Latest / Uncomfortable Conversations with Josh Szeps / “Conspiracies, Echo Chambers & Culture Wars” with Sacha Judd
Transcript
- 0:00Get a humans, welcome to the safe space for dangerous ideas.
- 0:07This is a cracker of an episode.
- 0:08I loved it.
- 0:09I get into constructive arguments with a very smart person about free speech and transphobia
- 0:15and artificial intelligence and whether Twitter is killing us all.
- 0:20What's not to love?
- 0:21But first, the Australian election is worth just briefly touching upon.
- 0:25If you want to hear a more extended dialogue between myself and another smart, funny Australian
- 0:30political analyst, Peter Van Oncel, and on the morning after the election, then there's
- 0:35a link in the description to this podcast to the Substack Live, which we did.
- 0:39And in general, even if you don't want to pay money for Substack, you should certainly
- 0:42subscribe to the Substack in order to be notified when I go live with such illustrious
- 0:48people about pressing topical concerns that are probably moving too fast to be able to
- 0:52address on this podcast.
- 0:55But a lot of you have asked my thoughts about the Australian election and I've received
- 0:58some queries from abroad about whether or not this was a repudiation of Donald Trump.
- 1:02So let me just say a few words very briefly.
- 1:06The brief takeaway from the election, which was a massive landslide towards the government,
- 1:11the centre left government, is less than it was towards the government than it was away
- 1:16from the centre right opposition, which ran a bumbling and confused campaign that was
- 1:22sometimes trumpy and sometimes not trumpy.
- 1:25And it was led by a deeply uncharismatic, unlikeable and sort of not particularly physically
- 1:31attractive, although that shouldn't matter.
- 1:32But of course it does, person named Peter Dutton, who never managed to connect with the Australian
- 1:37people or particularly resonate.
- 1:39It was a battle of two-dour, middle-aged, white, straight males, the pale, grey totems
- 1:47of their parties, neither of them with particularly big ideas.
- 1:50But what's interesting about the scale of the electoral victory is, whilst I think it's
- 1:57overkill to interpret it as a repudiation of Donald Trump, he didn't really didn't feature
- 2:01much in the Australian election campaign at all, it is I think a repudiation of an
- 2:09anti-status quo, anti-encumbent energy that has flared up most remarkably in the form
- 2:16of Donald Trump.
- 2:18And I don't think you would have this election result where it not for Donald Trump.
- 2:22So there's a kind of a subtext to the whole thing, which is, and look, Australia, medium-sized
- 2:28countries that are a long way from everything have the benefit of watching what everybody
- 2:32else does and then choosing to either emulate it or not.
- 2:35We see this time again in Australia, where it looks at the school shootings and the nature
- 2:40of America's relationship to guns, and when there's a mass shooting here goes, okay,
- 2:45well we see what happens when you remain a wash with guns, so why don't we take a different
- 2:49path and it does serious gun reform, or on the pandemic as well, where Australia had
- 2:54the luxury of copying it just enough later than other major countries that we were able
- 3:01to close the borders and mostly live a free and happy virus-free existence until, as we
- 3:08know, the calamity of the vaccine delay led to a 100-day plus shutdown in New South Wales.
- 3:13And of course, Victoria had all of its own problems, but setting all that aside, the central
- 3:16point remains that in Australia, we sort of enjoy gazing with a sense of vacant, distant
- 3:24superiority on the rest of the world and then carving our own path on the basis of which
- 3:29model we like the best.
- 3:32And we've watched Brexit and we've watched the rise of the far-right in Europe and we've
- 3:36watched the struggles in Italy and France and we've watched Donald Trump in the United
- 3:40States.
- 3:42And whilst it hasn't been an explicit part of this election campaign, one can't help but
- 3:47conclude that the subtext to this election was, we've seen what happens when you get
- 3:53too cute with change.
- 3:56When you get too complacent about the good stuff you've already got, when you try to shake
- 4:02things up and get super edgy and be all anti-elites and try something brand new because everything
- 4:09is so boring these days and what about inflation and bubble-bubber her emails?
- 4:15That didn't fly this time round.
- 4:18And what we saw, it was not so much a swing to the left because the further left parties
- 4:23like the Greens did not overperform.
- 4:25What we saw was a rallying around normality, a rallying around the boringness of the existing
- 4:33government.
- 4:34There is nothing inspiring about this government.
- 4:36There is nothing revolutionary about this government.
- 4:38There is nothing particularly interesting about this government.
- 4:41And Australians were like, yes, in this world, at this moment, that is what we want, something
- 4:47not particularly interesting and not particularly threatening better the devil we know.
- 4:53That is my takeaway from this election.
- 4:55So it wasn't about Donald Trump but it was about the forces that gave rise to Donald Trump
- 4:59and Australia saying no to those which heartens me greatly even though I have no particular
- 5:05affection necessarily for this government and its small bore thinking.
- 5:10We'll see what they do over the coming term.
- 5:12Today's guest is Sasha Judd.
- 5:14I really, really, really think she's a fabulous and interesting person.
- 5:18I think of her actually as a kind of a mark Cuban of New Zealand by which I mean she's
- 5:25an entrepreneur and business, you know, high-flying business person and an advisor to government
- 5:33and a commentator on big tech and a left-wing progressive.
- 5:38And someone who advises startups and venture capital and so on and thinks about the ways
- 5:44that companies can grow, particularly in the tech sector and the ways that big tech companies
- 5:48have gone wrong.
- 5:50She is an expert, ostensibly, on internet subcultures and fandom meaning, you know, the rise
- 5:58of fans subcommunities, how they function, how they operate.
- 6:02But this also feeds into the question of conspiracy theories and like the meaning that we derive
- 6:07from conceiving of ourselves as sub-collectives, whether we are united by our fandom of particular
- 6:13celebrities or united by our belief in QAnon or vaccine theories or whatever else it might
- 6:18be, COVID conspiracies and so on.
- 6:22Sasha says that she wants to bring back the good internet and internet the way that it used
- 6:26to be fueled by genuine community and creativity and connection, whether or not that internet
- 6:33ever really existed is the subject of this conversation and the kind of internet that
- 6:37we might build in the future is very much as well.
- 6:40I hope you enjoy as much as I did, the one, the only, Sasha Judd.
- 6:46It's called the good internet and it's something I've been thinking about this year about how
- 6:53we can try and reclaim some of our digital agency and get away from this sort of handful
- 6:59of wall gardens that we find ourselves living in online.
- 7:02Yeah, what are the handful of wall gardens that we're living in online?
- 7:06Well, I think we've been forced into these tiny, crowded, noisy platforms that are owned
- 7:11by the likes of Metta, Elon Musk and others and I think it's devolved into this situation
- 7:20where we've lost our digital agency, the web is an infinite place that we used to build
- 7:27our own spaces on and over time, those have been consolidated down and we've moved more
- 7:32and more to being on the same handful of platforms as everybody else.
- 7:36Did we ever build our own spaces on it or is that a healthy on nostalgia in the sense
- 7:41that when we always on, we started out on my space and then we migrated to Facebook,
- 7:44we would never, I was never coded.
- 7:46I was never building websites, you know.
- 7:50Right.
- 7:51Well, that's an interesting thing to think about.
- 7:54I started out on Usenet, which was a pre-web proto-reddit, I guess, a sort of bastard love
- 8:00child between email and a bulletin board, but anyone could create a Usenet group around
- 8:06something that they were interested in.
- 8:08And so the first places we went online, I think regardless of when you came online, the
- 8:12first thing you did was look for people who had shared interest, who were into the same
- 8:17things that you were, whether that was a sports team looking for results or a movie
- 8:21that you'd just seen that you were interested in or whatever.
- 8:24So you went looking for a neighborhood with people who were interested in the same things.
- 8:28I was mostly looking for friends who I already knew in the physical world and pornography.
- 8:33Those were the two.
- 8:34And I think that's not uncommon.
- 8:35Well, the pornography is certainly not uncommon.
- 8:37It's routine age-lad.
- 8:38I do think that now there's much more focus on finding people you know online.
- 8:43I think this generation is coming online and the people they know on social are people
- 8:47they know in real life.
- 8:48Yeah, that doesn't even know each other's phone numbers anymore because they just text
- 8:51each other on Instagram, DMs.
- 8:52It's like, you know, what's Sarah's number, I don't know, how do you communicate on
- 8:57meta?
- 8:58Everything's on meta.
- 8:59But back in the day, we made our own spaces.
- 9:01And so one of the things that I am thinking about and talking about and writing about a lot
- 9:05is online communities and particularly fan communities because fan ups had a really
- 9:10long history of making their own spaces.
- 9:14Fandom.
- 9:15Fandom.
- 9:16What do we mean by fandom?
- 9:17Yeah, good question.
- 9:18So there's different kinds of fandom.
- 9:21When I talk about it, I'm talking about what we call transformative fandom, which is communities
- 9:25of people who don't just consume media, but debate it, reimagine it, write stories, create
- 9:31art about it, expand its universe.
- 9:34Transformative fans are often compared and contrasted to what's called curatorial fandom.
- 9:39And those are sort of your more classic, um, fans who are interested in assembling the
- 9:45most facts.
- 9:46And the people who can tell you every Wallabies captain for the last 10 years for every aspect
- 9:52of the Star Wars universe and how it intersects.
- 9:54Yeah.
- 9:55So those bedrooms are covered in posters of one direction.
- 9:58Well, one direction fans tend to be transformative fans.
- 10:01Oh, that's interesting.
- 10:02What makes them that?
- 10:04Because they're engaged in creation.
- 10:06So stories, art, photo edits, video cuts, fan edits, that's a huge part of Godoucher.
- 10:14Including conspiracy theories.
- 10:15I just pulled one direction out of my bum, but you do have a whole, I mean, I've heard
- 10:19you talk about how the conspiracy theory about the two singers in one direction, actually
- 10:25having an elicit gay romance is an interesting model of the way that fan communities and
- 10:30especially creative ones can come to obsess about minor details and drive meaning from their
- 10:36in-group status and in a particular conspiracy.
- 10:39Can you just tell people who don't know about that?
- 10:41What that is?
- 10:42Yeah, sure.
- 10:43You know, I used to think that celebrity conspiracy thinking was kind of cute and funny.
- 10:47And I think a lot of us are sort of drawn to the idea of, you know, was Beyonce ever
- 10:51pregnant or is Taylor Swift secretly gay and, you know, hiding lyrics in her songs.
- 10:58And there's a lot of that in pop culture fandom, this sort of search for signs and signals.
- 11:04And I've just actually published a long piece on this, this week on the fan's planning
- 11:09website called the RPF question, an RPF stands for real person fiction.
- 11:13So it's fandom around celebrities, artists, actors and so on, rather than the characters
- 11:20that they play.
- 11:21I see.
- 11:22And so people who write stories, imagine relationships between people who are real people.
- 11:28And that started in the early 2000s with band fandom.
- 11:33So particularly around pop web bands like Insink and the Backstreet Boys and emo.
- 11:39Just to clarify, the conspiracy theory is about if you play a rock song backwards, there
- 11:44will be a satanic that, you know, it'll make it have a satanic message or that beetles
- 11:48are actually involved in this or that.
- 11:50Paul's really dead or whatever.
- 11:52Yeah, or, you know, exhale, or that Elvis, you know, didn't die or that JFK was having
- 11:57an affair with Marilyn Monroe, some of these true, some of these untrue.
- 12:01Why do those not fit into the same basket of thinking as what, as what you just articulated?
- 12:06You said it started in the 2000s.
- 12:07Oh, I was talking specifically about real person fiction.
- 12:12So that's a, that's a fandom concept, which, okay, got it.
- 12:15Okay.
- 12:16Not a long history.
- 12:17Right.
- 12:18Right.
- 12:19Right back to, you know, the tabloid magazines of the 20s and 30s that were sort of
- 12:22encouraging narratives about studio stylists and whether they were, you know, probably
- 12:28back to the pharaohs and whether Cleopatra was, like, in this person or who knows?
- 12:33Nero fiddling while Roan burned.
- 12:34Right.
- 12:35Just one of our earliest conspiracy theories, so yeah, it's got a long, a long history.
- 12:39Okay.
- 12:40Sorry, carry on.
- 12:41Yeah.
