Latest / Toadstool Sports / Wednesday BEST BETS | Back For Now | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 6/17/26

Transcript

Wednesday BEST BETS | Back For Now | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 6/17/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: Man, a hole in your chaps, black coffee on the
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: felt Man, you look like a mess. Three teen Parlette
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: turned the dust in your head. Now you stare at
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: the chips like they made you this man. But don't
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor. Your
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: name still means something in somebody for show. Put the
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:45
  Speaker 3: Nine hold on, hold on, nothing.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Nice now, hold.
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: On me, but it don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on, stay with me.
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: Now, what's up? Everybody? It's towed back with you with
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: Toadstool Sports for Wednesday, June seventeenth. I'll say that I'm
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: hot right now just because we were three and oh
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: on the show yesterday. So one, eighteen sixty one and
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: seven run last seventy four days. Now, I'm happy about it.
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: I mean, every play yesterday was easy. Every game went
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: under in the first five and under in the full game,
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: so it didn't even matter which way you played it.
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: Detroit and Houston both starting pitchers were good enough in
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: the game. It was I think it was one one
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: at the end of the fifth and then the game
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: wound up four to two, so it still went under.
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: That was the one that was closest to going over
• 2:07
  Speaker 3: in the full games. So the bullpens were a little
• 2:09
  Speaker 3: bit shaky, and that one has kind of expected, so
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: that one probably was the one that made the most
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: sense to keep them out. The other games were just
• 2:17
  Speaker 3: complete unders. Baltimore Seattle. It was one to one into
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: the eighth innings. Seattle put a couple of runs on
• 2:23
  Speaker 3: the board against Baltimore's bullpen. They are the worst of
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: the two bullpens. But yeah, Logan Gilbert seems to maybe
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: be turning it around. Had a great start, and that
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: one I thought he might, so that went well. And
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: then Tampa La. That was the easiest of all of them.
• 2:41
  Speaker 3: Probably that was a one nothing final. There were no
• 2:44
  Speaker 3: runs scored in the first five innings of that game.
• 2:46
  Speaker 3: Both starting pitchers were excellent in that one, so that
• 2:51
  Speaker 3: was pretty easy, all right. Today, I do not like
• 2:55
  Speaker 3: the board though, Like I'm trying to wrap my head
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: around this baseball board. There's a lot of WNBA today
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: and I don't like any of that enough. I only
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: have one baseball play and it's one of the later games.
• 3:08
  Speaker 3: That's all I have. I don't even know if I
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: love it. The market doesn't agree with me on it,
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: but I think it's the right side, So that's my
• 3:15
  Speaker 3: only play. It's a baseball side. That's all I have
• 3:18
  Speaker 3: for today. Not getting into the World Cup yet, Gerald, Yes,
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: thanks for hanging out. All right, let's get into it here.
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: The first game on the schedule is a resumption of
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: yesterday's suspended game between San Francisco and Atlanta. So this
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: game is already in progress, but it's finishing in the afternoon,
• 3:36
  Speaker 3: and then these teams are going to play their regular
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: scheduled game tonight as well, So it's going to be
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: difficult to handicap the night game because we don't really
• 3:45
  Speaker 3: know what the bullpen usage is gonna be here. No
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: bullpen arms came into the game yet. The game was
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: three to two when the game stopped, but it was
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: pretty early in the game. Let me say it's three
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: to two Giants only in the third or maybe even
• 4:00
  Speaker 3: in the second inning. So if you have a bet
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: on this game, I believe it will count once that
• 4:08
  Speaker 3: game finishes, which kind of sucks because when you bet
• 4:11
  Speaker 3: that game, you assumed that it was going to be
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: You did not assume that it was going to be
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: our game that got suspended and then had to be
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: finished later, right because the starters that started in that game,
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: they're not going to come out and pitch again here,
• 4:23
  Speaker 3: I would imagine. I don't think they will, So it's
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: going to fuck up that game, fuck up that handicap.
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: It looks well on its way to an over. So
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: I think that game is going to wind up going
• 4:34
  Speaker 3: over obviously, but I think if you have a bet
• 4:36
  Speaker 3: on it, it is going to count. Unfortunately, if you
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: have something incorrect in that one, but very very unpredictable.
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: The second game is hard to predict as well. San
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: Francisco has not listed a starter for it. You can
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: try to go back like five games ago and try
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: to figure out, like, what are they doing? That was
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: that game where they made that ridiculous comeback when they
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: were losing nine to one in the eighth inning and
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: wound up winning the game eleven to ten against Washington.
• 5:05
  Speaker 3: Washington's bullpen blows. That was a Foster Griffin game. I
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: think he pitched, or excuse me, that was a Robbie
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: Ray game. Excuse me, So does that mean Robby Ray
• 5:16
  Speaker 3: is pitching the night game? Then I have no idea.
• 5:19
  Speaker 3: I think it would be his turn, I guess, because
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: he hasn't pitched since the tenth, so I think he
• 5:23
  Speaker 3: would be next up. So it might be him in
• 5:25
  Speaker 3: the night game if you want to handicap that. He
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: has okay numbers against the Braves, but I have no
• 5:30
  Speaker 3: idea if that's gonna be him or not. The Braves
• 5:32
  Speaker 3: are going with JR. Ritchie in this night game. I
• 5:35
  Speaker 3: know I'm moving all over the place, but I'm just
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: trying to finish handicapping this pseudo doubleheader really quick. Richie
• 5:44
  Speaker 3: is returning for the Braves. He's got a three point
• 5:47
  Speaker 3: eight two ERA one point three to four whip. I
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: think this is his rookie season, so not horrible here,
• 5:53
  Speaker 3: but his whip is too high. Good at home though,
• 5:56
  Speaker 3: two point seventy nine home ERA. He did make one start,
• 5:59
  Speaker 3: actually five days ago, and he was good against the Mets,
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: but the Mets are a bad offense obviously. That was
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: his first start in like a month. I think he
• 6:08
  Speaker 3: probably was in the minors and then they brought him
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: back up to make that start. Don't know what we're
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: gonna get out of him. He's a decent pitcher. He's
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: unfamiliar to San Francisco, They're not a very good offense,
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: so he might do well here. I mean that's a
• 6:21
  Speaker 3: little bit of an advantage him being unfamiliar to them,
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: you know, even if it's against Robbie Ray. I mean,
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I mean, I think you could make
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: more arguments for the Braves here than otherwise. The Braves
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: are obviously the better team. Talking about the night game
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: here obviously, because I don't think you can bet well,
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: you could probably bet like the afternoon game live if
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: you want to, but I don't know if there are
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: ways that you could really attack that, because really it
• 6:48
  Speaker 3: just seems like if the bullpens come into that game,
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be an over and then this night game
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: has a total of nine to nine and a half,
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: which is signaling that, well, we don't like the starting
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: pitching matchup, but also I think it's kind of signaling
• 7:01
  Speaker 3: that you're gonna get some bullpen usage in this afternoon game,
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: Like the bullpens are coming into that game in the
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: second or third inning now, so the bullpens are probably
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: coming into this night game unrested. So in that way,
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: it over makes some sense here. Atlanta minus one forty
• 7:19
  Speaker 3: something is the price on them, eighty six percent of tickets,
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: ninety three percent of the cash on them. They'll be
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: a public side, but they might be the right side.
• 7:26
  Speaker 3: And that one definitely not gonna be a game I'm
• 7:29
  Speaker 3: gonna get involved in, though, Kyle, what's up? Thanks for
• 7:32
  Speaker 3: hanging out, Yes, thank you. I should be actually putting
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: more money on this at this point, though, I don't know.
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: I need to just do it. Man, need to have
• 7:43
  Speaker 3: balls of steel, all right. Mets and Cincinnati. When I
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: first looked at this, this looks like a good situational
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: setup for the Mets, and I think they have the
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: better starting pitcher year, so I kind of like the
• 7:55
  Speaker 3: Mets here. Cincinnati's on the verge of a sweep, and
• 7:59
  Speaker 3: you know I talk when a team is trying to
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: avoid a sweep, like the Mets are here, a lot
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: of times we'll get a better effort out of them.
• 8:05
  Speaker 3: Cincinnati is not a very good team, and in fact,
• 8:08
  Speaker 3: the odds makers are telling you that because I'm pretty
• 8:10
  Speaker 3: sure the Mets are favored in this game. Yes they are,
• 8:13
  Speaker 3: so the odds makers are telling you the Mets are
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: actually probably the better team here, and or they have
• 8:19
  Speaker 3: the better starting pitcher which I think they do. Cincinnati,
• 8:23
  Speaker 3: I don't think they really have a look ahead though
• 8:24
  Speaker 3: they're playing well. Maybe they do. They're playing the Yankees next,
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: so they're playing two New York teams in a row
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: after they have tomorrow off. Maybe that is a look
• 8:33
  Speaker 3: ahead to the Yankees. Maybe they'll pack it in or early, like, hey,
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: we already beat the Mets, so it looks like a
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: good situational set up, a motivational spot for the Mets here,
• 8:42
  Speaker 3: maybe lack of motivation for Cincinnati. Mets did use four
• 8:46
  Speaker 3: relief pitchers yesterday, though Cincinnati also did. And Cincinnati's bullpend
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: is bad. They're dead last in whip so that's not good.
• 8:55
  Speaker 3: They're one of the worst eras as well. Bad bullpen.
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: The Mets are third in bullpen. They're not quite that good,
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: but they're definitely the better bullpen here, so Mets have
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: the better bullpen. Mets offense is still bad at twenty ninth,
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: Cincinnati nineteenth based on ops, so Cincinnati is the better offense.
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: Nolan McLain is pitching for the Mets. You know, I
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: think he's good, although he's had some recent struggles. Four
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: point oh one era doesn't really look that good, but
• 9:25
  Speaker 3: one point one to four whip is good. He's been
• 9:28
  Speaker 3: better on the road three point four to four road ray,
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: so he's in the better of his splits here. His
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: recent walk numbers are definitely concerning though three starts in
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: a row he's had three plus walks in each of them.
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: That is definitely something that should concern you. His command
• 9:46
  Speaker 3: has not been good recently, so that is an issue.
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: He pitched against Cincinnati back on May twenty fifth, and
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: that start was one of his worst, so that's also
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: not a good sign here. That was at home and
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: he gave up seven and runs and three and t
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: third innings got a little bit unlucky because he allowed
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: five hits, two walks, six strikeouts, so basically everybody that
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: reached base scored against him. That was still not a
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: good outing. So I can't really do it, man, Even
• 10:13
  Speaker 3: though it looks like the better situational setup. I thought
• 10:15
  Speaker 3: that it might be a play for me because I
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: think McClain is the better pitcher here, but looking at
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: these matchups here, the matchup numbers his recent form, I'm
• 10:23
  Speaker 3: not gonna do it. He does have a really low
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: hit rate on the season. His walk rate is not good,
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: though it's too high at this point. His strikeout rate
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: is good though against Cincinnati, the leg I said it
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: was just that one start, only fifteen at bats, but
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: not good numbers three thirty three average allowed, twelve to
• 10:42
  Speaker 3: twelve ops, five to two strikeout walk ratio. That's not
• 10:46
  Speaker 3: good enough for me to want to do this. And
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: Nico Lodolo is pitching for Cincinnati. I think he is fatable.
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: He's not been good this season five point two one ERA,
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: one point four or five whip. He's worse at home
• 10:59
  Speaker 3: five point nine to one home ye in this hitter
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: friendly ballpark here, so you do get the home road
• 11:05
  Speaker 3: splits favoring McLain in this matchup here. Lodola was better
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: in his last start against Arizona, pitched pretty well in
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: that one. But he hasn't been that great. He's been okay,
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: I guess over his last few starts. I think he
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: missed a little bit of time, maybe with an injury
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: on Maybe I'm wrong about that. No, I think he
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: just started the season late. I guess is what it was.
• 11:28
  Speaker 3: But his hit rate on the season isn't really that good.
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: His walk rates kind of too high, strike gout rate
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: is a little bit low. There's not a lot to
• 11:35
  Speaker 3: love here. But he also has not gotten completely blown
• 11:38
  Speaker 3: up in any of his starts, and he's allowed more
• 11:40
  Speaker 3: than three or in runs only once since mid May,
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: so that's not that bad Against the Mets. He does
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: not have good numbers. In thirty three at bats eight
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: zero strikeout walker ratio is good, three thirty three batting
• 11:53
  Speaker 3: average allowed, nine to thirty nine ops. Those are not
• 11:56
  Speaker 3: good numbers, though I still like the Mets here given
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: the situ that, I think McLain just definitely has the
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: higher ceiling here. It could I think he has the
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: ability to pitch better than Lodolo. Let's put it that way.
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: Sixty six percent tickets, ninety three percent of the cash
• 12:13
  Speaker 3: on the Mets around minus one thirty something. That would
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: probably be the way I would play this game. Would
• 12:19
  Speaker 3: be Mets money line. I can't do it based on
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: those numbers, but that would be my lean. The money
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: is also hitting the over here, the totals at nine
• 12:28
  Speaker 3: money coming in on the over, sixty fi tickets ninety
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: four percent of the cash on the over. Yeah, I
• 12:34
  Speaker 3: don't really disagree with the over there. I could see
• 12:37
  Speaker 3: the over being correct as well. Both starting pitchers have
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: bad matchup numbers. The Mets are the good bullpen out
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: of the two, and they did use a bunch of
• 12:45
  Speaker 3: guys yesterday, so the over does make some sense. All
• 12:49
  Speaker 3: by the way, for a JR. Ritchie, I think I
• 12:51
  Speaker 3: forgot to point out his overall numbers up for Atlanta here.
• 12:55
  Speaker 3: He's got a low hit rate but a really high
• 12:57
  Speaker 3: walk rate, and his strikeout rates is not that good.
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: So just point that out there really quick, because I
• 13:02
  Speaker 3: try to go through this quickly, dirty sock. Yes, what's up?
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: Thank you, Thomas, what's up. We're gonna try. You know,
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: I only have one play today, so it's either gonna
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: be a win or a loss. Kansas City at Washington.
• 13:16
  Speaker 3: Washington is also on the verge of a sweep here.
• 13:20
  Speaker 3: Possible that they overlook Kansas City in the last game
• 13:22
  Speaker 3: of this series here Washington, I don't think they're playing
• 13:26
  Speaker 3: anybody that significant. Next, I forget. I looked at it
• 13:29
  Speaker 3: earlier this morning. They're playing Tampa Bay, So I mean,
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: I don't know. Maybe you could argue that's a look ahead,
• 13:36
  Speaker 3: and I mean it's easy to overlook Kansas City. I'll
• 13:38
  Speaker 3: tell you that, especially once you've already won the series
• 13:41
  Speaker 3: against them, so situation doesn't really set up that well
• 13:44
  Speaker 3: for Washington, but they might have some matchup edges here.
• 13:48
  Speaker 3: Washington used four relief pitchers yesterday, Kansas City only two,
• 13:52
  Speaker 3: so Kansas City does have more bullpen rest. But their
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: bullpen is bad at their ranks second worst right now
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: and WHIP. Really they're kind of third worst of the
• 14:02
  Speaker 3: factor in all this because they're tied in WHIP with Minnesota,
• 14:05
  Speaker 3: but their era is better, but still they're like the
• 14:07
  Speaker 3: third worst bullpen pretty much, so not good. Washington not
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: that much better though, at twenty fourth. So these are
• 14:14
  Speaker 3: two bullpens i'd want to avoid. Washington has the way
• 14:17
  Speaker 3: better offense, ranked fourth, Kansas City twenty fifth in offense.
• 14:23
  Speaker 3: Kansas City also one of the worst road offenses. Although
• 14:27
  Speaker 3: Washington is a bad pitching team at home in their
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: offense hasn't been good at home either, or hasn't been
• 14:32
  Speaker 3: as good at home, I mean, Kansas City's going with
• 14:36
  Speaker 3: the winder of Villa as their starter here. His numbers
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: just skyrocketed because his last appearance was so bad that
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: his numbers went way up six point one to ninety
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: RA one point eight to one whip really really bad.
