Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 4 Showdown - FedEx St. Jude | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process | 08/15/26
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Ball system's going clear.
- 0:34Speaker 2: Good evening, three down, three rounds down and complete from Memphis.
- 0:39Speaker 2: UH scores were not as low today in terms of
- 0:43Speaker 2: mega pop rounds. Obviously Sam Burns got out there and
- 0:45Speaker 2: tortured up. But as the golf course gets a little
- 0:48Speaker 2: firm by like the minute, it feels like by the
- 0:50Speaker 2: hour and preview sneak peek, it's gonna be the same
- 0:54Speaker 2: way tomorrow. UH fairways are becoming more at a premium.
- 0:58Speaker 2: Getting the ball up and now is becoming more at
- 0:59Speaker 2: a cremium and just playing from that confined area of
- 1:03Speaker 2: just ball strike ball strike, say in order, fairways, greens,
- 1:08Speaker 2: fairways green is becoming more in order. It's not playing
- 1:10Speaker 2: like a Major, but we're not seeing too many crazy
- 1:13Speaker 2: rounds like we saw in on Thursday and Friday. I'm
- 1:16Speaker 2: kind of loving how it's shapen up for the weekend.
- 1:18Speaker 2: We're in good position. Didn't have the best Showdown round
- 1:21Speaker 2: in Showdown Day in round and three. We had a
- 1:23Speaker 2: much better Round one and two. Hopefully we can bounce
- 1:27Speaker 2: back tomorrow. And like I said, we didn't see as
- 1:28Speaker 2: many lights out rounds like we saw earlier to start
- 1:32Speaker 2: the week. So let's bring the screen up, Let's talk
- 1:34Speaker 2: about what we got going so far. Sam Burns, Tom Kim,
- 1:36Speaker 2: and Seawoo Kim all shot rounds of a sixty five
- 1:40Speaker 2: or better. This is the first day. We've only had
- 1:41Speaker 2: three rounds of sixty five or better so far. We've
- 1:44Speaker 2: seen some better scoring in round one and two in
- 1:47Speaker 2: terms of top end scoring, but it's really no different
- 1:50Speaker 2: in terms of how the guys are doing it. This
- 1:52Speaker 2: is a golf course that we've seen so many times,
- 1:54Speaker 2: so many years, and the formula of approach putting driving
- 1:58Speaker 2: accuracy more than driving distance. But Sam burns't necessarily that
- 2:01Speaker 2: necessarily lighted up in terms of driving accuracy. He kind
- 2:04Speaker 2: of made everything he looked at and had some really
- 2:05Speaker 2: solid approach play, but the key factor was the approach play.
- 2:10Speaker 2: No matter what, every single day, the guys who are
- 2:12Speaker 2: lighting it up are doing it in terms of approach,
- 2:15Speaker 2: and I am hopping on a a little.
- 2:20Speaker 1: Tonight.
- 2:20Speaker 2: The leaders have a few holes left. Scotty Scheffler is
- 2:23Speaker 2: making his charge, making his little charge. He's currently got
- 2:26Speaker 2: a nice little two shot leads. Hopefully he can turn
- 2:28Speaker 2: it out for us tomorrow. But because you know, we
- 2:31Speaker 2: talked about it on Monday, single bullet Scotti. Hopefully it's
- 2:34Speaker 2: our third single bullet Scotty of the year pays off
- 2:36Speaker 2: one time. We are definitely in the green on Scotty,
- 2:38Speaker 2: so we will go for it. Let's talk about those
- 2:41Speaker 2: guys again. It was solid approach play that that differentiated.
- 2:45Speaker 2: There was top scoring, and I know we talked about
- 2:47Speaker 2: it earlier in the week, but looking back at the
- 2:50Speaker 2: winners around or the winners and the top performers around
- 2:52Speaker 2: TPC south Wind, it's guys who are spiking on approach.
- 2:55Speaker 2: It's guys that are gaining four plus strokes on approach.
- 2:57Speaker 2: And we're seeing that again. We're seeing that you're not
- 3:00Speaker 2: getting four strokes in a week, but I mean in
- 3:02Speaker 2: a round. But the top scorers are the guys who
- 3:05Speaker 2: are doing it on approach.
