Latest / Toadstool Sports / SATURDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball March Madness & NIT & NHL & NBA | 3/21/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
- 0:05Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
- 0:08Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm gonna
- 0:11Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
- 0:14Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
- 0:17Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
- 0:19Speaker 1: seen anything like this, Man, with the slump continuing. Two
- 0:24Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
- 0:27Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man, with bookends
- 0:33Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
- 0:37Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
- 0:40Speaker 1: Bruins hat Man. I don't know what is going on
- 0:43Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March eight, Is that what it is?
- 0:46Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth. I think who
- 0:49Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
- 0:52Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
- 0:54Speaker 1: back with you after the wor stay that I could
- 0:58Speaker 1: possibly have back with you as I always am until
- 1:02Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
- 1:06Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five the
- 1:09Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
- 1:12Speaker 1: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
- 1:14Speaker 1: about this anymore. Slump, the slump, disconvenience, the slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
- 1:24Speaker 1: I should do at this point other than potentially end
- 1:27Speaker 1: it all. What's up? Everybody's towed back with you. This
- 1:35Speaker 1: is Toadstool Sports. It is Saturday, March thirty. First as
- 1:42Speaker 1: March madness continues. You know it hasn't been that mad,
- 1:46Speaker 1: so we'll see how it continues. We're going to talk
- 1:49Speaker 1: about a handicap the second round because it's a bit
- 1:52Speaker 1: of a different handicap I think easier for me than
- 1:56Speaker 1: the first round is because there are more situations that's
- 1:58Speaker 1: set up. Northern Iowa did not get there. I mean, dude,
- 2:02Speaker 1: we got to a point where like Saint John's scored
- 2:05Speaker 1: like seventeen points in the first fifteen minutes of the
- 2:08Speaker 1: second half, which is like nothing, and yet Northern Iowa
- 2:11Speaker 1: still was not enarrange to cover that. I mean, that's
- 2:14Speaker 1: just ridiculous. It was a pretty low scoring game. Saint
- 2:17Speaker 1: Johnson has scored that many points. That's basically what you
- 2:19Speaker 1: want when you're playing the big underdog like that. You
- 2:23Speaker 1: know I should have also mentioned you know, you could
- 2:24Speaker 1: probably wait on that one when I talked about it
- 2:27Speaker 1: in the morning because ten ten and a half was there.
- 2:29Speaker 1: Although it didn't matter at all, I'm pissed about it.
- 2:32Speaker 1: And then we did get the win with the Calgary
- 2:33Speaker 1: Flames to go one and one for a slight loss yesterday.
- 2:37Speaker 1: One thing I did not realize is that Calgary was
- 2:40Speaker 1: THEYD won six home games in a row against the
- 2:43Speaker 1: Florida Panthers, So the Panthers do not play well in
- 2:47Speaker 1: Calgary in recent history. So that was another bonus there
- 2:51Speaker 1: that we didn't even I didn't even need to consider
- 2:54Speaker 1: that to add that as a play there. But glad
- 2:57Speaker 1: that we did because that was a win on Calgary.
- 3:01Speaker 1: We'll move on today. We're gonna have two college basketball plays,
- 3:05Speaker 1: one hockey play, and then the NBA play. You're not
- 3:10Speaker 1: gonna like it. I'll tell you that. You might not
- 3:12Speaker 1: like any of you. Well, I don't know. College is
- 3:15Speaker 1: just a totally different handicap. So we're gonna have some
- 3:19Speaker 1: favorites in this round of the college basketball tournament. Kyle,
- 3:22Speaker 1: what's up? They start hanging out all right, But you
- 3:26Speaker 1: can be contrarian and still play favorites. So there is that.
- 3:30Speaker 1: Let's let's talk about it. Man College basketball the NCAA Tournament,
- 3:36Speaker 1: second round, first game up in the Midwest. Well, first,
- 3:39Speaker 1: I should say the way you want to handicap these games. Basically,
- 3:43Speaker 1: as far as the totals are concerned, I think overs
- 3:46Speaker 1: actually tend to come in more so in the second
- 3:50Speaker 1: round because these teams are now used to the venue,
- 3:52Speaker 1: so the site lines are better for them now that
- 3:54Speaker 1: they're playing in the same venue for the second game
- 3:57Speaker 1: in a row and were a little bit more tired
- 4:01Speaker 1: on the quick turnaround time. So overs make a bit
- 4:03Speaker 1: more sense in this round. And you want to look
- 4:07Speaker 1: towards the better coach because you have two teams that
- 4:10Speaker 1: don't really know each other very well, and on the
- 4:12Speaker 1: quick turnaround time, the edge goes to the better coach,
- 4:15Speaker 1: if that makes sense, like more more so than it
- 4:19Speaker 1: usually would. So those are the things that consider here.
- 4:23Speaker 1: Saint Louis and Michigan is the first game up, continuing
- 4:27Speaker 1: in Buffalo, New York, where I think Michigan probably has
- 4:30Speaker 1: a decent crowd there. I didn't really watch the Michigan
- 4:32Speaker 1: game against Howard, but you know, Saint Louis looked really,
- 4:38Speaker 1: really good, So now everybody knows who they are. You know,
- 4:41Speaker 1: as I tweeted out, I feel like I've been listening
- 4:43Speaker 1: to some band for like four years, and now all
- 4:46Speaker 1: of a sudden, everyone is listening to them. With Robbie
- 4:48Speaker 1: of Vila, I'm like Ovula, I'm like, dude, I knew
- 4:51Speaker 1: who this guy was like years ago, and now everybody's like,
- 4:55Speaker 1: who is this guy? I'm like, did you not watch
- 4:57Speaker 1: Missouri Valley basketball back in the day. I don't know, man,
- 5:03Speaker 1: and he's not fully healthy right now. Either he's got
- 5:05Speaker 1: plant or for shitas although he was making some good
- 5:08Speaker 1: plays in that game, Saint Louis annihilated Georgia. Georgia they
- 5:13Speaker 1: don't play defense though, yeah you know guess who does though,
- 5:18Speaker 1: Michigan Georgia. They're not a good team, dude, Saint Louis
- 5:23Speaker 1: interested me. Both these teams put up over one hundred
- 5:25Speaker 1: points in the first game, and I know there is
- 5:28Speaker 1: a trend where when teams put up one hundred points
- 5:30Speaker 1: in the opening round, they actually have a good against
- 5:33Speaker 1: the spread record in the second round, which doesn't make
- 5:35Speaker 1: any sense because you think that the first if somebody
- 5:38Speaker 1: scores one hundred points in the first game, you think
- 5:40Speaker 1: to be overvalued in the next game. I guess that's
- 5:44Speaker 1: not the case. But we don't have to worry about
- 5:46Speaker 1: that here because both teams scored over one hundred points.
- 5:49Speaker 1: That would kind of make me think, well, I'd kind
- 5:50Speaker 1: of want to go under in this game because both
- 5:53Speaker 1: these teams scored so many points. But I don't think
- 5:57Speaker 1: we could do it, man. I mean, it's a quick
- 5:58Speaker 1: turnaround time. Like I said, these games tend to go
- 6:01Speaker 1: over a little bit. Uh, these teams both go up tempo,
- 6:05Speaker 1: they both have good offenses, so it's yeah, I mean,
- 6:09Speaker 1: I just I would not want an under in this game,
- 6:12Speaker 1: even if you think maybe it makes a little bit
- 6:13Speaker 1: of sense. The total is one fifty or excuse me,
- 6:15Speaker 1: it's one sixty one. I was gonna say one fifty one.
- 6:18Speaker 1: That's not high enough. Yeah, one sixty one. Money looks
- 6:22Speaker 1: like it's actually coming in on the over in this game,
- 6:24Speaker 1: although I don't know how much value there could really be.
- 6:26Speaker 1: The lines already got up towards the over, and both
- 6:29Speaker 1: teams scored one hundred points in the first game. Now
- 6:32Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean to Michigan, though in this game. Michigan
- 6:36Speaker 1: looks like the money is not agreeing with me. They're
- 6:38Speaker 1: laying twelve and a half here, fifty three percent of
- 6:40Speaker 1: the tickets on them, sixty percent of the cash on
- 6:42Speaker 1: Saint Louis. I just think Saint Louis got all the
- 6:46Speaker 1: hype from that first round because you know, people don't
- 6:50Speaker 1: know who, like, didn't know who they were, right, so
- 6:52Speaker 1: now they're kind of that like trendy team, whereas everybody
- 6:55Speaker 1: knows who Michigan is. People aren't gonna like the fact
- 6:57Speaker 1: that Michigan gave up one hundred points against hot Or
- 7:00Speaker 1: gave up eighty points against Howard one hundred points, gave
- 7:04Speaker 1: up eighty points against Howard. But you know, Michigan just
- 7:06Speaker 1: stopped putting in defensive effort in that game, because why
- 7:09Speaker 1: would you when you're gonna win the game anyway, right, Like,
- 7:12Speaker 1: just start looking ahead to the next game, you know,
- 7:14Speaker 1: don't get yourself hurt, whatever, don't tax yourself. I'm fine
- 7:18Speaker 1: with that. Saint Louis. The problem for them is, yeah,
- 7:22Speaker 1: they just put up, you know, a ton of points
- 7:24Speaker 1: against Georgia. But like I said, Georgia, their defense is
- 7:27Speaker 1: got awful. Michigan is like the number one defense in
- 7:30Speaker 1: the country, so there is gonna be a little bit
- 7:33Speaker 1: of a difference there. It's gonna be more difficult for
- 7:35Speaker 1: Saint Louis to score that many points in this one.
- 7:38Speaker 1: They'll score a good amount probably, but not enough. I
- 7:41Speaker 1: don't think in this one. I like Michigan here, but
- 7:44Speaker 1: not a strong opinion from me. The second game up
- 7:49Speaker 1: is in the East Region in Buffalo, New York as well,
- 7:53Speaker 1: so Buffalo. First two games both in Buffalo and both
- 7:57Speaker 1: involving a Michigan team that's not really that far away
- 7:59Speaker 1: from Bubba Louisville and Michigan State. This one's a little
- 8:02Speaker 1: bit more interesting, Charles, what's up. Thanks for hanging out
- 8:06Speaker 1: Michigan State. Now. They won pretty easily, I believe against
- 8:11Speaker 1: North Dakota State. Nothing to really see their Louisville beat
- 8:14Speaker 1: the very trendy underdog South Florida. A couple of things
- 8:19Speaker 1: that I forgot to mention with South Florida is they
- 8:22Speaker 1: did have a bit of a motivational aspect of that game,
- 8:25Speaker 1: where I believe South Florida's coach's father was in the
- 8:29Speaker 1: audience for that game because I guess he can't go
- 8:32Speaker 1: to many games and I guess he lives in the
- 8:33Speaker 1: Buffalo area, so he was able to attend that game.
- 8:36Speaker 1: Something like that. It's a little bit of a motivational
- 8:40Speaker 1: edge there. And then that plus I believe South Florida's
- 8:43Speaker 1: coach last year died towards the end of the season
- 8:47Speaker 1: due to like a surgery that went wrong or something.
- 8:49Speaker 1: I don't know. You might have to look that up.
- 8:51Speaker 1: I don't know, but that might have had South Florida
- 8:54Speaker 1: a little bit more motivated now that they get to
- 8:56Speaker 1: the tournament a end for the first time in a
- 8:58Speaker 1: long time. But either way, game's over. South Florida did cover,
- 9:02Speaker 1: although I don't think they really should have covered. In
- 9:03Speaker 1: that game, Louisville pretty much had the upper hand. Louisville
- 9:08Speaker 1: really difficult to handicap them because all they do is
- 9:11Speaker 1: jack up threes and they're still without their best player
- 9:14Speaker 1: mckel Brown Junior. I don't believe he's playing in this game.
- 9:18Speaker 1: What are you gonna get out of Louisville. It's it's
- 9:20Speaker 1: almost like throwing darts, dude. You don't know if they're
- 9:23Speaker 1: gonna hit their threes or not. Michigan State does allow
- 9:26Speaker 1: a lot of threes, like their three point defense is
- 9:29Speaker 1: actually not that good, so that's not great as far
- 9:32Speaker 1: as the matchup for Michigan State. But one thing that
- 9:35Speaker 1: is good for Michigan State is they slow the game
- 9:37Speaker 1: way down, which is not what South Florida does and
- 9:40Speaker 1: not what Louisville does, So Louisville's gonna have to completely
- 9:44Speaker 1: change pace here. Michigan State, if they could slow Louisville down,
- 9:48Speaker 1: that should kind of put Louisville out of what they
- 9:51Speaker 1: want to be doing. Michigan State does have the better
- 9:53Speaker 1: defense in this game. Really really tough call. Michigan State
- 9:58Speaker 1: initially went up to four and a half. But the
- 10:00Speaker 1: money looks like it's all taking Louisville here. Eighty two
- 10:03Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, only fifty one percent of the cash,
- 10:05Speaker 1: so Michigan State very public side, not a lot of
- 10:09Speaker 1: the money on them. This is like almost an impossible
- 10:14Speaker 1: game for me to handicap. I do think that probably
- 10:17Speaker 1: total is correlated to the side I think under in
- 10:19Speaker 1: Michigan State are correlated. Totals at one fifty and a
- 10:22Speaker 1: half now over would be correlated to Louisville. You know,
- 10:27Speaker 1: the market read is saying Louisville. I don't really have
- 10:30Speaker 1: a strong disagreement with it. I know I have Michigan
- 10:32Speaker 1: State getting through this in my bracket. We'll see what happens,
- 10:37Speaker 1: but at least basically nobody has Louisville there, so we'll
- 10:40Speaker 1: see what happens. Maybe that part of that region just
- 10:43Speaker 1: starts becoming chaos, man, I don't know. But remember I
- 10:46Speaker 1: did say quick turnaround time. You do have to consider
- 10:50Speaker 1: who the coaches are, and I do think tom Izzo
- 10:52Speaker 1: does have the advantage here on the quick turnaround time.
- 10:55Speaker 1: I apologize I don't even remember who Louisville's coaches is.
- 11:00Speaker 1: Those gotta have the edge over him, though. In the
- 11:02Speaker 1: first game, I think you gotta give Dusty May the
- 11:04Speaker 1: edge over Shirts. I think it's Saint Louis's coach's name.
- 11:07Speaker 1: He's been good though, all right, Yeah, that's what I
- 11:13Speaker 1: thought he was like in his forties too. So South
- 11:16Speaker 1: Florida's coach there, She squealed, what's up? Thanks for hanging out?
