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Episode 13 - 4/1/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 13 of the All Systems Go Sports
0:25
Betting podcast Powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on?
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Everyone? Happy Monday.
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Most importantly, happy first day of April.
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We turn the page from March to April.
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Weather's getting a little bit better.
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We got baseball in full swing now.
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The only bad news is that March Madness we are pretty much
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getting every public team that is popular and getting 80% of
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bets they're covering, which has made it a very difficult, I
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would say last few rounds here of March Madness.
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But overall guys, we're going to keep grinding here.
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I have a 5 pack of sweats for you on a big Monday.
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We're going to really focus on Major League Baseball because
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kind of, you know, you know, a little here and there, a little
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bit baseball kind of, you know, dipping our toe in the water.
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But I really want to kind of get into the groove of MLB.
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So I have 4 bets here in Major League Baseball for all pretty
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short numbers. Hopefully we can get a few of
1:15
these. Also have an NBA bet for you,
1:17
which is a buy low over system match between two teams who are
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two of the best over teams in the NBA.
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Now looking back toward the weekend guys we had, I think you
1:27
can look at, at least from my perspective of how was your
1:30
weekend for your life away from sports and how was your weekend
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for betting on sports. Because my life away from sports
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was a great weekend. Jumped in the car with the wife
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and the dog. Went out to Western Mass to
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visit my mom and dad. Also my aunt and uncle come for
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Easter, my sister, her husband, their two little kids so had a
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great time back home. Did a lot of yard work with my
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dad. Just like old times.
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I were watching the Red Sox together.
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So overall it's great to get back to be with the fam and
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spend a great Easter together. Now is the good part.
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The bad part is again as I hinted at earlier, March Madness
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continues to be extremely frustrating.
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So I don't know if this is the curse of the Super Bowl because
2:07
Super Bowl again, if you had remembered or kind of you know,
2:11
looked at the betting market at the time, I took a a shot there
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on the Chiefs and came through for me.
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I really leaned on that Patrick Mahome system match 11 and one
2:19
against the spread as a dog. But the Chiefs were getting
2:21
6570% of bets and that's not where I want to be.
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Now I cash my Super Bowl ticket on the Chiefs, but I'm thinking
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maybe it's the curse of being on the public side in the Super
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Bowl that is killing us contrarians here in March
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Madness. Because you saw it again over
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this weekend. U Conn laying the points, you
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know, sharp bet against them with kind of a line freeze or
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even some reverse line movement in favor of Illinois.
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UConn rolls. Same thing.
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Alabama they roll. You saw Purdue roll yesterday
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against Tennessee. And then the frustrating one is
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NC State because NC State continues to be the greatest
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story really in in March Madness here.
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A team that needed to win their their conference tournament just
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to make it to the big dance and now they're all the way to the
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Final Four. They did it again, beat Duke
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outright. But Duke was the fade, the
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trendy dog. NC State's been a trendy dog
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every single time. What happens?
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They keep winning. I keep betting against them.
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And to top it all off from a rough weekend, our girl Aaron
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Blanchfield, who had a ton of advantages here, a big youth
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advantage, as well as a good sharp line move and some low
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bets, higher dollars, bet splits.
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She lost to Fiorio as well. So again, how was your life away
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from betting? How was your life in betting?
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Again, probably the most important thing is, you know,
3:31
kind of your family and the big things that are important in
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life, man, it's frustrating when you have a couple days here in a
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row where these public favorites and even these public dogs
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continue to roll here in March Madness.
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So looking at the lines for the final four guys, we don't even
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have to do any capping. Just go Connecticut -11, 1/2, go
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Purdue -9. You're you're going to be a
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winner on both because that's the way it's been here for March
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Madness. I'm, I'm joking.
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We got to, you know, give that a little bit.
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But I'm putting March Madness, which again is frustrating
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because March Madness is really my favorite time of year to bet
4:00
on sports. But I'm going to put March
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Madness on the back burner. March Madness, you've been
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relegated to the side. So we're going to give you a few
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days to simmer here and and marinate and we're going to talk
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March Madness, obviously throughout the week.
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The next games here for the final four are coming up on
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Saturday. So have a big long break here
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and that's fine with me because we do we do have some time here
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to focus on Major League Baseball.
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So as I mentioned A5 pack overall, 4 MLB, one NBA.
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Let's see if we can have a winning day here to start our
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our first day in the month of April.
