Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Intel to Sell $15 Billion in Stock After AI Boosts Demand
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the
- 0:10Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am
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- 0:18Speaker 1: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch
- 0:21Speaker 1: us live on YouTube.
- 0:24Speaker 2: Let's get a little techie before you. The nasdas up
- 0:27Speaker 2: fourteen points today. Not much going on out there, but
- 0:29Speaker 2: there's a lot of news flow out there in the
- 0:31Speaker 2: tech spaces, or typically is. And for that we like
- 0:33Speaker 2: to check in with our buddy, Matthew Bloxam, Bloomberg Intelligence
- 0:36Speaker 2: Senior technology Analysty covers a bunch of stuff and he
- 0:38Speaker 2: does it from London.
- 0:40Speaker 3: Hey Matt, thanks for joining us here. I mean Intel
- 0:43Speaker 3: coming to the market.
- 0:44Speaker 2: Here's another big tech company coming with a big equity raise.
- 0:48Speaker 2: It seems like these guys have an a safeable need
- 0:50Speaker 2: for capital.
- 0:52Speaker 4: Yeah, I do, that's right. So what's fifteen billion dollars?
- 0:55Speaker 4: Roughly three percent of the market cap, So it's not
- 0:58Speaker 4: that big, but you know, I think still always a
- 1:01Speaker 4: little bit surprising when these companies come to market for equity.
- 1:05Speaker 4: You know, they raised I think six and a half
- 1:06Speaker 4: billion dollars in debt earlier this year, fairly expensive coup
- 1:11Speaker 4: points kind of four point sixty five percent through just
- 1:14Speaker 4: six point two percent. So I guess you know they're
- 1:15Speaker 4: looking to balance their capital needs across different parts of
- 1:20Speaker 4: the balance sheet structure. Yeah, the valuation is pretty full
- 1:26Speaker 4: right now, and if you look forward a couple of years,
- 1:28Speaker 4: it's on fifty times earning. So I guess you're the
- 1:31Speaker 4: management team take in the view that if there was
- 1:33Speaker 4: ever a time to raise some equity, this is a
- 1:36Speaker 4: relatively quote unquote cheap, cheap time.
- 1:39Speaker 5: To do it.
- 1:39Speaker 4: You know that they, along with everybody else, have quite
- 1:42Speaker 4: substantial investment needs compared to some other big tech names.
- 1:45Speaker 4: Their capex is pretty low, you know, probably about twenty
- 1:48Speaker 4: billion dollars this year, maybe rising to twenty six billion
- 1:51Speaker 4: dollars next year. But this gives them a good cash
- 1:55Speaker 4: cushion to pursue the current projects, and who knows, perhaps
- 1:58Speaker 4: even consider some acceleration of what they're doing.
- 2:03Speaker 6: What about Meta This morning, they've just introduced a new
- 2:06Speaker 6: AI model called news Glimmer. I guess it's an open
- 2:09Speaker 6: source AI model meant to compete with the Chinese model
- 2:12Speaker 6: deep Seek. It's up this morning. How do you feel
- 2:15Speaker 6: about it?
- 2:17Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I think we're at a fairly early
- 2:20Speaker 4: stage of how the whole AI foundational model play is
- 2:25Speaker 4: going to evolve. Yeah, this is quite a different position
- 2:29Speaker 4: to the likes of open AI and anthropic who work
- 2:34Speaker 4: with closed models. Gemini at Google with geminis a little
- 2:37Speaker 4: bit kind of mixed. Some open source models and some
- 2:41Speaker 4: closed models have met a very much kind of penance
- 2:45Speaker 4: fortunes to the flag of the open model, and you know,
- 2:48Speaker 4: really trying to kind of make a big difference in
- 2:51Speaker 4: markverg today in an essay being somewhat critical of some
- 2:55Speaker 4: of its competitors, you're saying that really we should be
- 2:59Speaker 4: democratizing AI and putting it in the hands.
- 3:02Speaker 3: Of the user.
- 3:02Speaker 4: So I think you're open to see how why you
- 3:06Speaker 4: adopted this will be what it means for the kind
- 3:09Speaker 4: of longer term economics. Both matter in the industry, but
- 3:12Speaker 4: it's certainly an interesting move, and I think as much
- 3:15Speaker 4: as anything, the language and the rhetoric that Zuckerberg is
- 3:19Speaker 4: using around this push Matt.
