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NFL Week 8 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached a
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: new pink. Actually, I'm trying to burn my browins hat Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the bruins
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: arch hape. Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I can possibly have, Back with
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: you as I always am until I die, at least
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five. The worst month that I've
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. To
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: kill me, please. I don't even know what I should
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, it's towed back with you? Better off dead?
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: NFL Week eight position, coming off another winning day on
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: the show, Man, I don't even know how it happened,
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: but it happened. Yeah, I mean, we got a lot
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: of the late games right, man, So we're moving the
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: headphones again. Let's do this just using it for the
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: audio check now unencumbered. Baby, we're free. Let's go all right? Yeah,
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean maybe i'll talk about
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: it more tomorrow morning. I don't know if I want
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: to go through the whole rundown what happened here on
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: this show, because this is gonna be a long show, obviously,
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: the less long than usual because we have like six
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: teams on by here excuse me, I'm by here, but
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: we did not do well in college football. I will
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: save the rant for that for tomorrow morning show. Let's
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: get into the NFL. Man, we already want to know.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: In the NFL this week, I'm gonna add two more
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: plays for the Sunday card. I really really hate this board, dude,
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: so I'm gonna give you my opinions like I usually do.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go through like the final market read tomorrow
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: morning as well, just to see if anything change, because
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: I might have changing opinions on some of these games,
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: and some of these games are just so hard to read.
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: But I do have two strong enough opinions that I
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: think that will give them out as plays to track
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: the buys here. We are gonna have two teams coming
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: out of a bye into this week, so Buffalo and
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: Baltimore are those teams. We also have six teams on
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: by this week, so we do have only thirteen games
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: this week. I think one of them already happened. We're
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: already one to oh this week with the Chargers with
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: an easy win on Thursday. Lions, Raiders, Rams, Cardinals, Seahawks,
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: and Jaguars all on by this week. Of course, Rams
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: and Jaguars are gonna buy coming back from London. Rest
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: of these other teams that I mentioned were also all
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: on by this week, so we're gonna have a shorter,
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: shorter board here to work with, Man Jets Bengals. You
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: better believe that's gonna be one of my plays, because
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: you know me, man, oh ugliest game of the week. Perhaps, Yeah,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go. I'm gonna have a play on that one,
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: of course I am. That's in the one PM slate.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: We don't have any London games anymore. Yes, no Europe games. Yes,
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: hopefully they're done for the season. Hopefully they're done permanently.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: And well have one Monday night game this week too. Yes,
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: back to tradition, return to tradition. So much better, Man,
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: so much better, except that we don't have as many
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: spots that I like forty nine Ers and Texans. I
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: do have an opinion on this one. This opinion is
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: not gonna change. How close is this to being a
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: play for me? Pretty close? I like the Texans in
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: this game. Texans are sitting as a two point favorite.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: They haven't really moved. Public is all over the forty
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: nine or seventy three percent of tickets, only sixty five
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Niners. So they are
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: a public road underdog here. And you know I talk
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: about this. I like to fade the public just generally,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: because I think that's how you find value, because the books,
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: especially in the NFL, have to at least skew the
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: number a little bit towards that public side there. And
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: in a case like this, when you're getting an anti
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: public favorite, you're actually kind of you know that you're
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: actually getting like a decent team, like a competitive team.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: And yes, I do think the Texans are actually a
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: decent team, mostly because their defense is pretty good. San Francisco.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: This is a spot where you have a team like
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: San Francisco that looked really good in a primetime game.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: And that was a winner for me last week. That
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: was the only winner I gave out. I was one
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: and two. Not a good week for me in the NFL.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: Last week. San Francisco came through for us in the
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday night game. It was a bad spot for Atlanta.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: I think Pennis got hurt in the game, which I'll
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: talk about when we talk about Atlanta. But San Francisco
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: looked good in primetime. Man, they held that Atlanta team down.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is actually kind of an anti public team
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: in that one, because everybody was hyped up about Atlanta
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: because Atlanta had beaten Buffalo on Monday night the week
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: before that, so the public just they shift opinions. You
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: want to shift your opinion like to counter the public basically.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: So Atlanta was actually public because they had upset Buffalo.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: Everybody loved them. Everybody saw them do it in primetime.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: I was like, Nah, we're gonna get San Francisco bouncing
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: back nicely in this one after San Francisco had lost
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: I believe that week to Tampa Bay. And yet San
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Francisco showed up. Defense really showed up in the game
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: off of San Francisco. But now they have to travel
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: Aga again, back out on the road, and this is
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: gonna be a third road game in four weeks for
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: San Francisco. That's not easy, dude. Grand one of them
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: was Thursday night at La so they stayed in California
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: for that one and they had extra time off and
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: then they did have to go to the East Coast,
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: lost to Tampa Bay, flew all the way back cross
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: country to play that late night game. They beat Atlanta,
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: which tough spot for an East Coast team to have
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: to go west. As I always talk about the East
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: Coast teams having to play in the Pacific time zone
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: late night. Not an easy spot. Then San Francisco now
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: has to fly back out and they have to go
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: to Houston, and they're actually going to be on the
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: East Coast again next week against the Giants. San Francisco
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: difficult part of their schedule here. They're traveling all over
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: the place here, Man. The one I think good thing
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: for San Francisco is that Brock Purdy is not coming back.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: So if he was going to come back, I think
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: that would be like a chemistry shift, and I think
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: it would be a bit of a negative, kind of
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: a reverse injured players spot. But in this case, I'm
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: not even sure that he's the better quarterback. Mac Jones
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: has been doing fairly well, man, So I think just
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: San Francisco, they're just a well coached team, very good
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: defensive coordinated with Salad. Their other coach, Kyle Shanahan, maybe
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: the best coach in the league doing what he's doing
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: here at five and two with like just an extremely
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: injured team. But I think with all this travel with
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: a kind of depleted team here, I think it's gonna
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: be a problem coming into this one. Yes, they did
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: get kittled back last week, but I think they're still
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: without Piersol, so they're still a little bit thin at
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: wide receiver. McCaffrey did finally break out and have a
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: good game for once, but I don't know if he's
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to do it against Houston, because again, Houston,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: the one thing that they do well is play defense,
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: and I think they might be able to slow this
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: San Francisco offense down more than some of these other
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: teams have been able to. Not that San Francisco's offense
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: was really even that good last week against Atlanta. McCaffrey
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: was able to run the ball and they were able
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: to maintain possession of the ball at the very least.
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: But San Francisco also injured on defense as they lost
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: war going into that game last week. He's their defensive captain.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: He's out. I think they're still without Bosa as well,
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: So definitely some injury concerns for San Francisco. They're coming
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: out and they're about to face Houston, who looked really
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: bad on Prime time. And yes, it's a shorter week
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: for Houston because Houston played on Monday night. They played
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: in the late night game on the Pacific coast, so
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: they're actually going from the Pacific coast from Seattle back
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: home as well. So that's kind of my hesitation with
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: this is just I don't love the Houston's on the
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: shorter week, And the other thing I don't love is
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: that Houston actually won the turnover battle against Seattle and
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: they still lost the game. Houston actually won the turnover
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: battle four to one, so it's pretty bad that they
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: still lost a game by eight points, like when you
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: have a turnover margin like that, when you're plus three
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: in turnovers, and they didn't even lose the yards battle
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: by that much. They only lost it by whatever that is,
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: sixty yards, So there's not much of an excuse for
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: them to lose this game by eight still, so they
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: didn't capitalize on the turnovers. A couple of concerns with
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Houston just for those reasons. But I do think they're
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for this game. It's a Monday night
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: game against the forty nine ers. It's gonna be throwing
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: off the public. The fact that the Niners are five
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: and two and Houston's only two and four. The public
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: is gonna want nothing to do with Houston for that reason.
