation. You gotta handicap
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: the NI a little bit differently, man. So yeah, I
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: think South Alabama they're gonna try to slow the game
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: down ugly this thing up. My guess is that Auburn
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: wins this game and they do not cover, they get through,
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: and then maybe Auburn gets a little bit more you know,
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: excited after getting their legs under them, and maybe Auburn
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: will have a good n But this is a very
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: tricky spot for them. Again, I think they're in kind
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: of a hangover spot off of while they lost that
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: big game in the SEC Tournament. South Albama's more rested too,
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: because they've had more time off and they're coming off
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: a pretty gross loss that wasn't even really a close game,
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: where you know, they just kind of got unlucky in
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: that one.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I like South Alabama.
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: That's the one play that I have today, and then
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: we do have UNLV and UC Irvine in the late
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: game here where both teams are Pacific Coast teams, not
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: gonna be a big deal. I don't think for UNLV
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: to have to travel to Irvine, California. Here, Irvine is
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: I think the better team though now UNLV, I mean,
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: they played decently throughout the Mountain West this year. They
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: did take a loss to Utah State, which was expected,
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: even though they beat Utah State twice this year. Utah
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: State clearly the better team and just finally was able
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: to change what went wrong and got the best of them.
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: You see, Irvine went all the way to the Big
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: West Championship and lost a pretty close game to Hawaii.
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: Actually I don't know how close it was. I watched
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: some of that, but Hawaii did kind of pull away
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: a little bit at the end. You know, I think
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: maybe you see Irvine's a little bit more hungover after that,
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: even though Irvine they're basically just staying or actually, excuse.
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: Me, they're coming back from Vegas as well. My mistake.
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: So both teams just played in Vegas and now they're
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: both going to Irvine, California. For this, Irvine is a
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: two and a half way favorite. But the money looks
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: like it is definitely coming in against them. Eighty percent
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: of the tickets fifty six percent of the cash on them,
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: So the money's indicating on UNLV.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: I actually agree with that.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards UNLV as well, but not a
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: strong opinion that the n it very very difficult to handicap. Man,
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: all right, let's get hockey in NBA done and then
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: I'll get out of here. There are a decent amount
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: of hockey games today, but I didn't see anything that
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: I liked.
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: Man, Like I'm trying.
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: To be selective with hockey, but like, really, I just
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: don't even see any situation that I even like. Like,
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: I didn't see any game that I was even like
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: close to wanting to put on my card. Really, the
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: Islanders are at Toronto. Islanders did just beat Calgary. Uh
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: so they're coming off of a win, not a great win,
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: and they've had a couple of days off starting a
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: road trip.
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: A lot of times when you start a road trip
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: you will be focused.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, they only play Autawa next, which isn't really
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: that big of a deal. Toronto is coming up beating
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: Minnesota on the road, so I think the spot is
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: worse for Toronto. That was a big win for them,
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: and it was on a back to back, by the
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: way Toronto. I don't remember if that was their first
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: game without Matthews or not, but that was it was
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: a huge game. Now, returning home, it was only a
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: two day road trip over the weekend, so not really
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: a huge deal having a return home from that, Like,
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna be like having to get a ton
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: of stuff done at home, you know that piled up while.
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: They were gone.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: But even so, I've been playing a third game in
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: four days, all in different cities. They got Caroline on deck,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: which is probably a bigger deal than the Islanders. So
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: I would lean to the Islanders in this one, probably
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: one of the stronger leans in hockey today. To be honest,
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: Islanders are gonna be a really public side. Ninety three
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, ninety five percent of the cash.
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: They're up to minus one forty. I still think that's
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: the right side. The public might be on it as well,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: but I would lean Islanders their money line, or if
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: the price gets too high, maybe you start, you know,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: doing a split bed. But I don't love you know,
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: those really really highly priced road teams like I would
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: hope that it stays in the one forties and.
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: Take the money line on that if I was gonna
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: do anything with it.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: My Boston Bruins are at Montreal. Bruins played last night
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: and now they're on the back to be They're having
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: to travel from New Jersey up to Montreal. They're playing
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: a third game in four days, fourth game in six days,
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. Not easy to do. Last two
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: games both went into overtime. Not gonna be easy, man.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: Montreal is staying at home and they did not play
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: yesterday and they lost to Anaheim.
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: Lost their last two home.
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: Games, so unfortunately for the Bruins, Montreal looks like the
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: much better spot here. I would lean to Montreal. They're
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: down for minus one seventy to minus one sixty two here. Yeah,
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: it is a rivalry game, so motivation shouldn't be an issue,
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: But the Bruins might kind of run out of steam here. Man,
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of tickets, eighty six percent of the
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: cash on Montreal. I agree with Montreal there. It might
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: be like a split puck line. Better, you know, find
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: a minus one puck line there. Carolina at Columbus. Carolina
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: are really not favored by that much in this game,
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: partially because they're on the road, but it looks like
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: Columbus getting a little bit of respect in the market.
