Latest / Save Democracy / Disinformation - Beware the emotional hijack
Transcript
- 0:04Hello, and welcome to Save Democracy.
- 0:07I'm Katherine Davies.
- 0:08Just a quick reminder to please consider subscribing to our
- 0:11YouTube channel if you would like to continue enjoying our podcast.
- 0:15Thanks very much for your support.
- 0:17Now, I have a question for you.
- 0:19Have you heard of emotional hijacking?
- 0:24It's also called malign cognitive influence, and basically, it's
- 0:28really good to know about as malign actors are working hard at it right
- 0:34now to try to influence you online in ways that can be hard to detect.
- 0:40And my guest today is a leading expert on this question.
- 0:45Alan Jagolinzer is professor of financial accounting at Cambridge University's Judge
- 0:50Business School, and among other roles, he is the founder, chair, and coordinator
- 0:56of the Cambridge Disinformation Summit.
- 0:59It happens every year and is a leading consequential global gathering of
- 1:04academics, tech whistleblowers, and policymakers on this subject of
- 1:09disinformation But today we will focus on one aspect, and that is what we're
- 1:15going to call emotional hijacking.
- 1:18Welcome, Alan.
- 1:19Thanks.
- 1:20Thanks for having me.
- 1:21Thanks so much for joining us.
- 1:24Maybe we could start with unpacking that term, emotional hijacking.
- 1:27How does it work and what is it?
- 1:29That'd be great.
- 1:30So there's a cognitive process that we all go through as human beings
- 1:34where we see observations, and then we narrate stories in our heads that try
- 1:39to make sense of these observations.
- 1:41And when we assign stories to them, we tend to generate emotional
- 1:45responses to those stories.
- 1:48So when I do this in class, an example could be that I have texted my romantic
- 1:53partner and they have not yet responded.
- 1:56So in that moment of uncertainty, that's just the observation.
- 1:59They just haven't responded.
- 2:01So in that uncertainty, we tend to write stories to try to explain that,
- 2:06and based on prior experience, it could be that they are cheating on me.
- 2:11That could be the story, generating emotional resonance around that
- 2:16of hurt or something like that.
- 2:18With the hijacking, it's where people recognize that we go through this sequence
- 2:24of observation, story writing, and then assigning emotions to the stories, and
- 2:30they intervene and create the stories for us, recognizing that we're looking
- 2:35for stories, and then they're trying to drive specific kinds of stories
- 2:39and specific emotional reactions.
- 2:42So where we see this typically in social media are, for example, a
- 2:45terrorist event or a threatening event, for example, where somebody has been
- 2:49harmed with a knife in England or in the US with guns, and we don't really
- 2:55know what happened because there's not been enough time to collect evidence.
- 3:00But there are people in the ecosystems on social media who are agenda-driven
- 3:06often, or they just have belief systems.
- 3:10For some reason, they have incentives, and they feel compelled to push stories
- 3:14out before we really understand what's happening, and then to push emotional
- 3:18narratives around those stories, and that's what I call hijacking,
- 3:22where they're preventing agency.
- 3:25They're preventing myself or you to be able to assemble enough evidence to create
- 3:30your own stories, to inform the stories you already have in your mind, and to
- 3:34also think in terms of what emotions are appropriate to be assigned to the stories.
- 3:40And that's what I call hijacking, and we see a lot of this, and there's
- 3:43a lot of money in this and a lot of political influence in this.
- 3:48Could you maybe unpack an example of political influence?
- 3:51Without weighing into the particular scenario.
- 3:55We see this, for example, in Palestinian and Israeli conflict, where people
- 4:00who might have a specific belief system or agenda, when something
- 4:04happens in that environment, they will introduce their version of
- 4:08story, and then they will try to get people to emotionally respond to that.
- 4:13I think we may even see this in the context of Macklemore's
- 4:16statements, for example.
- 4:18Recently with the concert tour of Ed Sheeran, the observation was he came
- 4:22out with a statement, that supported his belief system, and then a lot of
- 4:27people who have emotional responses, some of whom might actually have political
- 4:32agendas, will then intervene and introduce their version of stories and
- 4:36their versions of emotions around the event of Macklemore making a statement
- 4:41Okay, so you've got a sort of subset of people who are just responding
- 4:46in a kind of emotionally reactive way, and then there's some people
- 4:49who actually have an agenda and, and you would describe malign actors as
- 4:57having a malign agenda at this point in the process that you've described.
