Latest / The Action Catalyst / Talent, Hunger, Wonder, with Bob Bush (Business, Leadership, Risk, Tesla)
Transcript
- 0:00Bob Bush: I'm enjoying this. So until you kick me off, I'm good
- 0:35to go.
- 0:39Adam Outland: Awesome. I know you are a contributor to Forbes
- 0:42Middle East. And Jeff Bezos said, and I'm heavily
- 0:45paraphrasing that he mentioned, how the US is such a good
- 0:49fertile ground for business, partly because of the risk
- 0:53tolerance of the money in the US that that there are many
- 0:57organizations that are have a high risk attitude towards
- 1:01venture and taking bets that isn't as common in other
- 1:05countries. But I think you have an interesting perspective,
- 1:09because I'd be curious your thoughts about the risk
- 1:12tolerance in the Middle East for investments from an uninformed
- 1:17perspective over here, it seems that it's quite high, but you
- 1:21might have a different perspective on that so. And I
- 1:25think even your greater comment on the economics of risk, risk
- 1:29in general would be interesting.
- 1:31Bob Bush: Yeah, I'm familiar with Mr. Bezos comments. There
- 1:34are a couple of things there. I think venture capital and PE do
- 1:39not have a high risk tolerance and so and it seems that I'm
- 1:43going against one of the world's richest man when I say this. So
- 1:47let me really sort of unpack that. Yeah, what you find when
- 1:51you talk to sophisticated investors, it's all about the
- 1:55risk mitigation. These guys don't make money by taking non
- 1:59risk adjusted risk. It is all about a risk adjusted risk. And
- 2:03so because of the size of the capital pool, you have different
- 2:08kinds of risk players who are comfortable with certain kinds
- 2:12of risks for startups or certain kinds of risks for growth
- 2:16companies or certain kinds of risks, right? And so what are
- 2:20the things that and I'm sure that that Bezos would agree that
- 2:24when you look at a capital stack, you will find that there
- 2:28is ample capital for whatever risk level that you want,
- 2:32sufficient enough to have a very robust, robust market around. So
- 2:36it's not so much that the US has a super high risk tolerance, but
- 2:41that there is enough, there are enough players, wherever you
- 2:45want to be on the risk spectrum who are comfortable with
- 2:49understanding that particular risk at that development, and
- 2:53the mitigants for that risk, and that's who they bet on. They
- 2:57don't bet on the guy who's taking the most risk, or, you
- 3:01know, the company, or the team, or the woman who's taking the
- 3:05most risk. They're betting on the company, the woman, the team
- 3:09that knows how to mitigate the most risk for that type of risk.
- 3:13That's the bet.
- 3:15Adam Outland: And I think you're probably dead on that, that
- 3:17Bezos would agree on that. I think his, he probably operates
- 3:20with a different definition of risk that the average person and
- 3:24probably lines up with what you just described.
- 3:26Bob Bush: Right? So let's, let's dig that a little bit deeper.