- 11:20Speaker 1: All right? The next game up is going to be
- 11:21Speaker 1: one of my plays. You might not like this one,
- 11:24Speaker 1: and you might think this is unlike me, but I'm
- 11:26Speaker 1: telling you it's not because I go contrarian all the time.
- 11:31Speaker 1: We're looking at what happened in the first round. That's
- 11:34Speaker 1: why I like the second round because everybody overreacts to
- 11:36Speaker 1: what happened in the first round. And what was the
- 11:38Speaker 1: biggest overreaction that we saw in the first round, Duke
- 11:42Speaker 1: Socks is the overreaction. They were losing by double digits
- 11:46Speaker 1: to Siana. They almost lost to Sianna in the the
- 11:50Speaker 1: six or the sixteen versus one game. Siana, by the way,
- 11:54Speaker 1: they literally didn't rest any of their starters in the
- 11:57Speaker 1: entire game. Their coach is Jeremy act in Amera. By
- 12:00Speaker 1: the way, I'm pretty sure Sianna. Yeah, I mean they
- 12:05Speaker 1: ran out of gas at the end of the Cianna.
- 12:06Speaker 1: I think they only go like six deep. But they
- 12:09Speaker 1: never even used any of their bench players in that game.
- 12:13Speaker 1: And you know, they their starters were playing well, but
- 12:15Speaker 1: they ran out of steam at the end of the game.
- 12:17Speaker 1: Everybody's gonna overreact to it. I would say, don't do that.
- 12:21Speaker 1: We're gonna lay the points with Duke against CCU. People
- 12:23Speaker 1: are gonna be like, how could Duke possibly win by
- 12:26Speaker 1: double digits against CCU when they almost lost to Seanna? Right, Well, Duke, dude,
- 12:34Speaker 1: I know Duke is missing two players. We know Foster
- 12:36Speaker 1: that was already expected. He is not going to play
- 12:39Speaker 1: until late in the tournament, if at all, if they
- 12:41Speaker 1: even get that far. I thought Nagungbo is gonna be
- 12:44Speaker 1: back for Duke, but he isn't. So I guess maybe
- 12:47Speaker 1: they figured, well, we could beat Sianna without him anyway,
- 12:50Speaker 1: they did so, but I think Duke, you know, they
- 12:54Speaker 1: just I think Duke took Sianna really lightly once. Dude,
- 12:58Speaker 1: if you watched any of that game Duke, it almost
- 13:02Speaker 1: looked like a cat playing with a mouse. It was like,
- 13:04Speaker 1: how did Duke almost lose that game? Like they were
- 13:07Speaker 1: like so clearly the way better team, like physically and whatever. Like.
- 13:11Speaker 1: It was like Duke could just turn it on at
- 13:13Speaker 1: any time and just end this game. It was so ridiculous.
- 13:17Speaker 1: It's not gonna happen in this one. Duke will take
- 13:19Speaker 1: TCU more seriously here. Now. One thing that's really good
- 13:23Speaker 1: is when you have a really good team that gets
- 13:24Speaker 1: a huge scare in the first round, it's good to
- 13:27Speaker 1: play them in the second round because they're gonna be
- 13:30Speaker 1: focused because they know how bad they were in that
- 13:32Speaker 1: first game. They know they got away with it as
- 13:35Speaker 1: far as shire as this, you know, with his coaching whatever.
- 13:38Speaker 1: I mean, he's still relatively new, but he's done this before.
- 13:41Speaker 1: He's been to two final fours already. M Me, come on.
- 13:44Speaker 1: I know he's up against Jamie Dixon. Dixon's a good
- 13:47Speaker 1: coach as well. I don't know if one necessarily is
- 13:50Speaker 1: that big of an edge over the other, but in
- 13:53Speaker 1: this one, we're going with the situation. This game is
- 13:55Speaker 1: also in Greenville, South Carolina, so Duke is gonna have
- 13:58Speaker 1: a massive crowd at this game, no doubt about that.
- 14:03Speaker 1: TCU got a nice win over Ohio State, tough win. Yeah,
- 14:07Speaker 1: give him credit for that. That was good. It's just
- 14:10Speaker 1: not gonna happen. Man, It's not gonna happen. I know TCU.
- 14:13Speaker 1: They played well against Michigan early in the year. They
- 14:15Speaker 1: beat Florida, so I know TCU has this kind of
- 14:18Speaker 1: giant killer aspect to them. But you know, they did
- 14:22Speaker 1: have a double digit loss to Arizona on their own
- 14:24Speaker 1: floor in there. You know mostly, yes, they've stepped up
- 14:29Speaker 1: well against their big opponents. But I just think, you know,
- 14:32Speaker 1: you're gonna run into a Duke team. It's gonna be
- 14:34Speaker 1: like massively focused in this game and getting a home crowd.
- 14:38Speaker 1: I actually think this line is a little bit light. Here.
- 14:41Speaker 1: Duke is still the way better team. We're on Duke here,
- 14:44Speaker 1: eleven and a half fifty eight percent of the cash
- 14:46Speaker 1: on Duke, fifty one percent of the tickets on TCU.
- 14:50Speaker 1: That's that the Duke's first round game doesn't bode well
- 14:55Speaker 1: for Duke's championship aspirations. I'll tell you that because no
- 14:59Speaker 1: one seed that's won the championship has ever failed to
- 15:04Speaker 1: win their first game by at least fifteen points. So
- 15:07Speaker 1: that does not bode well for Duke. But even so,
- 15:11Speaker 1: I like them in this game. At the very least,
- 15:14Speaker 1: Duke's gonna win this game. Man, you agree with it? Yeah, yeah,
- 15:22Speaker 1: some of these I mean, yeah, again, it doesn't look
- 15:25Speaker 1: good for Duke as far as winning the championship, but
- 15:28Speaker 1: they're still one of the best teams in the country. Man.
- 15:30Speaker 1: Even without those two players, there's still like a top
- 15:34Speaker 1: several team in the entire country. So yeah, And for
- 15:39Speaker 1: these first games can be weird where teams just you know,
- 15:43Speaker 1: they're out of sorts or early in the game whatever.
- 15:46Speaker 1: I did give out a lean on CNA plus the points,
- 15:48Speaker 1: and that one didn't I didn't want to make it
- 15:51Speaker 1: a play. But yeah, all right. Next game up is
- 15:54Speaker 1: Texas A and M in Houston in the South Regional.
- 15:58Speaker 1: This is in Oklahoma City, which I think is you know,
- 16:01Speaker 1: obviously it's not beneficial necessarily to either team in this
- 16:04Speaker 1: case because the game is gonna be close to Texas.
- 16:07Speaker 1: I don't think it's a good matchup for Texas A
- 16:10Speaker 1: and M. Texas A and M, you know, they play
- 16:12Speaker 1: Bucky ball. He's still new as a coach here. They
- 16:16Speaker 1: play super fast. I thought that Saint Mary's is gonna
- 16:18Speaker 1: be able to slow them down. That didn't happen. But
- 16:21Speaker 1: Houston is an even more slow down team and a
- 16:24Speaker 1: way better team. So I don't think Texas A and
- 16:28Speaker 1: M is gonna be able to do what they want
- 16:29Speaker 1: to do here. I think Houston's gonna be able to
- 16:31Speaker 1: slow the game down. Houston. You know, they're coming off
- 16:34Speaker 1: a pretty easy win. They be I to hope, pretty easily.
- 16:37Speaker 1: Whatever A and M, you know, had to they at
- 16:41Speaker 1: least got used to playing a slowdown team. But I
- 16:43Speaker 1: just don't think it's enough. Houston has the coaching edge
- 16:46Speaker 1: here as well, with Kelvin Samson. I mean, you know,
- 16:48Speaker 1: he's been a multiple final fours, been to one championship game,
- 16:52Speaker 1: got to give him the coaching edge here in an
- 16:54Speaker 1: environment like this, I like to slow down team better
- 16:57Speaker 1: as well, which is Houston. Houston is the better team.
- 17:00Speaker 1: Houston gets it done here. Man, that would be my guess.
- 17:03Speaker 1: I don't really want to lay the double digits, even
- 17:07Speaker 1: though I know I'm doing it with Duke, and Duke
- 17:08Speaker 1: is also slow down team. That's kind of an extreme
- 17:11Speaker 1: scenario though, I'm not gonna do it with Houston here,
- 17:13Speaker 1: but I would actually probably I think I would still
- 17:17Speaker 1: lean towards laying the points with Houston here. The money's
- 17:20Speaker 1: not agreeing with me though. Sixty eight percent of tickets,
- 17:23Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the cash on Houston, so less
- 17:26Speaker 1: of the cash on them. Ten and a half is
- 17:28Speaker 1: the number on that. It is a pretty low total,
- 17:32Speaker 1: around the same that it is in the Duke game.
- 17:34Speaker 1: But some of that is going to be that, you know,
- 17:37Speaker 1: Duke and Houston are gonna come out and play some
- 17:39Speaker 1: defense as well, so you know Poland Spring, Yeah, not Moland.
- 17:48Speaker 1: I like the name Moland. That's another self why the
- 17:53Speaker 1: self park? My mind's ever Seinfeld. That's another Seinfeld reference
- 17:57Speaker 1: for you there yes, I'm getting microplaid and my balls
- 18:02Speaker 1: all right. Getting into the evening games here, we do
- 18:04Speaker 1: have Texas and Gonzaga in the West Region in Portland, Oregon,
- 18:09Speaker 1: So I think Gonzaga does have a site edge here
- 18:11Speaker 1: in Portland, which is pretty close to Spokekane, Washington, relatively
- 18:16Speaker 1: close for Gonzaga plays Texas. They got the job done.
- 18:21Speaker 1: That was a play that I gave out the other day.
- 18:23Speaker 1: They got it done. They were one of the playing
- 18:25Speaker 1: teams that I thought had an advantage because it had
- 18:27Speaker 1: already gotten a game under their belt. I was not
- 18:29Speaker 1: high on BYU at all. Texas got the job done there. Gonzaga,
- 18:34Speaker 1: I consider putting this on my card because Gonzaga is
- 18:37Speaker 1: one of those teams where they didn't look good as
- 18:40Speaker 1: a favorite. In their first game. I thought they were
- 18:41Speaker 1: gonna easily handle Kansas State and it didn't happen. Kansas
- 18:45Speaker 1: State slowed the game down, which I didn't think was
- 18:48Speaker 1: gonna be what they were gonna do. And Gonzaga actually
- 18:51Speaker 1: had trouble in that game and they didn't get through
- 18:54Speaker 1: it by that much. So I think Gonzaga got a
- 18:56Speaker 1: bit of a scare there. Man. I think they're gonna
- 18:58Speaker 1: turn it on and play better in this game. There's
- 19:01Speaker 1: still the better team here. Gonzaga definitely has the better
- 19:03Speaker 1: defense here. That's Texas's weakness is that their defense is
- 19:07Speaker 1: outside the top one hundred. Texas also tries to play
- 19:10Speaker 1: slow and Gonzaga wants to go fast, and I think
- 19:14Speaker 1: Gonzaga might be able to do that a little bit
- 19:16Speaker 1: better in this one. I mean, I know it is
- 19:19Speaker 1: easier to slow the game down, and Kennesaw was able
- 19:22Speaker 1: to do it, but I think that was kind of
- 19:23Speaker 1: unexpected because Kennisaw is not even a slow down team,
- 19:27Speaker 1: so that made no sense. Yeah, I mean, I'm just
- 19:31Speaker 1: gonna lean towards the favorite that barely got by in
- 19:34Speaker 1: the first game here. I like Gonzaga in this one.
- 19:37Speaker 1: I'm also gonna give them the coaching edge year between
- 19:39Speaker 1: Mark Few and Sean Miller. Who dude, Sean Miller, He's
- 19:44Speaker 1: got to like put the white shirt on man so
- 19:46Speaker 1: he could sweat through it again. If you remember that
- 19:48Speaker 1: back when he was with Arizona, that was like the
- 19:51Speaker 1: one of the things that he's most known for was
- 19:53Speaker 1: completely sweating through his shirt. He looked like he wasn't
- 19:56Speaker 1: even wearing a shirt. Anymore. If you remember that that
- 19:59Speaker 1: was during the term and like I don't know when
- 20:01Speaker 1: when was that, Like I don't know, it was about
- 20:03Speaker 1: a decade ago. Probably you can go find that pretty easily.
- 20:06Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure Sean Miller now with Texas, you know,
- 20:10Speaker 1: I mean, he's an experienced coach, but he's not as
- 20:12Speaker 1: good as Mark Few. I think Goodzag is gonna make
- 20:14Speaker 1: some adjustments here. I think they're gonna get the job done.
- 20:17Speaker 1: The money's not agreeing with me on that, but I
- 20:18Speaker 1: would lay it in this one. A lot of favorite
- 20:21Speaker 1: opinions for me here, I know, but uh, Gonzaga lank
- 20:24Speaker 1: six here, fifty nine percent of the tickets, sixty percent
- 20:27Speaker 1: of the cash on Texas, fifty nine percent of tickets
- 20:31Speaker 1: and sixty percent of the cash on Texas. I should
- 20:33Speaker 1: say to me, I think the public just doesn't really
- 20:36Speaker 1: want Goodzaga that much after that first game. So those
- 20:40Speaker 1: are my thoughts. They're key. What's up, man? You think
- 20:45Speaker 1: Texas is gonna win the game outright? Yeah, as you
- 20:48Speaker 1: just heard, I do not agree with that. Good luck
- 20:52Speaker 1: if you do that. I like Gonzaga on that one.
- 20:55Speaker 1: That one, it was close to being a play for me.
- 20:57Speaker 1: I'll tell you that, so I do not agree, but
- 21:01Speaker 1: we'll we'll see, Uh, we'll see who wins there. I'm
- 21:04Speaker 1: not gonna have any bets on it or anything, so
- 21:07Speaker 1: good luck with your bet. Yes Sean Miller with the
- 21:11Speaker 1: the Sean Miller wet t shirt contest. Yes, all right.
