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Monday BEST BETS | MLB & NHL & NBA | 3/30/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: Own four, iaine have not had had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new pink.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm gonna burn my browins hat Man, I don't
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: know what is going on with the bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: Arch hate? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day it is anymore. But I
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man's back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slumpers, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you. Toadstool Sports, Monday,
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: March thirtieth. I'll one and one on the show yesterday
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: the prices that I gave those plays out at. It
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: was a very slight win yesterday. I mean we could
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: basically say it was a break even. I guess if
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: you want to call it that. Houston Astros got the win,
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: although it would have been better to just go Astros
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: over their team total, I suppose, because they were going up,
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: but gets a horrible Angels pitching staff.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: Astros did stake.
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: Themselves to a four nothing lead and then immediately threw
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: all four runs back. So the part of the handicap
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: that involved their new Japanese pitcher Emi doing well did
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: not pan out luckily for us. The Anaheim bulpen sucks
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: and the Astros were able to.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: Still get the win and win by multiple runs.
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: There, but yeah, it would have been better to just
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: go astros over the team total, and I guess take
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: the unknown out of the equation. But I like to
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: go on these pitchers that are unknown to these opposing hitters, man,
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: because I think it's an advantage. And then there's no
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: way we should have lost the hockey play, No way,
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: even though yes, my Bruins got the win yesterday, that
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: game was three to nothing, like midway through the third period, dude,
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: it was all Columbus. The game was pretty much over.
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: I was like, all right, we got an easy one
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: with Columbus. Then somehow the Bruins tied the game, sent
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: it into overtime, and won the game I think in
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: a shootout. Absolutely ridiculous. I don't know how that happened.
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: Good for the Bruins, I guess, but I thought the
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: handicap was correct in that one. It looked like we're
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: gonna have an easy basically like armchair winner with that one.
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know how that one loss. Yeah, just ridiculous
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: comeback from the Bruins late. You almost never see that,
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: the three goal comeback late in the game.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: We'll move on to today.
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have two baseball players. I'm skipping hockey in NBA.
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: The hockey and NBA boards are not huge tonight. We
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: have no college basketball until Wednesday, when the College Basketball
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: Crown begins, which is gonna be interesting a handicap because
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: the team's playing in that have been off for weeks
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: at this point, so it's very strange that they wait
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: to have the Crown like the same week as the
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: Final Four. I don't know, and the NIT Final Four
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: needs to happen as well. I think that's coming up
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: as well, but those teams played or recently at least baseball.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: We do have an early game, if you want to
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: call it.
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: That, at four to ten PM Minnesota and Kansas City
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: and a divisional match up here. Not a particularly good
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: one really, but it'll be on ESPN Unlimited whatever if
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: you want to watch it there, if you have that
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: Disney plus ESPN bundle, whatever the hell it is, which
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: I do. Now every team is playing today. Some teams
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: didn't play yesterday, so it's we're in this weird spot
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: at the beginning of the season. Usually Monday is like
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: a small baseball board. Not today, and usually I want
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: to look to see who played in the ESPN Night
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: Game on Sunday.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: Night, but there is no ESPN Night Game anymore.
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: It was a peacowk Night game, which maybe we can
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: kind of handicap it the same way we're usually you
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: want to kind of look to fade the teams that
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: were involved in that, especially if it was like a
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: big game, because the teams have less of a turnaround whatever.
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: I'm not really doing that, although I am going to
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: give out a play in one of those teams games tonight,
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: but it's not on a side, so you probably know
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: what it's gonna be.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: This game.
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: I mean, Minnesota, they're coming up playing Baltimore, so they're
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: traveling in from Baltimore. They lost the series against Baltimore
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: two out of the three games.
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: Minnesota not expected to be very good this year.
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: Kansas City is coming home from Atlanta, but I wouldn't
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: really consider it to be like a long road trip
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: return because you know, well they weren't spring training though,
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: so you know, maybe it does have a little bit.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: Of that effect.
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: But it's their home opener too, so I don't really
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: necessarily want to fade teams in their home opener because
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: a lot of times they will get up for that
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: they did win yesterday against Atlanta. So sometimes when you
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: get your first win that will also kind of get
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: that monkey off your back as well, which Kansas City
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: did yesterday. So I don't really hate Kansas City in
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: this game, even though they are returning.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: Home from Atlanta.
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: Simeon Woods Richardson is pitching for Minnesota. He's been okay
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: for them. His whip maybe a little bit too high
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: last year.
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: Last year.
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: I don't think he was in their rotation for a
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: majority of the season last year. Kansas City is familiar
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: with him though, because he's been in the division.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: For a couple of years.
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: Forty four at bats against him eight to six strike
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: a walk, right show that is a lot of walks.
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: He does have a two point fifty batting average against them.
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: Thach is not that high in a seven O four ops.
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: Kansas City not a particularly good offense, and they're not
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: particularly good against Woods. Richardson, boo Bitch, is pitching for
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: Kansas City. I forgot about him. He might have been
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: injured towards the end of last year or something. He
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: had a pretty good year last year, though, I don't
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: know if he's really as good as he looked last year,
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: but he did have a good season.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: His underlying metrics were not that bad either.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: He's going up against the Minnesota lineup that I don't
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: think is that good either. Neither of these offenses are
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: very good. He's not been good against them though in
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: the past. They have thirty five at bats against some
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: nine to two strikeout walk ratio is pretty good, but
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: three seventy one batting average a lot of eight sixty
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: three ops allowed.
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: That is not good.
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: So the matchup numbers look like they actually favor Woods
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: Richardson a little bit here. Looking at the bullpens, Kansas
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: City does have the better bullpen these three relief pitchers yesterday,
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: Minnesota only is one barely so Minnesota they have a
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: very rested bullpen coming into this, although their bullpen is
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: not good at least last year. Is any indication this
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: is a very difficult handicap. Kansas City is sitting at
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty five, dropped a little.
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: Bit for minus one sixty.
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: The total is really high, although it looks like money
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: is coming in on the under after the total got
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: set at ten and a half. Now this is interesting
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: because Kansas City moved their outfield walls in by a
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: couple of feet. So Kansas City was a very picture
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: friendly park this year. We gotta I think we have
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: to wait and see what the park is gonna look
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: like as far as how hitting friendly it becomes, because
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: I don't know if moving the walls in a little
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: bit is gonna mean that these totals should be ridiculously high,
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: Like what are we doing here with a total ten
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: and a half is where this thing opened? That seems
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: like maybe an overreaction to the walls coming in, because
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, you have rested bullpens here, you have offenses
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: that aren't that good. So I would not go over
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: this number, even though usually I say when the total
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: is really high, that means something like the oddsbakers are
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: telling you something. But this in this case, it might
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: be an overreaction pun intended, I guess, because I don't
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: really I don't understand that being the case, we have
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of tickets on the over ninety percent
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the under eighty eight percent of
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: the tickets around Kansas City ninety nine percent of the cash.
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: I don't really buy that number either.
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: I would probably have a slight lean towards the twins
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: in that game, maybe on a run line, money line,
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: combo play or something like that. But I don't love
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: it by any means. So that's that game is stay
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: away from me for sure.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: And again it's gonna.
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: Be a wait and see to see if like to
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: see what the totals look like in Kansas City, like.
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: You're lining this total, like like.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: We're playing in I don't know, in the Sacramento spring
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: training stadium or something.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: It's almost like they're starting to say this is like
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: course field.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: I don't think so, man, Like, I think it will
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: just become kind of an ordinary hitting ballpark.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: But we gotta wait and see on that. Kyle, what's up?
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out.
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: No, I'm not happy about that. I fucking hate Yukon. Dude,
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: Dan Hurley is the most despicable coach in college basketball.
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: Fuck Yukon. I fucking hate Dan Hurley. I had Duke
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: in the championship in my bracket as well. No, fuck Yukon.
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: Too many people also picked Yukon. I hate Duke too,
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: but no, I'm not happy about it whatsoever.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: Fucking hate Yukon. I'm sick of them. I want them gone.
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: Go Illinois I'd root for Illinois probably gets either of
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: them at this point, to be honest, But no, No,
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: I fucking hate Dan Hurley, and Duke absolutely should have
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: won that game. The result of that game is complete
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: fucking bullshit. I probably should have talked about that at
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: the beginning of the show. That was the worst choke
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: job probably in college basketball history. Like one Seed's winning
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: by fifteen or more at the half, had never lost.
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: There were one hundred and thirty four and oh until
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: Duke somehow managed to lose that game yesterday. Duke was
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: basically covering that game wire to wire. They were winning
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: by twenty points in the middle of the game. They
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: were still winning and covering for almost the entire the
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: entirety of the remainder of the game. They were still
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: up five with like thirty seconds left. Basically, they were
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: at a point where all you have to do is
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: fucking inbound the ball and let Yukon foul you and
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: make enough of your free throws and you're gonna win
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: the game. And no, they decide that they're gonna be
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: as lazy as possible, turn the ball over horrendously on
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: a couple of possessions that were crucial at the end
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: of the game. Absolutely ridiculous, and obviously on that last one,
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: all they had to do was hold onto the ball
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: like it would have been better to take a ten
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: second violation than to.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: Yeah, than to throw it away like that.
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: It was unbelievable. It made absolutely no sense. And then
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: there was no defense. They just let the three be shot.
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: Yu kind of hit two threes in the final like
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: twenty seconds in the game or whatever, and none, neither
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: of them were defended. Like, yeah, you don't want to
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: get called for a foul, but there's no excuse for
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: being six feet away from the shooter and not putting
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: your hands in his face or not putting them up.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: It makes no sense. John Shire should be fired. He's
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: a horrible coach. This is the second in a row.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Like they imploded like that in the Final four against Houston.
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: But I was happy about that because I won money
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: on Houston in that game.
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: But yeah, like he this is a he's a horrible coach.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: He should be gone.
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: No team has had choked jobs to that extent, and
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: they choked the year before that too against NC State.
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: It's unbelievable how bad this team chokes in the uh,
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: in the tournament.
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: It's horrible.
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: They're not going to but they should Rio what's up.
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: They're not gonna fire him, but they absolutely should.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, he's a horrible coach.
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: They're they're winning just on talent and that's it, all right.
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: Baseball here Texas and Baltimore. Baltimore staying at home. Texas
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: is coming in from Philadelphia. Texas won the series against Philadelphia,
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: So does that mean they're gonna be in a bit
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: of a letdown spot here? I don't know, Maybe I don't.
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: I don't use situational stuff as much of baseball. I
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: use more matchup stuff. But Baltimore I should use situational
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: stuff where. I mean, I do consider it. Baltimore staying
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: at home. They beat Minnesota. I mean, that's not a
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: big deal at all, so situational. I guess you could
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: argue that Baltimore sets up a little bit better here.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: Baltimore used a lot of.
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen yesterday though, like the majority of their bullpen
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: saw the game yesterday, so that's not good. Their bullpen
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: is also worse than Texas's. Anyway, Texas has a bullpen
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: edge here. They the more rested bullpen as well. They
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: use less of theirs yesterday Offensively, you got to give
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: the edge to Baltimore on offense obviously. So as with
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: a lot of Texas games, it's pitching versus hitting. Jack
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: Lighter is pitching for Texas. He's he's got some talent, man,
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: but he has he has some bad outings and he
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: has some good outings. Tough to know what you're gonna
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: get out of him for one game to the next.
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: Baltimore has not really seen much of him though. They're
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: two for six off in lifetime. Although both those hits
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: are in fact home runs. They're also they have three
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: strikeouts against him and no walks. It's very difficult to
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: figure out what you're gonna get out a Lighter here.
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: You could make the argument that Baltimore is not familiar
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: with him, so he should do well. You could also
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: make the argument that, well, the Baltimore hitters that have
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: seen him have kind of lit him up, so difficult
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: to figure him out in this game. Chris Bassett is
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: pitching for Baltimore. He might get pumped up for his
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: first game with his new team here, which I believe.
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: That's what this is.
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: Because he was on Toronto had a good season with
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: Toronto last year, but I wasn't really buying it the
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: whole time. And he's a guy that just mixes up
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: his fastball. He throws his fastball in a bunch of
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: different ways pretty much. His whip got high at the
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: end of the season, which I don't really like. I
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: don't think he's as good as people thought that he
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: was last year going up against Texas though Texas is
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: not a good offense, but he hasn't been good against them.
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: Sixty five at bats, sixteen to.