- 12:42So I, but I think what's, what's been happening is with all conspiracy thinking, there's
- 12:46always a kernel of truth, right?
- 12:47We know that people in power lie, we know that some paparazzi shots are staged, like we,
- 12:53we know that these things are true and we have to question what we see.
- 12:57But unfortunately, I think what's happening is the celebrity conspiracy spills over into
- 13:04mainline conspiracy thinking and then it's kind of question everything.
- 13:08Nothing is true anymore.
- 13:10And I think that takes us to quite a dangerous place.
- 13:13And I think more and more people are looking for community online and they're finding it
- 13:19in communities that celebrate conspiracy thinking and I think that's dangerous.
- 13:24It's interesting that you say that paparazzi shots are staged as one of the examples of
- 13:28conspiracy thinking because one thing that I've learned as I've grown older and also more
- 13:33connected to powerful people is that there are some areas where I have justification for
- 13:39being extremely skeptical and more skeptical than the average person.
- 13:44And others where I know that the average person is too skeptical actually.
- 13:48Yeah.
- 13:49So there are some fields like paparazzi and gossip magazines where I think most people
- 13:54even though they sort of know that they're mostly bullshit, don't know how bullshit
- 13:58they are and not aware of just how much of a close relationship there is between a movie
- 14:03stars agents, the publicists, the publishers of magazines and of online sites, that there's
- 14:09this symbiosis going on where nothing is accident, very, very few things are accidental.
- 14:13A lot of all of it is pretty much stage managed.
- 14:17So I'm very skeptical of that.
- 14:18And then when it comes to political and corporate power, but political power is one that I know
- 14:24more because I've had more to do with people who wheeled it.
- 14:28I think most people have a vastly overinflated estimation of the capacity of politics to pull
- 14:33off conspiracies.
- 14:34And I regard it much more as a bumbling plan on how to have to be involved.
- 14:38Yeah.
- 14:39That's right.
- 14:40And just not to sort of name drop, but when you've I lived in the States, when you've
- 14:46been to cocktail parties with Colin Powell, it just does make you realize that he's just
- 14:53a person who goes to the toilet and takes a shit, you know, when he needs to.
- 14:57He's not a puppet master who was in like, it becomes increasingly implausible to believe
- 15:03the extremes of conspiracy theories in the field of politics and increasingly more plausible
- 15:09to believe them in the field of entertainment.
- 15:12How is an ordinary, how is a normie supposed to tell the difference between the two?
- 15:16Oh, I know.
- 15:17And I mean, this is one of the things that I find so alarming about how we prepare the
- 15:21next generation.
- 15:22Like how do we teach our kids defense against the dark arts because the, the, you know, what
- 15:29historically what we've said is that you need to engage in online literacy.
- 15:33You should question sources.
- 15:36You should make sure that you're doing your own research.
- 15:39Well, those are all the mantras of complete cookets, right?
- 15:42Like, oh, do your own research and what they mean by that is ignore science and experts.
- 15:48So I do think it's a really challenging problem.
- 15:52And we, we have started to see some great education efforts out of places like Finland.
- 15:57It's always the scandals.
- 15:58It's always further down.
- 15:59And Finland in particular is like Finland and Denmark.
- 16:01Yeah.
- 16:02Norway.
- 16:03They're doing some incredible programs with improving digital literacy for tens of
- 16:08years.
- 16:09What do they look like?
- 16:10A lot of it is starting early.
- 16:12It's baking it into all subjects in the curriculum, rather than just making it a one-off module
- 16:16that students are doing.
- 16:18And just equipping kids to have a much clearer idea of what they're being fed, what the motivations
- 16:25are behind it, and how they can think sort of critically and neutrally about the information
- 16:29they're receiving.
- 16:30So is it the case that we shouldn't do our own research?
- 16:33Haha.
- 16:34I absolutely think you should do your own research.
- 16:36I think understanding what that means, equality of sources, understanding, yeah, motivation.
- 16:43What's the motivation behind the person who's put together the article or the collection
- 16:48of sources?
- 16:49I mean, it can be very hard to know.
- 16:51And also, the motivation can sometimes be innocent in the case of, you know, take vaccine
- 16:56misinformation.
- 16:57I think most of the people peddling at our innocent are trying to do the right thing.
- 17:01Yeah.
- 17:02I'm concerned about their children.
- 17:03Absolutely believe that.
- 17:04Because I think that, you know, if vaccines really did cause deaths at the rate that these
- 17:09people believe, we would all have an obligation to stand up for it, but it's just not true.
- 17:18And so trying to untangle that sense, and I gave a talk in Germany a couple of years
- 17:24ago called everything breaks a scale, and I really believe that.
- 17:29I believe that these things start out well-intentioned, that these people are looking for a sense
- 17:34of community.
- 17:35They're looking for a sense of purpose, and there's kind of a dopamine hit that comes from
- 17:40your content being liked and shared, and gradually you're the star of your little Facebook
- 17:44group.
- 17:45And, you know, in order to continue to receive that validation, you have to sort of have
- 17:50more and more content and more and more outlandish theories.
- 17:55And, and gradually this just sort of magnifies into a situation where at scale, we're seeing
- 18:01this really widespread disinformation being propagated.
- 18:04Do you need the at scale in that sort of framework?
- 18:09Like isn't it possible to just be a normal everyday person who has an instinct that in general
- 18:17power structures are corrupt and misleading and have their own interests at heart that
- 18:21drug companies will be in cooots with public health officials and probably don't care
- 18:26about your child as much as you do, and therefore you should err on the side of assuming that
- 18:31official information is suspect, and do your own research, and then your own research
- 18:35leads you into, you know, having an open mind and questioning and so on, and then it becomes
- 18:39very difficult to...
- 18:40It's a second question.
- 18:41Well, yeah, you know, and then it does become difficult to ascertain whether or not the
- 18:46barrage of vaccinations that we give young children is correlated to autism or not.
- 18:50Like, you know, I trust the experts who tell me that it's not, but that is an act of
- 18:55faith to some extent on my part, because I'm temperamentally, well, the amount of research
- 19:01that I would have to do, sure, but these people are doing a lot of research, they're
- 19:05ignoring the experts, and you know, again, there's always a kernel of truth at the heart
- 19:11of it.
- 19:12Like, you know, I understand how people wind up on a wellness to conspiracy pipeline.
- 19:18I think that the mainstream medicine has in the past made mistakes, it certainly hasn't
- 19:26listened to women and people of colour about their health issues in a way that it should
- 19:31have.
- 19:32People have been dismissed by mainstream medicine, so of course they go elsewhere to
- 19:37try and find answers.
- 19:39I understand that at the heart of that, there is a kernel of truth, but unfortunately,
- 19:44and this is where I come back to the scale part.
- 19:47It's one thing, if you're just you, little nor me, having your, you know, concerns and
- 19:53asking your questions in your community, but as soon as you thrust that into an online
- 19:58city of millions of people and amplify it in increasingly accelerated ways, and the platforms
- 20:07know that what drives engagement is conflict and rage and fear, so that's all what they
- 20:13are amplifying, then that's when scale takes it outside of your little neighbourhood.
- 20:20I'm still, I still struggle with the research thing somewhat.
- 20:25I had a public radio show here for, for a time, a talk back radio show and it was during
- 20:31the tail end of COVID, and I had a segment called Do Your Own Research where we would take
- 20:35a factoid, an untrue fact that was circulating online or a suspect fact, usually about medicine,
- 20:42and instead of untelling and say to people, you'll see a lot of people on Facebook saying
- 20:46you should do your own research about this.
- 20:48So to save you the hassle of doing the research, we've just got the world's best expert
- 20:52in this to tell us what the answer is.
- 20:54So you don't have to do the research.
- 20:56And it was a way of turning that principle on its head to be like, don't do the research
- 20:59because what people mean by doing the research is just ingest a huge amount of misinformation
- 21:03about this thing.
- 21:05But it also meant that we addressed topics that I felt the mainstream media was reluctant
- 21:10to address because they were associated with this kind of nasty fringe element, right?
- 21:16So there were things like there was an uptick in mortality after COVID and vaccine skeptics
- 21:24thought that that was attributable to the vaccines, and the mainstream media really just
- 21:28sort of didn't know what to do with it because we didn't really know at the time why more
- 21:32people were dying.
- 21:33The classic one at the start of COVID was the blood costs associated with one of the
- 21:37vaccines.
- 21:38And that was a story that I think even slowed down the roll out here in Australia right
- 21:43of that.
- 21:44Right.
- 21:45Yeah, to later.
- 21:46Yeah.
- 21:47The Moderna vaccine.
- 21:48And when you just looked at the bare facts, the rate of blood clots was less than the
- 21:52rate that women experience on birth control.
- 21:55And we've lived with that risk for 60 plus years.
- 22:01But blood clots associated with COVID vaccine is a much six year story, right?
- 22:06So, yeah, I agree with you.
- 22:08There's a challenge because I think we also have plenty of evidence that platforming misinformation
- 22:15has dangerous effects as well.
- 22:17And so I think the fear is...
- 22:18Even if you're debunking it.
- 22:19Oh, it can be.
- 22:20It's tricky.
- 22:21I mean, I always felt this because I know that there's this effect, right, where people,
- 22:25if people hear a claim, even if it's a claim being debunked, it does have a stickiness
- 22:30to it.
- 22:31And then lodge in their heads and they can sometimes forget whether or not it was true
- 22:34or not true.
- 22:35So even the raising of it, and I think many journalists have a much more cautious attitude
- 22:40about talking about things than I instinctively do.
- 22:43So I would always err on the side of, I'll just talk about it.
- 22:46I mean, you know, the reason why there was an increase in mortality was multifactorial,
- 22:51but it didn't have anything to do with the vaccines because most of those increases
- 22:54were from things like dementia and cancer and heart disease, where the causes predate
- 22:59the pandemic.
- 23:00It had to do with access to hospitals and all kinds of other factors that were related
- 23:04to the pandemic, but not to the vaccine.
- 23:06So I felt like just hearing an expert say that might lead some people to think, oh, there's
- 23:13this controversy about the vaccine being deadly, but I felt that that was outweighed by
- 23:18the number of people who would go, oh, I saw that on the Facebook, it's good to know
- 23:22that was bullshit.
- 23:23Yeah.
- 23:24Because you're right.
- 23:25The misinformation spreads, I mean, I think one of the classic examples we've seen
- 23:29over the last couple of years is that insane story about Irish.
- 23:32There's always some school that's put letterboxes in for their children who are, what do you
- 23:36start showing?
- 23:37What the fuck with that story?
- 23:38I hear it so many people say it, and I can't get back to the source of when that ever happened
- 23:42to me.
- 23:43Well, there's an NBC disinformation journalist who tracked it all the way back.
- 23:46Just tell people the story in case they're not as online as well.
- 23:49So this is one of those, in the old days, we would have called it an urban legend, right?
- 23:53It's the sort of thing that you would have looked up on snopes.com to say if it was incredible
- 23:57or not.
- 23:58I have had three credible people claim that it's their friends.
- 23:59Oh, they're friends.
- 24:00Kids, kids, their friends, mothers, aunts, whatever.
- 24:04And the story goes that at this person's school, the school has put in place letterboxes
- 24:11for kids who identify as cats.
- 24:15And I mean, it's a classic sort of transpanic urban legend.
- 24:19Yep.
- 24:20So the idea is that schools have gone so woke that not only are they encouraging or allowing
- 24:24children to switch genders, they're allowing them to identify as whatever they want to,
- 24:29including felines.
- 24:30And they're accommodating.
- 24:31And it feeds into all sorts of, it feeds into bathroom panic, it's just the worst example
- 24:36of that kind of bullshit urban legend.
- 24:41And it's never happened anywhere, and yet it spreads, and it gets picked up by the mainstream
- 24:48media every time it sort of migrates to a new place.
- 24:51And so it had been in the US for a while, as I say, this NBC journalist had gone right
- 24:55back to debunk it, no one's ever been able to prove that it ever happened.
- 24:59And then six, eight months later, it's popped up in England, it's a school in Scotland,
- 25:03it's a school in Wales.
- 25:05And then next minute, it was in New Zealand, it was a school in Funga Rae up near where
- 25:09I live.