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: I also don't like the spot for Carolina. They just
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: beat Tampa Bay, really nice win their big game. Both
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: teams are really good. Big win for them. Now they
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: got to go to Columbus. They've been stewing on that
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: win for two days, which I don't think is good,
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: even though they're rested. I think when you're coming off
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: a big win, you just kind of start thinking about
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: it and feeling good about yourselves. They do have Pittsburgh
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: on deck when they return home tomorrow, which might be
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: a bigger game.
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: They might overlook Columbus.
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: Man even though Columbus has a good record, I just
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: feel like they don't have that weight behind their name
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: where people you know. It seems like they sneak up
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: on a lot of teams. They're returning home from a
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: road trip, though they were on the road starting last Tuesday.
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: They also beat Tampa Bay by the way on that
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: road trip. They're returning home from a pretty successful road
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: trip two to one, with the only loss being at
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: Florida in overtime. They beat Philadelphia on Saturday. Now they
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: have two days off as well, return home spot. I
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: really don't like though, because a lot of times you
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: will fall into that distraction, have to get back to
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: home life or whatever.
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: But they're playing Carolina, so.
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: You got to think should get motivated for that game
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: and that should alleviate the distractions a little bit there.
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: I would lean to Columbus in this one.
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: Carolina did drop for minus one forty to minus one
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: twenty eight, eighty three percent of tickets, ninety one percent
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, so the money indicating on
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: Carolina a little bit. But I would lean to Columbus
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: as the home underdog there. Money line would be the
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: way I would play that. I can't quite get there
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: with it as a play, but that's you know that
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: that might be one of the better leans that I
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: have here. Tnt NHBO Max has a doubleheader and both
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: games are not good, you know, my apologies, I guess,
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: but Minnesota at Chicago is the first.
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: One, which seems like a bit of a mismatch.
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: And you've got Minnesota coming up three losses, all at home,
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: the last.
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: Two being pretty ugly to the Rangers in Toronto. Not good.
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: So I think maybe it'll serve Minnesota well to just
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: leave home for a little bit and get a win
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: against a team that's obviously be so I think Minnesota
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: might actually show up with some motivation for this one.
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: They don't have a bigger game on deck. Chicago's been
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: offset Saturday. They were returning over from a road trip,
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: but it was only a quick trip Thursday Saturday. They
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: did lose on Saturday in Vegas four to nothing, which
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: is pretty ugly. And you know, theoretically they should get
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Minnesota, like you get excited
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: when these better teams come into your house. But if
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: it's a situation where both teams are going to be
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: motivated and show up, I think Minnesota should get the
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: win here. But you're laying a price for them. They're
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: minus one seventy eight there. You know. Again, it would
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: be a situation where you'd have to lay a puck
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: line or something on the road, which is not something
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: I really love to do, even though I've done it before.
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: But that game just has to be a pass for me,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: you know. I mean, if both teams are gonna be
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: super focused, and you know, both teams have been off
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: for a little while and under could be in consideration
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: in that one. It looks like the money is coming
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: in towards the under. The numbers already down to six,
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: so not a ton of leeway there, but that would
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: be my opinion there. Nashville at Winnipeg. Nashville just had
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: a really close game against Edmonton on Sunday Man They
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: went into Edmonton and there was an empty net goal
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: at the end of that game. They lost three to one,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: but that was a one score game, a one goal
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: game in the final minutes of regulation there like Edmonton
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: put it in an empty net or in the final
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: like minute and a half. So Nashville almost beat Edmonton.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: Now they're having to come off of that and play Winnipeg.
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit of a difficult spot
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: for Nashville here. Winnipeg did just beat Saint Louis and
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: should have been in a letdown spot in that game
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: because they'd beaten Colorado the game before that, the night
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: before that, so somehow want a back to back with
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: Comery in net, they were able to still get the
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: win there. Now they're staying at home with momentum. HELLI
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: books should be back in net for Winnipeg here so
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: they got their better goaling. It's a pretty tricky spot
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: for Nashville there. I would have to lean to Winnipeg
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: in that one. They're a pretty cheap price minus one
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: thirty three sen it tickets ninety three percent of the
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: casual Winnipeg. It looks like the real money indicating on Winnipeg.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: I think that is one of the better looks in
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: hockey today as well. You know, if I were to
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: try to order these, I would probably say I might
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: actually think Winnipeg might be the best out of those
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: three that I talked about.
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: Then maybe the Islanders, then Columbus.
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, But yeah, Winnipeg looks like it's
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: a pretty decent spot for them there. I don't think
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: it's good enough that I want to actually add it
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: to my card.
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: But San Jose is at Edmonton.
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: San Jose just had a bad loss seven to four
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: at Ottawa.
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: It's a weird travel spot though.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days, fourth and six,
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: fifth and eight, all in different cities, and they're having
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: to go from Eastern Canada all the way to Edmonton.
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: Now with one day off.