- 3:22Speaker 2: You know, it's as being in these markets for forty years,
- 3:26Speaker 2: it's always surprised me in a negative sense. How Europe
- 3:30Speaker 2: written large basically missed the whole technology revolution. All the
- 3:35Speaker 2: tech is in the US and Asia and things like that.
- 3:38Speaker 2: Is the same thing happening with AI. Well, Europe just
- 3:43Speaker 2: kind of outsource it to other people and not participate.
- 3:47Speaker 4: It does, unfortunately seem that way. You know, we have
- 3:51Speaker 4: mistrale As I guess the most well known European AI model,
- 3:59Speaker 4: but it sits in the shadows of the US and
- 4:03Speaker 4: the Chinese alternatives. So yeah, you know, it's a perennial
- 4:08Speaker 4: problem for the regional So there's a kind of big,
- 4:10Speaker 4: really big introspective process going on right now about Europe
- 4:14Speaker 4: twenty thirty five and what funding is needed to kind
- 4:17Speaker 4: of really close the gap and genuinely make Europe competitive enough.
- 4:21Speaker 4: The numbers are eyewatering, and even if the money was there,
- 4:25Speaker 4: I think there's so many kind of structural and cultural
- 4:28Speaker 4: issues about the way Europe works that are very serious
- 4:32Speaker 4: obstacles have to get around, and all the time they're
- 4:35Speaker 4: trying to figure those issues out, the US and China
- 4:38Speaker 4: are running full steam ahead. So it does. I would
- 4:41Speaker 4: think the base case scenario would be that Europe continues
- 4:45Speaker 4: to be a taker of technology from other parts of
- 4:49Speaker 4: the world.
- 4:50Speaker 3: Stay with us.
- 4:51Speaker 2: More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 4:57Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live
- 5:01Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple Coarcklay and Android
- 5:04Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
- 5:07Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 5:11Speaker 3: I'm looking at Microsoft.
- 5:13Speaker 2: This is a name Stacy, Tom and I, Tom Keen
- 5:15Speaker 2: and I.
- 5:16Speaker 3: For the longest time, we're saying just.
- 5:17Speaker 2: You know, as of a week or two ago, why
- 5:19Speaker 2: is this stock down twenty five percent year to date?
- 5:22Speaker 3: This is Microsoft.
- 5:23Speaker 2: I guess you was thrown out with a lot of
- 5:24Speaker 2: those software stocks. I thought AI was going to put
- 5:26Speaker 2: them out of business.
- 5:27Speaker 3: But this is.
- 5:28Speaker 6: Microsoft and Microsoft and it's one of the Magnificent seven.
- 5:32Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you know, so sure enough, they put
- 5:35Speaker 2: up a good print last week, good earnings, stocks erased,
- 5:39Speaker 2: all those losses now up three or four percent on
- 5:41Speaker 2: the year, five percent for the year.
- 5:43Speaker 3: So how about that.
- 5:45Speaker 2: More news out on Microsoft today. They're going to raise
- 5:49Speaker 2: next gen AI chip production next year.
- 5:51Speaker 3: It's pretty interesting. Let's according to the information.
- 5:53Speaker 2: Anurag Rana joins this senior technost for Bloomberg Intelligence on Ron.
- 5:57Speaker 2: It's really amazing how the market has kind of got
- 6:01Speaker 2: a new appreciation I view for the Microsoft story that
- 6:04Speaker 2: I think was really people were questioning and is Microsoft
- 6:08Speaker 2: at risk from AI? How do you think about it?
- 6:11Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean you're absolutely right. There was that risk
- 6:14Speaker 7: of disruption from some of its product from AI. But
- 6:16Speaker 7: there was another risk. There was another narrative that when
- 6:19Speaker 7: you look at the three hyper scale clout providers, Google,
- 6:23Speaker 7: Amazon and Microsoft, Google's chip has just taken off. I
- 6:27Speaker 7: mean their TPUs are all the rage in the market,
- 6:30Speaker 7: and Amazon's actually come out with their own print that
- 6:34Speaker 7: you know, they're making tens of billions of dollars with
- 6:37Speaker 7: their own chip as well. So what happens is when
- 6:41Speaker 7: you are looking at this fight of everybody expanding into
- 6:44Speaker 7: AI data centers, they do need chips. They're all running
- 6:48Speaker 7: to Nvidia, but two of the three providers talked about
- 6:51Speaker 7: having their own chips. Now Microsoft was not in that
- 6:54Speaker 7: game at that point. They have their own chip, but
- 6:56Speaker 7: it's not widely embraced. But today's report when it talks
- 6:59Speaker 7: about that they're going to go out and increase the
- 7:02Speaker 7: production of their own chips, which means customers may be
- 7:04Speaker 7: ready to use those and if that's the case, their
- 7:08Speaker 7: cost of spending into that capital expenditure, you know, boom
- 7:12Speaker 7: will start to go down in a sense, down on
- 7:14Speaker 7: a relative basis or per token basis. So it's a
- 7:17Speaker 7: very good news for them in the long run.
