Latest / Simply Bitcoin / BREAKING: BIGGEST BITCOIN ANNOUNCEMENT IN OVER 1 YEAR?! | EP 1463
Transcript
- 0:01The CFTC and the SEC has officially changed everything.
- 0:07For the past six years here on Simply Bitcoin, we have watched
- 0:10these two institutions not only attack Bitcoin, but also fight
- 0:14each other. However, last week they
- 0:17surprised almost everyone by announcing that they'd finally
- 0:21work together. And and as skeptical as we all
- 0:25were yesterday, they actually came together to make a huge
- 0:29breakthrough, probably its biggest one in over a year.
- 0:33And of course, right on cue, Bitcoin crashes this morning.
- 0:38You just, you love to see it. Well, you know, we got good news
- 0:41for once and the Bitcoin price crashes Now, I don't know if
- 0:44there's any correlation there, but you got to highlight, it's
- 0:47funny. You, you, you got to laugh at
- 0:49it. You laugh or you're going to
- 0:50cry. Anyways, today I'm going to show
- 0:52you the good out of what came out from the FTC and the CFTC
- 0:56and some of the bad in the new rule changes that we just saw
- 1:00yesterday. So this is a big, big story.
- 1:04I would say again, there's some good and there's some bad.
- 1:10Let me let me just let me just get into it.
- 1:12So actually before I go on, let's get the SEC chair Paul
- 1:16Atkins take yesterday he was at the DC Blockchain Summit.
- 1:20Here is the clip that was going around.
- 1:22Here is his announcement and then I'll break it down for you.
- 1:26So today, I'm pleased to announce that the SE CS
- 1:30persistent failure to provide clarity on this question is
- 1:34over. As we speak, the Commission is
- 1:37implementing A token taxonomy and investment contract
- 1:41interpretation and you should find that in your inbox or if
- 1:45you look on the website when you get home.
- 1:48Our interpretation, which is grounded in existing law and
- 1:52informed by extensive public input, establishes 4 asset
- 1:56categories that are not deemed to be securities.
- 2:00So digital commodities, digital collectibles, digital tools, and
- 2:06payment stable coins under the Genius Act.
- 2:10With these categories in place, the interpretation then
- 2:13clarifies that only one crypto asset class remains subject to
- 2:18securities laws, namely digital securities, which are
- 2:22traditional securities that are tokenized.
- 2:26This distinction returns the SEC to its core mission and
- 2:31statutory authority of protecting investors involved in
- 2:35securities transactions. We're not the Securities and
- 2:38Everything Commission anymore, so thank you.
- 2:48OK, OK, I, I will break this down.
- 2:50Obviously, if you've been around for a while, this is a huge
- 2:55break from the Gary Gensler SEC, which is obviously I think
- 3:00because of the Trump administration's change of tune
- 3:05saying we want to be the Bitcoin capital of the world.
- 3:07Well, they really say the crypto capital of the world, but you
- 3:10know, whatever. Anyways, let's break this down.
- 3:13So here's the official tweet about it and it goes Today, the
- 3:16Commission issued an interpretation that clarifies
- 3:19the application of federal securities laws to crypto
- 3:22assets. This is a major step to provide
- 3:25greater clarity regarding the Commission's treatment of crypto
- 3:28assets. The release the official, you
- 3:31know, paper, the official coverage from the SEC is 68
- 3:35pages. So I I'm not going to be able to
- 3:37read that whole thing for you guys, but I do have a pretty
- 3:40good breakdown from Eleanor Terrett.
- 3:42She's been doing really good work.
- 3:44This is coming from crypto in America and this is where you
- 3:48start to see maybe the bad here. This is probably where a lot of
- 3:52the Bitcoin purist Bitcoin Maxis are going to be like, man, this
- 3:56is atrocious. But again, I'll, I'll show you
- 3:59that there is some good coming out of this.
- 4:01So here we go. Of course, while we're still
- 4:06have no idea what's going to happen with the Clarity Act
- 4:09coming out of Congress or coming out of the federal level, we do
- 4:14have some clarity coming from the SEC and the CFTC, which is
- 4:18some good news. That is some very good news
- 4:20here. No longer does it seem that we
- 4:23are going to be this. What?
- 4:25How is Gary Gunzer always saying it?
- 4:27You know, enforcement by actions.
- 4:30Basically you had no idea what was going on and until the SEC
- 4:34told you you were doing something wrong and they were
- 4:36making the rules up as they were going, we had really no clue.
- 4:40So it does seem like we are getting some form of quote
- 4:43regulatory clarity at least coming from the SEC and the
- 4:47CFTC. And like we covered last week,
- 4:50there does seem to be some coordination coming from the SEC
- 4:55and the CFTC where for years, as you know, Paul Atkins was just
- 4:59saying they were the securities in everything, where everything
- 5:03was a security and everything fell under the SE CS purview.
- 5:07And the CFTC would have different views and be like,
- 5:09wait, no, you know, we are the Commodities and Futures Trading
- 5:12Commission and some of this stuff falls under our
- 5:15jurisdiction. SEC would say everything's a
- 5:18security. CFTC would say, hey, no, there
- 5:21are some commodities that you are over regulating as
- 5:24securities. Now, it seems like we do have
- 5:27some cohesion here coming from the SEC and the CFTC.
- 5:31Anyways, in a 68 page interpretation of how existing
- 5:34securities laws apply to crypto, the agencies formally laid out a
- 5:38quote token taxonomy for classifying digital assets and
- 5:42address how on chain activities like staking, mining, air drops
- 5:45and wrapping are treated under existing law.
- 5:48The move was welcomed warmly by industry participants, who have
- 5:51long called for clearer rules of the road after years of
- 5:53navigating regulation by enforcement.
- 5:56Here's like a, you know, a tweet where it goes, 2023 me couldn't
- 6:00have imagined that 21126 me would see such a thing, let
- 6:04alone 2026 me, said Paul Greenwald, chief legal officer
- 6:08at Coinbase. So Coinbase is looking, you
- 6:12know, they're, they're saying this is a good thing, which
- 6:14probably should start, you know, picking up your your Spidey
- 6:18senses here. Anyways, at the core of the
- 6:21framework is the view that most crypto assets are not
- 6:24securities. I repeat, most crypto assets are
- 6:27not securities and that tokens can be part of an investment
- 6:30contract at one point in time, but those investment contracts
- 6:34can. And again, a sharp break away
- 6:37from the SEC under Gary Gensler quote.
- 6:40The interpretation clarifies that only one crypto asset class
- 6:43remains subject to the securities laws, which is
- 6:45digital security. These namely traditional
- 6:47securities that are tokenized. Obviously, we've been hearing
- 6:51from the likes of Larry Fink and others that they want to
- 6:55tokenize all the things, that all securities will now become
- 6:58tokenized and on some form of blockchain or whatever, You
- 7:01know, they want to tokenize everything and apparently now
- 7:04that will be the main thing under the purview of the SE CS.
- 7:09Anyways, this is probably where a lot of bit corners are going
- 7:14to get a little angry here. So, you know, hold your
- 7:16tomatoes. This is not me endorsing this.
- 7:19This is just what they laid out. I will give you some good stuff
- 7:22that came out of this, but the token taxonomy itself, which
- 7:26divides crypto assets into 5 categories, again, digital
- 7:30commodities, digital collectibles, digital tools,
- 7:32stablecoins and digital securities isn't new.
- 7:35It's something Atkins first laid out last August when he
- 7:38introduced the SE CS Project Crypto, an initiative recently
- 7:42relaunched in partnership with the CFTC.
- 7:45So it's not necessarily new, but the fact that they're having a
- 7:48good partnership with the CFTC is news, and it is, I guess,
- 7:52basically effective immediately now.
- 7:57This time though, the agencies have gone a step further, naming
- 8:0116 tokens as digital commodities, shifting them out
- 8:04of SEC territory and into the CFTCS.
- 8:08And the list includes Bitcoin and 15 other shit coins.
- 8:11So personally, from my interpretation of the Howie
- 8:16test, most things fall under securities laws.
- 8:22Bitcoin is the only one in my opinion as a more purist
- 8:26bitcoiner, that really is not a security.
- 8:31Everything else from my opinion, obviously, I think the Howie
- 8:35test is pretty clear Now going further, that's what I was
- 8:40telling you. There's some good and some bad
- 8:42that is the bad, at least from a pure Bitcoin perspective.
