Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NFL Best Bets Monday 11/24/25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep.
- 0:01Speaker 2: Inside I want to kill myself. We are on OWN
- 0:06Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
- 0:08Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
- 0:10Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
- 0:13Speaker 2: Sunday one in five.
- 0:14Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
- 0:17Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
- 0:19Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
- 0:21Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
- 0:26Speaker 2: good day at all.
- 0:27Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season.
- 0:31Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
- 0:35Speaker 2: slump continues.
- 0:37Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
- 0:41Speaker 1: Broins hat. Man, I don't know what is going on
- 0:43Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March eight? Is that what it is?
- 0:46Speaker 1: I don't even know it's it's March ninth. I think
- 0:49Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
- 0:52Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
- 0:58Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
- 1:06Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
- 1:07Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
- 1:11Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 2: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
- 1:25Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all.
- 1:33Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? It's sewed back with you.
- 1:35Speaker 2: For Total Sports Monday, Uh, November twenty fourth. Got to
- 1:41Speaker 2: get right into it, man, pretty much. I didn't realize
- 1:43Speaker 2: that we have We're in Thanksgiving weeks. We have all
- 1:46Speaker 2: these college basketball games that are going on early ish
- 1:50Speaker 2: in the day. If you follow me on Instagram, I
- 1:52Speaker 2: already put out a play, but I'll talk about it
- 1:55Speaker 2: pretty much right now. First game I'm gonna talk about
- 1:57Speaker 2: it is going to be a play for me. That's
- 2:00Speaker 2: one of many. I'm gonna have seven college basketball plays today.
- 2:05Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 2:06Speaker 2: I think two hockey plays in four NBA plays something
- 2:10Speaker 2: like that. Yeah, yesterday I think we had We went
- 2:14Speaker 2: seven and five. It started off looking.
- 2:17Speaker 1: Like it was gonna be a huge day. But of
- 2:20Speaker 1: course NFL was terrible.
- 2:22Speaker 2: The Raiders fired Chip Kelly because their offense is so bad.
- 2:26Speaker 2: I mean, it wasn't anything that the Browns did offensively
- 2:30Speaker 2: at least. I mean, the Browns were good defensively, there's
- 2:33Speaker 2: no question about that. But Shuitar Sanders, I mean he
- 2:35Speaker 2: was awful. He was eleven for twenty for like two
- 2:38Speaker 2: hundred yards. I mean, is that really impressive against a
- 2:41Speaker 2: Raider defense. I would not say so, although everybody's like
- 2:45Speaker 2: hailing him the new franchise quarterback. Yeah, you know how
- 2:49Speaker 2: these Browns quarterbacks go. Man, good luck with that. The
- 2:52Speaker 2: Raiders just suck. He also did throw an interception in
- 2:56Speaker 2: that game too, so that helped me out in Fantasy
- 2:59Speaker 2: with I played the Raiders defense in Fantasy they did
- 3:02Speaker 2: well enough. I'm gonna win this week unless something really
- 3:05Speaker 2: bad happens tonight.
- 3:07Speaker 1: I'm up.
- 3:08Speaker 2: I think I'm up by about sixty or seventy, and
- 3:10Speaker 2: I have doubt all on my team to try to
- 3:13Speaker 2: cut into what my opponent might do. And my opponent
- 3:16Speaker 2: has Legatt and Christian McCaffrey left. I think so whatever
- 3:20Speaker 2: Arizona Cardinals, they should have won. I mean, I mean,
- 3:26Speaker 2: I get well, there are certain things about it they
- 3:29Speaker 2: where you should say that they should have won, like
- 3:31Speaker 2: Jacksonville through three interceptions in the game. When you have
- 3:35Speaker 2: that going for you, you shouldn't lose, so that would
- 3:38Speaker 2: indicate that Arizona played horribly in the other phases of
- 3:41Speaker 2: the game, but they didn't.
- 3:43Speaker 1: I mean, it was statistically close.
- 3:44Speaker 2: I don't know how you have a game statistically close,
- 3:47Speaker 2: win the turnover battle and lose. I mean they were
- 3:49Speaker 2: winning the game late. They had to retie it again
- 3:52Speaker 2: late send it into overtime, and that's I mean, when
- 3:55Speaker 2: you have an underdog and it goes into overtime, that
- 3:57Speaker 2: pretty much tells you you were on the right side.
- 4:00Speaker 2: But I just never saw three. No three came up,
- 4:03Speaker 2: although I saw some professionals.
- 4:05Speaker 1: Are on the three.
- 4:06Speaker 2: They must have like picked off the number, like as
- 4:08Speaker 2: soon as it came out of the market, and that
- 4:10Speaker 2: was it.
- 4:11Speaker 1: Which the importance in the number there, because.
- 4:13Speaker 2: That would have been a push. But I am pissed.
- 4:15Speaker 2: I think Arizona should have won that game. And then
- 4:17Speaker 2: of course the other two plays that I put in
- 4:20Speaker 2: my pick five actually both won with Tennessee and Dallas,
- 4:26Speaker 2: so that was I mean, I'm not mad about that,
- 4:29Speaker 2: but I should have made those of my plays instead.
- 4:31Speaker 2: It's like, which ones do you want to pick?
- 4:33Speaker 1: Man?
- 4:34Speaker 2: I liked Tennessee. I mean I should have added that
- 4:36Speaker 2: as a play. I mean the sandwich spot there. It
- 4:39Speaker 2: was real basketball. College basketball started off really hot. We
- 4:43Speaker 2: got Western Michigan pretty much no sweat easy win Robert
- 4:47Speaker 2: Morris I think lost by one. They looked like they
- 4:50Speaker 2: had a bunch of chances to win that game at
- 4:53Speaker 2: the end, and they wound up losing by one. But
- 4:55Speaker 2: they covered Lamar with an outright wins a six and
- 4:59Speaker 2: a half point under. Bryant also covered as Yukon. Just again,
- 5:04Speaker 2: it was a disinterested Yukon team. They just didn't put
- 5:06Speaker 2: up a lot of points. They were never in danger
- 5:08Speaker 2: of losing the game. But that's like exactly how I
- 5:10Speaker 2: thought that game was gonna go. I think they won
- 5:12Speaker 2: by twenty three, maybe something somewhere in the twenties.
- 5:16Speaker 1: I believe so Bryant, even though they didn't even get
- 5:20Speaker 1: to fifty points.
- 5:21Speaker 2: It was like, I don't know, Yukon didn't get to
- 5:23Speaker 2: eighty either, So that's what I.
- 5:25Speaker 1: Kind of thought.
- 5:26Speaker 2: Lower scoring game. Marshall then was a loser though couldn't.
- 5:29Speaker 1: Get it done.
- 5:31Speaker 2: They won by nine. I think we needed him to
- 5:33Speaker 2: win by thirteen. They never had enough of a margin
- 5:37Speaker 2: to do it. It was way too low scoring, which I
- 5:39Speaker 2: thought Marshall was gonna speed up the game more than
- 5:41Speaker 2: they did. That sucked, and the Jackson State looked like
- 5:44Speaker 2: they were in decent position until they fell apart late
- 5:47Speaker 2: in the game. They were within that number for most
- 5:50Speaker 2: of the game and then like a late run against
- 5:53Speaker 2: them put them out of it. I don't remember how
- 5:55Speaker 2: much they want up losing by, but it wasn't that
- 5:57Speaker 2: much more than the number.
- 5:58Speaker 1: I don't think.
- 5:59Speaker 2: What do they lose by, like fourteen, maybe more than that,
- 6:02Speaker 2: I don't know, but that one, like the best number
- 6:06Speaker 2: that I found on that was eleven, so I don't know.
- 6:09Speaker 1: And then Vancouver was absolute ass. So thanks to them for.
- 6:14Speaker 2: You know, making thanks to them for making my night
- 6:18Speaker 2: end horribly. Vancouver just absolute garbage. I don't know what
- 6:21Speaker 2: that was, although I think the stats would indicate that
- 6:25Speaker 2: the score was misleading.
- 6:27Speaker 1: NBA was awesome.
- 6:28Speaker 2: We were three to zero in the NBA Boss's Celtics
- 6:31Speaker 2: easy win. They were just blowing Orlando out for a
- 6:34Speaker 2: lot of the game, and then the final score wound
- 6:36Speaker 2: up being closer than what a lot of the game was.
- 6:39Speaker 2: I think the Celtics probably just stopped paying attention once
- 6:43Speaker 2: they were. They were ahead by almost thirty I think
- 6:45Speaker 2: in that game in the second half, and they only
- 6:49Speaker 2: won I think by sixteen maybe something in that ballpark,
- 6:52Speaker 2: But whatever it was, that was a win Oklahoma City
- 6:56Speaker 2: pretty much an easy win and cover on them too,
- 6:59Speaker 2: even though both of the sides I think wound up
- 7:01Speaker 2: being public with less of the money on them. Those
- 7:03Speaker 2: both won, and then Utah also got the cover. Looked
- 7:08Speaker 2: like they had chances to maybe win that game outright,
- 7:10Speaker 2: and then they made it scary as they fell apart
- 7:14Speaker 2: in the final couple of minutes of the game, and
- 7:15Speaker 2: then all of a sudden it went from like a
- 7:17Speaker 2: one or two point game to an eight point deficit.
- 7:20Speaker 2: I'm like, are they really not even gonna cover this?
- 7:22Speaker 1: But they did. They actually they.
- 7:25Speaker 2: Got back and only lost by two, So I'm fine
- 7:28Speaker 2: with that obviously.
- 7:30Speaker 1: Ah yeah, Jeffrio, what's up, Sab? What's up? I don't
- 7:35Speaker 1: care about revenge from a season opener. I don't care.
- 7:38Speaker 2: Don't care about two days off either. Two days off
- 7:42Speaker 2: doesn't matter in hockey. It happens all the time. It's
- 7:45Speaker 2: still dude, there are a bunch of professionals that agreed
- 7:48Speaker 2: with me on that game.
- 7:49Speaker 1: I don't think my read on that game was wrong.
- 7:51Speaker 1: I'm just telling you, like.
- 7:53Speaker 2: Revenge for a season opener, it doesn't matter that much.
- 7:57Speaker 2: Like the only thing that I think mattered a little
- 7:59Speaker 2: bit was just they will have a tendency to want
- 8:02Speaker 2: to play well against Vancouver just because they're a geographically
- 8:06Speaker 2: close team that has more name recognition than they do.
- 8:11Speaker 1: Yeah, NBA. NBA continues to be.
- 8:14Speaker 2: My best sport and it's not even close. Sara Sanders,
- 8:19Speaker 2: he sucks, dude. Yeah, he's He's gonna throw a lot
- 8:24Speaker 2: of interceptions. Let's just put it that way. The books,
- 8:30Speaker 2: Uh wait, what are we talking this?
- 8:33Speaker 1: Wait?
- 8:33Speaker 2: What the sharps the sharp sides where the Saints. The
- 8:38Speaker 2: sharps are absolutely on the Saints.
- 8:40Speaker 1: There's no question.
- 8:41Speaker 2: I showed you that was a huge pros versus Joe's situation.
- 8:45Speaker 2: And that was like the only reason why I picked
- 8:47Speaker 2: the Saints. And I pick them because I was like
- 8:50Speaker 2: kind of thinking, well, Atlanta injured player spot, but I
- 8:52Speaker 2: showed you how horrible Atlanta's schedule was with all the
- 8:55Speaker 2: travel they were doing, so I wound up just having
- 8:58Speaker 2: to go. And I know the Saints went into the
- 9:00Speaker 2: buying a good note, but No, the sharp side was
- 9:02Speaker 2: absolutely the Saints. So but yeah, I don't know what
- 9:09Speaker 2: we're talking about here. And the squares, Yeah we're on
- 9:14Speaker 2: the Lions, I guess. And yeah they were definitely on
- 9:16Speaker 2: the Bills. Yeah, but that was a Thursday night game,
- 9:20Speaker 2: so I don't know. I mean Thursday night gets a
- 9:21Speaker 2: little bit less traction. Yeah, I mean the Lions were
- 9:26Speaker 2: definitely a heavily public side yesterday, which I didn't I
- 9:31Speaker 2: wasn't even sure that the Lions were gonna be the
- 9:32Speaker 2: wrong side in that game, as I showed you. I
- 9:34Speaker 2: think the only reason why it was was because there
- 9:37Speaker 2: was a Thanksgiving look ahead component to that one. But
- 9:39Speaker 2: I told you Lions over the team total was the
- 9:42Speaker 2: way to do it, and they did, although it required
- 9:44Speaker 2: overtime to do it, but they got over.
- 9:49Speaker 1: Jazz correct.
- 9:50Speaker 2: Yes, thank you. Yes, I mean I'm not always going
- 9:53Speaker 2: to fade the public. I did not like the market
- 9:56Speaker 2: read on that one, but I thought the spot was
- 9:58Speaker 2: correct for Oklahoma City.
- 10:01Speaker 1: Pinzy, what's up, man? No, the Saints were not a
- 10:06Speaker 1: square play. They were not.
- 10:09Speaker 2: It just it was just not the right side. That's
- 10:12Speaker 2: all there is to it. I don't know what else
- 10:15Speaker 2: to say about it that market where was it was
- 10:18Speaker 2: heavily like pros versus Joe's, Like the Joe's were on
- 10:22Speaker 2: the Falcons in that game. Like I saw that market
- 10:25Speaker 2: read I showed it on the show. Uh, Like the
- 10:27Speaker 2: professional money was all in the Saints and it was
- 10:30Speaker 2: not a game.
- 10:30Speaker 1: That was like really heavily.
- 10:32Speaker 2: There was not heavy public involvement in that game either.
- 10:35Speaker 2: So the pros are gonna hate the Falcons.
- 10:42Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 10:42Speaker 2: I mean, it was just one game that that they
- 10:44Speaker 2: didn't get right. I mean, it happens all the time.
- 10:48Speaker 2: Let's get into the college basketball here.
- 10:50Speaker 1: Man.
- 10:52Speaker 2: We have way too many plays here today. I haven't
- 10:54Speaker 2: even entered all of them into my banners here yet.
- 10:57Speaker 2: College basketball, we have a ton of tournaments going on here.
- 11:00Speaker 2: I don't want to go over every single tournament like
- 11:02Speaker 2: I have been doing. It's just tons of them all,
- 11:05Speaker 2: Like almost all of them are in tropical locations. Like, hey,
- 11:08Speaker 2: give give the boys some you know, some some vacation time.
- 11:13Speaker 1: So I think, you know, some of these northern northerly schools.
- 11:17Speaker 2: Might get more distracted by being in Florida and being
- 11:19Speaker 2: in the Caribbean and whatever. But in this first game
- 11:23Speaker 2: and I'll think so if you follow me on Instagram,
- 11:26Speaker 2: we're gonna take to LEDO plus three. I'm gonna go
- 11:28Speaker 2: right back to the well and fade Troy again.
- 11:31Speaker 1: Uh.
- 11:31Speaker 2: This is in some Fort Myers tournament being hosted at
- 11:35Speaker 2: Florida Gulf Coast. It's the Coconut Hoops is what it's called. Yeah, great,
- 11:41Speaker 2: there's some some of these names are ridiculous, dude, just
- 11:44Speaker 2: like the Bulls, Like they have different sponsors and stuff
- 11:47Speaker 2: and they just get ridiculous names.
- 11:48Speaker 1: Troy.
- 11:49Speaker 2: They're in a terrible spot, dude, this is justly this
- 11:52Speaker 2: is ridiculous, Troy.
- 11:54Speaker 1: I've already pointed out what they've been doing. They went
- 11:56Speaker 1: over they went out to.
- 11:57Speaker 2: The Pacific Coast to play for road games in a
- 12:00Speaker 2: row on the Pacific Coast. They're out there all week,
- 12:03Speaker 2: and they actually stepped up their game. They actually played
- 12:06Speaker 2: pretty well in all four of them. They didn't lose
- 12:08Speaker 2: by more than eleven in any of them. And then
- 12:10Speaker 2: they stepped up their game. They went into San Diego
- 12:13Speaker 2: State and beat them in double overtime. So I'm thinking
- 12:17Speaker 2: that's ridiculous. I mean, San Diego State, we know how
- 12:19Speaker 2: good of a basketball program they are. Troy was a
- 12:22Speaker 2: fourteen and a half point underdog in that wanted to
- 12:24Speaker 2: do that.
- 12:24Speaker 1: I was like, they're gonna.
- 12:25Speaker 2: Be in a deflated spot. Plus, San Diego State plays
- 12:29Speaker 2: slow and grinds you, where's USC speeds you up. So
- 12:32Speaker 2: I thought there was gonna be this huge tempo mismatch
- 12:36Speaker 2: coming into this next game. Because Troy also kind of
- 12:38Speaker 2: wants to play slow ish, I believe, so.
- 12:41Speaker 1: I thought USC was gonna speed it up.
- 12:43Speaker 2: I thought it was like, there's no way Troy's gonna
- 12:45Speaker 2: put in that effort multiple games in a row.
- 12:47Speaker 1: What did they do?
- 12:48Speaker 2: They took USC to triple overtime and almost won that
- 12:51Speaker 2: game two, falling just short as eighteen and a half
- 12:54Speaker 2: point underdogs. Again, absolutely ridiculous. Neither team shot particularly well
- 13:00Speaker 2: in the game.
- 13:01Speaker 1: Well yeah, I mean the stats are pretty close.
- 13:04Speaker 2: So though Troy did massively out rebound USC, USC looks
- 13:08Speaker 2: like they're gonna not be a team that does well
- 13:10Speaker 2: on the interior.
- 13:11Speaker 1: Let's just put it that way.
- 13:12Speaker 2: They're a fast paced shooting team, like a finesse team,
- 13:16Speaker 2: which usually is not the type of team that I like.
- 13:19Speaker 1: So Troy out physical them.
- 13:21Speaker 2: But now Troy's coming off of all of that, and
- 13:23Speaker 2: now they have to play an eleven am game East
- 13:27Speaker 2: Coast time in Florida after they were adjusted to the
- 13:30Speaker 2: Pacific time zone, so another biological clock is gonna get
- 13:33Speaker 2: like totally fucked again. And it's like they have to
- 13:35Speaker 2: play this game at eight am now their time, which
- 13:38Speaker 2: I know usually the going east isn't.
- 13:41Speaker 1: As bad, but this is pretty ridiculous.
- 13:43Speaker 2: I mean, this isn't one pm Eastern like in the
- 13:47Speaker 2: NFL and whatever, or even noon in college college football.
- 13:51Speaker 2: This is eleven am in Florida. Coming off of two
- 13:54Speaker 2: monster performances. I don't see Troy having much left here.
- 13:58Speaker 1: Man.
- 13:58Speaker 2: I know it's this tournament, but I just don't see it.
- 14:02Speaker 2: Toledo the spot is just so much easier for them,
- 14:04Speaker 2: And I mean, they had a decent win over Youngstown
- 14:07Speaker 2: in their last game.
- 14:08Speaker 1: The men off since Wednesday.
- 14:09Speaker 2: I know, sometimes when a team has an extra break,
- 14:11Speaker 2: it can disrupt their momentum a little bit, but they
- 14:14Speaker 2: don't really have anything upcoming for a while, so this
- 14:17Speaker 2: is like their last game before they have a big break.
- 14:19Speaker 1: And in the middle, well, if you want to call it,
- 14:21Speaker 1: in the middle.
- 14:22Speaker 2: Of the break, they faced some Division two team as well,
- 14:24Speaker 2: so I think they are gonna have their sights on
- 14:26Speaker 2: this game against Troy here. So the spot is way
- 14:31Speaker 2: way worse for Troy with the travel and it being
- 14:35Speaker 2: basically like a double letdown spot. They played five overtime
- 14:38Speaker 2: periods over the last couple of games, and I think
- 14:40Speaker 2: both of those were after Toledo even played last, because
- 14:45Speaker 2: Toledo last played on the nineteenth, So actually, yeah, sorry,
- 14:49Speaker 2: Troy played on the eighteenth and the twentieth.
- 14:51Speaker 1: Yeah, so but still we're gonna take Toledo.
- 14:55Speaker 2: Troy has eighty two percent of tickets, ninety percent of
- 14:57Speaker 2: the cash on them. They dropped a little bit for
- 15:00Speaker 2: five to three. You might be able to get three
- 15:01Speaker 2: and a half right now on this game's coming up
- 15:04Speaker 2: less than an hour. Fading the public by fading Troy here. Yeah,
- 15:08Speaker 2: that's play number one there, Liberty and Vermont's I don't
- 15:14Speaker 2: really have much of a take on it.
- 15:17Speaker 1: Thank you, sir. The NBA picks yam. Hopefully we can
- 15:22Speaker 1: do it again with the NBA, although the NBA today,
- 15:24Speaker 1: I mean, I'm I'm gonna I'm gonna be on some
- 15:27Speaker 1: favorites that are favorites that are too big, dirty sock.
- 15:31Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out man, let's.
- 15:33Speaker 2: Keep going here. I don't want to talk about every
- 15:35Speaker 2: single one of these. Like I said, we have all
- 15:37Speaker 2: these different tournaments going on Florida, you know, in Kissimi,
- 15:42Speaker 2: Daytona Beach, whatever. I don't have much to say about
- 15:45Speaker 2: a lot of these. All these early games are in
- 15:48Speaker 2: neutral locations except for Fairley Dickinson is hosting East Texas
- 15:52Speaker 2: A and M. I have no opinion on that game,
- 15:54Speaker 2: but that's at Fairley Dickinson in Hackensack, the home of
- 15:58Speaker 2: Frank Sinatra. We do have this Virgin Islands tournament with
- 16:02Speaker 2: U MASS in Oregon State playing in the loser of
- 16:07Speaker 2: the Loser bracket. These are I think both of these
- 16:10Speaker 2: teams lost both games. You Mass lost, I believe as
- 16:13Speaker 2: a favorite against Green Bay in the most recent game.
- 16:16Speaker 2: Fuck you ad block. Oh my fucking god, why do
- 16:19Speaker 2: they have to bring up the fucking dude, It's because
- 16:21Speaker 2: they want money. They just have to throw the like
- 16:24Speaker 2: not a pop up, but throw that new tab right
- 16:26Speaker 2: at you and fucking scare you. Like there's some I
- 16:29Speaker 2: always think there's some, like virus. I'm like, what the fuck,
- 16:33Speaker 2: I don't know. It scares me every time, but yeah,
- 16:35Speaker 2: you Mass, they should bounce back from playing that ugly.
- 16:41Speaker 1: Oregon State.
- 16:42Speaker 2: I mean they lost to Iona in the last game.
- 16:43Speaker 2: I own it is a better team than Green Bay,
- 16:45Speaker 2: which is who massa Chusett's just lost to. Money's coming
- 16:49Speaker 2: in in Oregon State. I kind of disagree with it though.
- 16:52Speaker 2: Eighty one percent of the tickets on you Mass, seventy
- 16:54Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on Oregon State, who are
- 16:56Speaker 2: up from a two point favorite to a three point
- 16:58Speaker 2: favorite with juice gonna disagree that the better team. But
- 17:02Speaker 2: to me, I think U Mass is gonna be kind
- 17:05Speaker 2: of in the spot where I think they kind of
- 17:06Speaker 2: want to save face after losing to Green Bay. Green
- 17:09Speaker 2: Bay's played pretty well in that tournament though. Next up
- 17:14Speaker 2: T and T we're into the one PM. We got
- 17:16Speaker 2: another play here. We're gonna take the points with Rottgers
- 17:19Speaker 2: plus fifteen and a half against Tennessee, who were ranked
- 17:23Speaker 2: twentieth in the country. This game is in Las Vegas,
- 17:26Speaker 2: so I don't think that the venue is really great
- 17:28Speaker 2: for either team. But this is Tennessee. I don't believe
- 17:31Speaker 2: is left like their own time zone. I don't think,
- 17:35Speaker 2: like have they played even any neutral site games yet.
- 17:37Speaker 2: I'm not even sure I think this might be their
- 17:39Speaker 2: first non home game, and Tennessee hasn't played anybody yet.
- 17:43Speaker 1: I mean the best team that.
- 17:44Speaker 2: They've played so far is I mean Northern Kentucky maybe,
- 17:49Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know. Man like Tennessee, we know
- 17:51Speaker 2: they're good, but we don't know how good with you know, like,
- 17:56Speaker 2: there are new faces here, there's there's a lot of
- 17:58Speaker 2: turnover now in the the era of the nil, the
- 18:02Speaker 2: era of the transfer and whatever. Now they've got to
- 18:04Speaker 2: go out to Vegas to play Rutgers. But one huge
- 18:08Speaker 2: piece of this handicap is tomorrow Tennessee has to play Houston,
- 18:12Speaker 2: who are number two in the country. And not only that,
- 18:15Speaker 2: but that game is even bigger because Houston, if you remember,
- 18:19Speaker 2: is the team that eliminated Tennessee from the tournament last year.
- 18:23Speaker 1: In the Elite eight.
- 18:24Speaker 2: Houston beat Tennessee. So I think that's a that is
- 18:28Speaker 2: actually a revenge mode of there. You remember who bounced
- 18:31Speaker 2: you from the tournament. I know it didn't work with Wisconsin,
- 18:33Speaker 2: but we're talking about Tennessee being in a look ahead here,
- 18:36Speaker 2: and I think it's a it's an even bigger look
- 18:39Speaker 2: ahead to Houston for that reason. So Tennessee I mean,
- 18:44Speaker 2: they might not completely show up for Rutgers. Who's a
- 18:47Speaker 2: team that lost both of their best players from last
- 18:50Speaker 2: year to the NBA.
- 18:51Speaker 1: So we don't really know what Rutgers is at this point.
- 18:53Speaker 2: I think Rutgers is in a good spot to bounce back, though.
- 18:56Speaker 2: They just took an embarrassing loss at home to the
- 18:59Speaker 2: Central connect eticutte team who should have.
- 19:01Speaker 1: They should have won their conference last year. Central Connecticut
- 19:04Speaker 1: should have.
- 19:05Speaker 2: They took that upset in their conference tournament to Saint Francis.
- 19:09Speaker 2: Central Connecticut was far and away the better team, the
- 19:12Speaker 2: best team in the NC last year.
- 19:14Speaker 1: They're doing some things this year.
- 19:16Speaker 2: I mean, they did upset Boston College, but now this
- 19:19Speaker 2: was even bigger because Boston College is not very good.
- 19:22Speaker 2: I don't think Rutgers is either. They're probably better than BC.
- 19:26Speaker 2: Rutgers is a fifteen and a half point favorite. This
- 19:28Speaker 2: was at home for Rutgers in Piscataway, New Jersey, and
- 19:31Speaker 2: Rutgers had a horrific shooting game thirty six percent from
- 19:35Speaker 2: the field, twenty six percent from three. Central Connecticut didn't
- 19:38Speaker 2: shoot well either, but I mean that that is their mo.
- 19:42Speaker 2: They don't shoot well thirty nine percent from the field,
- 19:44Speaker 2: but they were forty three percent from three.
- 19:47Speaker 1: Rutgers lost the turnover.
- 19:49Speaker 2: Battle as well, which usually doesn't happen at home, So
- 19:51Speaker 2: some outliers in this game kind of led to this happening.
- 19:54Speaker 2: But Rutgers losing by double digits is fifteen and a
- 19:57Speaker 2: half point favorites. Maybe they were even looking ahead to
- 20:00Speaker 2: facing Tennessee, man, I mean maybe, yeah. I think the
- 20:05Speaker 2: turnovers might have indicated that that maybe Rutgers just was
- 20:08Speaker 2: kind of distracted and looking ahead. But now this sets
- 20:11Speaker 2: up a nice bounce back spot for Rutgers. Now they
- 20:13Speaker 2: just get to not hear about what just happened. They're
- 20:15Speaker 2: just leave home, go away, fly across the country, and
- 20:20Speaker 2: they're gonna show up for Tennessee.
- 20:21Speaker 1: Like I mean, especially if they were looking ahead.
- 20:24Speaker 2: You know, they already had their sights on this. So
- 20:26Speaker 2: I think Rutgers will put in a better performance here.
- 20:28Speaker 2: And the other thing I like about fading Tennessee as
- 20:30Speaker 2: a favorite is that Tennessee plays slow under Rick Barnes,
- 20:35Speaker 2: and they're a much better defensive team than offensive team.
- 20:37Speaker 2: Their offensive team definitely as their offensive excuse me, their
- 20:41Speaker 2: offense definitely has a lot of lapses, just like last.
- 20:44Speaker 1: Year, so that also sets up better as.
- 20:48Speaker 2: A spot to you know, as a team that you
- 20:50Speaker 2: want to fade as a large favorite for Rutgers. I
- 20:53Speaker 2: know they're not as good, That's why they're getting a
- 20:54Speaker 2: ton of points here. Ken Bum actually has them worse
- 20:59Speaker 2: than Boston College slightly, so my mistake. But Rutgers also
- 21:02Speaker 2: play slow, so there is that so they won't be like,
- 21:07Speaker 2: they won't be thrown out of like a tempo that
- 21:09Speaker 2: they want to play like. Both teams want to play slow,
- 21:12Speaker 2: so I'm expecting this to be a pretty ugly game
- 21:14Speaker 2: where it makes more sense to take the points. The
- 21:16Speaker 2: total is crazy low at one hundred and forty, and
- 21:20Speaker 2: the money is coming in on Rutgers seventy nine percent
- 21:23Speaker 2: of tickets on Tennessee ninety one percent of the cash
- 21:25Speaker 2: on Rutgers for an afternoon game. I mean, this might
- 21:29Speaker 2: be a game where maybe you start seeing some public involvement,
- 21:31Speaker 2: like wanting to get some action early in. Maybe this
- 21:35Speaker 2: might be a week where because it's Thanksgiving week, maybe
- 21:37Speaker 2: there are some people that are taking the week.
