Latest / Triple Da Money / The Man Behind Crypto Is Worth Billions. Who Is He?
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_01: Which again is how Warren Buffett, the dead queen, and my old gym teacher all ended up on the same murder board.
- 0:07SPEAKER_02: Somewhere out there right now is a stranger who's worth more than entire countries.
- 0:11SPEAKER_02: Nobody's ever seen his face, nobody knows his real name.
- 0:14SPEAKER_02: He could be dead, he could be in prison, he could be your Uber driver.
- 0:18SPEAKER_02: We'll never know.
- 0:18SPEAKER_01: Sounds made up.
- 0:19SPEAKER_02: It's not made up, it's the biggest unsolved mystery in the history of money.
- 0:24SPEAKER_02: And today we're solving it.
- 0:25SPEAKER_00: Let me guess.
- 0:26SPEAKER_00: Crypto?
- 0:27SPEAKER_02: Crypto.
- 0:28SPEAKER_00: I already know everything about crypto.
- 0:30SPEAKER_00: There's nothing behind it.
- 0:31SPEAKER_00: I've said this on the show before, and I'll say it again in the future.
- 0:34SPEAKER_02: And let's see if your opinion survives an actual investigation.
- 0:38SPEAKER_02: Somebody invented this thing, used a fake name, vanished.
- 0:41SPEAKER_02: And today we have real suspects, real evidence, and we'll vote at the end to figure out who it really is.
- 0:46SPEAKER_01: Like Scooby-Doo?
- 0:48SPEAKER_02: Exactly like Scooby-Doo.
- 0:50SPEAKER_01: Is there a van?
- 0:51SPEAKER_02: Uh there's kind of a van.
- 0:54SPEAKER_01: We get one of those cool vans?
- 0:56SPEAKER_02: Mm.
- 0:56SPEAKER_02: It's actually Mom's minivan.
- 0:58SPEAKER_02: And there's been a juice box in there since March.
- 1:01SPEAKER_02: I am not calling it the mystery machine.
- 1:03SPEAKER_01: The mystery machine has a juice box in it.
- 1:05SPEAKER_01: Write that down.
- 1:06SPEAKER_01: The juice box is not evidence of anything.
- 1:09SPEAKER_01: Everything's evidence today, Austin.
- 1:11SPEAKER_01: That's the whole show.
- 1:12SPEAKER_00: I already know who did it, by the way.
- 1:14SPEAKER_00: It was a guy.
- 1:15SPEAKER_02: That's not a suspect, Austin.
- 1:17SPEAKER_02: That's a species.
- 1:18SPEAKER_00: I'm narrowing it down.
- 1:22SPEAKER_02: I'm Emily, and we have a mystery to solve.
- 1:25SPEAKER_00: And I'm Austin.
- 1:26SPEAKER_00: I already solve it.
- 1:27SPEAKER_00: It was a guy.
- 1:28SPEAKER_00: Case closed.
- 1:29SPEAKER_02: Everyone gets one vote at the end of the show.
- 1:32SPEAKER_02: Let's get to work.
- 1:33SPEAKER_02: So here's everything we actually provably know.
- 1:37SPEAKER_02: Clue one.
- 1:41SPEAKER_02: A couple years ago, after unleashing this thing on the world, our investor vanished.
- 1:46SPEAKER_02: He stopped posting, stopped emailing, and he walked away from a fortune.
- 1:51SPEAKER_02: It would make him one of the richest human beings alive.
- 1:54SPEAKER_02: And he never spent a centimeter.
- 1:56SPEAKER_00: That's my old gym teacher.
- 1:57SPEAKER_02: It's not your gym teacher.
- 1:59SPEAKER_00: He also disappeared suddenly mid-semester.
- 2:02SPEAKER_02: He got a different job at a different school, Austin.
- 2:06SPEAKER_00: Noting it regardless.
- 2:30SPEAKER_00: So they were asleep?
- 2:32SPEAKER_02: At the exact hours someone living in London would be asleep.
- 2:35SPEAKER_02: If they were in Japan, that would literally happen mid-afternoon.
- 2:39SPEAKER_01: British.
