Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 45: Hate Week Betting Preview

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Episode 45: Hate Week Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

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Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls at your favorite time a week, get
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download the crazy. She should get you something cold to drink, and you
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getting ready to talk to about some college football. I'm Mark and I'm here
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the podcasting studio and Scotty's at home, brother getting ready for some Thanksgiving for
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some eighte week some egg ball. You got a lot going on this week,
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man, we got a lot going on. I'll tell you what the
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uh the Bulldogs hate week is always a fun time, so it will be
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uh, it'll be a good time. First time I have not been in
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Starkball. We're staying home for multiple reasons that nobody cares if anything about,
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But first time I will not have been in the egg the egg bowl in
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Starkball ever in my life. Really, that's pretty impressive fifty So that's an
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unusual, uh unusual time. So anyway, not gonna be there, So
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I'm a little a little different. If I would, I would be figuring
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out how to get there, if I didn't think we're going to get gas
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camp. Wow. Oh my dogs are so excited about rivalry Week that they're
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even fighting as we sit and record this. So obviously the big game is
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this weekend when you talk about Ohio State and Michigan, but if you go
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across the board, there's so many great rivalry games. And one thing I
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want to point out before we jump into trying to backtrack last week re covering.
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I think I read this where Washington and Washington State are going to work
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this deal out or is it Oregon Oregon State where they're going to keep the
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rivalry together after the conferences dissolving they split apart, which I have not seen
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that, but I hope that's I hope that's right. I just Orgon States
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keep playing because I actually think I mean, look, that's a game Organ's
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kind of dominated, but it is always a good game. Even when they've
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been really good at Oregon State are pretty bad some of those years. It's
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been an interesting game. Let me say it like that. Yeah, I
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do not like pride getting in the way of these rivalry games. We saw
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it happen in Texas, Texas A and mm Bedlum going away is ridiculous to
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me. That game's been played one hundred and eight times or something like that,
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and you know they're just gonna be like, well it's over, move
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on. And I just think it's all ego. You said it right.
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Yeah, it's a couple of things from last week. How bad has USC
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just mailed it in? Wow? They have major problems. Like just I'm
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not talking about Caleb Williams can still play, he's fun to watch. We
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talked about his attitude whatever. But Lincoln Riley just needs to realize. I
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think he started there eleven and one and I looked the other day and he's
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seven and seven in his last fourteen games or something like that, and just
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trying to outscore people is not going to work. And they don't have their
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rosters not that good. I mean, they've got some name brands on it,
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but they are a long way away from being competitive. Moving into the
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Big ten next year is going to be really difficult in my personal opinion,
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because in the mouth my teams have got more talent than them. In some
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cases, they don't have a roster to keep up with it right now.
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And so it's and I from what I've read, and I haven't dug into
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recruiting yet, but I don't even know that they were high school recruiting.
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Is that good so far? Yeah? I wonder how much of it is
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with them as an il breakdown because I know there are some haves and have
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nots in oose faces. That's la. I mean, you've got Taylet Williams
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sponsored by Doctor Pepper, and you know all these other guys, and then
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you've got some some of these dudes. You know, they're making ten grand
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a month, you know, and they're really good players. Because the numbers
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you that everyone hears are wrong. I'm just gonna tell you. You hear
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all these eat baking a million dollars. No he's not. No, it's
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not brus me. I know they're not. I mean it is. I
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know what kind of money old missus gotten there? Nil And they're paying as
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well as anybody that's not an upper marquee team. It's not like they're rolling
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around with ten million dollars. Well, the rumor here is because we played
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Lagway. You know the kid that's going to Florida next year from Willis,
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And the rumor was he was getting four million dollars in high school. And
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I go, that's not true. I catch it a lot who never said
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that. Never believe anything they tell you ever Again, I go four million
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dollars, I go, I go, that's crazy. But anyway, it
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is what it is. Last week was fun. How about the crowd?
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What I want to talk about that game? We didn't pick that game.
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How good were they last week? In a rough environment? The weather was
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bad. I thought they went. I think they went and handled their business
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or agon just is man. They looked good. That rematch is going to
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be so much fun. And Mark, I'm telling you, this is the
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entry. This is the part of college football where it's it is, where
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things be getting away, and the Pac twelve needing, honestly needing to go
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away. If they're gonna put games on Pac twelve network and stuff like that
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where you can't watch real games, they need to go away. But having
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said that, they did this to themselves for so long. These teams are
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legitimately good. If there's two SEC teams doing this, I don't think there's
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either there's no chance, no chance one of them doesn't make the playoffs.
