Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 06/23/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yeah, ball system's going clear. We lift up.
- 0:41Speaker 2: What is going on?
- 0:42Speaker 3: Shimnation YouTube station, got my guy bong Rips safety meeting,
- 0:47Speaker 3: Gee Rising, Golfer, Bowler, gambler, junkie. We're ready to break
- 0:52Speaker 3: down this as it stands right now. Nine game slate.
- 0:58Speaker 3: I'm not sure if it's gonna hold up nine games late.
- 1:01Speaker 3: We saw yesterday the Cubs and the Mets get postponed,
- 1:05Speaker 3: which I didn't see coming.
- 1:06Speaker 2: That's why I'm not a meteorologist.
- 1:08Speaker 3: That's why I'm the donkey here talking baseball and trying
- 1:11Speaker 3: to make sense of make sense of everything. Right, But
- 1:15Speaker 3: the Dodgers and the Twins does look like the lone
- 1:18Speaker 3: weather spot to pay attention to. I know some people
- 1:21Speaker 3: in our discord we're talking about the Rockies and that
- 1:24Speaker 3: Coolers Field game having tornado warnings and stuff around there.
- 1:28Speaker 3: As it stands, it doesn't look to be an issue
- 1:32Speaker 3: right now, but we do have to monitor that. The
- 1:34Speaker 3: biggest spot, like I said, is the Twins and the Dodgers,
- 1:37Speaker 3: and hey, our guy Joe Ryan scratched and said, hey,
- 1:39Speaker 3: I don't want to mess with the Dodgers and this weather,
- 1:42Speaker 3: so I'm just gonna sit this one out and say here,
- 1:44Speaker 3: you go throw it to the bullpen and let these
- 1:46Speaker 3: guys fight through it against the best offensive baseball.
- 1:49Speaker 2: We'll do our best to break it all down.
- 1:51Speaker 3: We got massive, massive contest over on DraftKings, the big
- 1:54Speaker 3: Mega with two hundred k out top. Hopefully I see
- 1:57Speaker 3: that in my DraftKings account when I wake up, because
- 2:01Speaker 3: God knows, I don't stay up for the end of
- 2:03Speaker 3: these games.
- 2:04Speaker 2: I gotta get up in golf in the morning.
- 2:05Speaker 3: Gee, Risen, you just talked about some golf coming in
- 2:09Speaker 3: the little dust and your partner off in a little
- 2:11Speaker 3: little friendly competition that league last night, So I'll bring
- 2:15Speaker 3: you in man, Happy Tuesday.
- 2:16Speaker 2: What's going on? Brother?
- 2:19Speaker 4: Man? It's always fun getting on here talking some baseball,
- 2:22Speaker 4: and you know, I get easily entertained and distracted. And
- 2:26Speaker 4: your cat over there must have some kind of something
- 2:29Speaker 4: in your chair because he's been like digging in your
- 2:31Speaker 4: chair and stuff there. But yeah, I mean he's he's
- 2:34Speaker 4: got him something over there, a little mouse or fly
- 2:37Speaker 4: or something. I mean mine, if a fly comes in
- 2:39Speaker 4: my house names it don't stand a damn chance. We
- 2:41Speaker 4: get like the Stopwatch out, like see if this dude
- 2:44Speaker 4: will make it longer than thirty seconds because that cat
- 2:47Speaker 4: jumped like eight feet in the air and snag that shit.
- 2:50Speaker 4: But either way, but yeah, always fun getting into baseball. Like, man,
- 2:55Speaker 4: like pitching tonight, literally you're gonna have to get the
- 2:57Speaker 4: whiskey bottle out for literally every.
- 2:59Speaker 5: One of the dudes.
- 3:00Speaker 4: And I like, holy shit, man, I was looking at
- 3:02Speaker 4: it like okay, okay, yeah, oh oh no, that's not good.
- 3:07Speaker 4: Oh man, Like, dude, like half the teams have team
- 3:10Speaker 4: totals over four point five, Like it's uh, I mean
- 3:13Speaker 4: it's usually you don't see that, like it's you know,
- 3:15Speaker 4: that means almost every game should be over total of
- 3:17Speaker 4: nine to day out of nine games like that just
- 3:19Speaker 4: don't really don't happen. But yeah, I mean lots offense
- 3:22Speaker 4: we're gonna be able to talk about. I mean needs.
- 3:25Speaker 4: I truly think pitching today is just avoid the landmine,
- 3:29Speaker 4: you know what I'm saying. Like, if you can get
- 3:31Speaker 4: like eighteen to twenty points out of any dude, just
- 3:33Speaker 4: be happy as shit, because I don't think you're gonna
- 3:35Speaker 4: get beat by pitching today. You may lose because of
- 3:38Speaker 4: pitching today if they suck, because there's a handful of
- 3:41Speaker 4: guys that we're definitely not gonna want to play, but uh,
- 3:45Speaker 4: I mean interesting, interesting kind of slate. But hey, it's fun.
- 3:49Speaker 4: We got a lot of offense we can talk about.
- 3:51Speaker 4: We all like some offense. Pretty I mean, we got
- 3:53Speaker 4: a course field game with the Boston Like, maybe we
- 3:56Speaker 4: want to fade the Red Sox. I mean they haven't
- 3:58Speaker 4: hit for shit. I mean we get to the Brewers,
- 4:01Speaker 4: maybe we'll maybe I like the Brewers Naids. You never know,
- 4:04Speaker 4: I I'm you know, I might, I might. You never
- 4:07Speaker 4: know we'll get that far. But uh yeah, good times,
- 4:10Speaker 4: good times. We got coming in the fourth of July
- 4:13Speaker 4: week coming in high It's gonna be like one hundred
- 4:15Speaker 4: damned degrees here in Michigan, so ain't nothing better.
- 4:18Speaker 5: Can sit in the house.
- 4:19Speaker 4: We got some World Cup going on, we got some
- 4:22Speaker 4: baseball going on. I could sit in the air conditioning
- 4:24Speaker 4: and have me u you know, a little safety meeting.
- 4:27Speaker 5: I gotta go outside for that. The way will shoot me.
- 4:30Speaker 4: But uh, you know, still like get me a lucky one,
- 4:33Speaker 4: hang out watching ball, good times, good times. Other than
- 4:35Speaker 4: net and needs the County fairs up there. I'll see
- 4:38Speaker 4: Hoop up there this week up the beer tent with
- 4:40Speaker 4: him and his family. We'll have some beers, hang out
- 4:43Speaker 4: and uh, you know, eat some Carnie food.
- 4:45Speaker 5: And get fatter. I mean why not.
- 4:47Speaker 4: I mean, hoop ain't fat, but I'm fat. But either way,
- 4:50Speaker 4: good times, neids, good times. Let's let's win us some
- 4:53Speaker 4: loot tonight. Yeah, let's uh, let's win some loot skis
- 4:57Speaker 4: here tonight.
- 4:57Speaker 3: Then yeahs it is close your eyes and pick two
- 5:01Speaker 3: pictures because DraftKings makes you and uh hopefully you don't
- 5:05Speaker 3: get the guys that score seven DraftKings points like a
- 5:09Speaker 3: lot of the pitchers last night outside of Brady Singer,
- 5:12Speaker 3: Brandon Woodriff, some of those guys in that late game,
- 5:15Speaker 3: Dylan Cease wasn't there, Hunter Brown wasn't there. Speaking of
- 5:19Speaker 3: seven points, he got a nice seven points and eleven k.
