Latest / Bought Borrowed and Sold / How about some cash flow with a rental?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hello, hello, and welcome to Ball Barn and Sold. Hope
- 0:06Speaker 1: y'all are having a wonderful morning. Got that coffee rocking
- 0:10Speaker 1: and rolling. Brad Smith's over there on his phone. Brad Smith,
- 0:16Speaker 1: Cross Country Mortgage. What's up, dude?
- 0:18Speaker 2: Man, I am just living the life.
- 0:21Speaker 1: Were you getting prepared for the mortgage game?
- 0:23Speaker 2: How about I'm living life?
- 0:23Speaker 1: Was that what you were doing?
- 0:24Speaker 2: I'm living life.
- 0:25Speaker 1: Were you getting prepared for the mortgage game here in
- 0:26Speaker 1: a minute?
- 0:27Speaker 2: Yeah, I was rereading some notes, trying to find some
- 0:29Speaker 2: positive spin for later, but I just don't have much.
- 0:32Speaker 1: Well, you know, I was looking at our numbers for September,
- 0:37Speaker 1: and our September numbers closings are looking pretty good.
- 0:40Speaker 2: Awesome.
- 0:41Speaker 1: So I'm very happy with that.
- 0:42Speaker 2: That's great.
- 0:43Speaker 1: A lot of our listings have been able to get sold,
- 0:46Speaker 1: get under contract, and ideally will be closing throughout the
- 0:50Speaker 1: rest of this month. And I would say an average
- 0:55Speaker 1: start to October, you know, based on our under contracts
- 0:59Speaker 1: right now. So, you know, I feel like we're making
- 1:02Speaker 1: progress even with all kinds of crazy.
- 1:05Speaker 2: News that's out there. I just meant people, you know,
- 1:07Speaker 2: for the folks that are worried about where the mortgage
- 1:11Speaker 2: rates are going, the news isn't great.
- 1:15Speaker 1: Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 1:16Speaker 2: So that's really all I've got.
- 1:17Speaker 1: That's the teaser. That's the teaser.
- 1:19Speaker 2: If you wanted to call it a teaser.
- 1:22Speaker 1: Actually, he just ripped the Band-Aid off and said, hey,
- 1:24Speaker 1: rates are going up.
- 1:25Speaker 2: Yeah, they are. I wanted y'all to be prepared for
- 1:27Speaker 2: when we get to the game in a minute to
- 1:28Speaker 2: know that you need to adjust your.
- 1:30Speaker 1: Oh, oh, did you hear that, John? Yeah, adjust and.
- 1:35Speaker 2: I'm not saying it's like.
- 1:36Speaker 1: Which direction am I adjusting? Your little sticky notes that
- 1:39Speaker 1: you've got over there that you use, you know, hey,
- 1:42Speaker 1: I think He won last week, so I'm coming back.
- 1:45Speaker 2: That was the only reason for the little tease there.
- 1:48Speaker 2: I wanted my contestants to kind of know that, hey,
- 1:50Speaker 2: maybe you're having to change our factor a little bit.
- 1:53Speaker 2: I know y'all are pretty dialed in.
- 1:54Speaker 1: I shouldn't go with the $ 6. 50 per?
- 1:56Speaker 2: Well, I don't know. That's my new standard. I'm going
- 2:00Speaker 2: to go just like $ 6.
- 2:01Speaker 1: 80. So this week we actually sold a home to
- 2:08Speaker 1: one of our investors. Awesome. I had some folks in Calera.
- 2:13Speaker 1: that were just, you know, they didn't want to take
- 2:15Speaker 1: their house to the market. They didn't want to prepare
- 2:17Speaker 1: their house for the market. They didn't want to do
- 2:18Speaker 1: the things that they needed to do to get their
- 2:21Speaker 1: house on the market. And so we got one of
- 2:24Speaker 1: our investors hooked up and we ended up getting a deal,
- 2:27Speaker 1: you know, rock, you know, secured and, and they were
- 2:31Speaker 1: able to move down to the Auburn where they wanted
- 2:34Speaker 1: to be. And so it was something I've been actually
- 2:36Speaker 1: working on for my goodness, maybe nine or ten months.
