Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 448 - 2/5/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 448 - 2/5/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
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  welcome to episode 448 of the all systems go sports betting
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  podcast powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh Applebaum.
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  What's going on, everyone? Happy Thirsty Thursday.
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  Our work week has nearly come to an end.
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  But we got today, we got tomorrow.
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  And now if you're doing the countdown like I am, we are now
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  just three days away from the Super Bowl.
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  So Can you believe it, the long wait?
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  I try to tell you guys, you know, the two week wait, you get
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  the line, you get excited and then it's like, man, that first
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  week just drags and drags and drags.
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  But I would argue this week is absolutely flying by.
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  So now, again, only three days away, we're still sitting at
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  Patriots getting 4 1/2. We're still sitting in a really
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  good contrarian spot with nearly 70% of tickets landed with
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  Seattle. We still have the have all these
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  system matches on New England playoff dog missed the
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  postseason. Of course, Super Bowl Dogs in
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  general have barked quite a bit. Knock on wood.
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  Hope that continues since 2004 in Super Bowl Dogs getting three
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  or more. I do want to remind everyone
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  though, we do have a Thursday night rhythm rundown, a special
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  Super Bowl edition of the rhythm rundown.
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  So myself, my buddy Kate Harper, we're going to have our official
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  best bet picks for tonight. And we're also going to talk not
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  only, you know, game side and total, but also get into some
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  prop bets, looking at some player props from a rhythm
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  perspective. So I want to thank everyone who
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  is tuned in all year long to our Thursday rhythm live streams on
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  Twitter. Again, you can just follow at
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  Josh under score insights. We'll go live right at six.
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  We're going to see if we can finish up the year strong here
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  with our final Super Bowl edition of the Rhythm Rundown
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  tonight, 6:00 PM Eastern Time. Speaking of the Super Bowl, I
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  want to talk about limits a little bit today, guys, because
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  I want to, you know, each day as we get closer to the Super Bowl,
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  you know, yesterday we talked about trying to take advantage
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  of different sports books offering different boosts and
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  bonuses. Obviously, Bet MGM was the one
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  that jumped out to me how you could It was already boosted and
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  if you like the Pats, you could get them down to plus 4 1/2 at
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  +100 and again, add another book to your arsenal of being able to
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  shop for the best price. Today I want to talk about
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  limits. What are limits?
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  Why are they important in particular?
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  Thursday is kind of a big day. The final Thursday before the
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  Super Bowl, That's when you see a lot of limits get raised.
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  So what does that mean and how can we track and why is it and
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  so important to track this final push of movement between today
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  and Sunday? And also how we can use our our
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  our odds logic live odds page to really track this late movement.
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  So I want to talk limits. I want to get right back to
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  college basketball. So I have 3 college basketball
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  sweats for you. Once again, three money line
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  short favorites. And then we're going to try to
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  submit go 2 and 1 eek out a winning night.
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  So college hoops, college hoops, 3 plays here, but then also NFL
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  limits. Live stream tonight at 6:00.
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  And then we're going to see if we can again have a winning
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  night, which is always the goal. Now looking back to our last
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  night, guys, unfortunately, all good things must come to an end.
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  We had two straight 3 and O nights.
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  We were six and O and our last six.
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  And then you know what, the the sports betting gods, they kind
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  of teased us a little bit O and 3 -, 3 units.
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  Really frustrating on the one hand, New Mexico getting rolled
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  by 20 points when they're a really sharp -1 -, 1 and a
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  favorite with a good Ken Palm edge in that one.
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  So that wasn't fun. Utah, they were team that again,
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  had that short favorite system match as well.
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  They end up losing by 8 to Arizona State.
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  And then the one that I was hoping that we would get was
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  Louisiana Tech to start our night because they're close in
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  that one the pretty much the whole time and almost found a
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  way to get back into it late, end up losing by 9 points to New
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  Mexico State. So I always joke and I think
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  it's important. The reason why I do it is, you
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  know, sometimes you go 3 and O, 6 and O in your last six, then
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  sometimes you go O and three. So we're never as good as we
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  think when we go 6 and O or never as bad as we think when we
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  go O and three, but just frustrating that none of those,
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  not one single of those short money line favorites could come
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  through. So hey, what are you going to
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  do? Anyway?