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And no April fools jokes. No, no, no, Those those are
4:32
those are cringe worthy. So no April Fools here.
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You're going to hear that. But anyway, let's start right
4:36
in. And I mentioned this.
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I want to start with Major League Baseball because MLB
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again, it's been dipping our toe in the water.
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We haven't really had, you know, a full focus on Major League
4:44
Baseball. So I want to really, you know,
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kind of focus today's pod on MLB.
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So I have 4 bets here overall. I have 3 short favorites and I
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have a dog for it. Let's see if we can get, can we
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get two, at least two. But can we get three of these?
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That is the goal. So first one, that jumped out to
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me. Slate today, 14 games overall is
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a 6:50 PM Eastern Time matchup between the Texas Rangers and
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the Tampa Bay Rays. Now the Rangers going to this
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one are two and one. They just took two or three
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against the Cubs. They did lose in the series
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finale 9:00 to 5:00 on Sunday. Meanwhile the Rays two and two.
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They split A4 game series with the Blue Jays.
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They did drop that finale yesterday 9:00 to 2:00.
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So for this pitching match up Texas and Tampa Bay we have
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going for the Rangers. Dane Dunning a righty here 12
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and seven 3.7 OERA in 2023. Meanwhile the Rays are going
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with righty Ryan Pepiot 2 and one 2.1 for ERA in 2023.
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He came over from the Dodgers. So kind of high on him just in
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general as a young stud. But anyway, what do we see
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across the market here, Lions going to Tampa Bay, guys, I'm
5:44
going with the Rays in this one. On the one hand you can say,
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hey, how do you not take plus money with Texas?
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I get it. Great line up here.
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But I'm a trust the betting market in the sharp move toward
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Tampa Bay. Now Tampa Bay opened around a -,
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115 home favorite. We've now seen Tampa Bay gets
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steamed up to round -125. Some shops even inching up
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toward -130. And now when I was breaking on
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the scheme for beeson.com earlier today writing about it,
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Tampa Bay was around -120. So not only did you see the
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overnight line move in favor of Tampa Bay, the early morning
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move but even early morning into early afternoon or late morning
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into early afternoon it's continued in favor of Tampa Bay.
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So there's really been no buyback on the Texas Rangers.
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So one sided movement in favor of the Rays.
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Now the Rays about you know checking off a few boxes for me
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one decent bet split they're getting around 60% of bets in
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dollar. So it's not a huge public play
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but also tells us maybe a combination of slight public
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support and sharp action in the form of that line move toward
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Tampa Bay. Now also you look at the angle
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here of a non division favorite. Now the we have a system that
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you're going to get to in a second.
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The ultimate play is a non division Rd. favorite,
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especially off a win. What kind of these favorites in
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these non division matchups lack of familiarity of.
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Like if you look at Divisional dogs that's been really the go
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to angle historically because if you're getting plus money, the
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built in familiarity knowing your opponent levels the playing
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field. If I'm on a favorite, I want to
7:00
be outside of the division because they don't match up as
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well or as often. And therefore typically you see
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the cream rise to the top of the better team having that, you
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know unfamiliar advantage against quote UN quote the worst
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team here. Now the other angle here that
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I'm looking at with Tampa Bay is I did see some sharp money hit
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this under. It opened at around 8 1/2.
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We've seen the under 8 1/2 get juiced up -115 -, 120 saying hey
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maybe this thing gets down to 8. What I'm getting at here is I
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like the fact that there's juice under and the line is moving
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toward the favorite because basically low totals and we got
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to kind of get our brains thinking about betting baseball
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again on a daily basis. But correlative betting, you
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want to at least consider or compare the price of the side to
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the price of the total and kind of where that's basically not
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only the number but which direction it's trending.
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So what I mean by that is, you know when we're on a dog, we
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want a high total nine or more. When we're on a favorite, we
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want a low total 8 1/2 or less. But if you look at the juice on
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this 8 1/2, it's all juiced up under.
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So when you're basically having a a lower total to start and
8:00
it's juiced under, that kind of tells us that hey you know if
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this is going to be a lower scoring game which the smart
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money lean is leaning under that's telling us, then most
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likely these runs are going to be coming from quote UN quote,
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the better team. And I don't mean better team by
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the one loss record. I mean better team by who's got
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that minus sign in front of their odds tonight.
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Who's the favorite for tonight in this specific matchup raised
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obviously at home. You also look at with a under
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here like I was considering the under 8 1/2.
