Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Five Picks for NFL Week 11 with Chad and Blackjack

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Five Picks for NFL Week 11 with Chad and Blackjack · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:09
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites. It's the Friday Super Contest Edition.
0:16
Speaker 1: I am Shad Noman from the Action Network. My beautiful boy,
0:22
Speaker 1: my beautiful beautiful brother. Mr. Black Jack Fletcher is joining
0:28
Speaker 1: me as he does every Friday. What's happening. What's happening.
0:33
Speaker 1: I'm shining like a diamond and rolling with the dice. Brother,
0:37
Speaker 1: I don't even know what that means. Everything good, everything good.
0:41
Speaker 1: We're sitting here having some fried chickens and chocolate martinis. Well,
0:45
Speaker 1: we've been everyone in the studios having fried chicken. You're
0:47
Speaker 1: having a grilled chicken salad because I know, my boy,
0:50
Speaker 1: we've literally been sitting here for fifteen minutes, and I
0:52
Speaker 1: think you're loaded loaded. Well, been drinking all day, Chad,
0:56
Speaker 1: So working on it, working on it. Listen, it's Friday.
1:02
Speaker 1: This is what we're gonna do, black Jack, You and
1:05
Speaker 1: I we gotta choose five games for the West Gate
1:09
Speaker 1: Las Vegas Super Contest. We're gonna win one point four
1:12
Speaker 1: million dollars. Every one of these picks is crucial to
1:18
Speaker 1: our success because last week, yikes, I believe the kids
1:26
Speaker 1: call it fuggle. I think that's what the kids in
1:29
Speaker 1: two thousand two called it. I'm not sure what they
1:32
Speaker 1: called today, but yeah, it was bad. It was really bad.
1:34
Speaker 1: I mean, we knew we had a bad slate when
1:36
Speaker 1: we wrapped the show and we had you know, the
1:39
Speaker 1: Jags the Cardinals, and those were the two best of
1:42
Speaker 1: the week for us, and then we had the Jins. Yeah,
1:46
Speaker 1: it was, it was. It was a messy week and
1:48
Speaker 1: proved to be that for us on Sunday. So, you
1:51
Speaker 1: know what, whatever, we'll get back up. When you say
1:54
Speaker 1: it out loud like that, you look back and you think,
1:58
Speaker 1: you think, really, you know what it was? For me?
2:01
Speaker 1: It was when I saw the graphic that was up
2:04
Speaker 1: at on Twitter at the Favorites pod go follow it
2:08
Speaker 1: and I saw the logos of all the teams we
2:10
Speaker 1: had picked, just one after the other, Jaguars, Cardinals, Dolphins, Jets.
2:16
Speaker 1: That's when it really sunk in for me that we
2:18
Speaker 1: really fucked it up. I think the metaphor for that
2:21
Speaker 1: week is when you start the evening looking at a
2:24
Speaker 1: bottle of Smyrnoff and could dive in dark chocolate and
2:27
Speaker 1: think killer fucking idea, this can't go wrong, cannot go wrong,
2:32
Speaker 1: and the next morning you're like, nothing about that made sense.
2:37
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, That's kind of what I'm hoping for here.
2:39
Speaker 1: I'm hoping we can get back to our find our
2:41
Speaker 1: groove again because we were sidetracked last week and now
2:44
Speaker 1: now it's back to business. Baby, It's time to get
2:46
Speaker 1: serious grooven. Let's say hello to the best part of
2:52
Speaker 1: the podcast. Let's Georgina one one last week, just from
2:59
Speaker 1: my Beautiful He's finally grew wings too close to the sun.
3:04
Speaker 1: I really like the icarous reference she called this beautiful
3:07
Speaker 1: voice she did. She's right, She's always right. I do
3:10
Speaker 1: feel like we've grown pretty close to her. Yeah, we have.
3:14
Speaker 1: It's strange. I I feel very close to a woman
3:16
Speaker 1: I've never met or spoken to in person. So, yeah,
3:20
Speaker 1: she was in New York with Gabe, but she was
3:22
Speaker 1: under the weather, so she was she was out of commission.
3:26
Speaker 1: She is the best. Gave is So. Gabe Goodwin U
3:30
Speaker 1: creator and mastermind of these podcasts. The Mats are not
3:35
Speaker 1: going to be happy that I said that the hipster Mats.
3:38
Speaker 1: But he's going to be more upset you called him
3:42
Speaker 1: a hipster. He gave is So skiing over his tips
3:45
Speaker 1: with Georgina, it's true story. It's a good thing. He uh.
3:50
Speaker 1: He wiped her up before she met me. Well, you
3:55
Speaker 1: never know. One one never does. Some people are impossible
4:00
Speaker 1: to resist. Listen. The other thing, UH that stars to
4:04
Speaker 1: Regina is we've asked you guys to review the show
4:07
Speaker 1: and Apple podcasts UM, mainly because we are looking for
4:11
Speaker 1: every way possible to move up the rankings in the
4:13
Speaker 1: Apple podcasts and one of the ways you gain the
4:16
Speaker 1: system is to get reviews on the podcast. And if
4:18
Speaker 1: you review the podcast, it's a very good chance to
4:21
Speaker 1: Regina will read the review on the podcast. Let's here
4:25
Speaker 1: today's review, Georgie. I change review subject Hi Georgina by
4:30
Speaker 1: ot T Dog sixty six. Nice Friday podcast where I
4:34
Speaker 1: have to pick between Chat picking all the underdogs and
4:37
Speaker 1: black Jack picking all the chalk. Split the difference and
4:40
Speaker 1: you'll be okay, is my advice. Five stars, five stars.