- 25:10And I have credible, professional contemporaries saying to me, oh, did you hear about that
- 25:17school?
- 25:18Me too.
- 25:19Me too.
- 25:20And they're not claiming that they've heard a rumour.
- 25:22They're claiming that it happened to a friend of their kids.
- 25:26We've lost, we've lost out, but yeah, I mean, I'm less polyannar about what the past
- 25:31used to be like.
- 25:32I think people will probably completely riven with all kinds of nonsense.
- 25:35Oh, look, I'm not polyannar about it at all.
- 25:37I, you know, the early internet was a very small, very homogenous space.
- 25:41But even before the, I mean, in the 1950s, people probably had, well, all kinds of stupid
- 25:45nonsense.
- 25:46And the satanic panic of the 1980s, Kennedy assassination.
- 25:49Yeah.
- 25:50It's snatched off the streets by crazed satanic perverts, like, you know, the people are susceptible
- 25:56to this.
- 25:57But I think what has happened, what the internet has done is, is provided a way to amplify
- 26:03these things at a speed and a scale that we haven't seen before.
- 26:07So, you know, I was super into the Kennedy assassination when I was a teenager.
- 26:11I thought it was so interesting.
- 26:12But if I wanted to read Crackpot conspiracy theories about who called Kennedy, I had to
- 26:16go and find out a print books in the library or the bookstore, you know, like, it wasn't
- 26:21being forced fed at me by packaged TikToks that were giving me, you know, a little sound
- 26:28bite that I could tell you.
- 26:29What do you believe about it now?
- 26:31I mean, to your point earlier, like, the idea of the number of people who would have to
- 26:35have been involved in kept at secret all this time, it's just, you know, or not, maybe
- 26:40not.
- 26:41Like, this is one that I'm on the fence on.
- 26:42I really don't know.
- 26:43I mean, I just believe whatever the last person who spoke to me about it, who knows
- 26:46more about it than I did.
- 26:47Oh, sure.
- 26:48And there's some amazing stories.
- 26:49It's really weird.
- 26:50It's fucking weird, Sasha, that the person, that the assassin gets assassinated a few days
- 26:56after, and pulling off this lone assassin thing.
- 26:59It's like, it's strange.
- 27:02And it's not inconceivable.
- 27:04But there's something lovely about it.
- 27:05That there's a cabal of only three people in jail, right?
- 27:08They tickle something in our brain.
- 27:10Totally.
- 27:11Yeah.
- 27:12It's fascinating.
- 27:13It's like you always want that sort of mystery to solve.
- 27:16Well, also, when you are characterizing the archetype of the person who, you know,
- 27:21gets their rocks off by building a following of misinformation or conspiracy thinking online,
- 27:27there is a more sort of generous interpretation of that psychological mindset, which is
- 27:33that their contrarians by nature, I'm sympathetic to this because I am a bit as well.
- 27:40And they just don't quite know where to stop.
- 27:44Like I do think it's useful to play devil's advocate.
- 27:48Well, yeah, and maybe more than play devil's advocate always, because play devil's advocate
- 27:52assumes that you're doing it insincerely or for a strategic purpose.
- 27:56But to genuinely think there's a utility in questioning quite strongly, receive wisdom
- 28:05about things.
- 28:07Because obviously we all know that in every place and every time the majority of people
- 28:13have a lot of blind spots, we can see them when we look at other places.
- 28:17We can see them when we look into the past.
- 28:19It's a certainty that in the future and in other places, people will look at our society
- 28:22and our forms of governance and see things that we can't see right now.
- 28:27Yeah.
- 28:28So it does make a certain sense temperamentally for a particular type of person to be like,
- 28:32no, I mean, I'm going to scratch at these wounds.
- 28:36And I'm going to figure out what's underneath.
- 28:38Yeah.
- 28:39And I think utopians at the start of the digital age were very much of that view.
- 28:43That what the internet brought us was access to all the world's information and that sunlight
- 28:48was the best disinfectant.
- 28:50And you know, I have a huge amount of sympathy for that view.
- 28:52I was a university debater on 15 minutes notice.
- 28:56I could argue any side of any topic.
- 28:59But I think what the marketplace of ideas has taught us over the last 20 years is that
- 29:04there's a market for truly terrible ideas.
- 29:07And that's why measles is about to become endemic in the United States again.
- 29:11Yeah.
- 29:12I mean, I think the elephant in the room here is the algorithm, right?
- 29:16Is the fact that this landscape, this terrain of information and conversation is not a neutral
- 29:24space.
- 29:25No, it's not a.
- 29:26There's no such thing as a neutral space.
- 29:28Well, even if it, even if there were, I mean, yes, of course.
- 29:32But I mean, there are better and there are more and less neutral spaces and to have software
- 29:38engineers in Menlo Park, figuring out what's going to be the stickiest, clickiest, shareiest,
- 29:45likeiest meme.
- 29:48And that that's the only measure of whether or not a piece of information or content is
- 29:53elevated or downplayed, particularly when we now know that there's a bonkers way to run
- 29:59a civilization.
- 30:01And we now know that the things that are driving the most engagement are negative.
- 30:05Like this isn't a balanced thing though.
- 30:08It's hatred, conflict, fear.
- 30:11That's what drives engagement.
- 30:12Are they negative in the way that you?
- 30:15Are they negative in their valence or are they just negative in their consequence?
- 30:19By which I mean, I often hear it claimed that social media is a toxic place and that
- 30:26you never hear ideas that you disagree with on social media because it reinforces your
- 30:31own opinions.
- 30:33But those seem to be slightly contradictory to me.
- 30:36Like are you only seeing things that you agree with or is it a toxic place where you're
- 30:39getting yelled at?
- 30:41It strikes me that what's actually happening is that you're seeing because anyone can
- 30:47open up their social media feeds and they can see a bunch of things that they disagree
- 30:50with.
- 30:51Sure.
- 30:53It's just that the versions of the things that they disagree with will be primed to outrage
- 30:59them rather than being the most reasonable and nuanced version of things that they disagree
- 31:03with.
- 31:04Sure.
- 31:05Because they're sound bites.
- 31:06Yeah.
- 31:07Well, because that's likely to make them linger on it or comment on it or share it, right?
- 31:11Yeah.
- 31:12To engage with it.
- 31:13Yeah.
- 31:14And the things that reinforce what they believe will be super placating to their existing
- 31:21world view rather than nuanced and challenging it and, you know, on the other hand, D. So is
- 31:30the experience of being on social media negative or is it just that social media is negative
- 31:35even when it feels positive, if that makes sense?
- 31:40I mean, I do, to come back to your earlier thing, I do think it is about we've lost the
- 31:44ability to control our scroll, right?
- 31:46We, you know, an early sort of cliche for online life used to be that you needed to cure
- 31:55at your own media experience.
- 31:56You know, like you should just follow people that you are going to get great information
- 32:01from.
- 32:02It's up to you to block or to, you know, not feed the trolls, etc., etc.
- 32:07But we actually have lost the ability to do that because these platforms that we're
- 32:11on just want to throw for you or are recommended or are you might like at you constantly, so
- 32:19you don't have the ability, you can't cure at TikTok, like it's just going to throw things
- 32:23at you.
- 32:24Yeah.
- 32:25And so without that control, then I think it does become an extremely negative place because
- 32:31you don't have any ability to do that.
- 32:35And I think that's one of the super interesting things that's changing right now.
- 32:38So Blue Sky, which is Twitter replacement for one of a better word, they've been growing
- 32:45exponentially since Elon Musk acquired Twitter.
- 32:48And when I joined up when he acquired it, and at first when I looked at Blue Sky, I thought
- 32:55it's nostalgic, but it's unlikely to be the future.
- 32:58Like we didn't know we needed Twitter when we built it, whatever comes next is not going
- 33:02to be Twitter clone.
- 33:04But now I'm not so sure, I think that one of the things that's super interesting about Blue
- 33:08Sky is that it lets you create your own custom feeds.
- 33:13And unlike old Twitter, which let you make lists, so you could check in on a group of accounts.
- 33:18A custom feed can be, you can mute or block words or accounts, you can make sure you see
- 33:25every post on a particular topic or by a particular person.
- 33:29You can weed out Amazon links, you can moderate, not say for work content, you can make sure
- 33:35you see every video of Harry Styles that appears.
- 33:38You can create a feed that is just exactly what you want your social media experience today.
- 33:43How do I create the Harry Styles feed?
- 33:45Just asking for a friend.
- 33:46Look, I've already made it, so you can just follow mine.
- 33:49Fabulous.
- 33:50And so I originally in the early days of Twitter looked with scorn on people who blocked
- 33:56a lot.
- 33:57I felt like the whole point of social media should be to expose me to a common experience
- 34:02that like we should as much as possible be trying to strive towards a unified experience
- 34:06on social media.
- 34:08And there was something electrifying about early Twitter, about 2012 to 2014 Twitter, I
- 34:14suppose.
- 34:15It was much smaller for status.
- 34:16Yeah, but it also felt, and maybe it was just because I was living in New York and
- 34:20I was a journalist, but it felt like everyone in Maddard was on it.
- 34:22Everyone who was influential in journalism and politics was there talking about, and
- 34:28it was a place where news would break, it was a place where you could go to get and verified
- 34:32people who you trusted would be delivering information that was credible.
- 34:37And people didn't immediately pile onto that and get into arguments in the comments quite
- 34:40so much.
- 34:41And I had friends who would just block, block, block so that they, because they are not
- 34:45putting up with this shit.
- 34:46And I thought that really contravenes the spirit of this enterprise.
- 34:51Unless someone was overt, I mean, I might have blocked five people in my entire life.
- 34:55They would have to be overtly threatening and, you know, racist or sexist or homophobic
- 35:01or something.
- 35:02You know, them in the most vile possible way.
- 35:04Do you think your experience was a little bit different as a white man?
- 35:08Entirely possible.
- 35:09Entirely possible.
- 35:10I am a gay man, and I'm a Jewish man, so there is, I'm not immune entirely, but it's
- 35:16been absolutely certain that if I was a woman of color, that would be a different experience.
- 35:21But I still felt that a lot of the blocking was not done because people were receiving
- 35:27sexist or racist slurs.
- 35:28It was being done because people wanted to curate their own walled garden of like-minded
- 35:33people.
- 35:34It was people, you know, a lot of my colleagues were blocking people.
- 35:38What do you think I would gain from seeing Alex Jones in my feed?
- 35:43Well now nothing.
- 35:44I mean, I'm not making the case that your policy in 2025 should be the same as my policy
- 35:48in 2012.
- 35:49I'm sort of saying-
- 35:50A lot has evolved since then.
- 35:51Yeah.
- 35:52I'm saying what has happened?
- 35:54Was that a naive moment?
- 35:58Because a lot of them blocking it struck me with just to clarify that and to close the
- 36:01loop on it was, I don't have to listen to assholes who are talking about why, you know,
- 36:10I don't know, Muslims need to be integrated better into society or so.
- 36:14So it'll be-
- 36:15It'll be something that would be adjacent to a toxic opinion, but was not actually in
- 36:20itself a toxic opinion, right?
- 36:22It is fundamentally a political disagreement or, you know, the rate of immigration, for
- 36:25example, or something like that.
- 36:27But an issue is that people didn't want to be bothered actually engaging with.
- 36:30They were able to insulate themselves from.
- 36:34And my worry is that in a world of echo chambers where everybody is insulated from ideas
- 36:39that they regard as being beyond the pale, you just stand up with an unmanageable
- 36:44demos of people who don't understand how the people around them think.
- 36:47That was my concern at the time, it remains my concern.
- 36:51How do you think about that?
- 36:52Yeah.
- 36:53It's a great challenge because my theory is shoving everyone together in these single
- 37:00noisy crowded spaces is part of the problem, right?
- 37:03Like cities are inhospitable places and the way that we make them livable is by finding
- 37:10vibrant neighborhoods, by finding clubs and social groups and so on.
- 37:14And I think that my dream for the internet is that we get back to creating some of those
- 37:19neighborhood spaces ourselves.
- 37:21And then almost immediately you go, well, isn't that just an echo chamber?
- 37:24Like, I don't you just want to hang out with people who look and sound and so on like
- 37:28you.
- 37:29And I think it's a great- it's a great challenge.