- 2:39SPEAKER_01: I got it.
- 2:40SPEAKER_02: Clue three.
- 2:44SPEAKER_02: They spelt things the British way in their own writings.
- 2:48SPEAKER_02: And they hid an actual London headline in the very first piece of their system.
- 2:53SPEAKER_02: Just like a signature.
- 2:54SPEAKER_01: British, nocturnal, loaded, never spends it.
- 2:57SPEAKER_01: I'm thinking it's the Queen.
- 2:59SPEAKER_02: The Queen is dead, Brandon.
- 3:00SPEAKER_01: We don't know that for certain.
- 3:02SPEAKER_02: We absolutely know that for certain.
- 3:04SPEAKER_02: That's the profile.
- 3:05SPEAKER_02: Let's meet the suspects.
- 3:09SPEAKER_02: Suspect one.
- 3:10SPEAKER_02: Years before this currency existed, a computer scientist named Nick Sosbo invented something almost identical.
- 3:17SPEAKER_02: He called his version BitGold.
- 3:19SPEAKER_02: And researchers who studied his writing say his writing is a near perfect match for our secret inventor.
- 3:24SPEAKER_00: So it's him?
- 3:25SPEAKER_02: He's denied it repeatedly, directly, and on record.
- 3:29SPEAKER_00: Sounds exactly like something the real guy would say.
- 3:32SPEAKER_02: That's not evidence, Austin.
- 3:34SPEAKER_00: Noting it regardless.
- 3:36SPEAKER_00: That's not evidence, Austin.
- 3:37SPEAKER_00: You don't get to do that bit too.
- 3:40SPEAKER_02: Suspect 2.
- 3:41SPEAKER_02: A cryptographer named Hal Finney was the very first person on earth to ever receive a payment from our inventor.
- 3:48SPEAKER_02: And he also happened to live a few blocks from someone who, and I'm not making this up, was named Satoshi Nakamoto.
- 3:55SPEAKER_01: There's a real guy with that name?
- 3:57SPEAKER_02: A completely different, unrelated guy.
- 3:59SPEAKER_02: So hold that thought.
- 4:00SPEAKER_02: It gets worse.
- 4:01SPEAKER_02: Either this is the most suspicious coincidence in tech history, or it's the greatest plan ever devised.
- 4:08SPEAKER_00: Suspicious.
- 4:09SPEAKER_02: Very suspicious.
- 4:10SPEAKER_02: Except journalists who dug through his private records concluded that he probably wasn't our inventor.
- 4:17SPEAKER_02: And he passed in 2014, so we genuinely can't even ask him the question ourselves.
- 4:22SPEAKER_01: Rest in peace, suspect 2.
- 4:24SPEAKER_01: Too suspicious to live.
- 4:25SPEAKER_02: That's not what happened, Austin.
- 4:29SPEAKER_02: Suspect 3.
- 4:30SPEAKER_02: Years earlier, an inventor named Adam Back invented something called hash cash.
- 4:35SPEAKER_02: Proof that someone did real computer work before the system even trusted them.
- 4:38SPEAKER_02: So people couldn't spam it for free.
- 4:40SPEAKER_02: That idea is credited by name in the original document that introduced this whole currency.
- 4:45SPEAKER_02: He was also one of the first two people that our inventor personally emailed.
- 4:49SPEAKER_00: So the inventor reached out to him, specifically?
- 4:52SPEAKER_02: Which either means that he is the inventor or that the inventor respected him enough to seek him out and ask him questions.
- 4:58SPEAKER_00: They all denied it.
- 4:59SPEAKER_00: That's exactly what a criminal would do.
- 5:01SPEAKER_02: Or what literally anyone falsely accused of being a secret billionaire would do.
- 5:05SPEAKER_00: Exactly what a criminal would say.
- 5:07SPEAKER_02: I'm ending this line of questioning.
- 5:09SPEAKER_01: I've connected all three of them to your gym teacher.
- 5:12SPEAKER_01: How?
- 5:26SPEAKER_01: Wait, that's the name?
- 5:27SPEAKER_01: That sounds made up.
- 5:28SPEAKER_02: It is made up.