- 7:19Speaker 6: Well Microsoft might be having a very good day, but
- 7:21Speaker 6: Apple is having a pretty rotten day. What's going on
- 7:25Speaker 6: with them? Apparently it has something to do with hardware
- 7:28Speaker 6: not coming out the way that they're hoping.
- 7:31Speaker 7: Uh no, I don't. I mean, I think that's a
- 7:33Speaker 7: different somebody's downgrade. That's a different story. But when you
- 7:35Speaker 7: look at Apple, and let's go back to that time
- 7:38Speaker 7: period when when Paul talked about when Microsoft was down
- 7:41Speaker 7: you know, twenty five percent or so over the year
- 7:43Speaker 7: or you know, at that time, what was happening was
- 7:46Speaker 7: everybody was worried about ROI on AI trade. This is
- 7:49Speaker 7: before earning season. You know, you saw Google you So
- 7:52Speaker 7: everybody was worried about them. But at the same time,
- 7:55Speaker 7: everybody loved Apple because they were not spending that much money.
- 7:58Speaker 7: But after the result, what has happened is people are
- 8:01Speaker 7: relatively more comfortable going back to the AI trade or
- 8:05Speaker 7: going after the risky assets. And given Apple's valuation where
- 8:08Speaker 7: it was at that point, it was well in the thirties.
- 8:11Speaker 7: We are seeing sums sell off on that and people
- 8:14Speaker 7: buying more of you know, the AI trade. So I
- 8:16Speaker 7: think there's a little bit of factor shifting there, not
- 8:19Speaker 7: so much about one product or the other.
- 8:22Speaker 2: To your clients, your investors in big tech companies do
- 8:25Speaker 2: they like free cash flow and they upset if they
- 8:27Speaker 2: don't get free cash flow.
- 8:29Speaker 7: So two different things once that are looking at this
- 8:32Speaker 7: massive capex going in, they're seeing what is the benefit
- 8:36Speaker 7: of that for these companies. So if Microsoft was able
- 8:39Speaker 7: to show you know, sequel chain improvement in as your
- 8:42Speaker 7: sales growth, Amazon was able to show that. Google was
- 8:45Speaker 7: able to show that, So I think they're getting a
- 8:47Speaker 7: little more comfortable that these companies know what they're doing
- 8:50Speaker 7: when they're spending you know, hundreds of billions of dollars
- 8:53Speaker 7: at that time. The second group is somebody who doesn't
- 8:56Speaker 7: want to be at part of this trade and say,
- 8:57Speaker 7: you know what, I like Apple, I have plus billion
- 9:00Speaker 7: dollars in free cash flow. Over there, they're buying back
- 9:03Speaker 7: that stock. iPhone's doing well, it's gaining share in China.
- 9:06Speaker 7: So there are I mean, you could say there are
- 9:08Speaker 7: a couple of buckets of people who are looking at
- 9:10Speaker 7: this trade from different lenses.
- 9:13Speaker 6: What about in the hardware sector. Apparently there's a big
- 9:16Speaker 6: smart watch lineup that's that's getting ready to be released.
- 9:19Speaker 6: Obviously there's the folding phone everyone has been waiting for.
- 9:22Speaker 6: How is that Apple looking in the in the hardware sector.