- 37:31I'm not sure what the answer is.
- 37:33I do think that there's nothing to be gained for me in subjecting myself to people who are
- 37:41trying to be edge lords or who are repeating or amplifying ideas that I find unpalatable.
- 37:51I don't think that means that I'm abdicating from learning things.
- 37:55One of the things I loved about old Twitter was the ability to go and find an expert on
- 38:00any topic and follow them.
- 38:02I mean, there's been nothing like that before or since also not just follow them actually
- 38:07talk to them.
- 38:08I mean, what are the great losses for me of Twitter going down, you know, the sewer is
- 38:13I could actually communicate with people because I could DM them.
- 38:16And if you had a certain amount of credibility on Twitter and a certain number of followers
- 38:20and maybe a verified blue check mark, that you could I could ask guests.
- 38:24It's so much harder to book guests for this show now because I don't know how to reach
- 38:28out to people.
- 38:29You know, my friendship with Joe Rogan began because I just DMed him and, you know, random
- 38:34people who are stratospheric.
- 38:37You could strike up relations.
- 38:38Yeah.
- 38:39And any time like I remember when the Canadian residential schools stories were breaking
- 38:42in the Canadian media and I thought, you know, that's something I don't know anything
- 38:46about.
- 38:47And within minutes, I was able to find half a dozen indigenous forces on Twitter to follow
- 38:52to get background and history and start to understand, you know, the importance of that
- 38:56story and, like, for free and, you know, it was, it was an amazing resource that's been
- 39:03lost.
- 39:04I know.
- 39:05So, you know, I do believe there's something we need to save in that.
- 39:10But we have to do it in a way that doesn't turn these spaces into, you know, I'm sure
- 39:14you're familiar with the Nazi bar story.
- 39:16It was like, we can't turn them into Nazi bars.
- 39:19Yeah.
- 39:20I'll come to that, but I just want to drop the metaphor of a neighborhood.
- 39:23Sure.
- 39:25One thing that I love about a neighborhood is it's unexpected in us and it's eclectic.
- 39:31Serendipity.
- 39:32Serendipity.
- 39:33Yeah.
- 39:34I mean, that's one of the great things about the real world instead of the online world,
- 39:36right?
- 39:37Yes.
- 39:38It's less, I do think it's less predictable.
- 39:39Like when I lived in Brooklyn, yes, it's a very, look, it's both homogenous and also heterogeneous.
- 39:52So it's homogenous in the sense that you have to have a bit of money to be able to live
- 39:56in Brooklyn.
- 39:57And you have to want to live in Brooklyn.
- 40:00It's ethnically and racially very diverse.
- 40:03But I think we can make too much of that sometimes because all of the kinds of ethnically
- 40:08and racially diverse people have the same political point of view, the same attitude towards
- 40:13racial justice, the same attitude towards, you know, politics, I mean, there is a group
- 40:18think there as well.
- 40:20But I loved the ability to sit in the bar and not really know who was going to walk in
- 40:25the door.
- 40:26I mean, yes, it wasn't going to be probably a Trump voting trucker, right?
- 40:32But it could be someone who disagreed with it.
- 40:34Absolutely.
- 40:35It certainly could have been an Uzbekie, you know, Uber driver or anything.
- 40:41And my worry is that we've given up on replicating that online.
- 40:46Yeah.
- 40:47I worry about that too.
- 40:48And so, you know, I think one of the things that I've been wrestling with this year is
- 40:51I think about how we get the good internet back is how we stop thinking about audience
- 40:56and reach, which are sort of functions of social media at its worst and start thinking
- 41:03about discovering, like, searches now been destroyed by our generated content.
- 41:08So how do we find the vibrant neighborhoods, like how do we find the healthy online communities,
- 41:15the places that people still really enjoy going to?
- 41:18And I think one of the responses to the toxicity of social media is that people have drawn
- 41:22back into smaller, often private spaces.
- 41:26So, you know, if you ask someone where their favorite place on the internet now is it's
- 41:30likely to be a group chat, a discord about a game or a podcast, a comment section on
- 41:40the subject or somewhere that they have found a community of people and it might have started
- 41:45out about something specific, but they've built their own little neighborhood and I'm
- 41:53really interested.
- 41:54But is it a neighborhood or is it an echo chamber, because the neighborhood, the thing that
- 42:02I like about the Brooklyn bar is that it's not that I didn't create it.
- 42:08I sort it out, but I'm not policing it in any way and it is intentionally eclectic,
- 42:13like sure.
- 42:14But don't you think that the fans of your podcast, for example, if you started a discord
- 42:19tomorrow and said, right, everybody who is interested in uncomfortable conversations,
- 42:23we're going to gather here, we'll have a few channels, you can chat and whatever.
- 42:26And my experience of seeing those sorts of communities evolve is that you'll start
- 42:32out and people will be talking about the episodes and, you know, speculating about who
- 42:35your next guest might be or whatever.
- 42:37But then there'll be a channel that starts where people want to recommend other podcasts
- 42:40to one another and there'll be a channel that starts where people are talking about books
- 42:43that they're reading.
- 42:44And it becomes the Brooklyn bar, you know, the reason you came there, the reason you move
- 42:48to Brooklyn is because you like the podcast, but it becomes a neighborhood.
- 42:53Right.
- 42:54So the alternative for the Brooklyn bar is the Alabama saloon in the 50s, right, which
- 43:03is a white-sonally space or a Nazi bar or a Nazi bar, but let's not even go that far
- 43:09because we can get there.
- 43:10But I think that can sometimes needlessly inflame things because some people don't like
- 43:16that analogy.
- 43:17But, you know, just a bar where, which is so like-minded as to be hostile to interlopers,
- 43:25right?
- 43:26And then it becomes boring.
- 43:27Really?
- 43:28It becomes closed.
- 43:29And it's an echo chamber.
- 43:31Yeah, that's right.
- 43:32How do you- why is that not what you're creating with the Blue Sky groups, you know, with this
- 43:38shift away from the internet being a place of-
- 43:43Because I don't think it's homogenous.
- 43:45So some of the early, very successful custom feeds on Blue Sky, Clare Bell started one
- 43:51called Book Sky, which is sort of a move from book talk, but all the people who are
- 43:55interested in book recommendations, authors posting about their new books, you know, that's
- 44:00not homogenous.
- 44:01There's a great bike sky feed, which is all about people who are into biking, urban
- 44:05design around biking, you know, like these are that communities that start out around
- 44:11a shared interest, which is how we use to find our Kendra's spirits online.
- 44:18Right.
- 44:19Aren't they politically self-selected as well?
- 44:21I haven't been on Blue Sky, but I know that the initial assumption was that it was-
- 44:27You know, I even heard left-wing friends of mine saying, oh, it feels a little bit
- 44:30nervous.
- 44:31You know, it feels- it does feel a bit like, you know, now the good progressives are back
- 44:36in charge.
- 44:37We can-
- 44:38There's a joke that Blue Sky can't take a joke, but that hasn't been my experience.
- 44:43I don't know.
- 44:44I guess it is where you, you know, you might- what even able who you weren't up in.
- 44:48Yeah, okay.
- 44:49You mentioned in passing that AI has ruined search, not everyone will be across that phenomenon,
- 44:55but they might have noticed Google degrading.
- 44:58But Google doesn't work in it.
- 45:00Okay.
- 45:01Do you just explain what you mean by that?
- 45:02Sure.
- 45:03So, I mean, a few things have happened as Google has degraded, I think.
- 45:07The first thing we saw was a lot of sponsored content, so you could pay to have your results
- 45:12show up in search near the top.
- 45:16And we all learned to scroll past the first three sponsored links, and then people would
- 45:23train game those sponsored links, so all they really want is the click-throughs for ads
- 45:28and so on.
- 45:29So, it doesn't really matter what's on the page.
- 45:31And a quick way to fill a page is to generate a lot of AI Slop, so, you know, you go into
- 45:39chat GPT and say, best hotels in Sydney, write me reviews, and then you slap that on
- 45:45a website with the SEO tags, best hotels in Sydney, and then the next time someone searches
- 45:50best hotels in Sydney, it's a, or a Boris of AI Slop that's sort of self-fulfilling.
- 45:57And now Google is applying its own AI to the top of those search results.
- 46:01So, now the first...
- 46:02Try to figure out what AI should try to move for quality control?
- 46:06No, no.
- 46:07So, now when you go search best hotel Sydney, the first bit will be a paragraph from Google's
- 46:12AI attempting to extract what it knows, so that you don't even have to go to the search
- 46:17results.
- 46:18That's going to tell you answer.
- 46:19And of course, famously, so far it is recommended that people eat rocks and put glue on pizza
- 46:24and, you know, because it's not good.
- 46:29No, Gemini is not good.
- 46:32Is the problem just that it's not good?
- 46:34Like if it was as good, if chat GPT, which, you know, maybe the gold standard correct
- 46:38me if I'm wrong, if that gets 10 times as good in the next three years, is there an inherent
- 46:44problem with search being...
- 46:46Yeah, I mean...
- 46:47The first thing is it can't get 10 times as good in the next three years.
- 46:51It's run out of training data and now it's eating its own vomit.
- 46:53So, it continues to scrape the internet, which is increasingly full of AI-generated content.
- 46:58So, there is no room for exponential improvement.
- 47:01Well, I think there's no room for exponential increases in input, because room for exponential
- 47:07increases in the capacity of the large language models to interpret that.
- 47:12I don't believe that there is.
- 47:14I think the constraints in terms of computing power and sheer money.
- 47:18I mean, OpenAI spent $9 billion last year to lose $5 billion.
- 47:22Yeah.
- 47:23Like this is not a sustainable model.
- 47:25There's no practical use case.
- 47:28So, everyone keeps saying, well, it's going to be agents and it's like, there are no agents
- 47:32that anyone's prepared to pay for.
- 47:34And so, the numbers around revenue and use of goods...
- 47:36Not like that.
- 47:37Yeah, not like that.
- 47:38No, but I'm serious.
- 47:39It's like blockchain.
- 47:40It's been around 15 years, there's no...
- 47:41But blockchain has no purpose.
- 47:43No, well...
- 47:44But I mean, having, you know, replacing no longer having to pay a convincing lawyer to settle
- 47:50a house...
- 47:51That's not going to happen.
- 47:52What does that mean?
- 47:53I say this as a recovering lawyer that is never going to happen.
- 47:56And AI is never going to be able to write a contract that's what it's like.
- 48:00Why?
- 48:01Well, lawyers exist because mistakes get made.
- 48:04The smart contracts that have been utilized so far are notorious for getting hacked or
- 48:09having errors in them, which mean that they pay out when they shouldn't.
- 48:12And that's exactly why lawyers are around because when people write contracts, they misunderstand
- 48:17each other or they write down the wrong things or, you know, I mean, as a baby lawyer, the
- 48:23very first thing we were told in training was not to mess around with convincing because
- 48:28the mistakes you make in convincing are really fatal.
- 48:32Yeah.
- 48:33And you know, you won't be selling a house when you shouldn't have or buying a house
- 48:37when you shouldn't have...
- 48:38You seem to be operating in a universe in which human lawyers are infallible.
- 48:42No, not at all.
- 48:43But they're a lot better than ChatGPT.
- 48:45Well, right now they are.
- 48:46Yeah.
- 48:47But...
- 48:48My argument is they will continue to be...
- 48:49You think they will always be.
- 48:50Yeah.
- 48:51I was writing a newsletter a couple of weeks ago and I was writing about the art that
- 48:55survives an apocalypse.
- 48:56And I was talking about why we always think of Shakespeare as something that survives the
- 48:59end of the world.
- 49:00And as a gag, I thought I'd ask ChatGPT where the most unusual places were that Romeo and
- 49:08Juliet had ever been performed because I wondered whether like it had once been performed
- 49:13in Antarctica, Mordo or something like that, like what are the extreme things?
- 49:18It straight up made up 30 performances of Romeo and Juliet that have never occurred.
- 49:25One in a bond out building in Sarajevo during the war, one in Wales involving live goats,
- 49:32and on a Russian submarine where the balcony scene was delivered while Juliet was in a torpedo
- 49:38silo.
- 49:39Like this was just incredible nonsense.
- 49:43Yeah.
