Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 68 - 7/2/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello and welcome to episode 68 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
- 0:35Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
- 0:38guys. And now we are what, just two
- 0:40days away from one of my favorite holidays of the year.
- 0:43No, not Christmas, you know, not Thanksgiving.
- 0:45Those are all great, but the 4th of July, something about summer,
- 0:49being in a backyard, you guys know the drill here at this
- 0:52point. Hot dogs, hamburgers with the
- 0:54red, white and blue. The Nathan's Hot Dog eating
- 0:56contest, which by the way, I'm dialed into all of the data in
- 1:01the numbers for the Nathan's Hot Dog Uni contest.
- 1:03We hit on it a little bit yesterday.
- 1:05Haven't seen a ton of movement since from yesterday to today,
- 1:07but I'm still looking at outright winners.
- 1:09Jeffrey Esper is still the favorite with no with no Joey
- 1:13Chestnut expected to be in this one because he committed the
- 1:16cardinal sin of aligning with a beyond meets company.
- 1:19But you have Mickey sudo -1200. I'm still looking at some match
- 1:22ups and some totals, some over unders.
- 1:25So still have my eyes appealed here for the hot dog contest.
- 1:28Basically it is 4th of July Eve eve today, so a couple days
- 1:32away, but I'm very much excited for my favorite holidays of the
- 1:35year, which I will be celebrating as I mentioned
- 1:37yesterday in sunny San Diego, going to visit the the in laws
- 1:41with the wife. So very much looking forward to
- 1:42that. Now looking toward today guys,
- 1:44we have a four pack of sweats for another kind of slower than
- 1:47usual day. These are the summer days that
- 1:48you're going to kind of going to have to get used to.
- 1:50But I have three Major League Baseball bets, including couple
- 1:53short numbers here with some good steam, as well as a WNBA
- 1:56bet, a very short dog to fave line move and a big rest.
- 1:59First tired system match. SO4 pack for today on episode 68
- 2:03of the All Systems Gopod. Now looking back to her last
- 2:06night. Bust out the brooms, baby.
- 2:08A nice little three and O night 3 and O + 2.33 units.
- 2:12You love to see it. I had a great winner there in
- 2:15the WNBA with the sun. The Sun, which we're pretty much
- 2:18checking off all the boxes. We noticed how the Sun had that
- 2:21good sharp line move as well as a good bet split a huge rest for
- 2:24his tired advantage. And best of all, we had that
- 2:26Rhythm AIAI model here that had a great edge on the Sun because
- 2:30if you remember, Rhythm was saying the Sun would win 82 to
- 2:3474. And what happened?
- 2:36They won 83 to 72. Rhythm almost absolutely nailed
- 2:40the final score there. So thanks to our friends at
- 2:43Rhythm for helping us catch the Sun with a good line move in
- 2:46their direction. Member the Sun were basically a
- 2:48- 1 up to minus. I want to say were they -2 1/2 -
- 2:513? They actually closed -4 1/2 or
- 2:53-5 so even beat the closing line on that one.
- 2:55So great to see our market based approach align with the Rhythm
- 2:59artificial intelligence betting model with a big winner there
- 3:02with the Sun on the money line. And then had a nice little two
- 3:05and O in Major League Baseball. Now the Mets made a sweat, but
- 3:08boy was it worth it. The Mets came through.
- 3:11They had a lead 3:00 to 2:00 late.
- 3:13They coughed it up. It was three to three.
- 3:15Tyrone Taylor misplayed a ball to to blow the lead and then he
- 3:18made a huge catch to save the game later in extra innings.
- 3:22And the Mets hung I think was a three to three-game.
- 3:24They scored six runs in the tenth.
- 3:25They were up nine to three and like, OK, good winner here.
- 3:29They almost blew it and they barely hung on.
- 3:31They won nine to seven. But it was great to see the Mets
- 3:33with that sharp line move, coin flip, coin flip, sharp move in
- 3:37their favor come through. So the Mets had a big win for us
- 3:39and then shout out to our friends at Juice Reel who helped
- 3:42us cash a big total last night. Remember Juice Reel's sharp mush
- 3:46indicator? I love this.
- 3:47This is basically looking at in the app who are the best betters
- 3:50and the worst betters and are they completely on opposite
- 3:52sides of a particular game or a total or a spread or a money
- 3:55line? Well, they were.