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And I'm telling you if or if Oregon goes and wins that championship, they
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may dick them. I won't be surprised. You just everybody needs to know
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they heard that here first. This is probably the best league in the country,
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especially from the top five or six teams up. I think they're six
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that probably better than anybody else's six that they are. This is a good
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league and those those top couple of teams are really good. And Arizona has
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turned into a really good football team. They're so close to being eleven and
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one after this weekend that it's crazy. So but you let them lose,
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and the way Bama's playing, and Bama goes to the SEC Championship in Beach,
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Georgia, and then you got Michigan and Ohio State doing their thing.
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You better look out, Pack twelve, you better look you better look out.
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Well, we have not had that weekend of chaos that typically happens that
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has saved the committee time and time again. And so it's it's gonna be
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interesting that year in two thousand and seven, Yeah, it was this year.
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It was this weekend that was that was West Virginia Pittsburgh, you know,
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all at chaos that let LSU get into the Natty, let me lost,
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Arizona wins. Saturday in Oregon loses, and Arizona is in the PAC
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twelve championship game, and that really I didn't realize that. Yeah, Oh
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and that team was not good last year and Jed Fish has done a hell
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of a good job with them. You move on to the Big ten Harball
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and not going to be at this game either coaching at Ohio State Boy,
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It's going to be interesting on Saturday. Now. I will say this,
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I was off on my handicap of that game, really bad. The offense
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did not look as good last week. And I don't know if it's because
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you know, there was another week without him. I just can't. I
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mean defense, and we blew that bad. Yeah, you know what,
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we should have seen that coming. That's all it is. It happens,
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it is what it is. But I don't think that has any bearing on
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this weekend. I think I think we have a really really good football team.
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I saw stat this week. Jim Knowles has only given up. You
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remember last week. They last year they had what five touchdowns long touchdowns of
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over forty five yards, some of them were seventy five and eighty yards.
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I mean it's huge gash plays on that on that in that ball game,
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right, they only have one touchdown this year at twenty yards or longer.
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I won't be fascinated to see how the defense does because they got embarrassed against
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these guys last year, but they're banged up, and and and and who
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do they get back? Although it looks like they're running backs are starting to
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get back, so that offense may be getting a little getting a little more
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right, uh to maybe make up for it. So I think it's gonna
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be a great game. I can't get away without talking about rivalry week without
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what is what do you think the best rivalry in college football is? That's
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a good one. Iron Bowl is always fun, or at least it has
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been. The Last Night Bowl is the best. I just I really believe
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there's so much weird shit that's happened in that one. You know, with
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Cam Newton, with the comeback, the picks, you know, the kick
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six, there's it's just because the story go on and punt bamma plunt.
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I mean it goes on and own and own. I mean it's just those
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games and records out the window. Those teams have been so good good,
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I mean, and that rivalry has been bitter for so long. I mean,
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he'ld bear wouldn't go to the planes to play. That's the whadon they
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were always playing. And you know, I mean it's just some real that's
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A. That is A that is a fabulous football game for people that have
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never been. But I am. I'm going to tell you there's no more
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hatred in a rivalry. You make an equal it. You can't get any
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more than state oldmits. Oh no, no. If those two teams were
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nationally relevant and people actually knew about it, yeah, that's uh, it's
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pretty gross. I've been to it twice or and it's it's fun and so
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yeah, it'd be a great game. It's great that it's still on Thanksgiving
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Night because Texas and Texas A and M screwed that up when they gave that
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spot away years ago. That'll be a good one to get back next year.
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Trust me, those guys are you know, it's been interesting with A
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and M and Texas because ten years ago A and M was like, yeah,
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come on, guys, we'll play y'all. And now they're over there
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going like this, Oh, we're gonna have to play Texas again next year,
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and it's like it's like, oh my god, you know we should
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do we should go get another aggie sticker to stick on our super Roos so
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we can you know, everybody knows who we're rooting for. Anyway. But
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yeah, so and I went to Baylor. We don't even really have a
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rival. We just we just beat ourselves every week and so we're just trying
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to get through that. But yeah, this week's great. We haven't had
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the chaos. It could still get weird. Like I said, the Pac
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twelve can elimit it themselves. I'm really interested to see this Florida Florida State
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game. Florida State, if you didn't see it last week, Jordan Travis
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broke his ankle. You know, the hip drop tackle, which is one
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hundred percent legal, but we've seen a couple of key injuries come through with
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that recently. And I kind of wonder if if Florida State wins this game
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and then wins the acc with a backup quarterback, if the ind there and
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we and we end in the situation where we've got all that stuff at the
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top, if they don't look up and pull the easy accord and go,
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well, you know, they got a backup quarterback, so they shouldn't make
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it. And I'm you know, and I always go back to the Ohio
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State where you got you know, Braxton Miller gets hurt. J T.