• 14:49
  Speaker 3: But he's got one point eight six roady ra because
• 14:53
  Speaker 3: what happened was he got absolutely destroyed against Houston last
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: time out. He gave up eight runs and two thirds
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: of an inning. He was bad. He walked three guys,
• 15:03
  Speaker 3: five hits, allowed no strikeouts. Everybody that reached Bay scored
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: against them, which is a little bit unlucky. But he
• 15:10
  Speaker 3: was still really bad in that game. So I don't
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: know what that really indicates, because his previous two starts
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: were okay, except that he still walked way too many guys.
• 15:19
  Speaker 3: So these walk numbers are definitely alarming. His walk number
• 15:23
  Speaker 3: is really high. His hit rate is also too high.
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: His strikeout rate is okay, but I don't know. He's
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: definitely struggling right now, trying to make the transition I
• 15:34
  Speaker 3: guess from relief pitcher to starter. Washington is unfamiliar with him,
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: so at least he has that advantage. James would as
• 15:41
  Speaker 3: won it bad against him. Oh for one, no strikeouts,
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: no walks. Not much to see there. I mean, you
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: could argue maybe he'll bounce back here because that last
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: start was so bad, But you could also argue that
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: he just is not in good form. Here. I don't
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: know which way it's gonna go. I kind of leaned
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: towards not doing well here though. Really I don't think
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be the easiest matchup for him, even though
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: they're unfamiliar with him and Zach Lttel is pitching for Washington.
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: He's not good. Five point three two ERA, one point
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: three to five whip is not great. He's been pretty
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: bad at home six point one to nine home ERA,
• 16:18
  Speaker 3: really bad. In his last start at home against Seattle'll
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: give up five and runs and one and two thirds innings,
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: four hits, one walk, so everybody that reach Bay scored,
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: but similar to Avila, it was still a bad start.
• 16:31
  Speaker 3: No strikeouts, can't put guys on base like that. Man.
• 16:34
  Speaker 3: He was actually pitching better for the previous month. But
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: I don't think he's a good pitcher. He's usually way
• 16:39
  Speaker 3: too hittable. He's falling out a form here again. His
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: numbers on the season really low strikeout rate, so he's
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: not fooling anybody. So he relies on getting guys to
• 16:49
  Speaker 3: hit into soft contact, and that's not really what's been happening.
• 16:52
  Speaker 3: He's allowed too many hits. He's a lot a lot
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: of home runs. His walk rate is not really good either.
• 16:58
  Speaker 3: Not a lot to like here, other than the fact
• 17:00
  Speaker 3: that Kansas City actually doesn't hit him that well. Historically,
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: they only have six batters who have faced him twenty
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: four at bats, only one extra base hit, a double
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: from Marte, who's the one guy who actually hits him.
• 17:13
  Speaker 3: One sixty seven average allowed overall, three seventy five ohps allowed.
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: So I don't know, man. I mean, it's such a
• 17:21
  Speaker 3: small sample size. It's not a game that I would
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: really trust to do it necessarily. But I think this
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: game looks like an over. I would lean more towards
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: both starting pitchers struggling here, and then you get two
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: bad bullpens behind them as well. I think an over
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: makes more sense in this game than anything else. The
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: money is backing the under, though, fifty five percent of
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: tickets on the over, seventy one percent in the cash
• 17:43
  Speaker 3: on the under. I don't really see that The totals
• 17:48
  Speaker 3: high for a reason. It's ten ten and a half.
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: I know it's a really high total, but again, the
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: oddsmakers are doing that for a reason. They're basically telling
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: you they don't like they think that this is going
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: to be an offensive type of game here, and I
• 18:03
  Speaker 3: tend to agree, so I think the over makes the
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: most sense in that game, despite what the market is
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: telling you what those percentages. And of course I lost
• 18:13
  Speaker 3: it because every time this thing refreshes, it scrolls. Fucking
• 18:16
  Speaker 3: hate that. Where's this game here? It is Interleague? Yes,
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: eighty tickets and cash on Washington in the minus one thirties.
• 18:26
  Speaker 3: Not a lot to see there. I don't have a
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: good read on the side there. I mean, Washington probably
• 18:31
  Speaker 3: has more advantages than Kansas City, but in the matchup,
• 18:35
  Speaker 3: I mean the Kansas City they have the motivational edge
• 18:39
  Speaker 3: here at the very least, so I would not do
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: anything with the side. But an over seems to make
• 18:43
  Speaker 3: sense even though both teams. It's getaway day though, so
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: remember a lot of teams might be distracted because they
• 18:49
  Speaker 3: are gonna play this game and then get out of here.
• 18:51
  Speaker 3: So a lot of times that team trying to avoid
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: the sweep does have a little bit of an extra
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: edge there because that team that has already won the series,
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: this is the team that's more likely to be unfocused, like, hey,
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: let's get out of here and focus on the next series,
• 19:05
  Speaker 3: you know, which might affect a team like Cincinnati, moore,
• 19:09
  Speaker 3: because they're playing the Yankees next Detroit, and excuse me,
• 19:12
  Speaker 3: Miami in Philadelphia. I skipped Miami Philly when I was
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: handicapping this too, so I went back to it and
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: I looked. But I don't know. I don't know why
• 19:21
  Speaker 3: I kept skipping over that game. Philadelphia also on the
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: version of a sweep here, so they might overlook Miami
• 19:28
  Speaker 3: here after having won the series already. I forget who
• 19:32
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia is playing next. I think it's San Francisco, but
• 19:35
  Speaker 3: I could be wrong about that. Let me see this
• 19:40
  Speaker 3: fucking thing. No, it's the Mets, my mistake. They're playing
• 19:43
  Speaker 3: the Mets next, all right, so whatever. I don't know
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: if Philly's really gonna look ahead to the Mets, because
• 19:48
  Speaker 3: the Mets have just not had a good season, but
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: Philly still might overlook Miami here after winning the series already.
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: Miami used three relief pitchers yesterday, Philadelphia used two. Has
• 20:00
  Speaker 3: the better bullpen somewhat. They're number five, which is pretty good,
• 20:04
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia's thirteenth. Their bullpen's not awful, though offensively, neither team
• 20:09
  Speaker 3: is really that great. Miami twenty two, Philadelphia twenty six
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia still has not gotten it going on offense. Sandy
• 20:17
  Speaker 3: Alkontra pitching for Miami. I mean, he's obviously the more
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: reputable of these two starters here and the better starter.
• 20:25
  Speaker 3: He's had an okay season here. Four point two five ERA,
• 20:29
  Speaker 3: one point two to two whip. Kind of mediocre numbers here,
• 20:32
  Speaker 3: but as I always point out with him, I mean,
• 20:34
  Speaker 3: he's he doesn't have his stuff that he used to have.
• 20:38
  Speaker 3: Just injuries have kind of made that the case and
• 20:41
  Speaker 3: he just doesn't have it anymore. But he's doing okay
• 20:44
  Speaker 3: given his limitations here. He's not good on the road though,
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: five point two to four Roadyra, so that's a strike
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: against him. He's been really good this month though. He's
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: gone seven plus innings in all three starts this month,
• 20:57
  Speaker 3: picked up a win in all three. You'll have three
• 20:59
  Speaker 3: or fewer earns and all of them. Nineteen to two
• 21:02
  Speaker 3: strikeout walk ratio in twenty two innings, seventeen hits, a lout,
• 21:05
  Speaker 3: that's all pretty good. Also faced Washington Pittsburgh in there.
• 21:09
  Speaker 3: Those are good offenses. So he is in good form
• 21:12
  Speaker 3: right now. So that is one good thing that he
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: has going for him here. He's got a decent hit rate,
• 21:19
  Speaker 3: a pretty low walk rate this season. He's pitched a
• 21:21
  Speaker 3: lot of innings, so he's getting pretty deep into a
• 21:24
  Speaker 3: lot of his outings, and his strikeout rate is low,
• 21:28
  Speaker 3: but like I said, he just doesn't have his strikeout
• 21:30
  Speaker 3: stuff anymore. But it is a little bit better in
• 21:32
  Speaker 3: those recent outings. However, as I just pointed out, he's
• 21:36
  Speaker 3: not good on the road, and he hasn't been good
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: against Philadelphia. They have two hundred and sixty eight at
• 21:41
  Speaker 3: bats against him. That's one of the largest sample sizes
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: you're gonna see. They have seen a ton of them.
• 21:48
  Speaker 3: Fifty three strikeouts, twenty two walks, not a good ratio there,
• 21:51
  Speaker 3: three zero two batting average eight twenty two ops. So
• 21:55
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia is extremely familiar with him, and they've hit him
• 21:58
  Speaker 3: well over this large samples. So I don't think Alcondra
• 22:01
  Speaker 3: is gonna have a great time in this one going
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: up against Andrew Painter, though, who is the pitcher who's
• 22:08
  Speaker 3: completely unestablished, and he has not been having a good
• 22:12
  Speaker 3: good season his rookie season, six point four to three ERA,
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: one point five to seven whip that is not good.
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: He's been a little bit better at home, but a
• 22:21
  Speaker 3: five point nine one ERA is still not good at all.
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: He's just not pitching well. He's given it up. He's
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: given up a lot of runs, a lot of hits,
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: too many walks. Nothing looks really good about any of this.
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: High hit rate, walk rate not very good, high home
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: run rate, low strikeout rate. There's not a lot to
• 22:40
  Speaker 3: like here. Against the Marlins. They've faced him once already,
• 22:43
  Speaker 3: so that's another disadvantage because a lot of times these rookies,
• 22:47
  Speaker 3: one advantage they might have is that they're unfamiliar to
• 22:50
  Speaker 3: the opposing offense as well. Not in this case, because
• 22:52
  Speaker 3: he's had one start against Miami already, they have nineteen
• 22:56
  Speaker 3: at bats against it with their current lineup seven to
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: one strago walk ratio though, so that was good for Painter,
• 23:02
  Speaker 3: but they do have a three sixteen average eight twenty
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: four ops against him, so that's not good. He faced
• 23:09
  Speaker 3: them on the road back on May second, and that's
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: a more picture from the environment. He went five innings
• 23:17
  Speaker 3: and that one did have seven strikeouts, but three walks,
• 23:19
  Speaker 3: three on runs allowed, seven hits allowed. The strikeout rate
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: was good, but it wasn't a great start from him.
• 23:26
  Speaker 3: So I don't trust him here. But I really don't
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: trust either starting pitcher here, So that game looks like
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: an over to me, and the money does actually agree
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: with that. The total is pretty high at nine. Uh,
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: So Oddsmaker's kind of telling you a little bit of
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: something with that total fifty two tickets ninety three percent
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: of the cash on the over. Uh, that's probably what
• 23:46
  Speaker 3: I would do if I was gonna play that game. Yeah,
• 23:49
  Speaker 3: I could see both starting pitchers having an issue in
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: that game, but all conjures in good form right now.
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: I don't necessarily want to fade him. The money is
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: backing Miami. They're a slight underdog. Maybe at some places
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: it's kind of a toss up type of price, like
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: pick the winner. The Sharper books, the Vegas books here,
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: do they have a lower money line price on Philly?
• 24:11
  Speaker 3: So that means the lean at those books is towards
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: Miami here. So that is somewhat of an indicator that
• 24:16
  Speaker 3: sometimes you should look at, you know, just to figure out, like, oh,
• 24:20
  Speaker 3: if the Sharper books have that lean in that direction,
• 24:23
  Speaker 3: that kind of tends to me and that that is
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: where the Sharper money is. Uh. Fifty four percent of
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: tickets on Philly, eighty six percent of the cash on Miami,
• 24:32
  Speaker 3: so the money is agreeing with Miami there, but I
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: think it over makes more sense based on how I
• 24:37
  Speaker 3: handicapped that game. I wouldn't really disagree with Miami though,
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: because they're trying to avoid the sweep, they have the
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: slightly better bullpen, and they have the actual starter on
• 24:45
  Speaker 3: the mound who's in better form at the very least,
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: So Miami does make some sense there as well, especially
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: if you can get them an underdog price. Detroit and
• 24:55
  Speaker 3: Houston we had this game correct yesterday with an under.
• 24:58
  Speaker 3: The full game stayed up under as well, but we
• 25:00
  Speaker 3: went first five under, which was a little bit easier,
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: probably the right move Houston with a four to two win.
• 25:06
  Speaker 3: These teams have split the verse two games of this series,
• 25:09
  Speaker 3: so I think both teams will show up for this.
• 25:11
  Speaker 3: Detroit only these two relief pitchers, and they use them
• 25:14
  Speaker 3: very little yesterday, so Detroit does a pretty rested bullpen
• 25:18
  Speaker 3: coming into this one. Now. Houston used four guys, but
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: not really heavy usage there either. I don't trust either
• 25:26
  Speaker 3: bullpen really, which is why I left them out of
• 25:28
  Speaker 3: the equation yesterday. Detroit is number twenty in bullpen, Houston
• 25:33
  Speaker 3: twenty one. Houston's Bullpennie Ray is still quite bad though,
• 25:36
  Speaker 3: though they've been pitching better recently. But I don't like
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: either bullpen. Detroit's is still a little bit better. Houston
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: number ten in offense, Detroit is twentieth, so Houston has
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: had the better offense over the course of the season.
• 25:50
  Speaker 3: Detroit is going with Casey Mize, and if you remember,
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: he was supposed to pitch on Sunday, I'm pretty sure,
• 25:55
  Speaker 3: so I don't know why it's gonna be the same
• 25:58
  Speaker 3: thing when we talk about Cleveland with Gavin Willie. Remember
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: I gave out an under on that game, and I'm
• 26:02
  Speaker 3: pretty sure it was mis against Williams in that game
• 26:06
  Speaker 3: on Sunday and the game got rained out, So I
• 26:09
  Speaker 3: expected both pitchers to pitch like Monday Tuesday, but they
• 26:12
  Speaker 3: both got pushed back to Wednesday for some reason. I'm
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: not really sure why. With Myze it makes more sense though,
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: because he's coming back from injury, so maybe they just
• 26:21
  Speaker 3: figured let's give him a little a little bit more time,
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: so it makes more sense that they pushed his start back.
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: It made less sense to do it with Gavin Williams
• 26:29
  Speaker 3: for Cleveland because it just it's gonna throw him off
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: the schedule, so that doesn't make any sense. But for Detroit,
• 26:35
  Speaker 3: I think it's a good thing for them that Myze
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: is coming back. I know people are talking about, oh,
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: you know, Detroit, even though they got Schooble back, they're
• 26:43
  Speaker 3: getting Mized back, They're starting. Pitching's gonna be better with
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: those two guys in the rotation. People are talking about, oh,
• 26:48
  Speaker 3: well they might trade school ball. You know, the season's
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: already over for Detroit, so I don't know what their
• 26:53
  Speaker 3: mindset is necessarily gonna be. But it's like, to me,
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: it's like almost too early in the season to be
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: thinking that way. Like I don't think they're just gonna
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: go out and start like, you know, dogging all these games,
• 27:04
  Speaker 3: you know what I mean. Like they won the game
• 27:06
  Speaker 3: the other day where I gave them out as a play,
• 27:08
  Speaker 3: but it wound up being a no play because they
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: switched their start or whatever. Casey Mives was having a
• 27:13
  Speaker 3: good season before he got hurt. Two point two seven
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: e Ra point nine to seven Whip. That's good. Not
• 27:19
  Speaker 3: as good on the road. Three point seven to two Roadyra.
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: That's still not bad. Though he was pitching well before
• 27:25
  Speaker 3: he went down, he gave up more than tour and
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: runs only once this season so far. Pretty high strike
• 27:31
  Speaker 3: got rate, reasonably low walk rate, and a low hit
• 27:34
  Speaker 3: rate too, So all his numbers look pretty good here.