- 5:22Speaker 3: That was nice to see in your lineup if you
- 5:24Speaker 3: played some low owned Hunter Brown. But yeah, we'll do
- 5:28Speaker 3: our best to talk through it. We got knin bronco
- 5:30Speaker 3: in here. Michael W. Warren, Tyler, Gane Green, our guy
- 5:33Speaker 3: Sean Sullivan catching the show before he takes the mountain
- 5:37Speaker 3: coors Field there, so good luck to him. Michael W. Says,
- 5:40Speaker 3: farewell to Giannis. Yeah I don't care about the NBA.
- 5:43Speaker 3: So even being a homer there people can say what
- 5:45Speaker 3: they want. I don't really care. I don't watch the
- 5:48Speaker 3: NBA anyways. I'd rather enjoy my life there and Ricky
- 5:53Speaker 3: Rose and yeah, my cat, my cat showing his skills
- 5:57Speaker 3: back there.
- 5:58Speaker 2: He's a wild one.
- 5:58Speaker 3: What they say, those orange tabby cats go crazy and
- 6:02Speaker 3: finally he gets freedom. My girlfriend's two cats that she
- 6:07Speaker 3: brought when she moved in with me have their claws.
- 6:09Speaker 3: He doesn't have his clause because the apartment complex and
- 6:13Speaker 3: let's just say the the old mama kid, he doesn't
- 6:16Speaker 3: get along with him and tries to tries to run
- 6:18Speaker 3: the house. So he plays hot lob on the floor
- 6:20Speaker 3: until he comes into dad's office when the.
- 6:23Speaker 2: When the door closed, and then he goes crazy.
- 6:25Speaker 3: So yeah, poor poor guy over here, I always get
- 6:28Speaker 3: stuck by both of her cats.
- 6:29Speaker 2: Tries to get his launch, but hey, guess what, gee Risen.
- 6:33Speaker 2: They say, when you're.
- 6:33Speaker 3: Old and slow, the young and the young and quick
- 6:36Speaker 3: ones get get their way, and he still gets revenge
- 6:38Speaker 3: because he's faster than both those suckers. Even though calls
- 6:42Speaker 3: to defend himself and they try and come after him,
- 6:45Speaker 3: he shoots up he can launch from the floor up
- 6:48Speaker 3: to the up to the top of the fridge, damn near.
- 6:50Speaker 2: So those guys are.
- 6:51Speaker 5: It's crazy when they fight.
- 6:52Speaker 4: They're like those fucking like the you know what, what
- 6:55Speaker 4: was that movie the Neo, you know, like when they
- 6:58Speaker 4: were doing all the crazy flips interest I forgot the
- 7:01Speaker 4: name of it now, but dude, that's what they fight like. Man,
- 7:03Speaker 4: they'll get each other. Like my two do the same
- 7:05Speaker 4: damn thing. One's old and ones young, and it's not.
- 7:08Speaker 4: It's actually kind of entertaining.
- 7:09Speaker 5: When you're high.
- 7:10Speaker 2: You just kind of laugh every night. Every night.
- 7:13Speaker 3: I laughs left my ass off. When the gummy hits it,
- 7:16Speaker 3: it's in the cats are going crazy. But let's uh,
- 7:21Speaker 3: let's go ahead and jump in here. I'm gonna go
- 7:23Speaker 3: ahead and at our slate station up on the screen here,
- 7:26Speaker 3: g risen and flip it over. We're gonna talk this
- 7:29Speaker 3: pitching slates even though we don't want to. Let's hit
- 7:33Speaker 3: the eight K and above tier because I do think
- 7:35Speaker 3: major at least two of the arms that people want
- 7:38Speaker 3: to play come from up here, and I think they're
- 7:40Speaker 3: both fairly solid arms. You got parser Parker Messick all
- 7:45Speaker 3: the way up at the top at nine to three,
- 7:48Speaker 3: down to Edward Cabrera at eight k flat, Shane Boz,
- 7:53Speaker 3: Parker Messick headline this trio or this this kind of
- 7:56Speaker 3: top tier if you will, Messik being the most expensive guys.
- 8:00Speaker 3: He's been solid. There is some some red flags, as
- 8:03Speaker 3: there is with pretty much everyone on the slate here.
- 8:05Speaker 3: G Risen some of his underlying metrics there, and yeah,
- 8:11Speaker 3: the matchup's great, but I mean nine to three, he's
- 8:14Speaker 3: not bulletproof by any means. He's gonna be owned as such.
- 8:16Speaker 3: Projections wise, he's the sp one ownership. Like I said,
- 8:20Speaker 3: between him Boz and then two guys were gonna get down.
- 8:22Speaker 3: It's really a forehead and race that everybody wants to play,
- 8:25Speaker 3: and then it sprinkles of kind of everyone else. So
- 8:28Speaker 3: talk to me, really hit on Shane Boz and Parker Messick.
- 8:31Speaker 3: You got Robleski at eighty eight hundred has been up
- 8:34Speaker 3: and down for the most part, is in the lone
- 8:36Speaker 3: weather game there, so that likely gonna take more people
- 8:40Speaker 3: off of him and filter that to either Parker Messick
- 8:43Speaker 3: or down to Shane Boz if that game does get waxed.
- 8:46Speaker 3: And either way, people weren't really clicking that name with
- 8:48Speaker 3: the weather concerns and just from a projection standpoint, I
- 8:52Speaker 3: mean he's five hundred dollars less projected for almost four
- 8:55Speaker 3: points lower than Parker Messick, and that's what drives ownership.
- 8:58Speaker 2: As I talk about all the time.
- 9:00Speaker 3: In this game that we play, Sonny Gray doesn't really
- 9:03Speaker 3: stand out to me. Edward Cabrera don't love him, but
- 9:07Speaker 3: fairly solid place to pitch there. I think the guy
- 9:10Speaker 3: that's kind of sneaky up here in this tier would
- 9:12Speaker 3: be an Erod at eighty five hundred against the Cardinals.
- 9:15Speaker 3: I know Carlin is a red hot, but if you're
- 9:17Speaker 3: looking to get kind of contrarian in this top tier,
- 9:19Speaker 3: a guy who can go long into games and could
- 9:24Speaker 3: be okay, I wouldn't mind taking a shot. I'd rather
- 9:27Speaker 3: take a shot at e Rod in that matchup versus
- 9:30Speaker 3: Sonny Gray and Course Field.
- 9:32Speaker 2: But talk to me up here, who do you see
- 9:34Speaker 2: in this top tier? Yeah?
- 9:36Speaker 5: Man, it gets ugly.
- 9:37Speaker 4: I mean you got Parker Messix sitting up there all
- 9:41Speaker 4: the way. You know he's at ninety three hundred on DK.
- 9:45Speaker 4: I mean you just you sit and look, you know,
- 9:48Speaker 4: like you said, a couple of red flags. I mean
- 9:50Speaker 4: he's pitching for the Indians. The Indians pretty much have
- 9:52Speaker 4: the lowest team total offensively all night, so I'm kind
- 9:55Speaker 4: of concerned about him even maybe looking at a possible win.
- 9:58Speaker 4: The White Sox do hit lefties fairly well. I mean,
- 10:02Speaker 4: they're not bad, so that's another concern. They do strike out,
- 10:06Speaker 4: though they do have some strikeouts in that lineup. I
- 10:09Speaker 4: think there they strike out in the top ten against
- 10:11Speaker 4: lefties in baseball. But you know, MESSI twenty seven percent
- 10:16Speaker 4: to the right side. He's down to twenty three percent
- 10:18Speaker 4: to the left side, so there's definitely some strikeouts to
- 10:23Speaker 4: be had. But I mean you just go back and
- 10:25Speaker 4: look at some of his game logs here. Basically since
- 10:27Speaker 4: the end of May till now, I mean, he's only
- 10:29Speaker 4: had one decent starts.
- 10:31Speaker 5: I mean, this last.