- 3:56If you remember Rocky's and Brewers last night, that total
- 3:59which which was 11 again got bet up some shops to 11 1/2.
- 4:03The worst betters on the app said take the under, the best
- 4:06betters said take the over. We noticed that wind blowing out
- 4:09as well as the good bet split and the good liability juice to
- 4:12the over. What happened?
- 4:14Pretty much sailed over there. It was a six to six game in the
- 4:168th 12 runs cashed. The over ended up being a seven
- 4:19to six game. So with a three and O night plus
- 4:222.33 units, let's see if we can keep it rolling for today.
- 4:25And with Rhythm and Juice Reel helping us cash some bets last
- 4:28night, I got to ask you guys once again, have you signed up
- 4:31for your free Rhythm or Juice Reel 7 day free trial?
- 4:33If you haven't done it, you got to go do it.
- 4:35You can get those sharp mush bets everyday from Juice Reel as
- 4:38well as the top arbitrage plays and the Robo Jackson plays.
- 4:41Robo Jackson went two and O yesterday which was great as
- 4:44well. Then with Rhythm, you guys know
- 4:45the drill. It's all about right now WNBA
- 4:47and golf, especially golf. I don't put as much time in it
- 4:51as I as I should because golf is more of a weekend thing.
- 4:54We don't really have the pods on the weekend, but the AI backed
- 4:57models for Rhythm can really help you with your AI caddy hole
- 5:00to hole. It's almost like live betting
- 5:02for golf. So both Rhythm and juice reel
- 5:05helping us cash bets go sign up for a 7 day free trial of both
- 5:08just by clicking the custom link inside the bio description of
- 5:11this party. Also find the links located on
- 5:13my Twitter page at Josh under score insights.
- 5:16So after a great night last night 3 and O + 2.33 units.
- 5:19Let's see if we can get a winning streak going for today.
- 5:22So I want to start off with some Major League Baseball.
- 5:25Now there's a lot of games stay in baseball, 15 overall, but I
- 5:28kind of felt like it was a more quality, not quantity night.
- 5:31I could have forced a couple extra bets or a couple.
- 5:33I was I was leaning on. I said, hey, let's not force it.
- 5:35Let's just play the games that really are checking off all of
- 5:38our boxes. So with that being said, let's
- 5:40dive right into the first one here. 6:40 PM Eastern Time,
- 5:43first pitch and interleague matchup between the Red Sox and
- 5:46the Miami Marlins. Now going into this one, the Red
- 5:48Sox are 44 and 39. They just dropped two of three
- 5:52against the Padres. They did avoid a sweep though
- 5:55with a four to one win on Sunday as a -, 110 home favorite.
- 5:58Meanwhile, the Marlins 30 and 54, they just split A4 game
- 6:02series against the Phillies, did lose the finale on Sunday 7:00
- 6:05to 6:00 as a + 220 Rd. dog. Now for tonight's interleague
- 6:09match up here, the series opener, we have the Red Sox
- 6:11going with righty Cutter Crawford, who's three and seven
- 6:14with a 3.59 ERA. Meanwhile, the Marlins are going
- 6:17with fellow righty Valente Belozo Belazo, O&O with a 0.00
- 6:23ERA. He's a young kid, he just made
- 6:25his MLB debut 6 days ago. Pitched pretty well, no runs in
- 6:28five innings. But the Marlins did lose that
- 6:30game with the Royals 5 to 1. So what have we seen across the
- 6:33market here? Well, big sharp steam in favor
- 6:36of the Red Sox. Red Sox open this game as low as
- 6:38a -, 155 home favorite. We've seen the Red Sox get put
- 6:42up to run -165 some shops even touched at -170.
- 6:46Now I'm starting to see the sign come back a little bit.
- 6:48It's now down back to around -160 But either way, off the
- 6:51opener, all movement has been toward Boston.
- 6:54Now the Red Sox are getting around 85% of bets, nearly 90%
- 6:58of dollars. So telling us that we have both
- 7:00a pro and Joe bet split in favor of Boston.
- 7:03Of course, interleague matchups, Eileen favorites just
- 7:05regardless, because the lack of familiarity tends to benefit
- 7:08quote UN quote the better team, which would be based on the
- 7:11favorite designation with Boston here.
