Latest / Retire and Thrive / When the Market Drops, Don’t Panic. Follow the Plan
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome back to another edition of Retire and Thrive, where we
- 0:03help you build your life with purpose, wealth, and confidence.
- 0:06I'm Cammy alongside Dan. Thanks so much for joining us
- 0:08this week. And we are talking this week
- 0:11about your financial plan and how important it is when we look
- 0:14at the market and maybe there's some uncertainty with the
- 0:17market. So Dan, this is something that
- 0:18you focus on quite often, that financial plan and not giving up
- 0:22on it. So when we see market downturns,
- 0:25how should your financial plan play a role in this?
- 0:30Well, I think the financial plan, the way I look at things,
- 0:31Cammy, is the financial plan is kind of like the blueprint,
- 0:34right? So like if you're building a
- 0:35house, that's the actual blueprint and you just stick to
- 0:39the plan. And I know we talk about this
- 0:41often. It depends on what age you are
- 0:43and what stage of life that you were in.
- 0:45And I, I, I feel like I continuously refer to a
- 0:48financial plan. And the reason why I, I, I refer
- 0:52to it is because of that is the foundation that is the base,
- 0:56that's where everything starts from and it's the investments
- 0:59that feed into that plan. And so during market
- 1:03uncertainty, volatility that we've seen, you know, we've,
- 1:06we've seen it not just this year, but I think back in the,
- 1:09in the first quarter of 2025. And again, I'm taking you back
- 1:13memory lane a year ago, but this whole tariff things sent
- 1:16everything, you know, all of the uncertainties and the markets
- 1:20dropped. I think the S&P was down from
- 1:22from the month of March to April was down over 15%.
- 1:25I mean, it was a little bit scary and again, it was unknown,
- 1:28right? But the financial plan didn't
- 1:31change. So a little education for folks
- 1:34at home and myself included. A question for you.
- 1:37When we look back to when those tariffs were announced, there
- 1:39was uncertainty. We didn't really know how it was
- 1:41going to play out. So who controls the market?
- 1:44How is that determined and how is our money impacted by that?
- 1:49So who controls the market? I think I know the answer to
- 1:53this, but do you have a four O 1K?
- 1:55Yeah. So you control the market, Noah
- 1:58controls the market, I control the market.
- 2:00It's everyone that's contributing to the market.
- 2:02So I'm, I'm giving you kind of a general maybe poking a little
- 2:06bit here, but who controls the market?
- 2:09It's the investors, it's the people that are contributing to
- 2:11the retirement plans, and it's to the people that have
- 2:14retirement plans that they're drawn income off of.
- 2:18But the short answer is the reality of what moves markets up
- 2:22and down in the long term. When I say long term, I'm
- 2:25talking 234 years. It's usually how is the economy
- 2:28doing? Well, we hear this word economy.
- 2:31What's what's an economy? Well, are companies making more
- 2:34money? Are they making less money?
- 2:36Are consumers saving more money or they spending more money?
- 2:40Is the debt for consumers going up or is it going down?
- 2:43So that those are some of the economic things that we look at.
- 2:46And if all of those are healthy and they look like they're going
- 2:50to be healthy down the road, then generally the markets will
- 2:53act positive. But when we look back to like
- 2:583-4 weeks ago when, you know, the US invaded Iran, I mean,
- 3:04that's uncertainty. So a lot of people make
- 3:07decisions, Cammy, based on emotions and what they think.
- 3:10And I know I shared this with the audience last episode.
- 3:15The markets do not like uncertainty, nor do investors.
- 3:17They don't like that cloud of unknown of what's going to
- 3:20happen and could this be the next thing.
- 3:23And so I, I feel like over the long periods of time, it's how
- 3:29the economy grows. And in my 35 year career,
- 3:34there's never been a time where the market went down and
- 3:37eventually it didn't come back, not only to where it was at the
- 3:40beginning of the downturn, but to exceed new highs.
- 3:43Sure. Back to the financial plan
- 3:47topic, do you have advice for folks?
- 3:49You're going to say it's never too early, but when should folks
- 3:52start planning for their future and creating that financial
- 3:55plan? Yeah.
- 3:55That, no, that, that that's, that's a very fair question.