- 2:42Speaker 1: And we kind of looked at it, and we took
- 2:44Speaker 1: a pause, and we were like, I don't know if
- 2:46Speaker 1: this is the right time. And then he called me back.
- 2:48Speaker 1: He's like, hey, I think the time is right. So
- 2:51Speaker 1: excited to get that one past us. And I bought
- 2:55Speaker 1: a rental home this week. Nice. So I'm excited about that.
- 2:59Speaker 2: That's fun.
- 3:00Speaker 1: Bought a home to flip this week.
- 3:03Speaker 2: Goodness, let's go. Mm-hmm. A lot of good stuff going on.
- 3:06Speaker 1: So the home I'm going to have as a rental
- 3:08Speaker 1: is going to be in Grayson Valley. And then the
- 3:11Speaker 1: home that I'm buying to flip is actually going to
- 3:14Speaker 1: be in the Roebuck, Grayson Valley area. So we've got
- 3:18Speaker 1: a couple of things. Like I've got a– next week
- 3:20Speaker 1: we've got a flip coming up in Rimlap. Oh, cool.
- 3:23Speaker 1: Over in Blount County. So, yeah, we've got a few
- 3:26Speaker 1: things in the mix. And then I've been working with
- 3:29Speaker 1: a buyer probably for the last nine, ten months. A
- 3:33Speaker 1: lot of folks– you got to build that plan, right? Yeah.
- 3:37Speaker 1: So we've, we've had been waiting on one of my
- 3:40Speaker 1: clients waiting on a divorce decree to get finalized, divorce
- 3:42Speaker 1: to get finalized and everything. We wanted to make sure
- 3:44Speaker 1: that we got her a really good house and it
- 3:48Speaker 1: only took about nine or 10 months, but we finally,
- 3:50Speaker 1: finally made it happen. So yeah, it's been, it's been
- 3:53Speaker 1: a long, checked a lot of boxes this week. I'm
- 3:55Speaker 1: telling you, hit a lot of boxes. And then we've
- 3:59Speaker 1: got like next week, we've got, I've got, you know,
- 4:01Speaker 1: some different things that are, that are closing that I'm
- 4:03Speaker 1: really excited about. So it's been, The market, I feel like,
- 4:07Speaker 1: has slowed down a little bit, but some houses, like,
- 4:11Speaker 1: I mean, we were, this past week, Cheyenne, who's one
- 4:14Speaker 1: of our new agents, she put a home under contract.
- 4:16Speaker 1: There was four offers on it. Wow. You know, so
- 4:19Speaker 1: you just never know. It depends on the house, location,
- 4:21Speaker 1: price point, all that fun stuff. So, you know, I
- 4:25Speaker 1: guess for my update... It really just depends. Oh, 100%.
- 4:30Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, we've been talking about it. If it's
- 4:33Speaker 2: the right spot and it's the right people come through it,
- 4:35Speaker 2: I mean, things are still moving. I mean, it's– and
- 4:38Speaker 2: a lot of the slowdown, too, is just more of
- 4:40Speaker 2: just seasonal. You know, we kind of get to that
- 4:42Speaker 2: where we're kind of getting to that point of we're
- 4:45Speaker 2: in the back end of third quarter now. We're staring
- 4:47Speaker 2: down the fourth quarter in October.
- 4:48Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 4:49Speaker 2: So it's just kind of that time. But yeah, so
- 4:52Speaker 2: that's great, though. Glad everything's still moving and you're seeing
- 4:55Speaker 2: some good stuff. That's right.
- 4:57Speaker 1: Well, we've got a couple of new listings. We've got
- 4:59Speaker 1: three new listings this week that we're going to talk about,
- 5:01Speaker 1: and we're going to do our mortgage game. So Brad,
- 5:03Speaker 1: with Cross Country Mortgage, bradsmithloans.com. Tell us the rules of
- 5:08Speaker 1: the game. The rules of the game.
- 5:09Speaker 2: Gusty's going to go over their new listings. He's going
- 5:11Speaker 2: to go through some of the cool features and different
- 5:13Speaker 2: things on the property. He's going to, at the end,
- 5:15Speaker 2: give us what I need, and that is the list
- 5:18Speaker 2: price of the property. That's what somebody who's going to
- 5:20Speaker 2: pay for the house. So I'll give a potential down
- 5:22Speaker 2: payment that a borrower may make on it. And then
- 5:24Speaker 2: Gusty and John will give their best educated guesses at
- 5:27Speaker 2: the 30-year fixed monthly principal and interest only payment.
