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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Tuesday 1/13/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached into pink. Actually,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna burn my broins hat Man, I don't know
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: what is going on with the Bruins arch hape? Is
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: that what it is? I don't even know it's It's
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. But I don't even know
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: what data is anymore. Man, back with you after the
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: worst day that I could possibly have, Back with you
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: as I always am until I die at least oh
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. To the slump, the
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. Alright, look a
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: good looking, very fresh, don't you now? What's up everybody?
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Mike muted again? What's up? Everybody? It's towed back with you?
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: Better off dead? Here? We got my I've got my
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: Utah Jazz, Ace Bailey Jersey. Let's go one on one
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: on the show yesterday. Though so very unfortunate actually, as
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: the New York Rangers had a two to nothing lead
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: immediately in the game. Then they decided to never score
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: again and lose the game four to two. There was
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: an empty net goal in there as well. Rangers, maybe
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: you should just never bet on them at home, man,
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: I thought it was a great spot. Didn't happen. The
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Utah Jazz won outright. Is a massive underdog, of course,
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: so we did get that. But the money line sprinkle
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: on it wasn't enough to overcome the loss on the
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: because it was a loss on a decent sized favorite.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: So I'm kind of pissed about it, and we're gonna
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: have another decent sized favorite today in the NHL. It
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: is what it is, man, it's zero to one. That
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: NFL game last night was just I don't know what
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: to even say about that. The narrative is now Houston
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: killed the Steelers, h even though yeah, they outgained the
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: Steelers by a lot. But the final score was thirty
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: to six. But it was a seven to six game
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: with like ten minutes left in the game. Dude, the
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: game just completely unraveled. He still got a field goal,
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: and then Aaron Rodgers got sack fumble six, and then
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: he threw a pick six like pretty shortly after that too,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: So that final score was not really the tail of
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: what really happened in that game. I'm not happy about it.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: Ohn six. Trying to predict the wildcard games, what the fuck? Dude, Like,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: the the more sharp side got every single one of
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: the games wrong. And of course the professionals joined me
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: on the Green Bay game, and that was obviously the
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: most frustrating one. But we'll move on to today. Well,
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: I didn't have anything in the NFL game. I last
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: like the under still hit even though it looked like
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: it was just completely a dead under in that game.
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: Dead nuts to the under in that one, and then
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: it almost went over, so you had to sweat that
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: for no real reason. But yeah, the under was correct
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: at least today. I'm gonna give you two college basketball
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: players in one NHL play and that's it. I'm being
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: super selective with us, and hopefully it's gonna work. Tyson,
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out. All right, let's
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: get to college basketball. There's a decent college basketball board today.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: I gotta figure out what I want to do with
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: tomorrow's college basketball though, because Wednesday is usually a big slate,
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: so we'll see what I want to do with that.
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports one has a big East game right out
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: of the gate, Villanova at Providence at six point thirty
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern. Villanova is definitely the better of these two teams,
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: enough so that they're a road favorite here, not surprising.
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: Villanova is playing a second straight road game, though, and
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: having to come back East from playing in Milwaukee, and
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: they beat Marquette barely on the road. And Marquette, I mean,
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: they're probably not as bad as what they look right
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: now is the bottom team in the Big East record wise,
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: although they're certainly not good, Villanova got out of there
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: with a win. The question is are they gonna see
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: that as an a or is the schedule gonna be
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: kind of rough on them? Three road games in four
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: days and they might have a look ahead to Saint
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: John's up next, which is maybe a bigger game than this.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: So got to try to figure out which way it's
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: gonna go for Villanova. I think Providence is definitely gonna
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: show up. Though Providence, we faded them on Saturday and
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: they lost to Xavier. We were correct on that one
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: on the show. Providence had upset Saint John's, a huge underdog,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: then played Yukon. Isn't even bigger underdog. Probably I don't know,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: because they were at home, maybe they were less of
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: an underdog. Took Yukon into overtime, almost won that game,
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: and then I just think they had nothing left going
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: out to Cincinnati. Didn't have their effort against Xavier. Part
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: of that handicap was that they would show up for
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: the next game against Villanova, they'd at least be looking
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: ahead to it. So I have a slight lean towards Providence.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: Plus the points in this game I don't want anything
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: to do with it. Though, Villanova's two and a half
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: point favor fifty eight percent of the ticket, seventy percent
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Villanova, so the money looks like
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: it is actually on Villanova for now. The total at
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: one eight and a half seems to kind of be
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: indicating a little bit in the Providence direction though, because
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: Providence likes to play fast, Villanova wants to go slow.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: So if this game is a little bit higher scoring,
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: I think that actually helps Providence even though they're getting
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: points here. And usually that's usually the underdogs not correlated
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: to the over but in this case, where it's almost
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: like a pick the winner, I think it might be.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: So those are my feelings on that case. So what's up, man?
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Is it I hope not. It says
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: I'm streaming to it. It doesn't stream yards not telling
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: me that there's any issue with it. I don't know.
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: Let me say I could check on the extreme real quick. Here.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Let's take a look. Should be on my on my
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: page here on my homepage. Oh, it looks like it's
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: working to me. I don't know. I see it working,
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. Maybe some weird technical issues going
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: on there all right, Next game up, we have another
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: big East game, Marquette at Saint john six thirty pm, Peacock.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: It's at Madison Square Garden, the home semi home arena
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: for Saint John's's considered to be one of their home arenas. Really.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: Marquette is coming up that tough game at home against Villanova,
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna have to travel East now and put
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: in a huge effort again in this one. Don't know
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna be able to, although I think both
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: of these teams do play fast, so it's not really
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: going to be a pacing issue for either team. Marquette, yeah,
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: they do play fast. Saint John's plays fast. Ken Bump
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: does that. Marquette is a very unlucky team right now though,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: one of the like twelve or thirteen unluckiest teams in
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: the entire country, so they have underperformed a bit based
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: on what they are, though they're certainly not great outside
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: of ken Bump's top one hundred. They face a difficult
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: schedule twenty fifth in the country. Saint John's is coming
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: up a nice road win at Creyton where they kind
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: of bounce Craton from the top of the Big East standings.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: They were a one lost Big East team. Now now
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: creating has fallen. If you saw my bracketology yesterday, I
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: have them outside of the tournament now looking in. How
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: big of a win was that for Saint John's. I
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: don't know. It is possible they overlook Marquette because they
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: do have Vollanova in Seaton Hall on deck though, and
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: I don't think any of these games today or second
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: meetings as far as I saw. As far as these
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: conference meetings are concerned, Saint John's has dropped from a
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: fifteen and a half point favorite to a fourteen point
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: favorite in this game. The total one fifty seven and
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: a half seems like a lot of money coming in
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: in the over in this one seventy five percent of
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety three percent of the cash. I wouldn't really
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: disagree with an over with both teams playing fast, so
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: those Saint John's is kind of offensively challenged and actually
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Marquette is too, believe it or not, So both these
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: seems play fast and don't play good defense or excuse me,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: don't play good offense, excuse me, which is not usually
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: what you see with a fast paced team. Usually they
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: don't play good defense, but both these teams were better
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: defensively than offensively. I guess I would probably lean with
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: the market and this one towards taking the points with Marquette,
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: but I don't love it by any means at all.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: Kent State and Buffalo in the MAC is going to
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: be an interesting one. Kent State is coming off a
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly loss at Central Michigan, who's near the bottom
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: of the MAX standings. I think Kent State was probably
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: about a ten point road favorite in that game, ten
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: and a half, and ESPN actually tells us now, yeah,
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: ten and a half. So that was a bad loss
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: for Kent State. Man, they'd beaten Bowling Green in the
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: previous game. I did say and leaned to Central Michigan
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: in that game. I think it was a bit of
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: a sandwich. They had this Buffalo game on deck and
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: then to lead on Miami, Ohio. All these games are
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: bigger than the Central Michigan game, So I think Kent
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: State might bounce back here. Man, that was just an
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: ugly lost them. Whereas for Buffalo, they're not as good
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: as they look Ken bombas Buffalo is one of the
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: luckier teams in all Division one or actually they've dropped
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: a little bit now of one thirty fourth. They face
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: a very week schedule, though one of the fourteen bottom schedules.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: I talked about Buffalo in their last game. I thought
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: they would lose to Ohio, even though Buffalo the record
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: looked really good, there was a reason why Ohio was
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: favored over them despite having a worse overall record. Ohio
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: obviously faced the more difficult out of conference schedule. Buffalo.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: I think you could see them maybe kind of being
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: in a situation where that game kind of was a
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: reality check for them, Like it's a game you kind
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: of get up for a little bit maybe, and then
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: you just get sent back down to reality. Oh shit,
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: maybe we're not as good as we thought we were.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: I pointed out the Buffalo's face are really easy in
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: conference schedule as well. Besides the Ohio game, playing Western Michigan,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: Northern Illinois ball State, those are weaklings. Man, Kent State
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: is gonna be the best knack opponent that they faced
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: so far, and in probably an angry mood after that
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: bad loss, I like Kent State in this game. They're
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: a one and a half point favorite. They might go
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: up to two here, fifty percent of the tickets seventy
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on Kent States. The money
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: agrees with me on that one. That's the only way
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: I could look in that game. Again, Buffalo not as
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: good as their record looks, so still maybe even looking
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: at misleading records they were, Buffalo actually has a slightly
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: better overall record. But Oddsmaker's clearly telling you Kent State
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: is the better team. Ken bumb will tell you that
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: as well, sob what's up man? Yeah, you could spy
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: on me if you think you can guess what my
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: plays are today. Indiana at number twelve Michigan State starting
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: the seven pm slate on Peacock Here, big ten game.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: This is an interesting game Indiana, of course, as if
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: you saw my bracketology last night, I do have them
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: getting into the tournament right now, despite a loss in
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: a braw their last game, but that was an acceptable
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: loss obviously, Nebraska undefeated, still in rate tenth in the country.
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: Indiana played them tough at home, though, so that was
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: actually a pretty big game for Indiana. Man. Obviously, Michigan
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: State is also a big game, but that's the type
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: of game that could take a lot out of you.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: In Nebraska, they run up and down the floor, they
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: go fast. Now they're gonna have to transition. Indiana's gonna
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: have to transition from that to a slow paced, physical
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: Michigan State team. Both of these teams play good deepfense,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: by the way, Nebraska and Michigan State both do. I mean,
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: so Indiana, the question is what are they gonna have
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: left in the tank after that big game against Nebraska,
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: two huge games in a row. I don't really love
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: how it sets up for Indiana here, and the fact
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: that they lost a win streak with that loss in Nebraska.
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: That could potentially be a little bit of a hangover
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: as well. When a team loses a win streak sometimes
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: they get hunt over. Michigan State's coming off of a
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: game against Northwestern where they really didn't play well. Michigan
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: State they won by ten, but that game is within
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: like four or five points late in the game. Northwestern
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: went all out in that game pretty much against Michigan State,
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: So Michigan State's really kind of coming off an escape here.
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: I lean to Michigan State in this game. I don't.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: I don't always lean against the ranked favorites Man, and
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: this is a case where I would not want to
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: jump in against Michigan State here. I think the spot
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: sets up better for them. They are up to a
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: six and a half point favor All of the market
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: looks like it is coming back on the Indiana side
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Eighty nine percent of the tickets are
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: on Michigan State. They are public not surprisingly seventy six
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, so it looks like
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: the money is actually some of the bigger bets maybe
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: on Indiana in this game, but I don't agree with that.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: I'm staying away though. Obviously the total in the mid
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: one forties. Michigan State. They play that slow style that
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: is not as conducive to winning by margin, but I
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: think that is still the way that I would lean
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: in that game. Calgary and Utah, those are both both
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: of those made my short lists in Hockey Today. Virginia
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: and Louisville on ESPN two number sixteen, Virginia, number twenty.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Louisville Virginia really nice start to the season fourteen to two.
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: They just beat Stanford at home. Nothing to really see
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: there going out on the road, but Virginia may be
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: stepping a little bit up in class here, like they
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: faced a pretty easy schedule actually, so Louisville might actually
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: be the best opponent that Virginia has actually faced so far.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: Believe it or not. The face NC stage was pretty good,
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: but Louisville has like, yeah, I'm just kind of surprised,
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: but I think this is true. Virginia. They just have
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: not been really battle tested yet, so that may be
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: a concern going on the road facing Louisville. Louisville's a team.
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: It's gonna speed the game up, which Virginia does not
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: want to do. Virginia goes slower. Although I think Virginia
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: isn't as slow as they used to be. They're pretty
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: slow still though. Louisville coming into this game an easy
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: win over BC, which I think will help them because
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: that ended a two game lost streak. People might look
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: at say, oh, Louisville lost to Stanford. Virginia beat Stanford,
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: so of course we got to play Virginia here, right,
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: But I would look the other way here. I would
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: lean Louisville. Louisville breaking that lost streak should be a
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: good thing, not a huge win against BC, and Louisville
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: is definitely the more battle tested team. I mean, look
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: at their schedule. They beat Kentucky, although Kentucky looks to
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: not be what we thought they were. They played Arkansas,
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: they beat Indiana, lost to Tennessee, not really. I mean,
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: I know Tennessee has been following a little bit, but
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: that's still not a horrible loss. And then yes, Stanford
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: is probably the worst loss. They might have been looking
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: ahead to Duke though, and then Louisville did also played Duke,
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: so Duke has faced the way more difficult or excuse me,
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: Louisville has faced the way more difficult schedule here. I
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: like Louisville in this one. They look like an anti
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: public favorite too, So this is one of those games
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: where it's not an unranked favorite, it's a ranked dog,
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: but it is a lower ranked favorite. So that is
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: something that also should catch your eye as a better
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: where you see the lesser ranked team being favored. Part
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: of it is because they're at home, but the oddsmakers
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: are also telling you there's not much of a gap
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: between these two teams, and it looks like Virginia may
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: turn into a little bit of a public dog here,
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: although well maybe not. It looks like tickets are fifty
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: to fifty Virginia. Actually, now the whole thing is flipped.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: We see fifty three percent of tickets on Louisville now
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: and fifty one percent of the cash with Louisville down
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: from four to three and a half here. So the
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: percentages are moving all over the place right now. I
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: don't think there's really much you can gauge from what
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: these percentages look like right now, but I do lean
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: to Louisville in that game. We have my BC Eagles
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: at number twenty two Clemson. Clemson back up in the rankings, man,
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: and sometimes when a team climbs back into the rankings,
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: sometimes you want to look to go against them because
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: it's almost like they get a little bit overconfident, get
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: a little bit complacent. Hey, we're back in the rankings.