4:44
Speaker 1: Thank you for the five star review. Um, you know
4:47
Speaker 1: he's not wrong. It's really not your square. I have
4:50
Speaker 1: another review I pulled myself off of iTunes from UH
4:55
Speaker 1: in Love with Nikki. Nikki is apparently a lucky lady.
4:58
Speaker 1: Five star review, five stars, Um, two sentences. Chat is
5:02
Speaker 1: not funny love the pod that was my favorite? How
5:09
Speaker 1: did my kids get into the Apple podcast. Well, if
5:12
Speaker 1: your kids are in there, maybe you want to find
5:14
Speaker 1: out who Nikki is because one of them is in
5:16
Speaker 1: love with her. Listen. You don't know what's happening with
5:19
Speaker 1: this social media these days. The good news is, um,
5:23
Speaker 1: my twelve year old doesn't listen to the podcast. If
5:25
Speaker 1: he did, uh, he would now find out that my
5:28
Speaker 1: wife and I steal his phone every night after he
5:31
Speaker 1: goes to bed and look at all of his texts.
5:34
Speaker 1: Does your fifteen year old listen to the pod? No? Okay, alright,
5:38
Speaker 1: good because if I was gonna say if he did,
5:40
Speaker 1: your twelve year old is about to find out. No. Listen.
5:43
Speaker 1: If my kids are leaving reviews in the podcast like that,
5:46
Speaker 1: I'm not funny you think they're actually listening to the podcast.
5:50
Speaker 1: The next time, I don't have to listen to the
5:52
Speaker 1: next time anybody in my family. The next time anyone
5:56
Speaker 1: in my family takes an interest in anything I'm doing
6:00
Speaker 1: will be the first time. The other day, you left
6:03
Speaker 1: your kid at a Starbucks over the weekend. I did.
6:06
Speaker 1: You left him and I had to go. I had
6:11
Speaker 1: to go. I had been waiting a long time. We
6:13
Speaker 1: had to go do our periscope at Action Network HQ.
6:16
Speaker 1: We do it every Sunday before the games, the only
6:19
Speaker 1: live pregame show four Gamblers. We revisit this chemistry. And uh,
6:24
Speaker 1: it was running late. I had gone to get sandwiches
6:25
Speaker 1: for the family. The woman behind the counter took a
6:27
Speaker 1: really long time. Zach wanted to go get some Starbucks.
6:30
Speaker 1: I said, go ahead. The line of Starbucks was really long.
6:32
Speaker 1: I had the sandwiches, I was done, I was ready
6:34
Speaker 1: to go. I had to get back to you. I
6:36
Speaker 1: had seven minutes to get there, and I said to Zach, like,
6:39
Speaker 1: I gotta go. So rather than texting me, hey, can
6:43
Speaker 1: we push five minutes, you left your son at a
6:46
Speaker 1: Starbucks to go do a periscope with me. I mean
6:50
Speaker 1: when you say it like that, it sounds like I've
6:52
Speaker 1: lost perspective right, a little bit, like I've lost my priorities.
6:55
Speaker 1: It was only a couple minutes away, and my wife
6:57
Speaker 1: went to get him like when he was ready. I mean,
6:59
Speaker 1: and that's fair. I mean, listen, the Starbucks in Grantwedge,
7:01
Speaker 1: Connecticut is really nice. It's very safe. I wouldn't be
7:05
Speaker 1: that concerned either, you know, I promise you no one
7:09
Speaker 1: is stealing a fifteen year old boy it's like the
7:12
Speaker 1: last thing in the world anybody wants to take. Wow, Zack,
7:16
Speaker 1: I think you're cool, so um, you know, even if
7:19
Speaker 1: your dad thinks nobody wants you. I don't know what
7:22
Speaker 1: to say here, I know what to say. Let's get
7:28
Speaker 1: to those games. Let's get back on track. Can I
7:36
Speaker 1: just say one thing? Yes, the other day I was
7:43
Speaker 1: going to say something to my wife and before I
7:45
Speaker 1: even said it, she just put her hand up and said,
7:50
Speaker 1: don't And I'm like what, She goes, I know what
7:59
Speaker 1: you're gonna say. It's going to be annoying. Don't even
8:02
Speaker 1: And and that gave me the opportunity to completely lie
8:05
Speaker 1: and say. All I was gonna say is that I
8:08
Speaker 1: think this is turning out great. But in fact I
8:12
Speaker 1: was going to say the opposite. You were going to
8:13
Speaker 1: say something really annoying. But all I got to be
8:15
Speaker 1: were supportive. We had that exact moment last week twice.
8:21
Speaker 1: Can you guys keep please reviewing the podcast so we
8:24
Speaker 1: can read it and we can continue to sky the
8:26
Speaker 1: rocket up the iTunes rankings. Please? Thank you. Can we
8:31
Speaker 1: get to the games Tennessee at Indian Atlas Colts by
8:35
Speaker 1: two Colts Titans, Oh, come on? Come on, no, no, no,
8:43
Speaker 1: one reason, one reason, it's reasons. It's Andrew Andrew Luck
8:47
Speaker 1: and Luck. Andrew Luck is back. Okay, this isn't he
8:51
Speaker 1: looks better. He looks okay. Andrew Luck is playing the
8:55
Speaker 1: football he played two and a half three years ago.
8:58
Speaker 1: He is playing outstanding. Markus Mariota is still a week
9:01
Speaker 1: to week proposition. I like what the Titans have done
9:04
Speaker 1: on defense, and I'll give Mike Rabel a lot of credit.
9:07
Speaker 1: Their offense has been better than I thought it would be.