- 8:45From a Bitcoin only perspective, it looks like 15 other shit
- 8:50coins are now considered digital commodities.
- 8:53So I saw a lot of people on Twitter saying, oh man, now we
- 8:57are going to unleash a whole new wave of crime, a whole new wave
- 9:01of shit coinery. Just when we thought shit coin
- 9:05cycles are going to be over, it looks like the SEC is now saying
- 9:11Bitcoin and 15 other shit coins are digital commodities.
- 9:15So I guess I would hope that the shit coin cycle, that shit coins
- 9:20were officially no longer going to even to be on anyone's list.
- 9:25It looks like the SEC kind of skirted past that one.
- 9:28So that that's really the bad. OK, that's the main bad part
- 9:32about this. There is a lot of good and
- 9:34surprisingly enough, the rage highlights the good out of this,
- 9:39which is really a stark contrast.
- 9:42If you, if you know me, when I cover stuff coming from the
- 9:46rage, it's usually not that good.
- 9:50But this morning they highlighting some good and it's
- 9:53actually a win for privacy here. So here's the rage.
- 9:57And it goes again highlighting the quote.
- 10:00The SEC has issued an interpretation that clarifies
- 10:03the application of federal securities laws to digital
- 10:05assets. Using definitions in the Genius
- 10:08Act, the document clarifies Bitcoin and other digital assets
- 10:12as a commodity. Going forward, only securities
- 10:15that have been tokenized, like I said, will fall under the SE CS
- 10:18authority. The interpretation ends a long
- 10:21dispute over SEC jurisdiction over digital assets, which
- 10:25potentially could have led to the classification of digital
- 10:27asset developers as securities brokers with grave implications
- 10:31for user privacy. The interpretation appears to
- 10:35additionally advance clarity on proposals and market structure
- 10:38drafts which insufficiently define what digital assets could
- 10:42be subject to broker slash dealer registration
- 10:45requirements. The interpretation is a major
- 10:48win for privacy as brokers slash dealers are required to
- 10:52implement KYC and AML programs by law.
- 10:56She goes further or Lola lead from the rage goes further and
- 11:00she goes. A lot of people seem to not be
- 11:02be aware what a major win for privacy the SE CS interpretation
- 11:06on securities is. So let me spell this out for
- 11:09you. Under Gensler, the SEC attempted
- 11:12to classify digital asset developers as securities broker
- 11:14slash dealers. This would have meant that
- 11:16anyone offering digital asset services and software would have
- 11:20needed to register with the SEC and apply KYC and AML programs
- 11:24by law. Similar language has been
- 11:26included in latest market structure proposals, which
- 11:29insufficiently clarified who exactly such registration
- 11:32requirements would apply to. The SE CS interpretation now
- 11:35makes clear no AML slash KYC for Bitcoin, at least not not under
- 11:40the SE CS authority. Probably the biggest advancement
- 11:44for privacy under this entire administration.
- 11:47And it goes further and someone tweets.
- 11:50I can't believe I just read a post from you about an
- 11:52advancement for privacy, but I'm enjoying the the sensation.
- 11:55And she goes, I know, right? Alas, the day has come.
- 11:58So a big win for privacy, at least coming from the SEC.
- 12:02We'll see what comes out of the clarity Act, but we're seeing,
- 12:07hey, there is some good and some bad here.
- 12:09From a pure Bitcoin perspective, you're probably not so happy
- 12:13that some shit coins are now considered digital commodities.
- 12:17But from a developer perspective, from a we don't
- 12:20have the AM LKYC everything now as developers, as wallet
- 12:26creators, it's a huge win. It's a huge win and going
- 12:30further TFTC quoted and you know highlighted that the SEC and the
- 12:36CFTC officially clarified Bitcoin proof of work mining
- 12:39rewards aren't securities and labeled as protocol mining,
- 12:43which you heard in that clip. So we we are seeing some good
- 12:47here. There is some good here.
- 12:48Now going a little further from the CFTC, we did get another win
- 12:53for self custodial or quote self custodial wallets here and again
- 12:57in terms of privacy AM LKYC here's TFTC highlighting this
- 13:02and it goes to CFTC just told self custodial wallet developers
- 13:06that they don't need to register as brokers.
- 13:08Again, SEC and the CFTC both confirm that if you are creating
- 13:13Bitcoin wallets, you no longer have to register as a broker.
- 13:19You don't need to implement KYC AM L laws just for a Bitcoin
- 13:23wallet. Though we are hearing a lot of
- 13:25speculations and a lot of conversations that that is kind
- 13:29of the trend that we are going towards.
- 13:31So a big win here for for privacy and this is talking
- 13:36about a phantom wallet received a no action letter saying the
- 13:40CFTC will not pursue enforcement against self custodial wallet
- 13:43developers who connect users to regulated trading venues as long
- 13:46as they don't custody user funds first time.
- 13:49The agency has formally drawn that line and here's why it's
- 13:52massive. Under existing U.S. law, any
- 13:55entity that solicits or facilitates derivatives trading
- 13:59typically must register as an introducing broker with the
- 14:02CFTC. That was written for traditional
- 14:05finance intermediaries. But as self custodial Wallet
- 14:07started integrating access to derivative markets, developers
- 14:11faced a legal Gray area that could have classified them as
- 14:14unregistered brokers simply for writing software.
- 14:17The CFT CS position was if your wallet software connects users
- 14:20do properly registered futures Commission merchants introducing
- 14:24brokers or designated contract markets and you don't custody
- 14:28user funds, you are not a broker, you are a software
- 14:31provider. So we're starting to see, hey,
- 14:33maybe the open source kind of crypto wars 2 point O that we
- 14:39are seeing is seeing some form of clarity at least coming from
- 14:42the SEC and the CFTC. We'll still see what comes out
- 14:45of the Clarity Act, whether we'll we'll see some provisions
- 14:48similar to this, but I think this is a good move forward.
- 14:53The timing, of course, is not coincidental.
- 14:56One week ago, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig said at FI as Boca Raton
- 15:00conference quote, for too long there's been an open question as
- 15:03to whether software providers trigger the CFT CS registration
- 15:06requirements. We intend to address this
- 15:08question head on, as they just did.
- 15:11You know, seven days later it's moving, excuse me, moving pretty
- 15:15quickly here, but of course this matters far beyond this phantom
- 15:19wallet. Now every self custodial wallet
- 15:21developer and every open source protocol interface that connects
- 15:24users to regulated markets now has a reference point.
- 15:28Write software, don't custody the funds, route through
- 15:31registered intermediaries and the CFTC will not come after
- 15:34you. For context, of course, we do
- 15:37have some case law that just happened that really show and
- 15:41highlight how big of a move this is.
- 15:43The previous administration use ambiguous intermediary rules as
- 15:47a weapon against developers. Tornado Cash developers were
- 15:50prosecuted, front end shut down preemptively.
- 15:53The chilling effect pushed builders offshore, as we all saw
- 15:56with Wallet of Satoshi last year.
- 15:58Now they're coming back on shore.
- 16:00At least, you know, opening up their wallet to the US.
- 16:03This no action letter combined with Seligs ending the days of
- 16:06CFTC and SEC infighting through Project Crypto signals a
- 16:10complete reversal. The US is actively trying to
- 16:12bring developers back. So at this point I think we got
- 16:17to kind of take the good with the bad here.
- 16:19Yes, 15 shit coins are now considered digital commodities.
- 16:24Yes. From a pure Bitcoin perspective,
- 16:27you would have liked to see Bitcoin be the only digital
- 16:30commodity, though. That even opens up a whole new
- 16:33can of worms there because a lot of Bitcoiners would say, hey, we
- 16:36don't need the state. You know, we don't need the
- 16:39monopoly on violence protecting Bitcoin here.
- 16:42Bitcoin will win on its own merits.
- 16:45And so that's usually the conversation that most people
- 16:47have. It's like, OK, look, on the one
- 16:50hand, I think the Howie test is pretty clear.
- 16:53Bitcoin is the digital commodity.
- 16:54Everything else is a digital security.