- 5:29SPEAKER_02: That's the whole show.
- 5:30SPEAKER_02: A magazine once ran a cover story claiming they found him.
- 5:34SPEAKER_02: An actual man in California whose real legal name just happened to be Satoshi Nakamoto.
- 5:39SPEAKER_01: Another one?
- 5:40SPEAKER_02: A different, unrelated one, he denied it.
- 5:43SPEAKER_02: And our inventor's dormant account came back online for the first time in years just to say that they had the wrong man and then went silent.
- 5:50SPEAKER_02: Forever.
- 5:51SPEAKER_00: He broke a five year silence just to clear his name and then he never spoke again.
- 5:56SPEAKER_00: The biggest mic drop in computer history.
- 5:59SPEAKER_00: Alleged.
- 5:59SPEAKER_02: Okay, second false lead.
- 6:01SPEAKER_02: A man spent almost a decade saying he was the real inventor, and he started suing people for saying otherwise.
- 6:07SPEAKER_02: A court finally reviewed all the evidence and concluded that he forged all the documents that he used to back up the story.
- 6:13SPEAKER_00: So he lied, an actual court, about being a secret billionaire.
- 6:16SPEAKER_00: I bet he got all the girls.
- 6:18SPEAKER_02: For years.
- 6:19SPEAKER_01: Adding him to the board as the guy who tried too hard.
- 6:22SPEAKER_02: Two false leads down, which brings us to Me.
- 6:25SPEAKER_01: It brings us to me.
- 6:26SPEAKER_02: Go ahead.
- 6:28SPEAKER_01: Suspect 4.
- 6:29SPEAKER_01: Ooh, Ronald McDonald.
- 6:32SPEAKER_01: Go on.
- 6:33SPEAKER_01: Think about it.
- 6:34SPEAKER_01: He's already been running his own currency for decades.
- 6:37SPEAKER_01: Little peel-off game pieces that make you feel like you're a millionaire but are worth absolutely nothing except at one restaurant.
- 6:45SPEAKER_02: Okay, that's a decent comparison.
- 6:47SPEAKER_01: Thank you.
- 6:47SPEAKER_02: McDonald's money is not evidence he invented Bitcoin.
- 6:51SPEAKER_01: Same energy though.
- 6:54SPEAKER_01: Suspect five.
- 6:58SPEAKER_01: The Monopoly guy.
- 7:00SPEAKER_02: He's a board game piece.
- 7:02SPEAKER_01: A board game piece that spent 90 years selling people fake money for a made-up economy.
- 7:08SPEAKER_01: Where a hotel on the street where nobody has ever heard of is worth$400.
- 7:13SPEAKER_01: And everyone just agrees to believe it while the game is happening.
- 7:17SPEAKER_02: That is unsettlingly close to something Warren Buffett's about to say to us.
- 7:21SPEAKER_01: I've been paying attention.
- 7:22SPEAKER_02: That one's not actually bad.
- 7:24SPEAKER_01: Suspect 6.
- 7:26SPEAKER_01: Dream.
- 7:27SPEAKER_01: Alright, for real.
- 7:28SPEAKER_01: I'm dropping it.
- 7:31SPEAKER_01: Hi.
- 7:32SPEAKER_01: Why not?
- 7:33SPEAKER_01: Dream's a very famous guy that makes Minecraft videos and he wears a mask.
- 7:37SPEAKER_01: And his entire career before any of this was about mining.
- 7:41SPEAKER_01: Mining like the mask puzzle mining?
- 7:44SPEAKER_02: We are not accusing a real person of a felony just because he plays video games.
- 7:48SPEAKER_01: I never said felony, I said founder.
- 7:51SPEAKER_01: Very different energy.
- 7:53SPEAKER_02: We're voting soon.
- 7:54SPEAKER_02: Everybody needs to calm down.
- 7:55SPEAKER_02: Since apparently we cannot move on until we cover the pizzas.
- 7:58SPEAKER_02: May 22nd, 2010.
- 8:00SPEAKER_02: A programmer posts online offering 10,000 units to anyone who'll bring him two pizzas.