- 5:01Is that right?
- 5:02Yes.
- 5:03And when we see them, typically play, it's typically when they're
- 5:07trying to undermine power.
- 5:08So we see this, for example, playing out in attacks on universities and attacks
- 5:14on what I consider to be institutions that could hold people to account.
- 5:20So we see accountability infrastructure in courts, in independent
- 5:24journalism, in academic scientific process, and things like that.
- 5:30So we'll see some agenda-driven influence in those communities too.
- 5:35What do we have to be careful about that makes us more susceptible to
- 5:40emotional hijacking, do you think?
- 5:42I think what's important is we emotionally, we tend to misinform
- 5:48ourselves more than anybody when we think in terms of, "I see an observation
- 5:54and I don't have certainty around it."
- 5:55And we tend to reach back into our own prior experiences to inform it.
- 6:00So in the example that I like to use, again, when somebody doesn't respond to
- 6:05a text, a romantic partner, for example, if somebody has a prior history of having
- 6:09cheating episodes, then that might be the first sort of space in which they go.
- 6:15That's the story that might most strongly resonate to them, and then
- 6:19we assign emotional resonance there.
- 6:21Why I bring that up is because our prior experiences and our already
- 6:26regular influence networks, the people we hang out with, the people
- 6:29we trust, they inform the stories and the emotional assignments through the
- 6:34cognitive process with regularity, and we tend to lean into those systems
- 6:39the most and with the most strength.
- 6:42We also then lean into that, and we then project some of that out.
- 6:46And what we're finding is that we become vulnerable by producing footprints,
- 6:52particularly online with our data.
- 6:55And my colleague, David Stillwell
- 6:58- So we're basically revealing by what we share online all of our vulnerabilities.
- 7:03Yes.
- 7:05Well, we reveal a lot about our beliefs, and we reveal, which
- 7:08inherently is places of vulnerability.
- 7:11And I mentioned David Stillwell, who runs our Psychometrics Center at the University
- 7:15of Cambridge, and if we go back about 15 years ago, there's a very compelling
- 7:20TED Talk he did related to his research.
- 7:23And at that time, his research has said that with as few as 230 hits
- 7:28of the Like button on Facebook, he could predict your personality profile
- 7:33as much as your marriage partner.
- 7:37And this is before we introduce Amazon purchase history, we introduce the history
- 7:43of all the tickets you've purchased to concerts and events, your travel history.
- 7:48So we have so many data points available in what we produce, and so
- 7:54I can study that as a manipulator, and I can sit down and say, "You are
- 7:59predisposed to really respond favorably to a meme that is racist," or, "You
- 8:06are predisposed to really respond humorously to some sarcastic meme
- 8:12about political position X, Y, or Z."
- 8:16And even if you would disagree with it, you might share it widely because you
- 8:21find it funny or something like that.
- 8:22There are people we know who are very likely to react in certain ways because
- 8:28they've revealed those patterns before.
- 8:30We call that microtargeting.
- 8:31Microtargeting.
- 8:32So this is bringing me back a few years when we first looked at the
- 8:36back end of social media advertising and how they used to try to…
- 8:41If you were trying to advertise something, you would say, "Well, I think they're
- 8:45probably going to live in this city, and they're going to be this age group, and
- 8:48they probably like this magazine." And so this is like that world but on steroids.
- 8:54There's so many more data points, and we readily and freely give this information.
- 9:01It's very sophisticated, and it's very targeted, and it's capable of
- 9:05really precisely narrowing things.
- 9:08There's a book by Sarah Wynn-Williams called Careless People, and in one
- 9:11of the later chapters, I think it's around in the 40s, she discusses, if
- 9:16I'm paraphrasing it correctly, she discusses where Instagram would interpret
- 9:22that when young girls, when they would delete their selfies from Instagram,
- 9:27they would interpret that as consistent with them having low self-esteem.
- 9:32And then they would immediately target them with cosmetic ads and
- 9:37other ads that would try to boost sales of product that might hit
- 9:41somebody vulnerable, in that moment.
- 9:43to low self-esteem.
