Latest / Best of LinkedIn: Digital Transformation & Tech / Best of LinkedIn: Defense Tech CW 40/ 41
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Provided by Thomas Allgaier and Frenus, based on the most relevant posts on LinkedIn about defense tech in CW-forty and forty-one, Frenus is a B to B market research company that equips product and strategy teams with market and competitive intelligence across the defense industry.
- 0:15Speaker 1: Welcome to the deep dive.
- 0:17Speaker 1: Our mission today really is to distill what's happening in defense tech.
- 0:20Speaker 1: We're looking just at the key LinkedIn posts from the last couple of weeks.
- 0:23Speaker 1: That's CW-forty and forty-one.
- 0:25Speaker 0: Yeah, it's definitely a busy time and looking at the source material, you can really see some clear strategic movements emerging, especially in Europe and among allies.
- 0:35Speaker 1: Right.
- 0:35Speaker 1: What are the big ones you're seeing?
- 0:36Speaker 0: Well, three things really stand out.
- 0:38Speaker 0: A huge push towards autonomy, machine speed.
- 0:41Speaker 0: Then a real focus on hardening that counter UAS perimeter.
- 0:45Speaker 0: Okay.
- 0:46Speaker 0: And finally, a big drive to accelerate industrial capacity, you know, making sure everything worked together better, air, land, sea, space, interoperability.
- 0:54Speaker 1: That counter UAS piece, the hardening the perimeter, that seems like a good place to start.
- 0:59Speaker 1: The sources definitely confirm uncrewed aerial systems UAS, they're just central now.
- 1:04Speaker 0: Absolutely central.
- 1:05Speaker 0: ISR drones, tactical UAVs, they're fundamental to land warfare concepts we're seeing discussed.
- 1:11Speaker 1: And that means, well, a desperate need for constant surveillance and making that kill chain faster.
- 1:16Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 1:17Speaker 0: And the tactical response counter UAS or CUAS, it's evolving incredibly fast.
- 1:23Speaker 0: It's not just one magic bullet anymore.
- 1:25Speaker 0: No.
- 1:26Speaker 0: No, the consensus is really about layered approaches, you know, blending detection, AI for classification, different kinds of interceptors.
- 1:34Speaker 0: But the threat isn't just military now, we've seen that quite clearly.
- 1:38Speaker 0: You
- 1:38Speaker 1: mean civilian infrastructure?
- 1:39Speaker 0: Precisely.
- 1:40Speaker 0: National security folks are flagging urgent CUAS gaps right here at home.
- 1:45Speaker 0: Benjamin Wolba mentioned that Munich Airport shut down.
- 1:48Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I saw that unauthorized drone right.
- 1:50Speaker 1: Canceled over thirty flights.
- 1:51Speaker 0: Yeah, exactly that kind of disruption.
- 1:53Speaker 0: It's becoming a real security headache for civilian areas not just battlefields
- 1:57Speaker 1: in the markets responding.
- 1:58Speaker 0: Oh, definitely lots of tech being thrown at it.
- 2:00Speaker 0: We saw Lockheed Martin talking up their sanctum counter UAS system AI driven
- 2:05Speaker 1: sanctum, right?
- 2:05Speaker 1: What makes that stand out?
- 2:06Speaker 0: Well multiple sources pointed to it as embodying what's needed now Smart AI, flexible, open architecture system.
- 2:14Speaker 0: Open
- 2:15Speaker 1: architecture that keeps coming up.
- 2:16Speaker 0: It does.
- 2:17Speaker 0: In layered defense, you know, tackling threats at different ranges, different altitudes, it ticks all those boxes.
- 2:23Speaker 0: And
- 2:23Speaker 1: the investment must be huge.
- 2:25Speaker 1: Gitarth Rajneesh Vaishnav shared that drone shield news.
- 2:28Speaker 0: The new, thirteen million dollar R&D place in Adelaide.
- 2:31Speaker 0: Yeah.
- 2:32Speaker 0: Shows real strategic growth commitment.
- 2:34Speaker 0: But
- 2:34Speaker 1: Raven Decker was pushing for urgent capabilities in the Netherlands too.
- 2:38Speaker 1: It feels very immediate, this need.
- 2:40Speaker 0: It is immediate, but the really interesting part, I think, is the tactical innovation.
- 2:44Speaker 0: Ivane Maizaya introduced this concept, the Bait Interceptor Drone.
- 2:48Speaker 1: B-Bait.
- 2:49Speaker 1: What's that?
- 2:49Speaker 0: It's a compact drone launched from a larger carrier UAV.
- 2:53Speaker 0: The idea is it autonomously goes after massed aerial threats.
- 2:57Speaker 0: Like
- 2:57Speaker 1: those cheap drone swarms, she-head types.