9:10
Speaker 1: But Andrew Luck is there. That dude is a top
9:14
Speaker 1: ten quarterback in the NFL right now? Absolutely is you
9:18
Speaker 1: want to name nine more? All I did was look
9:20
Speaker 1: at you, and I know what that look is. Don't
9:23
Speaker 1: don't Now it feels like I'm at home, short home favorite.
9:30
Speaker 1: It's your thing, better quarterback. I think the coaches are
9:34
Speaker 1: pretty even. The defense I've given edge to Tennessee, but
9:37
Speaker 1: the offense is is markedly better for Indianapolis Alec Cults.
9:44
Speaker 1: I so love the Titans in this game. Titan stink.
9:52
Speaker 1: That's an absurd statement. You can be blackjack all you want,
9:58
Speaker 1: but Chad is telling you right now that that is
10:00
Speaker 1: an absurd statement. You can like the Colts, but this
10:04
Speaker 1: I say this to my kids all the time, like
10:06
Speaker 1: you can not like something or someone else can like
10:09
Speaker 1: something without it having to be the worst thing in
10:11
Speaker 1: the world. No, that's not the world we live in.
10:13
Speaker 1: That's not Look at our political landscape. You don't have
10:17
Speaker 1: to go much further than that. I don't wander on
10:19
Speaker 1: one side. The other side is the worst thing that's
10:21
Speaker 1: ever been created in all of humanity, just because I
10:25
Speaker 1: just want this student to be a space. You've got
10:29
Speaker 1: the wrong guy in here. If you want to save space,
10:34
Speaker 1: we'll make this maybe on what side. I don't know
10:38
Speaker 1: if we're gonna come back to it. Second, Georgie Tampa
10:43
Speaker 1: Bay at New York Giants Giants by one and a half.
10:47
Speaker 1: I want to do something that I don't think it's
10:50
Speaker 1: ever been done on this show. Give me that point
10:52
Speaker 1: and a half. Ever, what is it? I want to
10:55
Speaker 1: give you credit, thank you, because and then I wanna
11:01
Speaker 1: give your criticism. Of course, you were all over the
11:06
Speaker 1: Giants against the Niners. You said it in the podcast,
11:10
Speaker 1: and like you hated myself, you were you were apologetic,
11:15
Speaker 1: and then you said it again on the talk talk
11:19
Speaker 1: at Action Network HQ periscope. You really like the Giants here,
11:23
Speaker 1: and you know how I am about the Giants at
11:26
Speaker 1: this point, Like, I'm just I don't blame burned, but
11:30
Speaker 1: I'm not investing in the Bucks either. Like, why do
11:32
Speaker 1: we hav to talk about this game? We should be
11:34
Speaker 1: skipping this game? You don't. There is no way you
11:37
Speaker 1: like the Bucks so much in this game that you
11:42
Speaker 1: feel that strongly about it. Well, listen, it's the second
11:45
Speaker 1: game off the board for us, so at this point, no,
11:47
Speaker 1: I don't. But the case I would make for the
11:50
Speaker 1: Bucks is very simple. They can score too many points.
11:53
Speaker 1: The Giants aren't gonna be able to keep up with
11:54
Speaker 1: them offensively. Just here's my criticism. Although Dirk Cutter took
11:59
Speaker 1: over play calling duties and that turned out really well.
12:01
Speaker 1: Don't you ever apologize for good ideas? You are a
12:05
Speaker 1: beautiful baby. Who those are? Guy? You know you do
12:11
Speaker 1: not have to apologize. Dark chocolate martinis were a good
12:14
Speaker 1: idea for being bold. Dark chocolate martiniz Next game, Next game,
12:19
Speaker 1: Georgia Girl Pittsburgh at Jacksonville jack Is Steelers by five
12:24
Speaker 1: and a half. What are you here? Give it me?
12:27
Speaker 1: We're going with the jackson I like Jacksonvilles give it
12:29
Speaker 1: to me like Jacksonville. We can talk about it. We
12:31
Speaker 1: can talk about how on Action network dot com or
12:34
Speaker 1: you can download the free free what it's a free app,
12:37
Speaker 1: uh and get this story. But our Action Network power
12:42
Speaker 1: ratings we always compare them to the spreads. The game
12:44
Speaker 1: with the biggest delta between our power ratings and the
12:47
Speaker 1: spread indicating value is the Jacksonville Jaguars against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
12:54
Speaker 1: I think that there is way to listen. I love
12:56
Speaker 1: the Steelers. I got them to win the Super Bowl.
12:58
Speaker 1: One of the eight teams I have to win the
13:00
Speaker 1: Super Bowlers Shore. He's not exaggerated. That's actually ten. I
13:05
Speaker 1: have ten teams. Um. But I will tell you I
13:11
Speaker 1: like the Jacks in this spot. All right, we got
13:14
Speaker 1: a winner. We were we were you know what our
13:16
Speaker 1: problem was? We were just a week early on the Jags.
13:20
Speaker 1: Last week, we were a week early for needed he
13:24
Speaker 1: needed the week to get back. I don't think I
13:27
Speaker 1: think we were a half early. Yeah, they don't fumble
13:31
Speaker 1: the ball and they're tying that game at the least.
13:34
Speaker 1: But I agree like that. That's why I don't like Honestly,
13:37
Speaker 1: that's why I only the Colts against the Titans. Like
13:39
Speaker 1: they should very lucky. I'll give you that. They should
13:42
Speaker 1: that team away and they didn't. And uh, I was
13:47
Speaker 1: unimpressed by that. Like they that game goes five more
13:50
Speaker 1: minutes and they lose that game. That's why, that's why
13:54
Speaker 1: I don't like him. All right, So we got one.