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: They're gonna think there's value getting. Oh, San Francisco, the
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: team that looked better in primetime than Houston did last week,
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: the team that has the better record, and you're giving
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: me them as an underdog. What is that? Yeah, it
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: looks way too easy to take San Francisco as the underdog,
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: so I would not do it. Houston. I mean, they've
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: also been competitive this entire season, Like every one of
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: their losses was by one score. Their loss that was
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: by the biggest margin was that eight point loss against Seattle.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: They haven't lost by more than that in any game
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: the season. So Houston, I mean that they've not played badly.
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: Their defense is keeping them in games, just as their
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: offense is really struggling right now. They have a ton
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: of offensive injuries, very depleted offense. Is Stroud. I mean,
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: the league has figured Stroud out. He's just not as
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: good as he looked like he was in his rookie season.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: But all that being said, I like the Texans in
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: that game not going to be a play for me,
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: but that one is closer to being a play for me.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: Too long of a handicap on that one probably bears
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: Ravens is gonna be my other play. I'll leave that
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: for the end of the show. Dolphins Falcons also at
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: one PM. Here, Falcons are up from a six point
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: favorite to a seven point favorite. They're public ninety two
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, but ninety three percent of the cash,
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: so it looks like some of the money is joining
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: the public on the Falcons here. I have some hesitations. Man,
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: this is a game where I don't really have a
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: strong opinion on the side. I don't know which way
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: I actually want to go in, like my pick them
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: yet where I have to pick every single game. Normally,
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: I would say you actually probably want to look to
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: taking the points with the Falcons just because Atlanta. I mean,
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: they're traveling cross country, which is not really that easy
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: to do. We saw them play Sunday night. They lost
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a wind streak there. They're having
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: to cross the country twice because they beat Buffalo at
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: home primetime game, they had to play another primetime game
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: against San Francisco out on the Pacific coast. Now they're
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: flying all the way back east, so that's not that
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: easy to do. And Miami just got annihilated last week
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: against the Browns, which is gonna make Miami look even worse,
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: not that Miami looks good anyway, but they had at
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: least basically been in every single one of their losses
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: except for their season opener against Indianapolis where they got
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: pretty much blown out and they had a bad turnover
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: margin in that one. But now they got blown out
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: by the Browns. So people are just gonna be nobody's
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be taking the excuse me, nobody's gonna be taking
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins after this. But if you look at what
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: happened in this game, I know they lost thirty one
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: to six, but the Dolphins actually outgained the Browns in
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: this game, even though they only had two hundred and
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: nineteen yards. Both teams were in the low two hundreds
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: yards wise, the Dolphins were minus four and turnovers. But
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: looking at this final score, you would think the Cleveland
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: absolutely destroyed them, but that was not the case. So
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: this is a very misleading results. So I actually do
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: think the Dolphins maybe are not quite as bad as
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: they look. But the problem that I have, yes, I
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: probably still need to taking the points with the Dolphins.
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Falcons are just too public. I think
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: the spot does set up a little bit better to
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: maybe get some value at the Dolphins at plus the touchdown.
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: But the problem is Atlanta is in an injured player
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: spot here, as I was alluding to when I just
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: talked about the Niners against the Falcons last week. Pennis
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: got hurt, so he's not playing in this game. So
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: that means Atlanta is going to go to Kirk Cousins,
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: and it hasn't really affected the line. So I talk
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: about the injured player spot where when the start, like
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: when a starting quarterback goes down, a lot of times,
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: the line will drop on that team. So you get
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit of extra value on that team, and
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: the team will like become extra motivated, right, and we'll
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: step up because they know, oh crap, we lost our quarterback.
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: Now we have to like play harder. And to an extent,
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: I do think the Falcons are gonna have that aspect
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: of this, even though the line hasn't moved, because the
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers are basically telling you it's not a downgrade from
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: Pennix to Kirk Cousins, and I agree that it's not
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: really a downgrade. I don't think it really matters necessarily
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: which quarterback is in their Cousins. He knows what he's
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: doing out there. Man, he's a veteran, he's been in
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: the NFL for a long time, he's been in the
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: playoffs before. He knows the deal, he knows the drill.
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: He's not unfamiliar with this at all. I think he's
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: gonna be actually really excited to get back out there,
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: to be honest. And he's a guy that gets respect
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: from his teammates, so I think his teammates are gonna
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: be pumped to play with him as well. I think
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: the Falcons are going to an extent be kind of
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: angry because they looked really bad in primetime last Sunday night,
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: so I think they will want to play better for
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: that reason too. So you can see why I'm struggling
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: to figure out what I would want to do with
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: this game, which is obviously I'm not gonna give out
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: a play. I'm leaving this game alone. I'm considering the
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: Falcons and Survivor though, because they don't have that much
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: future value, so maybe there'll be some value there. And
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: for people that think Kirk Cousins is bad because of
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: what they saw last year, watch the Netflix Quarterback documentary
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: See what really happened with that Cousins he was playing
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: injured man. He was massively injured. He had like an
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: injured shoulder, an injured leg. He was basically he just
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: couldn't even like get out there and do anything. Man.
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: So we actually have a healthy Kirk Cousins now coming
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: out here. So I think the Cousins that you see
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: tomorrow is not going to be the Cousins that you
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: saw when they finally switched to Pennix last year. Cousins
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: he was like literally on one leg and like couldn't
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: even throw the ball. And I'm assuming he's healthy now,
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: So I think he's gonna be okay and he's gonna
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: be back out there. And you could see like how
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: sad Kirk Cousins was that he wasn't playing anymore too.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: I think he's gonna want to seize this opportunity, man,
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: because he basically was like when you watch that documentary,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: he's like, I'm not done yet. I was kind of
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: rooting for him to go somewhere else. It would be
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: awesome if he went to Minnesota because they don't have
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: a fucking quarterback in Minnesota, so they could really use
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins back there right now. He could be their
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: starter and they could be a playoff team potentially if
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: he was. But I think he's gonna try to make
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: the most of this opportunity, man, because if you go
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: out there and you do well, it's possible that, Like
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, I doubt that he's gonna keep the starting
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: jaw because they drafted Pennix for a reason, but you
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: never know. So I think he's gonna be extra motivated
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: to get out there though. So there are some reasons
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: to kind of like the Falcons here as well. So
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, I slightly lean to fading the public with Miami,
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: but it's that's a very very difficult read in that game,
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: mohave wander What's up man? Cowboys and Steelers on a
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: two leg parlay, I actually disagree with both of those sides,
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: which I'll I don't have a strong opinion necessarily on
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys Broncos game. I like green Bay quite a
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: bit in the In the Night game, which I'm gonna
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: talk about when I get to those games, so if
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: you stick around, you can see what my thoughts are
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: on it. But yeah, I'm I don't have like strong
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: opinions necessarily on those two games though, Nate, What's up Man?
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, all right, Where are we going next?
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: Bill's Panthers bills very public, but it looks like the
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: cash is also joining the public on the bills here
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: they're seven point road favorite. Money is coming in on
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: the seven. It looks like, as it's getting close to
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: seven and a half here, ninety one percent of the tickets,
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash on the bills. Again,
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: this is one of those spots where i'd kind of
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: my default reaction is like I want to fade the
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: public here, and I would want to lean towards taking
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: the points with the Panthers. But the Bills are coming
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: out of a buye and I think that buy came
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: at a good time for the Bills because they went
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: into the buy on a really bad note. They lost
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: two games in a row. They lost to New England
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: as a favorite in that primetime game where it was
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: like New England's coming out party, and then they followed
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: it up with a loss at Atlanta, and I pointed
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: out I liked Atlanta quite a bit in that one.
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: I didn't make it a play. Kind of mad that
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: I didn't. But Buffalo went into the buy on that note,
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: so you know they're gonna be getting drilled. They're gonna
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: be fixing some things in that buy. Like the best
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: time for a buye to come up is when you're
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: on a losing streak, because that buy can like end
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: that losing streak right away and then you come out
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: and you play better after that buy. So that is
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: positive for Buffalo. There is a negative here, though, which
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: is that their next opponent is the Kansas City Chiefs.