- 16:57Now we're seeing, hey, OK, look you're going to you're going to
- 17:01unload some of these shit coins or let some of these shit coins
- 17:03through the door. But at least now from a
- 17:06developer perspective, from just riding software, if you do not
- 17:11custody the funds, you do not need to implement crazy KYC AM L
- 17:16laws into your wallets. So we're seeing some some good
- 17:19precedent being set here. This is a a huge change from the
- 17:24Gensler SEC to the Paul Atkins SEC.
- 17:29And now we see the SEC and the CFTC are working, you know, hand
- 17:34in hand to make sure that they're not stepping over each
- 17:37other's toes. As I've been saying for a long
- 17:39time, you know, depending on the agency, they would classify
- 17:42Bitcoin differently. Now we're seeing with this push
- 17:46from the Trump administration about being the, quote, crypto
- 17:49capital of the world that the agencies are finally following
- 17:53suit. Yes, it's took in a little
- 17:55while. Yes, we could argue that maybe
- 17:58things are moving a little slowly and maybe not fully in
- 18:01the right direction. But hey, we're going to take the
- 18:05small wins here. We're going to take the wins
- 18:07here that we can now hopefully we do see further that there is,
- 18:12I don't know, hope something that comes out for the benefit
- 18:15of the samurai wallet devs. Obviously they're in jail right
- 18:18now for pretty much like, you know, enforcement by action here
- 18:23or and yeah, yeah, that's what they called it, right.
- 18:27And so look, it's still not perfect, but the world isn't
- 18:32perfect. But I would say this is a huge
- 18:35win. And it is interesting that this
- 18:38whole push for the Clarity Act, we, we there is no clarity
- 18:42coming out of the Clarity Act yet.
- 18:44It keeps getting pushed down the line.
- 18:46There's keep calm. There's a lot of people
- 18:48speculating and a lot of people coming from DC saying, oh, it's
- 18:51going to happen end of April. If it doesn't happen end of
- 18:54April, it might not never ever happen.
- 18:57Though yesterday we did also see that Senator Lummus at the DC
- 19:03Blockchain Summit, she's doubling down on this.
- 19:06She did say something's on the Clarity Act.
- 19:09There is a bit of a conversation about what is going to happen
- 19:12with the Clarity Act. So here's again, Eleanor Tarek
- 19:15covering this, she goes Senator, Senator Cynthia Lomez on the
- 19:20state of the Clarity Act quote said we are going to have this
- 19:23thing done come hell or high water by the end of this year.
- 19:26She also expects a banking GOP markup during the second-half of
- 19:30April after the Easter break. And on yield, we think we've got
- 19:34it. And on Defy negotiations, we
- 19:37think we've got the Defy issue put to bed.
- 19:39And and there was another segment here from Eleanor
- 19:43Tarrett kind of covering the push on the Clarity Act.
- 19:49And there seems to be a conversation right now saying
- 19:53that the banks are finally coming to the table on the
- 19:57stablecoin yield question. It seems like they are going to
- 20:00compromise on it, at least that's what the rumor mill are
- 20:03saying. They're finally coming to the
- 20:05table. They're finally bending the knee
- 20:07on this. So look.
- 20:10I'm still kind of on the idea that if this doesn't get passed
- 20:14soon, I know the first conversation was March, then it
- 20:18became, oh, now it might be end of April.
- 20:21Senator Lummis is obviously bullish, saying I think if this
- 20:25happens, it won't happen by April, but if by the time we
- 20:28come back after Easter, it'll happen.
- 20:32The one caveat there, I know I'm a, I'm a fan of Senator Lummis,
- 20:37but the one caveat there is that much, not much will get done
- 20:41after about June coming from the federal government.
- 20:45So there is a a ticking time bomb here.
- 20:49There is the clock running out. We might get this through before
- 20:53the buzzer. It might not happen at all.
- 20:57Considering the midterms are going to come up.
- 20:58Considering that a lot of things that aren't really politically
- 21:02viable coming from the Republicans will most likely get
- 21:06pushed through or even talked about as the midterm start to
- 21:09heat up. Because obviously everyone wants
- 21:11to kind of campaign to maintain their positions or get more
- 21:15Republicans in the House, which isn't looking that good.
- 21:19So I like Senator Lummis's bullishness on the Clarity Act.
- 21:22Obviously, she's going to be fighting for this tooth and nail
- 21:25to the very end of the year. She is not going to run again
- 21:29for her seat for 2027. So hopefully Senator Lummis can
- 21:34get this through as kind of her last, I don't know, huge win
- 21:39before she does something else because she's no longer going to
- 21:44be a senator. But that's kind of where we are
- 21:47with the Clarity Act. So we got some clarity from the
- 21:50SEC and the CFTC. They are implementing this
- 21:53cohesion here. They're implementing the fact
- 21:55that they are working together now.
- 21:57The Clarity Act is still not clear.
- 22:01It's not clear at all there. It's, it's more muddy.
- 22:03It should be called the Muddy Waters Act at this point because
- 22:06it just seems it's just going to get kicked down the road.
- 22:08It it's not really hasn't seemed to really move forward much,
- 22:13though. As I've been saying, the
- 22:15conversations behind the scenes are that a compromise is being
- 22:20reached. Well, we see that they banks
- 22:24finally, you know, bend the knee for the stablecoin act.
- 22:28That's still up for debate, but it does seem like they are
- 22:34willing to compromise and that's the rumors we've been hearing
- 22:37for the last couple of weeks. We've heard Brian Armstrong say
- 22:40we're going to compromise. We're willing to compromise.
- 22:42We'll come back to the table for a while there.
- 22:45For last couple of weeks, the banks were saying we're not
- 22:48going to compromise on stablecoin yield.
- 22:51Now they're kind of rolling it back.
- 22:53And I think, again, that's all because President Trump said,
- 22:57hey, banks, stop fighting the Clarity Act.
- 23:01We want to get this through. So if there is more pressure
- 23:04coming from the Trump administration towards the
- 23:06banks, then maybe something will come out of the Clarity Act as a
- 23:12good compromise usually goes, you know, both negotiators are
- 23:17most likely not going to be happy and that's why it's a good
- 23:19compromise. So if the banks bend the knee or
- 23:23are willing to compromise on the stablecoin yield, then we'll see
- 23:28what the quote crypto industry is willing to compromise on.
- 23:31But as you can see, This is why the Coinbase, what was he
- 23:38Coinbase CIOI believe it was was or sorry, chief legal officer
- 23:43was so I believe happy about this because 15 shit coins are
- 23:49now digital commodities. There's been a huge debate
- 23:51amongst bitcoiners for years, like I've been saying about what
- 23:55is a digital commodity, What is a digital security?
- 23:58As of now, it seems like only all the tokenized stocks that
- 24:02they've been talking about will be under the SE CS purview.
- 24:07So hey, we'll take the win for privacy.
- 24:11It's not the total win that we want from a purely Bitcoin
- 24:16perspective, but a win's a win, OK.
- 24:20And I, and I know you guys are going to be like, I'm getting
- 24:25drilled. Yeah, yeah, sorry guys.
- 24:27I, my voice is cooked. I, I am irritating.
- 24:32It is, it is what it is. Call it the vague act, 100%
- 24:35totally the vague act. But hey, guys, at this point is,
- 24:42is something better than nothing?
- 24:43I don't know. I, I'm kind of on the, the view
- 24:48that nothing is better than something.
- 24:50But if we get some good rules coming here, it it really my, my
- 24:54point of view is just get out of bitcoins way.
- 24:57Though Senator Lummis did talk about the de minimis tax again
- 25:02at the DC Blockchain Summit. So that conversation is still
- 25:06going on. Obviously there was the whole
- 25:09speculation about Coinbase fighting de minimis tax.
- 25:14We'll see what happens. It's, it's not looking the best.
- 25:18To be honest, I'm, I'm really not bullish on the Clarity Act
- 25:21at this point. And even looking at what the
- 25:23Clarity Act is going to even have, there's been again, not
- 25:28much clarity about what is in the act and what isn't because
- 25:31we haven't had the markup structure bills yet.
- 25:35We saw a little bit come out, we saw one side come out, but we
- 25:38won't know what's really into in the Clarity Act until both sides
- 25:42come to the table and offer their markup bill.
- 25:47It is what it is at this point. I, I guess we'll just take the
- 25:50win for up from the privacy perspective here.
- 25:54So you love to see it, You love to see the change coming from
- 25:57the SEC and the CFTC. It is a stark contrast from Gary
- 26:02Gensler. And remember when Gensler went
- 26:04in, we were all pretty bullish about what Gary Gensler would do
- 26:07because he did teach a blockchain course at MIT.