- 7:14Now couple other angles to back the Red Sox in this one.
- 7:16One system match that I love when both teams are coming off a
- 7:19day off. Take the favorite, very simple,
- 7:21but that system is five O 2 and three 1262% with a 2% ROI since
- 7:262020. That's a big sample size.
- 7:28Non division Rd. favorites off a win this year are 97 and 7457%
- 7:33with a 1% ROI. And the other one that I love is
- 7:36Rd. favorites getting steam of $0.10 or more. 48 and 29 this
- 7:40year, 62% with a 5% ROI. Now I'm going to bank in
- 7:43particular on the Red Sox. Bats notice a big advantage
- 7:46here, hopefully. Offensively for Boston, they're
- 7:49hitting on the year 252 with 94 home runs in 381 runs scored.
- 7:54Miami on the air is only hitting 231 with 66 home runs and 293
- 7:59runs scored. Sophie, the offense of Boston
- 8:01comes to play here for tonight. Red Sox also good home Rd.
- 8:05splits. Red Sox are 24 and 16 on the
- 8:07road. The Marlins are only 16 and 27
- 8:09at home. Boston In addition to that
- 8:12interleague favorite, lack of familiarity advantage here, they
- 8:15also have some correlative betting as a favorite in a low
- 8:18total game. Told this game is 8 now some
- 8:20shops are juiced up a little Eight over -115 the total
- 8:23actually opened at 8 1/2 and it fell down to 8.
- 8:27So it looks like there was some kind of back and forth under 8
- 8:301/2. Then maybe some buy back over 8.
- 8:32But as it stands now, most books are at 8, which tells us that we
- 8:35have a favorite low total. Basically with the with the
- 8:39Fairmount of expected run scored more likely to come from quote
- 8:41UN quote that better team. Now, Blazo, I'm going to bank on
- 8:44him as a young kid, hopefully getting lit up by the Red Sox,
- 8:48maybe facing a good line up he hasn't faced before, But also
- 8:51Cutter Crawford. Cutter Crawford has been much
- 8:53better on the road than he has been at home.
- 8:55On the road he has a 2.88 ERA at home, 4.15.
- 9:00But based off the opener, all movement here has been toward
- 9:02Boston. Again, opening as low as -155 I
- 9:05saw an an Oprah even lower. Like -150 now you're up to
- 9:08around -165 So I'm going with the Sox in this one.
- 9:12Give me Boston. We got the Red Sox at -165 Keep
- 9:16on cruising. If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
- 9:19Mets, Nationals. I'm going right back to the well
- 9:22with the New York Mets. Let's go, Mets, guys.
- 9:24Mets had a huge win for us last night as we let off the pod here
- 9:27today. 41 and 41 now on the year, back to 500.
- 9:31They won nine to seven last night.
- 9:32Hanging on. What a nail biter.
- 9:33That was an extra innings as a -, 115 road favorite.
- 9:37Three match tonight. The Mets are going with lefty
- 9:39Sean Minaya. He's five and three with a 3.89
- 9:42ERA. He'll be opposed by the
- 9:44Nationals lefty DJ Hers who's one and two of the 5.48 ER 8
- 9:49Nationals, meanwhile in the year are now 39 and 45.
- 9:52So what have we seen across the market in this one?
- 9:54Well, big sharp steam in favor of the Mets.
- 9:56That's why I want to be with the New York Mets here today, guys.
- 9:59The Mets open this game around a -, 125 road favorite.
- 10:03Now the Mets are up to -145 even -150 now, you know, creeping up
- 10:07at some shop. So as soon as this line was
- 10:09available to bet, all movement liability came down on the Mets
- 10:13causing that big 20 cent steam move in their favor.
- 10:16Now good system matches. Well, First off, in terms of the
- 10:18ticket count, 80% of bets, 86% of dollars on the money line are
- 10:23going bets. So both a pro and Joe bet split
- 10:26heavy, you know, kind of public betting, but also respected
- 10:28money moving that number with the big steam in favor of the
- 10:31Mets. Rd. favorites getting $0.10 of
- 10:33steam or more, 40 and 2962 percent, 5% ROI.
- 10:37This year, once again, I'm going to bank on the Mets offense.