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: That's a weird travel spot, even though they are coming
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: off a really ugly loss seven to four, where it
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: looks like they had bro Swaw in Net. I don't
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: even know who the hell that is. Maybe a scar
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: off might be hurt. I have no idea. My guess
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: is it's gonna be an a. Delkovich back in net
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: for them, and they did win his last two games.
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: So if that's the.
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: Case, that's not a bad thing for San Jose. I
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: don't think coming off a horrible loss seven to four
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: they should be motivated. It's just a bit of an
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: odd travel spot there. Now Edmonton, they're coming off a
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: close call as well. Like I said, they almost lost
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: to Natural. Didn't almost lose, but they were only up
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: two to one late in that game against Nashville. Edmonton's
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: coming off of that. They do have Florida on deck, though,
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: so that is the concern they might look ahead because
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: of course we know Florida beat them in the Stanley
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: Cup finals last two years. Now, Edmonton did already play
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: them once this year and they did beat them, so
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: they did get a little bit of revenge already. But
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: that's still probably a big deal playing Florida and then
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: Tampa after that.
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: So with Edmonton you got to.
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: Worry about the look ahead here. This is a very
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: tricky handicap. But the money is indicating on San Jose
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: for what it's worth. Edmonton down for minus one to
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: ninety to minus one sixty seven here, sixty percent of
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, sixty three percent of the cash on
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: San Jose. So some real market indicators on San Jose here.
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: I think part of the reason why the line moves
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: so much is because of the San Jose goalie situation.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: I would imagine that Nadelkovic gets a little bit more
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: respect there.
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm.
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: Gonna agree with the market and agree with the San
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: Jose side there. You know, if you want to grab
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: an underdog puck line, money line, split the bet up,
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: whatever you want to do there, that's the way I
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: would lean in that game. But I don't think it's
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: strong enough Florida at Vancouver.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know where I would put that on.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: I don't even want to rank these, man, I don't
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: know where I would put that in my rankings. But
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: those are my opinions on those games. Florida just lost
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: really badly at Seattle six to two. Seattle not even
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: a very good team. Florida is definitely down this year,
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: but maybe they'll actually get up for a game after
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: such a bad loss. But it's tough to get up
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: for Vancouver when they're like the worst team in the NHL.
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: And Florida, like I said, they do have Edmonton on
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: a deck, so they might look ahead to that because
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: that is a big game and Florida did lose to.
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: Them this year.
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: Vancouver also just lost really bad that a San Jose.
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: But they're staying at home or excuse me, to Seattle.
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: Excuse me, both teams coming up losses to Seattle, Vancouver
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: staying at home with extra rest, two with two days off.
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: So I think the spot is.
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: Better for Vancouver in that one. I would lean to
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: Vancouver there. We don't see the percentages yet. In Florida
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: did drop for minus one fifty five to minus one
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: forty eight, so that.
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: Would be my opinion there.
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: Buffalo at Vegas actually one of the better games of
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: the day, and Vegas is actually favored here, so people
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: are gonna look at this and think, oh, well, Buffalo
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: has the way better record and they're an underdog. I
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: think the public might look at this and think there's
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: some value playing Buffalo as a dog here, I'm not
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: so sure about that, man. Buffalo is starting a road
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: trip and they do have a little bit of rest.
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: And while I will say that usually, yeah, usually your
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: focus to start a road trip you should be focused
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: on a team like Vegas, but an East coast team
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: or Eastern time zone team having to go all the
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: way out west to start that road trip and play
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: late at night a lot of times it does mess
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: with your biological clock.
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: Even though, yeah, they're coming off kind of an ugly
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: win against Toronto where they barely got by, which should
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: focus them. So there are some positives and some negatives
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: for Buffalo here in the spot. Vegas is coming off
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: beating Chicago easily. They are staying at home, They've been
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: good in their last two home games. Vegas starting to
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: turn around here. I highly doubt they overlook Buffalo. I
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: think they just have some momentum coming into this one.
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be overly confident after beating Chicago.
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: I like Vegas here. They're down for minus one thirty
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: to minus one twenty three.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: It looks like the public is leaning towards Buffalo sixty
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets on them, but eighty six
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Vegas. I agree with the
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: market read there. Vegas would be my lean in that one.
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: And then the second of the TNTHBO Max doublehead er
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay and Seattle another pretty ugly matchup. Man Tampa
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: Bay the significantly better team obviously, but they're coming off
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: a tough game. They lost by to Carolina, but that
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: was a pretty close game. I think there was an
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: empty net goal at the end of that game too.
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: It was a close game, big game. Now Tampa Bay
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: is starting a road trip a couple days off. A
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: lot of times, you will be focused, just like I
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: said with Buffalo, you will be focused a lot of.
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: The time to start the road trip.
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: But for Tampa Bay, it's gonna be difficult to get
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: back up off the mat after that game, I think,
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: and having to go play a late night game on
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast to start the road trip and shift
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: time zones.
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: That's not that easy. Now.