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: And you know, Buffalo has that game circle because guess what,
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs are the team that eliminated Buffalo from the
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: playoffs again last year. So Buffalo they're gonna want revenge
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: against Kansas City. Obviously that is a huge game for them.
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: So the question is are they gonna be looking ahead?
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean I would put more weight
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: into the bibing a positive. I think that that what
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: happened before the game matters more than like what might
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: happen in the future, right, because what happens in the
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: future is only a mental thing. You just have to
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: avoid getting distracted by that look ahead. But what happened
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: in the past, it already did whatever it did to you.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: And in this case, I think they had a positive
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: week off to try to fix things. So I actually,
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: as ridiculous as it might sound, I'm actually kind of
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: slightly looking towards Buffalo in this one right now, although
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: Caroline is coming off a real, real ugly game against
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: the Jets. But here's the other thing about Carolina. Bryce
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: Young has been doing so bad that Carolina is actually
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: switching to Andy Dalton in this game, and it hasn't
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: really affected the line. So the oddsbeakers are basically like,
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: we don't fucking know, man, Like either of these quarterbacks
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: doesn't really matter. So the ginger, the what's his nickname,
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: the Red Rocket? He's coming back, baby, or is that
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: Cooper Rush? Is Rush the Red Rocket? I don't know, man,
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: It should be Dalton. Dalton's coming back in this one.
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: He's a veteran. I mean, he's been around for a
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: long long time, so he's not gonna be intimidated by
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: this or anything like that. It might actually be an upgrade.
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: And the thing that that might help out with with
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: Carolina is Buffalo might have a little bit more of
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: a difficult time preparing for that because they probably spent
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: the whole week preparing for Bryce Young and now they
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: have to prepare for Andy Dalton on the fly, although
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: I know Andy Dalton old, like, he doesn't really have
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: an added dimension to his game at this point. He's
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: a pocket passer and that's basically it. And you saw
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: what Carolina did with him last year, so Buffalo could
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: probably still whip up something for that. Again, like, these
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: games are so difficult to read, dude, Like I don't
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: even know what I want to do with these, Like
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: do I want to really like pick Buffalo laying the
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: points in my pick them league when I usually will
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: like fade the public. I don't know, man, I still
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: don't know what I want to do with this one.
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: I could see arguments for both sides in this one too.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: Carolina is coming off that really ugly win over the Jets,
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: which people were gonna put no weight into that at all.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: Although I thought it was a bad spot for Carolina
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: because they were coming off that big win over Dallas,
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: but the Jets were coming back from London, so you know,
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I have to take it back
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: about the team's returning from London. The teams that say no,
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: we don't want to take the buye, we want to
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: play immediately because they've been really bad. They've been their
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: zero to three against the spread this year, so that's
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: not good. Every redhead not named Carrot Top is called
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: the red Rocket. Okay, yeah, and it's also every dog
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: Dick is called the red Rocket. Giants Eagles. I got
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: a hard time with this one too, man, because the
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: Eagles are public seventy four percent of tickets, only seventy
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash Eagles down from eight to
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: seven here. But I mean, we remember what happened two
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: weeks ago, right, the Eagles played at the Giants. The
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: Giants had that ridiculous win, crazy win, which I was
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: correct about on the show, although I didn't give it
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: out as a play. Giants pulled off the upset in
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: that one. Remember what the line was in that game though?
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: The line was Eagles minus seven and a half in
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: that game at the Giants. And now you're telling me
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: that the Eagles are a smaller favorite than that at home, Like,
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: does that line make any sense? Yeah? I mean definitely.
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: You could argue that the Eagles should not have been
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: a seven and a half point favorite at the New
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: York Giants in that game. But if you give each
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: team like one and a half, the minimal amount of
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: home field. This line should at least be ten. And
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: then yeah, you got to deal with the fact that
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: aj Brown is going to be out in this game
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: for the Eagles. But he I mean, if you've watched
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: the Eagles, he looked hurt anyway. So I don't even
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: think that's going to downgrade the Eagles at all. So
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: I think there is line value on the Eagles in
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: this game. Like this line I think is just too short. Again,
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: even if you think that the Eagles should have been
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: less of a favorite in that game against the Giants,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: I think this line still should be higher than a
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: touchdown here in this one. The Giants are also coming
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: up that brutal game last week where they had to
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: go to Elevation. I mean, this is a difficult schedule
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: for the Giants right now. Man, if you look what
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: they did recently. They've got that win Jackson darts debut
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: against the Chargers, which that was one of my plays
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: on the show. We got that right. Then I gave
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: out New Orleans the following week, and that was another
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: correct play on the show. They had to go to
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: New Orleans, let down spot. They lost the game. They
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: were looking ahead to a Thursday night game against Philly
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: as well. They pulled off the huge against Philly, then
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: they had to go out on the road again, out
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: into elevation. I gave up Denver on the show. I
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: thought it was a bad spot for the Giants. I
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: thought it was a major letdown spot. They had this
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: Eagles game again up next Denver though, they were coming
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: back from London, and Denver just started really slow in
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: that game. Denver, it took a miracle for them to
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: win that game. But the thing is the Giants, I
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be maybe a little bit crushed, like
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: that was kind of a spirit crushing loss, man. I
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: think for how the Giants lost that game, they were
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: winning nineteen to nothing. In the fourth quarter of that game,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: they were still winning, I think got twenty what was it,
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: twenty six to eight or something like that, with not
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: much time left in the game, with like maybe eight
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: minutes to go, maybe less, and they wound up giving
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: up thirty three points in the fourth quarter and losing
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: the game thirty three to thirty two. And the Giants
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: also missed two extra points in the game because they
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: don't have a kicker, which, by the way, their kicker
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: right now, looks like it's Graham Gno, but I don't
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: know if he's actually gonna be ready to play in
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: this game. So just another thing to keep in mind here.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: It's all just craziness. But I think that was a
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: really deflating loss. And you know that because Philadelphia just
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: lost to the Giants, you know that Philadelphia is not
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook them this time. So I actually do lean
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: to the Eagles in this game. Philly coming off a
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: good win against Minnesota, but I mean Minnesota, they just
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: don't look very good right now, So I don't think
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: the Philadelphia is gonna be like in a letdown spot
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: after that or anything like that. They're going into a
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: bye after this, so they do have Green Bay and
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: Detroit coming up after this, and those are huge games.
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: They're both primetime games. But I don't know if it's
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: really gonna be a look ahead because they do have
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: the buye They're gonna remember what the Giants just did
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: to them, man, and this is a quick revenge spot,
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: so you know the Eagles are gonna be the team
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: that has the adjustments to make because now they've seen
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: what the Giants did. This is gonna be the first
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: time that a team faces the Jackson Dart Giant offense
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: for the second time, and I think they're gonna do
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit better facing him the second time. We'd
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: be my opinion. Even though I don't think the Eagles
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: defense is really that good. I do think the Eagles
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: are overrated this year, but in this spot, I would
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: lean to the Eagles in this game, so that that
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: one I have a stronger opinion slightly towards the favorite
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: than I do with other Bills and the Falcons. But
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: I I have to figure it out before I make
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: these picks tomorrow. But they're not gonna be plays for me,
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: so very very difficult to figure these games out. We
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: have yet another touchdown favorite and Browns Patriots. This game
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: is a pretty low total. It's gone up a little
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: bit from forty and a half to forty one, but
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: we're expected to see some defense in this game, especially
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: because the Browns are actually a legit defense. Eighty two
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, only seventy nine percent of the
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: cash on the Patriots, so the Patriots are obviously the
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: hype right now. The public is on the Patriot train
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: because the Patriots keep winning. I would probably lean to
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: take take I would probably lean to taking the points
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: of the Browns in this one, though, because they're the
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: better defense getting points, so that's just kind of my default.