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: Seven strike a walk, razihow, three zero eight batting average allowed,
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: nine to ninety two ops allowed.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: That's pretty awful.
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: So Bassett actually has really bad numbers against Texas. The money, however,
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: is all coming in a Baltimore here. Texas seventy three
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets on them, Baltimore is seventy six
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: percent of the money on them, which kind of surprises
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: me because Texas is not a very public team, Like
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: the public usually does not want to jump on these
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: teams that don't hit well.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: They don't I don't.
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: Think the public really considers Jack Lighter as highly as
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: they consider Chris Bassett after last year and Noll, maybe
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: they don't consider either of them that highly. I don't know,
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: but I'm pretty surprised that the money's all coming up Baltimore.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: Again.
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: Situationally, I wouldn't disagree with that, but pitching matchup wise,
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: you know, bullpen wise, I think all of that goes
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: to Texas. I think Baltimore kind of has the situation
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: in favor of them and the hitting in favor of them.
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: That's not enough for me, So do with that information
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: what you want to, but that's a stay away from me. Yes,
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: he's choking with He had the best player in college basketball, debatably,
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: at least with Boozer, not the.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: Other Boozer who threw the game away at the end there.
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: Cam Boozer was missing some clutch free throws in some
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: of these games. So last season, yeah, they had Cooper Flagg.
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: You could argue they were better last year Flag and Nipple,
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: who were both doing pretty well in the NBA Right now,
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: Boozer is going to wind up in the.
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: NBA as well. I don't know about both of them. Duke.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: I will say though, that.
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: I think if they didn't have those injuries, I think
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: Duke would have been probably in better shape there because
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: they had to work in No Gungba and Foster back
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: into the lineup, and they weren't using them totally appropriately.
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: And Foster really did not do a whole lot yesterday,
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: so that kind of factored into what happened there too.
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: You know, I have not been sold on this Yukon
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: team though. I don't think their offense is good enough.
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're that good this year. Dan Hurley
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: obviously out coached John Shier, and that's what happened in
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: that game. Although I cannot stand Early. I think he's
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: a psychopath. Zach, what's up?
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out all right?
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: Chicago White Sox at Miami White Sox. Now they could
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: be potentially in a bad spot here.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: They did get swept by Milwaukee, so maybe you're gonna argue, well,
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: they should bounce back here. They're having to travel to
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: Miami though, But the way that they lost yesterday was
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: pretty brutal.
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: They almost pulled off the big upset yesterday. They were
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: winning that game six. I believe it was six to
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: one or something, or I don't know what, or no,
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: it was seven to three. I think in like the
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: eighth inning it was seven to three. And they gave
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: up a sixth spot in the eighth inning and lost
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: the game nine to seven. White Sox, by the way,
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: do have this rookie who's making headlines right now, Murakami,
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: who they got from Japan.
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: I assume.
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: I believe he's the first first player in Major League
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: history to have a home run and a walk in
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: each of his first three games, which is pretty wild.
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: So he's a player to keep an eye on for
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: the Whites there. As far as this game is concerned,
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: bullpen wise, I mean, the White Sox bullpen is probably
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: ass again like it was last year. They used four
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: guys yesterday Miami only use three. Miami should have the
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: bullpen advantage in this one. Hitting wise, probably you give
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: the offense to Miami as well.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: Pitching starting pitching is difficult to figure out though. Davis
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: Martin pitching for the White Sox, he's a difficult picture
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: to handicap as well. You know, he's looked okay at times,
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: he's looked bad at times as well. Miami has never
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: seen him before though, so maybe that is a little
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: bit of an edge to Martin, because again, when you
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: have these young pitchers, it's better if they're a really
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: good pitcher though, which he's not. But still, some of
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: these young pitchers that are decent, the opposing offenses will
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: struggle when they haven't seen them before. Chris Paddock is
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: pitching for Miami. I guess he's on Miami now. He
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: was on Minnesota I remember, and then Minnesota traded him
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: at the trade deadline. I think he was on I
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: want to say he went to Detroit in the end
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: of last year.
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm not a fan of his though.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's good.
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, last year's numbers were pretty bad, although his
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: whip kind of indicates his era was misleadingly high.
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: But he's still not good.
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's going up against a weak White
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: Sox lineup. But the thing is, the White Sox have
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: seen a lot of him because he was in their
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: division for basically his entire career. Thirty six at bats
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: the White Sox have against him five strikeouts, five walks,
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: two seventy eight average eight to ninety four ops. So
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: he has not done particularly well against the White Sox.
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: What do we want to do with this game? Well,
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: I'm not giving it out as a player or anything,
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: but the money is all coming in on Miami. Despite
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: what I just said there, Miami, I think they do
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: have the bullpen edge though, so that's something to consider.
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: They have the advantage of staying at home here, they
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: have the situational because the White Sox are coming off
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: that near win yesterday on the road at Milwaukee. So yes,
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: all of those are definitely disadvantages for the White Sox.
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: I can't get there with Miami though, because I don't
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: like the starting pitching matchup for them. They're at minus
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: one thirty two. We do have fifty eight percent of
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: the tickets on the White Sox. The White Sox being
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: public shocks me, to be honest.
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know why they would be.
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: The public's not gonna come in on the White Sox,
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: who have been historically bad the last couple of years
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: pretty much, and they haven't won a game yet this year,
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: so no, why would they uh ninety six percent of
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: the cash on Miami so and Miami's coming off sweeping
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: the Colorado Rockies by the way, so Miami very easy
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: schedule to start the season for them.
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: But yeah, money coming in on Miami again.
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: I don't want to touch the game at all. I
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: have no good, good feel for that game at all.
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: You know, I could see some argue it's made for
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: the over in that game, just because I don't really
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: love either starting pitcher or either bullpen necessarily. But yeah,
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, I wouldn't really want that again. It's just
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: that's a very unpredictable game to me. You know, if
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: other people have some good angles in that game, you know,
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: good on them, I guess, because the way I look
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: at it, I don't. Fox Sports One actually has this
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh Cincinnati game. Pittsburgh coming off a loss to the Mets,
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: losing the series. I should say, to the Mets, they
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: actually won yesterday though, to get their first win. Now
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: they're traveling to Cincinnati for this. Pittsburgh very familiar with
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: traveling to Cincinnati though. Cincinnati just won the series against
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox, which I'm pissed about.
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: Red Sox have to fire Alex Kora. Man.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: What else do you want me to say? This Red
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: Sox team, they continue to be horrible, like fundamentally, just
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: their fundamentals are horrible. And that goes back to the management,
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean, It goes back to managing.
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: I have no idea.
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: How Cora is still there as the manager of this team.
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: He should be gone. Oh he won the World Series
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: back in twenty eighteen. Yeah, you mean with a team
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: that he inherited from, like from previous management or whatever.
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I don't give a shit.
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: They had a lot of talent on that team and
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: now all those guys are pretty much gone.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: No fire Cora, he sucks.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: Everybody's blaming Jaron Duran for getting picked off, which if
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: that didn't happen, the Red Sox would have actually tied
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: the game yesterday. No, I'm putting it on the manager, man,
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: I'm putting all this discipline shit on the manager. Like,
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: it's not just Duran, it's everybody on the team fucking
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: up like that Sonny Gray with that horrible fielding play
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: in the previous game.
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: No, no, and I don't.
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: I think Gray is known as like a decent fielding
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: pitcher too. So no fire Cora is all I gotta
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: say about that. Cincinnati did get that win. Pittsburgh has
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: Braxton ash Raft pitching. He's been okay as a member
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: of their starting rotation. He was coming out of the
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: bullpend for a bit last year, but he actually did
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: make some starts. He doesn't go like that deep into games,
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: but he does actually pitch pretty well when he's out
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: there for the most part. Cincinnati, though, hit her friendly park,
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: and they've seen ashcrap before, and they've actually done pretty
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: well against him in twenty five at bats six to two,
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: strike a, walk ratios, whatever, but three twenty batting average
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: allowed seven thirty ohps. That's not great. So Cincinnati has
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: been able to hit him pretty well. Chase Burns is
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: pitching for Cincinnati. I like Burns, man. I mean, I
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: thought he was gonna do better when he first came
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: up to the majors last year because he has really,
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: really good stuff. He could definitely blow hitters away at
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: the major league level. He didn't quite get there last year.
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: Like his numbers weren't that good. But I think he
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: is going to improve. He's way too talented to be,
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: you know, to be what his numbers suggested he might
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: be last year.
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: I think he's actually really good up against Pittsburgh. He
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: gets a pretty.
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: Weak line up to face here. They did face him
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: a little bit last year, eighteen at bats worth, ten strikeouts,
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: They only had a one to eleven batting average against him.
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: In three thirty three ops. So Burns did do really
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: well against them last year, even though yes, Pittsburgh is
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: now familiar with him, I think you got to give
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: the edge to Burns in this pitching matchup. Bullpen wise,
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: I think it's a little bit of a toss up,
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: and then Cincinnati definitely has the better hitting here.
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: Bullpen usage wise.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati did use four relief pitchers yesterday, though Pittsburgh actually
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: used five though, so actually, yeah, bullpen rest edge. Actually
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati is slightly more rested there as well. I'm gonna
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: lean Cincinnati here. They're a public side though, eighty seven
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, ninety percent of the cash on them,
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: they're up to minus one twenty nine. But yeah, I
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: mean that's my opinion. I think Cincinnati has more edges
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: than that one. That that's the way I would lean
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: in that game. Washington at Philadelphia. Washington is coming off
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: beating the Chicago Cubs on the road in a series. Dude,
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: I'm still telling you, I think Washington is still pobb like.
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: I still think they're probably the worst team in baseball.
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'm gonna get that wrong, but I don't know
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: how this happened. We did get a win with the
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: Cubs in the second game of that series. Ima Naga
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: losing that game. I don't get it. I really don't.
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: None of it makes sense to me. Washington coming off
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: that big series, but they're not gonna overlook Philadelphia either,
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: That's the thing. So, like, is Washington gonna be in
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot off of a big series win? I
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: don't think so, because Philadelphia is gonna be a big
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: series for them too.
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: But Philadelphia is obviously the better team here.
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: I think Philadelphia has edges everywhere here. I think Washington's
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: bullpen is still bad enough that it's worse than Philadelphia's.
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: I think Philadelphia obviously has the way better line up
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: here and starting pitching wise, What the hell is Washington
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: even doing here? Foster Griffmin is listed as their starter.
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: He's a thirty year old who has not pitched in
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: the major since twenty twenty two, and that year he
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: had an ERA.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Over eight and a whip that was sky high as well.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: What are we doing here? Man? I don't know.
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: Washington looks like they're going with a bullpend game here.
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: I have no idea why this guy is going to
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: be starting the game. He'll probably be out of the
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: game within the first couple of innings. I would imagine
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: this is going to be a disaster, I think for Washington.
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: I know I'm not actually putting money on this game.
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: Either, but.
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it looks like this is a disastrous pitching set
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: up for Washington here. I don't want any part of
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: that at all. For Philadelphia, though, Do I really want
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: my money on Taiwan Walker? Probably not. I mean, he
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: hasn't been good for years now. His whip last year
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: was gone awful one point four to one, indicating that
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: his four point eight ra actually should have been way higher.
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: Walker is not good dude. He does live up to
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: his name. He does walk a lot of guys.
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: This is hilarious because they just face the Texas Rangers.
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: Walker Texas Ranger rip to Chuck Norris Man, But no,
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: we're not facing the Rangers here.
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: We're facing the Nationals.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: Walker does have good numbers against them, although too many
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: walks yet again, sixty one at bats, eleven to six
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio, one to eighty batting average allowed,
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: five to sixteen ops allowed. So he actually does have
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: good numbers against Washington. Philadelphia should win this game. Man,
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: There minus won sixty seven here, which is actually I
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: think kind of a cheap price. To be honest, I
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: still don't want to do it, but I think you
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: could go Philadelphia, you know, split bet run line, money line.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: But I think there might be better ways to attack
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: Eighty six percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: cash on Philadelphia. Again, the ninety nine percent, like, there's
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: no way that that's accurate, but maybe the money is
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: coming in on Philly.
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: Philly used three relief pitchers yesterday. Washington.
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna zoom out a little bit from this so
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: I could see the whole table here. Washington used four
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers yesterday. It looks like, yeah, that's that's good.
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: I guess, all right. Yeah, So what I think I
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: would do in this game, though, is Philadelphia over their
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: team total?
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: Makes sense to me?