- 21:39Speaker 1: And going out to Vegas.
- 21:41Speaker 2: I mean, who knows, but I do like Rutgers plus
- 21:43Speaker 2: the points there.
- 21:44Speaker 1: That's my second play of the day.
- 21:46Speaker 2: For all the reasons, I just said, all right, what
- 21:52Speaker 2: else do we have going on here? I didn't really
- 21:54Speaker 2: have much of an opinion on most of these games,
- 21:55Speaker 2: I mean Liberty and Vermont's. This game is in Kissimi, Florida, well,
- 22:01Speaker 2: which I mean it's a better location for Liberty because
- 22:04Speaker 2: they're a more Southerly team. For Liberty, I mean, they're
- 22:09Speaker 2: coming out an easy win over a none D one team,
- 22:12Speaker 2: although that was a week ago, so they've now had
- 22:13Speaker 2: a week off, which could disrupt their momentum a little bit.
- 22:17Speaker 2: Although after this Vermont game, they don't really have anything
- 22:20Speaker 2: upcoming for a while. For Vermont, Vermont just took their
- 22:25Speaker 2: first loss of the season of Buffalo, so I think
- 22:28Speaker 2: that might actually be worse because taking that first loss
- 22:31Speaker 2: can hang you over a bit and you're just not
- 22:33Speaker 2: really used to it. A Liberty's actually faced a more
- 22:36Speaker 2: difficult schedule as well, facing Florida, Atlantic and Charleston. I
- 22:40Speaker 2: think those teams are actually better than pretty much Vermont's
- 22:43Speaker 2: entire slate of opponents, except for maybe Buffalo. Buffalo's not awful,
- 22:47Speaker 2: but yeah, Vermont took that loss. It was a close game.
- 22:51Speaker 2: I think it was a close spread in that game.
- 22:53Speaker 2: It was a true road game at Buffalo. I think
- 22:56Speaker 2: Vermont is slightly better than Buffalo. I think Buffalo might
- 22:58Speaker 2: have been about a one point favorite in that game,
- 23:00Speaker 2: if I'm not mistaken. Vermont has had six for E
- 23:04Speaker 2: SUSI five days off, so they do have some rest
- 23:06Speaker 2: after that too to try to bust that loss of
- 23:09Speaker 2: momentum there.
- 23:10Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, I think that's the type
- 23:11Speaker 1: of loss that can hang you over a little bit.
- 23:13Speaker 2: And you're gonna look at this and say, oh, it's
- 23:15Speaker 2: a foreign oh team, and it's a four and win team.
- 23:17Speaker 2: People kind of know both of these teams because they
- 23:19Speaker 2: both show up in the tournament a lot. So I
- 23:23Speaker 2: think the public perception is that these teams are somewhat close.
- 23:29Speaker 1: As far as like how good they are.
- 23:30Speaker 2: But the ausbreakers are telling you Liberty is significantly better.
- 23:34Speaker 2: Is there an eight and a half point favorite up
- 23:36Speaker 2: to eight and a half with Juice? It kind of
- 23:38Speaker 2: looks tempting. I think from the public's perspective, it's gonna
- 23:41Speaker 2: look tempting to take the points. I would probably lay
- 23:44Speaker 2: it with Liberty, But I don't really have much of
- 23:45Speaker 2: an opinion on this.
- 23:46Speaker 1: Game.
- 23:46Speaker 2: The total has dropped quite a bit though, to one
- 23:49Speaker 2: forty three, so it's a little bit more difficult to
- 23:53Speaker 2: lay points with a lower total. But Liberty also likes
- 23:56Speaker 2: to play very slow. Vermont plays slow as well, but yeah,
- 24:01Speaker 2: I mean probably that's why the totals dropped, because both
- 24:03Speaker 2: teams just want to play slow. So I would still
- 24:06Speaker 2: probably lay it with Liberty though, And now we see
- 24:08Speaker 2: some percentages coming in now. I mean, I don't know
- 24:10Speaker 2: how much you want to how much weight you want
- 24:12Speaker 2: to give those early in the morning and a college
- 24:14Speaker 2: basketball on a college basketball board where the money is
- 24:18Speaker 2: difficult to figure out what it means. Seventy five percent
- 24:21Speaker 2: of tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash on Liberty,
- 24:24Speaker 2: But I lean that way going.
- 24:28Speaker 1: To Buffalo wild Wings.
- 24:30Speaker 2: Is that that you're going to Buffalo whil Wings today, Yeah,
- 24:33Speaker 2: I mean they're gonna have all this college basketball on man,
- 24:36Speaker 2: so maybe not the worst place to watch these games.
- 24:39Speaker 2: Later in the afternoon at Daytona Beach, we got Jacksonville
- 24:42Speaker 2: and Bethune Cookman in the Sunshine Slam.
- 24:48Speaker 1: Right away.
- 24:48Speaker 2: I mean, I noticed the venue is a little bit
- 24:50Speaker 2: more favorable to Jacksonville because they're not really that far
- 24:52Speaker 2: from Daytona Beach. Bethune Cookman, I forget where they are,
- 24:58Speaker 2: so somebody can let let me know where they are.
- 25:00Speaker 2: I'll just look real quick. I know they're in the
- 25:02Speaker 2: South somewhere. They only played one home game so far.
- 25:06Speaker 2: They're in no that they haven't played any home games.
- 25:08Speaker 2: They played in Daytona, Oh So, actually Bethune Cookman has
- 25:12Speaker 2: already played in this arena, I guess earlier in the season,
- 25:14Speaker 2: or somewhere in Daytona Beach. But even so, Bethune Cookman's
- 25:18Speaker 2: coming off a couple of big games Man where I
- 25:20Speaker 2: gave them out as a play against Dayton on Saturday,
- 25:23Speaker 2: and they they covered that one fairly easily. They only
- 25:26Speaker 2: lost my nine. They put in a good performance Dayton
- 25:29Speaker 2: a slow paced team.
- 25:30Speaker 1: Dayton was not in a good spot either.
- 25:33Speaker 2: And then Bethune Cookman came off of that nice performance
- 25:36Speaker 2: on the road in Ohio. So they were just traveling
- 25:39Speaker 2: within Ohio and they pulled off an outright upset at Ohio.
- 25:43Speaker 2: Ohio were six and a half away favorites in this game.
- 25:45Speaker 2: I know Ohio the record doesn't look good, but they're
- 25:48Speaker 2: not a horrible team, and Bethune Cookman was able to Oh, no,
- 25:51Speaker 2: this was not in Ohio. What why does it say
- 25:54Speaker 2: at I thought ESPN only said ad if it was
- 25:56Speaker 2: a that was part of the Daytona tournament.
- 25:59Speaker 1: I guess, dude, my mistake. I don't even know, man, I.
- 26:02Speaker 2: Think they were in Dayton though, right, yeah, they played
- 26:06Speaker 2: in Dayton But then I guess the game against Ohio
- 26:08Speaker 2: was in Daytona, Dayton plus an A.
- 26:11Speaker 1: I don't know, man.
- 26:12Speaker 2: Usually ESPN will put that as a neutral site, the
- 26:14Speaker 2: like asterisk getting whatever. I don't know, but whatever. But
- 26:18Speaker 2: Thune Cookman pulled off the upset there. So now they're
- 26:20Speaker 2: off two huge performances in a row, and they do
- 26:23Speaker 2: have Indiana coming up next in five days, so I
- 26:26Speaker 2: think that does set up a bit of a look ahead.
- 26:28Speaker 2: But Dune Cookman's actually not bad for a swack team.
- 26:31Speaker 2: But I think I would lean towards Jacksonville in this one.
- 26:35Speaker 2: Jacksonville's coming off getting blown out by George Mason. Uh,
- 26:38Speaker 2: George Mason not a bad team, and that was at
- 26:41Speaker 2: George Mason. George Mason shot really well in that game,
- 26:45Speaker 2: fifty eight percent from the field, fifty percent from three
- 26:48Speaker 2: unlikely to happen again, Jacksonville actually outrebounded them, and Jacksonville
- 26:52Speaker 2: shot horribly in the game thirty eight percent from the
- 26:56Speaker 2: field twenty four percent from three, so that's a bit
- 26:58Speaker 2: of an outlier there too, so that loss wasn't quite
- 27:01Speaker 2: as bad as it looked. So yeah, I lean to
- 27:04Speaker 2: Jacksonville in this one. It's not a play, but Bethune
- 27:07Speaker 2: Cookman's up from a three point favorite to a four
- 27:10Speaker 2: point favorite. If anything, I think you're gonna at least
- 27:12Speaker 2: maybe be fading the public in this uh, in this
- 27:15Speaker 2: game because people have kind of seen Bethune Cookman doing
- 27:18Speaker 2: some things, so I think the public have a tendency
- 27:21Speaker 2: to want to play them. Uh. And they are the
- 27:23Speaker 2: slightly better team as we can see. But I would
- 27:26Speaker 2: take the points with Jacksonville. Yep, you like the under
- 27:32Speaker 2: in that one. I mean, I'm not gonna disagree with it,
- 27:34Speaker 2: but the number has dropped a lot. I mean, losing
- 27:38Speaker 2: eight points of value on a total is somewhat significant,
- 27:41Speaker 2: even though every point you know, doesn't mean as much
- 27:43Speaker 2: as it doesn't like the NBA, at the NFL, I
- 27:46Speaker 2: mean or whatever. In the NBA, they mean the least,
- 27:49Speaker 2: but uh, in college basketball, it means a little bit
- 27:52Speaker 2: of something, starting with the Las Vegas Las Vegas is
- 27:56Speaker 2: hosting all these big games tonight man at different arena
- 28:00Speaker 2: throughout the city. The michelob Ultra arenas hosting Creighton and Baylor. Uh,
- 28:05Speaker 2: these these are all I think part of the Player
- 28:08Speaker 2: era festival.
- 28:10Speaker 1: Creighting and Baylor.
- 28:11Speaker 2: It's gonna be on True TV, who are losing their
- 28:14Speaker 2: contract to Disney for March Madness, which I'm still pissed
- 28:18Speaker 2: about because see the CBS, Slash T and T Turner
- 28:21Speaker 2: networks have had it forever and it's been really good.
- 28:25Speaker 2: So stop ruining everything we love Disney.
- 28:29Speaker 1: Disney.
- 28:29Speaker 2: You know, they've ruined kids movies, They've ruined Star Wars,
- 28:33Speaker 2: They've ruined.
- 28:34Speaker 1: NFL Red Zone. Now they're gonna ruin March Madness.
- 28:37Speaker 2: Like what, dude, Disney has to go away, like stop
- 28:40Speaker 2: getting your hands on everything. Not to mention, they're like
- 28:42Speaker 2: a haven for like pedophile so and a bunch of
- 28:47Speaker 2: their stuff is trying to indoctrinate kids.
- 28:48Speaker 1: Now.
- 28:49Speaker 2: But let's let's not get this channel nuked, all right,
- 28:52Speaker 2: Creating and Baylor.
- 28:53Speaker 1: It's a good game. Man in Nevada, don't really know.
- 28:56Speaker 2: If that venue really is favorable to either of these
- 28:59Speaker 2: teams more than than the other as far as Creaton
- 29:03Speaker 2: is concerned. They're off to a three and one start.
- 29:05Speaker 2: The only really good opponent they faced was Gonzaga, but.
- 29:08Speaker 1: They did have a true road game against.
- 29:10Speaker 2: Gonzaga, though Gonzaga blew them out. Gonzaga is legitimately good,
- 29:16Speaker 2: though really good. So Creighton, you could argue, might be
- 29:19Speaker 2: the more battle tested of these two teams for that reason.
- 29:21Speaker 2: I mean they are because Baylor's best opponent so far
- 29:24Speaker 2: has been Washington, and Baylor had kind of an unimpressive
- 29:28Speaker 2: win against them. Baylor this might be their first time
- 29:31Speaker 2: leaving home as well. Yeah, I think Baylor has played
- 29:35Speaker 2: all three of their games at home so far, and
- 29:38Speaker 2: twur against Texas Little Brothers, so Baylor hasn't really shown
- 29:42Speaker 2: us much of anything yet. Baylor a lot of times
- 29:46Speaker 2: does have the name recognition more of the Creighton does.
- 29:49Speaker 2: But I don't know about this one man, Baylor. I
- 29:54Speaker 2: was gonna say, I think Baylor is the favorite here. Yeah,
- 29:56Speaker 2: they're down from a four point favorite or a three
- 29:58Speaker 2: point favorite. They're getting the public money here, seventy three
- 30:01Speaker 2: percent ticket, seventy three percent of the cash money. Looking
- 30:05Speaker 2: like it's kind of coming in against it. I would
- 30:07Speaker 2: probably take the points with Creighton. I mean, Creighton, again,
- 30:10Speaker 2: they're more battle tested and they've at least been to
- 30:12Speaker 2: the Pacific time zone once already having to go to Gonzaga,
- 30:16Speaker 2: so it'll be, you know, probably an easier trip for
- 30:20Speaker 2: them to go to Las Vegas just because they've done
- 30:22Speaker 2: it once already.
- 30:24Speaker 1: Baylor has not.
- 30:25Speaker 2: Baylor also does have Saint John's on the horizon, so
- 30:28Speaker 2: I don't know. I'm not gonna say they're gonna overlook
- 30:30Speaker 2: Creighton though. And I don't know does Baylor care about
- 30:33Speaker 2: two years ago in the tournament when Creighton knocked them
- 30:37Speaker 2: out of the tournament. I mean probably not because there's
- 30:39Speaker 2: so many personnel differences now. They probably don't care about that.
- 30:43Speaker 2: But that was a fun one for me in my
- 30:45Speaker 2: bracket two years ago because I had Creighton. I believe
- 30:48Speaker 2: I had Creighton in the final four in my bracket
- 30:51Speaker 2: that year, and they made the Elite eight and they
- 30:53Speaker 2: almost beat San Diego State to get into the final four.
- 30:56Speaker 2: So man, but Creighton did beat Baylor in the second
- 30:59Speaker 2: round of that tournament.
- 31:02Speaker 1: Who who's mcbuckets.
- 31:04Speaker 2: I have no idea. I don't I could not even
- 31:07Speaker 2: name one player on Creighton. I don't know who's on
- 31:10Speaker 2: what team at this one. I just look at situations.
- 31:14Speaker 2: Who are we talking about Jackson mc andrews, he mcbuckets
- 31:17Speaker 2: mc chesney, they have multiple mix I don't know what
- 31:20Speaker 2: we're talking about. I literally don't recognize any of these names.
- 31:24Speaker 2: Though they do have a guy named Dix, so that's solid,
- 31:29Speaker 2: I guess. And they do have a seven foot or
- 31:32Speaker 2: in Dimitri Dmitrievich, so yeah, whatever, no idea. Seaton Hall
- 31:40Speaker 2: and number twenty five n C standoncy State, cracking the
- 31:43Speaker 2: rankings here on ESPN two, kicking off the Maui games
- 31:47Speaker 2: that are going on here, which is being hosted by
- 31:50Speaker 2: Shamanad in Maui there, and they always Shamanad always is
- 31:56Speaker 2: in the tournament as they hosted in their Division two team,
- 31:59Speaker 2: and as I said, sometimes they actually pull off some
- 32:01Speaker 2: surprises and play decent. NC State is definitely a better
- 32:06Speaker 2: team over Seaton Hall. Seaton Hall has been ugly for
- 32:09Speaker 2: a while, and I know they're five and zero, but
- 32:10Speaker 2: they haven't played anybody good yet. And I think they've
- 32:14Speaker 2: played in New Jersey like I think they've been at
- 32:17Speaker 2: home for every single game so far, but every opponent that.
- 32:20Speaker 1: They've faced has been a Northeast team.
- 32:23Speaker 2: They're all from New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, So Seaton Hall,
- 32:26Speaker 2: I mean they're gonna have to now travel out to Maui.
- 32:29Speaker 1: Good luck with that, and Seton Hall.
- 32:31Speaker 2: They play ugly, ugly basketball man, and last couple of
- 32:35Speaker 2: years they've been bad as well, Like not only just ugly,
- 32:37Speaker 2: like oh, they're gonna slow it down, play ugly, frustrate opponents,
- 32:41Speaker 2: but no, they actually are legitimately bad, like they don't
- 32:43Speaker 2: play good offense, they're just not good.
- 32:46Speaker 1: At this point, NC State is the better team. They're
- 32:49Speaker 1: more battle tested.
- 32:50Speaker 2: They're coming off a win over VCU, so that was
- 32:52Speaker 2: a bigger deal for them. NC State did not cover
- 32:55Speaker 2: by the way VCU gave them. I think a little
- 32:58Speaker 2: bit of a scare in this one, but that's the
- 33:01Speaker 2: best opponent either team is face VCU. I mean, I
- 33:04Speaker 2: don't even think it's close. So NC State is a
- 33:07Speaker 2: little bit more battle tests. But yes, it is true
- 33:09Speaker 2: that they also have not left their region of the
- 33:12Speaker 2: country either, So both teams who have to go out
- 33:14Speaker 2: to Hawaii from basically not having left their own area.
- 33:19Speaker 2: And then NC State does have to face Auburn, but
- 33:22Speaker 2: it's not until December third, so I don't really know
- 33:24Speaker 2: that that's actually a look ahead when you have so
- 33:26Speaker 2: much time off, like that's gonna be after the holidays.
- 33:29Speaker 1: So I don't really know that they're gonna be focused
- 33:30Speaker 1: on that.
- 33:31Speaker 2: And then I think, depending on what you do in
- 33:33Speaker 2: this tournament, you might have to play again. So you
- 33:36Speaker 2: don't see the games on the schedule yet, but that's
- 33:37Speaker 2: because you just don't know who you're playing yet, you
- 33:39Speaker 2: know what I mean. So that's something to keep in
- 33:41Speaker 2: mind where it looks like these teams have upcoming breaks,
- 33:43Speaker 2: the teams in these tournaments, they're gonna play again. It's
- 33:46Speaker 2: just we don't know who the opponents are gonna be
- 33:48Speaker 2: yet in those. So I mean, in this one, NC
- 33:55Speaker 2: State's the better team. The money's coming in against them,
- 33:57Speaker 2: but I probably lean towards NC State. Down from ten
- 34:00Speaker 2: to nine and a half, ninety.
- 34:01Speaker 1: Six percent of the tickets, ninety nine percent of the
- 34:03Speaker 1: cash on Seaton Hall.
- 34:04Speaker 2: Don't know how much I buy that, And the total
- 34:06Speaker 2: going up kind of indicates something on NC State, even
- 34:10Speaker 2: though the line has gone down on NC State. But
- 34:13Speaker 2: I think NC State is absolutely correlated to a higher
- 34:16Speaker 2: total because they're the team that wants to play faster,
- 34:19Speaker 2: how fast?
- 34:20Speaker 1: I forget?
- 34:21Speaker 2: Let me see, how does ken bom even have them
- 34:23Speaker 2: in here? Where does he have them? I don't see, dude,
- 34:26Speaker 2: I don't see NC State. I don't see, Like, what
- 34:28Speaker 2: are we doing here?
- 34:29Speaker 1: There? They are?
- 34:30Speaker 2: Oh n dot dot State? Thank you Ken Balm fucker
- 34:35Speaker 2: all right?
- 34:35Speaker 1: NC State? Uh?
- 34:37Speaker 2: Yeah, he has them one hundred and fiftieth in tempo,
- 34:39Speaker 2: so uh mid tempo team, mid tempo slash fast ish
- 34:44Speaker 2: I guess.
- 34:44Speaker 1: So, yeah, they're gonna want to speed it up.
- 34:46Speaker 2: So NC State, you know, needing them to cover a
- 34:49Speaker 2: large number plus being the faster team. I think they're
- 34:53Speaker 2: absolutely correlated to an over in that game. Okay in
- 35:00Speaker 2: Virgin Islands, because they keep talking about this tournament green
- 35:02Speaker 2: Bay and Iona green Bay keeps pulling off these well
- 35:05Speaker 2: they haven't pulled off two upsets, so they almost well
- 35:08Speaker 2: not almost, but they hung with Yale. Let's just say
- 35:11Speaker 2: which was a loser for me here because green Bay
- 35:14Speaker 2: was coming off a big performance against Minnesota. But they
- 35:16Speaker 2: hung with Yale and then they upset UMass. So this
- 35:19Speaker 2: green Bay team, actually they're getting battle tested early and
- 35:22Speaker 2: they're actually playing decent. So maybe they're gonna be better
- 35:25Speaker 2: than we think they are. Maybe they're gonna make up
- 35:27Speaker 2: a little bit of a run in the horizon.
- 35:29Speaker 1: Who knows.
- 35:30Speaker 2: But I don't expect them to win here against Iona.
- 35:32Speaker 2: I mean Green Bay. They're not the better team. Obviously,
- 35:35Speaker 2: Iona definitely is. Iona did just beat Oregon State. I
- 35:38Speaker 2: think it's a slight underdog in their game yesterday. So
- 35:41Speaker 2: this game is the the third place game, I believe
- 35:45Speaker 2: is what this is. Because these teams are both one
- 35:46Speaker 2: and one in the tournament. I expect Iona to get
- 35:50Speaker 2: it done because they are the better team, and I
- 35:51Speaker 2: just don't see Wisconsin green Bay continuing to continuing to
- 35:56Speaker 2: pull off like good performance after good performances and on
- 36:00Speaker 2: dog although the money looks like it's coming in towards them,
- 36:02Speaker 2: even though IONA initially went up from seven to seven
- 36:04Speaker 2: and a half, fifty four percent of tickets sixty two
- 36:07Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Green Bay again, I would
- 36:11Speaker 2: probably lay it with Iona, but I don't want to
- 36:13Speaker 2: touch the game.
- 36:15Speaker 1: Man.
- 36:15Speaker 2: Uh going into more Las Vegas stuff, this one at
- 36:19Speaker 2: the MGM Grand where I have been. By the way,
- 36:22Speaker 2: they they got rid of their tiger They used to
- 36:24Speaker 2: have a live tiger at the MGM Grand and they
- 36:26Speaker 2: no longer do so I've been there since they got
- 36:29Speaker 2: rid of it, and it's just an empty cage.
- 36:31Speaker 1: Dude, it's still there. There's an empty cage where the
- 36:34Speaker 1: tiger used to be. It's like, let's just stare at
- 36:36Speaker 1: an empty cage. Baby. It's artistic. But anyway, Mike Tyson
- 36:43Speaker 1: probably took the tiger this game.
- 36:46Speaker 2: This is part of the Player Era Festival again. Whatever
- 36:49Speaker 2: it is, Kansas and Notre Dame is what this game is.
- 36:52Speaker 2: Twenty four ranked twenty fourth in the country, Kansas against
- 36:56Speaker 2: Notre Dame. I'm giving out a play on this one.
- 36:58Speaker 2: By the way, we're gonna take the point with Notre
- 37:00Speaker 2: Dame in this one plus the five. I think Notre
- 37:03Speaker 2: Dame is a little bit more on the upswing here
- 37:05Speaker 2: right now.
- 37:06Speaker 1: Man.
- 37:06Speaker 2: Even though Kansas, you gotta think they're going to be
- 37:08Speaker 2: improving as well. You might be able to get five
- 37:11Speaker 2: and a half on this. It looks like the numbers
- 37:12Speaker 2: somewhere between the two. Kansas is public. Of course, Kansas
- 37:16Speaker 2: gets all the name recognition, even though they were down
- 37:19Speaker 2: last year. They're like always in the mix, you know,
- 37:22Speaker 2: it's Kansas.
- 37:23Speaker 1: But Notre Dame. I think it's kind of sneakily improving.
- 37:27Speaker 2: Seventy nine percent of tickets only fifty two percent of
- 37:29Speaker 2: the cash on Kansas, so the real money looks like
- 37:31Speaker 2: it's kind of fading Kansas, and I agree with it.
- 37:34Speaker 1: Again. The fact that the oddsmakers are.
- 37:36Speaker 2: Only lining Kansas as a five to five and a
- 37:38Speaker 2: half point favorite should tell you something as well that
- 37:41Speaker 2: they're on a neutral They're telling you that there isn't
- 37:43Speaker 2: a huge gap between these two teams as far as
- 37:47Speaker 2: Kansas is concerned.
- 37:50Speaker 1: They're only three and two, and both times.
- 37:51Speaker 2: They've stepped up, they've lost by double digits against North
- 37:54Speaker 2: Carolina and Duke. I know those are not easy opponents
- 37:57Speaker 2: to play. I get it, especially Duke. And yeah, Kansas
- 38:01Speaker 2: was hanging around in that game against Duke. But that's
- 38:03Speaker 2: actually part of the reason why I'm gonna go against
- 38:05Speaker 2: them here, because yes, they're a little bit more battle tested,
- 38:08Speaker 2: but this is a huge game for them against Duke,
- 38:10Speaker 2: and they were in this game until late Duke pulled away.
- 38:13Speaker 2: Late in this game, Kansas was hanging around. Man, Kansas
- 38:19Speaker 2: was still in this game. They were down three with
- 38:20Speaker 2: under five minutes to go in this game, so Kansas
- 38:23Speaker 2: they were in the game, and then in the final
- 38:26Speaker 2: five minutes they only scored one more time, they only
- 38:29Speaker 2: scored two more points and Duke put it away. This
- 38:31Speaker 2: game was closer than it looked like it was man
- 38:34Speaker 2: on the final score. Both teams actually shot pretty poorly
- 38:37Speaker 2: in the game from three at least, but it was
- 38:40Speaker 2: statistically it was close, except the Duke dominated the rebound
- 38:43Speaker 2: battle against Kansas. Kansas only nineteen percent of the threes. Yeah,
- 38:47Speaker 2: that kind of worries me a little bit that maybe
- 38:49Speaker 2: Kansas will obviously progress from that and shoot better from three,
- 38:53Speaker 2: But still I don't think Kansas is that good. Ken
- 38:58Speaker 2: Bum does he have them at I don't even remember
- 39:02Speaker 2: where he has them.
- 39:02Speaker 1: I looked at this earlier.
- 39:05Speaker 2: He has them twenty ninth, so he has them outside
- 39:07Speaker 2: of the top twenty five. Kansas is a better defensive
- 39:11Speaker 2: team than an offensive team, so that's and they play
- 39:15Speaker 2: slow ish So that's the type of profile. I mean,
- 39:17Speaker 2: that is what they usually do in recent years. That
- 39:21Speaker 2: is the type of profile that you want to potentially
- 39:24Speaker 2: fade them when they're a favorite man because they play
- 39:26Speaker 2: better defense than offense and they slow the game down,
- 39:29Speaker 2: so it makes it more difficult for them to cover
- 39:31Speaker 2: a number like that going up against Notre Dame.
- 39:34Speaker 1: I know Notre Dame isn't.
- 39:35Speaker 2: Isn't the better team obviously, but ken Bum does have
- 39:38Speaker 2: them in the top one hundred. They also play slow,
- 39:41Speaker 2: so they're not going to be thrown out of the
- 39:42Speaker 2: type of pace that they want to play. They play
- 39:44Speaker 2: slower than Kansas actually, but yeah, I think it's going
- 39:48Speaker 2: to be a slow, kind of slugfest type of game,
- 39:51Speaker 2: which is what you want when you're taking points. Notre Dame,
- 39:54Speaker 2: I mean, they're pretty balanced at least between offensive defense.
- 39:57Speaker 2: They're top one hundred in both. I mean, they're not
- 39:59Speaker 2: a horrible team. It's just that they're not totally battle
- 40:04Speaker 2: tested yet. But the good thing is they did get
- 40:06Speaker 2: a little bit battle tested by having to go on
- 40:08Speaker 2: the road to Ohio State, and they did play well.
- 40:10Speaker 2: They almost won the game, which is why I faded
- 40:13Speaker 2: Notre Dame in the ensuing game. And this is the
- 40:15Speaker 2: other reason why I like Notre Dame here because Notre
- 40:18Speaker 2: Dame's coming up an ugly game where they only beat
- 40:20Speaker 2: Bellerman by seven. As twenty something point favorites here, they
- 40:25Speaker 2: were down to twenty four and a half. I think
- 40:26Speaker 2: I gave it out at twenty six, somewhere in that
- 40:29Speaker 2: range on my show. Whatever it was, maybe it was
- 40:31Speaker 2: even twenty seven and a half. It didn't even matter.
- 40:34Speaker 2: Bellerman got us the cover on the show in that game,
- 40:37Speaker 2: and again I said it was a huge sandwich spot
- 40:39Speaker 2: because Notre Dame had that huge game against Ohio State
- 40:42Speaker 2: and they had this Kansas game up next, I think
- 40:44Speaker 2: they totally overlooked Bellerman and this game was never in
- 40:47Speaker 2: doubt as far as who was gonna win the game.
- 40:49Speaker 2: Notre Dame was winning this game by twenty one with
- 40:52Speaker 2: eight thirty four left in the game, so the game
- 40:55Speaker 2: was totally over, and then the final score made it
- 40:57Speaker 2: look worse for Notre Dame that it actually was. Luckily
- 41:01Speaker 2: for us, Notre Dame took their foot off the gas
- 41:03Speaker 2: in Bellerman made a really nice late run. But because
- 41:06Speaker 2: that game looks so ugly and Notre Dame did get
- 41:08Speaker 2: maybe a little bit of a scare at the end
- 41:10Speaker 2: of it, I think Notre Dame already had taken their
- 41:12Speaker 2: foot off the gas, so it was obviously not a
- 41:14Speaker 2: full effort from them in that game, which is how
- 41:17Speaker 2: we handicapped it.
- 41:18Speaker 1: They're in better position to put in a better game here,
- 41:20Speaker 1: whereas Kansas is coming off that much more difficult game.
- 41:23Speaker 2: So and by the way, Kansas, they're going from being
- 41:27Speaker 2: a they were an anti public underdog I think against Duke,
- 41:32Speaker 2: and now they're.
