Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 10 | November 2, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:13Speaker 1: What's going on everybody? We tend college football Here for
- 0:17Speaker 1: another edition of the Ship at Nation College Football Show.
- 0:20Speaker 1: My name is Bill. Put a dollar in front of it.
- 0:22Speaker 1: You'll find me on Discord on Twitter. I'm glad to
- 0:24Speaker 1: have you here. You know we're ready for another week
- 0:27Speaker 1: at college football. A lot of good things happened last week.
- 0:30Speaker 1: We found some things out about guys. We have a
- 0:33Speaker 1: team on the slate today that this week that broke
- 0:35Speaker 1: a lost a thirty five point lead, something ridiculous like that.
- 0:40Speaker 1: But we'll get to that in a minute. But first
- 0:43Speaker 1: things first, we're still pushing a ten thousand subscribers on YouTube,
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- 1:06Speaker 1: to ten k and you'll join the party when we celebrate.
- 1:09Speaker 1: But this week we're gonna jump right into the slate
- 1:13Speaker 1: twelve games Slate on draftings. You know, the contests are
- 1:17Speaker 1: are pretty similar to what we expect from draftings on
- 1:20Speaker 1: the most weeks. Sticks to the twenty MAXI and single
- 1:23Speaker 1: entry for the better payout structures. We're not doing a
- 1:25Speaker 1: listener league this week because it didn't feel last week.
- 1:26Speaker 1: But we're just gonna leave that there, and that's going
- 1:29Speaker 1: to be that. But we're starting off with an academy game.
- 1:33Speaker 1: Everybody's favorite always be at the ender, right, Well, not
- 1:35Speaker 1: when Army scores fifty points a game by themselves. Okay,
- 1:38Speaker 1: maybe not fifty, but forty is not of the possibility.
- 1:40Speaker 1: They could cover this over on their own. But we're
- 1:42Speaker 1: playing DFS and we're looking at air Force, not for
- 1:46Speaker 1: very long, but I have a ten point team total.
- 1:47Speaker 1: They don't know who their quarterback is. I mean, Quentin
- 1:49Speaker 1: Hayes was hurt so he didn't start, but it'll be
- 1:51Speaker 1: Hayes and Busha. Honestly, I could say something about these guys,
- 1:56Speaker 1: like I know who Jared Roznos is, that he's played
- 1:58Speaker 1: there for a few years. But you're not playing any
- 2:00Speaker 1: Air Force guys in this unless your psycho. I mean,
- 2:03Speaker 1: they're cheap. There you go, That's what I can give you.
- 2:06Speaker 1: And you know what, if you want to spend money
- 2:08Speaker 1: in your lineup playing Air Force guys and hope that
- 2:10Speaker 1: one of them catches a ninety yard touchdown, it has
- 2:12Speaker 1: happened before. Be my guest. Really just looking at the
- 2:16Speaker 1: Army side on this. Bryson Daily had thirty eight DK
- 2:20Speaker 1: points in five straight games, including a sixty burger last week.
- 2:23Speaker 1: He has one hundred and ten plus yards rushing in
- 2:26Speaker 1: all but one game, and he can pass like Bryson
- 2:30Speaker 1: Daily ninety two hundred. He should probably be up in
- 2:33Speaker 1: the cam Ward range, maybe even more expensive than cam Ward.
- 2:36Speaker 1: But the disrespect for these group of five schools, especially
- 2:39Speaker 1: the academies, is just it's, I mean, showing your hand,
- 2:45Speaker 1: showing your true feelings here DraftKings. Besides Bryson Daly, though,
- 2:51Speaker 1: Kanye Udo here and talk he's getting touches. He'll probably
- 2:57Speaker 1: fifteen to twenty touches, and that's not bad for a
- 2:59Speaker 1: fifty five hundred guy. Noah Short has five touchdowns on
- 3:02Speaker 1: the year, and Casey Reynolds leads a team in targets
- 3:06Speaker 1: with sixteen, but he does have three touchdowns. So it
- 3:09Speaker 1: really just Daily's the first guy you're looking at. Maybe
- 3:12Speaker 1: maybe Udo but beyond that, you're not looking at much
- 3:15Speaker 1: from this game. Thirty one point team total, and Daily
- 3:17Speaker 1: could get it all by himself. Memphis at UTSA. Remember
- 3:21Speaker 1: when I said that somebody blew a third thirty five
- 3:24Speaker 1: point lead. I think maybe a thirty five to seven
- 3:25Speaker 1: at halftime. Anyway, it doesn't matter. They blew a big
- 3:27Speaker 1: lead at Tulso last week. A lot of betters that
- 3:31Speaker 1: on their ship at Nation Team down in Tunico, Mississippi
- 3:34Speaker 1: weren't too happy about that. Anyway. On the Memphis side,
- 3:36Speaker 1: we got seth Inigan, you know, probably too cheap for
- 3:39Speaker 1: the matchup. UTSA is kind of a pass funnel and
- 3:43Speaker 1: their run defense actually isn't that bad, so I kind
- 3:45Speaker 1: of like the pass game here. Like the only two
- 3:47Speaker 1: teams that you know average more than three yards to
- 3:50Speaker 1: carry against UTSA was Texas and Texas State, two very
- 3:53Speaker 1: good running offenses, and obviously Texas just being the bigger school.
- 3:57Speaker 1: But Sethnigan seventy six hundred I think is a fair price,
- 4:00Speaker 1: and you can easily pair him with Rock Taylor and
- 4:02Speaker 1: Demir Blankam. See those are the two familiar names. We know.
- 4:04Speaker 1: They get the target share again this year. They're they're
- 4:08Speaker 1: you know, six thousand and sixty three hundred is probably fair.
- 4:11Speaker 1: But then you got Kobe Drake. He's more of a
- 4:13Speaker 1: spike guy. He'll have a big game every now and again.
- 4:17Speaker 1: Landfair just steady as she goes as a tight end.
- 4:20Speaker 1: Thirty four hundred. Don't mind that for how much he's
- 4:21Speaker 1: on the field. But Mario Anderson, I mean truly is
- 4:27Speaker 1: like McKay Hughes was last week. He's underpriced because he's
- 4:30Speaker 1: an American Conference school. De Rosier and Brandon Thomas, you know,
- 4:36Speaker 1: they're trending toward not playing. Brandon Thomas is one of
- 4:38Speaker 1: those guys that can snake touchdowns at any time, and
- 4:40Speaker 1: if you play Anderson, you're gonna be super angry. And
- 4:42Speaker 1: you see Brandon Thomas as a stat line three carries
- 4:44Speaker 1: for two yards and three touchdowns or something dumb like that.
- 4:47Speaker 1: But we might not even have to worry about it.
- 4:49Speaker 1: Seventy eight hundred more than fair for Anderson. And even
- 4:52Speaker 1: if you are concerned about utsa is vaunted run defense,
- 4:56Speaker 1: he does get four and a half targets a game.
- 4:58Speaker 1: So Anderson, you know, kinda I don't want to call
- 5:02Speaker 1: it a can't misspot, but like I said, McKay used
- 5:05Speaker 1: last week, you know, copy paste this week for Mario Anderson.
- 5:10Speaker 1: On the UTSA side, I mean, Owen McCown is sixty
- 5:14Speaker 1: one hundred. They have a team total of twenty seven points,
- 5:17Speaker 1: and you know McCown isn't played because of his price
- 5:20Speaker 1: and because they're going to need to throw out a necessity.
- 5:22Speaker 1: There's a good chance they throw forty to fifty times
- 5:24Speaker 1: in this game. It would not shock me at all.