- 2:59Speaker 0: Exactly like those.
- 3:00Speaker 0: It's designed specifically to counter that kind of threat.
- 3:03Speaker 1: Which takes us beyond just the tech, right?
- 3:05Speaker 1: There's an economic angle.
- 3:06Speaker 1: A
- 3:06Speaker 0: huge one.
- 3:06Speaker 0: That's the core insight, really.
- 3:08Speaker 0: Why is BET potentially so important?
- 3:10Speaker 0: Okay, what?
- 3:11Speaker 0: Affordability and speed.
- 3:13Speaker 0: Right now, you see countries using incredibly expensive fighter jets.
- 3:16Speaker 0: Fifty million bucks, maybe?
- 3:18Speaker 0: But
- 3:18Speaker 1: you've done a twenty thousand dollar drone.
- 3:19Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 3:20Speaker 0: It's unsustainable.
- 3:21Speaker 0: The BAT concept offers an automated economical counter.
- 3:25Speaker 0: It replaces that ridiculously costly practice.
- 3:28Speaker 0: That economic shift is, I think, going to define the next wave of air defense.
- 3:33Speaker 1: Makes sense.
- 3:34Speaker 1: Speed and economics driving things.
- 3:36Speaker 1: But Tom Adams brought up a complication.
- 3:38Speaker 1: The legal side.
- 3:39Speaker 1: Ah,
- 3:39Speaker 0: yes.
- 3:40Speaker 0: The regulatory hurdles.
- 3:42Speaker 0: He
- 3:42Speaker 1: pointed out the legal risks with unauthorized CUAS tech, like public safety bodies, airports, local police.
- 3:49Speaker 1: They need clear authority to actually use detection and mitigation tools.
- 3:52Speaker 0: Otherwise you get unintended consequences, legal challenges could actually slow down progress.
- 3:56Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 3:57Speaker 1: That tension, the need for machine speed versus human constraints, legal frameworks that actually leads perfectly into our next theme, doesn't it?
- 4:04Speaker 0: It really does.
- 4:05Speaker 0: AI, autonomy and software, the race for speed.
- 4:08Speaker 1: Okay, let's get into this.
- 4:10Speaker 1: Jonas Singer had that stark quote, latency kills.
- 4:13Speaker 0: Yeah, pretty blunt.
- 4:15Speaker 0: The argument is simple.
- 4:17Speaker 0: You modern combat is too fast for human delay.
- 4:20Speaker 0: You can't afford to have a human in the loop for every decision if you expect to survive complex fights.
- 4:25Speaker 1: So the human moves.
- 4:27Speaker 0: Where?
- 4:27Speaker 0: On the loop, that's the goal.
- 4:29Speaker 0: Machines operate within rules set by humans encoded, lawful constraints like geofences, confidence levels, and then they execute lethal action at machine speed.
- 4:39Speaker 0: The human provides the intent and the boundaries, but the machine acts instantly.
- 4:44Speaker 1: We saw some real tech examples of this.
- 4:46Speaker 1: Daniel Kolfas presented that Airbus Framework, re-legs him, at the NATO CA-IIX-II Forum.
- 4:52Speaker 0: Right, using deep reinforcement learning.
- 4:54Speaker 1: Explain that a bit.
- 4:54Speaker 1: What's it doing for operational planning?
- 4:56Speaker 0: Okay, so essentially it lets the AI simulate thousands, millions of options, combat paths, resource allocations, way faster than a human team could.
- 5:05Speaker 0: It learns by trial and error and simulation rewarding good outcomes.
- 5:08Speaker 1: So instead of weeks planning, it's moments.
- 5:10Speaker 0: Pretty much.
- 5:11Speaker 0: And Harold Mannheim confirmed this isn't just theory anymore.
- 5:14Speaker 0: Airbus is a major partner for the German Bundeswehr's AI transformation.
- 5:19Speaker 0: They're focused on scaling this up.
- 5:21Speaker 0: moving from prototypes to actual series production, integrating it end to end.
- 5:25Speaker 0: And
- 5:26Speaker 1: this push for speed isn't just like a nice to have.
- 5:29Speaker 1: It's being framed as strategically vital.
- 5:31Speaker 0: Absolutely vital.
- 5:33Speaker 0: Sandra Losman echoed the German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius saying, the future is unmanned.
- 5:40Speaker 0: Why?
- 5:40Speaker 0: Cost efficiency?
- 5:41Speaker 0: Sure.
- 5:42Speaker 0: But also human capital efficiency using people smartly and just decisive effectiveness.
- 5:47Speaker 1: No sense.
- 5:48Speaker 0: And Benjamin Tallis made a strong point too.
