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100: July and August Could Make or Break the Corn Belt This Year with Gary Lezak · CattleUSA Daily

• 0:00
  Welcome back to another episode of the Cattle USA Daily podcast.
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  Today it is Friday and we are bringing you guys your weekly
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  rather weather report with Gary Lezak and the Weather 2020 team.
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  Today we are talking all things at the LRC and what we are
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  seeing across the Midwestern states into our southern states.
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  We touch on hurricane season. We did get our first name storm
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  this of the year. So we chat about that and
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  everything else that July and August have in store for us.
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  It's going to it might be a little bit of a wild card
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  summer, but Gary and I talk all about it in the podcast.
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  So without further ado, let's go ahead and jump right in.
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  Welcome to the Cattle USA Daily podcast, your go to source for
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  the latest livestock markets, industry insights and the update
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  shaping agriculture today. I'm your host, Lauren Moylan, a
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  passionate advocate for agriculture here to keep you
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  informed and connected. Now let's dive into today's
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  episode. Gary, happy Thursday.
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  Everyone's hearing this on a Friday.
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  We're only one day away. And guess what?
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  I have some. Really.
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  Exciting news. What?
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  What? What?
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  This episode, this episode, drum roll, No way is the 100th
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  episode. No way.
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  Yes, this is. The 100th episode of Cattle USA.
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  No way. You've got to be kidding me.
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  No. That's 100 divided by 5 is 20.
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  So 24 weeks worth of Cali USA. Yeah.
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  Do you do it every single day Monday through Friday?
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  Monday through Friday, every day.
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  Oh. God, you're dedicated.
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  You're amazing. Say Canal USA, Canal USA, Canal
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  USA and the Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl champions, although
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  we lost last year. Gosh, I love it.
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  I love the energy. I figured you would be very
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  happy about that. I looked at, I was like, where's
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  our 100th episode going to land? And I was like, Oh my gosh, it's
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  Gary. And I look.
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  At that, this is going to be a very special episode of Cattle
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  USA, yes. It will.
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  It will. I love it.
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  Well, how's life? How's, how's everything on your
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  end, Gary? Everything is going great.
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  I've had a little illness this week, just been sick a little
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  under the weather. Something hit me.
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  You know, I went to my mentors celebration of life last Friday.
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  I spoke, it really went well. I, I told some humorous stories
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  about him and in my own way of doing it.
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  And it was very difficult. I envisioned him sitting out
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  there and but there's 1000 people there.
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  So if you're wondering why I got sick a couple days there, I must
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  have gotten it from one of those people.
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  So at a funeral, great. That stinks.
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  I being sick is not fun at all in the slide, especially like
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  the early summer sick. Like I think that it always hits
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  way harder than getting sick in the winter or anything like
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  that. I'm feeling a lot better today,
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  so by Friday when this airs, I ain't going to be a million
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  1000% better and I'm going to go to the chart House and have a
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  4:00 happy hour. Anybody wants to join me?
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  It's up in Genesee. I'll be there about four just
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  sitting there by myself sipping it on a martini and texting
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  people and saying here's to you, here's to you, here's to you,
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  Lauren, I'll send you a here's to you text.
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  And I love it. And we're going to be
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  celebrating everybody's life because life is life is all
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  about now. We've talked about the four
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  agreements before. Have you gotten that book yet?
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  Yes, I have. I have.
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  Gotten it? So it's good.
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  I like that a lot. Be impeccable with your word.
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  If you remember that's the first thing that means without sin.
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  Be without sin, without sin. What does it mean?
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  That means don't lie to yourself, don't lie or to
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  others, to others. And if you do that one thing,
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  you will be immediately a happy person.
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  But that's very difficult to do. The second thing is don't make
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  assumptions and don't take things personally and always be
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  at your best. Your best when I wasn't very
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  well this week might not be as good as your best on a day you
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  feel fantastic, but don't make assumptions.
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  I mean, it's amazing what we do in this world every single day
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  all the time. Anyway, besides that, I live my
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  life by that and live in the power of now.
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  Life is good. This year, this week, weather
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  wise, the LRC is just mind blowing.
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  For those of you listening, is this really truly a major
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  discovery in science? That's the question I'll pose to
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  you right now. So, so is it really truly a
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  major discovery? Well, it just snowed in Boise,
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  ID on June the 22nd, 2nd day of summer.
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  And if you go back and look at the seven previous cycles,
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  there's no such thing as cycles when unless you know the LRC,
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  but it's snowed on cycle right about this part of the pattern,
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  5 out of the seven cycles. The other two stories went down
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  over Arizona, believe it or not, but that happened.
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  North Dakota had a major tornado outbreak and the ratio event and
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  I was on WDAY radio the week before that happened and a
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  caller called in and asked me this question.
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  Gary, I know a few weeks ago you said that July 28th to August
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  5th there would be a duratio and tornadoes threat here in North
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  Dakota. Do you think that's still going
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  to happen at the end of July and early August?