- 5:26Speaker 1: And just the opportunity is there for mccount even if
- 5:28Speaker 1: he throws a couple of picks. Picks don't hurt you
- 5:30Speaker 1: that much in DFS that he can't overcome it. Robert
- 5:34Speaker 1: Henry is four thousand dollars for his starting running back,
- 5:38Speaker 1: and he actually had twenty carries last week, and he'll
- 5:39Speaker 1: get four to five targets a game as well. So
- 5:41Speaker 1: I don't mind Matt Barnes is still involved in the offense,
- 5:45Speaker 1: but why wouldn't you pay two hundred dollars more for
- 5:47Speaker 1: the guy who's been getting the usage. It's kind of
- 5:49Speaker 1: where I say with that running game. And then Devin
- 5:52Speaker 1: McQueen missed last week and he's probably not going to
- 5:57Speaker 1: play this week. It's something you know, it's a group
- 5:59Speaker 1: of five schools, so it might be tough to get news,
- 6:02Speaker 1: but he is their leading wide receiver, but his status
- 6:04Speaker 1: is still unsure. Beyond him, you're gonna see McCoy, you're
- 6:08Speaker 1: gonna see Carpenter, you're gonna see Thomas. Those are the
- 6:10Speaker 1: three guys that they all had ten targets last week,
- 6:12Speaker 1: and Carpenter had eleven the week before. So those are
- 6:15Speaker 1: the three guys. If McQueen does end up sitting, you know,
- 6:17Speaker 1: obviously you're gonna look at McQueen a little bit if
- 6:19Speaker 1: he does play, and it could hurt those guys. But
- 6:23Speaker 1: those are the three. So a very stackable game, very
- 6:26Speaker 1: easy to stack with the pricing. You know, even if
- 6:28Speaker 1: you wanted to play hen again and one of his
- 6:31Speaker 1: receivers or Anderson, you can run it back with cheap
- 6:33Speaker 1: utsa guys that don't mind at all at all. I'll
- 6:36Speaker 1: be looking at these guys in cash tw just because
- 6:37Speaker 1: of the pricing and the team totals and kind of,
- 6:40Speaker 1: like like I said, kind of like Tulane was last
- 6:43Speaker 1: week against North Texas. You're just you're playing the guys
- 6:45Speaker 1: because of the volume and they're cheap and they're just
- 6:47Speaker 1: mispriced all miss at Arkansas a seven point spread. You know,
- 6:54Speaker 1: thirty and twenty three seems a little bit high after
- 6:56Speaker 1: watching almost play these last few weeks. They do have
- 6:59Speaker 1: a good defense and offense hasn't really been you know,
- 7:01Speaker 1: super impressive. But obviously the big news is Trey Harris
- 7:04Speaker 1: is questionable again. You know, he missed last week and
- 7:08Speaker 1: it was kind of just a mad game for everybody.
- 7:10Speaker 1: Caden pre Scoring had his highest highest targets of the
- 7:13Speaker 1: season and he had a touchdown, So you know, I'm
- 7:16Speaker 1: always looking at the at the tight end position, especially
- 7:18Speaker 1: Cayden pre Scoring kind of holds a special place in
- 7:20Speaker 1: our hearts. So yeah, Cayden lead's in a good spot.
- 7:24Speaker 1: If Harris missus, Wells is in a good spot. Off
- 7:26Speaker 1: Harris misses, you might even consider playing those guys because
- 7:29Speaker 1: they're cheap even if Harris plays. But if Harris goes
- 7:31Speaker 1: ninety five hundred, it's hard. But honestly, don't blame DraftKings
- 7:37Speaker 1: for pricing him up because he'll get you know, twelve
- 7:40Speaker 1: to fifteen targets and catch almost all of them. Arkansas
- 7:45Speaker 1: is kind of a pass funnel, so I don't mind
- 7:47Speaker 1: Jackson Dart even at ninety three hundred. You know, I'd
- 7:50Speaker 1: rather play the passing game against Arkansas than the running game.
- 7:53Speaker 1: Now that's not to say that Parish and Bentley arden play.
- 7:56Speaker 1: Bentley didn't get a whole lot of work last week
- 7:59Speaker 1: after you know, seeing increased usage a week before. So
- 8:02Speaker 1: you know Paris is still getting that kind of RB
- 8:04Speaker 1: one work, especially with Matt Jones and you know Logan
- 8:07Speaker 1: Diggs not seeing the field because of injury and day
- 8:13Speaker 1: Kwon Wright is another one. I want to talk about
- 8:15Speaker 1: last week without Trey Harris, the others tight end the
- 8:18Speaker 1: transfer from Virginia Virginia Tech. He saw his most targets
- 8:22Speaker 1: of the season as well, it was only four, but
- 8:26Speaker 1: you know it was his first start of the season.
- 8:28Speaker 1: They started two tight ends, so just something to consider.
- 8:31Speaker 1: I don't know that you're playing it other than MM.
- 8:33Speaker 1: On the Arkansas side, Jacquinn and Jackson is out, Brayln
- 8:36Speaker 1: Russell is a four star freshman, really did well. Sixteen
- 8:39Speaker 1: rushes for one hundred and seventy five yards last week,
- 8:42Speaker 1: and Doobie Rashad de Binyon had eleven carries for ninety
- 8:46Speaker 1: six yards and a touchdown. So you know, Doobe kind
- 8:49Speaker 1: of has that little edge because of the touchdown last week,
- 8:53Speaker 1: but you know, Russell looked really good. I don't know
- 8:56Speaker 1: if you're going to target that against Old Miss. I
- 8:59Speaker 1: do like the Arkansas at home, but you know, it's
- 9:02Speaker 1: one of those things where he's thirty five hundred. You're
- 9:05Speaker 1: not going to get a thirty five hundred RB one
- 9:07Speaker 1: in a lot of cases. And again it's it's tough
- 9:09Speaker 1: to say if he's RB one or not. Rodney Hill
- 9:12Speaker 1: is expected to be back, so he'll be in the
- 9:15Speaker 1: mix too. Taylor Green is priced about right for Arkansas.
- 9:18Speaker 1: I think you know, it's seventy five hundred though ole
- 9:22Speaker 1: Mioss really hasn't faced a true dual threat quarterback. At
- 9:25Speaker 1: least nobody liked Taylor Green, so that might be the
- 9:28Speaker 1: saving grace for him, don't I don't hate it, don't
- 9:31Speaker 1: love it, don't hate it. Arkansas at home again, that
- 9:33Speaker 1: kind of helps Andrew Armstrong's kind of in that price
- 9:36Speaker 1: range where I'm not sure if I want to play
- 9:37Speaker 1: him against the Ole Miss defense. You know, Luke has
- 9:41Speaker 1: had two touchdowns last week, so but that again, that
- 9:44Speaker 1: was against Mississippi State, so maybe take that with a
- 9:46Speaker 1: grain of salt. But the one thing I did find about.
- 9:50Speaker 1: You know, Andrew Armstrong's potential here sixty six hundred is
- 9:53Speaker 1: probably too cheap for him overall as a receiver. You know,
- 9:56Speaker 1: matchup is the reason he's probably priced down. But Kyraen
- 10:01Speaker 1: Lacy had five for one eleven and one against ole Miss,
- 10:04Speaker 1: Dane Key had eight for one oh five and one
- 10:06Speaker 1: against ole Miss. Even Derwin Burgess at Georgia Southern had
- 10:09Speaker 1: five for fifty three in a touchdown. So wide receiver
- 10:12Speaker 1: ones have been finding success against Ole Miss. And Andrew
- 10:16Speaker 1: Armstrong is definition wide receiver one. There's a huge drop
- 10:19Speaker 1: off after him for Arkansas, so I don't mind giving
- 10:22Speaker 1: him a look, you know, especially you know in a
- 10:25Speaker 1: potential game stack with these cheap wide receivers over here,
- 10:28Speaker 1: a mid price quarterback, you know, it does open up
- 10:31Speaker 1: a lot if you do. If you do target this
- 10:33Speaker 1: game in Arkansas can put up points. Duke at miammy
- 10:38Speaker 1: big revenge game. Manny Dia is returning to Miami as
- 10:42Speaker 1: the Duke head coach, and you know he's going to
- 10:46Speaker 1: be fired up if he can get his players to
- 10:47Speaker 1: fire up with him. I know they're a twenty and
- 10:48Speaker 1: a half point underdog and they're on the road, so
- 10:52Speaker 1: you know, take it all with a grain of salt. Here.