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: Seattle is coming off a very satisfying win over Florida, though,
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: so they might be feeling a little bit high on
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: themselves too. I don't think they're gonna overlook Tampa Bay,
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: though I would still lean to Seattle here, but I
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: don't think it's that strong of an opinion of the
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's somewhat coming in on Tampa Bay,
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: even though they dropped to minus one to eighty five
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: on the money line, which is a pretty big price.
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, Tampa Bay is the way better team here.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: Seventy eight percent of tickets, eighty seven percent of the
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: cash on Tampa Bay. So the money looks like it's
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: sort of indicating on Tampa Bay. I leaned slightly in
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: the other direction there though, but again I don't have
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: anything as far as anything strong enough there. And then
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: we got NBA. We got eight NBA games I think here,
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: starting with Miami and Charlotte. Miami coming off a loss
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: at home to Orlando. Now Miami did lose as a favorite,
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: so a lot of times I will say that a
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: team will bounce back after they lose as a favorite.
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: Miami's had a couple of days off. Problem is that
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: was kind of a big game against Orlando, and Miami lost.
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: Along wind streak they had, like a seven game win
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: streak snapped and a lot of times having a win
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: streak snap will hand you over. They do a couple
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: of big games coming up. Man, they got the Lakers, Houston,
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: San Antonio, Cleveland twice all up next. So this Charlotte team,
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: even though they're a hyped team right now, they could
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: be overlooked potentially in this spot. And Miami did just
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: go into Charlotte and beat them back on March sixth,
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: So there is a little bit of a quick row
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: revenge angle here for Charlotte. Charlotte coming into this game
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: off of losing to San Antonio. The problem I have
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: with Charlotte really is that they're returning home from a
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: road trip. And I know I did give up Washington
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: yesterday in the return home spot, and they didn't do badly.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: You know, it was a close call on that one,
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: even though I know they missed the cover by a
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: half point. But Charlotte has been a waste since Sunday,
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: March eighth. Charlotte did have to go all the way
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast. Then they played San Antonio in
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: their last game, which was.
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: A big game.
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: Now they got a return home, so I worry about,
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: you know, the return home spots still being a bit
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: of a distraction here getting back to home life.
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: I mean, they shouldn't overlook Miami, so that should help
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: a little bit.
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: It's a tough spot, though, I don't like the spot
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: for either team. Charlotte is up from three and a
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: half to four and a half here, seventy percent of
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: tickets seventy nine percent of the cash of Charlotte.
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: I actually agree with Charlotte.
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: And it looks kind of crazy that they're laying points
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: against the Heat, you know, like, why would the team
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: with the worst record be laying points. I think everybody
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: knows that this way that Charlotte is hot. Now the
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: oddsbreakers are telling you they're better than the Heat, which
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: is kind of weird. So that makes me wonder, like,
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: do the Heat have injuries coming into this game. It
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: looks like they might out of Bio is a game
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: time decision here. He's questionable, So that's part of the
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: reason why I think if he can go, I would
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: imagine he will go, but I don't know, man, because
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: he's a game time decision right now. He did play
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: in the last game against Orlando, so if he's out
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: and Miami's in the injured player spot.
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: Then you know, then you gotta.
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: Really, I don't know, consider maybe looking towards Miami because
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: if they're getting extra points just because out of Bio's
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: out again, first game out with your first game your
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: star players out a lot of times, you're gonna step
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: it up and give more effort and play better without him,
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: you know.
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: So this is a tricky handicap here.
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: Aside from that out of Bio injury, Like, if out
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: of Bio is playing, I would lean to the Hornets here.
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: I know that sounds counterintuitive, but if you watch me
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: and you just listen to what I just said about
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: the injured player situation, you know why I think that.
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: But I actually think that with the line before and
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: a half, I think that might even be indicating.
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: That out of Bio is not playing.
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: Because I don't think the Hornets would be considered to
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: be that much better than the Heat otherwise.
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: So a lot of things to consider.
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: In that game, And if that's the case, I would
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: actually probably swing back around and slightlyly to the Heat. There,
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: very very difficult in the handicap, not a game I
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: would want anything to do with. You like the Hornets.
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't like the heat. So I'm kind
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: of sick of the Hornet hype though, but you know,
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: I obviously I do not like the heat. I gotta
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: find my old Celtics beat the heat shirt.
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma City is going to Orlando here.
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City coming off a few big wins in a
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: row against Denver, Boston, Minnesota.
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: I'm all at home now. They're going out on the road.
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: A lot of times the momentum will carry to start
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: the road trip.
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: But that was a big win over Minnesota too, man,
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. You know, they don't have a
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: big game on deck though against Brooklyn tomorrow, So if
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: they're gonna pay attention to one of these games more
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: than the other, it should be Orlando. Orlando's been playing
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: better recently, but they did just lose a wind streak. So,
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: just like I said with Miami, seven game win streak,
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: and when you lose that wind streak, a lot of
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: times it will hang you over into the next game.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: And Orlando was kind of in a letdown spot. I
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: think after they got that big win over Miami, they
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: got taken out by Atlanta and that was last night
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: and now they're returning over from a road trip. Although
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: it was only a quick Saturday Monday road trip just
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: to Miami and Atlanta, so that's not really that big
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: of a deal. I don't think they're gonna overlook Oklahoma City,
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: but they have way less rest here, although that'll be factoring.