- 8:05SPEAKER_02: Somebody takes the deal.
- 8:07SPEAKER_01: How much would that be worth today?
- 8:09SPEAKER_02: Let's just say if you did the math out loud, you would need to sit down first.
- 8:12SPEAKER_01: I'm already sitting down.
- 8:14SPEAKER_02: Sit down further.
- 8:15SPEAKER_02: It fluctuates, but sometimes those pizzas could be worth 1.2 billion dollars.
- 8:20SPEAKER_01: For two pizzas?
- 8:21SPEAKER_02: For two pizzas.
- 8:23SPEAKER_01: Were they at least good pizzas?
- 8:25SPEAKER_02: Nobody's asked that question once in 15 years, and you're asking that now?
- 8:29SPEAKER_01: Somebody had to.
- 8:30SPEAKER_01: This has to be the most expensive lunch in human history.
- 8:34SPEAKER_01: This is now the most important suspect on the board.
- 8:37SPEAKER_02: The pizza's not a suspect.
- 8:39SPEAKER_01: The pizza was the only witness there, Emily.
- 8:42SPEAKER_02: May 22nd is an actual holiday on internet culture now.
- 8:45SPEAKER_02: People call it Bitcoin Pizza Day.
- 8:47SPEAKER_01: Never trade your Bitcoin for pizza.
- 8:49SPEAKER_01: Yeah, unless the pizza is really good.
- 8:52SPEAKER_01: Then maybe reconsider reconsidering.
- 8:54SPEAKER_02: That's the opposite of the lesson, Brandon.
- 8:57SPEAKER_01: It's a lesson.
- 8:58SPEAKER_02: Before we get to what this thing actually is, let's call our next witness.
- 9:02SPEAKER_02: The greatest investor alive.
- 9:04SPEAKER_01: Is it the Monopoly guy?
- 9:06SPEAKER_02: It's Warren Buffett.
- 9:07SPEAKER_01: Close enough.
- 9:08SPEAKER_01: Same energy.
- 9:09SPEAKER_02: Eight years ago, a reporter asked him about what he thought about cryptocurrency.
- 9:12SPEAKER_02: And you know what he said?
- 9:13SPEAKER_02: He called it rat poison squared.
- 9:16SPEAKER_00: Rat poison squared.
- 9:17SPEAKER_00: Why squared?
- 9:18SPEAKER_00: Regular rat poison wasn't insulting enough for him?
- 9:20SPEAKER_02: Here's his real argument, and it's a good one.
- 9:23SPEAKER_02: Back in 2011, he told shareholders that if you melted down all the gold on Earth, the whole thing would form a cube about 68 feet on one side.
- 9:31SPEAKER_01: A cube of gold, the size of what?
- 9:33SPEAKER_01: A house?
- 9:34SPEAKER_02: Small enough to fit inside a baseball infield.
- 9:37SPEAKER_02: And his point was that the entire cube, worth trillions, just sits there.
- 9:41SPEAKER_02: Doesn't grow anything, doesn't run a business, doesn't pay you a dime.
- 9:44SPEAKER_02: He calls that a non-productive asset.
- 9:46SPEAKER_02: You only make money on it if someone agrees to pay more for it than you did.
- 9:50SPEAKER_00: And crypto is the same deal?
- 9:52SPEAKER_02: Same deal.
- 9:52SPEAKER_02: No gold, no cube, just numbers on a screen that only means something if the next person believes they mean something.
- 9:58SPEAKER_01: So the gold cube is just vibes?
- 10:00SPEAKER_02: Buffett would say yes, actually.
- 10:02SPEAKER_02: He's not a huge gold guy either.
- 10:04SPEAKER_01: Rat poison squared, but for shiny rocks too?
- 10:06SPEAKER_01: Kind of like a board game piece selling made up property values.
- 10:10SPEAKER_02: That is the exact comparison you made two minutes ago, and I don't like that it's holding up.
- 10:15SPEAKER_01: Adding Warren Buffett to the suspect wall.
- 10:17SPEAKER_02: He's not a suspect, he's a witness.
- 10:19SPEAKER_01: A witness with a motive, Emily.