• 27:38
  Speaker 3: He should be excited to get back out there. As
• 27:40
  Speaker 3: I keep pointing out guys that are veterans like him,
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: I tend to like to back them when they come
• 27:45
  Speaker 3: back from injury because I think they're gonna be pumped
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: to finally get back out there. Especially when he thought
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: he was gonna pitch on Sunday, he probably got ready
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: for it, so I don't know if that's gonna be
• 27:53
  Speaker 3: a good thing or a bad thing though, to push
• 27:56
  Speaker 3: him back, if that's gonna throw him off his schedule,
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: because starting pitchers do like to be on schedule and
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: they're creatures of habit. But with him, you know, still
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: not actually having pitched since he went down in late May,
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: I think he will still be excited to get back
• 28:10
  Speaker 3: out there. Won't throw him off that much, I don't
• 28:13
  Speaker 3: think so. I like that. I think the team might
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: rally a little bit with him coming back. That would
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: be my gauge on this. His numbers against Houston are
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: also good in thirty career at bats two hundred average allowed,
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: five to fourteen ohps, six' five strikeout walk ratio is not,
• 28:28
  Speaker 3: good but the rest of these numbers are, good SO
• 28:32
  Speaker 3: i think myz should have a good start. Here he's
• 28:34
  Speaker 3: going up Against Peter lambert For, houston who's been a
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: pretty decent surprise for. Them you, know a change in
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: organization has Helped lambert quite a. BIT i, MEAN i
• 28:46
  Speaker 3: think we all thought that he just was not cut
• 28:48
  Speaker 3: out for the, majors BUT i think it was more
• 28:50
  Speaker 3: so that being In colorado's organization just destroyed. Him and
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: now he's with some other team With houston now and
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: he's actually pitching pretty well three point four to seventy
• 29:00
  Speaker 3: one point two to ONE. Whip he is worse at home,
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: though three point eight to two HOME, era so both
• 29:05
  Speaker 3: pitchers are in the worst of their splitsier home, road
• 29:08
  Speaker 3: but they both still have AN era in the threes
• 29:11
  Speaker 3: in the worst of their, split so that's not even.
• 29:13
  Speaker 3: Bad lambert pitch well his last time out Against. Anaheim
• 29:17
  Speaker 3: struggled with the walks though in the few outings before,
• 29:20
  Speaker 3: that so that's a little bit of an issue with,
• 29:21
  Speaker 3: Him but he didn't have any in his last, start
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: so that's a good. Sign, overall his walk rate is too,
• 29:27
  Speaker 3: high but the rest of his numbers are pretty. Good
• 29:29
  Speaker 3: his strikeout rate is, okay his hit rate is. Low
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: So lambert overall he's a guy that maybe you could
• 29:35
  Speaker 3: back depending on the, spot but in this, case he
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: actually does not have good numbers Against. Detroit but it
• 29:41
  Speaker 3: is a small sample. Size only five of their hitters
• 29:43
  Speaker 3: have faced him nine at, bats but they have done
• 29:47
  Speaker 3: a lot of damage in those few at bats four
• 29:49
  Speaker 3: forty four, average fifteen hundred ops outman has a home
• 29:53
  Speaker 3: run against, him a triple From, veerling no strikeouts in
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: one walk, overall so that'd be the greatest matchup For.
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: Lambert but those numbers probably all came when he was On, colorado,
• 30:05
  Speaker 3: though so you got to keep that in. Mind like
• 30:07
  Speaker 3: this version Of, Lambert detroit has not seen, him SO
• 30:10
  Speaker 3: i don't know if you should put that much weight
• 30:12
  Speaker 3: into those numbers. There this game will not be on my,
• 30:15
  Speaker 3: card but you know the money's coming in On. Houston
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: i'm not sure THAT i really agree with. That fifty
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: nine percent of tickets On, detroit sixty three percent of
• 30:24
  Speaker 3: the cash On. Houston i'm not really sure That detroit
• 30:27
  Speaker 3: would really be a public side here. Either it doesn't
• 30:30
  Speaker 3: make a ton of sense to. Me the line looks
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: like it's a total like pick em price, here basically
• 30:36
  Speaker 3: just pick the. Winner i'd slightly Lean detroit. HERE i
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: think they have the somewhat better, starter more established. STARTER
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: i think he might have a little bit of an
• 30:44
  Speaker 3: advantage coming back from injury BECAUSE i actually like that
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: as a motivational. Spot and you have a slightly better
• 30:51
  Speaker 3: bullpen With detroit as, Well so that makes some sense
• 30:54
  Speaker 3: to Play detroit full, game maybe first, five, whatever but
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: the underdoes it will makes some sense to me here
• 31:01
  Speaker 3: PROBABLY i would limit that to first five, again, though
• 31:03
  Speaker 3: LIKE i did, YESTERDAY i don't like it as much
• 31:05
  Speaker 3: AS i did yesterday because YESTERDAY i thought we had
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: a good situation on both sides where he had one
• 31:10
  Speaker 3: guy coming back from, Injury Hunter, brown and you had
• 31:13
  Speaker 3: another guy facing his former team for the first time In.
• 31:16
  Speaker 3: Valdez so they both pitched pretty, well although they walk some,
• 31:21
  Speaker 3: guys but they both did well enough. Anyway the under
• 31:24
  Speaker 3: is getting money here, though fifty percent of tickets eighty
• 31:27
  Speaker 3: six percent of the cash on the under total full
• 31:29
  Speaker 3: game eight and a, half BUT i would not want
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: the bullpens involved in that. Under first five does make
• 31:35
  Speaker 3: some sense here if you kind of just Ignore lambert's
• 31:38
  Speaker 3: small sample size Against detroit from back when he was On.
• 31:40
  Speaker 3: Colorado that's probably what my opinion would be in that
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: game is to look. UNDER i assume that was when
• 31:47
  Speaker 3: he was With, colorado BECAUSE i think he's been a
• 31:49
  Speaker 3: starter this whole time With houston so. Far, yeah he
• 31:52
  Speaker 3: has not Faced detroit this, year so they have not
• 31:55
  Speaker 3: faced this rendition of. Him so, yeah first five or
• 32:00
  Speaker 3: you're probably looking at about a four or four and a.
• 32:02
  Speaker 3: Half they're just. Reasonable San diego is At Saint, Louis
• 32:07
  Speaker 3: these TEAMS i think have split THIS. Yearo, No Saint
• 32:09
  Speaker 3: louis is on the verge of a. Sweep my. Mistake
• 32:11
  Speaker 3: this has been a very low scoring, series WHICH i.
• 32:14
  Speaker 3: BELIEVE i did lean to the under in both games
• 32:16
  Speaker 3: so far in this. Series it makes sense in a
• 32:19
  Speaker 3: way because you got a couple of offenses the kind
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: of struggle. Here it's a picture friendly, ballpark But Saint
• 32:26
  Speaker 3: louis on the verge of a, sweep so it is
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: possible they Overlook San diego in the. Spot Saint louis
• 32:32
  Speaker 3: is only Playing Kansas city, next but that is their geographic,
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: rival so maybe that is kind of a look ahead
• 32:39
  Speaker 3: because that's like they Play Kansas city twice every, Year
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: i'm pretty, sure because it's Their American league geographic rival or.
• 32:45
  Speaker 3: Whatever don't know, though Because Kansas city is not a good,
• 32:49
  Speaker 3: team SO i don't know if they're really gonna overlook
• 32:51
  Speaker 3: or look ahead to. That But Saint louis already has
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: won this, series so motivational standpoint does go To San diego.
• 32:58
  Speaker 3: Here San diego has the better. Bullpen they used three
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: guys out of it, yesterday but none of their better relief,
• 33:04
  Speaker 3: pitchers Although Mason miller is on bereavement right, now SO
• 33:07
  Speaker 3: i don't know if he's gonna be back here or.
• 33:09
  Speaker 3: Not that's something to keep an eye on because he
• 33:13
  Speaker 3: is their best relief. Pitcher he is their. Closer but
• 33:16
  Speaker 3: their bullpen is still good even without, him Though Saint
• 33:20
  Speaker 3: louis used two guys out of the bullpen, yesterday so
• 33:23
  Speaker 3: their rest at Least Saint louis's bullpen is not, terrible
• 33:26
  Speaker 3: but they are seventeenth. Here San diego is a pretty elite.
• 33:31
  Speaker 3: Bullpen they're number seven in w but they have the
• 33:34
  Speaker 3: second best bullpen he r right. Now San diego is
• 33:37
  Speaker 3: dead last in offense though number thirty that's obviously very.
• 33:41
  Speaker 3: Bad Saint louis is, fifteenth So Saint louis has had
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: the better. Hitting San diego has not announced the, starter
• 33:48
  Speaker 3: although if you go back five games, ago it would
• 33:51
  Speaker 3: Be Griffin, canning SO i don't know if that's gonna
• 33:54
  Speaker 3: be the case or. NOT i don't know if they're
• 33:56
  Speaker 3: just looking for another, option BECAUSE i don't think he's,
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: hurt but he hasn't been good at, All so if
• 34:01
  Speaker 3: it Is, canning his numbers suck and his numbers Against
• 34:04
  Speaker 3: Saint louis are not, good so just keep that in.
• 34:07
  Speaker 3: Mind i'm not going to really go into too much
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: detail here BECAUSE i don't know if he's gonna pitch or,
• 34:11
  Speaker 3: not but if it Is, CANNING i think he is very,
• 34:14
  Speaker 3: fadable so something to keep in mind. There Saint louis
• 34:17
  Speaker 3: is going With Kyle, lahey who has not been good.
• 34:20
  Speaker 3: Either four point six FOUR, era one point five to
• 34:23
  Speaker 3: nine whip is really. Bad he's been better at home,
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: though three point seven to seven home E, ra so
• 34:29
  Speaker 3: he is at least more serviceable at. Home even Though
• 34:32
  Speaker 3: i'm assuming his home whip is still not very. Good
• 34:36
  Speaker 3: he was alright in his last game Against, minnesota which
• 34:38
  Speaker 3: was on the, road five, strikeouts one, Walk still give
• 34:42
  Speaker 3: up eight, hits four earned runs in five. Innings there's
• 34:45
  Speaker 3: not really a lot to like with how he's been
• 34:47
  Speaker 3: pitching here man throughout the whole. Season his hit rate
• 34:49
  Speaker 3: is too, high walk rate is too, high not a
• 34:52
  Speaker 3: high strikeout. Rate Usually i'm looking to fade him more
• 34:56
  Speaker 3: often than. NOT i don't really love What i'm seeing.
• 34:58
  Speaker 3: Here his numbers Against San diego actually, good, though in
• 35:01
  Speaker 3: twenty four at bats one twenty five, average four point
• 35:04
  Speaker 3: fifty eight ohps five four strikeout walk ratio is not,
• 35:07
  Speaker 3: good but the rest of those numbers are. Good So
• 35:09
  Speaker 3: San diego not a good hitting team, really and they
• 35:12
  Speaker 3: have not done a lot of damage Against. Lay he
• 35:16
  Speaker 3: actually faced them earlier this year In San diego and
• 35:18
  Speaker 3: he went five shutout innings against, them two, hits allowed
• 35:22
  Speaker 3: five strike, ups but he did walk four, guys so
• 35:25
  Speaker 3: the walk number was bad in that, game but he
• 35:28
  Speaker 3: was still able to shut them. Down so this Is.
• 35:32
  Speaker 3: Lay he's not, good but this is one of the
• 35:34
  Speaker 3: better matchups that he could draw, HERE i think because
• 35:37
  Speaker 3: he's in the better of his home road, splitz and
• 35:39
  Speaker 3: he's facing a team that doesn't hit him. Well SO
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: i do not want to Face Saint louis. HERE i
• 35:45
  Speaker 3: don't know What San diego is gonna do with they're starting.
• 35:47
  Speaker 3: Pitching the money is Hitting Saint louis, here sixty five
• 35:50
  Speaker 3: percent of, tickets eighty percent of the cash on, them
• 35:52
  Speaker 3: they're around minus one. THIRTY i still don't really want
• 35:55
  Speaker 3: to back lay, though AND i still don't really want
• 35:57
  Speaker 3: to Back Saint louis in a spot where they might
• 36:00
  Speaker 3: not be totally, focused SO i would not want to do.
• 36:03
  Speaker 3: It but the matchup does look like a Favored Saint
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: louis a little. Bit PROBABLY i would go first five,
• 36:09
  Speaker 3: though Because San diego still has the better. Bullpen the
• 36:11
  Speaker 3: total is also really high, here and the money is
• 36:15
  Speaker 3: definitely indicating on the over. Here ten and a half
• 36:18
  Speaker 3: is the. Total if it's gonna be Like Griffin canning
• 36:21
  Speaker 3: here For San diego or, something you, know an over
• 36:25
  Speaker 3: starts making a little more. Sense lay he you, know
• 36:29
  Speaker 3: is maybe still fatable. Here so somebody to keep in mind.
• 36:32
  Speaker 3: THERE i, mean the oddsmakers are telling you something by
• 36:34
  Speaker 3: giving you a total that high in a ballpark that's
• 36:37
  Speaker 3: known as being a bit more pitcher. Friendly that is
• 36:39
  Speaker 3: a high, Total so the oddsmakers are telling you something with.
• 36:42
  Speaker 3: That SO i wouldn't really disagree with the over, there
• 36:47
  Speaker 3: but not something THAT i really want to bank. On
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: Tampa bay AT La. Dodgers we got This underwright. Yesterday
• 36:53
  Speaker 3: The dodgers wound up winning one nothing with a late
• 36:56
  Speaker 3: run in the game to win. It both starting pitchers
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: are really good in the game, yesterday so, yeah we
• 37:03
  Speaker 3: could have gone full game on. That. Probably both starting
• 37:05
  Speaker 3: pitchers got us pretty deep into that. One no runs
• 37:08
  Speaker 3: were scored in the verse. FIVE la used three relief.
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: Pitchers they have the better of the two. Bullpens tampa
• 37:14
  Speaker 3: only used one, guy my Man Cam boozer only for
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: seven pitches as, well So Tampa bay has a rested bullpen.
• 37:22
  Speaker 3: Here dodgers is still ranked number four in bullpen, though
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: although their bullpen was struggling a bit. Recently they looked
• 37:28
  Speaker 3: pretty good last night, though so they're a decent. BULLPEN i.
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: Think Still Tampa bay hasn't really been that. Good THEIR
• 37:35
  Speaker 3: era is almost a run. Higher they're at. NINETEENTH i
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: don't know if they were a very trustworthy, bullpen probably.
• 37:41
  Speaker 3: Not dodgers is still number one in, offense although The
• 37:44
  Speaker 3: yankees are starting to catch up to, them WHICH i am.
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: Not you, KNOW i don't like that. Obviously Tampa bay
• 37:51
  Speaker 3: is sixteenth in. Offense they've been. Mediocre, Really Tampa bay
• 37:54
  Speaker 3: was hot offensively early in the season and now they're just.
• 37:57
  Speaker 3: Not this looks like another good pitching, matchup though he
• 38:01
  Speaker 3: got a low, total and it's low because both starting
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: pitchers can't respect in the. Market shane McClanahan is pitching
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: for The. Rays he's having a good season in his
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: comeback from injury here three point two to THREE, era
• 38:13
  Speaker 3: one point one seven. Whip not as good As rasmus
• 38:16
  Speaker 3: and his, numbers but still. Good not as good on
• 38:19
  Speaker 3: the road, though four point three to TWO. Roadra his
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: recent starts don't look that good because he allowed four
• 38:25
  Speaker 3: earned runs in each of them and he only made
• 38:27
  Speaker 3: it five innings in one of the. Two that's not
• 38:30
  Speaker 3: great both starts on the. Road but he had a
• 38:32
  Speaker 3: thirteen to three strike out walk, ratio so that's. Good
• 38:35
  Speaker 3: his command was still good in those, starts but he
• 38:38
  Speaker 3: was way too. Hittabal he allowed sixteen hits and nine
• 38:41
  Speaker 3: innings and almost one run per. Ding you just can't do, that.