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: Clemson just won at Notre Dame, decent win there. They
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: do have Miami next and then NC State, so it's
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: possible they look ahead there and overlook this BCE Eagles team.
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: It's very easy to overlook this team. They're awful. They
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: don't have a conference win yet, so BC might show
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: up with some effort. I'm not saying they're gonna win
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: the game or anything like that, obviously, but BC might
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: show up with some effort. They did lose that game
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: in Louisville by double digits in their last game, which
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: I mentioned at Louisville. It is a second straight road game.
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: But the only way that I could look at this
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: would be to take the points with BC. But the
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: money kind of seems to disagree. Clemson did drop from
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: seventeen after seventeen ninety two percent of the cash on
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: them and seventy two percent of tickets on BC. What
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: public better is coming in and playing Boston College in
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: this game, though I don't see it now. Unfortunately, the
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: total is moving up, although it looks like some of
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: the money might be coming back on the under now.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: Totals still low at one thirty five and plays a
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: slow pace man, so Clemson not really the type of
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: team that covers numbers like this, so I would lean
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: towards BC plus the points in that one. Texas A
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: and M is at number twenty four Tennessee on the
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: SEC Network. Interesting game. Texas A and M maybe a
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: little bit under the radar, but they also haven't played
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: a very difficult schedule yet. I have them as one
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: of my last teams getting into the tournament right now.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: They did just beat Auburn. Actually they beat LSU, Auburn, Oklahoma,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: And none of those are bad wins, or I mean,
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: those are decent wins. Let's just say they're not like
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: nothing wins. Those are all against mediocre teams, teams that
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: are all tournament bubble teams right now. But now they
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: do have to step it up in class and go
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: to plate Tennessee man, and they might be running into
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: an angry Tennessee team because even though Tennessee is coming
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: off a big game against Florida, they got smoked, which
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: I think Tennessee and Florida exchanged games like that last
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: year where the home team just wanted blowouts in both
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: of them, and I think I had at least one
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: of them as a player. This one. I don't think
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: I had to play on this. But this is another
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: one of those games where Florida was an unranked favorite
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: against a ranked underdog and that one did work out.
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: So these unranked favorites are starting to come through again
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: in college basketball. Florida was one of them. Indiana, by
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: the way, was not one of the Indiana was one
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: that failed, which I forgot to mention against Nebraska, Florida
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: was one that got the win. But now I think
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: even though that was a big game, nobody wants to
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: lose ninety one to sixty seven man, So I think
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: Tennessee might show up in this game. Their only conference home,
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: their only conference win so far was at home, so
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: they are probably better at home. I mean, home advantage
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: is a bit bigger in college basketball. Anyway. They do
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: play Kentucky, Alabama, Georgia all up next, and those are
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: big games, but maybe Kentucky's a little bit less of
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: a big game right now because they're down. It looks
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: like Kentucky just not playing well right now. The Tennessee
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: and Kentucky you really don't like each other. But overall,
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: I think I would have to lean to Tennessee in
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: this game. But I don't love the idea of lank
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: points with Tennessee either. They usually play slow, but this
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: total is actually quite high at one sixty one and
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: a half, which surprises me. Tennessee plays slow, and if
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: the total is that high, it kind of indicates that
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: A and M might be able to do something about
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: controlling the pace in this game. We're just ken bomb
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: have Texas A and M. He's got them forty first.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: They're a super fast tempo team though, but Tennessee you
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: would think would be able to slow the game down.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: I just don't love lank points with slow based teams.
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: Usually the money looks like it's against Tennessee as well.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: Seventy percent of tickets fifty three percent of the cash
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: on them. So it is an interesting market read on
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: that game. Looks like the money is saying Texas A
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: and M. I somewhat disagree with it. Based on the
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: situational setup. We have some Missouri Valley action. Illinois Chicago
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: is at Northern IOW. When I first looked at this
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: and I said, oh God, Illinois Chicago is in a
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: horrible spot. They just went to Illinois State and pulled
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: off an overtime upset, big conference game. Illinois State one
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: of the better teams in this conference and kind of
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: a little brother big brother situation for Illinois Chicago. They're
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: beating Illinois State. Illinois State was a big favorite, a
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: double digit favorite. In this game. They shot horrendously in
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: the game. Illinois State did twenty seven percent from the field.
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: Unbelievably bad game for Illinois State probably an outlier. So
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: my instinct is, yeah, Illinois Chicago was gonna be in
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot, but are they really gonna overlook Northern Iowa.
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: Probably not, because Northern Iowa was one of the better
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference. Although maybe Illinois State met a
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: little bit more to another Illinois team and maybe Illinois
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: Chicago won't have anything left in the tank for this
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: against Northern Iowa. But then Northern Iowa was not exactly
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: in a great spot either. They just played at Bradley
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: and it was a pretty tough game. They only lost
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: by six. It was a back and forth game. They
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: almost were able to win the game. There were four
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: and a half point dog Northern Iowa were in that game.
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: So that was a big game against one of the
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: better teams in the conference. So that is my concern
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: that Northern Iowa themselves are coming off a big game
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: that in laying points with Northern Iowa is dicey because
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: they play really slow. Although I don't want that to
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: keep me off of every single game like this, but
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: this one doesn't make my card, but I lean in
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa still laying the points, and it looks like
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: that is the way to go. Even though they drop
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: from seven and a half to six and a half,
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: that at least means you're getting more value in For
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: some reason, it looks like Illinois Chicago might be a
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: public side in this game, a public dog, which you
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: wouldn't think that because nobody who's gonna want Illinois Chicago
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: public betters. They don't even know who this team is
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: and they're certainly not good. Eighty five percent of the tickets,
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the cash on Illinois Chicago. For
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: what it's worth, I do lean in northern Iowa, and
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: that one CBS Sports has this eight end game up
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: at seven pm. George Mason at Loyal Chicago. George Mason
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: undefeated in the A ten so far. They only have
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: one loss on the season. But we'll see how good
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: they really are. But they are coming off a pretty
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: good win Man over VCU. VCU won the conference last year.
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: There's still one of the better teams in this conference.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: Even though they're two and two in conference. I still
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: think that is a big win. And it's actually bigger
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: because guess who VCU beat in the conference final last
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: year to get into the tournament. Yeah, that was George Mason.
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: So that was a huge revenge spot for George Mason.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: So I think they definitely could be inn a letdown
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: spot coming off with that. They're playing Illinois or excuse me,
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: loyal in Chicago. Excuse me here, I almost said Illinois
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: Chicago again, and up next to George Mason does have
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: George Washington in the Battle of the Georgies. That's sort
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: of a DC area battle, and George Washington is near
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: the top of the conference as well, So I do
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: think this is a sandwich spot that Mason is in
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: and they gotta go on the road to face this
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: loyal Chicago team that we don't even know what they
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: are right now. Man, They're coming off a horrendous loss
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: to George Washington one on one to sixty six. That
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: is an awful loss. So you gotta think Loyola will
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: show up in this game. So that has to be
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: the way that I lean to this game. Loyola Chicago
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: plus the points is the way I would go. They're
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: a horrific defense, but George Mason looks very public. Ninety
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: four percent of the tickets, ninety six percent of the cash.
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: They're an eight and a half point favorite. Low total
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: one thirty eight and a half. I would definitely look
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: towards the home dog in that one in Loyola Chicago,
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: but it's not on my card, although I was considering it.
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, this one is closer. This is the closest
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: one to being on my card. Out of all the
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: games so far, I think George Mason is in a
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: pretty bad spot. I was just like, I don't know
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: how bad is the spot really, I don't know. But
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: both of these teams also play really slow, so points
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: are going to be at a premium. So that is
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: also a situation where looking to a home underdog does
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: kind of make sense in a game like that. Mister Pinzy,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: what's up man, Thanks for hanging out. And of course,
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: yesterday a lot of my college basketball leans were correct yesterday.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: I think I did pretty well with those opinions yesterday,
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: and I didn't play any of them in my strongest leans.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: All were correct. But that's the name of the game, man,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: you gotta limit yourself to try to pick the best ones.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: Dayton Is at Ducaine. I like these conferences, man, the
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: A ten, the Missouri Valley. They're kind of fun to handicap.
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: There's some dynamics that you can pick out for some
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: spots here. Dayton just had a nice win over g
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: W George Washington. Now they go on the road to
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: face Ducane. Dayton did not do well on their other
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: road conference game, almost losing to Loyol in Chicago, so
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: Loyol in Chicago can definitely put up a fight against
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: these slower paced teams at home. Dayton is also a
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: slower paced team. I believe that might hurt Dayton in
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: this one though, because they're coming up of a big win.
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: They got to go to Ducaine and Dukane plays faster.
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Ducane may show up for this one man against one
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: of the better teams in the conference. Kaine has lost
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: two games in a row, not really expected to win
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: those games against VCU and then at Saint Joe's. I'd
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: have a slight lean to Ducaine in this one. I
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: think they might be able to speed this game up
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: and kind of annoy who are they playing again? Annoy
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: Dayton here because Dayton wants to go a bit slower.
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: Ducaine is at least pretty low in kem Bump's luck
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: index right now three twenty two, so he is saying
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: that they're an underperforming team right now. They're better than
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: they look. The money is all coming in a Dayton
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: in this game, though, which doesn't make sense to me.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: I would lean the other way. Dayton's up to a
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: four point favorite, sixty five percent of the cash on them,
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of tickets on Ducaine. Don't know why
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: Dukane would be a public side here. I don't really
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: see that being the case. Total at one fifty three
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: seems to indicate that maybe Ducaine will be able to
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: speed this thing up a little bit. That is the
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: way I look in that one. Refs who blow the
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: whistle were in basketball, and they make it easier for
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: underdogs to cover. Not really, but I'm not surprised that
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: there's stuff going on in some of these games that like,
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: these games are definitely rigged in various ways, man, so
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: it doesn't shock me. All right, next up, first best
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: bet of the day. I mean, you probably you know
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: what I do, man, so you kind of you could
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: probably predict this. So we're gonna go with Minnesota plus
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: two here, We're gonna fade Wisconsin Pig ten Network game
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: at seven PM. I like how this sets up. I mean,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: the main component to this is obviously Wisconsin is coming
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: up a monumental win against Michigan. Man, I don't know
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: how they did it. Well, if you dig into the boxer,
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: you can kind of see how they did it. Wisconsin
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: was like a twenty point underdog in this game and
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: they went into an arbor and beat Michigan. Unbelievable win
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: for Wisconsin. Wisconsin's now right back in the tournament picture.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be in a major letdown spot here.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: Even though this is a rivalry between Wisconsin in Minnesota,
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: I think Minnesota is usually on the short end of
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: this rivalry. Wisconsin has the better history, so I think
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is the more like a team to show up
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: in this game. Now, if you look at how this
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: game played out, Michigan was winning this game throughout the
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: entire first half. It looked like Wisconsin was gonna be
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: done in this game, and they did not go away.
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: They came back and it was close for the entire
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: second half. It was a battle the whole way. Wisconsin
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: got the win. Dig into the box score though, Wisconsin
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: pretty much the difference in this game was three pointers.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin was plus seven from three point range, and they
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: hit forty five percent of their threes. That is pretty
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: much what happened in this game, although they did play
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: close rebound wise and whatever. But the three pointers were
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: a big disparity here, and sometimes an underdog will be
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: able to do that and hit threes and win the
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: game that way. So I think it was a little
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: bit of an outlier. Wisconsin. I think they're gonna be
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: in a huge lightdown spot here a second straight road game.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: I wish they had a bigger game up now Rutgers,
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: which is not big, but still I think this is
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for them in a major way. And
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: for Minnesota. I think they're gonna bounce back, even though
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: I know they lost a win streak in their last game,
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: and sometimes that will hang you over. But I don't
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: see them. LOOKI pass Wisconsin, especially after what Wisconsin just did.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: I know Minnesota does have Illinois next, but Wisconsin is
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: still gonna be a big game for Minnesota. And we
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: faded in Minnesota in their last game with USC because
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: I basically said this was a sandwich spot that Minnesota
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: was in. I said they played really tough. They beat Iowa.
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: That was a big win for Minnesota against a slow
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: paced team, and then I said they were gonna maybe
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: struggle a little bit more having to then transition to
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: playing a fast paced team like USC. It was a
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: letdown spot I thought for Minnesota. USC caught them beat.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: Is a situation where Minnesota lost as a home favorite, though,
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: and when teams lose his home favorites a lot of times,
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: I want to look towards them in their next game.