- 21:15Speaker 1: We have VCU in Illinois in the South Region in Greenville,
- 21:19Speaker 1: South Carolina. So the site edge actually is a little
- 21:22Speaker 1: bit in favor of VCU. I think we got to
- 21:25Speaker 1: probably give the coaching edge to Underwood. I mean, he's
- 21:27Speaker 1: made some somewhat deep tournament runs in the past. I
- 21:31Speaker 1: was in per I was there in person for Illinois
- 21:35Speaker 1: when they made that run to the Elite eight a
- 21:37Speaker 1: couple of years ago. Illinois, you know in Iowa State
- 21:41Speaker 1: and uh Yukon. Of course they're the one of the years.
- 21:44Speaker 1: The year that Yukon won is like the overall one seed,
- 21:47Speaker 1: which sucked for me because I wasn't gonna pick them
- 21:49Speaker 1: my bracket. But I was at those games. It was
- 21:52Speaker 1: kind of boring. Yukon just easily won those games. But
- 21:55Speaker 1: I did see Illinois play there anyway. Illinois they won
- 22:00Speaker 1: in their first game pretty easily. They beat Penn I
- 22:02Speaker 1: mean Penn. We knew Penn was not really going to
- 22:05Speaker 1: stand a chance there, and I think Power was kind
- 22:07Speaker 1: of playing injured or something for Penn as well. Illinois
- 22:11Speaker 1: easy win for them there, VCU. Those kind of the
- 22:16Speaker 1: you know, they're one of those like Cinderella teams right now,
- 22:19Speaker 1: if you want to call it, Dude, I don't consider
- 22:21Speaker 1: them to be that. I mean, they were only a
- 22:23Speaker 1: two point underdog against a pretty weak North Carolina team
- 22:26Speaker 1: and they beat them. I don't know how North Carolina
- 22:28Speaker 1: blew that game, dude, I really don't. As you guys know,
- 22:31Speaker 1: I had North Carolina in my bracket to get through
- 22:33Speaker 1: that one game. I have Illinois winning this game obviously,
- 22:38Speaker 1: and for what it's worth, I have Gonzaga advancing in
- 22:41Speaker 1: my bracket. Houston Duke of Michigan State. That's how my
- 22:44Speaker 1: bracket goes right now, anyway. And I almost got every
- 22:49Speaker 1: game in my bracket right yesterday until Missouri let me
- 22:52Speaker 1: down in the last game of the night. Although I
- 22:56Speaker 1: wasn't perfect on Thursday obviously, and I won't be for
- 22:59Speaker 1: the rest of the for the rest of the tournament
- 23:02Speaker 1: either anyway. Yeah, VCU, I don't know what happened in
- 23:06Speaker 1: that game with North Carolina, and they blew a nineteen
- 23:08Speaker 1: point lead in the last like eight minutes of the game.
- 23:12Speaker 1: I want to say, they were up fourteen with like
- 23:14Speaker 1: five minutes left. They were still up five in the
- 23:17Speaker 1: final like forty seconds. I don't know how that happened.
- 23:20Speaker 1: I watched the end of that game, and I still
- 23:21Speaker 1: don't know how it happened. There was that one bad
- 23:24Speaker 1: foul call where VCUS player fell. Nobody even touched him
- 23:27Speaker 1: and they called the foul there he hit both free throws.
- 23:31Speaker 1: Then North Carolina had a couple of the worst possessions
- 23:33Speaker 1: you'll ever see. They had like two possessions to try
- 23:37Speaker 1: to win the game, and they I don't even think
- 23:38Speaker 1: they got a single shot attempt off. Then they only
- 23:42Speaker 1: scored three points in overtime, which is absolutely outrageous, ridiculous.
- 23:48Speaker 1: None of it makes any sense. So I don't know, man,
- 23:51Speaker 1: I mean, Illinois clearly is the better team here. Are
- 23:54Speaker 1: they going to cover this number? Though? I guess is
- 23:57Speaker 1: you know what we have to figure out here. I
- 23:59Speaker 1: don't know the money is coming in on Illinois fifty
- 24:02Speaker 1: nine percent of ticket sixty four percent of the cash
- 24:04Speaker 1: on them. I mean this Illinois team. They're very, very
- 24:07Speaker 1: good on offense. I think they are the considerably better
- 24:11Speaker 1: team here. I don't know. Vcus seems a little bit
- 24:14Speaker 1: kind of trendy after that first game that they had there.
- 24:20Speaker 1: I mean, it looks I think the public is gonna
- 24:21Speaker 1: think that's kind of a lot of points to be laying.
- 24:23Speaker 1: With the eleven and a half there, I would probably
- 24:27Speaker 1: lean towards laying it, to be honest with that one.
- 24:28Speaker 1: I struggle a lot to figure that game out. Probably
- 24:33Speaker 1: the most competitive game of the day is the five
- 24:36Speaker 1: to four matchup in the South Vandy and Nebraska, which
- 24:41Speaker 1: is in Oklahoma City, so the site advantage is Nebraska's here.
- 24:45Speaker 1: Nebraska did have a lot of fans at the game,
- 24:49Speaker 1: but you could be seeing maybe a little bit of
- 24:51Speaker 1: a letdown here for Nebraska because they got their first
- 24:54Speaker 1: tournament win in program history. Man, that was a huge
- 24:57Speaker 1: deal for them, huge win. Finally get that done. Now
- 25:01Speaker 1: you could make the argument, now the monkeys off their
- 25:03Speaker 1: backs and now they can just play with you know,
- 25:05Speaker 1: play looser. That's true. Nebraska does have the better deepfense here.
- 25:10Speaker 1: Both these teams are somewhat tournament inexperience. Although Vandy was
- 25:13Speaker 1: in the tournament last year. I think Vandy is the
- 25:17Speaker 1: more balanced team here, though, Man, Nebraska does have the
- 25:19Speaker 1: better defense, but Vandy has more balance and they are
- 25:22Speaker 1: the better offense. Of course, Vandy's gonna try to speed
- 25:26Speaker 1: the game up. Nebraska's gonna try to slow it down,
- 25:29Speaker 1: and normally, I you know, normally I do lean to
- 25:31Speaker 1: these slow down defensive teams. I don't know, man, I
- 25:35Speaker 1: don't know if I trust Nebraska as far as the
- 25:38Speaker 1: coaching is concerned. I don't even know which way I
- 25:39Speaker 1: would give the coaching edge here. I don't even remember
- 25:41Speaker 1: who Vandy's coach is. To be honest with you, I
- 25:44Speaker 1: know Nebraska is Hoiberg Vandy. If you look at what
- 25:48Speaker 1: happened in the first round, though, people are not going
- 25:50Speaker 1: to be that impressed that Vandy only beat MacNeice by ten.
- 25:54Speaker 1: Vandy was losing that game by ten orally in the game, though,
- 25:57Speaker 1: and they turned it on and swung the game by
- 25:59Speaker 1: twenty points, which is not that easy to do against MacNeice,
- 26:03Speaker 1: So you gotta give him credit for that. Whereas Nebraska
- 26:06Speaker 1: absolutely destroyed Troy, so maybe they look a little bit
- 26:09Speaker 1: better than they actually are with that win Like that,
- 26:11Speaker 1: I tend to lean towards the team that had the
- 26:13Speaker 1: closer call in the first game, you know what I mean,
- 26:15Speaker 1: because they're it's almost like they're more used to the
- 26:18Speaker 1: pressure situation sort of. But also they didn't look as
- 26:22Speaker 1: good as maybe they actually are. There's a reason why
- 26:25Speaker 1: Vandy is actually the favorite in this game. The objectors
- 26:27Speaker 1: are telling you they're the better team. I do have
- 26:29Speaker 1: Vandy winning this game in my bracket, even though they're
- 26:32Speaker 1: a little bit of a public ish side in the
- 26:34Speaker 1: brackets there. I'm gonna lean to Vandy in this one though.
- 26:39Speaker 1: Fifty percent of the tickets, fifty one percent of the
- 26:41Speaker 1: cash on Vandy, I'll lean that way. But it's not
- 26:43Speaker 1: a strong opinion for me at all. You like Vandy,
- 26:48Speaker 1: You like Vandy? Oh man, If everybody likes Vandy, then
- 26:52Speaker 1: I might have to dude, I need to be contrarian.
- 26:54Speaker 1: That might mean I'm not thinking about this game, right.
- 26:57Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean I agree with it, but
- 27:00Speaker 1: not a strong opinion. Mark something. Mock OHI mock. Yeah,
- 27:08Speaker 1: that's a good point. Nebraska, they live and die by
- 27:11Speaker 1: the three. You're correct, Vandy has more balance in that
- 27:14Speaker 1: regard as well. Yes, these teams that yeah, live and
- 27:17Speaker 1: die by the three. You know, Vandy Louisville, Wisconsin already died,
- 27:23Speaker 1: which I'm gonna talk about next. I think, Yeah, this
- 27:26Speaker 1: is my other plays the last game of the night
- 27:29Speaker 1: in Portland, Oregon, which is not a good site for
- 27:31Speaker 1: either of these teams. High Point in Arkansas. But we're
- 27:35Speaker 1: gonna also have a favorite in this game. We're gonna
- 27:37Speaker 1: lay the points with Arkansas. You know me, dude, I'm
- 27:39Speaker 1: not buying these Cinderella runs. I think are just not
- 27:43Speaker 1: a thing anymore. We got the nil the transfer portal.
- 27:46Speaker 1: I mean, it's sad March madness is you know, I
- 27:50Speaker 1: don't think it is what it was. We're gonna fade
- 27:53Speaker 1: the trendy the only serious underdog that got the win
- 27:57Speaker 1: in the first round. High Point. I don't think they're
- 27:59Speaker 1: gonna be able to turn around and do it again
- 28:01Speaker 1: here and again. What did I you know, what what
- 28:04Speaker 1: have I been saying throughout this episode here is that
- 28:08Speaker 1: the better coach has the advantage on the quick turnaround
- 28:11Speaker 1: time here. We're gonna go with cal Parry with that one,
- 28:14Speaker 1: even though I am not a fan of his, but
- 28:16Speaker 1: he's the better coach here. High Point. Their coaches actually
- 28:19Speaker 1: knew this year, although he was like an assistant last year,
- 28:22Speaker 1: took over for the dude's name who I never remember.
- 28:26Speaker 1: I keep wanting to say it's Alan Huss was their
- 28:29Speaker 1: coach last year, but I can't remember if that's actually
- 28:32Speaker 1: his name. And he's like waiting in the wings to
- 28:34Speaker 1: take over at some larger school, and I forget where
- 28:37Speaker 1: he went as well. But yeah, I think Arkansas is
- 28:41Speaker 1: gonna get it done. I know we lost trying to
- 28:43Speaker 1: fade Arkansas with Hawaii. I know Hawaii their defense just
- 28:46Speaker 1: didn't do enough to like they almost got the cover,
- 28:50Speaker 1: but you know, it was just it never felt like
- 28:52Speaker 1: they were really going to They missed it by a
- 28:53Speaker 1: few points. But I think Arkansas is going to take
- 28:56Speaker 1: care of business here. Man. They saw what High Point
- 28:59Speaker 1: just did, so they're not gonna take High Point for granted. Now. Now,
- 29:03Speaker 1: High Point matched up better against Wisconsin than against Arkansas
- 29:06Speaker 1: because Arkansas doesn't turn the ball over very much. Wisconsin
- 29:12Speaker 1: turns it over more than Arkansas does. High Point relies
- 29:15Speaker 1: on turnovers. They have a good turnover margin, they get
- 29:18Speaker 1: a lot of turnovers. They're not gonna be able to
- 29:21Speaker 1: do that as much against Arkansas. Arkansas is also not
- 29:24Speaker 1: heavily three point reliance. High Point defends the three fairly well.
- 29:28Speaker 1: Wisconsin relies on the three, Arkansas doesn't. Arkansas tries to
- 29:32Speaker 1: drive to the basket a lot, So that's not a
- 29:35Speaker 1: good from a matchup perspective. I don't think that's good
- 29:37Speaker 1: for high Point. High Point is coming off the high
- 29:41Speaker 1: pun intended, I guess, of pulling off that upset huge game.
- 29:44Speaker 1: It was their first tournament win in program history because
- 29:47Speaker 1: last year was their first appearance, so I think it's
- 29:50Speaker 1: kind of like, you know, job done. And if you
- 29:52Speaker 1: saw some of the postgame press conference stuff with high Point,
- 29:55Speaker 1: they seem to be over celebrating to me, man, So
- 29:59Speaker 1: I think that's not a good thing you're gonna run
- 30:01Speaker 1: to in You're gonna run into a legit Arkansas team here. Yeah,
- 30:05Speaker 1: I don't like how how it sets up for high
- 30:07Speaker 1: Point in this one. Also, high Point was plus eighteen
- 30:11Speaker 1: from three point range against Wisconsin, when both of those
- 30:14Speaker 1: teams do take a lot of threes. But high Point
- 30:17Speaker 1: had six more three pointers made the Wisconsin did and
- 30:20Speaker 1: they only won the game by one. So that's not
- 30:22Speaker 1: a good sign, dude, that Wisconsin actually still dominated High
- 30:26Speaker 1: Point in the paint in that game, and Wisconsin had
- 30:28Speaker 1: Winter back, but he looked like he was still playing injured.
- 30:31Speaker 1: And whatever, dude guard, Like, Wisconsin's gonna have to get
- 30:35Speaker 1: rid of that guy, Like he keeps losing these tournament games,
- 30:39Speaker 1: high pressure games, the games that they shouldn't lose. He
- 30:42Speaker 1: just does these weird things where he switches up there,
- 30:44Speaker 1: like rotation and like doesn't keep like he doesn't stick
- 30:47Speaker 1: with what's working. Very very weird. I don't know what's
- 30:50Speaker 1: up with that guy anyway. Yeah, I mean something like
- 30:54Speaker 1: that's not gonna happen in this game. And I think,
- 30:56Speaker 1: but what I was saying is Wisconsin still dominated in
- 30:58Speaker 1: the paint against High Point Point. Arkansas is a team
- 31:02Speaker 1: that likes to, you know, get it to the basket,
- 31:04Speaker 1: so I think they're gonna be able to do the
- 31:05Speaker 1: same thing. And Arkansas, by the way, they did not
- 31:09Speaker 1: hit many threes and they still won their game by
- 31:11Speaker 1: like twenty points. And they only hit like sixty three pointers.
- 31:15Speaker 1: I think maybe even less. It might have been four.