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Barrett comes in carries him through the whole season, and then you get to
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the last game of the year and you get Cortell Jones coming in or Cardiffs
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was that right, Cardil Jones the third string quarterback for Ohio State, and
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they just bodybag Wisconsin and people thought Wisconsin was going to win that game,
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and they beat the dog out of them, and then they're going to win
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the national championship. And that was the year that Baylor and tc made him
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a first round draft pick. Yeah, one hundred percent, Yeah, first
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round. And that was the year A and M and excuse me, Baylor
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and TCU had the same record in the Big twelve just decided we wouldn't,
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you know, declare who they won the championship. And so the committee just
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went, ah, then if you don't have a champion, then we don't
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need one. And so it's gonna be interesting. This would be the first
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time ever that we've seen it where you actually could have a twelve team playoff,
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and I think it makes sense. But at the same time, I
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kind of think this is the direction the game's going. I think with the
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portal and NIL, I think that the talent pool has been pulled thinner and
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so we're gonna see better teams. I think it's not gonna be odd where
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we're going to see an eight team right now, you know, and a
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team that's seated eight or twelve, it's like they could have a shot to
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pull an upset in the tournament. Once you get in. I wouldn't want
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to play Arizona, to be honest with you, if you're a you know,
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if you're a mid level seat in some of Arizona gets in the tournament,
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or I wouldn't want to match up with the backup team in the pack
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twelve either. I mean jack er right the twelfth team tournament. And again
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kudos to Greg Sankey, the guy's playing checker when I mean chess when everybody
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else is playing checkers, that that move going to them because what he wanted
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was Texas and Oklahoma. But I think he also had the foresight to see,
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man, the portal is changing the game. Let's get our dudes in
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here sooner, so we can get them here a year sooner. If we
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afer up the caveat of twelve team, we'll probably be able to get that
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done. And boom here it is, gets it done and at great timing
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because it is changing the game. You're one hundred percent right, and there
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now are more teams that are capable of beating the top teams. Yeah,
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and I don't think it's as hard to get good either. Now. I
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don't think that the primate you can past. Yeah, it's not a four
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year process or three year processing in the Prime experiment. I'm not knocking what
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he did. He came in that roster was not good. It wasn't like
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he came into Colorado and it was good. Last year. They were one
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of the worst Power five teams in the country. It's not the worst last
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year, and he knew that when he looked at the roster. My favorite
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game day sign I saw last week was the one that said coach Prime sleeps
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with Schder's mom, which I thought was anyway, and I really hope gets
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it figured out at Colorado. I think moving to the Big twelve is a
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great move for them. It'll be an easier conference. He can recruit Texas,
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where he's still a legend. I think he's going to get players in
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there, and I think, to be honest with you, at the high
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school level, he's going to be able to recruit some players that he can
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get in there that he knows he can turn into NFL style, you know,
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players, he's going to do it. And so anyway, marking on
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Colorado, they're right on their over underwin total. They just went over by
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half game. Yeah, and that's you know, and they should have lost
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two more games than they lost already, and so it is what it is.
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But hey, last week's behind us. That's all behind it, Scott.
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This is the best week of football. It starts tonight. If you're
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watching Tuesday Maction, this is the last one. I am almost exhausted from
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college football season. When you're having to do this every single day. There's
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a lot of reading going on. I have gone in so many different ways.
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Had a good weekend last weekend. How about Diego Pavia just going down
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to the planes and getting the big win for the fighting Jerry Kills over Auburn.
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I didn't see that one coming, but we had that one on the
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cover, so we called it right, and uh, that puts us about
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five six games. I think a couple of units above in the Mendoza line
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with this coming up and then gives us double digits above the Mendos lines.