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: And again, part of that handicap was that Minnesota would
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to Wisconsin as well, which I think
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: is a game that means more than the USC game did,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: so I like Minnesota in this one. Wisconsin also likes
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: to play faster now and Minnesota is not gonna want
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: to do that when Minnesota's gonna want to go slow.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're gonna look at here. Minnesota at
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: least is good on the defensive side of things, even
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: though they're not good offensively. Wisconsin is definitely the more
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: balanced team, but there's not much of a gap between
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: what these teams do defensively. Minnesota is only like a
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: few ranking spots lower in ken Bump's rankings defensively than
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin or the Wisconsin is way better offensively, but I
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: like how the spot sets up. I think Minnesota could
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: slow this thing down, ugly it up, get it into
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: more of a defensive minded game. Wisconsin looks like a
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: public side. Sixty two percent of the tickets, sixty percent
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: of the cash. They're dropping already from two to one
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: and a half here, you'll be able to get Minnesota
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: as somewhat of a dog here. Total pretty low one
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: forty six and a half set to indicate oddsmakers kind
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: of thinking Minnesota will be able to slow the game
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: down a bit. That's what we're gonna go with. Minnesota
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: is my first play, all right, Hopefully, hopefully you guys
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: are into that shit. You're into Minnesota against Wisconsin, ma'am.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: We have Miami and Notre Dame interest in game. Miami
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: fourteen to two, really good record, although they have not
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: really stepped up in class yet this season. I do
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: have them in the tournament as it stands right now.
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: Now they're having to go to South Bend. It might
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: not be that easy to do, and they got Clemson
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: up next, so it is possible there's maybe an overlook
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: spot here from Miami. Maybe they'll look past Notre Dame.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame's somewhat mediocre, not in the tournament picture. Notre
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: Dame's coming off two straight losses, but they were out
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: on the Pacific Coast. Then they came back and they
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: lost to Clemson. I mean, Clemson's obviously better than they are.
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: I kind of expect Notre Dame to show up in
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: this one to try to get one of these games
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: on the home stand, So I would lean a Notre
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: Dame in this one. But the money is all coming
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: into Miami and I don't quite see it. But again,
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: when I don't have that strong of opinion an opinion,
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: I really don't want to buck like a market read
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: like this either, So I don't know, man, Although again
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: the market percentages could also change around throughout the day too.
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: Miami's up to a five point favorite, eighty nine percent
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, fifty six percent of the
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: tickets on Notre Dame. So it looks like a pros
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: versus Joe's with the Joe's on Notre Dame. But like
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: what public vetter is gonna want to fade Miami with
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: the record that they have. I don't get it, But
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: I don't have a strong feel for that game. We
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: do have a well Central Michigan at Miami Ohio is
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: kind of an interessing one. Central Michigan, of course, just
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: pulled off that double digit upset of Kent State. That
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: was a huge win. So Central Michigan could be in
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a letdown spot here, but that
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: did break a losing streak, and when teams break a
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: losing streak sometimes they get this new momentum they play
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: well again in the next game. And it's not like
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: they're going to overlook Miami Ohio. So the question is
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: is Central Michigan are they gonna be tired out? Like,
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: are they gonna have anything left in the tank off
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: of pulling off that big upset. I don't know now.
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: I don't think Miami Ohio is gonna lose this one.
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: I know I predicted them to lose multiple games already
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: and it still hasn't happened. I don't know. This is
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio team. They got to be one of the
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: luckiest teams in the country right now. They're still not
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: that battle tested. All I know they do have a
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: win over Akron, the best team in the MAC. They're
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: not gonna lose this game, and I probably would actually
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: lean to Miami Ohio and this one's still though. They
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: did play to lead all last game and they do
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: a buffalo and Kent stayed up next, so it is
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: possible they look ahead here. But I just think that
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: win was really big for Central Michigan, man, so I
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: don't want anything to do with Central Michigan off a
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: win like that. The money looks like it is on
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio and this one, and I don't really disagree
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: with it. In this case, they're down from sixteen and
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: a half to fifteen and a half, but they have
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: eighty five percent of the cash with the tickets split
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: fifty to fifty. Although again I don't really see why
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: the public wouldn't be on Miami Ohio in a game
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: like that. It is what it is, man. Okay, we
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: have number three Yukon at number twenty five Seaton Hall
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: on True TV as we get into the eight pm slate,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: not too many games left to talk about. This is
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: one of these games where it almost looks too easy
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: to play Yukon because they're like minus five and a
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: half here as a top five team in the country
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: against a team that's just cracking the rankings and I
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: know I talk about how like when it looks too easy,
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: you usually want to fade that sentiment right when it
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: looks too easy to play Yukon here, But this game,
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure that that's what I would do. Yukon.
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: They're coming out of an easy win over to Paul.
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: Yukon hasn't really they haven't faced like the best other
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: teams in the Big East yet. Now this is one
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: of them. So I really don't think Yukon is gonna
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: overlook Seaton Hall in this game. Man. It's just not
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: surrounded by bigger games. This is the big right now.
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall is the closest team in the standings to Yukon,
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: so I think they will show up and seton Hall
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: now that they're in the rankings again. I'm gonna mention
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: when a team first cracks into the rankings, a lot
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: of times they don't do as well in that next
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: game because it's just like now they have a target
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: on their backs, so teams pay attention to them. They
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: might get complacent, although Seaton Hall won't get complacent against Yukon.
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: But Seaton Hall coming up that kind of grinding game
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: against Georgetown that I'm still pissed about because Georgetown was
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: winning the game by double digits with like ten minutes
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: left and they didn't even cover. Really pissed about that.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall obviously will show up as well, but if
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be facing a Yukon team that's also going
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: to be focused here, I don't think I could do
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: I don't think I could do it with Seaton Hall. Man.
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: I think it's Connecticut or Pass for me. In this one,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: Yukon looks like they are actually getting the money. As
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: of now, they're a six point favorite. Sixty one percent
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Yukon, fifty one percent of the
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: tickets are on Seaton Hall, so the public might even
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: be thinking, hey, Seaton Hall is like kind of this
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: sneaky dog here because they have this really nice looking record.
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Connecticut though in this one. Total
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: is low though one thirty three. Both teams like to
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: play slow, so it's gonna be a little bit more
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: difficult for you kind of cover as a road favorite
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: because of that. Okay, we have Bradley at Evansville here. Bradley,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: they're coming on a nice win over Northern Iowa man
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: after beating Drake so two pretty big wins for Bradley.
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: Drake was the revenge game for last year's conference tournament.
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: Big win for Bradley over the Drake because they definitely
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: do not like the Drake. Man, boy, I'm really starting
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: to dislike the Drake. I hate the Drake all right.
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: And Bradley, you think they might overlook Evansville because they
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: do play Illinois State next to Bradley is also an
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: Illinois team, so that is gonna be a big game
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: for them. So this does look like a sandwich Illinois
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: State and in state rival, and they're close to them
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: in the standings in the Missouri Valley right now. So
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: my first instinct on this was, well, we got to
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: lean towards Evansville in this game here. But Evansville is
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: coming off a big game too. They beat their in
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: state big brother, Indiana State, because Evansville is in Indiana.
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: That was a big win for them, man, So they
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: could be in maybe a little bit of a letdown
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: spot here as well, though I think they will still
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: show up for a game against Bradley, and I guess
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: the other good thing for Evansville is they finally got
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: a win in conference or whatever. They face a fairly
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: difficult conference schedule so far, basically facing all the best
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference already, So maybe Evansville isn't quite
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: as bad as their record looks. Maybe that win will
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: give them a little bit of momentum. So overall, I
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: do still lean to Evansville in this game, but it's
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: a very slight lean. Bradley is up to a six
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite with juice total is pretty
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: low at one forty three, so I think low total
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: kind of makes sense towards the home dog as well.
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: Eight thirty Fox Sports won as West Virginia at number
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: seven Houston. Now, West Virginia, they had one of the bigger,
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: bigger I put that in finger quotes upsets the other
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: day against Kansas. Everybody considers that to be a huge
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: upset because Kansas is a blue blood, and yeah, West
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: Virginia will consider that to be a huge win for sure.
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: They got the win in Morgantown against Kansas Man, but
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: Kansas was only two and a half boay favored in
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: that game, so it was not a huge upset line
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: wise in the game. West Virginia actually looking not terrible
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: right now into this new coaching scheme with North Texas's
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: former coach there. West Virginia is still playing this ugly
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: slow basketball and that is what Houston likes to do
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: as well. Though Kansas kind of does it too, but Houston,
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: they're just really the masters of it. So now West
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: Virginia having to go on the road off of a
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: punishing defensive game pulling off an upset, now they have
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: to go on the road and face another team that
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: plays that way but is even better. I don't know
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: if I love it for West Virginia, man, even though
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: they're gonna try to show up for this, I kind
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: of lean towards Houston in this one. Houston did just
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: get a nice win for Baylor on the road. It
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: is still a Texas rivalry of some sorts, but I
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: think at this point Baylor wanted that game more than
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: Houston did. Houston it was I think for them it
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: was kind of just like a whatever momentum continuing win here.
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: The game isn't really surrounded by that much, so I
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: think Houston will show up for this game and maybe
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: not go through the motions here because they saw what
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: West Virginia just did as well beating Kansas. So Houston
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: might be on alert from that. Houston's a fourteen and
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: a half way favorite here, up from twelve and a half.
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: Sixty four percent of the tickets and cash on Houston,
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: so they might be a little bit of a public side.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: Total is low one twenty eight and a half, so
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: I don't really want to lay points with a slow
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: defensive team like Houston that's not as good at scoring.
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: Houston's offense is a little bit down this year. Last
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: year they had one of their better offenses, which is
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: part of the reason why they got into the final
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: because they always have a great defense, but their offense
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: actually was really good last year. This year not so much.
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: They're kind of falling back into that better defense than
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: offense situation or type of style this year. But that's
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: also the type of team you don't really want to
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: lay points with. And this is a game where both
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna be slowing this thing to a halt,
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: which is why that's total was so low, one twenty
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: eight and a half. I would not hate an under
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: in this game. Sixty percent of the tickets and seventy
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash are on the under. The
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: under kind of makes sense in the game man, even
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: though West Virginia they might have a little bit of
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: they might be tied defensively, but both teams are gonna
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: slow this thing down and there might not be a
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: ton of scoring here. But I do slightly lean to
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: Houston still, but laying points with a low total like
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: that seems really questionable. On number two, Iowa State at
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: Kansas is the ESPN nine PM game. This game, people
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: are gonna look at this and man, it looks easy
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: to play Iowa State right they're three and a half
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Number two in the country gets an unranked
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: Kansas team although everybody knows Kansas is a blue blood,
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: but kind of crazy that the line is only three
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: and a half. Although if you look at Ken Bom,
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: he still has Kansas in the top twenty five, like
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: they should still be ranked. Again, the rankings makers are
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: just overreacting to Kansas losing it to West Virginia, which
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: was not a horrible loss to be honest, with West
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: Virginia playing a little bit better recently. Although they're not
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: in the tournament discussion right now. Kansas there's still a
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: top fifteen defensive team, so they're very good defensively. They're
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: actually more of a moderately paced team like I'm I
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: still think of India of excusing Kansas as this slow
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: paced team, but they play a little bit mid tempo,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: so does Iowa State actually, so there's not a huge
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: tempo clash in this game. But ken Bum also has
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: Kansas as having faced the second most difficult schedule in
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: the entire country, so Kansas is has gone through the gauntlet. Man,
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: So I do still lean to Kansas in this game,
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: but I just don't see that much of a situation
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: for it. It's not there's not as much of a
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: gap between these two teams as you might think based
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: on the rankings. Iowa State is deserving of a ranking
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: like that. Ken bums them at three, but it's basically
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: just Kansas is being overlooked right now by the rankings
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: makers and whatever. We have sixty four percent of the
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: tickets and fifty nine percent of the cash on Iowa State,
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: so they're a public team with less of the money
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: on them. Total is kind of in that mid range,
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: sort of at one fifty one and a half. It's
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: not quite that mid tempo range, just because these teams
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: do play good defense as well. For Iowa State, It's
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: just not that bad of a scheduling spot for Iowa State,
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: so it's not really a spot where you want to
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: jump out of your seat to fade them, like they
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: just beat Oklahoma State. I know Oklahoma State's in the
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: tournament discussion, but they're not really that good of a team.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: Iowa State's probably not gonna overlook Kansas. Man, this is
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: gonna be their biggest conference game, so people might look
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: though and see, oh, West Virginia beat Kansas by almost
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: double digits or whatever, and Iowa State housed West Virginia,
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: so it's so easy, right, you play Iowa State. So
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: I don't like that like transitive look there that the
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: public might have. So that is another reason to look
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: towards Kansas in this game. And of course the other
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: reason is that Kansas is coming off that loss by
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: eleven to West Virginia, so I think they were already
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: looking ahead. Kansas had had a grind into overtime in
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: the last game against TCU, so I think it was
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: kind of a bad spot coming up an overtime game
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: with Iowa State on the rise, and I think they
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: got caught overlooking West Virginia. So I lean Kansas plus
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: the points here, but not one of my plays. We
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: have Oregon at Nebraska on Big ten Network at nine pm.
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: Nebraska's range eighth in the country. Oregon has not been
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: that good man, and they're having to come in from
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: playing in Eugene, Oregon. In the last game against Ohio State.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: They lost that game by ten. Maybe it'll be a
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: good thing for them to go back out on the
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: road to the Oregon has not had to play in
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: this area of the country yet. I don't think they've
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: played some road games further east, but haven't done this yet.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: At least probably show up for a game against Nebraska.