- 10:32Speaker 4: Start was decent, but other than that, he hasn't really
- 10:34Speaker 4: looked good. So man, it's hard for me to pay
- 10:37Speaker 4: up for a guy that a I mean, the White
- 10:40Speaker 4: Sox just hasn't seemed like it's been a very good
- 10:43Speaker 4: endeavor for us to be playing pitchers against the White
- 10:45Speaker 4: Sox so far this year, So, you know, one that
- 10:49Speaker 4: kind of worries me, as I'm worried he's not gonna
- 10:51Speaker 4: have any offensive support. I mean, he's gonna have to
- 10:54Speaker 4: be perfect for them to win tonight. So I mean,
- 10:57Speaker 4: that's what you're gonna have to what you're gonna have
- 10:59Speaker 4: to look at. So I'm a little worried about messic.
- 11:02Speaker 4: I haven't even be in my pool because it's not
- 11:05Speaker 4: that good tonight. But I'm a little concerned. I mean,
- 11:08Speaker 4: moving down Roblisky, it sounds like we're gonna have to
- 11:13Speaker 4: worry about some weather out that way. So I don't
- 11:17Speaker 4: even really have him in my pool at all. Sonny Gray. Now,
- 11:22Speaker 4: I mean you're sitting there looking at a guy moving
- 11:25Speaker 4: out in the course field. You know, do we want
- 11:28Speaker 4: to pick on the Rockies who've actually been hitting here
- 11:31Speaker 4: pretty you know pretty well here recent times, Sonny Gray
- 11:34Speaker 4: strikeouts haven't been up. He's at eighteen percent to the
- 11:36Speaker 4: right side, he's at twenty percent to the left side,
- 11:41Speaker 4: you know. I mean, this guy just I don't know
- 11:44Speaker 4: on fando. I don't like him because I just don't
- 11:46Speaker 4: feel like he's really gonna get me a quality start
- 11:48Speaker 4: out there in course here. So I Sonny Gray for me,
- 11:51Speaker 4: is I mean that one I don't like it? I
- 11:54Speaker 4: think I'd like it more on DK. I don't really
- 11:57Speaker 4: care for it on FanDuel.
- 12:00Speaker 5: And then E Rod.
- 12:02Speaker 4: You know, E Rod's interesting, you know, I just uh man,
- 12:08Speaker 4: E Rod for me is just his hard click for
- 12:11Speaker 4: me sometimes. I mean it's just he's either really bad
- 12:15Speaker 4: and he's good. Every once in a while, it seems
- 12:17Speaker 4: like he's bad more often than he's good. I mean,
- 12:19Speaker 4: he's been walking more right he's here this year, he's
- 12:21Speaker 4: at eleven percent walk rate, the strikeout or percentage, seventeen
- 12:25Speaker 4: percent of the right side, twenty percent to the left side.
- 12:29Speaker 4: I mean, the Cardinals don't strike out all that much.
- 12:33Speaker 4: Uh So I'm I'm a little bit concerned with this
- 12:36Speaker 4: matchup he has been getting. E Rod's been getting buriled
- 12:38Speaker 4: up by left he's so far this year. But you know,
- 12:42Speaker 4: I think with the pitching pool being as thin as
- 12:46Speaker 4: it is, I think E Rod for me is kind
- 12:48Speaker 4: of more of a pivot off of what I think
- 12:51Speaker 4: Messik will probably get some love here. I think Shane
- 12:53Speaker 4: Baz is another guy that's gonna get some love as
- 12:57Speaker 4: as we look. I mean, Baz, you got to you
- 13:00Speaker 4: got an Oriole team who you know obviously, I mean
- 13:04Speaker 4: an angel team. He's on the Orioles wake up. But
- 13:07Speaker 4: either way, I mean, you look at these strikeout percentages.
- 13:09Speaker 4: He's got eighteen percent strikeout to the right side. He's
- 13:12Speaker 4: at twenty one percent to the left side. I think
- 13:16Speaker 4: he can get to these to these angels. I mean,
- 13:19Speaker 4: he hasn't been getting hit hard really by by any
- 13:22Speaker 4: of these lefties, So I mean, I think he could.
- 13:26Speaker 5: Keep up with it. I think he can do well.
- 13:29Speaker 5: I think he can hang in there.
- 13:30Speaker 4: I think Baz is going to be a guy that
- 13:31Speaker 4: probably may garner some ownership today.
- 13:34Speaker 5: So I think he's interesting.
- 13:37Speaker 4: Cabrera, it just seems like he's been hurt, but damn,
- 13:39Speaker 4: we love the match up against the Mets. I mean,
- 13:41Speaker 4: Mets just haven't been really good. But man, I just
- 13:44Speaker 4: in my mind, I just keep thinking Edwin's hurt. I mean,
- 13:47Speaker 4: he had a seventeen point game two starts ago. Everything
- 13:51Speaker 4: else has been freaking five points out of his last
- 13:55Speaker 4: four or five starts other than night. I got no
- 13:56Speaker 4: interest in somebody like that. I mean, somebody else wants
- 13:59Speaker 4: to click that by all means go damn head.
- 14:01Speaker 5: But I mean it's then pickens up here.
- 14:04Speaker 4: There's nothing that really you say, Oh, yeah, that looks good,
- 14:07Speaker 4: and you know, like, oh man, I really like that
- 14:09Speaker 4: matchup or I like this. I mean, when we're trying
- 14:12Speaker 4: to dig through guys like Shane, Boz and Messic up here,
- 14:15Speaker 4: I think of the two that I would play the strongest,
- 14:17Speaker 4: And like I said, I think you Rod would be
- 14:19Speaker 4: a decent pivot to leave in the pool. But I'm
- 14:22Speaker 4: still thinking, I mean, maybe we can even find some
- 14:25Speaker 4: guys that are cheaper, because.
- 14:29Speaker 5: I don't like any of these pictures be honestly.
- 14:32Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely there's some value guys you can play up
- 14:35Speaker 3: in the top tier. It's hard Messick, there's red flags,
- 14:38Speaker 3: but there's red flags for everyone on Messick probably arguably
- 14:41Speaker 3: has the highest ceiling, or at least one of them
- 14:44Speaker 3: between him, Boz, Ray and Burke, I would say are
- 14:49Speaker 3: kind of the four main guys you're looking at from
- 14:51Speaker 3: a pitcher pool.
- 14:51Speaker 2: We'll talk about the value guys.
- 14:53Speaker 3: So for yeah, Messick and Boz, I do have Boz
- 14:57Speaker 3: just with the discount as my s P one in
- 15:00Speaker 3: this top tier.
- 15:02Speaker 2: E Rod would be the third guy.
- 15:03Speaker 3: And if you wanted to mess with the weather there,
- 15:06Speaker 3: I think Justin Robleski have more interest than you do.
- 15:09Speaker 3: Just I think that I like the strikeout match up there.
- 15:12Speaker 3: His props are are good four and a half k prop.
- 15:15Speaker 3: There is some weather concerns there which does concern me,
- 15:18Speaker 3: and the price point is so I probably don't think
- 15:20Speaker 3: you need to really take the risk on the slate.
- 15:23Speaker 3: And if that's the case, you could always play a
- 15:26Speaker 3: guy like Sonny Gray. But I don't like Sunny Gray strikeouts.
- 15:30Speaker 3: The Rockies haven't struck out either, so yeah, it's it's
- 15:32Speaker 3: really messing e Rod Shane baz up in his top tier,
- 15:35Speaker 3: and I'm not really messing with Edward Cabrera. I don't
- 15:38Speaker 3: think he's right personally myself. I get the match up there,
- 15:42Speaker 3: but you look at the Mets. I mean, you could
- 15:45Speaker 3: see in a spike here from e Rod, but he
- 15:49Speaker 3: just I don't think he's right to me like you,
- 15:51Speaker 3: like you talked about.