• 38:45
  Speaker 3: Man SO i don't know what's going on with, him
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: but his command looks, good except it looks like he's
• 38:49
  Speaker 3: putting too many pitches right over the plate and getting
• 38:52
  Speaker 3: hit over the course of the. Season that's not what he's, done.
• 38:55
  Speaker 3: Though his hit rate is low on the course of the.
• 38:57
  Speaker 3: Season his walk rate is a little bit high in
• 39:01
  Speaker 3: a strikeout rate is pretty, good SO i don't know
• 39:04
  Speaker 3: if he's chained. Something but whatever he's, doing it's not,
• 39:07
  Speaker 3: Good SO i think he needs to go back to
• 39:09
  Speaker 3: whatever he was doing. Before his numbers against The dodgers
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: are not that. Great they only have six hitters who
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: have faced. Him twenty nine at bats five four strike
• 39:18
  Speaker 3: out walk razero is not very. Good two forty one
• 39:20
  Speaker 3: average is pretty. Low eight fifty one ohps is not low,
• 39:24
  Speaker 3: though so they've hit him for some power not. Great
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: so McClanahan might not have the greatest matchup, here and
• 39:30
  Speaker 3: he's not in the greatest of his home road, split
• 39:32
  Speaker 3: and he's not in good form right, now SO i
• 39:35
  Speaker 3: think McClanahan might be fatable. Here he's gonna have to
• 39:38
  Speaker 3: go up against Shohe, otani which is obviously not easy
• 39:44
  Speaker 3: when you're being asked to try to outpitch this. Guy
• 39:46
  Speaker 3: he's got a one point six y Er oh my,
• 39:48
  Speaker 3: god his eray is above. One, now that is so.
• 39:52
  Speaker 3: Bad one point six era point eight. Four Whip otani's
• 39:57
  Speaker 3: still point eight to Seven Homie ray really good. Home
• 40:00
  Speaker 3: he gave up three runs at his last outing At. Pittsburgh,
• 40:03
  Speaker 3: man what are we gonna? Do that was the first
• 40:05
  Speaker 3: time he gave up more than one earn RUN i
• 40:07
  Speaker 3: think on the no second. Time first time he gave
• 40:09
  Speaker 3: up more than two and runs on the. Season second
• 40:12
  Speaker 3: time he gave up two or more and he walked three.
• 40:15
  Speaker 3: Guys oh, man for, him that was a really bad.
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: Start but remember that was Against. Pittsburgh they're a really
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: good hitting team in their own, house so it was
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: one of the more difficult, matchups So tony could have.
• 40:27
  Speaker 3: Had he still pitched fairly well in that. Game, overall
• 40:31
  Speaker 3: his numbers are, good his hit rate is extremely, low
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: his walk rate is, okay and his strikeout rate is,
• 40:36
  Speaker 3: high SO i don't expect him to really do poorly.
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: Here tampa does have good numbers often, though but it's
• 40:43
  Speaker 3: only five, hitters fourteen at, bats two eighty six average
• 40:47
  Speaker 3: eleven to twenty six. Ops so they do have good
• 40:49
  Speaker 3: offensive numbers against. Him three, startings three, strikeouts three, walks
• 40:53
  Speaker 3: but like all the damage comes From, mullins who's three
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: for six with two of them runs Off. Otani mullins
• 41:01
  Speaker 3: hits him, well but nobody else in this lineup has
• 41:03
  Speaker 3: been able to hit. Him SO i don't really Think
• 41:05
  Speaker 3: otani is actually gonna do bad. Here usually it's usually
• 41:11
  Speaker 3: he's not gonna do, bad so not going out on
• 41:13
  Speaker 3: a limb. There the money is fading la here, though
• 41:16
  Speaker 3: eighty nine percent of, ticket sixty six percent of the
• 41:19
  Speaker 3: cash on. Them some of it has to do with the,
• 41:21
  Speaker 3: price you know that with The, dodgers With otani on the,
• 41:23
  Speaker 3: mound you know you're gonna pay a price for. It
• 41:26
  Speaker 3: they're around minus one eighty something, here and the lean
• 41:30
  Speaker 3: those Those sharper, books the numbers in the one. Sixties
• 41:34
  Speaker 3: so there is a big disparity between the public online
• 41:37
  Speaker 3: books and The vegas sharp. Books so the market indicators
• 41:43
  Speaker 3: look like they're Taking Tampa bay here possibly maybe like
• 41:46
  Speaker 3: some sort of run line, situation if you want to
• 41:48
  Speaker 3: do it that. WAY i wouldn't do it, though because
• 41:50
  Speaker 3: McClanahan doesn't have good matchup numbers, here and the sample
• 41:53
  Speaker 3: size is a little bit. Bigger at least the money
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: interestingly is backing the over, here though a little. Bit
• 42:01
  Speaker 3: totals it's seven seven and a, half seventy seven percent
• 42:04
  Speaker 3: of tickets ninety three percent of the cash on the.
• 42:06
  Speaker 3: Over both starting pitchers do have bad matchup numbers aloan
• 42:09
  Speaker 3: somewhat limited sample, Sizes BUT i could see the argument
• 42:13
  Speaker 3: for the over. Here although obviously when the oddsmakers put
• 42:16
  Speaker 3: it's total disc, low they're telling you they expected to
• 42:19
  Speaker 3: be a pitching duel, though and obviously on the, surface
• 42:21
  Speaker 3: you have two good starting pitchers, here so that's you,
• 42:25
  Speaker 3: know it's obvious why they put the number where it,
• 42:27
  Speaker 3: Is but there might be a little bit of hidden
• 42:30
  Speaker 3: edge there looking at those matchup numbers not being that.
• 42:33
  Speaker 3: Good not a lot of leeway there in that. NUMBER
• 42:37
  Speaker 3: i think both games in the series have gone under so,
• 42:39
  Speaker 3: far but maybe maybe one finally goes over when, teams you,
• 42:43
  Speaker 3: know when people don't really expect it's so possible over.
• 42:46
  Speaker 3: Here you, KNOW i wouldn't really disagree with the over,
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: THERE i, wouldn't you. KNOW i still think The dodgers
• 42:53
  Speaker 3: probably just get it done here, Though LIKE i Think
• 42:55
  Speaker 3: otani just is more trustworthy than, McClanahan and The dodgers
• 42:59
  Speaker 3: have the, slow slightly better, bullpen even though slightly less.
• 43:02
  Speaker 3: Rested so that's WHAT i think about. It the OTHER la,
• 43:07
  Speaker 3: Team anaheim At. Arizona this is the last afternoon game Here.
• 43:12
  Speaker 3: ARIZONA i think these teams have split the series so.
• 43:14
  Speaker 3: Far yes they. Have, oh by the, Way dodgers are
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: on the verge of Sweeping, tampa SO i forgot to mention.
• 43:21
  Speaker 3: That so that might be part of that handicap. There
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: they've won each game by one. Run but The dodgers
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: might Overlook tampa a little bit looking. Ahead but The,
• 43:30
  Speaker 3: DODGERS i don't think they have a huge, game huge
• 43:32
  Speaker 3: series coming. Up let me, see they're Playing, baltimore SO
• 43:35
  Speaker 3: i don't really think that's a huge look ahead or
• 43:37
  Speaker 3: anything like. That but somebody keep in mind that The
• 43:40
  Speaker 3: dodgers might Overlook tampa a little bit. Here tampa might
• 43:43
  Speaker 3: have a little bit of extra motivation because they're trying
• 43:45
  Speaker 3: to avoid the. SWEEP i forgot to mention, That so
• 43:48
  Speaker 3: that is one factor that's involved in that game as.
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: Well anaheim And. Arizona so, yeah this is the last
• 43:56
  Speaker 3: of the afternoon. Games both teams have won again in the,
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: series SO i think both teams probably show up. Here
• 44:03
  Speaker 3: arizona used three guys out of the bullpen, Yesterday anaheim used.
• 44:06
  Speaker 3: Two both bullpens are reasonably, rested But arizona is the better.
• 44:10
  Speaker 3: Bullpen they rank, sixth although THEIR era is still above,
• 44:13
  Speaker 3: four WHICH i don't, love but they're an okay. Bullpen
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: angels are twenty Six they are one of the worst,
• 44:19
  Speaker 3: bullpens So arizona has a bullpen advantage. Here neither offense
• 44:23
  Speaker 3: has been that. Good angels are where are they? At
• 44:28
  Speaker 3: they're sixteenth, actually so they are in the mediocre. Range
• 44:31
  Speaker 3: arizona twenty, sixth surprisingly not very. Good anaheim is going
• 44:36
  Speaker 3: With Samuel aldegary. Here he's actually been okay so. Far
• 44:41
  Speaker 3: two point one TWO, era one point two nine whip
• 44:44
  Speaker 3: getting a little bit, high though hasn't been good on
• 44:46
  Speaker 3: the road five point four ROAD, era but he's only
• 44:49
  Speaker 3: had one road appearance and he only pitched one and
• 44:51
  Speaker 3: two thirds innings and gave up one earned run in
• 44:54
  Speaker 3: that one against The, yankees SO i would not put
• 44:56
  Speaker 3: too much weight into that. Number he really hasn't pitched
• 44:59
  Speaker 3: a lot. Yet he's only gone at least five innings
• 45:01
  Speaker 3: twice so. Far he's been pitching, okay like he's not
• 45:04
  Speaker 3: allowing a lot of, runs but his strikeout rate is,
• 45:07
  Speaker 3: low his walk rate is too. High his hit rate
• 45:09
  Speaker 3: is fairly low, though SO i don't. Know the jury's
• 45:13
  Speaker 3: still out on. Him, Man he's still. YOUNG i don't
• 45:16
  Speaker 3: think he's a huge strikeout. Guy he is a, lefty
• 45:18
  Speaker 3: so he might be more of a command type of.
• 45:21
  Speaker 3: PITCHER i still have no idea what you might wind
• 45:23
  Speaker 3: up getting out of him as his career. Progresses he
• 45:26
  Speaker 3: does have an unfamiliarity advantage Against, arizona so maybe he
• 45:30
  Speaker 3: could pitch well. Here BUT i don't, Know, man And
• 45:33
  Speaker 3: arizona's offense hasn't been that good, recently so some things
• 45:37
  Speaker 3: that kind of line up towards him a little. Bit
• 45:39
  Speaker 3: BUT i don't know IF i would really want to trust.
• 45:41
  Speaker 3: Him Eduardo rodriguets pitching For, arizona having a surprisingly good. Season,
• 45:46
  Speaker 3: man he's another guy whose velocity is completely tanked after, injuries, surgeries.
• 45:52
  Speaker 3: Whatever he's getting up there in, age but he is
• 45:54
  Speaker 3: pitching well. Here two point five to FIVE vra one
• 45:57
  Speaker 3: point two to Three whip good At home point nine
• 46:00
  Speaker 3: to Three. Home he ra didn't pitch well in his
• 46:03
  Speaker 3: last start, though At. Cincinnati he only lasted two or
• 46:05
  Speaker 3: two thirds of an inning and through eighty five, pitches
• 46:08
  Speaker 3: so he was really really inefficient in that, game and
• 46:11
  Speaker 3: he had five. Walks he was lucky he only allowed
• 46:14
  Speaker 3: one run in that. One that was a bad start from.
• 46:16
  Speaker 3: Him so maybe he's going out a form. HERE i don't, know,
• 46:20
  Speaker 3: though because he was pitching pretty well mostly prior to,
• 46:22
  Speaker 3: that SO i don't. Know looking at his overall, numbers
• 46:26
  Speaker 3: he has a low hit, rate his walk rate is too,
• 46:28
  Speaker 3: high his strikeout rate is definitely. Low he doesn't really
• 46:31
  Speaker 3: fool guys. Anymore SO i do think that he's in
• 46:35
  Speaker 3: line for some regression. Year LIKE i don't think he's
• 46:36
  Speaker 3: gonna continue putting up numbers this. Good but he's been
• 46:41
  Speaker 3: more good than bad this year for. Sure Against anaheim's
• 46:45
  Speaker 3: numbers are not really that, good but they only have
• 46:47
  Speaker 3: five hitters who have faced. Him but it doesn't amount
• 46:50
  Speaker 3: to sixty three at bats Because mancine he has forty
• 46:53
  Speaker 3: four at bats against.
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: Him Not.
• 46:56
  Speaker 3: Henry, mancini the. Pianist but, yeah he has most of
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: the at bats against the Man seni has hit him all,
• 47:03
  Speaker 3: right seventeen, strikeout six walks overall two point fifty four,
• 47:07
  Speaker 3: average allowed eight to fifty nine, ops and in, fact
• 47:11
  Speaker 3: four of the five guys who have faced him have
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: homered off. Him so that's not a great sign That
• 47:16
  Speaker 3: erod has given up a lot of power To anaheim's hitters.
• 47:20
  Speaker 3: Here this, GAME i don't, know, MAN i mean it
• 47:23
  Speaker 3: kind of reads is more of an over game to.
• 47:25
  Speaker 3: Me at least one of the Bullpens anaheim is really.
• 47:29
  Speaker 3: Bad fifty to fifty on the, tickets ninety four percent
• 47:32
  Speaker 3: of the cash on the. OVER i think both pitchers
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: are kind of untrustworthy here totals at nine to nine
• 47:37
  Speaker 3: and a. Half it's high for a, Reason so you,
• 47:42
  Speaker 3: KNOW i think an over makes more sense than anything else.
• 47:44
  Speaker 3: Here the money is Backing. Arizona they're around minus one
• 47:47
  Speaker 3: sixty something here, though seventy percent of, tickets ninety one
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash On. Arizona if you play At,
• 47:53
  Speaker 3: arizona you have to make like a minus one run
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: line or, something or do something like. THAT i don't
• 47:58
  Speaker 3: THINK i would really necessarily diss because they do have
• 48:01
  Speaker 3: the more established starter here and the better, BULLPEN i
• 48:05
  Speaker 3: wouldn't want to do, it, though all, RIGHT i usually
• 48:09
  Speaker 3: take a break WHEN i have five games. LEFT i
• 48:11
  Speaker 3: already talked about The atlanta. Game let's talk about The Red.
• 48:15
  Speaker 3: SOX i GUESS i mean this starting pitching. Matchup The
• 48:17
  Speaker 3: Red sox should be able to do something. Here This
• 48:21
  Speaker 3: Red sox team is JUST i hate being a fan
• 48:24
  Speaker 3: of The Red. Sox. Man they lost again yesterday in
• 48:26
  Speaker 3: the first game of the, series six to. One you,
• 48:30
  Speaker 3: know even Though Peyton toley was, pitching The Red sox
• 48:32
  Speaker 3: were not able to do any damage Against Dylan cease
• 48:36
  Speaker 3: totally was just. Mediocre in the, game Red sox used
• 48:39
  Speaker 3: three relief. Pitchers the bullpen wasn't great. Either toronto us
• 48:43
  Speaker 3: four guys out of the. Bullpen The Red sox still
• 48:46
  Speaker 3: do have a bullpen, advantage though they're number two in
• 48:49
  Speaker 3: bullpen and THEIR era is top. THREE i Think toronto's
• 48:53
  Speaker 3: bullpen is somewhere in the mid. RANGE i think they're
• 48:56
  Speaker 3: eleventh right, now but THEIR era is close to. Four hitting,
• 48:59
  Speaker 3: wise either team has been very. Good toronto twenty, First
• 49:02
  Speaker 3: Red sox twenty. Third so you think The Red sox
• 49:05
  Speaker 3: should be able to at least do something in this.