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: And I know I keep saying Nebraska is not as
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: good as being the eighth ranked team. Ken Bum has
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: some seventeenth and he has some twenty second most lucky
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: team in the country. Soya, Nebraska is a little bit overrated.
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: They have one well, they have two huge wins against
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: Illinois and Michigan State fairly week schedule. Otherwise. They are
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: coming up another big win against Indiana, who is definitely
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: a powerhouse historically, so that was a big win for
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: Nebraska to go out on the road to beat Indiana
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: like that. So I don't know it as possible. Maybe
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a letdown spot here for them.
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean to Oregon in this game plus
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: the points, but man, it feels ugly. Although when it
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: feels ugly, maybe that means you should do it. But
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: I just don't have that much of a situation to
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: rely on here. Nebraska is down from eleven to ten. Here,
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the tickets are on them, but
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of the cash back on Oregon, So
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: Oregon looks like they're taking the money in like a
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: pros versus Joe's situation. Here, the pros seemed to be
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: on Oregon. Totals at one forty five and a half,
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: which is pretty low, which seems to indicate that maybe
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: Oregon is gonna be able to slow this game down
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: a bit because Nebraska wants to play fast. Oregon does
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: not want to do that. Although Nebraska also plays pretty
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: good defense, so it could be a low scoring game
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: for a number of different reasons. We'll see what happens.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: Man Number eighteen, Alabama is at Mississippi State. Alabama coming
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: off a pretty ugly loss to Texas. Man, although I
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: think Alabama coming off that big game against Vandy where
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: they took the six point loss. I think miss Alabama
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: excuse I think was hungover against Texas. Alabama was like a,
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know what were they in this game? Seven
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite? No. Eleven and a
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: half my mistake. So Alabama loss. It's a pretty big
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: favorite there to Texas. So I kind of think they're
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: gonna bounce back off of that ugly loss, which is
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: kind of explainable because they were in a bit of
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: a hangover after the Vandy game. I think Alabama's gonna
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: come out with some more fire after that, even though
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State's not exactly the team are gonna pay attention to.
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State did just lose a six game win streak
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: losing in their last game, so that's maybe something that
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: could hang Mississippi State over a little bit. Although the
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: public might see, hey, Mississippi State beat Texas in overtime
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: on the road in Texas won at Alabama, so the
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: public might actually do the transitive thing and actually maybe
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: think that Mississippi State is a sneaky underdog play here,
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: and you know, I don't like that. Again, Mississippi State
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: losing to Kentucky. Maybe that hangs them over because it
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: ended their win streak, but it was an ugly loss
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: to Kentucky. Man in Kentucky has not been doing well
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: except for that game against Mississippi State ninety two to
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: sixty eight loss. Maybe Mississippi State was even looking ahead
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: to Alabama. So I don't really think Mississippi State's not
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: gonna show up in this game, but I think Alabama
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: will show up. Although the money is indicating on Mississippi
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: State here. Alabama's there for seven and a half to
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: four and a half here fifty percent of tickets and
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: only fifty four percent of the cash on Alabama. So
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: the money is fading Alabama in the spot they've dropped
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: on the line through that key number seven all the
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: way down to the four and a half, but it's
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: a high total one seventy three and a half. I
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: think both these seems like to go fast at this point.
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: So where's Mississippi State at? There they are, They're somewhat
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: on the faster side. M Alabama is way faster than that, though.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: I just don't know what to do with this game. Man. Yeah,
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: it's it's tough to figure out. I kind of lean
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: towards Alabama because I think they're kind of coming off
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: the somewhat of an uglier loss just because they were
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: a big favorite in that game and they might have
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: focused and they are still the better team here. Next
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: up ESPN two. This is my final college basketball play
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: of the day. We're gonna take the points with Oklahoma
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: against Florida, Number nineteen Florida. So Florida has now jumped
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: right back into the rankings. Man, they went from unranked
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: all the way up to nineteen just because they beat Tennessee. Now,
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: I've been talking about how Florida is underrated because they've
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: had a very very difficult schedule, sixth most difficult according
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: to ken Bum. He has them as the seventh unluckiest
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: team in the entire country. He has them twelfth overall
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: and top ten defensively. So yes, all of that indicates
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: of Florida is not a team that you want to fade.
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: But I think the situation is just horrible for Florida here. Man,
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: Like all of a sudden, they're crashing the rankings party
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: after they were unranked. They might be feeling really high
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: on themselves after two huge wins. Man, they had the
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: nice bounce back off of that upset loss at Missouri,
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: they beat Georgia, which is basically a rivalry between Florida
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: and Georgia, bigger in football, but still a big win.
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: Georgia was ranked at the time. That was a win
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: for us on the show too. Florida was actually a
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: big favorite in that game, an unranked favorite. Then what
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: did Florida do last week? Oh yeah, as an unranked favorite.
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: They won again. So Florida's been the one team that
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: really keeps winning as an unranked favorite. They're like the
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: only team that's able to do it because they're just
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: that under ranked, although now they're not as under ranked
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: because they are ranked now. But huge win against Tennessee
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: Man they blew out Tennessee ninety one to sixty seven.
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go back out on the road to
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: play Oklahoma, and again, the last time they were in
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: this part of the country they lost to Missouri. So
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: not not a good not a good indicator that Florida
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: didn't do well going to Missouri, although their other road
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: game they almost beat Dukes, so Florida that game they
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: played well, but going to the middle of the country
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: they weren't as good. And now this is only their
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: third road game of the season, true road game. And
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: up next four days around they got to play Vanderbilt
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: Man at Vandy. That is a monster SEC matchup. Vandy
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: the best team in the SEC right now, ranked tenth
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: in the country. To me, this is a sandwich spot
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: for Florida. Man, I think you gotta do it. You
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: gotta play Oklahoma and this one Oklahoma coming off of
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: a loss to Texas A and M. They just lost
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: on the road to Mississippi State and Texas A and M. Now,
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: I know A and M was a favorite here. I
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: know Oklahoma played Okay, Hey, Oklahoma, Okay, Oklahoma only lost
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: by seven, but still, you know Oklahoma's gonna show up
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: for a game against Florida. And by the way, Oklahoma
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: was not that bad in this game. They outrebounded Texas
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: A and M by eleven and usually Texas A and
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: M recent history than been a good rebounding team. Texas
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: A and M had way more free throw attempts twenty
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: five to sixteen. So that was part of the reason
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: why A and M won this game, because they had
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: to overcome getting wrecked in the rebound battle. And I
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: liked that Oklahoma won the rebounding battle because that's more
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: of an indicator that you can look for to repeat
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: itself as the season continues. It's more of a predictable
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: stat and predictive status. The other reason why Oklahoma lost
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: this game is lack of ball security. Lost the turnover
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: battle seventeen to eight. So I think Oklahoma is gonna
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: do better with ball security after that. At home. I
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up here. We're gonna go with
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma in this one against Florida, and what I think
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: is a horrible spot for Florida. Money looks like it
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: is coming in in Oklahoma here. Florida's up to six
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: and a half now, by the way, so you can
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: get a better number on this now, So I'll update that.
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: Hold on, I'll do it right now. I just put
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: these into the system, so I remember what I'm gonna
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: talk about. Man. But sometimes I wait on these ones, right,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna be fading the public. If you're
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: gonna be fading the public, a lot of times it
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: does make sense to wait. Although we do see fifty
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the tickets on Oklahoma in this case,
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: but eighty two percent of the cash. So maybe this
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: is one where where you jump on it now, although
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I would, I would maybe wait a
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: little while to see if a seven comes up. I
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: don't know if it will, seven being the key number,
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna go with Oklahoma and this one man,
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: and Oklahoma might try to slow this thing down a
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: little bit too. All though, it's a total one fifty seven,
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: which is not exactly low. But Oklahoma plays slow, slower
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: and Florida speeds the game way up. And yes, I
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: know Oklahoma's bad defensively, They're one of these weird slow
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: based teams. It's way better offensively, which makes no sense.
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: But the fact that they might slow this game down
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: I frustrate Florida because Florida wants to go fast. So
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma is the play there? All right? Dude? Why is
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: my wait? Has my screen I've been showing this whole time?
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: What's going on here? Or has it been crap? I apologize, dude, shit, nobody,
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: let me know, man, or hold on, let me see.
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: I'll bring up to YouTube in another window. I hope
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: that hasn't been the case. Maybe it's just streamyard, just
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: it could be streamyard. Just the visuals and stream Yard
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: not not showing up here. Let me see it real quick.
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: I gotta I'm gonna double check. We gotta at least
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: check for quality in some ways. Man, we gotta have
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: some QA going on here. Let me see. No, it
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: looks like it's been working. Yeah. I think it was
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: just stream Yard, all right. Good I think it was
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: just stream Yard doing some stupid things. All right, good enough,
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: All right, let's finish it off. College basketball here, man,
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: taking an hour to do college basketball. CBS Sports has
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: Baylor at Oklahoma State. I'll talk about it. You know,
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: it's a TV game. Whatever. We don't have too many
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: games left anyway. Interesting game between two okay, big twelve
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: teams that may make the tournament. They're kind of bubble
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: teams in the tournament right now. Baylor are coming off
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: a tough loss to Houston, but they lost bad by
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: twenty two. So Baylor probably does show up looking for
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: a win after three straight losses here, and they still
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: don't have a conference win. So I think Baylor might
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: be a hungry team here coming in. Also, I think
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: ok Oloma State's a little bit overrated, man, And you'll
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: see Baylor despite being the team of the worst record
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: and having no conference wins. They're the favorite on the
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: road here, So the oddsmakers are telling you Baylor is
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: actually the better team here despite what the records look like.
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: They face the more difficult schedule, and that's I've been
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: saying that that's the knock on Oklahoma State. They have
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: not faced a difficult schedule. So Oklahoma State not as
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: good as their record looks. And Oklahoma State is coming
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: off losing to Iowa State by twelve on the road.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: That was probably a more difficult game out of the
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: two that these teams just played. Oklahoma State was a
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: little bit closer in that game, So I like Baylor
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: in this one. Both teams might show up, but then
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: I think it kind of goes down to which team
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: is really the better team here. Baylor did drop from
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: a two point favorite to a one point favorite, though
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent of tickets eighty three percent of the
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: cash on Oklahoma State, so the money kind of indicating
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: on Oklahoma State for the time being. They might wind
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: up being a public dog though, So Oklahoma State could
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: potentially have the makings of a public home underdog, and
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: that is not something I want to look at So
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: my lean is Baylor in that one. Oh thank you sir,
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: Thank you Kyle. That's right. Kyle was always the one
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: that's that's letting me know. I appreciate it, man, Thank you.
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: You let me know when it's not when I'm not
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: showing it, when I'm not showing the dick. Who but
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: my dick is hanging out? What? Oh shit, I'm gonna
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: get banned from from YouTube here. Georgetown at Creighton is
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: actually a Peacock games. Peacock oh at nine pm or whatever?
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: This is Big East game here. Georgetown let me down
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: man against Seaton Hall. Maybe kind of a difficult loss
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: for Georgetown because they kind of had Seaton Hall on
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: the ropes in that game and they wound up losing
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: by nine. Georgetown was winning that game, like I said,
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: by a pretty big margin with like ten minutes to go.
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: So maybe a bit of a difficult loss for them.
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: Now they have to go on the road to Omaha.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: I play Creighton, who has kind of dropped a little
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: bit in the stands a little. I know, Creighton still
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: has that name around them where they're sometimes the team
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: you do want to show up for. But Yukon is
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: Georgetown's next opponent. Man, So this Creighton game is kind
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: of sandwiched in between two now ranked teams in Villanova
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: up after Yukon, So it almost looks a little bit
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: sandwichy for Georgetown. Creighton coming off of a loss at
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: home to Saint John's. I told you Saint John's would
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: probably win that game. Saint John's a little bit under
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: the radar because they've just faced some difficult losses this year. Man,
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: I think Saint John's is a decent team. Creighton might
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: bounce that might bounce back from that. Man, they want
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: to split this home this two game home stand or
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: whatever you want to call it here. Yeah, it was
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: a difficult game against Saint John's, but it wasn't really
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: a close game. So I prefer Creighton in this game.
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: Although the money is disagreeing with me on this one too.
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: Creighton's down from nine and a half to eight and
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: a half here, eighty three percent of the tickets on them,
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on Georgetown. It's not a
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: high total, one forty eight and a half. But I
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: prefer Creighton in that one. In who's gonna look at
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: these records and want to really lay it with Creighton, Like,
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: who's gonna lay eight and a half with a ten
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: and seven overall team, even though I know Georgetown's record
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: is not pretty, but I don't know. Man, ACC network
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: has Florida State and Syracuse. This is not a pretty game.
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: Florida State is not pretty. But we faded them on
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: Saturday and that was how we kicked off Saturday with
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: a blowout win with NC State, a really easy win
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: because Florida State had played a huge game against Duke
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: the prior game and almost beat Dukes, so I thought
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: they were not gonna have much in the tank against
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: ENTC State. They hadn't played for a week. But now
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: Florida State got blown out against NC State, so maybe
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: they will show up for the next game, just because
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: nobody wants to get blown out like that. Man, what
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: was the final in that game? One thirteen to sixty nine?
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: Sixty nine? That is just ugly, man losing by forty
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: four points or whatever? That is? Syracuse just pit on
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: the road. Decent win there coming back home for this
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: is it a letdown spot? I don't really know, But
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: Florida State, some you know, they might be a team
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: that maybe you just you know, totally pay attention to.