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So we are I think we're plus twelve. Now there we go. All
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right, brother, you ready, man? I am ready. Here we
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go, Scottie. Let's start out and get this one just out of the
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way as quickly as we possibly can. Ohio laying fourteen against Akron. This
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game is gonna be Friday at noon. I'm skipping the Egg Bowl because I'm
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coming back to it. It's gonna be Friday at noon. This is an
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Ohio team that you and I had the highest hopes on of going into the
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season, and frankly, I thought Akron would be better both of these teams
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in my personal opinion of under the form at different levels. Ohio is still
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eight and three straight up, whereas Akron is two and nine. Ohio's not
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gonna win the East. They're not gonna get a chance to play for the
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MAC Championship. This is a really good roster that for some reason could not
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figure it out offensively. Can they come on the road and get a game
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behind them and win this one by fourteen and keep the season and get nine
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wins with a chance to get to ten on a bowl season. Yes,
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this is more about the n aptitude of Akron. I mean, this team
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is not very good. This defense from Ohio get is good and it's going
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to give this offense all kinds of pits. I mean, Akron is only
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scoring sixteen and a half a game. I mean that's it. I can't
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imagine they get above thirteen in this ball game. I mean, look,
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that means I got to get to twenty seven. That's the deal. I
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think I get it done. Over underlying is forty one. I think that's
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what they're looking at, is a twenty seven thirty one, thirteen games,
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something like that. I like Ohio to cover on the road against the fighting
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Joe more Ed. But this game's back to our last MAC game we'll probably
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talk about because you're gonna have to dig to find some ways to bet on
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the MAC and Bowl season, because there's some bad teams in the MAC this
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year. Scotty Egg Bowl, Stark Vegas getting ten Old miss over unders fifty
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five Old Misses coming in here. They're nine to two. They win this
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when they get ten wins. If y'all win this one, you get to
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go to a bowl game if you want to get some extra practices. If
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you won this game, I bet y'all's roster would have less scholarship players on
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it. Than that that LSU team that played the Texas Bowl a couple of
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years ago with like thirty five Skylly kids on that. You remember that after
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the game, I think we only dressed out like forty one against Technic a
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couple of years ago in the Liberty Bowl was Skylli. I mean, you
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know, look, there won't be anybody there. Unfortunately, there's some six
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year guys and fifty year guys that would probably play. So look, this
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game has changed perception a lot with the return of Will Rogers and Juquevius fivey
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and I mean Jiquevius Marks. Look, I that's that's great, But you
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actually have to be able to throw the ball and you have to be able
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to protect for Will Rogers to actually throw the ball, and I don't think
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they can. And I don't think this defense is good enough on the back
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end to stop this old Miss team. I don't. I think this line
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going down is nuts. I cannot figure out what everybody in Vegas is watching.
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Great, it's a rivalry of great states. Fired up. Great,
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They've got Roger back, that's all great. They can't cover anybody, I
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mean they are neked in the backfield. If you didn't watch that game last
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week. Then you're not aware of how many times Southern got behind them held
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their first cutch down was set up by like a seventy five yard TV.
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You can't cover the buzzards. You got no chance to cover Kiffin. He's
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gonna find a way to get guys open and get some big plays. This
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is a talented offense. Kiffin is going to dial it up. Everybody is
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talking about that. He seems like a different lane Kiffen this week. I'll
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tell you why it seems different, because he got as ass whip last year
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in this game and he got to find out on the end. He's been
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rubbing in everybody's face first the first few years up there, and he's had
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to eat it for a year. And let me tell you, he doesn't
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enjoy it any more than anybody else, and neither does any old miss fan.
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They're gonna come out, They're gonna play well. Minus the linebacker spot.
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There's not very many spots Missippi States better than them. And it ain't
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quarterback. And I like Will Rogers. That's not a shot at Will Rogers
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at all. But at the bottom line is Jackson Drrit's more talented than he
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is they're more talented at running back and we just talked about Mark's coming back,
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and then every other spot they're better. Offensive lines are both bad.
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Defensive line, State's got a couple of guys they would take, but other
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than that, that's it. Defensive backfield they're better. I think Old Miss
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wins this game. I think they win it comfortably, and I expect them
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to win this by maybe three touchdowns. I'm stunning this line's not fourteen.
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Yeah, I agree with you. I bet this early to be on.
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So I saw a nine and a half pop and took it because I was
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surprised it was as tight as it was. I know, weird stuff happens,
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I've seen it. But the difference is, I think these rosters are
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better now than they were in some of the weird games a couple of years
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ago when no one was relevant, and that's where I think the difference is
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gonna be. I also think Kiffin is quietly one of the top fifteen coaches
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in the country, and the fact that he's got this thing moving in the
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right direction, he's got a better roster. That's here. I love the
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relationship that he's manfested with Jackson Dart again. I watched it with Matt Corrall.
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I thought corral would be a hot head, asshole, and by the
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time he graduated, he was a leader on the field. He played hard,
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his teammates wanted to play for him. You're seeing a lot of those
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same characteristics out of Jackson Dart. It's a big rivalry game, big win.