- 3:57I don't think there's anything wrong with when to start a
- 4:00financial plan because I don't think people in their 20s need a
- 4:02financial plan, quite frankly. I mean, again, just being
- 4:05completely transparent, if you hire a financial advisor and
- 4:08they put together a robust financial plan, it is not free.
- 4:11I mean somehow they will get paid.
- 4:13And so there are times where we will have people come to us that
- 4:17maybe were referred to us and they might be in their mid 30s
- 4:20and we'll sit down with them for an hour and we will say here's
- 4:24our suggestion. You are in the accumulation
- 4:28phase and you should not be paying people like us when you
- 4:31get closer to retirement and you're in that distribution
- 4:34phase and determining when should I take Social Security?
- 4:38Should I take my pension as a monthly income or as a lump sum?
- 4:41You know, all of these other uncertainties, Should I be
- 4:44pulling money out of my Iras versus my Roth?
- 4:46I mean, all of those things. That's when you need a financial
- 4:49advisor in your earlier years during the accumulation phase.
- 4:53If you can find an advisor that can at least steer you in the
- 4:55right direction. Some of the questions really
- 4:57are, should I put money pre tax in my 401K or should I put it in
- 5:01the Roth? What's the implications of that?
- 5:03So I, I think to answer your question, is there a, is there a
- 5:06specific age? I think it depends on the
- 5:08financial situation. I mean, we do have clients that
- 5:11are in their late 20s, early 30s and some of it is maybe they're
- 5:14self-employed or maybe they've got, you know, high income and
- 5:17so they need help with tax scenarios.
- 5:19So I don't like to use the word it depends.
- 5:21But in this case it does depend. But for the most part, I would
- 5:23say once you start accumulating some money and you're into your
- 5:2640s, I would at least start to to to explore hiring and
- 5:29financial. OK, so my assumption was a bit
- 5:31wrong you it could be a bit too early to start that plan.
- 5:34I mean, obviously it's important to be savvy when it comes to
- 5:37your finances, but. Can I interrupt your own minute?
- 5:40And I feel like I might have not been clear enough, but for
- 5:44somebody like you in your 30s, there's nothing wrong with
- 5:47hiring a financial advisor who can put together a financial
- 5:51plan and not just sell you a product.
- 5:53But I do think it's important that people in their 30s and 20s
- 5:57for that matter, to understand the impact of compound interest.
- 6:00In other words, starting earlier in the difference.
- 6:03And if you get that and you're comfortable with deciding how
- 6:06much I should put into my IRA pre tax or MY4O1K pre tax versus
- 6:10Roth, then that's probably not a time where you should be
- 6:13spending fees to an advisor. Sure, sure.
- 6:15All right, All right. Some good advice there.
- 6:18Back to when the markets drop potentially, how important is
- 6:22diversification when it comes to our money?
- 6:26I think it's very, very important.
- 6:27And interestingly, interestingly enough, it's not just when the
- 6:30market drops. I mean, there's major, major
- 6:34Fortune 500 companies in the markets are going up and up and
- 6:36up and they stumble like maybe they have a bad year and their
- 6:40stock goes into a free for all. And so when we see those type of
- 6:44things, that's when diversification is really
- 6:47critical. So the volatility that we've saw
- 6:52as of late, having a diversified portfolio is very important
- 6:56because you may have some stocks, you may have some bonds,
- 6:59you may have some investments internationally, you may have
- 7:01some of the money market account.
- 7:02And, and, and the whole concept of diversification, and this was
- 7:06taught by, you know, me at a very young age, in my teenage
- 7:09years by my late father is, and you've heard the phrase before,
- 7:12don't put all your eggs in one basket.
- 7:13And there's true and you know, for those of you that don't
- 7:16understand that it's don't put all your eggs in one basket
- 7:18because if you drop the basket, they're all going to break,
- 7:20right. And so it's kind of a similar
- 7:21concept. Don't put all of your
- 7:23investments in the same type of an investment.
- 7:25So yes, diversification is very important.
- 7:28And and that I just want to say that and that diversification
- 7:32matters based on the stage of life that you are in because
- 7:38your diversified portfolio at your age is going to look
- 7:41different than somebody that's maybe approaching retirement.
- 7:44Speaking of someone possibly approaching retirement, what
- 7:47happens when they maybe did put all their eggs in one basket?
- 7:50What advice do you have for them?
- 7:51Is it too late to diversify? Never too late to diversify.