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  Let's turn the page. Look toward today.
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  And I want to start off by talking a little bit of Super
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  Bowl limits and what that means. So it got me thinking because,
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  you know, I was seeing around Twitter and listening to one of
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  my favorite shows, Felger and Maz, and they had Jimmy Avello
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  on or Johnny Avello, I should say, of DraftKings.
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  He is their sports book operator.
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  And he was kind of talking about limits.
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  And it just dawned on me that I think it's something important
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  that better should know about and hopefully used to their
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  advantage. So let's take a step back and
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  think about how a sports book operates now, a sports book,
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  what they're going to do. Of course, they're setting
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  these. And there was a big discussion
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  about, you know, the side, the total.
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  How did you come to the, you know, opinion of or not opinion,
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  but your numbers telling you that, you know, Seattle should
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  be 4 1/2 points better than New England in this matchup.
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  And really the, the example and the the reason for that is
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  oddsmaker set lines based on their power ratings and their
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  algorithms and formulas. Then they make adjustments to
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  the spread, like home field advantage, like injuries, like
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  weather, like specific matchups. So the whole point being is when
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  the odds makers set their numbers with their power
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  ratings, they have a power rating for every team.
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  They put whatever two teams are playing each other up against
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  each other. They put the two power ratings
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  into the computer, and the computer is going to spit out
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  roughly what the spread should be.
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  Then of course, you're making adjustments for other factors.
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  Super Bowl is a true, you know, neutral court.
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  So there's no home or home field advantage, I should say.
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  But you kind of get the point. You know, you give a couple
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  points. It used to be 3.
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  Now it's like 1 1/2 or two post COVID to the home field
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  advantage. And then again, injuries.
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  The weather we see totals get set low if it's really windy or
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  indoors in a Dome. It's a little bit higher if
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  there's good offenses. But we all know that that's I'm
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  not breaking any news there. You got you guys know that by
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  now, but I think limits are important because limits are the
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  amount of money that you as the better are allowed to bet at the
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  sports book and they change over time.
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  So when a line first comes out, the limits are low and low can
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  be a bit of a subjective term based upon the sports book that
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  you're betting at. So some books the limits might
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  be 1000 bucks, some limits might be 5000 bucks.
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  Usually you're not going to go much higher than that, but the
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  whole reason for that is when the odds makers first release
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  the line, they don't want to put out a bad line and then they
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  have a huge Sharp come in, hammer them for 1,000,000 bucks
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  because they have a soft or miss price number and then they take
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  a huge hit. What they do is they put the
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  number out there and they say, hey, come combat it.
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  And Billy Walters, if you're bored, you should listen to
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  Billy Walters when he went on Joe Rogan, because he explained
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  this very well how he really hates and I totally agree, how a
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  lot of sports books will just straight up not accept Sharp's
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  action or or limit them or ban them entirely.
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  And what Billy Walters always said is, you know, the books out
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  in Vegas, this is again, before, you know, app based betting,
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  this is walking up to the window placing a bet.
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  But he always mentioned how the books liked his action because
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  it would quote UN quote, open them up.
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  So when Billy Walters came in, yes, he might put a lot of money
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  down and win the bet and cost the house some money.
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  But the knowledge of the book, getting that information from
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  Billy Walters can really help them, help them to shade the
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  number, mold the number to its strongest point.
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  Of course, again, you're going to protect yourself though, as
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  the house by saying, yeah, you know, if we if we flashback over
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  a week ago when this line first came out, you know, or almost
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  two weeks ago at this point that suit that championship Sunday,
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  you know, the limits are very low.
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  And again, betters could come in and bet it, but at low limits
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  now as you get closer and closer to kick off, the limits get
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  raised. So instead of betting only 5K,
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  now you can bet 30K or you know 50K.
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  Usually the Thursday before, which is today before the Super
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  Bowl, you start to see the limits get really bit really
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  raised. So you start to see limits go up
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  to 100K. Again, depends on the book.