• 49:07
  Speaker 3: Series toronto is still going With Max schurzer. HERE i
• 49:11
  Speaker 3: don't know why they continue to put this guy out. There,
• 49:13
  Speaker 3: Man like his career looks like it's. Over he's had
• 49:17
  Speaker 3: an excellent. CAREER i think it might be time to
• 49:19
  Speaker 3: pack it. In but of course now THAT i say,
• 49:21
  Speaker 3: that he's gonna go out there and pitch well against
• 49:23
  Speaker 3: The Red, sox because The Red sox offense. Blows But
• 49:27
  Speaker 3: scherzer has not had anything this. Year he's got a
• 49:30
  Speaker 3: ten point two to THREE, ra one point seven to three.
• 49:33
  Speaker 3: Whip he's been good on the, ROAD i guess three road,
• 49:36
  Speaker 3: ray BUT i think it's at a very limited. Sample,
• 49:38
  Speaker 3: yeah it was one start on the road Against, arizona
• 49:42
  Speaker 3: and it's still there was one red flag in that.
• 49:45
  Speaker 3: That he only had one. Strikeout so his strikeout rang
• 49:48
  Speaker 3: on the season is way down from what you used
• 49:50
  Speaker 3: to get out of. Him his walk rates too, high
• 49:53
  Speaker 3: his hit rate is too. High none of these numbers are.
• 49:55
  Speaker 3: Good he's allowing a lot of home. Runs he came
• 49:58
  Speaker 3: back from injury and he was bad again Against. Philadelphia
• 50:02
  Speaker 3: not a good, sign, Dude SO i don't. Know and
• 50:04
  Speaker 3: that was not At philly. Either that was at, home
• 50:08
  Speaker 3: Where philly doesn't hit as well on the. Road sures
• 50:11
  Speaker 3: are also in his. Career he hasn't even done that
• 50:13
  Speaker 3: well against The Red sox and fifty three at bats
• 50:16
  Speaker 3: three zero two average a lot eight thirty oh, ps
• 50:19
  Speaker 3: thirteen to three strike out walk ratio is, good but
• 50:21
  Speaker 3: the rest of these numbers are. Bad so even When
• 50:23
  Speaker 3: schurzer was a little bit, better The Red sox were
• 50:25
  Speaker 3: still able to get to. Him they should be able
• 50:28
  Speaker 3: to do some damage offensively in this. Game, Man if
• 50:31
  Speaker 3: The Red sox are not able to, HEAR i think
• 50:34
  Speaker 3: there's something really. Wrong The Red sox are going With
• 50:37
  Speaker 3: Jake bennett on the mound, here who is a complete wild.
• 50:40
  Speaker 3: Card he's only made like three or four starts in
• 50:43
  Speaker 3: his career so. Far he's, young he's a big, guy
• 50:46
  Speaker 3: he's got some. Talent he's a. Lefty so The Red
• 50:49
  Speaker 3: sox have these two Huge oklahoma and lefties. Here, man
• 50:53
  Speaker 3: Between bennett And, tolly they're both big dudes on the
• 50:57
  Speaker 3: mound that are. Lefties SO i don't, know, man the
• 51:00
  Speaker 3: tandem of those. Two bennett has not been as good
• 51:03
  Speaker 3: as totally. Though he's got a five point two to
• 51:05
  Speaker 3: eighty or one point five whip so. Far, obviously that's not.
• 51:09
  Speaker 3: Good he dig into his numbers a little. Bit it's
• 51:13
  Speaker 3: not too, bad, though like The Red sox have been
• 51:15
  Speaker 3: in pretty much every game that he. Started he's made
• 51:17
  Speaker 3: three starts so. Far, still he's given up more than
• 51:20
  Speaker 3: one hip per, inning which isn't. Good four earned runs
• 51:23
  Speaker 3: each in his last two. Starts that's not. Great he's
• 51:25
  Speaker 3: lasted at least five innings in all of his, starts,
• 51:27
  Speaker 3: though so that's. Good his strikeout rate is way too,
• 51:30
  Speaker 3: low so that's not. GOOD i don't. Know he might
• 51:33
  Speaker 3: just not be a strike up. Pitcher but usually a
• 51:35
  Speaker 3: guy that's this big usually does strike guys, out SO
• 51:38
  Speaker 3: i don't. Know usually they can throw pretty, hard BUT
• 51:41
  Speaker 3: i don't. Know he's more of a ground ball, pitcher
• 51:43
  Speaker 3: it looks, like which isn't necessarily a bad thing pitching
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: In Fenway. Park his walk rate is not, great but
• 51:52
  Speaker 3: it's his walk rate's really not that. Bad it's just
• 51:55
  Speaker 3: that his strikeout rate is so low it makes the
• 51:57
  Speaker 3: walks look. Worse Of, Course toronto's never faced him, before
• 52:01
  Speaker 3: so he might have that advantage of having the unfamiliarity Against.
• 52:05
  Speaker 3: Toronto and it's a decent draw Because bennett so far
• 52:08
  Speaker 3: has Faced houston and then he Faced tampa, Twice so
• 52:12
  Speaker 3: this might be the easiest matchup for him so. Far you,
• 52:16
  Speaker 3: know based on the offensive, rankings this is gonna be
• 52:18
  Speaker 3: the weakest offense that he's faced so. Far and the
• 52:21
  Speaker 3: fact that he had to Face tampa twice in a
• 52:23
  Speaker 3: row that meant that he no longer had the unfamiliarity
• 52:26
  Speaker 3: advantage the second time Against. Tampa SO i kind of
• 52:30
  Speaker 3: leaned towards The Red sox again in this. Game. MAN
• 52:33
  Speaker 3: i KNOW i leaned towards them yesterday and it didn't.
• 52:35
  Speaker 3: Happen But Max schurzer where he is in his career,
• 52:38
  Speaker 3: now he is not dying. Cease the money looks like
• 52:41
  Speaker 3: it's slightly back In. Toronto i'm not so sure about.
• 52:43
  Speaker 3: That tickets fifty three percent of the cash On Toronto
• 52:48
  Speaker 3: Red sox are, favored even though they have the worst
• 52:50
  Speaker 3: record in their last. Place, obviously the oddsmakers are favoring
• 52:54
  Speaker 3: The Red sox for a. Reason here they're telling you
• 52:56
  Speaker 3: that The Red, sox or maybe the slight the better
• 53:00
  Speaker 3: team and or have the slightly better of this pitching
• 53:02
  Speaker 3: matchup here around minus one twenty, SOMETHING i wouldn't disagree
• 53:06
  Speaker 3: with an over in this, game though the totals nine
• 53:08
  Speaker 3: and a. Half it's high for a, reason sixty nine
• 53:11
  Speaker 3: percent of tickets on the, under seventy six percent of
• 53:13
  Speaker 3: the cash on the. Over LIKE i just showed You
• 53:17
  Speaker 3: schurzers in bad form. Here he might be at the
• 53:19
  Speaker 3: end of his. Career Red sox have good numbers against.
• 53:22
  Speaker 3: HIM i think they should be able to score something,
• 53:25
  Speaker 3: here Though it's dangerous because both these offenses have, struggled
• 53:28
  Speaker 3: and The Red sox have not been good offensively at.
• 53:31
  Speaker 3: Home so if you're going over, here you're going against
• 53:34
  Speaker 3: some of those. Trends but it might make sense in this.
• 53:36
  Speaker 3: Game And bennett could potentially struggle as well, here maybe
• 53:40
  Speaker 3: because he just hasn't been that, Great SO i think
• 53:42
  Speaker 3: an over does make some sense in that game as.
• 53:44
  Speaker 3: Well or you could combine those two, things and Because
• 53:49
  Speaker 3: bennett is like the biggest question mark, here you could
• 53:52
  Speaker 3: take him out of the. Equation you could just Go
• 53:53
  Speaker 3: Red sox over their team total. Here that makes some,
• 53:57
  Speaker 3: sense but you're gonna need them to SCORE i don't, know,
• 54:00
  Speaker 3: Man you're gonna be able to score at least five
• 54:02
  Speaker 3: runs probably if you do, that which is kind of
• 54:04
  Speaker 3: an ask asking The Red sox to do that at.
• 54:07
  Speaker 3: Home let me take a small. Break i'll be right,
• 54:10
  Speaker 3: back and Then i'll do the rest of this, stuff
• 54:11
  Speaker 3: and then we have a lot OF wnba to talk.
• 54:14
  Speaker 3: About but hold on.
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: All.
• 55:22
  Speaker 3: Right next game up Is White Sox yankees On Amazon.
• 55:28
  Speaker 3: Prime rest of these games are ON, MLBtv except for
• 55:32
  Speaker 3: the next Game i'm gonna talk, about which IS Espn.
• 55:35
  Speaker 3: Unlimited in The Brewers indians, game The yankees won yesterday
• 55:40
  Speaker 3: twelve to, Two SO i Think Davis martin did not pitch,
• 55:43
  Speaker 3: well AND i did SAY i thought The yankees would
• 55:45
  Speaker 3: probably win that game Because martin had bad matchup numbers
• 55:48
  Speaker 3: and he's kind of he's obviously less established between him
• 55:52
  Speaker 3: And Garrett. Cole yankees used only one guy out of
• 55:58
  Speaker 3: the bullpen, yesterday so their bullpen is rested. Here it
• 56:01
  Speaker 3: was a, blowout so both bullpen's probably should be fairly
• 56:04
  Speaker 3: rested here because when the game gets out of, hand
• 56:06
  Speaker 3: usually none of the better relievers come into the. Game
• 56:09
  Speaker 3: White socks don't have a great, bullpen but, yeah they
• 56:11
  Speaker 3: only use two guys out of the, bullpen including a
• 56:14
  Speaker 3: guy Named Joe Rock Kid rock And joe c what,
• 56:20
  Speaker 3: RIP i have no idea man cool name. Though yankees
• 56:25
  Speaker 3: number ten in, bullpen their era is actually pretty, good
• 56:29
  Speaker 3: which AGAIN i do not like that BECAUSE i was
• 56:32
  Speaker 3: enjoying how bad The yankees bullpen was last, year but
• 56:34
  Speaker 3: they got rid of the guys that were. Bad although
• 56:37
  Speaker 3: hilariously they're actually doing better with The, mets so weird
• 56:41
  Speaker 3: how all that worked. Out White sox bullpen is not.
• 56:44
  Speaker 3: Excellent they're number. Eighteen they're not one of the worst,
• 56:47
  Speaker 3: bullpens not tragically bad like some of these other, ones
• 56:51
  Speaker 3: but still not. Great yankees are number two in. Offense
• 56:54
  Speaker 3: The White socks are tied at seventh With, milwaukee so
• 56:57
  Speaker 3: two very capable offense. Year White sox are going With
• 57:02
  Speaker 3: anthony k which does not look like a good thing to.
• 57:04
  Speaker 3: Me he's not, great even though his record looks good
• 57:07
  Speaker 3: six to, one but four point three four era very.
• 57:10
  Speaker 3: Mediocre one point four to two whip is definitely not.
• 57:13
  Speaker 3: Good he's putting too many guys on. Base he's been
• 57:16
  Speaker 3: bad on the road six point zero four road, era
• 57:19
  Speaker 3: so his era basically doubles on the. Road really not.
• 57:23
  Speaker 3: Good pitchwell in his last start at home against The.
• 57:26
  Speaker 3: Dodgers that's a good sign because that's a good. Offense
• 57:28
  Speaker 3: but that was at, home like most of his good
• 57:31
  Speaker 3: recent starts have been at. Home had a couple of
• 57:34
  Speaker 3: good roads starts in there, too but At San diego At,
• 57:37
  Speaker 3: seattle those are pitcher friendly. Ballparks this is not In Yankee,
• 57:41
  Speaker 3: stadium and The yankees offense is very, good so even
• 57:44
  Speaker 3: though they don't Have Aaron judge right, now BUT i
• 57:46
  Speaker 3: still am not gonna TRUST k. Here his hit rate's
• 57:49
  Speaker 3: a little bit, high his walk rate is a little
• 57:51
  Speaker 3: bit too, high strike out rate is. LOW i don't
• 57:53
  Speaker 3: like any of. That he does have unfamiliarity. Here The
• 57:56
  Speaker 3: yankees only have two batters to have faced. Him they're
• 57:59
  Speaker 3: combined one for, three with the only hit being a
• 58:02
  Speaker 3: double From Jazz. Chism no, strikeouts no walks. Here but
• 58:06
  Speaker 3: STILL i don't EXPECT k to pitch well. HERE i
• 58:09
  Speaker 3: DON'T i think The yankees are gonna put up. Runs
• 58:12
  Speaker 3: yankees are also better offensively at. Home carlos rodon is
• 58:16
  Speaker 3: pitching for The. Yankees he's the better pitcher, here the
• 58:18
  Speaker 3: more established. Pitcher he's coming back from. Injuries numbers have
• 58:21
  Speaker 3: been pretty good so far this, season three point one
• 58:24
  Speaker 3: to ninety ra one point one to nine. Whip he's
• 58:26
  Speaker 3: in better at home one point six to four home.
• 58:29
  Speaker 3: Era his walks are really the one issue with him
• 58:34
  Speaker 3: here is walk numbers too, high but all of his
• 58:36
  Speaker 3: other numbers look pretty. Good he's got a really low
• 58:39
  Speaker 3: hit rate so far as walk rate is way too,
• 58:41
  Speaker 3: high so that is one. Concern but his strikeout rate
• 58:44
  Speaker 3: is also pretty, good so he's got issues with, command
• 58:48
  Speaker 3: but he has not been doing anything else wrong, really
• 58:52
  Speaker 3: and his numbers against The White sox are. Good in
• 58:54
  Speaker 3: fifty eight at bats two poh seven, average five to
• 58:56
  Speaker 3: seventy four, ohps nineteen to six strikeout, ratio decent sample size,
• 59:01
  Speaker 3: here SO i Expect rodon probably to pitch well again.
• 59:05
  Speaker 3: HERE i think really the only way that you could
• 59:08
  Speaker 3: look at this game is to play The yankees in
• 59:10
  Speaker 3: some way in my, opinion although the money is not
• 59:12
  Speaker 3: agreeing with. That they have ninety percent of the, tickets
• 59:15
  Speaker 3: which is not, surprising but seventy five percent of the
• 59:18
  Speaker 3: cash on The White SOX i don't. Agree. OBVIOUSLY i
• 59:22
  Speaker 3: think The yankees should win this, game but they ARE
• 59:25
  Speaker 3: i mean a lot of it is about the price.
• 59:26
  Speaker 3: Though they're around minus one eighty something, here so they,
• 59:30
  Speaker 3: are they have a high price tag on. THEM i
• 59:32
  Speaker 3: think if you do play The, YANKEES i think you
• 59:34
  Speaker 3: should do one of two things. HERE i think you
• 59:36
  Speaker 3: should either make it a minus one run line or
• 59:40
  Speaker 3: play them over their team. Total, uh the over is
• 59:43
  Speaker 3: getting some of the. Money the totals eight and a,
• 59:45
  Speaker 3: half eighty one percent of, tickets ninety two percent of
• 59:47
  Speaker 3: the cash on the yank on the. Over excuse, me
• 59:50
  Speaker 3: so the money's coming in on the. Over yankees over
• 59:54
  Speaker 3: their team total does make sense, here although that would
• 59:56
  Speaker 3: Take rodon out of the, equation which maybe you don't
• 59:59
  Speaker 3: want to do because he has decent pitching numbers. Here
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 3: SO i still THINK i would prefer Going yankees minus
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 3: one on the run line or something here in this
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 3: one and get the price. Down But yankees over their
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 3: team totally makes some sense. Here you'll you'll probably need
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 3: him to score you won't EVEN i don't think you'll
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 3: even need him to score that many runs to do. That,
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 3: WELL i don't. Know you might need him to get
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 3: six to do, that but that is certainly. Possible all.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 3: RIGHT i already talked about the second, game or really
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 3: what was the game it's supposed to be tonight's game
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 3: Between San francisco And. Atlanta talked about it at the
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 3: top of the. Show because they're doing a semi doubleheader,
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 3: today it'll be more interesting tomorrow because the teams are
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 3: playing too. Well the teams are playing each other again,
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 3: tomorrow so neither team's gonna have a rest. Edge but
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 3: it could be an overspot where maybe the bullpens are totally.