- 10:40They're hitting 250 with 100 and four home runs, 402 runs scored.
- 10:44Nationals rating 236. Only 68 homers and 348 runs
- 10:49scored. Home Rd. splits also benefit the
- 10:51Mets and want want to be a fade here or want to fade the
- 10:55Nationals and that's are only 17 and 20 at home.
- 10:57The Mets are 20 and 16 on the road.
- 11:00And Sean Maniah in particular, he's been pretty good.
- 11:02His last three starts he's been solid.
- 11:04He's only given up four runs and 15.2 innings pitched and he's
- 11:07been really good on the road. 3.16 ERA versus 4.4 O at home
- 11:12and of course, I always mention this.
- 11:13Hopefully you guys have started to do it on your own, but
- 11:16anytime you're trying to cap a game in which two lefties are
- 11:18pitching, so both teams are throwing a southpaw again, just
- 11:22Google, you know, betting splits or you know, basically splits,
- 11:26stat splits against left-handed pitchers.
- 11:28How do each how do each offense perform or how do each of the
- 11:32offenses perform against lefties because you're going to see
- 11:34discrepancies here. So in particular with both
- 11:37lefties here today, Mani and hers, the Mets are hitting 265
- 11:40against lefties. That's the 6th best in baseball.
- 11:43The Nets are only hitting 232 against lefties, that's 25th.
- 11:47And baseball, SO2 southpaws, the Mets hit the southpaws much
- 11:50better, which is a good angle for us to take New York tonight.
- 11:54Now last 10, New York is 6 and 43270 with a 465 ERA.
- 11:59Washington is three and seven over the last 10, only hitting
- 12:01258 with a 5.32 ERA. So last 10 the Mets have had the
- 12:06better bats in the better pitching.
- 12:08And by the way, the Mets wasn't easy last night.
- 12:10We got the win, but they're now four and O against the nationals
- 12:12this year. So hopefully they continue to
- 12:14have their number. But you had it all up here,
- 12:15guys. Rd. favorite big steam, much
- 12:19better against lefties, good system matches.
- 12:20I'm going with the Mets to hopefully get us another win in
- 12:22the nation's capital. Give me the Mets.
- 12:24I got them at -145 keep on cruising.
- 12:28The biggest dog to fave line move of the day.
- 12:30Detroit Tigers visiting the Minnesota Twins now.
- 12:34Tigers coming to this game 38 and 46.
- 12:38They just dropped three or four against the Angels.
- 12:39They did avoid the sweep though. They had a seven to six win in
- 12:42the Sunday series finale, cashing as a + 100 Rd. dog.
- 12:46Meanwhile, the Twins complete opposite 47 and 3710 games above
- 12:49500 just took two or three against the Mariners.
- 12:52Not, not not easy to do beating the Mariners, especially on the
- 12:56road. They won five to three on Sunday
- 12:58as a -. 115 road favorite. So for tonight's series opener,
- 13:02the Tigers are going with the lefty Tarek Scubal 9:00 and 3:00
- 13:062.32 ERA. The Twins meanwhile, are going
- 13:08with Simeon Woods Richardson. He's three in one with a 3.41
- 13:12ERA this year. Now, what have we seen across
- 13:14the market? Well, I tease the dog to fave
- 13:16line move, but this has been a super, super sharp play against
- 13:19Detroit and in favor of Minnesota because this game
- 13:22actually opened Detroit around a -, 120 Rd. favorite.
- 13:26Understandable. You know Scoobel is a Cy Young
- 13:28candidate. However, we open Detroit -120
- 13:32and now we flipped to Minnesota -120 even -125 at some shop.
- 13:36So again, you open Detroit, the favorite, now it's flipped to
- 13:39Minnesota, the favorite. Ring, ring ring alarm bells.
- 13:42You know that though, that should be that dog to fave line
- 13:44move that pops in your head anytime you see that flip of the
- 13:47odds here when which one team opens as a dog and becomes a
- 13:50favorite. Why is that important?