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: You know, Syracuse is an eight point favorite. We don't
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: see the percentages yet on this. I would probably lean
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points with Florida State in that one.
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I haven't talked about any of the
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: Mountain West games today. There's not really that interesting. I
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: don't think. I guess I'll talk about the last one
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: because it is on CBS Sports. I try to hit
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: the TV games. We do have Maryland at USC on
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports one. This is, oh man, this is an
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: ugly one. Maryland really really looking bad right now, way
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: down this year. They're already on the Pacific coast now
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: though they lost to UCLA in the last game, but
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: at least they're adjusted to the time zone here, so
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: at least that helps Maryland a little bit. USC is
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: traveling back from that upset win at Minnesota, so overtime
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: win the other day, maybe a more difficult spot for
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: USC year. And after this Maryland game, they got to
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: play Purdue. They got Purdue come into their house, so
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: definitely could be a spot where USC just overlooks Maryland
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: in the spot. Man, So I actually prefer Maryland in
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: this one, and the money does agree with this. One,
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: USC up from nine to nine and a half. Seventy
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: one percent of the tickets on them, only fifty four
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash, so the money seems to be
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: indicating on Maryland. Seems like a pretty low total for
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: a USC game because USC plays fast. One forty nine
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: and a half seems a bit low. Maybe indicative that
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: maybe Maryland is gonna come into maybe slow it down
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: a little bit, although they're kind of a mid tempo team.
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know what to think about Maryland.
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: They're bad, though, Ken bomsim outside of his top one hundred.
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: But USC is not what we thought they were when
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: they were ranked early in the season. Then we got
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's at San Francisco in the best West Coast
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: Conference game of the day, maybe the only one actually
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: of the day. This is on ESPN two. Big game
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: for both teams. I think Saint Mary's though, I mean,
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: you're always gonna get up for Saint Mary's when you're
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: in the West Coast Conference. Here Saint Mary's just beat
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: Washington State. I don't know if they consider that game
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: at this point to be a big game or not,
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: but Washington State is still that former Pac twelve team
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: still kind of has that name around them all though.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: Will Saint Mary's overlook San Francisco? I don't know. Saint
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: Mary's has Santa Clara next to Santa Clara is more
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: of a threat right now in the conference in San
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: Francisco as even though San Francisco is right behind them
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: in the standings, but Santa Clara. Possible that Saint Mary's
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: looks ahead to Santa Clara here. San Francisco just gotta
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: bounce back win over Pepperdine after San Francisco lost a
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: tough game at Loyal and marymount Man and double overtime,
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: and two days later they were still able to go
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: to Pepperdine and win. That's a decent sign man San
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: Francisco winning in a pretty difficult spot. Now they're back home,
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up, obviously for a game
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: against the second best team in this conference. It seems
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: to always be the second best team in the conference.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's already dropped from an eight point favorite to
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: a six point favorite, so you've already lost the key
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: number seven there. But I would probably agree with that
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: move and take the points with San Francisco if I
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: was gonna play that one. Saint Mary's plays really slow, man,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: so laying points is a road favorite with them. Not
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: really exactly what you want to do with a team
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: that plays that style. Though I know I laid I
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: laid them. They're that sexy, man, I laid them as
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: a favorite price at home not that long ago. Total
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: at one thirty nine and a half not exactly a
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: high total. And then CBS Sports does have a Mountain
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: West game to finish the night off in these degenerate
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: games here, the bailout games Boise at UNLV, this is
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: less interesting than the football matchup, Man, Boise. Don't know
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: what's going on with Boise right now. Man. Maybe they're
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: not as good as we thought they were at the
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: beginning of the season, although they have a pretty good
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: win against Saint Mary's a decent win over New Mexico
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: in here. I don't know, man, played decently. I guess
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: out in Florida against USC and NC State or they
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: still lost those games. I don't think we know who
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: Boise State is right now, man. They played well at
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: San Diego State three overtime loss, and then obviously we
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: could predict a bad performance coming in after that game,
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: we faded them here on the show. We gotta win
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: with Grand Canyon as boys Who was in a sandwich
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: spot there for that three to ot game, grueling game
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: against San Diego State, And they had this huge game
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: against Utah State up next where I thought, boys who
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: was gonna show up for that game? Utah State the
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: best team in the Mountain West, and Boise got wrecked
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: in that game. So now I don't know what we're
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: gonna get out of Boise State here. If they're still
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: as good as we thought they were early in the season,
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: they should show up here for a game at a
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: pretty weak UNLV team. But Boise, just because the losses
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: that they're coming off of, you think they need to
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: show up here. UNLV they'll probably show up as well
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: for a game against Bois. If you just lost at
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: Wyoming and Colorado State played fairly close against Colorado State
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: out in elevation, and now you want lvs to come
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: back home here, you know, is it possible they overlook
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: Bois because Boise hasn't been playing well. I don't know,
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: Boise's down for four to three and a half here.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: Don't see any of the percentages yet. I would kind
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: of lead towards Boise. I mean, the Osrigers is still
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: telling you that the better team, even that both these
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: teams have really ugly records. But other than that, I
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: don't really know what else to say about that game.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: All Right, we got hockey. I only have one play.
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: It's a huge hockey board, but I have one play
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: out of all of this mess being very selective. Today, man,
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: Vancouver is at Ottawa. Let's see Vancouver. They're on a
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: huge slide right now, losing seven games in a row,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: and they played yesterday though, so I don't know, Man,
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: a team on a seven game slide, you might want
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: to look to play on them because there probably will
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: be some value on them. But in a back to back,
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: a second or third excuse me, a third game in
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: four days, fourth game in six days, fifth game in
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: eight days on different cities. I just don't know if
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: I could do it. Man, It's just a really really
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: bad rest scenario for Vancouver. Ottawa has lost four games
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: in a row though, so they're on a skid as well.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: But their last two losses were at Colorado. Obviously didn't
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: expect them to win that game, and then they lost
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: to Florida and that was a tough loss. So I
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: would say that off of a tough loss like that,
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: sometimes you don't want to look to play on a
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: team because they might be in a hangover spot. But
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: a team has lost four games in a row might
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: show up. Man and Autowa has been off for two days,
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: so they have a huge rest advantage in this game.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: Although that's gonna be factored into the line. Ottawa is
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: a huge favor here though, down for minus two to
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: thirty five to minus two to thirty and the money
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: is coming in on Vancouver. For what it's worth, I
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: can't do it with Vancouver having this awful rest scenario.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: Ottawa should get the win at the very least, but
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: deceven percent of tickets on Ottawa Ottawa ninety six percent
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Vancouver. Take from that what you want.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: I guess that's I believe that's the money line market
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: here that we're seeing here, because the other sports is
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: the spread market. But I think because it shows the
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: money line market for hockey, I think that is the
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: money line market that we're seeing those percentages on. I
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I mean, I guess you could make
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: the argument that Auto was just too heavily favored here
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: and maybe they don't deserve to be. That's really the
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: only argument that I see, So I don't like it
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: at all. I have to just stay away. I kind
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: of lean towards Ottawa in the game, but I just
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: have to stay away. Man. I think these first three
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: games I lean against the market in them, although I mean,
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: do I want to play like a puck line on Ottawa?
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: Absolutely I do not. I think maybe Ottawa over their
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: team total might make sense, but this is expected to
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: be a high scoring game total at six used to
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: the over. You know, maybe some questions goaltending on the
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: Vancouver side, and Vancouver being this tired could affect their deepfense.
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would maybe auto over their team total
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: is the way to look at that game. Dirty sock.
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: What's up man? Thanks for hanging out Tennessee versus Texas
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: A and M Yes, I already talked about all of
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: the college basketball that I'm talking about. Yes, go catch
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: it and you can see, Dude, when I bring why
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: is it when I bring up like a comment or
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: like if I bring up a banner or something like,
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: why is it just stream yard fucking up? I don't
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: know what's going on. It's like it's not showing the
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: screen behind me anymore, though maybe you guys don't see
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: it that way. On the other end, I don't know.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: Something really weird going on a streamyard this morning. Tampa
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: Bay at Pittsburgh. Tampa Bay has won a ton of
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: games in a row here, Nine games in a row,
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: I think is what this is. They're on fire right now,
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: but they're on a back to back and they're playing
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: three games in four and as although all of them
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: in the state of Pennsylvania, though the previous two were
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: both in Philadelphia and they did have rest prior to that,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: although still could be a little bit of a tire
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: team here coming in after playing yesterday, which I thought
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: they were gonna lose yesterday in a zigzag they did not.
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: And now Vasilevsky at least should be back in net
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: for Tampa here because he is their better goalie and
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: they didn't play him yesterday, so that helps Tampa a
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: little bit. Pittsburgh has been off since Sunday. They lost
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: in a shutout one to nothing. That's an ugly loss,
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: even though it was only one to nothing, which yeah,
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: you could argue that was a tough loss. But I
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, whenever anybody gets shut out, I think
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: they will show up in the next game. You're not
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook a hot team like Tampa, man, So I
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: kind of lean Pittsburgh in this one. But Tampa Bay
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: is getting the money it looks like, although they're the
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: public side as well, eighty eight percent of tickets ninety
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on them. Obviously, I wouldn't
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: put much weight into a percentage that looks like that.
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: It's probably not accurate, but Tampa Bay up for minus
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: one twenty five to minus one thirty six, looks like
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: they are getting some of them money here. They're definitely
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: the better team. And I don't know if I really
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: want to step in front of that train, but Pittsburgh
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: is definitely the more rested team at the very least,
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: although Tampa will have a rested goalie here and the
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: better goalie because fast to Levski's better than all of
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's goalies. And I think Pittsburgh is still an overrated
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: commodity in general, so over valued commodity, so we will
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: see it. But at this spot I would slightly lean Pittsburgh,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: but I don't like it at all. Montreal at Washington. Montreal,
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: they just beat Vancouver yesterday said there are on a
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: back to back and they're traveling down to Washington from Montreal,
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: and now I don't like the fact they're running back
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: to back in a third game in four days. Could
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: be a little bit tired though, starting a road trip.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: I usually do say a team's gonna be focused when
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: they start a road trip because they want to get
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: the road trip off on the right foot. So I
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: see indicators going both ways here. Washington just lost to
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: Nashville in their last game. They didn't play yesterday either. Now,
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: technically they're returning over from a road trip, but it
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: was only Chicago Nashville only Friday and Sunday. So I
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: don't see this as a true road trip return where
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: they're gonna really be that distracted because they won't have
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: stuff that's really piled up at home because they haven't
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: been away for that long. They're coming off the uglier
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: performance in their last game, they have the rest, so
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean Washington in this one, although again
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: the money does not agree at all. Washington dropped for
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: minus one seventy eight to minus one thirty five. That
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: may be because of a goaltender switched, though I haven't
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: looked to see who the goalies might be in this game.
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: Seventy nine percent of the tickets ninety seven percent of
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: the cash on Montreal, So the money is indicating on Montreal.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: There but those first three games, I disagree with the
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: money on all of them, So I guess use that
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: information accordingly. But I don't have a strong opinion on
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: those games either. Jeffrey, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out. Garrett,
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? What are we talking? Wait? What North
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: Carolina playing Stanford? That's wait, I didn't talk about that game.
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: That's not tonight, is it? Let me see, I talked.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: I basically talk about all the big conference games. What
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: did I not talk about? I don't think that's tonight, man,
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what we're talking about. I talk about
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: all the ranked teams and stuff. I think. I don't
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: think that's tonight. I don't know what we're talking about.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: It's not tonight. It might be tomorrow, all right. Columbus
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: fired their coach. Oo, that is something I did not know.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: That is interesting. Okay, So that if that's true, that
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: is a reason to not fade Columbus here. There it
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: is they fired Evison, hired Bonus bon Nicks, who they
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: I thought he was supposed to play the play this
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: weekend and mile high man bo Nicks? What now? Good? Uh?
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: Good information, Jeffrey, Because you know I always talk about
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: the fired coach spot, so and we're about to talk
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: about this game anyway. So yeah, Calgary at Columbus. I
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: talk about this. When a team fires the coach a
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: lot of times, it'll spark the team because the team
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: either wasn't responding to that coach didn't like them, So
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: they'll get fired up because he's gone, and they want
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: to play it better. Maybe they like the new coach
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: and they'll play better for him, or at the very least,
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: they'll want to prove that they were playing poorly because
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: of the coach and not because of them, like it
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: wasn't them. So there are multiple reasons why the fire
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: coach spot works. So that is a positive for Columbus here.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: So that is a good reason to stay away from
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: this game completely because I think the spot favors Calgary otherwise,
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: and I considered Calgary, SOB likes Calgary in this game,
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: and so do why, But I definitely like them less
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: knowing the Columbus fired their coach. We got to stay
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: on top of this stuff, man, and know when coaches
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: get fired. Now, Calgary just ended a win. Excuse they
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: ended a losing streak. Excuse me with a win over Pittsburgh. Now.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: I like when teams end a losing streak. I do
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: like to jump on them sometimes to have new found momentum.
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: But they beat Pittsburgh, man, so it could be a
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown spot for Calgary. Out of that,
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: it was a nice win over Pittsburgh. They do have
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: two days off rest wise, I don't know if that'll
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: help when you're coming off a good win. Maybe you
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: want to keep playing and you don't want to have
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: that rest. Columbus is returning over from a road trip though,
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: so I can't get on board with Columbus here, man.
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: They were on the road since last Tuesday. They went
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast. They went into high elevation, won
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: the last game in overtime against Utah. What to finish
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: the road trip there. I always talk about them when
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: a team returns over from a road trub A lot
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: of times they'll be distracted because they have home life
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: to get back to and whatever, so tends to be
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: a distracted spot. Calgary definitely a team you won't necessarily
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: pay attention to, Man, but now the Columbus has fired
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: their coach, there might be a spark that they get here.