- 9:25Speaker 7: So when you look at the watch itself, it doesn't
- 9:27Speaker 7: move the needle for Apple. It's an accessity that goes
- 9:30Speaker 7: with the phone along with it. I mean, you're not
- 9:32Speaker 7: going to just buy a small a watch without being
- 9:36Speaker 7: in the Apple ecosystem. That's a very unlikely thing. But
- 9:39Speaker 7: one of the things Mark Erman's talked about it when
- 9:41Speaker 7: you look at some of the other variables you look
- 9:43Speaker 7: at you know, the Aura ring, which is just a
- 9:47Speaker 7: phenomenal product right now for a lot of people to
- 9:49Speaker 7: track their sleep. You're looking at products that are coming
- 9:52Speaker 7: out in the market without a screen. Garment just launched one.
- 9:56Speaker 7: I mean I've ordered it, but it's on backlock for me.
- 9:59Speaker 7: When you you look at a woop, these are all
- 10:01Speaker 7: bands that you could use to track a lot of
- 10:04Speaker 7: these you know, sleeping and you know, just your normal
- 10:07Speaker 7: vitals without the need of a screen oriented product, and
- 10:12Speaker 7: that's what I think you're going to see down the road.
- 10:14Speaker 7: But that, to be honest with you, does not move
- 10:16Speaker 7: the needle. The foldable does. Because Apple's been behind. They
- 10:19Speaker 7: don't have a foldable phone right now, and iPhone accounts
- 10:22Speaker 7: for over fifty percent of Apple sales. So if they
- 10:25Speaker 7: are able to come out with a foldable device, I
- 10:27Speaker 7: think it's going to create a lot of buzz next year,
- 10:30Speaker 7: especially in emerging markets where if people are not worried
- 10:33Speaker 7: about the price of it, which Margoman thinks is going
- 10:35Speaker 7: to be around twenty five hundred dollars. I think that's
- 10:38Speaker 7: going to be a very very cool factor that we'll
- 10:41Speaker 7: see within the next one month.
- 10:43Speaker 2: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 10:50Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 10:54Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 10:57Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app, and on demand wherever
- 11:01Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 11:05Speaker 2: It seems like that's a quiet day, but there's a
- 11:07Speaker 2: lot going on out there in the equity capital markets.
- 11:10Speaker 3: Intel we started this morning. They're going to do sell
- 11:12Speaker 3: fifteen billion dollars in common.
- 11:14Speaker 2: Stock to fuel some of their AI demand. Boom got
- 11:17Speaker 2: some IPO filings, We got some stocks I thought were
- 11:20Speaker 2: meme stocks. I'm not sure if they still are, but
- 11:22Speaker 2: we had Billy Lipschultz and to kind of explain it
- 11:24Speaker 2: all to us, Billy Lipschutz, Bloomberg.
- 11:25Speaker 3: News senior equities reporter.
- 11:27Speaker 2: First was game Stop's potential bid was fifty six billion
- 11:32Speaker 2: dollars for eBay?
- 11:32Speaker 3: Was that ever considered real legit?
- 11:35Speaker 5: It was always kind of laughed at, really speaking what
- 11:37Speaker 5: I was doing. It was. It was It was a
- 11:39Speaker 5: market I don't want to matter too much, but it
- 11:42Speaker 5: was basically seen by most on Wall Street is kind
- 11:43Speaker 5: of a marketing campaign from Ryan Cohen, who is the
- 11:46Speaker 5: now head of game Stop. He was a big driver
- 11:48Speaker 5: between behind that twenty twenty one memestock Mania round game Stop,
- 11:53Speaker 5: becoming the largest shareholder, one of the larger shareholders leading
- 11:56Speaker 5: the company. He was a co founder of Chewy, made
- 11:58Speaker 5: his name through that. So I was broadly seen as
- 12:02Speaker 5: kind of a interesting thought, but resoundingly rejected by eBay
- 12:08Speaker 5: back in May. He said he was going to come
- 12:10Speaker 5: for him one way or another, and ultimately, according to
- 12:13Speaker 5: our reporting, now considering pulling that bid.
- 12:16Speaker 6: Why does game stop want eBay? I mean, the market
- 12:18Speaker 6: seem quite disappointed this didn't happen or isn't going to
- 12:21Speaker 6: happen potentially.