- 7:54Ever. We have kind of a weird, funny
- 7:58phrase here, and there is some truth to this, and this is
- 8:01certainly not advice I'm going to give, but concentration
- 8:05builds wealth. Diversification protects wealth.
- 8:10So we work with some corporate executives that may have 50,
- 8:14seventy, 80% of their money tied up in company stock.
- 8:16And if the company stock, if they were fortunate, the company
- 8:20stock did really, really well. It worked to their advantage.
- 8:23And then it's time to diversify. But for other people we've
- 8:26worked with where they might have a high concentration, the
- 8:28company's stock and the company stumbled, you know, you know it,
- 8:34it varies, you know, how fast the company comes back.
- 8:37But yeah, diversification is very, very critical.
- 8:39Can you remind us once again why it is so important to review
- 8:42your portfolio regularly? The simple answer is things
- 8:48change. You know, things change with the
- 8:50economy, things change with the markets, things change with
- 8:52asset classes. But more importantly, Cammy,
- 8:54things change with you. Things change with me.
- 8:57I mean, look at you. I mean you're the whole life has
- 8:59changed a month ago, 5 weeks ago it's changed.
- 9:02So you should be reviewing your financial plan.
- 9:05I mean, you should be looking at college funds if you and your
- 9:10husband are, if that's important to you too.
- 9:12If it's not, then don't look at it.
- 9:13But if it's important, you should be looking at 529 plans.
- 9:16So why is it important to review?
- 9:19Because your life changes, and so does the markets.
- 9:22Any other advice you have for folks when we are dealing with
- 9:25some of those downturns when it comes to the market?
- 9:29Yeah, I did say it last episode and I'll, I'll put a little bit
- 9:32different spin on it this time that continue to focus on what's
- 9:39important to you and that specifically is going to center
- 9:42around your lifestyle. Don't play the game of keeping
- 9:47up with the Joneses. In other words, you know, we
- 9:51look at things, I don't want to go too granular here on UCAMI,
- 9:55but we look at things more from what we call a strategic
- 9:58allocation. Strategic allocation is in your
- 10:0130s, you're going to have a high percentage of your money in the
- 10:03stock market. But when you're in your 60s,
- 10:06you're going to have a lower percentage of your money in the
- 10:09stock market. So somebody in their 30s might
- 10:12have 80% stocks, 20% bonds and cash.
- 10:16Somebody that's 60 might have 60% bonds and 40%, you know,
- 10:21stocks and so forth. And so, and inside of that
- 10:26strategic allocation, we have something called a tactical
- 10:28allocation. And the tactical allocation is
- 10:31do we want short term bonds? Do we want long term bonds?
- 10:33Do we want large cap? Do we want small cap?
- 10:35Do we want growth? We want value, all of that, that
- 10:37tactical side. That's more of the how do I say
- 10:41it? That's more of the Country Club
- 10:43talk. It's kind of the sitting around
- 10:44the table talking to your buddies and saying, hey, yeah,
- 10:46you know, I went into some high yield investments or I'm going
- 10:49into small caps because it's kind of it's it's the sizzle of
- 10:53the steak, if you will. And my message is, stay
- 10:57diversified, stay to your plan. Don't get caught up of what
- 11:02really is trendy. What's the hot thing?
- 11:04Because as corny as it sounds, sometimes and almost all the
- 11:09time, the tortoise wins the race.
- 11:11Stick to the plan. Sure, sure, slow and steady wins
- 11:14the race. We touched on this often.
- 11:15But how important is a financial advisor for folks?
- 11:19People might be standoffish with that because they just think all
- 11:22that's an added expense. But I imagine that it can help
- 11:26save money and actually help you, you know, spend your money
- 11:29appropriately or at least invest your money appropriately.
- 11:32Why is that so important for folks, especially when they
- 11:34reach that retirement age? Yeah, I, I think I want to come
- 11:39at this as unbiased as possible. And I'm, I'm going to speak
- 11:42truly from an unbiased perspective as we've talked
- 11:46about from tons and tons and tons of episodes, you and I wish
- 11:48that you and I have shot. We do financial plans first.
- 11:51We're a planning centric firm. We don't even talk about
- 11:53investments. We focus on the plan itself 1st.
- 11:57And so the financial plan itself is, is very, very important.