- 10:54Speaker 1: Malik Murphy, you know, he he did have the ceiling
- 10:57Speaker 1: game last week, but he had to throw the ball
- 11:00Speaker 1: forty eight times to get it and that was against SMU.
- 11:02Speaker 1: I do think Miami has a better defense than SMU,
- 11:05Speaker 1: So I don't know that I'm looking at him even
- 11:06Speaker 1: at six K. You know, at MM, maybe you're taking
- 11:09Speaker 1: a shot here or there. But the reason you're doing
- 11:11Speaker 1: that is because he's got cheap receivers to pair with.
- 11:13Speaker 1: Eli Pankoll has taken over the wide receiver one role.
- 11:16Speaker 1: I mean, he's only forty five hundred, he's he's got
- 11:20Speaker 1: more usage than Jordan Moore. Jordan Moore has has had
- 11:23Speaker 1: some you know, lingering injuries, he's played through them. So
- 11:28Speaker 1: that's that's definitely something to consider. You know, you're getting
- 11:30Speaker 1: a cheaper wide receiver at you know, at the top spot.
- 11:34Speaker 1: Samir Higgins is the third guy, but after that it's
- 11:36Speaker 1: a pretty clear drop off. Jake Taylor a very interesting no.
- 11:38Speaker 1: Jake Taylor's probably going to be the starting tight end
- 11:40Speaker 1: with del Mollen and Hasley out after him. Some dude
- 11:46Speaker 1: named Vance Vance Bolliard and then there's a guy Tony
- 11:50Speaker 1: Box who's like potentially the second string tight end and
- 11:53Speaker 1: going to see the field that's not even on draftings
- 11:56Speaker 1: because he was a defensive lineman who converted to an
- 11:58Speaker 1: offensive lineman and now he's playing tight end. So I
- 12:03Speaker 1: just wasted fifteen seconds talking about something that's not relevant
- 12:06Speaker 1: at all to DFS other than the fact that we
- 12:09Speaker 1: are all going to be tilting when somebody who wasn't
- 12:11Speaker 1: on DraftKings scores a touchdown. Tony Boggs is the name,
- 12:16Speaker 1: in case you forgot. So I'm not really looking at
- 12:18Speaker 1: much on Duke Star Thomas is in a decent spot.
- 12:21Speaker 1: I mean, he's still getting running back one usage. Jaques
- 12:24Speaker 1: Moore was supposed to be back last week, or at
- 12:26Speaker 1: least that's the way it was trending, and then he
- 12:27Speaker 1: didn't play, so you know, one would think that he's
- 12:30Speaker 1: probably going to be ready to go this week, but
- 12:32Speaker 1: that's you know, it's really yet to be determined. Virginia Tech,
- 12:36Speaker 1: Louisville FSU, Florida State. That Florida State actually had some
- 12:39Speaker 1: success running the ball against Miami, so I don't hate it.
- 12:42Speaker 1: And fifty nine hundred is again middle ground on the
- 12:46Speaker 1: Miami side. Cam Ward is cam Ward. He finally had
- 12:49Speaker 1: a floor game, and it was a basement floor game.
- 12:51Speaker 1: Fifteen points, like that's half of what he normally scores,
- 12:55Speaker 1: and at ten eight that would crush you. That crushes
- 12:58Speaker 1: because you need that to pay off. You need thirty
- 13:00Speaker 1: points from him, you know, to especially on twelve games late.
- 13:05Speaker 1: Could he get thirty points against Duke? I don't see
- 13:07Speaker 1: why not, But Duke has been slogging down these games
- 13:11Speaker 1: that they've been playing. If you watch, Duke is very
- 13:14Speaker 1: slow going and methodical, and they crush your soul. Duke
- 13:18Speaker 1: crushes your soul. Their defense is sole crushing. Damian Martinez
- 13:22Speaker 1: and Mark Fletcher have kind of been splitting in the backfield.
- 13:25Speaker 1: Martinez has just been more efficient. He's been getting the touchdowns.
- 13:28Speaker 1: But I do like the twenty three hundred dollars discount.
- 13:30Speaker 1: If you're going to play this backfield. I actually don't
- 13:32Speaker 1: really mind either of them. I don't think I would
- 13:34Speaker 1: play him together, especially especially against Duke. It's so weird
- 13:39Speaker 1: saying I don't want to play this Duke offense. It
- 13:43Speaker 1: is weird. But I will say Duke has given up
- 13:47Speaker 1: three point nine to carry in six straight games or
- 13:52Speaker 1: more three point nine or more, and that you know,
- 13:54Speaker 1: at three point nine it might not sound like much,
- 13:57Speaker 1: but that included Middle Tennessee State and Connetquette, so you
- 14:01Speaker 1: know there is probably some opportunity there. And the wide
- 14:04Speaker 1: receiver core for Miami, Xavier Ostreppo still probably wide receiver one,
- 14:08Speaker 1: although Horton has been starting and he has gotten more
- 14:10Speaker 1: targets under Streppo in two of the last three games.
- 14:14Speaker 1: You know, Ristreppo's kind of like that nookie blanky slot
- 14:16Speaker 1: receiver that you know, when all Al's fails, just throw
- 14:18Speaker 1: it to Ristreppo. But Horton you get a seventeen hundred
- 14:22Speaker 1: dollars discount, and then a huge discount to Sam Brown.
- 14:26Speaker 1: You know, Jacoby George is still involved, but Horton has
- 14:28Speaker 1: actually been starting over George, so that's that's something to consider.
- 14:33Speaker 1: And Brown's cheaper, I mean Brown, Brown and George. You could,
- 14:36Speaker 1: you know, flip a coin on which one's going to
- 14:37Speaker 1: have the better game, so you might as well take
- 14:39Speaker 1: the discount and then a Royo tight end, never mind
- 14:42Speaker 1: a thirty one hundred dollars tight end. Who's going to
- 14:44Speaker 1: be on the field. I don't know. This game stackable
- 14:46Speaker 1: I think if Duke keeps it close, it's probably because
- 14:48Speaker 1: their defense is stopping Miami from scoring. I don't know
- 14:52Speaker 1: if it's a shoot. I don't know if Duke can
- 14:54Speaker 1: keep up. So that's that's my concern with any sort
- 14:56Speaker 1: of stack in this game. Although you do have some
- 14:58Speaker 1: cheap pieces on the duke side that I like. Minnesota Illinois.
- 15:03Speaker 1: How about that Minnesota offense last week? You know they
- 15:07Speaker 1: all saw some price increases, and rightfully so. After you
- 15:10Speaker 1: score forty eight points. Max Brosmer continues to look better
- 15:13Speaker 1: and better each week. Three hundred and twenty yards passing
- 15:16Speaker 1: last week against Maryland, and teams that haven't thrown the
- 15:23Speaker 1: ball well against Illinois either couldn't or they're running teams.
- 15:26Speaker 1: So there is opportunity here, even in a road game
- 15:30Speaker 1: against what is perceived to be a pretty good pass defense.
- 15:34Speaker 1: I think there's opportunity here. At six thousand, they raise
- 15:37Speaker 1: his price by a grand, but it's probably still too cheap.