- 49:44I don't regard any of those anecdotes as persuasive remotely in the sense that anything
- 49:48that in any discussion about an audacious future technology, people in the early stages
- 49:56of it, who are no sayers, can point to the limitations of it in its current form which
- 50:01tells us nothing about why do you think we're in the early stages of it?
- 50:05Where do you see it going?
- 50:06Given that it's already sucked up all of the internet, essentially, like it's run out
- 50:10of input.
- 50:11Yeah, but it doesn't just, I mean, when you use it, it's not just spitting out the data
- 50:15that it learned from the internet, it's making connections about things and mimicking intelligence.
- 50:21It's not mimicking your charges.
- 50:22It's spicy autocomplete.
- 50:24It's literally looking at what you've put in and predicting the probability of what should
- 50:29go next.
- 50:30It's just not doing, that is not, I understand that argument, I've heard it a million times.
- 50:35That's not the experience that people who use church epiti every day have of it.
- 50:40It's not the experience that people who have invested a lot of money and wanting you to
- 50:44think that have had of it.
- 50:46Well, do you use it on a daily basis?
- 50:47Absolutely not.
- 50:48Okay.
- 50:49Because I mean, it can do a certain limitless amount of planning, lateral thinking, creative
- 50:55script writing, analysis of all kinds of things that it can do, that even today, setting
- 51:05the use of lateral thinking.
- 51:07It's not thinking.
- 51:08Well, that's the extraordinary thing about it.
- 51:10Of course, it's not thinking, I mean, but it is doing something that if I didn't tell
- 51:19you that it was an AI doing it, and I set up a test of like you had to predict whether
- 51:25or not this is a living person or not, it's passing the chewing test with flying colors
- 51:30on a number of different metrics.
- 51:32I think so.
- 51:33It's lateral thinking like behavior that I think will, oh look, I have no idea where it
- 51:38will go.
- 51:39You might be right, and of course there's all these problems of hallucinations, there's
- 51:42a lot of problems of how bad Gemini currently is, it's an environmental calamity, you
- 51:46know, it's like, it's a complete, but I mean, I regard humanity as a baby giraffe at
- 51:53the moment, with covered in goo and trying to stand up and figure out what to do with
- 51:57the information explosion that it is living through, like our civilization, the way that
- 52:02it talks to itself is undergoing a radical transformation starting with technology in
- 52:08the computer and the internet, and now I see AI as, at least as pivotal as the internet
- 52:13and probably as pivotal as the discovery of fire or democracy in, and being something
- 52:20that we're going to have to grapple with, and that may, in 10 years time, we may just
- 52:25look back on my saying that and think that was just ridiculously naive, it might just
- 52:28be like, why 2k, totally, it's totally possible, but if the capacity of artificial systems
- 52:36to integrate information can continue to increase in the absence of new data being fed
- 52:42into them, or if they can get new data, for example, through cameras of their own or
- 52:46through direct interaction with the world, just like animals do or plants do, we don't
- 52:52have to learn everything we learn it on the fly, then I don't see any reason in principle
- 53:00why human level intelligence or chimp level intelligence or something, is there magical
- 53:08pixie dust about the human brain that makes it the only object in the universe that is
- 53:13capable of sophisticated thinking and planning?
- 53:17Yeah, well, I guess we'll find out, I mean, I fundamentally think those two assumptions
- 53:21like assuming that it can get exponentially better, and we're already seeing a plateau
- 53:27in terms of improvements between chipt-t models, where is it rolling out?
- 53:32Which you would always expect, I mean, any, any exponential curve, plateaus at a time.
- 53:36Yeah, but your assumption is that it's going to be 10 times better in three years.
- 53:40Oh, I mean, that was a hypothetical, that's not my prediction.
- 53:43I do think it'll get 10 times better, but it might not be as quickly as three years.
- 53:47I mean, I feel like, how does it get 10 times better if it's doing this though?
- 53:50If the rate of increases going from 1,000X a month to 500X a month, it's still pretty
- 53:58good.
- 53:59So there's that assumption, and then there's the assumption that that growth can continue
- 54:05because it's possible for there to be more data going into it than there is now, and
- 54:09I don't think either of those assumptions are.
- 54:11No, to me, something feels off.
- 54:13It's a bit like we're in the era of the right brothers, and we're talking about how the
- 54:18cloth wings aren't very good.
- 54:21And there's not enough.
- 54:22We'll get back together in ten years.
- 54:23There's not enough cloth in the world to build a bit.
- 54:26You know, there's nothing else going into the aeroplane.
- 54:28There's nothing else going into planes.
- 54:30Anyway, so that just got us off the topic of search and Gemini and AI and so on.
- 54:37But what that's meant for search is that it's very difficult to discover things now.
- 54:42Right.
- 54:43And in the early internet, it was also hard to discover things.
- 54:46We didn't have search engines in the start, and we relied on hand-curated directories
- 54:53of links put together by individuals, and in fact, Genama Polly, who's the librarian who
- 54:59coined the phrase, surfing the internet, she said the reason that she liked that metaphor
- 55:04is because, like, the sport, it required skill and patience and a sense of adventure.
- 55:08Like, it wasn't easy to get around.
- 55:11And so I'm really interested that we've sort of gone full circle on making things very
- 55:16easy to find, and then back to making them very hard to find again.
- 55:21And so what does discovery look like in that new environment?
- 55:24And, you know, I don't think it's the case that we go back to web rings where we sort
- 55:29of link to each other's web sites.
- 55:30What was that?
- 55:31I was, like, early websites would often have a sort of onto the next one arrow on the
- 55:36bottom, and you sort of have a ring of websites that you could flip around.
- 55:40But how do we think about discovery?
- 55:42So, you know, Kevin Rosen, Alexis Ahanian, and bringing back Dig, which used to be sort
- 55:48of one of the ways that you found new things.
- 55:51But what does a genuinely new system of discovery look like?
- 55:55Like how do we go exploring for new and interesting ideas and people and topics and communities
- 56:01in an era where search is increasing?
- 56:05Well, what's the answer to that?
- 56:06Is it human curation?
- 56:08Could be.
- 56:08I mean, one of the things I've been looking at lately is a concept of thinking more about digital
- 56:14gardens, which is a phrase that some people use.
- 56:18So, a lot of what we have done over the last few years is think about the Internet as a broadcast
- 56:23medium, like it's, if you're going to publish something that's polished and finished and
- 56:27pushed out there as a podcast or newsletter or so on.
- 56:31But what does it look like to share much more of just the ideas you're interested in,
- 56:35the things you're thinking about and think of that as like a garden, like some of
- 56:39them are very untended ideas, some of them are, you know, might grow into things.
- 56:43And how do we encourage people to explore those gardens?
- 56:46And we use the garden metaphor negatively at the moment, like walls gardens, we talk about.
- 56:51But what does it look like to take down those walls and have people be able to wander again?
- 56:56And, you know, I'm fascinated by that idea.
- 56:59And I think some of it will be tool driven, like Blue Sky or, you know, there's a new
- 57:07app called Tapestry, which brings all of your feeds into a single place.
- 57:12I don't know if I want that.
- 57:13Like, I don't know if I want to be scrolling my hockey tumbler thirst posts alongside US political
- 57:19doom. But I do think the idea of thinking about new ways to exercise sort of
- 57:26agency over our journey online is going to be really crucial in the next.
- 57:30Can you think, so what would that look like?
- 57:31Are you able to put flesh on the bones of what that would feel like just to articulate what we
- 57:36mean by a garden? Like, so a lot of people who, so I will give you an example.
- 57:43I've started writing this newsletter this year.
- 57:45It's once a week and it's a collection of things that I am thinking about, right?
- 57:49So that's sort of my mental garden and it's links to articles I've read, things that I've heard
- 57:54online, things that I'm kind of thinking about. But I think the idea of a digital garden would be
- 58:01having that on my site, so within my control and the sense of digital permanence,
- 58:05but in a way that other people can explore and draw their own connections through, right?
- 58:09Because at the moment, unless I say in the newsletter, oh, two weeks ago when we were talking about
- 58:14the Conclave movie, you know, and now we're talking about the death of the Pope,
- 58:18I have to draw that link for my audience for them to find that connection.
- 58:23But if all of those things were on my site, if my site was linked to other things,
- 58:27if there was bidirectional linking the way we used to do in the old days,
- 58:30people would be able to sort of move from reading my piece about Conclave fandom to Adrian
- 58:38Hans piece about Conclave laps to another article about finished sci-fi laps, and you're able to
- 58:45wander. So is this an interface that doesn't yet exist?
- 58:48I think there's a lot of people trying to tackle it, so there's an app that's just gone public
- 58:53in the last two weeks called Sublime and their thinking is related ideas. And so it's kind of a
- 59:00bookmarking tool while you're surfing around, you see something and you're like, oh, that's
- 59:04interesting, and there's an extension and a nap and so on, so it makes it easy for you to bookmark
- 59:09that idea, and you chuck it in with your own tags, like we're back to the web.2 error of folks
- 59:15on them is, and so I might say, oh, this is interesting for my newsletter and thinking about this
- 59:19topic, but the app will then show you related ideas, and it's learning that based off the content
- 59:26in the excerpt that you've clicked with the site that you've read, and based on how other people
- 59:33have tagged it and arranged it and so on, and so instead of just seeing your bookmark,
- 59:38you're then able to go, oh, yeah, that's exactly the point, and click through to something else.
- 59:44Isn't part of the pitch of, is it notebook AI, or one of them, that it can be, or maybe it's
- 59:50an app like Notion or something, and I'm getting confused, that you can just dump everything in there,
- 59:55and it's a space for your brain, and then it'll make intuitive connections between things. So you never,
- 1:00:00I mean, look, it's already happened in things like, I was remembering that I used to have
- 1:00:05Gmail folders that I would put particular emails into, so that if I needed to find something,
- 1:00:10I could find them again, right? You know, like, tax and banking information goes in this particular
- 1:00:15email folder, who has email folders anymore? The search function is so good that no matter what I
- 1:00:20need, that's fine. It was so good within your Gmail, isn't it still? I don't think that's changed.
- 1:00:26Gmail's okay, Google drivers amiss, but yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Why is Google drive that time?
- 1:00:31No, it's extraordinary. It throws up documents that have nothing to do with the search time.
- 1:00:35You will never find a document again, like it's just strange. It's actually safer for me to not
- 1:00:40save attachments in my Gmail to Google Drive, because I'll be able to find them in Gmail,
- 1:00:45but they don't seem to use the same self-functionally over in Drive. Anyway, hopefully,
- 1:00:50even if AI gets no better than it currently does, it should be able to assist
- 1:00:56better than it does at the moment in searching for things. So is there a way of corralling all of
- 1:01:01the information and your interests and your friendship groups and so on into a, I mean, is this what
- 1:01:05you're basically envisaging? Well, it's sort of an app or a platform. It's certainly what I'm
- 1:01:10thinking about this very week. This is what I was just writing my newsletter before I came here,
- 1:01:13and this is what I was thinking about, which is these concepts aren't new. So the Web 2.0
- 1:01:19era was when we first saw the idea of tags tagging, and Fox Onamies, and this was the idea that instead
- 1:01:26of having a top-down text on me, like your email folders, banking and text goes in this folder,
- 1:01:32you could just tag anything, banking, tags, to pay, invoice, whatever, and there you were saying
- 1:01:39to pay like a hair piece. So I was like, why does she think I buy hair pieces? What a fine
- 1:01:44head of hair. So you didn't then have to remember necessarily where it was because the tags would
- 1:01:52enable you to do it, and you could do community tagging, right? And so the early bookmarking sites
- 1:01:57like Delicious and Pinboard were all about shared tags because of I tag something, you know,
- 1:02:03fanfic, everyone can see that that's an article that's relevant to that topic. And I'm someone who
- 1:02:12always falls victim to the idea that I'm going to be great at some sort of bookmarking,
- 1:02:15organizational, I just need the perfect notebook or the perfect pens. It's not going to happen.