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: Or if you want to go over in the game itself,
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: I think that makes sense as well. Although Walker does
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: have good numbers against Washington, so I think probably my
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: preference would actually be Philadelphia over their team total in
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: this game. I thought you're gonna need them to score
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: about six runs probably to do that, but I think
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: they could do it. Man this Washington pitching setup looks
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: like an absolute train wreck to me.
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: So there's that.
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: And then again, I wouldn't disagree with an over in
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: the game itself either. Eighty percent of the tickets, ninety
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash on the over nine here,
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: if you do want to do that, I would go
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: over nine up to minus one twenty year man or so,
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: I would not want to let it get to nine
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: and a half because nine is a key number in baseball.
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: The odd numbers are all key because that's what you
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: need to break the tie in baseball. So somebody's gotta win,
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: you know, all right. Colorado and Toronto. Colorado got swept
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: in Miami. Miami, by the way, wearing the Florida Marlins
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: uniforms yesterday. They should bring those back, the Florida Marlins.
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: Those nineties Florida Marlins uniforms way better. They should bring
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: them back. Toronto, I mean, they're a better team than Miami.
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: Toronto's got a really good offense even without Bashette. Baschette
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: not off to a good start for the Mets, by
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: the way, although I think he will turn it around.
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: Everybody talking about oh Baschett sucks right now. Cal Raly
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: sucks right now. Durban for the Red Sox sucks right now. No,
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: I mean you're looking at an extremely small sample size.
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: You know who these guys are, Like, they're all gonna
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: turn it around.
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: Anyway. Yeah.
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: Red Sox fans just really pissing me off right now,
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: even though I am one. They don't know what the
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: fuck they're talking about.
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: Anyway.
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: Colorado and Toronto. Here, Toronto is staying at home after
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: I believe beating the A's. Did they sweep the A's,
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: h Yes, they did. They swept the A's, Okay, so yeah, Toronto,
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: you know, really easy matchup against Colorado, Like Toronto should win.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: This series with ease. They're facing a picture they're familiar.
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: With here in Sugano, who is now on the Rockies,
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: which sucks for him because he came over. He's like, dude,
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: it's interesting because he came over from Japan in his
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: mid thirties. Pitched for Baltimore last year, did okay at
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: the beginning of the season. The league kind of figured
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: him out, wasn't as good towards the end of the season.
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: Now he's gone and he's over on the Rockies now,
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: which is probably gonna be bad because you know the
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: Rockies is basically that's where pitchers go to die in
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: course field. Here's these He's Miami, dude. This is why
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: you got to go to the Florida Marlins uniforms. And
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: look at this shit right here. I think that's Max
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: Meyer from the other day right there, these Miami uniforms
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: with the pink in them. I mean, I don't know.
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: It does look like a Miami night club, so I'll
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: give you that. It does have like Miami Vice kind
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: of vibes to it, but I don't know. I like
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: the teal Florida Marlins nineties jerseys. Anyway, Sougano, we'll see
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: what he could do against against Toronto.
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: Here man.
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: Toronto has seen him before because he was on Baltimore
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: last year thirty nine at bats worth, four to two,
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: strike a walk. Raciero Sogano is not a guy that
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: strikes a lot of guys out. He gets a lot
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: of like groundouts and stuff like that, and probably like
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: fly ball outs. Like his whole thing is allowing like
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: light contact basically and getting guys to hit into outs.
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: Two fifty six batting average a lot six to seventy
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: seven ops A lot. So he actually did okay against
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: these Toronto hitters last year, even though they're familiar with him,
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: they didn't do that well against him. Toronto is going
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: with Cody Ponce. I don't know who the fuck this
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: guy is. He hasn't pitched in the major since twenty
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: twenty one, when he had a seven ERA.
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: Why are we doing this is the question. I have
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: no idea.
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna be in this game for
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: very long against the Orioles as he ever or sorry,
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: not the oors Colorado. He's probably never faced them before. No,
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: But is that an advantage, I would say no, like
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: when young talented pitchers have not been seen before by
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: the opposing lineups. I like those pictures when I see
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: a guy who is inexplicably getting a start when he
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: hasn't pitched in the majors for four years and he's
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: in his thirties. No, I don't think that's good. So no,
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: we're not gonna pounce on Ponts here. Toronto's probably favored
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: by too much here. Man, it's just because they're facing Colorado,
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: and everybody knows how bad Colorad is. But does Toronto
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: really deserve to be minus two seventy here with whatever
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: the hell they're doing with they're starting with their pitching here,
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: probably not you know, we don't really see the percentages
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: yet here. But if I was gonna play this game,
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: I would actually probably take a shot with Colorado on
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: the run line here, As insane as that sounds. I
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: think we have a more predictable starting pitcher for Colorado there,
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: and I think probably likely actually they have the starting
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: pitching edge in this game. Again, I don't know what
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: Toronto was doing here. Toronto's bullpend they used four relief
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday. They're better on than Colorado's though Colorado did
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: only use three yesterday. But Toronto probably does still have
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen over Colorado, though I mean Toronto's was
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: okay last year.
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: It's a very very weird. We have some very weird
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: pitching situations today.
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: Man, a lot of teams looking like they're going with
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: bullpen games here. This next game is not one of those.
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: The A's and the Braves. The Braves just lost to
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: Kansas City yesterday. There you go, Zach, Kansas City got
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: their first win. As I mentioned, Braves staying at home.
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: A's coming in from Toronto, a Is still looking for
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: their first win, so the A's might be uh motivated here.
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: At the very least, I think the A's have the
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: better offense over the Braves. If I'm being honest. The
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: A's have good hitting man, but they do not have
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: good pitching. Typically, their bullpen is not good, so you
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: got to give the Braves the bullpen edge here. The
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: A's only used one relief pitcher yesterday. The both teams
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: did I remember looking at this, both teams only used
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: a long relief man yesterday. The A's only use Gin
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: and Atlanta only used d DA fuent days so both
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: bullpens actually are are pretty rested coming into this. But
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: I think you do have to give it Atlanta a
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge here starting pitching wise, just on the service here.
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: I look at this and I'm like, you got to
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: give the A's the starting pitching edge here. Though Jacob
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: Lowe as is pitching, he was pretty good last year,
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: surprisingly good actually. I mean he's not a strikeout guy really,
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: but well he's not a guy that comes in and
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: blows people away with his fastball.
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: That's what I'll say.
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: But he has such movement on like his curveball and
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: stuff like that, that hitters actually do swing and miss
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: against it and stuff like that, so he does actually
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: get more strikeouts than you would think from a guy
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: that doesn't have high velocity.
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: The Braves haven't seen much of him.
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: They have nine at bats against the three strikeouts, one walk.
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: There are three for nine off him though three thirty
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: average eight forty four oh ps. But the fact that
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: only three of their hitters have ever faced him before,
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: I kind of give the edge to Lopez a little
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: bit for that, just because he's pretty unfamiliar to them.
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Bryce Elder is pitching for Atlanta.
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: You know, I'm not a fan. Bad season last year
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: for Elder. Last couple of years he's been bad, although
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: I will say he did start pitching better at the
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: end of last year. Like I couldn't handicap him anymore
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: because I'm handicapping him.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: This guy fucking sucks.
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: And then all of a sudden he was actually good
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: at the end of the year last year. But which
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: Elder are we.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: Gonna get here? Man?
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: I have no idea, because I still think generally he's
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: not very good up against the A's.
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: Let me see here, He's.
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: Done pretty well against the A's in the past, even
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: though they actually have a lot of good hitters in
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: this lineup forty at bats worth, eight to four strike
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio, two twenty five batting average allowed them
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: in five seventy ops, so those numbers are really low.
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: So Elder actually has done well against the A's. The
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: money is coming in on the A's in this one,
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: and I still actually do agree with that. I would
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: lean to the A's and this one braves down to
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty nine now for minus one forty five,
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: I'd probably Yet, like I said, I'd still take the
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: shot with the A's as a dog, but I think
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: I would probably do it first five innings only though,
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: because if you isolate the starting pitching matchup, I think
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: that's where the A's have the edge. I wouldn't really
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: want to deal with their bullpen, which I think is
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: probably still horrible. Fifty tickets, seventy four percent of the
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: cash on the A's money coming in in the.
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: A's there, you know.
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, as far as full game is concerned, I
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: think you will get a full effort out of the
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: A's because they're still trying to get their first win.
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: So there is that, But I think first five innings
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: kind of makes more sense there.
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: I don't.
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: You'd have to see what the prices are. You could
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: go money line on that. You could go run line
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: on that. If you if you go money line, I
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: believe if it's tied at the end of the first five,
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: I believe you get a push on that. It's been
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: a while since I've done a first five money line, man,
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: because I usually do like the half run run line.
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: I don't know, I kind of forget all right. So
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: that was A's and braves. We have Anaheim at Chicago.
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: This game.
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know what to say about this. Anaheim
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: did just split a big series with Houston. They had
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: a couple of close games. They were kind of in
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: the yesterday. Luckily we got the win with Houston. Still,
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: even though I completely mishandicapped Emi their new starter there,
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: we still got the win there. Anaheim is now having
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: to go from Houston to Chicago here. You know, I
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: don't think Anaheim is very good. First of all, I
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: don't think they're pitching is good. I think their bullpen
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: is bad. The Cubs are coming off of a bad
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: series against the Nationals. Man, so I think the Cubs
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: should be in bounced back mode here. They're staying at home.
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: They're probably gonna be pretty pissed coming into this. As
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: far as the bullpen usage, the Cubs have the better bullpen,
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: there's no question about that. They used four relief pitchers yesterday.
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: Anaheim only used three. But I still think I'm gonna
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: give bullpen edge to the Cubs here. Anyway, Cubs definitely
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: have the better offense as well starting pitching. I think
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: you have to give the edge to the Cubs as
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: well as Anaheim. As Ryan Johnson listed as their starter.
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: He came out of the bullpen last year. Now he's young,
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: he's twenty three, so I don't know. He might be
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: better than what his numbers looked like last year because
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: he was new to major league baseball. He only came
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: out of the bullpen last year and he wasn't good.
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: His whip was almost two seven something ERA. That's not good.
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: But in his case, because he's still really young, I'm
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: not gonna say that he like completely socks or anything
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: like that because we just don't know yet. But I
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: believe this is gonna be his first major league start,
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: So then the question is how long is he gonna
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: even be in this game. I have no idea. You know,
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: he might only come in and pitch a couple of
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: innings and then they'll take him out and go to
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: the bullpen. And if that's what they're gonna do here,
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: that's bad because Anaheim's bullpen is bad. So if they're
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: pitching the majority of this game, that doesn't look good. Now,
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: the Cubs have not faced Johnson before, so I guess
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: you could make the argument that maybe he'll have a
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: little bit of an edge against him when he's pitching
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: early in this game. Still, overall, I think the setup
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: does not look good for Anaheim. Chicago has Edward Cabrera pitching.
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: He's new to the Cubs this year. They got him
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: over from Miami. I like Cabrera. I think he's a
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: good pitcher. He did pretty well last year from Miami.
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: I think he will be pumped up here because he's
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: now on a contending team. A lot of times, like
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: I said, when you get these pitchers that are making
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: their debut for their new team, they usually get pumped
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: up and they put in a good effort. But especially
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: if they're playing on a good team. Now, you know
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: what I mean, Like he's up on the Cubs now
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: from Miami, so that's probably an improvement. So he probably
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: wants to come out of pitch well here prove that
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: he's worth his contract whatever, going up against Anaheim here,
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: Anaheim has thirty four at bats against him, a lot
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: of strikeouts, twelve strikeouts, four walks, two thirty five average,
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: a lot six ninety eight ops. Those are pretty good
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: numbers for Cabrera here, so I think he does have
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: the upper hand here. I lean to the Cubs in
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: this game as far as how you would actually play that,
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: because the Cubs are gonna be a huge favorite. And
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: again I know we haven't gotten to any of my
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: plays yet. The Cubs are mind us one seventy eight,
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: seventy three percent of tickets, eighty nine percent of the
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: cash on them. Totals at nine and a half in
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: this one, by the way, which seems to be indicating
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: that there's more wind blowing out in Wrigley here, because
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: that's why you get a high total like that in
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: Wrigley when it's high, you know, maybe you do like
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: you would probably be like a split bet run line
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: and money line on the Cubs is what I would
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: recommend in this one. If you wanted to go Cubs
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: over their team total, I probably wouldn't disagree with that.