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: I know the Browns looked better than they actually were
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: last week because Miami turned it over a ton and
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: the Browns offense did absolutely nothing. But that's a confidence
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: boosting win at the very least because the Browns had
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: lost three games in a row. So I think the
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: Browns will at least have some confidence coming into this
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: game and show up for this game, at least on
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: New England. I think they're a little bit overrated right now. Yes,
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: they're five and two, they're ahead of Buffalo in the
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: AFC East right now, But what have they done outside
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: of winning against Buffalo. They pulled off that upset, which
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: if one play went different here and there, they would
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: have lost that game. Their other wins are against Miami Carolina,
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: which was a misleading result by the way, where Carolina
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: had a lot of turnovers. New Orleans and then Tennessee
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: and Tennessee compounded their mistakes with a lot of turnovers too,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: So the Patriots have no impressive wins besides the Buffalo one.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: So they faced a really really weak schedule so far.
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: So I'm still not completely sold on the Patriots. I mean, yes,
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: they're the second best team in their division. I don't
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: think they're better than the Bills. I think at some
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: point they're gonna regrets to some extent as teams also
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: kind of start figuring out what the Patriots are doing
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: with this Drake may offense, even though I do think
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: he is pretty good, But I would lean to the
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: Cleveland defense and that woe to take the points with
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: Cleveland Bucks Saints. This is gonna be one where I'm
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: not gonna change my opinion on the Bucks are a
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite. I don't think they
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: were ever a six point underdog. I don't know what
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: the hell that is. Eighty two percent of the tickets,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: only seventy eight percent of the cash on Tampa. They're
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: a very public road favorite. And you know me, dude,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: I'm leaning against Tampa every single week. I mean, that's
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: just the way that it is. Because they had four
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: of their five wins they were losing the game in
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: the final like minute eight of the game, so they
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: could easily be like a below five hundred team if
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: those games went slightly differently. They're only really convincing wins
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: against San Francisco, and San Francisco was in a bad spot.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: Good win, but still bad spot. And maybe we're seeing
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: Tampa get a little bit of a little bit exposed
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: because they did lose pretty badly on Monday Night and
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: their offense did absolutely nothing against Detroit. They lost twenty
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: four to nine in that game against Detroit. But Tampa
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: is a team that looked bad on Monday Night, So
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: you could argue that maybe that means they're gonna be
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit undervalue, perhaps because everybody saw them look
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: bad on Monday Night. But I don't think they're gonna
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: be undervalue when their opponent is the one win New
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: Orleans Saints. I mean, you're pretty much always gonna get
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: value on the Saints against a five and two Tampa
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: Bay team that right now still looks better than they
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: actually are. I think, I mean Tampa. You know that
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: that's the case because Tampa is still very public obviously,
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: so I still need to taking the points with New Orleans.
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: You know, New Orleans is gonna get up for this
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: game because it is a big divisional game. You know,
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: New Orleans is gonna try to play tough in this
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: one Tampa. They are coming off, they are on a
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: short week at the very least, and still a tough loss.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: You get up emotionally for a game against Detroit on
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: Monday night. They lost the game. They're gonna have a
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: bye after this, and then New England and Buffalo, though
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: those are out of conference games. But I do think
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: it sets up a little bit better for New Orleans.
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: And New Orleans has at least been pretty competitive in
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: basically all their losses. They've lost by seven to five.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: Their only blowout loss was to Seattle, and that was
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: because of I think some turnovers and the yardage battle
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: was like not much of a difference in that game.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: Like Seattle did not outgain them by much. In that
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: one a, New Orleans hung to within twelve. At Buffalo,
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: they only lost by six to New England, and then
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: last week they lost by twelve to the Bears, which
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: was one of my losses on the show. But if
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: you look at what happened in this game, New Orleans
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: lost the turnover battle four to one minus three in turnovers. Yes,
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: the Bears did outgain them, but when you lose the
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: turnover battle four to one and you only lose by twelve.
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: That's kind of saying something. I mean, it does say
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: that the Bears. The Bears didn't capitalize on those mistakes.
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: But I still think New Orleans, I mean, they're playing
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: tough in every one of these games, so they're a
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: decent underdog, and it's a divisional home underdog in this case.
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: I think that is the way to look in now,
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: an anti public as well. Not a play for me,
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: though I don't really have a situation to really rely
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: on there. Dallas at Denver SOS. If Mojave is still here,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about this game now. The money is
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: actually somewhat agreeing with him. Right now is the Broncos.
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know when they were ever a five point favorite,
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: but they're three and a half point favorite right now.
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: Sixty five percent of the tickets, sixty nine percent of
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on the Cowboys side. This total
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: is insanely high, and I just I don't see this
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: going over this total. The totals up from forty seven
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: to fifty one, and it's basically because the Cowboys defense
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: is absolute ass The Cowboys of one of the worst
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: defenses in all of football, and they did just lose
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: who was it? The Cowboys lost one of their cornerbacks.
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: I think digs I want to say so the Cowboys.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're just massively depleted on defense. Yeah, their
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: offense looks good. But if you like the Broncos in
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: this game, and I do kind of lean that way,
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be an under type of game.
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: Eighty six percent of the tickets, only eighty two percent
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over. We also saw we
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: saw the Broncos score thirty three points in one quarter
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: last week, and we saw the Cowboys score over forty.
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: So the public is going to be all over the
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: over in this one. I don't agree with that. I
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: would lean to the under in this game, especially when
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: you get under the key number fifty one. And I
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: think under is correlated to the Broncos because if it's
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: gonna be a low scoring game, that means the Broncos
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: defense is checking the Cowboys offense. Yes, the Broncos should
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: be able to put up some points against this really
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: bad Cowboy defense as well. Knicks hasn't been very good
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: in his sophomore year, but this is a defense that
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: he should do well against And also the Broncos scoring
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: thirty three points in one quarter pretty misleading because they
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: scored zero in the first three quarters in that game
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: against a giant defense. It isn't really that good. So
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but I do lean to the Broncos
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: as well. They're a three and a half point favorite
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: right now. I think I already mentioned that and mentioned
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: where the money's coming in. It's slightly on Dallas right now,
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: but I don't agree with it really Dallas. They're coming
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: off of a really huge divisional win, dude, beating Washington,
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: and Jade Daniels got hurt in the middle of that
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: game as well, but Dallas huge win for them. Man,
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: beating Washington, that's a huge divisional win for Dallas. I
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: think they could be in a little bit of a
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: letdown spot after that. Now they have to play a
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: third game in four weeks on the road. They're actually
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: playing a fourth game in six weeks on the road.
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: They've been all over the place, dude, those games being
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: in Chicago, in New York, Carolina, and now they have
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: to go to elevation to Denver. So this is a
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: spot where I think the travel might be catching up
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: to Dallas again. Three road games in four weeks is
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: not a great spot for any NFL team. Plus it's
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: the letdown spot Denver. I think they might be better,
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: just like I said, with the Chargers having a second
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: game in a row back home after so the Chargers,
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: you know, after traveling all over the place, the Chargers
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: got to stay at home for once. That's what Denver's
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: doing here, because Denver had to go to philadel and
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: then they went to London, they came back home. Now
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: they're back home for another week. I think it sets
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: up better for Denver here, man, and Denver almost lost
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: that game as a favorite. I think Denver knows they
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: escaped that game, and I know it was a hard
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: fought game, But I think that game is gonna hang
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: the Giants over more than it does to Denver because
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: I think Denver was just expected to win that game
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: and they almost didn't. So I think Denver's gonna realize
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: we escaped in that game. Man. And it's the Dallas Cowboys,
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, Denver's gonna show up for a game against Dallas.
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: Dallas for them, it's also one of the least meaningful
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: games on their schedule because it's a road out of
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: conference game, and I know they already did that, and
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: they did beat beat the Jets in one of those games.