- 15:39Speaker 1: Darius Taylor, there's not much to say about him. He's
- 15:42Speaker 1: a workhorse running back, and he's second on the team
- 15:44Speaker 1: and carries eighty four hundred is still too cheap. He
- 15:46Speaker 1: should probably be closer to nine K. You know, the
- 15:50Speaker 1: rest of the running room has been kind of a mess.
- 15:52Speaker 1: Major we'll see the field the most, but beyond that,
- 15:55Speaker 1: your guess is as good as mine. And I'm a
- 15:56Speaker 1: Gophers fan. Daniel Jackson priced up to almost where he
- 16:00Speaker 1: should be fifty eight hundred, I'm still giving him a look.
- 16:04Speaker 1: You know, he had a ceiling game maybe last week
- 16:06Speaker 1: with thirty five DK points, but you know, hit like,
- 16:10Speaker 1: even if he gets twenty five, that's that's still over
- 16:12Speaker 1: four x. So if he does ten points worse than
- 16:15Speaker 1: last week, you're still sitting pretty The one thing I
- 16:17Speaker 1: will say is that Elijah Spencer is kind of on
- 16:19Speaker 1: the same track as Brozmer, just from a wide receiver perspective.
- 16:22Speaker 1: He's getting a lot more looks. He's gotten better throughout
- 16:24Speaker 1: the season. He was here last year, but he was
- 16:27Speaker 1: a little bit banged up. I say here he was
- 16:28Speaker 1: in Minnesota. I'm in Minnesota in case he didn't know.
- 16:31Speaker 1: By the way, it's snowing here. So that's something to
- 16:33Speaker 1: keep in mind for all of the Northern States, is
- 16:36Speaker 1: that we're getting snow, you know, the week of Halloween,
- 16:39Speaker 1: first week in November. So keep that in mind as
- 16:42Speaker 1: we go through these games. Anybody you know that's in
- 16:44Speaker 1: the Midwest North weather might be a concern. Anyway, Spencer
- 16:49Speaker 1: has taken on a bigger role and he's doing well.
- 16:51Speaker 1: Jamison Gears tight end, always an option, you know for
- 16:54Speaker 1: a couple of touchdowns. And then La Micky Brockington athletic
- 16:58Speaker 1: wide receiver, maybe the most athletic wide receiver on the team.
- 17:01Speaker 1: He's got a super high ceiling. We just haven't seen
- 17:03Speaker 1: it yet. On the Illinois side, Luke Aaldmeyer's cheap. It's
- 17:07Speaker 1: just flat out too cheap. I mean, Minnesota has a
- 17:10Speaker 1: good pass defense, ranked very highly in the nation. Prior
- 17:14Speaker 1: to last week, they'd only faced like one really good
- 17:17Speaker 1: passing offense. I guess UCLA kind of is they face
- 17:20Speaker 1: USC and Maryland had I think three hundred and twenty
- 17:23Speaker 1: three yards passing, but a lot of that was in
- 17:26Speaker 1: garbage time, so you know that's going to skew it
- 17:29Speaker 1: a little bit. I do think this pass defense is
- 17:31Speaker 1: still very good, but Illinois at home and Luke Allmeyers
- 17:36Speaker 1: fifty five hundred, so I don't mind taking a shot
- 17:38Speaker 1: on him. This backfield is a big question mark. Aiden
- 17:42Speaker 1: Laffrey actually got more carries last week than Josh McCray did,
- 17:45Speaker 1: but it was a blowout against Oregon, so it's really
- 17:48Speaker 1: tough to figure out what you want to take from
- 17:50Speaker 1: that game and how it applies to the to the
- 17:52Speaker 1: next week. I do think McCray is still going to
- 17:54Speaker 1: be running back one, but it seems like they are
- 17:58Speaker 1: giving Laffery a lot of opportunity and lo and behold.
- 18:00Speaker 1: Colo Valentine was a touchdown scorer last week and actually
- 18:05Speaker 1: the highest graded running back out of the bunch. On PFF,
- 18:08Speaker 1: Zakari Franklin, I'm giving him wide receiver one projections. I mean,
- 18:13Speaker 1: he's shown that he's wide receiver one. He was wide
- 18:16Speaker 1: receiver one when he was at UTSA, didn't get a
- 18:18Speaker 1: shot at Old Miss, and now he's at Illinois. Pat
- 18:20Speaker 1: Bryant's still a solid option, but he is coming off
- 18:23Speaker 1: of a head injury. I know he's probable, but head
- 18:25Speaker 1: injury a head injuries can be tricky. So I love
- 18:29Speaker 1: the discount on Franklin. I love the volume Franklin's getting.
- 18:32Speaker 1: That's one of those things I don't really care how
- 18:35Speaker 1: good or bad you think Minnesota's pass defense is. Zakari
- 18:38Speaker 1: Franklin's on my raider. I love this game as a
- 18:40Speaker 1: speaky game stack game stack. If you want to run
- 18:43Speaker 1: Taylor and run it back with an Altmeyer Franklin, I
- 18:45Speaker 1: don't mind it. If you want to go Brozmur Taylor Jackson,
- 18:48Speaker 1: a triple stack that worked last week and they're still
- 18:51Speaker 1: cheap enough it could work again, and then run it
- 18:53Speaker 1: back with Franklin or even Brian if he goes, and
- 18:57Speaker 1: then you know Colin Dixon is he's but he's just
- 19:01Speaker 1: a starter. That's really all he is in regardless again,
- 19:06Speaker 1: regardless of how good you think Minnesota's defense is, wide
- 19:08Speaker 1: receiver ones have had some success against them. Tyler Type, Felton,
- 19:11Speaker 1: j Michael Sturtevant, Karen Hudson even had a big game
- 19:15Speaker 1: even though USC spreads it out. So I don't I
- 19:16Speaker 1: don't mind that at all as a game stack, a
- 19:19Speaker 1: little bit sneaky, a lower total, people might not be
- 19:21Speaker 1: on it quite as much. Ohio State Penn State. You know,
- 19:26Speaker 1: similar total to the last game. But I think this
- 19:28Speaker 1: will actually be a better real life football game than
- 19:30Speaker 1: it will be for DFS because a lot of these
- 19:32Speaker 1: guys are just more expensive than the last game. You
- 19:35Speaker 1: look at him, it's it's almost identical when it comes
- 19:38Speaker 1: to the team totals and spread and everything, you're just
- 19:40Speaker 1: going to notice a big difference in pricing. Will Howard
- 19:43Speaker 1: probably it's just too expensive for a matchup and Happy Valley.
- 19:46Speaker 1: Could he have a ceiling game? Yes? I mean, is
- 19:48Speaker 1: it possible. I think our boy Hamhawk actually won a
- 19:51Speaker 1: GPP stacking Oregon and Ohio State earlier this year because
- 19:55Speaker 1: Will Howard had a ceiling game on the road against
- 19:57Speaker 1: a very good defense. Could it happen here? I don't
- 19:59Speaker 1: see why not. Judkins and Henderson. It's just been kind
- 20:03Speaker 1: of a weird backfield. They didn't look good at all
- 20:05Speaker 1: last week. Both of them have been less efficient in
- 20:08Speaker 1: Big ten play. You know they're gonna both see nine
- 20:12Speaker 1: to twelve carries, maybe fifteen total touches max. And for
- 20:17Speaker 1: that price, I just I don't know why you would
- 20:18Speaker 1: get you would want to get there. You know, if
- 20:20Speaker 1: they do get a hot hand and one of them
- 20:22Speaker 1: does see an increase in usage, you know, could they
- 20:27Speaker 1: get their share. They're both talented enough to do it.