- 3:07Speaker 1: So let's find some more of those golfers.
- 3:08Speaker 2: But before we get there, let's look at the weather,
- 3:10Speaker 2: the scoring and everything in between. So whether for tomorrow,
- 3:14Speaker 2: this is probably the most I've ever seen four straight
- 3:18Speaker 2: days of similar weather that I could really ever remember.
- 3:21Speaker 2: It's been the same temperature, the same wind direction, the
- 3:24Speaker 2: same approximate gust and steady winds from Thursday to Sunday,
- 3:28Speaker 2: and we're not getting any overnight rain as we can see,
- 3:32Speaker 2: so the golf course is going to continue to get firmer.
- 3:34Speaker 2: Playing from the fairway I think is at a premium
- 3:36Speaker 2: as the rough gets a little bit thicker maybe, and
- 3:40Speaker 2: I know there's avenues and routes to work the ball
- 3:44Speaker 2: up from the rough, but you want to be able
- 3:46Speaker 2: to really control it from the fairway.
- 3:48Speaker 1: I mean, that's not a hot take.
- 3:49Speaker 2: And we're seeing guys, we're seeing the driving accuracy and
- 3:53Speaker 2: approach play short of the top.
- 3:54Speaker 1: So that is what I'm going to be looking for
- 3:56Speaker 1: for tomorrow.
- 3:57Speaker 2: The scoring so far for round three not as easy
- 4:00Speaker 2: as it has been in rounds one and two. Like
- 4:02Speaker 2: I said, point three in the morning, point one in
- 4:05Speaker 2: the afternoon, and like we've kind of predicted, there's been
- 4:08Speaker 2: no wave splits to find this week, no waste.
- 4:10Speaker 1: It's because it's a certainly a seventy minter field.
- 4:12Speaker 2: Guys are going out close enough in relation to one
- 4:14Speaker 2: each other one another, so not really looking for wave splits.
- 4:17Speaker 1: And as we look back at the weather, it's the
- 4:19Speaker 1: same all day. It is the same all day.
- 4:22Speaker 2: I will say the one thing I am looking for
- 4:24Speaker 2: in terms of split for tomorrow is I'm going to
- 4:28Speaker 2: be chasing mainly golfers who are around the top twenty.
- 4:31Speaker 2: I know we kind of touch on this every Sunday.
- 4:33Speaker 2: Do I want to go with Mega? Chase those guys
- 4:34Speaker 2: to shoot that sixty three and post that back for
- 4:37Speaker 2: top top ten. I don't see many being out there tomorrow.
- 4:42Speaker 2: I know obviously Sam Burns did it today.
- 4:44Speaker 1: But am I going to try to.
- 4:47Speaker 2: Put a lineup of three to four golfers outside of
- 4:49Speaker 2: the top twenty and try to find that needle in
- 4:50Speaker 2: a haystack? I don't think I'm going to. If I
- 4:53Speaker 2: miss it, I can live with it. I'm going to
- 4:56Speaker 2: try to find guys who are already in the top twenty,
- 4:58Speaker 2: not too many strokes outside of the top and find
- 5:01Speaker 2: guys to back door backdoor it, but not back door
- 5:04Speaker 2: sixty two, back door it with the sixty five sixty
- 5:07Speaker 2: six and get those placement points. Because there's not the
- 5:10Speaker 2: most birdies out here this week, like we see way
- 5:13Speaker 2: more birdies in a normal week. This golf course is
- 5:15Speaker 2: by no means easy, like less than twenty other is
- 5:18Speaker 2: gonna win. And I know that's nothing crazy, but you
- 5:21Speaker 2: know what I'm saying, This is not a Megabirdi Fest,
- 5:23Speaker 2: and there's not that many birdies out there. So staying
- 5:26Speaker 2: with guys within striking distance to make that birdy average
- 5:28Speaker 2: of three to five or even less and still back
- 5:32Speaker 2: door that top ten is what I.
- 5:34Speaker 1: Am looking for for tomorrow.