- 15:52Speaker 2: He does strike out a lot of righties.
- 15:55Speaker 3: The issue is he's gonna see majority of the lefties
- 15:57Speaker 3: and only get three right He's in this lineup here
- 16:00Speaker 3: for the Mets, Alvarez, Semi and Bobachette, but Sheet doesn't
- 16:04Speaker 3: strike out. Semyon has strike ups and Alvarez, but the rest,
- 16:08Speaker 3: even even the lefties. I mean, he's got a sixteen
- 16:10Speaker 3: percent against the left side, gives up flat power barrels.
- 16:16Speaker 2: So I just I think it's a tough spot here
- 16:18Speaker 2: for for e Rod.
- 16:18Speaker 3: So for me, yeah, it's those three guys Messic, Boz
- 16:21Speaker 3: and then the pivot would be e Rod for me,
- 16:24Speaker 3: Don Low, Robbie Ray, and Sean Burke stand out.
- 16:29Speaker 2: You're gonna see.
- 16:31Speaker 3: I wouldn't be shocked to see the cash game pairing Bee,
- 16:33Speaker 3: Robbie Ray, and Sean Burke. It's one of It's definitely
- 16:37Speaker 3: Robbie Ray, and then it's one of Parker Messk, Shane
- 16:40Speaker 3: Boz and Burke is kind of the second guy.
- 16:43Speaker 2: Like I said, those four guys headline the pitching pool.
- 16:46Speaker 3: Arguably, if you really wanted to go in, you could
- 16:49Speaker 3: just play those four guys and say, hey, I'm playing
- 16:51Speaker 3: these four guys. I'll let other people kind of over
- 16:53Speaker 3: complicate pitching. There's downside to really everyone on the slate.
- 16:57Speaker 3: Like I talked about, so talk about this lower tier hitter,
- 17:01Speaker 3: Robbie Ray hit on Sean Burke.
- 17:03Speaker 2: Those two guys look really good overall.
- 17:05Speaker 3: I never liked playing Robbie Ray into ownership, but on
- 17:08Speaker 3: this slate, against the A's who are strikeout happy at
- 17:11Speaker 3: home in the Bay Area. I think it's pretty pretty
- 17:14Speaker 3: interesting there a couple guys I think are gonna fly
- 17:17Speaker 3: a little under the radar that I might have a
- 17:19Speaker 3: little interest in Number one, Jr. Richie at sixty seven hundred.
- 17:22Speaker 3: Don't think many people click that I like the Atlanta
- 17:24Speaker 3: Bats on that. I just I streamline pictures against this
- 17:28Speaker 3: Padres offense all the time.
- 17:30Speaker 2: I just don't think they're a good offense by any means.
- 17:32Speaker 3: There's a lot of strikeouts there, so I don't think
- 17:34Speaker 3: Jo Richie is the best picture in the world. But
- 17:36Speaker 3: he's sixty seven hundred dollars in a direct pivot right
- 17:38Speaker 3: off of Sean Burke for three hundred dollars less, so
- 17:41Speaker 3: I like that. And then Kyle Leey sandwiched between Burke
- 17:44Speaker 3: and Robbie Ray seventy five hundred. He has shown us
- 17:47Speaker 3: the ceiling on the slate. The dbacks have been pretty
- 17:50Speaker 3: pretty atrocious at times. And I think at seventy five hundred,
- 17:55Speaker 3: if you really wanted to plug your nose and play
- 17:57Speaker 3: a guy that's gonna get no ownership, that could kind
- 18:00Speaker 3: of go out there and skate his way to a
- 18:03Speaker 3: quality start. I don't think that's but really Burke Lee
- 18:06Speaker 3: He or Burke Ritchie and Robbie ray a kind of
- 18:09Speaker 3: the headlines down here talk to me in the.
- 18:12Speaker 4: Lower rangeon Yeah, it's it's not really pretty. I mean,
- 18:16Speaker 4: we're just kind of looking for upside. I think like
- 18:19Speaker 4: we're not you know, there isn't anything that we kind
- 18:22Speaker 4: of like, we're just kind of looking for upside because
- 18:24Speaker 4: none of the pitching is really that great. I mean
- 18:27Speaker 4: the case with j R. Richie, I agree with you.
- 18:29Speaker 4: I kind of leave him in the pool. I mean,
- 18:31Speaker 4: I'm just kind of moving on up. But Richie's get
- 18:34Speaker 4: a San Diego team that just hasn't been very good,
- 18:37Speaker 4: uh So, I mean I'm just kind of putting him
- 18:39Speaker 4: in for outs. But Richie's just walk percentages are just
- 18:42Speaker 4: been so bad, twelve and a half percent the left side,
- 18:44Speaker 4: thirteen and a half to the right side. He's been
- 18:46Speaker 4: getting bailed up by lefties. But I mean they got
- 18:49Speaker 4: Jackson Maryland, Gavin Sheets. I mean then after that, I'm
- 18:52Speaker 4: really not all that concerned about what they're gonna be
- 18:55Speaker 4: thrown at Richie. So just because of the matchup, I
- 18:58Speaker 4: think you could leave him in especially had his price
- 19:00Speaker 4: sixty seven hundred.
- 19:02Speaker 5: I think you can stomach that and hopefully you.
- 19:05Speaker 4: Know, he can get you fifteen to twenty points, and
- 19:07Speaker 4: I think you'd be happy with that now, Burke mean,
- 19:10Speaker 4: I think you gotta leave Burkin because I mean the
- 19:12Speaker 4: Indians offense, like I said, I mean, they're going to
- 19:14Speaker 4: be in the bottom of the list here today as
- 19:16Speaker 4: far as team totals, so I mean, I think it's
- 19:18Speaker 4: like a three point five.
- 19:19Speaker 5: So I think Burke's definitely in play today.
- 19:22Speaker 4: I think he's a guy that that you know, we're
- 19:24Speaker 4: gonna want to look at. I mean, he's a favorite
- 19:27Speaker 4: the Indians, you know, just uh. I mean they got
- 19:30Speaker 4: a lot of case Manzardo thirty almost thirty four percent,
- 19:33Speaker 4: Hoskins thirty percent, she Man thirty one percent. Arias he's
- 19:37Speaker 4: in there is forty two. I mean this Khalil Watson,
- 19:39Speaker 4: if he's in there at short, he's uh, he's pretty high.
- 19:43Speaker 4: I mean they got two bats that really don't strike out,
- 19:46Speaker 4: Bizana and uh Rotio, Like they're really the only two bats.
- 19:50Speaker 4: So I mean, with that twenty five percent k percentage
- 19:53Speaker 4: to the right side, twenty three percent pretty much to
- 19:56Speaker 4: the left side, I think Burke is definitely in play,
- 19:59Speaker 4: and I hate to say it, I think Burke's my
- 20:02Speaker 4: favorite pitcher here on the slate. I mean, picking on
- 20:04Speaker 4: the Indians isn't a bad adventure, especially they got that
- 20:08Speaker 4: low team total, so I like it all the way around.
- 20:11Speaker 4: That's kind of why I was a little hesitant on
- 20:13Speaker 4: Messick paying up for Messic at ninety three hundred when
- 20:15Speaker 4: I just don't feel like he's got any offensive support
- 20:17Speaker 4: behind him. So, I mean, if for any reason Messick
- 20:21Speaker 4: does throw a good game, I feel like Burke's gonna
- 20:24Speaker 4: probably keep up with.
- 20:25Speaker 5: Him right there.
- 20:25Speaker 4: If he gives up maybe two runs in the six
- 20:27Speaker 4: innings are so he's gonna go and gets a handful
- 20:30Speaker 4: of strikeouts on this slate, I'd be really happy with that.