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It's a Dome or closed roof stadium at the top so the ball
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doesn't travel as much. It's perfect conditions for the
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pitcher as well As for the fielders.
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I'll be at it all up here guys. We've seen pretty consistent
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movement toward Tampa Bay. So I'm going to back Tampa at a
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relatively short price and you can look at it one of two ways.
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On the one hand it's like how do you not take a shot on Texas
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plus 110. On the other hand, it's hey,
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Tampa Bay at home only laying, I got a -, 125 here doesn't really
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seem like a bad number. So I'm going to go Tampa Bay
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with this sharp steam move again open -115 up to -125 which would
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also be a non division favorite as well as a favorite low total.
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I'm on Tampa Bay. Let's go raise at -125.
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Keep on cruising. Now this one is going to make
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you puke. But boys at sharp Detroit
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Tigers. New York Mets 7:10 PM Eastern
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Time game tonight at Citi Field. Now this one's interesting
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because on the one hand we have polar opposite results from the
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opening day or opening series. Basically Detroit looking good.
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Three and O just swept. The White Sox won yesterday's
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series. Sunday's finale.
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Series finale 3:00 to 2:00. On the other hand, Mets they're
9:26
O and 3:00. So we have one team that's
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undefeated. We have another team that hasn't
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won a single game. Mets just got swept by the
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Brewers, by the way, 4:00 to 1:00 on Sunday.
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They lost that last game of the series.
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But for this interleague series opener, Tigers are going with
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Reese Olson. He's a righty 5 and seven 3.99
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ERA in 2023. Mets are going to go with Sean
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Menaya, the lefty 7 and six, 4.44 ERA this season.
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Now, when I told you that Mets are are O and three and
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Detroit's three and O, you would expect that Detroit's favored,
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right? Undefeated, better record
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playing better Mets. You know winless, but no.
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The Mets are at home, which we got to give a little bit of home
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home field advantage to. But this game opened at the Mets
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-125 and what's notable to me with this one is that you were
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opening Mets -125. Detroit plus 115.
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If Detroit's three and O Mets are O and three.
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You would maybe consider that the sharps are going to say,
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hey, I'll I'll just keep riding Detroit they're three and O I'm
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getting plus 115 against an O and three team.
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You know let's go Detroit let maybe this line drops plus 115
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down toward a pick em. But no, it actually went the
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other way. So that's why I really like the
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Mets here, guys. It's a disgusting bet 'cause you
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have a buy ultimate buy low on an O and three team against a
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sell high three and O team. But the Lions moving toward the
10:38
Mets, the Mets open -125, the Mets are now up to -135.
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Now if you look at the bet split here around a little less than,
10:45
you know, a little more than half the tickets are on the
10:47
Mets, but nearly 2/3 of the money is on the Mets.
10:50
So really good bet. Split in favor of New York.
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Now, New York would also match a couple angles here.
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That would be a favorite low total.
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This one's really falling open at 8:00.
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It's down to 7 1/2. It's still juiced up under, you
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know, pay attention obviously to the weather as well.
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It can be cold. It can be raw.
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This one isn't too bad. About 50°.
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Really no wind at all. I did notice earlier today that
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Colorado Cubs game that was a wind blowing in system match.
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It's top of the second. No score here.
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But that total was, I want to say under 7 and it opened at
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yeah I was pretty much 7 the whole time but the wind was
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blowing in at Wrigley Field like 15 mph.
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So pay attention to obviously the wind or at least you know,
11:27
be aware of it when you're betting a total.
11:30
But Long story short back to the side here.
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Mets are a favorite low total ultimate buy low sell, high good
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bet split system match and they had the interleague system
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match. So interleague it's kind of like
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the non division match up here. Edge on steroids, Interleague.
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You never play each other. You know maybe once a year you
11:48
have a series so really that's that non conference in NBA
11:52
favorite or you know non division non conference NFL.
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But an inner league play big advantage there to the favorite
11:58
because again lack of familiarity benefits quote UN
12:00
quote the better team. Again not by one loss record but
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by who's got the minus number which would be the Mets here.
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But Long story short guys, I'm going to go Mets.
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It just makes no sense why Mets open as a favorite and become
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more of a favorite even though they're O and three and
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Detroit's three and O. So I'm going to go with this
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sharp move. I'm going to have some so faith
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in the betting market here. Let's go Mets.