- 5:33Speaker 1: All righty.
- 5:34Speaker 2: There we go.
- 5:35Speaker 1: Good job. Way to go. Yeah. Our first new listing
- 5:39Speaker 1: is an investment opportunity. It is in Fairfield, located at
- 5:44Speaker 1: 517 Seminole Drive. This is a three-bedroom, one-bath home with 1,065
- 5:49Speaker 1: square feet on two-tenths of an acre lot. This home
- 5:53Speaker 1: is currently tenant-occupied, leased through Section 8 at $ 1, 100 a month.
- 5:59Speaker 1: Tenant is already in place, so literally you can cash flow...
- 6:04Speaker 1: and you get a turnkey rental investment right now. This
- 6:07Speaker 1: listing is courtesy of Tim Lantz. So, Tim, congratulations on
- 6:11Speaker 1: your new listing. $ 99, 750 can get you an investment that
- 6:14Speaker 1: generates you $ 1, 100 a month. Let's go. $ 99, 750. $ 99, 750. All right,
- 6:16Speaker 1: we're going to put 20% down to start. So 20% down,
- 6:18Speaker 1: Gusty gets to go first. All right.
- 6:19Speaker 2: 20% down.
- 6:39Speaker 1: I'm going to go with $ 511. So we're financing 100,
- 6:43Speaker 1: basically 100.
- 6:45Speaker 2: So we're financing 80.
- 6:46Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm thinking, I'm thinking 500 even.
- 6:57Speaker 2: The actual payment was $ 545. I told them to adjust
- 7:03Speaker 2: their factor. I was in my head going, if John
- 7:05Speaker 2: had just changed his factor $ 20, he'd have been right
- 7:09Speaker 2: near it, $ 30. Something like that.
- 7:11Speaker 1: Chalking one up for the good guys.
- 7:13Speaker 2: Why do you got to be the good guy?
- 7:16Speaker 1: Because it's my show.
- 7:16Speaker 2: That's true.
- 7:18Speaker 1: Fair. Oh, yeah. All right. Next new listing is also
- 7:23Speaker 1: another investment opportunity. This is located in Woodlawn. At 313-62nd
- 7:30Speaker 1: Street South, this is a three-bedroom, one-bath home built in 1940, 1,226
- 7:34Speaker 1: square feet. It is currently generating $ 1, 200 a month through
- 7:36Speaker 1: Section 8. Tenant is already in place, and we are
- 7:40Speaker 1: asking $ 115, 000. So a $ 1, 200 a month revenue, and the price, $ 115, 000.
- 7:56Speaker 2: There you go.
- 7:56Speaker 1: This listing is courtesy of Tim Lance. Tim, congratulations on
- 7:59Speaker 1: another listing.
- 8:01Speaker 2: All right, $ 115, 000. We're going to put 5% down on
- 8:04Speaker 2: this one. We're going to put 5% down on this one.
- 8:07Speaker 1: All right.
- 8:08Speaker 2: And it's on to me. It's on to John.
- 8:11Speaker 1: So I'm going to say $ 690, 000. That's some good cash flow.
- 8:26Speaker 1: If you've got 11 coming in, you're making a payment
- 8:28Speaker 1: of $ 600 or $ 700 a month. That's like $ 500, $ 400,
- 8:31Speaker 1: $ 500 a month. Now, there is taxes and insurance.
- 8:34Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah. And we don't know that John's right.
- 8:36Speaker 1: 7-11. 7-11.
- 8:41Speaker 2: Sticking with the 11s. It's actually 7-45, but, Gus, he's closer.
- 8:45Speaker 2: The 11s are working.
- 8:47Speaker 1: Got to go higher. Got to go higher. All right.
- 8:52Speaker 2: But $ 745, 000 actually. So still get some cash flow.
- 8:55Speaker 1: Guess what? I've already won.
- 8:57Speaker 2: You've already won. It's the last property.
- 9:00Speaker 1: But hey, this one's actually.