- 9:44So they basically hire, I mean, I don't know, but I'm just guessing, they
- 9:47basically hire people who are great at psychologically profiling people to the
- 9:54nth degree, and then they are part of the algorithmic programming process?
- 9:58Is this the process behind-
- 10:01I don't have enough insight- … into the specific algorithmic content
- 10:06of Meta, and I don't necessarily want to pretend that I do.
- 10:10But I can speak to some of the whistleblowers a little bit, and I would
- 10:14defer to them who have discussed them.
- 10:16And, you know, the algorithms may have shifted over time.
- 10:19But I will say that when we look back at things like Cambridge Analytica as an
- 10:23example, they had teams of people who were sophisticated in this who could identify,
- 10:30you know, audience… I don't want to necessarily use the word vulnerable, but
- 10:34audiences who were susceptible to the messaging that they chose to send to them.
- 10:38And so these were audiences who, in some ways, welcomed the messaging, whatever it
- 10:43was, whether it was a meme or something.
- 10:45And by the way, it was cheap enough to experiment.
- 10:50So I could try messaging with you based on your data.
- 10:53If it didn't land or if it didn't go viral, then I could try a
- 10:55different type of messaging.
- 10:57But again, the key to me is recognizing that most people probably aren't aware
- 11:04of the instantaneous cognitive process.
- 11:06Again, I see something, and particularly when it's visceral.
- 11:10So I'll give you an example of the more visceral things.
- 11:12We see them on the news.
- 11:15A hospital blows up.
- 11:17That can be a very visceral moment, and then stories come in about why.
- 11:24Was it a terrorist event?
- 11:25Was it a bomb?
- 11:26Was it an act of war?
- 11:28Who's responsible?
- 11:29What are the implications?
- 11:30And there are very strong visceral emotions around this, particularly
- 11:34in specific context, where we have a history of very strong
- 11:38visceral emotional reactions.
- 11:41We have many sustained wars.
- 11:44Ukraine, what's going on with Palestine and Israel.
- 11:49The Palestinian conflict is very visceral, as we see even with the Ed Sheeran events.
- 11:54And so knowing that people are already ramped around their stories, people
- 12:00already have stories, and they already have viscerally powerful emotions
- 12:04almost latent, then it's not difficult to stoke that and to get into that.
- 12:11And we see that in some rage-baiting campaigns.
- 12:14Okay.
- 12:15Can I take us a little hypothetical, being a democracy podcast and, one of
- 12:20the great concerns of autocrats and authoritarian regimes is regime security,
- 12:26and people who aspire to, to secure power and to, quietly change the rules.
- 12:34And if you were a wannabe autocrat and you're aware of the power of what
- 12:38you're talking about, I guess it's a question of looking at how do you
- 12:45influence enough voters to get elected?
- 12:48And then looking for the voters who are the most vulnerable to this kind
- 12:51of messaging, and then just mapping it out and understanding, "Okay, so
- 12:55what kind of key events… How can we prime these people so when the day
- 13:00comes, they're going to vote for us?" I mean, is this the sort of picture
- 13:03you see in different countries?
- 13:05Is this kind of what's going on?
- 13:06Yeah.
- 13:06So there's a pattern that happens, and we've kind of
- 13:09unpacked this to some degree.
- 13:10And I would say that it's not stealthy.
- 13:12It's obvious now.
- 13:13It's blatant in some cases.
- 13:15There… And one of the things that I've witnessed, by the way, I've been working
- 13:18on fraud for decades, and in years earlier in my career, fraud was always hidden.
- 13:25Now it's celebrated.
- 13:28So one of the things that we're going to discuss is the shifting of norms
- 13:32and what's acceptable and what's not, and the absolution of shame and
- 13:36the re-shifting of what shame means.
- 13:40But to your question - grievance, grievance.
- 13:44There is latent grievance, and these folks will tap into it using what I
- 13:51call parasocial engagement, meaning that they're going to use a way of
- 13:56reaching out to somebody in a relatable way, a perception of relatability,
- 14:00a perception of care, a perception of elevating your concerns higher.
- 14:06Hearing you.
- 14:07"I hear you. I care about you." They're going to do it straight into the camera.
- 14:12They're going to do it maybe face-to-face in rallies and things
- 14:15like that, and they're going to say, "It's not your fault.
- 14:21All of that shame, all of that guilt isn't you.
- 14:24We're going to displace it.