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I got them at -130, now they're on -135.
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Next bet for you. I get to sweat my Boston Red
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Sox. Yes, I'm a Red Sox fan, but hope
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you guys know by now I don't bet my favorite team.
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Just to bet my favorite team, whether it's the Bruins, the Red
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Sox, the Patriots, the Celtics, you got to be a system match
12:37
here. And the Sox are a system match
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tonight. So the Red Sox just had a
12:41
four-game series against the Mariners.
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They're two and two. They split that four-game
12:44
series. They won five to one on Sunday.
12:46
Meanwhile, the A's one and three.
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They just dropped three or four against the Guardians, but they
12:50
avoided the sweep. They got a four to three win on
12:52
Sunday. So for tonight's series opener,
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Red Sox are going with Tanner Houck righty 6 and 10 five point
12:58
O1 ERA in 2023. Meanwhile the A's are going with
13:01
another righty Joe Boyle two and O 1.69 ERA in 2023.
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But what have we seen across the market here?
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Well, big steam hitting the Bosox.
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Red Sox opened around a -, 130 -, 135 Rd. favorite.
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We've seen the Red Sox now gets teamed up all the way to -145.
13:18
They're inching up closer to -150.
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So kind of like that line continuing to rise, you know, in
13:22
favor of Tampa Bay and the Mets or sorry, Tampa Bay.
13:25
Yeah, and the Mets and both of those kind of home sharp line
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moves. This will be a sharp Rd. line
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move with Boston again opening -130 closing in on -150 at this
13:36
point. Now the Red Sox there are there
13:38
are public play here but again not a ton of public is betting
13:41
baseball on a daily basis. Red Sox are getting 90% of bets
13:44
nearly nearly 100 percent, 94% of the money.
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So it tells me that again not only is it public, but based on
13:50
that line move a lot of wise guys are going with Boston here.
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Now the angle that I really like with the Red Sox I I kind of
13:56
teased this a little bit earlier.
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Non division Rd. favorite off a win.
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So two different two teams from two different divisions don't
14:04
really know each other favorite as well as the key thing here on
14:08
the road cause public tends to lean home teams and off a win
14:11
means you're bringing in some momentum into that next day.
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So it's that system right there non division Rd. favored off a
14:16
win it's 516 and three 4160% since 2021 And I'm also you know
14:23
kind of a little wary of you know putting too much stock into
14:26
you know early statistics you know batting average you know
14:30
ERA that kind of stuff. But Red Sox, you know through
14:32
the opening series, they're hitting 229, Oakland's only
14:35
hitting 216 and much better pitching here.
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Hopefully that continues here tonight with Tanner Hauck.
14:39
But Red Sox have a team ERA of two point O 4 versus A-Team ERA
14:43
of six for Oakland. So I'm going with the Red Sox
14:46
here. Guys.
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Shop around. I got Boston a little bit
14:48
earlier today, around -140. Now you're looking at the Sox
14:51
around -145 again, some books even inching up toward -150.
14:56
Now. Last bat in Major League
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Baseball tonight. Late game here.
14:59
Yankees. Arizona, this is a rematch of
15:01
the what was it the 2001 World Series when Luis Gonzalez hit
15:06
that little little bleeder up the middle to beat the Yankees
15:08
to beat Rivera. But a great match up tonight
15:10
because Yankees are off to a good start.
15:13
Yankees are coming into this one undefeated.
15:16
If you also look at the Arizona Diamondbacks, a team that I know
15:20
I targeted and I'm on the over win total, they're over 83 1/2.
15:23
So not a bad start there with our over with the Arizona D
15:28
backs because they are three and one.
15:30
Yankees again four and O had a full 4 game sweep against the
15:33
the Houston Astros. But pitching match up here.
15:37
Luis Heel is going for the Yankees.
15:40
He is a young righty who didn't pitch last year.
15:42
He had Tommy John surgery. He's going up against a righty
15:45
for Arizona, Ryan Nelson who was eight and eight with a 5.31 ERA
15:48
last year. What are we seeing across the
15:50
market here? Well, pretty much the line
15:53
hasn't moved at all. And if you look at the BET
15:55
splits, the Publix right down the middle, 5050, but you've
15:58
seen a little bit of movement at some shops at least in favor of
16:01
Arizona's. Basically the lines either stay
16:03
the same or move slightly toward Arizona.
16:05
So Yankees open pretty much -120 across the board.