- 9:01Speaker 2: Worth three because it's almost tripled.
- 9:04Speaker 1: I feel like it should be weighted based on the
- 9:06Speaker 1: asking price. Yeah, not today. You won last week.
- 9:10Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right.
- 9:11Speaker 1: He's done playing with me.
- 9:12Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah.
- 9:14Speaker 1: No freaks. All right.
- 9:15Speaker 2: Taking the toys going home.
- 9:15Speaker 1: $ 793, 000, U.S. Highway 11. This is a four-bedroom, two-bath home, 1,447
- 9:23Speaker 1: square feet, and we are asking $ 294, 000. $ 294, 000. This listing
- 9:31Speaker 1: is courtesy of Kyle Bedgood. So, Kyle, congratulations on your
- 9:36Speaker 1: new listing. 1,900 square feet, four bedrooms, two baths in Springville. Nice.
- 9:41Speaker 1: All right.
- 9:41Speaker 2: There you go.
- 9:42Speaker 1: 294.
- 9:42Speaker 2: We're going to go with 10% down. 10% down. We're
- 9:45Speaker 2: back to gusty. John is trying to stay off the
- 9:49Speaker 2: goose egg.
- 9:50Speaker 1: 294, 10% now. $ 294.
- 9:50Speaker 2: I'm going to go with 10%.
- 9:58Speaker 1: 10% down.
- 9:58Speaker 2: I'm going to go with $ 1, 700.
- 10:01Speaker 1: $ 1, 700. And $ 11. $ 11 for Augustine. I'll go $ 1, 712.
- 10:06Speaker 2: $ 1, 712. Well, that was great because it was 1805. I thought, Gus,
- 10:18Speaker 2: you might go 1811, and I was going to be
- 10:20Speaker 2: worried a little bit.
- 10:23Speaker 1: I would have went higher, but I was like, I can't.
- 10:25Speaker 1: After last week, I've got to get at least one win.
- 10:27Speaker 2: I like it. I like it. You did the right thing.
- 10:29Speaker 1: Hey, we've got a listing coming up in the Russet
- 10:31Speaker 1: Woods neighborhood of Hoover, located at 137 South Run Circle.
- 10:36Speaker 1: This home was built in 1988, and we are asking $ 429, 900,
- 10:37Speaker 1: a three-bedroom, two and a half bath home with a
- 10:44Speaker 1: two car garage. And so I'm excited about that one.
- 10:49Speaker 1: Also got one, four bedrooms, two and a half baths
- 10:52Speaker 1: located in Rimlap, 10121 Mize Road, located on two and
- 10:57Speaker 1: a half acres. It's got a pool, a brand new
- 11:00Speaker 1: pool liner. It's got new paint all throughout the interior.
- 11:04Speaker 1: And we're asking $ 475, 000 for that one. So excited about that.
- 11:06Speaker 1: And so we've got, we've got, A couple more coming soon,
- 11:13Speaker 1: so we've got some good stuff coming down the pipeline.
- 11:17Speaker 1: We do have some buyer needs, so I wanted to
- 11:20Speaker 1: kind of go over a couple of folks. We've got
- 11:21Speaker 1: somebody looking in the Huffman, Irondale, Leeds, or Moody area
- 11:26Speaker 1: up to $ 210, 000. They prefer a three-bedroom, two-bath. We've got
- 11:31Speaker 1: somebody looking for a three-bedroom, two-bath that does not include
- 11:35Speaker 1: an HOA, and they want a little bit more privacy
- 11:38Speaker 1: in large bedrooms up to $ 120, 000. We still have somebody
- 11:42Speaker 1: looking in the Griffin Park sector of Eagle Point or
- 11:46Speaker 1: just in the Eagle Point neighborhood up to $ 600, 000. And
- 11:50Speaker 1: then we've got somebody looking up to $ 560, 000 in Vestavia. And,
- 11:56Speaker 1: you know, as always, Crestwood, Forest Park, Avondale, single level
- 12:00Speaker 1: up to $ 600, 000. And we've got somebody looking in the
- 12:04Speaker 1: Edgewood School District. I've got pretty much in all price
- 12:06Speaker 1: ranges over in Edgewood School District, so. Yeah, so we've
- 12:12Speaker 1: got a bunch of things going on, so you can
- 12:14Speaker 1: reach out to us at gustygoulasgroup.com or call or text 205-542-1996. Hey,
- 12:22Speaker 1: guess what time it is?