- 20:30Speaker 1: But you know, with the other running backs that are
- 20:32Speaker 1: clear workhorses on this slate, I don't know that I'm
- 20:34Speaker 1: going to get there. Jeremiah Smith a mecca at Buka. Yes,
- 20:37Speaker 1: Carnel Tate had the touchdowns last week, but Smith and
- 20:40Speaker 1: Agbuka are still the two guys. Smith has a touchdown
- 20:42Speaker 1: in every single game as a freshman, which is absolutely nuts.
- 20:46Speaker 1: He's just a freak. Gee Scott in play if kac
- 20:48Speaker 1: Mark misses again, I do think Kacmeric is turning toward
- 20:51Speaker 1: not playing. On the Penn State side. The biggest question
- 20:54Speaker 1: markus Drew Eiller. I don't think you're playing them if
- 20:56Speaker 1: you're in. Uh, you know it. Even if he's in,
- 21:01Speaker 1: there is still the concern where he's like, I'm getting up,
- 21:03Speaker 1: I'm playing for this Ohio State game, and then he
- 21:05Speaker 1: gets out there and two drives in he's like, I
- 21:07Speaker 1: shouldn't have played this Ohio State game. It's very possible.
- 21:10Speaker 1: Bo Privula is more of a running quarterback. The one
- 21:14Speaker 1: thing I will say is like when Privula was in
- 21:16Speaker 1: last week, he favored the tight ends. He favored the
- 21:18Speaker 1: backs out of the backfield, like throwing the ball to him,
- 21:21Speaker 1: and then he favored you know, slot wide receivers William
- 21:23Speaker 1: Clifford for example, So you know, the shorter, easier throws
- 21:27Speaker 1: to make, which botes well for Tyler Warren, who might
- 21:32Speaker 1: be on track to be a Heisman candidate if he
- 21:35Speaker 1: continues to success. Completely different discussion for another time. But
- 21:40Speaker 1: if Aller plays, you know makes a Harrison Walls a
- 21:43Speaker 1: little bit more and play Hairson also is just too cheap.
- 21:46Speaker 1: Privula did find him a few times last week after
- 21:48Speaker 1: he came in, so at thirty nine hundred, I don't
- 21:50Speaker 1: mind taking a shot on Wallace, but it is Warren.
- 21:53Speaker 1: You know, he's the clear favorite regardless of who plays
- 21:55Speaker 1: quarterback in the backfield. It's been a split basically ever
- 21:59Speaker 1: since Singleton missed that game against U C. L A.
- 22:03Speaker 1: I think Allen actually had more carries last week, but
- 22:06Speaker 1: you know, Singleton is more involved in the passing game.
- 22:09Speaker 1: Singleton has touchdowns and three of his last four. Both
- 22:12Speaker 1: had four targets last week. And you know, Oregon and
- 22:15Speaker 1: Iowa are the only teams to average more than four
- 22:19Speaker 1: carries or four years per carry against Ohio State. So
- 22:22Speaker 1: you know, even if it wasn't a split, I don't
- 22:23Speaker 1: know that I'd love a running back against Ohio State.
- 22:25Speaker 1: The only thing that you know captures my attention is
- 22:28Speaker 1: probably the price on k Tron Allen. Anyway, better, better
- 22:33Speaker 1: real life football game than DFS game in my opinion. Uh,
- 22:36Speaker 1: Florida at Georgia. Georgia massive favorites makes sense even though
- 22:41Speaker 1: it's at a neutral site. I think it's at a
- 22:44Speaker 1: neutral site. I might have to double check that I
- 22:45Speaker 1: shouldn't speak before I think Trey Wilson's going to be
- 22:49Speaker 1: out again for Florida. You know, he had an underwhelming
- 22:51Speaker 1: return in a couple of games that he did play.
- 22:52Speaker 1: But what that does really is it just makes Badger
- 22:54Speaker 1: and DK more in play, and it makes Aidan Mizell,
- 22:58Speaker 1: you know, potentially play at all, so they're cheap. Georgia's
- 23:05Speaker 1: defense doesn't scare me in the past game as much
- 23:08Speaker 1: as it used to. I know it's Georgia, but Mississippi
- 23:11Speaker 1: stayed through for more than three hundred yards against Georgia.
- 23:13Speaker 1: So that's really all I need to know to know
- 23:16Speaker 1: that it's possible in Florida can do it. DJ Lagway
- 23:19Speaker 1: at forty eight hundred, it's a price play. I mean,
- 23:23Speaker 1: what did he throw seven complete seven passes last week?
- 23:26Speaker 1: Or six passes something ridiculous like that. But at forty
- 23:30Speaker 1: eight hundred, you don't need a whole lot the backfield's
- 23:32Speaker 1: interesting because Montreal Johnson is on the injury report is questionable.
- 23:36Speaker 1: You know, he has been practicing and coming out of
- 23:38Speaker 1: the buy he should be good to go, But you
- 23:40Speaker 1: think they would list him as probable on the SEC
- 23:42Speaker 1: injury report. I'm not sure why they didn't. Jaden Bough
- 23:45Speaker 1: is the name that everybody knows. Now, he's a three
- 23:48Speaker 1: star running back, maybe the better running back, but it's
- 23:50Speaker 1: probably some Montreal's backfield. But ball had five touchdowns against Kentucky.
- 23:54Speaker 1: I mean that that's one of the most ridiculous stat
- 23:56Speaker 1: lines you'll ever see, especially from a freshman running back
- 23:59Speaker 1: in the SEC. But it was crazy, and you know
- 24:02Speaker 1: he at the very least he might be a little
- 24:04Speaker 1: bit more involved. Montreal's too cheap, But I don't know.
- 24:08Speaker 1: I'd rather attack Georgia through the passing game, and I
- 24:10Speaker 1: just don't know if Florida's gonna be able to throw
- 24:12Speaker 1: the ball on him. Carson Beck at seventy nine hundred,
- 24:15Speaker 1: he's run in that middle range. But a team total
- 24:17Speaker 1: of thirty four. You're always going to look at the
- 24:21Speaker 1: you know, the plays on the favorite side of the ball.
- 24:23Speaker 1: The one thing I will say is Florida's defense looks
- 24:26Speaker 1: really good on paper, but they haven't. I don't know
- 24:28Speaker 1: if they faced a real passing attack since they played
- 24:30Speaker 1: Miami and Miami had three eighty five and five on them.
- 24:33Speaker 1: So I mean Texas A and m Marcel Reid started
- 24:37Speaker 1: the game they played against Texas A and m is
- 24:39Speaker 1: just look at their gamelogs. Find me a good passing
- 24:41Speaker 1: attack in that game. Lock. So I don't mind beck here,
- 24:44Speaker 1: especially if he's going to fly under the radar. But
- 24:47Speaker 1: everybody's looking at Trevor Etn and that's probably why Becka
- 24:49Speaker 1: is flying under the radars because ETN used to go
- 24:51Speaker 1: to Florida and this is a revenge game for him.
- 24:55Speaker 1: The one thing about ETN, though, is it's a revenge
- 24:57Speaker 1: game for Florida too, because Etn left Florida. He's like,
- 24:59Speaker 1: why would I be a back up running back on
- 25:00Speaker 1: a losing team when I could go start at a
- 25:03Speaker 1: winning team. So you know it's going to be emotional
- 25:07Speaker 1: for both sides probably, But Etn at sixty five hundred
- 25:10Speaker 1: with the volume he's been getting, isn't a great spot,
- 25:14Speaker 1: you know, especially Roderic Robinson and Branson Robinson are both
- 25:17Speaker 1: going to miss again, so you're gonna see a heavy
- 25:19Speaker 1: workload of ETNA, sprinkle of Frasier, and a dash of
- 25:22Speaker 1: cash in that backfield. And then if you like Beck,
- 25:25Speaker 1: you gotta like at least one or two of his receivers,
- 25:27Speaker 1: right Smith, Bellon love it, top three guys, I can
- 25:31Speaker 1: after those three, The next posts and targets is ETN,
- 25:33Speaker 1: So there's a clear drop off Delp and Lucky. You know,
- 25:37Speaker 1: they're not brock Bowers, so I'm not even worried about that.