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Let's roll with the rebels, Let's head all the way to Pacific Northwest.
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On Friday, Oregon Oregon State be matched up in Odson Stadium over under
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sixty two and a half. Oregon's laying thirteen and a half. I'm gonna
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buy it right now before it hits fourteen. That seems like a big number.
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This Oregon team is playing really good. In my opinion, they're probably
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one of the top two teams in the nation. I've got a Washington ticket
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to win the conference. I've got a Washington ticket to win the Natty.
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I think both are still one hundred percent live because I think those teams are
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very very small separation between the two. But I think there's a big gap
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between Oregon and Oregon State here and I think Oregon comes out and gets it
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done. And where I look forwards on the defensive side of the ball.
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I think they're going to really cause some problems for Oregon State. You know,
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shut down. They don't give up a lot of explosive plays, and
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so I look for this team to really shut it down and be able to
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contain what Oregon State wants to do, and possibly even shut down the run
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game and kind of making one dimension a little bit with ug Ndalaila and I
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just think there he'll make a mistake. It's going to be on the road.
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I just still don't have a lot of faith in the kid. But
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I like Oregon here to cover this one. Playing thirteen and a half,
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I think they kind of win this one going away. Man, I'm going
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to say some of this Oregon offenses is really good. It's fun to watch
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him. Those to bownecks. I mean, he got no coaching on the
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planes, none because Malezon had never developed a quarterback. There's that internet rumor
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running around the states are in maleson God. I hope not. I may
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turn in my fan guard. I mean, you can't win at Auburn,
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you sure as hell ain't gonna win and starkble, but that's a whole nother
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story. I love that he's gone out there gotten himself right. That's a
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great story just to and he is having such a great season. I do
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think and look, Fennix is winning, they're undefeated, but and and the
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numbers are very very close. But Nicks just and it may be even him
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in the flash and the and the Oregon jerseys and all that, because their
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numbers really aren't that that different when you look at them and really kind of
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dive into it. I think I think Daniels is the hiding the winner.
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I think his numbers are just techmo bol ish against that just because of LSU's
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average, don't mean he is he great every week, just because that LSU
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defense sucks in his fault. That dude is a video game. So I
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think he ought to win the Heisman. But I think right behind her Nixon,
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Pinnix, and I think Nix is having a great year. And I
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think the bottom line is they are. Look, these stats are just nasty.
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And this gets down to Oregon State's gonna really have trouble running the ball.
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You said the defense was gonna be the difference. They're giving up less
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than one hundred yards rushing three point four yards of carry. They are averaging
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one hundred and ninety six yards on the ground and six point one to carry.
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Oh when they throw for three point fifty and over nine yards of unattempt,
23:38
that is really hard to defend, and that is really hard to get
23:45
a team behind the chains. And this they Oregon State needs this game to
23:51
be lower scoring, and I just don't think they've got the horsepower to keep
23:55
these guys under it. I mean to look at last week in the rain,
23:56
how balanced that team was. They're getting the exact same thing, except
24:00
this time they're on the road because there's not a dimes dollar a difference,
24:04
and these two teams are both great quarterbacks and really good football teams. Give
24:10
me the ducks, We'll lay it. James Madison, Baby, that's where
24:14
we're going next. Let's go to the dirty Myrtle and Coastal. The game
24:17
day environment last week at JMU was fantastic. You couldn't hear yeah, you
24:22
couldn't hear them on the set. It was awesome. I've never been to
24:26
a game there, but i've been to watching them play a couple of times
24:27
when they played in the FCS Natty. Great, great environment, and that
24:32
team I think what happened to him last week is just the pressure was just
24:36
too big. I mean, you think about this as a team that went
24:38
into the season hoping to be good, and now they're like, let us
24:41
go out. We talked about that two weeks ago. Yeah, the best
24:45
players out man, maybe the game wrecker on defense too, Yeah, and
24:49
it was like, let us go bowling, do all these things. They
24:52
just finally caught up to him last week, and they still almost won that
24:55
game. This week. I think when they go to Coastal they get a
24:57
little grit in their teeth. This is their last game of the season.
25:02
You're gonna want to go out with the win, even though it's on the
25:03
road. And then the other thing you got to go into this game is
25:06
Grayson McCall who he's out with a concussion, and I read some reports that
25:10
said it hadn't been good, like mentally physically. He's not gonna play.