- 12:24Speaker 2: That's right.
- 12:27Speaker 1: It's testimonial time. All right, we've got a good one
- 12:31Speaker 1: from Victoria, and Victoria says, Edwin helped us tremendously with
- 12:35Speaker 1: the purchase of our condo. He was very kind, attentive,
- 12:40Speaker 1: and helped explain everything with ease. We are so thankful
- 12:43Speaker 1: for his generosity in helping this process go as smoothly
- 12:46Speaker 1: as possible. Best real estate agent out there. Well, Victoria,
- 12:51Speaker 1: congratulations on your new condo. And Edwin, congratulations on another
- 12:56Speaker 1: five-star review. And this one is for Kyle. James says,
- 13:03Speaker 1: he did a great job. Answered all of our questions.
- 13:07Speaker 1: guided us easily throughout the process and gave great recommendations
- 13:11Speaker 1: on where to start our search for services and things
- 13:15Speaker 1: of that nature. Don't forget to ask him about cheesecake.
- 13:21Speaker 1: Kyle is quite the cheesecake connoisseur and maker. And so, uh, yeah,
- 13:28Speaker 1: so I bet you he got a cheesecake as a, uh,
- 13:31Speaker 1: as a, as a closing gift. So, James, congratulations on
- 13:35Speaker 1: your new home. And Kyle, congratulations on.
- 13:38Speaker 2: Another five-star review.
- 13:41Speaker 1: That's what I'm talking about. All right. Y'all stay tuned.
- 13:45Speaker 1: We're going to tell you a little bit more about
- 13:46Speaker 1: what we're seeing in the real estate market and all
- 13:48Speaker 1: that fun stuff. Interest rates. Right here on Bought, Borrowed,
- 13:52Speaker 1: and Sold. Stay tuned. Welcome back to Bought, Borrowed, and Sold.
- 13:59Speaker 1: And we've... I tell you, it's been a busy year, Brad.
- 14:04Speaker 2: It has.
- 14:06Speaker 1: We're up like 10% in home sales this year. And
- 14:11Speaker 1: we're beating the market, which I'm very excited about. And, yeah,
- 14:17Speaker 1: even with rates creeping up here recently, I guess, you know,
- 14:22Speaker 1: really since February.
- 14:24Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah.
- 14:26Speaker 1: But, you know, I feel like they came down for
- 14:28Speaker 1: a second. They decided to come back. I mean, people
- 14:32Speaker 1: have still been... I feel like we've had so many
- 14:35Speaker 1: people sitting on the sidelines for so long waiting on
- 14:38Speaker 1: the right houses to pop up that it really hasn't
- 14:41Speaker 1: mattered what the interest rates were. They were just really
- 14:44Speaker 1: waiting for that right house, thinking that, hey, at some point, look,
- 14:48Speaker 1: we'll just refinance when the time's right. And I like
- 14:52Speaker 1: that theory of... It is more about the house than
- 14:56Speaker 1: the rate. Now, the rate is important because... it affects
- 15:00Speaker 1: your mortgage payment. Right. So what have we been seeing
- 15:04Speaker 1: over the last week, my friend?
- 15:09Speaker 2: Well, they've gone up.
- 15:12Speaker 1: You told us that a little bit ago.
- 15:13Speaker 2: And continued to kind of tick up. Just about everything
- 15:18Speaker 2: that could have happened this week to make rates go
- 15:20Speaker 2: up did happen. And so, again, when I say it
- 15:23Speaker 2: like that, it is alarming when you start seeing– 0.1%
- 15:28Speaker 2: is a lot in the mortgage world when you're looking
- 15:31Speaker 2: at it, and you're talking about dollars and cents, it
- 15:33Speaker 2: starts adding up real quick, whether it's your $ 100, 000 mortgage
- 15:36Speaker 2: or your million dollar mortgage, or if it's a billion
- 15:39Speaker 2: dollars worth of mortgages being sold, or if it's a
- 15:41Speaker 2: $ 10 billion pool and how all this stuff starts going.