16:08
You know, some shops are still -120, but some are down to like
16:11
-115 -, 118. So basically 5050 line shouldn't
16:15
move at all yet. It's not huge, but a slight
16:18
slight dip here toward Arizona. This will be interesting one to
16:21
monitor. Like when we get closer to first
16:23
pitch tonight, you know, later in the day, early evening into,
16:26
you know, going toward first pitch.
16:28
Does this continue to break toward Arizona Like like I
16:31
buried the lead here. I'm on Arizona.
16:32
I'm going to take the snakes here and some plus money shop
16:35
around. I got Arizona at +105, but a
16:38
little bit of a 5050 line move. Now if you're on Arizona like
16:41
me, you want to see the Yankees fall, you know, -120 down to
16:44
-115, that sort of thing. But Arizona's checking off a few
16:47
boxes. One little bit of a 5050 line
16:50
move, #2 dog high total. We mentioned this a little bit
16:53
earlier with, you know, Tampa Bay with the Mets, even the Red
16:57
Sox. That total is a favorite with a
16:59
total of eight. But that's juiced up.
17:00
Actually, 8 / -, 115. But if you're on a dog, you want
17:04
a high total. Again, High total is 9 or more.
17:06
This one is 9 1/2. It's juiced up over.
17:08
It looks like it may even get to 10, but a high total is a good
17:11
thing for a dog because the more expected run scored, the more
17:14
variants, the more upset opportunities.
17:16
So always remember dog high total, favorite, low total.
17:20
Does it mean every dog high total will win?
17:21
Every favorite low total will win?
17:23
No. But if you look historically,
17:25
the high totals benefit dogs. The low totals benefit
17:27
favorites. Now, aside from the dog high
17:30
total, the little bit of a 5050 line move I'm going to bank on
17:34
the offense of Arizona. They're hitting 333 versus 273
17:38
for the Yankees. Arizona scored 32 runs versus 21
17:41
for the Yankees. Better slugging percentage for
17:44
Arizona, 541 versus 424. Better OBPOBP on base
17:49
percentage, 413 versus 372. But really, the line hasn't
17:53
moved at all. And yet we've seen it maybe dip
17:56
slightly a few cents, at least toward Arizona dog height total.
17:59
I think it's a good angle here with a better offense to take a
18:01
shot on some plus money. With Arizona again you don't
18:04
really get Arizona too often at home with plus money.
18:07
I'm taking a shot on the Snakes at plus one O 5 S Tampa Bay, the
18:11
Mets the Red Sox and Arizona. That is our four pack of sweats
18:15
here tonight and Major League Baseball now over 21 bet in the
18:19
NBA that caught my eye and this one is interesting because it is
18:23
a buy low over system match. So what do I mean by me?
18:26
What do I mean by that? Let's go to the match up here
18:28
tonight It is the Hawks and the Bulls.
18:31
Now this total has fallen. So first let me mention the
18:34
spread. It has moved toward the Hawks.
18:36
The Bulls open as high as like -3 1/2 the Bulls and this is by
18:39
the way an 8:00 game. Bulls -3 1/2 down to around -2.
18:44
So line is moving toward Atlanta and the total's also fallen.
18:47
But it's fallen so much that I think it creates a buy low
18:50
opportunity to go over. Now this total open as high as
18:52
225. It's now all the way down to 221
18:56
1/2 or even 221. So think of it this way, if
18:59
you're playing the under, yes you're with the sharp move but
19:02
you're getting the worst of the number like if this lands
19:04
anywhere you know 222-220-3224 the wise guys who at the under
19:09
early are going to cash, you're going to lose if you get a late
19:12
under 221 and a half 221. So the reason why this creates a
19:16
buy low over opportunity and I'm going to call this over, so I'm
19:19
going Hawks over Hawks and bulls over 221, but I'm not going to
19:23
call it a sharp bet. You know, again, we don't have
19:25
any element of reverse line movement, steam move, 5050 line
19:29
move, line freeze, low bets, higher dollars really don't have
19:31
that. But we do have is a value play.
19:34
So it's fallen so much, 225 down to 221 that I'm looking toward
19:38
going the other way, buying loan going and going over now here as
19:41
we're building a case to to go over here.
19:45
One would be Atlanta in particular.
19:47
Atlanta is #5 in terms of pace. They're #9 in terms of offensive
19:51
efficiency and they're 27th in defensive efficiency.