- 10:22SPEAKER_01: He hates this stuff.
- 10:23SPEAKER_02: It doesn't make him Satoshi, it makes him a guy with opinions.
- 10:26SPEAKER_01: Noted.
- 10:27SPEAKER_01: Adding him to the board regardless.
- 10:29SPEAKER_01: Wait, hold up.
- 10:30SPEAKER_01: I've been nodding along to this ever since the episode started, but uh I don't actually know what this thing is.
- 10:36SPEAKER_01: Can you explain it to me like I'm 10?
- 10:38SPEAKER_02: Like you're 10?
- 10:39SPEAKER_01: I contain multitudes.
- 10:41SPEAKER_02: Fine.
- 10:41SPEAKER_02: You know how when in a group chat, if somebody says, I'll pay you back, everybody in the group chat sees that?
- 10:46SPEAKER_02: And nobody can go back and delete it later because everybody saw the original message.
- 10:51SPEAKER_01: Sure.
- 10:51SPEAKER_02: Now imagine that group isn't about lunch money, it's about all the money that everybody uses.
- 10:56SPEAKER_02: Thousands of computers all around the planet keep a copy of the same running notebook.
- 11:01SPEAKER_02: Every time money moves, every copy updates all at once.
- 11:04SPEAKER_02: No one's the admin, no one can quietly edit their own copy after the fact.
- 11:08SPEAKER_02: Because thousands of other copies would instantly disagree with them.
- 11:11SPEAKER_00: So there's no bank?
- 11:12SPEAKER_02: No bank, no government, just an enormous group chat that nobody can lie in.
- 11:17SPEAKER_01: Okay, that part's actually kind of cool.
- 11:19SPEAKER_02: There's one more piece.
- 11:20SPEAKER_02: There will only ever be 21 million of these.
- 11:24SPEAKER_02: Forever.
- 11:24SPEAKER_02: Like if a trading card company printed 21 million versions of the same card and then shut the factory down forever.
- 11:30SPEAKER_00: So nobody can make more whenever they want?
- 11:32SPEAKER_02: Nobody.
- 11:33SPEAKER_02: Not a president, not a company, nobody.
- 11:35SPEAKER_02: Now, here's the part that makes it genuinely wild.
- 11:38SPEAKER_02: The thing doesn't go up and down like a savings account.
- 11:41SPEAKER_02: It swings hard.
- 11:43SPEAKER_02: One year it dropped by 80% in a year.
- 11:46SPEAKER_02: Years later, it practically did the same thing again.
- 11:48SPEAKER_02: It dropped down 75% in 12 months.
- 11:52SPEAKER_00: 80% of everything?
- 11:53SPEAKER_02: Everything.
- 11:54SPEAKER_02: Then it claws back up over the next couple of years.
- 11:56SPEAKER_02: Then eventually it does the same thing again.
- 11:59SPEAKER_01: So it's not a roller coaster.
- 12:00SPEAKER_01: It's a roller coaster that occasionally catches fire.
- 12:03SPEAKER_02: And then somehow people still get back in line for another ride.
- 12:07SPEAKER_00: Why would anyone want money that does that?
- 12:09SPEAKER_02: Some people think the wild swings are an appeal, but other people think that that's why you don't want to put your rent money in it.
- 12:15SPEAKER_02: Both of these people exist allowedly at the same volume, at the same time, all over the internet.
- 12:21SPEAKER_01: Adding mood swings as a clue for the coin and my uncle.
- 12:25SPEAKER_02: And now, just like the cartoon promised, we open every box.
- 12:30SPEAKER_01: That's deeply unsatisfying.
- 12:33SPEAKER_02: That's the actual true answer.
- 12:35SPEAKER_02: Nobody knows.
- 12:36SPEAKER_02: Some of the smartest researchers and journalists alive have spent over 15 years on this.
- 12:41SPEAKER_02: And it's still a question mark.
- 12:42SPEAKER_00: But we don't solve it today?
- 12:44SPEAKER_02: Nobody solves it, probably ever.
- 12:46SPEAKER_02: That's what makes it the biggest unsolved mystery in modern history.