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: But even so, Denver is better than the Jets obviously,
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: And yeah, Dallas again, road out of conference game. It's
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: the game that means the least on your schedule because
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: it's because it has almost no effect on the tiebreaker
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: at the end of the season. Sorry, is just out
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: of it right now because it's late. Yeah, I lean
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: to Denver in that one. I don't think I'm gonna
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: wind up changing my opinion on that one, to be honest,
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna probably wind up with Denver and
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: the Pickhams, but it's not gonna be not gonna be
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: a play for me. And yeah, Javonte Williams revenge game,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know how much weight to put it to
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: that really. So he's he's Dallas's running back now, right,
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: and he was formerly on Denver. I don't even know
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: who the fuck does Dever even have as a running
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: back now. I don't even know. I know they have RJ.
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: Harvey in the mix there. Who else do they have? Oh? Yeah, Dobbins,
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: that's right, the other initial guy JK not JK. Simmons
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: the act or Whiplash. Good movie by the way, but yeah, JK.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: Dobbins and R. J. Harvey. Yeah there all right. At
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: Tennessee at Indianapolis this is wait, is that the next game? Yes?
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: It is. Oh I skipped over it. Sorry, I went
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: over to the schedule rather than the rather than going
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: down the board. Sorry, but whatever, Tennessee and Indianapolis. Indianapolis
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: is the largest favorite on the board this week. They're
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: up from twelve to fourteen and a half. Here in
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: this one, ninety two percent of the tickets, ninety four
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on the Colts. They're
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: public right now. The money's also coming in on the Colts,
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: but I'm not going to agree with that. I would
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: not lay the double digits with the Colts. Everybody's I
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: think too high on the Colts. I mean, they're my team,
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: but one of the Colts really done. I mean their
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: impressive wins are the ones against well really, their only
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: impressive win was the one last week at LA, which
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: I thought they were going to lose that game. But
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: I guess I was wrong about the the uniforms LA.
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: Apparently they didn't feel good in those yellow uniforms and
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: they lost the game. They didn't play a good game
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: if you look at what happened in this game though,
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: which I think I pointed out when I handicapped the
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: Chargers and I went with the Chargers this week. The
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: Chargers actually outgained indian this game, but the Chargers were
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: minus two and turnovers and that was part of the
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: reason why they lost the game. So the game was
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: not exactly what it appeared to be on the scoreboard.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: And that's Indy's best game of the season. I mean,
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: look at what INDI's wins are. They beat Miami Tennessee
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: Raiders Arizona with a backup quarterback, although I think Brissett
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: is actually better than Kyler Murray, and Indianapolis came close
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: to losing that game, and yes they had to win
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: against Denver. Denver's a good team, but Indianapolis got lucky
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: at the end of that on that leverage call to
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: get the rekick there. So Indianapolis it faced a really
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: weak schedule so far, and they already went into Tennessee
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: and beat them by twenty one in Tennessee. So this
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: is I think the first instance of this this year.
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: This is a divisional road revenge angle. It works out
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: more often than it does not. So this is something
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: I talked about. Once we get into the later part
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: of the NFL season, when you have a second of
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: the two divisional matchups and the road team won the
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: first one, you tend to want to you want to
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: look towards the road. I mean, you don't tend to,
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: like the public's gonna tend to want to be on
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: the Colts in this one. But from a handicapping perspective,
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: what you actually want to do is you want to
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: look towards the road team because that team already lost
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: to this team in their own house, so they're gonna
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: want to like repay the favor, and you're usually getting
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: them as an underdog. That is the case here. Yes,
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: I know Tennessee is probably the worst team in football,
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: but they're getting a ton of points here. Man, it's
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: a spot where maybe Indy just looks right past them.
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, Indy's coming off a big win over the Chargers,
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: they got a winning opponent next in Pittsburgh, Aaron Rodgers.
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: So and again Indy already easily beat Tennessee on the
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: road once. So I think Indy might just look right
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: past Tennessee in this one. I would lead to Tennessee
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: plus all those points in that one, if I was
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: really gonna play that one, which I'm not. Sunday Night.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: We're already Sunday night. Man. I love these short weeks.
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: You can get in and get out, just like we'll
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: get in and get out, just like you're either like
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: you're fucking a hooker or like the Colts are gonna
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: do with that game against the Titans. Sunday night is
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: a big game. This is the Aaron Rodgers Bowl. It
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: is the Packers against the Steelers. That is the first
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: time Aaron Rodgers is playing against the Packers in his
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: entire career, because of course he's spent almost his entire
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: career with the Packers. He is saying he's gonna retire
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: as a Packer, which obviously makes sense. So I don't
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: think he really has any animosity towards the Packers. You know,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: I think he basically knew it was time to see
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: to Jordan Love. I talked about this last week. Maybe
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: he didn't want to do what Brett Fire did to
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: him and like keep sticking around there, and the team
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: basically had to be like, nah, see you, Brett, like
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: we have to go with Aaron. Now, Aaron Rodgers didn't
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: want to do that. So Aaron Rodgers actually took Jordan
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: Love under his wing more than Fire did with Rogers.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: And again you could see that on the Netflix Rogers
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: documentary how that all played out a bit as well.
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: So I don't think there's really any animosity here with
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: Rogers against the Packers, Like it seemed like he did
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: have animosity against the Jets, which I didn't even think
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: that was the case, but apparently it was. But I
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: don't think he has animosity against the Packers. Is he
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: gonna want to show up and play, Well, yeah he is.
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: But looking at this line, man, the Packers, they're three
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: point road favorite here, and I think the public's gonna
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: look at this and think, well, wait a minute, both
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: these teams are good, right, green Bay's four to one
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: and one because they had that tie against Dallas. Pittsburgh's
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: four and two, and you're giving me points at home
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: with Pittsburgh with Aaron Rodgers, and Aaron Rodgers is the
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: guy in this game, Like the talk is just all
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: about Aaron Rodgers. So I think the public's gonna want
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: to take Aaron Rodgers plus the points. Uh, sixty three
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on the Steelers. Sixty one
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash though on the Packers. The osmakers
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: are telling you who the better team is here, and
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: I agree. I think the Packers are the better team
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: all around. To be honest, I actually think the Packers
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: have a better offense and better defense. The Steelers. I
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: know people like have this image of them as just
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: like punishing defense, but that hasn't really been the case
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: this year. I mean, they gave up a lot of
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: points to the Jets. They give up over thirty points
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: to the Jets, which is not good against justin fields offense.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: The Steelers kind of held New England down on the scoreboard.
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: But the Steelers, uh, they only won that game because
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: New England turned the ball over five times or something
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: like that. And then Pittsburgh, I mean, look at the
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: offenses that they face. They faced a ton of week offense.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: Isn't the only offense they faced. It isn't that week
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: with Seattle, and they give up thirty one points to Seattle.
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: Other than that, they face a Carson Wentz Viking offense.
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: That's not a good offense. They faced Cleveland with Dylan Gabriel,
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: not a good offense, and then they faced Cincinnati last
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: week and we saw how bad Cincinnati was with Jake Browning.
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: I know this was with Joe Flacco, but still that
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati offense is not that good. I don't think with
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: Joe Flacco. And Pittsburgh lost the game and gave up
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: thirty three points to them, So I don't think that's
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: a good sign. I actually think green Bay is the
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: better defense here. Green Bay has faced some more difficult
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: schedule as well. Pittsburgh is also coming off a tough
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: divisional game, man, so I think the spot doesn't set
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: up that well. I know Pittsburgh played on Thursday, so
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: they have extra time off coming into this game. But
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: that was a brutal divisional lass, dude, A game that
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: you know, there were a lot of emotions flying in
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: that game. It was Rogers against Flacco, huge emotional game,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: which is gonna factor into my Cincinnati handicap this week
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: as well. It broke Pittsburgh's three game win streak as well. Yeah,
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit of a hangover spot here. Man.