- 26:11We thought, hey, he's a bitcoiner.
- 26:13He's totally going to do some good stuff for Bitcoin.
- 26:18You could argue unleashing the ETFs was a good move under Gary
- 26:23Gensler, though it seemed to be that he fought that forever.
- 26:27And now I think we are seeing what I said for a while as a
- 26:31troll that Gary Gensler might have been a maxi and pushed back
- 26:36the Bitcoin ETF because he wasn't sure how to push back the
- 26:39shit COIN ETFs. And now we're seeing under Paul
- 26:42Atkins that, hey, yes, this will be favorable for Bitcoin, but
- 26:49shit coins are totally getting getting, you know, getting
- 26:53through the door as well. Huge.
- 26:59But also, I guess maybe I'm too much of A purist.
- 27:06I'm too much of A Bitcoin only maxi that I have to point out
- 27:10the good and the bad here, But we'll we'll, we'll see what's
- 27:16going on. Maybe Lex Luthor was right.
- 27:20Yeah, dude, maybe. You know, I'm not the biggest
- 27:22fan of Brian Armstrong, but maybe he was right.
- 27:26A bad bill is worse than no bill at this point.
- 27:32And hey, we're we're we're we're we're moving forward.
- 27:38Is it perfect? No, but it's moving forward
- 27:41anyways, guys, I will keep the show moving.
- 27:44We in the numbers. I I got a clip.
- 27:47It was on Bloomberg and we're starting to see that they are
- 27:51sounding a lot like simply Bitcoin here.
- 27:54Remember, I've been highlighting the fact that Bitcoin has been
- 27:57super resilient right now in the face of this war in the Middle
- 28:00East. We're in what day eight day 19
- 28:02here, you know, three weeks in Bitcoin.
- 28:05It did have a correction today, but hey, it's been acting very
- 28:09resilient. Are we seeing a, you know,
- 28:12passing of the baton from gold to Bitcoin currently?
- 28:16Bitcoin is outperforming gold currently and as well, we got
- 28:19some new numbers coming from the traditional financial system,
- 28:24some crazy numbers coming up. So I'll cover that in the news
- 28:27and then our boys over at the Bugle, it is March Maxi madness.
- 28:33So we're going to have a little fun at the end of the show.
- 28:34OK, I, I'm going to have a call of action for you guys.
- 28:37I'm I'm going to have a special request for you guys here at to
- 28:41wrap up the show. But on that note, first
- 28:42commercial break and I'll be right back.
- 28:45Today's episode is brought to you by Bitcoin Well Infinite.
- 28:49If you're a serious Bitcoin buyer, you've probably hit the
- 28:51same wall. Most platforms make you give up
- 28:54custody just to play by the rules.
- 28:56Bitcoin Well Infinite fixes that.
- 28:59They're North America's only publicly traded, non custodial
- 29:03OTC desk listed on the TSX Venture Exchange, which means
- 29:07transparent operations and 0 counterparty risk.
- 29:11You buy Bitcoin, you take immediate control.
- 29:14Period trades over $50,000. You get a dedicated executive
- 29:19Bitcoin advisor, competitive spread starting at 1% and
- 29:23immediate delivery straight to your own wallet.
- 29:26No custody risk, no withdrawal fees, just institutional grade
- 29:30execution with full asset control.
- 29:33If you want to buy Bitcoin the right way, book a free
- 29:35consultation at bitcoinwell.com/OTC or e-mail
- 29:40infinite@bitcoinwell.com. I want to give a shout out to
- 29:44our partner stamp seed. Is your Bitcoin and cold storage
- 29:47really secure? Are your seed phrases really
- 29:50secure? Stamp seeds do it yourself kit
- 29:52has everything you'll need for you to hammer your seed words
- 29:56into commercial grade titanium plates instead of just writing
- 29:59them down on paper. Paper is fragile.
- 30:02Titanium plates are strong. Your words are actually stamped
- 30:06into the titanium plate with this hammer and these letter
- 30:10stamping tools. Once the words are in, they
- 30:13aren't going anywhere. No risk of the plate breaking
- 30:16apart and pieces falling everywhere.
- 30:19Titanium stamp seeds will survive nearly triple the heat
- 30:22produced by a house fire. They're also crush proof,
- 30:25waterproof, non corrosive, and time proof.
- 30:28And now you can customize your titanium seed plates.
- 30:32You can upload your design or logo and they will laser engrave
- 30:37it on the back of your seed plate, the opposite side of
- 30:40where the words are. Stamp your seed on stamps and
- 30:44use promo code simply to get 15% off anything on the Stamp
- 30:49se-ed.com store. All right guys, the current
- 30:57Bitcoin price is 71,310, which is a 43 1/2% discount from all
- 31:04time high. We have at least for now,
- 31:09secured the $1.4 trillion market cap currently at 1.43 trillion
- 31:14and the block height is 941,185. Actually let me let me double
- 31:19check that 'cause it has been acting up a little bit 941185
- 31:27Yep, can confirm confirming on manpool dot space that is the
- 31:31current block height. OK, guys.
- 31:33So Bloomberg, we got Bloomberg out here sounding a lot like
- 31:38Bitcoiners. I think their tone is a lot more
- 31:43disbelief than ours would be. But again, the normies love
- 31:50Bloomberg, you know, the normies love the news here.
- 31:53And they are saying what I've been saying here on the show
- 31:57that yeah, you know, hey, Bitcoin isn't going parabolic
- 32:01yet. We are in a bear market.
- 32:03But in the last three weeks, and I know it's zoom out, whatever,
- 32:06like if you go back a year, gold outperform Bitcoin.
- 32:09Sure, I'll, I'll give you that. But in the last three weeks,
- 32:13when you'd expect Bitcoin to go down, Bitcoins been going up and
- 32:17guess what's going down? Gold and equities.
- 32:21It does feel like things might be changing.
- 32:25And that's exactly what Bloomberg is saying now.
- 32:28It's obviously too early to really be able to confirm that
- 32:31this is exactly, exactly the case, but they're saying it, you
- 32:36know, it's it really is a self fulfilling prophecy here.
- 32:39So let's watch this clip real quick and then I will chat about
- 32:42it. First, though, let's take a look
- 32:45at where things stand for the last six days for Bitcoin.
- 32:49It's been resilient despite this geopolitical shock that has
- 32:53really set energy prices spiking and gold falling for the much of
- 32:56the last month. It's actually held in this range
- 32:58from just around $65,000 up to $73,000.
- 33:03But look at this, late last night, it broke through to hit
- 33:06close to $76,000 per Bitcoin. That's up around 13% so far this
- 33:11month. I guess the question a lot of
- 33:12people have might have right now is, is this acting like a safe
- 33:16haven? Let's also flip the chart and
- 33:19look at how flows to crypto ETFs have been doing.
- 33:22They're actually surging. If you look over the past couple
- 33:25of weeks, net flows for the 12 US listed spot Bitcoin ETFs
- 33:29topped $763 million last week. It suggests that there's maybe
- 33:33Scarlett, this return of some institutional confidence.
- 33:36All right, well, take a look at crypto currencies from Bitcoin
- 33:39to smaller digital coins are definitely standing out this
- 33:42month as winners compared with volatility and more traditional
- 33:45assets since the start of president wars war, President
- 33:48Trump's war in Iran, Bitcoin is up about 13%.
- 33:52Crude oil, we know has surged more than 40%, while global
- 33:55stocks as measured by the MSCI world Index, down 4%.
- 33:58Even gold, which is supposed to be the ultimate haven has
- 34:01slumped about 5%. Analysts say that traders are
- 34:04unwinding their bearish options bets that Bitcoin would fall
- 34:07below the 55,000 to $60,000 level.
- 34:10And as these negative positions are closed out, market makers
- 34:14are then forced to buy Bitcoin to rebalance their exposure.
- 34:17That has led to those inflows creating momentum to lift
- 34:20bitcoin's price. The caveat, Tim, is there's an
- 34:23absence of significant call buying, so traders are not at
- 34:27the moment aggressively taking on bullish positions.
- 34:32Sounds kind of like what I've been saying here on the show the
- 34:35last couple of weeks. Look, obviously these numbers
- 34:38are a little different this morning because Bitcoin did
- 34:41crash down to 7171 K this morning.