- 13:52Because it takes a lot of smart money to flip that favorite
- 13:54designation. Minnesota also like aside from
- 13:56the dog to fave line move, they're only getting 58% of
- 13:59bets. It's not like they're getting
- 14:0090% of bets so public, I think you know, is showing respect to
- 14:04Scooble just because he's got those great numbers as a Scion
- 14:06candidate. Yet all the smart money is
- 14:09pouring in on Minnesota now. Looking at the offense once
- 14:12again favors Minnesota. They're hitting 24899 homers,
- 14:16404 runs scored. Tigers are only hitting 2/28
- 14:19with 76 homers and 341 runs scored.
- 14:22A lot of system matches here we've talked about in previous
- 14:26games that we've mentioned both teams are coming off a day off,
- 14:29which is the case here. Take the favorite as I mentioned
- 14:32before, that's five O 2 and three 1262% with a 2% ROI since
- 14:362020, Minnesota has that correlative betting value
- 14:39favorite low total. They're now -120 -. 125 total in
- 14:43this one is 7 1/2. So if your amount of expected
- 14:45run scored more likely to come from quote UN quote, that better
- 14:48team. Twins are hitting 284 against
- 14:51lefties this year. That's the best in baseball.
- 14:53So even though Scoobles been great, he's now facing the team
- 14:56that hits the southpaws the best.
- 14:58So that's a good sign here for the Twins.
- 15:00Home Rd. splits also favor Minnesota.
- 15:02They're 23 and 16 at home. Detroit is just 19 and 24 on the
- 15:05road. And over the last 10 games,
- 15:07Twins are six and four. They're hitting 276 with a 3.23
- 15:11ERA. Tigers are four and six over the
- 15:13last 10, only hitting two O 6 with a 4.39 ERA.
- 15:17And by the way, Minnesota, they are really good when they are a
- 15:20chalk favorite, when they're favored.
- 15:22The Twins are 38 and 20 this year, 66% with a 10% ROI.
- 15:26That's the 4th best chalk team in baseball.
- 15:29So biggest thing here is this dog to fave line move opened
- 15:32Minnesota, you know, getting plus 110.
- 15:35Now they're all the way to -125. So I'm going to follow this big
- 15:37sharp steam. Give me Minnesota on the money
- 15:40line. I got them at -120 So Red Sox,
- 15:44Mets and Minnesota, can we get two out of three and have a
- 15:47winning night in MLB? That is the goal.
- 15:49Now over to the WNBA A4 game slate here for tonight.
- 15:53Didn't have a ton in terms of rhythm system matches had some
- 15:58conflicting data. Nothing jumped out to me too
- 16:00much. There were some totals that had
- 16:01some value, but they move so much I felt like there wasn't
- 16:04any value to be had anymore. But there was one game that
- 16:07caught my eye as a very sharp dog to fave line move, and it is
- 16:12a 10:00 match up between the Washington Mystics and the Los
- 16:15Angeles Sparks. Now going into this one, these
- 16:18are two of the worst teams in the WNBA.
- 16:19This could be an ugly one. Guys.
- 16:21Strap up, strap in, put on a pot of coffee.
- 16:23We're going to sweat this one. Washington is 4 and 15.
- 16:27Sparks are four and 14, so two. Again, two of the worst teams in
- 16:31WNBA. However, let's look at what the
- 16:34market has done on this game. This game actually open with the
- 16:36Mystics, a bit of a short favorite on the road.
- 16:39Some books were like Mystics -1, Mystics -1 1/2.
- 16:43We've now seen this line flip to sparks -2.
- 16:46So we went just as we just talked about with the Minnesota
- 16:49Twins game. We open with the Sparks as a
- 16:51dog, getting a pointer point in half.
- 16:53Now the Sparks are -2 even some shops are juiced, may even go to
- 16:572 1/2. That's going to be something to
- 16:58watch out for. That'll be a good sign.
- 17:00If they go to 2 1/2, 'cause I'm going Sparks here, I'm going on
- 17:03the money line though. I'm not going to mess around
- 17:05with sparks winning by one or two.
- 17:06I push or lose my bet. I'm on the money line -125 with
- 17:10the sparks. But aside from that dog to fave
- 17:12line move, I also like the fact that it's basically a 5050 bets
- 17:15split. You know the spread bets here,
- 17:175050 down the middle. Public doesn't know where to go.
- 17:19Mystics and Sparks to see two bad teams.
- 17:22Washington has played a little bit better as of late.