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: That was that turned out to be a big divisional game,
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: and Cincinnati kind of got back into the mix in
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: the division there, at least for now. And Pittsburgh does
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: have the Colts up next, which is a conference game,
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: which is big as well. Though, yes, this game is
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: gonna be big. It's a primetime game, it's the Aaron
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: Rodgers Bowl, as I keep calling it, So they're not
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: going to overlook this game, but they could be a
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: little bit fatigued in this one after that Cincinnati game.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: Green Bay they're coming off a really bad performance where
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: they almost lost to Arizona, and green Bay was a
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: big favorite in that game, and if you remember, I said,
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: I leaned to Arizona when all of a sudden because
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: green Bay had a five hour flight delay getting out there,
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: and the spot just didn't set up that well for
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: green Bay. And I thought this was a look ahead
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: as well to this game. So green Bay, they didn't
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: play well, I think that's going to focus them, man,
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: because green Bay actually they haven't played that well in
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: either of these games. They did beat Cincinnati the previous week,
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: so I'm kind of surprised the public isn't looking at
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: that and saying, well, wait a minute, if green Bay
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: beat Cincinnati, who beat Pittsburgh. Doesn't that mean green Bay
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: should beat Pittsburgh here, But the public's not doing that.
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: The public's on Rogers green Bay. In my opinion, they
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: just didn't play that well in any of their last
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: four games, really, and I think it's gonna focus them
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: at some point. They played poorly against Cleveland, that was
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: a win for me on the show. They didn't play
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: very well against Dallas, which was a big game for
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: Dallas in primetime. Green Bay then went into a bye.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: They came out of the by with a little bit
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: of a lackluster game against Cincinnati. I think they just
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: didn't care that much about Cincinnati, and then I think
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: they had to deal with the flight delay. I think
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: they didn't care that much about Arizona either, So I
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: do think they're gonna show up focus for this one.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: It's not a third road game in four weeks because
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: they did have a bye after those two road games,
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: So it is a second straight road game though, which
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: is still not that easy. But I think the spot
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: does set up a little bit better for green Bay.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: That is my lean in that one. My opinion is
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: green Bay minus the three in that one. Justin what's
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: up Man how's Missouri, how's living in misery? And I
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: don't really want to talk about Missouri right now after
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: what happened in the well. I'm gonna talk about it
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: tomorrow morning, hopefully my voice comes back a little. My
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: voice is so fucked right now. But we're gonna have
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: to talk about it because I lost to play on
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: Missouri today. Monday night is gonna be Washington at the
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs. Looking at this line, the line was
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: gonna be five and a half on the Chiefs and
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: now it's eleven and a half. And the reason for
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: that is Jaden Daniels is hurt, so it's gonna be
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: Marcus Mariota. But you know what I always say, it's
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: an injured player spot. When a team loses their star
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: quarterback like this, they step up their game play. And
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: they're gonna step it up anyway because they're playing on
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: Monday night against the Chiefs. So I think you know
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get an effort out of Washington. The Redskins,
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: as I will keep calling them, They're gonna step up
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: their game knowing that they have to go in to
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: their backup again. I don't think Mariota is actually a
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: six point downgrade from Daniels either. I mean, Mariota is
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: a similar style of quarterback. He fits into the system
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: fairly well. He's played numerous games already. Because dude, Jayden
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: Daniels keeps getting hurt, man, he might be the next
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: RG three. I've been kind of saying that a little bit.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: It's been in my head. I mean, we don't really
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: want to say that and jinks him. But as we
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: remember RG three was a very similar style of quarterback,
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: like a dual threat quarterback. He was on the Redskins
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: and he couldn't stay healthy and he made one playoff appearance.
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: What if the same thing happens to Daniels. I don't know,
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: but it's gonna be marioda in this one. I do
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: think we're getting value on Washington here, a double digit underdog.
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, think about that as far as Washington, Like
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: last year, Washington was a playoff team and now they're
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: a double digit underdog. I know it's against one of
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the league, the Chiefs at Arrowhead,
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: but again I think Washington is that we've reached a
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: point where Washington's actually being undervalued even though they were
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: one of the teams that I thought was really overvalued
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: coming into the season. I think the market has gone
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: too far in the other direction. I think the market
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: is too high on the Chiefs now as well. After
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs keep putting up a lot of points and
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: everybody's now saying, oh my god, the Chiefs are gonna
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. Like they have a good defense. Yeah,
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: we all know that, but their offense looks really good
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: again this year. Mahomes is killing it from my fantasy team. Yeah,
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: all that is true. And yeah, the Washington doesn't have
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: a good defense. I get it. Chiefs should be able
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: to put up some points in this one, but I
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: don't know how focused the Chiefs are gonna be in
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: this one. Man. I think you pretty much know you're
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: gonna get effort out of Washington, especially after the Datas
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: had an embarrassing loss last week against Dallas, and that
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: was coming off a Monday night loss that everybody saw.
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: I thought they were kind of in a a little bit
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: of a primetime sandwich there too, because they played that
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: Monday night game, they had to go to Dallas, and
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: they had this primetime game against the Chiefs upcoming. I
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: wasn't a play for me, But I was correct on
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: the pick with Dallas and that one embarrassing loss for
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: Washington though, So I think Washington is going to show
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: up in this one for that reason. As far as
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: Kansas City is concerned, Kansas City has played so many
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: primetime games this year it's like it doesn't even matter anymore. Like,
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: Kansas City, look at how many primetime games they played
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: this year. I mean, we can go through them all.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: Friday in Brazil against the Chargers, that was one New
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: York Giants that was a primetime game Sunday night. And
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: in between that they had big games against the Eagles
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: in Baltimore those were not primetime. Jacksonville was a Monday
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: night game that was primetime. Detroit was a Sunday night
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: game that was primetime. So I mean, Kansas City, they
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: play all these big games, dude. So that's just the deal.
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: Like this is a game where they might not actually
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: have total here. They're coming off a divisional just destruction
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: of the Raiders, and the Raiders have played the Chiefs
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: pretty tough the last couple of years and they just
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: absolutely wrecked the Raiders there. So I think Kansas City
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: might just kind of sleep walk through this game man
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: against an injured quarterback Washington team. Washington also has a
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: bunch of injured receivers whatever, And Kansas City does have
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: a big game against Buffalo up next, then they have
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: a bye, then they have Denver in Indianapolis, so they
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: have bigger games coming up after this that are conference games.
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: So I would lean to taking the points with Washington
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: in that one, not giving it out as a play
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: at least for now. I mean, I'm gonna talk about
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: it again Monday morning, I guess, and see if my
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: opinion gets stronger or anything. It probably won't, but I
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: would take the points with Washington in that one. It
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: was definitely rough. I'm gonna talk about Missouri tomorrow and
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: hopefully I have a better voice. Your nephew on a
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: rare Saturday but playing safety, oh hell yeah, his last
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: game of the year, fifth grade. He's playing safety on
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: a football team. Hell yea what. I don't even know
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: what level of football that is, but hell yeah, man,
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: I'm only thinking of Little Giants right now, the underrated
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: movie Little Giants with Ed O'Neill from Modern Family, and
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: I think Rick moranis is in that too, right from
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: Honey I shrunk the kids and whatever else Ghostbusters, He
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: and Ghostbusters I can't even remember. I think he is,
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: I can't is he? No, I'm thinking of Harold Ramis
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: now I think some dude with glasses. I don't know whatever.
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the plays man and then
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: I'll get out here. Oh, by the way, I forgot
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: to mention Green Bay. Christian Watson might come back in
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: that game, so that'll be an extra target for He's
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: one of their best wide receivers, so that'll help Jordan
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: Love have another target there if Christian Watson does come back,
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: and it won't really affect the line. Washington, as I
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: was pointing out, which I think I forgot to finish
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: my thought, Washington is a very injured offense. Though they
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: have a lot of injuries to wide receivers right now.
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: I think they're still without McLay, they're still without Deebo Samuel,
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: and they're still without Austin Eckler as they're running back
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: to although they're using another running back tandem that is
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: pretty good with what is it Crossky Merritt and Robinson
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: is at his name whatever it is. All right, let's
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: get to the place. This will be the best bets.
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: That was the breakdown. I always forget to put up
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: the graphic, but you guys like it. So there you go,
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: best bets and that'll be the end of the show. Here.