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 3: Used after playing two games, today all, Right cleveland And.
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee LIKE i, said this is ON Espn. Unlimited yesterday's
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 3: game was a really really low scoring, game WHICH i
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 3: wasn't sure that that would be the case BECAUSE i
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 3: didn't really love either starter or, there but they were
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 3: both unfamiliar to the opposing. Hitters milwaukee won the game
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 3: two to. One Interesting cleveland plays a lot of low scoring.
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 3: Games Man cleveland had a rested bullpen coming into that
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 3: because they had a rain out On, sunday so they
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 3: had two days. Off they used some of their better
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 3: relievers yesterday though these three guys. Overall milwaukee used their.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 3: Closer both teams used their closer, Yesterday i'm pretty, sure
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 3: And milwaukee used four guys out of the, bullpen so
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 3: some of the high leverage arms got. Used we're still
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 3: looking at two pretty good, bullpens Though cleveland number, Twelve
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 3: milwaukee number, fourteen or The milwaukee's era is a little.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 3: BETTER i Think milwaukee might have the slightly better bullpen,
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 3: here but they're also a little bit less. Rested milwaukee
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 3: definitely has the better. Offense LIKE i, said they're all
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 3: the way up to tide in seventh with The White.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 3: Sox cleveland is twenty, eighth So cleveland has been struggling
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 3: on the offensive. Side williams is. Pitching AS i alluded
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 3: to earlier in the, show he was supposed to pitch On,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 3: sunday and that under THAT i gave out that never.
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 3: HAPPENED i don't know why they pushed him back multiple.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 3: Days he's been. Good he's got a three point three
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 3: TWO era one point one. Whip he's been not as
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 3: good on the road, though four point h four road
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 3: ra so not in the better of his home road splits.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 3: Here but he hasn't pitched since the eighth, Now so
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 3: again you think that if you want to keep your
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 3: pitcher on, schedule you just get get him out there
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 3: the next time he can, go you know WHAT i.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 3: Mean SO i thought he would pitch probably A, monday
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 3: and it didn't, happen and then he did not pitch yesterday,
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 3: Either SO i don't know what the deal is with.
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 3: Him at least it made a little bit more sense
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 3: With Casey mize because he's coming back from, injury so
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 3: they want to make sure they're not gonna rush him or.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 3: Whatever For, williams all they're doing here is throwing him off,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 3: Schedule SO i don't know why they're doing. That williams
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 3: was not great in his last, out but it was
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 3: a second start in a row against The, yankees SO
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 3: i think you can kind of give him a little
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 3: bit of a pass for. That he wasn't even really
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 3: that bad in that. Game he's been good. Overall he's
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 3: got a low hit, rate high strikeout. Rate his walk
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 3: rate's not too bad. Either he's been. Good his overall
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 3: numbers are good. Here numbers Against milwaukee are not that good.
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 3: Though in twenty nine at bats two seventy six, average
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 3: nine oh nine ops. Allowed that's not. Great he's going
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 3: up Against Brandon, sprout who's a young guy, who AGAIN
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 3: i keep, SAYING i think he's better than his numbers.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 3: SUGGESTS i think at some point he will break, out
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 3: but it hasn't really happened. Yet five point SEVENTY, ra
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 3: one point four to eight whip that's not. Good he's
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 3: been worse at home six point three to three HOMEY.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 3: Ra so both pitchers are in the worst of their
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 3: home road splits. Here But sprote has been a little
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 3: bit better and his starts this, month and they were
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 3: not easy because he had to go to Course field
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 3: and to that As STATE i think that was in
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 3: The A's Vegas, stadium and he pitched pretty. Well he
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 3: give a combined four earned runs across eleven innings in
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 3: those out. Holdings only five strikeouts, though so that's not.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 3: Great three, walks eleven hits. Allowed he was decent in
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 3: those starts, though so maybe he is kind of coming
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 3: into form to some extent. Here and again those were
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 3: really difficult pitching, environments like based on the stadium that
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 3: those were the STADIUM'S stadiu, Uh, SPROT i, mean maybe
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 3: he's doing a little bit better. Here he has not
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 3: Faced cleveland, before So cleveland is unfamiliar to him In
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 3: cleveland is a weak, offense So sprot might actually do well.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 3: HERE i kind of Leave milwaukee here the money's completely
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 3: disagreeing with. It sixty four percent of tickets On, milwaukee
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 3: eighty three percent of the cash On, cleveland so the
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 3: money is definitely back In cleveland. Here williams has the better,
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 3: numbers no, doubt he's the more established. Pitcher But MILWAUKEE
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 3: i think has a little bit of a better. Bullpen
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 3: they have the better offense by. Far they're favored around
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 3: minus one twenty. Something they're favored for a REASON i don't.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 3: Know man to, ME i, think and based on the
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 3: starting pitching matchup, NUMBER i Think milwaukee might have the
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 3: scales tilted towards them just a little bit, here BUT
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 3: i don't want to play the. Game the money is
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 3: also back in the under and the total seven and a,
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 3: half so the odds makers are actually respecting both starters,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 3: here which is. Interesting so that tells you the odds
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 3: makers Expect sprote to actually pitch kind of well, Here
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 3: so take that for what it's. Worth but the odds
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 3: makers are kind of signaling to you that this is
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 3: gonna be a lower scoring game, here and some of
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 3: it makes. SENSE i, Mean cleveland does not hit well,
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 3: recently and both bullpens are all, right although again both
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 3: closers got used Yesterday colorado at The. Cubs these teams
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 3: have split the games in the series so, far With
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 3: colorado winning. Yesterday cubs should have the upper hand, HERE i,
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 3: mean the better. Team colorado does not have a good,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 3: bullpen and they've seen a lot of usage the last
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 3: two days these four guys. Yesterday The cubs also did,
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 3: though but The cubs are the better bullpen. HERE i,
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 3: Mean colorado's is, awful but The cubs are ranked ninth in.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 3: Bullpen The rockies have the worst bullpen e ARRAY i. Think, still,
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 3: yes they're the only bullpen the array above five right
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 3: now and the rank twenty seventh overall really not. Good hitting,
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 3: wise The cubs have fallen a little. Bit they're number.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 3: Eleven The rockies are up at number, Nine but remember
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 3: The rockies had like a twenty three run game the other,
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 3: day SO i don't think The rockies are actually that good.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 3: Offensively this. Game we have a pretty high. Total so
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 3: this might be a wind blowing Out wrigleygue game here
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 3: because the total is fairly. High but some of it
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 3: might have to do with the. Pitching i'm not totally,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 3: sure BUT i think both of these pitchers are actually
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 3: better than people think they. Are colorado's going With Sean.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 3: SULLIVAN i don't know much about, him BUT i See Sean,
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 3: Sullivan i'm, like that's literally like every guy In boston
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 3: his Named Sean. Sullivan oh, yeah and guess Where Sean
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 3: sullivan is initially From. Boston it only makes, sense. MAN
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 3: i was, like, yeah that makes total. Sense sullivan has
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 3: only made one start so far in his entire career
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 3: in the majors With. COLORADO i believe it was a, Start,
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 3: yeah it, was but they didn't they didn't have him go.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 3: Deep he went three shutout innings at that a stadium
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 3: In vegas, though so THAT'S i think it. Was, no
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 3: that wasn't, wait, no that was not In. Vegas that
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 3: was back In, SACRAMENTO i. Think but either, way that's
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 3: a difficult pitching environment and he was. Good three shutout,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 3: innings two, strikeouts no, walks two hits. Allowed Is sullivan actually? Good?
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 3: Though i'm not so sure about that BECAUSE i looked
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 3: at his minor league numbers and they're really not that.
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 3: Good looking at what he's done in the, minors like this,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 3: year his ERA i think was in the. Fours his
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 3: whip was like one and a, half So i'm, like
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 3: that's not. Good so this start does look good, though you,
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 3: know being able to do that in that a stadium
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 3: in your first major league, appearance that is. Something so
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 3: Maybe sullivan is better than his minor league numbers make him.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 3: LOOK i really have no. CLUE i might have to
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 3: dig into the scouting a little, bit BUT i DECIDED
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 3: i wasn't gonna play this game. Anyway he's going up
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 3: Against Javier, assad who has been pitching well since joining
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 3: The cubs. Rotation again Here asad three point nine to
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 3: NINETY ra one point zero two. Whip he's got a
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 3: really good home THE ra point six y. Three remember
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 3: a lot of this was coming out of the. Bullpen
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 3: he's only made like one start though was at his
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 3: only start this. Season, no he's made four starts this,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 3: season SO i think he made some starts earlier in the.
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 3: Season but he rejoined the starting rotation Because jameson Tai
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 3: on got hurt And asad came in and he dominated
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 3: The giants when he came in early into that. Game
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 3: then he faced The giants again immediately on the road
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 3: and he dominated them. Again didn't allow any runs across
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 3: that stretch ten to two strikeout Walk razio four hits
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 3: out in twelve a third. Innings, there the problem is
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 3: that The giants are not a good. Offense so is
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 3: A sod gonna be able to continue to pitch well
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 3: here against The? Rockies? MAYBE i, MEAN i don't think
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 3: The rockies are that good of an. Offense usually they're
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 3: not that gun on the. ROAD A sod does not
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 3: have good numbers against, them but only five of their
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 3: hitters have faced him twenty five at. Bats but they
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 3: do have a three sixty average against him eight eighty oh,
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 3: Ps so this might not be the greatest matchup For
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 3: asad here the total is. HIGH i don't know IF
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 3: i Trust sullivan, here Although sullivan does have the unfamiliarity
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 3: edge here against The. Cubs the money is backing The
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 3: cubs slightly eighty seven percent of, tickets ninety two percent
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 3: of the cash on. Them they're around minus one to
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 3: eighty something. HERE i don't THINK i would lay that
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 3: price with, them. MAN i think maybe there's a little
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 3: bit of value looking Towards colorado, here maybe in the first,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 3: five just based on the starting. Pitching, still we have
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 3: no idea Who sullivan. Is though the money is backing the,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 3: over AS i was about to talk about the totals,
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 3: ten so it is fairly. High it might mean that
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 3: the wind is blowing, out And, WRIGALLY i think maybe
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 3: more likely it means that the wind is slightly blowing
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 3: out or maybe a little bit. Neutral i'm not really quite.
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 3: Sure six percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 3: cash on the, over though the over makes some sense.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 3: HERE i, mean you got a completely unknown pitcher versus
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 3: a pitcher that's that just doesn't have good matchup numbers,
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 3: here And, sullivan LIKE i, SAID i didn't like his
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 3: TRIPLE a, numbers so there are some reasons to maybe
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 3: look at the over. There But i'm passing that game for.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 3: Sure that's definitely a game THAT i would not want
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 3: to deal. With you can see WHY i don't like
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 3: this board. Today AND i KNOW i still have a
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 3: play and it's we're not getting to it. Yet baltimore At.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 3: Seattle we had the under in this one last, night
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 3: so that was a, winner full game. Under it worked.
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 3: Out the first five went under as. WELL i was
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 3: a one to one. GAME i think at that Point
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 3: seattle won the game three to. ONE i believe these
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 3: teams have split the series so. Far let me see
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 3: HIM i wrong about. That, no the last night was
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 3: the first game of the. Series my. Mistaken that's, right
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 3: BECAUSE i in that HANDICAP i talked about how both
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 3: teams are traveling cross. Country So seattle took game one
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 3: of the. Series seattle only us two relief, pitchers but
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 3: it was a save. Situation but they still have the better.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 3: Bullpen baltimore used three guys out of the. Bullpen the
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 3: bullpens are still, rested and that was part of the
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 3: reason WHY i kept them both in that equation. Yesterday
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 3: it didn't really, matter But seattle fifteenth in bullpend but
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 3: their bullpen eray is better than a lot of the
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 3: teams ahead of, them so they're a pretty good. Bullpen
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 3: baltimore's bullpen eray is more than a run. Higher even
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 3: though the rank, Sixteenth seattle definitely has the better bullpen. Here,
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 3: Offensively BALTIMORE i think is a little bit better their
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 3: ranked Thirteenth seattle. Eighteenth it's not a huge difference. Though
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 3: with the, Offenses baltimore is going With Kyle, bradish who
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 3: is not that. Good four point THREE era one point
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 3: five to seven whip is definitely not. Good you cannot
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 3: put more than one and a half guys on basin
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 3: inning and keep getting away with. It bradish has not
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 3: been good on the road six point one to eight
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 3: road ra that is a, concern although this is a
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 3: pitcher friendly ballpark, Here but he literally just Faced seattle
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 3: In baltimore and he was not. Good he went four,
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 3: innings give up five runs on seven hits plus three
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 3: walks and five. Strikeouts wasn't, bad but that was not
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 3: a good. Outing he was bad the start before that Against,
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 3: toronto which is definitely an indictment Because toronto's not a good.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 3: Offense but he was Facing toronto the second time in a,
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 3: row and in, fact this is gonna be the third
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 3: time in a row that he's faced the same team
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 3: twice in a, row and before that he faced The
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 3: yankees twice in a span of three. Games, now the
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 3: only time he actually did bad in the second game
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 3: was the one Against. Toronto but to, me it looks
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 3: like he's falling out a form here now and he's
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 3: facing the same team that just faced him. Again he
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 3: might make the make some adjustments to bitch better, here
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 3: But i'm not really expecting. IT i, mean he's not
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 3: good on the. Road seattle just saw, him which is
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 3: a little bit of an advantage to, them although they've
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 3: already seen him a decent amount fifty at, bats And
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 3: seattle's been good against him throughout. That they have three
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 3: hundred average one thoy thirty two ops against. Him fourteen
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 3: to four strike out walk ratio is the only thing
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 3: that really looks good for, him because he has not
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 3: been good Against. Seattle they have a lot of home
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 3: runs against him, Too SO i think it mostly lines
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 3: up For bradish to not pitch. Well. Here George kirby
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 3: is pitching for The. Mariners he hasn't been that good.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 3: Really four point h seventy, ray one point three to
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 3: one whip is a bit. High that's not. Great he's
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 3: been struggling at home four point five to six Homey.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 3: Ray Although, gilbert LIKE i, said These seattle pitchers almost
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 3: always do better at, home And GILBERT i expected to
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 3: turn it Around. Kirby i'm not so. Sure. Man kirby's
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 3: a little bit of a wild, card like he can
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 3: have these really bad games mixed in there. SOMETIMES i
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 3: don't know what his deal. IS i don't really know
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 3: why he's worse at. Home mariners have a more pitcher
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 3: friend the. BALLPARK i don't know IF i trust, him
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 3: but he did have ten strikeouts in his last, outing
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 3: which was Against, baltimore so he's Facing baltimore twice in a,
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 3: row which does Mean baltimore might hit him better this,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 3: time but he kind of dominated, them although he threw
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 3: over one hundred pitches for the first time this, season
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 3: so sometimes that, will you, know tire a pitcher out
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 3: a little bit too. Much but he's gone close to
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 3: one hundred pitches a few times, here so maybe that's
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 3: not that much of a. Concern kirby didn't pitch well
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 3: against The mets the game before that at, home, though
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 3: so that is a. Concern Although gilbert had some numbers
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 3: that looked like that. Too gilbert had some bad home
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 3: starts against some bad, offenses AND i still backed him
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 3: to get us the under yesterday and it did. Work
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 3: But i'm not gonna do that with with this starting pitching. Here,
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 3: OBVIOUSLY i Think bradish is, bad so that's one reason
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 3: to obviously not playing under. Here kirby does not really
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 3: have good numbers in this matchup, either one hundred and
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 3: thirty two at. Bats thirty eight to five strike a
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 3: walk ratio is really, good but two sixty five average
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 3: allowed seven to seventy seven. Ops none of that is.