- 12:22Speaker 5: Well, the big debate always was, you want to make
- 12:25Speaker 5: a fifty six billion dollar takeover when you have a
- 12:27Speaker 5: market value of eight billion dollars and you have cash
- 12:30Speaker 5: and equivalents of eight billion dollars. So there's a huge
- 12:32Speaker 5: gap you have to bridge at some point. Yeah, yeah,
- 12:35Speaker 5: you know, if you work on Wall Street, there there
- 12:37Speaker 5: are levers you can pull. But the reason I think
- 12:40Speaker 5: we're seeing eBay shares down a little bit again is
- 12:44Speaker 5: just given kind of that option, the call option potential
- 12:47Speaker 5: of this being something that could work out. Cohen basically
- 12:51Speaker 5: has really been vocal and bashing eBay management, talking up
- 12:55Speaker 5: the potential synergies that they could see. Again eBay downplayed
- 12:58Speaker 5: those banker or analysts were really like two billion dollars
- 13:01Speaker 5: in propose, Energy still feels like a bridge too far
- 13:04Speaker 5: on the potential merger. This is a company that Cohen
- 13:07Speaker 5: has been either publicly leading or behind the scenes leading
- 13:10Speaker 5: for quite some time, and the big question has been
- 13:13Speaker 5: what does it actually look like? What do you look
- 13:15Speaker 5: like if you're a game retailer in an era where
- 13:17Speaker 5: people download games.
- 13:19Speaker 3: All right?
- 13:19Speaker 2: Data center company Switch good name filed confidentially for a USIPO.
- 13:25Speaker 3: What do we know about Switch?
- 13:27Speaker 5: Data center rates are hot? Anything around data center's hot.
- 13:31Speaker 5: We had reported back in July early July the company
- 13:35Speaker 5: was kicking off a private funding round led by Anderson
- 13:39Speaker 5: Horowitz that would raise two billion dollars equity value or
- 13:42Speaker 5: enterprise value excuse me, approaching fifty billion dollars. So our
- 13:46Speaker 5: reporting that they filed confidentially on Friday working with BAA City,
- 13:50Speaker 5: Goldman JP, and Morgan Stanley the who's who, and that
- 13:53Speaker 5: that funding round was either complete or near complete, and
- 13:56Speaker 5: that Ben Horowitz, co founder of Anderson Horowitz, would be
- 13:59Speaker 5: joining the board. So now the big question is, as
- 14:01Speaker 5: we reported targeting in November IPO, how quickly does that
- 14:05Speaker 5: come together? Will the market's still be there? And if
- 14:07Speaker 5: you're doing a two billion dollar private raise, IPO is
- 14:10Speaker 5: probably going to be much larger, all right?
- 14:12Speaker 6: Well, apparently a Form Labs, which makes three D printers,
- 14:15Speaker 6: is also in early talks with potential advisors for an IPO.
- 14:19Speaker 6: Talk about that business. The three D printer business is
- 14:22Speaker 6: that A is that like a big is that the
- 14:25Speaker 6: next big thing?
- 14:26Speaker 5: Three D printing was all the rage, and I want
- 14:28Speaker 5: to say in twenty and twenty one, everyone.
- 14:30Speaker 3: My public old son was doing probably still is doing,
- 14:34Speaker 3: and that was.
- 14:34Speaker 5: That was the big push. You just look at three
- 14:36Speaker 5: D Systems trades under the ticker GDD. It hit its
- 14:40Speaker 5: peak at fifty five bucks if you have trades for
- 14:42Speaker 5: less than four right now. So the time had been
- 14:45Speaker 5: much hotter in twenty and twenty one. But form Labs
- 14:47Speaker 5: backed by soft Bank did have bankers come in for
- 14:50Speaker 5: a bake off. We have at least one person saying
- 14:53Speaker 5: they should target a raise of about five hundred million dollars.
- 14:56Speaker 5: The big question comes back to they are profitable and
- 14:59Speaker 5: they are soft bank company, is so what problems are
- 15:01Speaker 5: you solving for?
- 15:02Speaker 3: Why are you going public?
- 15:03Speaker 5: SoftBank has a number of needs and if you're a
- 15:06Speaker 5: three D printer company, could be interesting to just see
- 15:09Speaker 5: if you want to scale. They did announce that they
- 15:10Speaker 5: had annual revenue north of two hundred and fifty million dollars.
- 15:14Speaker 2: Tom from the Upper East Side writes in and asks
- 15:16Speaker 2: for a space X quote, one hundred and thirty three
- 15:20Speaker 2: bucks are getting close back to that IPO price a
- 15:22Speaker 2: one thirty five. What does that mean for kind of
- 15:25Speaker 2: the IPO market in general?