- 1:02:20And so, you know, I tried Delicious for a while, I tried Evernote for a while, which was another
- 1:02:26one that was like... I was a big Evernote user, yeah. Your whole brain in there, yeah. I don't know
- 1:02:31what I saved there, but it's gone now, you know, so... What happened? Did Evernote get bought or
- 1:02:35something, or did we just drift away from it? Both, I think. I don't know. There'll be some
- 1:02:40passionate Evernote user out there who's like, oh, there's probably all kinds of... Yeah, that's true,
- 1:02:44yeah, there's probably all kinds of stuff like that. So, you know, these tools aren't, they're not new.
- 1:02:49And I do think there's something to be said that that no note-taking app or notebook or whatever
- 1:02:55is the answer to thinking, you know, like it doesn't matter if a computer draws all these connections
- 1:03:00for you. There's no replacement for going for a walk in the park and then sitting down and actually
- 1:03:06trying to draw some conclusions yourself. Do you still do that enough? I was in the park just
- 1:03:11before I came here. Lovely. Does that take a conscious effort or are you just drawn to it?
- 1:03:17No, I think it does take a conscious effort. I had a 13 and a half hour zoom call yesterday,
- 1:03:21so I needed to see some trees. Well, I do worry about that as well. The fact that we're always on.
- 1:03:30Like, there's never a break. People are going crazy. People are not getting the mental space
- 1:03:37just as on the side, by the way, when you were talking about you're always hunting for the next
- 1:03:41life hack that's going to solve everything and fix all of your to-do's. Do you know Oliver Berkman,
- 1:03:46the writer? I'd strongly recommend his books and he's been on this show a bunch of times and people
- 1:03:52who are listening to this who haven't heard those episodes should go back and listen to
- 1:03:55Oliver Berkman. He's a Brit who writes about how you're never going to get to the end of your
- 1:04:01to-do list, focusing on it, worrying about the life hacks and find a way to
- 1:04:06befriend your own existence in the space of chaos and sort of optimistic resignation.
- 1:04:12Yeah. Quite lovely. That sounds like me. I'm never not injecting my consciousness with
- 1:04:21data of some kind, whether it's a podcast in my ear or whatever. The mental space that I have
- 1:04:28to reflect is when I'm in the shower, basically, or when I'm reading fiction, which is not exactly
- 1:04:34an empty space either. No. I like many people know that I ought to meditate. I know that I
- 1:04:39ought to walk in the park more, right? I live at a beach and it's a challenge for me to force myself
- 1:04:45to go down and walk along it. That should be a rule. That should just be every morning,
- 1:04:51first thing I do is I walk along the beach and I come back. But it's true that you don't come up
- 1:04:56with the good ideas or the good connections until you give your brains some quiet and this year
- 1:05:02I've been trying to implement for myself a bit more of a digital Sabbath and just getting off my
- 1:05:08devices for one day. Yeah. And how's that going? It's been really interesting. I start the evening
- 1:05:15before like a religious Sabbath because there's something very satisfying about having a quiet evening
- 1:05:21and going to bed and knowing that you're going to wake up to a quiet morning. But also in the morning,
- 1:05:25you wake up and you think, well, I can get back online but at the end of the day.
- 1:05:30And so that sort of frees me up. I'm like, I don't feel like my throat's been killed. I was
- 1:05:33not like it ends at sunset in the second day of the Sabbath. And I bought myself a dumb phone
- 1:05:41because that alleviated. I found the first few times I did it. I was constantly like, what if
- 1:05:45there's an emergency? What if someone's trying to get hold of me? What the dumb phone? I've been
- 1:05:49looking. I'm not sure if you're going to want it but it is a Barbie phone. It's bright pink.
- 1:05:57But it's made by HMD which is the crowd who I think have bought the Nokia IP and so they're
- 1:06:02turning out the old Nokia's again. So you can buy like a Nokia brick or whatever.
- 1:06:06Right. And can you send text messages on it? Yeah. And you do have to tap it three times to
- 1:06:11write. And I really thought that that might have been muscle memory, that T9, like I,
- 1:06:15because I used to be fast. Yeah, me too. But it turns out no. No, you've got to re-learn it.
- 1:06:20Got to re-learn that. So that helped a little bit with the noise of my brain like,
- 1:06:24oh, someone will be trying to get hold of me. It's like, no, they can call or text. That's fine.
- 1:06:29Is it the same phone number though? Oh yeah, I just put the simon.
- 1:06:32Right. It's been annoying.
- 1:06:36One little friction. You're already out. I'm done. I'm gone. No, I, yeah.
- 1:06:43And so, so then it's just off my devices. And by devices, does that include television?
- 1:06:49Yeah. I read books. Sometimes I'll let myself listen to an audio book but I play it through a
- 1:06:55speaker so I'm not carrying the phone around. But yeah, just one day. And what I'm finding is
- 1:07:02that is the time when the connections are starting to be made. I mean, that's when I'm like,
- 1:07:09that article feeds into this or I should seek out a podcast about that or, you know,
- 1:07:14we all know we should do that. We just don't do it. So Nazis. Nazis in the bar. What's the
- 1:07:21analogy about tell us what you mean by Nazis? It's a, it's a quasi famous Twitter thread but it was
- 1:07:26somebody who was saying that the problem with allowing or platforming people on social media who
- 1:07:37are expressing really offensive points of view is that if you're a bartender or bar owner and
- 1:07:44you let one person in who's sitting at the bar not causing any trouble but they're wearing
- 1:07:49Nazi memorabilia, they've got their tattoos, whatever. If you don't immediately kick them out,
- 1:07:55then the next time they'll come and they'll bring a friend and then Sponda, you look up and turns
- 1:08:00out that you're running a Nazi bar. And it's a, it's a sort of, it's a simplistic way of thinking
- 1:08:04about platform neutrality and I think that one of the characteristics of the Silicon Valley mindset
- 1:08:12over the last couple of years has been that the platforms not publishers are not in the business
- 1:08:18of making editorial decisions and that, that therefore they shouldn't be taking steps to
- 1:08:28sensor or take steps around content. And I think the first few years of the social media era,
- 1:08:36we saw the limitations of that. Amnesty International did some work that said that for a woman
- 1:08:41of color, they received an abusive authoretning to eat every 20 seconds. And so it was very clear
- 1:08:48that it was becoming an unsafe space as it grew. And so most of the platforms invested time in
- 1:08:55resources and trust and safety teams in trying to work out how to ensure that their platforms
- 1:09:04encouraged conversation but didn't wind up in these sort of very negative outcomes. And then,
- 1:09:11of course, you get this swing in the Trump era where the argument becomes, these platforms are
- 1:09:19censoring particularly alt-right voices, you know, that they're being shut down and silenced.
- 1:09:25And the, the data shows that that's not true, that actually when you look at the work that was
- 1:09:30done by the trust and safety teams in that phase, that right-wing voices were not affected at any
- 1:09:37greater rate than left-wing voices. But nevertheless, that was the, that was the sort of sentiment that's
- 1:09:43stuck particularly in the United States. And so that's how you then get people like Elon Musk who
- 1:09:47are saying, I'm going to buy Twitter and I'm going to make it a haven for free speech. And what he
- 1:09:52means by free speech is the ability to use slurs again. And then you get Zuckerberg coming out
- 1:09:58shortly thereafter saying that he'll also be dismantling trust and safety at meta because he'd
- 1:10:04like to be able to, you know, use the R word. And so, so with now come sort of down the other
- 1:10:11side of the hill, I guess, that there isn't, there isn't teams looking at these things on the
- 1:10:16platforms. And that's why a lot of people have left Twitter and why some people have stopped using
- 1:10:23meta products. I mean, it's a big, it's, this is a biggie, right? Like the question of how
- 1:10:31how big tech should function in a chaotic environment that is also democratic and that also
- 1:10:40prioritizes traditional small L liberal ideas about free speech in the public square,
- 1:10:48crashes into the algorithms, right? I mean, let's just put a few things on the table. The existence
- 1:10:56of the algorithm means that social media companies can't plausibly claim to not be publishers.
- 1:11:01Correct. Right. Because they are publishing, they are choosing what goes at the top and what
- 1:11:04doesn't get seen. Yeah. So they're making publishing decisions. They're not just platforms. If they
- 1:11:09want to be treated as platforms where they have no culpability for what gets said on them,
- 1:11:14then they can remove the algorithms and turn your feed back into a reverse chronology of the
- 1:11:18people who you follow. Yeah. And problem solved. So that's bullshit. It's also bullshit for
- 1:11:25Elon to bang on about free speech at the same time as he sues people, sues advertise,
- 1:11:31sues companies for not advertising on Twitter anymore, compelling them to, you know,
- 1:11:34get that engage in speech that they don't want to engage in. What is the people that you mean about
- 1:11:39Tesla? Yeah. Exactly. Kicks people off, you know, Twitter for criticizing him, you know,
- 1:11:47gets butt hurt when people publish, you know, details that he doesn't find appropriate.
- 1:11:54I also think, people sometimes forget that these are private companies that are allowed to make
- 1:11:59their own decisions about who says what? They're not the government. This is not a first amendment
- 1:12:04like question in the United States, right? Nobody has a right to say anything on any particular
- 1:12:08platform. They could easily make the platforms super, super nice. They could easily make the
- 1:12:15platforms super super Nazi. Yeah. They could easily make them super lucky. They could make them
- 1:12:19super right. Yeah. That's right. Gab or parlor or that's right. Yeah. And from my perspective,
- 1:12:25if you want to start up a neo Nazi social media site, then that should be legal. I think you're
- 1:12:31I know as long as you're not actually advocating for harming people, you're allowed to throw around
- 1:12:35whatever bullshit ideas you want to in private. The question is whether or not you should do that on
- 1:12:40social media platform that all of us want to use and that has basically become a kind of a utility
- 1:12:45essentially for public conversation. That all being said, the question of whether social media was
- 1:12:53doing a decent good enough job prior to Elon. Oh, absolutely. I was allowing. No, no, not at moderating.
- 1:13:00Oh, I see. But at being even handed and not getting caught up in its own echo chambers,
- 1:13:05I think is still an open question. Like the, you know, there are many famous cases which are not
- 1:13:12apocryphal about people suggesting that lockdowns were going too far, for example, whose
- 1:13:20feeds were suppressed or tweets were mysteriously never got any views in comparison to the rest of
- 1:13:28their content. Sure. I mean, there's we can put it off the platform for saying men aren't women
- 1:13:32because trans ideology got, you know, quite extreme at that point in time. That's true. That's true.
- 1:13:37That is true. You know, the lab leak theory, which now is probably a 50 50 shot and you know,
- 1:13:43scientists aren't quite sure about, but several big American governmental bodies think is more
- 1:13:48more likely than not was initially separate. I think we can I think we can pick and choose
- 1:13:52examples on both ends of the spectrum. What I'm saying is that there is. But can you on both ends of
- 1:13:57this spectrum? I don't think. And there is research and I would need my phone to find it for you,
- 1:14:02but there is research that shows that moderation decisions were affecting all ends of the political
- 1:14:09spectrum. That right wing, alt right, whatever labels you want to apply, voices were not being
- 1:14:17targeted and were not subject to moderation decisions at any greater rate than any other political.
- 1:14:23I mean, it would be remarkable if that were true since all of my cohort of people who were
- 1:14:30the types of people who run Twitter were on the left. And certainly at that time coded
- 1:14:38the right as being racist. But during that era, did you experience people on the left
- 1:14:43feeling like the moderation decisions were going well? Or did you feel that, you know,
- 1:14:49left wing voices were saying this is outrageous. Why is this still here?
- 1:14:55Both. I mean, I feel like the let I feel like we're talking about peak. It didn't turn into a
- 1:15:01lefty echo chamber. Well, I mean, you've got several ongoing forces which are sort of in
- 1:15:09confluence, right? So there's the there's the rise of the chaoticness of the of social media,
- 1:15:15which is pushing back against any sort of social justice hegemony that the corporations might
- 1:15:22have been imposing. So it's possible that it's possible that a couple of things happen at once.
- 1:15:27Jack Dussi was imposing a social justice hegemony or Mark Zuckerberg. Well, I got a chance.