- 20:33Speaker 4: So I think Burke is definitely a guy that I'm
- 20:35Speaker 4: interested in.
- 20:37Speaker 3: Now.
- 20:37Speaker 4: Robbie Ray, I think is the wildcard. As you mentioned,
- 20:39Speaker 4: we don't really generally like to play Robbie Ray when
- 20:41Speaker 4: he's talking, but I mean you're gonna sit here. I
- 20:44Speaker 4: mean the optos are gonna like him. He had a
- 20:46Speaker 4: pretty good game his last time out. He had what
- 20:48Speaker 4: almost thirty two points eight k's through ninety four pitches
- 20:51Speaker 4: he's been in the mid nineties pretty much every time
- 20:54Speaker 4: he's gone out tonight. I mean, we like the park
- 20:57Speaker 4: we're out there in San Francisco, so I don't mind
- 21:00Speaker 4: that at all.
- 21:01Speaker 5: We do have some k's.
- 21:02Speaker 4: Nick Kurtz is out of thirty five percent solders from
- 21:04Speaker 4: twenty seven percent, Thomas Bolta, Max Muntzi, they all have
- 21:08Speaker 4: some k's.
- 21:09Speaker 5: So, I mean, Geeloss just barely under the average.
- 21:13Speaker 4: So Robbie Ray's got an opportunity to put up a
- 21:16Speaker 4: decent game for strikeouts here tonight.
- 21:18Speaker 2: Uh.
- 21:19Speaker 4: So I do like him, But like you said, it's
- 21:21Speaker 4: just seems like we know Robbie Ray well enough. Nate's
- 21:24Speaker 4: playing this game long enough. Like when Robbie Ray's chalk,
- 21:27Speaker 4: it just just doesn't it seems like, you know, it
- 21:29Speaker 4: kicks you in the ball. So uh, it's almost kind
- 21:32Speaker 4: of like you want to you want to stay away
- 21:34Speaker 4: from that.
- 21:34Speaker 5: He does get the matchup against the A's.
- 21:36Speaker 4: A's have been, you know, pretty good here in recent times,
- 21:38Speaker 4: even though you know they play out there in that
- 21:41Speaker 4: that smaller park. But I mean, I'd leave Robbie Ray in,
- 21:45Speaker 4: but I wouldn't go overweight on him. I don't think
- 21:47Speaker 4: I think I'd rather play Sean Burke than than Ray.
- 21:51Speaker 4: So like Lodolo, I'm not interested in Sanga Savali, No thanks,
- 21:57Speaker 4: I just can't go there. So in reality nids. I mean,
- 22:00Speaker 4: I'd only really like Messek. I'd leave him in there.
- 22:03Speaker 4: I think he Rod's a decent pivot. I think Baz
- 22:06Speaker 4: is in play. You can leave Ray in there. I
- 22:08Speaker 4: think Burke's my favorite. I think you can leave Richie
- 22:11Speaker 4: is my low price guy. That's pretty much all I'd
- 22:13Speaker 4: even think about playing on this slate.
- 22:16Speaker 3: Yeah, I do want to throw out one more, just
- 22:19Speaker 3: Brandon Sprout. The reason being is he's six k and
- 22:25Speaker 3: he I mean, he has strike on ability if he
- 22:29Speaker 3: can control his walks. But the issue is that the
- 22:31Speaker 3: Reds are just not a patient offense outside of three hitters,
- 22:34Speaker 3: Stuart Blede and Nathaniel Low. Obviously, those three hitters are
- 22:37Speaker 3: very scary up at the top, but the back half,
- 22:40Speaker 3: I mean twenty five team strike out rate against right
- 22:44Speaker 3: handed pitching. You look at Brandon sprot he's actually better
- 22:46Speaker 3: against lefty. He's gonna see one, two, three, four, four lefties,
- 22:52Speaker 3: five rightys if he can control his walks, where he's
- 22:55Speaker 3: actually better against walks to the right side where they
- 22:59Speaker 3: don't take anyway.
- 23:00Speaker 2: He's sprepped from the reds.
- 23:01Speaker 3: I think Brandon Sprot that six K could have a
- 23:03Speaker 3: place on the slate as bad as the pitching is.
- 23:06Speaker 3: If he goes out there and gets you twelve fantasy points,
- 23:09Speaker 3: which I think he easily can twelve to fifteen, I
- 23:12Speaker 3: think that's probably enough on the slate because I see
- 23:15Speaker 3: likelihood that a guy like Parker Messick could score that
- 23:18Speaker 3: I and he's ninety three hundred. I could see all
- 23:21Speaker 3: of these guys up at the top tier. So Brandon
- 23:23Speaker 3: Sprot would be the guy. He projects pretty solid for
- 23:26Speaker 3: us over here at six K. Nobody's gonna go to him.
- 23:29Speaker 3: We just saw what Brandon Woodriff did. Obviously it's a
- 23:32Speaker 3: much different pitcher in Brandon Woodriff. But Brandon Woodriff, coming
- 23:35Speaker 3: off in injury stit where he only struck out six
- 23:39Speaker 3: minor leaguers and gave up three runs, just mowed this
- 23:43Speaker 3: team down yesterday, right, So Brandon Sprot would be the
- 23:46Speaker 3: other guy. But yeah, Sean Burke is my favorite overall
- 23:49Speaker 3: starting pitcher on the slate, so I really like him
- 23:52Speaker 3: not messing with Lodolo so it's really Kyle Leehy, Robbie,
- 23:57Speaker 3: Ray Burke, Richie Sprote down here, and I won't be
- 24:01Speaker 3: opposed to using two of these guys in this lower
- 24:04Speaker 3: tier and giving you more salary for bats. It does
- 24:07Speaker 3: feel a little weird leaving out a guy like Shane Baz,
- 24:10Speaker 3: but pitching is really grossed on the slate, and ideally,
- 24:14Speaker 3: if you really wanted to consolidate things, I think you
- 24:16Speaker 3: could consolidate down into Robbie Ray, Shane Bows, Sean Burke,
- 24:20Speaker 3: and Parker Messick and just kind of go in with
- 24:22Speaker 3: those four guys and not mess with any of these
- 24:25Speaker 3: other guys. Personally, I'm paying more attention to ownership because
- 24:28Speaker 3: I see all of these guys very similar. So I'm
- 24:31Speaker 3: gonna let ownership as we lead up to Locke, I'm
- 24:34Speaker 3: playing four teams in that Mega tournament and really gonna
- 24:37Speaker 3: kind of see because I don't see much separation g rise,
- 24:40Speaker 3: and so I'm gonna use ownership more as a crutch
- 24:42Speaker 3: to lean on in my decision making process, and more
- 24:46Speaker 3: so start with the bats, and start with my offensive spots,
- 24:49Speaker 3: and then whatever kind of pitchers fit, That's where I'm
- 24:52Speaker 3: gonna go in. So I know we told you to
- 24:54Speaker 3: play really all of these guys and there's no clarity.
- 24:57Speaker 3: But that's just the way the pitching slate kind of
- 24:59Speaker 3: shame up and how I see it. Any uh any
- 25:02Speaker 3: closing remarks from the pitchers here, No, I.
- 25:04Speaker 5: Mean I think too.
- 25:05Speaker 4: I mean, you're gonna look at we're gonna like all
- 25:07Speaker 4: kinds of offense, So I would generally, I'll be honest,
- 25:09Speaker 4: I wouldn't be overly concerned about, you know, being too
- 25:12Speaker 4: chalky a pitcher. There's so many offenses here tonight that
- 25:15Speaker 4: I don't feel like it's gonna it's gonna.
- 25:18Speaker 5: Be spread out with the offenses.