25:15
Vasco, the backup quarterback. He didn't play last week for Coastal and they
25:18
rolled with the third stringer. I think Vasco is going to be back,
25:22
but I think jam You bounces back here covers this game by ten, even
25:26
though they're out with the defensive ends out. I still think they were gonna
25:29
be able to shut down this Coastal Carolina defense, I mean the offense.
25:33
And I think James Madison goes out with a big win, probably wins by
25:36
fourteen in this one, and we'll give them the Mythical Sun Belt Championship kind
25:41
of like UCF won the Mythical Natty a few years ago, and give them
25:45
the belt that I like jmu in this spot to cover this number and bounce
25:48
back. These are against the spread combined. Yeah, they're good. I
25:53
mean, these teams are both in cover machines this year. But I agree
25:57
with you. I think James Madison gets it on the bounce back lay in
26:00
the nine. Next one I got Scott is it's a hot one. Uh
26:07
you want to go. Let's go to your three team barlay that you got
26:10
rolled up in here. This one's kind of funny. South South Carolina,
26:14
Florida and NC State walk me through this one, all right? Well,
26:18
first off, obviously in Florida one's obvious, which I just want to say,
26:25
man, that injury last week, that was nasty. I want to
26:29
tell you that if we're going to do all we're doing, throwing guys out
26:34
for the targeting, and I mean, hell, you a guy with a
26:37
helmet the stomach in its targeting. I mean, it is asinine. How
26:42
far are we taking it? But we're gonna let all these people sit down
26:47
and break people's legs, I mean, because he's just smooth. And look,
26:49
I understand it's the tackling technique, you know, But we're losing great
26:55
players. You saw Mark Andrews do it in the NFL. You see Florida
26:57
State lose. They're literally Heisman Trophy potential winning quarterback. Get his leg bre
27:03
I mean, and it was a nasty break. I mean just I mean,
27:07
his leg was nasty. Can we please outlaw this tackle bullshit? Because
27:14
that's what it is and that is But that gets back to why this game
27:18
is why I think Florida covers. This is a great rivalry game. I
27:22
think obviously Jordan Travis is such a difference maker. Florida State is more talented,
27:29
They are the better football team, blah blah blah, and go on
27:32
and on and on and on. But they just lost a really, really
27:34
good football player and they got to go on the road to play the Gators,
27:41
who actually played pretty darn well last week on the road at at Missoo
27:45
at Miszoo Zoo had to get that win late UH in that ball game.
27:49
So I actually like the Gators to get to six wins and get the upset
27:56
this week to start a little bit pandemonium and clear the board for the UH,
28:03
for the group and for the group of the committee. And my next
28:08
game is South Carolina plus seven. Game Costs just haven't quit, And I'm
28:14
not positive this team's not equally as good or better. I think the seven
28:18
is a gift. They're at home. I think they got a chance to
28:21
get against Jimbo since the look, I'm starting to think that might have been
28:25
Jimbo's brother that called in. I mean Jimbo Dabo's brother that called in,
28:32
because Uh, they've looked so much better since that rant on the phone call.
28:37
I mean, they have been a significantly better football team, but they're
28:41
still very, very flawed. And look that that defense for South Carolina should
28:47
scare everybody. They had no business on the field with them last year,
28:51
and they figured out how to get it done on the road. I think
28:53
the game Costs can do it twice. But I love the numbers here that
28:57
I like all of these as an upset because you're getting great you're getting great
29:03
odds. So we're talking about the parlay and the next is in C State
29:07
because I just can't figure out North Carolina. I mean they did not look
29:12
very good last week. I mean I was completely underwhelmed. I thought they
29:17
made a ton of mistakes, you know, and here they go on the
29:21
road to NC State, who quietly it is eight and three. I mean,
29:26
nobody probably realizes it because they've lost a couple of games that people were
29:32
actually paying attention to them, and they lost and didn't play great, and
29:36
then boom, they've carried out the rest of their schedule and now they're eight
29:38
and three. I like all three of these teams wrap it up into parlay.
29:42
But you got a chance to make some money taking the numbers of these
29:47
guys, because I think that are going to be close football games everywhere,
29:51
home dogs getting points. Take you a little, just a little pizza money
29:56
on the little pizza money on the parlay, and then take these guys.
30:00
Take take one or two of these guys with the with the line with the
30:06
number. I mean, if you're brave enough you really like one of them,
30:08
just take a money line and find yourself a nice payday on Saturday.