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  And you got to remember when you're making bets either in
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  person or online, you know they've created at least online
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  a kind of it's almost like a minority report or a background
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  of you as a better. They know what you bet, they
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  know your wins and losses, but they know if you're beating
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  closing lines, they have a lot of a, they basically have
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  created a profile of you as a better.
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  So again, if you're winning, you're doing well.
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  You might get limited and you maybe not be able to bet 100K or
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  more. But my whole point being is that
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  you know, when we were going through the wall and every day,
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  you know, at night before I go to bed, as soon as I wake up,
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  I'm tracking this number to see if Seattle's going to 5 or if
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  the Patriots are going down to 4.
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  Nothing has really changed as of now.
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  We're still basically -4 1/2 Seattle.
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  Couple books are -115 Seattle, but that's pretty much it.
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  But I think it's very important for us now up until Sunday at
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  kickoff, getting ready for Green Day and Bad Bunny.
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  Of course, at halftime, we need to see and track and really have
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  an eagle eye, especially if you haven't bet the game yet.
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  And even if you have, you want to see where the slate movement
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  is breaking, hopefully in your in your direction after you've
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  placed the bet. Or if you're like me and trying
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  to hold out for a Pats +5, but you also don't want to wait too
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  long and see it get down to four and then miss out on the 4 1/2.
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  We need to be glued now until the Super Bowl to see where this
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  line move goes. So important thing to me is as
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  limits are raised, the bigger bets come in, the big money
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  comes in. A lot of the big bets that we're
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  waiting and you know, they're like, oh, I'm, you know, whoever
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  may be Drake, you know, Floyd Mayweather, We've seen people
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  bet big, big amounts. Although I think it's important
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  to remember as well that, you know, lines don't move just
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  based on money. They move on smart money.
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  So they're going to move on, you know, sharps who might only bet
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  10 KA game, not Drake or Floyd Mayweather who bet a million
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  Yeah, that's a lot of money, but it may not be quote UN quote
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  smart money cuz there's not a track record of success behind
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  it. So my whole point of saying this
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  is today limits are raised on Thursdays typically and let's
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  see between now and Sunday where this line moves.
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  Now I'm committed with the Pats because they're a 30% team and a
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  heavily bet most heavily bet sporting event of the year.
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  But I think it's a good test case and a good example of
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  understanding how a book works. Limits are low when they start,
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  when they first open, they get molded, they get raised.
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  The books are going to raise the limits once they feel like they
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  have a good idea of where the smart money's AT, where the
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  public's AT. And then we're hopefully going
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  to see some late movement that and in a perfect world,
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  validates the position that we're on.
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  So with that being said, I again, I would love to get A5
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  just so it's better than a four. And 1/2.
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  With New England, but part of me says I want to start to see the
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  juice flip toward New England plus 4 1/2 -, 115.
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  I want to see these books start to get down to four between now
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  and Sunday. And I want to grab a 4 1/2
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  before it moves. So just remember, late movement
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  is critical. Doesn't mean every late move is
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  going to win. But you can apply this to not
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  only football, but you also look at, you know, baseball,
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  basketball, really any other sport.
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  Once you get into that last, it's different.
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  Of course, it's not a weekly endeavor, but it's a daily
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  thing. But you get into the last hour,
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  half hour late moves are always meaningful to me, especially in
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  college basketball. There's a lot of games that we
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  may not talk about, you know, in the afternoon, but if it's a
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  10:00 game, you know, 9:55 PM, you start to see a a -. 1
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  favorite, you know, get steamed up to -2 that's something that
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  you can use on your own hopefully to cash some bets on
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  your own. So just want to hit on a little
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  bit of the philosophy and really practically speaking, how sports
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  books handle limits and and why it's important to track.
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  Always remember late movement is critical.
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  With that being said, after a six and O start to the week and
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  then an O and three last night, let's see if we can eek out a
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  two and one and get back to our winning ways for tonight.