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: I will slightly lean to Calgary still because of the
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: scheduling spot, but I can't get involved in this game.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: Columbus down for minus one one thirty six on the
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: money line, seventy five percent of tickets and seventy three
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Columbus, so they're public with
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: less of the money on them, so the money the market.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: Reid is still saying Calgary. I agree with it, but
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: again fire coach spot is a strong spot that I
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: like to play on. Man, So we gotta we need
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: to be aware of it. We got to know the
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: news man keep we gotta keep abreast of the situation
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: and know when a team fires their coach. Yes, sir,
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: North Carolina, I believe it's tomorrow. Yes, all right, Detroit
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: at my Boston Bruins. This one almost made my card.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: I talked about this game yesterday because Detroit played yesterday
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: and I was like, this is gonna set up a
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: spot where Detroit's not gonna be in a good spot here, man,
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: which is true. They're on a back to back, They're
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: on a third game in four days, all in different cities,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: fourth game in six days with travel between all of them.
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: And what do they do yesterday? Yeah, they beat Carolina
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: in overtime yesterday. That is a huge win for Detroit.
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: Now they go to Boston back to back, could be
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot. They're probably gonna have to switch up
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: their goalie situation here from Talbot or excuse me, from
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: Gibson back to Talbot. Excuse me, although Talbot hasn't been
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: that bad, but Gibson's been their primary goalie recently, so
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: I think Detroit will switch it up to Talbot here.
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: For the Bruins, they'ren't a better spot here, man, because
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: they are coming off an ugly win. And I like
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: teams that are coming off ugly wins a bit better, man,
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: because they don't get much credit for that win, Like, yeah,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: it was a win over Pittsburgh, which is good, But
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: when you win ugly one nothing, the public still doesn't
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: want you because it's like, well, this team can't score
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: or why would I want them, but I think the
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: spot is better for the Bruins. It was a good
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: win over Pittsburgh, but then I gonna overlook Detroit. They
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: did lose to Detroit in Detroit on December second, although
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: I don't think that really matters necessarily, and I don't
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna really be a letdown spot again because
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: I think Detroit is a team Boston will show up for.
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: You'll have the better goalie net for the Bruins here
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: because swam and it should be back in Net's corporate
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: solo played in the last game, so it will be.
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: There will be a goaltending edge and a scheduling edge,
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: both in favor of the Bruins in this one. So
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: I like the Bruins here. They actually look like an
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: anti public home favorite here to Detroit is a public
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: dog in this game. Seventy seven percent of the ticket,
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the cash on them, with the
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: Bruins up for minus one twenty five to minus one
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: thirty one. So I like the Bruins in this one. Man,
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: it's this one is almost on my card, and I'm
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: you know, I'm tempted to do it. I'm pretty tempted man,
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: I know. I don't know. Man, with my pro Bruin bias,
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be like double pissed if I'm on them.
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: But you gotta you gotta stick to what works for you, man,
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: you gotta stick to the process and not let bias
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: interfere with you. So should I do it or should
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: I not do it? I mean this is I like
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: this one, and I like playing anti public favorites too,
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: because that means you're getting the like the favorite team
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: the better team in this spot. At least, oddsmakers are
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: actually telling you the Bruins are the slightly better team too,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: which I don't know about that, but it might have
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: something to do with the goaltending spot here though, Like
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: the Bruins have that extra edge. That plus the rest,
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: I think is why the Bruins are a little bit
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: heavier of a favorite here because I don't think they're
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: better than Detroit, but in this spot, yeah, it makes sense.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: Just win bets. What's up man? Thanks for checking out
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: the show. Yes, I do Toadstool Sports or no, wait,
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: hold on, let me check. I think it's actually still
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: off deadbetter at gmail dot com. I think is still
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: what it is. Let me double check that for a minute,
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: because I changed I changed my branding to toad Stool Sports.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: But I think it's still off dead better at Gmail.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: Is still the email. I'm gonna double check that right
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: now because I was better off dead before I changed
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: my name. Here, Yes it is. I'll type it out
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: for you. It's I should put it in my links too,
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: because I have a link track. I'll put the email
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: in there too. That's what it is, Off dead better
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: at chet gmail dot com, almost like go off track betting.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: Thank you sir. Now now he's gonna spam my emails
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: with shit? All right? You know what? Oh, thank you, sir.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: I will I will be watching for I'll see. I'll
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: see what you have to do. I'll see what. I'll
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: see what you have to say. All right, you know what?
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: We're gonna add the play on the Bruins here, you
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: know what? Fuck it? Let me see what the best
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: number we can get on the Bruins this year. We'll
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: have four plays today instead of three. How about that?
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: Still I think I'm being selected. It's a big hockey
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: board here. Let me look real quick here with the Bruins.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: What's the best number we can get here? I see
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty eight. That's what we'll do, minus one
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: twenty eight on the money line, Bruins. So we're gonna
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: have two money line favorites in hockey today, and I've
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: not talked about the other one yet, but that is
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: what we're gonna do here, Boston minus one twenty eight.
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: All right, there you go, Bruins minus one twenty eight.
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: Let's go Bruins, all right. Next game up is Carolina
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: at Saint Louis. Now, Carolina, they're on the back to
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: back as well, because they were in that game yesterday.
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: A lot of back to backs today in hockey, man,
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: and I like to generally I avoid teams that are
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: on the back to back, although maybe there are situations
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: where you should jump on a team in the back
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: to back, and it's very rare that I do it. Though.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: Now Carolina is coming off that overtime game against the
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: Trade that was I think that was kind of a
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: big game for both teams, and it ended a four
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: game win streak for Carolina, so I could see that
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: hanging them over into this game, and I don't see
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: them really paying that much attention to a struggling Blues
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: team here on the road, playing a third game in
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: four DA's as well, all in different cities, and Carolina
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: has Florida next. That's gonna be a big game again. Man.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: They lost at home five to two last time of
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: the day Florida. They actually lost a home and home
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: to Florida on December nineteen to twenty third lost both games,
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: So I think they're gonna be looking ahead to that
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: Florida game too. So I think this is a sandwich spot.
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: I like Saint Louis in this game. Man for Saint Louis.
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: I can't really jump on board with Saint Louis either though,
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: because they're coming home from a road trip here and
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: that's a bad spot. As I always point out, they
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: didn't go well. I mean, they did still go out
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast. They were gone since Wednesdays. They're
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: gone for almost a week. And I talk about when
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: teams were turning on from road trips. They tend to
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: be a little bit distracted how to get back to
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: home life. It affects bad teams more than it affects
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: good teams. So that is the spot that they're in.
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: They do have a couple of days rest, so they're
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: the more rested team. I still prefer Saint Louis in
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: this spot, and I don't think that Carolina is really
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: a team you're really gonna overlook like it could help
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: you get past those distractions. You do play Tampa next,
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: and then Edmonton will be a bigger game because that
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: is a conference game. So I can't jump in on
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: this one. I'll stay away from the game, but I
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: agree with Saint Louis in this game. That's the way
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: I've been leaning in this game. Carolina is up for
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty five to minus one sixty two on
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: the money line, ninety three percent of the tickets and
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of the cash as far as what
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: this market reach shows here, so it's showing Carolina as
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: a public side with less of the money on them.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: So the market does agree with the Saint Louis side
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: as well. You could make like make your own plus
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: one puck line on that one and make it a
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: little bit less of a risky bet, make it more
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: risk averse in a way there, and then if Saint
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: Louis comes within one that you'll at least push your
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: bet Edmonton at Nashville. Take a look at this game Edmonton.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: They just beat Chicago yesterday four to one, so they're
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: on a back to back. They're playing a third game
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: in four days and a fourth game in six days,
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: all in different cities, so again, pretty difficult travel spot here.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: And they do play the Islanders next, and the Islanders
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: have been playing better, so they might look past Nashville
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: and be looking towards the Islanders. Man Edmonton already beat
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: Nashville at home back on January sixth, six to two,
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: so they might not take Nashville totally seriously here. Nashville
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: is coming into this game off a pretty big win
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: over Washington. That was a nice win. Washington's a good team.
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: Don't really think they're gonna overlook Edmonton, so it's more
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: of a question of whether or not they're gonna be
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: able to put in an effort multiple games in a
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: role like this. Nashville, of course, again, they did just
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: lose to Edmonton ugly, so they should show up for
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: this game against Edmonton, though they do play Colorado and
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: Vegas up next on the road, but I don't see
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: them overlooking Edmonton. It's gonna be more of a question
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: of how tired is Nashville gonna be here, but I
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: agree with the Nashville side here. There you go, Jeffrey,
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: I'm not always anti Nashville here, even though they let
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: me down a lot. Fifty five percent of the tickets
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: and eighty three percent of the cash on Nashville, so
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: the money does agree with it. I agree with it. Obviously.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: Edmonton a minus one fifteen road favorite here, that is
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: not my play, but I will agree with the Nashville
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: side and that one. Islanders are at Winnipeg this game
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: I have somewhat of an opinion on as well. The
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: Islanders just beat Minnesota in overtime, had a couple of
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: days off, but I think an overtime win like that
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: against a good team can kind of stick in your
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: mind and just be feeling really good about it. Now
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: they're going to Winnipeg and up next they got Edmonton, man,
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: so this looks like a pretty classic sandwich spot that
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: the Islanders are in here, so I could see them
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: looking past Winnipeg. Winnipeg really has not been playing well,
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: although Winnipeg has some newfound momentum because they won two
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: games in a row coming off a pretty decent win
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: over New Jersey though, so I don't know if it's
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: gonna be any sort probably not gonna be a letdown
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: spot or anything like that, because I think they will
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: focus for the Islanders coming into town. But they do
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: have Minnesota up next that is a bit of a
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: bigger game because it's a divisional matchup, I believe, so
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of a concern there. But this
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: new momentum with Winnipeg ending that long lost streak and
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: having two wins in a row does look good for
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: having some positive momentum coming in here. So I like
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg in this game. The money is not agreeing with
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: this one. Winnipeg down for minus one thirty five to
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty five, seventy six percent of tickets, ninety
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on the Islanders. Probably not accurate. Again,
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: but the actual money does look like it's on the
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: Islanders for now, But I don't agree with that. I
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: like Winnipeg in that game, but my actual play, because
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: SOB is a SOB is a spy man, We'll throw
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: the best pets graphic up here. Again, Sab basically knows
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: what I'm doing here. Man. We are gonna be on
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: Utah on the money line. Al though it's a little
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: bit of a price minus one forty eight, and some
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: of it is because of the rest spot here. If
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: you want to switch it up and go with how
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: I showed you one of those like your own minus
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: one puck lines, you could do that too, be a
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: little bit more risk averse and put less money on
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: the line. But then if Utah wins by one, you'll
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: only push the bet. But you could do that if
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: you want to. Probably winds up being about sixty percent
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: of the bet on the money line, I think is
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: the way that it would work out there, and then
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: the rest of the bet on the plus money puck
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: line there is probably how it would work out. But
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: if it's a money line below minus one fifty, I'm
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: usually just gonna go money line with it. They're playing Toronto.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: Toronto is in a horrible spot. Toronto's on a back
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: to back. They're playing a third game in four days,
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: fourth game in sixth day. Is all in different cities,
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: and actually a fifth game in eight days, zigzagging travel
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: between all the games. So back on the eighth, they
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: beat Philadelphia in overtime on the road. They came back
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: home shut out Vancouver on Saturday, and then yesterday they
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: went to Colorado and beat them in overtime. Nobody really
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: beats Colorado, man, I mean that was like a monumental win.
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: Although Colorado has been beaten in overtime more than the
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: beaten in regulate, then beaten in regulation, but still, you
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: go into Colorado as a massive underdog, as a very
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: mediocre team like Toronto and you pull off that win.
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: That's insane, man. So I think they're gonna be in
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: a massive letdown spot off of this, plus maybe extra
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: tire because the game went into overtime. Was a close
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: game the whole way. The game was close on the
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: scoreboard too, so it wasn't like a misleading score or
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: anything like that. Everything was pretty close statistically in the game.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: But as we go we go to the settings there, whoops,
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: screw you, Firefox. All right. Yeah, I don't have a
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: whole lot else to say about the box score there.
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: But now Toronto's on the back to back off of
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: that of a huge game. I don't know what else
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: I have to say about it. But I also think
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: this is a sandwich spot. And it's also a second
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: game in elevation in a row, so they gotta go
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: to Utah. I think they might overlook Utah. They did
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: play Utah way earlier in the season, and they beat
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: them on November fifth in Toronto, I think, the only
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: time they played them this year. But I'm not gonna
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: put much weight into that as being a revenge spot
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. I just think that Utah is
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: a mediocre team that oh Utah. Yeah, I have the
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: other Utah jersey on today for the Jazz getting it
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: done for us yesterday, but maybe the Mammoths get it
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: done for us today. Maybe I'll have the proper Utah
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: jersey tomorrow. Let's say, I may or may not have
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: some new jerseys at my disposal here. But I think
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: this is also sandwich spot for Toronto. Man, They're playing
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: Vegas on Thursday on ESPN. That's a huge game. Vegas
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: is definitely gonna draw more of your attention than Utah. Well,
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: I think so. I think this is a sandwich spot
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: for sure, and I think the spot sets up better
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: for Utah. Of course, some of the rest is being
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: factored into the line here. Utah hasn't plates It's Sunday.