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: You pretty much already know what they're gonna be. Well,
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: you know what one of them is, definitely, and it's
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: the ugliest thing around. Man. You know what I'm doing.
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: The ugliest way to go, man, is to take the
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: New York Jets yet again. And that's what we're doing here.
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: Plus the six and a half. I don't think it's
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: gonna get to seven. Now the Bengals are up from
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: a two and a half point favorite to a six
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Here. Don't really know exactly
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: what caused that move other than I think maybe the
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: look ahead was two and a half and now seriously,
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: just based on the fact that the Jets lost again
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: last week to the Panthers and the Bengals finally looked
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: good for once and beat the Steelers. Now the lines
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: are like up six and a half, Like, are you
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: kidding me? There's value on the Jets in this game? Man,
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry, but we have to do it again. The Jets,
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: they've covered I think three spreads this year though, so
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: the Jets have not been like a team is just
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: getting obliterated on the number. They covered for me for
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: us on the show. I gave them out as a
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: play in Week one. They should have won the game
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: outright against the Steelers, so they wound up losing that game,
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: but they covered, they covered for us, I gave out.
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: I gave them out again against Tampa Bay and they
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: got the cover there. I did give them out against
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: Buffalo two and they lost, so two and one. I
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: gave him out again. Did I give him out against Dallas?
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: I think I did and they lost that one, so
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: we were two and two and I gave them out
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: against Denver two. So we're three and two on the
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: show in Jet games this year, playing the Jets in
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: all of those, and we're doing it again, man, We're
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: going right back to the well, let's let's get it
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: done again. We've been on all three Jet point spread
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: winners at least, and we're going and we've won on
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: the Jets because we're slightly up with the three and two,
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: So let's do it again here, man, Cincinnati, they're coming
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: off of like just a huge win, Dude, I mean,
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati just looked atrocious with Jake Browning in there, and
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, Joe Flacco comes in and
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: they beat the Pittsburgh Steelers in primetime in front of
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: a home crowd on Thursday. Let's take a little bit
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: of a step back, man. Is Joe Flacco seriously turning
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: this offense around to that degree? I don't really think so.
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see them be somewhere in the middle.
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: He's better than Browning. Sure, he's a very experienced quarterback,
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: he's old, and I'm not gonna just all of a
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: sudden say that he's like the second Coming or something
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: like that. I think he's a decent quarterback. But I
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna see Cincinnati's offense take a little bit
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: of a step back after that game. And that was
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: a huge win, dude. So this is a letdown spot.
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: They finally got a win, and it was that huge
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: game Flaco versus Roger's huge divisional game primetime Thursday night. Yes,
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: they have extra time off, but when everything worked for you,
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: what are you gonna do with that time off? You're
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: just gonna like kind of bask in that win. I
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: don't think you're really gonna focus too much on the
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: Jets here. They don't really have a huge game up next,
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: it's against the Bears. They do have Pittsburgh again after
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: that though, although they think they have a buye between
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: those two. But yeah, I mean, I just think this
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: has let down written all over and I think you're
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: getting a lot of value on the Jets in this one.
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: People are gonna also say, hey, Cincinnati beat Pittsburgh, who
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: beat the Jets? So that makes it look even easier
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: to take Cincinnati in this one. Public all of a
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: sudden on Cincinnati, man, and the public was the public
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: was completely off of Cincinnati for weeks. So all of
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: a sudden, they get one win and now the public
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: is all over the Bengals. Nah, that's a situation like
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: that again, when you have the public shifting completely from
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: being against a team to being on that team. That's
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: an overreaction to one week two and you want to
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: fade that overreaction. That's what we're gonna do here. Eighty
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets, only seventy two percent of
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Bengals. They're very public. Less of
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: the actual money is coming in on them. I think
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: we're actually gonna get some defense in this one. Man,
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: this is a lower scoring game. I think we're gonna
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: get defense from the Jets, is what I mean to say,
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: because the Bengals defense is ass They might have the
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: worst defense in football. It's between them and the Cowboys. Man,
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: one of those two defenses is the worst. So I
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: actually I think the Jets might be able to score
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: a little bit against the Bengals here, and I think
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: the Jets defense might be able to hold them in
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: this game because they have the better defense. So again,
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: it's the better defense getting points. That's something I like
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: to look for as well, that is the Jets, and
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: the Jets can still run the football. Man, Say what
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: you want to about their offense and how bad it's been,
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: but they still can run the football, and they may
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: be able to have an easier time doing They may
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: have an easier time doing that against a really bad
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: Bengal defense. So I think you might see the Jets
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: be able to actually have some possession in this game.
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: The Jets have gone most of the season without even
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: forcing a turnover as well. They had not first turnover
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: at all into the London game against Denver, so the
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: Jets were. They're also a little bit under value because
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: of that because they're turn like they're a turn over
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: differentials just insane right now because they just haven't had
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: hardly any takeaways. And that's just some of that is luck.
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: Like when a fumble hits the ground, it's fifty to
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: fifty as far as which team recovers it. And you're
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: telling me that the Jets have only recovered like one
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: or two fumbles this year. That has to like regress
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: a little bit or progress back to some sort of
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: mean as well. So I think that's part of the
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: reason why I keep playing the Jets, but I'm doing
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: an eyear mostly because of the situation. One other thing
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: to be aware of is that the Jets are switching
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: quarterbacks again because Justin Fields blows, so they're going back
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: to Tyrod Taylor. In this one where Aaron Glenn is
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: being mysterious about it, He's like, we know who our
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: quarterback is, but I'm not gonna tell you because we
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: want the Bengals to not know who to prepare for.
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure it's gonna be Tyrod. He hasn't been
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: that great this year, but he is still a veteran.
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's that much of a downgrade, if any,
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: from Justin Fields. I mean, I don't think that affects
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: the line that much. It's at least a shake up
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: where you know, this last game film on what the
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: Jets are gonna try to do with Tyron Taylor. He's
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: played a little bit this year. He is the more
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: experienced of the two quarterbacks. At least he's a veteran
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: who's been around for a while. So yeah, I'm not
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: concerned with that. I think that'll be fine. We'll go
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: with the Jets in that one man, and again, it
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: might actually spark the Jets a little bit, because when
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: things aren't working and they're not working offensively, one thing
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: that you can do is just shake something up on offense,
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: switch quarterbacks, and then maybe that'll spark the team a
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: little bit. So we're taking the Jets, and then the
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: other game we're gonna be on is the Baltimore Ravens
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: minus two and a half, and we have to be
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: aware of what's going on the quarterback situation in this
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: one too. This line has been all over the place. Dude,
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: it was gonna be six and a half or seven.
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: When it looked like Lamar Jackson was coming back. He's
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: not gonna be back in this game. They're give they're
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: giving him, they're giving him another week. It seemed like
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: he was gonna be back after the bye. He's not.
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: So the line, I think we're getting a lot of
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: value on the Ravens in this one. Man. You basically
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: just need them to win game. Here, they're at two
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: and a half, might go up to three. Maybe you
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: can start looking at money line or something like that.
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: I would probably still lay the three, to be honest,
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: but I think you probably still get the two and
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: a half. I think it is still probably out there,
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: maybe two and a half minus one fifteen or so.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: I think that's still okay. Fifty three percent of the tickets,
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the cash on the Ravens. The
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on the Ravens. And I know
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be saying, well, you're just asking Baltimore to
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: win the game. But how could they do that when
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: they've scored thirteen total points over their last two games.