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  I said yes, I do. The pattern cycling that part of
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  the pattern has produced severe weather in every cycle in North
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  Dakota is going to be in the heart of that during the summer
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  version. In fact, next week this is going
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  to cycle through you. So we'll see what happens with
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  that. But yes, at the end of July, a
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  duration tornado events going to happen.
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  Now, what happened like 5 days after I said that they had a
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  duration tornado event. So yeah, it wasn't July 28th to
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  August 5th, but this is how the LRC works.
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  I predicted it happened 41 days later, but it happened 41 days
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  earlier, which is the LRC. So is the LRC a major discovery?
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  These things happen all around the world every single day.
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  They're not coincidences. So obviously, I believe it is a
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  major discovery in science and it helps us predict the future,
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  predict the weather accurately. And one of the predictions we
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  made this season was that the drought would continuously
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  shrink as we went into summer. Summer's still going to be a
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  wild card. Well, we just got all the way
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  through spring and the biggest drought areas have been parts of
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  Nebraska and South Dakota, western parts of these states
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  out in Cattle USA territory. And this what happened is the
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  drought went from AD 3 drought to AD 2 drought.
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  The D2 drought went to AD one drought.
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  The D1 drought went to no drought.
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  And it is as of the end of June, we are going into the rest of
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  growing season without a significant drought through the
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  cornball. That was our prediction.
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  So I'm not just saying, wow, look at that weather 2020.
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  The LRC is right. Woohoo, that's fantastic.
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  And believe me, it, it feels good to to to know that it's
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  right, but it feels better to know farmers are going into the
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  rest of growing season going into July without much drought
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  stress. That doesn't mean some crops
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  aren't going to fail here in four weeks, but it doesn't rain
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  all of a sudden because there's going to be a wild card there.
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  But the LRC is coming through. It is a major discovery in
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  science. And we have products that we
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  have for you that will hope hopefully guide you through each
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  year with our analysis through this podcast and everything
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  else. So it's pretty astounding and
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  amazing watching it come through.
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  It didn't have to be this way. I mean, not everything is is.
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  We've gotten better and better and better.
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  This will be 4 years in a row. We predicted the Corn Belt
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  accurately even a couple years ago when we had a drought
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  develop as we went into May and June.
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  Then it corrected itself in July.
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  Even that year turned out to be about what we predicted.
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  But it's four years in row with accurate predictions for the
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  Corn Belt. So Lauren, you know what?
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  That's my opening statement. Snaps to the weather 2020 team
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  because yeah it's and go back to our episodes from like 6-7 weeks
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  ago where we were talking about drought predictions and not to
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  toot Dick Gary's horn but toot toot like I we that is exactly
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  what we discussed multiple multiple weeks ago and I know
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  it's a relief to a lot of farmers and ranchers for that
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  production to come through and for everything else that we're
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  seeing let's talk let's talk wild card let's talk July what
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  what are we what are we thinking as we go into July we're in the
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  last week of June which is crazy we're like halfway through the
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  year I know at the end of June is halfway through the.
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  Year it is. I it's crazy, I know.
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  Absolutely nuts, no doubt about it.
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  Well, you know, there's going to be some stress, especially in
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  Nebraska and South Dakota that have had the drier conditions.
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  More likely that'll be an area that dries out a little bit.
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  So we hopefully have then we're going to need the timing of the
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  thunderstorms to be really perfect.
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  So we'll watch that as we go through July, the next two weeks
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  as we go into the middle of July.
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  Most areas get 234 inches of rain in the next 15 days or so.
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  On the models that I saw, hole was over in Nebraska where it
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  did try to dry out, but Grand Island, NE just got tons of rain
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  yesterday, last couple days. And so even if it dries out over
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  parts of Nebraska, they'll be able to withstand that as long
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  as it doesn't continue through the end of July.
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  But we're going to go into the middle of July with one month,
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  the prime growing season where the corn crop is either made or
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  not soybeans maybe a little bit later.
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  But it looks like we're going to get those timely chances of
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  rain. There's going to be no major
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  heat wave that we talked about. We did say there would be a few
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  heat waves that might be small in duration, 7 days or last
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  three days to seven days, maybe one or two of those this summer.
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  And that's it. Some summers are much hotter and
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  worse. This heat that just hit the
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  eastern United States was very strong.
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  It was 99 in Boston, 101 and in Washington, DC and New York
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  City. But that's the East Coast.
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  That's outside the Corn Belt. And I can show you that that was
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  predicted perfectly in October when the pattern set up a big
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  Ridge formed on the East Coast around October 15th to twenty
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  20th of October. And that's exactly 41 * 6 or 240
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  six days ago. Exactly.
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  You can't make that up. And so it returned, and this
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  time it's a heat wave. But that's the East Coast.
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  As it shifts back to the plains and has drawn into the desert
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  southwest, it just bypasses us real quickly.
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  And that's why there's no major heat wave in the plains.
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  So that's the pattern for this year.