- 25:19Speaker 4: So I just don't feel like, you know, I mean,
- 25:22Speaker 4: we're looking at a you know, Red Sox team with
- 25:24Speaker 4: the highest team total, and I don't even really have
- 25:26Speaker 4: them in my clothes. To my top five, I got
- 25:28Speaker 4: four or five other teams I like better NDE, So
- 25:30Speaker 4: I think there's plenty of offense that we're gonna be
- 25:33Speaker 4: able to have tonight. So, you know, like I said, man,
- 25:35Speaker 4: just avoid the land mines tonight. It sucks on DK.
- 25:38Speaker 4: You got to pitch to pick two. But uh, I mean,
- 25:41Speaker 4: I don't even think if one of your pitchers gets
- 25:43Speaker 4: beat that you can't cash in the tournament tonight, because
- 25:46Speaker 4: I think there's gonna be a handful of pitchers they're
- 25:48Speaker 4: gonna get beat tonight. So interesting, uh, interesting kind of slate.
- 25:53Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean it's tough. Pitching's tough tonight.
- 25:57Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely tough. That's why I'm start gonna start more
- 25:59Speaker 3: with the bat. But Seane Boz Sean Burke are definitely
- 26:02Speaker 3: my two clearcut favorites. Robbie Ray, I think is in
- 26:06Speaker 3: a pretty damn good spot too. What he is going
- 26:08Speaker 3: to be super super popular because of his k prop.
- 26:11Speaker 3: He's five and a half minus one fifty two in
- 26:13Speaker 3: the over, he's pitching at home eight strikeout a shit
- 26:16Speaker 3: ton against left handed pitching, especially on the road. So
- 26:21Speaker 3: I get the reasonings there for Robbie Ray. And if
- 26:25Speaker 3: you just don't play Boston Bats, which I don't like
- 26:27Speaker 3: Boston either, you really don't have to worry about ownership
- 26:30Speaker 3: because Boston is definitely the clear cut favorite for projections.
- 26:34Speaker 3: For everything we nailed it yesterday. They get a better
- 26:38Speaker 3: spot here today than they did yesterday, but it's still
- 26:41Speaker 3: Boston Red Sox. And just because you go to Couris Field,
- 26:43Speaker 3: doesn't make you better hitters in general, So.
- 26:46Speaker 2: We'll talk about that when we get there.
- 26:47Speaker 3: First game on the docket here tonight is gonna be
- 26:52Speaker 3: Mets and the Cubs. The matchup that was slated for
- 26:55Speaker 3: yesterday that got rained out and postponed is back in
- 26:58Speaker 3: our lives here. Not a great place to hit overall
- 27:02Speaker 3: in this ballpark here. You do have some wind blowing
- 27:05Speaker 3: in here, temperatures kind of in the low seventies, upper sixties,
- 27:08Speaker 3: so not super hit or friendly. But outside of maybe
- 27:12Speaker 3: one spot on this slate, two spots on the slate
- 27:15Speaker 3: in course fields, it's kind of the theme could I
- 27:18Speaker 3: Senka has been absolutely miserable.
- 27:22Speaker 2: I think the Cubs have a spot on the slate.
- 27:23Speaker 3: Just like I said yesterday, nobody's gonna play pcaight, nobody's
- 27:26Speaker 3: gonna play this Cub's offense. In general, Mets do have
- 27:29Speaker 3: a good bullpen, like I talked about yesterday, rinse and repeat,
- 27:32Speaker 3: I do think the Cubs are fairly interesting.
- 27:34Speaker 2: And then we talked about how bad Edward Cabrera is.
- 27:38Speaker 3: I do think he picks up ownership just because of
- 27:40Speaker 3: the name, recognition, the projection, and his salary. On the slate,
- 27:43Speaker 3: we're pitching his weak The Mets are pretty interesting as
- 27:46Speaker 3: WELLJN Soto, Jared Young's been really good, e Wing's been
- 27:50Speaker 3: really good. You got Carson Bench as well, that the
- 27:53Speaker 3: rookie up there. I think the Mets are kind of
- 27:56Speaker 3: intriguing as well. So I don't mind offense in this one.
- 27:59Speaker 3: I don't have it on my list, g rising, but
- 28:02Speaker 3: both of these teams do kind of have my interest
- 28:05Speaker 3: at least a little bit in terms of lower own spots,
- 28:07Speaker 3: with some upside, mainly more so on the cup side
- 28:10Speaker 3: for me.
- 28:11Speaker 2: Uh, just attacking Koda Senga, Yeah, needs.
- 28:16Speaker 4: I agree with you on the Cubs. I mean, the
- 28:17Speaker 4: Cubs ain gonna getting ownership. I'm gonna call them one
- 28:19Speaker 4: of my lower owned teams. I mean, Senga has been
- 28:22Speaker 4: really bad. I mean he's giving up twenty earned runs
- 28:25Speaker 4: in his last twelve innings. He's been getting his butt
- 28:27Speaker 4: kicked here in recent time. So, I mean, the Cubs
- 28:31Speaker 4: are one of the top four hitting teams in baseball
- 28:33Speaker 4: in the last two weeks too, as far as ops goes,
- 28:36Speaker 4: So I'm gonna leave the Cubby's on there. I mean,
- 28:39Speaker 4: you're right, the Mets bullpen isn't bad, but I mean
- 28:42Speaker 4: Senga has been getting buriled up by right He's at
- 28:44Speaker 4: almost an eighteen percent clip.
- 28:46Speaker 5: I mean that that's not good at all.
- 28:48Speaker 4: Woe ball four thirty one of the left side, three
- 28:50Speaker 4: ninety one to the right side. He's getting fly balls
- 28:53Speaker 4: thirty two percent, thirty five percent. I mean, this is
- 28:57Speaker 4: totally a guy we want to be going after. Now,
- 28:59Speaker 4: the problem is how long is he gonna last.
- 29:02Speaker 5: I mean he went.
- 29:02Speaker 4: Four innings, two innings, three innings, two innings. I mean
- 29:06Speaker 4: we'll be lucky to get through the lineup twice, you know,
- 29:08Speaker 4: get to see this guy twice, so and then we're
- 29:10Speaker 4: gonna get that bullpen.
- 29:11Speaker 5: That's why I'd bump it down a little bit, Maids.
- 29:14Speaker 4: I just am concerned about that because Senga hasn't been
- 29:17Speaker 4: lasting very long at all. I mean I don't even
- 29:19Speaker 4: think I mean eighty pitchers, fifty sixty five, seventy two.
- 29:22Speaker 4: I mean, he's not getting through you know, any of
- 29:25Speaker 4: these starts. So I would be concerned about that. But
- 29:28Speaker 4: the matchup against Singa is pretty good. It is weather
- 29:31Speaker 4: concerning too, but this thing will go out three days
- 29:35Speaker 4: in a row, Nedes, I don't think, do you, No?
- 29:38Speaker 3: I think this game is gonna play for sure, and
- 29:41Speaker 3: he does have a fourteen and a half out prop,
- 29:43Speaker 3: so they're kind of picturing fifteen innings or fifteen innings. Yeah,
- 29:50Speaker 3: that'd be pretty crazy there. Their picture in five innings.
- 29:54Speaker 3: So if we get five innings at Kodai Singa, I mean,
- 29:57Speaker 3: I think the Cubs have a spot on the slate. Yeah,
- 30:00Speaker 3: definitely not the best spot by any means. And then
- 30:03Speaker 3: more so, Mini's in one offs. Just value guys. Jared
- 30:07Speaker 3: Young's cheap. Like I said, ewing Bench, those guys are cheap,
- 30:10Speaker 3: they have some speed. Cabrera has not been good, so yeah,
- 30:14Speaker 3: I have a little more interest than it sounds like
- 30:15Speaker 3: you do in the Mets. But both these teams fit
- 30:18Speaker 3: kind of the low owned stacks that nobody's going to.