- 15:44Speaker 2: And so between the PPI number coming out this week,
- 15:50Speaker 2: which is a little bit of an indicator on inflation,
- 15:55Speaker 2: it wasn't great. CPI came out a little later. Usually
- 15:58Speaker 2: CPI comes out first. But there was enough things there
- 16:02Speaker 2: where the big number of the PCE that they pull
- 16:06Speaker 2: it all from, it kind of gives you a look
- 16:08Speaker 2: ahead of that. So inflation numbers were still creeping up
- 16:11Speaker 2: a little bit because gas prices spiked back up. Oil
- 16:15Speaker 2: spiked back up this past week.
- 16:17Speaker 1: Yeah, I was passing by a gas station. I saw $ 3.
- 16:18Speaker 2: 89. Yeah, so we're ticking back up to $ 4 there. Again,
- 16:22Speaker 2: I mean, I know there's other ways to look at it,
- 16:24Speaker 2: but for people that don't just follow the market or
- 16:26Speaker 2: get on their stock thing or look at 10-year treasuries,
- 16:30Speaker 2: that gas price will kind of tell you what mortgage
- 16:32Speaker 2: rates are doing. I mean, you know, that's kind of
- 16:34Speaker 2: my easy way because you can be riding down the
- 16:35Speaker 2: road and know, hey, it went from $ 3. 60 to $ 4.
- 16:37Speaker 2: I need to know that. Mortgage rates probably went up
- 16:39Speaker 2: this week. So, again, that's kind of all tied together.
- 16:44Speaker 2: And then... You know, the Fed and the Treasury came
- 16:49Speaker 2: out and said they're going to start selling some more treasuries.
- 16:55Speaker 1: So what does that really mean, though?
- 16:58Speaker 2: The main thing it means is they're putting more competition
- 17:06Speaker 2: in the Treasury and bond market against the mortgage rates
- 17:11Speaker 2: of what we want people buying those bonds on the
- 17:13Speaker 2: supply and demand. Now, it can ultimately help bring the
- 17:16Speaker 2: rates down, but what it does is it's kind of
- 17:20Speaker 2: that supply and demand thing. So you have to keep
- 17:22Speaker 2: bumping the rates up to get people to buy these
- 17:25Speaker 2: bonds in these pools of the mortgage side. And so
- 17:28Speaker 2: when you start dumping a bunch of federally backed treasuries
- 17:32Speaker 2: out there that people can now buy up in the market,
- 17:36Speaker 2: it takes some of that cash that may have gone
- 17:38Speaker 2: to buy mortgage bonds that may be a little riskier
- 17:40Speaker 2: even if you're returned. So to get people back in
- 17:42Speaker 2: the mortgage bonds, you've got to give them a better return.
- 17:44Speaker 2: That return, you know, I told you that their return
- 17:46Speaker 2: they're looking at is the very little interest because, you know,
- 17:50Speaker 2: the life of the mortgage is five and a half,
- 17:52Speaker 2: six and a half years usually. And so what they're
- 17:54Speaker 2: really looking at is those servicing values and how long
- 17:56Speaker 2: they can expect to have these certain portfolios performing because
- 18:01Speaker 2: they're making money off of the servicing value on these
- 18:04Speaker 2: big pools of servicers that have it all. So I
- 18:06Speaker 2: know it's getting a little deep dive, but we have a.
- 18:07Speaker 1: Little more time today. No, I think that's interesting, like,
- 18:10Speaker 1: of what they think about. So.
- 18:13Speaker 2: So when you start talking about the– we're not really
- 18:17Speaker 2: sure even really where the demand is right now with
- 18:20Speaker 2: inflation still creeping where we don't want it to go
- 18:23Speaker 2: and a lot of that being caused by the fuel prices.
- 18:26Speaker 2: So those two things are fighting each other. And then–
- 18:29Speaker 2: so we've already had rates up a little bit to
- 18:31Speaker 2: entice people to buy those pools of mortgages. And then
- 18:34Speaker 2: all of a sudden, we drop– the Fed comes and says, hey,
- 18:39Speaker 2: we're going to start dropping out more treasuries in the
- 18:40Speaker 2: market too for people to buy. And so now all
- 18:43Speaker 2: of a sudden you start getting a tug of war
- 18:45Speaker 2: there where that money is going. And so to entice
- 18:48Speaker 2: it there, you have to creep it up a little more.