- 3:29What we have, you know, this kind of links to the Middle
- 3:33East, and it links to Europe, where I've been fortunate to
- 3:37have done some work with the European Commission and other
- 3:40capital providers across the world. And so one of the things
- 3:44that the United States has is reasonably patient capital. Very
- 3:48little capital is patient, and certainly not PE and hedge fund
- 3:52capital, but it's reasonably patient, meaning, meaning that
- 3:56it can be sticky, that if, depending on where you are in
- 4:00that capital structure, if you need three years of capital, or
- 4:03if you need five years of capital, or you need seven years
- 4:07of capital, or you need 10 years of capital, right? There are
- 4:11capital providers that are willing to take that turn,
- 4:14provided that Dominicans are there and that, you know, I had
- 4:18the pleasure, I was asked to advise a particular group,
- 4:22several groups of the European Commission around this very
- 4:26point. I know if you just saw recently where the commission
- 4:29has now allocated $200 billion for AI development, and it was
- 4:33100 almost 100x and what they had internally thought they were
- 4:37going to put into AI just a year ago. And so I've lived in
- 4:41Germany. I've spent a lot of time in in Switzerland and
- 4:44Austria and talking to Europeans where these sources of capital
- 4:48are. Spend a lot of time in London as well. One of the
- 4:52distinctions between sort of European risk taking and the US
- 4:56is and I. Take it from the entrepreneurial side. So the
- 4:59European Commission asked me to go around Eastern Europe, to the
- 5:03Balkans and all these Eastern European countries, including
- 5:07Ukraine, and meet with entrepreneurs and accelerators
- 5:10and incubators. So this was, just may have been about 10
- 5:14years ago, on this very question of, you know, you know, appetite
- 5:18for risk, etc. So from the European Commission perspective,
- 5:22they had the Chinese and the Asians, tons of capital, very
- 5:26assertive, very aggressive to their East. And then they had
- 5:29the Americans, very end of that innovative, very assertive, very
- 5:33aggressive. And the Europeans were getting bookend and
- 5:37squeezed. And so having been an American that had lived in the
- 5:41Middle East, who was now living in Europe, I was living in
- 5:45Europe because my former wife is European, German, and so we were
- 5:49started a family there. And you know, you're at a dinner party
- 5:53here and there, and people start asking you questions. And before
- 5:57you know, if you're saying, Can you come to Brussels? So I ended
- 6:01up doing some work in process. So the point is, is that the
- 6:05entrepreneurs, the best, most innovative talent that's coming
- 6:09out of these countries is, I would say, superior to the
- 6:12talent coming out of US universities. But the
- 6:15incentives. So think about it this way. I had the pleasure of
- 6:19getting a philosophy degree at a liberal arts school. You don't
- 6:23have that kind of luxury in many of these eastern Europe. It is
- 6:27physics, it's math, it's engineering. You make stuff.
- 6:30Adam Outland: You make stuff, right.
- 6:32Bob Bush: And so the pragmatic and practical pool of talent at
- 6:35that university, at that mindset level, they make great stuff.
- 6:40And guess where those the best and the brightest go up until
- 6:44recently, they become PhD students. And when you talk to
- 6:48them as PhD students, and then you talk to them, I spoke at
- 6:52dozens of universities, and talk to professors and departments,
- 6:56those departments and professors eschew their best and brightest
- 7:00doing something as pedantic is making money. Yeah, interesting.
- 7:04So there's this stigma that if you're that smart, why would you
- 7:09want to do what those 120 IQs guys do in London? So you got
- 7:13culturally, this issue of not supporting innovation in that
- 7:17sense. So you've got a lot of by best people not being trained
- 7:21and how to truly be innovative. They can be inventive. They can
- 7:25make, you know, you know, test is a wonderful example that's
- 7:29exceptionally invented, but he got out maneuvered by Edison
- 7:33others around how to make the business model being truly
- 7:37innovative around those inventions. That's a historical,
- 7:41culturally relevant point. Even today, his level of
- 7:44inventiveness is top notch, but his ability to meld the capital
- 7:49get the business model around it, he got out maneuvered. He
- 7:53got outgunned by Edison and CO, right? And so when you're really
- 7:57thinking about the fertile ground for risk, or fertile
- 8:01ground for talent, or matching capital to talent, etc, there's
- 8:05some really interesting things that I've personally had to
- 8:09observe going from the just on the talent side, exceptionally
- 8:13talented kids. And so what ended up happening is how they started
- 8:17bridging and learning from the Americans. Then you had a lot of
- 8:22and Ukraine was a perfect example of this. They started
- 8:25doing it, outsourcing to some of these countries, because these
- 8:30kids could code and they had good math skills and they had
- 8:34good engineering skills, etc. So that's transition. And now they
- 8:38realize, well, wait a minute, why am I doing the code for that
- 8:42Silicon Valley company? I want to be that Silicon Valley
- 8:46entrepreneur. So organically, there's sort of this shift
- 8:50around all of that. So Do not underestimate a bright person
- 8:54who shows up every day without the best resources and their
- 8:58ability to create something that is world changing.