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: They lost in overtime to Columbus, not a good loss.
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up man staying at home
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: here one or excuse me. Yeah, they're two and one
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: on the home stand, but I think they will still
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: show up here. Yeah, they do have Dallas up next,
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: but I think because Toronto beat Colorado last night, Utah
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: will be on notice here and they're coming off of
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: a loss, so I think we expect Utah to show
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: up here. It'll probably be the Melka back in net
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: for them. He's been their primary goalie. They've won four
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: of his last five games, so that's a decent sign
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: that it should be him in net here, and decent
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: sign if he is in net he's been their better goaling.
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: Also a decent sign that the money agrees with this.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: You might get a little bit of a cheaper price
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: actually on Utah. I'll go look in a second Utah
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: down for minus one fifty five to now minus one
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: forty four. But they're getting the actual money on them.
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: I believe sixty eight percent of tickets are on Toronto.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: Sixty five percent of the cash though on Utah, so
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: it looks like the actual money is on Utah, and
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: kind of a pros versus Joe's scenario. Toronto's been playing
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: better so the public is gonna want more to do
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: with Toronto here. But Toronto's not that good on the
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: road seven to ten and two on the road, despite
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: what they did yesterday. Utah a little bit better at
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: home eleven seven and two, a little bit of a
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: home road split there in favor of Utah and against
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: Toronto as well. So I like Utah in that one obviously,
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: And then let me see if there's a better Maybe
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: there's a better price on it right now, because again
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: I just throw these into the system before I kind
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: of figure it out. I see minus one forty five.
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: It's not too much of a difference, but it is
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: at least something. I mean, every little bit counts, right.
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: You want to get the best number that you can,
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: so alright, let me I'll adjust that so it looks
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: like that's the best number you can get right now
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: as I give this out. So not much of a
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: difference really though. So that's it. Let's go. Well, let's
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: go with Utah Baby, Utah tonight? Who do I wrote
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: for one way? Two? Look for Utah. Let's root for
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: Utah Baby? The best jersey? What you like the mammoth jury?
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: You mean this this jazz jersey. I like this look
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: with the Jazz. It's like it blends the old and
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: the new, because you remember the Utah Jazz nineties. This
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: was the font that they had and they had this
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: like mountain jersey like this, when now they're back to
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: using a jersey that kind of looks like this. So
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: I like that, And I like the purple with like
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: teal blend like, I like that too. It's like we're
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: back in the dude. I was a child of the nineties.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: I was watching the Utah Jazz in the nineties. You know,
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: we don't want to talk about Karl Malone, the male
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: man delivering his package to underage girls, but I liked
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: how that team played. I was a fan of John Stockton,
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: you know. Yes, that's part of the reason why I
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: wanted a jazz jersey, just because of the freshness of it,
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: because it looks it's it's nineties fresh baby. It looks
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: like that nineties jazz logo again. And then yeah, and
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: also because I don't know, there were some players on
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: the team that I like, and I'm just kind of
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: trying to stick it to the people that made fun
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: of me for being an Ace Bailey fan during the draft.
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: He hasn't done a whole lot yet, but we'll see. Man,
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: he's a decent role player at the very least. All right,
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: we'll finish hockey off with Dallas at Anaheim, and then
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: we got to do NBA. Still long show today, guys, NBA.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: I don't think there's a ton of NBA today, but
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I forget, Dallas just beat the Kings
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: three to one yesterday, so they're on a back to back,
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, all in different cities.
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: But they're only traveling from la to Anaheim between yesterday
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: and today, so that's a quick trip at the very
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: least for them, quick trip like the little convenience story
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: that you go to man Anaheim coming into this on
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: a real bad skid. They've lost I think nine games
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: in a row, and they're returning home from a road trip,
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: so I don't think that's helpful. Man, Again, when you
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: return on from a road trip. They've been on the
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: road since last Monday, and they went out to the
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: East Coast. Even though they lost every game in the row,
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: I think the public kind of has a tendency to
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: think the team will bounce back, although I don't think
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be on Anaheim against Dallas here. But generally
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: the public thinks, oh, this team will bounce back now
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: they're back home. But I always look at it the
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: other way. I think the distractions tend to come into
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: play when you're back at home. Things have piled up
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: to do it at home, and you tend to not fully
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: focus on your game, especially because Anaheim does have to
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: go out again in their next game, although it is
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: only in La though, so they're probably gonna stay at
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: home really as far as where they live and whatever,
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: so that's not really a road trip there. But the
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: other question is will they really overlook Dallas here? I
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: don't know, because Dallas obviously is a team that will
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: usually draw your focus, so maybe Anaheim will not overlook Dallas.
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: Anaheim they do have multiple days off as well, at
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: the very least, so maybe that will help them a
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: little bit here. Desire to look at Dallas's side of things,
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: I think I did. Yeah, so Dallas is the less
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: rested team here. The money is coming in on Anaheim
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: for what it's worth, sixty two percent of the tickets
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: are on Dallas, eighty three per se of the cash
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: on Anaheim Dallas up to minus one sixteen on the
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: money line, But I don't know, man, I mean Anaheim.
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: I really don't want to jump in on a team
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: that is returning on from a road trip, so obviously
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: it's a pass for me. A lot of money coming
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: in on the over to the point where we almost
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: have a total of seven in this game, and that
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: seems very high for a Dallas game because they usually
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: I think, focus more on defense just to some extent,
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: But man, that total is high. It's probably high for
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: a reason because Dallas has no rest and Anaheim might
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of a lapse and focus here.
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: So I don't really disagree with an over in that one.
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: I guess I'll have to agree with the market read
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: on the Anaheim side there because it's so strong. But
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: I don't want any part of it. And let's go
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: to NBA to finish this thing off here. Oh yeah,
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: we don't have too many NBA games. Phoenix at Miami.
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: Uh not what I wanted to do ESPN al right, Phoenix.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: I think Phoenix is in kind of a positive spot here. Man.
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: They just beat Washington at home, and what I thought
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: was a bad spot for Phoenix. We lost on Washington
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: in that game. Phoenix had beaten the Knicks in the
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: game prior to that, and they had this road trip
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: upcoming with Miami Detroit New York, so I thought it
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: was a sandwich spot, but they still covered against Washington.
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: Now they're starting the road trip with momentum, so I
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: think this is probably a positive spot for Phoenix, so
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: that maybe you have to worry that the overlook Miami
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: for Detroit up next, because Detroit, of course has the
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: better wrecord, but Miami does have I believe Miami basically
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: has their healthy lineup back now, al though I guess
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: I have to look because actually a hero might not
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: be in there. I don't know. Now Miami, they're not
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: in a good spot. Miami's are turning over from road
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: trip that they've been on since last Tuesday, and you
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: know I talk about teams are turning over from road trips,
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: bad spot. They can get a little bit distracted. Maybe
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: they won't overlook Phoenix because Phoenix has been playing some
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: pretty good basketball. Although Miami has Boston next that's a
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: big game, a conference game against the Celtics, so it
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: is possible they overlook phoen Here Miami did finish the
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: road trip having to play in Oklahoma City. They lost
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: by twelve, which is respectable. So I don't know, man,
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: I don't love the spot for Miami though, the return
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: home aspect of it. In Phoenix starting a road trip
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: with momentum, a spot like that, you know I'm always
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: gonna lean to the team it's started the road trip.
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: I lean Phoenix in this game, but the money is
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: in complete disagreement with it. The heat of flip from
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: a one point dog to a one point favored. I
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: don't understand that fifty four percent of the cash on
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: the Heat sixty one percent of the tickets on the Suns, though,
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: I don't understand why. I mean, for me my situation,
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: I'll read on this is Suns and it was one
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: of my stronger reads on the NBA board, But seeing
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: the market looking like this, it's not confirming my thoughts
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: on it at the Really, sometimes I will fade the
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: market read if I feel strongly about it, but this one,
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: I just I'm not strong enough on it. But I
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: do like the Suns in that one. Thorough Bailey is
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: eight Ace Billies and Dad not not thorough raised throw
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: Ravens Crop. Is that his name? You're a mean one,
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: mister Grinch, the guy who sings that in the Tony
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: the Tiger Guy. There are great. Thank you, Jeffrey, thanks
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: for hanging out again as usual. All Right, we have
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: the Bulls at Houston here. The Bulls have a little
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: bit more rest kind of because they had that postponed
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: game that was supposed to happen against Miami, so they've
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: only played on Saturday. That's the only game they played
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: since last Wednesday. So pretty rested Bulls team coming in here.
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: They beat Dallas, use that rest of their advantage and
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: beat Dallas on Saturday. Now they're coming in They're not
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: going to overlook Houston, obviously, but it's probably a little
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: bit of a difficult spot to go in there to Houston.
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: But Houston's is turning over from a road trip. So
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: Houston has been on the road since Wednesday. Last week
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: they went out to the Pacific Coast. They lost all
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: three games horrendously, two game in a row against Portland.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: They screwed us, they didn't zigzag and we lost in
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: the middle game there. On the second game against Portland,
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: we lost on Houston. They blew the game and then
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: they had a horrible performance to finish the road Toro
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: against Sacramento. I don't know what that was for Houston there.
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: Durant didn't make the stat sheet. I don't know if
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: he was out for that game or what. But bad game.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: But again, the public's probably gonna have a tendency to think, well,
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: Houston's gonna bounce back here because now they're back at home,
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: and again I look at it the opposite way. They've
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: been away for a while, they're back home, they might
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: get distracted, have stuff to do at home. Chicago hasn't
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: been playing that well. I think Chicago's still without Giddy,
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: so a team that you might overlook. And Houston plays
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City and Minnesota in their next two games. Those
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: are bigger games. So I do not like to spot
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: for Houston here. I think it's Chicago or pass in
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: this game. I'm passing, but I like Chicago here. Let's
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: see if the market agrees with me on this one.
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: But we also got to look at the Yeah, we
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: gotta look at the personnel. Giddy is still out, Kobe
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: White looks like he's listed as out as well. He's
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: not playing either, so it's gonna be a shorthanded Bulls
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: team here, although what else is new? So what are
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: we looking at for the market? Read here? The money
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: is all coming in on the Rockets man sixty one
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, eighty four percent of the cash
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: on them. They're up from twelve to thirteen. But again,
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna disagree with the market on both of these
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: games I've talked about here so far. I would play
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: the Bulls plus the points or pass on the game
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: total dropped to two twenty four and a half, probably
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: a lot of it because the Bulls have their top
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: two scores gone in the game. But the lower total
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: at least means it's a little bit more advantageous to
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: take the points. That is what I would do in
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: that game. But I'm staying away and let me look
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: at the always got to look at the person now
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: in these games man for the NBA, Jalen Green is
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: still out for Phoenix, so I think he's been out
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: for a while. And then Miami looks like they pretty
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: much have a full roster here, so not really a
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: whole lot going on here. It looks like they will
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: have hero in auto bio playing and whatever. Both guys
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: have been back for a bit. Minnesota at Milwaukee Minnesota
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: as ESPN. Dude, I hate this like hoverover thing where
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: it brings up the menu, screws up what I want
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: to do. I'm clicking too fast. Minnesota just beat San Antonio, man,
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: so they could be in a bit of a sandwich
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: spot here. That was a big win over one of
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: the top teams in the West against San Antonio. Now
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: they're going to Milwaukee, and yeah, they're starting a road
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: trip with momentum technically usually a positive spot. But are
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: they really gonna focus on Milwaukee even if Yiannis is
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: there again? After Minnesota beat San Antonio and their next
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: game on Friday is an ESPN game at Houston and
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: then they play San Antonio again, I don't think so
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: they're in like a Texas brisket sandwich here. Man. This
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: is a bad spot from Minnesota. So then I'm gonna
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: look at the Milwaukee side here. And unfortunately Milwaukee's returning
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip and it's one of these
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: road trips road trip returns where they have one game
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: at home and then they go back right out on
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: the road again. So it's a bad spot for Milwaukee
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: as well because that road trip return. As they always say,
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: you can get distracted. You have to get back to
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: home life again. But it's even worse when you only
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: have like one day to do it and then you
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: have to get back right out on the road again.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: You get rushed and having to do that stuff. So
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for the Bucks either, and
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: they played pretty tough to finish the road trip. They
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: beat the Lakers, although without Reeves of course, the Lakers.
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: Lakers not really that good really, man. I mean, there'll
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: be a playoff team, but they're not great. When they
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: get the Reeves back and stuff, we'll see, but they
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: haven't been very good, especially not on the defensive side
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: of things. Milwaukee then played really close at Denver, al
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: though I know it was Denver without Jokic, without jokicch
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: excuse me, And I thought it was a bad spot
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: We played Denver in that game because Milwaukee was coming
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: off the win over LA. They had Minnesota up next. Yeah,
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: part of the handicap was they were gonna look at
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: ed to Minnesota. But I don't know, man, this is
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: still a bad spot here, and they gotta go right
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: back out and play San Antonio next to is a
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: big game as well, so it's not a good spot
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: for Milwaukee. It's not a good spot for either team here.