- 31:18Speaker 1: Whatever it was, Arkansas didn't have to rely on the
- 31:20Speaker 1: three and they still won that game easily. That's a
- 31:23Speaker 1: good sign. Whereas High Point barely won their game even
- 31:27Speaker 1: though they had a huge three point advantage in the game.
- 31:29Speaker 1: So that's not a good sign for High Point moving forward.
- 31:32Speaker 1: So we are gonna lay it with Arkansas here. The
- 31:35Speaker 1: money doesn't look like it's agreeing with me though, sixty
- 31:37Speaker 1: three percent of the ticket, sixty two percent of the
- 31:40Speaker 1: catch on Arkansas. They're laying eleven and a half money
- 31:44Speaker 1: seems to not be agreeing with me. But we're doing it, man.
- 31:47Speaker 1: So yeah, I did, I say, dude, do I like
- 31:49Speaker 1: every favorite? That's not good? If I no, I lean
- 31:52Speaker 1: against Michigan State. That's the only underdog opinion that I
- 31:55Speaker 1: had on that slate. Whatever, it's the way that it is, man, Yeah,
- 32:02Speaker 1: Chase Johnson. But I mean it's like it's so unsustainable though, like, oh,
- 32:07Speaker 1: there are four minutes left in the game that we
- 32:09Speaker 1: just chuck up a shot from the logo, Like you
- 32:13Speaker 1: can't just keep doing that, man, Like that, that's not
- 32:15Speaker 1: gonna be sustainable. Over I would not really disagree with
- 32:21Speaker 1: an over here. I mean again, it's a second game
- 32:23Speaker 1: on a quick turnaround time that lends itself towards overs.
- 32:26Speaker 1: The money looks like it's kind of indicating towards the under,
- 32:28Speaker 1: though with less of the money than the ticket percentage
- 32:32Speaker 1: on that total. There, it's a very high total though
- 32:35Speaker 1: it's high for a reason, one sixty nine, which you
- 32:38Speaker 1: know would have me sort of leaning over there. Arkansas
- 32:41Speaker 1: good offense, not a great defense, same with high Point.
- 32:45Speaker 1: So yeah, both teams are definitely better on offense. I'm
- 32:47Speaker 1: not really gonna disagree with an over, even though it
- 32:49Speaker 1: seems too obvious. But yeah, Arkansas second half, Yeah, that
- 32:55Speaker 1: might be something I would Yeah, that might be like
- 32:57Speaker 1: a live betting thing, like see how the first half goes.
- 33:00Speaker 1: And you know, like if Arkansas is losing at halftime,
- 33:04Speaker 1: which I really don't think is going to be the case.
- 33:06Speaker 1: If they are, then maybe playing Arkansas in the second
- 33:09Speaker 1: half seems like a pretty good idea. Yes, Mark Few,
- 33:14Speaker 1: I think Charles is saying that, not Mark Kreeg. By
- 33:18Speaker 1: the way Charles is saying that, I think Mark is
- 33:21Speaker 1: also Vandy's coaches. I don't even know man, all right,
- 33:24Speaker 1: And we do have two NIT games that I'm not
- 33:26Speaker 1: really interested in. But the NIT continues tonight with Dayton
- 33:31Speaker 1: going to UNC Wilmington. Dayton won as a road favorite
- 33:35Speaker 1: in their first game against Bradley. Easy win for Dayton.
- 33:39Speaker 1: They're kind of a weird spot now though they have
- 33:41Speaker 1: to go from Illinois now to UNC Wilmington because the
- 33:45Speaker 1: higher seed, or the better seed, I should say, is
- 33:47Speaker 1: the host of these games. Wilmington is traveling back from Yale.
- 33:51Speaker 1: They went up to Yale and pulled off the upset there.
- 33:53Speaker 1: I told you I liked UNC Wilmington in that game
- 33:55Speaker 1: because Yale, the way that they lost their conference tournament
- 33:58Speaker 1: and should have gotten into the NCAA tournament was just
- 34:01Speaker 1: I thought it was a very deflating loss. I thought
- 34:03Speaker 1: they wouldn't show up in this game. Wilmington got the
- 34:08Speaker 1: job done there. This is a tough call here in
- 34:11Speaker 1: this one. The one good thing for Wilmington is they
- 34:14Speaker 1: get to play another slop based team. Wilmington is really
- 34:16Speaker 1: struggled against teams that speed it up. But that is
- 34:19Speaker 1: not Dayton and that is not Yale. So Wilmington gets
- 34:24Speaker 1: to play these slow based teams. Here. Dayton's a two
- 34:26Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, fifty nine percent of tickets,
- 34:28Speaker 1: only fifty five percent of the cash low total here.
- 34:33Speaker 1: I wouldn't really disagree with an under to be honest
- 34:35Speaker 1: in this game, but you know, you do have to
- 34:37Speaker 1: worry a little bit about the travel. But like a
- 34:39Speaker 1: team like Dayton, you know, going to another new venue,
- 34:41Speaker 1: they gotta get used in the new venue. I think
- 34:44Speaker 1: I would lean to NC Wilmington in that one plus
- 34:47Speaker 1: the points. Not a strong opinion though, and then Liberty
- 34:51Speaker 1: and Nevada. Nevada is the only one of these teams
- 34:54Speaker 1: that's staying at home because they actually won a home.
- 34:56Speaker 1: The home teams didn't do well in the first round
- 34:59Speaker 1: of the NI some of them got knocked out and
- 35:02Speaker 1: many of them didn't cover. Good for us because we
- 35:04Speaker 1: won on South Alabama on the show. But Liberty they
- 35:08Speaker 1: pulled off the upset. And you know, I don't really
- 35:10Speaker 1: trust Liberty though, Like I don't really think they're that good.
- 35:14Speaker 1: They're undersized and they're two three point reliant. They did
- 35:17Speaker 1: beat George Mason, who I think is also kind of
- 35:19Speaker 1: an overrated team. Nevada is a little bit different, man.
- 35:24Speaker 1: I think having to go from Liberty, They're having to
- 35:26Speaker 1: go from George Mason in Virginia all the way out
- 35:28Speaker 1: to Reno for this that's gonna be a weird travel spot. Man.
- 35:31Speaker 1: Nevada I think does have a pretty big edge staying
- 35:34Speaker 1: at home. They're also sixteen and two straight up at home,
- 35:37Speaker 1: although obviously you're gonna have to lay points here if
- 35:39Speaker 1: you want Nevada. Nevada won the first game at home
- 35:42Speaker 1: against Murray State, who was a little bit overrated. I think,
- 35:46Speaker 1: and you know, these teams have again having to travel
- 35:49Speaker 1: to Reno. It's not gonna be easy. I would lay
- 35:51Speaker 1: it with Nevada on this one. I was gonna do
- 35:53Speaker 1: anything with it. Liberty fifty eight percent of the tickets,
- 35:56Speaker 1: only fifty two percent of the cash on them. Nevada
- 35:59Speaker 1: is a seven point favorite. So those are my thoughts
- 36:01Speaker 1: on the nit. All right, let's do hockey. We have
- 36:08Speaker 1: a bunch of hockey because it's Saturday. I will have
- 36:10Speaker 1: one play in hockey here. You get burned by overs.
- 36:16Speaker 1: You gotta like find the right spots to play the overs,
- 36:19Speaker 1: I guess I would say. I mean the public likes
- 36:21Speaker 1: over so I think the unders probably do cash a
- 36:24Speaker 1: slight majority of the time, but not enough that you
- 36:26Speaker 1: can just blindly fade overs like I don't know. If
- 36:30Speaker 1: you pick the right spots for overs, I think you can.
- 36:33Speaker 1: You could definitely win by doing so. NHL Network in
- 36:39Speaker 1: the afternoon at one pm. We have Winnipeg in Pittsburgh.
- 36:42Speaker 1: This is actually my play. Like I started going through
- 36:44Speaker 1: the hockey board and I'm like right away, I'm like,
- 36:46Speaker 1: I love this play in the first game. And then
- 36:50Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, crap, how many of these games am
- 36:52Speaker 1: I gonna like? And then I'm like, oh, it turns
- 36:53Speaker 1: out this is the only one. This is the hockey
- 36:57Speaker 1: best bet here, and I like this one quite a bit.
- 37:01Speaker 1: We're gonna be on Winnipeg on the money line. Get
- 37:04Speaker 1: a nice money line underdog price here plus one thirty six.
- 37:08Speaker 1: It's in that range. Whe I would just say play
- 37:10Speaker 1: the money line on this one. I mean, if you
- 37:11Speaker 1: want to do some crazy shit and like split the
- 37:14Speaker 1: bet puck line money line, you could do that too.
- 37:18Speaker 1: I just think, you know, it's a small enough underdog
- 37:21Speaker 1: price that it's like it's in that ranger. I would
- 37:23Speaker 1: just say, go money line Winnipeg. They're coming off a
- 37:27Speaker 1: horrible loss to my Boston Bruins six to one. The
- 37:31Speaker 1: Bruins are really good at home. Hellobuk was in net
- 37:34Speaker 1: for that one. I know I'm bad performance from him.
- 37:37Speaker 1: I'm expecting that he will play again in this game
- 37:40Speaker 1: because he usually plays a lot of games in a row.
- 37:42Speaker 1: They're not on a back to back or anything. I
- 37:45Speaker 1: think they're in a bounce back spot. Regardless though, when
- 37:47Speaker 1: you lose six to one, you're gonna be angry and
- 37:49Speaker 1: you're gonna come out with more focus. I think in
- 37:52Speaker 1: the next game, you're gonna be focused more on playing
- 37:54Speaker 1: better defense, etc. So I think you're gonna get a
- 37:57Speaker 1: better effort out of Winnipeg here. Pitt's been having a
- 38:00Speaker 1: decent season, so they're not a team you're really gonna overlook.
- 38:03Speaker 1: And for Pittsburgh, the spot for them is horrible. Are
- 38:07Speaker 1: they're returning home from a road trip that they've been
- 38:09Speaker 1: on since March tenth, where they started with a shootout
- 38:12Speaker 1: loss at Carolina. They went through that road trip. They're
- 38:16Speaker 1: on the road the whole time. They went all the
- 38:17Speaker 1: way out to the Pacific Coast into elevation. They killed
- 38:21Speaker 1: Colorado towards the end of the road trip, and then
- 38:23Speaker 1: they finished the road trip by losing at Carolina again
- 38:27Speaker 1: on Wednesday in overtime. A huge game. Dude, You take
- 38:31Speaker 1: Carolina at overtime, that's a monster effort there. Now. I
- 38:34Speaker 1: know they've had a couple of days off, but they're
- 38:36Speaker 1: coming off with that monster game. They're returning home from
- 38:39Speaker 1: a road trip, and you know, I talk about when
- 38:40Speaker 1: teams are turning on from road trips, a lot of
- 38:42Speaker 1: times they won't be focused because they have to get
- 38:45Speaker 1: back to home life. They have stuff to do at home.
- 38:47Speaker 1: It becomes a distraction. You might overlook your opponent if
- 38:50Speaker 1: it's not a good opponent, like Winnipeg. You're coming off
- 38:53Speaker 1: a monster monster a couple of games here, crushing Colorado,
- 38:57Speaker 1: almost being in Carolina, and it gets war because who
- 39:00Speaker 1: does Pittsburgh play next? They play Carolina tomorrow and then
- 39:04Speaker 1: they play Colorado after that. Sore dude, they're in a
- 39:08Speaker 1: palindrome spot here. I mean, look at this. This is insane.
- 39:11Speaker 1: They're in a double deck or sandwich here. I've never
- 39:15Speaker 1: seen I don't think I've ever seen anything like this.
- 39:17Speaker 1: It's insane. This spot is so bad for Pittsburgh. Winnipeg
- 39:21Speaker 1: is the play in this one. The money looked like
- 39:23Speaker 1: it was the money's disagreeing with me on this. I
- 39:25Speaker 1: don't even know how that's possible. Winnipeg is the right
- 39:28Speaker 1: side here. Fifty nine percent of the tickets, ninety seven
- 39:31Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Pittsburgh. I don't get it
- 39:34Speaker 1: at all, Like this is one of the better spots
- 39:37Speaker 1: that I've seen. I couldn't believe it when I saw this,
- 39:40Speaker 1: Like everything lines up for me on this game, Winnipeg,
- 39:43Speaker 1: Unload on it, baby, Don't over bet. I'm kind of kidding.
- 39:47Speaker 1: Don't bet more than you could have borne on anything.
- 39:50Speaker 1: You don't want to, dude, you don't want to like
- 39:52Speaker 1: elevate your bet size, like for one thing. Like yeah,
- 39:55Speaker 1: like if you want to weigh your bet like a
- 39:56Speaker 1: little bit more strongly because this one is stronger, that's fine,
- 40:00Speaker 1: do that, but it's got to be within your parameters still,
- 40:02Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Like again, I recommend like
- 40:05Speaker 1: having a bank roll and never betting more than like
- 40:09Speaker 1: at max. I think you probably want to put like
- 40:11Speaker 1: one and a half percent of your bank roll on
- 40:13Speaker 1: a bet that you think is like extremely strong. You
- 40:16Speaker 1: know what I mean. I don't even usually do that,
- 40:17Speaker 1: Like me, I just do like one percent on everything
- 40:20Speaker 1: pretty much. So take from that when you want him.
- 40:24Speaker 1: Vegas at Nashville in the afternoon. Vegas coming off two
- 40:29Speaker 1: straight shutout losses after a shutout win, so every game
- 40:32Speaker 1: has been a shutout for Vegas recently, coming off a
- 40:36Speaker 1: four nothing, a home shutout loss to Utah. Going out
- 40:39Speaker 1: on the road should be a spot where you should
- 40:43Speaker 1: get some focus out of Vegas here. But they do
- 40:45Speaker 1: have Dallas tomorrow, so there is the potential look ahead
- 40:48Speaker 1: there that would worry me a little bit about Vegas
- 40:51Speaker 1: being in a bounce back spot here Nashville coming off
- 40:54Speaker 1: a couple of wins here. We tried to fade Nashville
- 40:57Speaker 1: in the return home spot and they still beat Seattle,
- 41:00Speaker 1: which is you know, I'm not happy about that. Now
- 41:03Speaker 1: they're in the second game back home, I don't think
- 41:05Speaker 1: they're going to overlook Vegas. So this is a tough
- 41:07Speaker 1: call in this one. The money is coming in on
- 41:13Speaker 1: the Nashville side. It looks like Vegas minus one thirty
- 41:15Speaker 1: five eighty one percent of the tickets on Vegas sixty
- 41:18Speaker 1: eight percent of the money. Though on Nashville. I mean,
- 41:23Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion here. If you want
- 41:25Speaker 1: to agree with the market the market is saying Nashville.