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: But if you do that, you're taking out what I
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: think is a big part of the equation, which is
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: that Cabrera should actually pitch well here. So I think
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: playing the Cubs side in some way might actually be better
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: in that game.
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: The next game up is gonna be the first play
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: that I have here, which is Tampa Bay at the Brewers.
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: And somehow, I don't know how it's the case, but
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: we're actually getting the Brewers as a fairly cheap price
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: at a fairly cheap price, is a home favorite here
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: and the public doesn't seem to want them in this game,
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: So that's what we're doing.
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: Brewers.
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: You could go money line on this minus one forty.
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: That's what I'm recommending right here right now, or if
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: you want to, you could split the bet and run
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: line money line here. The Brewers do hit pretty well
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: at home typically, so there is that. I think they
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: have the better offense over Tampa Bay. But I like
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: how the starting pitching matchup sets up, and I kind
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: of like the situation because Milwaukee just had that scare.
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: Now, Yes, they're coming off a sweep. I know that.
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: Like a lot of times, I won't want to be
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: on a team that's coming off a sweep.
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: But they swept the White Sox.
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: Man, they're not gonna be overconfident because of that, you
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: know what I mean. It's just kind of, yeah, we
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: took care of business here, but the fact that they
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: got scared yesterday and they had to come back from
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: a seven to three deficit late in that game, they
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: almost lost as big favorites to the White Sox.
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: Here's your situational part of the handicap.
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: I think that means you're gonna get more focus out
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: of the Brewers in this game, and they know they
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: have to do better than that against a team that's
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: better than the White Sox, which is Tampa Bay.
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay did just get their first win, so I
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: know that should give them a little bit of momentum
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: coming in from Saint Louis. The travel spot's not that
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: bad for them. But Tampa Bay basically, I think went
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: with a bullpen game yesterday. I don't know what they
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: were doing. They had Motts as a starter yesterday. Tampa Bay.
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: Actually they only used four relief pitchers yesterday, So it
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: wasn't as bad as I thought. But I guess Motts
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: actually pitched a little bit more than that because he
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: got the win there, but I think he did. But
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: even still, Yeah, Tampa Bay did use four relief pitchers yesterday.
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: I think Tampa Bay does have the better bullpend but
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's by that much. Milwaukee used four
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers as well yesterday, but I think the bullpens
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: are just a bit of a wash here. Milwaukee has
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: the better offense, and I like the pitching, the starting
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: pitching better for Milwaukee here.
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: Nick Martinez is pitching for the Rays now.
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: Yes, he's making his Rays debut, so a lot of times,
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: you know, as I just pointed out with Cabrera, Yeah,
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: when a player is having his debut for his new team.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: A lot of times he does step it up. He
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: wants to prove himself.
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: But Martinez is the guy that's been around for a
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: long time man, so and it's not like as exciting, Oh,
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: I get to pitch for the Rays now. I don't
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: think that's as exciting, man for a guy like Martinez
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: who's in his mid thirties and he's been around for
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: a while he was on Cincinnati last year. They were
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: in the playoffs last year playoffs, And yeah, I mean Martinez,
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know what we're gonna get out of him either,
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: because they think he did have some injury issues towards
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: the end of last year. He did have a decent
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: season overall last year. I'm not saying he's a bad pitcher,
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: but I think he is at a disadvantage in this game.
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: And he's going up against the Brewers, and we know
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: the Brewers are very familiar with him because the Brewers
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: are in the same division as the Reds, so they
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: saw a lot of Martinez and they hit him pretty
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: decently in ninety at fifteen to five strike at walker
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: ratio is not that bad for Martinez, but two sixty
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: seven batting average allowed mediocre, But seven eighty three ops
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: is getting a little bit on the high side. And again,
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: the fact that Milwaukee's very familiar with him, I think
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: gives Milwaukee an advantage here because they know how to
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: hit him, you know what I mean. They've seen him
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: many many times, so I think that is an advantage
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: to Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Kyle Harrison is pitching for Milwaukee here.
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: He was on the Giants until the Dever's trade last
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: year and the Red Sox got Harrison. Then the Red
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: Sox dealt him away. I don't even remember if he
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: got dealt directly to the Brewers or if there was
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: another team.
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: That had him. So Harrison, I think he's gonna be
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: He's gonna want to prove himself here.
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: Man, he gets to pitch for a contending team here,
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: the Brewers. This is gonna be his first start for them.
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: I know his numbers didn't look that impressive last year
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: and whatever, but I think Harrison does actually have decent stuff,
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: So I don't mind that. I know he looks way
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: older than he is. I don't like that, Like I'm
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: looking at this guy like he's twenty four.
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: Holy shit that you know, no shade on.
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: Him, but he doesn't look good for twenty four. But anyway,
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay, they've only seen a little bit of him.
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: They're only one for fifteen off in lifetime, so they're
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: not that familiar with him. And he has done really
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: well against them for the most part. Three strikeouts, three walks,
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: though the three walks isn't that good, but still he's
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: held him to one hit in fifteen at batsman and
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: no extra base hits. So I think Harrison does actually
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: have an edge here, even though I know you don't
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: want to read too much into a small sample size,
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: but I actually like Harrison here. And for some reason,
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay looks like a somewhat public underdog here at
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: fifty five percent of the tickets but sixty four percent
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: of the money actually on Milwaukee. Yeah, I know we're
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: getting a little bit worse of a price here. Again,
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: if you want to go split bet run line money line,
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: you could do that as well. But yeah, we're gonna
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: go Milwaukee in this one to get the job done.
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: That's play number one for me is the Brewers.
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: All right?
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: Keeping it going in My dude, My baseball takes forever
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: with these full baseball.
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: Slates because we go to in depth.
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: I think with these games here, Mets at Saint Louis,
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: Mets coming in off of losing to the Pirates yesterday,
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: so maybe going out on the road, maybe it'll be
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: good just forget about that loss to Pittsburgh. Going on
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: the road, you know, play some baseball here. Mets are
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: clearly the better team over Saint Louis, So there is
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: that Uh, Saint Louis did just lose to Tampa Bay yesterday,
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: their first loss of the season. Now, the fact that
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: they're two and one, I think that's misleading. Saint Louis
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: is not that good. In fact, I think they're pretty bad.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: But you know, it remains to be seen.
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: Sometimes your early season predictions can be way off in baseball,
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: so don't totally take my word for it.
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis did use four relief pitchers yesterday, which is
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: not great. I guess, uh, they're going up against who
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: we all?
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: The Mets.
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the Mets, I think, do have the better bullpen here,
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: but they also had similar usage four. They used four
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: guys yesterday out of their bullpen as well. Also, the
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: Mets did get those two relievers that sucked for the
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: Yankees last year, Devin Williams and Luke Weaver, So I
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: don't know if that's actually good for the Mets or not.
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis actually their bullpen wasn't that bad last year,
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: but they did deal some of their better pitchers away.
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: Mets clearly have the better offense, there's no question about that,
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: and I think they have the better of the pitching
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: matchup here too. Clay Holmes is pitching for the Mets,
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: and while he's nothing to write home about, you know,
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: if you watched me last year, you know I was
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: saying that I was expecting regression out of homes for
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: a while because his whip was just not good.
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: His era looks good, that's you know.
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: His era from last year was three point five to three,
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: but one point three whip is definitely too high, so
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: he was getting lucky putting too many men on base
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: home and David Peterson man, those guys overperforming for the Mets.
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: I'm not a fan of Holmes, but in this matchup,
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: you know, he's facing a weak Saint Louis lineup. They
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: have forty one at bats against him. They have eleven strikeouts,
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: one walk, and only a one ninety five average off
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: him at four thirty four ops. So Holmes is actually
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: pretty much burned through Saint Louis's lineup there, so he
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: actually has done well against them.
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: And Saint Louis is going with.
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: Kyle Lahey, who is a twenty eight year old relief pitcher.
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: I think, I don't know, it looks like he was
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: coming out of the bullpen last year, so this might
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: be a bullpen game that the Cardinals are going with year.
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: His numbers were okay last year, but I don't know
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: how long he's gonna last in this game. You know,
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: I think you have to give the edge to Holmes here,
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: although maybe it's because I'm old schooling. I like, you know,
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: the actual starters above, whatever the fuck you're doing with
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: like a bullpen game here. Lay He does have good
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: numbers against the Mets, though, in fifteen at bats two
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: to one, so I got walk ratio is not good.
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: He doesn't strike guys out.
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: It looks like but one thirty three batting average allowed
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: seven to twenty one ops is a little bit high
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: because they do have two of them runs off of him.
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: But generally he's been okay against the Mets. But I
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: still think the Mets have too many advantages in this one.
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: I would lean to the Mets in this game. Where
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: are they at? The Mets look like they're a very
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: public side though they're up to minus one forty seven,
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: so they initially got a lot of the money, but
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: now eighty five percent of tickets only eighty three percent
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them, so the money looks like
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: it's actually indicating on the Saint Louis side as a
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: home underdog.
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: I don't really see it. I would lean slightly to.
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: The Mets, but that's a game that I'm definitely staying
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: away from. My Boston Red Sox are at Houston. Red
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: Sox not a good start to the season. Man losing
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: the series that the reds Red Sox were favored in
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: every game of the series, but they don't.
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: I mean they lost.
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: Both of their losses were by one run, so it's
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: not like they got obliterated in that series or anything.
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: Houston had a very up and down series against Anaheim.
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: Houston is staying at home here though. As far as
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: the bullpens, I think the Red Sox do have the
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: better bullpen and the onliest two relief pitchers. Yesterday, Houston's
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: bullpen I think is decent, though, but they have had
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: a lot of usage over the last couple of days.
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: They used six guys out of their bullpen yesterday, so
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: I think the Red Sox do have a bullpen edge,
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: especially with the bullpen rest. I think the Red Sox
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: have the better offense out of these two teams as well.
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: Red Sox are gonna have Ron Yer Suarez making his
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: Red Sox debut here. He was pretty good last year,
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: and man, you know, I was saying I was expecting
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: regression out of him two years ago after he started
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: really hot for the Phillies.
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: Two years ago. He kind of proved me wrong.
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: He continued to pitch pretty well for the most part,
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: had a good season last year. I thought this was
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: one of the best Red Sox offseason pickups, if not
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: the best.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: So I'm hoping he does well here. Man.
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: I kind of like Suarez. He did well last year.
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: He should be pumped up for his first start as
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: a member of the Red Sox here. Hopefully he actually
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: gives us a good start here. As a Red Sox
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: fan against Houston, those numbers are actually not good.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: In sixty at best, twelve eight.
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: Strikeout walk ratio is not good, two eighty three, batting
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: average allowed, eight to eighteen ops. None of those numbers
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: are good. So that does not make me too confident
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: though in Suarez. Here, he's going up against Lance mccullor's junior,
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: who has been trying to bounce back from I believe
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: Tommy John surgery, and you know, I keep talking about
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: him because the Houston Astros fans are assholes, and they're
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: basically like threatening his family's life out there. I'm like, dude,
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: as I'm gonna say again, this guy won like at
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: least one World Series with your with your team, you
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: know what I mean. Mccullor's was like a staple of
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: that World Series winning rotation, and now he's trying to
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: come back for surgery and you're gonna like threaten the
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: guy's life and his family's life. It makes no sense, dude, Like,
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: as an Astros fan, you should like this guy, you
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: know what I mean, even if he's not good anymore,
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: which I don't even know if that's the case, because
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: he's shown glimpses of maybe being able to bounce back
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: from these surgeries. Well, I know his numbers weren't good
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: in total last year, but he did have some really
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: good starts last year too, So he's gonna be hard
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: to figure out until we you know, we're gonna have
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: to see if he develops some consistency here. The Red
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: Sox have basically never seen him before, though only kinder
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: Fuhlaife has ever faced him before. He's done pretty well
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: off him. He's six for twenty with two doubles off
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: him three strikeouts on a walk, but nobody else in
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox lineup has ever even faced him before,
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: which is kind of shocking because mccullars has been around
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: for a while. But that's how young the Red Sox
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: core is really that none of these guys have seen mccullars.
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: Red Socks are getting the money.
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: They're up to minus one thirteen, so the Red Sox
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: have been a favorite in every game.
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: To see this season so far.