19:54
Chicago is 18th in defensive efficiency.
19:57
So Atlanta is fast. They score a lot, they give up a
19:59
lot. And the Bulls aren't that great
20:02
defensively either. We have a short spread.
20:04
Again, this is only A2. Some books are -2, 1/2 Bulls.
20:07
So a short spread. Good for an over more
20:09
competitive game. Back and forth scoring, maybe
20:11
you get overtime again, You know, big big spread, lean under
20:16
short spread. You know low number Here you
20:18
typically lean over from a correlative betting system
20:20
match, but here's where it gets good.
20:22
Atlanta and Chicago Did you guys know that Atlanta is the #2 over
20:26
team in the NBA this year 41 and 3355% and Chicago is your #5
20:32
over team this year 40 and 34 to the over 54%.
20:35
Now Atlanta is 8:00 and 1:00 to the over their last nine.
20:39
Chicago is 7 and three to the over their last ten.
20:42
We also the added motivation of playoff or play in game
20:45
positioning, the play in series, because right now you have the
20:50
Bulls and Hawks in the 9th and 10th spots, so they're really
20:53
fighting for positioning. You want a home game when you
20:55
play that playing tournament game.
20:56
Also if you get a better seat and win, you're going to play an
21:00
opponent. In the real playoffs that is
21:02
going to be a little bit more advantageous.
21:04
I did notice also two other factors here.
21:07
Healthwise, Caruso and IO de Sumu are expected to play so
21:12
good. Two good offensive guys, they're
21:13
questionable they're in. And another angle here is Jalen
21:16
Johnson. Jalen Johnson is returning to
21:19
the Hawks. He missed a bunch of games.
21:22
He's averaging 16 points per game member.
21:23
He was the guy at Duke who slid in the draft but Chicago as
21:27
well. I was reading about them.
21:28
This is probably why they're, you know, creeping up as one of
21:30
the best over teams. But Chicago has the 4th worst
21:33
defensive rating in the month of March.
21:35
So obviously March is over. It's April 1st, but in the month
21:38
of March they're one of the worst defensive rated teams so
21:41
they gave up a lot of points. Hopefully that continues here
21:43
tonight. So again, I'm not calling this a
21:45
sharp move. This is a value play to me.
21:47
A buy low over after a line is total has fallen so much let's
21:51
go the other way and get some buy back here I'm going to go
21:53
over Hawk's Bulls over 221. That about does it for today's
22:00
All Systems Go sports betting podcast Episode 13.
22:04
But a few things here guys. Reminder, we are a plant that is
22:07
germinated and sprouted and poked our head, you know,
22:10
through the soil and we are a a seedling here who's trying to
22:14
grow. So as a relatively new pod, I am
22:17
so excited and thankful and honored to host the pod and get
22:20
this thing off the ground. But I need your help to spread
22:23
the word about the all systems gopod and there are a few easy
22:26
things you can do to help this pod grow.
22:28
The easiest thing it takes you 5 seconds is just go to Spotify,
22:31
follow the pod and give it a five star review.
22:34
That really goes a long way toward, you know, getting us to
22:37
rise up the up the charts. Also whether you listen on
22:41
iTunes, Spotify, iHeartRadio, whatever the case may be.
22:45
Again, if you want to give it a five star review, that would
22:47
mean a lot. But also support the pod on
22:50
Twitter, you can follow the All Systems Go podcast at under
22:53
score ASG under score Podcast, Give that a follow.
22:56
You can follow me at Josh under Score Insights Of course, if you
23:00
enjoy these breakdowns. Even though you're probably not
23:03
enjoying as a contrarian March Madness.
23:05
Because we are getting taken to the woodshed with all these
23:08
obvious favourites and drunk guys at the bar beating us.
23:11
Which you don't normally see, Which is frustrating to say the
23:14
least. But anyway, if you enjoy this
23:16
style of breaking down games of sports betting, of approaching
23:19
sports betting with not our bias telling us what to bet, but
23:23
reading the market and picking up on clues how a line opens,
23:27
How and why it moves, how to read line movement, how to
23:29
locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online.
23:32
How to shop for the best line. All these little things we
23:34
talked about going contrarian, of course.
23:36
Bankroll management. If you want to learn more about
23:39
data-driven sports betting, then I have something to tell you.