- 5:35Speaker 2: So that's kind of what I'm chasing for stats is
- 5:37Speaker 2: the same stuff that we've been seeing. Where's driving, accuracy, approach,
- 5:42Speaker 2: find that spike cutter. So we're gonna look for golfers
- 5:44Speaker 2: who are doing good things on approach, doing good things
- 5:47Speaker 2: in terms of accuracy, but that's at the end of
- 5:49Speaker 2: the world, and then finding golfers who have room to
- 5:52Speaker 2: grow on the putting greens. So let's talk about contest
- 5:55Speaker 2: selections the site and then we will find our golfers.
- 5:58Speaker 2: We will find our golf or so in terms of
- 6:00Speaker 2: contest selection for round four, we're gonna go with another
- 6:04Speaker 2: single entry. We're gonna go with PGA Tour Showdown twenty
- 6:07Speaker 2: k long drive, one hundred dollars single entry, three k
- 6:10Speaker 2: up top and that ten percent is all the way
- 6:12Speaker 2: at eighteenth place pays out forty seven of two hundred
- 6:15Speaker 2: and twenty two entries. Scotti for bird low, Scotty for
- 6:17Speaker 2: bird low I like this payout structure because a ten
- 6:21Speaker 2: percent mark is at the eighteenth eighteenth place. So if
- 6:25Speaker 2: you're not a golfer or sorry, I know you're not
- 6:27Speaker 2: a PJO or golfer, if you're not a player who
- 6:29Speaker 2: generally mince top ten, top five finishes, but you're in
- 6:34Speaker 2: the green, this is a great contest for you to
- 6:35Speaker 2: get into.
- 6:36Speaker 1: So PGA Tour twenty k long drive.
- 6:38Speaker 2: And then the site. We have a ton of showdown content.
- 6:41Speaker 2: We have the Showdown projections, we have the Showdown Stone,
- 6:45Speaker 2: and we have the slate station. I'm not gonna cut
- 6:46Speaker 2: the state the slate station because it is already done,
- 6:49Speaker 2: hot and popping for you guys. So if you watch
- 6:51Speaker 2: in this video, it will be live for you. So
- 6:53Speaker 2: you're gonna go to join the nation.
- 6:54Speaker 1: You're going to fly that flag as always. Oh, it's a.
- 6:57Speaker 2: Little bit of a little site up, a little site
- 7:00Speaker 2: update here.
- 7:02Speaker 1: Maybe I had never seen that screen before.
- 7:04Speaker 2: So if you want every single sport All Access Plus optimizer,
- 7:07Speaker 2: get that sabers. You just want the golf PGA plus Optimizer,
- 7:10Speaker 2: use that code boots.
- 7:12Speaker 1: That code boots will get you ten percent off. If
- 7:14Speaker 1: you've never signed up before, good time. To sign up.
- 7:16Speaker 2: It is the playoffs, some fun contest probably coming next
- 7:18Speaker 2: week for a BMW championship. So get in code boots
- 7:22Speaker 2: all that information and if you're joining for showdown, use
- 7:25Speaker 2: my slate plan. Use the optimized sorry, use the stone
- 7:30Speaker 2: and use the projections. Sprinkle a few names from each
- 7:33Speaker 2: into the optimizer. Have the mathematicians, have the elite brains
- 7:37Speaker 2: of the optimizer builders. Build you a lineup, build you
- 7:40Speaker 2: multiple lineups. So that is what I would suggest. Don't
- 7:43Speaker 2: just lean on one thing. I like leaning on multiple avenues,
- 7:45Speaker 2: maybe two avenues. Get unique with it and build some lineups,
- 7:49Speaker 2: get a little different. So optimizer is where we're going
- 7:51Speaker 2: to go.
- 7:52Speaker 1: Code Boots. Now for the fun.
- 7:54Speaker 2: Part, we're going to look for golfers that check boxes
- 7:56Speaker 2: for us. So bringing up the stats, bringing up the
- 7:59Speaker 2: leaderboard so far in round three, rounds one, two, and three,
- 8:04Speaker 2: I'm gonna be kind of searching from this like top
- 8:06Speaker 2: twenty three mark and below.