- 34:46We had a huge crash. I didn't check and see if it was
- 34:50at the 10 AM 10 AM time it Yep Yep, we we got a 10 AM crash
- 34:56guys. We got a 10 AM crash this
- 34:58morning but wait, I need like an alert.
- 35:00I need to play an alert here. But again, it is cherry picking.
- 35:06I will grant you that that is cherry picking, but that is kind
- 35:09of the conversation that I've been having.
- 35:11And and Bloomberg, I'll give them credit, they are asking the
- 35:14right question in my opinion, is Bitcoin right now in the last
- 35:18few weeks since the war in the Middle East acting like a safe
- 35:23haven asset. Gold, of course, historically is
- 35:27that safe haven asset. And maybe it's because gold went
- 35:30up so high last year that right now in the face of what we're
- 35:34seeing in the Middle East and with oil that people are maybe
- 35:38rebalancing their portfolios, maybe they're getting scared.
- 35:41Now, I'm not saying that they are repositioning into Bitcoin
- 35:46that Bitcoin I was fully expecting to crash whence we
- 35:50came back on that Monday after the war or after that initial
- 35:55attack over the weekend, and I was totally expecting it to
- 35:58crash. Yes, it's been a slow grind yes,
- 36:01it went up to 70 almost 76 K. It's pulled back a little bit.
- 36:06I saw someone in the chat said like you're you're saying that
- 36:08the Bitcoin price is acting resilient.
- 36:10I'm like, yeah, it, this is totally, in my opinion, a strong
- 36:14move right now for Bitcoin considering what is going on and
- 36:18everything else. Equities are pulling back.
- 36:22Gold's kind of pulling back. Obviously crude oil's going
- 36:25insane right now and and probably going to go even
- 36:28higher. I just saw a number coming out
- 36:30of what's that Walter, Walter Bloomberg, I think his Twitter
- 36:34account is that gold or sorry, Gas prices are now at the
- 36:38highest level since 2022. I was actually looking at gas
- 36:43this morning and I was like, man, I could have swore.
- 36:45I just bought 298 per gallon about two weeks ago and now it's
- 36:50I saw it and it was $4.00. I'm like, whoa, I have not been
- 36:54paying attention to the gas prices really in, in, in
- 36:57practice here I've been, I've been watching crude oil prices
- 37:00go to $100. But I would say it's acting
- 37:05resilient. Now, obviously I am completely
- 37:08biased. I am a bull tard.
- 37:11I I'm, I'm always going to be bullish on Bitcoin.
- 37:15Actually, did I did I pull up the here?
- 37:18Let me let me pull up the tweet here.
- 37:20It's actually a meme. I know you guys like the memes.
- 37:24I finally found the TA meme I've been mentioning on the show and
- 37:30here it is. This is my interpretation of
- 37:35what is going on in everything. And this is TA in a nutshell.
- 37:40And this is the bullish Bitcoin view and the bearish Bitcoiner
- 37:45view as well. And you can see it's two guys
- 37:49watching the same exact documentary, but it is framed
- 37:53differently. You know, on the Discovery
- 37:55Channel 1 is line documentary, one is antelope documentary.
- 37:58And depending on your bias, if you're watching the Lion
- 38:02documentary and you're on Team Lion, you're probably excited.
- 38:06If you're watching the quote UN quote antelope documentary and
- 38:10you are on Team Antelope, you're probably not so happy when the
- 38:15lion takes down the antelope. Now, this is, you know, a good
- 38:19little mental picture of what I think's going on because look,
- 38:22you guys seen me and Nico kind of argue on the show.
- 38:25I've been extremely bullish. He's been a lot more bearish.
- 38:30But again, when I look at the macro picture right now, and I
- 38:33will cover a little more macro stuff in the next segment, when
- 38:36I look at the macro picture right now, I think Bitcoin is
- 38:40doing extremely well. It might not be pumping.
- 38:43We might still be in a bear market, but the fact that we
- 38:47aren't dropping like a freaking hot potato right now, I think
- 38:52that's me. That's it's resilient.
- 38:55I think it is proving in this very moment the idea that
- 38:59Bitcoin is a safe haven asset. And I brought up the idea me and
- 39:03Sophie been talking about this like for the last two weeks,
- 39:05Like, wait, was World War Three good for Bitcoin?
- 39:08Because it's kind of doing what we all believed it would do
- 39:12eventually. And obviously it's still early
- 39:16in that process. I don't think we are seeing
- 39:20necessarily the institutional investor looking at Bitcoin and
- 39:24being like, yeah, I need to totally own that.
- 39:26But we are seeing that individuals are doing that.
- 39:29We are seeing the price kind of be a little bubbly here.
- 39:33I am a Wick off maxi and I think it's still kind of working the
- 39:38Wick off accumulation pattern currently, but it's kind of
- 39:42taking a little longer than I thought it would.
- 39:44And I think this pull back is literally perfectly Wick off
- 39:48accumulation. So I'm I'm holding to Wick off
- 39:51accumulation maxi here. And if I'm true, if I wait, if
- 39:55I'm right and it's true, then we might be seeing some frothy
- 40:01price action here. But you know.
- 40:04I did also see the SEC say if you are getting trading signals
- 40:10from a telegram group or something like that, you
- 40:13probably shouldn't be doing that.
- 40:14So I will extend that a little further.
- 40:17If you are taking trading signals from me on YouTube, you
- 40:21probably shouldn't be doing that.
- 40:22This is not financial advice. This is just my reaction, my
- 40:26analysis, my view of what's going on right now.
- 40:29But I'm starting to, I'm starting to feel a little
- 40:32bullish. And we're seeing Bloomberg
- 40:34basically say the same thing I've been saying.
- 40:36Now, I know we always joke of the mainstream media watching
- 40:41simply Bitcoin. I doubt they're doing that per
- 40:43SE, but they are looking at the same data.
- 40:48And I think we all expected Bitcoin to crash and it hasn't
- 40:51yet. Big caveat yet, of course.
- 40:55But hey, only time will tell. Only time will tell.
- 40:59All right, guys, I do want to cover and I and I saw my boy
- 41:03down under Blues in the chat say are we going to be talking about
- 41:08traditional? What what do you say like
- 41:11traditional news noise or are we going to be talking about some
- 41:15Bitcoin signal? Well, it's going to be a little
- 41:17bit of both. We we do have some news coming
- 41:20out of the Tradfi system, but I will of course put the Bitcoin
- 41:25lens on that. So I'll be right back.
- 41:28I want to give a shout out to our partner Hive Digital
- 41:31Technologies. Fueled by clean energy, Hive has
- 41:34quadrupled its global Bitcoin mining footprint and channels
- 41:38that same scale into high performance compute, where their
- 41:42AI cloud is now ranked number one in the world for network
- 41:46performance. At Hive, you've got dual
- 41:49engines, Bitcoin and AI humming, roaring, accelerating and
- 41:53unison. They're lean and mean, they're
- 41:55green and clean, and they're rewriting the playbook on
- 41:58sustainable digital infrastructure.
- 42:00You can catch the latest buzz at Hive Digital Tech or at Hive
- 42:04Digital Tech dot. Com OK guys so oh this is
- 42:15whatever. It doesn't matter anyways.
- 42:19Guess what guys? Big breaking, huge breaking. the
- 42:24US debt clock is now over $39 trillion.
- 42:29I repeat, we have officially crossed the $39 trillion mark on
- 42:35the US national debt. Now, I know a lot of people
- 42:39watch this show and they complain and yell at us like you
- 42:42guys are so US centric. Sorry, not sorry.
- 42:46You know, we, we live in America. the US is still the
- 42:49world reserve currency. I always think of what happens
- 42:53in the US has basically downstream effects to every
- 42:55other country. Further, what happens to the US
- 42:59dollar has downstream effects to all of the weaker currencies out
- 43:02there. But we have officially crossed
- 43:04$39 trillion in U.S. National debt with let's see, I
- 43:11I forget where the UN spent. There we go.
- 43:13US total debt, unfunded debt, $107 trillion.
- 43:20It is absolutely unsustainable. As the meme goes, nothing stops
- 43:25this train. The big print is coming and it
- 43:29is currently happening in real time.
- 43:30Now remember, I did cover the initial numbers coming out of
- 43:36the Iran war of how much money they are spending on this war.