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: Fifty six percent tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: on the Red Sox. The money is coming in on
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox. I want to believe it, man, I
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: want to believe. But based on that starting pitching matchup,
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: I got some hesitations. If you're gonna play the Astros, though,
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: I would limit it to the first five innings on
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: the Astros because I think they might have an advantage
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: in the starting pitching matchup. But other than that, I
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: don't think the edge is really there. I think the
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: Red Sox do have the bullpen edge there, but mccullors
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: is you just don't really know what you're gonna get
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: out of him, man, And that's the problem with trying
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: to like trying to gauge this starting pitching matchup. It's
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: very difficult to do. So this game is definitely a
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: stay away from me. But the money is indicating on
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox. For what that's worth, Yankees at Seattle.
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: This is a weird game. Of course, the Yankees and
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers, by the way, they get huge advantages today because,
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: of course those two teams get these huge advantages neither
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: team played yesterday, and their opponents both played in the.
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: Night game yesterday. How stupid is that?
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: So the Yankees and the Dodgers both have massive rest
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: advantages here. Again, they both didn't play yesterday, and Seattle
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: and Cleveland played in the Peak Awck night game last night.
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty pissed at major League Baseball for doing that. Man,
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: Fuck the Yankees, Fuck the Dodgers. They both get that
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: huge advantage because of that. Yankees are coming off a
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: sweep against the Giants, and again, I'm pretty sure I'm
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: right about that. The Yankees didn't play yesterday, and for
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: what it's worth, neither did the Giants or the Diamondbacks.
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Seattle played in.
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: The night game and they had a blowout win eight
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: to nothing. I think against Cleveland last night. So Seattle
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: did play last night, So that means the Yankees have
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: a rested bullpen coming into this because they didn't play yesterday.
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: Seattle only used one long relief man, Chris Well, former
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: Red Sock. So Seattle's bullpend is actually they can match
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: the Yankees bullpend here man, because Seattle kept their bullpen
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: attack last night. Seattle, I think, actually has the bullpen
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: advantage in this game. I think they're better than the
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: Yankees' bullpen until we see anything to the contrary as
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: the season goes on. Yankees have Ryan Weathers starting now.
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: This is gonna be his first start as a member
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: of the Yankees. I think Weathers is actually a pretty
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: good pitcher. He was on Miami for a while. He
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: struggled early in his career, started pitching better. You know,
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: he might actually pitch well in this game. Actually, I
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: have I have a play in this game. What am
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: I doing here? I'll give you the play in a second.
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: But Weathers, I think he should be pumped up for
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: his first start as a member of the Yankees. You know,
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: he gets to play on a contender. But then, of
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: course you could make the argument, well, the pressure is
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: gonna be on as well, because now he has to
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: pitch for, like, you know, one of the top teams
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: in Bay Baseball, you know what I mean, He's got
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: to live up to the hype. But I think that
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: could be alleviated a bit because he's like their fourth
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: starter in the rotation, so they're not putting that much
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: pressure on him, you know what I mean.
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: It's just you're at the back end of our rotation.
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: Go out there and pitch well for us.
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: I have to admit I think that he was a
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: good pickup for the Yankees. I think their starting rotation
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: is pretty decent, and if Garrett Cole comes back, I mean,
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: we'll see how that goes. I don't even know if
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: he will, but their starting rotation will be pretty good.
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: I think against Seattle, they only have nine at bats
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: against him two twenty two average, only two for nine
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: off him, four forty four oh ps, two strikeouts, no walks,
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: So the Mariners are not particularly familiar with them, and
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: he's done well against them in the past, so I
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: think that bodes well for Weathers. In the starting pitching
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: matchup here, he's going up against Luis Castillo, who.
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: Has been good.
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: He's been a member of the Mariners' rotation for a while,
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: had another pretty good season last year. I mean, he's
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: pretty consistent. He's pretty much a staple of their rotation,
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: and he pitches better at home as most Seattle pitchers do,
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: because remember this is a pitcher friendly park.
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: And his numbers against the.
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: Yankees are actually good, even though the Yankees have a
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: really good offense one hundred and thirty seven at bats
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: worth forty one to fifteen strike at walk ratio. That's
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: definitely too many walks, but he sent them to a
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: two to twelve batting average at six eighty one ops.
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: So Castillo actually has.
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: Done pretty well against the Yankees lineup in the past.
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: We're also looking at it being about fifty degrees out
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: in this game, night game in Seattle, and that can
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: help keep balls in the park as well here so
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: early season, cool weather, cool weather, and weathers in this game,
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: cool weather and cool weathers.
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: I guess I don't know. So what is that?
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: All? You know what my play is gonna be. I
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: basically already alluded to it too. We're going under in
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: this game, under seven and a half. You can get
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: it at reduced juice right now. I would not pay
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: the extra to go under eight.
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: Seven is the more key number than eight, So get
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: the under seven and a half. That's the way that
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: we're going in this one. You got two rested bullpends here.
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: Man uh So.
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: I like that aspect of it, and I like how
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: both pitchers line up here. I think they both actually
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: have a decent match up here, and they're both actually
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: decent pitchers. But I think what we're gonna see is
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: that the public does not want to play an under
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: in this game because they have no idea who Weathers is.
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: I don't think they think that highly of Castillo, and
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: they're gonna see Yankees and Seattle. Oh my god, it's
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: you know, Aaron Judge and Big Dumper, you know, like
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: these are like known as good offensive teams, and they are.
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: But that means the public is gonna want to play
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: an over in this game, you know what I mean,
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: because that's what they do.
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: They come in and they see these good offenses, they
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: want to go over.
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: I think the good pitching could actually keep the good
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: hitting down, especially early in the season like this, sixty
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets are on the over, only fifty four
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over.
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: We're going under here, man.
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it looks like the seven and a half under
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: is being juiced a little bit now, So fine, the
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: best number that you can on this and the for
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: what it's worth is also coming in on the Yankees.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: Side, which I hate to see.
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: Seventy four percent of tickets, ninety two percent of the
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: cash on the Yankees, Seattle down for minus one twenty
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: seven to minus one oh five on the money line here.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: Again, I think a lot of that is because.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: The Yankees didn't play yesterday and Seattle had to play
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: last night, so that is an advantage to the Yankees.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: The Yankees are having to travel up there from San Francisco.
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: Seattle is staying at home at the very least. But yeah,
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: we're going under in that game. And that is my
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: other play. That's the only that's Those are my only
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: plays today, the two that I gave you that one
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: and the Milwaukee Brewers. All right, San Francisco and San Diego.
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: Sar Francisco did not play last night or yesterday. They
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: haven't won a game yet, so you gotta think they're
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: probably gonna show up for a game like this. They
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: got swept at home by the Yankees. They're only going
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: to San Diego with a day off. That's not bad. Uh.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: San Diego just had a big win against Detroit yesterday,
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: a pretty big series against Detroit here, so you know,
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: decent win for San Diego yesterday.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: So those have me.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: Kind of looking towards the Giants a little bit to
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: start out this handicap here. As far as the bullpends
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: are concerned, I think based on last year, both of
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: these bullpens should be pretty good. San Diego of course
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: didn't play yesterday or no, Sar Francisco didn't. Wait, did
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: San Diego not play yesterday either? They didn't use any
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: of their bullpend hold on what? Um? Yeah, maybe San
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: Diego and Detroit didn't play yesterday either, Yeah they didn't.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: All right, my mistake.
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: So neither of these teams played yesterday, So my mistake.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: They're both rested, so and we're in a pitcher friendly
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: park here, so you know, an under could be inconsideration
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: here because we have two good bullpends that are also rested.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: That's a good recipe.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: For an under, especially early season, you know, in a
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: picture friendly park like San Diego. The problem is, I
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: don't like the starting pitchers in this one. Does that mean, oh,
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: Detroit's playing Arizona. Yeah, so Detroit Arizona both didn't play
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: yesterday either, So I'll talk about that game soon. Landon
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: Raup is pitching for the Giants here or Roupe. I
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: don't know how you pronounced his name. He's got a
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: really really crazy moving like curveball, but it hasn't quite
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: panned out for him.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: I know his era looked good last.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: Year, but his whip was way too high and one
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: and a half, like he was definitely putting way too
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: many guys on base, and that's a recipe for disaster.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: Like his era definitely should have been higher. So I
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: don't know if I really trust Raup here. He's going
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: up against the Padres. They have good numbers off him
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: in fifty seven at bats, thirteen to six, strike at walk,
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: razio three, sixteen, batting average allowed, eight seventy two ops.
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: Three of their hitters.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: Have homeared off him. So I don't like that for
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: Raup coming into this one. So again, that kind of
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: takes the under out it like that takes it off
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: the table for me that I don't like Raup And
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: you know, I don't like Buller either here, walk or Bueller.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: He has not been able to bounce back from his
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: Tommy John surgery. He was bad on the Dodgers when
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: he tried to bounce back from it. He was bad
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: on the Red Sox after the Red Sox got him.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: I forget where he went after that last year. But
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: now he is on San Diego, so at least he
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: gets to pitching a pitcher friendly park now. But I
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: don't think we're gonna get that much out of him, man,
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: he just has not shown that he's been able to
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: turn the corner and bounce back from this surgery.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: Man, it just hasn't happened.
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: His whip was over one and a half last year,
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: ERA almost five.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: That's bad.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: Based on that whip is ERA probably should have been
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: even worse. He does have good numbers against the Giants,
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: though the Giants don't really have a good lineup. San
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: Diego does have the better offense here thirty six at bats,
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: eleven strikeouts, one walk, one thirty nine average a lot
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: three fifty seven ops allowed, So he has held the
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: Giants offense and check. Keeping in mind that a couple
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: of the Giants pictures are listened in here too. Uh
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: so giants pictures actually look like they're like zero for
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: nine off him combined. So I would take these numbers
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: with a little bit of a grain of salt because
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: that makes Bueller look a little bit better than maybe
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: he actually is. I wish ESPN took those took the
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: pictures out of those stats man, because it can kind
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: of throw you off a little bit. We're staying away
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: from this game, though, what do we really want to
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: do with this? Like what would be my recommendation in
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: this game if I had Andy, Well, it looks like
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in on Sarred Cisco fifty two
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: percent tickets, fifty five percent of the cash on Sarren Cisco.
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: It might be kind of a fade of Buehler because
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: I mean I could see why, Like I think Raup
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: has more upside because he's a young guy and he's
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: not a guy that's you know, like Bueller's shown like
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: no ability to bounce back from Tommy John. Raup uh
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: like could actually improve and become good. He's still young, uh,
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: San diego down for minus one thirty five to minus twelve.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: Here money also coming in on the under for what
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: it's worth. I mean if you could, if you could
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: somehow escape the starting pitching matchup here and get to
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: the you know, and get to the bullpends still in
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: decent shape.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: I think the under is.
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: The under will come through, but I worry about it, man,
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: I do worry about it. The money does indicate on
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: the under here, though you'd get under eight actually in
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: this one, seventy five percent of tickets on the over
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: eighty seven percent of the cash on the under. You know,
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: I probably do still prefer the under in this game
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: over trying to figure out the side, but you know,
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: I don't necessarily disagree with the Giants in this game either,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: trying to get their first win of the season here.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: Then we have Cleveland at the Dodgers. Like I said,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: Dodgers didn't play yesterday. Cleveland played last night in Seattle,
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: so disadvantage for Cleveland.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: They don't have the rest advantage here.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: Cleveland, I think, does have the better bullpend, though, believe
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: it or not, the Dodgers' bullpen is not that great.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: Dodgers have the way better offense though obviously the Dodgers
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: are going to be a huge favorite here. Their offense
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: is so good that they are obviously the better team here.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: They also hit really well at home. They also have
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: the rest advantage and they're not traveling, so that is
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: a big advantage to the Dodgers. I don't know that
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: they have a starting pitching edge here. Parker Messik is
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: pitching for Cleveland. His era looked really good last year,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: was in a very limited amount of US starts last year.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: He's still young.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's I think he's a decent pitcher, but
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: his whip wasn't very good. Last year's whip one point
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: three to one indicated that he probably should have had
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: a higher year ray than he did. But he's a
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: decent young pitcher. He could actually be fairly good, and
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers have never seen him before. So that is
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: an advantage again to these young starting pitchers that you
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: know that actually have some talent. They have a little
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: bit of an edge when the opposing lineup has never
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: seen him before. And I know it's a daunting task
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: to go up against Murderer's Row, probably the best offensive
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: baseball the Dodgers.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: We'll see what Messa could do.
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: He's going up against the h the guy who cried,
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: as you guys mentioned, Roki Sasaki although I think he's
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: he's got to be tougher than he was then.