- 14:25We're going to absolve you of that, and then we're going to reorient
- 14:29the norms to somebody else."
- 14:30It's the othering piece.
- 14:32It's their fault.
- 14:33It's a typical, what I call an opportunist populist move, and
- 14:38Steve Bannon discusses this in some detail in some of his podcasts.
- 14:43That then empowers people.
- 14:45It makes them feel like they're powerful.
- 14:47It also creates an in-group and a sense of purpose, and Jonathan Metzl does brilliant
- 14:53work on social identity and the power of social identity and how that can be
- 14:58manifested in all kinds of different ways.
- 15:01And what I see is it empowers people, and then we enrichen them with a
- 15:06sense of pride, and then we might even enrich them with things like
- 15:09crypto, and a sense of opportunity that isn't there or they don't sense
- 15:15is there in the traditional pathways.
- 15:17So right now, for example, it's incredibly easy to suggest that this
- 15:21notion of an American dream or an upward mobility ladder if you work hard
- 15:26or if you go to uni or something like that, it just doesn't feel palpable.
- 15:30The ability to buy a home has escaped people, the ability to make rank
- 15:34through traditional old school ways.
- 15:37And so people are looking for a way to do that and offering them like a crypto ramp.
- 15:43So a lot of this is tapping into that grievance and then
- 15:45saying it's their fault.
- 15:46It's this old administration's fault, it's the immigrant's fault, it's
- 15:50somebody else's fault, and that if you follow my pathway, we'll lead there.
- 15:56What is happening-- I mean, to be fair, some of that grievance is probably proper
- 16:03grievance and needs to be addressed.
- 16:05And when I talk to politicians, I suggest that they actively engage grievance.
- 16:10Part of the disinformation problem is there's real grievance, and there's
- 16:14certainly perception of grievance even if it's not necessarily real.
- 16:18So engaging the grievance is critical.
- 16:20It's a social problem.
- 16:21But part of this is to create a community, and what I fear and
- 16:26what I see is that in doing so, a lot of the narratives are actually
- 16:30radicalizing into almost a violence.
- 16:33Intimidation is okay.
- 16:35We're going to not only other people, but we're going to celebrate
- 16:41bullying, harassment, even violent means, arresting, deporting.
- 16:47And when we go in that direction, then we no longer need to
- 16:51move into the voting space.
- 16:53Especially when there's impunity or perceived impunity.
- 16:57Yeah.
- 16:57So when we do this, when we reorient the norms and then when we take over
- 17:02enforcement mechanisms around crimes, then we can easily justify almost any behavior
- 17:09that was previously unjustifiable.
- 17:12And that's sort of the trend that I'm seeing in some of these opportunist
- 17:16populist movements, these campaigns to basically communicate, it's their
- 17:20fault, it's okay, and the rage is warranted, the hate is warranted.
- 17:25This is what it means to be on the good side of things.
- 17:31So we're reorienting the norms.
- 17:32The narratives are around, "If you come to my side and my worldview, then you're
- 17:37doing things properly. And if you're that part of the worldview, then it's
- 17:42improper." And it's literally rewriting norms, shame, and things like that.
- 17:47And when you do that, votes become less important because you've taken
- 17:51over not only the apparatus around the voting, including the enforcement
- 17:54ecosystem, but you've more importantly intimidated many of the people who
- 18:00could otherwise hold you accountable.
- 18:03And last year, I had the opportunity to speak to members of the US Congress
- 18:08and Members of Parliament, and I noted that one of the things that I think
- 18:12is driving the problem is grievance, but then meeting the grievance is this
- 18:18opportunistic engagement with that grievance that is then radicalizing
- 18:23people into more aggressive stances, which is then creating a cowardice problem.
- 18:30And the cowardice problem is in people who could enforce laws, who could enforce
- 18:36social norms, but who are too afraid to do so, and they've been silenced,
- 18:41and I think we're seeing that play out in the United States right now.
- 18:46Yeah, and to a lesser extent perhaps
- 18:50in many other countries, but it's really alarming in the US.
- 18:56So I want to walk us back a little bit to that moment where you're online and
- 19:02you're finding yourself connecting, and I've found myself in this situation,
- 19:07connecting with somebody on a regular basis, maybe a podcast you're listening
- 19:12to, and, you really like the person.