23:42
Go buy my book. Go to Amazon.com, type in the
23:46
Everything Guide to Sports betting, pick up a copy for you
23:49
or for a friend. As I mentioned, you're going to
23:51
learn about how betting markets operate, how to take advantage
23:54
and locate sharp action, how to go contrarian.
23:56
I have full chapters on how to bet Major League Baseball.
23:59
It's all included there in my book, The Everything Guide to
24:01
Sports Betting. So if you want to pick one up,
24:03
it would really mean the world to me.
24:04
And when I meet you at the book, whether that's in Vegas or
24:08
somewhere here on the East Coast or somewhere in between, I will
24:11
buy you a beer and I will sign that book for you and hopefully
24:14
we'll sweat some good games together.
24:16
But anyway, again, that is the All the Everything Guide to
24:19
Sports betting which you can pick up on Amazon.
24:22
I'm glad about does it guys. Another pod here in the books.
24:24
Let's hope 13 is lucky number today on April Fools.
24:26
I'll be excited to really get in the groove of betting baseball
24:29
on a daily basis. Baseball is such an up and down
24:31
sport or frustrating sport. But there's something about each
24:35
day grinding MLB and and trying to beat these numbers.
24:38
And it's good to really focus today's pod on betting Major
24:41
League Baseball. I'll bet you guys, whether I see
24:43
you at the Borgata in Atlantic City Twin River in Rhode Island,
24:47
the Brooklyn, New Hampshire Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun in my
24:49
neck of the woods out at the encore in the in Boston or
24:53
Planters Park Casino, MGM Springfield out in the desert
24:55
where the true grinders get down at the South Point.
24:58
Or of course, Stadium Swim and Circa, which is the ultimate
25:01
Disney World for sports betters. However it may be here you're
25:04
going to walk up to me and hopefully show me some of these
25:06
winning tickets from tonight and Major League Baseball.
25:08
Tampa. The Mets.
25:09
The Red Sox. Let's go snakes little plus
25:11
money. Let's buy loan.
25:12
Get that Hawks bulls over. Let's see if we can start off
25:15
the first day of April on a on a positive note here guys.
25:20
My parting words as always, stay sharp.
25:22
Stay contrarian. Bet against the public.
25:23
Place yourself on the side of the house.
25:24
Always be with the smart money. Never against it.
25:27
Will smart money win every time. Of course not.
25:29
But if we can find that sweet spot, bypass the games that have
25:32
red flags and get down on the games that fit our model against
25:35
the public with the house, with the pros flat bet, avoid
25:38
parlays, get some closing line value.
25:39
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors
25:42
long term, so enjoy the Monday sweats everyone.
25:45
Lastly, of course, have you downloaded the Rhythm app yet?
25:49
Rhythm is fantastic. Rhythm is the ultimate AI sports
25:52
betting app for data, back picks and props and rhythm powers this
25:55
podcast. So you do a great job and we had
25:58
a lot of fun with a couple live streams to start March Madness
26:01
and I've gotten a lot of great feedback from you about Rhythm.
26:03
But if you haven't done it yet, go download the free Rhythm app
26:06
so you can start playing around it and locating some edges here
26:09
based on the AI data backed models.
26:12
And if you need some help, all you got to do to sign up for
26:15
that Rhythm app. Just go to my Twitter page at
26:18
Josh under score Insights or the ASG Pod Twitter page at under
26:22
score ASG under score Podcast, the pinned tweet at the very top
26:26
of both Twitter accounts, mine and the ASG Pod.
26:28
Boom. You're going to see a little
26:29
tweet. It's going to have a custom link
26:31
tap that, get that rhythm. 7 day free trial, Give it a shot.
26:34
I think you're really going to enjoy it.
26:35
It's just another great resource to use when when determining you
26:39
know if is there value, is there an edge?
26:41
Should I bet this game? OK.
26:43
Rhythm is going to give you some insight into what they're
26:45
projecting and hopefully that helps you to cash them bets,
26:48
which I know it will. But anyway guys have a great
26:50
Monday. Hope everyone had a great
26:51
Easter. We got to keep on grinding.
26:53
Don't let March Madness get you down.
26:54
It's been disappointing here as data-driven contrarian betters,
26:57
but we have. We have more games to get get
27:00
down on tonight and we're always going to have that next bet
27:03
mentality. So enjoy the sweats, everyone.
27:05
Have a great Monday. I'll see you back tomorrow for
27:07
episode 14 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting Podcast.
27:11
Good luck.