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 3: Good so he has not really done that well AGAINST i,
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 3: mean it's somewhat, MEDIOCRE i, guess but it's on the
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 3: more negative. Side So kirby doesn't really match up that
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 3: well Against. BALTIMORE i think this game could be an.
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 3: OVER i think that's the WAY i would look in this.
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 3: One you, KNOW i Mean. SEATTLE i would slightly lean
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 3: Towards seattle as well on the side if you wanted
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 3: me to give you a lean on the side of
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 3: the round minus one thirty. SOMETHING i do not Trust.
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 3: Bradish but the money is coming in Towards. Baltimore sixty
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 3: four percent of tickets On, seattle seventy one percent of
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 3: the cash On. Baltimore both teams will now be adjusted
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 3: to The pacific time, zone SO i think that's gonna
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 3: help with the timing of the. Hitting the total being
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 3: seven and a half is kind of ridiculous to. Me
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 3: how could it be seven and a half with this pitching?
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 3: Matchup even THOUGH i always tell you the oddsmakers they
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 3: know what they're doing so the fact that it's a low,
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 3: total they think it's gonna be a low scoring. GAME
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 3: i just don't see. IT i think there's not a
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 3: lot of leeway, there seventy five percent of, tickets ninety
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash on the. OVER i think the
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 3: over might be the best way to play. Game that's
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 3: the way THAT i lean in that. One BUT i
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 3: know it's not a play for. Me so that means
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 3: the last game on the board is the play for,
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 3: me and it. Is it's the last of the interleague.
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 3: Games it's the last, chronologically although it's starting at the
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 3: same time As, Baltimore. Seattle pittsburgh in THE aa is
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 3: let's do. This, oh we're gonna Play pittsburgh on the money,
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 3: LINE i, mean make it pretty. Simple, here they're around
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 3: minus one. Twenty the money is not. AGREEING i, mean,
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 3: yeah it looks like the market doesn't agree with me
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 3: on this. ONE i think this is a pitching mismatch.
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 3: HERE i Like. Pittsburgh. Here this is a game where
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 3: THE a is they. Returned excuse they didn't. Return they.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 3: Did actually they return home From. Vegas they were on
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 3: the road for a. While they Clawbered pittsburgh in the
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 3: first game of the. Series pittsburgh bounced back to win
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 3: yesterday six.' five but now we have basically the rubber
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 3: match of this, series HERE and I think pittsburgh is the,
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 3: better team and the oddsmakers are telling you they are
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 3: by favoring. Them HERE so i like that we'll keep
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 3: their bullpen in. THE equation I guess i don't like either.
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 3: Bullpen Really the a's used four guys out of the.
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 3: Bullpen yesterday pittsburgh used four, as well but a little
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 3: bit lighter. USAGE there, i know if you want to go,
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 3: first five you can do, that too but it's gonna
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 3: be a little bit more of a price to go.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 3: First five you'll be looking at minus one thirty is
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 3: minus one Forty, on PITTSBURGH where i think their biggest
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 3: edges are. Starting PITCHING but i think they have a
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 3: slight bullpen advantage to the ranked Twenty second a's are ranked,
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 3: Twenty THIRD and i know both bullpens are liable to
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 3: kind of give it, up Here but i'm hoping that
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 3: in this case Because the Pits the pirates do have
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 3: a slightly better. Bullpen, HERE still i think that might
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 3: they might be able to their starter might be able
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 3: to carry us through into, the BULLPEN whereas i Think
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 3: the a's starter might get knocked out a little bit.
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 3: Earlier on we do have good to. Offenses Here the
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 3: a's are number three in Offense now pittsburgh is, number
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 3: six so the offense is are kind of a. Wash
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 3: Here braxton ashcraft is Pitching. For pittsburgh that's why We're backing.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 3: PITTSBURGH here I. LIKE ashcraft i think he's still under.
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 3: THE raider i think people still don't realize how good.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 3: He is he's got a three POINT three era one point.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 3: One whip he's been good on the road three point
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 3: one Six roadyra, of course this is not like every other,
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 3: road outing you KNOW what. I mean this is In this,
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 3: a's stadium so you do have to worry. About that
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 3: but you got to look at what his. Numbers are
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 3: what has he. Done, recently well he had one bad Start,
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 3: against Atlanta but atlanta's a good, hitting team and he's
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 3: still had five strikeouts no walks in. That one he
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 3: had eleven strikeouts no walks to start prior, to that
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 3: and he's allowed two or fewer eared runs and four
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 3: of his last five outings the only one not doing
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 3: so was the Game, Against atlanta so that all looks,
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 3: all right although none of, those offense well Maybe, the
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 3: coubs but none of those offense is really as good
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 3: as the offense that he's. Facing here but then you
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 3: have to look at how much of a fly ball pitcher? Is,
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 3: he well he's not really that much of a fly,
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 3: ball pitcher so. That's good you don't want an extreme
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 3: fly ball, pitcher necessarily probably you don't in. This STADIUM
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 3: but i think he's good enough at striking guys out
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 3: and he doesn't allow that many fly balls or, home
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 3: RUNS so i think that sets up okay here for.
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 3: This stadium he's got a low hit rate on, the
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 3: season he's got a high strikeout rate and a low walk.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 3: Rate too his numbers are good on. The season but
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 3: then you do have to look at did he pitch
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 3: in any of these environments? Last, year well he Faced,
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 3: the a's but it was. At home he shut them
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 3: out for three Innings in september, last year so he
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 3: shut he completely shut. Them down he no hit them for,
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 3: three innings had, six strikeouts. No walks might have been
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 3: a perfect three, innings there but he has not pitched
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 3: in this, stadium before Or in courtsefield before So, or
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 3: no he did Pitch, at coursefield. My mistake he actually
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 3: wasn't that good in, that start so. My Mistake, in
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 3: april he did give up three runs in two Innings,
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 3: at coursefield, five strikeouts. TWO walks i don't know how
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 3: much weight to really put, into that and his numbers overall.
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 3: Last year he was not an extreme fly ball pitcher
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 3: at all, last YEAR so i think we're all. Right
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 3: here and he only had three home runs last year
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 3: in sixty nine to two, thirds INNINGS so i still
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 3: think we're all right to back. Him here And, the
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 3: A'S like, i said they've only seen him very limited amounts.
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 3: Last year they saw him a. Little bit they have
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 3: six at bats, Against him jonah him is the only
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 3: guy with, a hit, a double, three strikeouts, No walks
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 3: so they're one for six with three strikeouts and no walks.
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 3: Against him ashcraft is still pretty unfamiliar, with THEM so
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 3: I think ashcraft has some. Edges here the unfamiliarity can
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 3: help him. As well and he's gonna be going Up Against,
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 3: aaron SAVALLEE who i think is the much worse. Pitcher
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 3: here he's coming back, from INJURY and i know he's
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 3: a veteran coming back, from injury and a lot of
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 3: times guys coming back, from injury they'll step up. THEIR
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 3: game i know that's, a THING but i Still think
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 3: savali is very. Fatable here he's never been that great throughout.
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 3: His career he's kind of a. Journeyman pitcher he's got
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 3: a four point two we ra, this year which, is
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 3: okay but a one point four to seven whip is.
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 3: Not good he's putting way too many guys. On base
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 3: he was pretty bad in his last two outings In
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 3: late may before he, went down and he allowed a
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 3: lot of. Home runs he allowed what is that eight
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 3: home runs over his last three starts before he. Went
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 3: down that's. Not good in, fourteen innings that's. Pretty bad
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 3: and he allowed twelve earned runs in his last nine
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 3: innings of work across. Two starts wasn't striking. Anybody out
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 3: none of this. Looks good he's got a low strikeout
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 3: ran on, the season a high. Hit rate he's allowed
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 3: a lot of. Home runs you want to talk about extreme, Flyball,
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 3: pitchers yeah. That's him he's allowed almost three times as
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 3: many fly ball outs as ground ball outs and he's
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 3: allowed a double digit amount of. Home runs so he's
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 3: the GUY that i think you need to be more
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 3: worried about pitching in. This stadium and the numbers also
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 3: suggest that he has a five point four to seven
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 3: home this year compared to three point one to nine on,
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 3: the road a though he's allowed the same amount of
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 3: home runs, each way but in fewer innings, at home
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 3: so his home run rate is higher. At home none
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 3: of that is good. AT all I think, SAVALE again
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 3: i think he's definitely. Fatable here and then you got
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 3: his Numbers against pittsburgh to. Look, at yeah they're not
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 3: very good and fifty five. At bats not all of
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 3: their hitters have, faced him but fifty five is a.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 3: Decent sample eleven to two strikeout walk ratio, is good
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 3: but two ninety one, average allowed eight sixty one. Oh
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 3: ps these are not. Good NUMBERS so i think this
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 3: is a. Pitching mismatch we're Gonna take, Pittsburgh here we'll
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 3: go full game, with it and, you know hope that
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 3: their bullpen advantage comes into play. As well if you
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 3: want to go, first five you could definitely do, that
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 3: too but you have to weigh like the price. And
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 3: whatever i'm gonna be pissed if they're ahead at the
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 3: end of five and then they blow. The, game though
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 3: seventy four percent of tickets sixty eight percent of the Cash,
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 3: on pittsburgh so the money is disagreeing. With me the
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 3: public Is. PLAYING pittsburgh i don't know why the money's
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 3: disagreeing with. THIS year i. Really don't the total is
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 3: high at ten and money is coming in on, the
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 3: over so the money is back in the. OVER here
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 3: i don't really love that because that that it seems
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 3: like both pitchers are being, faded here butich on, a
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 3: like although really what you have here is one good,
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 3: starting pitcher one bad, starting pitcher and two, bad bullpens
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 3: so there are more factors that line up towards, an
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 3: over and that would be more towards a full, game over.
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 3: YOU know, i mean let me look at the price
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 3: real quick for the. First five i'm a tempted to
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 3: switch this last second to a. First five i've not
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 3: actually bet this. Or anything let me see what's the
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 3: number on the. First five the numbers kind of all over.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 3: The place it's minus one, thirty five and we'll. Keep
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 3: it we'll keep it, full game but hopefully we can get.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 3: It right so that's the play money disagreeing with me,
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 3: on that, ALL RIGHT, A wnba we have a LOT of.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 3: Wnba here we have. SIX games i gotta try to
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 3: run through. This fast these are all Part of. Cup
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 3: play Washington at connecticut is the. First game these teams are.
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 3: Both bad connecticut's the worst team in. The league Connecticut,
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 3: JUST connecticut i think is in kind of a bad
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 3: spot because they Just took indiana almost to. The wire
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 3: i'm pretty sure that in their last Game against indiana
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 3: they were on the verge of maybe pulling off. THAT
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 3: upset i think the game was tied with like two minutes,
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 3: to Go so connecticut could be in a little bit
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 3: of a hangover spot. After that that was a. Big
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 3: game they almost pulled off, That UPSET so I think
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 3: i would look To fade. Connecticut here washington is coming
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 3: off a blowout Loss To new york and they're staying in.
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 3: This area they were Just In. New york they're only
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 3: Going to, connecticut here so that's not a. BIG deal
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 3: i think both teams have a similar rest set. Up
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 3: here washington is actually favored on, the Road although connecticut
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 3: is a. Terrible TEAM like, I said connecticut has eighty
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 3: seven percent of tickets eighty eight percent of. THE cash
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 3: i don't think the public is really getting involved IN the.
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 3: Wnba Here but washington is the better team as they're
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 3: being favored on. The road I'd lean washington here minus
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 3: one and, a half minus. One whatever maybe a money
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 3: line makes, sense there BUT obviously i don't see enough to,
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 3: do that but that's my. Lean There new york Is.
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 3: At Chicago, new YORK like, i said Just. Blasted Washington
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 3: new york has been playing really. Well recently they've won
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 3: every Game in, cup play so it looks like they're
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 3: trying to Win the. Cup Here Although new york is
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 3: also they're a team that could win the. Championship here
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 3: they won it two years ago and they could definitely win.
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 3: It again they're playing like it. Right now they Only
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 3: have washington. Again next they're not gonna be looking ahead.
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 3: To that they're Going to. Chicago here chicago does have
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 3: some injuries they're. DEALING with i think this game IS On.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 3: USA network i don't think it's necessarily a bad Spot For.
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 3: NEW york, i mean they have momentum to the better
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 3: team coming into. THIS one i think you pretty Much
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 3: know chicago should get up. For This but chicago is
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 3: coming off an, overtime game but they've had. More rest
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 3: chicago hasn't played Since, last THURSDAY and I Think new
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 3: york played like three days ago, or Something so chicago
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 3: does have a rest. Advantage here they've lost most Of
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 3: their cup. Games though the only game they won Was,
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 3: against connecticut so that's. Not good are they Lost to indiana.
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 3: In overtime that could still set you up for a hang,
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 3: over Though like chicago was an underdog in. That game
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 3: obviously they were on the Road at indiana and they
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 3: Almost beat indiana took them, into overtime so that could
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 3: put them in a hangover. Spot HERE but i don't
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 3: think they're going To Overlook new, york though and they have,
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 3: extra rests so, YOU know i COULD see i could
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 3: see arguments for both. Teams here the money is coming
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 3: In Towards new york seventy nine percent, of tickets ninety
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 3: three percent of the cash. On them they're at minus
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 3: ten and a half minus eleven on. The road that's
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 3: How Good new york is or how injured slash Not
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 3: good chicago is at. THIS point i. Don't know, to
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 3: me it looks like maybe a little bit too much.
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 3: DELAY here i, MEAN again i could see factors going.
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 3: Both ways chicago has a, rest advantage but their situational
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 3: spot coming Off that indiana game is not, Great either
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 3: so do with that info what, you WANT but i
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 3: don't really have a good opinion. On that Dallas At.
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 3: Golden State golden state has won three in a row
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 3: here against some somewhat weaker teams a week slash mediocre.
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 3: Teams here they're staying, at. HOME though i don't think
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 3: they're Gonna overlook Dallas because dallas has been. Playing Well
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 3: golden state is a, good TEAM though I Believe golden
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 3: state is favorite here even though they have the same Record.
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 3: As dallas dallas has been hot. As well dallas has
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 3: won a lot of games, recently too although they Lost to,
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 3: portland recently but they bounced back By Smashing. Las vegas
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 3: so they Just beat vegas by. Thirty points beating the
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 3: returning champs by thirty points and beating them for the
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 3: second time. This year that could put them in a letdown, spot,
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 3: Here MAN so i Don't love dallas coming into. This
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 3: one if you go and you look at, THAT game
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 3: i think it was a little. Bit misleading Even though
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 3: dallas did Out rebound vegas, And whatever dallas hit five.
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 3: More threes vegas just shot terribly in. The. Game overall
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 3: the game was closer than the final look, for Sure
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 3: and dallas went to. The line what is that is
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 3: that twelve? More times that's kind of ridiculous. As Well
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 3: so dallas, was yeah PLUS nine i guess from the free,
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 3: throw line and then they were also plus fifteen from three,
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 3: Point range so there were some. Outliers there dallas might
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 3: regress a little bit after a performance, like that so
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 3: some things to. CONSIDER there I think dallas definitely could
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 3: be in a letdown spot after Blowing out vegas. Like That,
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 3: golden STATE like, i said they're on a little bit
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 3: of a run here staying at HOME or i don't
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 3: think they're gonna be in any sort of bad. Spot
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 3: HERE so I Like golden state in. This one the
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 3: money is agreeing sixty seven percent, of tickets ninety one
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 3: percent of, the cash and then they're around minus two
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 3: and a half. Minus three the public might look at
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 3: that and, think, that oh the teams are. Both good
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 3: dallas Just. Crushed vegas, you know both teams have the,
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 3: same record and they might want to take, the points
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 3: thinking there's value there grabbing, The UNDERDOG but i don't
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 3: really think. SO there, I like I Like golden state
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 3: in That one MINNESOTA. AT la la just Lost To,
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 3: golden STATE like, i said but they were turning on
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 3: from a, road trip and, YOU know i don't love
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 3: that when the team's returning on from. The ROAD but
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 3: i know It is, cup play so they still might
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 3: get up for, this game but traveling they've stayed basically
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 3: On the, pacific coast though they Went, To Seattle Phoenix,
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 3: golden state but still they've been away for, a week so,
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 3: you know the return home spot can still be. A
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 3: negative it can. Distract you but no team is really Gonna.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 3: OVERLOOK minnesota i don't Really think minnesota has the best
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 3: record in the league, right now even though they don't
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 3: even have their best player and haven't had her for the,
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 3: whole season which. Is RIDICULOUS so i DON'T think la
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 3: is gonna be totally distracted or be looking Ahead To.