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  So 3 college hoops plays. First one for me kind of an
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  overlooked tiny little game, but let's go to a 7 O clock tip off
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  between Monmouth and Stony Brook set the stage talk splits system
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  matches and I'll give you my play for this one so Monmouth
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  comes in 11 and 12 on the year. They just saw their two game win
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  streak. However, come to an end they
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  lost to Hofstra 73 to 57 did not cover as a 1 1/2 point home dog
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  on the other hand, Stony Brook 14 and 9 on the year they've won
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  five in a row just held off Elon 72 to 68.
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  They won that game outright as a 4 1/2 point Rd. dog, so I'm.
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  Just sitting across the market here.
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  Well, this game opened with Stony Brook listed around a
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  three-point home favorite and all movement and liability has
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  kind of been on the side of Stony Brook.
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  You know, we open Stony Brook -3 they got bet up to -3 1/2
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  earlier today. Now, since that time, they've
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  kind of come back down to -3 some books are 2 1/2, but really
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  juice towards Stony Brook. But I like the splits on Stony
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  Brook. If you look at DraftKings, 76%
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  of spread bets, over 90% of spread dollars on Stony Brook.
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  And what I like is that this is a kind of low bet, you know, not
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  popular, not sexy matchup that the public doesn't care about.
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  But yet based on that split tells me a lot of wise guys have
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  sided with Stony Brook where the line is either basically stayed
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  the same or kind of moved a bit in their favor.
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  Now, aside from the split, we also have Ken Palm is what I
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  like about Stony Brook predicting a three-point win by
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  the Seawolves. He also has him ranked a little
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  higher to 14th in the country versus 200 and 25th for
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  Monmouth. Now I want to protect myself and
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  money line Stony Brook. I'd hate to lay a 2 1/2, three,
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  3 1/2, have them win by 1-2 or three and lose or push my bet.
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  I got a bad Stony Brook Money line -167 earlier today and that
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  was when Stony Brook was at -3 1/2.
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  Now again they have come back down to -3 or even 1 again.
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  I'm seeing a 2 1/2 there just to be honest with you.
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  But this is a dance with the one who brung me play, so I'm
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  sticking with it. But what I mean by that is if
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  you haven't played it yet, you can yet.
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  Now get Stony Brook around -150 now Stony Brook 91% of money
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  line bets, over 95% of money line dollars at DraftKings.
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  So another good heavy one way pro and Joe split in favor of
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  Stony Brook to win the game straight up.
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  Stony Brook does have some advantages here.
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  Better offensive efficiency. They are 200 and 30th versus
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  282nd for Monmouth. Better effective field goal
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  percentage 200 and third versus 282nd and big advantage here.
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  Shooting the three they ranked 64th in the country versus 184th
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  for Monmouth. Lastly, little home Rd. split.
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  Stony Brook is 9 and two at home this year.
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  Monmouth is just three and seven on the road.
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  So I I don't love the fact this line has crept back down a
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  little bit toward Monmouth, but I'm a stick with my original
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  play here. Go with Stony Brook to win this
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  game. If you haven't bet it now you
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  can get Stony Brook around -150 on the money line.
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  Let's go see Wolves next one for you. 9:00 tip Memphis and UAB
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  one of your more heavily bet late night tips.
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  Memphis comes in 10 and 11 on the year they've dropped.
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  However, three of their last four just fell to Tulane 78 to
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  76 lost that game outright as an 8 1/2 point home favorite.
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  Meanwhile, UAB 14 and 8 on the year, they've won two straight
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  just held off North Texas 72 to 68.
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  They won that game outright as a 1 1/2 point Rd. dog.
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  So what do you see across the market here?
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  Well, this came open with UAB listed as a -, 1 1/2 favorite at
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  home. And what's important to me is
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  most of it, most books opening were -1 1/2 -, 110.
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  So it's kind of right down the middle.
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  But all movement and liability has been toward U A/B U A/B is
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  now juiced up -1 1/2 -, 115 or -120.
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  And some books even got as high as -2 1/2 briefly earlier today.
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  Some books now at -2. So it never got down to a pick,
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  never got down to 1. It's either stayed the same or
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  shown juice liability and movement liability toward UAB.