- 30:21Speaker 2: And we saw what happened.
- 30:22Speaker 3: Yesterday on a slate where it felt like the Brewers,
- 30:25Speaker 3: the Dodgers, the Cardinals were in can't miss spots and
- 30:28Speaker 3: combined they scored what seven runs combined between the three
- 30:32Speaker 3: of them.
- 30:33Speaker 2: So that that just shows you it's baseball at the
- 30:35Speaker 2: end of the day. Takes us to the next spot here.
- 30:37Speaker 3: Nicol Lodolo, Brandon Sproute on the Mount This looks like
- 30:41Speaker 3: a really obviously great spot for offense.
- 30:43Speaker 2: We like this ballpark.
- 30:44Speaker 3: We have some wind blown out here tonight, nothing crazy,
- 30:47Speaker 3: but any little boost in an already favorable hitting ballpark.
- 30:51Speaker 2: One of the best in baseball. Tempers in the mid.
- 30:54Speaker 3: To upper seventies points to a pretty good spot to
- 30:58Speaker 3: target for offense. Right back on the well Brewers let
- 31:01Speaker 3: me down yesterday, I'm back in on him. They will run.
- 31:05Speaker 3: The Reds bullpen is absolutely atrocious. Nicolodola doesn't strike anybody out.
- 31:10Speaker 3: Balls are going to be in play. He gives a
- 31:12Speaker 3: shit ton of power and fly balls to the right side.
- 31:15Speaker 3: Brewers have their lefty masters in there. Vaughan Churio, Blake
- 31:20Speaker 3: Perkins is a little bit of a pitch hit concerned,
- 31:22Speaker 3: but he's a switch hitter, so he should be in
- 31:25Speaker 3: there pretty much the whole duration of the game.
- 31:26Speaker 2: He's cheap.
- 31:27Speaker 3: William Catrerez is starting to hit. I think he's interesting,
- 31:31Speaker 3: and then Joey Ortiz Cooper Pratt. You have two cheap
- 31:34Speaker 3: righties in there as well at the back half of
- 31:36Speaker 3: this lineup twenty two hundred. They're not power guys, but
- 31:40Speaker 3: they will steal bases as well. One of those guys
- 31:43Speaker 3: probably turns into a David Hamilton later on in this game.
- 31:46Speaker 3: But again full nine nine sack for me. Love the
- 31:51Speaker 3: Brewers again here tonight, and I just I think they're
- 31:54Speaker 3: gonna be a fraction of the ownership of teams like
- 31:57Speaker 3: potentially the Dodgers, but for sure coors Field give me
- 32:01Speaker 3: this spot.
- 32:01Speaker 2: And on the same side, Reds.
- 32:03Speaker 3: Reds also have my interest Elliot day La Cruz back
- 32:06Speaker 3: in this lineup, which is a big, big bump for
- 32:08Speaker 3: the lineup in general. I think he's really good. Blake
- 32:11Speaker 3: Dun's been on a tear, Bladet's been great all season.
- 32:14Speaker 3: You got Nathaniel Lowe as a cheap lefty to attack
- 32:17Speaker 3: Brandon Sprouden. There, I like the side. I'll both get
- 32:21Speaker 3: both sides for offense. But I definitely have the Brewers higher.
- 32:24Speaker 3: And don't let me down again to make me sound
- 32:27Speaker 3: like a donkey two days in a row. But talk
- 32:29Speaker 3: to me here, gee, Riysen, what are you seeing this
- 32:30Speaker 3: one great American ball park.
- 32:33Speaker 4: I'll tell you I like both sides really, I mean,
- 32:35Speaker 4: I like the Brewers more. I mean that may surprise
- 32:38Speaker 4: people a lot of times. You know, I'll you know,
- 32:39Speaker 4: give you a little resistance when we talk about the Brewers,
- 32:42Speaker 4: But I mean I always saying I just don't like
- 32:44Speaker 4: the Brewers against a ground ball pitcher, and I generally
- 32:48Speaker 4: don't like him against the lefty either. But I mean,
- 32:50Speaker 4: we got Lodolo who has just not been very good
- 32:54Speaker 4: at keeping the ball on the ground. His fly ball
- 32:56Speaker 4: percentage at thirty two percent to the right side. I
- 33:00Speaker 4: mean it's not as high to the left side. He's
- 33:03Speaker 4: at eighteen percent, but he's going to see a bunch
- 33:05Speaker 4: of righties other than Terang and Bauers, So definitely like
- 33:09Speaker 4: that the right he's been burrowing this guy off at
- 33:11Speaker 4: over eleven percent. You mentioned how bad the bullpen is.
- 33:14Speaker 4: I mean, I like both these teams. They steal bases,
- 33:16Speaker 4: they're in the Great American Ballpark. We got a couple
- 33:18Speaker 4: of fly ball pitchers, so I mean, I definitely think
- 33:23Speaker 4: this one's in play. When you go over to the Reds,
- 33:25Speaker 4: as you mentioned against Sprote, getting Ellie back is definitely
- 33:30Speaker 4: going to help them out a little bit sportsman getting
- 33:32Speaker 4: beat up here by righties. I mean he's at eleven
- 33:35Speaker 4: per barrel percentage is well by a three point fifty
- 33:38Speaker 4: to both sides of the plate kind of a mid
- 33:40Speaker 4: ground ball lean, but he's been giving up fly balls,
- 33:42Speaker 4: so and we know Sprote has a hard time getting
- 33:45Speaker 4: the ball over to plate the lefties. So you know,
- 33:48Speaker 4: I could see Ellie getting on stealing a bag the
- 33:50Speaker 4: day behind him. I mean, this game here could turn
- 33:53Speaker 4: into a softball game where they're trying to manufacture runs
- 33:55Speaker 4: really quick.
- 33:56Speaker 5: We got some good hit hitting weather.
- 33:58Speaker 4: I mean when over the years, if you were to
- 34:01Speaker 4: ask me, like, you know, give me two teams and
- 34:03Speaker 4: you know playing, you know, like would you stack them up,
- 34:06Speaker 4: you know outside like a course field that we know,
- 34:08Speaker 4: but I would have told you when the Brewers go
- 34:11Speaker 4: to Cincinnati, it just usually seems like they're fireworks. Now
- 34:14Speaker 4: last night they only got like five hits, so you
- 34:17Speaker 4: know tonight's gonna be one of them firework type games.
- 34:19Speaker 4: So I think, I think this is definitely in play
- 34:22Speaker 4: for a game stack.
- 34:24Speaker 5: But I really do like the Brewers.
- 34:25Speaker 4: I put the Brewers up there at my top of
- 34:27Speaker 4: my pile of my team's here today.
- 34:31Speaker 3: Yeah, you can run a little bit on Lodola too.
- 34:33Speaker 3: He's giving up seven stolen bases on the air. Obviously,
- 34:36Speaker 3: a lefty is not great to steal against but the
- 34:38Speaker 3: Brewers will steal any chance they get, and same thing
- 34:41Speaker 3: on the Reds front.
- 34:43Speaker 2: I don't know. Let me just see Brandon's sprote real quick.
- 34:46Speaker 2: I know Contreres.
- 34:47Speaker 3: If Contrere's is behind the dish, that's gonna hold the
- 34:50Speaker 3: stolen base upside in check for the Reds in general.
- 34:55Speaker 3: But Brandon Sprolt's giving up six stolen bases on the
- 34:57Speaker 3: year as well. So yeah, definitely above average running matchup
- 35:02Speaker 3: here on both sides.
- 35:04Speaker 2: And we like the park.