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: Into the line.
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: But they're on a back to back with travel here, possibly,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: you know, being hung over from having the wind streak snapped.
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: I actually kind of like the Thunder in this one.
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: Even though you could argue they're in a letdown spot here,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: the money seems to be agreeing with me. They're up
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: to nine and a half here on the road, sixty
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, sixty six percent of the cash
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: on the Thunder, So the money is kind of agreeing
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: with me for now, at least on the Thunder. Again, NBA,
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: there are situations where it does make sense to lay
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: big road favorites, so you know, you shouldn't completely shy
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: away from it. I'll just throw that out there. Oh,
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: you're born in Charlotte. Interesting, All right, Hopefully you got
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: the hell out of there, because it seems like it's
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: a bad situation there given uh, you know, the murders
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: that are happening on Charlotte Public transportation and whatever. Detroit
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: at Washington, I mean Washington. Ugh, Detroit did just lose
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: a three game win streak, but I think that's less bad.
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: Like when it's a longer wind, the longer the win
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: streak gives, the worst the hangover is, I think when
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: you lose it. Detroit lost on Sunday at Toronto, not
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: a great game, So maybe they will actually show up
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: for a game against Washington. They play Washington twice here
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: in fact, so they don't really have anything to look
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: at head to here. Washington, you know, did lose last
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: night and unfortunately missed the cover by a half point.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: They're kind of in a difficult spot here. I mean
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: that was a return home spot. Maybe I should have
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: just left it off the card. But they didn't exactly
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: play that horribly in the game though, and it was
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: an awful spot for Golden State Washington. You know, they're
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: on a back to back now, playing a third game
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: in four days, fourth game in six days, fifth game,
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: and eight days six game and ten days whatever, most
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: of them in different cities. Now, A lot of times
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: when you return home and you play bad, a lot
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: of times you will bounce back from that and played
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: better but it's a back to back. You know, they
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: played with some effort last night. So I don't love
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: Washington here, man, even though theoretically they should get up
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: for a game against Detroit, I don't know. I mean,
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: the money's coming in on Washington. Detroit is laying a
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: ton of points eighteen down from eighteen and a half
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: on the road here, sixty one percent ticket, sixty seven
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Wizards. I don't know, man,
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: you know the money is saying the Wizards. I kind
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: of lean the other way. I would probably lean towards
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: laying it with Detroit, but I hate that game.
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: I don't want anything to deal with it.
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, stay away the Scott Adams advice there. Indiana
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: at the Knicks here kind of an interesting handicap here.
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: Indiana just played the Knicks pretty tough two games to
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: go back on Friday, so the Knicks might actually not
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: take them lightly this time. I know it was a
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: nine point loss at Indiana, but that was a pretty
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: close game towards the end.
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: Of the game. Man.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: Then Indiana was kind of I think hung over after that,
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: and they lost at Milwaukee. Now, yeah, Indiana should get
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: up for a game against the Knicks. I mean it
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: is a quick revenge spot. Still, they're not going to
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: overlook one of the best teams in the conference, like
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: the Knicks. The Knicks, though, they're coming off barely being
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: in Golden State, but remember that was a return home spot.
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: They'd been on the road for a long time.
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: They had a really close call against Golden State, so
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: I could see it going two ways here. They finished
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: the road trip by beating Indiana, so maybe it's possible
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: they still overlook Indiana. But it was a kind of
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: close game against Indiana. They cut it close against Golden State,
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: and that was one of those return home spots where
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: the team wasn't at their best. New York was not,
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: so sometimes when that happens, the team will play better
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: in the next game. The Knicks were a pretty big
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game and barely won, which means they
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: should probably get scared.
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: Back into focus here.
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: So I think there are more indicators towards the Knicks
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: being the right side here. Yeah, a lot of things
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: to consider here, but I would lean in the Knicks.
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: The money's not agreeing with me. The Knicks are fifteen
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: and a half here, fifteen and that point favorites, sixty
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety percent of the cash on the Pacers.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: Those are the money is indicating on the Pacers.
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: But I don't know. I see that game a.
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: Little bit differently, you know, like if you really did
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: into that box score of Indiana versus New York a
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: couple of days ago, Yeah, it looks like it should
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: be a revenge spot for Indiana, But I think it
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: might indicate that the Knicks will take the more seriously
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: because the game actually was kind of close. It looks
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: like Jalen Brunson is a game time decision, so he
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: is questionable. So that is something to watch for in
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: that game. The Knicks are gonna be a huge favorite
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: either way, though, so you know, I don't know how
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: much of an impact on the line that's gonna have.
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: The Knicks are very good at home as well, twenty
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: four and nine. Pacers are absolutely horrible on the road
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: five and twenty nine. So of course, I mean, you're
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: if you're playing the Pacers, you're not asking him to win, obviously,
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: You're only asking him to cover, And of course the
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: Knicks can win without covering pretty easily.
