Latest / Best of Business / Sam Dickie: Fisher Funds expert on Nvidia reporting its latest quarterly results
Transcript
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- 0:16Speaker 2: Now the most valuable company on Earth, in Video has
- 0:19Speaker 2: reported its quarterly numbers in the past few hours. Every quarter,
- 0:23Speaker 2: this is treated as one of the single biggest events
- 0:26Speaker 2: in global market. Sam Dickey from Fisher Funds joins us.
- 0:28Speaker 2: Now Hi, Sam, hey, ed, Okay, what was the result?
- 0:32Speaker 3: How was the result? How was it different this time round?
- 0:36Speaker 4: It's I didn't think I'd ever say this, but in
- 0:38Speaker 4: Vidio has become a little bit boringly predictable, sort of
- 0:42Speaker 4: the low octane way to play AI. So they beat
- 0:45Speaker 4: revenue expectations by the customary two and a half billion.
- 0:47Speaker 4: They almost beat by two and a half billion every
- 0:49Speaker 4: quarter and raised next quarter's revenue guidance by the same
- 0:52Speaker 4: two and a half billion. But here's the thing. In
- 0:55Speaker 4: Video has now beaten consensus earnings for fifteen quarters in
- 0:59Speaker 4: a row. But the composition of that beats changing slightly.
- 1:02Speaker 4: So it used to be hardcore computer chips that we're
- 1:06Speaker 4: head of expectations what in Vidia's most well known, But
- 1:09Speaker 4: now it's really the networking business or the business that
- 1:11Speaker 4: wires up all those chips in the data center that's
- 1:13Speaker 4: doing the heavy lifting. So perhaps, just perhaps those competitors
- 1:17Speaker 4: like AMD or even Google or Amazon who make their
- 1:21Speaker 4: own chips now and nibbling away at their hardcore chip
- 1:24Speaker 4: market share at the edges.
- 1:26Speaker 3: Right, So who is buying all of these chips? Is
- 1:28Speaker 3: the customer base changing here?
- 1:30Speaker 4: It is a little bit. So we still have the
- 1:32Speaker 4: traditional buyers. So the big tech giants Microsoft, Meta, Google,
- 1:35Speaker 4: and Amazon, we've talked about their buying of these chips
- 1:39Speaker 4: and related products ballooning to nearly a trillion dollars this year,
- 1:42Speaker 4: But now it's sort of entire countries or sovereigns are
- 1:45Speaker 4: very big buyers and growing faster. So the uk UAE,
- 1:49Speaker 4: Saudi Arabia, Japan governments are all buying chips at scale.
- 1:53Speaker 4: But you've also got the fastest growing cohort being large
- 1:56Speaker 4: corporates in the market buying their own chips to to
- 1:59Speaker 4: train their own AI models.
- 2:02Speaker 3: The China overhang has been a bit of a thing
- 2:05Speaker 3: for in video for a few months. Now. Where are
- 2:06Speaker 3: we at with that?
- 2:09Speaker 4: Yeah, that saga does continue, So take a step back.
- 2:12Speaker 4: Remember the US government restricted what chips and video could
- 2:15Speaker 4: sell into China and last year, for example, in Vidio
- 2:18Speaker 4: wrote off about five billion dollars of chips ear marked
- 2:22Speaker 4: for China because or wrote the inventory off because they
- 2:25Speaker 4: couldn't sell them. And China used to be about twenty
- 2:27Speaker 4: five percent of in Video's data center revenue and that's
- 2:30Speaker 4: collapsed to basically nothing. So given the sort of the
- 2:33Speaker 4: Trump she bromance, well publicized romance over the last week
- 2:37Speaker 4: or so, the market was kind of waiting with baited breath,
- 2:40Speaker 4: waiting for that sort of fifty billion dollar a year
- 2:42Speaker 4: market to be reopened. But as of today, no change,
- 2:45Speaker 4: nothing in the numbers for China.
- 2:46Speaker 3: Okay, So what does this all mean for investors?
- 2:48Speaker 4: Then? I think in Video management has, of course, we know,
- 2:53Speaker 4: done an incredible job full stop, but they are also
- 2:56Speaker 4: doing an excellent job of dialing down the volatility in
- 2:59Speaker 4: the stock. So their expectations management is superb. They always
- 3:04Speaker 4: underpromise and slightly over deliver, and what that means is
- 3:07Speaker 4: the average daily volatility of the stock is less than
- 3:10Speaker 4: half some of its more leary peers, like Intel, for example.
- 3:15Speaker 3: It's good to talk to you, Sam, thank you as always,
- 3:17Speaker 3: and we talk again next week. Sam Dickey, Officier funds.
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