13:55
Speaker 1: We're going with the Jacks again. Oh boy, I cannot
13:58
Speaker 1: believe we're starting with the Jacks. Next. Georgie Carolina at
14:02
Speaker 1: Detroit Panthers by four. Next. You don't like Carolina, heret
14:09
Speaker 1: I like them dramatic wins, not good wins. Okay, but
14:13
Speaker 1: Carolina has got a week and a half, they got
14:15
Speaker 1: extra time to prep and they're off a game where
14:17
Speaker 1: they gave up fifty one. They got their ass kicked.
14:20
Speaker 1: This is a bounce back spotting the Lions. The Lions
14:22
Speaker 1: were waving the white flag. Brother, I think they're done.
14:26
Speaker 1: All right. I'm not gonna I'm not gonna beat the
14:28
Speaker 1: drum on this one. Georgy Dallas at Atlanta Falcons by
14:35
Speaker 1: three and a half. Run and shoot, baby, run and shoot.
14:41
Speaker 1: Give me the flat Flacons. Yes, yes, absolutely. The Cowboys
14:50
Speaker 1: wildly overvalued after a win last week against the Eagles.
14:54
Speaker 1: The Falcons stubbed their toe in the ground against Cleveland.
14:58
Speaker 1: This is this is the fact that this is only
15:01
Speaker 1: three and a half is a gift lay the three
15:03
Speaker 1: and a half. Dallas's offense cannot hang with this Atlanta offense,
15:08
Speaker 1: especially at home. No, no way, no way we are.
15:12
Speaker 1: We are at the uh sweet spot of overvalued. When
15:19
Speaker 1: you get the Cowboys beating the world champions on the
15:22
Speaker 1: road in prime time and you get the Falcons losing
15:26
Speaker 1: to the Browns as big road favorites. When anybody paying attention,
15:30
Speaker 1: Chad Melman, you were right about that. That was Chad Milman.
15:35
Speaker 1: Jatty Boy Chatster, Millie Monster, Millie Wake bet the Browns.
15:48
Speaker 1: Everybody knew the Browns were the right side in that game.
15:52
Speaker 1: And anyone who didn't and is now not recognizing the
15:56
Speaker 1: Falcons being discounted is making a mistake by not betting
16:00
Speaker 1: the Falcons is the right side here. We got to
16:04
Speaker 1: We got the Jags, and we got the Falcons already
16:08
Speaker 1: on a really good run with great teams. We can
16:11
Speaker 1: count like it. I like it, Georgina, you beautiful English lady.
16:14
Speaker 1: What's next? Cincinnati at Baltimore Ravens by six and a half.
16:19
Speaker 1: I can't get away from this game fast enough. Listen.
16:24
Speaker 1: I think everything you need to know about this game
16:26
Speaker 1: is the fact that we still don't know who's playing
16:30
Speaker 1: quarterback for the Ravens. And Hugh Jackson has signed with
16:35
Speaker 1: the Bengals as an assistant coach. Oh man, Oh that's
16:42
Speaker 1: the best. And this line has gone up. Yeah, it
16:48
Speaker 1: was five and a half when it opened. And and
16:50
Speaker 1: the West Gate, which usually is behind the line in
16:53
Speaker 1: terms of the movie, is at six and a half. Yeah,
16:56
Speaker 1: this is awful. I listen, you can't take the Ravens
16:59
Speaker 1: because you know who's under center um and the Bengals.
17:04
Speaker 1: I think you learned your lesson with the Bengals last
17:05
Speaker 1: week for a little while. Yeah, that song you did
17:09
Speaker 1: was so good. That song right now, if you haven't
17:12
Speaker 1: checked it out, just find black Jack Fletcher's Twitter feed.
17:14
Speaker 1: Maybe you can pin that to the top blat Jack
17:17
Speaker 1: for the people before this, you know, tomorrow or winning,
17:20
Speaker 1: it'll be up there. Yeah, put it at the top,
17:21
Speaker 1: because that is the best performing video we've ever had
17:24
Speaker 1: in the history of the Action Network. It is an
17:27
Speaker 1: ode to me by you. I'm your inspiration, he is,
17:32
Speaker 1: he's my muse. I bring meaning to your life? Are
17:34
Speaker 1: we going to do Peter Satara next? Is that where
17:37
Speaker 1: we're going? Yeah, little Peter Stara? Alright, alright, maybe we
17:43
Speaker 1: could do he didn't he do a duet with Amy
17:44
Speaker 1: Grant or something. You could be like the Amy Grant.
17:47
Speaker 1: I would do it. I know you would, just talented
17:50
Speaker 1: to Alright, So we're not going to take this game
17:55
Speaker 1: right this next game though, Georgie, George, he's ston at Washington,
18:01
Speaker 1: Texans by three. Give it to me, Give it to me,
18:05
Speaker 1: give it to me. We're doing this game all over
18:08
Speaker 1: this game. Give me your side, tell me, tell me
18:11
Speaker 1: I like Houston, fuck you, Chad, Chad, Yad, Chad, Chad,
18:19
Speaker 1: Jack Black Chad. The Redskins offensive line is missing three
18:23
Speaker 1: starters in the going against J. J. Watt and Jadaeveon Clown.
18:27
Speaker 1: They're going to get massacred on the offensive line. Alex Smith.
18:32
Speaker 1: Alex Smith might die in this game. He might die.
18:35
Speaker 1: Here's my problem. Here's what I'm struggling with. Their running
18:37
Speaker 1: backs like ninety two years old. Here's what I'm struggling with.
18:42
Speaker 1: Kind of already, put the Redskins and listen, I get it.
18:45
Speaker 1: Because the Redskins have outperformed. I mean all expectations, but
18:50
Speaker 1: that defensive line against that that offensive line for the Redskins.