- 25:40Speaker 1: But again, there's cheap enough pieces on the Florida side.
- 25:44Speaker 1: You know, if you want to do a minigame Steck here,
- 25:45Speaker 1: I don't hate it. But mostly looking at the Georgia side,
- 25:49Speaker 1: a game that's going to be very confusing. Arizona UCF.
- 25:53Speaker 1: Arizona is a six point underdog and they're traveling multiple
- 25:55Speaker 1: time zones. Fafiita finally had a big game like twenty
- 26:00Speaker 1: eight d K points last week at home against West Virginia,
- 26:03Speaker 1: a team that had to travel time zones the other way,
- 26:06Speaker 1: and they jacked up his price two thousand dollars, So
- 26:10Speaker 1: it almost makes him unplayable here. I he just hasn't
- 26:14Speaker 1: been good most of the season. One spike game and
- 26:16Speaker 1: you know it's an overreaction on pricing. So the upside
- 26:20Speaker 1: is obviously there. We've seen it. We saw it just
- 26:22Speaker 1: last week, especially when he has TET McMillan. Tet McMillan
- 26:26Speaker 1: had forty points last week. So again it's a very
- 26:29Speaker 1: expensive stack, but the upside is there. You know, if
- 26:32Speaker 1: you can get sixty points from those two guys, you're
- 26:36Speaker 1: you're sitting all right. Quali Conley in the backfield, he's
- 26:40Speaker 1: getting workhorse numbers. He had sixteen carries last week and
- 26:43Speaker 1: Iowa State by you both ran the ball on U
- 26:45Speaker 1: seef So why couldn't Arizona Again? I don't like the travel.
- 26:48Speaker 1: I don't like that Arizona's on the road in this one.
- 26:53Speaker 1: But yeah again in the wide receiver core after McMillan
- 26:55Speaker 1: is Lamonious Craig has had one target combined the last
- 26:58Speaker 1: two games. Burnett is a tight end who's probably the
- 27:00Speaker 1: second option now, but I don't love it. On the
- 27:03Speaker 1: UCF side, new play caller on offense, we think Malson
- 27:07Speaker 1: fired himself. New defensive coordinator Kobe Hudson is questionable, trending
- 27:12Speaker 1: more toward probably not playing. He had a pretty narly
- 27:16Speaker 1: injury that kept him out most of the game last week,
- 27:19Speaker 1: but that leaves too cheap pass catchers and Pittman and whitmore.
- 27:22Speaker 1: But it's just a matter of who's going to play quarterback.
- 27:25Speaker 1: We think it's probably going to Beata Curry Brown. They
- 27:26Speaker 1: said he's their guy, but Rizzick had some time last week.
- 27:29Speaker 1: It's not really exactly clear who's going to start. But
- 27:32Speaker 1: basically everything that you read in UCF if you read
- 27:35Speaker 1: through the te leaves, is just this is going to
- 27:39Speaker 1: be r J Harvey. R J Harvey ninety three hundred,
- 27:43Speaker 1: don't even care what he's priced at. Everything's probably going
- 27:47Speaker 1: to run through him. That's what I mean. It's weird
- 27:50Speaker 1: because you think, with a total of fifty six and
- 27:54Speaker 1: less than a touchdown spread, do you want to stack
- 27:56Speaker 1: this game? But the usage in pricing is just right
- 27:59Speaker 1: that probably we only looking at two to three guys
- 28:02Speaker 1: in this entire game, which also means it might be sneaky.
- 28:07Speaker 1: So maybe stack this game and hope that your quarterback
- 28:10Speaker 1: doesn't get replaced on one side, and hope that your
- 28:13Speaker 1: quarterback doesn't have another ten point floor game on the other.
- 28:16Speaker 1: Like it's tough. I don't mind the game. It's just
- 28:20Speaker 1: difficult to figure out what you want to do with it.
- 28:24Speaker 1: Kansas State at Houston a little less difficult to figure
- 28:26Speaker 1: out what I want to do because Kansas is a
- 28:28Speaker 1: thirteen and a half point road favorite against a pretty
- 28:30Speaker 1: bad football team. Avery Johnson eight thousand is not it's
- 28:34Speaker 1: a fair price. He's dual threat. He's probably too cheap.
- 28:37Speaker 1: And now Kansas State they're chasing BYU and I Aowa State.
- 28:40Speaker 1: They need one of those teams to lose because Kansas
- 28:43Speaker 1: State has a loss and I would State and by
- 28:46Speaker 1: you were undefeated. Kansas State might be the better team,
- 28:48Speaker 1: but they might miss the Big Twelve Championship because of
- 28:50Speaker 1: that one loss. So you need to win every game.
- 28:52Speaker 1: They need to play like it's the Big Twelve Championship
- 28:55Speaker 1: every week. But Avery Johnson ak doesn't scare me. Giddens
- 29:00Speaker 1: seventy six hundred doesn't scare me. He's a workhorse running back.
- 29:03Speaker 1: Dylan Enders at thirty six hundred, I don't even mind that.
- 29:07Speaker 1: But Giddin's is going to be the workhorse. And Jace
- 29:08Speaker 1: Brown just the disrespect from Drackings forty two hundred for
- 29:12Speaker 1: a wide receiver one. I know there was a couple
- 29:15Speaker 1: of weeks there where we thought maybe Keathan Johnson was
- 29:17Speaker 1: taking over, but Jace Brown, like both of them are
- 29:19Speaker 1: too cheap. But Jayce Brown at wide receiver one for
- 29:21Speaker 1: forty two hundred, It's just you don't you shouldn't see
- 29:24Speaker 1: that kind of pricing on a wide receiver one. On
- 29:26Speaker 1: the Houston side, they're all price plays. You know, Xeon
- 29:31Speaker 1: Chris is going to run a little bit more than
- 29:33Speaker 1: Donovan Smith. But what that does, in my eyes, it
- 29:37Speaker 1: does kind of hurt the wide receivers a little bit.
- 29:39Speaker 1: I know Muse had nine targets a couple of weeks ago.
- 29:42Speaker 1: Johnson and man Jack are They're good wide receivers that
- 29:45Speaker 1: are going to be on the field. It's it's just
- 29:48Speaker 1: gonna be tough to get there unless you know, if
- 29:50Speaker 1: you want to run back, it's it's probably gonna make
- 29:53Speaker 1: it a little bit different. And it's super cheap. That's
- 29:54Speaker 1: the biggest thing with this Everybody on this team is
- 29:57Speaker 1: a price play. So I'm not going to talk you
- 30:00Speaker 1: off the ledge if you love the Houston side, but
- 30:03Speaker 1: I'm not going to tell you to go out of
- 30:04Speaker 1: your way to play these guys either. It's you know,
- 30:08Speaker 1: it is what it is. Kansas State's favored for a reason,
- 30:10Speaker 1: and I think they're probably going to blow the doors
- 30:13Speaker 1: off of Houston, especially with the scenario and they're they're
- 30:16Speaker 1: in for the season Texas Tech and Iowa State. Texas
- 30:19Speaker 1: Tech is a thirteen point underdog on the road as well,
- 30:23Speaker 1: but they're a thirteen point underdog that's going to score
- 30:25Speaker 1: twenty one points. It does make a difference, you know,
- 30:28Speaker 1: when the total is so high. Morton went down last
- 30:30Speaker 1: game with the shoulder, but it should be good to
- 30:32Speaker 1: go TODs Brooks. With TODJ. Brooks one hundred yards in
- 30:34Speaker 1: every single game, Arkansas State is the only team who
- 30:37Speaker 1: couldn't run on Iowa State and Central Florida just ran
- 30:40Speaker 1: for nine point one yards per carries. So tell me
- 30:43Speaker 1: bad matchup for TODJ. Brooks. I don't think so. In
- 30:47Speaker 1: the wide receiver corp, Josh Kelly has been wide receiver
- 30:49Speaker 1: one on year, but Caleb Douglas continues to catch up.