- 43:40And it was wholly underestimated from what I saw.
- 43:45I think we were saying about like 1 billion.
- 43:48It was basically like 5 times. They've spent five times the
- 43:52amount that was projected. And I'm not saying that that is
- 43:56what got us necessarily over the $39 trillion debt mark, but it's
- 44:02obviously one of the things that is really accelerating it.
- 44:06And I think this is just the beginning if you're hearing what
- 44:09Donald Trump himself has been saying.
- 44:13I know my friends were telling me, and I know the official
- 44:15narrative is saying this was not a forever war.
- 44:18But it's starting to sound like this is a forever war, and we're
- 44:21going to be in the Middle East for a long time now.
- 44:25We get conflicting statements coming out of Trump and Pete
- 44:30Hegseth and everyone else in the Trump administration.
- 44:33It seems like they're conflicting each other
- 44:34constantly being like, you know, one, what's the other?
- 44:37What's the thing? It's an operation.
- 44:39It's a war. It's just a mission where
- 44:45finally, I think the markets are starting to price in the fact
- 44:48that we are going to be there for a long time.
- 44:51And what those implications are going to have on not just the
- 44:55amount of debt or the amount of money that will be printed to
- 44:57continue this operation or mission or whatever they're
- 45:01calling it today, but further, what's going on with the Strait
- 45:06of Hormuz and what's going to happen with energy?
- 45:09What's happening with oil? I just saw something this
- 45:12morning. I didn't fully dive into it
- 45:14because I was waiting to go live.
- 45:16It was like the last thing I saw on Twitter.
- 45:18But it looks like we might be having even more disrupt,
- 45:21disruptions with oil that just happened basically right before
- 45:26I went live. So energy, gas prices, oil
- 45:29prices, they might be going absolutely insane in the next
- 45:34couple of weeks, especially as everyone's pricing in this war
- 45:36in the Middle East. But if you think about where we
- 45:41were at 38 trillion, if I remember correctly, I think we
- 45:44crossed the $38 trillion mark in October.
- 45:48So it's what we're adding a trillion every four, what, 6
- 45:55months? We might be over the $40
- 45:59trillion mark at some point this year if they continue to
- 46:03accelerate this. But the math is even crazier
- 46:06that the debt, the national debt under Trump in the last 14
- 46:11months has basically gone up roughly 7%.
- 46:15And that doesn't really even fully account for what's going
- 46:18to how much money we're going to spend in the Middle East.
- 46:21So 40 trillion, 50 trillion. What's, you know, what's, what's
- 46:2750 trillion amongst friends, guys.
- 46:29You know, we're just going to be adding $10 trillion here to the
- 46:33national debt, man. Just let's just get it over
- 46:37with. Just get the big print going,
- 46:38right? I mean, look, just you're going
- 46:42to do it anyways. I know I've said this in the
- 46:45past and everyone in the, well, rather it was more Nikko than
- 46:48anyone in the chat was like, wow, Nikko or Opti just doesn't
- 46:51care about the middle class. And I'm like, look, I'm just
- 46:54relaying what they're saying, that if you aren't holding
- 46:57assets, if you're not holding Bitcoin, it's going to be very
- 47:00hard to save in dollars, especially when the national
- 47:04debt is increasing at an exponential rate.
- 47:07Again, nothing stops his train. And just to add on top of that,
- 47:11well, we did get the inflation numbers this morning, and they
- 47:15were higher than expected. Oh, my goodness.
- 47:18Who would have guessed? I thought inflation was going
- 47:20down, and then a war happens in the Middle East and, you know,
- 47:26the energy prices are further pushing up price.
- 47:29Yeah, the prices of things. Who would have thought?
- 47:33I mean, it's only second order effect here.
- 47:35It's like anyone that can think a little critically would have
- 47:39expected this thing to happen. And of course, we do have the
- 47:43FOMC meeting today. We know what they want to do, at
- 47:48least what the Trump administration wants.
- 47:49They want to cut interest rates. Well, the Fed is is it's in a
- 47:53corner right now. It's probably going to pause
- 47:56rates today. They're probably not going to
- 47:57change anything. But anyways, let me back up.
- 48:00Breaking US February PPI inflation rises to 3.4% above
- 48:05expectations of 2.9%. Now of course you guys know my
- 48:08view here. I I think these inflation
- 48:10numbers are cooked. They're not cooked like in the
- 48:14Gen. Z way, but like they cook the
- 48:16books here. They pick and choose to
- 48:18basically pick the best numbers. So it's probably worse than
- 48:21this. But core PPI inflation rises to
- 48:233.9% above expectations of 3.7%. And core PPI inflation is as its
- 48:29highest level since February 2023.
- 48:32And this data does not even include the Iran war rate cuts
- 48:38are being priced out. That's I'm guessing we're
- 48:42probably not going to see any more rate cuts for most likely
- 48:47the rest of the year. I was seeing odds essentially
- 48:49saying that we might get a rate cut December of this year.
- 48:54So pausing the the interest rate cuts, oil prices are going up.
- 49:03It's not looking so good here. It's almost like they had no
- 49:08idea what they were doing here. And it's making things worse.
- 49:12You know, the Golden age did seem to have some pretty good
- 49:16narrative, some pretty good memes for a little while.
- 49:18The economy is turning around. I've been saying for a while
- 49:22that when you ignore the official narratives and you base
- 49:30it on your experience, your day-to-day experience, you'd
- 49:34realize, yeah, things are costing a lot more money.
- 49:38Things are inflation is going up.
- 49:41Well, of course the national debt's going up.
- 49:42They are expanding the money supply.
- 49:44But for most people, most normally people when they see
- 49:47prices go up, they they consider that inflation.
- 49:51Obviously, from our perspective, inflation is truly the expansion
- 49:55of the money supply, which causes things to go up because
- 49:58there's more dollars chasing finite limited products.
- 50:02But anyways, our boy Fernando, Bitcoin perception, he's been on
- 50:07the show before. He did this really good tweet
- 50:09last week. And I think now that we kind of
- 50:14have a little more data points here, we are starting to see the
- 50:20bigger picture of what's going on.
- 50:22I think this analysis a week ago was like pretty spot on.
- 50:25And now that we know these numbers, we know where we are.
- 50:29You can see, hey, it's a good read here.
- 50:32So Fernando goes, I'm going to put my macro enjoyer hat on for
- 50:36a minute here. the Fed meets today.
- 50:39He said this five days ago with oil above $100.
- 50:42We're currently a little under $100.
- 50:46And the US is running low on missile interceptors.
- 50:49This is a macro setup that doesn't exist in anyone's model.
- 50:53Rate cuts are impossible with oil driven inflation as we
- 50:57currently see happening, and rate hikes are impossible with
- 51:00war driven debt expansion as we see is currently happening. the
- 51:06Fed is truly stuck. The last time the Fed was this
- 51:09trapped was the 1970s oil crisis where gold went from $35 to
- 51:12$850. Bitcoin AT70K during the most
- 51:16constrained monetary policy environment in 50 years is
- 51:19either the most underpriced asset on earth or I'm just
- 51:23absolutely wrong about any everything.
- 51:25There's really no middle ground here.
- 51:27And of course, like I said, Fed's meeting today, in about 30
- 51:31minutes, we'll get the news of whether they're they're most
- 51:36likely going to pause rates. That's kind of the general
- 51:39consensus here. Obviously, consensus around what
- 51:43the Fed's going to do doesn't necessarily mean much.
- 51:46But here on Barron's Fed meeting today, a rate pause is all but
- 51:49certain because oil prices cloud the outlook.
- 51:53So again, you know, this was a this was a good little good
- 51:57little take here. Rate cuts are impossible with
- 51:59oil driven inflation and rate hikes are impossible with war
- 52:02driven debt expansion. We have both of those things
- 52:05playing out. It looks like the feds just
- 52:08going to be cooked, probably going to just keep pausing
- 52:11rates, which just further, at least in my mind, exemplifies
- 52:18why you need to own Bitcoin. You want to own a neutral
- 52:24scarce, a hard capped money that isn't controlled by people.
- 52:29That really is the neutral reserve asset of the world.
- 52:33I truly believe that Bitcoin is already the world reserve asset.
- 52:37It just isn't being, you know, touted that by the institutions,
- 52:41but it is our world reserve asset.