- 1:15:34Yeah, I mean, yeah, no, yes, I do. I think that's a fair thing to say because at the time in
- 1:15:39between 2015 and 2022, there was a lot of work tweets online. No, there were lots of things online,
- 1:15:49but the corporations were extremely mindful of getting themselves into shitstorms
- 1:15:56and were extremely mindful of at least taking seriously or paying lip service to the need to
- 1:16:01quote unquote stop the spread of hate or hateful ideas or whatever. And a lot was being coded as
- 1:16:07hate that people on the right regarded as being a legitimate part of public discourse. For example,
- 1:16:15you know, decreasing the rate of immigration or whether or not, yeah, the vaccines were doing
- 1:16:20damage or whatever it might be. Like I do think I don't think I don't think you can
- 1:16:25I don't think it's tenable to say that there isn't a conflict about where exactly the parameters
- 1:16:29of the conversation lie on social media that was during that period filtered through the prism
- 1:16:38of a particular political and social justice worldview. That's what Elon was claiming to be pushing
- 1:16:44back against. And he's now just growing up. Yeah, and I'm saying I'm saying statistically
- 1:16:49that wasn't the case in terms of I suppose it depends how you count what voices like what constitutes
- 1:16:55the right while constitutes the left. What opinions constitute which who did that study? Yeah, yeah.
- 1:17:00But I mean, but Trump and Elon like to bang on about the fact that right wing voices were shadow
- 1:17:04banned and silenced and and taken down and and whatever. And the the research that has been done
- 1:17:11says that that's not the case. Right. And and you know, I think if we're picking and choosing
- 1:17:18examples, there are plenty of people on the left who would say that there wasn't nearly enough
- 1:17:23done in that era to stop the spread of hate. And you know, when we've got people like Graham
- 1:17:30Linnahinn and so on going on and on on Twitter, finding followers in a platform and a home there.
- 1:17:38So it's the idea that right wing voices were censored and left wing voices created a little
- 1:17:45you know, happy neighborhood for themselves where they didn't have to hear any
- 1:17:48country reviews. It's just nonsense. Right. That wasn't what it was like. And to people who don't
- 1:17:51know Graham was a UK is a UK comedy television comedy writer who came very obsessed with the
- 1:17:57transition became a turf for one to be better word. Yeah. Okay. That's interesting. I mean, I
- 1:18:04I guess I'm somewhat sympathetic. I'm somewhat sympathetic to the point of view that says that
- 1:18:11moderation is always going to be a futile game of whack-a-mole.
- 1:18:18Moneration is hard and I am not here saying that it's easy, but I'm saying that it is possible. So
- 1:18:23for example, we know on social media that all of the platforms have to comply with German
- 1:18:28legislation around what can and can't be said about Nazis online. And so you know, they have
- 1:18:37always been able to take content down to meet regulatory requirements. They just choose not to.
- 1:18:44Right. But the regulation has to be clear. I mean, the good thing about the German regulation
- 1:18:48is it's like, this is what you can say. This is what you can't say. End of story. It's a lot
- 1:18:53more difficult to understand. When is the thing that you're saying about pediatric gender,
- 1:19:02care, bigotry towards trans people and when is it a defensive feminism? Like these are just
- 1:19:07calculations that Mark Zuckerberg is not equipped to make. So he urs now on the side of saying,
- 1:19:13all right, we're going to wipe our hands off it. And yeah, and it's going to be more of a free
- 1:19:16for all. I think it's unfair to say that the reason why he changes that is because he wants to
- 1:19:20say the R word. I think it's because I mean, there are obviously cynical corporate reasons for it.
- 1:19:26And look, maybe he's a secret racist who wants to, you know, say terrible bigotry things.
- 1:19:30But I think it's more likely that in addition to carrying favor with the Trump administration and
- 1:19:34with the right, he just doesn't think that it's consistent with like the long term future of a
- 1:19:42a place that is predicated on having conversations to micromanage those conversations.
- 1:19:47I just think he thinks that it's hard and too expensive. It's probably a bit of that too.
- 1:19:53It's definitely possible. But it involves investing and trust and safety teams that it involves,
- 1:19:58you know, human moderators. I mean, one of the things that was super interesting
- 1:20:03in Brazil when TikTok was briefly banned on a telegram, sorry, was briefly banned in Brazil
- 1:20:11because of the spread of misinformation. And in order to get it back, what they did was they focused
- 1:20:16on a tiny handful of super spreaders. And what they discovered was if you moderate this very small
- 1:20:24number of accounts who are responsible for amplifying the vast amount of, in that case,
- 1:20:31medical disinformation, you can reduce it by an enormous amount. So it's not the case that you
- 1:20:38have to have a football field of human moderators who are individually reviewing each tweet and
- 1:20:44going is on the side of the line or is on that side of the line. But you have to care about
- 1:20:48creating a healthy, vibrant space for conversation. And part of that is making sure that people
- 1:20:55aren't being harassed and mistreated and that flat out lies aren't being passed around about
- 1:21:02with an election with Stalin. I mean, I think it's clear that if there's that you could draw a
- 1:21:07line in the sand for abuse and threats, right? The thing that I honestly find most personally
- 1:21:13distasteful about Twitter whenever I'm there is, and again, now, even now that it's a dumpster
- 1:21:21fire and I don't even want to go near it, it's not just that there's lots of, it's not that there's
- 1:21:26an over-abuse and threats, although as I said before, that that might be different if I was a
- 1:21:30woman of color, for example. But it's that the reaction to ideas that people disagree with
- 1:21:37is so hostile and so unsympathetic and so instantly disagreeable that the tone is completely off.
- 1:21:48And it strikes me that if you actually wanted to create a conducive place where normal
- 1:21:53functioning emotionally well-regulated human beings want to converse, you'd have to address
- 1:21:58that, which is a lot trickier than getting rid of full-on outright misinformation. Like in some
- 1:22:07ways, I sometimes feel like this conversation, especially when conducted with policy bureaucrats
- 1:22:12or governments who are looking for simple solutions, it can collapse into a conversation about
- 1:22:18misinformation is bad, therefore let's get rid of misinformation, abuse and threats and hate
- 1:22:22speech are bad, therefore let's get rid of that. And it strikes me that that leaves this
- 1:22:26yearning universe of gray cases that are where the actual problem lies, which is that it's not
- 1:22:34misinformation, it's information that is skewed through a political agenda or a prism that
- 1:22:40is relentlessly focused on one side and more than the other. And it's not abuse or threats
- 1:22:46per se, they're easy to catch and how I could catch those. It's a tone of hostility and antagonism
- 1:22:54and close-mindedness towards and tribalism and antagonism and a defensive crouch about
- 1:23:01one's own ideas. And this is, I keep looping back round to scale, but I think that's the point,
- 1:23:06right? That is the consequence of the scale at which these platforms are now operating. Like there's
- 1:23:15I don't know if you're familiar with Dumbars number, but it's the number of stable social
- 1:23:18relationships that we can all have as people, right? And it's 150. So the theory is that you
- 1:23:26you can have 150 people in your life that you have an ongoing social connection with. And those
- 1:23:33sort of layer out close friends and neighbors and so on, but wider, but any more than 150 and it's
- 1:23:39it collapses. And I think there's something in that that it's not a that's something like Twitter
- 1:23:46where we're now millions and millions of users shoved into one space with an algorithm that's
- 1:23:54trying to genus all up against each other. That's never going to produce a healthy conversation.
- 1:23:59It just can't. So last question about kicking Nazis out of the bar.
- 1:24:09The sort of liberative libertarian in me thinks it's all very well if we get to define who the
- 1:24:17Nazis are and where and control of the platforms. What if President JD Vance is the one who's
- 1:24:26determining what is hateful speech and what is corrosive speech and what if something like the
- 1:24:35Polish right wing or Victor Orban were in power. I think we're seeing the start of that in the US
- 1:24:46that's right. And so then the definition of who forms the what jigsaw piece fits the
- 1:24:54hole in the mosaic that you're calling a Nazi could just as easily be depraved people like me who
- 1:25:01are in dysfunctional marriages with members of the same sex and thereby contaminating traditional
- 1:25:05family values or migrants as we're seeing now. My dad was a refugee you know people who you know
- 1:25:14the way that they're treating people just pulling them off the streets and throwing them into
- 1:25:17gulags in Central America. My gut says like be as careful as you possibly can about
- 1:25:28trying to define a way or exclude ideas that you regard as being reprehensible because you
- 1:25:34don't want to set a precedent that the next person who disagrees with you will do the same.
- 1:25:39Yeah 100% and you know one of my best friends in London is the grandson of a Holocaust survivor
- 1:25:47and who used to take him to the soapbox in Hyde Park and and get him to watch people saying
- 1:25:53extremely unpalatable things because his view was exactly that you know like that that starting
- 1:25:58to decide what is and isn't good speech is a slip or slope to you know. Unfortunately I think what
- 1:26:05we're seeing in the US though is is sort of the opposite of that it's like this is the natural
- 1:26:11endpoint of platforming some really dangerous ideas over the last 10 years and I think that now
- 1:26:20we have to be really careful about what happens next but I do think there's a distinction there
- 1:26:24like as you were saying earlier social media platforms are private companies and that's different
- 1:26:31from what a government is saying about what is legally protected speech or not in the case of the US
- 1:26:39and so when we're thinking about the health of online conversations we're talking about
- 1:26:44what those that social infrastructure that companies build that we can build
- 1:26:49looks like and how we can make that places that people want to be as opposed to
- 1:26:54you know nightmare dumpster fires without they're getting harassed and the number of people you
- 1:27:02meet now who sort of say oh I'm just off social media it's so toxic yeah and it's like that's fine
- 1:27:07that's a perfectly plausible decision to have reached but I think we're losing something we're
- 1:27:11losing something that was at the heart of the early internet that we are in a nostalgic for which
- 1:27:17is that community piece that that ability to find people who love the same things that you do
- 1:27:24that are interested in conversations about fascinating topics who are going to expose you to new
- 1:27:29ideas and and give you new things to think about that doesn't have to be social media though does it
- 1:27:34no yeah it's not because I'm off social media basically I mean I I use it as a publishing platform
- 1:27:38to disseminate you know clips of this show but I don't handle that is there anywhere that you
- 1:27:45hang out online now well interestingly yeah yeah so I was going to I don't spend a lot of I
- 1:27:54am intentionally minimizing the amount of time that I spend online in all capacities in order
- 1:27:59to touch the grass more as they say but the main thing that I'm optimistic about would be
- 1:28:03sub-stack where she rolls her eyes because as long as it doesn't as long as it continues to
- 1:28:12not deploy algorithms I think it is a place where you can curate your experience in a way that
- 1:28:18feels a bit more like do you not think it's already deploying algorithms um well it's it's not
- 1:28:23presenting me with anything that I'm not uh actively proactively following so the experience
- 1:28:30put anything in front of me yeah so that the experience for someone signing up to follow a sub-stack
- 1:28:36now is that the very first thing like you've just come across someone you're like that guys
- 1:28:41it's interesting and the photo has sub-stack the first thing that happens is it will insist that
- 1:28:45you go across to the app so it is no longer the case that you just get to sign up for a newsletter
- 1:28:51and receive a newsletter in your email the next thing it will do well I think you can do it on
- 1:28:56laptop unlike desktop you mean if you're on your phone it'll it'll it'll automatically
- 1:29:02the sub-stack it yep okay then it will show you three other newsletters that it thinks that you
- 1:29:07should also subscribe through so you can either choose to do that or skip it like there's some
- 1:29:12dark patterns around how to actually get to what you wanted which was just getting a newsletter
- 1:29:16from you once a week and what that's then doing is juicing the growth numbers for people because
- 1:29:22they get a whole influx of new free tier subscribers based off this sort of sign up pattern which is
- 1:29:28all algorithmically driven oh it's not all algorithmic because the use the publisher can and I
- 1:29:32know because I'm a publisher on sub-stack as well can choose who they want to yeah so if you don't
- 1:29:38it's actually still going to show your users content yeah and what that's doing is creating
- 1:29:47growth numbers that they can then point to for new writers and sort of say look this is a growth
- 1:29:51engine you can get all these sign ups but of course those ones churn and if you have a paid tier
- 1:29:55they don't convert at the same rates so it's a growth hack it depends what your public it depends
- 1:30:00whether you're good mind on chan it's a it's a growth well okay it's a growth hacking initiative
- 1:30:07from sub-stack the other thing I struggle with with them is and I've been very public about this
- 1:30:14is that they are fully aware that they have a Nazi problem and have been very public that they