30:14
I'll be a nice three game money line parlay payout, or you can put
30:15
it into a round robin a three gamer that would pay probably about twelve fifteen
30:21
to one. I'd have to do the calculations on it with the numbers that
30:23
you've got into it. So yes, that will be some fun for some
30:26
pizza money. Next one, Scottie, let's go back to the Pacific Northwest.
30:30
Talk about U DUB in Washington State. This is an interesting game here,
30:36
Like you'dub a lot of U Dub's one of those teams. It's like
30:38
it's been good all year. They haven't lost yet, they've got marquy wins.
30:44
And if you go look at their record at the end of the season
30:45
and look who they played, I mean they're gonna end up having played and
30:49
beaten three to five top fifteen teams when it's all said and done. I
30:55
mean, depending on where you want to put Utah and those types of things.
30:57
And so this is a solid squad. They're going to be at home
31:00
Saturday afternoon. Best thing I can tell. I don't think the weather's going
31:03
to be terrible. But this Utah, this Washington team has just shown that
31:07
they can get it done, and I think they're going to crush Washington State.
31:11
I love cam Ward. I think he's fun to watch, and I
31:14
think the Washington State story was great when they came out early this year and
31:18
they won five or six in a row. Well, they've dumped for their
31:22
last five games, with their only big win coming over Colorado. They've had
31:26
some close ones, but this UB team, I think they can see it
31:30
and they realize we got to take care of business, get this one done.
31:33
I think they're very well coached. I think they're very well led.
31:37
I love Kaitlin de Boor. I think they get this one done in big
31:41
way, moving on into the Pac twelve Championship the following week. I think
31:45
this one they run out by at least twenty one. I just think they're
31:48
two one dimensional more to beat this football team, and I think that is
31:53
really what it gets into. They'll turn the football over it a few times
31:56
on the road, and I think that's how this number gets covered. For
32:00
Washington. They're one dimensional, which makes them make some mistakes. May lead
32:05
to some big plays too, but it will make them make some mistakes.
32:07
Washington is a really, really good football team. In the bottom line is
32:10
they'll get juiced to play this ball game, even though last week was a
32:15
big game as well. Not hard to come back when you're at home and
32:20
play really well two weeks in a row, especially when it's arrival. So
32:23
there's no hangover for me here. I like Washington to later points there.
32:27
It is that much better than was it. Yes, let's go down to
32:30
the Bayou LSU Texas. A and M will be playing in a common spot
32:35
for LSU at eleven o'clock Saturday morning. I'm joking. I don't even know
32:38
if the Cajuns will be a week for this one by the time they get
32:42
there. This is an interesting spot because last year A and M won this
32:45
game and LSU it's already secured a spot going into the SEC Championship if they
32:50
won this game. This LSU defense is not that great, but neither's A
32:53
and M's offense. I still think you get some points in here. I'm
32:57
going to LSU on the explosion. I think Brian Kelly wants Jaden Daniels to
33:00
win the Heisman, and I think that was evident last week when you watched
33:04
him against Georgia State. I think we see a lot of fireworks in this
33:07
one as well, and I think they beat that ass, but they cover
33:10
a big number, and I think that LSU walks away and they get this
33:14
one as a win. But I'm going over the total at sixty six and
33:16
a half. I think A and M, if they get a chance,
33:19
is going to hang a double nickel on these guys. I think, Look,
33:24
I think LSU's probably going to score fifty. I mean, I really
33:29
do. I think they're gonna score in the forties and I think l I
33:31
think A and M is gonna have a chance to score too. So I
33:35
think it's number maybe a little big because I told you I like the quarterback
33:42
for A and M. He looked great against State, looked good again last
33:45
week. Makes them a little more you know a little more balanced. So
33:51
I think they're gonna be able to score on a putred LSU defense. I
33:54
mean, hell, Misissippi State's the only team that hadn't been able to score
33:58
on them all year. I mean, it is, that's crazy, it
34:00
is. I mean it is really bad. But Daniel, as you know,
34:06
it's just gonna put up video game numbers. So yes, I like
34:09
the big sixty six and a half. Let's go over. I like it
34:13
because I think I can get to forty. I got a couple more games,
34:16
yeah, forty six game almost forty seven a game. A couple more
34:22
games I'll throw out there having to sided up. These will be official picture
34:24
or not. Jackson Jacksonville State traveling to New Mexico State. It's gonna be
34:30
a game no one's gonna watch. It's actually gonna be a really good game.