- 52:44It is the money of the world here currently that no one
- 52:47controls. This is why you need to own it.
- 52:50I think we're going to be seeing even crazier monetary policy
- 52:55moves. We're going to be seeing
- 52:56inflation, national debts expand to levels that were entirely
- 53:01unheard of. They're not going to be able to
- 53:04lower interest rates. They're all.
- 53:07We'll probably get even bigger numbers coming out depending on
- 53:10how long this operation Mission War, Forever War, however you
- 53:16want to paint this, however the official narrative is right now,
- 53:19whatever they're calling it today continues to go on in the
- 53:22Middle East. We're going to see energy prices
- 53:27go insane now. You know, there is a little bit
- 53:33of, or rather a non zero chance of, hey, maybe, maybe there was
- 53:37a plan throughout this whole thing and maybe they can figure
- 53:40this out. But it doesn't look like that's
- 53:42the case. It looks like we are just
- 53:45disrupting basically 25% of world oil coming out of the
- 53:50Middle East. It looks like oil's not really
- 53:53going through the Strait of Hormuz, at least to the US,
- 53:56though we are seeing rumors of oil being able to escape the
- 54:02Strait of Hormuz if it is being priced in the yuan.
- 54:06It does seem like the Petro dollar system is currently in a
- 54:11very uncertain time to say the least, but you need to protect
- 54:17yourself obviously. You guys watching your
- 54:19bitcoiners, but we we got to do what we can to try to get more
- 54:24people holding this thing right now because whether Bitcoin
- 54:28breaks up to the upside or inflation just starts breaking
- 54:31up to the upside and we see you know everything get more
- 54:35expensive because energy starts getting more expensive and oil
- 54:38starts getting more expensive. People need the the people need
- 54:42the exit route. People need the exit boat.
- 54:44People need the safety boat right now.
- 54:46This is why I keep thinking kind of throwback to the second
- 54:52segment, the numbers of from Bloomberg, where it does feel
- 54:55like Bitcoin is being super resilient.
- 55:00It is showing, I think in my opinion, and I could be wrong,
- 55:03obviously, either I'm right and like Fernando was saying, either
- 55:07I'm right and Bitcoin's the most underpriced asset or underpriced
- 55:10money in the world, or I'm just completely wrong about
- 55:12everything. But I think what we're currently
- 55:15seeing, the fact that Bitcoin is holding up very well in the
- 55:17middle of all of this stuff is Bitcoin was designed for this
- 55:20exact moment. Now obviously in the past when
- 55:24we see a lot of bad news, Bitcoin does sell off first.
- 55:28But maybe we are turning the tide here.
- 55:31Maybe we are starting to see more people realize what Bitcoin
- 55:34actually is. Maybe we're starting to see more
- 55:37people realize that they do need a neutral reserve asset.
- 55:42They do want a digital money that is hard capped at 21
- 55:45million that no one controls, that you can send around the
- 55:48world, that you can literally grab and go if there is some
- 55:52kind of, you know, hot war in your country.
- 55:57It's almost like Bitcoin was designed for this moment and
- 55:59it's acting again, I'll say it again.
- 56:02You guys can yell at me in the chat.
- 56:03It's acting super resilient right now in the face of what we
- 56:07saw October 10th into this bear market.
- 56:10I think Bitcoin's holding up incredibly well now.
- 56:14I could be wrong. It could go lower.
- 56:15I know a lot of people are saying Bitcoin's going to go
- 56:17lower. We'll see.
- 56:20We'll see. We will totally see what's going
- 56:23on in hindsight. We will potentially look back at
- 56:26this moment and be like, yeah, that's, that's the moment when
- 56:29Bitcoin really set itself apart on the world stage and I'm here
- 56:34for it. I, I think Bitcoin's doing
- 56:36exactly what it's supposed to do at the perfect time that it was
- 56:39supposed to do it. Crazy times we live in, guys.
- 56:43All right, we will be right back.
- 56:46I don't know if I'm going to be able to stay on till the rate
- 56:49cut announcement or rather the Fed meeting announcement, but I
- 56:55got to plug my boys to bugle. So we'll be right back.
- 57:00I want to give a shout out to our partner Leaden, the leader
- 57:03in Bitcoin back loans. Leaden lets you unlock the
- 57:06liquidity in your Bitcoin without ever having to sell it.
- 57:09Since 2018, they've issued over $10 billion in loans to more
- 57:13than 10,000 customers worldwide. I love these guys and not only
- 57:18do I have an account with them, I also have a loan.
- 57:20And here's what really sets them apart.
- 57:22There are no monthly payments and you can pay back the loan at
- 57:26any time. Once you send your Bitcoin as
- 57:28collateral, you can have cash in your account within 24 hours.
- 57:32Lennon has over 1005 star customer reviews and they've
- 57:36never lost a single dollar or single sat of customer funds.
- 57:41So if you want to tap into the wealth of your Bitcoin without
- 57:43having to sell it, head over to learn dot leadin dot IO slash
- 57:48simply today and you'll get .25% off your first loan.
- 57:53I want to give a shout out to our partnersat123.com.
- 57:57Sovereignty isn't just about your money, it's about your
- 58:00communications too. When the grid goes down, most
- 58:03people go dark. Cell towers fail in hurricanes,
- 58:06cyber attacks and blackouts. The satellite phones, they don't
- 58:09rely on local infrastructure, already has 77 satellites in
- 58:13orbit, giving you a Direct Line anywhere in the US, even
- 58:16offshore. If you hold your own Bitcoin
- 58:18keys, you should hold your own commstoosat123.com also has
- 58:23everything you need to start building your Bitcoin Citadel
- 58:26Starling, battery backups, Faraday bags to protect your
- 58:29hardware wallets and much much more.
- 58:32It's a one stop shop for anyone serious about resilience and off
- 58:36grid independence. Stay connected, stay
- 58:38independent, stay sovereign. Go to SAT One 123.com/simply
- 58:42today and use promo code simply to get 15% off anything on the
- 58:47store. I want to give a shout out to
- 58:49our partner Bit Key. If you already self custody your
- 58:52Bitcoin, you know the deal with hardware wallets by now.
- 58:55Complex setups, clumsy interfaces and a seed phrase
- 58:58that can be lost, stolen or forgotten.
- 59:01Bit Key fixes that. Bit Key is a multi sig hardware
- 59:04wallet built by the team behind Square and Cash Out.
- 59:08It packs a cryptographic recovery system and built in
- 59:11inheritance feature into an intuitive easy to use wallet
- 59:15with no seed phrase to sweat over.
- 59:17It's simple secure self custody without the stress time names
- 59:22bitkey one of the best inventions of 2024.
- 59:25Get 20% off at bitkey dot world. That's BITKEY dot world with the
- 59:32code simply. All righty then guys, let me
- 59:43see. Sorry guys, distracted by the
- 59:48chat. Anyways, it is March again and
- 59:53one of my favorite parody news sites.
- 1:00:00The boys over the Bitcoin bugle are doing March Maxi madness
- 1:00:04once again. If you're unfamiliar, this is
- 1:00:08the culture guys, you know, so this is part of the Bitcoin
- 1:00:11culture. I love them, love or hate the
- 1:00:13bugle guys. I think that's the one of the
- 1:00:16funniest news sites, parody sites.
- 1:00:20The there there were some of the smartest guys in the space.
- 1:00:23Well, it is March Maxi Madness again, a play on March Madness,
- 1:00:28you know college basketball where you get the vote on your
- 1:00:31favorite Bitcoin influencers or your favorite bitcoiners, I
- 1:00:36guess and your very own simply Bitcoin guys are on it.
- 1:00:40OK, but I really my call to action here is really for me.
- 1:00:45You know you don't got to vote for Nico.
- 1:00:47I don't I don't really no all right anyways, anyways, here we
- 1:00:50go here's the brackets. They did ask me to do this a
- 1:00:54while ago, but I'm doing this because I love them, not because
- 1:00:56they asked me. So 2026 Maxi Madness tournament,
- 1:01:00obviously it's where you get to vote on Twitter for your
- 1:01:05favorite bitcoiner. There's a bunch of different
- 1:01:07brackets, there's a bunch of different categories.
- 1:01:09I I forget what the categories I think.
- 1:01:11I think this top one here. Let me, let me let me find it.
- 1:01:15All I know is that I'm in the hot region.