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  That's what we're seeing through July, end of July, early August,
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  the jet stream gets weaker and this even farther.
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  N reaches its weakest point around the 7th of August or so.
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  And that's usually the hottest time of the year, last week of
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  July, 1st week of August on average, and then things start
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  cooling off against. That's what we're looking at.
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  August is probably the bigger wild card.
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  Not sure what's going to happen in August yet, but you know,
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  based on what the LRC says, there's still going to be timely
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  rains even in August, just less, less of a chance the way things
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  are looking. Makes total sense.
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  What are we thinking for our Southern states?
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  What are we seeing there as far as next month?
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  And then also if you want to touch on hurricane season.
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  Yeah, If you go to Kansas and Oklahoma and West TX and eastern
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  Colorado, that region more of the same.
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  I do think the next two weeks we have more rain chances, possibly
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  some big rain still in a couple areas before the middle of July
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  and then as we go towards the end of July and early August and
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  that becomes the wild card again.
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  But the LRC says 125% of average rainfall in western Kansas, so
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  near to above average rainfall. So that's what we're looking at
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  for the majority of the summer and then we'll see how August
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  turns out. Now the model still says 125% in
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  August also in many areas. So, so we'll see how that goes
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  when it comes to hurricane season, We had our first name
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  Storm. Did you know that?
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  Dead. I did see that.
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  How did you know that you were paying attention?
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  Yes, I was paying attention, Andrea.
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  I got to pay attention so I can talk to you about it.
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  It's. Amazing Andrea drama Storm
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  Andrea formed in the Atlantic. Coast Is it Andrea or Andrea?
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  Everyone's fighting about it. Is it Andrea or Andrea?
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  It doesn't matter because Andrea's dead.
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  Andrea died. Andrea was alive for a whole
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  day. It's it's it's a sad, sad story.
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  Andrea or Andrea? It was Andrea then.
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  And then at the end it was Andrea.
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  Andrea. She's gone.
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  So she's gone. Yeah.
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  Yeah. So, but yeah, it's literally
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  formed over the Atlantic. I thought it was a name storm
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  the day before. They should have named it.
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  And then they quickly named it. Then it quickly fell apart.
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  That's the first one of the season.
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  It's, it's not necessarily extremely slow start, but the
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  second one, the turn of Raphael, the Hurricane Raphael part of
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  the pattern that happened November 8th.
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  If you do that 41 day cycle, add November 8th times 41 * 6 to
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  that and 246 days later after that, it's going to be more
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  likely August 22nd or maybe that's 300 days later.
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  July 10th is coming up and that's about the Raphael part of
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  the pattern. Let's look and see if something
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  forms in the Gulf of Mexico in the next two weeks.
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  Up on the models yet. So it'll be a test for the LRC.
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  Yes, we love to hear it. Any other highs, lows, things we
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  need to chat about with the weather?
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  No, I don't know of anything else.
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  I know I need to take rainbow and sunny for a walk.
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  I'm going to take them on a good long walk outside.
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  It's not too hot here in Colorado and but otherwise, I'm
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  just think I'm finding over the Kansas City Chiefs losing in the
• 14:35
  Super Bowl because today's the first day I finally started
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  getting excited about, my gosh, they were in the Super Bowl.
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  That's pretty good. Well, hey, it's a good day.
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  Then I will say coming from Colorado this week back to
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  Kansas has kind of been a little poopy because it is a lot warmer
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  here in Kansas. And more humid.
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  Much more humid. And that, Yep, that humidity is
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  not my friend. I walked outside with the dogs
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  earlier and was like, it's kind of miserable out here.
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  Like it's, it's a little warm. And luckily when I was in
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  Colorado, you guys had we were like in the high 80s, mid 90's
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  the last day we were there. We even got some like high 70s,
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  no humidity. It was beautiful.
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  And so yes, I. Miss the humidity?
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  Why I? Don't know, I love.
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  Maybe because I grew up in Southern California and we
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  always had that onshore cool breeze from the ocean and I
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  didn't get humidity when I was growing up.
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  Very rarely. So I don't know what it is about
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  it, but I know it leads to thunderstorms so I like it.
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  That's fair, that's valid. I second that aspect of it just
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  because of the thunderstorms and the rain that comes with that
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  and all that jazz. But I much prefer no humidity.
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  That's why I'm in Colorado. Exactly well perfect.
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  Well, Gary, thank you as always for coming on chatting about the
• 15:55
  weather and everything along those lines.
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  To all of you listeners out there, make sure that you check
• 15:59
  out the show notes, check out our Cattle USA exclusive link
• 16:02
  with Weather 2020 where you can go and get that Weather 2020
• 16:06
  dashboard, get that predictor, go get the global predictor app,
• 16:10
  all of the things and make sure that you are well prepared as we
• 16:14
  go into summer and and to fall after that.
• 16:17
  And as always, make sure you like subscribe, rate, review,
• 16:19
  share with a friend and we'll see you all next time on another
• 16:23
  episode. Have a good one y'all.