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 3: New york but still a. NEGATIVE spot i like to
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 3: fade teams returning on from. The road minnesota is coming
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 3: off an easy blowout Win, of portland which. Was misleading
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 3: i'm pissed about it because we lost, that one but
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 3: they are starting a road trip with. MOMENTUM here i
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 3: believe both teams have a similar amount, of rest trying
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 3: to cover these games. Really fast here let, me, say
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 3: yeah both teams have only been off for like one day.
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 3: Or whatever it's a hard game. TO handicap i Think
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 3: on minnesota is getting the money seventy three percent, of
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 3: tickets ninety percent of the cash, on them and the
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 3: money has come In. Towards minnesota they're at minus nine
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 3: nine and. A half i Don't believe collier is, back
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 3: YET but i believe the line MOVED because I think
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 3: plumb might be out AGAIN. For la so that's the
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 3: thing to look at in. This game she's One of LA's,
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 3: best PLAYERS and i think she used to Be on vegas,
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 3: or something so she might be. Hurt again she got
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 3: hurt again in the last game she played in that
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 3: game two, days ago but she might. Be out so
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 3: if she's out And then minnesota is up to a nine,
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 3: POINT favorite i think it might be a little bit
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 3: of an overreaction to her, being injured and maybe there's
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 3: some value in taking the POINTS. With la if it
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 3: is that injured player Spot with plumb, being out that's something.
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 3: To CONSIDER but i think if that's not, the case
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 3: it looks more Like a minnesota SPOT because la is
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 3: still returning home from a. ROAD trip I don't i
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 3: would NOT play la anyway because the return. HOME spot
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 3: i would just. Avoid it, BUT again i think at
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 3: Least with, plumb out you're getting an injured player at,
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 3: theory spot an extra line value. At them if you
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 3: are gonna consider it taking the points there with, her
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 3: out that might be the slight WAY that i would.
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 3: Lean there if that wasn't, The case i'd probably lean
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 3: towards laying like the five and a Half. With minnesota
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 3: but you're looking at nine to nine and a, half
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 3: now Presumably because plumb IS Out usa NETWORK and cnbc
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 3: because obviously this has to do. With money Vegas. And
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 3: phoenix phoenix has lost three games in. A row i
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 3: still Don't think phoenix is as bad as their, record
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 3: LOOKS so i think they're kind of a more. Mediocre
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 3: team they just had a return home game or they
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 3: lost in OVERTIME, to la and, you know the return
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 3: home spot usually it's a, difficult Spot so i'm not
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 3: gonna really fault them. For that phoenix has played a
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 3: really difficult schedule and they played a lot of road
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 3: games so, far TOO so i don't think they're as
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 3: bad as the. Record looks this could be a bounce
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 3: back spot for them off of losing that game in
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 3: the return, home SPOT and i doubt they're Gonna. Overlook
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 3: vegas the Problem is vegas is also not Gonna overlook
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 3: phoenix because remember first game of. THE season i, gave,
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 3: You guys phoenix because it was a revenge Spot because
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 3: Vegas beat phoenix in the finals last year to win,
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 3: the Championship and vegas was doing their whole ring. Ceremony
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 3: THINGS so i, was, Like yeah vegas is just gonna.
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 3: Be distracted phoenix is gonna focus and. WANT revenge i
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 3: did Not think phoenix would win by thirty, three points
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 3: but that was a really nice win for Us with
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 3: phoenix in, That One so vegas is gonna remember That
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 3: though vegas had a really, Bad GAME so i think
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 3: that's Gonna cause vegas to Not. Overlook, Phoenix here phoenix
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 3: hit seven more Threes than vegas did in. The game
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 3: they went to the line seven more times and hit
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 3: eight more. Free throws the rebounding battle was. Really close
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 3: vegas lost the turnover battle horrendously in, The game so
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 3: there were a lot of outliers in this game that
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 3: you should see be regression. Points here vegas should obviously
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 3: play better than, that here but, you Know like, I'M
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 3: again i think it's a positive Spot for. Phoenix. Here
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 3: though vegas is in a positive spot to the somewhat
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 3: because they just go blown Out by dallas in what
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 3: was kind of a misleading final, As well so, you
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 3: know they're probably gonna be angry about that and should
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 3: Focus on phoenix because of what happened in the first
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 3: game of. The season my Problem with vegas is that
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 3: they lost a six game win streak with that Loss,
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 3: to dallas and it was Their first, Cup loss so
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 3: that's kind of a problem if you think they are
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 3: focusing on THE cop i don't know if they, really
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 3: are because they're trying to win the championship here and
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 3: go back to back and WIN what i think they'd
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 3: win three out of four if they won. This year
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 3: i'm not sure, about THAT but i always talk about
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 3: when a team loses for the first time or they
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 3: lose this long, win streak losing for the first Time in.
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 3: Cup play that could be a hangover spot. For them
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 3: so THAT'S what i worry. About here and they played two.
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 3: DAYS ago I think phoenix might have. AS well I
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 3: know phoenix actually has extra Rest to phoenix Played, on
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 3: Saturday so phoenix does have a rest. Advantage here there
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 3: are some Negatives with, vegas HERE so i do not
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 3: want To play. Vegas here the money is Actually. Backing
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 3: phoenix vegas is laying six and a half now on,
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 3: the ROAD so i would still try to find the
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 3: seven and. A half there are some seven seven and
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 3: a half still. Out there dkse last seven and, A
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 3: half so if you are Looking, at phoenix try to
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 3: find the seven and a half because then you're getting
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 3: over that key number where teams stop intentionally fouling. At
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 3: seven but it looks like we have fifty to fifty
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 3: on the tickets and seventy six percent of the Cash,
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 3: on phoenix so the money Is. Backing phoenix BUT again
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 3: i see negatives and positives for both, teams THERE so
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 3: i don't want to. Get involved And then Seattle, at
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 3: portland and, IN fact i kind Of liked vegas in
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 3: that game for a bunch. Of reasons all THE reasons i,
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 3: already stated BUT then i looked at IT and i, was,
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 3: like yeah there are some reasons to not like. Them
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 3: Too so portland Or excuse Seattle. At portland this is an.
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 3: Ugly game portland is returning Home, from minnesota but it
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 3: was only a single game, road trip so not really
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 3: a road trip. Return spot seattle is a. Bad team
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 3: portland is not that, great Either but seattle's one of
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 3: the worst teams in. The league seattle's lost every game.
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 3: In play they've lost eight games in a row. As
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 3: well seattle's coming off a close Game Against golden state
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 3: where they almost were able to pull off a Game Against.
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 3: Golden state not sure that it's a great spot for.
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 3: Them here portland's the. BETTER team i don't think it's
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 3: a strong, opinion Here but portland's layth three and a
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 3: half even though they're an. Expansion team seattle is one
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 3: of the worst teams in the league. This year portland's
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 3: seventy one percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the cash.
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 3: ON them i will Lean to, portland there laying the
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 3: points with the, money there but not a. Strong opinion
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 3: that's a weak opinion for me on, that one, All
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 3: right and then We Have world cup play, AND yes
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 3: I know i Bashed that garrett was trolling me with,
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 3: that parlay that, moneyline parlay WHICH still i agree it
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 3: was a stupid play to make if you did. Make
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 3: that but every one of those favorites did, win YESTERDAY
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 3: so i thought one of them was not going, to
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 3: win like there was a decent chance that one of
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 3: those teams was gonna. Get drawn but it. Didn't Happen so,
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 3: france won EVEN though i thought they had a kind
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 3: of a tough Matchup Against senegal, Norway one i'm not surprised.
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 3: About That, against iraq that was. Pretty Easy the viking
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 3: man halland had two goals in. That game argentino won
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 3: with a hat Trick from messi at the age of.
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 3: Thirty eight you gotta be, kidding. Me Dude and messi
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 3: is such a small, Dude too like you see him,
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 3: out THERE like i think he's like. Five seven they
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 3: Call Him LAKUKA racha, i think or something, like that
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 3: because you can't kill him and. HE'S tiny i can't
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 3: believe he had a hat trick in that, Game though
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 3: and he scored every goal in. The game that's. Just,
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 3: Ridiculous obviously i'm not surprised They, beat algeria, but yeah
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 3: And then Austria, beat Jordan which i'm not really that
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 3: surprised by, that either EVEN though I like france to
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 3: win the. WHOLE thing I thought france had the most difficult,
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 3: match yesterday but they still won. Fairly easily, all right
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 3: these games were All On fox Fox Or fox Sports
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 3: won Peacock and Tella, Tell a. Telemunda whatever portugal is
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 3: a big favorite minus three seventy on the three way
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 3: line Against The democratic republic Of. The congo this game
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 3: is being Played, In houston texas At The. Texans stadium
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 3: not a whole lot to say. About this portugal should win.
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 3: THIS game, i mean We. KNOW portugal, i mean they
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 3: have name, recognition though so the public will expect them
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 3: to win. AS well, i mean they Still Have christiano
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 3: ronaldo on, THEIR team, i assume. And whatever he's the
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 3: main guy that everybody. Knows there but a lot of
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 3: these teams that are just these, lesser teams they're only
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 3: getting into this field because because the field, got expanded
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 3: you KNOW what, i Mean Which democratic republic Of the
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 3: congo might be one of those types of teams cure
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 3: us how teams, Like that like if this was not an,
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 3: expanded field these teams wouldn't be. In there, SO yeah
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 3: I think portugal, will win but, you know something surprising could.
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 3: Happen here England and croatia is probably the most interesting
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 3: match here in, my opinion because it's two pretty good.
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 3: Soccer countries these games are both in. The afternoon this
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 3: game is Also, in texas But at dallas At The
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 3: Dallas cowboys Stadium, In arlington Texas At Jerry world i'm
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 3: pretty sure is where. This is england is minus won
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 3: forty five on the three, way line so they've taken,
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 3: some money it. Looks LIKE but i don't know much,
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 3: about this but, to me it Seems like england is
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 3: kind of. Over Hyped, man like everybody talks about, them as,
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 3: you know, a powerhouse which kind of. THEY are, i
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 3: mean they've been in the mix In The world cup,
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 3: many times and, you know they're one of the top teams,
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 3: this year like they were one of the top teams
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 3: in odds to win it. THIS year I think croatia
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 3: might be a little bit under, the, Radar. Though croatia.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 3: They're solid they still have a wats his, face there
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 3: although maybe just for more of he might be just
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 3: more for like emotional support at. This point modrich is that,
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 3: His Name. Luka modrich that guy he's like forty years,
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 3: old now so You think messi. Is old modrich made
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 3: SOME noise i think in The Last world cup or
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 3: Maybe The world cup prior to that that he was like,
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 3: their guy like their best player. OR whatever i don't
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 3: know how much playing time he's, gonna get but he
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 3: is still on their, team technically so. We'll SEE but
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 3: i would. PROBABLY look I think i would Lean towards
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 3: croatia win or. Draw here you'll get them at a decent,
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 3: price there probably at about plus one twenty. Or so
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 3: if You take croatia win or draw in, THAT one
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 3: i think you might be able to do something like.
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 3: That there Ghana and panama in the Evening in toronto
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 3: is the game with the most. Competitive line ghana is
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 3: only plus one thirty five on the. Money line panama
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 3: is probably only about plus one ninety then or something
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 3: like that on the, Money line so this is supposed
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 3: to be a pretty. Competitive match here could be one that's.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 3: A closer one could be one where maybe a. DRAW
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 3: happens i know we've had a lot of. Draws RECENTLY
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 3: though i don't have a lot to say about THIS
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 3: because i don't know much about really most of, these
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 3: TEAMS so i don't know what else to say. About
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 3: it panama could be maybe a little bit of an
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 3: under the radar type of. Team here. YOU know I
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 3: think ghana might get a little bit more hype, around
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 3: THEM although i don't, really KNOW and i don't really
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 3: think that the location really helps either. Team whatever and
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 3: then we Have a uzbekistan somehow they're in this Playing.
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 3: Against colombia colombia is a minus two seventy. Favorite here
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 3: colombia they're decent soccer team here as FAR as. I
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 3: know they're playing this Game In, mexico CITY so i
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 3: think That. HELPS columbia I think columbia should have a
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 3: decent amount of fans, support there. YOU know, i know
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 3: Going from Colombia To mexico city is not exactly a
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 3: short travel a short amount, of travel but it's they
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 3: don't have to travel across an ocean though, for that
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 3: you KNOW what. I Mean so colombia is the Northernmost
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 3: south american country there Right. Bordering panama, SO whatever I
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 3: think colombia will have a good amount of fans support in.
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 3: That one plus they're, gonna be, you know just still
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 3: playing In a spanish, speaking country you KNOW what. I
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 3: MEAN so I think columbia probably has some. Edges there
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 3: they're the. Better team i'd be pretty surprised if, they
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 3: lost to, be HONEST but i. DON'T know i don't
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 3: know too much About. Who's beekistan, But, WHATEVER again i
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 3: don't have a whole lot. TO say i Think what
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 3: i'm gonna Do is i'm gonna start looking at teams
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 3: once they start playing their. Second Matches then i'm and that,
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 3: starts TOMORROW and i might start jumping in and looking
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 3: for spots to like zig. Zag things so. We'll see
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 3: that's gonna, do. It man after, all that my only
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 3: play today Is The, Pittsburgh pirates so do what you
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 3: want With that pirates. Money line only. Play today let's
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 3: keep the streak going again and let's get another. Win
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 3: here i'd. Enjoy it it's either gonna be a win,
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 3: or loss so one game is gonna determine. The Day
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 3: but i'm. Being selective that's gonna, Do it learn it Tone,
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 3: on twitter learn it Tone, on instagram like subscribe to the,
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 3: channel here boost, this channel keep, it, going man listen
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 3: On Audio. Apple spotify that all helps me out. To
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 3: well speaker covered In yuke my yuke chanll. ON YouTube
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 3: i will get back to it at. Some point patreon,
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 3: dot com. Slash Learners once i'm over, This illness i'll
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 3: start getting back. To it patreon dot com slash and.
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 3: Learner to you can throw me some support. That way
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 3: try to get some requests. DONE there i have a
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 3: yuk fee that's almost up. To date, There Again, loser
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 3: cast we were on the last. Two nights we had
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 3: the gay and RACIST guys gnr So Our Guns. N'
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 3: roses we had those guys on the, podcast yesterday so
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 3: check that. Show out a couple of fun episodes. This
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 3: week maybe a little bit, chaotic though with too many
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 3: guys on the show at, Once THOUGH so i. Don't
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 3: know you gotta you have to be like good and
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 3: like find ways to be able to not talk over
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 3: people when you have that many people, in it, you
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 3: know it's kind, of difficult especially when you haven't done
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 3: a podcast with those, guys before and you need to
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 3: like build up a little bit. Of chemistry but go
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 3: check that out And G Spot Giants New york giants
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 3: podcast should be back at. SOME point i FEEL like
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 3: i always say that though that's gonna. Do it let's
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 3: get this. Wind, today peace but don't you.
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 2: Go quiet don't you fade from. The floor your name
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 2: still mean something to somebody. For show put the, glass,
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 2: down baby look, at, me now, hold.
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 4: On, hold on.
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 3: Nothing nice, up now.
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 4: Hold on. Hold on let me pull.
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: That, bites hard but it don't get. The crown, hold
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: on hold on
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 2: And stay with me now