- 12:04And the people that come to us that are approaching retirement,
- 12:07the majority of them have no idea when they can retire, what
- 12:11retirement looks like, when to make some of these decisions as
- 12:14it pertains to Social Security or Medicare.
- 12:17And we're not perfect. I think we really, really try.
- 12:23We, you know, our students of the business, we're always
- 12:25trying to refine our skills, get the latest and greatest software
- 12:28and technology. But I think an advisor has many
- 12:31aspects that a non advisor do it yourself or wouldn't have.
- 12:36Some are the bigger decisions that that I had just mentioned.
- 12:39As you're approaching retirement, I think it's even
- 12:40more critical, but also something that isn't talked a
- 12:44lot about and that is called behavioral finance.
- 12:46Behavioral finance is not making decisions based on emotion.
- 12:51And there's been many studies by the big firms, be it Vanguard or
- 12:54Fidelity, that when you do things alone without a financial
- 12:57advisor, historically, on average, not everybody, but on
- 13:00average, your rate of return is less because you make decisions
- 13:05on your portfolio. Like we talked about last
- 13:07episode, trying to time this thing, getting nervous, getting
- 13:09out of the market and so forth. And sometimes having an advisor
- 13:12theoretically hold your hand and say it's gonna be OK, right,
- 13:15might be worth it. And I just, I would just
- 13:18encourage the audience to maybe do a little bit of a mind shift
- 13:20and say, it's not so much how much is it gonna cost me?
- 13:23But is the fee worth is, is that fee, IE the investment worth
- 13:28what I'm going to get out of it? And oftentimes it's hard because
- 13:31these people have worked their entire life to build up as their
- 13:34butcher retirement, their nest egg and they're turning it over
- 13:37to in essence, a stranger. And you know, for us, we're a
- 13:41fee only, which means we don't charge any commissions.
- 13:44We don't do any upfront fees any of that.
- 13:46I do, you know, for newer people, you know, if, if I sense
- 13:49that they're nervous about that, I said, well, here's the thing,
- 13:51you can always test drive us because there is no upfront
- 13:53fees. And if you're not happy or you
- 13:55don't like the service or you don't like the deliverable, you
- 13:59can go back to what you were doing.
- 14:00And so, yes, it is an investment, but the value has to
- 14:05exceed whatever that investment. Is you touched on that emotion?
- 14:08Is it typically fear, being scared about what's going to
- 14:11happen? Probably and part of it's
- 14:12unknown and, and, and we recognize that and, and you
- 14:16know, I am in my late 50s, so I get it.
- 14:19But our team here is younger in general.
- 14:22And so you take someone who's been working at an employer for
- 14:2540 years and they built up this in large 4-O1K or 4-O3B and
- 14:31they're going to turn it all over to some kid who's 35 years
- 14:34old. I mean, I get it.
- 14:35And so I think sometimes that unknown, that uncertainty is
- 14:40scary. Yeah, yeah, for sure.
- 14:43But as you mentioned, you can always test drive and see if you
- 14:46like it, see if it works for you.
- 14:47Lastly, what gives retirees the most Peace of Mind that you've
- 14:51noticed when we deal with uncertain markets?
- 14:56I think the biggest Peace of Mind retirees have is knowing
- 14:59that they're going to be OK during these uncertain times.
- 15:03And again, I don't want to keep saying this, but without a
- 15:07financial plan, you don't know. And, and people don't know, they
- 15:10can have $1,000,000 portfolio and it can drop 10% to 900,000.
- 15:13That's real money. And what often times resonates
- 15:16with people is they're like, do you realize how long it took me
- 15:20to accumulate 100 grand? And literally in six months it's
- 15:23gone. That's scary to people.
- 15:25But if we have a financial plan that has that built in, here's
- 15:29what your portfolio will do if the market drops by 10%.
- 15:32Here's what will happen if inflation is at 6%.
- 15:35And so we can weather those storms better if they can
- 15:37visually see in their plan that we built in some of these
- 15:40uncertainties. Good advice.
- 15:43Anything more that you'd like to touch on?
- 15:44I don't think so. That was enough.
- 15:46Yeah, I think we've covered it. Thanks so much for joining us
- 15:48this week. You can follow along.
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- 16:02Thanks so much for joining us. We hope you have a great week.
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- 16:06investment advisor. Advisory services are only
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