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: Man, he's been in the major leagues for a couple
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: of years now, but he still hasn't really been like
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: a full time starter for the Dodgers. So I don't
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: know if you could, really I don't know if you
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: could trust him to be mentally tough enough. Still, last year,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: his numbers are actually not that good. His whip was
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: pretty high in the one four as indicating this eerra
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: should have been higher than it was, although he didn't
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: actually pitch that much last year. I think either he
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: was hurt or the Dodgers just didn't want to, like,
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: you know, continue to throw him to the wolves. I
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: don't know what the case was. Now he gets to
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: face Cleveland here. Cleveland is not a good offense, and
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: Cleveland has never seen him before, so maybe he does
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of an edge because Cleveland has
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: never seen him before.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: But I actually prefer.
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: Mess in this one, and the money is actually coming
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: in towards Cleveland here. Dodgers are down to minus win
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: to eighty three for minus two hundred eighty one percent
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the Dodgers fifty six percent of the
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: cash on Cleveland, so the money is coming in on
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: the Cleveland side here.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: You know, I'm I would actually I agree with it.
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna give out an opinion.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: On the side, I would actually look towards Cleveland on
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: the run line there.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: And I think it's okay to keep their bullpen in
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: the equation as well. They've all been usage.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: They used a couple of kind of longer relief men yesterday.
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: I don't trust the Dodgers' bullpend, so I actually think
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: it might be okay to leave the bullpen in the
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: equation there for Cleveland. You know, I think their bullpen
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: is actually well, it's better than the Dodgers have bullpen
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: generally based on last year anyway. And I also would
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: not disagree with the under in this game, even though
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: I know it's really difficult to play an under in
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: a Dodger's home game, but both starting pitchers are unfamiliar
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: to the opposing lineups. Man totals at eight and a half,
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: it looks like if you can get under nine, obviously,
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: that would be the better way to go, because that's
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: a key number. Seventy three percent of tickets seventy four
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over, but yeah, I
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: would have opinions on the under and on the Cleveland
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: side slightly.
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: In that game.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: I think I'd probably prefer the Cleveland side actually though
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: over the under, but yeah, it's not gonna be anything
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: that I want to put on my card though. And
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: then we have Detroit at Arizona. These teams both did
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: not play yesterday. Detroit coming in from San Diego, so
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: the travel is not that bad for them. Arizona just
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 2: played in La I believe, yeah, in at the Dodgers,
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: so they're coming back home from that'll be it'll be
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: their home opener. So I think we have two home
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: openers today with Kansas City and U I think it's
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: just those two teams, Kansas City and Arizona. Anyway, Arizona,
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: their bullpen's not good, so the Dodgers do have the
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: better bullpend here. Both bullpens arrest because the teams didn't
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: play yesterday, starting pitching wise, but I think Arizona does
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: probably have the better offense here. By the way, Detroit's
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: offense is not bad though, so you know, I think
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: the offense is close between these two teams based on
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: last year at the very least Justin Verlander is pitching
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: for the Tigers. Man, he's back where he began with
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: the Tigers here, Dude, I thought that he was just
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: gonna like kind of pack it in and just retire
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: as a Tiger. He's gonna retire as a Tiger, but
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: maybe he's gonna actually try to try to pitch.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: A complete season here.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, his era was actually good last year in
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: the threes, but his whip was not. He pitched for
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: the Giants last year. His whip was in the one threes,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: which is not good. Indicates that he wasn't as good
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: as Zira looked. You know, I think this is gonna
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: be the end for Verlander. He's forty three. I mean,
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: I don't think he has that much left in the tank.
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: He was pitching in a pitcher friendly park last year
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: at Cisco. Pitching in Detroit is not gonna be as easy,
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: and pitching in Arizona isn't as easy. Arizona is a
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: hitter friendly ballpark. Now against Arizona lifetime, he does have
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: good numbers, but remember this is across Verlanders' entire career,
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: so you know, I mean, he's a Hall of Fame
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: pitcher so of course he's gonna have good numbers against
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: basically every team in Major League Baseball. But this is
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: not you know what Verlander is now, you know what
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: I mean. So you can't really put that much stock
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: into these numbers here, especially when eighty eight of these
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: at bats are against Carlos Santana and probably happened like
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: you know, seven to ten years ago.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: One hundred and.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: Eighty six at bats total here, thirty nine to seventeen
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio is not even good, although twelve
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: of those walks are Santana. Santana hasn't hit him well,
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: but Verlanders walked him a lot.
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: Two ten average allowed.
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: That's very low, but seven fifty four ops is a
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: little bit high. Santana does have nine home runs off
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: him still, so it's tough to read these numbers because
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: a lot of it is Santana. But you know, Verlander,
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: he's not as good as you know. He's not peak
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: Verlander at this point obviously, so I don't really trust him.
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: At this point. He's going up against Michael.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: Soraka, who will I believe, be making his Arizona debut here.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: He was on Washington most of last year and then
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: he went to the Cubs for a little while at
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: the end of last year. I don't know if he's
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: gonna be that excited to play for the Diamondbacks, man,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: because they're not gonna be that good this year. He
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: got to pitch for the Cubs last year, and I
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: think he got to pitch in the playoffs, and now
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: he's not gonna be on a playoff team. His numbers
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: were okay last year. His whip was good, south of
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: one point two. I consider that to be good and
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: indicative that his era actually should.
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: Have been lower than it was. Uh.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: Soraka I believe had like kind of crazy splits last
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: year too. No, I'm wrong about that. For some reason,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: I thought he had rerillly insane splits. He was a
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: little bit better at home than he was on the
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: road last year, But Arizona is a very hitter from
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: the ballpark. Here Soroca going up against Detroit. Here, what
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: are his numbers against Detroit? Twenty four at bats, They're
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: not that familiar with them. Six to three strike out
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is not good, but two to eight batting
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: average allowed, six thirty ops allowed. So Soroka does actually
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: have pretty good numbers. Against Detroit. The money is actually
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: coming in on Detroit, though Arizona's up to minus one.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: Fifteen.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: Sixty percent of tickets are on Arizona, sixty four percent
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: of the money on Detroit, though, So kind of crazy
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: to see the public not wanting the better team in
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: Detroit and not wanting the better the picture that has
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: the way bigger name in Verlander kind of surprises me. Man,
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: that the public sees Verlander and they actually don't want him.
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: I guess they know he's old at this point. Though
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: the money's indicating on Detroit. I actually don't love it, though,
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: you know, I actually if I was gonna go Detroit,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 2: it would definitely be full game though, because obviously Detroit
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: has the better bullpen here, at least based on what
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: we saw last year.
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: Arizona's bullpen is very bad.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: So if you're gonna go Detroit, you gotta go full
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: game on this and take advantage of the bullpen advantage
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: first five innings. I might actually lean towards Arizona, though
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: I know, you know, I look at baseball very discreetly,
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: so I can have like a different opinion on the
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: full game than I do on the first five you know,
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: what I mean, because the starting pitching matchup could be
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: the complete opposite of the bullpen advantage, you know what
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: I mean. So those are my thoughts on that game.
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: No real good opinion on that game from me. And
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: that is the baseball.
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: Slate for today.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna take a quick break and then
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: there's not much left to talk about though. There's not
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: much hockey or NBA to talk about here. We have
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 2: four hockey games I think, like six NBA games. I'll
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: be right back, Yes, hockey here, we got all night
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: games here in hockey. NHL Network has Pittsburgh at the
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: Islanders in dressing game. I think both teams are kind
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 2: of fighting for a playoff positioning here, so I think
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 2: motivation will be there on both sides here. Pittsburgh coming
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: into this game off of kind of an ugly loss
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: on Saturday to Dallas. Dallas is a very good team.
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh lost six to three. Maybe going out on the
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: road for a game, maybe it will be a good thing.
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: I expect, you know, focus out of Pittsburgh here. For
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: the Islanders, I think they will show up as well.
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: But the Islanders, I think the spot might be a
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: little bit worse for them because they just beat Dallas
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: and they beat Florida off of that, which, even though
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: Florida is not going anywhere this year, it's still I
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: think a pretty big win to beat Florida. People are
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: gonna look at see, oh, the Islanders beat Dallas, who
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: beat Pittsburgh, So of course the Islanders are gonna win
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: this game, right.
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: The public likes to do that.
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: They look at that recent common opponent and they draw
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: the wrong you know what I mean, you can't do
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: that transitive thing. What you really got to look at
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: is this specific matchup, and the Islanders do a buffalo
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: on deck and maybe they consider that to be a
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: bigger game as well. I don't think either team's really
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: gonna not show up here though, But I am gonna
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: lean to the Penguins in this one. And the money
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: seems to agree with me. Islanders down for minus one
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: thirty minus one eighteen on the money line, you get
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh is a bit of an underdog here. Sixty four
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on Pittsburgh.
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 2: And you know, I think both these teams are a
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: little bit overrated, to be honest. So that's kind of
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: a wash as far as what I think of these
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: teams generally, but yes, lean to Pittsburgh slightly for me.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: There.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: Actually we have five hockey games here, by the way,
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: Calgary at Colorado.
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: These next two games.
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: Have massive, massive favorites here because we're talking about a
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: couple of the top teams in hockey against the bottom
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: two teams in hockey. Calgary coming into this game off
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 2: of a seven to three win over the other really
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: bad team in hockey, Vancouver. I don't think Calgary is
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: gonna be like overconfident though. I mean they're starting a
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: road trip against Colorado. Calgary's not going anywhere this year,
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: so they'll probably get up and try to play hard
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: in this game against Colorado. Colorado, I mean, they're pretty
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: much locked into the one seed almost at this point,
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: so they really don't have a whole lot to play
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: for playing out the stretch here. They did just lose
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: a four game win streak losing to Winnipeg. It was
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: a return home spot though, and I talk about that
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: that that's a difficult spot, especially when they beat Winnipeg
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: to finish the road trip. So it was a zigzag
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: for Winnipeg. So I believe I got that opinion that
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: lean correct on Winnipeg there, but a lot of times
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 2: when a team returns home and they do bad in
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: that first game, they actually bounce back and do better
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: in the next game. But in this game, I'm not
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: so sure that Colorado is really gonna have Like, are
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: they really gonna pay that much attention to Calgary here?
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, Colorado again, they don't have a
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: ton to play for right now because they have a
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 2: pretty big lead over Dallas right now. Who's in second
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: in yeah West, Colorado lying minus three sixty five is
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: just ridiculous. Up for minus three fifty eighty one percent
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: of tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash on Colorado.
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, you could probably get Calgary on the puck
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: line at like plus two and a half or something
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: like that, probably at like a decent price. That might
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 2: be the way that I would lean in this game.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it is actually indicating on Colorado
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: a little bit, But I just don't see them having
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: enough motivation to come in like in like intentionally blowout Calgary.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: I just don't see that.
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: So you know, I would not lay that price with Colorado,
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: but I don't want to touch that game at all,
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: dirty sock, what's up? Yes, you're you're a Colorado fan,
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 2: I assume.
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: But you have to deal with the Rockies though.
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: Uh, Vancouver at Vegas, Vegas might even actually be a
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 2: heavier favorite than Colorado is here. Vegas is very underrated, man.
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: The record makes them look not that good. They've had
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 2: a lot of close games that they've lost, but the
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are basically telling you all season that Vegas is
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: one of the better teams in hockey. Vancouver's on a
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: five game losing streak, and maybe they'll be angry and
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: show up for this. I mean, they just lost horribly
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: in their last couple of games combined, eleven to three
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: in those two losses, losing to Calgary seven to three
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: is pretty embarrassing, man, So maybe they will show up.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: They get to play one of the better teams in
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: hockey here gets Vegas. I think you'll at least get
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: an effort out of Vancouver here. Vegas has lost two
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: games in a row at home, though they've lost six
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: of their last seven games, which is not good. But
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: they're better than that makes them appear.
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: You know, Vegas, they have a little bit more to
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: play for than Colorado does, because Vegas is still like
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: in that mix there where they might actually there is
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: like a little bit of a risk that they won't
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: make the playoffs and they should, like they're good enough
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: that they definitely should be a playoff team. They're up
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: to minus three forty five year, eighty three percent of tickets,
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: ninety nine percent of the cash on them. I am
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: less tempted to want to play the underdog in this one. Also,
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: I was wrong. Colorado is a heavier favorite than Vegas
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 2: this year, but Vancouver is very bad.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: But in this one, I don't know, man.