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on the Bucks side, but
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: they flip from a three point doctor with three and
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, So I have to explain why
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: that is as well, seventy percent of tickets seventy nine
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on the Bucks. But now,
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: another reason to not fade the Tea Wolves now is
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: because the Bucks now the line has flipped six and
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: a half points, and it's because Anthony Edwards is not
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: playing in the game. I think it's a rest game
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: for Edwards, which does kind of tell you the t
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: Wolves may not be totally focusing on this game. But
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: we see it time and time again when these teams
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: rest players, it does sort of become with the injured
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: player theory spot a lot of times, and the team
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: knows they have to step it up without their star
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: player there. So you might see a bigger effort from
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: the t Wolves just because they know they have to
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: without Ae in the lineup there. So that's what's going
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: on there, And maybe a little bit of extra value
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: on the Tauls because maybe the line overreacted a little
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: bit to the Bucks overreacted a little bit. I mean
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: on the Bucks side, overreacted to Anthony Edwards not playing
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: in the game. Excuse me, So a lot of things
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: to consider in that game. I can't do it. The
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: over to me kind of makes sense in that game
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: because Edward's out of the game, the total is gonna
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: overreact and it drops seven points down to two twenty
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: six and a half. So I think bucking that overreat
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: bucking Ah might make sense in that game. With both
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: teams in bad spots. It could affect the deepense a bit.
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: Money's coming in in the under there, but I don't know.
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: I would kind of buck that, And maybe some of
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: that money is from the move to the under based
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: on the Edwards news, but I don't know. Fifty eight
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets are on the over, ninety four percent
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the under them. Then we have
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: Denver at New Orleans. Denver's coming off that win over
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: the Bucks. Again, that was a win for us on
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: the show, so I'm happy about that. Now they do
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: start the road trip here with momentum, but they do
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: play Dallas next on ESPN tomorrow, so that may be
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a look ahead, very easy to
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: overlook New Orleans, man and coming up a nice little
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: win over Milwaukee as well for Denver. Now New Orleans,
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: they're not playing well, of course, and they're returning over
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: from a road trip here. They've been on the road
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: since Wednesday. Wasn't a long road trip though, distance wise.
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: Whatever they stayed, they went out to the Eastern time
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: zone and that's all they did. And now they're coming
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: back to New Orleans, which I believe is a central
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 1: time zone, and they may not overlook Denver, even though
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: it is Denver without Jokich. New Orleans does only play
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn next, but it is still technically a return home
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: spot where distractions can come into play here. So I
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: don't love that the money is saying Pelicans though, and
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: I don't really disagree with it. Nuggets down from three
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: and a half to two and a half here, their
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: public sixty six percent of tickets, only sixty percent of
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: the cash. You know, the public is fading the Pelicans
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: pretty much, game in and game, although I think they're
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: maybe not quite as bad as the record looks. I'll
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: agree with the market reading that one towards the Pelicans slightly,
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: but don't want anything to do with it. The big
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 1: game of the night, the first NBC game is San
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: Antonio at Oklahoma City. This is a triple revenge spot
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: for Oklahoma City. Man, San Antonio. They're coming in off
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: that close lost in Minnesota. They're playing a third game
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: in four days, all in different cities, so the travel
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: spot is tough. They beat Boston in Boston on Saturday,
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: back to back. On Sunday, they played a close one
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: and lost in Minnesota. Now they're going to Oka See.
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: Difficult spot for san Antonio here man, three games in
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: four days, all in different cities. Yeah, they're gonna get
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: up for a game against okay See, but I think
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: Oka See wants this game more. Probably okay See is
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: just staying at home. They have a little bit more
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: rest here and again San Antonio is I believe that
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 1: the only team to beat Oklahoma City that Oklahoma City
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: is not also beaten during the season, because Oklahoma City
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: did beat Charlotte three of their loss to Oklahoma City
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: has seven losses. Three of them are to San Antonio.
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: Almost to Charlotte, they did beat them as well, almost
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: to Phoenix. They've already beaten Phoenix, almost to Minnesota. They've
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: already beaten Minnesota, so and almost to Portland, and they
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: beat Portland. Of course we had them in the revenge
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: spot against Portland. That was a win for us with
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: Okay see there, but that was because Portland was the
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: only team that had beaten them. But it is still
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: the case now that Oklahoma City San Antonio is the
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: only team that has beaten them that they have not beaten,
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: So I do think this is big. San Antonio beat
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City during the NBA Cup, so they beat them
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: on a neutral They beat them in San Antonio before that,
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: and then I really thought Oklahoma City was gonna beat
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: them back at home, and I think we did lose
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: the NBA Cup one, but they played back at home
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: or excuse the NBA Cup game was first actually my
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: mistaken that was a close two point loss. Then they
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: lost at San Antonio. Then I played them on Christmas,
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: my only play on Christmas, the Zigzag spot, right after
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: playing San Antonio and seeing what adjustments Oklahoma City could make,
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: and they still lost outright in Oklahoma City. So San
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: Antonio's beating them in every different place, and I think
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: they actually play them two more times because the NBA
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: Cup is always just extra games. So they do still
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: have to play San Antonio again on the road at
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: some point. Yeah, that's February fourth, they do. But I
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: think Oklahoma City's got to get this thing, man. San
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: Antonio beat them last time they were here. I believe
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: the line in that game was, what was it about
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: ten and a half maybe for the Thunder. And I
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: think you're actually getting value on the Thunder here now
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: because they're only an eight point favorite here now, so
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: there might be a little bit of value. They are
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 1: getting a little bit of a cheaper number on the Thunder.
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 1: And we know how good they are at home. They
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: win by an average of like probably still about seventeen
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: to eighteen points at homes of the Thunder. They do
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: quite well at home. Sixty one percent taket sixty eight
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Spurs, though some money
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: coming in towards the Spurs. But I don't agree with it, man,
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: Al though the public might have a tendency to want
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: to play the revenge angle here as well, but I
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: think it's got to be okay, see your pass in
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 1: this one. I think it is a big game for them,
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 1: so that is what I would do putting your your
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 1: life savings on it. Obviously, I'm gonna recommend I know
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 1: you're not being serious, but obviously I recommend against doing that. Bet.
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: Bet only what you can afford. Man, that's the whole thing.
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: It's disciplined. If you want to add Oklahoma City to
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: your card, make it a play that's somewhere between you know,
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 1: one percent, two percent, three percent of your bank roll.
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: Basically that's what basically all of your plays should be,
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 1: unless it's like the absolute strongest play, very rare situation
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: where you might want to ramp that up to like five.
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: I never really do. I was always doing three percent,
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: three percent, three percent for everything, so it basically, you know,
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: it became like just a unit size. Atlanta is at
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: LA at the Lakers. Excuse I always just say LA
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: because it's easier to say it, but we got two
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 1: LA teams in basketball, and I do not like the Lakers,
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: obviously as a Boston fan. Atlanta gotta win for us
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: against Denver back on Friday. They crushed Denver and then
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: they went into Golden State and beat them by double
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: digits too. So Atlanta playing pretty well here on this
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: road trip I don't think they're gonna overlook the Lakers though,
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: two pretty good wins for Atlanta, but it's not a
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: spot where I feel that they're gonna overlook their opponent
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: because the Lakers are still the Lakers. Lakers have lost
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: three games in a row, though, Lakers are coming home
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: just from a single game road trip to Sacramento when boy,
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: that was an ugly game. They're on a back to
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: back of the Lakers are, but they did have multiple
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: days off prior to that, so the rest isn't horrible
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 1: from them because they had two days off prior to
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: yesterday's game at Sacramento. That was a horrible game, man
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: ugly game for them. I don't know if they rested guys.
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: I know they're still without Reeves whatever, but I might
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: lean to the Lakers here just because that was an
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: awful game. I know it's a back to back, but
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: it might be a spot where it makes sense to
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: lean towards the Lakers here. The Hawks have flipped from
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: a one point dodge to a three point favorite, though
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: fifty six percent of tickets sixty seven percent of the
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: cash on them. I don't really agree with that. I
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 1: would probably take the points with the Lakers if I
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: was gonna do it, I don't know what's going on
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: with that number in this game, though, Man, it looks
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 1: like Persingis is not playing in the game, although what
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: else is new. He's got issues, He's gonna be out
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: for the Hawks. It looks like maybe the line has
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: moved on the Hawks because of all this, all these
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 1: question marks on the Lakers here. Lebron is a question mark.
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: We don't really see anything about whether Lebron is playing
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 1: or not. An issue with his foot, Luca has a
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 1: thigh issue. Don't know if he's playing. He looks pretty
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: questionable actually, So I don't know, man, So I think
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 1: because of all these question marks, that's why the Hawks
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: have moved up the line. But I think, honestly, if
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: you get this mash unit of a Lakers team and
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: the line moves up further, you might be definitely getting
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: some value on the Lakers here. Man, as a home dog.
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: We'll see, but I'm not gonna touch the game. Just
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: way too many question marks right now too. Obviously we
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: know that Reeves is out sotill for the Lakers, but
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: there's a lot of weirdness going on in that game.
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 1: And then Atlanta. I don't know how's McCollum been doing
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 1: because they picked him up in that trade, but I
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: think he's been more of a bench player since they
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: got him. They haven't he hasn't played yet for them.
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: I guess, Oh no, wait this no he has right
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: because this this thing is just all out of whack?
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: Are there were? No? Wait he didn't. Wait did he
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 1: play in the Golden State game or not? Hang on
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: because this is the last game they played. Yeah, he did,
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: it's just the he didn't play that well, but he
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: did come off the bench. You only played twenty four minutes.
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: He was off shooting. But you know, we'll see how
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: he integrates into the line up here. But I don't
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: think McCollum being there matters that much. But ESPN has
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 1: that thing totally mess stop where it doesn't show you
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: when he actually came over to Atlanta. So Portland is
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: at Golden State on nbcmpcock to finish off the slate here, dude,
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: I mean that is such a downgrade after you get
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: San Antonio and okay, see in primetime, then it's like
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: stick with us because we have another game for you
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: late night. Portland and Golden State. Yeah, okay, the under
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: five hundred Portland Trailblazers with half their team injured against
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 1: the Golden State Warriors, or with half their team being
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: forty years old the Portland Trailblazers. They just had a
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: close game against the Knicks, man, and it ended a
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: win stream for the Blazers. Blazers are on a nice
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: little run here, being used to twice and then playing
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: pretty close against the Knicks before falling short, and that
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: also ended a win stream for them. So I think
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: they might be a little bit hung over coming into
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: this game. Man, when you lose a win streat sometimes
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 1: it hangs you over big effort game against the Knicks
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: that they're coming off of. So I would look towards
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: Golden State in this game. Golden State just lost at
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: home against Atlanta, not a good game for them. Debatably,
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: they could look ahead maybe to the Knicks here, but
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: I just don't think they're gonna overlook this game. They
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: lost last time they played Portland on the road. I
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: don't know if that matters that much back in mid December,
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: not late December. Late December. Back in twenty five. The
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: Golden State Warriors will no longer be alive because their
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: players are really old. All right, But I would lean
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: a Golden State in this game, but the money disagrees
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: with me on that one too. They're a ten and
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: a half way favorite, which looks kind of ridiculous, like
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: why would you want to late end and half points
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: with a team it's not that much above five hundred.
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 1: Golden State's good at home, though thirteen and six Blazers
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: not very good on the road at nine to eleven,
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 1: so a little bit of home road dichotomy there. Sixty
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 1: nine percent of ticket eight percent of the couch on
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: the Warriors, though the market is indicating on the Blazers
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: for now, but I would lean the other way there.
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: And I do not have a basketball play here, although
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: I think the closest that I was was probably I
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 1: like the Suns, but the market is totally against it,
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: and then I do like the Bulls as well. But yeah,
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: I'm just I gotta stay away from all that crap man.
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: So we have four players today, Thanks guys for hanging out.
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: We got in college basketball, we got Minnesota plus the points,
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: and we got Oklahoma up plus the points. And then
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: in hockey we got my Boston Bruins on the money
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: line and the Utah ma'am I on the money line.
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 1: Let's go Utah. That's gonna do it. I'll learn it
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 1: tone on Twitter and learn it tone on Instagram, Mike subscribe,
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: give me a good reviews here on the channel. Let's
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: bump this channel up, baby, we got We're on audio.
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 1: Give me good reviews over there. Spotify, Apple, let's do
• 1:52:54
  Speaker 1: it covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube.
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 1: You can check that out. You covers gotta get back into.
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: I gotta post the ones that I did recently. Gotta
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: get on that as well. I feel like I'm way
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: too busy of a man, man, just with all the
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: betting crap that I'm doing. It just takes a lot
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 1: out of me. Man. What else we have? Oh, Patreon,
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: dot com, slash and learn to toad. You can throw
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: me some support there. It is mostly support, but yes,
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 1: I will respond to requests for you covers. I still
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: gotta get on a couple of these recent ones. I
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: know it takes me a while when I don't know
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: the songs that well, especially, so go check that out.
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: You get a little bit of bonus stuff as well.
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: A Spotify Yuke feed. Maybe I should start doing some
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: bonus betting content on there too. I don't know Paywall
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: the bracket streams, I don't know. And then loser casts
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 1: will be on to and I checked that. I gotta
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 1: figure out a loser for this week, although I feel
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 1: like probably we're all gonna we're all gonna want to
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: nominate in one particular loser this week, so I might
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: have to have a backup plan, a plan be. We'll
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: see what happens, but loser casts check it out. Tonight.
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: It'll be on YouTube, I believe as usual, though if
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: we stayed just on YouTube, we're gonna get banded mess.
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: I've been telling late and we gotta simulcast to Rumble man.
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: He's like, I hate Rumble. I'm like, come on, man,
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: let's do it. But check it out. I think it
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 1: was funny last week, hopefully it will be again. That's
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. I appreciate it, guys, and I'll be
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 1: back tomorrow. Probably. I gotta see how big the Wednesday
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: college basketball board is, man, because it takes a lot
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 1: on me to do all the college basketball. We'll see
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: if I want to do it tonight instead of tomorrow morning.
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 1: But that'll do it for now, at least peace