18:54
Speaker 1: No way, man, no way, Alex Smith. Alex Smith should
18:58
Speaker 1: be worried his wife meets up the life insurance this
19:01
Speaker 1: week because like he may not make it out. Well,
19:05
Speaker 1: anybody in this room by my Redskins plus three ticket?
19:08
Speaker 1: Anybody got three guys in here, they're all shaking their
19:12
Speaker 1: head now. They're all drunk, though, so they might just
19:15
Speaker 1: be nodding. M h. Maybe I don't want to bet
19:20
Speaker 1: Houston in this game. I don't really want to either,
19:22
Speaker 1: But if I'm going to, I'm taking Houston. Well let's
19:25
Speaker 1: skip it. Then skip it. Georgina Oakland at Arizona Cardinals
19:31
Speaker 1: by five and a half. I love the Cardinals at
19:34
Speaker 1: four and a half. I don't want to do this
19:37
Speaker 1: at five and a half. I agree with you. I don't.
19:40
Speaker 1: I can't. I can't lay five and a half with
19:42
Speaker 1: that to absolutely no way. I will tell you right now,
19:48
Speaker 1: this is going to get Although we've got some good
19:52
Speaker 1: ones on the back end of this. We got two
19:54
Speaker 1: games so far. We got the Jazz plus five and
19:57
Speaker 1: a half against the Steelers. We got the Falcons minus
19:59
Speaker 1: three and against the Cowboys. But we are not finding
20:03
Speaker 1: a lot of games. But we've got some good ones
20:05
Speaker 1: coming up. So let's get to the next one. My
20:07
Speaker 1: beautiful cup of Earl gray Denver at Los Angeles Charges
20:11
Speaker 1: Charges by seven, big big number, big big number. I
20:22
Speaker 1: don't know what it is. Maybe you can help me
20:24
Speaker 1: with this. I still don't trust the Chargers, and I
20:26
Speaker 1: know I should. Isn't that weird? I know I should,
20:28
Speaker 1: Like they've been maybe the fifth or sixth best team
20:32
Speaker 1: in the NFL all year. I still don't trust them.
20:35
Speaker 1: And Philip Rivers is having an m v P unbelievable year.
20:39
Speaker 1: Why were we not on the chart? Like we didn't
20:41
Speaker 1: bet the Chargers in minus ten against the Raiders? I know?
20:43
Speaker 1: And I sat there on Sunday morning looking at it,
20:46
Speaker 1: like I'll wait till the afternoon, maybe that number will
20:49
Speaker 1: drop a little bit, Like was it really going to
20:51
Speaker 1: make a difference against the Raiders nine and a half
20:53
Speaker 1: into end? I don't know why, but I just don't
20:56
Speaker 1: trust this team. It's weird. I think it's just horse
21:00
Speaker 1: of habit. Year in and year out, this team disappoints
21:04
Speaker 1: and I just can't get past it to trusting them.
21:07
Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm in a hundred percent agreement with you.
21:11
Speaker 1: So I'm going to propose something. Let's go against our instincts. Okay,
21:18
Speaker 1: let's bet the Chargers. We know we have a we
21:23
Speaker 1: have a cognitive bias here, right, And like I have
21:27
Speaker 1: only bet the Chargers in scenarios where like they are
21:31
Speaker 1: they are dogs or short favorites. The one time I
21:35
Speaker 1: went against my instincts on the Chargers was when they
21:38
Speaker 1: were road favorites against the Browns, and I'm just like,
21:42
Speaker 1: this team is good, and they continue to win. They
21:46
Speaker 1: went on the road and won big against the Seahawks,
21:49
Speaker 1: you know, like very they went on the road, demolished
21:53
Speaker 1: the Raiders. Philip Rivers is having an m v P year. Granted,
21:57
Speaker 1: the Broncos defensive line is really really good. They can
22:00
Speaker 1: rush the pastor they can give him fits. But I
22:06
Speaker 1: think we're making a mistake by just consistently looking at
22:09
Speaker 1: the Los Angeles Chargers and saying we're walking away if
22:12
Speaker 1: it's a big number, because like if it was, if
22:14
Speaker 1: this was the Chiefs against the Broncos, if this was
22:17
Speaker 1: the Rams against the Broncos, we wouldn't wait two seconds,
22:21
Speaker 1: all right, give me your hand, take my hand. Let's
22:24
Speaker 1: do this together. One, two, three? All right, that was
22:35
Speaker 1: a nice moment, really was That's that's a leap of
22:37
Speaker 1: faith we took together. I just jump off. We just
22:39
Speaker 1: jumped off the cliff together. Will Fetters should do a
22:46
Speaker 1: movie about us. You know what, one may be being
22:49
Speaker 1: written that is a sequel, that is a sequel to
22:51
Speaker 1: fell Me and Louise. I Obviouslyking Turner and Who. But
22:55
Speaker 1: how funny would it be if, like Will Fetters, who
22:59
Speaker 1: wrote Star Was Born, Who's got a skyrocketing career, friend
23:03
Speaker 1: of the show, friend of the show, one of the
23:06
Speaker 1: most talented screenwriters in Hollywood, if he decided his next
23:10
Speaker 1: big project was going to be the unauthorized sequel to
23:15
Speaker 1: Selma and Louise based on You and Me. That's Office
23:20
Speaker 1: and and the Day New Ma is You and I?