- 15:27Speaker 5: The broader sentiment has become mixed, partly because SpaceX traded blow,
- 15:33Speaker 5: partly because ske Highnix, the largest non US company listing
- 15:36Speaker 5: here with their record fundraising, trays a lot like an EKG.
- 15:41Speaker 5: The big question now is we are expecting Anthropic to
- 15:43Speaker 5: go public September October timeframe. How can the market digest
- 15:47Speaker 5: and write down another you know, large ipo open AI
- 15:51Speaker 5: kind of waiting in the wings potentially early next year.
- 15:53Speaker 5: We're an IPO market that still is hot but very
- 15:57Speaker 5: much can be touch and go, and SpaceX kind of
- 15:59Speaker 5: is emblematic of that. Again one point thirty three now
- 16:01Speaker 5: just south of one thirty five, but popped up like
- 16:04Speaker 5: fifty percent.
- 16:05Speaker 3: Do we have any sense of that?
- 16:06Speaker 2: Insider shares that were eligible to be sold last week?
- 16:10Speaker 2: Do we know what happened with those? Did anybody actually
- 16:13Speaker 2: sell their shares?
- 16:14Speaker 3: Or do we know?
- 16:15Speaker 5: Well, we won't know because normally you would know if
- 16:18Speaker 5: a if an investor owns more than five percent, they
- 16:20Speaker 5: have to file elon Musk is the main one, and
- 16:23Speaker 5: then valor who's taken on their own Share Sale Project
- 16:27Speaker 5: and then Google are the only three according to our
- 16:29Speaker 5: data who would have to file for that. So a
- 16:31Speaker 5: lot of this could be happening behind the scenes. But
- 16:33Speaker 5: when you see a stock rally like it has after
- 16:36Speaker 5: the lock up expired, it's broadly seen as either a
- 16:39Speaker 5: short covering investors were hoping for more of a kind
- 16:42Speaker 5: of dash to the exits, or be just simply insiders
- 16:45Speaker 5: not rushing to sell.
- 16:47Speaker 2: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 16:54Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live
- 16:58Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern Apple Coarclay and Android Auto
- 17:01Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever you
- 17:04Speaker 1: get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 17:09Speaker 3: Or Sure Hathaway.
- 17:09Speaker 2: They had their investor kind of meeting. Yes story, they
- 17:13Speaker 2: reported some earnings over the weekend. They tend to do
- 17:16Speaker 2: for some reason. Matthew Palasoll it's his job to figure
- 17:18Speaker 2: all this stuff out for Sea's Insurance, sent once for
- 17:20Speaker 2: Bloomberg Intelligence. So the headline Matt I'm seeing on the
- 17:24Speaker 2: Bloomberg terminal is new CEO Greg Abel, You're spending some
- 17:28Speaker 2: money here. So what he's doing and how that may
- 17:32Speaker 2: be a little bit different from mister Buffett.
- 17:34Speaker 8: So yeah, he's opening up the checkbook a little bit.
- 17:37Speaker 8: Berkshire still has incredible amounts of cash that is still undeployed,
- 17:41Speaker 8: but we expected them to buy back some shares in
- 17:45Speaker 8: the quarter. There was some disclosures made by Buffett around
- 17:48Speaker 8: his ownership that gave us a clue. We thought it
- 17:52Speaker 8: would be more, but essentially what happened is some of
- 17:55Speaker 8: that was pushed through to the third quarter, so it
- 17:58Speaker 8: was about four and a half billion of buybacks. We
- 18:00Speaker 8: thought it was a wide range, but we thought it
- 18:02Speaker 8: could be anywhere from five to twelve or thinking maybe
- 18:04Speaker 8: it was like eight. Turns out, they did four and
- 18:07Speaker 8: a half in the quarter and then at least another
- 18:09Speaker 8: three in July, so kind of close to what we thought,
- 18:12Speaker 8: but it's just more spread out through the quarters. Couple
- 18:15Speaker 8: with that, Bertie was a net buyer of stocks for
- 18:18Speaker 8: the first time in several years. They might have been
- 18:22Speaker 8: a net buyer of stocks in the first quarter as well,
- 18:24Speaker 8: but what they had done was they unwound a bunch
- 18:27Speaker 8: of positions by one of the former managers investment managers
- 18:30Speaker 8: who had left, so they sold a lot of his
- 18:32Speaker 8: positions and they bought some, but it ended that they
- 18:35Speaker 8: sold more than they bought. But in the second quarter
- 18:38Speaker 8: they bought more than they sold. And there's about twelve
- 18:41Speaker 8: billion dollars worth of stock or stocks that they bought
- 18:45Speaker 8: that we don't know what it is yet. They'll be
- 18:47Speaker 8: a thirteen f next week that will perhaps see Sometimes
- 18:50Speaker 8: they hold things confidential, but if not, we'll get some
- 18:55Speaker 8: more color on what if it was new positions or
- 18:58Speaker 8: added to existing ones.