- 41:33Speaker 1: A public favorite.
- 41:34Speaker 2: So there's that public perception shift going on between the
- 41:37Speaker 2: two games too. So and Notre Dame is going from
- 41:40Speaker 2: a public ish favorite, I think, although I don't think
- 41:43Speaker 2: there were a lot of public players in that game,
- 41:45Speaker 2: but going from that to an anti public dog here.
- 41:48Speaker 2: So Notre Dame plus the points, all right, keeping it
- 41:54Speaker 2: going here. We're not going to get this done before
- 41:55Speaker 2: the game's tip off at eleven, but I did already
- 41:57Speaker 2: do the Instagram video for it.
- 42:02Speaker 1: We do have Lamar and Oakland, and of course this
- 42:04Speaker 1: game is actually this is actually a tournament I guess,
- 42:07Speaker 1: being hosted in Missoula, Montana. So Montana.
- 42:10Speaker 2: I thought it was just a one off game with
- 42:12Speaker 2: Lamar at Montana yesterday.
- 42:14Speaker 1: We got the win outright with.
- 42:16Speaker 2: Lamar yesterday, but that was actually Montana, I guess is
- 42:19Speaker 2: actually hosting a little bit of a tournament here. Lamar
- 42:23Speaker 2: are coming off that nice upset. They could be in
- 42:25Speaker 2: a little bit of a bad spot here after that
- 42:27Speaker 2: pulling off the upset, They're facing Oakland, and Oakland's sitting
- 42:30Speaker 2: at one and five, and you're gonna look at the
- 42:32Speaker 2: number and think, what is going on here? Like, how
- 42:35Speaker 2: is Oakland a one and a half point favorite against
- 42:38Speaker 2: a three and one Lamar team? Well, this is our
- 42:40Speaker 2: early season college basketball. You know that means that Oakland
- 42:43Speaker 2: has faced a difficult schedule, And yeah, they have. They
- 42:46Speaker 2: started the season against Michigan, Purdue, and Houston, all on
- 42:49Speaker 2: the road, lost all three. They played Purdue pretty well,
- 42:54Speaker 2: and then yes, I know they also have other losses. Well,
- 42:56Speaker 2: they played UCF They're a big twelve team and they're
- 42:59Speaker 2: not bad.
- 42:59Speaker 1: They had to play them on the road.
- 43:01Speaker 2: And then they took an ugly loss against Eastern Michigan,
- 43:05Speaker 2: which I don't remember.
- 43:07Speaker 1: Was that a play for us on the show? It
- 43:08Speaker 1: might have been. I think I might have given out
- 43:12Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan in that one. I forget, or no, I
- 43:13Speaker 1: gave out Eastern Michigan's Detroit Mercy. Maybe I forget.
- 43:17Speaker 2: I don't remember, but I've gotten I think I've gotten
- 43:19Speaker 2: maybe two Eastern Michigan games right recently, on the show,
- 43:22Speaker 2: but whatever, or one involving Detroit Mercy and one evolving
- 43:26Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan.
- 43:27Speaker 1: Whatever it was. But yeah, Oakland, they've played a more
- 43:30Speaker 1: difficult schedule.
- 43:31Speaker 2: Now they're coming off that somewhat ugly loss to Eastern
- 43:34Speaker 2: Michigan or the Eastern Michigan's not horrible Eastern Michigan. I
- 43:37Speaker 2: think they step up their game for a team like Oakland,
- 43:39Speaker 2: because I think Eastern Michigan considers themselves to be a
- 43:42Speaker 2: little brother in Michigan to Oakland. Oakland is also in Michigan,
- 43:47Speaker 2: not Oakland, California.
- 43:49Speaker 1: Oakland.
- 43:50Speaker 2: We see them get into the tournament quite a bit.
- 43:52Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean that's pretty much what I have
- 43:57Speaker 2: to say about this. I would lean to Oakland in
- 43:58Speaker 2: this game. I think the sets up better for them.
- 44:01Speaker 2: They flipped from a plus one and a half dog
- 44:03Speaker 2: to a minus one and have favorite. And again it's
- 44:06Speaker 2: one of those games where the line looks very misleading, like, oh,
- 44:08Speaker 2: pick the winner or getting points with lamar the team
- 44:12Speaker 2: with the better record, the team that we just saw
- 44:13Speaker 2: upset in Montana yesterday. Yeah, I say good luck with that.
- 44:18Speaker 2: And Oakland is also arrested because they haven't played yet.
- 44:21Speaker 2: They haven't played in this tournament yet. They haven't played
- 44:24Speaker 2: since Friday, and Lamar played yesterday. Now, the only thing
- 44:27Speaker 2: is Lamar has a little bit of an advantage in
- 44:30Speaker 2: that they played in this venue already.
- 44:33Speaker 1: So that's the one thing.
- 44:33Speaker 2: When you have a team that is already adjusted to
- 44:36Speaker 2: the new arena and whatever, that's a little bit of
- 44:38Speaker 2: an advantage for them. So I mean, that's not gonna
- 44:41Speaker 2: be a play for me. But yeah, Boston was alright.
- 44:44Speaker 2: I went around a little bit, went to one of
- 44:47Speaker 2: the old diners that they have there that's like this
- 44:50Speaker 2: weird like time capsule.
- 44:53Speaker 1: I went to Penn and Teller.
- 44:55Speaker 2: Wasn't as good as the last time I saw Penn
- 44:57Speaker 2: and Teller, but they were still good. I mean, they
- 44:58Speaker 2: put on a good show man, and I felt like
- 45:02Speaker 2: the tricks that they did the previous time I saw
- 45:04Speaker 2: them were a little bit more higher stakes than this time.
- 45:07Speaker 1: I think three of them were the same.
- 45:10Speaker 2: But I mean they're always very a little bit because
- 45:12Speaker 2: they always have an audience participant in whatever. But yeah,
- 45:18Speaker 2: and they're pretty funny. So they're getting old, man, but
- 45:21Speaker 2: they're still out there doing it.
- 45:24Speaker 1: Speaking of Las Vegas, because they have a.
- 45:26Speaker 2: Residency in Vegas at where are they at now?
- 45:31Speaker 1: The rio? Maybe I don't know, I.
- 45:32Speaker 2: Forget big games speaking of Las Vegas. At four point
- 45:36Speaker 2: thirty pm between Saint John's and Iowa State at the
- 45:40Speaker 2: michelob Ultra Arena, I forget which, like which casino is
- 45:45Speaker 2: the michelob Ultra at I don't remember. I forget, or
- 45:47Speaker 2: maybe it's not even at a casino, I don't know.
- 45:50Speaker 2: Whatever it is. Number fourteen Saint John's, number sixteen Iowa State. However,
- 45:56Speaker 2: this is gonna be a game where you're gonna look
- 45:58Speaker 2: at it and the odds makers telling you that the
- 46:00Speaker 2: rankings makers are wrong about this one. The rankings makers
- 46:04Speaker 2: have Saint John's slightly better. The odds makers, however, say
- 46:08Speaker 2: that Iowa State is a slightly better team. So again,
- 46:10Speaker 2: I always say, you want to listen to the odds
- 46:12Speaker 2: makers because they're the ones that have all the money
- 46:14Speaker 2: at stake. Although their job isn't really to predict the winner.
- 46:18Speaker 2: Their job is to split the action. But you know,
- 46:24Speaker 2: if they favor a team, they are still saying that
- 46:26Speaker 2: that team that they think that team is more likely
- 46:28Speaker 2: to win than the other team. Iowa State up from
- 46:31Speaker 2: two to two and a half fifty three percent of
- 46:33Speaker 2: the cash on them fifty seven percent of tickets on
- 46:35Speaker 2: Saint John's, So the public is kind of coming in
- 46:37Speaker 2: on Saint John's more of the smart money, I guess.
- 46:40Speaker 2: Plus the odds maker indicator is on Iowa State in
- 46:45Speaker 2: this one, so I'm not going to disagree with Iowa
- 46:48Speaker 2: State here. I think maybe the travel spot is a
- 46:50Speaker 2: little bit better for Iowa State too, because Saint John's
- 46:53Speaker 2: they have not left the Eastern time zone yet now
- 46:56Speaker 2: they're having to go play this neutral site game. They
- 46:58Speaker 2: did lose the only time they stepped up in class
- 47:01Speaker 2: they lost to Alabama and it was I believe in
- 47:04Speaker 2: Madison Square Gardens, So a semi home game for Saint John's.
- 47:08Speaker 2: That's not a great sign that they didn't step up
- 47:11Speaker 2: well in class there, although it was a close game,
- 47:13Speaker 2: but still they lost as a favorite in that game,
- 47:16Speaker 2: which isn't great. I think Iowa State is better than
- 47:19Speaker 2: Alabama ken Bum as Iowa State in the top ten.
- 47:23Speaker 2: Iowa State they do play somewhat fast, and we know
- 47:26Speaker 2: Saint John's plays even faster. Uh, Saint John's. Both of
- 47:30Speaker 2: these teams are weird teams because they both play fast.
- 47:33Speaker 2: And they both play good defense and are better defensively
- 47:37Speaker 2: than offensively, which is it's odd, but that's just the
- 47:40Speaker 2: way that it is. That's the way Saint John's does it.
- 47:43Speaker 1: Under inside, I want to kill myself under Rick Patino.
- 47:50Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean I would lean to Iowa State
- 47:52Speaker 2: in this game for the reasons I just said Saint John's.
- 47:56Speaker 2: You know, it's the first time leaving leaving the time
- 48:00Speaker 2: zone for Iowa State. Yeah, it's the first their first
- 48:03Speaker 2: time leaving I guess the Central time zone, but that's
- 48:05Speaker 2: still an easier travel spot for them than coming from
- 48:08Speaker 2: New York. So yeah, that's the way I see this game.
- 48:12Speaker 2: I think Iowa State is the right side there, but
- 48:15Speaker 2: I don't really have a strong opinion on him. Iowa
- 48:17Speaker 2: State did have one step up game against Mississippi State.
- 48:21Speaker 2: Mississippi State is obviously not as good as Alabama, but
- 48:24Speaker 2: Mississippi State decent team in Iowa State was able to
- 48:27Speaker 2: win that game.
- 48:28Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean those are my thoughts on it.
- 48:32Speaker 2: Well, I don't want to say obviously, but I mean,
- 48:34Speaker 2: I mean I think that is the case.
- 48:36Speaker 1: Though where does he where does kemp bum even have
- 48:38Speaker 1: Mississippi State?
- 48:39Speaker 2: He actually has Mississippi State fairly down this year at
- 48:42Speaker 2: seventieth in the country, so Saint John's has faced the
- 48:45Speaker 2: better opponent out of the two. But I still like
- 48:47Speaker 2: Iowa State in that one. Temple, and you see San
- 48:51Speaker 2: Diego playing in Kissimi, Florida on that tournament whatever the
- 48:55Speaker 2: hell it is. This is the one that has the
- 48:57Speaker 2: most ridiculous name. The Terry's Chocolate ESPN Events Invitational sounds
- 49:03Speaker 2: like one of those I love the Bowl names, and
- 49:04Speaker 2: that's like one of those Terry's Chocolate. Maybe they make
- 49:08Speaker 2: some good chocolate, man, But they're hosting I think all
- 49:12Speaker 2: the Kasimi games here a Temple. The venue might be
- 49:16Speaker 2: better for them because Temple is an Eastern time Zone team. Obviously,
- 49:21Speaker 2: Temple their biggest game was against BC and they lost
- 49:23Speaker 2: the game.
- 49:24Speaker 1: You see San Diego.
- 49:25Speaker 2: We know they made a name for themselves in the
- 49:28Speaker 2: Big West last couple of years, and they won the
- 49:30Speaker 2: conference and made the tournament last year and gave Michigan
- 49:34Speaker 2: a real scare in the.
- 49:34Speaker 1: Tournament last year.
- 49:35Speaker 2: I thought they should have won the game really against Michigan.
- 49:40Speaker 2: You see San Diego, though this year they're not battle
- 49:42Speaker 2: tested yet and they have not left the Pacific time zone.
- 49:45Speaker 1: Yet, so that's a problem. They faced a week's schedule,
- 49:47Speaker 1: their most difficult game was a win at Fresno State.
- 49:51Speaker 2: Now they're having to go to the Eastern time zone
- 49:53Speaker 2: to do this. That makes it a pretty difficult spot
- 49:56Speaker 2: for U. See San Diego. I think the spot does
- 49:58Speaker 2: set up better for Temple. Temple has actually moved to
- 50:01Speaker 2: a favorite here from Pickham to two. Oddsmaker's telling you
- 50:05Speaker 2: Temple not a terrible team. And or you see San
- 50:08Speaker 2: Diego might be a little bit down this year. Yeah,
- 50:10Speaker 2: you see San Diego was like in the top thirty
- 50:13Speaker 2: by the end of the season last year. In ken
- 50:14Speaker 2: BOM's rings with their below, they're outside of the top
- 50:18Speaker 2: one hundred this year. So and ken Bom only has
- 50:21Speaker 2: Temple two spots higher than them, but still and they
- 50:25Speaker 2: both played very similar mid tempo styles, but mid mid Temple.
- 50:31Speaker 1: Hey, there you go.
- 50:32Speaker 2: But I think Temple is the right side and that one.
- 50:34Speaker 2: The money is seemingly agreeing with that. Ninety percent of
- 50:37Speaker 2: tickets Excuseuly, seventy seven percent of tickets, nine to nine
- 50:39Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Temple.
- 50:41Speaker 1: Yeah, I would lean that way as well. Temple.
- 50:46Speaker 2: Wait, Temple has a guy they call Lebron Frames awesome
- 50:52Speaker 2: with Rambus glasses, but he's not, Uh, dude, everybody loves
- 50:55Speaker 2: the Rambus glasses. We've got a few of those guys,
- 50:57Speaker 2: but he's not Robbie Avila. Who is cream Abdul Jabbar
- 51:03Speaker 2: for whatever reason?
- 51:06Speaker 1: Well, I guess because Abdul.
- 51:07Speaker 2: Jabbar wore the glasses too, right, Somebody's got to find
- 51:11Speaker 2: a name.
- 51:12Speaker 1: Uh.
- 51:12Speaker 2: But but Rambus was already white, So you can't like
- 51:15Speaker 2: make a white version of Rambus's name because he was
- 51:17Speaker 2: he was already a white guy. So I don't know,
- 51:20Speaker 2: I gotta come up with them, maybe some new names there,
- 51:22Speaker 2: because well, I guess, I mean Lebron Frames, I don't know.
- 51:26Speaker 2: I mean, I guess. I mean, it's definitely a funny name.
- 51:31Speaker 2: It would be funnier though. I think that would work
- 51:33Speaker 2: better if the dude was like a black guy that
- 51:35Speaker 2: was a similar player to Lebron or something.
- 51:38Speaker 1: Though.
- 51:38Speaker 2: And then we have a Meadow on Boise State. Who
- 51:41Speaker 2: I'm going to talk about next. You know, these guys
- 51:44Speaker 2: with the glasses, these guys with the goggles man, Yeah,
- 51:50Speaker 2: wait what team we're talking We're talking about Temple?
- 51:52Speaker 1: Yeah, who do they have?
- 51:53Speaker 2: I gotta watch some temple basketball. Then who's the guy
- 51:57Speaker 2: with the glasses?
- 51:58Speaker 1: Let me see? Can we see in the there he
- 51:59Speaker 1: is Gavin Griffiths. There you go.
- 52:02Speaker 2: Holy crap, man, Oh my god. Yeah, he's six seven dude.
- 52:09Speaker 2: To me, he looks like he would be taller than
- 52:11Speaker 2: that and like a rebounder and I'm seeing he doesn't
- 52:13Speaker 2: have a good rebounding average.
- 52:15Speaker 1: He's actually more of like a score he's a guard, so.
- 52:19Speaker 2: Yeah, but yeah, he scores on the double digits. Man,
- 52:23Speaker 2: he's got those glass dude. I don't know if it's
- 52:26Speaker 2: just like a glare or something.
- 52:27Speaker 1: It looks like he's got I don't know, like a
- 52:29Speaker 1: lazy eye or something that's crazy. Uh, all right, I'll
- 52:33Speaker 1: have to I'll have to check that guy out, all right.
- 52:38Speaker 2: USC and Boise State playing in Maui out there at
- 52:41Speaker 2: this shamanad thing.
- 52:45Speaker 1: This game, man, I mean.
- 52:46Speaker 2: We're gonna have a real contrast and styles here because
- 52:48Speaker 2: USC likes to play fast, Boise he likes to play slow.
- 52:53Speaker 1: I don't know which one is gonna win out.
- 52:54Speaker 2: But USC is coming off that ugly game against Troy
- 52:57Speaker 2: where they did not come close to covering. They almost lost,
- 53:00Speaker 2: So in a way, you could say, well, it's gonna
- 53:03Speaker 2: be good then for USC to just leave home, get
- 53:05Speaker 2: out of there, and refocus, because they had a huge
- 53:08Speaker 2: scare there. So that's the type of team I might
- 53:11Speaker 2: like to play after that, But I don't really want
- 53:13Speaker 2: to be on them after they played three overtimes, man,
- 53:16Speaker 2: I mean, playing three overtimes still could take a lot
- 53:18Speaker 2: out of you, even though you had a huge scare
- 53:20Speaker 2: in the game. For Boise, I mean, they had their
- 53:23Speaker 2: scare more than a scare with that horrible loss to
- 53:26Speaker 2: start the season, But they've been good since then, and
- 53:28Speaker 2: they just got their best win of the season so
- 53:30Speaker 2: far against Wichitah. But problem with that is that, I
- 53:34Speaker 2: mean that's a pretty big win over Wichita, which it
- 53:36Speaker 2: does been pretty good this year. Although I know Boys
- 53:38Speaker 2: was a big favorite and they didn't cover Boys, who
- 53:41Speaker 2: was a nine and a half.
- 53:41Speaker 1: Way favorite, so you could argue it was a scare
- 53:43Speaker 1: for Bois.
- 53:45Speaker 2: I don't know, though, man, I think you could argue
- 53:47Speaker 2: that they're coming off a big game, could.
- 53:50Speaker 1: Be a little bit of a hangover. They're they're still.
- 53:51Speaker 2: Gonna pay attention to USC because this is a Big
- 53:54Speaker 2: ten team now that they're playing, it's still one of
- 53:57Speaker 2: the big boys from one of the power conferences, even
- 53:59Speaker 2: if they're still in the PAC twelve. So I still
- 54:01Speaker 2: think Boise will show up for that reason.
- 54:03Speaker 1: Although boys, he.
- 54:04Speaker 2: Does have time off here which could disrupt their momentum
- 54:08Speaker 2: a little bit, and this is gonna be their first
- 54:10Speaker 2: time and think leaving home.
- 54:11Speaker 1: I want to say, I think they played all their
- 54:13Speaker 1: games at home.
- 54:14Speaker 2: USC has played one neutral site game, which was against
- 54:17Speaker 2: Illinois State, but that was in California, Southern California in Inglewood,
- 54:22Speaker 2: so they really haven't traveled as like either they haven't
- 54:25Speaker 2: left Southern California either, so both team's kind of in
- 54:29Speaker 2: a similar travel spot as far as that's concerned. USC
- 54:32Speaker 2: is up to a five and a half point favorite
- 54:34Speaker 2: from five sixty two percent of tickets ninety two percent
- 54:37Speaker 2: of the cash on Boise though, so the money coming
- 54:39Speaker 2: back taking the points with Boise, you know, I'm not
- 54:43Speaker 2: really gonna disagree with that, because Boise getting points is
- 54:47Speaker 2: a slowdown team like that. I don't know, it's somewhat
- 54:51Speaker 2: tempting to look towards taking the points with Boise in
- 54:53Speaker 2: that one, but not gonna make that a play obviously.
- 54:56Speaker 2: Then we have the Cayman Islands thing going on yet again,
- 55:00Speaker 2: and the Cayman Islands classic, Middle Tennessee and g w
- 55:04Speaker 2: who should not have changed their name from the Colonials.
- 55:07Speaker 2: George Washington himself would be rolling in his grave due
- 55:10Speaker 2: to all this woke bs.
- 55:12Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee.
- 55:13Speaker 2: They're coming up of a big game where they upset
- 55:14Speaker 2: Murray State in this Cayman Island thing. That was their
- 55:17Speaker 2: first game in the Cayman Islands. Nice upset win, whereas
- 55:20Speaker 2: George Washington took a loss to McNeice in the first game.
- 55:24Speaker 2: I think those are the first games in the tournament.
- 55:27Speaker 2: So George Washington, I can kind of see this moone
- 55:30Speaker 2: go going both ways because you could argue that, well,
- 55:33Speaker 2: George Washington's coming off a loss is a favorite. Middle
- 55:36Speaker 2: Tennessee is coming off pulling off an upset, so that
- 55:38Speaker 2: means you want to look to George Washington to bounce back,
- 55:41Speaker 2: whereas Middle Tennessee could be.
- 55:42Speaker 1: In a bit of a letdown.
- 55:43Speaker 2: But that was also George Washington's first loss of the season,
- 55:47Speaker 2: losing to McNeice, and they were only a five and
- 55:49Speaker 2: a half way favorite, and they might consider that to
- 55:51Speaker 2: still be a big win because McNeice made the tournament
- 55:55Speaker 2: the last two years, and remember Will Wade built up
- 55:58Speaker 2: that program. Although they're gonna take niece, is definitely gonna
- 56:01Speaker 2: be down from where they were in the last two
- 56:03Speaker 2: years because Wade left and whatever. Overall, I probably still
- 56:08Speaker 2: like George Washington and this one to bounce back. But
- 56:10Speaker 2: the money is actually disagreeing on that one. Gw is
- 56:14Speaker 2: an eleven and a half paint favorite. Seventy three percent
- 56:16Speaker 2: of tickets on them, but seventy six percent of the
- 56:18Speaker 2: cash fading them.
- 56:20Speaker 1: So that's the situation in that game. Don't want to
- 56:23Speaker 1: do anything with it. We have Charleston and Evansville in
- 56:26Speaker 1: the Virgin Islands thing whatever.
- 56:29Speaker 2: This thing is called the Paradise Jam this one. Evansville
- 56:35Speaker 2: took a blowout loss in this tournament. Actually they won,
- 56:39Speaker 2: actually they pulled out an upset over Oregon State.
- 56:41Speaker 1: Then they took the blowout.
- 56:42Speaker 2: Loss to Akron. Kind of an embarrassing loss though, just
- 56:47Speaker 2: to lose by that, you know, by that amount, even
- 56:49Speaker 2: though Akron is much much better than Evansville. Maybe in
- 56:53Speaker 2: line for a little bit of a bounce back here Evansville,
- 56:56Speaker 2: but they are pretty bad. Uh, They're gonna be an
- 56:58Speaker 2: underdog here to Charleston and Charleston. They're coming off playing
- 57:04Speaker 2: a little bit more competitively against Yale. They played UMass
- 57:06Speaker 2: and Yale already in this tournament, I think, so they've
- 57:09Speaker 2: been more tested, but I think they're in a somewhat
- 57:12Speaker 2: worse spot.
- 57:12Speaker 1: They're only laying four.
- 57:13Speaker 2: And a half, so it doesn't look very tempting to
- 57:17Speaker 2: take Evansville after they lost by like forty something points
- 57:20Speaker 2: to Akron or whatever, thirty eight points.
- 57:22Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Evansville in that one, though,
- 57:24Speaker 1: But do I want to do it. Absolutely not.
- 57:28Speaker 2: Going back to the Las Vegas to the MGM Grand
- 57:31Speaker 2: Number two. Houston is playing against Syracuse Syracuse. You know,
- 57:36Speaker 2: I mean, they're four and oh to starout the season,
- 57:38Speaker 2: although they haven't played anybody yet, but they are coming
- 57:40Speaker 2: up that scare against Month where that was why I
- 57:43Speaker 2: faded mom. But yesterday Mon with this twenty one and
- 57:46Speaker 2: a half win underdogs, they were playing really well against Syracuse.
- 57:49Speaker 2: They were in that game, like pretty late in the game,
- 57:52Speaker 2: so Syracuse maybe they were looking ahead.
- 57:54Speaker 1: Syracuse is coming.
- 57:55Speaker 2: Off a scare here man, so in a way should
- 57:58Speaker 2: be a bit of a bounce back for Syracuse.
- 57:59Speaker 1: Should expect them to focus here.
- 58:02Speaker 2: The thing is, though, they're going from the Eastern time
- 58:04Speaker 2: zone where they played all their games so far. I
- 58:05Speaker 2: think they've been at home for all their games. Now
- 58:09Speaker 2: leaving the Eastern time zone having to go to the
- 58:10Speaker 2: Pacific time zone. Sure, they're gonna try to show up
- 58:13Speaker 2: for Houston, but that's not that easy to do.
- 58:16Speaker 1: Uh.
- 58:16Speaker 2: Houston more battle tested because they did have that win
- 58:20Speaker 2: over Auburn and then in their last game they had
- 58:22Speaker 2: an easy win over Rider to help give them some
- 58:24Speaker 2: momentum and ride at that momentum coming into this one.
- 58:30Speaker 2: For Houston, I mean they might be looking ahead a
- 58:33Speaker 2: little bit to play in Tennessee tomorrow. I think the
- 58:35Speaker 2: look ahead component is a lot bigger for Tennessee though,
- 58:37Speaker 2: because that's gonna be a revenge game for Tennessee. But
- 58:40Speaker 2: still it is possible Houston is kind of looking past
- 58:44Speaker 2: Syracuse a little bit here. Houston having to travel to
- 58:46Speaker 2: Vegas will be a little bit easier for them. I
- 58:48Speaker 2: think Houston has not left Texas yet. Oh though, wait
- 58:51Speaker 2: a minute, where was the RX Benefits battle? Oh no,
- 58:54Speaker 2: this was They beat Auburn in Alabama actually, so that
- 58:57Speaker 2: was like a semi home game sort for Auburn there
- 59:01Speaker 2: to some extent in the RX benefits battleground, so Houston
- 59:05Speaker 2: did leave to do that, but they have not been
- 59:07Speaker 2: to the Pacific time zone yet.
- 59:10Speaker 1: Tough game to read.
- 59:12Speaker 2: I mean, I would probably take the points with Houston
- 59:14Speaker 2: the excuse they take the points with Syracuse in this one.
- 59:16Speaker 1: Houston is up from eleven.
- 59:18Speaker 2: To fourteen, fifty three percent of tickets, eighty nine percent
- 59:21Speaker 2: of the cash on Syracuse. The money looks like it's
- 59:24Speaker 2: coming in on Syracuse, I would agree. I mean, Houston again,
- 59:28Speaker 2: they're a team that you kind of want to like
- 59:30Speaker 2: fade them as a big favorite because they play really
- 59:32Speaker 2: really slow. Total kind of indicating that the total is low,
- 59:37Speaker 2: although it went up a little bit to one forty
- 59:40Speaker 2: eight or whatever.
- 59:40Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean those are my thoughts on that.
- 59:43Speaker 2: I would probably lean to Syracuse slightly, and that wul
- 59:45Speaker 2: taking the points. By the way, that Rutgers Tennessee total
- 59:48Speaker 2: is ugly low at one thirty nine and a half.
- 59:51Speaker 2: I didn't mention that, so that's another reason to maybe
- 59:54Speaker 2: look towards taking the points in that one. I still
- 59:56Speaker 2: have three more plays here and I don't know where
- 59:57Speaker 2: they are. The Notre Dame total taking the points there.
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: That's also low at one. So there you go with
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: that one. The Toledo game is gonna tip off soon,
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: by the way, and we're getting even less value on
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: that number now, So hopefully people grabbed that while.
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: I was doing the show because Toledo.
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: Uh, they were three and a half I think when
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: I gave them out or maybe three?
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: And what did I give them out at? I think
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: it was three? All right? What else did I want
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: to talk about here? Ohio? I mean, they're coming off
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: taking that upset.
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: Like I said to Bethune Cookman, Ohio put in a
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: nice performance for us in the previous game against Louisville.
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: So Ohio got us the cover there against Louisville coming
- 1:00:39Speaker 2: off of that. Maybe they're just in kind of a
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: bad spot against Bethune Cookman.
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: Maybe they bounce back here against George Mason.
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: George Mason probably one of the better A ten teams
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: here though they're undefeated, but they haven't exactly been battle tests. Yeah,
- 1:00:51Speaker 2: they haven't really faced anybody good yet. You know, I
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: would probably lead to bethun excuse me to wait, who
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: are we talking about?
- 1:00:59Speaker 1: Uh?
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: Ohio? Probably in to Ohio on this one. But not
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: a strong opinion at all. George Mason's seven point favorite
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: might get seven and a half on this sixty seven
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: percent of tickets, seventy seven percent of the cash on
- 1:01:11Speaker 2: George Mason, but I would probably lean against it. George Mason,
- 1:01:15Speaker 2: by the way, has some based economists.
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: That teach there. Just so you know, a lot of
- 1:01:24Speaker 1: these games I don't really want to talk about. We
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: get into the night games.
- 1:01:27Speaker 2: We got a lot of games that are being hosted
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: by the actual teams, so a lot of actual home
- 1:01:32Speaker 2: games for some of these teams. Florida Gulf Coast is
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: hosting Oral Roberts, but that's in that Fort Myers Tournament,
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: but Gulf Coast is the host of it in the
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: Coconut Hoops. This is the Tarpoon Bay Division orl Roberts
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: is coming off another step up game against Oklahoma because
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: Oral Roberts, he's in Oklahoma, so they always step up
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: their game, or at least try to for the big
- 1:01:55Speaker 2: boys in Oklahoma.
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: Oklahoma is a lot better than they are. Those they
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: lost by twenty four, they covered, they just got within
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: the number twenty four and a half coming up that game.