23:26
Speaker 1: You and I theoretically jumping off the clip but really
23:30
Speaker 1: cliff but really walking to the counter of the sports
23:32
Speaker 1: book and betting the charges while holding hands. Yes, yeah,
23:36
Speaker 1: I like it. I like it a lot. Everyone in
23:38
Speaker 1: the room loves that. I can sense the enthusiasts. You
23:40
Speaker 1: are welcome, Will Fetters. We are here to make life
23:44
Speaker 1: better for you, But if we don't get our fair cut,
23:47
Speaker 1: we'll sue the hell out of you. Yeah, we're coming
23:48
Speaker 1: after you. We're very litigious. That's that's called I p alright, Georgie,
23:56
Speaker 1: Philadelphia at New Leans Saints bite enough. I don't know
24:02
Speaker 1: that I like it as much as the final two games.
24:06
Speaker 1: I would agree with you, but I don't know what
24:07
Speaker 1: side we're gonna be on in the final two games.
24:09
Speaker 1: I like Philly here, and everyone knows how much I
24:13
Speaker 1: love the Saints. I have a Saints super Bowl future.
24:17
Speaker 1: You might only have two. You might you might know
24:20
Speaker 1: that I have the Saints at eighteen to one to
24:23
Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. I got him a twenty two,
24:26
Speaker 1: and I'm only holding two, holding the Saints and Steelers.
24:30
Speaker 1: I got the Steelers in my pool. I think you
24:34
Speaker 1: said last week when the Saints were playing the Bengals,
24:37
Speaker 1: that the Saints were at their pinnacle, that you know
24:41
Speaker 1: you were you were over paying for them. I didn't
24:43
Speaker 1: think that was the case last week. Credit to me.
24:46
Speaker 1: I think it is the case this week. I think
24:49
Speaker 1: after that road win they thrash the Bengals the week
24:53
Speaker 1: before they beat the Rams, I think this is when
24:56
Speaker 1: you're paying the premium to take the Saints Philadelphia season
25:00
Speaker 1: is on the line here this z man. I mean,
25:01
Speaker 1: if this team drops to four and six, they're done.
25:04
Speaker 1: I mean they're they're finished. They're they're not going to
25:06
Speaker 1: make the playoffs. At four and six, they're out. So
25:09
Speaker 1: this is it for them. And I don't know whether
25:12
Speaker 1: they can win this football game, but I am confident
25:15
Speaker 1: they can keep it within a touchdown. It does seem
25:18
Speaker 1: like a huge number. It does. It does, And I
25:22
Speaker 1: think that the Saints at this point this is where
25:25
Speaker 1: you get that overvalue. I think this is it because they,
25:28
Speaker 1: like I said, they beat the Rams in a game
25:30
Speaker 1: we all were looking forward to was the top two
25:32
Speaker 1: teams in the NFC, and then they go on the
25:34
Speaker 1: road to Cincinnati and what you feel like should be
25:36
Speaker 1: a letdown spot and it's not. They just kicked the
25:39
Speaker 1: Bengals teeth in. This is the spot where now you're
25:43
Speaker 1: paying too much to take New World. This could be
25:45
Speaker 1: the blue wave of numbers, Like the longer it goes,
25:48
Speaker 1: the higher it might get. Yeah, that was pretty good metaphor.
25:53
Speaker 1: I thought that. Um, But yeah, I mean, I I
25:58
Speaker 1: like Philly here, Like you said, we've got two games
26:00
Speaker 1: that to be honest with you. I like better coming up,
26:03
Speaker 1: but I don't know if we're gonna be on the
26:04
Speaker 1: same side. How about we put this maybe all right
26:09
Speaker 1: right now? We got the Jacks plus five and a
26:11
Speaker 1: half against the Steelers, the Falcons minus three and a
26:13
Speaker 1: half against the Cowboys, the Chargers minus seven against the Broncos.
26:20
Speaker 1: Maybe on Philly a plus eight and a half, and
26:22
Speaker 1: maybe on the Colts Titans. We're not sure which we
26:25
Speaker 1: would go on that. My English rose m Minnesota at Chicago,
26:34
Speaker 1: Chicago by two and a half. You gotta take Vikings here.
26:38
Speaker 1: This is crazy. This is crazy. The Bears are two
26:43
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. The Vikings are off of
26:46
Speaker 1: by Chad. The Bears have not beaten good football teams.
26:50
Speaker 1: I don't care. How do you not? That was my
26:54
Speaker 1: j Cutler color? All right? It would have been better
26:57
Speaker 1: if you had a cigarette. Have you ever heard that story?
26:59
Speaker 1: I told that story on the podcast with Scooch. I
27:01
Speaker 1: don't know how much of an oral app there is
27:03
Speaker 1: between the Wednesday and Friday shows. I know you don't listen,
27:07
Speaker 1: did you, Okay? You said overlap? It sounds like oral app.
27:12
Speaker 1: I thought we were going somewhere else. With this. Maybe
27:14
Speaker 1: you've you've drinking like a fifth of vodka during the show.
27:17
Speaker 1: I'm trying, all right, tell tell the story. We're flying
27:22
Speaker 1: through this thing, So tell this. Jake Jay Cutler at
27:25
Speaker 1: a urinal in a bar in Chicago. Someone standing next
27:29
Speaker 1: to him, It's like, hey, dude, I went to Vanderbilt.
27:33
Speaker 1: Jay Cutler stares up at the ceiling and yours. I
27:38
Speaker 1: don't care. That's why I love Jay Cutler. He's one
27:42
Speaker 1: of my top five athletes. I don't even know. I
27:44
Speaker 1: don't even know if he's the guy just so blatantly
27:46
Speaker 1: didn't give a ship I don't know, did not care.
27:50
Speaker 1: But I respect that. It's I respect that because, you
27:53
Speaker 1: know what, there's too many athletes out there that are
27:55
Speaker 1: scripted and they just give the canned answers that they
27:58
Speaker 1: think people want to hear. No, Jay Cutler didn't give
28:02
Speaker 1: a damn what you thought about him, and I like that.