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: Here. It's a stay away. But I kind of lean
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: towards the Knicks there.
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: Cleveland at Milwaukee is the first game of the NBC
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: Peacock doubleheader. It's a bit of more of an interesting
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: game with the fact that Giannis is back at least
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: I think he's still playing.
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: He can get hurt at any time, though. Cleveland is
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: coming off.
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: A real ugly loss to Dallas though, which was a
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: return home spot, although from a quick roachrop, but it
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: was also a zigzag where Cleveland had demolished Dallas on
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: the road and then I think they just didn't take
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: them seriously in the next game and Dallas got them back. Now,
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: off of an embarrassing loss, I think Cleveland will show
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: up for Milwaukee. And by the way, the last time
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: they were here at Milwaukee they lost to them back
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: on January or excuse yeah, February twenty fifth, So maybe
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a quick adjustment spot revenge spot
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: for Cleveland here. Milwaukee is coming off beating Indiana. I mean,
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: not a big deal there. It ended a lost street
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: for them, so it's a good spot for Milwaukee too.
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: They shouldn't overlook Cleveland here, staying at home off an
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: easy win, not a bad spot for Milwaukee. Either the
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on Cleveland though, and I actually
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: do agree with it. I think if you're getting the
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: better team focused here, I agree with Cleveland throughout from
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: nine and a half to ten and a half. Here.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: It's one of those situations where I would, I think,
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: agree with laying the big favorite on the road fifty
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets sixty six percent of the cash on
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: the calves, but I do actually agree with it. Yannis
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: is a game time decision here, so he is questionable.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: So again that's somebody to keep in mind.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: He played in the last game, but didn't play like
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: his full compliment of minutes in that one. I don't
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: know if maybe the game was just in control and
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: then they took him out for that reason, or if
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: he actually got injured in the game. I don't know,
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: but that is definitely something to keep an eye on,
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: because if Giannis isn't playing, then you're probably gonna be
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: laying too many points with Cleveland and Milwaukee. You know,
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: first game without him might step up their game a bit.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: Phoenix at Minnesota. This is a very weird spot for Phoenix.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: They were in Boston last night and they had a
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: lead late in the game, they're winning by one with
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: like six minutes left in the game, and then the
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: Celtics turned it on and wound up winning the game
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: by eight. I think if you had Phoenix plus the
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: points in that game, you got really unlucky. I think
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: in that game, actually they were eight and a half.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: That looks like so they still covered. So never mind
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: because Phoenix, I thought it was like six and a half.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: That would have been a brutal beat if you had
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: Phoenix plus six and a half there Celtics won, thankfully,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: because it's my Boston Celtics, very very weird for Phoenix though,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: putting in a huge effort in that game, and now
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: no rest, they have to travel to Minnesota, and they
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: do have San Antonio on deck two. Now they shouldn't
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: overlook Minnesota because Minnesota is really good, but that is
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: just such a brutal scheduling spot.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: It's just bizarre.
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: They did have a couple of days off before the
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: Boston game, but it's still really weird. It's kind of
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: a lot of travel up to do with no time off.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is not in the greatest spot either though, because
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: they were turning over from a road trip, so maybe
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: the schedule makers kind of know that and like, hey,
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: let's just have both teams be in bad spots here.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: Minnesota went Minnesota, Minnesota went to the Pacific Coast, finished
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: with a game against Oklahoma City, where that game was
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: not really that close.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: They did lose by double digits.
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: It was a double digit game for the final like
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: several minutes of the game. Still, they went to the
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: Pacific Coast, had to go to Oklahoma City. They're returning
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: home from all that they've been away for a week.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: Could be a spot where, you know, maybe they're not
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: totally in a focused, you know mode here because you
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: got to get back to home life.
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: He got stuff to do. Not the greatest spot from
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: Minnesota here. Either.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: It's a difficult call. The money is coming in on
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: the Suns. Oh, here's the other problem. The Twleves drop
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: from May and have to four or so. You know
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: that means there's an injury. And I looked at it,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: and yes there is. Anthony Edwards is not playing for
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: the Twolves in this game, which is why they're down
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: to a four point favorite here. He played in their
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: last game, so it is an injured player theory spot
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: for the Twolves here.
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: Which again I think the line tends to overreact.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: When a star player like that is out, the team
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: will usually put in a big effort with him out,
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: So that might actually focus the Tea Wolves a little
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: bit more here and you get a little bit of
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: ligne value usually again because it overreacts a little bit,
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: plus that extra motivation, So that would actually put me
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: on the side of the Tea Wolves in this game.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards laying the points with the Tea
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: Wolves fifty five percent of tickets eighty two percent of
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Suns though, but I don't agree
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: with that, and sometimes those percentages are kind of misleading,
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: like when the line has dropped that much, Like a
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: lot of times, some of that money could have been
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: at the higher price, you know what I'm saying, Like
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: a lot of that money could have been at the
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: eight and a half. There's a huge difference between eight
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: and a half and four here, and with the injured
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: player spot.