- 8:09Speaker 1: So right here, I like this profile.
- 8:10Speaker 2: Plus one point seven to one off the t, even
- 8:13Speaker 2: on approach and plus one point two on the putting greens.
- 8:16Speaker 2: This golfer is telling me that they are hitting, they're
- 8:18Speaker 2: doing enough off the t they're putting well enough, and.
- 8:21Speaker 1: They're about a zero one approach.
- 8:23Speaker 2: A zero one approach, it means they're doing some good things,
- 8:25Speaker 2: some bad things, but they have room to gain. They
- 8:27Speaker 2: have room to gain on in the putting greens, on
- 8:30Speaker 2: the putting greens and on approach. That is Xander Shroffley.
- 8:33Speaker 2: I know he's three under, he's a what is he yes,
- 8:38Speaker 2: three strokes back to the top ten, the four strokes
- 8:40Speaker 2: back to the top ten. He can shoot a sixty six,
- 8:43Speaker 2: a sixty five and back door. I love that profile
- 8:45Speaker 2: a lot. I kind of stay away from this JJ
- 8:47Speaker 2: spawn who is losing two strokes on approach. I kind
- 8:50Speaker 2: of stay away from this this profile right here, even
- 8:52Speaker 2: though it is solid approach, it's it's kind of a
- 8:55Speaker 2: it could be a ceiling of performance already from Jackson
- 8:57Speaker 2: Coyban terms of approach. I se him getting much more
- 9:01Speaker 2: than five strokes on approach, maybe another stroke, but I
- 9:04Speaker 2: don't want to trust that putter.
- 9:05Speaker 1: I like this profile.
- 9:06Speaker 2: This is ceiling performance by any means from Ricky Fowler.
- 9:10Speaker 2: Only he's getting four strokes on approach, which isn't only
- 9:13Speaker 2: but it's solid and he's only getting one stroke on
- 9:16Speaker 2: the greens. That means he does have room to grow.
- 9:18Speaker 2: That means he does have room to make some hay
- 9:21Speaker 2: in terms of approach and putting. I do like that
- 9:24Speaker 2: profile a lot. Love what we're seeing from Mat fitz Patrick.
- 9:27Speaker 2: A steady three rounds, only one under today, kind of
- 9:29Speaker 2: just working his way along with the room to gain
- 9:32Speaker 2: an approach, with the room to gain on the greens,
- 9:34Speaker 2: and he's not driving it that well. We know Matt
- 9:36Speaker 2: Fitzpatrick is a great driver of the golf ball, so
- 9:39Speaker 2: I'm loving that profile. I will look for a few
- 9:41Speaker 2: profiles down the board because we can't just scale for
- 9:44Speaker 2: every golfer who's already inside the top twenty. The fact
- 9:48Speaker 2: that Cameron Young is gaining about two strokes short game
- 9:51Speaker 2: and losing almost three strokes ball striking is concerning, But
- 9:56Speaker 2: for elites like that, I'm okay with chasing some poor
- 10:00Speaker 2: ball striking. Cameron Young has been doing nothing but amazing
- 10:04Speaker 2: things in terms of the ball striking. I don't really
- 10:05Speaker 2: see him being shut out in terms of the ball striking.
- 10:07Speaker 2: So I don't mind buying Cameron Young right now. Even
- 10:10Speaker 2: though he's only even par through three rounds T forty one,
- 10:14Speaker 2: he should be able to find something with the ball striking.
- 10:17Speaker 1: Absolutely love Max Holmer as well.
- 10:19Speaker 2: I'll bring his profile up. Maxholma is currently in a
- 10:21Speaker 2: t for thirty eight. He's gaining about a stroke and
- 10:24Speaker 2: a half ball striking, losing one point eight on the greens.
- 10:28Speaker 2: But maxholm is a streaky putter. One point eight in
- 10:31Speaker 2: three rounds is not the end of the world. I
- 10:33Speaker 2: believe he's probably had maybe one positive putting day and
- 10:37Speaker 2: probably maybe one or two rough ones. So let's take
- 10:39Speaker 2: a look at Maxima's profile to get that complete details.