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: Now they're gonna travel down to Florida. I mean, it
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: doesn't look that easy. I don't think they've played outside
- 1:02:11Speaker 2: of the state of Oklahoma yet, so I don't think
- 1:02:14Speaker 2: it's that easy for them.
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: Golf Coast is the home team here.
- 1:02:18Speaker 2: Golf Coast, though, they just went into Samford and pulled
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: off a nice upset on the road at Samford, So
- 1:02:23Speaker 2: that's in Alabama, I believe. So even though Florida Golf
- 1:02:27Speaker 2: Coast coming home from that, I still probably into Golf
- 1:02:30Speaker 2: Coast here. But it's not a strong opinion. They're not
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: from an eleven point or from a ten point favorite.
- 1:02:34Speaker 2: You're an eleven point favorite, I would probably lay it,
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: but yeah, not Murray. Wait did Murray Rothbart teach there?
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:02:42Speaker 2: I was thinking of Walter Williams and who was the
- 1:02:45Speaker 2: other dude, Walter Williams rip. By the way, there are
- 1:02:49Speaker 2: a couple of guys there who are like they've they've
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: been teaching at the school very recently. Bellerman at the Citadel.
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: I think this is literally at the Citadel Bellerman coming
- 1:03:02Speaker 2: off that really nice performance against Notre Dame man So
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: I do think they're in a fade spot after that.
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: That was a huge game for them, they covered for us.
- 1:03:09Speaker 2: They put in a big effort and again they they
- 1:03:11Speaker 2: were getting blown out, but they didn't go away, and
- 1:03:13Speaker 2: they put in a big effort late to make that
- 1:03:15Speaker 2: game close. So I think they're in a bad spot
- 1:03:18Speaker 2: now having to go down to the Citadel, even though
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: this is part of the ASUN Soacon Conference challenge. Here
- 1:03:24Speaker 2: the Citadel coming off a win to break a law
- 1:03:27Speaker 2: street for them. They beat North Greenville, that non Division
- 1:03:30Speaker 2: one team where North Greenville actually had a win against
- 1:03:33Speaker 2: who was it. I forget they beat some Division one
- 1:03:36Speaker 2: team where I was like, oh, that's embarrassing, and I
- 1:03:39Speaker 2: went with that Division one team after that. But whatever,
- 1:03:42Speaker 2: Citadel was able to beat that team. So that team's
- 1:03:44Speaker 2: obviously not that good because the Citadel is not that good.
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: But in this spot, I think the Citadel makes sense here.
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: Bellerman is up from.
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: A two point favorite to a two and a half
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: point favorite. I would take the.
- 1:03:55Speaker 2: Points with the Citadel in that one, though, and maybe
- 1:03:57Speaker 2: you get a little bit more value onto the line
- 1:04:00Speaker 2: a little bit more. Nj T is playing Cincinnati. I mean,
- 1:04:05Speaker 2: Cincinnati is coming up their first loss of the season.
- 1:04:07Speaker 2: It was a big game against Louisville, so and they
- 1:04:11Speaker 2: somewhat hung in that game. They only lost my ten,
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: so I do think it's a pretty major hangover spot here.
- 1:04:16Speaker 2: Although nj i T, as we know, sucks as Jeffrey
- 1:04:19Speaker 2: took my advice and laid the points with Drexel against them,
- 1:04:21Speaker 2: and nj T has been pretty bad since then. They
- 1:04:25Speaker 2: got blown up by Drexel there three and one start,
- 1:04:28Speaker 2: like I said, was very misleading.
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: Nj T is not good now.
- 1:04:31Speaker 2: They're on a two game slide and they actually faced
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: Louisville next to though it's not like they're not gonna
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: be focused for Cincinnati though, I mean Cincinnati is still
- 1:04:39Speaker 2: a big boy. I think nj T is still gonna
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: try to step it up for them, So I mean,
- 1:04:46Speaker 2: I would probably lean to taking the points with NJT
- 1:04:48Speaker 2: in that when you're getting thirty four points and the
- 1:04:51Speaker 2: total is only one hundred and forty, so it's gonna
- 1:04:54Speaker 2: it's looking like it's gonna be an.
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: Ugly low scoring game.
- 1:04:57Speaker 2: So in a case like that, it does make more
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: sense to take a huge amount of points. Cincinnati, though
- 1:05:02Speaker 2: interestingly they play fast, but their offense is awful, Like
- 1:05:06Speaker 2: their offense is well outside of the top one hundred
- 1:05:09Speaker 2: at one sixty seven, but they have the second best
- 1:05:11Speaker 2: deepfense according to Kent Bomb.
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: Very very weird.
- 1:05:14Speaker 2: They're like extreme Saint John's very very crazy and they
- 1:05:18Speaker 2: play a fast tempo, but their offense is bad, very
- 1:05:22Speaker 2: very strange style from some of these schools.
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:05:26Speaker 2: Next up, we're gonna give out a play here on
- 1:05:28Speaker 2: Sacred Heart plus the points Sacred Hat, which I forget
- 1:05:33Speaker 2: where they're low. I think they're located in Connecticut. Actually,
- 1:05:36Speaker 2: so this is an in state game, I believe. Let
- 1:05:39Speaker 2: me see because I think they did have a home
- 1:05:40Speaker 2: game against Merchant Marine. Yeah, they're in Fairfield, Connecticut. It
- 1:05:44Speaker 2: looks like so Sacred Heart. I think the game is
- 1:05:47Speaker 2: gonna be a little bit bigger for them in this
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: one against Central Connecticut. Central connecticuts looks like you're gonna
- 1:05:53Speaker 2: get even better on this. They're up to they're through
- 1:05:56Speaker 2: the three and a half headed towards four. This is
- 1:05:58Speaker 2: another low total gamer. I think it's gonna be an
- 1:06:00Speaker 2: ugly game where taking the points does make more sense.
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: You know, I'm not much of a fan a Central Connecticut.
- 1:06:06Speaker 2: I mean, they're down from where they were last year.
- 1:06:08Speaker 2: They're at two hundred and forty fifth in.
- 1:06:10Speaker 1: Kem Bum's rankings.
- 1:06:11Speaker 2: He has them forty ninth and luck so he has
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: them over performing right now. And surprisingly they actually play
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: faster than you would think for a team that scores
- 1:06:19Speaker 2: as terribly as they do. They're actually there again, one
- 1:06:23Speaker 2: of those teams that isn't that slow. They are a
- 1:06:25Speaker 2: mid tempo team or no, I'm wrong, I was looking
- 1:06:27Speaker 2: at the wrong line.
- 1:06:28Speaker 1: My mistake, My mistake, I was looking at the wrong line.
- 1:06:31Speaker 2: But they are still pretty high in the luck in
- 1:06:33Speaker 2: it so, yeah, Central Canada get that makes more sense.
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: They play much slower. They're at two ninety two and tempo.
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: They're actually good defensively at one eleven, but their offense
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: is horrific at three forty fourth.
- 1:06:45Speaker 1: In kem BOM's rankings.
- 1:06:46Speaker 2: They're like a bottom twenty offense in all of college basketball,
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: all of D one.
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: That is not the profile of a team you want
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: to be laying points with.
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: Man in my opinion, slow tempo, horrible offense team. Yeah no,
- 1:07:00Speaker 2: and Central Connecticut's also in a bad spot, which is
- 1:07:02Speaker 2: why we're doing this.
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: I'm not just gonna fade them every time.
- 1:07:04Speaker 2: Their favorite but as we mentioned, they're coming up that
- 1:07:07Speaker 2: massive upset over Rutgers. I think that's big for Central Connecticut.
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:07:11Speaker 2: You beat a big ten team, and actually Rutgers was undefeated,
- 1:07:14Speaker 2: but that was because they hadn't.
- 1:07:15Speaker 1: Played anybody yet.
- 1:07:17Speaker 2: Fifteen and a half point upset, big win for Central Connecticut.
- 1:07:21Speaker 2: Like I said, Rutgers was horrible from the field in
- 1:07:23Speaker 2: that game and lost the turnover battle. I know Central
- 1:07:26Speaker 2: Connecticut did out rebound them, but still, uh it does
- 1:07:30Speaker 2: the rest of the numbers do indicate some outliers here.
- 1:07:33Speaker 2: Rutgers thirty six percent from the field, twenty six percent
- 1:07:36Speaker 2: from three, Central Connecticut forty three percent from three point range.
- 1:07:42Speaker 2: They don't shoot that well from three. There's gonna be
- 1:07:44Speaker 2: some regression here in Central Connecticut's coming back home off.
- 1:07:47Speaker 1: Of that upset.
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: So could be a situation where they come back to
- 1:07:50Speaker 2: campus and you know, everybody's praising them, celebrating them because
- 1:07:54Speaker 2: that was a That was a huge game, man, they're
- 1:07:56Speaker 2: big games. They won them both against BC and Rutgers,
- 1:08:00Speaker 2: and you know, I faded them off of the BC
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: upset and U Mass was blowing them out, Dude.
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: They came back and.
- 1:08:05Speaker 2: Covered against UMass, But I was angry about that. U
- 1:08:08Speaker 2: Mass was destroying them. I think U mass should have
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: covered that. So Central Connecticut they're back in a fade
- 1:08:14Speaker 2: spot now. I think the Rutgers win was bigger in
- 1:08:17Speaker 2: a way because Rutgers is just a bigger name than
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: BC is in basketball this week is BC well, not
- 1:08:23Speaker 2: a bigger name. I don't want to say, but Rutgers
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: has been the better team over the last few years.
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: Let's just put it that way. Although BC is in
- 1:08:29Speaker 2: New England, so that might have still been bigger for
- 1:08:31Speaker 2: Center Connecticut. But either way, I don't like the spot
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: here for them.
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: Sacred Heart.
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: I think they will step up for playing a team
- 1:08:37Speaker 2: that's been better than them in the state of Connecticut.
- 1:08:40Speaker 1: Sacred Heart they're fairly battle tested.
- 1:08:42Speaker 2: I mean they had to go on the road to
- 1:08:44Speaker 2: face Duquane, Villanova, and Queens. I don't know if all
- 1:08:47Speaker 2: of them are like actual, like true road games, but
- 1:08:51Speaker 2: that's not that easy to do that.
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: I mean, Queens is a decent team. At least we
- 1:08:55Speaker 1: know Villanova.
- 1:08:56Speaker 2: They're a big East team. Villanova is better than Rutgers,
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: I will say that. So Sacred Heart did play them.
- 1:09:02Speaker 2: I know they got blown out in the game, and
- 1:09:04Speaker 2: Ducaine is actually fairly good as well this year. So
- 1:09:07Speaker 2: Sacred Heart they're battle testing and what they did last
- 1:09:10Speaker 2: game I think is a good side. They beat Holy Cross,
- 1:09:13Speaker 2: which is a team they should have beaten. Holy Cross
- 1:09:15Speaker 2: isn't good. Sacred Heart got the win back at home.
- 1:09:18Speaker 1: Nice win.
- 1:09:19Speaker 2: Now, I think that breaks that losing momentum and now
- 1:09:21Speaker 2: they can take that momentum out and even though they
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: have penned State next, I do think Sacred Heart will
- 1:09:25Speaker 2: focus on this game because again Central Connecticut has been
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: kind of on the rise as one of these teams
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: in Connecticut from one of the lower conferences, and nobody
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: ever talks about Sacred Heart. Who Sacred Heart I think
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: was in this in Central Connecticut's conference for a while,
- 1:09:42Speaker 2: and it might have been before Central Connecticut was even
- 1:09:44Speaker 2: in it, I don't remember.
- 1:09:45Speaker 1: But Sacred Heart moved up.
- 1:09:47Speaker 2: Into the matt Ach but they have not been good
- 1:09:49Speaker 2: in this conference, and Central Connecticut meanwhile has been like
- 1:09:52Speaker 2: dominating the NEC.
- 1:09:53Speaker 1: So I don't know.
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: I think it's a bigger game for Sacred Heart taking
- 1:09:57Speaker 2: the points there in that one are all right, keeping
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: it going, man, man, these shows take forever Princeton and
- 1:10:07Speaker 2: Bradley playing in that Chocolate Tournament whatever it is Terry's Chocolates,
- 1:10:15Speaker 2: Princident at least staying on the East coast, Bradley having
- 1:10:17Speaker 2: to come in from Illinois. But Bradley had kind of
- 1:10:20Speaker 2: a scare against U. Mass Lowell Man, which is why
- 1:10:22Speaker 2: I wanted to fade you mass Lowell in the game
- 1:10:25Speaker 2: off of that, which I think was a loss if
- 1:10:27Speaker 2: I'm remembering correctly. But whatever, Bradley, they got a scare
- 1:10:32Speaker 2: in that game, so I think they will be kind
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: of in bounced back.
- 1:10:34Speaker 1: Mode here for Princeton.
- 1:10:38Speaker 2: Princeton probably a little bit more battle tested though because
- 1:10:40Speaker 2: they played an Acron. It was good they played Kansas
- 1:10:43Speaker 2: both those being road games that I own is not
- 1:10:45Speaker 2: that bad either. Princeton did excuse they get a win
- 1:10:48Speaker 2: to disrupt their losing momentum there with a win over Northeastern.
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: But I don't know.
- 1:10:53Speaker 2: To me, I think the bounce back spot is better
- 1:10:55Speaker 2: for Bradley. Bradley I think is actually the better team,
- 1:10:58Speaker 2: which the osmakers are telling you that already up from
- 1:11:00Speaker 2: six to eight though, so it's.
- 1:11:02Speaker 1: Gone through the key number seven.
- 1:11:04Speaker 2: You're losing some value there if you do like Bradley
- 1:11:06Speaker 2: seventy five percent tickets ninety four percent of the cash
- 1:11:09Speaker 2: on Princeton, and the total has dropped my excuse me,
- 1:11:14Speaker 2: Princeton down, excuse me, the totals down to one thirty
- 1:11:18Speaker 2: seven and a half.
- 1:11:19Speaker 1: So low total.
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: Not really totally interested in laying the points, although I
- 1:11:24Speaker 2: kind of leaned towards Bradley there.
- 1:11:27Speaker 1: All right, New Orleans a Mississippi State.
- 1:11:31Speaker 2: I mean, Mississippi State could be somewhat in a bad
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: spot because they did just play that Kansas City tournament
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: where they didn't do well. They lost to Kansas State
- 1:11:38Speaker 2: and New Mexico, but those are big step up games.
- 1:11:41Speaker 2: Now they're coming up of those games, and they do
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: have to face SMU Georgia Tech next, So this game
- 1:11:46Speaker 2: is sandwiched in between bigger opponents, although it does at
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: least me in Mississippi State's battle testing. But as I
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: showed you, they're not that good this year. New Orleans
- 1:11:55Speaker 2: is somewhat battle tested as well, because they did win
- 1:11:58Speaker 2: against TCU and lost badly to LSU, though those teams
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: are not as good as the opponent's the Mississippi State
- 1:12:05Speaker 2: has faced.
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: Obviously, Mississippi State is a.
- 1:12:07Speaker 2: Better team, but New Orleans is very road tested they've
- 1:12:10Speaker 2: been around, they're gonna step up for an SEC game.
- 1:12:14Speaker 1: So I lean to New Orleans in this one.
- 1:12:16Speaker 2: Mississippi State has gone all the way up from eighteen
- 1:12:18Speaker 2: and a half to twenty four and a half. I
- 1:12:20Speaker 2: don't know what spurred that line movement of six points.
- 1:12:23Speaker 2: I mean, that's crazy, but I would probably come back
- 1:12:26Speaker 2: and take it with New Orleans and that one now
- 1:12:28Speaker 2: you're getting more a bigger number on it too. Don't
- 1:12:31Speaker 2: have a whole lot else to say about it. Murray
- 1:12:33Speaker 2: State at McNeese. Murray State just took an upset loss
- 1:12:37Speaker 2: to Middle Tennessee or not at McNeese. This is in
- 1:12:40Speaker 2: the Cayman Islands classic McNeice. They just pulled off an
- 1:12:46Speaker 2: upset of their own against GW. So I kind of
- 1:12:48Speaker 2: lean to Murray State here man mcnice is down for
- 1:12:51Speaker 2: two and a half way favorite to a two point favorite.
- 1:12:53Speaker 2: But so I was just telling you they're slightly better
- 1:12:56Speaker 2: than Murray State. But Murray State coming off getting upset,
- 1:12:59Speaker 2: I lean towards them. It looks like the money is
- 1:13:01Speaker 2: coming in that way. Whereas MacNeice pulled off an upset
- 1:13:05Speaker 2: of themselves. So that's what I would do there, not
- 1:13:09Speaker 2: gonna be a play for me, though, Illinois playing Rio
- 1:13:12Speaker 2: Grande Valley Illinois, you could argue they're in a look
- 1:13:18Speaker 2: ahead spot because they do have Yukon and Tennessee coming
- 1:13:20Speaker 2: up next. Yukon is the most you know, the more
- 1:13:24Speaker 2: like that game is upcoming shortly, let's just say in
- 1:13:27Speaker 2: four days, so it could be.
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: A look ahead spot for Illinois.
- 1:13:29Speaker 2: Illinois bounced back nicely from their lost Alabama, though they
- 1:13:32Speaker 2: blew out Long Island, so they do at least have
- 1:13:35Speaker 2: some momentum coming into this one. Rio Grande Valley they're
- 1:13:38Speaker 2: a team that can kind of sneak up on some teams.
- 1:13:42Speaker 2: They're not that horrible, at least they weren't last year.
- 1:13:44Speaker 2: I gave up them. I gave them out as a
- 1:13:47Speaker 2: play last year. At one point, I remember they almost
- 1:13:50Speaker 2: won the game outright as a huge underdog against Wisconsin.
- 1:13:53Speaker 1: That was a win for me that I remember from.
- 1:13:55Speaker 2: Last year's season. It was a horrible bot for Wisconsin obviously,
- 1:14:02Speaker 2: which is why I did it. But for real Grande Valley,
- 1:14:04Speaker 2: this is gonna be their biggest game left on the
- 1:14:07Speaker 2: entire season, I think so. I think they will try
- 1:14:08Speaker 2: to step it up for this game, will they have enough.
- 1:14:11Speaker 2: I don't know, because obviously they're gonna be a huge underdog.
- 1:14:15Speaker 2: Illinois is up to thirty four here, but I would
- 1:14:17Speaker 2: probably lean towards taking the points with Rio Grande, even
- 1:14:21Speaker 2: though I think both teams do actually play fast too,
- 1:14:24Speaker 2: so that does make it maybe maybe a little bit more. Yeah,
- 1:14:28Speaker 2: both teams play fast, might make it a little bit
- 1:14:30Speaker 2: easier for a team to cover a large number like that,
- 1:14:33Speaker 2: But still, I just think the spot's not very good
- 1:14:37Speaker 2: for Illinois. I'm going back to Las Vegas here, Man,
- 1:14:41Speaker 2: the show is gonna take for fucking ever. Oh all right,
- 1:14:47Speaker 2: it takes.
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: A lot out of me. Man. Oregon and Auburn.
- 1:14:50Speaker 2: Holy shit, there are so many games and I'm not
- 1:14:52Speaker 2: even talking about every single one of them. A lot
- 1:14:56Speaker 2: of big games today. Though this is not at Auburn tho,
- 1:14:59Speaker 2: this is in Las Vegas. I guess, like I said
- 1:15:00Speaker 2: of the michelob Ultra Arena, Auburn's ranked twenty second in
- 1:15:04Speaker 2: the country. Oregon has not looked good so far, Man,
- 1:15:06Speaker 2: so I do kind of worry about that. The fact
- 1:15:08Speaker 2: that they barely beat Hawaii, barely beat Rice didn't cover.
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: I don't think against Seth Dakota State either.
- 1:15:14Speaker 2: I took two losses on the show in those games,
- 1:15:16Speaker 2: and they're coming off their rivalry win over Oregon State,
- 1:15:19Speaker 2: which of course Oregon is the better of those two teams.
- 1:15:22Speaker 1: Will they be in a letdown off of that.
- 1:15:23Speaker 2: I kind of don't think so, though, because they are
- 1:15:26Speaker 2: looking at Auburn here and you're gonna step up your
- 1:15:28Speaker 2: game to face Auburn. Auburn coming off that blowout win
- 1:15:32Speaker 2: where we took a loss on that one with Jackson's State.
- 1:15:35Speaker 2: Because Auburn was coming off that really difficult game against Houston,
- 1:15:38Speaker 2: I thought they were in a bad spot, especially with
- 1:15:40Speaker 2: the Oregon coming up next, but they were able to
- 1:15:42Speaker 2: win that game continue their momentum. As far as Auburn
- 1:15:48Speaker 2: is concerned. The location I don't think is quite as
- 1:15:50Speaker 2: good for them as they're having to come in from Alabama.
- 1:15:53Speaker 2: They have not left the state of Alabama this year,
- 1:15:55Speaker 2: I don't believe. And Oregon, I don't think they've left Oregon,
- 1:15:59Speaker 2: but still there at least in the Pacific time zone.
- 1:16:02Speaker 2: So I think the location is better for Oregon. The
- 1:16:05Speaker 2: money is coming in on the Oregon side, I'm not
- 1:16:07Speaker 2: gonna disagree with it. I worry because they've looked really
- 1:16:10Speaker 2: ugly this year. But Auburn down from five to two
- 1:16:14Speaker 2: and a half here, so the money is strongly coming
- 1:16:16Speaker 2: in on Oregon fifty four percent of the tickets around
- 1:16:19Speaker 2: Auburn seventy two the cash on Oregon.
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: If you do like Oregon, I.
- 1:16:23Speaker 2: Don't know, man, I mean, it looks like you've kind
- 1:16:25Speaker 2: of missed the boat on the best numbers there. I
- 1:16:26Speaker 2: mean you could still take the points with them, but definitely.
- 1:16:30Speaker 1: Lost some value on that.
- 1:16:31Speaker 2: And then in the Virgin Islands whatever this one is
- 1:16:34Speaker 2: the yeah, Paradise Jam Yale, Yale, and Akron in the
- 1:16:38Speaker 2: winners circle here. Both of these teams have won both
- 1:16:41Speaker 2: of their games so far, Yale barely escaping against Green
- 1:16:45Speaker 2: Bay and then getting a nice win over Charleston, who
- 1:16:47Speaker 2: is a better team than green Bay. Acron's been good
- 1:16:50Speaker 2: as well here, but they played Evansville in their last game,
- 1:16:54Speaker 2: got to blow out easy win there, beating I own
- 1:16:56Speaker 2: to the game before that, a more impressive win there,
- 1:17:01Speaker 2: although I think Yale, well, I don't know, man, I mean,
- 1:17:04Speaker 2: Yale didn't look good against green Maybe then Yale beat Charleston.
- 1:17:08Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know.
- 1:17:08Speaker 2: I mean in this game, I guess you want to
- 1:17:10Speaker 2: just default to the better team, and I.
- 1:17:11Speaker 1: Think that is Akron.
- 1:17:12Speaker 2: I mean, the oddsbrekers are telling you that that's the case,
- 1:17:15Speaker 2: that they're only one and a half way favorite, ninety
- 1:17:17Speaker 2: three percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash
- 1:17:19Speaker 2: on Akron. Akron kind of goes a bit under the
- 1:17:22Speaker 2: radar because Yale keeps winning the IVY League, I think so.
- 1:17:26Speaker 2: I mean I know that they have they wonted the
- 1:17:28Speaker 2: last couple of years, but Akron, I mean they've won
- 1:17:32Speaker 2: the MAC a couple of recent years too, though, and
- 1:17:34Speaker 2: they just seem to get overlooked. So I don't know,
- 1:17:36Speaker 2: probably to Acron in that one, but I don't love it.
- 1:17:41Speaker 2: You like Jackson's State against Auburn Jackson's State, They're just
- 1:17:45Speaker 2: they're not covering many they just can't. I don't know,
- 1:17:48Speaker 2: they seem to not be able to step up their
- 1:17:50Speaker 2: game against stronger opponents. I think they're gonna be good
- 1:17:52Speaker 2: in their conference though, like last year, although they didn't
- 1:17:56Speaker 2: win the conference, they were in the mix there.
- 1:18:00Speaker 1: All right.
- 1:18:01Speaker 2: Next up, and when you give out a play here
- 1:18:02Speaker 2: on Northern Arizona plus the points, I think it's about.
- 1:18:05Speaker 1: Three and a half here actually it had already dropped
- 1:18:10Speaker 1: to two.
- 1:18:10Speaker 2: It was three and a half when I started doing
- 1:18:12Speaker 2: the show, though man, I would still probably take it.
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: Cal Pauly is not in a good spot here. They're
- 1:18:18Speaker 1: down from two and a half to two here.
- 1:18:19Speaker 2: Now, I swear it was three and a half when
- 1:18:22Speaker 2: I looked at this, like, I don't know about an
- 1:18:25Speaker 2: hour ago. Eighty three percent of tickets ninety six percent
- 1:18:28Speaker 2: of the cash on Northern Arizona. So the money is
- 1:18:30Speaker 2: coming in on the Northern Arizona side. I don't think
- 1:18:33Speaker 2: this is a game the public is involved in it all.
- 1:18:35Speaker 2: So that's why it looks like the public ticket percentage
- 1:18:38Speaker 2: is there too. But whereas I look in here, that
- 1:18:43Speaker 2: Troyjeledo game has begun, by the way, all right, but yeah.
- 1:18:47Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Northern Arizona.
- 1:18:49Speaker 2: I think with the ticket percentage being you know, heavy,
- 1:18:53Speaker 2: it means less like it doesn't mean the public is
- 1:18:56Speaker 2: all over this game, just because I don't think they're
- 1:18:58Speaker 2: playing the game at all. So I think a lot
- 1:19:00Speaker 2: of those tickets that are factored into that ticket percentage
- 1:19:02Speaker 2: are professional tickets. And then you still see the money
- 1:19:05Speaker 2: is more heavily on that side. Bad spot for cal
- 1:19:09Speaker 2: Poly which is why I'm doing this. This game is
- 1:19:14Speaker 2: a true road game for them, So I mean, I
- 1:19:15Speaker 2: know they've played true road games almost all year, but
- 1:19:18Speaker 2: look at what they've done recently. Man, they had that
- 1:19:21Speaker 2: game against Montana where they probably should have covered but didn't,
- 1:19:24Speaker 2: and that was after coming out of Colorado State, after
- 1:19:28Speaker 2: they upset Seattle out on the road, and they actually
- 1:19:30Speaker 2: they had to play at USC to start the season.
- 1:19:33Speaker 2: They got blown out in that game, but they played
- 1:19:35Speaker 2: competitively against Colorado State in elevation up to Montana, which
- 1:19:39Speaker 2: I think is still also in high elevation, should have
- 1:19:42Speaker 2: covered but didn't.
- 1:19:43Speaker 1: Then they went back down into.
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: You know the like other you know, like the true
- 1:19:48Speaker 2: Rocky Mountain states if you want to call them that,
- 1:19:50Speaker 2: to Utah to hire elevation again and they won that
- 1:19:54Speaker 2: game outright. And this is why I'm fading the men.
- 1:19:56Speaker 2: They were fourteen a half way favorites here. They dealt
- 1:19:59Speaker 2: Utah their first loss of the season. Utah is not great,
- 1:20:02Speaker 2: but there's still a big name. They're still in the
- 1:20:04Speaker 2: Big twelve or whatever.
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: Big win for cal Poly man, and they pretty much
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: left no doubt and they dominated this game. Look at
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: what happened in this.
- 1:20:13Speaker 2: Game, though cal Poly was fifty percent from the field
- 1:20:17Speaker 2: and fifty six percent from three. I know they out
- 1:20:20Speaker 2: rebounded the Man, lost a turnover battle and still won,
- 1:20:22Speaker 2: and those are more indicators that you would want to
- 1:20:25Speaker 2: look towards cal Poly. But still those are outlier shooting
- 1:20:28Speaker 2: percentages Man, especially fifty six percent from three. Utah kind
- 1:20:32Speaker 2: of shot more average in the game, So I think
- 1:20:34Speaker 2: it is a big letdown spot in a regression spot
- 1:20:37Speaker 2: for cal Poly. I don't really know how much they're
- 1:20:39Speaker 2: gonna have in the tank and how much focus they're
- 1:20:41Speaker 2: gonna have a Northern Arizona. And then after this they
- 1:20:44Speaker 2: gotta face CIMO, which I know is in a big deal,
- 1:20:46Speaker 2: although Simo has been one of the better teams in.
- 1:20:48Speaker 1: Their conference for a while.
- 1:20:49Speaker 2: But this is a tournament game and it is tomorrow.
- 1:20:54Speaker 2: Although actually, well I shouldn't say it like that, Like
- 1:20:58Speaker 2: these games are both in the same tournament, so let's
- 1:21:00Speaker 2: just put it that way. So I guess I don't
- 1:21:01Speaker 2: want to say it's really a look ahead, although CIMO
- 1:21:04Speaker 2: has been one of the better teams in their conference
- 1:21:05Speaker 2: for a while, but this is a tournament of some
- 1:21:07Speaker 2: kind that's actually being hosted by Northern Arizona because they
- 1:21:12Speaker 2: are I believe it is because they are in enough
- 1:21:13Speaker 2: flag staff.
- 1:21:14Speaker 1: I think I'm right about that.
- 1:21:17Speaker 2: Whatever the case may be, I think it's a huge
- 1:21:19Speaker 2: letdown spot for cal Poly. For Northern Arizona, they faced
- 1:21:23Speaker 2: a pretty difficult schedule. I mean, well, they faced Drake
- 1:21:26Speaker 2: and they played them close, and then they lost it
- 1:21:28Speaker 2: a blowout at Arizona. But we know Arizona's one of
- 1:21:31Speaker 2: the better teams in the entire country, so they were
- 1:21:34Speaker 2: just mismatched in the game.