- 9:01Adam Outland: That's right. Well said. A question I ask
- 9:04everyone, but one that I just love, in general, is, you've had
- 9:08a wealth of experience. Let's say you were able to just sit,
- 9:12sit on that bus from Illinois to St Louis and talk to that young
- 9:17man who's riding to school every day. What advice would you
- 9:21provide him, knowing all the things that you know now?
- 9:25Bob Bush: Well, as you've already picked up on, and I'm
- 9:28not trying to be unorthodox, we think the young man has
- 9:32something to tell me less than me telling him. And I'm going to
- 9:36tell you why. Because as you start having the weight of the
- 9:41world on your shoulders, you got kids, you got wives, you've got
- 9:45employees, you've got bigger problems, right? You think
- 9:49keeping the same level of curiosity and inquisitiveness
- 9:53and maybe naivete that you can do anything you want that
- 9:57should. Me, I want to make sure that this world does not beat
- 10:02that out of me and beat that out of other entrepreneurs, because
- 10:06it can happen. Man. You know, I remember reading very early on
- 10:11about an immigrant that came out of Europe during the 30s in New
- 10:16York in the middle of the Depression, and 50 years later,
- 10:20he was this super rich industrialist. And they asked
- 10:23him, How did you do it? He said that I never read the papers,
- 10:28right? So what I would say to anyone that asked this question
- 10:32is, those aspirations that we all have, those that that sense
- 10:37of wonder, etc, don't lose that keep that young man and that
- 10:41young woman in your spirit, because before you know it, the
- 10:45world will do its best to take it out of you. So I think that
- 10:50young man has a lot more to teach me than I probably do him.
- 10:54That's a real value to me. Of course, I got more skills and I
- 10:59got more people, etc, but the heart of that matter, that
- 11:03talent, that God given hunger, that God given inquisitiveness,
- 11:07don't want to lose that, because that's your spark.
- 11:11Adam Outland: Yeah, the a plus player is the person that's
- 11:13humble, hungry and smart, and you could replace hungry with
- 11:16curious, right? But the more these interviews that I've done,
- 11:20I couldn't agree more, right? The humility and the hunger is a
- 11:23good combination with intelligence. And the more I've
- 11:26learned about business, the more I realize I don't know. So it's
- 11:30pretty easy to remain humble in this business when you're
- 11:33learning all the time.
- 11:34Bob Bush: None of us are smarter than the market, brother.
- 11:37Adam Outland: That's right. That's right. For our listeners,
- 11:39please share Mutombo coffee, which I know we didn't spend
- 11:43probably nearly as much time on this as we could have, because
- 11:46you have such an interesting and colorful life. But where can
- 11:50people learn about the Mutombo coffee, the respective social
- 11:54initiatives, and how can they participate?
- 11:57Bob Bush: Mutombocoffee.com of course, we have a website, M, U,
- 12:01T, O, M, B O, coffee.com we also have launched an Amazon store,
- 12:05and so that will will start doing more with that. Primarily,
- 12:09we've been B to B for the last few years, so we're now just
- 12:13starting to which is why I'm sticking my head up and doing
- 12:17more podcasts like yours, because we want people to know
- 12:21that that we exist, etc. The one of the other things we will do
- 12:26for your listeners is we'll create a VIP code for them, and
- 12:30anyone that puts in their code when they go to the website,
- 12:34they will get a VIP preferential pricing for our product as a way
- 12:38for us to say, thank you for introducing us to your listeners.
- 12:43Adam Outland: Yeah, love that. Well, thank you. Wow. This
- 12:45great, really great interview. I mean, really good for our
- 12:47listeners. Hopefully you've enjoyed it too. Great
- 12:50conversation.
- 12:51Bob Bush: I did. Make me look good, fellas, make me look good.