- 1:30:20are not intending to do anything about that and so that means that if you are a paid author on
- 1:30:28sub-stack you are funding the spread of Nazi content which I find reprehensible and they're expensive
- 1:30:36they take 11% of you wait who's funding this the people who are funding the spread of Nazi content
- 1:30:41are the subscribers to Nazi publications sure yeah so if you are a subscriber to a paid
- 1:30:48sub-stack you're the money that you are sending to the author some of which goes to sub-stack
- 1:30:54is is uh platforming Nazi content well yeah none of us going to the Nazis none of the money
- 1:31:00that people send me is going to Nazis but you're giving them a pleasure yeah my commission goes to
- 1:31:04a company that actually is a pleasure yeah but yeah but in the way that I articulated the
- 1:31:11implausibility of Facebook's claim that it's not a publisher because it uses algorithms I think
- 1:31:18something like sub-stack is closer to um not like Facebook for me is a kind of a modern version of
- 1:31:25some kind of a magazine where it's actually pushing making decisions that push things at you
- 1:31:31with the exception of the fact that sub-stack Phil will fill in the blank space if a publisher
- 1:31:37doesn't want to recommend other publications to their followers such that but those spaces get filled
- 1:31:44with if you like this then you might also like this uh the absence of algorithmic curation
- 1:31:50makes me feel like sub-stack has a decent claim to take a classically liberal
- 1:31:57or I think he's exactly the opposite sub-stack paid righteous to come across at the beginning of
- 1:32:02the Nazis that would be a problem they paid they paid people 200,000 a year to come across gigantic
- 1:32:09I mean yes if you're on all ends of the political spectrum if you follow trans writers who have come
- 1:32:14off sub-stack a lot of that was because of money that went directly into the hands of anti-trans writers
- 1:32:19well anti-trans writers is a tricky term you they're probably talking about people like Barry Weiss
- 1:32:23and Andrew Sullivan and people who were driven out of the mainstream media for having slightly
- 1:32:27heterodox for you know for daring to question one at the time was a very a very rigid I mean I
- 1:32:33know people Sasha I think you know I can give you 20 people I'm just saying if you are paying
- 1:32:40journalists to come across to sub-stack or other writers then you are a publisher you are not
- 1:32:45well you're a publisher of them of those journalists but not the ones that you don't pay but
- 1:32:51I don't know what's your distinction um you you said that you think that sub-stack is a pure
- 1:32:56platform or as close to a pure platform yeah so like there were there were people who lost you know
- 1:33:01I was on a panel recently with Julie Sego who was one of the most um you know respected and
- 1:33:07longest serving opinion writers and columnists at the age the Melbourne's biggest broad sheet
- 1:33:12newspaper who during the social justice panic of 2022 I guess um was driven out by her peers
- 1:33:20for wanting to report on the controversy inside the psychiatric um community about pediatric
- 1:33:26transgender care right this has now now you can talk about this because it's a legitimate medical
- 1:33:33issue the question of whether or not a psychiatrist or a psychologist should have the right to
- 1:33:39look at a 12 year old who comes to them with gender dysphoria as a holistic person and consider
- 1:33:44also whether or not this is caused by autism or whether there are social contagion effects or
- 1:33:48something like that at the time this discussion that was taking place within the medical community
- 1:33:52itself about what do you do in these scenarios and do you fast track them directly into um trans care
- 1:33:59or do you look at other things that controversy she wanted to write about and that was enough to have
- 1:34:04her um driven out of the publication there was a what do you mean by driven out was she fired yeah
- 1:34:10on what ground uh she I mean her position there was untannable because she was unable to she
- 1:34:19she refused to not have her piece published basically so did she resign yeah uh like if you
- 1:34:27want to get into the minutiae of every case that I bring up then we can go down those rabbit holes
- 1:34:31you're saying she's driven out I want to know if she was fired uh I don't know
- 1:34:36um so it was if you're suggesting that there was not a massively sensorious environment in which
- 1:34:42people's lives were made untannable I can tell you my story at the public broadcaster I can tell
- 1:34:47you Barry Wyser's story at the New York Times great Linda and often tells me about history
- 1:34:51of ruining his life in his marriage well you know there are obviously degrees sure there are
- 1:34:56degrees of controversy about a sub stack as a platform why why do you think that sub stack
- 1:35:03specifically as broadcast like an email newsletter sending platform is preferable over other
- 1:35:11similar products like button down on ghost why why I've never heard a button down I've never heard
- 1:35:16a ghost so why so yeah so why do you why do you favor sub stack I guess I'm asking um because they
- 1:35:24I think they have a I think they're just more future looking so I was gonna say they have a
- 1:35:31commitment to um audio and video but that's newer so we just use it as a publication tool to
- 1:35:38deliver audio content and create community and it's possible to create um there's a there's a
- 1:35:45network effect of like-minded intellectually curious people who will discover us through uh not
- 1:35:54necessarily overt recommendations but cross collaborations with other publishers so it has the
- 1:36:00sense it has a it has an early internet feel of like excitement and buzz not the company itself
- 1:36:07but the people who are publishing on the platform who are in my universe and that's necessarily a
- 1:36:13occurred I mean that is a garden in a sense it's like a series of interlocking um play spaces or
- 1:36:20gardens where people who are interested in similar things are able to communicate without the
- 1:36:26uh the editorial uh restrictions of legacy media and that's a bad thing into good thing right
- 1:36:32so a lot of a lot of things that I could say on this podcast I wouldn't have been able to say
- 1:36:37on the public broadcaster in my case because I think I have a judicious journalistic temperament
- 1:36:42that's probably a good thing because I'm saying things that are provocative or controversial without
- 1:36:47veering into misinformation or hate speech in other circumstances the lack of guardrails and the
- 1:36:53lack of an editor and the you know the lack of a board can go horribly wrong and so you'll end
- 1:37:00up with people who are saying things that are either uh mildly provocative in a useful way like I
- 1:37:07would argue Julie say go or any other quote unquote anti-trans person was at that time they're not
- 1:37:12anti-trans um or it could be someone who's literally peddling in bigotry and hate speech or it could
- 1:37:19be any own artsy um I'm a bit ambivalent about what like it'd be a case by case thing I mean
- 1:37:28I would be perfectly comfortable for sub stack to have a rule where they say you're not allowed
- 1:37:33to promote narcissism on sub stack like that would be as the ground as the ground son of Holocaust
- 1:37:38survivors myself seems reasonable to me um the the devil would be in the details and the question
- 1:37:46I mean I think I think my concerns with sub stack are I disagree with their stated politics which is
- 1:37:52they have had offensive content brought to their attention several times and they have deliberately
- 1:37:57doubled down and said we are platforms don't publishes we're not interested in but to be honest
- 1:38:03social yeah given what I've lived through in how group thinky and honestly sensorious the legacy
- 1:38:12media has been to the past but my that relieves me because it means that I can I can explore any
- 1:38:17intellectual you know area that I want to and I'm not going to get a tap on the shop and I think
- 1:38:22the other my other consumer sub stackers they are on their way to becoming another world garden
- 1:38:28and so there's a bunch of as I say sort of dark patterns associated with the growth
- 1:38:33hacking engine with bringing people onto the app with driving to a social media sort of
- 1:38:39framework like when you go into the app now it's sort of all about your latest comments and so on
- 1:38:44so they're building a social infrastructure around the newsletters they make it very very difficult
- 1:38:49for you to export your followers because the audience is there's not yours and those are all
- 1:38:55patterns that we've seen in the past and I just don't I don't trust that it'll worry me if they
- 1:39:00algorithm if they like render the notes and comments and all that sort of stuff uh to
- 1:39:07become an algorithmic feed yeah um that'll be a tipping point for me um or at least overtly
- 1:39:13algorithmic you know they might be downloading things that are completely bad shit crazy at the
- 1:39:16moment but um which I wouldn't say um you've got a uh a nice analogy that I've heard about the
- 1:39:231300-year-old onset in uh in Japan in contrast to the ethos of modern tech yeah I wish I could
- 1:39:31credit that it was mine but it was actually my friend Natasha Lampard who uh gave a talk at
- 1:39:36webstalk about this a few years ago but yeah she was talking about this onset which is um the
- 1:39:40world's oldest company you know it's been in existence for 400 generations and and she was using
- 1:39:47it as an example of um a contrast with Silicon Valley's mindset on exponential growth in exit
- 1:39:54you know like it's always what people talk about and start a plan is what's your exit strategy
- 1:39:57or someone's had a billion dollar exit and she was she was saying you know what if we
- 1:40:02what if we thought about an exist strategy rather than an exit strategy and what would it look
- 1:40:06like to build companies that lasted instead of being built to be sold um and I think there's
- 1:40:13something so interesting in that idea that the Silicon Valley starts is always about uh
- 1:40:21accelerating things as much as you can and that's what drives a lot of these start patents so
- 1:40:26you know venture capital investment needs to see a 10x return over you know a 10 year period
- 1:40:32otherwise they're not investing and they're going to hold your feet to the fire about that growth
- 1:40:38over that period of time how do you get growth well if you're a social media platform you need
- 1:40:43engaged users how do you get engagement through sticky algorithmic behavior that encourages people
- 1:40:49to be shown information that they are raged up about like it's just a it's a vicious cycle
- 1:40:56and so I like to think that if if we could change our thinking about how we build
- 1:41:03companies platforms tools everything like what we're making instead of thinking how do I build a
- 1:41:08unicorn which we know has this kind of awful effect that comes with it and instead like how do I
- 1:41:15make something that's useful for me for my friends for my family for my neighborhood for my
- 1:41:20community um and it just works at that scale you know like it doesn't it doesn't have to be
- 1:41:28massive it can just be healthy and last question then how do we make it healthy in our own
- 1:41:35lives like what would you say to people who for example have young children who have inevitably
- 1:41:40going to get obsessed with tech talk and whether they want to or not are going to their world view
- 1:41:45is going to be shaped and their understanding of news events is going to be shaped by influencers
- 1:41:49yeah I um I mean it's a great question I've currently got an open note see note taking
- 1:41:55which in which I'm just pasting every link I see to an article which says either phones are terrible
- 1:42:02for teens or phones are fine and honestly every link goes flip-flop like I read one study it's like
- 1:42:09phones are destroying the nation's health and then the next one is like actually study shows that
- 1:42:14teenage anxiety is not connected with phones and you know it just goes back and forth back and forth
- 1:42:19um so I don't I don't have an answer to that what I do think is interesting is and this is the
- 1:42:23challenge I mean just jump in sorry I don't think the problem is fine it's right I mean the problem
- 1:42:27is the algorithm right there but I would I cannot believe that it is not well I see what my son is
- 1:42:34like when he's playing an addictive video game versus when he's doing something constructive
- 1:42:39you know or interacting and this is a discussion after Netflix dropped our lessons right and a lot
- 1:42:44of people watch that many series and where well it's the phones and it's like missing the point
- 1:42:49of the show entirely yeah which is that it's not the phones it's the entire world that they're
- 1:42:53steeped in yes so yeah but I do one of the things that I did when I was preparing this talk this
- 1:43:01for this week was I was thinking about how we used to build for the web and my nephew Josh is
- 1:43:0715 he's a really keen football player and he wanted to start coaching other kids and so we
- 1:43:11needed a website and he'd ask me what service he should sign up for to make his website and I
- 1:43:16suddenly thought because I was immersed in this nostalgia trip I was like why don't we make it
- 1:43:20like let's make it yourself and so we just sat down I used to chat GPT to start because I knew
- 1:43:29if I tried to explain HTML to him his eyes would glaze over so I said just ask the LLM for some
- 1:43:34basic coach for a football coaching website and I showed him how to save it done locally and open
- 1:43:39it on his machine and you know his jaw dropped when the index file opened up and he was amazed when
- 1:43:45seconds later it had some CSS within 20 minutes he was debugging the mistakes that the era was making
- 1:43:50and it was making mistakes and within an hour he had a site that had started to look and feel like
- 1:43:56him and he had made it and there was something so energising and creative about that and I think
- 1:44:03we've just forgotten that the good internet is still out there it's on the other side of the walls
- 1:44:09or just turn the computer off and go outside yeah kick the ball park
- 1:44:13both things can be true thank you for talking to us and Greg thank you it's been great