- 18:49Speaker 2: So that doesn't mean that we won't come back next
- 18:52Speaker 2: week and the Fed come out and say they're going
- 18:54Speaker 2: to be part of their balance sheet. They're going to
- 18:55Speaker 2: be selling Treasury but buying back mortgage-backed security. You don't
- 18:58Speaker 2: ever know where it's going to end up going. But
- 19:00Speaker 2: when you start putting all three of those combination of things,
- 19:02Speaker 2: it kind of all come out within the same week.
- 19:05Speaker 2: And we've already been kind of at a tipping point.
- 19:07Speaker 2: Next thing you know, we go from 6.95, 30-year average,
- 19:09Speaker 2: to a 7 point. 07, 7.1 30 year average. And
- 19:14Speaker 2: so with the average that people are probably actually getting
- 19:16Speaker 2: and paying for is probably closer to, you know, if
- 19:18Speaker 2: you really did a 30 year average today on what
- 19:20Speaker 2: people are locking in at, you're probably about more like
- 19:23Speaker 2: seven and a quarter, 7.15 or something like that. When
- 19:26Speaker 2: we were closer to seven, seven and maybe right at
- 19:29Speaker 2: seven last week. And, you know, we were at 6.75
- 19:31Speaker 2: a couple of weeks ago, six and a half. We'd
- 19:34Speaker 2: gotten down to, you know, almost even a little under
- 19:36Speaker 2: six earlier, right before all this. And we've kind of
- 19:39Speaker 2: ping pong, but we're, We are now– hopefully we'll get
- 19:43Speaker 2: some good news this coming week, but right now we're
- 19:46Speaker 2: pretty solidified that we're over seven on average.
- 19:49Speaker 1: So what news do we really need, or what news
- 19:52Speaker 1: are you seeing that we're looking for to try to
- 19:55Speaker 1: get rates to adjust? Yeah, I mean– Is there any
- 19:58Speaker 1: reports that are coming out this week?
- 20:00Speaker 2: I think once we get the final CPI stuff, again,
- 20:03Speaker 2: CPI normally comes out. I know this is the Consumer
- 20:06Speaker 2: Price Index. It normally comes out before the Producer Price Index.
- 20:09Speaker 2: It didn't this week. And so, again, they kind of
- 20:12Speaker 2: took some PPI numbers and reacted to it because it
- 20:15Speaker 2: came out first for whatever reason.
- 20:17Speaker 1: Have they gotten rid of the rental approximation?
- 20:21Speaker 2: They've changed. I think that's one of the things that
- 20:24Speaker 2: they're looking at.
- 20:25Speaker 1: Because that's a bunch of malarkey.
- 20:26Speaker 2: It is. I think that's one of the factors they're
- 20:28Speaker 2: talking about changing with some of the other things they're
- 20:30Speaker 2: doing with inflation and everything else. I think I touched
- 20:32Speaker 2: on that where the Fed chair president came out and
- 20:35Speaker 2: said they're going to start changing the models and some
- 20:37Speaker 2: of the stuff of what they're looking at to dictate
- 20:39Speaker 2: these numbers to that point. Just guessing what you think
- 20:44Speaker 2: you could get rent being 30% weighted of the housing
- 20:47Speaker 2: part of the expenditures is a little silly. We just
- 20:52Speaker 2: need inflation to start showing that it's going to continue
- 20:54Speaker 2: to slow And it's hard to do when fuel's up
- 20:58Speaker 2: and everything continues to go up.
- 21:00Speaker 1: Look, I mean, that's, you, you go to the grocery store,
- 21:03Speaker 1: you go to different places and you see the, the,
- 21:05Speaker 1: at the checkout counter, how much things cost. You're like,
- 21:08Speaker 1: Oh my Lord.