- 30:53Speaker 1: You know, Douglas has had a few big games. It's
- 30:55Speaker 1: more like a wide receiver one A and wide receiver
- 30:57Speaker 1: one B, and Douglas is much cheaper. So you know,
- 31:00Speaker 1: if I'm higging between the two, I'm going to take
- 31:02Speaker 1: the discount. However, you know, it's weird because he should
- 31:06Speaker 1: be higher owned every like the last three weeks he
- 31:08Speaker 1: should have been higher owned, but he hasn't been. So
- 31:10Speaker 1: we'll see if the ownership gets there this week. But
- 31:12Speaker 1: if it doesn't, I'm all over Douglas and on the
- 31:15Speaker 1: Iowa state side, it's the usual suspects in the passing game.
- 31:18Speaker 1: Back is too cheap. There's way too cheap for a
- 31:20Speaker 1: passing a quarterback that can pass and run. Jayden Higgins
- 31:23Speaker 1: and Jalen Noel that's where the ball's going. It's a
- 31:27Speaker 1: team of the thirty five point team total and you
- 31:28Speaker 1: know where the ball's going to go. I mean, that's
- 31:30Speaker 1: exactly what we want at Higgins and Noel are playable,
- 31:33Speaker 1: probably together because of the usage they get. Higgins has
- 31:36Speaker 1: been the guy and then Noel just has sixteen targets
- 31:38Speaker 1: last week. You know, I like Noel a little bit
- 31:41Speaker 1: more because he's cheaper, but there's no reason Higgins can't
- 31:44Speaker 1: get there at sixty seven hundred. So you know, a
- 31:46Speaker 1: Taj Brooks with the Beck Higgins Noel runback is not
- 31:49Speaker 1: out of their own possibility. And then they have cheap
- 31:51Speaker 1: wide receivers. I mean, Carson Hansen was on a tear
- 31:55Speaker 1: and then he got taken out of the game last
- 31:56Speaker 1: week because he got hurt. And then look at that,
- 31:58Speaker 1: we saw Abu Sama again. So you know, Jackson is
- 32:01Speaker 1: still involved as probably the running back too, but we
- 32:04Speaker 1: could there's a chance we could see three running backs.
- 32:07Speaker 1: I do think Hanson is the lead back, but it's
- 32:09Speaker 1: it's really tough to gauge exactly what's going to happen
- 32:11Speaker 1: until we see, you know, how they approach with three
- 32:14Speaker 1: healthy running backs. You know if Sama really is back
- 32:16Speaker 1: in the mix, or if it's just because Hanson went down.
- 32:21Speaker 1: But yeah, there's a bunch of different ways you can
- 32:22Speaker 1: stack this game. I don't mind stacking Morton with Douglas
- 32:25Speaker 1: and Kelly either. There's a bunch of different ways you
- 32:27Speaker 1: can go. I like this game in all formats, and
- 32:31Speaker 1: I think if Texas Tech keeps it close, it's because
- 32:33Speaker 1: they're scoring a lot of points and that's exactly what
- 32:36Speaker 1: we want for DFS. We know where the usage is
- 32:39Speaker 1: going pretty much on both sides, and it's a very
- 32:41Speaker 1: high scoring game. Maybe the biggest target game even was
- 32:44Speaker 1: such a big spread. Indiana Michigan State Indiana the wagonist
- 32:48Speaker 1: of all wagons in Power five Football, Power four Sorry,
- 32:52Speaker 1: PAC twelve. Curtis Rourke is expected back, but he does
- 32:55Speaker 1: have an injured thumb on his throwing hand, which is concerning.
- 32:58Speaker 1: But for sixty nine hundred nice, you know it's worth
- 33:01Speaker 1: the shot. He does spread the ball around his receivers.
- 33:04Speaker 1: Sarat is probably the favorite guy, and that's obviously why
- 33:06Speaker 1: he's the most expensive. You know, I don't I don't
- 33:11Speaker 1: mind it. I don't mind of the passing game. It's
- 33:15Speaker 1: it's cheap enough that you know, you can make it
- 33:17Speaker 1: work if you wanted to stack Indiana. Uh, it is
- 33:20Speaker 1: maybe running back by committee. It had been Ellison had
- 33:24Speaker 1: twenty nine carries last week. I mean, they had kind
- 33:27Speaker 1: of been trending toward Ellison a little bit more so,
- 33:29Speaker 1: if I were to pick a back out of his backfield,
- 33:31Speaker 1: it's going to be Allison. But that's not to say
- 33:33Speaker 1: that Lawton's not going to be involved. That's not to
- 33:34Speaker 1: say that Black isn't going to see the field. I
- 33:37Speaker 1: do just think Ellison is in a much better spot
- 33:39Speaker 1: than any of these guys the way he's trending. And again,
- 33:43Speaker 1: the wide receivers, they're just happy work is back. I mean,
- 33:46Speaker 1: Jackson was fine, but you know they're they're going to
- 33:49Speaker 1: be very happy that that Roork is back if he
- 33:52Speaker 1: is completely healthy. On the Michigan State side, you know,
- 33:56Speaker 1: just a cheap quarterback Aiden Childs is just too cheap.
- 33:58Speaker 1: Five thousand dollars. I mean, it's really what it is.
- 34:02Speaker 1: He he struggled to hit three x that price this year.
- 34:05Speaker 1: But you know, and the other thing too, is like
- 34:09Speaker 1: do you just play Legway for two hundred dollars cheaper? Maybe,
- 34:13Speaker 1: but it's at Michigan State, so I do think that helps.
- 34:15Speaker 1: And then he got Nate Carter, who's a sub five
- 34:17Speaker 1: k maybe RB one. He actually looked like a real
- 34:20Speaker 1: running back again last week, nineteen carres for one hundred
- 34:23Speaker 1: and eighteen yards in a touchdown against Michigan. He looked
- 34:26Speaker 1: a lot better than he has all season. Like, you know,
- 34:28Speaker 1: he disappeared and we thought Kla was going to be
- 34:30Speaker 1: the guy, but but Carter was back, so I don't
- 34:34Speaker 1: mind taking a shot there. And then in the wide
- 34:36Speaker 1: receiver corp, we know what's going to go. Marsh Foster
- 34:38Speaker 1: and Veiling are the target guys. Obviously Velling and Foster
- 34:43Speaker 1: being in the three k's, especially if you want to
- 34:45Speaker 1: fit these high priced running backs. You're gonna look at
- 34:47Speaker 1: these guys. Even if you don't like Michigan State as
- 34:49Speaker 1: a football team. Velling and Foster are getting targets. Velling
- 34:53Speaker 1: is actually trending up quite a bit, and I think
- 34:55Speaker 1: I'd rather try to attack Indiana through the pass game
- 34:58Speaker 1: in the running game. So again, it's a sneaky stackuble game.