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  So that tells me the bigger sharper wagers are leaning
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  Blazers in this one. Now UAB at DK 70% of spread bets
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  but 84% of spread dollars. So good low bets, higher dollar
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  split. Now Ken Palm does have UAB
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  winning by one point, which is why again I'm going money line
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  here. I got UAB on the money line -125
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  that's available at DraftKings. Shop around cuz some books are
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  size -130 ish. But I also like the split in
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  favor of the Blazers at DraftKings.
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  Only 54% of money line bets but 75% of money line dollars.
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  So good low bets, higher dollar. Split in favor of UAB to win the
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  game straight up. Couple big advantages here.
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  One, UAB better offensive efficiency. 131st in the country
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  versus 200 and 16th for Memphis and they take way better care of
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  the ball. They actually ranked 5th best in
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  all of college hoops and fewest turnovers.
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  Memphis ranks 300 and 39th. So Memphis is literally one of
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  the worst turnover culprits in all of college hoops and UAB is
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  one of the best. UAB does have a one day rest
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  advantage. Again, these are college kids.
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  You know, when when I was in college again, I could stay up
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  all night and be fine and you know, be fine the next day.
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  I'm 38 years old now though, so I can't do that anymore.
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  But anyway, I think it's an advantage here.
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  One day rest advantage means one day more in the in the gym,
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  practicing, watching film, getting ready for your opponent.
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  Because UAB last played on January 31st, Memphis last
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  played on February 1st. Lastly, Memphis one and six on
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  the road. They are the second worst Rd.
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  team in their American conference.
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  So you add it all up here guys, it's not a -. 1 1/2 steamed up
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  to -3 but all movement liability has been on U A/B I money line
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  UAB -125 and oh by the way, our friends at Juice Rail have a 20%
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  sharp mush edge in favor of UAB. So let's go Blazers win the damn
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  game outright. Let's go Blazers last night of
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  the night back to a team that covered for us.
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  I don't know, maybe last week. See if they can do it again.
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  I'm talking 10:00 PM tip between Cal State Northridge and Cal
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  Poly. Now Cal State Northridge comes
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  in 13 and 10 on the year. They've won two in a row.
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  They just crushed UC San Diego 81 to 64 easily winning outright
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  as a 1 1/2 point home dog. Cal Poly on the other hand, 9
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  and 14 on the year. They've also won two straight,
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  however just held off UC Riverside 94 to 87, winning that
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  game outright as a 1 1/2 point Rd. dog.
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  So. What you've seen across the
• 18:24
  market, well, this came open with.
• 18:25
  Cal State Northridge or CS Northridge or C Sun, However
• 18:28
  your sports book or odds page you know kind of shows them.
• 18:32
  But they open as a 1 1/2 point favorite on the road and the
• 18:35
  public. Once again, it's a late night
• 18:37
  game to Cal schools. Again, it's not USC, it's not
• 18:42
  Cal, the Golden Bears, it's it's two smaller schools.
• 18:45
  So it's late night, two small schools public doesn't really
• 18:48
  care about. It's a low back game.
• 18:50
  What do we always talk about? Even though it's a low back
• 18:52
  game, it's not sexy to the public.
• 18:53
  If you see a line move, that's going to be meaningful because
• 18:56
  it tells me even though the public doesn't care about this
• 18:58
  matchup, pros have taken a position and it looks like
• 19:01
  they've taken a position on Cal State Northridge because
• 19:04
  Northridge has gone from -1 1/2 now up to -2 or -2 1/2.
• 19:10
  That tells me smart money has come in on the Matadors.
• 19:14
  Ken Palm does have the Matadors winning by two.
• 19:16
  So once again, money line play. I got Cal State Northridge at
• 19:19
  -130 He does have them ranked quite a bit higher, 188th in the
• 19:23
  country versus 247th. We also have a good split on the
• 19:27
  money line for Cal State Northridge. 59% money line bets,
• 19:30
  but 81% of money line dollars. So good low bets, higher dollars
• 19:35
  split in their favor. I have one system match as well.