- 5:50Speaker 0: democracies need AI-driven, autonomous mass capabilities to effectively defend against authoritarian states who might not have the same constraints on human cost.
- 5:58Speaker 1: And you need the hardware for that vision.
- 6:00Speaker 1: Aviv Barzohar and Richard Benton highlighted the Nomadu Avi family from Lockheed Martin and Sikorsky.
- 6:06Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 6:06Speaker 1: VTL, Hybrid Electric.
- 6:07Speaker 0: And critically, Open Architecture.
- 6:09Speaker 1: There it is again.
- 6:10Speaker 1: Why is that so key here?
- 6:12Speaker 0: Because open architecture enables that speed and mass we're talking about.
- 6:15Speaker 0: It means you can plug in third-party software more easily, upgrade faster, scale configurations for different missions, ISR, strike, logistics, land, sea.
- 6:25Speaker 1: Gotcha.
- 6:25Speaker 1: It connects the software potential directly to adaptable hardware.
- 6:29Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 6:30Speaker 0: Which bridges nicely into our third theme, industrial policy, procurement, and resilience.
- 6:36Speaker 0: How do we actually build and pay for all this stuff at scale?
- 6:40Speaker 1: Okay.
- 6:40Speaker 1: Where do we start?
- 6:41Speaker 1: partnerships.
- 6:42Speaker 0: Strategic partnerships are huge.
- 6:44Speaker 0: Preston Feinberg flagged that big UK Palantir deal up to one point five billion investment.
- 6:50Speaker 1: And Palantir setting up their European HQ in the UK.
- 6:53Speaker 1: Right.
- 6:53Speaker 0: It frames defense deals, not just as buying kit, but as engines for national economic and tech growth.
- 6:58Speaker 0: But his
- 6:59Speaker 1: growth, the same as resilience.
- 7:00Speaker 1: Christoph Donique brought up Ryan Middle's massive expansion, sixty three billion backlog, new factories popping up.
- 7:06Speaker 1: And
- 7:06Speaker 0: he asked the crucial question.
- 7:08Speaker 0: Does just being efficient make you strategically resilient?
- 7:11Speaker 0: Well, if you centralize everything into giant, super efficient factories, you create single points of failure.
- 7:18Speaker 0: His argument is Europe needs a balanced, distributed industrial sites, procurement tied to sovereignty metrics, not just sheer volume.
- 7:26Speaker 0: Geographical spread matters.
- 7:28Speaker 1: You can't talk about European defense industry now without talking about Ukraine.
- 7:32Speaker 1: Oleksandr Lysikov announced something big.
- 7:35Speaker 0: A major turning point, yeah.
- 7:37Speaker 0: Ukraine shifting from just defense production for themselves to becoming an exporter, projecting thirty-five billion dollars in production next year.
- 7:45Speaker 0: Wow.
- 7:46Speaker 1: With plans for export hubs in the EU, US, Middle East.
- 7:50Speaker 0: It's forcing a rethink in the West.
- 7:52Speaker 0: Martin Joinsar and Mark A. Whitefeld were clear.
- 7:54Speaker 0: Supporting Ukraine effectively means localization, speed, constant feedback loops.
- 7:59Speaker 1: And Joinser had that really provocative call about procurement.
- 8:02Speaker 1: Oh
- 8:02Speaker 0: yeah, that was striking.
- 8:03Speaker 0: He said Western procurement offices need to change their processes.
- 8:06Speaker 0: Start treating things like drones and sensors as consumables or a
- 8:10Speaker 1: service.
- 8:11Speaker 1: Not like a tank you buy for twenty years.
- 8:12Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 8:13Speaker 0: Treat them like consumables or a service.
- 8:14Speaker 0: Yeah.
- 8:15Speaker 0: That's a massive mindset shift for traditional defense bureaucracies.
- 8:19Speaker 1: What does that practically mean?
- 8:20Speaker 1: Treating assets as a service.
- 8:22Speaker 0: It means you might buy, say, operational hours or performance outcomes, not just the physical drone.
- 8:28Speaker 0: The contractor keeps updating the software.
- 8:30Speaker 0: that's the service, and the hardware is maybe seen as more expendable, replaceable quickly with the latest version.
- 8:36Speaker 1: So it prioritizes ongoing improvement over waiting for the perfect final product.
- 8:41Speaker 0: Precisely.
- 8:42Speaker 0: Rapid iteration.
- 8:44Speaker 0: And to help bridge that gap, Denise Sviatokum mentioned the Nordar Nexus initiative.
- 8:49Speaker 1: What's that doing?
- 8:50Speaker 0: Connecting Ukrainian companies with Danish support programs, helping them get NATO certification, basically speeding up their integration into the wider European defense industry.
- 9:00Speaker 1: And that integration focus shows up in national plans too.