- 19:15And sometimes you sort of find yourself having a sense of a relationship without
- 19:22even realizing it with the person that you regularly listen to and laugh at
- 19:26and like their jokes or whatever, right?
- 19:29And I'm just sort of leaning in a bit more into this parasocial bonds
- 19:33in terms of our everyday experience and how we need to really be alert to
- 19:39what's going on in that moment and how that makes us easier to manipulate.
- 19:45Parasocial relationships have existed forever, and many of them can be
- 19:50healthy and therapeutic in some ways.
- 19:52Like musicians, musical artists we feel we're bonded to through their
- 19:55lyrics or they make us feel something.
- 19:58Fandom, there's been a lot of research in parasocial around
- 20:02Taylor Swift fandom, Justin Bieber.
- 20:04So in some ways that's not necessarily unhealthy.
- 20:06It's very normal.
- 20:08I just talked to a meteorologist on television, and she said she goes
- 20:12into supermarkets and people are like, "Hey, I know you," but they don't.
- 20:18So there's this feeling of comfort that evolves.
- 20:21And in many cases, like with a meteorologist on television, it
- 20:24could be very healthy because we rely on them, we build trust
- 20:28because we see them with regularity.
- 20:30Where I think it becomes problematic is when we don't realize how
- 20:34much trust we provide them implicitly because of comfort.
- 20:39Because I see them regularly.. You, for example, come in with a very
- 20:44calm persona, and right now calm is very appealing, or there's humor.
- 20:50We see a lot of humor, so humor draws us in.
- 20:53And I think it's perfectly okay, but then to be aware of, "Okay,
- 20:57I am allowing myself to let my guard down because of this comfort,
- 21:02because of this familiarity."
- 21:03It is in some ways analogous to having a family member, and even when we
- 21:08deconstruct some of the more popular influencers, who, by the way, I don't
- 21:12accuse of doing anything wrong, but when we just look at how they engage,
- 21:16they're often in a hoodie, or they're comfortable sitting in their sofa, and
- 21:21it feels like they're talking to me as I'm a friend in their living room.
- 21:27And these are people populating TikToks with regularity, and so I see them over
- 21:32and over again, and it's almost like I see them more than my family or my friends.
- 21:36And so drawing that in, being aware that I'm allowing myself to feel
- 21:41comfortable with this person is important.
- 21:43And then what I always do for, for assessment is, why
- 21:47are they communicating to me?
- 21:50How did they find me?
- 21:52How did I find them?
- 21:53What's this connection?
- 21:54And doing a little bit of analysis about that relationship I think
- 21:59is important in deconstructing.
- 22:00I can talk more about how I deconstruct these if you want.
- 22:05Yes, I like that sense of having almost a meta awareness of what you're
- 22:10doing when you're engaging with the person and just remembering there is
- 22:14no relationship in a meaningful sense.
- 22:17But yes, happy for you to unpack that a bit more.
- 22:20I think where it becomes more problematic is when they're pretty
- 22:24clearly-- We move into the incentive.
- 22:26So the very first thing I do in these relationships is
- 22:28what are their incentives?
- 22:29And in a relationship for a meteorologist on television, I don't find them
- 22:35to be probably manipulating me.
- 22:37Maybe their incentives are to get me to continue to watch their television
- 22:41for their advertising revenue.
- 22:43I find that to be pretty benign.
- 22:45But when we move into, for example, the crypto or the meme asset space, where
- 22:50I've got an influencer saying, "Hey, if you come with me into my community," and
- 22:55that's how they build their following.
- 22:57They create community.
- 22:58"If you trust me, I'll give you this great investment advice." And I think
- 23:03going down those pathways could be really dangerous, and we see a whole
- 23:06lot of carnage, with trusting people.
- 23:09We also see this, actually one of the worst regimes for potentially,
- 23:14dangerous relationships in parasocial are in the wellness community.
- 23:20So many people go online to figure out things about, you
- 23:22know, health and wellness.
- 23:23What should I be eating?
- 23:24How should I do fitness?
- 23:26And a lot of these people are, even if they're well-intended, they're
- 23:30pulling people into something that could actually be harmful.
- 23:33And in many cases, they're not well-intended, and they're
- 23:36actually intentionally trying to manipulate in order to sell
- 23:38product or things of that nature.