- 35:03Speaker 1: It might be gross, but you got some cheap options
- 35:06Speaker 1: that can make it work to get some of those
- 35:07Speaker 1: other expensive workhorse running backs elsewhere. Yeah, I don't mind
- 35:12Speaker 1: that game at all. Last game on the main slate,
- 35:15Speaker 1: Oregon at Michigan. Oregon is a fourteen and a half
- 35:18Speaker 1: point road favorite, traveling three time zones till On Gabriel
- 35:23Speaker 1: ninety one hundred Upside's always there. Jordan James eighty three
- 35:26Speaker 1: hundred upside is always there. He's the workhorse back Whittington
- 35:29Speaker 1: at thirty seven hundred. I don't mind if Oregon can
- 35:31Speaker 1: get ahead early. I don't know if they're going to
- 35:34Speaker 1: be able to, but James is the guy in that backfield,
- 35:37Speaker 1: and then Ted Johnson is the wide receivers going to
- 35:40Speaker 1: get the most volume. Evan Stewart's still probably too cheap
- 35:42Speaker 1: at forty four hundred. Holden will have to see what
- 35:45Speaker 1: his role is if he can keep his spit in
- 35:48Speaker 1: his mouth. And then Ferguson still recovering from that appendectomy,
- 35:51Speaker 1: if he's back thirty four hundred for you know, a
- 35:53Speaker 1: tight end who plays like a wide receiver. I don't
- 35:55Speaker 1: mind that at all. That's too cheap of a price tag.
- 35:58Speaker 1: But if he doesn't go, Sadek is going to get
- 36:00Speaker 1: that run. But I think what we see with Ferguson
- 36:03Speaker 1: out is that, you know, we're just gonna see more
- 36:04Speaker 1: funnel to Johnson Stewart and they've been running, so you know,
- 36:08Speaker 1: it's a matchup at Michigan. It's maybe the last game
- 36:12Speaker 1: Michigan King. I mean, they're they're kind of a good defense.
- 36:16Speaker 1: I will give them that. So maybe a little bit
- 36:19Speaker 1: tougher matchup for Oregon, but I don't think I think
- 36:21Speaker 1: Oregon's pretty much match up for at this point. On
- 36:23Speaker 1: the Michigan side, Jack Tattle retired, so it's gonna be
- 36:25Speaker 1: the Davis Warren Alex ORGI show. Don't really care much
- 36:27Speaker 1: about them. But what I do notice that Kalel Mullings
- 36:29Speaker 1: and Donovan Edwards are their cheapest prices of the season.
- 36:33Speaker 1: Purdue ran for two hundred and eight yars on Oregon.
- 36:35Speaker 1: Don't tell me Michigan can't do the same. These two
- 36:38Speaker 1: guys just had weird games last week. They both had
- 36:40Speaker 1: kind of floor games, so you know that's why their
- 36:43Speaker 1: price is lowered. So I actually don't mind running one
- 36:46Speaker 1: of these running backs, you know, against Oregon while they're
- 36:50Speaker 1: at home. And then Colston Loveland sub five K. He's
- 36:53Speaker 1: a tight end, but he's wide receiver one even in
- 36:55Speaker 1: this offense. He had eight targets and a couple of
- 36:56Speaker 1: touchdowns last week, so he's still gonna get his look
- 37:00Speaker 1: regardless of who's playing quarterback. It's gross, but I could
- 37:04Speaker 1: see like a Mulling's Loveland and then run it back
- 37:06Speaker 1: with a Gabriel Johnson or Gabriel James or Gabriel Stewart
- 37:10Speaker 1: or however you want to do it. It's not pretty,
- 37:12Speaker 1: but it's possible. I'm just throwing that out there that
- 37:16Speaker 1: covers the main slate. If you think this is a
- 37:19Speaker 1: boring looking sheet with not enough color, this is what
- 37:23Speaker 1: it normally looks like. This is what it looks like
- 37:24Speaker 1: for subscribers. Actually this isn't exactly what it looks like.
- 37:27Speaker 1: Navy and North Texas should be colored, but on the
- 37:31Speaker 1: export of use last week, they just they weren't for
- 37:33Speaker 1: whatever reason. But that's because we have guys colored. If
- 37:37Speaker 1: there are cash consideration, high upside GPP. You know, we
- 37:42Speaker 1: have the team totals that we show on the YouTube
- 37:44Speaker 1: show too, but then we have the pace of play,
- 37:46Speaker 1: the pass defense, the rush defense. How much do they run,
- 37:49Speaker 1: how much do they pass? How many targets does this
- 37:50Speaker 1: guy get? How many rushes does this guy get. It's
- 37:52Speaker 1: just all the information that you need, all in one spot.
- 37:56Speaker 1: So if you like the color of this stone and
- 37:58Speaker 1: information on this stone a lot better than what you
- 38:02Speaker 1: see here, just join us the ship in nation. That's
- 38:05Speaker 1: all it takes. We have a bunch of different packages
- 38:08Speaker 1: for whatever you want. We have the all Access package,
- 38:10Speaker 1: which is what I would recommend right now because MBA
- 38:12Speaker 1: and NHL are now in full swing. Baseball just ended,
- 38:15Speaker 1: but you know, just we'll have it again next year.
- 38:18Speaker 1: I promise the MMA is still going. NASCAR, you know,
- 38:22Speaker 1: we have everything the swing season and PGA. We're off
- 38:24Speaker 1: this week, but we'll be back at it next week
- 38:26Speaker 1: and then obviously NFL and college football are king. It's
- 38:29Speaker 1: just the way it goes. And the pricing isn't going
- 38:32Speaker 1: to bend you over. We want you to pay for
- 38:33Speaker 1: your contests, not your content. So seven hundred dollars a
- 38:37Speaker 1: year is the best value in my opinion. But even
- 38:39Speaker 1: if you just want to try it for a wee
- 38:40Speaker 1: gets twenty four dollars. And then we also have an optimizer.
- 38:43Speaker 1: If you want to use it, you can. If you
- 38:44Speaker 1: don't want to use it, you don't have to. It's
- 38:46Speaker 1: just an add on if you like it, or if
- 38:47Speaker 1: you just want to do football or PGA, you could
- 38:49Speaker 1: do that too. You know, if you just want to
- 38:51Speaker 1: try out one sport. You know PGA is your favorite sport,
- 38:53Speaker 1: you want to try that, go for it. Football does
- 38:56Speaker 1: come with NFL and college football all in one, so
- 38:59Speaker 1: you can do packages or those with or without the
- 39:01Speaker 1: optimizer as well. And you know, if not just for
- 39:04Speaker 1: the coloring of the stone and that information, I mean,
- 39:07Speaker 1: look at the flags at the top of leaderboards title
- 39:11Speaker 1: town winning MMA. He's just always winning. We always have
- 39:15Speaker 1: somebody winning MMA in our community. Hamhock has been crushing
- 39:18Speaker 1: it at college football this year. The Master of GPPs
- 39:20Speaker 1: when it comes to CFB and just a lot of
- 39:23Speaker 1: a lot of number ones, a lot of number ones
- 39:25Speaker 1: next to ship in Nation flags. So not only do
- 39:28Speaker 1: we have the best content, we have the best community,
- 39:33Speaker 1: one of the best scores I've ever been a part of,
- 39:35Speaker 1: if not the best. So it goes beyond what's on
- 39:38Speaker 1: our website. It goes beyond the resources we provide you.
- 39:40Speaker 1: It's the discussions, the game theory as you will for DFS.
- 39:44Speaker 1: So so come on over to ship a Nation. We're
- 39:47Speaker 1: not trying to break your bank. We just want to
- 39:48Speaker 1: make you a better DFS player and help your process.
- 39:52Speaker 1: But as we head into this weekend, always remember rule
- 39:54Speaker 1: number one. College football is fun. Like I said, enjoy
- 39:57Speaker 1: the process, enjoy building your lineups, enjoy the sweats, and
- 40:01Speaker 1: hopefully I will see you at the top of the leaderboards.
- 40:04Speaker 1: But for now, we'll see you next week. I'm so,
- 40:09Speaker 1: I'm so, I'm so