- 9:03Speaker 1: Pascal M noted Denmark buying more F-thirty-fives and collaborative combat aircraft.
- 9:07Speaker 1: The
- 9:08Speaker 0: drone wingmania.
- 9:09Speaker 0: Specifically
- 9:09Speaker 1: to boost NATO interoperability and support local industry like Turma and Multicut.
- 9:14Speaker 1: It all ties together.
- 9:15Speaker 0: It does.
- 9:16Speaker 0: Which brings us maybe to the last theme, specialization within domains, sea, air, PNT.
- 9:21Speaker 1: Okay, let's start underwater.
- 9:23Speaker 1: Seems like a lot happening there.
- 9:24Speaker 1: Amelia Gould announced Helsing acquiring blue ocean marine tech systems.
- 9:29Speaker 0: Right.
- 9:29Speaker 0: Bringing Helsing's AI focus together with expertise in autonomous underwater platforms to counter nefarious subsea activity.
- 9:38Speaker 0: That
- 9:39Speaker 1: sounds serious.
- 9:39Speaker 0: It is.
- 9:40Speaker 0: And we're seeing coordinated European efforts too.
- 9:43Speaker 0: Jürgen Skrabak detailed the European Defense Agency's twenty twenty six goals.
- 9:48Speaker 0: Underwater domain awareness, uncrewed maritime systems, seabed protection.
- 9:52Speaker 1: And they're using a modular approach.
- 9:54Speaker 0: Yeah, a pragmatic, minimum viable unit concept.
- 9:58Speaker 0: Built around a standard, twenty-foot shipping container.
- 10:00Speaker 1: Why the container standard?
- 10:01Speaker 1: What makes that so useful?
- 10:03Speaker 0: Logistics?
- 10:03Speaker 0: Pure and simple.
- 10:05Speaker 0: If your complex sensor system or drone launcher fits in a standard container, you can deploy it rapidly using existing global infrastructure, cargo ships, military transports, whatever, cuts deployment time dramatically.
- 10:15Speaker 1: Speed and standardization again.
- 10:17Speaker 1: Same in the air domain.
- 10:18Speaker 0: Seems like it.
- 10:19Speaker 0: Paul Lemo highlighted Lockheed Martin firing up their SPY-Seven radar for the Aegis Vessels, another step in modular radar tech.
- 10:26Speaker 0: And Dr.
- 10:27Speaker 0: Dennis G mentioned Vectis focusing on air power integration, making sure different fleets, especially fifth gen like the F- Thirty-Five, can work together seamlessly.
- 10:36Speaker 1: Okay, and finally, that critical bit of infrastructure, PNT.
- 10:40Speaker 0: Positioning, navigation, and timing.
- 10:42Speaker 0: Absolutely crucial.
- 10:43Speaker 0: Eliza Drasny's confirmed it's a major focus in the Baltics, strengthening PNT resilience.
- 10:48Speaker 1: Because GPS can be denied or spoofed.
- 10:51Speaker 0: Exactly.
- 10:52Speaker 0: In a conflict, you have to be able to operate without relying solely on GPS.
- 10:56Speaker 0: So you see civil tech, like from saffron electronics and defense, being transferred into military P&T solutions.
- 11:02Speaker 0: It's driving that civil military tech transfer.
- 11:04Speaker 1: OK, so let's try and pull this all together.
- 11:06Speaker 1: What we've seen across LinkedIn these past two weeks suggests defense tech is really shifting around three core ideas.
- 11:11Speaker 0: I think so.
- 11:12Speaker 0: First, speed, driven hard by AI and autonomy.
- 11:15Speaker 0: Second, mass, fueled by affordable drones and the urgent need for counter drone tech.
- 11:20Speaker 0: And third, industrial resistance.
- 11:22Speaker 0: with Ukraine acting as a catalyst and a broader push for smarter EU industrial policy.
- 11:27Speaker 1: And thinking about that resilience and the procurement changes needed.
- 11:31Speaker 1: Brenda Jacobs point about modular, software-defined systems.
- 11:34Speaker 0: Yeah, that they're, per se, never fully developed.
- 11:38Speaker 0: That thinking completely rejects the old way of doing things, waiting for that perfect, finished, gold standard system.
- 11:45Speaker 0: Right.
- 11:46Speaker 1: Which leaves a really interesting question for you, the listener, to think about.
- 11:49Speaker 1: What big established defense systems out there right now are maybe being held back by that old demand for a gold standard solution?
- 11:56Speaker 0: Yeah, and how different could they be, how much faster, how much more effective, if we truly embraced a software-first service-based approach where improvement is constant.
- 12:05Speaker 0: That's the transformation happening right
- 12:23Speaker 1: now.