- 41:28Speaker 1: I think probably most of the reasoning behind it might
- 41:30Speaker 1: even just be that I guess maybe the Vegas is
- 41:33Speaker 1: a little bit overrated here and that Vegas has that
- 41:36Speaker 1: look ahead to Dallas. But you know, I don't love
- 41:39Speaker 1: that game at all. Dallas at Minnesota. Dallas is coming
- 41:43Speaker 1: up beating Colorado on the road, big win for Dallas
- 41:46Speaker 1: at Colorado. Had a couple of days off to kind
- 41:49Speaker 1: of think about that. Now they're going to Minnesota. They
- 41:52Speaker 1: shouldn't overlook Minnesota, but coming up of a big win
- 41:54Speaker 1: at Colorado, man could still be a little bit of
- 41:57Speaker 1: a hangover. And I think you will get a good
- 42:00Speaker 1: out of Minnesota here because they just lost at home
- 42:02Speaker 1: to Chicago and they're staying at home now. Yeah, they
- 42:05Speaker 1: got a TV game against Tampa Bay coming up, they
- 42:08Speaker 1: have to go on the road, but they're not gonna
- 42:10Speaker 1: overlook Dallas, and you're probably not gonna overlook anybody after
- 42:12Speaker 1: you lose to Chicago at home. So I think you're
- 42:17Speaker 1: gonna get an effort out of Minnesota. I like Minnesota
- 42:20Speaker 1: on this one. Dallas is up to Mins one twenty
- 42:22Speaker 1: eight sixty one percent of the tickets on Dallas fifty
- 42:25Speaker 1: three percent of the casual Minnesota is the money Seemingly
- 42:29Speaker 1: agreeing with me on that one. Buffalo at La, we
- 42:33Speaker 1: know LA. They're not a good home team. I always
- 42:35Speaker 1: point that out. They're not very good at home. They're
- 42:37Speaker 1: better than the Rangers. At least. Buffalo is on a
- 42:40Speaker 1: three game win streak. They just shut out Vegas and
- 42:43Speaker 1: San Jose on the road. Buffalo is just rolling right now.
- 42:47Speaker 1: They might look a little bit too good right now.
- 42:49Speaker 1: It might be feeling a little bit too good about
- 42:51Speaker 1: themselves after doing that. So there could be, you know,
- 42:53Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of a letdown component of this
- 42:56Speaker 1: year after a couple of road shut out victories. King
- 43:00Speaker 1: you know, like I said, they're not particularly good at home,
- 43:02Speaker 1: but they did just lose in their return home spot
- 43:05Speaker 1: there to Philadelphia. That was a win. I gave that
- 43:07Speaker 1: one out on the show. I'm pretty sure because the
- 43:09Speaker 1: Kings were returning home from a road trip finished it
- 43:12Speaker 1: with a satisfying win against the Rangers. What else is new?
- 43:15Speaker 1: Of course, the road team won that matchup with the
- 43:18Speaker 1: huge home roads splits that favor the road team for
- 43:22Speaker 1: both of those teams. Then LA lost to Philadelphia in
- 43:27Speaker 1: that first game back home, and I always talk about
- 43:28Speaker 1: how when teams don't do well in that first game
- 43:31Speaker 1: back home, a lot of times they will play better
- 43:33Speaker 1: in that next game because now they're settled in at home,
- 43:35Speaker 1: they got done what they need to get done. They
- 43:38Speaker 1: didn't do well in that first game. It'll get them
- 43:40Speaker 1: to focus again. I thought they might have been looking
- 43:42Speaker 1: ahead to this game against Buffalo as well. So I
- 43:44Speaker 1: do actually like the Kings in this game, despite their
- 43:48Speaker 1: bad home track record. I'm not gonna put this on
- 43:51Speaker 1: my card, but I like the Kings. Buffalo up to
- 43:53Speaker 1: minus won twenty one sixty eight percent of the tickets,
- 43:56Speaker 1: only fifty seven percent of the cash on Buffalo. So
- 43:59Speaker 1: I do LA in that one. Philly at San Jose.
- 44:04Speaker 1: Philly has won a couple of games out in California
- 44:07Speaker 1: as well. Remember I liked Philly in both those games,
- 44:10Speaker 1: and actually I think we won in the Anaheim game.
- 44:13Speaker 1: I think it is the one that we won with Philly.
- 44:14Speaker 1: I stayed off the game against LA, but I gave
- 44:17Speaker 1: out a lean on Philly in that one. Our friend
- 44:20Speaker 1: Jeffrey I think was on the Flyers in the second game,
- 44:23Speaker 1: which I did agree with because they did have a
- 44:25Speaker 1: lot of rest prior to those two games. But now
- 44:27Speaker 1: they're playing a third game in four and as all
- 44:29Speaker 1: in different cities. They caught Anaheim and LA both in
- 44:33Speaker 1: return home spots. Man, I'm pretty sure so Philly got
- 44:37Speaker 1: they had an advantage there, man, catching those teams in
- 44:40Speaker 1: those spots. Now, they played four overtime games in a row.
- 44:43Speaker 1: I don't like Philly in this one, man, I don't.
- 44:45Speaker 1: And San Jose is coming off a bad home loss
- 44:48Speaker 1: to I know, Buffalo's pretty good, san Jose's not that good,
- 44:51Speaker 1: but five nothing home loss, three losses in a row,
- 44:54Speaker 1: they have a lot of five or more goals. But
- 44:56Speaker 1: also San Jose was returning home from a road trip
- 44:58Speaker 1: in that game against Buffalo, so they're in kind of
- 45:01Speaker 1: a tricky spot there that you know is usually a
- 45:05Speaker 1: pretty big negative. So I do like San Jose in
- 45:08Speaker 1: this one. I would go with the Sharks in this one.
- 45:10Speaker 1: Money does seem to agree with me on that one.
- 45:13Speaker 1: Fifty percent of tickets, eighty percent of the cash on
- 45:15Speaker 1: san Jose. I like that one. I do agree with
- 45:18Speaker 1: that one, you know, as far as like, if I
- 45:21Speaker 1: was going to add any of these to my card,
- 45:23Speaker 1: I think that would actually probably be my second favorite.
- 45:26Speaker 1: Then I then I guess La, then Minnesota to the
- 45:30Speaker 1: ones I've talked about so far. I get in trouble
- 45:33Speaker 1: when I start ranking these things, though I'm trying to
- 45:37Speaker 1: be I'm trying to be locked in here all right,
- 45:40Speaker 1: Seattle and Columbus. Seattle a couple of pretty bad losses. Well,
- 45:45Speaker 1: I don't want to say bad, but they lost six
- 45:47Speaker 1: to two to Tampa Bay at home. Tampa is really good,
- 45:50Speaker 1: but six to two ugly. Then they went to Nashville
- 45:53Speaker 1: and they caught Nashville in the return home spot. I
- 45:55Speaker 1: gave out Seattle as a play on the show things
- 45:58Speaker 1: not going well for us here on the show show
- 46:00Speaker 1: recently man, Seattle lost that game. I think there might
- 46:05Speaker 1: have been an empty netter at the end of that.
- 46:07Speaker 1: Maybe they bounce back here though they do a Florida
- 46:10Speaker 1: on Tampa Bay and Buffalo and Edmonton all upcoming though,
- 46:13Speaker 1: So that's the worry. But maybe they don't overlook Columbus. Man,
- 46:16Speaker 1: you've lost a couple of games in a row in
- 46:18Speaker 1: bad fashion, Columbus having a decent season. You know, maybe
- 46:22Speaker 1: you do show up for a game against them. Columbus
- 46:25Speaker 1: has won three games in a row. They didn't suffer
- 46:27Speaker 1: the let down off of the Carolina win. Huge win there.
- 46:30Speaker 1: They turn around and they just beat the Rangers anyway,
- 46:33Speaker 1: even though it was the Rangers on the road where
- 46:35Speaker 1: the Rangers are better. I think I probably said that
- 46:37Speaker 1: I leaned to the Rangers in that one. Yeah, I mean,
- 46:42Speaker 1: tough call. In this game, I would probably lean to Seattle.
- 46:45Speaker 1: The money seems like it's agreeing with me. Ninety two
- 46:48Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, fifty seven percent of the cash
- 46:50Speaker 1: on Columbus. They look like a pretty public side with
- 46:53Speaker 1: less than the money on them. They're minus one seventy five,
- 46:56Speaker 1: So a lot of respect from the odds makers for
- 46:59Speaker 1: Columbus there. I lean to Seattle. Maybe a split bet,
- 47:02Speaker 1: puck line, money line whatever. Islanders at Montreal Islanders coming
- 47:07Speaker 1: off a loss to Ottawa. Ottawa actually playing pretty well
- 47:11Speaker 1: for the most part this season. Islanders, Yeah, I mean
- 47:15Speaker 1: they're not gonna overlook Montreal coming off of that. It
- 47:17Speaker 1: was a tough game. But Montreal, I mean they're another
- 47:20Speaker 1: pretty good team this year. Montreal just lost to Detroit
- 47:24Speaker 1: on the road, difficult game. Detroit's pretty good as well.
- 47:27Speaker 1: Montreal does have Carolina on deck this one. I really
- 47:32Speaker 1: don't have much of an opinion on this at all.
- 47:33Speaker 1: The money is saying Montreal right now, so do with
- 47:38Speaker 1: that what you want to. I guess eighty seven percent
- 47:39Speaker 1: of tickets on the Islanders, sixty four percent of the
- 47:43Speaker 1: cash though on Montreal it minus won twenty one, even
- 47:46Speaker 1: though they actually dropped on the money line. But the
- 47:49Speaker 1: cash looks like it is on Montreal. There again, no
- 47:52Speaker 1: strong opinion for me at all on that one, but
- 47:55Speaker 1: the money says Montreal. So if you want that, you
- 47:59Speaker 1: know you can use that information appropriately. Toronto at Ottawa, Toronto,
- 48:06Speaker 1: I don't love the spot that they're in. Man, they're
- 48:08Speaker 1: on a back to back. I think they might be
- 48:09Speaker 1: the only team that's on a back to back on
- 48:11Speaker 1: the NHL card here NHL board. I should say, they
- 48:15Speaker 1: played yesterday and they took Carolina to overtime. Huge game
- 48:19Speaker 1: for Toronto. Man, it just falling short yesterday against Carolina,
- 48:22Speaker 1: quick turnaround time, traveling to Ottawa, not a huge travel leg.
- 48:25Speaker 1: But I still don't know what you're gonna get out
- 48:27Speaker 1: of Toronto here for this man, off of that huge game,
- 48:31Speaker 1: very difficult spot I think for them, Ottawa coming up
- 48:36Speaker 1: beating the Islanders. They're playing a third game in four days,
- 48:38Speaker 1: but they're back at home here. Staying at home for
- 48:41Speaker 1: this game could win over the Islanders, but they do
- 48:44Speaker 1: have a day of rest here. I would lean towards
- 48:46Speaker 1: Ottawa here, but they're laying minus two point fifty eighty
- 48:50Speaker 1: five percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash
- 48:52Speaker 1: on them. I mean, if you wanted to go Autawa,
- 48:55Speaker 1: like over their team total or something, I wouldn't really
- 48:58Speaker 1: hate that, you know, to just get a bunch of
- 49:01Speaker 1: goals scored against Toronto, who I don't really think is
- 49:04Speaker 1: particularly good on deepfense or in the goaltending department. So
- 49:09Speaker 1: if you wanted to do it that way, you know,
- 49:11Speaker 1: if you want to lay Outawa puck line, I guess
- 49:13Speaker 1: you could do that. But puck lines, I mean, they
- 49:15Speaker 1: get pretty dicey in hockey, man, because not a lot
- 49:19Speaker 1: of goals scored in hockey. Saint Louis at Vancouver. Saint
- 49:24Speaker 1: Louis just lost two to one at Calgary, unfortunately, because
- 49:27Speaker 1: we had Saint Louis in that game. With Calgary returning
- 49:30Speaker 1: over from a road trip, Saint Louis, maybe they show
- 49:34Speaker 1: up for this one after that. They've had a couple
- 49:35Speaker 1: of days off, probably want to salvage a game on
- 49:38Speaker 1: this road trip. If they're own two on the road trip,
- 49:40Speaker 1: this is the final game. Bad loss to Calgary, you know,
- 49:44Speaker 1: maybe they do want to show up for this one here.
- 49:46Speaker 1: Vancouver just lost to Tampa Bay two days ago. Bad
- 49:52Speaker 1: final outcome though, six to two Vancouver. Maybe in a
- 49:55Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown spot there off of that
- 49:57Speaker 1: Florida win. They beat Florida five. Dude, Tampa is really
- 50:01Speaker 1: really good though, you know, maybe there's a bounce back
- 50:05Speaker 1: component to this. Maybe not. I don't know. This is
- 50:06Speaker 1: a difficult game. I don't really have a good opinion
- 50:08Speaker 1: on this one at all. The money's all coming in
- 50:11Speaker 1: on Saint Louis, for what that's worth. They're up to
- 50:13Speaker 1: minus one thirty seven, ninety percent of the cash on them,
- 50:16Speaker 1: fifty two percent of the tickets on Vancouver. Yeah, I
- 50:21Speaker 1: don't know what else to say about that game. The
- 50:22Speaker 1: money is saying Saint Louis in that game. It's a
- 50:26Speaker 1: difficult read. Then we have an ABC TV game at
- 50:29Speaker 1: night eight pm Eastern. My Boston Bruins are playing at Detroit.
- 50:34Speaker 1: Hear Bruins. They have a huge home road split where
- 50:37Speaker 1: they're really good at home and they're not good on
- 50:39Speaker 1: the road. Last couple of road games, they're pretty competitive,
- 50:43Speaker 1: though they went to overtime in both of them. They're
- 50:45Speaker 1: coming up that crushing of Winnipeg at home for the Bruins,
- 50:49Speaker 1: Bruins again. They're really good at home though, single road game,
- 50:53Speaker 1: single road, single game road trip. I can't even talk
- 50:57Speaker 1: going to Detroit, hear. I don't really think they're gonna
- 50:59Speaker 1: overlook Detroit though they're having a good season. This is
- 51:02Speaker 1: an original six matchup, if that matters. Two of the
- 51:06Speaker 1: six teams man the Ogs, Detroit coming off playing another
- 51:10Speaker 1: one of those teams beating Montreal that was a good win.