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: I mean you could look to go maybe Vegas over
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: their team total or something like that in that game,
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 2: maybe Vancouver under their team total because the money is
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: coming in on the under here. I don't know, because
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: Vancouver might be more focused after that ugly loss.
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: In their last game. But yeah, I still don't know, man.
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a game that I don't want anything to
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: do with Toronto at Anaheim. This game might be the
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: best hockey opinion that I have on today's slate, although
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: I still don't like it well enough. Toronto did just
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: lose to Saint Louis five to one. That is an
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: ugly loss.
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: Toronto's not going anywhere this year, but they might.
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: Actually step up to face a division leader like Anaheim.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: But they're having to go out on to the Pacific
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: Coast and play a ten pm game, So that worries
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: me a little bit. You know, these first games that
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: you play out out on the West coast. For these
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: Eastern teams, when they go out west and they have
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: that first game, shifting the times zone like that, it
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: does fuck with their biological clock a little bit. So
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: I don't love that, but I do think it's a
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: bounceback spot for Toronto coming.
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: Off that horrible loss.
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: And I do think the spot for Anaheim is not
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 2: good as they are returning home from a road trip,
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: although they actually stayed well, not in the Pacific time zone,
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: but they were in the Pacific time zone in the
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 2: Mountain time zone for.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: The whole road trip.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: They lost a four game win streak, though to Edmonton
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: in their last game, So again, when you lose a
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: win streak, sometimes you will be hung over into the
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: next game and it's a return home spot, even though
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: they were away for less than a week and it
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: wasn't that long of a road trip, but still nonetheless
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: road trip return. When teams come back, you know, from
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: a road triple, a lot of times they will be
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: distracted and not be focused, especially when they're playing against
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: a bad.
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: Team like Toronto.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 2: Anaheim is leading their division right now and they're not
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 2: really in danger of missing the playoffs or anything like that,
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: So I like Toronto in this game. Anaheim does have
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: to go right back out on the road and play
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: San Jose next, which San Jose is not going anywhere either,
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: but that still might be a bigger game because it
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: is a divisional game. I'm pretty sure now Anaheim is
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: good at home though, So that's one other concerned if
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: you do like Toronto here is Anaheim is good at home,
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: but you shouldn't just, you know, never fade Anaheim at home,
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean, Like, if the spot dictates it,
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 2: I would say, yeah, there are situations where you do
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: still want to fade Anaheim when they're at home. I mean,
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: I've done it, I think a couple of times this year.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: The money is indicating on Toronto, I do agree with that.
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: Anaheim is at minus one eighty eight right now. Seventy
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: seven percent of tickets on them fifty five percent of
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: the money on Toronto. I agree with that market read
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: I would lean to Toronto as well. You could do
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: like a split puck line money line situation if you
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: want to do that. And then we have Saint Louis
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: and San Jose, two teams that are playing out the
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: stretch going nowhere. Saint Louis did just beat Toronto five
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: to one. Like I said, they're starting a road trip
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: with a four game win streak, and a lot of
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: times the team will start a road trip and that
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: momentum will continue, and a lot of times you will
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: be focused to start the road trip. Problem is Saint
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: Louis is having to go out west, which isn't that easy.
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: You know, again, it's a clock change or a time
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: zone change. They can mess with their biological clock. San
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: Jose did just end a six game losing streak. So
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: a lot of times when a team ends a losing streak,
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: they'll have new momentum and they will actually show up
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: in the next game. But they're returning home from a
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: road trip. They're on the road for less than a week.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: But they did go to Nashville. Saint Louis Columbus so
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 2: they're having to travel back to the Pacific time zone
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: from that road trip, and again, a lot of times
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: teams will not do well when they return on from
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: the road trip. Maybe they won't overlook Saint Louis because
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: they actually lost at Saint Louis during the road trip,
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: so maybe that'll keep the focus a little bit. But
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 2: San Jose really is not like they're not going anywhere
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: this year. They don't have a whole lot left to
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: play for, even though the record is actually not that bad.
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: I think they're not technically eliminated yet.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: Whoops. I think they're not technically eliminated yet.
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: But they do have Anaheim, who's the division leader, on
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: deck on a TV game, so they might be looking
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: ahead to that game a little bit. Uh So, this
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: game is pretty difficult to figure out.
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in on San Jose uh down
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: from minus one to ten to minus one oh seven.
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 2: Fifty nine percent of the tickets are on Saint Louis,
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: eighty four percent of the cash on San Jose. The
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: money indicating on San Jose. I slightly disagree, though I
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: would kind of lean towards Saint Louis, But perhaps the
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: better way to look at this game because both teams
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: I think, are kind of going nowhere. You're gonna get
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: maybe a messed up Saint Louis deepfense because of their
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: biological clocks. Having to go out west San Jose traveling
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 2: as well, returning off from a road trip might affect
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: their deepfense. They might not be totally focused. I think
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: an over is worth considering in this game as well.
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: Sixty nine percent of tickets eighty two percent of the
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: cash on the over. I think that's actually my preference
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: in this game. Rather than trying to figure out the side,
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 2: I think I would.
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: Prefer going over here.
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: Both teams are not really great defensively or goaltending wise,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: so over makes sense to me in that game.
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: All right, NBA.
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: And again, you know when teams don't play when teams
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: are not like when teams don't have a ton to
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: play for, they don't play deep bets as intensely. All right, NBA. Yeah,
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: they were like eight NBA games. I guess today there's
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 2: a peacock NBC Sports not triple header, but I don't
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: know what we want to call this. It's really like
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: kind of a doubleheader with an extra game thrown in
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: there in the middle, and that extra game in the
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: middle is the least interesting of all, which is why
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: it's on NBC Sports Extra, not NBC Sports Peacock. NBC
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: Sports first game is Philly at Miami. Philly has all
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: their players back.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: Now, man.
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: Over the last two games, they got everybody back. George
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: came back for suspension, and Beat came back both of
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: them in that game against Chicago and then in their
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: win over Charlotte, which I got both these games correct.
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: By the way, I lean to Philadelphia in both games
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: despite having players returning, although I did not give out
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 2: a play on either game. Philadelphia did get Maxie and
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: Oubre back against Charlotte and they beat Charlotte. Does that
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: mean now they're gonna be in a little bit of
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot off of a pretty good win over Charlotte.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: I mean they're not gonna overlook Miami because both these
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: teams are fighting for playoff positioning. Here, Philly's trying to
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: avoid the play in. Miami looks like they're probably gonna
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: have to be in the play in at this point.
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: Miami's lost a lot of recent games, man, even though
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: they're I believe they're at full strength as well. They've
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: lost what is this nine of their last or is
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: that nine of ten?
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: No?
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: What is that seven of eight? I think I can't
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: even stud it's my stroke brain. I can't see like
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: how many lines there are anymore. I think they've lost
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: seven of their last eight games or something like that.
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 2: They just lost ugly to Indiana. That is a terrible
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: loss to Indiana. But they were coming off three big
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 2: games in a row against well actually five Lakers, Houston,
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: San Antonio, Cleveland twice. I know some of those games
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: weren't close, but it was a pretty questionable spot for Miami.
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 2: Now they are returning over from a road trip and
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: that's not good. But it was a road trip that
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: was less than a week long. They didn't really go
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: that far on the road trip, so I don't think
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: it's like the worst spot on the road trip return here,
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: Like maybe the distractions won't totally come in here. They
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: do have a big game against the Celtics on deck,
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: but I just don't think they're gonna overlook Philadelphia either,
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: because that's one of the teams that Miami is kind
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: of fighting for for a playoff positioning. I actually like
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 2: Miami in this game. The money is coming in on Miami.
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia is up to minus two here fifty tickets, eighty
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on Miami. So I agree
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: with that market read there the money coming in of Miami,
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: but not really a strong opinion. And it's rare that
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: I'll actually give out a play and a team returning
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: from a road trip, although it's not the longest road trip.
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: Celtics at Atlanta. Celtics are on a back to back.
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: They just had a very satisfying blowout revenge win against
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 2: Charlotte yesterday, So the Celtics are on a back to back.
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: They're playing a third game in four days, all in
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: different cities, and the game prior to that, they beat
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: Atlanta at home, so the Celtics, you know, Atlanta might
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: make some adjustments to that actually played better this time
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: against the Celtics. Celtics do have that ESPN game against
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: Miami on deck now. As far as the Celtics, though,
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: the back to back might not be as bad as
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: you might think because they blew out Charlotte yesterday without
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: Derek White and without Jalen Brown, both of them didn't
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: play in yesterday's game.
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: Jason Tatum took over and had a really good game yesterday.
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: But the Celtics, I mean, they're doing their thing. Man,
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 2: They're deep as they always are. They're winning these games
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: with some of their best players not even in there.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: But that means that Brown and White might both play
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: in this game, and they were resting it yesterday, so
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: it's not like the entire Celtics line up played yesterday,
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: you know. So that's at least something that kind of
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: cuts into that disadvantage a little bit.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: But they are still coming up of a big win.
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: They did just beat Atlanta the game before that.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: Atlanta was in a Celtics sandwich in their last game,
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: which I brought up on the show on Saturday. Didn't
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: give it out as a play, but I liked Sacramento
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: to cover in that game, and they did. Atlanta only
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: won by ten, so they had an unimpressive performance, but
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: it was in a very bad spot. And they had
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: also played Detroit the game before that Boston game, So
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 2: I think this spot is better for Atlanta here staying
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: at home now, they get to kind of bounce back
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: from that ugly game against Sacramento, even though they won.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: The one thing about Atlanta, though.
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: Is I still don't think they're as good as this
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: recent hot streak makes it look, because again, they've played
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 2: pretty much all bad teams.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: Like the only team they managed.
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: To beat that's actually that good is Detroit and it
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 2: was without Kid Cunningham. And yes, they did play close
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: against the Celtics, so I get that, but Atlanta still
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: is not proven that they can actually consistently beat like
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 2: good teams. They just haven't done it. But in this
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: specific spot, I do have to lean to Atlanta here.
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: If the Celtics do get those guys back, maybe it'll
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: kind of mess with their lineup a little bit too. Aldo.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: The Celtics are used to these.
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: Guys being in and out of the lineup, so I
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: don't think that's that bad. But maybe the Celtics, you know,
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 2: after oh we just crushed Charlotte without these guys, we
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: can beat Atlanta again, especially with these guys back, you know.
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: So I lean to the Hawks here.
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: Fifty eight percent of tickets around the Celtics fifty three
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Hawks. I don't like
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: it because the Celtics are trying to hang on to
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 2: the two seed right now in the East with the
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: Knicks losing to the Thunder yesterday. But yeah, that's you know,
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: it's a spot where I think the spot doesn't make
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: sense ce Lean towards the Hawks in that one.
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: Phoenix at Memphis Phoenix.
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: You know, they're jocking for playoff positioning, so that's kind
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: of their motivation here. They've actually been on a bad
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: losing stretch recently, but they played a lot of pretty
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: good teams in that stretch there. They just killed Utah
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: on Saturday. Now they're starting a road trip. Maybe they
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: will start it with momentum here. Maybe they're gonna be
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 2: looking ahead though, because they play the Magic next that
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 2: is a better team than Memphis at the very least,
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: and putting up one hundred and thirty four points is
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 2: pretty satisfying, So maybe Phoenix will not be in the
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 2: greatest spot here. Memphis did just beat Chicago in their
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: last game, which isn't that impressive of a win or anything.
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: What it might do is it'll end their losing momentum
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: again though, because they had lost five games in a row.
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: Maybe that will give the momentum coming into this one,
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 2: and that losing momentum they are staying at home. They
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: do have the Knicks on deck though, so I don't
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: know if they'll consider that to.
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: Be a bigger game or not.
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: But the Suns are in their conference, the Western Conference.
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: Suns are lanked twelve and a half here on the road.
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: And while I keep talking about how the Suns have
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: been really good against the spread this year, yeah, most
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: of those games do not involve them laying double digits
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: on the road. Fifty five percent of tickets on the Suns,
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: seventy one percent of the cash on the Grizzlies, So
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 2: the money is indicating on the Grizzlies.
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna disagree with it.
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 2: I would probably agree with Lanysward's taking the points in
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 2: that game, but no strong opinion for me there. Peacock
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: and NBC Sports Extra, the extra game that's in the
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: middle there that nobody's gonna watch because it.
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: Involves the Chicago Bulls.