- 21:09Speaker 2: And again, you can, you can have all the thoughts
- 21:11Speaker 2: you want about fuel and oil and everything else. You know,
- 21:14Speaker 2: I mean, you know, I'll, I'll tell people, I mean,
- 21:17Speaker 2: it's a good show anyways. And, you know, but you know,
- 21:19Speaker 2: watch it without your kids, but like land man is
- 21:21Speaker 2: a pretty good show as far as like talking to
- 21:24Speaker 2: you about what, what, Everything is tied to oil. Everything.
- 21:28Speaker 1: Is season three out yet?
- 21:30Speaker 2: I think it's coming up.
- 21:31Speaker 1: Oh, man, I can't wait.
- 21:32Speaker 2: But anyway, I'm just saying, but it's not political. It's
- 21:36Speaker 2: not political. I mean, it is just the facts of
- 21:40Speaker 2: what all is going on with oil every day.
- 21:44Speaker 1: But do you think it's okay for Exxon to make
- 21:46Speaker 1: $ 17 billion in the last quarter?
- 21:49Speaker 2: I mean, we're still paying it. You know what I mean?
- 21:54Speaker 2: I mean, I didn't know, but I mean, yeah.
- 21:55Speaker 1: Let's take a dollar off of a price per gallon
- 21:58Speaker 1: and what are they, they've made 14 billion or a
- 22:01Speaker 1: billion in the last quarter.
- 22:02Speaker 2: Right.
- 22:03Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 22:03Speaker 2: So, I mean, so again, so that's, that's on the
- 22:05Speaker 2: gas side, but I, but just on the oil side
- 22:07Speaker 2: of it, just of every oil, the products it's all in.
- 22:11Speaker 2: I mean, everything has to be delivered. I mean, everything,
- 22:14Speaker 2: everything is tied to it. And so, you know, until
- 22:18Speaker 2: we get some relief there, I don't know how much
- 22:20Speaker 2: more we're going to get down the rates and then,
- 22:22Speaker 2: Until we get some different, better stuff from the Fed side,
- 22:24Speaker 2: I don't know. So, I mean, we're probably sitting, chilling here.
- 22:27Speaker 1: It makes me want to get an electric car. I know.
- 22:30Speaker 1: You know?
- 22:31Speaker 2: It does. But then, I mean, but even then, it's
- 22:34Speaker 2: all oil.
- 22:35Speaker 1: Wow.
- 22:36Speaker 2: Everything made in that car is oil. Everything is still
- 22:40Speaker 2: tied back to it in some form or fashion.
- 22:41Speaker 1: Yeah. You know what I've thought about here recently? What's that?
- 22:46Speaker 1: You know that Tesla came out with their, like, cyber cabs? Uh-huh. Oh, yeah.
- 22:50Speaker 1: I've seen the pictures of that. They've seen it. It's
- 22:53Speaker 1: in Austin. They don't have them here yet.
- 22:56Speaker 2: So I went to those self-driving cars in Atlanta last weekend.
- 23:00Speaker 1: I reached out to Tesla and just said, hey, I
- 23:04Speaker 1: want more information because what if I could get one
- 23:08Speaker 1: and not like, well, I could use it like when
- 23:11Speaker 1: I'm at the office, I could just have the cab
- 23:14Speaker 1: go and do its thing.
- 23:15Speaker 2: Running.
- 23:15Speaker 1: But I could have that take me to all of
- 23:17Speaker 1: my showings.
- 23:18Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 23:19Speaker 1: And take me to my appointments.
- 23:20Speaker 2: And just take it off the clock.
- 23:21Speaker 1: I'm like, dude, that could work. I'm telling you.
- 23:24Speaker 2: Now, that's a plan.
- 23:25Speaker 1: Hey, so I've sent a message to Tesla. They have
- 23:28Speaker 1: not responded to me yet. Son of a gun. So,
- 23:30Speaker 1: you know, Elon, holler at your boy. All right. Thanks
- 23:34Speaker 1: for joining us today. As always, for any real estate needs,
- 23:38Speaker 1: go to gustygoulasgroup.com. We would love an opportunity to work
- 23:41Speaker 1: with you. And if you need to get pre-qualified for
- 23:43Speaker 1: a mortgage, that is part of the process. Let's go
- 23:46Speaker 1: to bradsmithloans.com.
- 23:49Speaker 2: All right.
- 23:49Speaker 1: Thanks so much for joining us. We'll catch you next time. Peace.