- 19:00Speaker 6: I mean, they have such a legendary reputation for knowing
- 19:03Speaker 6: where things are headed, especially knowing positions that other people
- 19:07Speaker 6: don't necessarily take. Do we have any idea of what
- 19:10Speaker 6: they're buying or what they're bullish on?
- 19:12Speaker 8: So I could say this. In the first quarter they
- 19:14Speaker 8: started a new position in Delta. Really so yes, and
- 19:18Speaker 8: Buffett has had a history with the airlines, and the
- 19:20Speaker 8: first quarter they did Delta. Their airline related businesses that
- 19:24Speaker 8: they own have been showing some acceleration.
- 19:28Speaker 3: So I don't know.
- 19:29Speaker 8: I can't say if I agree or disagree with them
- 19:31Speaker 8: doing that, but you know, perhaps that's something to think about.
- 19:35Speaker 8: They also made an acquisition. We didn't talk about an
- 19:37Speaker 8: acquisition in the first quarter that will pay in the
- 19:40Speaker 8: third for Tyler home business that is a compliment to
- 19:47Speaker 8: their existing business. So they own a business that builds
- 19:50Speaker 8: manufactured homes. So they build a home and then they
- 19:53Speaker 8: bring it to you. This company they bought six point
- 19:56Speaker 8: eight billion I believe was the number. They build homes
- 19:59Speaker 8: on site, and it's more higher end than the business
- 20:02Speaker 8: they own. So they like to be in these essential businesses.
- 20:07Speaker 8: So home building homes, you know, we're going to need homes,
- 20:09Speaker 8: is home demand. Airlines going to need airline demand. Energy
- 20:14Speaker 8: always energy demand. So those would be maybe three places
- 20:17Speaker 8: that I would say would be potential clues.
- 20:19Speaker 2: And speaking of Delta, I'm just looking at the holder's
- 20:21Speaker 2: page for Delta. They bought a forty million share block.
- 20:26Speaker 2: They're now the number three shareholder in the company, six
- 20:28Speaker 2: percent position, So they got in there in a big way.
- 20:31Speaker 2: I say, if they want to deploy capital, just invest
- 20:34Speaker 2: in AI data centers and stuff. Well, the people spending
- 20:37Speaker 2: tens of billions you know at a clip here.
- 20:40Speaker 8: They also made this year two investments in Google so
- 20:44Speaker 8: or Alphabet that was initiated by Buffett apparently, so he's
- 20:51Speaker 8: still working. He's still the chairman, he's still working with
- 20:53Speaker 8: greg Abel. That position was initiated by Buffett. They bought
- 20:57Speaker 8: Open Market, and then they did as part of Google's
- 21:00Speaker 8: equity raise, they did ten billion dollars in that as well.
- 21:04Speaker 8: So that's a place in the quarter.
- 21:05Speaker 2: Is there any reason to believe greg Abel's going to
- 21:07Speaker 2: purely change the cash return policies? Let's just say the
- 21:11Speaker 2: day after Warren passes, should we expect to see a
- 21:15Speaker 2: policy shift.
- 21:16Speaker 3: Maybe so.
- 21:18Speaker 8: I think Abel is much more Buffett was older, getting old,
- 21:26Speaker 8: stepping away. I don't think he was up for any
- 21:29Speaker 8: material changes. He was never a fan of dividends. Greg
- 21:33Speaker 8: is very much cognizant of keeping the the ethos of
- 21:39Speaker 8: Berkshire alive. So I don't think he wants to do
- 21:41Speaker 8: anything that directly contradicts Buffett immediately. I do think over time, though,
- 21:46Speaker 8: with so much extra capital, maybe a special dividend every
- 21:49Speaker 8: once in a while or something like that. I think
- 21:50Speaker 8: it's possible.
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