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: They've been just non existent without Lamar Jackson. I know,
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: but this is still the Baltimore Ravens. Dude. They came
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: into the season one of the best teams in football,
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: and I still don't think they're that bad. They faced
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: a really difficult schedule, dude, they just happen to have
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: lost all of their big games. They lost to Buffalo
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: in the first week a though. You remember they were
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: winning that game by fifteen with four minutes left, and
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: just an inexplicable loss there. Really, but they had that game.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: They easily could have won that game. They lost a
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: Monday night game to a really good Detroit team. They
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: lost on the road to Kansas City, who we know
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: is a good team, and that was the game. Lamar
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: Jackson went down and then that was it, and then
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: since then they've been bad without Lamar Jackson. They got
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: killed by Houston. I know that doesn't look that good,
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: but as I pointed out, Houston is at least better
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: than the record would indicate. And then they lost to
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: the Rams. The Rams are a good team too, So
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: the Ravens will face a very difficult schedule so far.
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: They're playing the Bears here in this one, and I
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: think the Bears are overrated as well. The other thing
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: that I was alluding to with the quarterback situation here
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: is it's not gonna be Cooper Rush for the Ravens. Now,
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: it is going to be Tyler Huntley. Tyler Huntley is
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: coming back here man, Snoop Snoop Dog is coming back. Man.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: I think that's a good thing, man, because Cooper Rush
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: hasn't been getting it done for the Ravens. So they're
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: gonna switch something up here. Looked like it was gonna
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: be Lamar coming back. It's not. But Tyler Huntley, he
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: knows this Baltimore system. Dude. They just they picked him
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: up off the scrap. He because he was on Miami
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: earlier this year and I think Miami just cut him.
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: Or actually I think he was on Cleveland. I don't know,
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: he's been all over the place. I think he was
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: on Cleveland and Miami this year. Actually, I think he's
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: been on Miami in the past. But remember he was
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: on the Ravens within the last few years. He was
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: on the Ravens for multiple seasons, and he did play
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: for the Ravens, like he played a bunch of games
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: for the Ravens when Lamar Jackson was hurt before. So
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: Huntley is a guy who knows the system, dude. He
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: played under Harrbaum played with this team, So I think
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: that's a good move because you're getting a quarterback. There's
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: not gonna be like a huge chemistry issue here because
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: Huntley knows the system. He's been there before, he started
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: a bunch of games from them before. So I actually
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: liked this move. I think that's gonna spark the offense
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: a little bit. I think you're gonna see the Ravens
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: actually be able to do something this time and score
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: some points. Here you're getting a team that is still
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: one of the better teams in the league, and you're
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: getting in this really cheap price, which I also like.
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: And of course they're coming out of a bob and
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: they went into the buy on the worst possible note, Dude.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: They went into the buy on a four game losing streak,
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: losing their quarterback, only scoring thirteen points over their last
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: two games. That's the best time to have a buye
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: pretty much, man, because you know they're gonna be using
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: that buy to fix a whole bunch of shit. So
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: I think that buye is gonna be a very helpful
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: buye to them. They're gonna come out with a lot
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: of focus. They don't have anything to focus on next Miami.
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: Who cares? Even though I know it's on a Thursday night,
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: but come on, they're not gonna look ahead to Miami.
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: They can't afford to overlook anybody right now. Because they're
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: one to five. They could still potentially win the division.
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: I actually think that they might. I think there's still
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: they still might be a favorite to win the division, actually,
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: which is crazy. After that buy, I think they're gonna
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: come out with a lot of focus. Man. Harbaugh has
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: been drilling them, and actually I saw an article Harbaugh
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: took all of their games away from them. Man. He
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: took away like video games, cornhole, whatever the hell else
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: they had going on in the locker room. He took
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: it all away. So you know, oh, this is like,
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: this is getting real serious. You know this team is
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: gonna show up focus man, He's taken all the distractions away.
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: I like that a lot. I think you're gonna you're
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: gonna get a really focused Baltimore team here. I was
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: potentially gonna give them out minus the six and a
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: half or seven with Lamar back, even though that would
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: be like a reverse injured player spot. But this might
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: actually be better because, uh, with Huntley in there, you're
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: actually getting a way, way better number here, So it
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: almost remains like almost an injured player spot. It's a
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: spot where there's a shakeup going on. And I think
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: the Bears are overrated doing. I mean, people are gonna
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: see the Bears are four and two and the Ravens
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: are one and five, and who's gonna want to actually
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: lay points with the Ravens, Like, how could you possibly
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: have a team that's one in five favored against the
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: team that's four and two. Well, the oddsmakers again, they're
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: telling you the Ravens are the better team, and if
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: Lamar was back, they'd be the significantly better team. Well,
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: they're telling you, yeah, that the Ravens are the better team. Actually, yeah,
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: my mistake. Yeah, uh, because home field is probably about
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: two points, but they're telling you that Lamar. They're like,
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: the way better team is almost a touchdown favorite. But
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: even so, they're telling you they're still the better team
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: even with Tyler Huntley in there. The Bears, I mean,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: they're on a misleading four game win streak. Man, there's
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: nothing else I could really say about that. They caught
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: Dallas in a really bad spot when they beat Dallas.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: I forget exactly what it was, but I think it
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: was a sandwich spot. I think Dallas had the Green
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: Bay game coming up after that or something like that.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: It was a bad spot for Dallas. Dallas has a
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: really bad defense. I know the Ravens defense hasn't been
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: that good this year, but they're better than Dallas. The
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: Bears actually got completely outgained by the Raiders in that
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: game against the Raiders, and they somehow got away with
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: a win in that game. I don't even know how.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: They blocked a field goal at the end of the game.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: They had no business winning that game against the Raiders.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: Then they went into a bye, they came out and
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: they had a big Monday night game, big revenge game
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: for Caleb Williams against Jaye Daniels. They beat Washington. That
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: was a spot where I leaned to Chicago in that one.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: I thought it was a good spot for Chicago to
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: actually get the cover in that one. And then what
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: do they do last week? They beat New Orleans. Who cares.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: I know it was a bad spot. I know I
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: gave out New Orleans plus the points in that one.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: I know New Orleans didn't get there for us. In
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: that one. But Caleb Williams was awful in that game.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: He had one hundred and seventy two yards. I mean,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: I don't think Williams is that good man. So going
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: to Baltimore here, yeah, I'm not so sure that Shakai
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: was actually gonna be able to handle it. I don't
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: think they're as good as the record looks. Again, I
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: think Jim Harribaugh is gonna or excuse me, John Harriba
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: my mistake. I keep calling him Jim. I think Jim
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: is with the Chargers, John Harribaugh. He's still a good
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: coach man. He's gonna have something. He's gonna draw up
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: something to try to beat Caleb Williams here, man like
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: he could draw things up to beat these young quarterbacks.
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: So we have the more experienced quarterback on the side
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: of the Ravens here, and you know me, I'm not
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: a Caleb Williams fan. I don't think he's as good.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's good. I don't think the Bears
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: are as good as they look right now. Enough said
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: Baltimore minus the two and a half, I think there's
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: value there. It's a weird spot, but that's what we're
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: gonna do. That's gonna do it. Thanks guys for hanging out.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. One more time. The plays Jets plus
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: six and a half. I know you love these plays
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: Jets plus six and a half and Ravens minus two
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: and a half. Adding those on to the win that
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: we had on the Chargers minus three on Thursday night.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for now. I'll be back in
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: the morning because we're gonna have I'm assuming the World
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: Series is not an action because they're gonna be traveling
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: out to LA, so we're gonna have just NBA and NHL.
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: I think to talk about in the morning tomorrow, but
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: I will be back to do that. I think it
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: will be a short NHL board and maybe a little
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: bit of a bigger NBA board. It might be a
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: small board though, because the NFL Football owns the day,
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: So I'll be back then. I appreciate it, guys. Thanks
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. Learn a toad on Twitter, Learn to
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: toad on Instagram, like it. Subscribe to the channel here, man,
• 1:02:50
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• 1:02:53
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• 1:02:57
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• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: Apple That helps me out as well. Listening over there
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: helps me out as well. UH Covered in Yuke is
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: my yuke channel on YouTube, so you can check that
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: out as well, and Patreon dot com, slash learned Toad,
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: and there's access to a Spotify feed there with the
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: yuke stuff and uh yuke requests at the highest level.
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for now until tomorrow morning, guys. Peace,