- 12:49SPEAKER_02: But we said we'd vote.
- 12:51SPEAKER_02: Austin.
- 12:53SPEAKER_02: You had three real suspects with actual documented evidence, and you chose the guy who just teaches at a different middle school?
- 13:00SPEAKER_00: My gym teacher.
- 13:01SPEAKER_00: I stand by it.
- 13:02SPEAKER_02: And I assume you're voting for the clown, the game piece, or dream.
- 13:07SPEAKER_01: Actually, let me get this straight.
- 13:09SPEAKER_01: Some guy, nobody's ever met him, invents a currency out of literally nothing.
- 13:14SPEAKER_01: It's not backed by a government, it's not backed by gold, it's not backed by literally anything.
- 13:19SPEAKER_01: And people put their life savings into it anyway.
- 13:22SPEAKER_01: And I'm the unreasonable one for thinking it might be Ronald McDonald.
- 13:26SPEAKER_02: Okay, when you put it like that.
- 13:27SPEAKER_02: He's not wrong.
- 13:28SPEAKER_02: He's not right either.
- 13:30SPEAKER_01: I'll take not wrong.
- 13:31SPEAKER_01: I'm framing that.
- 13:33SPEAKER_02: If I had to actually guess, I'd bet on suspect one.
- 13:36SPEAKER_02: The writing match is the closest thing to evidence we've ever got, but who's to say?
- 13:40SPEAKER_01: Final answer is the juice box.
- 13:42SPEAKER_02: The juice box from the minivan?
- 13:45SPEAKER_01: It's been suspiciously quiet the entire episode.
- 13:48SPEAKER_01: Never once a theory, never once a comment.
- 13:51SPEAKER_01: That's not innocence, Emily.
- 13:52SPEAKER_01: That's discipline.
- 13:54SPEAKER_02: It's fruit punch, Brandon.
- 13:56SPEAKER_01: That's exactly what Fruit Punch would want you to think.
- 14:00SPEAKER_02: So a stranger built an untraceable digital money, used a fake name, disappeared, and then left the internet scrambling to figure out who they were.
- 14:08SPEAKER_02: A digital coin with a limit of 21 million and price swings hard enough to make grown adults panic.
- 14:13SPEAKER_00: And I said there was nothing.
- 14:15SPEAKER_02: You did say that.
- 14:16SPEAKER_00: It's not nothing.
- 14:17SPEAKER_00: It's just not something I'd be willing to bet my life savings on.
- 14:21SPEAKER_02: That's the takeaway, and since we've spent the whole episode being weird about it, here's the real takeaway instead of just vibes.
- 14:27SPEAKER_02: BlackRock, one of the biggest investment firms on the planet, put out some real advice about this.
- 14:32SPEAKER_02: If you want any crypto exposure at all, their suggestion is to keep it to 1 to 2% of your portfolio.
- 14:39SPEAKER_00: That's it?
- 14:40SPEAKER_00: 2%?
- 14:40SPEAKER_02: That's it because this stuff swings so much harder than anything else in a normal portfolio.
- 14:44SPEAKER_02: Even a small slice punches way above its weight.
- 14:47SPEAKER_02: Think of it like hot sauce.
- 14:48SPEAKER_01: I love hot sauce.
- 14:50SPEAKER_02: A few drops, season the whole plate.
- 14:52SPEAKER_02: Dump in the entire bottle, and you've ruined the whole dinner.
- 14:55SPEAKER_02: Same idea here.
- 14:56SPEAKER_02: A little bit can season a smart portfolio, but too much, and the whole thing is ruined.
- 15:01SPEAKER_00: So don't marinate your whole life savings in the hot sauce.
- 15:04SPEAKER_02: Don't marinate your whole life savings in the hot sauce.
- 15:08SPEAKER_01: And if anyone ever offers you a life changing amount of anything for two pizzas, get a second opinion first.
- 15:14SPEAKER_00: From someone other than your gym teacher.
- 15:17SPEAKER_01: We don't know that for certain.
- 15:18SPEAKER_02: Now, to everyone watching, if you think you actually know who Nakamoto is, put your suggestion in the comments.