- 17:24Sparks are on a losing streak and it's you know you're getting
- 17:27a couple points. Why not take the Mystics?
- 17:29However, the lines going to the sparks, which tells us again, in
- 17:32a vacuum of 5050 line move or 5050 bet split, line really
- 17:35shouldn't move at all. Tickets are even, no reason for
- 17:38the odds makers to adjust the number.
- 17:40However, when you see a 5050 bet split and yet the line moves,
- 17:43you got to assume that that line move was driven by smart money
- 17:45taking a position, even though the public may not really know
- 17:48which way to go. So dog to fave line move.
- 17:51Sparks plus 1 + 1 1/2 now to -2 5050 bet split move.
- 17:57But then also let's dig into some other factors here.
- 17:59One is a big rest first tired advantage.
- 18:02The Washington Mystics last played on the 29th.
- 18:05The Sparks last played on the 28th.
- 18:08Now that's only one day rest advantage, but I dug a little
- 18:10bit deeper. The Washington Mystics are
- 18:12playing their third game in six days.
- 18:14Kind of a tough spot. The LA Sparks are only playing
- 18:18their second game in 11 days. So that's a big rest advantage
- 18:22for the Sparks. If you pay attention to any WNBA
- 18:25basketball, Cameron Brink, who was their their tall center, she
- 18:28got hurt, tore ACL. They've been on a losing streak,
- 18:32but we're not a losing streak. And then you have this big
- 18:34break. I think that's a much needed
- 18:35break to kind of reset, you know, kind of, you know, get
- 18:38excited about playing basketball again after a long break here.
- 18:41So being at home is also huge because the Sparks are playing
- 18:44their first home game after A7 game.
- 18:46Road Trip Washington is playing their first Rd. game after a 4
- 18:50game home stand. So it kind of flips here.
- 18:53We're now Washington was at home, has to deal with the road
- 18:56game. Sparks are on the road now.
- 18:58They get to be, you know, back in their own beds and friendly
- 19:00confines of their home stadium. By the way, the Sparks are three
- 19:03and four at home on the year. They're four and 14, but they're
- 19:06only three and four at home. They've been competitive.
- 19:08The Washington Mystics are one and eight on the road.
- 19:11They've really struggled on the road.
- 19:12I'm hoping that continues here tonight.
- 19:14Now, the Sparks did beat the Mystics earlier this year, 70 to
- 19:1768 back in late May. I'm also going to bank on in
- 19:20particular free throws, not a huge discrepancy.
- 19:24If you look at a lot of these stats, Mystics and Spark,
- 19:26they're very similar, offense, defense, all the different
- 19:28categories. But I know it's a big difference
- 19:29in terms of free throws. Basically the Sparks are getting
- 19:33to the free throw line way more often.
- 19:34They're attempting on the year 20, nearly 21 free throws.
- 19:39The Washington Mystics only attempting 15.
- 19:43So basically that's 5-6 more points, free points here, which
- 19:46could be the difference in A1 possession game they're making.
- 19:50The Sparks are 16 free throws a game versus only 12 for the
- 19:54Mystics. Hopefully that's an advantage.
- 19:56And then it came through through last night.
- 19:58But we talked about that kind of chalk angle in the WNBA when it
- 20:01comes to hey, who, who wins these games more often?
- 20:05Well, if you're a favorite in the WNBA on the money line,
- 20:08you're winning these games 82 and 2974% of the time, which is
- 20:14kind of telling you that, you know, chalk ends up.
- 20:16Being somewhat predictive here again, basically the favorites
- 20:18are winning 74% of the time. That is a big edge here toward
- 20:22the favorite. Who's the favorite tonight?
- 20:24It's the sparks as as in Massachusetts, we have dunks.
- 20:27There's they have this new drink called the Duncan sparked.
- 20:30You can't say the ah, it's just the sparks, but let's go sparks.
- 20:34I'm sparks money line dog to fave 5050 line move huge rest
- 20:38first tart advantage. Get to the free throw line.
- 20:40Favorite chalk advantage. Let's go sparks on the money
- 20:43line they got them at -125 that about does it for today's
- 20:48episode of the All Systems Go Sports Betting Pod episode 68
- 20:52Powered by Rhythm of course. If you enjoy this podcast, can
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- 21:05button so you get alerted once a new pod drops, that will be
- 21:07great as well. But it really goes a long way to
- 21:09gaining more recognition, some respect, as well as rising up
- 21:13the charts based on our our ratings here.