34:32
I like Jacksonville State here. It's a bad spot for New Mexico State
34:37
after that huge win at Auburn last week. But Jack and I'm not saying
34:39
just because the spot and Jacksonville State can get it done. I've watched a
34:44
lot of games that this team's played. They got some tempo. I like
34:46
what rich Rod's done there. They got a lot of grit, a lot
34:50
of fight in New Mexico State's already locked up a spot I think to play
34:52
in their conference tournament the next week. So I'm thinking you could see a
34:55
little bit of a look past spot here, get you at Jacksonville State up
35:00
set. And then the other one I like is utsa two lane over the
35:04
toll uh. I love two lane love Willie Fritz with the defense has been
35:08
a little bit suspected times here for this two lane team. And UTSA with
35:13
Frank Harris, and you know, he's almost a doctor at this point,
35:15
he's been in school so long. They can put up some points at over
35:19
fifty two. So I probably got a little lean on both of those.
35:22
That all decide if I'm gonna play as we get closer to Saturday. Yeah,
35:25
I like the other the other couple of games that I like. Man,
35:30
I have been riding Arizona and riding them and riding them and just gonna
35:35
take this bad boy all the way to the end. Give me the eleven
35:37
and a half at Arizona State. That's a good football team. They change
35:40
quarterbacks in one and they're eleven and one. That's about they're headed. This
35:46
is they're playing Saturday for eleven and one they have If they have changed quarterbacks,
35:51
no chance they lose to Mississippi State. Remember that five picks in that
35:54
game. I think States had like two since then. I mean, seriously,
36:00
I'm not kidding. They have not. I know they hadn't had five
36:02
since then, So I mean it is a different deal. Jet Johnson is
36:07
our leading interception guy. By the way, also our middle linebacker. Yes,
36:12
that's a middle linebacker and he has a stunning three two of them are
36:15
in the air Zona game, so that is just a just a game to
36:21
keep her out on. And then I kind of like Oklahoma at TCU,
36:23
TCUs a hot mess, not very good Oklahoma's at home. I kind of
36:29
liked them here to get this done against the Dyke's crew. I can agree
36:37
with that when TCU has been a mess for a bit. I knew they
36:40
would get up big for the Baylor game last week, but I don't know
36:43
how much they got left in the tank. So that being since Scottie,
36:45
that's my board, brother, you got anything else you want through out there?
36:49
No, man, I think that is it. We are. I'll
36:52
tell you. I'm I'm excited about this weekend. I love watching these games,
36:58
the passion of these games. There are some rivalry games that I cannot
37:01
wait to go to. Uh. I think we have decided that me and
37:06
a group of dad are gonna start taking our boys to a to a game
37:09
every year, and we're gonna just start out and going rivalry weeks first.
37:14
Just go full on. Just get in doctor Natum early. I mean,
37:17
I mean there will be some great games. Michigan Penn State, I mean,
37:21
Michigan Alive. Stay. I mean, there's gonna be some great games
37:23
because we're gonna start basically mid November to the end of the year and to
37:29
take some games. You know, I've been to several Alabama Auburn games,
37:35
but would I mean really look forward to that. So it's gonna be a
37:37
it's gonna be a good time. Unfortunately, I will not be able to
37:40
get a couple of games because obviously realignments are changing them, so so we'll
37:46
see. But it's gonna be a lot of fun. That being said,
37:50
folks, everybody have a wonderful, safe holiday. Enjoy you some turkey.
37:53
Hopefully next week I'll have my voice back, but I doubt it because I'll
37:57
be sitting in another high school football playoff game on Saturday, which I'm sure
38:00
I'll get too excited and start screaming my ass off again like I did last
38:04
week. Play this week, the Woodlands plays this team called Duncanville this week.
38:09
Inside yeah terribly so yeah, don't know, and don't know Texas high
38:15
school football. Duncanville's a football factory, so the Woodlands is likely to get
38:21
absolutely destroyed. And they've got probably eight or ten guys that are gonna play
38:23
D one. The Wolds, I think there's I think there's four or five
38:27
on our roster that are gonna go D one. But yeah, the edge
38:30
rusher that plays for Duncanville, he literally last year he looks like he lines
38:34
up in our backfield to start the play because he is so fast coming around
38:37
the corner. So Colin Simmons is his name. So yes, if you've
38:40
got nothing to do, just do your little search on Duncanville football. There's
38:44
some the Duncanville De Soto game on TikTok's pretty interesting to watch. I think
38:47
there were thirty seven personal files in that one. But we'll see that.
38:52
Being said, everybody have a great week. We'll be back next week as
38:54
we get ready for conference championship games. Hopefully we've got a few more dollars
39:00
in our pocket as we are trying to wrap this one up with yet another
39:02
winning season.