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: Coming into effect, I would lean to the Ta Wolves there.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia at Denver is the second of the NBC Peacock doubleheader.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: Really great there because Philadelphia literally has nobody playing for them.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: They're still without George embiid Maxi Oobray. All those guys
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: are still out for Philadelphia, which of course does mean
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: Denver is gonna be a gigantic favorite here Philadelphia having
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: to travel into l for this, But they do have momentum.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: They did just beat Brooklyn and Portland, which is kind
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: of whatever.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: Now they're starting a road trip.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: They don't have a bigger game on deck, so I
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: think they will show up focus for this game.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: At the very least.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: Denver in a bit of a trickier spot because they
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: did just have to go to LA.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: They're coming off a series of big games, man.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: I mean they played Oklahoma City close on the road,
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: beat Houston in a blowout the next night, went to
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: San Antonio and somehow still beat them on a back
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: to back. Then they had to go to LA and
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: I told you that was a pretty ugly spot for
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: Denver there. I was correct about the Lakers getting the
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: win there. Kind of quick revenge for the Lakers too there,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: if you want to call it that. That game went
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: into overtime as well. Now Denver does have two days off.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: That game was Saturday, but they're returning home. I know
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: it was only a two day road trip. But still
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: they're coming off another big game against the Lakers. They're
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: having to cross well, they're having to travel one time
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: zone here, come back home into elevation, and again, believe
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: it or not, Denver hasn't been as good at home.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: Eighteen and thirteen at home is not that impressive.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia, believe it or not, is above five hundred on
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: the road, which is not that bad. Although of course
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: we're looking at a Philadelphia team that has nobody now.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: But if you like Philadelphia here, you don't need them
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: to win the game. You only need him to cover.
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: Denver does not have a bigger game on deck. They
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: play Memphis tomorrow. I wish they had a bigger game
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: on deck because then it might actually be a play
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: for me on Philadelphia here. But as it stands right now,
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: there's no way. Plus, it is a home game, you know,
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: on TV for Denver, so maybe look it.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: Up for it.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: But again, you could easily take Philadelphia for granted because
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: they have nobody playing for them right now. So I
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: would lean to Philadelphia in this one. The money is
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: strongly agreeing with.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: Me on that.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: When it looks like the Nuggets are fifteen and a
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: half point favorites, fifty eight percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of the cash on the Sixers. Though
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: I agree with that opinion. With that market read there,
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Philly if I was
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: gonna play that one, but that one doesn't make my
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: card either. In that really ugly game. To finish off
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: the NBA slate, San Antonio at Sacramento, San Antonio did
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: just get their well, not revenge really because they beat
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: the Clippers the first time too. They actually kind of
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: struggled with the Clippers again last night, so they're at
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: least they're on the Pacific time zone now or in
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: the Pacific time zone, so they're not changing time zones now.
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: But they had another pretty close call against the Clippers
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: last night. The Clippers, just like in the first game,
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: I think the Clippers are out to a big lead
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: or early in that game. They played pretty close I
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: think in San Antonio. Mom up getting out of there
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: with a win again against the Clippers and also didn't
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: cover this game though San Antonio actually had the game
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: in hand for quite a while there, like once they
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: took the game over in the second half, they were
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: up almost twenty points, but it did get really close
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: at the end. It was within four points in the
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: final like minute of the game. So San Antonio definitely
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: took their foot off the gas and that one. So
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: it wasn't the same as the first game where we
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: had a winner on the Clippers on March sixth there
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: in the San Antonio home game there Clippers had the
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: leave for almost that entire game that time.
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: That wasn't the case this time.
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: I think San Antonio just started to pack it in early.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: So even though we're on we have san Antonio on
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: a back to back here, I don't think it's as
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: big of a deal because that game was basically in
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: hand at the end of it. Wemby did still play
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: thirty four minutes in the game though Fox twenty nine,
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: Castle thirty six, you know, so some of their best
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: players did pretty much play the full amount of minutes
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: they would usually play. I mean, it is pretty easy
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: to overlook Sacramento as well, on a back to back,
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: third game in four days, all in different cities. They
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: got Phoenix on deck, who is a playoff team, so
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: they might look ahead to that a little bit. Sacramento
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: looks like they're still at least putting an effort here,
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: because they did just win again. They've won four of
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: their last five games, believe it or not. They just
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: beat Utah and they've had one day off and they're
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: staying at home. So I think the spot actually is
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: better for the Kings here. King look like they're a
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: public side though, which seems impossible to me. No public
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: better is gonna be on the Kings here. I don't
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: understand that sixty two percent of the tickets fifty five
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, So the market read
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: is saying to lay the points with the Spurs at
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: minus thirteen and a half.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: I don't really agree with that one.