- 51:13Speaker 1: Staying at home for this one. This is a difficult
- 51:16Speaker 1: read in this one. The money's coming in on Detroit.
- 51:18Speaker 1: They're minus won twenty five sixty percent of ticket seventy
- 51:21Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on Detroit. Of course, you
- 51:23Speaker 1: got to take these percentages with a little bit of
- 51:25Speaker 1: a grain of salt in the morning too, because they
- 51:27Speaker 1: might change throughout the day. I don't have a strong
- 51:32Speaker 1: opinion on this game either though, like I think Detroit,
- 51:35Speaker 1: you know, coming off a bigger win, you know, could
- 51:38Speaker 1: be kind of more of an iffy spot. But I
- 51:40Speaker 1: really don't like the Bruins on the road. So you know,
- 51:42Speaker 1: the money is saying Detroit, so do with that information
- 51:45Speaker 1: what you want. And then we have Tampa Bay at
- 51:47Speaker 1: Edmonton to finish it off pretty good game here, one
- 51:50Speaker 1: of the better games of the day. Bruins Red Wings
- 51:53Speaker 1: is not a horrible game either though, so not the
- 51:55Speaker 1: worst game they could have put on TV there. Tampa,
- 52:01Speaker 1: they just beat Vancouver on the road, so they're undefeated
- 52:05Speaker 1: on the road trips so far. But Edmonton is a
- 52:07Speaker 1: step up in class from Seattle and Vancouver, and Tampa
- 52:10Speaker 1: was on a bad stretch up until these two recent wins,
- 52:13Speaker 1: and those wins were against pretty unimpressive opponents, so we'll
- 52:16Speaker 1: see what they could do against Edmonton here. Edmonton just
- 52:20Speaker 1: lost Florida nothing at home to Florida in the Stanley
- 52:24Speaker 1: Cup rematch, re rematch whatever. Edmonton did actually beat Florida
- 52:29Speaker 1: the first time they played this year, so they got
- 52:31Speaker 1: a little bit of revenge. Florida got a little bit
- 52:33Speaker 1: of revenge back in that one. I kind of lean
- 52:36Speaker 1: towards Edmonton here, man, they're staying at home teams that
- 52:39Speaker 1: got shut out at home, and they're staying at home
- 52:41Speaker 1: ten to do pretty well in their next game. I
- 52:45Speaker 1: think Tampa Bay is really good, but it still kind
- 52:47Speaker 1: of remains to be seen what they're gonna be able
- 52:48Speaker 1: to do in this one. Having a step back up
- 52:50Speaker 1: in class seventy three percent of the tickets around Tampa Bay,
- 52:53Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash on Edmonton. I do
- 52:56Speaker 1: agree with Edmonton in this one. Tampa down to minus
- 52:59Speaker 1: one thirty eight on the money line. So that's all
- 53:02Speaker 1: the information there for hockey. We're going to NBA and
- 53:05Speaker 1: I do the NBA play. I'm gonna give out his
- 53:09Speaker 1: Oh boy, is it bad. And it's another one where
- 53:11Speaker 1: the market Reid is not agree with. So I'm giving
- 53:14Speaker 1: you three plays when the market doesn't agree with me.
- 53:16Speaker 1: That's awesome. We have an early evening game to start
- 53:20Speaker 1: this out. Everybody's gonna want to watch this game, right,
- 53:22Speaker 1: it's not even on one of the major TV networks.
- 53:25Speaker 1: Oklahoma City at Washington. Isn't this one awesome? Guys? This
- 53:29Speaker 1: is gonna be the largest road favorite that you'll see
- 53:31Speaker 1: in the NBA here because you basically have the worst
- 53:35Speaker 1: team in the NBA Washington with a bunch of injuries
- 53:38Speaker 1: against the best team in the NBA Oklahoma City. Oklahoma
- 53:41Speaker 1: City is like a twenty point favorite here on the road. Man,
- 53:45Speaker 1: Oklahoma City is on a huge run again here. I've
- 53:47Speaker 1: won ten games in a row, you know, I mean,
- 53:51Speaker 1: this is a game they could just sleep walk through though, Like,
- 53:54Speaker 1: there's no way that I would lay twenty points here
- 53:56Speaker 1: on the road, even if it is against Washington. But
- 53:59Speaker 1: I mean, you have to try to gauge how much
- 54:01Speaker 1: effort Washington is gonna give you here. You know, Oklahoma
- 54:04Speaker 1: City just blew out Brooklyn on the road. I mean,
- 54:08Speaker 1: I don't think you could take anything away from that.
- 54:10Speaker 1: They do have Philly and Boston on deck, but it's
- 54:12Speaker 1: an injured Philly team, so I don't know how much
- 54:15Speaker 1: of a look ahead that might be. Again Washington, they
- 54:18Speaker 1: really might not pay much attention to. Washington just got
- 54:21Speaker 1: blown out again against Detroit. They did not do well,
- 54:24Speaker 1: So Washington not even putting an effort here. It looks like,
- 54:27Speaker 1: well maybe they were and they just weren't good enough,
- 54:30Speaker 1: But who knows. I mean, you gotta think though, with
- 54:32Speaker 1: Oklahoma City coming into your place, you will at least
- 54:35Speaker 1: try to show something, you know. I mean, this is
- 54:38Speaker 1: not a game I would want to touch in any way.
- 54:40Speaker 1: I think it's almost unbetable. But the thunder and minus
- 54:44Speaker 1: twenty one on the road, and they're actually taking money
- 54:46Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of the tickets and seventy one percent
- 54:49Speaker 1: of the cash no, thank you. I would probably need
- 54:52Speaker 1: towards taking the points there, but I would not want
- 54:55Speaker 1: to do it Memphis at Charlotte. When I first looked
- 54:58Speaker 1: at this game, Memphis just played the Celtics pretty tough
- 55:01Speaker 1: last night. Man, Memphis, this is a team where, you know,
- 55:05Speaker 1: pretty much all their starters are injured, so they're playing
- 55:08Speaker 1: with a bunch of backups. They gave you some good
- 55:11Speaker 1: effort in the last couple of games, beating Denver, and
- 55:14Speaker 1: then they had the lead against the Celtics for a while,
- 55:18Speaker 1: and then Memphis just you know, just didn't have enough
- 55:21Speaker 1: and they faded out against a good Celtic team. Celtics were,
- 55:25Speaker 1: you know, kind of in a dicey spot there. Celtics
- 55:27Speaker 1: won and did not cover Memphis. Now, coming off of that,
- 55:30Speaker 1: having to go to Charlotte with no days off. By
- 55:32Speaker 1: the way, Memphis is on a back to back that
- 55:35Speaker 1: was yesterday, coming off two big games in the last
- 55:37Speaker 1: couple of days. I don't like the spot for Memphis here.
- 55:40Speaker 1: Man Charlotte. I don't know how much I love Charlotte
- 55:45Speaker 1: in the spot either though, because they did just blow
- 55:47Speaker 1: out Miami and Orlando and now they're playing Memphis. I mean,
- 55:51Speaker 1: It's like, how much are they really going to pay
- 55:52Speaker 1: attention to Memphis after all of that? I mean, Charlotte,
- 55:55Speaker 1: they actually could, Dude, they're actually playing to get out
- 55:58Speaker 1: of the play in right now and get into the
- 56:00Speaker 1: playoffs that avoid the play in. How insane is that?
- 56:04Speaker 1: I told you, like a couple of months ago that
- 56:06Speaker 1: Charlotte to make the playoffs was a really good bet.
- 56:09Speaker 1: And they might. I mean, they're gonna They're gonna at
- 56:11Speaker 1: least be a playing team, and then you have to
- 56:13Speaker 1: you know, they'd have to win the playoffs to get in.
- 56:15Speaker 1: But I think they're going to. I think they're gonna
- 56:19Speaker 1: be in the playoffs. Playoffs, Lee, let me do it?
- 56:22Speaker 1: Why not? You know, playoffs? Don't talk about the playoffs.
- 56:27Speaker 1: You kidding me? Playoffs? I just hope we can win
- 56:31Speaker 1: a game another game, all right? Yeah? So yeah, Charlotte,
- 56:38Speaker 1: you know, coming off some blow out wins, I don't
- 56:40Speaker 1: know how much effort they're gonna put it in either.
- 56:41Speaker 1: And if you want Charlotte here, you gotta lay a
- 56:44Speaker 1: ton of points here. It's crazy to think about Charlotte
- 56:46Speaker 1: is a seventeen and a half point favorite in this game.
- 56:50Speaker 1: How ridiculous is that and it opened thirteen to half.
- 56:53Speaker 1: I don't even know what swung the number like this
- 56:55Speaker 1: because I mean the Hornets, I mean, I don't know
- 56:58Speaker 1: if they have any significant injury some guy coming back.
- 57:01Speaker 1: I have no idea Grizzlies. I mean there we know
- 57:04Speaker 1: they're already playing with all backups, so I don't know.
- 57:07Speaker 1: It's just crazy to see the Hornets being this big
- 57:09Speaker 1: of a favorite. Fifty percent of tickets, fifty one percent
- 57:11Speaker 1: of the casual on the Grizzlies. You know, some of
- 57:15Speaker 1: the move might have just been because the Grizzlies are
- 57:17Speaker 1: on the back to back and maybe it moved after
- 57:19Speaker 1: we saw them almost beat the well not really almost
- 57:21Speaker 1: beat the Celtics, but the Grizzlies were still within, like,
- 57:25Speaker 1: you know, several points and then they cut it to
- 57:27Speaker 1: five when it was too late at the end. But
- 57:31Speaker 1: you know, I'm gonna be honest, I think I would
- 57:33Speaker 1: probably lay the points with the Hornets in that game.
- 57:36Speaker 1: It sounds ridiculous. I don't want to do it. I
- 57:38Speaker 1: don't want only seventeen and a half with them, but
- 57:42Speaker 1: that would probably be my opinion in that one. Embiid, Yeah,
- 57:49Speaker 1: he's had more games that he's missed them played probably, Yeah,
- 57:53Speaker 1: it's kind of ridiculous. Is that over his whole career though?
- 57:57Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, he's got bad knees, that's
- 57:59Speaker 1: for sure. You're gonna tail display. Oh boy. But the Sixers, wait,
- 58:08Speaker 1: they removed him from their books. That's insane, dude. I
- 58:11Speaker 1: don't even know. Maybe it's it sounds like it's all
- 58:13Speaker 1: a scam, to be honest. Uh. Anyway, NBA TV Lakers
- 58:18Speaker 1: at Orlando. Uh, the Lakers, dude, they cannot continue this.
- 58:22Speaker 1: They've won eight games in a row. Again. I'm gonna
- 58:25Speaker 1: tell you their defense is really not good. I mean,
- 58:27Speaker 1: look at some of these point totals they've allowed during
- 58:29Speaker 1: this stretch. They've allowed one seventeen, one oh six, one
- 58:34Speaker 1: thirty one twenty five, although in overtime one sixteen, one
- 58:38Speaker 1: twenty six. I just don't I don't buy it, man,
- 58:42Speaker 1: This Laker defense is still not good enough. They're playing
- 58:45Speaker 1: a fourth game in six days right now, all in
- 58:47Speaker 1: different cities. Fifth and eight as well, all in different cities.
- 58:51Speaker 1: They're coming up beating Denver, Houston twice, Miami now playing Orlando,
- 58:56Speaker 1: and they do have Detroit on deck. Orlando's still without Wagner.
- 59:00Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I know I tried to fade
- 59:02Speaker 1: the Lakers once in that mix there. I'm still not
- 59:05Speaker 1: buying this run from them. Orlando just got blown out
- 59:08Speaker 1: by Charlotte. But look at what Orlando was coming off of.
- 59:11Speaker 1: Orlando had played Oklahoma City to within five points the
- 59:14Speaker 1: game before that, so they were in a bad spot.
- 59:17Speaker 1: Charlotte blew them out. Now I think back at home,
- 59:21Speaker 1: only returning home from one game on the road. I
- 59:23Speaker 1: like Orlando in this one. Man, La looks too good
- 59:27Speaker 1: right now. It would be a by low spot on
- 59:29Speaker 1: the Magic and sell very high spot on the Lakers.
- 59:32Speaker 1: The Lakers are taking the money. I don't agree with it.
- 59:35Speaker 1: Fifty seven percent of tickets, eighty four percent of the
- 59:37Speaker 1: cash on the Lakers. They're up to three with three
- 59:42Speaker 1: with juice here. I don't agree. I would. I would
- 59:45Speaker 1: take the points with Orlando here. Yeah, I mean when
- 59:51Speaker 1: it when a team is that hot, it just means
- 59:53Speaker 1: they're gonna be over valued in the market. Man. Yeah,
- 59:56Speaker 1: that's that's just definitely not how I do things. I
- 59:58Speaker 1: try to jump in and buy streaks. This is not
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: gonna be a play for me or whatever. But yeah,
- 1:00:03Speaker 1: I mean I lean to Orlando in that when you
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: got Lakers coming off some kind of misleading wins, they
- 1:00:09Speaker 1: look too good right now, Orlando off a horrendous blowout loss.
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: That's the way I would lean. Orlando's still without Wagner here,
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: though he's supposed to be back soon. I don't know
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: Cleveland at New Orleans. This line looks ridiculous. Cleveland's is
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: only laying four and a half. It looks so easy
- 1:00:26Speaker 1: to lay the points with the Calves in this one.
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: But the oddsmakers have been given the Pelicans respect, like
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: they're not as bad as people think they are. They've
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: been injured throughout the season. Fifty six percent of the
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: tickets are on the Calves, sixty nine percent of the
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: cash on the Pelicans, so the money is indicating on
- 1:00:42Speaker 1: the Pelicans. Now. First of all, I mean, I looked
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: at this line and I'm like, somebody's got to be
- 1:00:45Speaker 1: injured for the Calves. There's no way that four and
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: a half is what it would be otherwise. And uh,
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: Donovan Mitchell is on the injury report, so I'm guessing
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: that's why I'm guessing. It kind of means that he's
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: probably not gonna play, although he has an eye injury.
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: I don't know what the deal is with that he's questionable,
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: but to me, that line seems to indicate he's not playing.