- 1:21:36Speaker 1: Northern Arizona. They're only wins so far.
- 1:21:38Speaker 2: We're against non Division one teams, sure, but again, their
- 1:21:41Speaker 2: two Division one opponents were not easy opponents to face,
- 1:21:45Speaker 2: so this is actually the weakest of the Division one
- 1:21:48Speaker 2: opponents they face so far. And the other thing is
- 1:21:50Speaker 2: I think Northern Arizona can frustrate cal Poly because cal
- 1:21:54Speaker 2: Poly they're the second ranked team in tempo in the
- 1:21:59Speaker 2: entire country, and Northern Arizona likes to play slow, so
- 1:22:03Speaker 2: cal Poly might be thrown off in this game.
- 1:22:07Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:22:07Speaker 2: So that's another thing I do not like about cal Poly.
- 1:22:10Speaker 2: They're also thirty eighth in kem Bum's rankings in luck,
- 1:22:13Speaker 2: so that's not good. Northern Arizona plays a lot slower
- 1:22:17Speaker 2: at two sixteenth, and they're way lower in the Luck
- 1:22:20Speaker 2: Index at three forty eighth in luck. Yet kem Bum
- 1:22:22Speaker 2: also has them with the eighth strength of schedule in
- 1:22:25Speaker 2: the entire nation.
- 1:22:26Speaker 1: So a lot of things that I like about ken
- 1:22:29Speaker 1: Bum's rankings.
- 1:22:30Speaker 2: Here as far as like fading a huge luck dichotomy
- 1:22:32Speaker 2: here Northern Arizona. Yeah, way down in the Luck Index
- 1:22:36Speaker 2: and you know, a tempo disparity getting points of the
- 1:22:39Speaker 2: slower paced team. I like that they might frustrate cal
- 1:22:41Speaker 2: Pauly by slowing them down. And yeah, that's about it
- 1:22:46Speaker 2: man and cal Poly in the letdown spot. So yeah,
- 1:22:50Speaker 2: that's all I have.
- 1:22:51Speaker 1: To say about it. You.
- 1:22:51Speaker 2: I was just making sure that I was right about
- 1:22:53Speaker 2: Drake being better than cal Pauly and kem Bum's rankings,
- 1:22:57Speaker 2: which they are.
- 1:22:58Speaker 1: All right, Radford is going to SMU. SMU could be
- 1:23:04Speaker 1: a little.
- 1:23:04Speaker 2: Bit of a look ahea because they got Mississippi State, Vandy,
- 1:23:08Speaker 2: Texas A and M and LSU up next to playing
- 1:23:11Speaker 2: four straight SEC teams. For whatever reason. SMU is undefeated,
- 1:23:15Speaker 2: but their best win so far is against Bay excuse me,
- 1:23:18Speaker 2: Butler not Baylor, worse than Baylor, Butler. So SMU is
- 1:23:22Speaker 2: pretty untested right now and it is a look ahead.
- 1:23:25Speaker 2: Radford is the more tested team. As they played in
- 1:23:27Speaker 2: North Carolina didn't play that badly against So they did
- 1:23:30Speaker 2: get blown out at South Carolina. The whore a lot
- 1:23:33Speaker 2: worse than North Carolina. But Radford, I mean, for some reason,
- 1:23:36Speaker 2: they just lost games where they kind of should have won,
- 1:23:39Speaker 2: like against Wright State Cleveland State. I think their favorites
- 1:23:42Speaker 2: in both of those games and lost them both. So
- 1:23:44Speaker 2: I think this Radford team, they're underperforming right now. They
- 1:23:47Speaker 2: might show up for this one. So I would lean
- 1:23:49Speaker 2: towards Radford. You're getting a lot of points. SMU is
- 1:23:53Speaker 2: up from twenty three to twenty three and a half.
- 1:23:55Speaker 2: I would take the points with Radford there if I
- 1:23:59Speaker 2: was gonna do it all right, I do have I
- 1:24:04Speaker 2: think one more play in the mix here somewhere.
- 1:24:06Speaker 1: Actually, no, I think I might have two. Right? What else?
- 1:24:11Speaker 1: Did I want to talk about?
- 1:24:12Speaker 2: Loyol and Marrymount having to go to Florida Atlantic here
- 1:24:14Speaker 2: in Daytona Beach, so it's not being hosted by FAU,
- 1:24:18Speaker 2: but it is in Florida, and loyal and Marrymount hasn't
- 1:24:20Speaker 2: left the only time they left the Pacific the Pacific
- 1:24:23Speaker 2: timesone was to go to Utep to help Assos and
- 1:24:26Speaker 2: they have not gone further east than o'passo all season.
- 1:24:30Speaker 2: So and they're coming up a nice win on the
- 1:24:32Speaker 2: road and upset win over UC Santa Barbara, a nice
- 1:24:35Speaker 2: win for Loyol and Marymount that I think it was
- 1:24:37Speaker 2: also an overtime. So the spot doesn't look great to
- 1:24:40Speaker 2: me having to go all the way out east after
- 1:24:42Speaker 2: that win. Florida Atlantic is already out here on the
- 1:24:45Speaker 2: East coast, obviously, because that's where they are coming out
- 1:24:48Speaker 2: of a blowout win over Pacific, which you know Pacific.
- 1:24:52Speaker 2: They were in another one of those spots where they
- 1:24:54Speaker 2: were a West coast team and they had to go
- 1:24:55Speaker 2: all the way east and they did not do well.
- 1:24:57Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, the way that I would look at
- 1:25:00Speaker 2: that is Florida Atlantic. I would lean towards them. They're
- 1:25:03Speaker 2: up from two and a half to four. I would
- 1:25:05Speaker 2: lay it with them, even though Loyal and Merrymount looks
- 1:25:07Speaker 2: like they're gonna be decent in their conference this year.
- 1:25:10Speaker 1: But it is just not the spot where you want
- 1:25:12Speaker 1: to look towards Loyola there, loyal and merry Mount.
- 1:25:16Speaker 2: Oh yeah, we should start talking about Thanksgiving because it's
- 1:25:18Speaker 2: Thanksgiving week. I kind of want to do that on
- 1:25:20Speaker 2: a lighter day though maybe Thanksgiving morning. Maybe we'll do
- 1:25:24Speaker 2: it because we we'll have to talk about the football games,
- 1:25:26Speaker 2: and I think there's gonna be a lot less of
- 1:25:28Speaker 2: a card that day, although I think there is a
- 1:25:31Speaker 2: college football game usually now in Thanksgiving, I think, but
- 1:25:33Speaker 2: maybe we'll talk about it. Then we'll see one of
- 1:25:37Speaker 2: the lighter days we'll do it, which hopefully you're coming
- 1:25:40Speaker 2: up soon. The answer is yes, although not the escroll escaroli,
- 1:25:47Speaker 2: soup finoccio, salad, pinocchio, what ravioli.
- 1:25:53Speaker 1: Yes, I mean, but usually it's not any of those.
- 1:25:56Speaker 2: And so when we we do do that, it's it's
- 1:26:01Speaker 2: a double Thanksgiving because the main Thanksgiving that we do
- 1:26:04Speaker 2: tends to be with my dad's side of the villa,
- 1:26:06Speaker 2: which is not the Italian side, and that's like a
- 1:26:08Speaker 2: traditional New England Thanksgiving, which I think it's a really
- 1:26:11Speaker 2: bad rap. It gets a bad rap from people that
- 1:26:13Speaker 2: aren't from New England because man, like I don't understand
- 1:26:17Speaker 2: what like people don't like it, Like there's a reason
- 1:26:19Speaker 2: why you only eat turkey once a year a man.
- 1:26:22Speaker 1: It's because it's bad.
- 1:26:23Speaker 2: No, it's because it's difficult to repare, like it takes
- 1:26:26Speaker 2: a long time to repair it. Turkey's not bad. Turkey's
- 1:26:29Speaker 2: got a lot of flavor. So we do the traditional
- 1:26:33Speaker 2: thing we do, you know, a whole roast turkey. My
- 1:26:36Speaker 2: brother in law has been the one to do the
- 1:26:37Speaker 2: turkey the last few years.
- 1:26:40Speaker 1: Now.
- 1:26:40Speaker 2: It's it's shifted, man, because my grandmother on that side
- 1:26:43Speaker 2: used to do it. She is no longer with us
- 1:26:45Speaker 2: as of a long time ago, like since I was
- 1:26:47Speaker 2: in high school and my mom took over for a while. Now,
- 1:26:51Speaker 2: my brother in law is the dude that does the turkey.
- 1:26:53Speaker 1: Now. He does it really well, man. He knows how
- 1:26:56Speaker 1: to season it. We get the crisp skin on it too.
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: I always eat like the legs and stuff too. Uh,
- 1:27:03Speaker 1: Black Santa Claus, what's up my man? Although you change
- 1:27:05Speaker 1: your profile picture, what's going on? Do what the fuck
- 1:27:08Speaker 1: you want to do? I did give out Toledo.
- 1:27:11Speaker 2: You gotta follow my Instagram, man, because Toledo is already
- 1:27:14Speaker 2: in play. I did give out Rutgers as well, but
- 1:27:16Speaker 2: that's not until one pm. Rutgers plus the points is
- 1:27:19Speaker 2: the next one up. I'm gonna reiterate those at the
- 1:27:22Speaker 2: end of the show too, though, But the only one
- 1:27:24Speaker 2: is that Toledo. That so I apologize, man, that was I,
- 1:27:29Speaker 2: you know, the I didn't realize that there are gonna
- 1:27:31Speaker 2: be games this early too. So that's the one that
- 1:27:33Speaker 2: I that I gave out early, Toledo plus the three
- 1:27:36Speaker 2: or whatever.
- 1:27:39Speaker 1: As far as the Italian, I want to take too
- 1:27:40Speaker 1: long talking about this food.
- 1:27:41Speaker 2: Although yeah, so what I was gonna say is, yeah,
- 1:27:45Speaker 2: so we do the traditional Thanksgiving you know, we have
- 1:27:48Speaker 2: the yeah, roast turkey, gravy, obviously stuffing all the things. Man,
- 1:27:53Speaker 2: cranberry sauce, which we do both cranberry sauces because my
- 1:27:56Speaker 2: dad likes the canned cranberry sauce. My dad doesn't eat
- 1:27:59Speaker 2: a whole lot of things, is man. Uh my dad like, yeah,
- 1:28:02Speaker 2: I mean he his palette is so bland. Man, It's
- 1:28:06Speaker 2: it's very unfortunate.
- 1:28:07Speaker 1: It's sad. He kind of just likes he likes turkey,
- 1:28:09Speaker 1: but he just kind of likes the plane. Oh wait,
- 1:28:12Speaker 1: does he wait, does he even eat?
- 1:28:14Speaker 2: I might be getting that wrong. He might not even
- 1:28:15Speaker 2: eat turkey. I'm trying to remember he eats like some
- 1:28:18Speaker 2: plain heats, really really plain meat. Like maybe it is true.
- 1:28:22Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't even know what he does.
- 1:28:24Speaker 1: It's either turkey or chicken. I don't even know what
- 1:28:26Speaker 1: he's eating. But he's some weird outlier man. But he
- 1:28:31Speaker 1: prefers the can. I do not.
- 1:28:32Speaker 2: I disagree with you on that. I like the can
- 1:28:35Speaker 2: is gross, dude. It's like it forms into the shape
- 1:28:38Speaker 2: of the can. It's bad, like it's it's not that good.
- 1:28:43Speaker 2: A lot of it just has bad like ingredients in
- 1:28:45Speaker 2: it too. It's highly processed, absolutely not homemade.
- 1:28:49Speaker 1: Is better. You know what ingredients are getting in it
- 1:28:51Speaker 1: is way better.
- 1:28:52Speaker 2: You can you can make it like more tart, get
- 1:28:54Speaker 2: the actual cranberries in it, put some orange zest in it.
- 1:28:58Speaker 1: Really really good. I like that way better.
- 1:29:00Speaker 2: So we do both, and I usually actually eat a
- 1:29:03Speaker 2: little bit of both, but because I can't help myself,
- 1:29:05Speaker 2: I gotta eat everything.
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: And then we have mashed.
- 1:29:08Speaker 2: Potatoes of course, with the gravy. My mom usually does
- 1:29:12Speaker 2: the mashed potatoes. They're good, and then you know, like
- 1:29:16Speaker 2: like them creamy, and then we usually have depending on
- 1:29:21Speaker 2: like the other sides can kind of like rotate around
- 1:29:24Speaker 2: like you need those things, but the other stuff can
- 1:29:26Speaker 2: kind of change depending on the year, I guess. Sometimes
- 1:29:30Speaker 2: we have corn, sometimes we have carrots. Sometimes we have
- 1:29:33Speaker 2: both my sisters. Sometimes we'll do these carrots that are
- 1:29:36Speaker 2: like these like brown sugar, cinnamon carrots whatever.
- 1:29:40Speaker 1: They are really good. Actually, some like kind of sweet carrots.
- 1:29:43Speaker 1: Those are good.
- 1:29:45Speaker 2: Sometimes she and or her husband do like a like
- 1:29:49Speaker 2: a sweet potato dish with.
- 1:29:51Speaker 1: Some like cinnamon and butter in that. That's good as well.
- 1:29:54Speaker 2: Sometimes they'll do like a squash instead of that, you
- 1:29:58Speaker 2: know which that's a New England thing as well, different
- 1:30:00Speaker 2: types of squash, like the butternut squash is what you
- 1:30:03Speaker 2: want to do for the for Thanksgiving. Sometimes they'll do
- 1:30:09Speaker 2: some things with a I forget what they call it.
- 1:30:11Speaker 2: It's like this small like white pumpkin. I don't remember
- 1:30:15Speaker 2: what it is. Sometimes they use that too, and they
- 1:30:17Speaker 2: make like a almost like a squash dish out of that,
- 1:30:20Speaker 2: or sometimes they'll make like a dessert with it as well.
- 1:30:23Speaker 2: And the desserts, I mean, you gotta mix it up
- 1:30:24Speaker 2: a little bit, but you gotta have like pumpkin pie.
- 1:30:27Speaker 2: Although I'm like one of the only ones even in
- 1:30:29Speaker 2: my family, like I like pumpkin pie way more than
- 1:30:31Speaker 2: everybody else does, so I don't know. And then like
- 1:30:36Speaker 2: my dad only likes pumpkin bread and not pumpkin pie,
- 1:30:38Speaker 2: which is also odd because they're the same flavor. So
- 1:30:41Speaker 2: maybe it's just a texture thing. I don't know, but
- 1:30:43Speaker 2: you got I like the pumpkin pie. I think you
- 1:30:45Speaker 2: gotta have. We always have some apple thing, either apple
- 1:30:48Speaker 2: pie or some like apple crumble thing that my sister
- 1:30:50Speaker 2: and her brother in law might do. They do a
- 1:30:52Speaker 2: lot of the food man, Like I'm I'm not really
- 1:30:55Speaker 2: a cook. I'm like I know how to season things.
- 1:30:58Speaker 2: I can mostly just just I can mostly just help
- 1:31:00Speaker 2: about during like prep time or whatever, and of course
- 1:31:03Speaker 2: with the eating and you know, judging the food.
- 1:31:07Speaker 1: But that's like usually that's what we do. It's you know,
- 1:31:10Speaker 1: that's the thingsgiving.
- 1:31:11Speaker 2: That's usually like with my dad's side and whatever when
- 1:31:14Speaker 2: we did like the two thingsgiving just sometimes happens. I
- 1:31:17Speaker 2: don't know if it's gonna happen. Probably not happening this year,
- 1:31:19Speaker 2: but I don't know. Sometimes we do. Sometimes we don't,
- 1:31:22Speaker 2: well go to my mother's side, like either like that
- 1:31:27Speaker 2: evening even or like the next day, like depending on
- 1:31:31Speaker 2: how it all works out, and that has more Italian
- 1:31:35Speaker 2: food in it because that's the Italian side. But they
- 1:31:37Speaker 2: they usually do like a traditional thing too, with like
- 1:31:39Speaker 2: the turkey and stuff. But they usually have a bunch
- 1:31:41Speaker 2: of Italian dishes too, but it's usually like lasagna, pasta, meatballs,
- 1:31:46Speaker 2: like very standard that type of thing. Usually there's probably
- 1:31:49Speaker 2: like some I think there's usually one like dish with
- 1:31:52Speaker 2: like a white sauce, like a like an Alfreido type
- 1:31:55Speaker 2: of thing.
- 1:31:57Speaker 1: But yeah, usually it's all that was.
- 1:32:00Speaker 2: My dad a brainiac, not exactly the same as I was.
- 1:32:05Speaker 2: He was also valedictorian just like I was, although he
- 1:32:08Speaker 2: was of it was of a much smaller class. He
- 1:32:12Speaker 2: did well in school and he was very very like
- 1:32:16Speaker 2: numbers focused, kind of like I am, math like he.
- 1:32:19Speaker 2: I mean, he's an accountant, so he does a lot
- 1:32:22Speaker 2: of stuff with math and with numbers. He was always
- 1:32:25Speaker 2: like way better on that side of things, the logical
- 1:32:28Speaker 2: side of things, math, math, maybe science, I don't know, whatever,
- 1:32:33Speaker 2: I don't I don't know exactly, but my dad was.
- 1:32:36Speaker 2: He was kind of a jock though in a way
- 1:32:38Speaker 2: too though which I was not like my dad. My
- 1:32:42Speaker 2: dad played sports. My dad is tall, I'm not like
- 1:32:46Speaker 2: my dad was tall back then.
- 1:32:47Speaker 1: He hasn't. He hasn't gained that much more height.
- 1:32:49Speaker 2: He was like almost six feet tall in high school,
- 1:32:51Speaker 2: and he was a pitcher, and he just all he
- 1:32:54Speaker 2: did was go out there and throw fastballs, and he
- 1:32:56Speaker 2: threw some of the harder fastballs like in the area,
- 1:32:59Speaker 2: just because he was taller than everybody, like at that age,
- 1:33:02Speaker 2: and people just couldn't hit his fastball and they got
- 1:33:04Speaker 2: intimidated by it and by his height. Although he didn't
- 1:33:08Speaker 2: play like beyond high school, and I think he might
- 1:33:10Speaker 2: have played basketball as well. I know he was in
- 1:33:13Speaker 2: like some like he he did play basketball for a while,
- 1:33:16Speaker 2: like when I was younger, and like I think he
- 1:33:19Speaker 2: was in like was he in like a church wreck league?
- 1:33:21Speaker 2: I want to say something like that. He played a
- 1:33:23Speaker 2: little bit of basketball as well. And he wore like
- 1:33:27Speaker 2: kind of goggles too, because he wears he wears glasses,
- 1:33:30Speaker 2: so he had like ones, like if I remember correctly,
- 1:33:33Speaker 2: he had ones with like at least he had like
- 1:33:34Speaker 2: a strap so that they would have fallen off of
- 1:33:36Speaker 2: his head.
- 1:33:39Speaker 1: Playing basketball. So he was not exactly like me I was.
- 1:33:44Speaker 2: I was actually better at the social aspect of high
- 1:33:48Speaker 2: school than he was, I would say, so, yeah, I
- 1:33:53Speaker 2: don't know what else to say about that, But I
- 1:33:54Speaker 2: was kind of a social camelle and I hung out
- 1:33:57Speaker 2: with a lot of different crowds, you know, in the
- 1:34:00Speaker 2: music I was in the music space, which he was not,
- 1:34:04Speaker 2: So I was a singer, and then I hung out
- 1:34:06Speaker 2: with the band people a lot. And I also was
- 1:34:08Speaker 2: in bands, the garage bands and stuff. So some of
- 1:34:11Speaker 2: the guys in the Marching Band were in those bands
- 1:34:14Speaker 2: with me. So I hung out with the Marching Band
- 1:34:15Speaker 2: through them. A lot of those guys were in some
- 1:34:17Speaker 2: of my classes as well. I don't know, I kind
- 1:34:20Speaker 2: of knew everybody I hung out with. The band geeks
- 1:34:22Speaker 2: we hung out with, you know, I hung out with
- 1:34:24Speaker 2: some of.
- 1:34:25Speaker 1: The people that were in my classes.
- 1:34:26Speaker 2: But I also, you know, could definitely get along with
- 1:34:28Speaker 2: some of the I don't know, like the outcast types
- 1:34:32Speaker 2: that were listening to like grunge and stuff like that
- 1:34:35Speaker 2: back in the day and whatever. That was more of
- 1:34:37Speaker 2: the more elementary school for me. But it's like I
- 1:34:40Speaker 2: got along with those people too for whatever reason. I
- 1:34:42Speaker 2: guess it was more emo goth getting into high school
- 1:34:45Speaker 2: a little bit. But yeah, you know what, I mean,
- 1:34:51Speaker 2: what are we talking about, A deep pop.
- 1:34:55Speaker 1: I don't know what we're talking about. What does that
- 1:34:56Speaker 1: even mean. Dad's father was pretty harsh.
- 1:35:01Speaker 2: I mean, my my grandfather on that side, he was
- 1:35:06Speaker 2: he was in the military, although he was a mechanic
- 1:35:08Speaker 2: in the Korean War, I believe, I believe he was
- 1:35:12Speaker 2: stationed in the Philippines for quite a bit, but he
- 1:35:14Speaker 2: was and he was like a farm boy, like a farmer,
- 1:35:18Speaker 2: although when he grew up he was a mechanic though,
- 1:35:20Speaker 2: like even after he was in the my dad's father,
- 1:35:23Speaker 2: I'm talking about, like after he was after he was
- 1:35:27Speaker 2: out of the military and whatever, he was a mechanic
- 1:35:29Speaker 2: for like the rest of his life. But a garage
- 1:35:32Speaker 2: door at the like garage that he worked at as
- 1:35:36Speaker 2: like a car mechanic, like fell on his back. So
- 1:35:39Speaker 2: he broke his back with a garage door falling on him.
- 1:35:41Speaker 2: And he also ruptured his spleen falling on like a
- 1:35:46Speaker 2: I don't know, some jagged piece of like a junked
- 1:35:49Speaker 2: vehicle or something and impaled his spleen.
- 1:35:52Speaker 1: So then he lived the rest of his life without
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: a spleen.
- 1:35:54Speaker 2: It's crazy, yeah, it's I mean, this is all crazy stuff, dude,
- 1:35:58Speaker 2: my dad's father. And then after that he's still like
- 1:36:01Speaker 2: he was a mechanic for like the.
- 1:36:03Speaker 1: Entire time that I knew him.
- 1:36:04Speaker 2: He he would mostly fix like lawnmowers and stuff like that,
- 1:36:08Speaker 2: but that was kind of his He became like the
- 1:36:09Speaker 2: lawnmower Man, not.
- 1:36:12Speaker 1: The movie, but that that was like his thing.
- 1:36:16Speaker 2: Yeah, and then and you know, he had like a
- 1:36:19Speaker 2: bunch of hard issues, which eventually is what got him,
- 1:36:22Speaker 2: unless it was his second wife who had.
- 1:36:24Speaker 1: A string of all of her husband's die.
- 1:36:26Speaker 2: So I don't know, maybe there's something suspicious about that
- 1:36:28Speaker 2: because she was evil and like basically wound up taking
- 1:36:32Speaker 2: all of his money, although he didn't have much, I mean,
- 1:36:34Speaker 2: very modesty lifestyle, but uh yeah, I mean he basically
- 1:36:39Speaker 2: was fixing like lawnmowers, like basically up until he pretty
- 1:36:42Speaker 2: pretty much up until the end of his life. He
- 1:36:44Speaker 2: lived like into his eighties. So yeah, your dad's a mechanic.
- 1:36:49Speaker 2: Hell yeah, hell yeah.
- 1:36:51Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:36:52Speaker 2: All right, let's finish this off, man, I don't want
- 1:36:54Speaker 2: this video to go that long. We have more college
- 1:36:58Speaker 2: basketball here. I have a couple of games to talk
- 1:37:00Speaker 2: about still here in these late games we'll talk about
- 1:37:05Speaker 2: well we do have you know, the Maui stuff. Shamanad
- 1:37:08Speaker 2: is hosting all this crap. I don't know if I
- 1:37:10Speaker 2: have a whole lot to say about the rest of
- 1:37:11Speaker 2: those games, but I'm gonna give out a play.
- 1:37:13Speaker 1: Gonzaga Alabama. Let's do this. We're gonna lay the four
- 1:37:16Speaker 1: with Gonzaga.
- 1:37:17Speaker 2: So I'll give you some action in I'll give you
- 1:37:20Speaker 2: some action in a couple of these big Vegas games late.
- 1:37:23Speaker 1: Night for you. This one's on TNT.
- 1:37:25Speaker 2: Of course, right away you see that we have the
- 1:37:27Speaker 2: lesser ranked team, Gonzaga, thirteenth in the country, favored over
- 1:37:31Speaker 2: number eleven Alabama. So the ospeakers are telling you Gonzaga
- 1:37:35Speaker 2: is actually not the lesser team than Alabama. Oh, this
- 1:37:38Speaker 2: is probably also a venue that is better for Gonzaga
- 1:37:41Speaker 2: because they're a West Coast team, so Alabama's having to
- 1:37:44Speaker 2: go out there, which is also not good for Alabama,
- 1:37:47Speaker 2: which I'll talk about in a minute. That is part
- 1:37:49Speaker 2: of the handicap Alabama. Ken baumasim it's seventeenth in the country.
- 1:37:56Speaker 2: Both of these teams are very fast tempo, especially alib Obama,
- 1:38:00Speaker 2: but Gonzaga pretty much right behind them. So this is
- 1:38:03Speaker 2: gonna be a fast paced game. So I wouldn't disagree
- 1:38:06Speaker 2: with an over in this game either. But the totals
- 1:38:09Speaker 2: up to one hundred and seventy seven and a half,
- 1:38:12Speaker 2: but it looks so high that it's like nobody's gonna
- 1:38:14Speaker 2: want to play that.
- 1:38:15Speaker 1: But I still probably would lean over in this game.
- 1:38:17Speaker 2: But I like the Gonzaga side because I don't do
- 1:38:20Speaker 2: much with totals up from three and a half to
- 1:38:22Speaker 2: four and a half now, so you probably have to
- 1:38:24Speaker 2: get on that sooner. Alabama looks public sixty nine percent
- 1:38:28Speaker 2: of tickets. I think they're gonna be a public underdog
- 1:38:30Speaker 2: by the time the game tips off, even though right
- 1:38:33Speaker 2: now he sees seventy.
- 1:38:33Speaker 1: Five percent of the cash on them.
- 1:38:35Speaker 2: I don't know if that's gonna wind up still being
- 1:38:36Speaker 2: the case by the time the game goes off. Ken
- 1:38:38Speaker 2: Bum's got Gonzaga, legit, dude, Like he said them in
- 1:38:41Speaker 2: the top five like all season, and they're in the
- 1:38:44Speaker 2: top they're number three right now. They're the much better
- 1:38:47Speaker 2: defense as well, so Gonzaga. They can match Alabama offensively
- 1:38:51Speaker 2: pretty much, both teams in the top ten and ken
- 1:38:53Speaker 2: Bum's offensive efficiency rankings. But he's got Gonzaga fift defensively
- 1:38:58Speaker 2: as well, which is not something I'm used to seeing,
- 1:39:01Speaker 2: and Alabama thirty seventh, which.
- 1:39:04Speaker 1: Is something I'm more used to seeing.
- 1:39:06Speaker 2: So ken Bum's got some things that are basically telling you,
- 1:39:10Speaker 2: you know that Gonzaga is the more well rounded team
- 1:39:14Speaker 2: right now. And I think the spot is not that
- 1:39:16Speaker 2: good for Alabama, even though yes they're battle tested, but
- 1:39:20Speaker 2: you can be battle tested, but if it means you're
- 1:39:22Speaker 2: coming off a huge string of games like this, that's
- 1:39:26Speaker 2: not that great.
- 1:39:26Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:39:27Speaker 2: They played Saint John's, they won that game at Saint
- 1:39:29Speaker 2: John's or in Madison Square, Garden came back and lost
- 1:39:32Speaker 2: to Purdue. I gave up Purdue as a winner in
- 1:39:35Speaker 2: that one. That was Alabama at home against Purdue as well,
- 1:39:39Speaker 2: and then Alabama had to face Illinois up in Illinois
- 1:39:43Speaker 2: in Chicago, and Illinois was not able to get it
- 1:39:46Speaker 2: done for us on the show. So I thought Alabama
- 1:39:48Speaker 2: was gonna run into it there because they were coming
- 1:39:50Speaker 2: off a big game. But now they're coming off multiple
- 1:39:52Speaker 2: big games and now having to travel to the Pacific
- 1:39:54Speaker 2: Coast for the first time, I think there is going
- 1:39:56Speaker 2: to be a bigger Gonzaga contingent out there in that
- 1:39:59Speaker 2: game because of the location.
- 1:40:02Speaker 1: So I don't like it.
- 1:40:03Speaker 2: Man, Alabama coming up that string of big games, and
- 1:40:06Speaker 2: Gonzaga is actually as Keno has. Ken Bum has Gonzaga
- 1:40:09Speaker 2: ranked I think better than well, definitely better than Saint John's.