28:05
Speaker 1: This pick goes against everything I believe in. Like I
28:08
Speaker 1: do not believe in betting against short home favorites. Do
28:14
Speaker 1: you think Chad don't give me Eatnesota off of Bye?
28:21
Speaker 1: Tell me? Tell me? Because why do you think this
28:24
Speaker 1: is a better cause? Because Number one, the Bears have
28:27
Speaker 1: not beat good football teams. You could argue the Chicago
28:31
Speaker 1: Bears best game was a loss to the Patriots this year, okay,
28:34
Speaker 1: which they had a few flukey plays and that kept
28:36
Speaker 1: them in that game. They have not beat good football teams.
28:40
Speaker 1: The Vikings, on the other hand, are better. Certainly offensively,
28:45
Speaker 1: Cousins is better than Mitch Drobiski at this point. Their weapons.
28:48
Speaker 1: Adam Feeling is one of the top three receivers in
28:52
Speaker 1: football this year. Plus they have Stefon Diggs. Plus they
28:55
Speaker 1: have Kyle Rudolph. Defensively, the Vikings, I don't know if
29:00
Speaker 1: they're better than the Bears, but they're comparable. That defense
29:03
Speaker 1: is still very good. Absolutely, I'm taking the Vikings here,
29:07
Speaker 1: and yeah they are off of by the extra rest
29:10
Speaker 1: and the prep helps. I absolutely like the Vikings here
29:14
Speaker 1: catching two and a half. I would like the Vikings
29:17
Speaker 1: minus two and a half, which is realistically what this
29:21
Speaker 1: line should be. We're being silly with the Bears here.
29:24
Speaker 1: You seem fired up because listen, the Bears have had
29:27
Speaker 1: a better season than I thought. Credit to them. Okay, Absolutely,
29:31
Speaker 1: Matt Naggie has done a great job at head coach.
29:35
Speaker 1: Naggi has done a great job at head coach. Drabinsky
29:39
Speaker 1: has played well when they let him. But here's the
29:42
Speaker 1: bottom line, dude. The bottom line is the Minnesota Vikings
29:46
Speaker 1: are a legit Super Bowl contenders. I got nowhere to go.
29:51
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins has a plethora of weapons to throw too.
29:56
Speaker 1: They've got experience. I'm going to They've got experience there.
30:00
Speaker 1: Head coaches got more experience. This is a team ready
30:04
Speaker 1: to roll. They're gonna roll. The Bears are kind of frauds,
30:09
Speaker 1: not full frauds, but like half frauds because they don't
30:12
Speaker 1: beat good teams. They play him close, but they don't
30:14
Speaker 1: beat them. They couldn't even beat the Packers, and the
30:17
Speaker 1: Packers stink. That wasn't your best performance. I felt like
30:22
Speaker 1: your heart wasn't in And I don't know if we
30:23
Speaker 1: can be honest here for a second, a peak behind
30:25
Speaker 1: the curtain. I really didn't expect that there. I wasn't
30:27
Speaker 1: going there. But you know, when the music plays, you
30:29
Speaker 1: gotta show up. You gotta perform. That wasn't That wasn't
30:32
Speaker 1: gonna be it. You're like a trained seal when you
30:35
Speaker 1: hear the music you have you got to step up.
30:38
Speaker 1: But I wasn't gonna do. You gotta put that ball
30:40
Speaker 1: in your nose and roll it around. Right, You're right,
30:43
Speaker 1: that's that's kind of what happened there. But no, that
30:45
Speaker 1: was not my best effort because there was no thought
30:48
Speaker 1: put into that promo. I'm going to give you an
30:50
Speaker 1: a for effort and I'm going to go with the Vikings. Yeah,
30:59
Speaker 1: you are the I'm feeling of podcasts. You are a gamer.
31:04
Speaker 1: I hope this is not your first half fumble against
31:07
Speaker 1: the Saints. Um, I know it's definitely not. I just
31:10
Speaker 1: hope to be paid like Adam Feeling well as the
31:15
Speaker 1: GM of the Vikings. I can tell you that's never
31:16
Speaker 1: gonna happen. Figure it out. I'll call your agents, please do.
31:27
Speaker 1: Uh My Beautiful Goddess of Tea Time Kansas City and
31:33
Speaker 1: Los Angeles Rams rams by three and a half. That
31:37
Speaker 1: was good. I thought, Beautiful Goddess at Tea Time, I
31:41
Speaker 1: took your your English isms to the next level. You did.
31:45
Speaker 1: I'm stealing them back and you know what. You know
31:47
Speaker 1: what I'm doing here? Play damn music. Play it because
31:51
Speaker 1: it's coming here, all right, this is where it's coming.
31:53
Speaker 1: We got a game that was supposed to be in Mexico. City,
31:56
Speaker 1: all right, they had to move it because the turf
31:58
Speaker 1: was too bad. Button. This is a critical game. This
32:03
Speaker 1: is the most important clash happened in a hundred and
32:07
Speaker 1: six years since the Titanic ran into an iceberg. It's amazing.
32:12
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what the most important factory. No one
32:15
Speaker 1: is talking about it, but you know it and I
32:17
Speaker 1: know it. Jack the most important factor in this game.
32:20
Speaker 1: He's big red. And I'm not talking about Andy Reid
32:23
Speaker 1: with his tool belt. I'm talking about the greatest offensive
32:26
Speaker 1: lineman to ever suit up in the NFL. Mitchell Shorts say,
32:31
Speaker 1: now he's protecting Pat Mahomes. He's gonna keep him clean.