- 10:42Speaker 2: Round three he was Round three, he was minus one,
- 10:47Speaker 2: Round two he was minus point three, and so it's
- 10:50Speaker 2: been in zero zero and then.
- 10:53Speaker 1: A bad one in round three. That tells me he
- 10:55Speaker 1: can find something in terms of the ball. In terms
- 10:57Speaker 1: of the putting, it's not the end of the world.
- 10:58Speaker 2: I don't mind that profile. Then back up the board,
- 11:01Speaker 2: I want to see what Russell Henley did in round
- 11:03Speaker 2: three in terms of approach, he was the one golfer
- 11:05Speaker 2: we were on yesterday didn't really pay off for us,
- 11:07Speaker 2: But can we go back to him in round four?
- 11:09Speaker 2: Russell Henley, he did't shoot three unders, so it wasn't
- 11:11Speaker 2: the worst worst profile, but it wasn't the best. He's
- 11:16Speaker 2: losing two strokes on approach, but the approach play is
- 11:20Speaker 2: not there yet. I still don't think he gets shut
- 11:24Speaker 2: out this poorly in terms of the proch like you're
- 11:26Speaker 2: telling me Russell Henley is gaining second inaccuracy, seventh and putting,
- 11:33Speaker 2: but he's his best skill set arguably is the iron,
- 11:35Speaker 2: and he's losing this many.
- 11:37Speaker 1: He really really like. I know we're.
- 11:39Speaker 2: Chasing the good ball striking, but I really do not
- 11:42Speaker 2: see Russell Henley getting shut out. So short Field going
- 11:46Speaker 2: to keep that profile small. Sorry that keep that uh
- 11:50Speaker 2: not profile player player core small. We don't want to
- 11:52Speaker 2: get too many golfers. I will give you one more, though.
- 11:56Speaker 2: I will give you the one golfer that I am
- 11:58Speaker 2: on for tomorrow. It's a golfer who had a really
- 12:01Speaker 2: really nice round one. It's golf, but everyone wants to
- 12:04Speaker 2: see six succeed, and it is a golfer by the
- 12:07Speaker 2: name of Jordan Speed. Jordan Speed currently is in a
- 12:11Speaker 2: tie for let's see befo where is he? I guess
- 12:19Speaker 2: we can't type sp Jordan Speed in a tie for thirteenth.
- 12:23Speaker 2: He's plenty enough in terms of in striking distance he
- 12:27Speaker 2: is doing some things well. He's gaining strokes currently in
- 12:30Speaker 2: every single profile off the tee, approach, around the green, putting,
- 12:34Speaker 2: hitting enough fairwies, not doing anything perfectly, which is fine.
- 12:38Speaker 2: That is a profile that I love to play at
- 12:41Speaker 2: a at a T for thirteen. He needs a nice
- 12:44Speaker 2: round four to back to that top ten to make
- 12:45Speaker 2: sure he's around for the next few weeks. And we
- 12:48Speaker 2: know Jordan Speed has great spikeability in every category and
- 12:52Speaker 2: if he's playing from the outside looking in, he's going
- 12:54Speaker 2: to be a free for all hopefully and fire at
- 12:58Speaker 2: passively aggressive. I just love his spike ability. I love
- 13:00Speaker 2: what he did in round one and I'm willing to
- 13:02Speaker 2: buy it again in round four. He's in the seven
- 13:05Speaker 2: k range. You can basically play him with anybody and
- 13:07Speaker 2: he's not gonna garner a crazy amount of ownership.
- 13:09Speaker 1: So jordan'sped is the one golfer that I am on
- 13:13Speaker 1: for round four.
- 13:14Speaker 2: And as always, the song of the day before we
- 13:16Speaker 2: get out of here, some Australian metalcore for you, because
- 13:19Speaker 2: why not, We're gonna go with a new song by
- 13:21Speaker 2: Northland called cut It. Check it out, let me know
- 13:24Speaker 2: what you think, and I will be back Monday afternoon
- 13:27Speaker 2: with the BMW Championship Review.
- 13:29Speaker 1: Thank you guys for tuning in. I'll catch you guys.
- 13:31Speaker 1: Then peace out.