- 1:40:13Speaker 2: He has them better than Illinois too, and the best
- 1:40:16Speaker 2: team the only team that ken Bum has ranked better
- 1:40:19Speaker 2: than Gonzaga is Perdue and that's the team that Alabama
- 1:40:22Speaker 2: lost to. So when Alabama's played these absolute upperrational on teams,
- 1:40:26Speaker 2: although I know they beat Illinois, who's not far behind
- 1:40:28Speaker 2: them there and not far behind those are the teams there,
- 1:40:30Speaker 2: but still they haven't fared that well. And for Gonzaga,
- 1:40:34Speaker 2: easier spot for them. I know they're not as battle
- 1:40:36Speaker 2: test that I get it. Gonzaga did crush Oklahoma and
- 1:40:40Speaker 2: Creighton at home. Those are their big wins in a
- 1:40:42Speaker 2: tough spot. They went down to Arizona State and still
- 1:40:44Speaker 2: won that game by double digits, so that's pretty good
- 1:40:47Speaker 2: for them. And then they off of that, they scored
- 1:40:50Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty two points against an awful Southern
- 1:40:53Speaker 2: Utah team, and that's what they're coming off of. And
- 1:40:55Speaker 2: normally I'm not gonna want to play on a team
- 1:40:57Speaker 2: it's scored one hundred and twenty two points. But I
- 1:41:00Speaker 2: just think it sets up a lot better for the
- 1:41:02Speaker 2: Zags here.
- 1:41:02Speaker 1: Man. I know they've had a week off.
- 1:41:04Speaker 2: So you could argue they're gonna it's gonna disrupt their momentum,
- 1:41:07Speaker 2: but I think they're gonna show up for this game
- 1:41:09Speaker 2: against Alabama.
- 1:41:10Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:41:11Speaker 2: And yeah Alabama again, I know they played a little
- 1:41:13Speaker 2: bit more recently, but they've still had almost as many
- 1:41:15Speaker 2: days off. So yeah, Gonzaga is the play in that one.
- 1:41:19Speaker 2: All right, then we do have Denver and Arizona. I
- 1:41:25Speaker 2: called it, dude, with Denver, I should have getten out
- 1:41:26Speaker 2: of given it out as a play. Denver upset Colorado
- 1:41:30Speaker 2: State in their last game, and that was a big
- 1:41:31Speaker 2: game for Denver, upsetting one of the bigger brothers in
- 1:41:34Speaker 2: the state of Colorado, beat in Colorado.
- 1:41:36Speaker 1: State on the road.
- 1:41:37Speaker 2: I don't know they're gonna have much left in the
- 1:41:39Speaker 2: tank man here against Arizona, even though yes, it is
- 1:41:41Speaker 2: a big game. It is their biggest game on the
- 1:41:44Speaker 2: schedule as far as how good their opponent is. But
- 1:41:47Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be up against it here man
- 1:41:49Speaker 2: in the Wildcat Classics, So this is gonna be Arizona.
- 1:41:52Speaker 2: I believe hosting this thing. The problem that I have
- 1:41:55Speaker 2: with Arizona though, of course, is that Arizona could be
- 1:41:58Speaker 2: in a letdown spot too, because they're two huge wins
- 1:42:01Speaker 2: against UCLA and then going to Stores, Connecticut to Yukon's
- 1:42:05Speaker 2: actual home arena, the most difficult arena to play in
- 1:42:09Speaker 2: amongst Yukon's arenas there, and Arizona pull off the outright
- 1:42:13Speaker 2: upset there over Yukon. So it's a bad spot for Arizona, man,
- 1:42:17Speaker 2: and I'm having to come back out west from that.
- 1:42:20Speaker 2: I mean, it's an awful spot for both teams. So
- 1:42:23Speaker 2: there's no way that I could do anything with the game.
- 1:42:26Speaker 2: I would actually probably kind of prefer the over Toledo's
- 1:42:29Speaker 2: up right now, man, so hopefully they continue to do that.
- 1:42:33Speaker 2: Arizona's got eighty percent of tickets, nine and nine percent
- 1:42:36Speaker 2: of the cash on them right now, they're up to
- 1:42:37Speaker 2: thirty three and a half. I mean, I don't love
- 1:42:39Speaker 2: the side either way. I mean in this game. I mean,
- 1:42:42Speaker 2: because Arizona probably just has bigger things on the horizon,
- 1:42:45Speaker 2: and they're coming off such a big win over Yukon,
- 1:42:48Speaker 2: probably taking the points with Denver still makes sense, even
- 1:42:50Speaker 2: though they're coming off a huge win themselves, but I
- 1:42:53Speaker 2: actually prefer the over.
- 1:42:54Speaker 1: Even though the total is down from my one eight
- 1:42:56Speaker 1: and a half to one to fifty three and a half.
- 1:42:58Speaker 2: Arizona does still play fast man, and with both teams
- 1:43:01Speaker 2: coming off huge performances, you might see some defensive lapses
- 1:43:05Speaker 2: in that game and maybe some easy like transition buckets
- 1:43:09Speaker 2: off of turnovers because the team's lack focus and whatever.
- 1:43:13Speaker 1: So that's kind of what I see in that game.
- 1:43:18Speaker 2: You got the win with Denver, Hell yeah, I did
- 1:43:20Speaker 2: not make that one of my strongest opinions. Though last game,
- 1:43:26Speaker 2: we're gonna give out a play here on San Diego
- 1:43:28Speaker 2: State plus the seven against Michigan. Michigan ranks seventh in
- 1:43:32Speaker 2: the country. It's gonna look pretty easy to lay those
- 1:43:34Speaker 2: points with Michigan, man, but.
- 1:43:36Speaker 1: I do not agree with it.
- 1:43:38Speaker 2: Michigan's already down to five and a half, so again
- 1:43:40Speaker 2: I apologize. Man, the seven was out there this morning,
- 1:43:44Speaker 2: I would still probably do it, even though seven is key.
- 1:43:46Speaker 2: We got a low total at here, sixty three take
- 1:43:53Speaker 2: a sixty nine percent of the cash on San Diego State.
- 1:43:54Speaker 2: I'm hoping that the line comes back up a little
- 1:43:57Speaker 2: bit so you can get a better line on San
- 1:44:00Speaker 2: Diego State before the game tips off, and I would
- 1:44:02Speaker 2: still probably do You can probably still get about six
- 1:44:05Speaker 2: on this right now, so i'd probably still do that.
- 1:44:09Speaker 2: I don't like the spot for Michigan, and plus it's
- 1:44:11Speaker 2: a low total, and we know San Diego State they
- 1:44:14Speaker 2: like to play slow and focus on defense and grind you.
- 1:44:17Speaker 2: Even though ken Bum has them, you know, not great
- 1:44:19Speaker 2: at forty second in the country, but he's got them
- 1:44:22Speaker 2: eighteenth defensively and low tembull like they usually are in
- 1:44:25Speaker 2: one of the least lucky teams in the country at
- 1:44:28Speaker 2: three point fifty six. So he has them bottom ten
- 1:44:30Speaker 2: in luck right now, which means that San Diego State
- 1:44:33Speaker 2: is underperforming right now.
- 1:44:36Speaker 1: So I like all that.
- 1:44:37Speaker 2: And again that's a good team. Like that's a good
- 1:44:41Speaker 2: spot to take a team. You want to take a
- 1:44:42Speaker 2: team that profiles like that as an underdog, slow paced,
- 1:44:45Speaker 2: defense oriented. They're coming up that game against Troy where
- 1:44:49Speaker 2: they lost the game in double overtime, ugly loss for
- 1:44:52Speaker 2: San Diego State, man inexplicable loss to the huge favorite.
- 1:44:56Speaker 2: Maybe they weren't paying attention, maybe they were already looking
- 1:44:58Speaker 2: ahead to this, but I think this that's up a
- 1:45:00Speaker 2: nice spot for them to bounce back. They've had almost
- 1:45:02Speaker 2: a week off, so the extra overtimes they're probably shouldn't
- 1:45:07Speaker 2: affect them that much.
- 1:45:08Speaker 1: So I like them here Man for Michigan, Michigan coming
- 1:45:13Speaker 1: into this one. Michigan.
- 1:45:14Speaker 2: I know they're coming off a pretty easy win over
- 1:45:15Speaker 2: Middle Tennessee, but Michigan, they happen to go up to
- 1:45:18Speaker 2: the Pacific time zone for the first time, and they
- 1:45:22Speaker 2: just haven't been good stepping up in class so far.
- 1:45:24Speaker 2: Man wake Forest took them to overtime in wherever the
- 1:45:28Speaker 2: hell this game was.
- 1:45:29Speaker 1: Where was it?
- 1:45:30Speaker 2: It was in Detroit, so it was like a semi
- 1:45:32Speaker 2: home game from Michigan, and they almost lost. And then
- 1:45:35Speaker 2: they went down to TCU the only time that Michigan
- 1:45:38Speaker 2: has really left I think the only time they've left
- 1:45:40Speaker 2: the state of Michigan, or it had up until that point,
- 1:45:43Speaker 2: and they almost lost to TCU as well, barely getting
- 1:45:46Speaker 2: by them. Then they did bounce back nicely against Middle
- 1:45:49Speaker 2: Tennessee Shore. This was in ann Arboro, though, so Michigan.
- 1:45:53Speaker 1: Again, this is gonna be the only the second time.
- 1:45:55Speaker 2: They've left the state of Michigan, and the other time
- 1:45:58Speaker 2: they did they certainly did not cover so they have
- 1:46:00Speaker 2: not stepped up well in class man.
- 1:46:02Speaker 1: So I like San Diego State in this one. Ken
- 1:46:05Speaker 1: Bum doesn't.
- 1:46:06Speaker 2: Michigan is a faster paced team at fifty second, but
- 1:46:08Speaker 2: he has them way high in the Luck Index, so
- 1:46:11Speaker 2: a huge luck disparity here. Sixteenth in the country in luck,
- 1:46:15Speaker 2: so they're expected to regress a little bit, like they
- 1:46:17Speaker 2: have not been playing as well as their record looks
- 1:46:19Speaker 2: is basically what that tells you. They're also sixth defensively,
- 1:46:23Speaker 2: so they play really good defense, but they're only forty
- 1:46:26Speaker 2: third offensively, so they're offensively they're not as good, so
- 1:46:30Speaker 2: that makes them less likely to blow an opponent out,
- 1:46:33Speaker 2: which we've seen has been the case so far. They've
- 1:46:36Speaker 2: played some fairly low scoring games. Remember they haven't covered
- 1:46:38Speaker 2: his big favorites, so again, it's gonna be a defensive battle,
- 1:46:43Speaker 2: defensive oriented game. I think San Diego State is gonna
- 1:46:47Speaker 2: have more of the ability to slow this thing down.
- 1:46:49Speaker 2: And again it's in Las Vegas, so I think San
- 1:46:51Speaker 2: Diego State's gonna have more of a contingent showing up there,
- 1:46:54Speaker 2: coming up from southern California, and it's in their time zone,
- 1:46:58Speaker 2: so it's a lot easier for them to to make
- 1:47:00Speaker 2: that travel. So San Diego State plus the points, that's
- 1:47:04Speaker 2: it for college basketball. Finally, as far as my play is,
- 1:47:07Speaker 2: I don't know if I was going to talk about
- 1:47:08Speaker 2: any of the other games this man, this video's taken
- 1:47:12Speaker 2: a while. What else do we have to finish it off?
- 1:47:16Speaker 2: We do have Arizona State in Texas. I mean, that's
- 1:47:18Speaker 2: a pretty big game on ESPN two in Maui, So
- 1:47:22Speaker 2: these teams are having to go out to Maui. However,
- 1:47:25Speaker 2: it's interesting because Texas they're coming off some easy ones.
- 1:47:29Speaker 2: They've had an easy schedule, except they lost to Duke
- 1:47:31Speaker 2: in their opener, but other than that they faced a
- 1:47:33Speaker 2: bunch of cupcakes.
- 1:47:34Speaker 1: Now they're having to go out to Hawaii.
- 1:47:36Speaker 2: I don't love it for Texas here because the thing
- 1:47:38Speaker 2: about Arizona State right now is Arizona State already played
- 1:47:42Speaker 2: at Hawaii, so they're already in Hawaii, although it's not
- 1:47:45Speaker 2: the same arena because this is in Maui, so this
- 1:47:47Speaker 2: is gonna be on a different island. This is in
- 1:47:50Speaker 2: this is at Shamanad, But they already played in Hawaii,
- 1:47:55Speaker 2: which is in the Honolulu I think on Oahu. Yeah,
- 1:47:59Speaker 2: they're already in the in the Hawaiian Times on it
- 1:48:02Speaker 2: already in Hawaii, so they're just they're just you know,
- 1:48:05Speaker 2: traveling to another Hawaiian island here. So I think it
- 1:48:08Speaker 2: sets up a lot better for Arizona State since they're
- 1:48:10Speaker 2: already out there. So I prefer Arizona State in that one.
- 1:48:14Speaker 2: I thought that was just a weird situation there, that
- 1:48:17Speaker 2: Arizona State was already in the other Hawaii tournament and
- 1:48:20Speaker 2: now they're just staying out there because they're playing in both.
- 1:48:23Speaker 2: Texas is seven point favorite, fifty seven percent of tickets,
- 1:48:25Speaker 2: ninety one percent of the cash on them. But I
- 1:48:27Speaker 2: would take the points with Arizona State there as far as.
- 1:48:32Speaker 1: Texas is concerned.
- 1:48:32Speaker 2: They're also kind of a slower paced defensive team. So,
- 1:48:36Speaker 2: and then UNLV is playing Maryland out there in Las Vegas.
- 1:48:39Speaker 2: It's not at UNLV's whole Marina, the Thomas and Mack,
- 1:48:42Speaker 2: but they're still in their own city, so it's a
- 1:48:45Speaker 2: semi home for UNLV, so they obviously have a bit
- 1:48:48Speaker 2: of an advantage there. And Maryland is having to go
- 1:48:51Speaker 2: out to the Pacific, Oh, so that's not easy. And
- 1:48:54Speaker 2: they're gonna play Gonzaga tomorrow. That's not easy either. I
- 1:48:58Speaker 2: know Maryland's coming up that game against Mounts Saint Mary's
- 1:49:00Speaker 2: where they almost lost, and I thought Maryland might actually
- 1:49:03Speaker 2: step it up in that game.
- 1:49:04Speaker 1: SOB got that one right. I agreed with Sob.
- 1:49:07Speaker 2: I just didn't think it was strong enough because Maryland
- 1:49:09Speaker 2: lost their best player to injury against Marquette, so I
- 1:49:12Speaker 2: thought it was an injured player spot for them. Thought
- 1:49:15Speaker 2: that might cause them to step up their game a
- 1:49:17Speaker 2: little bit. They almost lost, so in a way, you
- 1:49:20Speaker 2: could argue it's gonna be a bounce back for them here.
- 1:49:22Speaker 2: I think the injured player spot will now come in
- 1:49:24Speaker 2: this game, but I just I can't see it, man.
- 1:49:28Speaker 2: I mean they're going to the Pacific Coast time or
- 1:49:30Speaker 2: Pacific time zone excuse again. Like I said, bigger game
- 1:49:33Speaker 2: up after this too. It's gonna be difficult for them.
- 1:49:36Speaker 2: I mean, they haven't gone further west than Marquette so far,
- 1:49:39Speaker 2: even though they did pull off the upset in that one.
- 1:49:41Speaker 2: That was back when they still had their best player.
- 1:49:43Speaker 2: UNLV literally just staying in their own city.
- 1:49:46Speaker 1: It's a lot.
- 1:49:47Speaker 2: I think the spot is a lot better for UNLV.
- 1:49:50Speaker 2: Maryland is public sevent tickets, eighty seven percent of the
- 1:49:53Speaker 2: cash up from two to two with Juice, but I
- 1:49:56Speaker 2: would probably take the points in that one with UNLV.
- 1:50:01Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the rest of the stuff. Here,
- 1:50:03Speaker 1: we got hockey.
- 1:50:04Speaker 2: I'm gonna give out two hockey plays here. Toledo with
- 1:50:07Speaker 2: the lead right now still, so let's keep it going, baby,
- 1:50:13Speaker 2: I apologize, you know that I do this show not
- 1:50:15Speaker 2: early enough. Well, I gave it up before the I
- 1:50:18Speaker 2: give up that play on Instagram before I started the show,
- 1:50:20Speaker 2: and before the and on this show before the game
- 1:50:25Speaker 2: started at least, So follow me on Instagram, learn a
- 1:50:27Speaker 2: tone on Instagram. NHL Philadelphia at Tampa Bay is the
- 1:50:33Speaker 2: first game up. Philadelphia coming off a win over New Jersey.
- 1:50:37Speaker 2: I mean, that's a big game Philadelphia, New Jersey. They
- 1:50:39Speaker 2: have that fan base that's kind of split in the
- 1:50:42Speaker 2: state of New Jersey.
- 1:50:43Speaker 1: That's a big win for them in New Jersey's been good.
- 1:50:45Speaker 2: Could be a bit of a letdown spot here going
- 1:50:47Speaker 2: to Tampa Bay and they do have to face Florida next,
- 1:50:50Speaker 2: so not really an ideal spot for Philadelphia. They might
- 1:50:53Speaker 2: look ahead to the back to back returning champs Florida's
- 1:50:57Speaker 2: coming off or excuse me, is this Florida.
- 1:50:58Speaker 1: No, this is not Florida. This is not Ta Bay.
- 1:51:00Speaker 1: What am I saying?
- 1:51:01Speaker 2: Florida is playing as well tonight? But I'll get to
- 1:51:03Speaker 2: that in a minute. Tampa Bay coming off beating Washington
- 1:51:07Speaker 2: and Edmonton and New Jersey though, so they're coming off
- 1:51:10Speaker 2: a slew of wins, like three big wins in a row.
- 1:51:13Speaker 2: So I don't really love Tampa Bay here either. Money
- 1:51:17Speaker 2: is disagreeing with Tampa Bay. Eight and a half percent
- 1:51:20Speaker 2: of tickets, only fifty percent of the cash on Tampa.
- 1:51:22Speaker 2: They're down for minus one seventy five to minus one
- 1:51:24Speaker 2: seventy three. I still kind of prefer Tampa Bay in
- 1:51:27Speaker 2: this game, but there's no way that I want to
- 1:51:29Speaker 2: give that out as a play with the market read
- 1:51:31Speaker 2: looking totally opposite it. I mean, I know sometimes I
- 1:51:34Speaker 2: will just fade the market, but I'm not gonna do
- 1:51:37Speaker 2: it there.
- 1:51:39Speaker 1: Detroit at New Jersey.
- 1:51:41Speaker 2: Detroit, they're coming off of being Columbus in overtime and
- 1:51:45Speaker 2: now they're going one game road trip to New Jersey.
- 1:51:48Speaker 1: But I expect them to be focused.
- 1:51:50Speaker 2: For a game against a really good New Jersey team
- 1:51:52Speaker 2: on New Jersey. Don't know what the Hue situation is
- 1:51:56Speaker 2: like what's his injury update. I don't even know, Like
- 1:52:03Speaker 2: even when he's coming back, I have no idea. But
- 1:52:05Speaker 2: he hasn't come back yet. Obviously, I think he's gonna
- 1:52:07Speaker 2: be out for a while.
- 1:52:08Speaker 1: So New Jersey's.
- 1:52:09Speaker 2: Playing without him, and they haven't been as good without him,
- 1:52:12Speaker 2: that's for sure. So I guess there is something to
- 1:52:14Speaker 2: be said for that. When it's your best player was injured,
- 1:52:18Speaker 2: maybe it does have an effect. And New Jersey's lost
- 1:52:21Speaker 2: three games in a row. They've lost every game but one.
- 1:52:23Speaker 2: They won in that like injured player spot ish, if
- 1:52:26Speaker 2: you want to call it. That the first game without him.
- 1:52:28Speaker 2: They've lost every game since then, but they were all
- 1:52:30Speaker 2: on the road Tampa Bay, Florida. Those are not bad teams,
- 1:52:33Speaker 2: and they didn't get crushed by Philadelphia.
- 1:52:35Speaker 1: In that last game.
- 1:52:36Speaker 2: But now New Jersey's were turning on from a road trip.
- 1:52:38Speaker 2: So that is a bad spot. I keep talking about that, Oh, teams,
- 1:52:42Speaker 2: when they were turning on from road trips, they've been
- 1:52:44Speaker 2: away for a while. In this case, they've been away
- 1:52:46Speaker 2: since November twelve. They lost Hughes during the road trip.
- 1:52:50Speaker 2: Sometimes they just have a bad game coming back home.
- 1:52:52Speaker 1: Man, Maybe the.
- 1:52:53Speaker 2: Focus because it is Detroit, and Detroit's been good, so
- 1:52:57Speaker 2: that is kind of my one issue with maybe want
- 1:53:00Speaker 2: to do a fade New Jersey here. I think it
- 1:53:03Speaker 2: might be a focused spot for Detroit though, So I
- 1:53:07Speaker 2: kind of like Detroit in that one. But the money
- 1:53:09Speaker 2: is saying otherwise. New Jersey's down for minus one forty
- 1:53:11Speaker 2: five to minus one thirty two.
- 1:53:14Speaker 1: Uh, but Detroit seventy.
- 1:53:15Speaker 2: Percent of tickets, fifty three percent of the cash on
- 1:53:17Speaker 2: them a little because the money did move against New Jersey,
- 1:53:20Speaker 2: the money line did. Maybe those percentages are not accurate
- 1:53:23Speaker 2: right now because I would lean to Detroit in this one.
- 1:53:27Speaker 2: I would take them as the underdog in the New
- 1:53:29Speaker 2: Jersey return home spot there and maybe coming back home
- 1:53:32Speaker 2: for the first time without Hughes, maybe they're a bit
- 1:53:34Speaker 2: deflated there because teams, I mean, professional betters think teams
- 1:53:37Speaker 2: will bounce back when they come back home, but a
- 1:53:40Speaker 2: lot of times that is not the case. Like the
- 1:53:42Speaker 2: return home spot is difficult. Although New Jersey is.
- 1:53:45Speaker 1: Seven oho to one at home.
- 1:53:46Speaker 2: So I don't know if I am, you know, like
- 1:53:50Speaker 2: really jumping out of my seat to fade that. You
- 1:53:53Speaker 2: know what I will do though, which I forgot to
- 1:53:55Speaker 2: talk I forgot to bring out the graphic for the.
- 1:53:57Speaker 1: Best bets segment.
- 1:54:00Speaker 2: We're gonna play the same team that treated us well
- 1:54:02Speaker 2: the other day, and let me get this into the
- 1:54:04Speaker 2: system here.
- 1:54:04Speaker 1: Let me see what the number is that I have
- 1:54:06Speaker 1: on it.
- 1:54:07Speaker 2: You already know what it is, based on me saying
- 1:54:08Speaker 2: that it's gonna be Saint Louis plus one twenty. We're
- 1:54:14Speaker 2: gonna go with it. We're gonna take the Blues. This
- 1:54:18Speaker 2: is my favorite play of it. And of course I'm
- 1:54:20Speaker 2: fading the Rangers in Madison Square Garden. Of course i am.
- 1:54:23Speaker 2: This is my favorite of the day, probably in hockey.
- 1:54:27Speaker 2: The Rangers, they're returning over from a road trip.
- 1:54:30Speaker 1: I know it was a.
- 1:54:31Speaker 2: Shorter road trip, if you want to call it that,
- 1:54:33Speaker 2: duration wise it was, but they went out to the
- 1:54:35Speaker 2: Pacific times on to Vegas, and then they went into Elevation, Colorado, Utah,
- 1:54:39Speaker 2: New York. The Rangers, the road Warriors, did lose all
- 1:54:42Speaker 2: three of those games, though you know they've been better
- 1:54:44Speaker 2: on the road. Those are difficult games, man, And now
- 1:54:47Speaker 2: they're coming back home. I think the public is gonna
- 1:54:49Speaker 2: think they're gonna bounce back at home. But as we've
- 1:54:52Speaker 2: pointed out, many times on the show. The Rangers are
- 1:54:54Speaker 2: atrocious at home. One seven and one at home, and
- 1:54:58Speaker 2: they've had I think five games would have been shut
- 1:55:00Speaker 2: out at home, which is just ridiculous. They've been awful
- 1:55:03Speaker 2: at home, But they also have a look ahead, I
- 1:55:08Speaker 2: think to Carolina coming out of Max and Carolina did
- 1:55:11Speaker 2: beat them at home in one of those shutouts, which
- 1:55:13Speaker 2: is a win for us here on the show.
- 1:55:14Speaker 1: Carolina beat them three to nothing back on.
- 1:55:18Speaker 2: Whatever day that was November fourth, So that Carolina game
- 1:55:22Speaker 2: a little bit more incentive maybe for New York.
- 1:55:25Speaker 1: In that game, it's gonna be back out.
- 1:55:26Speaker 2: On the road too, so they get to go on
- 1:55:28Speaker 2: the road and they get a chance at road revenge.
- 1:55:30Speaker 2: And that makes this home returns not even worse because
- 1:55:33Speaker 2: I talk about how it's a distraction when you come
- 1:55:35Speaker 2: home because you have to get back to family life
- 1:55:37Speaker 2: and whatever. But they have to leave immediately and play
- 1:55:39Speaker 2: that big game against Carolina.
- 1:55:41Speaker 1: So I think they're gonna overlook Saint Louis here. Man.
- 1:55:44Speaker 2: I like Saint Louis here. Saint Louis They're still under
- 1:55:47Speaker 2: the radar, I think because they're underperforming to start the
- 1:55:50Speaker 2: year and they just had a nice win for us
- 1:55:51Speaker 2: on the show and broke that long lost streak, you know,
- 1:55:56Speaker 2: so it's gonna disrupt their losing momentum. But not only that,
- 1:55:59Speaker 2: but they played at the Islanders, so the travel spot
- 1:56:01Speaker 2: is way better for Saint Louis. Even though it's towards
- 1:56:04Speaker 2: the end of a road trip here, they're staying in
- 1:56:06Speaker 2: New York with a day off, so they're just they're
- 1:56:09Speaker 2: just switching burrows here basically from Queens to Manhattan, so
- 1:56:13Speaker 2: it's an easy travel spot in New York. Now the
- 1:56:16Speaker 2: Rangers are coming back from Utah, so with the same
- 1:56:20Speaker 2: amount of days off, So the travel spot is way
- 1:56:22Speaker 2: better for Saint Louis.
- 1:56:24Speaker 1: Give me Saint Louis.
- 1:56:25Speaker 2: The Rangers are very public, ninety three percent of tickets,
- 1:56:27Speaker 2: ninety four percent of the cash up from one minus
- 1:56:30Speaker 2: one forty to minus one forty two. But yeah, I'm
- 1:56:33Speaker 2: all over Saint Louis in that one. That's the best
- 1:56:35Speaker 2: of the hockey place a clowntown on Ottawa gave a
- 1:56:44Speaker 2: clowntown in Yahoo gave out Ottawa. I have no idea
- 1:56:46Speaker 2: who Quinn Allen is. I mean, I don't disagree with
- 1:56:50Speaker 2: Ottawa in that game.
- 1:56:51Speaker 1: I don't think.
- 1:56:53Speaker 2: Panthers facing former coach. How long has that coach been
- 1:56:57Speaker 2: away from them?
- 1:56:58Speaker 1: Though?
- 1:57:00Speaker 2: Butbrovsky got pulled and Tarsov was awful.
- 1:57:04Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:57:05Speaker 2: You just hate Florida, dude, But I think Florida the
- 1:57:09Speaker 2: spot makes sense for Florida in this game. I'll talk
- 1:57:12Speaker 2: about that in a minute. I mean, mostly, I just
- 1:57:14Speaker 2: hate Nashville just because they just own me every time
- 1:57:18Speaker 2: I try to play them. Columbus at Washington this game
- 1:57:23Speaker 2: not interesting to me really, But Washington's coming off a loss.
- 1:57:26Speaker 1: To Tampa Bay.
- 1:57:27Speaker 2: They're staying at home. Maybe they'll be focused for a
- 1:57:29Speaker 2: game against Columbus. But that did just disrupt the huge
- 1:57:32Speaker 2: win streak for them, and that was a difficult spot
- 1:57:34Speaker 2: for them because they'd beaten the Kings, Edmonton, Montreal.
- 1:57:37Speaker 1: They do have Winnipeg next. I mean, well they overlook Columbus.
- 1:57:41Speaker 1: I mean that's possible too. Columbus is coming off an
- 1:57:44Speaker 1: overtime loss to Detroit, though, and they've lost back to
- 1:57:48Speaker 1: or They've played back to back games in overtime, beating
- 1:57:50Speaker 1: Toronto on the road and then losing to Detroit in overtime,
- 1:57:53Speaker 1: So it's kind of a tough spot for them coming
- 1:57:55Speaker 1: off that Detroit game. Where they played tough and took
- 1:57:58Speaker 1: them into overtime. So overall, I think Washington does make
- 1:58:01Speaker 1: more sense in what could be more of a bounce
- 1:58:04Speaker 1: back spot here. Uh down for Minus won sixty one
- 1:58:07Speaker 1: fifty six nine of the cash on them and then
- 1:58:11Speaker 1: fifty of the tickets on Columbus.
- 1:58:14Speaker 2: Tarsov was great, you met all right? Oh yeah, like
- 1:58:17Speaker 2: standing on his head, you met? He was just yeah,
- 1:58:20Speaker 2: like blocking everything basically and contorting his body in every
- 1:58:23Speaker 2: way to get a.
- 1:58:24Speaker 1: Bunch of stops.
- 1:58:25Speaker 2: Yeah, but yeah, I would lean to Washington in that game. Uh, Florida,
- 1:58:29Speaker 2: your favorite team at Nashville, Florida. They're coming off an
- 1:58:35Speaker 2: ugly loss man to Edmonton. I know that it's a
- 1:58:38Speaker 2: tough game, you know, Edmonton, Florida, but the game meant
- 1:58:41Speaker 2: more to Edmonton. I leaned to Edmonton in that game.
- 1:58:44Speaker 2: I just thought it was a bad spot for both teams.