- 23:41So for me, I always sit down and say, "What are the incentives of
- 23:47the messenger? How are they being compensated?" And by the way,
- 23:50compensation isn't always financial.
- 23:53It could be power in the authoritarian scenario.
- 23:57It could also be physical, so they, in some cases, they're trying to
- 24:00groom me for physical power control.
- 24:03And finally, it could also just be social psychological.
- 24:06They want you into their belief system, or they just crave your attention.
- 24:10Some people are just desperate for attention, so there could be
- 24:13a narcissism incentive there too.
- 24:16It's interesting that people that perhaps are most vulnerable are not going to hear
- 24:21this podcast, and they're not going to, they're not going to know what's going on.
- 24:25And maybe there's somebody in your circle or community, because I think
- 24:31they must target people that are least likely to be able to have this sort of
- 24:36the ability to step back and analyze it in the way you're describing.
- 24:41This is what I'm fearing as I listen to you.
- 24:43And so where do you-- how do you intervene?
- 24:45And it's never going to be easy, and how do you spread awareness?
- 24:51I want to make a point that's really important.
- 24:53It's extremely important to not say to somebody, "You're vulnerable."
- 25:02This is all about preservation of agency, and I think one has to assess
- 25:06for themselves if they're vulnerable.
- 25:09Because for me to say, "Oh, you're vulnerable, you're being manipulated,"
- 25:13you might feel very differently based on your own lived experience.
- 25:17So I can't necessarily make that assessment for you, and
- 25:20I want to be careful not to project my beliefs onto you.
- 25:23But what I can do is help you find questions you can ask yourself
- 25:27about your own vulnerability.
- 25:29And the key, as you noted, is to get people to be at the meta awareness level
- 25:34where they do their own self-assessment and say, "Am I vulnerable? How
- 25:37could I be vulnerable?" And they do their own assessment, because it's
- 25:40really important to preserve agency.
- 25:43One of the most important takeaways is that malign cognitive
- 25:46influencers intend to remove agency.
- 25:50They want to tell you what you should believe and what emotions you should feel
- 25:55instead of allowing you to sit through, do the meta-analysis, and say, "Wait
- 26:01a minute, I want to choose this story.
- 26:04I want to do my own research independently." This is really
- 26:08important that we are preserving agency for independent assessment,
- 26:13but in order to do that, one has to be aware of the relationships, aware
- 26:16of the incentives, and challenge the incentives of the messengers and
- 26:19say, "Okay, why have you reached me?"
- 26:21And I will say, too, that the two most important questions when I get
- 26:26into the influence space, most people think it's, is this true or not?
- 26:31That's where they typically start.
- 26:33Is what Katherine told me true or not?
- 26:34I think that's a second order importance.
- 26:38I think the most important question is why is Katherine reaching out to me?
- 26:43What are her incentives, and what breadcrumbs did I
- 26:47leave that led her to me?
- 26:49And that speaks to the potential vulnerability piece.
- 26:54Did I provide evidence or data to you that brought you your message to me?
- 27:00Did I leave something which got algorithmic play such that I saw you?
- 27:06And that then can help me think about then what the messaging could be, the
- 27:10incentives behind the messaging, and then I get into the assessment of the
- 27:13veracity of truth around the message.
- 27:16This is really important to know and understand.
- 27:20Thank you.
- 27:21Before we get too close to the end, I just want to ask you something I
- 27:25heard you talk about, and that was reality TV can be a launchpad for
- 27:31entrepreneurial populist politicians.
- 27:34This gets into the power of the parasocial relationship.
- 27:37Right now, most of the influence… So influence is
- 27:40in parasocial space right now.
- 27:44A lot of people think they have influence.
- 27:46So money, okay, there's many different avenues for influence.
- 27:48Money is clearly influence.
- 27:50But a lot of the money now is tied to the social influence, and the social
- 27:55influence is happening typically online in engagements where people feel connected.
- 28:01I think maybe because of the pandemic, maybe because we're now online, people
- 28:05want to feel connected to community.
- 28:07We've always, as humans, wanted to feel connected to community.
- 28:10It used to be they would be social in person, now we've moved
- 28:13online, and many of our community is dispersed around the world.
- 28:17And so people who reach us who feel like we're being heard and stuff like
- 28:22that are the ones we resonate with.