• 19:38
  When you're a short Rd. favorite of -4 or less and you have at
• 19:41
  least 1/2 point of line movement in your direction.
• 19:44
  Those teams have gone 79 and 44 straight up this year, 64% with
• 19:49
  a 10% ROI. We also have some advantages for
• 19:52
  Cal State Northridge. Better offensive efficiency,
• 19:55
  190th in the country versus 200 and 5th for Cal Poly.
• 20:00
  Better defensive efficiency 170, eighth versus 282nd.
• 20:04
  And then we also have better offensive rebound percentage,
• 20:07
  121st versus 190th. They also do a better job of
• 20:11
  limiting offensive rebounds to their opponents, 17th in the
• 20:14
  country versus 161st. Cal Poly, by the way, just four
• 20:18
  and five at home this year. That is tied for the worst home
• 20:21
  record in the Big West. So Long story short, low bet,
• 20:24
  tiny little game, late night. We've seen all movement toward
• 20:27
  Cal State Northridge again. Ken Palms got on winning the
• 20:30
  game, so let's see if they can get a straight up win for us.
• 20:32
  I am on Cal State Northridge -130 on the money line.
• 20:38
  So let's try to get if we can. Fingers crossed. 2 out of 3.
• 20:41
  Stony Brook UAB and Cal State Northridge all short money lines
• 20:46
  is that about dozen guys for episode 448 of the all systems
• 20:49
  go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 20:52
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up Now we
• 20:54
  start first by saying thank you. Thank you for listening.
• 20:57
  Thank you for tuning in. Thank you for grinding in the
• 20:59
  arena with me through the six and O days through the O and
• 21:02
  three days through the hot, through the cold.
• 21:05
  Again, this just like in life, there's ups and downs in sports
• 21:08
  betting, but the fact that we show up every day with a smile
• 21:11
  on our face, a positive attitude, cautiously optimistic
• 21:14
  and trying, trying to grind out a profit.
• 21:16
  That's what I'm most proud of. And again, trying to make it
• 21:19
  data-driven bets with our head and not our heart.
• 21:21
  But if you want help me grow the pod, please could you do
• 21:23
  something very easy. Just give this podcast a five
• 21:26
  star review on Spotify or iTunes.
• 21:29
  Leave a nice comment if you feel so inclined, click the follow
• 21:32
  button, recommend the pod to a friend to retweet the pod.
• 21:35
  When I put it out that I'll be very much appreciated next, if
• 21:39
  you enjoy the style of sports betting, data-driven, sharp
• 21:41
  contrarian betting focusing on line movement, bet split system
• 21:45
  matches, taking a contrarian approach.
• 21:47
  If you'd like to learn more about data-driven betting or you
• 21:49
  have someone in your life who could use some data-driven tips,
• 21:52
  then I would love for you to go to Amazon.com and type in the
• 21:56
  NFL sharp betting playbook, my new book or maybe type in my old
• 21:59
  book, the everything Guide to Sports betting.
• 22:01
  Grab one or both for you or that person in your life who could
• 22:04
  use some data-driven tips and bring them to the sports book.
• 22:07
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
• 22:09
  ale. We'll sweat some college hoops
• 22:10
  here together tonight. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
• 22:14
  and Juice Reel yet? My two favorite sports betting
• 22:16
  apps, Rhythm for their AI backed models and predictions for game
• 22:19
  bets and player props. Remember, we got a Rhythm
• 22:21
  Rundown stream tonight at 6:00 PM Eastern Time.
• 22:24
  Looking forward to that Juice Reel.
• 22:26
  So many great features, including the ability to support
• 22:29
  the pod. I'm going to pass the hat tip
• 22:31
  jar. If you want to throw in a $5.00
• 22:33
  bill, support the pod by getting the ASG Best Bet picks
• 22:36
  exclusively from the Juice Reel app.
• 22:38
  As soon as I make a bet, I got my book synced up.
• 22:41
  It goes right right to Juice Reel and it'll get those plays
• 22:43
  immediately. For $4.99 a week you also get
• 22:47
  the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the
• 22:49
  arbitrage plays, the shop for the best line features.