- 1:58:48Speaker 2: Edmonton was in some bad spot there. I forget exactly
- 1:58:50Speaker 2: what it was. But now Florida losing bad at home
- 1:58:54Speaker 2: going out on the road, I think it kind of
- 1:58:55Speaker 2: makes sense. You just leave home, go out on the road,
- 1:58:58Speaker 2: refocus on hockey.
- 1:58:59Speaker 1: Kind to me looks like a bounce back spot. For Florida.
- 1:59:02Speaker 2: For Nashville, they just suck. I don't know what else
- 1:59:06Speaker 2: to say. It should be a bounced back spot for them.
- 1:59:08Speaker 2: They return home from Sweden after getting shut out the
- 1:59:10Speaker 2: second game in Sweden against Pittsburgh.
- 1:59:13Speaker 1: They came back home, but of course it was against Colorado.
- 1:59:15Speaker 2: Colorado is a force and Nashville did get shut out
- 1:59:19Speaker 2: in that game too, So in a way I would
- 1:59:22Speaker 2: say that, well, when a team's off back to back
- 1:59:24Speaker 2: shutouts like that, they're gonna show up. But of course
- 1:59:27Speaker 2: they should show up for a game against Florida. But
- 1:59:30Speaker 2: the money is saying otherwise. The money is saying Florida here.
- 1:59:35Speaker 2: Although they dropped for minus one to fifty to minus one.
- 1:59:37Speaker 1: Twenty eight for some reason. I don't know if there's
- 1:59:38Speaker 1: a Golt interchange or.
- 1:59:40Speaker 2: What, but fifty five percent of the cash on Florida
- 1:59:43Speaker 2: seventy one percent of tickets on Nashville.
- 1:59:46Speaker 1: It's because Tarisov is starting tonight.
- 1:59:51Speaker 2: Well, whatever that means, you're getting more value on the
- 1:59:53Speaker 2: line on Florida, because I think that's part of the
- 1:59:54Speaker 2: reason why I dropped, because it's not Pebrovski the line.
- 1:59:58Speaker 2: The money is coming in on Florida I don't trust
- 2:00:00Speaker 2: Nashville at all, dude, Like they never were able to
- 2:00:03Speaker 2: get it done.
- 2:00:03Speaker 1: This team, they just they.
- 2:00:06Speaker 2: Never win even when they're in good spots. So, like,
- 2:00:08Speaker 2: I don't know what to tell you about Nashville.
- 2:00:10Speaker 1: They suck. I'm certainly not gonna get involved with Nashville.
- 2:00:13Speaker 1: I don't really want to.
- 2:00:14Speaker 2: Play Florida either, But the the market is saying Florida
- 2:00:19Speaker 2: good luck because they suck ass, which I know is
- 2:00:22Speaker 2: part is part of the handicap. I mean as part
- 2:00:25Speaker 2: of the it's part of what the odds makers do.
- 2:00:27Speaker 2: It's it's factoring into the line. But yeah, there's no
- 2:00:30Speaker 2: way I would want to do that. The last game
- 2:00:33Speaker 2: I'm gonna give out is going to be what is
- 2:00:36Speaker 2: it again? Wait a minute, I forget what it is now?
- 2:00:41Speaker 2: Wait did I get this right?
- 2:00:43Speaker 1: Hold on, I think it is in this Vegas Utah game?
- 2:00:46Speaker 1: What were my thoughts on this game? Hang on? Oh yeah, yeah, yeah,
- 2:00:49Speaker 1: it's Utah. We're gonna give about Utah here.
- 2:00:54Speaker 2: Yeah, Utah is my other hockey play here, our favorite,
- 2:00:58Speaker 2: our favorite guys, the Maymoth who. By the way, this
- 2:01:00Speaker 2: is hilarious, by the way, but if you look at
- 2:01:02Speaker 2: Utah look at their Look at the on ESPN.
- 2:01:06Speaker 1: Now, Mammoth is all Caps. I'm like, is that really, Like,
- 2:01:09Speaker 1: is that the actual spelling of it? Now?
- 2:01:12Speaker 2: Oh no, wait, it's not all Caps. The whole team
- 2:01:14Speaker 2: is in all caps. I was like, what am I saying?
- 2:01:15Speaker 2: Like it looked like like it just jumped out at me.
- 2:01:18Speaker 2: I'm like, that's awesome. If they just capitalize they are, though, Like,
- 2:01:21Speaker 2: look at the if you if you can see that
- 2:01:24Speaker 2: in my tab beer, Like the title of the page
- 2:01:26Speaker 2: has Utah lowercase, but Mammoth in higher case upper case.
- 2:01:31Speaker 2: So yeah, that's dude. I don't even know, man, but
- 2:01:35Speaker 2: it's hilarious. I like that if the Mammoth they just
- 2:01:37Speaker 2: they're like, no, our team name is all Caps, get
- 2:01:40Speaker 2: it right. This is gonna be Utah about minus one
- 2:01:43Speaker 2: o four here. That's what we're gonna do in this one.
- 2:01:45Speaker 2: We're gonna fade Vegas.
- 2:01:48Speaker 1: Vegas.
- 2:01:49Speaker 2: They played Utah back on Thursday at Utah by the way,
- 2:01:52Speaker 2: and they won four to one. So there's a little
- 2:01:54Speaker 2: bit of a quick revenge aspect of this game that
- 2:01:57Speaker 2: I like this game. Yeah, Vegas did out shoot Utah,
- 2:02:00Speaker 2: they did out face off them a little bit, but
- 2:02:02Speaker 2: it wasn't really a blowout, and Utah was the more
- 2:02:05Speaker 2: physical team, which I do like.
- 2:02:09Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the game.
- 2:02:09Speaker 2: The score was a little bit misleading in the game,
- 2:02:11Speaker 2: let's just put it that way. I don't remember who
- 2:02:14Speaker 2: was in net in this game for the Mammoth, although
- 2:02:17Speaker 2: I don't really consider their goalies to be one way
- 2:02:19Speaker 2: better than the other. Was Vamelka, who is kind of
- 2:02:21Speaker 2: their better goalie. But even so, I don't like the
- 2:02:24Speaker 2: spot for Vegas.
- 2:02:25Speaker 1: Here. Vegas, they had to play a game in between
- 2:02:28Speaker 1: the two.
- 2:02:29Speaker 2: They had to go to Anaheim, and they took Anaheim
- 2:02:31Speaker 2: into overtime, and we know how good Anaheim has been,
- 2:02:34Speaker 2: you know, especially at home, even though I think Anaheim's overrated.
- 2:02:38Speaker 2: Vegas had to go into overtime and lost the game.
- 2:02:41Speaker 2: I don't love it, man. And they have Autawa Montreal
- 2:02:44Speaker 2: up next, and those teams have good records right now,
- 2:02:46Speaker 2: and they did just beat Utah on the roads. And
- 2:02:48Speaker 2: now it's a zigzag spot whre Vegas might overlook Utah
- 2:02:52Speaker 2: and they're in kind of the hangover spot, whereas Utah
- 2:02:55Speaker 2: is probably gonna be up for the game, man, because
- 2:02:57Speaker 2: they know they lost that game. Utah has been on
- 2:02:59Speaker 2: a ski but Utah was able to redeem themselves by
- 2:03:03Speaker 2: ending that skid by beating the Rangers, so they're staying
- 2:03:07Speaker 2: at home. They get revenge against Vegas here. They broke
- 2:03:09Speaker 2: their lost streets. I think that's gonna give them some
- 2:03:11Speaker 2: momentum coming into this game. Don't know if it's gonna
- 2:03:13Speaker 2: be Vimelka or Vana check again in this one. Personally,
- 2:03:17Speaker 2: I don't really think it matters that much, although I
- 2:03:19Speaker 2: know they've lost the last couple of games with Vana
- 2:03:21Speaker 2: check in there, but whatever, I like it. Vegas is
- 2:03:26Speaker 2: very public eight and nine percent of tickets, nine to
- 2:03:29Speaker 2: a percent of the cash on them. But I think
- 2:03:30Speaker 2: we're gonna see that turn around a bit. I mean,
- 2:03:32Speaker 2: we know we're fading the public with Vegas here, they're
- 2:03:37Speaker 2: just a heavily public side. It looks like to me
- 2:03:39Speaker 2: they're off for minus one thirteen to minus one fourteen
- 2:03:41Speaker 2: for now.
- 2:03:42Speaker 1: But I don't like it.
- 2:03:42Speaker 2: We were going with Utah in this one, all right,
- 2:03:49Speaker 2: you're gonna yeah to catch a predator?
- 2:03:51Speaker 1: Yeah? Bring what's his name? Chris? What's his name again?
- 2:03:58Speaker 2: Dude, I can't remember anything anymore? Is just dead Chris Hansen? Yeah,
- 2:04:03Speaker 2: bring him with you for that the Washington Capitals are
- 2:04:06Speaker 2: all Caps, Yes exactly, they are the Caps, all right,
- 2:04:12Speaker 2: Ottawa and LA to finish this off, your tout gave
- 2:04:16Speaker 2: out the play on Autawa here.
- 2:04:17Speaker 1: I'm not sure that he's wrong on this one.
- 2:04:20Speaker 2: Ottawa, they just beat San Jose in their most recent game,
- 2:04:24Speaker 2: so I'm not gonna consider that this to be a
- 2:04:25Speaker 2: look ahead or anything like that.
- 2:04:26Speaker 1: Although they might.
- 2:04:27Speaker 2: Have Merilane in a net for this one, though not
- 2:04:30Speaker 2: oh Mark or the oll Mark is their better goalie,
- 2:04:32Speaker 2: so maybe that would be a knock against Ottawa for La.
- 2:04:38Speaker 1: LA. I mean, they're on a three game skid. They
- 2:04:40Speaker 1: just lost to Boston at home.
- 2:04:41Speaker 2: I know they've had time off, so that's good at
- 2:04:43Speaker 2: least and they get to break that losing momentum and
- 2:04:47Speaker 2: then they have Anaheim next, but it's not for a while.
- 2:04:49Speaker 2: But I just can't do it, man, because you're looking
- 2:04:52Speaker 2: at this Kings team. Like I've already pointed out, they
- 2:04:54Speaker 2: have one win at home all season. Dude, the Kings
- 2:04:57Speaker 2: are basically the Rangers. They can't win at home. They're
- 2:05:02Speaker 2: one four and three at home, so I mean, I
- 2:05:04Speaker 2: don't love that at all. And Ottawa has been decent
- 2:05:06Speaker 2: on the road. I think Autawa will show up. I
- 2:05:09Speaker 2: mean I think maybe you could argue both teams will
- 2:05:11Speaker 2: show up. The money is saying that Autawa is the
- 2:05:14Speaker 2: correct side, even though LA is up for minus one
- 2:05:16Speaker 2: thirty one to minus one forty eight percent of tickets
- 2:05:19Speaker 2: only sixty one percent of the cash. But you're getting
- 2:05:22Speaker 2: a pretty decent Autawa team, not in a horrible spot
- 2:05:25Speaker 2: as an underdog against an LA team that cannot win
- 2:05:28Speaker 2: at home.
- 2:05:29Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do that.
- 2:05:33Speaker 2: Kings just beat Ottawa, so it's revenge for Ottawa as well,
- 2:05:36Speaker 2: all right, Yeah, so yeah I would lean to Outawa
- 2:05:39Speaker 2: in that game as well.
- 2:05:41Speaker 1: Yeah, you're right.
- 2:05:42Speaker 2: Ottawa lost at home one to nothing, so it's a
- 2:05:44Speaker 2: quick road revenge spot. Thank you Jeffery for putting that
- 2:05:47Speaker 2: out as well. So yeah, that that makes me like
- 2:05:50Speaker 2: Ottawa as well. It's not a play for me, but yeah,
- 2:05:52Speaker 2: I agree with that. I agree with the Ottawa I
- 2:05:55Speaker 2: mean with whoever.
- 2:05:55Speaker 1: That tout is.
- 2:05:57Speaker 2: NBA, Oh god, we have so many fucking games to
- 2:06:01Speaker 2: talk about, dude, NBA Detroit at Indiana, This one almost
- 2:06:07Speaker 2: made my card. I was getting really greedy with the
- 2:06:10Speaker 2: NBA Detroit. They're coming off a win over Milwaukee. It's
- 2:06:13Speaker 2: a pretty big win divisional winner. I know it's Milwaukee
- 2:06:16Speaker 2: without Giannis now, but now they got to play Indiana
- 2:06:18Speaker 2: and they just beat Indiana at home by fifteen, so
- 2:06:21Speaker 2: it's a little bit of a quick revenge spob for Indiana.
- 2:06:24Speaker 2: Detroit does also have to play Boston the Celtics my
- 2:06:28Speaker 2: Celtics on ESPN on Wednesday, so this looks like a
- 2:06:31Speaker 2: sandwich s bob with a quick revenge aspect for Indiana.
- 2:06:34Speaker 2: I think Detroit is just gonna come in and overlook Indiana. Man,
- 2:06:38Speaker 2: so this has not made my card. Indiana did just
- 2:06:42Speaker 2: play Cleveland last but they did lose. I think they're
- 2:06:45Speaker 2: gonna show up because again, they did just lose to Detroit.
- 2:06:47Speaker 2: So I think you're gonna get an effort out of
- 2:06:49Speaker 2: Indiana and this one I would.
- 2:06:51Speaker 1: Lean to Indiana.
- 2:06:52Speaker 2: The money is saying otherwise. But I don't understand why
- 2:06:56Speaker 2: the pisses are up for mayit and a half to ten.
- 2:06:58Speaker 2: I mean, the line looks ridiculous laying ten on the
- 2:07:01Speaker 2: road in a spot like this for the Pistons, it
- 2:07:02Speaker 2: almost looks like a sandwich. Sixty nine percent of the
- 2:07:05Speaker 2: tickets on the Pacers seventy one percent of the cash
- 2:07:08Speaker 2: on the Pistons.
- 2:07:09Speaker 1: Yeah, before seven pm.
- 2:07:11Speaker 2: This is gonna be a two and a half hour show.
- 2:07:14Speaker 2: I hate it, but yes, the money's coming in on
- 2:07:16Speaker 2: the Pistons. I do not agree with that. I would
- 2:07:19Speaker 2: take the Pacers plus the points. Cleveland at Toronto. Cleveland.
- 2:07:26Speaker 2: They're coming off beating the Clippers, which is whatever, but
- 2:07:29Speaker 2: that was yesterday, so it's a third game in four
- 2:07:31Speaker 2: days and now they're traveling to Toronto.
- 2:07:34Speaker 1: Although Cleveland does kind.
- 2:07:35Speaker 2: Of have reason to be focused here because they've lost
- 2:07:37Speaker 2: to Toronto twice already, both at home.
- 2:07:40Speaker 1: So it's a little bit of double in season.
- 2:07:42Speaker 2: Revenge here for Cleveland, although maybe you could argue that
- 2:07:45Speaker 2: Toronto's just figured Cleveland out. As far as Toronto's can start,
- 2:07:49Speaker 2: They're on this nice long wind streak seven wins in
- 2:07:51Speaker 2: a row, including beating Cleveland once at Cleveland. Toronto's on
- 2:07:56Speaker 2: a back to back two but they are staying at home,
- 2:07:59Speaker 2: so the travel spot is better for the Raptors. The
- 2:08:02Speaker 2: money is saying to take the Raptors. Cleveland up down
- 2:08:05Speaker 2: from three to two and a half. Eighty six percent
- 2:08:07Speaker 2: of tickets, seventy three percent of the cash on Cleveland
- 2:08:11Speaker 2: so the money is kind of indicating on the Raptors.
- 2:08:13Speaker 1: That's what the money, that's what the market is saying.
- 2:08:17Speaker 1: I don't know if I agree.
- 2:08:19Speaker 2: You know, I think Cleveland is gonna show up and
- 2:08:21Speaker 2: want to get Toronto back.
- 2:08:22Speaker 1: A little bit.
- 2:08:23Speaker 2: So both teams are gonna show up for this. I
- 2:08:26Speaker 2: don't know if there are any injuries factoring in here.
- 2:08:29Speaker 2: It looks like we have Jared Allen as day to day.
- 2:08:32Speaker 2: That's really the one big one for Cleveland. Barrett looks
- 2:08:35Speaker 2: like he is day to day for Toronto though, so
- 2:08:37Speaker 2: that's something to watch because he is one of their
- 2:08:39Speaker 2: better players.
- 2:08:40Speaker 1: So it actually.
- 2:08:42Speaker 2: Doesn't look good that he's going in for like an
- 2:08:44Speaker 2: MRI on his knee or whatever, so he might actually
- 2:08:48Speaker 2: be out and that would mean it's an injured player
- 2:08:52Speaker 2: spot for Toronto though, So I guess that would be
- 2:08:55Speaker 2: one indicator towards the Toronto side if Barrett is gonna
- 2:08:57Speaker 2: miss this game, they might step it up a little
- 2:09:00Speaker 2: bit more without him. Best half court offense in the
- 2:09:04Speaker 2: NBA for Toronto, I mean, they are playing well. I
- 2:09:06Speaker 2: don't know exactly how they do it, but yeah, that game,
- 2:09:10Speaker 2: I don't know. I just gave you all the information
- 2:09:12Speaker 2: that I can on that one. I don't love the game.
- 2:09:15Speaker 2: Knicks are at Brooklyn, I mean Brooklyn. You know they're
- 2:09:17Speaker 2: gonna try to step it up, usually for a game
- 2:09:20Speaker 2: against the Knicks. Knicks coming up a fairly ugly loss
- 2:09:23Speaker 2: down in Orlando. I know Orlando's not bad, but Knicks
- 2:09:27Speaker 2: coming back home here they don't really have anything up next,
- 2:09:31Speaker 2: could be a little bit bit of a bounce back spot.
- 2:09:33Speaker 2: Even though they did embarrass Brooklyn last time they played
- 2:09:36Speaker 2: them in Madison Square Garden by like thirty six points
- 2:09:39Speaker 2: or whatever. Brooklyn not a great team. Obviously, They're coming
- 2:09:44Speaker 2: up another loss to Toronto, and that was yesterday, so
- 2:09:46Speaker 2: they're actually playing a third game in four days, all
- 2:09:49Speaker 2: in different cities.
- 2:09:50Speaker 1: So the spot is pretty ugly for Brooklyn.
- 2:09:52Speaker 2: Man, even though yeah, generally I would say they're gonna
- 2:09:55Speaker 2: try to get up for a game against the Knicks.
- 2:09:56Speaker 2: But the spot is awful and the public looks like
- 2:09:59Speaker 2: they're on Knicks for some reason, or the nets, I
- 2:10:02Speaker 2: mean for some reason, the public eighty five percent of
- 2:10:05Speaker 2: the tickets on the nets and only eighty one percent
- 2:10:07Speaker 2: of the cash. I would lean to the Knicks. I mean,
- 2:10:11Speaker 2: I don't want to lay fourteen points on the road.
- 2:10:13Speaker 2: But if you forced me to give you an opinion
- 2:10:15Speaker 2: on that, I would lay it with the Knicks. I
- 2:10:18Speaker 2: don't love the spot the Nets are in at all.
- 2:10:20Speaker 2: The line has probably moved. Uh yeah, I mean the
- 2:10:23Speaker 2: Knicks are probably laying that many points because of the
- 2:10:25Speaker 2: rest situation, because Brooklyn is in.
- 2:10:27Speaker 1: Such a bad rest spot. But they look like a
- 2:10:30Speaker 1: public home underdog here, which you never want, and you
- 2:10:33Speaker 1: usually never see that with a far, far inferior team. Yeah.
- 2:10:37Speaker 2: I don't get it, but I mean I do kind
- 2:10:40Speaker 2: of get it. It's that again. It's that I don't
- 2:10:43Speaker 2: even know who these players are on the Nets, by
- 2:10:44Speaker 2: the way, so looking at their injury report, I'm like, huh, Like,
- 2:10:48Speaker 2: I don't even know who these guys are. Annonnobe is
- 2:10:50Speaker 2: still out for the Knicks, I think. But yeah, I
- 2:10:54Speaker 2: mean I would probably only lay it with the Knicks
- 2:10:56Speaker 2: if I was gonna do anything with that game. I mean,
- 2:11:00Speaker 2: it looks like the public's are betting the Nets. It
- 2:11:03Speaker 2: looks like the public are betting the Nets. I don't
- 2:11:05Speaker 2: know for sure. Dallas, Miami, We're gonna get right into it, man,
- 2:11:09Speaker 2: We're gonna have a play on this one. This is
- 2:11:10Speaker 2: gonna be let me see what's the number that we
- 2:11:13Speaker 2: can get on this here.
- 2:11:14Speaker 1: You might already know what it's gonna be. Let's see,
- 2:11:22Speaker 1: we're gonna.
- 2:11:23Speaker 2: Go Dallas plus nine. We're gonna take the points with Dallas.
- 2:11:26Speaker 2: I do not like Miami in the spot. Miami looks
- 2:11:29Speaker 2: like they're getting the money, So I'm disagreeing with the
- 2:11:31Speaker 2: market here. Dallas eighty two percent of tickets, seventy of
- 2:11:34Speaker 2: the cash coming into the heat. I do not understand
- 2:11:37Speaker 2: why Dallas. We know they have injuries. They're without Anthony Davis.
- 2:11:41Speaker 2: I know, but that's been the case for a while,
- 2:11:43Speaker 2: so I don't think we have any like huge like
- 2:11:46Speaker 2: injury difference here between Dallas and Miami.
- 2:11:49Speaker 1: Let's just put it that way.
- 2:11:50Speaker 2: Although Anthony Davis, yeah, he's doubtful, so he's not playing
- 2:11:53Speaker 2: in this game, like I said, so it means probably
- 2:11:57Speaker 2: gonna get more line value on Dallas. A Lively is
- 2:12:00Speaker 2: So I know that means Dallas is gonna be hurting
- 2:12:02Speaker 2: on the interior up against Auto Bio.
- 2:12:04Speaker 1: I get it.
- 2:12:05Speaker 2: But first of all, for the injury thing, Hero is
- 2:12:08Speaker 2: coming back from Miami man, and I don't.
- 2:12:10Speaker 1: Think he's played all season so he's.
- 2:12:13Speaker 2: Making a season debut and he's their starting point guard
- 2:12:16Speaker 2: pretty much. So like, I don't like that, man, When
- 2:12:18Speaker 2: you have a star player, when you have your hero
- 2:12:21Speaker 2: coming back, it's the reverse injured player theory spot. Like
- 2:12:25Speaker 2: I say, the team can kind of take their foot
- 2:12:27Speaker 2: off the gas a little bit knowing that they have
- 2:12:28Speaker 2: one of their best players coming back.
- 2:12:32Speaker 1: You know, it's an opponent they might overlook. Here.
- 2:12:34Speaker 2: They gotta work him back, especially if he's gonna be
- 2:12:36Speaker 2: the one running the offense.
- 2:12:38Speaker 1: He's got to get back up to game speed.
- 2:12:39Speaker 2: He hasn't played since the playoffs last year, so he
- 2:12:42Speaker 2: hasn't played in an actual NBA game for a long
- 2:12:44Speaker 2: long time. Maybe Miami will kind of ease him in
- 2:12:47Speaker 2: and not play him that much. But I don't like it, man,
- 2:12:49Speaker 2: And it could be a bit of, you know, an
- 2:12:51Speaker 2: issue trying to get back up to speed with like
- 2:12:53Speaker 2: the chemistry and whatever. And in addition to that, I
- 2:12:56Speaker 2: just don't like the spot for Miami either. Miami just
- 2:12:59Speaker 2: beat Philidellphia yesterday, so now they're playing a third game
- 2:13:02Speaker 2: in four days, all in different cities. Actually a fourth
- 2:13:05Speaker 2: game in six days. And yeah, in those games, they
- 2:13:08Speaker 2: beat Golden State, and then the Chicago actually embarrassed them
- 2:13:14Speaker 2: and blew them out. And prior to Golden State, they
- 2:13:17Speaker 2: had actually beaten the Knicks two days.
- 2:13:18Speaker 1: Prior to that too, So this is now a fifth.
- 2:13:21Speaker 2: Game in eight days with all big wins. And then
- 2:13:24Speaker 2: they beat Philadelphia yesterday big win as well, and they
- 2:13:27Speaker 2: got Milwaukee in Detroit coming up after this, So I
- 2:13:29Speaker 2: think they're gonna overlook Dallas. I mean, this is a
- 2:13:31Speaker 2: sandwich spot beating all these good teams and mostly Eastern
- 2:13:35Speaker 2: Conference opponents. Sandwich spot plus reverse injured player spot. Yeah,
- 2:13:40Speaker 2: give me Dallas in this one. And Dallas is coming
- 2:13:43Speaker 2: up an ugly well not an ugly loss, but a
- 2:13:45Speaker 2: loss to an ugly Memphis team on Saturday, and they're.
- 2:13:49Speaker 1: Starting a road trip.
- 2:13:50Speaker 2: And you know, I talk about starting a road trip
- 2:13:52Speaker 2: is a good spot for a team to refocus because
- 2:13:55Speaker 2: you get to forget about what's going on at home,
- 2:13:57Speaker 2: leave the distractions behind, don't listen to the meat, just
- 2:14:00Speaker 2: go out and focus on basketball.
- 2:14:02Speaker 1: So I like Dallas plus the points. Give me that one.
- 2:14:06Speaker 1: That's a play for me.
- 2:14:07Speaker 2: Oh I'm on yeah, my Action Network.
- 2:14:10Speaker 1: There there you go.
- 2:14:11Speaker 2: You might have seen what my next plays are. But
- 2:14:14Speaker 2: Yaho is showing money on Dallas.
- 2:14:16Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 2:14:16Speaker 2: I don't I don't look at what Yahoo was telling
- 2:14:18Speaker 2: me with the money. I don't really know where they're
- 2:14:20Speaker 2: getting their money, where they're getting their information. I mean
- 2:14:23Speaker 2: Denver at in Memphis. Denver is coming off kind of
- 2:14:26Speaker 2: a ridiculous loss to Sacramento at home. Yeah, I mean,
- 2:14:31Speaker 2: I mean, it's not at that ridiculous if you think
- 2:14:33Speaker 2: about it, though, because it was a back to back
- 2:14:35Speaker 2: with travel off a big win over Houston. So I
- 2:14:38Speaker 2: think I probably mentioned it. I probably leaned towards taking
- 2:14:40Speaker 2: it with Sacramento in that one. But Sacramento winning out
- 2:14:43Speaker 2: right is a bit wild, although Denver had already beaten
- 2:14:46Speaker 2: them twice. Looks like a bounce back spot to me
- 2:14:49Speaker 2: for Denver. They do have San Antonio next, but it's
- 2:14:52Speaker 2: not for a few days, so I think you might
- 2:14:53Speaker 2: see an angry team that will actually show.
- 2:14:55Speaker 1: Up in this one after an ugly loss. Is a
- 2:14:57Speaker 1: huge favorite. Could be a bounce back spot. Memphis. I mean,
- 2:15:02Speaker 1: they just beat Dallas.
- 2:15:03Speaker 2: They're turning home from that, but yeah, they'll try to
- 2:15:06Speaker 2: step up their game here against the against Denver becus.
- 2:15:09Speaker 2: Denver is good, but I would probably lay it with
- 2:15:12Speaker 2: the Nuggets on Nuggets are down for May and a
- 2:15:14Speaker 2: half to eight though the tickets ninety six percent of
- 2:15:18Speaker 2: the cash on them. I would lay the points with
- 2:15:20Speaker 2: Denver though, so that's what I would do there.
- 2:15:26Speaker 1: And yeah, that's about it. Yeah, Aaron Gordon is out
- 2:15:28Speaker 1: for a while. Uh is this?
- 2:15:30Speaker 2: So does that mean it's an injured player spot too.
- 2:15:32Speaker 2: It's not as significant as Yokic, but Gordon has been
- 2:15:36Speaker 2: out since the last game though, so Gordon did not
- 2:15:39Speaker 2: play in the last game either, so it's not really
- 2:15:42Speaker 2: It could be like a delayed injured player spot maybe
- 2:15:45Speaker 2: because the last game he played was against Houston. Denver
- 2:15:48Speaker 2: just they obviously did not have the injured player boost
- 2:15:52Speaker 2: of you know, they did not bring their game in
- 2:15:55Speaker 2: that game against Sacramento.
- 2:15:56Speaker 1: Let's just put it that way.
- 2:15:57Speaker 2: Maybe they'll have a delayed injured player reaction to But yeah,
- 2:16:00Speaker 2: I would lay the points with Denver in that game.
- 2:16:02Speaker 2: Portland at Milwaukee. We faded Portland last night, so they're
- 2:16:07Speaker 2: on a back to back. They got blown out by
- 2:16:09Speaker 2: Oklahoma City.
- 2:16:09Speaker 1: That was one of our wins.
- 2:16:10Speaker 2: They're playing a third game in four days, though all
- 2:16:12Speaker 2: in different cities. Fourth game in six days, all in
- 2:16:15Speaker 2: different cities. In a fifth game in seven days, all
- 2:16:18Speaker 2: in different or not all in different cities, the first
- 2:16:20Speaker 2: two at home. But this is still a difficult scheduling
- 2:16:23Speaker 2: spot for Portland man, just way too many games in
- 2:16:26Speaker 2: a short period of time. On Milwaukee coming off losing
- 2:16:29Speaker 2: to Detroit, of course they're without Yannis, but the spot
- 2:16:33Speaker 2: is a lot better for Milwaukee here to get a win,
- 2:16:35Speaker 2: to try to finish this road trip with something, you know,
- 2:16:39Speaker 2: So I would lean to Milwaukee here. They're very public though,
- 2:16:43Speaker 2: and the money is coming in against them, and I
- 2:16:45Speaker 2: don't understand that at all. The Buck's down from two
- 2:16:48Speaker 2: and a half to one and a half, ninety six
- 2:16:49Speaker 2: percent of tickets, only ninety five percent of the cash
- 2:16:51Speaker 2: in them.