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: Who's gonna want to watch this game up against the Spurs. Yeah,
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 2: the Spurs are fun to watch, but the Bulls probably
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: will not offer them too much resistance year, although maybe
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: you know, the Bulls might get up for this game.
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: The Bulls coming off that lost to Memphis, which wasn't
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 2: that good finishing a road trip here where they haven't
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: won a single game on the road trip, playing San
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: Antonio on TV or in you know, a Peacock game.
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: At the very least, maybe they will show up for
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: this game because it is against one of the top
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 2: teams in the West. San Antonio, I guess, is technically
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: still trying to potentially vie for the one seed. I
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 2: think they're like two and a half games behind the
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 2: Thunder right now. They're probably not gonna be able to
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 2: do it. But and also I don't think that's enough
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 2: motivation for san Antonio to come in there and you know,
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 2: just blow every team out, you know what I mean. Chicago, though,
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: they are playing a third game in four days, fourth
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: game in six days, fifth game in eight days, all in.
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: Different cities, so that's not easy to do.
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 2: So the scheduling spot, you know, it's pretty packed for Chicago.
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: The Spurs just blew out the Bucks.
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: In their last game, a yannisless Bucks team. They're actually
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road trip as well. San Antonio
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: has been on the road since last Monday. They went
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: to Miami, Memphis, Milwaukee. So it is one of these
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 2: spots where maybe it's not the greatest spot for them.
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: Maybe they get caught in a return home spot here
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 2: and they just don't fully pay attention.
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: They got the Warriors on deck on an ESPN game.
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: They actually have to travel out to the Pacific coast,
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: so they're actually in a road trip sandwich here. And
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: I talked about that too, like when a team returns home,
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 2: they can get distracted just in general because they have
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: to get back to home life and get stuff done.
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: But when they know they have to go back out
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: on the road right away, that becomes even more of
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: a distraction I think, where they have a very limited
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: amount of time to get whatever done needs to get
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 2: done at home.
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: So I think it is a bad spot for the Spurs.
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: I would actually take the points of the Bulls in
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 2: this game, which well, I mean, knowing me, you know
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 2: that's not surprising for me to say that, but I don't.
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: It's not gonna make my card or anything.
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: Spurs are an eighteen and a half boyt favorite here,
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of tickets, ninety two percent of.
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: The cash on the Spurs.
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 2: I would take all those points with the bull I
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: was gonna do anything with that game. Minnesota at Dallas Minnesota,
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 2: Mike get Anthony Edwards back in this game.
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: He's missed multiple games in a row. At this point.
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: They're coming off a blowout home loss to Detroit without Cunningham.
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 2: Edwards also missed that game, of course, so both teams
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 2: were without their best player in that game.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: Now Minnesota goes out on the road. Maybe it'll be good.
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 2: For them just go out on the road, focus on basketball,
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 2: leave home behind after an ugly loss. But they do
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 2: have a revenge game against Detroit on deck on Prime
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 2: on Thursday, so I guess there's the potential they're looking
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 2: ahead to that, but I think maybe they will show
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: up for this game against Dallas. Dallas is returning home
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 2: from a weird two game road trip that took them
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 2: to Denver and Portland, and they're returning home from that.
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: It was less than a week long road trip, but
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 2: still they're having a cross time zones here.
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 2: They did end a losing streak, though, five game losing streak,
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: ended with a win over Portland, so maybe they will
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: show up.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: After that.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: You know, maybe that'll end they're losing momentum. But that
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 2: was a big upset for Dallas too. That was a
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 2: double digit upset, so they could be in a letdown
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 2: spot after that. Also, returning home might have to get
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: back to doing stuff at home. I don't think they're
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 2: gonna overlook Minnesota though. You know, Minnesota is one of
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: the better teams in the league, So the MAVs shouldn't
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 2: overlook the spot. The t Wls are up to seven
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: point favorite, and that seems to indicate that I do
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 2: think Anthony Edwards is probably coming back. Is what that
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: means if we see this line moving that much on
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: the te Wolves side here, which would mean it's a
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: reverse injured player spot. And you know I talk about
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: that when you have a team that their star player
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 2: comes back, they have to get back to their you know,
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: their other roles again, they have to work him back in.
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 2: Sometimes it could be just like a little bit of
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 2: a mental let down because, oh, our star players coming back,
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 2: you know, like just mentally, you might not be as focused. Uh,
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 2: sixty five percent of tickets on the Tea Wolves, fifty
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Dallas on the MAVs.
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: I'll slightly agree with that.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: I will agree with the market there and agree with Dallas,
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: but not that strong of an opinion for me. There
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 2: either Cleveland at Utah. Cleveland, let me see what did
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 2: they do last I looked at these games already, but
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 2: I forget they just killed Miami in a zigzag spot.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: If they lost to Miami the prior game, they zigzag
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 2: made adjustments and crushed Miami in the next game. Pretty
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 2: satisfying win, blowing out Miami. Now they're starting a road
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 2: trip having to go to Utah, which I don't know
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: if you get really excited about playing Utah in elevation
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: and tomorrow Cleveland has to play Lebron and the Lakers.
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 2: That is a big deal playing you know, the Cleveland
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: guy Lebron, and it's the Lakers who have been hot recently,
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: so you know that's a bigger game. It's a bit
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 2: of a sandwich spot here, I think the for Cleveland.
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: So I like Utah in this one.
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: Man Utah, they're returning on from a road trip, but
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 2: they lost both games. Was a quick road trip just
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 2: to Denver and Phoenix. Not a big deal really. I
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: think they will get up for a game against Cleveland.
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: They've lost five games in a row. Utah has put
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 2: in some effort in some of these games recently, like
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 2: they played Denver really close when they started the road trip.
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: They do have Denver on deck two.
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 2: But I think Utah might give you an effort in
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 2: this one against Cleveland. Man, So that would be my
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: opinion here I would I would lean towards Utah. They're
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: gonna be getting a lot of points here. Calves are
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: seventeen point favorite, down from eighteen and a half, fifty
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the tickets on the Cavs, fifty one
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Jazz, though, I would
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 2: lean Utah there. Not the strongest of opinions, but I'm
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 2: gonna be honest, like I think, out of all these
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: NBA games I've talked about so far, that one might
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 2: be better than the rest because I just don't like
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 2: the spot for Cleveland at all.
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: So that's my opinion there.
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 2: Detroit at Oklahoma City, this is the other Peacock NBC
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: Sports game of the main doubleheader here unfort actually for them.
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: Cad Cunningham is not back, so I don't know if
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: and when he's even coming back. Man, a collapse lung
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: is is pretty serious. So Detroit is without him. They're
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 2: still playing pretty well without him, though. They just beat
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 2: Minnesota in a blowout.
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: That was a big win.
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 2: But you know, they're not gonna overlook Oklahoma City either, man,
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 2: But they're gonna have to put in two huge efforts
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 2: in a row here without their best player, which might
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: be a little bit difficult. Oklahoma City is coming off
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: a very good win yesterday though they beat the Knicks
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 2: by double digits. Nice win for OKC yesterday. They do
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: have the Lakers on deck. Don't know they're gonna overlook
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 2: Detroit though. Is people are gonna be talking about how
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 2: this game might be, you know, a finals preview as well,
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 2: just like last night's game was. It's a difficult handicap
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 2: in this game. The money is coming in on the Pistons.
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: Thunder dropped from thirteen and a half to twelve, seventy
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 2: four percent of tickets and ninety seven percent of the
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 2: cash on the Pistons, even though they look like actually
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 2: kind of a public underdog in this game. Because I
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 2: think people are gonna see this game and think, oh,
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 2: this is gonna be a competitive game, and twelve points
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 2: this is just way too much. I don't necessarily think
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 2: that it is because, of course, you know, Cunningham is
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: out and the Thunder are just that good. But the
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 2: money is indicating on the Pistons, and I don't really
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: disagree with it in this spot. I think maybe the
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: spot is you know, I don't think the spot's that
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: good for either team though, So I don't know, I
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 2: just I don't like it at all really to you know,
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: just yeah, I don't love the game at all. I
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: guess because both teams are in bad spots. You could
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: argue the over kind of makes sense because of that.
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 2: But the totals really low in the.
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: Two nineteens to nineteen range, and it's that low for
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 1: a reason.
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 2: You know, when you get a big game like this,
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: a lot of times it does mean playoff atmosphere and
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 2: defenses will show up. Although we see sixty seven percent
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 2: of tickets fifty nine percent of the cash on the under,
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 2: so the under looks a little bit public, which is
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 2: also really weird and less than the money on the under.
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 2: It's a game that I just have no good opinion
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: on though at all. Washington at the Lakers is the
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 2: last game on the board here. Lakers get another really
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 2: weak opponent here Washington.
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: They're already out on the West coast. At least they're finishing.
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 2: A road trip, though and they're on a back to back,
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 2: but they got absolutely manhandled last night by Portland. Maybe
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 2: that's embarrassing enough. Maybe they were looking ahead to the Lakers.
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 2: Maybe they will show up with a better effort here
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 2: against the Lakers. But having to play a third game
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 2: in four days, fourth game in six days, all in
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: different cities, that's not that easy to do. Lakers are
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: actually in a somewhat positive spot because they were turned
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: home from a road trip in their last game and
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 2: they beat Brooklyn. I believe they did not cover. Let
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 2: me see, Yeah, they won by seventeen as eighteen and
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite, so I probably gave up Brooklyn
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: as a leen in that game. It was not a
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 2: play for me. But Brooklyn actually did barely cover there.
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 2: If you did have Brooklyn in that one. It was
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 2: a bad spot for the Lakers in the return home spot.
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: Now they've had two days off. A lot of times
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 2: when a team doesn't do well in that return home spot,
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: a lot of times they will play better in the
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 2: next game. But they did still win by seventeen points,
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 2: so you know, maybe they won't consider that to be
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 2: a bad performance. And they do have Cleveland tomorrow and
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 2: then Oklahoma City, so there is a potential look ahead
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 2: spot here for the Lakers.
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: So yeah, it's a game.
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: It's difficult to read the money's actually coming in on
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 2: the Lakers or a sixteen point favorite, seventy four percent
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 2: of tickets, ninety two percent of the cash on the Lakers.
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 2: I don't really strongly disagree with the Lakers in this one,
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 2: but I really wouldn't want to lay it either, so
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna stay off of it as well. No good
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 2: opinion for me. I know it's a big, pretty big
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: NBA board today, but I don't love the board, man.
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 2: So those are my thoughts on everything that's gonna do
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 2: it pretty long show today because of baseball, I talk
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 2: way too in detail about baseball, man.
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately, we have two plays in baseball.
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 2: We're gonna be on the Milwaukee Brewers money line or
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 2: if you want to switch over to doing a run
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 2: line money line split bet you could do that as well.
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 2: And we're gonna be on the under and Yankees and
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 2: Mariners get the seven and a half in that one,
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 2: because it's a key number there. That's gonna do it.
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 2: Learn it tone on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram.
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 2: Thanks everybody, for hanging out, like, subscribe to the channel here,
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: give me good replies here, boosts this channel. Man, We're
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 2: on audio as well, Apple, Spotify, all the things, so
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 2: you can check it out there too.
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: Give me good reviews over there.
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 2: It helps me out as well. Covered in Yuke the
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: Yuke channel on YouTube, you can check that out out.
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 2: My voice right now is really bad, so I don't
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 2: know when I'm gonna be able to do more Yuke stuff.
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 2: Then we got Patreon dot com slash learn it toad
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: if you want to throw me some support. I you know,
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: I have not been keeping up with it though, so
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 2: that's not great. And then Loser Cast will be back
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: tomorrow night.
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: We'll see who I go with with a loser could
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: go sports related on that one. I don't know.
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 2: We'll see that's gonna do it. Thanks guys for hanging
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 2: out of you back out tomorrow morning. No college basketball
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: yet tomorrow. Tomorrow it'll be mostly baseball again and probably
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 2: some actually tomorrow usually there's a huge hockey schedule on
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 2: Tuesday too, so it might be a big show.
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: Actually not looking.
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 2: Forward to that to that just because it makes my job,
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: you know, more difficult, because I gotta do all.
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: You know, I got to handicap it all.
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 2: I gotta get my plays down and then I gotta
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 2: do the show, so you know, but I don't know.
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 2: I mean, I do like talking about all this stuff.
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 2: You can't really shut me up about it. So thanks guys,
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 2: I appreciate it.
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: Peace,