• 22:52
  So go download Rhythm, download Juice Reel and give them both a
• 22:55
  five star review in the App Store.
• 22:58
  Next you have a live odds page. If you don't have one, you need
• 23:00
  one. We talked today about limits and
• 23:03
  late movement. Well, if you want to track that
• 23:04
  late movement, you do with your odds logic Live odds page.
• 23:07
  As soon as numbers start to move, they get lit up in red.
• 23:10
  You can see the big books like Pinnacle, Chris circa.
• 23:13
  Those books are going to be the sharp market movers.
• 23:15
  That'll start 1st and then you can jump on in a slow copycat
• 23:18
  book who hasn't adjusted. But really the point is tracking
• 23:21
  the market, getting the best price, finding the book, giving
• 23:24
  me the best number. So go take advantage of Odds
• 23:27
  Logic. If you want to give it a shot,
• 23:29
  use this special link Odds logic.com/josh 123.
• 23:34
  That'll give you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first
• 23:37
  month of service. Lastly, Novic, if you want to,
• 23:42
  you know, up your game and I was talking to my buddy Da Rush how
• 23:44
  he got limited at DraftKings to 10 bucks a a bet because he's
• 23:48
  too sharp. And I said d'aroush, you won't
• 23:50
  have to go to the betting exchanges.
• 23:51
  Betting exchanges are kind of like a sports book, but they're
• 23:54
  different because instead of betting against the house,
• 23:56
  you're betting against other betters.
• 23:58
  Therefore you're going to get better juice prices -1 O 5 plus
• 24:01
  one O 2 - 1 O 3 instead of laying -115 or -120.
• 24:05
  So as long as it's legal in your state, you're good to go.
• 24:08
  And like my buddy d'aroush, he'll be making more money going
• 24:11
  to an exchange versus sticking with a sports book.
• 24:14
  But if you want to download Novig, use this promo code Josh
• 24:17
  123. They'll tack on another 25 bucks
• 24:19
  when you fund your account. So how about dozen guys?
• 24:23
  As always, two final thoughts. Whether I see you at the Borgata
• 24:25
  in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook in New
• 24:28
  Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, the
• 24:31
  Encore in Boston, Plainridge Park, Casino, MGM, Springfield
• 24:34
  and Nash and my neck of the woods on the border of
• 24:36
  Massachusetts in New Hampshire, out in the desert where the true
• 24:39
  grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners,
• 24:42
  where the lowest juice possible is found, the South Point or
• 24:44
  sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming
• 24:47
  pool when he catch a big ticket at Circa.
• 24:49
  Unfortunately, you're going to show me New Mexico, Utah and
• 24:52
  Latech. We're going to RIP them up,
• 24:54
  recycle those tickets and we're going to get right back at it
• 24:56
  here for tonight, guys. So as always, coming off an O
• 24:59
  and three or three and O, A6 and O followed by an O and three,
• 25:03
  whether we're hot, cold, up or down, we just got to stick with
• 25:05
  it guys. Never get too high when things
• 25:07
  are going well, never get too low when things are struggling.
• 25:10
  We're always somewhere in the middle.
• 25:11
  We just got to keep grinding. Long term discipline with our
• 25:14
  bankroll management and looking for those system matches, games
• 25:17
  that fit our model. Go something like this against
• 25:20
  the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bat, avoid
• 25:23
  parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
• 25:26
  to be successful sports bettors. So have a great Thursday night,
• 25:29
  everybody. Hope to see everyone at 6:00 PM
• 25:31
  Eastern Time stream live on Twitter.
• 25:33
  And again, if you haven't done it yet, follow me at Josh under
• 25:35
  score Insights. But I'll look forward to seeing
• 25:37
  you in the rhythm rundown. And I'll be right back at it for
• 25:39
  the final pod of the week, a big Friday edition.
• 25:43
  That'll be tomorrow's pod #449 of the All Systems Go sports
• 25:47
  betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 25:49
  Good luck everybody, and have a great Thirsty Thursday.