32:35
Speaker 1: Aaron Donald's not sniffing him. And the chiefs role Mitchell
32:41
Speaker 1: Schwartz better known better known as the better looking, more
32:46
Speaker 1: talented younger brother of Jeffrey Isaiah Shorts, and I was
32:52
Speaker 1: gonna say, better known as the co author of the
32:57
Speaker 1: best selling book Eating My Schwartz. My description was better.
33:01
Speaker 1: It's more flattering that one you brought. Well, that's where
33:06
Speaker 1: it was supposed to be. You did a nice job there.
33:09
Speaker 1: Thank you. Did you write that before? No, I don't
33:11
Speaker 1: write anything before. You just sort of you just got
33:13
Speaker 1: an idea, like it's in your head and you let it.
33:16
Speaker 1: I have a mental bullet points that I want to hit,
33:19
Speaker 1: and how I get there is anyone's It's a mystery
33:21
Speaker 1: to everyone, including myself. So I usually don't know what
33:24
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say until it comes out of my mouth.
33:27
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say something here. Yeah, I think the Kansas
33:31
Speaker 1: City Chiefs are the better team too. You know why,
33:35
Speaker 1: defense has been getting better, much better. It's been getting better.
33:38
Speaker 1: And you know what defense isn't getting better? You know
33:40
Speaker 1: what defense is not figured out how to rush the
33:42
Speaker 1: pastor despite what Dante Fowler did last weekend the Rams.
33:46
Speaker 1: Do you know who's not playing that well at defensive
33:48
Speaker 1: tackle that isn't named Aaron Donald Dominican, Sue. You know
33:53
Speaker 1: who isn't that great of a cornerback right now? Marcus Peters.
33:56
Speaker 1: Do you know you just nailed that one. Andy Reid
33:59
Speaker 1: is gonna pick called Marcus Peters all game long. Pick.
34:04
Speaker 1: Marcus Peters is gonna wish, he is gonna wish he
34:08
Speaker 1: could play Sean Payton. He's gonna wish he could get
34:12
Speaker 1: into a verbal joust with Sean Payton because Andy Reid,
34:16
Speaker 1: He's gonna come on, So why don't I get any
34:19
Speaker 1: fucking music? I got a whole fitting. It's too late
34:24
Speaker 1: the moments over. Any read is gonna pick on Marcus
34:29
Speaker 1: Peters and he's gonna come in quiet. He's not gonna
34:34
Speaker 1: know what angle the ball is coming front. What's all
34:39
Speaker 1: I got. I'm starting to choke a little bit. I
34:40
Speaker 1: think I gotta letok on my throat. It was good though,
34:43
Speaker 1: it's good, right, it's good. I gotta practice. We'll work.
34:46
Speaker 1: I think we're an agreement here. Yeah, the Chiefs. The
34:49
Speaker 1: Chiefs absolutely catching three and a half here, like when
34:51
Speaker 1: they moved this game back to l A and it
34:53
Speaker 1: was three and a half. You gotta take it for
34:55
Speaker 1: all of you people not in the super Contest just
34:57
Speaker 1: allegedly making bets out there. I'd spring go a little
35:00
Speaker 1: something on the Chiefs money line because that's a little
35:02
Speaker 1: juicy to me. Who I'm with you. I think the
35:05
Speaker 1: Chiefs are the better team. Defense is playing better. I
35:08
Speaker 1: like everything the Chiefs are doing right now. Absolutely. Kansas City,
35:12
Speaker 1: Mitchell Schwartz, I love you, Mitch. Have I mentioned that
35:16
Speaker 1: we have an app. It's a free app to right, yeah,
35:20
Speaker 1: download it. You can get all of our picks on
35:24
Speaker 1: that app for free all the time. We don't charge
35:27
Speaker 1: for picks, all right, We're not out here touting picks
35:30
Speaker 1: charging you money. You're hard earned money. We want you
35:33
Speaker 1: to take that money, gamble it allegedly and make more
35:36
Speaker 1: alleged money. Blackjack right now is in the middle of
35:40
Speaker 1: picking football games for twenty seven straight days. We got
35:46
Speaker 1: five picks. We made it through that. It got dicey
35:49
Speaker 1: at the end. Are you ready? We got the Jacksonville
35:52
Speaker 1: Jaguars plus five and a half against the Steelers. We
35:54
Speaker 1: have the Atlanta Falcons uh minus three and a half
35:57
Speaker 1: at home against the Cowboys. We have you lost Angels
36:01
Speaker 1: charges maus seven against the Broncos bold, both against our
36:06
Speaker 1: instincts picks. That's the ao I pick. Yeah, that's the
36:12
Speaker 1: A hyphen o hyphen I pick. Everything before pick is
36:18
Speaker 1: modified there. That's why I added the hyphens. We have
36:21
Speaker 1: the Vikings plus two and a half against the Chicago
36:24
Speaker 1: Bears on the road, can City Chiefs at the Los
36:27
Speaker 1: Angeles Rams close three and a half. You know what
36:30
Speaker 1: we do here, do a lot of advice, give you
36:33
Speaker 1: Grammar lessons. Those are winners. Those are winners. I feel
36:37
Speaker 1: infinitely better about these Absolutely. I feel great about these picks. Listen, folks,
36:42
Speaker 1: this has been the Favorites the Super Contest edition on
36:47
Speaker 1: the Action Network. We have shows every Monday, Wednesday and Friday.
36:52
Speaker 1: Please listen to me, Jeff Schwarts, Paul Duca on this
36:54
Speaker 1: Monday when we come up with a nine team parlay.
36:57
Speaker 1: Subscribe to the show on Apple podcast radio dot com,
37:01
Speaker 1: wherever you get your shows. I am Shad Mellman. He
37:08
Speaker 1: is my beautiful baby, black Jack Flasher. See you Monday
37:12
Speaker 1: till Ben