- 28:25In the past, and even now with the support of Netflix and stuff like that,
- 28:28there's this sort of interlink between celebrity, familiarity, "Hey, I kind of
- 28:34know you," if people have been seen a lot.
- 28:38This meteorologist is seen a lot.
- 28:40I mean, fundamentally, it's sort of a mini reality show, if you will,
- 28:44every news cycle as an example.
- 28:47And so what we see in the United States as examples, Spencer Pratt
- 28:51is one who was in the mayoral candidacy for Los Angeles recently.
- 28:56And I sense, based on some of the data that I've observed, that he
- 29:01got a big boost to his campaign.
- 29:03He did not end up winning the campaign, but he got a lot of momentum, I think,
- 29:09because he was previously on an MTV reality show for many years and had
- 29:13sort of a character arc there that seems to carry forward into his campaign.
- 29:18We also see the Secretary of US Transportation came out of The Real
- 29:22World, as did his wife, and the US president came out of The Apprentice.
- 29:28And many people in studies suggest that the familiarity, the way in which
- 29:33he promoted or projected a sense of leadership in that capacity, helped
- 29:40people form familiarity with his, quote, "leadership style." And people formed
- 29:47expectations of, "Oh, this is how he would lead, and if he can lead on The
- 29:51Apprentice like this, then he can lead in the United States White House like
- 29:55this," or something to that effect.
- 29:57There was like a sense of already, "I already know him. I already have-"
- 29:59Yeah, I know him…. I know this man.
- 30:02I know his character.
- 30:03I know how he shows up.
- 30:04I know what to expect.
- 30:06And that's really influential when it comes to voting, isn't it?
- 30:09Yes, I think so.. And so what I think, we're seeing some politicians,
- 30:14particularly in the younger generation in the United States,
- 30:17I'm watching them closely, who are actually doing a lot of this work.
- 30:19They're not necessarily doing reality shows per se, but creating a lot of online
- 30:23presence and a lot of influence and a lot of parasocial engagement because
- 30:27that's where they're meeting people, and I think that's much more powerful
- 30:30than getting in front of a BBC camera.
- 30:32Yes, I hear you.
- 30:34The word that keeps coming back to me is intention.
- 30:37What is the intention of the person I'm engaging with?
- 30:40And also what keeps coming back to me is the importance of turning off
- 30:45one's podcast and turning off one's screen and going outside to one's real
- 30:51community and connecting with real people and having real relationships.
- 30:58Before we close today, is there anything you would like to share
- 31:01that you haven't already shared?
- 31:03What I would like to share is that, we're doing a lot of research into this stuff.
- 31:06We're trying to understand how people do influence.
- 31:09And, unlike what people claim, we're not here to close down narratives.
- 31:14We're here to understand the narratives and to think about preserving agency.
- 31:18So a lot of the work we're doing with the Cambridge Disinformation
- 31:20Summit projects is looking at the structures, looking at the tactics,
- 31:24because these things will persist.
- 31:27We've seen these things throughout history.
- 31:29They will persist.
- 31:32While we see a lot of AI and a lot of platform-oriented work and cognitive
- 31:37campaigns, cognitive manipulative campaigns, we don't need those.
- 31:41I can do these face to face, and in fact, many scams and frauds happen in person.
- 31:47So I think the key is just to be aware of this simplest structure, the cognitive
- 31:54pathway of observation, story, emotional assignment, and if I am aware that that's
- 32:02the process I'm going through, then I can think about, "Okay, what did I observe?
- 32:07What story am I assigning?
- 32:09Who is influencing that story?
- 32:11What are their incentives?
- 32:14What emotions am I feeling, and are they proper?
- 32:17Are they informed enough?" Or can I get better information by doing more
- 32:22research in order to inform them properly instead of listening to
- 32:26carnival barker X who's out there on social media platform Z, who's sitting
- 32:32there telling me what I should feel and getting me all angry and uptight?
- 32:36I think if we were able to do some intervention on that cognitive chain,
- 32:39that's the preservation of agency, and that allows us to think more carefully.
- 32:44And that's the system that I've adapted, and I've found it to be pretty profound.
- 32:49Wonderful.
- 32:50Thank you so much, Alan.
- 32:51That's been so, so helpful.
- 32:54Thank you, and thank you for giving me the audience.