- 21:15So if you've already done it, thank you.
- 21:16If you haven't, give it the five stars, really be very helpful
- 21:19and I'd very much appreciate it. Secondly, if you enjoy this
- 21:24podcast because you find the data interesting, the approach
- 21:27interesting. Maybe you had bet on sports
- 21:29before and you know, really just bet based on gut instinct and
- 21:32bias. Now you have a model, you have a
- 21:34blueprint, you have a way to read the market to help you win.
- 21:37Maybe you're paying more attention to sharp reverse line
- 21:39movement, contrarian plays, bet splits, low bets, higher
- 21:43dollars, steam moves, whether you're looking at, you know,
- 21:46basically, you know, flat betting and not parlaying,
- 21:49whatever the case may be, system matches.
- 21:51If this pod has gotten you interested in data-driven sports
- 21:56betting and you want to learn more, guess what?
- 21:58I wrote a book. So go buy my book, pick up a
- 22:00copy. Just go to Amazon.com, type in
- 22:03the everything guide to sports betting.
- 22:05Buy one for you or for a friend. It's got everything I've learned
- 22:07in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they move, how
- 22:10to read line movement, how to go contrarian, how to identify
- 22:13sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
- 22:16for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, all
- 22:19included in the everything guide to Sports Bank.
- 22:21So pick one up. It would really mean a lot to me
- 22:23guys. Of course, as I mentioned, go
- 22:25set up for your rhythm as well as your juice reel free trials,
- 22:29which will help you to cash some sharp mush bets as well as some
- 22:32some WNBA and golf bets with rhythm.
- 22:35But again, you can find that link on my Twitter page at Josh
- 22:38under score insights or on the inside the bio description of
- 22:41this podcast. So that about does it for
- 22:43episode 68 of the All Systems Go pod reminder, whether I see you
- 22:48at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
- 22:51Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
- 22:54Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or plain Ridge Park
- 22:56Casino or MGM Springfield, the woods.
- 22:58Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
- 23:00down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners with lowest
- 23:03juice possible is found at the South Point, wherever it may be.
- 23:07Or of course, if you're going to rub elbows with me at Circa,
- 23:10jump into the stadium swimming pool, wherever it may be, you're
- 23:12going to walk up to me, you're going to show me a nice three
- 23:14and O night again, Maybe some people are disappointed.
- 23:17Oh, you only got 3 sweats tonight.
- 23:18Well, hey, what's better than going three and O show me a sun
- 23:22money line ticket thanks to Rhythm.
- 23:24Show me a Colorado Milwaukee over 11 ticket thanks to Juice
- 23:27Reel show me a Mets ticket sweating it out and extra
- 23:30innings and guess what first one's on me next one's on you.
- 23:33We're going to post about the book sweat sharp contrarian
- 23:35place all night long. So wish you the best luck
- 23:38everyone have a fantastic Tuesday again We'll be back at
- 23:41it tomorrow for episode 69 of the all systems go sports
- 23:44betting podcast powered by rhythm.
- 23:47Nice episode 69. But of course guys, my party
- 23:50words as always, stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the
- 23:53public, place yourself on the side of the house.
- 23:55Always be with the smart money, never against it.
- 23:57Will smart money win every time? Of course not.
- 24:00But here's the thing, even though there can be one offs,
- 24:02anything can happen. Bad beats, maybe something
- 24:06wacky, something crazy happens. Sharp play doesn't come through.
- 24:08You got to remember we're playing the long game here,
- 24:11forest amongst the trees. We can consistently get down in
- 24:14situations where we are against the public, with the house, with
- 24:17the pros. Flat bet, avoid parlays, get
- 24:20that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 24:22to be sharp winning sports bettors long term.
- 24:25So enjoy your Tuesday night everyone. 4th of July right
- 24:28around the corner cannot wait and we'll be back at it
- 24:31tomorrow. Let's see if we can get our win
- 24:32streak going here to extend it to another day today after a
- 24:35good night last night, I'll see you tomorrow for episode 69 of
- 24:38the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by
- 24:41Rhythm. Have a great night everybody,
- 24:43good luck.