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: I think I would lean to the Kings in that game,
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: but it's not like the worst spot for San Antonio really,
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: so that one is definitely a stay away and that
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: is gonna do it. That's the whole board today went
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: into probably too much detail on the NIT, but that's
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. The tournament officially kicks off tonight, will
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: sort of with the playing games, so once again, you know,
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: for the people that care about that, I do lean
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: towards Howard and Texas in those two games. In the
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: playing games we'll see what happens. I mean, it's not
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: part of filling out the bracket. Those games are not
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: on my card, so we can just relax and enjoy
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: the games. And the one play I have today is
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: South Alabama plus the points. We're going to the NIT.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: You know, I'm just going to my bread and butter
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: here man fading the most disappointed team going into the
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: n again.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: When you see one of those.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: Like true blue bloods, it's like always in the actual
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: tournament and like vying for a championship, and now they're
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: in the NIT.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: That's where you want to look.
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: And I think the situation sets up really nicely based
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: on what the teams did in the last games too
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: so and the little brother big brother situation. So we're
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: going with South Alabama plus the points for the only
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: play today. Ken Bom, by the way, has that number
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: at about eighteen, but his is all you know, analytics,
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: so he doesn't take into account the situation. So I
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: think I'm fine with anything in that seventeen and a
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: half range hopefully is good. Thank you, sir, Thanks for
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: hanging out. Everybody that's gonna do it, Learn it Tode
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: on Twitter. Learn it Tode on Instagram like subscribe.
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: You know, we got to boost this channel.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: I got to figure out how to make some changes
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: here to boost this thing up a little bit. I'm
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: trying to tag everything with March Madness so people can
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: you know, people can find it that way too. I'm
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: doing my bracket analysis still. I'll have my men's bracket show,
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: you know, like I'm probably gonna do it tomorrow, like
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: I said, and you know a lot of times, I
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: do like to have all the information that we can,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: so I might do it late, you know, tomorrow night.
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: Once we see who's gonna win that Miami Ohio game,
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: you know, we're gonna we're gonna fill out the bracket.
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: It's gonna be chocky though. I can tell you that we're.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: Gonna use game theory for it as well, though, just
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: like I did with the women's you know, so go
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: check out my women's.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: Bracket show if you missed that.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: I did it yesterday, not even caring who wins the
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: playing I think I am gonna I am gonna watch,
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: well I'm not gonna watch, but I'm gonna keep my
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: eye on who actually does win those playes and whatever.
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: So you know there is a chance that there are
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: like a few games on that bracket that I might
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: change in the first round, but I'm not. I don't
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: think I'm changing anything of note there in like the
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: you know, final rounds and whatever. So you know, I
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: could put my link to my bracket in the show
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: description if you want, although I think if I do
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: that it might docks me.
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: So whatever, But you.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: Guys can watch my show. You'll know which one, like
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: the games that I might switch at all. Or there
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: was one first round game I forget which one it
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: was that I mentioned during the show where I was
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: kind of like, yeah, I don't know which way I
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: want to go with this. And then the two games
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: that involve the play ins, you know, I might, you know,
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: I might decide to switch them, but I don't know
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: because I know I'm taking the play in against Baylor
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: in the women's racket, and then the other one I
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: didn't take the play in, but I want to see,
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: like what the line actually winds up being on those
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: games to really figure it out.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: Sidney Sweeney is the thumbnail. Maybe I don't know. I
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: can't get banned.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: Here from YouTube, though, though I guess if she's clothed
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: I guess, I guess you could. You can still have cleavage,
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: I guess here on YouTube, I don't know, I have
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: no idea, but anyway, Yeah, go check all that stuff out.
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: We're on audio here as well, Apple, Spotify. Go listen
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: over there. You know, give me good reviews there covered
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 2: in you because my yuke channel on YouTube.
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: You can check that out Patreon dot com, slash and
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: learn to toad for some bonus stuff there that I
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: never pay attention to.
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: Loser casts will be back tonight at ten pm Eastern.
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: I will, I believe I'm gonna be making an appearance
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: maybe on Neflin Death Squad. They're gonna be live tonight
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: and I think around nine, and I believe they will
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: have a special guest in person in studio with them,
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: which is not gonna be me, but it's somebody that
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: if you watch Tower and you know you could probably
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: guess who it's gonna be, Well maybe you can't, I
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: don't know. So they will have an in studio guest there,
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: and I think myself and Tyler might both potentially make
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: an appearance remotely on that show. I think Tyler is
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: actually probably just not even gonna do a Loser Cast because.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: He's a loser and he just doesn't show up for it.
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: But I will.
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: I believe I will be on Loser casts. I've only
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: missed one episode and it wasn't a Tuesday one. So
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna do NDS for about an hour
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: and then switch over to Loser Cast.
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna try to do both. That's gonna do it.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: You know, subscribe to the channel here and you'll get
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: notified whenever I go live with all this stuff. That's
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: gonna do it, well, not really. I mean, Tower Gang
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: is never getting back together, even though we should because
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: I think we really had something that could actually take off.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: But that's gonna do it. Peace for now, guys,