- 2:16:52Speaker 1: I don't get it. I mean, why do you want
- 2:16:53Speaker 1: to play the Trailblazers, you know, in a spot like
- 2:16:58Speaker 1: this when you know the.
- 2:16:59Speaker 2: Osmakers are basically you, basically asking you to just pick
- 2:17:02Speaker 2: the winner. I don't like it, dude. So yeah, those
- 2:17:06Speaker 2: are my quick thoughts on that game. The Bulls are
- 2:17:09Speaker 2: gonna be at New Orleans here. The Bulls coming off
- 2:17:14Speaker 2: getting blown out by Miami. That wasn no wait, sorry,
- 2:17:17Speaker 2: they beat Washington. I was gonna say that was an
- 2:17:19Speaker 2: embarrassing loss. They didn't exactly bounce back because there were
- 2:17:22Speaker 2: twelve and a half point favorites against Washington and they
- 2:17:24Speaker 2: almost lost that game. So now they get to go
- 2:17:27Speaker 2: out on the road after that after some ugly performances.
- 2:17:30Speaker 2: Even though I know it's a third game in four days,
- 2:17:32Speaker 2: but starting a road trip in kind of bounce back mode,
- 2:17:35Speaker 2: I think it's a good thing.
- 2:17:36Speaker 1: To me, it's a focused.
- 2:17:37Speaker 2: Spot for Chicago for New Orleans. New Orleans is coming
- 2:17:42Speaker 2: off an ugly loss at home against Atlanta too, so
- 2:17:45Speaker 2: to me, it looks like a focused spot for both teams.
- 2:17:48Speaker 2: I don't know what the Zion Williamson situation is looking
- 2:17:50Speaker 2: like here. He's not on the injury report, so I
- 2:17:52Speaker 2: guess he.
- 2:17:53Speaker 1: Is fully back. Although New Orleans looks.
- 2:17:55Speaker 2: Like they're gonna be missing Pool and maybe a couple
- 2:17:58Speaker 2: other guys. Bulls not a whole lot going on.
- 2:18:01Speaker 1: With their injury report.
- 2:18:02Speaker 2: It doesn't look like I mean, most of these guys not.
- 2:18:04Speaker 2: I mean, we don't have any like significant players that
- 2:18:08Speaker 2: I think are on the injury report there. I leaned
- 2:18:10Speaker 2: to the Bulls side. They're up from five to five
- 2:18:12Speaker 2: and a half, ninety four percent of tickets, ninety seven
- 2:18:14Speaker 2: percent of the cash, and you got two teams and
- 2:18:16Speaker 2: focus spots. I think the better team wins out, and
- 2:18:19Speaker 2: the focus I think is gonna be more on the
- 2:18:21Speaker 2: Chicago side as well. They're public ninety four percent of tickets,
- 2:18:25Speaker 2: but ninety seven percent of the cash on them, So
- 2:18:27Speaker 2: I agree with it.
- 2:18:28Speaker 1: I would lean that way. Next up, here's a play
- 2:18:30Speaker 1: for you. We're gonna go with. Let me make sure
- 2:18:33Speaker 1: what it is. Yep, I see it.
- 2:18:37Speaker 2: We're gonna go with the Phoenix Suns plus six and
- 2:18:40Speaker 2: a half. I don't think we're gonna get seven on this.
- 2:18:44Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 2:18:45Speaker 2: Maybe maybe if you actually maybe, if you wait, you
- 2:18:47Speaker 2: might be able to get seven on this one because
- 2:18:48Speaker 2: the number is.
- 2:18:49Speaker 1: Up from six to six and a half.
- 2:18:50Speaker 2: Eighty percent of the tickets are on the Rocket's fifty
- 2:18:53Speaker 2: seven percent of the cash coming back on the Suns.
- 2:18:55Speaker 1: I like the Suns in this one.
- 2:18:59Speaker 2: I hate the spot for Houston, but yeah, if you
- 2:19:02Speaker 2: can get set, I would wait because six six and
- 2:19:04Speaker 2: a half not a huge difference.
- 2:19:05Speaker 1: Try to get the seven on this one.
- 2:19:08Speaker 2: Houston just lost a five game win streak and they
- 2:19:11Speaker 2: finished that win streak by beating Orlando, although they had
- 2:19:14Speaker 2: an escape against Orlando, but a decent win none the less.
- 2:19:16Speaker 2: And then they beat Cleveland on the road, and then
- 2:19:19Speaker 2: their win streak ended by losing to Denver. Huge game, man,
- 2:19:23Speaker 2: and they lost in a very very close, tough game
- 2:19:26Speaker 2: against Denver. Now they're gonna come off of that. And
- 2:19:28Speaker 2: I know I usually say starting a road trip, you're focused,
- 2:19:32Speaker 2: but they're coming off that huge game against Denver.
- 2:19:34Speaker 1: It is Phoenix. They are a winning team right now.
- 2:19:37Speaker 2: Yes, Houston has a couple of days off to try
- 2:19:39Speaker 2: to end, you know, try to break that losing momentum now.
- 2:19:43Speaker 2: But I don't know, man, I think it's gonna be
- 2:19:45Speaker 2: a hangover spot here. And by the way, Houston's next
- 2:19:48Speaker 2: game in two days on ESPN Golden State. And that
- 2:19:53Speaker 2: game is really significant because guess who eliminated Houston from
- 2:19:56Speaker 2: the playoffs last year. Yeah, that was the Golden State
- 2:19:59Speaker 2: War and this is the first time Houston gets a
- 2:20:02Speaker 2: chance at revenge against them. They haven't played them since then.
- 2:20:06Speaker 2: That is a huge look ihead spot for Houston there
- 2:20:09Speaker 2: to Golden State, man, so terrible spot for Houston in
- 2:20:13Speaker 2: my opinion here Phoenix on a nice little three game
- 2:20:16Speaker 2: win streak here. I know they're on a back to back.
- 2:20:18Speaker 2: That's really the only bad thing about this.
- 2:20:20Speaker 1: In Phoenix. They don't have a deep roster, I know,
- 2:20:23Speaker 1: so the back to back is a little bit iffy here.
- 2:20:25Speaker 2: They beat San Antonio without WEMBA yesterday, and they did
- 2:20:28Speaker 2: beat Minnesota in the game before that. But I've talked
- 2:20:30Speaker 2: about how Minnesota has no wins against winning teams.
- 2:20:33Speaker 1: This year, which is bizarre.
- 2:20:36Speaker 2: But yeah, Phoenix, I mean, they're playing back to back,
- 2:20:38Speaker 2: three games in four days, but they're at least staying
- 2:20:40Speaker 2: at home. I still think the spot is a lot
- 2:20:42Speaker 2: better for them. I think they will show up for
- 2:20:45Speaker 2: a big game against Phoenix. Excuse me, against Houston. Give
- 2:20:48Speaker 2: me Phoenix. The money is agreeing with it.
- 2:20:50Speaker 1: If you can get seven on it, that's even better.
- 2:20:53Speaker 1: Give it to me. Durand is out for personal reasons.
- 2:20:57Speaker 1: What does that even mean?
- 2:20:58Speaker 2: Like, is it?
- 2:20:58Speaker 1: What is that even gonna do? I don't know. I mean,
- 2:21:00Speaker 1: does that set up an injured player spot? I don't.
- 2:21:03Speaker 2: I just I'm gonna ignore that because I think the
- 2:21:06Speaker 2: spot is just really bad in my opinion. Yeah, it
- 2:21:11Speaker 2: is gonna be his first game out, but I mean Durant.
- 2:21:14Speaker 2: I mean he's a newcomer to the team, so I
- 2:21:15Speaker 2: don't know if that's really considered to be an injured
- 2:21:18Speaker 2: player theory spot. I mean, they have other guys that
- 2:21:20Speaker 2: are star players at this point, even though Durant is
- 2:21:23Speaker 2: one of their best scores. But whatever, a family issue,
- 2:21:30Speaker 2: whatever that means.
- 2:21:31Speaker 1: Okay, but yeah, I still like it. I like Voenix
- 2:21:38Speaker 1: x's and o's. I do nothing with x's and o's.
- 2:21:42Speaker 1: You know, the Xes and the yells they hunt me.
- 2:21:48Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what I think about the x's and o's.
- 2:21:50Speaker 2: Man Uh Utah at Golden State are pals with Utah here.
- 2:21:56Speaker 2: This is gonna be a play for me. Yeah, I
- 2:21:59Speaker 2: know this one.
- 2:22:00Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 2:22:01Speaker 2: This seems like something I might not usually do. You
- 2:22:04Speaker 2: might not like it, but we're gonna lay the points
- 2:22:06Speaker 2: with the Warriors minus fourteen and a half in this one.
- 2:22:10Speaker 2: Sometimes these big favorites. You can't be afraid to lay
- 2:22:13Speaker 2: big favorites in some cases in the in the NBA, Man,
- 2:22:16Speaker 2: because there are a lot of points scored.
- 2:22:18Speaker 1: We had the Jazz last night.
- 2:22:20Speaker 2: Okay, the Jazz are coming off a bunch of big games, Man,
- 2:22:23Speaker 2: three games in four days, too, where they lost OKC
- 2:22:26Speaker 2: at home.
- 2:22:27Speaker 1: They just almost beat.
- 2:22:29Speaker 2: The LA Lakers and gotta win for us covering the
- 2:22:31Speaker 2: spread last night, and now they gotta travel for a
- 2:22:34Speaker 2: single game road trip to go.
- 2:22:35Speaker 1: Face the Warriors.
- 2:22:37Speaker 2: I don't love the spot here, man back to back
- 2:22:39Speaker 2: with travel, coming out of elevation off a huge performance
- 2:22:42Speaker 2: against the Lakers. I know it's Golden State and you
- 2:22:45Speaker 2: kind of want to get up for them, but they're
- 2:22:46Speaker 2: sitting at five hundred and Golden State. The spot is
- 2:22:49Speaker 2: much better for them, as we faded Golden State in
- 2:22:52Speaker 2: their last game and they lost outright to Portland, and
- 2:22:55Speaker 2: that was because they were returning home from a long
- 2:22:57Speaker 2: road trip and returning from floor at the end of
- 2:23:00Speaker 2: that road trip. So I thought it was a really
- 2:23:02Speaker 2: bad spot for Golden State. Didn't like it at all,
- 2:23:04Speaker 2: and they took the loss. And you know what I
- 2:23:06Speaker 2: talk about, when a team gets distracted and they fall
- 2:23:09Speaker 2: into that return home distraction spot and have a bad game,
- 2:23:12Speaker 2: lose the game, then they can get stuff done at
- 2:23:15Speaker 2: home and they focus, they usually play a lot better.
- 2:23:17Speaker 1: On the next game.
- 2:23:18Speaker 2: I know in the next game, I know, like I said,
- 2:23:20Speaker 2: they do have Houston up next, I know, but that
- 2:23:21Speaker 2: game is bigger for Houston than it is for Golden State.
- 2:23:24Speaker 2: I think right now Golden State again, I think they're
- 2:23:27Speaker 2: gonna be in kind of an embarrassed mood off of
- 2:23:29Speaker 2: that game, and they have multiple days off staying at
- 2:23:31Speaker 2: home to try to break that losing momentum and get
- 2:23:34Speaker 2: their stuff done at home and focus on this game.
- 2:23:37Speaker 1: I like the Warriors.
- 2:23:38Speaker 2: The money is saying otherwise, but whatever, ninety three percent
- 2:23:41Speaker 2: of tickets on the Warriors, fifty five percent of the
- 2:23:43Speaker 2: cash coming back into the jazz. Money is saying the jazz.
- 2:23:47Speaker 2: I am not saying the jazz even though I like
- 2:23:50Speaker 2: the music and it doesn't exist in Utah because they
- 2:23:53Speaker 2: used to be a New Orleans team. We're gonna lay
- 2:23:55Speaker 2: it with the Warriors. They needed a good four quarter.
- 2:24:00Speaker 2: When were they losing. I don't even remember.
- 2:24:02Speaker 1: I thought they were in the game.
- 2:24:03Speaker 2: I thought right until there was like one bad stretch
- 2:24:07Speaker 2: that they had in the middle of the fourth quarter.
- 2:24:09Speaker 2: I thought, no, I mean they didn't have like a
- 2:24:13Speaker 2: great fourth quarter, like all the quarters were close. I
- 2:24:20Speaker 2: don't know, yeah, I mean they were losing within the
- 2:24:22Speaker 2: fourth quarter. Going into the fourth quarter, though they were
- 2:24:25Speaker 2: they were only down three going into the fourth quarter.
- 2:24:27Speaker 2: They were pretty bad in the fourth quarter, and they
- 2:24:30Speaker 2: made a really late comeback. Like I said, they were
- 2:24:32Speaker 2: in the game until like really late in the quarter basically,
- 2:24:35Speaker 2: and then they made that late comeback to come back.
- 2:24:39Speaker 2: So the fourth quarter wasn't good. The final minutes were good.
- 2:24:43Speaker 2: But that's another reason to fade Utah of that. And
- 2:24:46Speaker 2: then finally, I know you're not gonna like this one either,
- 2:24:49Speaker 2: but we're gonna lay a favorite year and in this case,
- 2:24:51Speaker 2: I think it's an anti public road favorite with the
- 2:24:55Speaker 2: Minnesota Timberwolves. Even though I talk about how Minnesota this
- 2:24:59Speaker 2: is mine nine, I think on this one, even though
- 2:25:01Speaker 2: I talk about on Minnesota doesn't win against good teams. Well,
- 2:25:05Speaker 2: luckily for us, they're playing a bad team, the Kings,
- 2:25:09Speaker 2: So Minnesota.
- 2:25:11Speaker 1: Actually it's nine and a half. My apologies.
- 2:25:14Speaker 2: I don't think it was ever below seven or below
- 2:25:16Speaker 2: seven and a half though they're not a huge difference there.
- 2:25:19Speaker 1: But we're gonna do this the tea Wolves.
- 2:25:21Speaker 2: Hilariously, the public is on the Kings eighty eight percent
- 2:25:24Speaker 2: of the tickets on That makes no sense. T Wolves
- 2:25:27Speaker 2: up from seven and a half to nine and a half.
- 2:25:29Speaker 2: Here fifty nine percent of the cash on them. I
- 2:25:32Speaker 2: agree with the Tea Wolves. That's not through a key
- 2:25:34Speaker 2: number at least, so I think we can lay it
- 2:25:36Speaker 2: with the t Wolves here. Uh, Tea Wolves again, they
- 2:25:40Speaker 2: beat bad teams, that's what they do, so hopefully that
- 2:25:43Speaker 2: happens here. I know they've beaten Sacramento twice already, So oh,
- 2:25:47Speaker 2: does that mean it's a you know, like some sort
- 2:25:49Speaker 2: of revenge angle for Sacramento. I don't really think so,
- 2:25:53Speaker 2: even though you'd think Minnesota, you know, oh, they might
- 2:25:55Speaker 2: take Sacramento lightly because some bonas isn't there now, But
- 2:25:58Speaker 2: I don't know. I think Minnesota just has Sacramento's number.
- 2:26:01Speaker 2: They blew them out twice already, and now Minnesota's coming
- 2:26:04Speaker 2: off a loss at Phoenix multiple days off to try
- 2:26:07Speaker 2: to get ready for this. I know they do a
- 2:26:08Speaker 2: Voklahoma City up next. You gotta worry. I guess a
- 2:26:11Speaker 2: little bit about the look ahead. But this is also
- 2:26:13Speaker 2: about fading Sacramento here, So I think Minnesota might have
- 2:26:17Speaker 2: the ability to show up in this one man. A
- 2:26:19Speaker 2: couple days off Sacramento, we know what spot they're in.
- 2:26:23Speaker 2: They just beat the Denver Nuggets and not only that,
- 2:26:25Speaker 2: but let's make it worse. They're returning over from a
- 2:26:28Speaker 2: road trip that they've been on since Friday, November fourteenth,
- 2:26:31Speaker 2: so they're in a road return spot and they finished
- 2:26:34Speaker 2: the road trip with they will only win and it
- 2:26:36Speaker 2: was their best win of the season at Denver, getting
- 2:26:40Speaker 2: a huge upset win. Terrible, terrible spot for Sacramento coming
- 2:26:44Speaker 2: off of this.
- 2:26:46Speaker 1: Yeah again.
- 2:26:47Speaker 2: I mean, you could argue they should be focused because
- 2:26:49Speaker 2: Minnesota's beating them twice, but I don't see it. I mean,
- 2:26:52Speaker 2: a bad team falling into a distraction spot like this
- 2:26:55Speaker 2: usually gets exacerbated. Minnesota is the play there, and that
- 2:26:59Speaker 2: is my final play of the day. I know it's
- 2:27:01Speaker 2: a ton of plays today, and we have to talk
- 2:27:04Speaker 2: about the Monday night football game really quick here. So
- 2:27:08Speaker 2: I'm gonna do that and then I'm gonna get out
- 2:27:09Speaker 2: of here, and i gotta get my show up, and
- 2:27:12Speaker 2: I gotta get my next Instagram video up, because there's
- 2:27:14Speaker 2: the one. There's one one pm basketball game I gave out.
- 2:27:19Speaker 2: The game tonight is Panthers forty nine ers. Forty nine
- 2:27:22Speaker 2: ers are a public side seventy six percent of the tickets,
- 2:27:24Speaker 2: but they've gone through the key number of seven basically
- 2:27:27Speaker 2: up to seven and a half, So it looks like
- 2:27:29Speaker 2: that is a bit of a key move. Seventy eight
- 2:27:32Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the forty nine ers. I
- 2:27:35Speaker 2: kind of like the forty nine ers in this one.
- 2:27:37Speaker 2: I mean, this is not one that I want to
- 2:27:38Speaker 2: give out as a player or whatever, but I don't.
- 2:27:42Speaker 2: I don't buy Carolina, man, I just do not. There's
- 2:27:45Speaker 2: six and five record. I think they're a joke.
- 2:27:47Speaker 1: I mean, if you look at their look at their
- 2:27:50Speaker 1: wins on the season. Man.
- 2:27:52Speaker 2: They beat Atlanta twice, and of course I gave out
- 2:27:54Speaker 2: Carolina in the first win against Atlanta because Atlanta was
- 2:27:57Speaker 2: in a terrible spot. And even though Carolina won the
- 2:28:00Speaker 2: game thirty to nothing, they won the turnover battle big
- 2:28:02Speaker 2: time and Atlanta outgained them significantly in the game, so
- 2:28:07Speaker 2: that win was not what it appeared. They beat Miami,
- 2:28:10Speaker 2: who cares. They beat Dallas, which is one of their
- 2:28:14Speaker 2: better wins, but in a bad spot for Dallas. They
- 2:28:16Speaker 2: beat the Jets, who cares?
- 2:28:18Speaker 1: They suck.
- 2:28:20Speaker 2: They beat green Baby, You remember that was one of
- 2:28:22Speaker 2: my plays I gave out. I gave out Carolina against
- 2:28:26Speaker 2: green Bay. Green Bay was in a monstrous sandwich spot
- 2:28:28Speaker 2: in that game, so bad spot again, and then Carolina
- 2:28:32Speaker 2: actually lost to New Orleans coming off of that game though,
- 2:28:34Speaker 2: that was a bad spot for Carolina. And then Carolina
- 2:28:37Speaker 2: did win again in overtime against Atlanta in their most
- 2:28:40Speaker 2: recent game. And yes, I know Bryce Young put up
- 2:28:42Speaker 2: a ton of He put up his career performance in
- 2:28:46Speaker 2: that game.
- 2:28:46Speaker 1: Man, he put up a ton of yards.
- 2:28:48Speaker 2: But coming off a career performance like that, I actually
- 2:28:50Speaker 2: think you're in line for a regression and for a
- 2:28:53Speaker 2: personal letdown from Young, like he's not gonna put up
- 2:28:56Speaker 2: four hundred and forty eight passing yards again here, man,
- 2:28:58Speaker 2: I don't think unless they're just airing it out a
- 2:29:00Speaker 2: ton in garbage time when they're losing or something. Carolina also,
- 2:29:05Speaker 2: the travel spot I don't think is good. They have
- 2:29:07Speaker 2: not gone further west than Green Bay this entire season,
- 2:29:11Speaker 2: or no, excuse me, they did. They went to Arizona,
- 2:29:13Speaker 2: my mistake, and they lost to Arizona. My apologies, but
- 2:29:16Speaker 2: they have not gone to the Pacific time zone this
- 2:29:19Speaker 2: entire season.
- 2:29:20Speaker 1: They did come back against.
- 2:29:22Speaker 2: Arizona, they did I think outgain in Arizona, but Arizona
- 2:29:24Speaker 2: was beating them twenty seven to three late in the game,
- 2:29:27Speaker 2: so they did not play well in that game. Now,
- 2:29:30Speaker 2: primetime game West Coast for an East Coast team, you know,
- 2:29:33Speaker 2: I talk about this, it messes with your biological clock.
- 2:29:36Speaker 1: It's the worst spot for an East.
- 2:29:38Speaker 2: Coast team biologically to be in because you're playing late
- 2:29:41Speaker 2: at night based on your biological clock. So even if
- 2:29:44Speaker 2: Carolina is gonna try to get up for it, because
- 2:29:46Speaker 2: San Francisco is a pretty good team, I don't love it, man,
- 2:29:50Speaker 2: I do not. And again I think Carolina is overrated
- 2:29:52Speaker 2: right now.
- 2:29:54Speaker 1: San Francisco.
- 2:29:56Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, the public is back on them a
- 2:29:57Speaker 2: little bit, but the public has had its tendency to
- 2:29:59Speaker 2: not lo them this year, though they might like them
- 2:30:01Speaker 2: a little bit more with Brock Purdy in there. But
- 2:30:03Speaker 2: Perty wasn't good necessarily against Arizona. But the thing about
- 2:30:07Speaker 2: that is that even though yes, I know Arizona outgained
- 2:30:11Speaker 2: them in the game, the final score was misleading. In
- 2:30:14Speaker 2: that game, Arizona completely outgained forty the forty nine ers.
- 2:30:17Speaker 2: They outplayed them, I know, but it was a reverse
- 2:30:21Speaker 2: injured player spot because Brock Perdy it was his first
- 2:30:24Speaker 2: game back.
- 2:30:24Speaker 1: So you've got to expect a little bit of rust.
- 2:30:26Speaker 2: Even though I'm not a party fan, and I think
- 2:30:28Speaker 2: Jones was not that much worse, but in a way,
- 2:30:31Speaker 2: the offense did look better with Purdy out there if
- 2:30:33Speaker 2: you watch some of that game. So this is now
- 2:30:36Speaker 2: going to be the second game with Purdy back. So
- 2:30:38Speaker 2: usually that's a better.
- 2:30:40Speaker 1: Situation for a team.
- 2:30:41Speaker 2: The second game they have that guy back, usually the
- 2:30:43Speaker 2: rhythms back, he's got a game under his belt. Now,
- 2:30:45Speaker 2: I think that's more of a positive for San Francisco.
- 2:30:49Speaker 2: So I like San Francisco in this game. Like that's
- 2:30:52Speaker 2: the way I would lean. I would lay it, although
- 2:30:54Speaker 2: if you wanted to do that, you'd probably have to
- 2:30:55Speaker 2: find seven or you know what. You could tease them
- 2:30:59Speaker 2: or put them in a money parlay, but I think
- 2:31:01Speaker 2: they win the game. So it's they're a good teasers
- 2:31:05Speaker 2: teaser candidate. If you find them at seven and a half,
- 2:31:07Speaker 2: you could drop them down to one and a half
- 2:31:09Speaker 2: through all the key numbers. I would tease them with
- 2:31:11Speaker 2: maybe one of the upcoming games, which I haven't really
- 2:31:13Speaker 2: looked at yet this week, but yeah, I would probably
- 2:31:16Speaker 2: tie them into a teaser for a game that is
- 2:31:19Speaker 2: later this week and the next week.
- 2:31:21Speaker 1: You know what I mean.
- 2:31:22Speaker 2: Because a lot of books will allow you to do that,
- 2:31:24Speaker 2: so that might be the best way to play this.
- 2:31:26Speaker 2: The total has gone up to forty nine and a half,
- 2:31:28Speaker 2: but now it looks like money's coming back on the under.
- 2:31:30Speaker 2: Sixty five percent of tickets on the over, only fifty
- 2:31:33Speaker 2: seven percent of the cash on the over. I don't
- 2:31:36Speaker 2: really see an under in this game though.
- 2:31:38Speaker 1: Forty nine Ers.
- 2:31:39Speaker 2: Their top two defensive players are hurt for the rest
- 2:31:41Speaker 2: of the season, although they've been playing alright without them,
- 2:31:44Speaker 2: but no Bosa and no Warner Panthers their defense is
- 2:31:49Speaker 2: no good either.
- 2:31:50Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't really see the argument for the
- 2:31:53Speaker 1: under in this game.
- 2:31:54Speaker 2: But the total has gone up through that key number
- 2:31:56Speaker 2: of forty seven and a half though, so I don't know.
- 2:31:59Speaker 2: Those are my thoughts on the game. That's gonna do
- 2:32:01Speaker 2: it once again. My plays for the day. Toledo plus three.
- 2:32:04Speaker 2: In college basketball is already underway. Coming up soon Rutgers
- 2:32:08Speaker 2: plus the points, Notre Dame plus the points, Sacred Heart
- 2:32:12Speaker 2: plus the points, Northern Arizona plus the points, Gonzaga minus
- 2:32:16Speaker 2: the points, San Diego State plus the points.
- 2:32:19Speaker 1: Hockey we got the.
- 2:32:20Speaker 2: Blues and the Mammoth on the money line. NBA Dallas
- 2:32:25Speaker 2: plus nine Phoenix hopefully you can get a seven on this.
- 2:32:28Speaker 2: But Phoenix plus the points, Golden State minus the points,
- 2:32:32Speaker 2: Minnesota minus the points, and that is it.
- 2:32:35Speaker 1: Very very jammed day. Man.
- 2:32:37Speaker 2: I didn't expect to have this pact of a day.
- 2:32:41Speaker 2: I appreciate it, guys, Thanks for hanging out. Learn it
- 2:32:43Speaker 2: Tode on Instagram, Learn it toad on Twitter. Like, subscribe
- 2:32:47Speaker 2: to the channel here, give me a comments, good comments,
- 2:32:49Speaker 2: give me a good review on an Apple and Spotify
- 2:32:52Speaker 2: listen over there helps me out too. Covered in yuke
- 2:32:54Speaker 2: on YouTube is my yuke channel, and then patreon dot com.
- 2:32:58Speaker 2: Sach learned it's oh is my Patreon where you can
- 2:33:03Speaker 2: get bonus yuke stuff, Spotify fed and request that I
- 2:33:07Speaker 2: don't pay attention to right now.
- 2:33:09Speaker 1: So, yeah, Bears and Eagles are the luckiest team. Yeah.
- 2:33:13Speaker 2: So the Eagles have won a lot of close games
- 2:33:15Speaker 2: and the Bears are just the most overrated team I've
- 2:33:18Speaker 2: ever seen.
- 2:33:19Speaker 1: I don't know if yeah, I mean, if you.
- 2:33:21Speaker 2: Phrase it as luckiest, I guess I agree the Eagles
- 2:33:24Speaker 2: are one of the luckiest. But the Eagles are not
- 2:33:26Speaker 2: a bad team, Like I wouldn't say the Eagles are
- 2:33:29Speaker 2: actually really necessarily that overrated.
- 2:33:32Speaker 1: So I don't know.
- 2:33:33Speaker 2: That's the Black Friday game that Yahoo guy says the over.
- 2:33:40Speaker 2: I don't disagree with him on that. You gotta you
- 2:33:44Speaker 2: gotta win your fantasy matchup with Purty and Kittle. I
- 2:33:47Speaker 2: just have to avoid like an outlandishly monster performance from
- 2:33:51Speaker 2: the combination of Legott and Christian McCaffrey because I still
- 2:33:55Speaker 2: have doubt all in my flex spot. So hopefully he
- 2:33:57Speaker 2: gets points to counter that. But I'm up by like
- 2:34:00Speaker 2: sixty points, like my opponent had a really bad week,
- 2:34:03Speaker 2: And even though Taylor and Mahomes did nothing for me
- 2:34:05Speaker 2: this week, my week was actually okay.
- 2:34:06Speaker 1: I picked up Wilson on the Cardinals. He was good.
- 2:34:10Speaker 2: I have Borigalis at kicker and he had eighteen points
- 2:34:14Speaker 2: out of my kicker spot the Patriots kicker Hell yeah
- 2:34:17Speaker 2: baby so and then Rashie Rice had another really good
- 2:34:21Speaker 2: game for me, so it wasn't all bad for my team.
- 2:34:27Speaker 2: The squares are gonna be laying it. I disagree, They're
- 2:34:30Speaker 2: not always wrong. The squares are gonna be on an
- 2:34:33Speaker 2: over too, though. I mean the over is definitely a square.
- 2:34:37Speaker 2: The over is like always square in these bailout games
- 2:34:40Speaker 2: of Monday Night. And yes, I agree the favorite is
- 2:34:43Speaker 2: usually also Square, but I don't like it.
- 2:34:46Speaker 1: I don't see it.
- 2:34:46Speaker 2: Caroline is very overrated. I don't like the spot. I
- 2:34:50Speaker 2: think the forty nine ers win and cover. That's gonna
- 2:34:53Speaker 2: do it. I gotta get my show up and whatever.
- 2:34:56Speaker 2: I gotta eat some food. Might have to try the
- 2:34:58Speaker 2: KFC Gravy Flight. It's gonna do it for now, guys.
- 2:35:02Speaker 1: Peace,