- 1:01:17That's all that matters to me. Again, my ego is not above any
- 1:01:22compliment here. So you need to vote me for the
- 1:01:26hottest bitcoiner. That's that's what my call to
- 1:01:29action is here. I I have I have a big, big road
- 1:01:33ahead for me, but you know, underdog, I'm going to win this
- 1:01:36year. Last year I got cooked literally
- 1:01:39in my first round. I was against Sailor.
- 1:01:41I got absolutely cooked. But this year I might be able to
- 1:01:44make a little run. OK, so we have node region,
- 1:01:48which is up here. This is the node region.
- 1:01:52Obviously a play on the node wars that we have currently
- 1:01:57found ourselves in. I think Nico, I think Nico here
- 1:02:01down here is the like pod conf region.
- 1:02:07So you know, go vote Nico. We're going to give Nico some
- 1:02:10love here. Go vote for Nico.
- 1:02:11It it starts tomorrow. There there is some, you know,
- 1:02:14fanfare. There's some fun stuff to do on
- 1:02:16Twitter, but it officially starts tomorrow.
- 1:02:18You'll probably be seeing this all over Twitter, but really I'm
- 1:02:21here to use my non existent clout here on simply Bitcoin to
- 1:02:29have you guys vote in my direction.
- 1:02:31OK, I am using all the tools available to me, which is this
- 1:02:36show to plug myself in March maxi madness last year.
- 1:02:41You know I probably didn't have that many of you guys that
- 1:02:45really liked me that you know I didn't really build the goodwill
- 1:02:48with you guys yet and hey, I still can't because some people
- 1:02:52think I have an annoying voice. I think I have an annoying
- 1:02:54voice, but if you are a fan of Opti, you need to go vote for me
- 1:03:00in March. Maxi madness for in the hot
- 1:03:03region. I'm I'm trying to I'm trying to
- 1:03:04find the I'm trying to find what the names of all the groups
- 1:03:12were. There's node, there's hot
- 1:03:16region, there is pod comped, I think, and I forget what the
- 1:03:22other one is, but this is just a little fun.
- 1:03:26Here we go. Here we go.
- 1:03:27OK, node, pioneer, pod comped and hot.
- 1:03:30OK, so Nico's in pioneer. All right, Nico's in the pioneer
- 1:03:34bracket. Love to see it, love to see it.
- 1:03:38I'm over here in the hot bracket, but you know I might
- 1:03:41get out the first round. I don't know if I'll be able to
- 1:03:44be be Lynn Alden on that one, but hey, you never know.
- 1:03:48Crazier things have happened in Maxi March Madness.
- 1:03:52So guys, I'm I'm, I'm pretty warming you up.
- 1:03:59OK, pause. Hey, yo, hey, yo, Jill, hey, yo,
- 1:04:03pause. But tomorrow officially starts
- 1:04:06marks Maxi madness. If you want to participate in
- 1:04:09the Bitcoin culture, you want to have a little fun.
- 1:04:12I know things have been a little doomerish around here, but there
- 1:04:17there's still some fun left And and to me, this is part of the
- 1:04:20fun. It won't be fun if I lose first
- 1:04:23round. You know, I love Efra.
- 1:04:25She's great, great person. But I'm going to win.
- 1:04:28I'm winning that I'm at I'm at the very least winning first
- 1:04:31round. So I need you guys all to vote
- 1:04:33for me tomorrow on Twitter, OK, That's what we're doing.
- 1:04:40That is the call of action here. I don't need no, don't like
- 1:04:43today's show like Opti tomorrow on Twitter.
- 1:04:47OK, All right, whoever made this is trolling.
- 1:04:52Yeah, duh, bro. All right, do you guys not know
- 1:04:55the bugle? Bugle is my favorite.
- 1:05:00They're like my favorite news. They're not really news.
- 1:05:02They're like the, you know, Babylon B of Bitcoin.
- 1:05:05I think they're the funniest guys out there.
- 1:05:07So I'm going to do 2 plugs here. Follow the bugle.
- 1:05:11Some of the, you know, some of the trolls are maybe over your
- 1:05:15head because you're not fully in the Bitcoin industry per SE.
- 1:05:19I always find that most people that work in Bitcoin, they find
- 1:05:22the bugle to be the funniest people out there because they're
- 1:05:26kind of staying and doing all the stuff that we can't do.
- 1:05:29That's why we love them. And people that are just, you
- 1:05:33know, just average. I'm not, I don't want to say
- 1:05:36average, but just like, you know, normal Bitcoiners, they
- 1:05:39just hang around Twitter. They're like, who are these
- 1:05:41guys? They're like the dumbest people
- 1:05:42ever. And you're like, yeah, that's
- 1:05:43kind of the point. Yeah, they are totally trolling.
- 1:05:46That's that's kind of that's kind of the fun part.
- 1:05:49And then I'm not going to plug the betting guys.
- 1:05:51OK, Knox, we're not, we're not plugging the betting here.
- 1:05:55I I do not condone that the betting markets aspect of this
- 1:06:01because I was, I was going to bet against myself to win.
- 1:06:04Maybe I'll make a bag. But yes, we are having fun, OK,
- 1:06:08We are having some fun here, OK, Forgive me.
- 1:06:12We still have a little fun. It's not fun.
- 1:06:14What's the point of doing this? We're having a little fun.
- 1:06:16We're going to have a lot of fun on Twitter for the next, you
- 1:06:19know, end of March, March, maxi madness.
- 1:06:22It is trolling. It is fun.
- 1:06:25Can we have a little fun? Can I highlight some fun here on
- 1:06:28the culture? This is some of the Bitcoin
- 1:06:30culture. This is some of the stuff I
- 1:06:32love. I love the guys over there, but
- 1:06:34really, I just want to win, all right?
- 1:06:37At least Get Me Out of the first round.
- 1:06:39What's the point of having a show where, you know, thousands
- 1:06:41of people watch if I can't use my clout for, you know, my own
- 1:06:46benefit? All right, go like me tomorrow
- 1:06:52on March March, Maxi madness watch.
- 1:06:56They're going to I'm not going to tell the bugle guys they're
- 1:06:58going to start clipping this. I just gave them the plug they
- 1:07:00wanted. Actually, I will tell them I
- 1:07:02will message them anyways, guys, that's all I got for you.
- 1:07:07Well, maybe we'll talk about the rate cuts or you'll probably see
- 1:07:10them on Twitter later. I'm guessing it's going to be a
- 1:07:13pause. I don't really want to ramble
- 1:07:14for 12 more minutes. I'm actually like I'm these blue
- 1:07:17lights are killing me today. I forgot my glasses guys, I'm
- 1:07:22I'm in shambles over here. OK, I'm in shambles and I need
- 1:07:26to get off the stream, so I love you guys.
- 1:07:29I appreciate you guys. I will appreciate you more if
- 1:07:32you vote for me and March March Maxi madness.
- 1:07:36Anyways, on that note guys, have a good rest of your day.
- 1:07:41Get outside, get some sun, eat some good food, get a workout
- 1:07:45and get your steps in. Call your loved ones, stack some
- 1:07:48Bitcoin. That is what the seven steps?
- 1:07:53I think that was 7. I don't know, 7 steps to succeed
- 1:07:587 bullet, I don't know. Anyways, peace out guys.
- 1:08:01We will be back tomorrow at our same time as usual.
- 1:08:05And wait before I go. I saw some people crashing out
- 1:08:08over the late late start time. Guys, if you're here, you know I
- 1:08:13post the show early. Just open up a tab.
- 1:08:18Chill there. I start at 12:40.
- 1:08:21OK, look, it was we. It is what it is.
- 1:08:25All right? That's when I start.
- 1:08:26That's when I'm able to get everything going.
- 1:08:27That's when I got enough energy to do the show.
- 1:08:30So, hey, if you don't like it, that's cool.
- 1:08:32That's what I do here. OK, I'm starting at 12:40.
- 1:08:35It is what it is. All right, guys, I love you.
- 1:08:37Peace out. I will see you tomorrow.
- 1:08:39Have a good rest of your day on that.
- 1:08:41Now, this is your boy Opti, and you must vote for Opti in March.
- 1:08:44Maxine madness tomorrow. Peace out.
- 1:08:50Today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a
- 1:08:53Bitcoin only platform on a mission to enable financial
- 1:08:56independence.