- 1:01:07Speaker 1: If it does turn out that he is gonna play,
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: I think that line is going to go up on Cleveland.
- 1:01:13Speaker 1: As far as Cleveland spot here, they've won two games
- 1:01:16Speaker 1: in a row, but they beat Milwaukee and Chicago. I mean,
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: that's not a big deal. Now they're going to New Orleans.
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: They do over Orlando on deck. They did just lose
- 1:01:24Speaker 1: to Orlando not that long ago, so maybe a little
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: bit of a look ahead there. Cleveland didn't do that
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: well against Chicago, though, so you know when a favorite
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: like Cleveland doesn't do that well against a bad team
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: like Chicago, sometimes they will bounce back. New Orleans is
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: coming off two good wins against the Clippers. Clippers not
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: a bad team. I don't think New Orleans is gonna
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: overlook Cleveland. Though this is a difficult read for me.
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: I don't have a good opinion on this at all.
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: I believe Mitchell has already been out for one or
- 1:01:55Speaker 1: two games, so it's not an injured player theory spot
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: for the Cavs. Like I talk about that when your
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: star player goes down, you want to look to play
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: on that team in the first game because you get
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: line value and the team usually steps up their game.
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: But when he's been out for a couple of games already,
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: I think you don't get that type of situation anymore.
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: I'm not gonna really, I don't know. I don't really
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: want to disagree with a market read like this. It's
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: indicating on the Pelicans, but we're staying away from it. Yeah,
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: low with the street, we're buying low. That's usually what
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: I like to do. Pink guy from Eating Ass, is
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: that what he does? I don't know. Maybe it's Lebron's
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: mom's I don't know, man, just like Delonte West used
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: to do. Whatever happened Delonte Man, former Boston Celtic Delonte West,
- 1:02:45Speaker 1: who also slept with Lebron's mother. If you didn't know
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: that that was a that was a recurring joke I
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: used to I used to submit to the Toucher and Rich.
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: They had a male bag on on local radio here.
- 1:03:01Speaker 1: They were like the Morning Radio, one of the popular
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: radio shows, and they talked a lot about sports, So
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: they wound up on the sports station. But they would
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: have a mailbag segment, and I would always submit mail
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: bags as Delante West and it would be like talking
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: about Lebron's mom and stuff. That was one of the
- 1:03:18Speaker 1: bits that I had going on for a while there.
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: They usually read mine. I did that like several times.
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: All right, yes, correct, Delante Delante man, Dude, I think
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: he's like probably, I think he's like homeless now or something.
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: Somebody needs to go help Delante Maya or excuse a
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: Golden State at Atlanta. This is a kind of an
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: interesting one where we have the trade components here potentially
- 1:03:47Speaker 1: playing each other if any of them are even healthy.
- 1:03:49Speaker 1: I don't know. Porzingis was on Atlanta, now he's on
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: Golden State. You got a Kaminga I think went from
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: Golden State to Atlanta. You know, crazy stuff going on here.
- 1:03:58Speaker 1: But they both might not play. He who knows. They're
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: both always on the injury report. Golden State just lost
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: to Detroit yesterday. They're in a very rare spot where
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: they're actually playing a fifth game in seven days, all
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: in different cities, and you know, I don't like that.
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: That's a rare phenomenon in the NBA. They're also playing
- 1:04:16Speaker 1: a six game in nine days, all in different cities,
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: so the travel for Golden State is not good here.
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: It could catch up to them on the back to
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: back here too. So Atlanta, dude, Atlanta keeps lucking out
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: with some of these spots that they're getting here. But
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for Atlanta because they just
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: lost their win streak finally, they'd won eleven games in
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: a row. They lost to Houston yesterday. They're on a
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: back to back, they're coming home from a road trip.
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days, all in
- 1:04:43Speaker 1: different cities. They only went to Texas for two games.
- 1:04:45Speaker 1: But still, I don't love the spot for Atlanta here
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: because when a team loses a long win streak like that,
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: a lot of times that will be a hangover and
- 1:04:52Speaker 1: it'll hang them over into the next game. I don't
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: love it, man. I think what I would do in
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: this game is I would play the over. And the
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: money looks like it does agree with me here fifty
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: nine percent of tickets, eighty five percent of the cash
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: on the over. It's up to two twenty nine, which
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: is a pretty reasonable total. To be honest. Don't know
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: who's playing in this game. I don't know if it
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: matters really, I think with both teams being in very
- 1:05:16Speaker 1: questionable spots, defenses can be tired because they're both on
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: back to backs. Over would be what I would do here.
- 1:05:22Speaker 1: As far as the side, the Hawks are minus ten
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: and a half now, up from six, so I don't
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: know what's going on with that. I don't know if
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: the Hawks even have one player that would drive the
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: line up four points. I don't know what's going on
- 1:05:34Speaker 1: with that. Maybe it's just because the Warriors are in
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: that dreaded fifth and seven situation, playing five games in
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: seven days. I don't know. Eighty four percent of the tickets,
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on the Hawks money
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: is coming in on the Hawks. For what that's worth,
- 1:05:51Speaker 1: I'm gonna stay off of it. Of course, I don't
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: want anything to do with the game. But again, I
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: think my preference in that game would be to go
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: over and avoid the side and that one. I don't
- 1:05:59Speaker 1: have a good opinion on the side at all. The
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: money looks like it's sort of on the Hawks there.
- 1:06:03Speaker 1: But you heard my reasoning for not liking the Hawks there.
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: But I don't like Golden State either there. Miami at Houston,
- 1:06:11Speaker 1: Miami just lost to the Lakers. They're on a three
- 1:06:15Speaker 1: game losing streak, losing to three teams that are probably
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: gonna be in the playoffs. I mean Orlando and the
- 1:06:21Speaker 1: Lakers definitely will be. Charlotte I think is going to
- 1:06:25Speaker 1: make it as well. So you know, I'm not gonna
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: knock Miami too much for all that. I think out
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: of Bio missed at least one of those games. He
- 1:06:32Speaker 1: might have missed two. Yeah, I think out of Bio
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: missed two of those games. He came back and they
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: lost to the Lakers anyway. But you know, I talk
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: about the reverse injured player spot a lot. When your
- 1:06:43Speaker 1: star player comes back, a lot of times the team will,
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: you know, will have to readjust him being back, and
- 1:06:49Speaker 1: they won't put in as good of an effort as
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: you expect, you know. So that happened in that game.
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: Maybe they'll play better here going out of the road
- 1:06:56Speaker 1: to face Houston. They're not gonna overlook Houston here. Houston
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: just crushed Atlanta. Now, you know, I don't think Houston
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: is really gonna overlook Miami either, But they aren't a
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: back to back Houston played yesterday. But at least for them,
- 1:07:09Speaker 1: they're staying at home they only had one day off
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: prior to that. Though. This is a difficult call too.
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: The money's coming in on the heat. I think I
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: will probably agree with the heat there rockets down to
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: two here, fifty eight percent of the tickets on them,
- 1:07:23Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the money on the heat. So yeah,
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: I'll slightly agree with the heat there. I know we
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: still haven't gotten to my play yet. I'm telling you
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: it's an ugly one. You might be able to figure
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: it out. Indiana at San Antonio. This is not it either, Indiana.
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: We don't know what we're gonna get out of Indiana here, Man, Like,
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: what are you gonna get for effort out of this team?
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: They lost fifteen straight games now Indiana has lost. Don't
- 1:07:50Speaker 1: know how much effort you're gonna get out of them here.
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: Maybe they will put an effort though, because they've had
- 1:07:54Speaker 1: a couple of days off, they get to play one
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: of the top teams in the NBA, San Antonio. Maybe
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: you will get an effort out of them for a
- 1:08:01Speaker 1: game here. San Antonio is coming off barely. Getting by
- 1:08:05Speaker 1: Phoenix is a big favorite though, and it's a good
- 1:08:07Speaker 1: win against the team that's gonna be in the playoffs Phoenix.
- 1:08:10Speaker 1: But you know, I talk about this when a team
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: like San Antonio is a big favorite and they barely win.
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: They were nine and a half point favorites and they
- 1:08:18Speaker 1: just got by a lot of times, they will show
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: up in the next game and be focused. But there
- 1:08:23Speaker 1: is the chance they don't take Indiana seriously and they
- 1:08:26Speaker 1: do up Miami on deck to start a road trip,
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: which is kind of a bigger game. So I don't
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: like this game at all. The Spurs are minus nineteen
- 1:08:34Speaker 1: here large number, of course, fifty percent of tickets on them,
- 1:08:38Speaker 1: fifty percent of the cash on the Pacers, so act accordingly.
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: I would say the market read the money right now
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: is on Indiana for what that's worth. Is that true?
- 1:08:51Speaker 1: West robs somebody for twenty three dollars and got arrested.
- 1:08:55Speaker 1: Maybe I heard about that. I don't know. I'm pretty
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: sure he's homeless, man, which you know that'll cover up.
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: You remember he had that like weird like birthmark on
- 1:09:05Speaker 1: his face or whatever. Maybe if he's homeless, maybe his
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: whole face will get like, you know, gunked up so
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: you won't see it anymore. I don't know. I don't know, man,
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: I don't know what to say. Dude. Delante West, oh man, dude,
- 1:09:18Speaker 1: I remember him playing in college when he was on
- 1:09:20Speaker 1: Saint Joe's. Uh. Saint Joe's was like one of the
- 1:09:23Speaker 1: top teams in the country. They had Delantay West and
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: they had oh my god, who else was on that
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: some other guy that made the NBA was on that team.
- 1:09:31Speaker 1: I'm trying to remember. That team was really awesome, man,
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: but they just weren't good enough to like they were
- 1:09:36Speaker 1: one of those teams where they were like super good
- 1:09:39Speaker 1: from like a small conference and people were like, this
- 1:09:41Speaker 1: team is like elite, they're like number one in the country.
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: But I'm like, they're not gonna win at all because
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: they're from a power conference, you know what I mean.
- 1:09:50Speaker 1: So you know, but that was back before I was
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: really handicapping sports and whatever. So I don't know, but
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: I kind of remember that tournament. I think I might
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: have been a freshman in college when that tournament happened.
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: I remember, I think I don't know, there was one
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: big like one seed that got knocked out in that one.
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: I think I want to say it was Stanford lost
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: to like Alabama or something, was like a huge upset
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: in that tournament. I forget. I don't remember, man, don't
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: remember who won the whole thing either. I want to
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: say it was like I almost want to say it
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: was like Illinois or something, because they were really good
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: around that time too. I don't know. Maybe I'm getting
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: it all mixed up. I didn't pay enough attention at
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: that point anyway. Clippers at Dallas, Clippers just lost twice
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: to the Pelicans. You can kind of figure out why
- 1:10:36Speaker 1: they lost the first time because they were coming off
- 1:10:38Speaker 1: of a big game against San Antonio. The second game,
- 1:10:41Speaker 1: you know, maybe a little bit more questionable, like how
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: did they lose to the Pelicans twice? I don't know, man,
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: But coming off of all that, maybe you'll get an
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: effort out of them. Problem is, they're playing a fourth
- 1:10:50Speaker 1: game in six days now, all in different cities, which
- 1:10:53Speaker 1: is not easy to do. I still think you're gonna
- 1:10:57Speaker 1: get effort out of them, though. I mean, the Clippers
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: are still fighting to avoid the play in as well here,
- 1:11:01Speaker 1: so there is still some motivation for the Clippers here.
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: Dallas is just kind of playing out the stretch. I mean,
- 1:11:07Speaker 1: maybe if they care about playing spoiler against the Clippers.
- 1:11:10Speaker 1: I don't know, but Dallas is more rested here. They're
- 1:11:14Speaker 1: staying at home, they've had two days off. They lost
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: by fifteen to Atlanta in their last game, and they
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: lost by double digits to New Orleans before that on
- 1:11:22Speaker 1: the road. So both teams, you know, not playing well
- 1:11:25Speaker 1: against New Orleans recently. Clippers are a seven point favorite.
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: It looks like the money is coming in on Dallas
- 1:11:31Speaker 1: eighty percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash
- 1:11:33Speaker 1: on the MAVs. I wouldn't you know. I don't think
- 1:11:36Speaker 1: that percentage is accurate, but I think I would agree
- 1:11:39Speaker 1: with probably taking the points in that one. Clippers probably
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: just laying a little bit too much on the road there,
- 1:11:44Speaker 1: especially given that the Mavericks do have a travel and
- 1:11:49Speaker 1: rest edge there. Philadelphia at Utah. Of course, Philadelphia basically
- 1:11:54Speaker 1: has nobody playing for them right now. They're still without
- 1:11:56Speaker 1: George who's suspended, and Beat is hurt, Maxis oubre is hurt.
- 1:12:01Speaker 1: This Philadelphia team still got the job done against the Kings.
- 1:12:05Speaker 1: Sorry to Jeffrey because I was chiding him for having
- 1:12:09Speaker 1: having money on the Sixers in that game. Dude, I
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: was right about that game too, though. I said, if
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: you were gonna play that game. I said, over made
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: the most sense in that game. That's what I said.
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: That was in my Twitter chat where I said that.
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: By the way, if you want to get into that,
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: we have a subscriber's chat on Twitter with only like
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: two dudes. It's it's me and three other dudes and
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: there right now, including Jeffrey who hopefully he comes back
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: to the show here. Man. But I'm too much of
- 1:12:35Speaker 1: an ass. Maybe I don't know. I chied people too
- 1:12:38Speaker 1: much for some of their plays that they make, not
- 1:12:40Speaker 1: doing I'm trying to be better at that, all right.
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: But I was correct about the over Jeffrey was correct
- 1:12:45Speaker 1: about Philly, so we were both right. So there you go.
- 1:12:48Speaker 1: That was a game where it's like, how do you
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: even know what you're gonna get in that game? Right?
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: Like on the side Philly and the Kings Kings basically
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: have nobody playing for them either. That's why I said over,
- 1:12:57Speaker 1: because you get these games that are basically like gonna
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: be a screen image, you know what I mean, with
- 1:13:01Speaker 1: all backups playing a lot of times, you'll get some
- 1:13:03Speaker 1: value on the over there because the sense is, oh,
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: nobody's playing, so who's gonna score? Right? But I'm like no,
- 1:13:09Speaker 1: but what happens is usually the teams just don't get
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: really intense on deepense. You know. Anyway, Philly's coming up
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: that win over Sacramento, easy win. They're going into elevation
- 1:13:19Speaker 1: to play Utah here though not that easy to do,
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: and they got Oklahoma City on deck, so could be
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: a potential look ahead there. Utah just ended a losing
- 1:13:29Speaker 1: streak by beating the box, and you know, I like
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: that when a team loses. When the team ends a
- 1:13:34Speaker 1: losing streak, a lot of times they will carry that
- 1:13:37Speaker 1: new momentum forward and play better in that next game.
- 1:13:40Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days, but they
- 1:13:42Speaker 1: are at least staying at home here. They blew out
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: Milwaukee in real quick revenge, so you know there is
- 1:13:48Speaker 1: that it was recent revenge there, so you know, I
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: guess there is a little bit of a warrior. They're
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: gonna be feeling really good about themselves. But I think
- 1:13:55Speaker 1: I like Utah in this one. I got to pay
- 1:13:58Speaker 1: attention to Utah's injuries to mostly marking him, but he
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: is still out. I don't even know if he's gonna
- 1:14:03Speaker 1: come back. Man, Why would they bring him back when
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: they're not going anywhere this year. He's probably not gonna
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: play again this year, but I would lean towards the
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: Jazz in this one. Sixers are laying six here, the
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: Sixers with nobody playing, they're laying six. Oh my god. Jazz.
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: Of course they have a lot of injury too. Hey,
- 1:14:22Speaker 1: my man, Ace Bailey, who I said was one of
- 1:14:24Speaker 1: the best players in the draft class this year. He
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: did really well. Last night. He put up like thirty three.
- 1:14:30Speaker 1: Or last game for the Jazz, he put up like
- 1:14:32Speaker 1: thirty three. I got his jersey. So let's go, man,
- 1:14:35Speaker 1: Let's go Ace. Fifty four percent of ticket, sixty percent
- 1:14:38Speaker 1: of the cash on the Jazz. The money is coming
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: in on the Jazz. I agree with that one that
- 1:14:45Speaker 1: leaves the last game here an NBA TV, and you
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: know this has to be my play. I hate Reddit, dude, Yeah,
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: I can't go on Reddit. I was a mod on
- 1:14:57Speaker 1: a couple of subreddits, one being a red Sox one,
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: but I think they probably removed me as a mod
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: because I just became inactive pretty much. And then the
- 1:15:08Speaker 1: other one was my one of my college roommates and
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: I we saw the you know, first world problems, second
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: world problems, third world problems, and there's all these levels
- 1:15:18Speaker 1: of abstraction that got all the way up to like
- 1:15:20Speaker 1: eighth world problems, and it was like this this subreddit
- 1:15:23Speaker 1: that's just so like I don't even know what the
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: word is I'm looking for. Like the subreddit's become so
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: like incoherent at that level, like you don't even know
- 1:15:32Speaker 1: what's going on anymore. I was like, let's make like
- 1:15:35Speaker 1: the most incoherent version of this that we can make.
- 1:15:38Speaker 1: Let's take it to this level of abstraction that makes
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: so little sense that we will not allow any posts
- 1:15:44Speaker 1: that have like any language in them at all. Like
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: the only posts that we're allowing or posts that are
- 1:15:51Speaker 1: legitimately completely incoherent. And I made the CSS so bad
- 1:15:56Speaker 1: that you can't even like figure out where like how
- 1:15:58Speaker 1: to even post on, Like you can't even see the
- 1:16:01Speaker 1: links and whatever, and the whole background is like an
- 1:16:03Speaker 1: optical illusion that almost like makes you high. I think
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: it's it's infinite world problems. Yeah, but now I'm I'm
- 1:16:12Speaker 1: you know, doxing myself probably with that. But I hate Reddit, dude,
- 1:16:16Speaker 1: I haven't been on there in so long. Yeah, I
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: can't stand the people on Reddit. It's not skits o though,
- 1:16:25Speaker 1: because it's like, uh, it's literally just you have to
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: post something that's at such a level of abstraction that
- 1:16:32Speaker 1: it's you know, like you know what I mean that
- 1:16:35Speaker 1: a human mind cannot comprehend it basically pretty much. All right,
- 1:16:43Speaker 1: all right, Milwaukee and Phoenix here. Obviously this is my play.
- 1:16:47Speaker 1: This is uh oh man, this is ugly. We're gonna
- 1:16:54Speaker 1: be on Milwaukee plus eleven and a half. I'll give
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: you another underdog here. This is Yeah. I know it
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: sounds bad, it looks bad. We're getting a lot of
- 1:17:04Speaker 1: points here though, and it's a low total for the
- 1:17:06Speaker 1: NBA in two nineteen, you know, So I do like
- 1:17:08Speaker 1: taking points when you think there's gonna be less scoring
- 1:17:11Speaker 1: in a game. Although the money is coming in on
- 1:17:12Speaker 1: the over in this one sixty two percent of the tickets,
- 1:17:15Speaker 1: it's seventy five percent of the cash on the suns.
- 1:17:17Speaker 1: So I am fading the market read in this one.
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: But I like the spot here, man. I think it's
- 1:17:22Speaker 1: a bad spot for Phoenix because one thing I already
- 1:17:25Speaker 1: mentioned earlier when I talked about San Antonio, Phoenix just
- 1:17:29Speaker 1: almost beat San Antonio. Man, they just went into San
- 1:17:32Speaker 1: Antonio and lost by one Phoenix, really close call. Is
- 1:17:36Speaker 1: a big underdog against one of the best teams in
- 1:17:38Speaker 1: the NBA. Huge game for Phoenix, So I think that
- 1:17:41Speaker 1: puts them in a hangover spot coming off of that.
- 1:17:44Speaker 1: To make matters worse, they're playing a fourth game in
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: six days, all in different cities, and on top of
- 1:17:49Speaker 1: all that, they're returning home from a road trip that
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: took them as far as Toronto and Boston. They started
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: the road trip on the tenth so they've been on
- 1:17:58Speaker 1: the road for a double day amount of days. And
- 1:18:00Speaker 1: you know, I talk about this when you return on
- 1:18:02Speaker 1: from a road trip a lot of times you're distracted.
- 1:18:05Speaker 1: You got to get back to home life, whatever. And
- 1:18:08Speaker 1: they already beat Milwaukee on the road during the road trip.
- 1:18:11Speaker 1: That was the first game on the road trip. They
- 1:18:13Speaker 1: beat Milwaukee in Milwaukee, which I'm assuming was without Yannis,
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: But Yannis is also heard again, so he's not playing
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: in this game either. So but it's still kind of
- 1:18:22Speaker 1: like a quick revenge for Milwaukee. But I think more
- 1:18:24Speaker 1: so what the case is is that Phoenix is just
- 1:18:27Speaker 1: gonna overlook Milwaukee because they beat Milwaukee on the road
- 1:18:31Speaker 1: and they have Toronto up next, and oh yeah, Phoenix
- 1:18:34Speaker 1: happen to lose at Toronto during that road trip as well,
- 1:18:37Speaker 1: so they might look ahead to that game a little
- 1:18:39Speaker 1: bit and they have Denver on deck after that. Now, yes,
- 1:18:41Speaker 1: I know this is a TV game for Phoenix, so
- 1:18:44Speaker 1: that might motivate you a little bit more. But I
- 1:18:46Speaker 1: think the spot is just too horrible for them. Man
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: from Milwaukee, I think you got to get an effort
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: out of Milwaukee here. Man, They're coming up of a really,
- 1:18:55Speaker 1: really bad loss in Utah. They got absolutely embarrassed by
- 1:18:59Speaker 1: thirty something points against Utah. I think if that happens
- 1:19:02Speaker 1: you're playing a Phoenix team, it's pretty good and just
- 1:19:04Speaker 1: beat you. You're gonna show up for this game. And
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: what we see is Milwaukee is putting in some effort.
- 1:19:10Speaker 1: Although I know you know that was without Yannis. Let's
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: think about this though. Look at the game that Milwaukee
- 1:19:16Speaker 1: played before that. It was the first game without Yanis
- 1:19:19Speaker 1: again and they played Cleveland within seven points. That was
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: actually a good effort out of Milwaukee. And that one
- 1:19:25Speaker 1: that was the injured player theory spot that we talked about.
- 1:19:28Speaker 1: Milwaukee had won the last game with Yannis in there
- 1:19:30Speaker 1: against Indiana. He got hurt. They stepped up their level
- 1:19:34Speaker 1: of intensity for a big game against Cleveland. Then they
- 1:19:38Speaker 1: just had nothing left in the next game. So I
- 1:19:40Speaker 1: think you can explain why they were so bad against
- 1:19:42Speaker 1: Utah because they had to go all the way out
- 1:19:44Speaker 1: into elevation off a big game against Cleveland, second game
- 1:19:47Speaker 1: without Yanis. But now I think you kind of enter
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: that spot where it's just kind of a normal handicap
- 1:19:52Speaker 1: now where they're used to being without Yannis again. You know,
- 1:19:56Speaker 1: like I said, he did not play in that game
- 1:19:58Speaker 1: against Phoenix. I think his first game where he came
- 1:20:00Speaker 1: back was against Miami. So yeah, I guess do with
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: all that information what you want to. But yeah, I
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: like Milwaukee here. I think you can kind of explain
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: why they were so bad in that Utah game, and
- 1:20:11Speaker 1: I think it was bad enough that you're gonna get
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: a better effort out of them here. So that's what
- 1:20:15Speaker 1: we're going with here. We will go with Milwaukee here. Yes,
- 1:20:18Speaker 1: there is a little bit of a concern that they're
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: playing what is this, five games in the last eight days,
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: but you know, a couple of them in the middle
- 1:20:27Speaker 1: we're at home, so I'm not quite as worried about that.
- 1:20:30Speaker 1: We'll be on the box even though the money is
- 1:20:31Speaker 1: saying otherwise. There and that's it, man, that's the show
- 1:20:35Speaker 1: for today. The plays one more time. We're laying two
- 1:20:37Speaker 1: double digit favorites in the tournament Duke minus the points,
- 1:20:41Speaker 1: Arkansas minus the points. But you know I gave you
- 1:20:44Speaker 1: the reasoning why Hockey we're grabbing an underdog that I love.
- 1:20:47Speaker 1: The spot there for the Winnipeg Jets, we're doing that.
- 1:20:50Speaker 1: And then NBA we're taking an ugly underdog there, Milwaukee
- 1:20:55Speaker 1: plus the points. Those are my four plays today. Let's
- 1:20:58Speaker 1: have a good one. Let's have a good Saturday today.
- 1:21:00Speaker 1: Enjoy the day, enjoy the games. Thanks for hanging out, everybody.
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: Learn a tone on Twitter, learn a tone on Instagram.
- 1:21:07Speaker 1: Like I said, you can subscribe to me on Twitter
- 1:21:09Speaker 1: and you do get into that group chat if you
- 1:21:11Speaker 1: do that, as long as your app is updated. I apologize.
- 1:21:15Speaker 1: I'm also belching while I'm doing this, belching up the oatmeal.
- 1:21:18Speaker 1: That's what I do, man, Yeah, it's gross. Like a
- 1:21:24Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here, you know, give me good
- 1:21:26Speaker 1: replies here on the Channel's boost this thing, as I
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: always say, which hasn't been working. But you know, we're
- 1:21:31Speaker 1: on an audio as well Apple Spotify, give me good
- 1:21:34Speaker 1: reviews over there, listening all that helps over there. We
- 1:21:38Speaker 1: got covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube.
- 1:21:41Speaker 1: You can check that out as well. I've been doing
- 1:21:42Speaker 1: some yuke covers. Most recently I did the afro Man
- 1:21:46Speaker 1: covered to shout out to afro Man for beating the system.
- 1:21:50Speaker 1: And now he's running for president again, so there you go.
- 1:21:54Speaker 1: Got to meet him once as well at the Libertarian
- 1:21:57Speaker 1: Party convention. When we did, we had carry Oki with
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: afro Man and he just did his own songs when
- 1:22:04Speaker 1: he took the stage. It was pretty awesome, to be honest. Then, uh,
- 1:22:09Speaker 1: what else do we have? Patreon, dot com, slash and
- 1:22:11Speaker 1: Learned the Toe if you want to get mad at
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: me for not paying enough attention to it. And then uh,
- 1:22:17Speaker 1: Loser Cast every Tuesday night is a comedy show that
- 1:22:20Speaker 1: I do right now. That's gonna do it, Yes, sir,
- 1:22:23Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out everybody. But wait, what my audio
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: is not on Spotify. Let me check I've been I've
- 1:22:35Speaker 1: been doing it. I'm doing it through publishing it through Sprinker. Still,
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: I know Sprinker took me down like they nuked my account,
- 1:22:44Speaker 1: but since it's been backfold on Let me say, uh,
- 1:22:53Speaker 1: I mean, thanks for letting me know. I guess I
- 1:22:55Speaker 1: can't even find it through the search, man, what the hell?
- 1:23:00Speaker 1: So like you mean you can't even find it in search? Now?
- 1:23:02Speaker 1: Is that what we're talking about? What the hell? If
- 1:23:14Speaker 1: Spotify like banned me or something, I wouldn't even know
- 1:23:17Speaker 1: because what the hell? Yeah, I wouldn't even know about
- 1:23:24Speaker 1: it because like, yeah, I don't know. Am I on
- 1:23:30Speaker 1: Apple still? Oh my god, dude, I might have to
- 1:23:36Speaker 1: stop using spreaker. I don't know what else to tell you. Yeah,
- 1:23:41Speaker 1: I'm on Apple still? How am I not on Spotify? Dude?
- 1:23:44Speaker 1: If Spotify took me down, I don't know why they would.
- 1:23:47Speaker 1: But it also, like I don't know, it makes no sense.
- 1:23:51Speaker 1: Fuck I might have to contact h Spreeker again about that. Well,
- 1:23:57Speaker 1: thanks for letting me know. I guess that's a fucking bullshit.
- 1:24:00Speaker 1: Fuck God, I hate these dude, I hate these companies.
- 1:24:04Speaker 1: I hate them. All right, I'm gonna look into that.
- 1:24:06Speaker 1: Thank you for letting me know. That's gonna do it. Yeah,
- 1:24:11Speaker 1: but dude, I'm just doing sports content here, So why
- 1:24:15Speaker 1: do I get banned for that? No idea that's gonna
- 1:24:18Speaker 1: do it. I appreciate it, guys, Peace,