- 35:05Speaker 3: We don't love attacking the Brewers bullpen, but they did
- 35:10Speaker 3: have to go to the bullpen. Aaron Ashby did come
- 35:13Speaker 3: out of the pen yesterday. He threw seventeen pitches That
- 35:16Speaker 3: dude feels like you could throw every day, so he's
- 35:18Speaker 3: probably still available. And then they're rested in the back
- 35:22Speaker 3: half mcguil uribe. So it is a good bullpen, which
- 35:26Speaker 3: does downgrade the Red stack in general, but you're more
- 35:29Speaker 3: so attacking Brandon Sprote, who could walk him away, walk
- 35:33Speaker 3: his way right out of the game by his own right.
- 35:36Speaker 3: So yeah, neither of these pitchers ranked well for US offense.
- 35:39Speaker 3: Good implied run total is great offensive park for offense.
- 35:43Speaker 3: Red's bullpen really bad as well, So yeah, everything checks
- 35:46Speaker 3: out for me. I'm with you there Nextbut on slate
- 35:49Speaker 3: here Guardians and the White Sox White Sox pen one
- 35:52Speaker 3: of the best hitting teams in baseball against left handed
- 35:55Speaker 3: pitching and right handed pitching for that matter. Parker Messa
- 35:58Speaker 3: gonna be one of the highest owned pitchers on the
- 35:59Speaker 3: sleigh just due to the nature of the slate. I
- 36:03Speaker 3: think Mexics in play. But I wouldn't fault anyone for
- 36:05Speaker 3: some leverage here with some White Sox just because I
- 36:09Speaker 3: mean they're fifth and Wade Wolba fourth and ops first,
- 36:13Speaker 3: and iou over the course of the year they have
- 36:17Speaker 3: guys who can hit left.
- 36:18Speaker 2: He's pretty well.
- 36:19Speaker 3: Vargas stands out great chicks probably either you're probably gonna
- 36:24Speaker 3: see two at bats, I would say, unless Marsik or
- 36:27Speaker 3: Mesic excuse me, is rolling.
- 36:30Speaker 2: Don't love him as a full stack.
- 36:32Speaker 3: But I think in chalker teams where maybe you go
- 36:34Speaker 3: like a Shane Baz right and you go as Sean Burke,
- 36:39Speaker 3: you're not playing the kind of expensive chalky guy at
- 36:42Speaker 3: the top tier who has upside. Maybe you pick off
- 36:45Speaker 3: some of these guys. Vargas's price is coming down. You
- 36:47Speaker 3: got Bradon Montgomery. He's shown some power. He's a switch hitter,
- 36:50Speaker 3: pitchick concern free. Junior Perez is twenty one hundred, probably
- 36:54Speaker 3: a pinchick risk guy, but he's got a shit ton
- 36:57Speaker 3: of power for twenty one hundred stone minimum. Well, talk
- 37:01Speaker 3: to me in this one. How do you see this game?
- 37:03Speaker 3: It's White Sox are passed for me in terms of
- 37:05Speaker 3: the offense. Don't really like the Guardians outside of Travis Bizana.
- 37:09Speaker 3: I'll say that just because he's red hot at the
- 37:11Speaker 3: plate right now, and Burke's gonna be one of the
- 37:13Speaker 3: highest on pitchers as well.
- 37:14Speaker 2: Talk to me.
- 37:16Speaker 4: Yeah, it's hard for me to like either side of
- 37:19Speaker 4: this one, to be honest, I mean I'd rather I mean,
- 37:22Speaker 4: I'm not interested in playing any of the Indians against Burke.
- 37:24Speaker 4: I'd rather have Burke in this one and then on
- 37:27Speaker 4: the other side with the White Sox. I mean, there's
- 37:29Speaker 4: been way better options here today for me for me
- 37:32Speaker 4: to try to push this one. So I'll just leave
- 37:35Speaker 4: this one be and we got a few other games
- 37:37Speaker 4: here that we're gonna get to. I think is definitely
- 37:40Speaker 4: in line for some pretty good offense.
- 37:43Speaker 3: Yeah, it takes us to this game Dodgers versus Kendri Rojas,
- 37:49Speaker 3: who it's gonna be a bullpen game basically for the Twins,
- 37:51Speaker 3: which I don't love targeting. If this game does play,
- 37:55Speaker 3: I do think the Dodgers are really interesting on this slate.
- 37:58Speaker 3: They're gonna be kind of the same ownership as the
- 38:00Speaker 3: which is gonna be a fraction of that of the
- 38:02Speaker 3: Red Sox and even probably Baltimore for that matter, when
- 38:05Speaker 3: we get there. I think the Dodgers, if this game plays,
- 38:09Speaker 3: is pretty interesting because, Gee, Risen, we normally don't like.
- 38:12Speaker 2: Targeting bullpen games. It's different when it's the Twins bullpen.
- 38:15Speaker 3: It's the third worst bullpen in baseball and they're pretty
- 38:18Speaker 3: taxed at that. Thirty five thirty two twenty seven. Three
- 38:21Speaker 3: other guys in there. Dodgers, we know best offense in baseball,
- 38:26Speaker 3: at least on paper. They didn't show it last night.
- 38:28Speaker 3: Dalton Rushing Dealt, I don't know if he's going to
- 38:31Speaker 3: be in there. The Kyle Tucker left the game yesterday
- 38:33Speaker 3: as well injured, so we're gonna have to see what
- 38:36Speaker 3: this lineup looks like here For the Dodgers. If this
- 38:39Speaker 3: game does play, I think it's interesting it does have
- 38:41Speaker 3: a pretty high likelihood that it probably doesn't play. So
- 38:44Speaker 3: talk to me, how do you see this one, Twins
- 38:46Speaker 3: and the Dodgers. Yeah, I mean Rojas coming in. Joe Ryan,
- 38:50Speaker 3: I don't know what he did.
- 38:51Speaker 4: He get drunk last night, nays that he's out there
- 38:53Speaker 4: getting hammered with his boys from La coming in.
- 38:56Speaker 5: But one thing we got to.
- 38:57Speaker 4: Remember too, with like the PPD, I mean, this is
- 39:00Speaker 4: the Dodgers coming into Minnesota. It's not like they're gonna
- 39:02Speaker 4: go back there again. They do have a late game tomorrow.
- 39:05Speaker 4: They could squeeze in a doubleheader in the daytime tomorrow
- 39:07Speaker 4: if they really had to. But usually in situations like
- 39:11Speaker 4: this is when they you know, they'll wait later, you know,
- 39:13Speaker 4: like they'll wait till maybe start the game at nine
- 39:16Speaker 4: thirty tonight or something like that, And generally they won't
- 39:19Speaker 4: do that. So I think I think that is interesting.
- 39:22Speaker 4: Dodgers definitely would be in play against Rojas. I mean,
- 39:27Speaker 4: from when I'm saying the kid's got a good arm,
- 39:29Speaker 4: I mean he's had a hard time getting the ball
- 39:30Speaker 4: over the plate a lot of times. He's been getting
- 39:33Speaker 4: barreled up by righties. So I think in the bullpen
- 39:38Speaker 4: as you mentioned, especially the beginning and middle part of
- 39:40Speaker 4: that bullpen for the Twins isn't very good. So yeah,
- 39:43Speaker 4: I think the Dodgers are definitely a top stack. You're
- 39:46Speaker 4: just gonna have to watch the offense and you know
- 39:48Speaker 4: what if if there's like if it gets you know, delayed,
- 39:51Speaker 4: like you're getting a discount automatically on the Dodgers offense tonight.
- 39:54Speaker 5: So I definitely think.
- 39:56Speaker 4: They could definitely nuke the slay here tonight against that
- 40:00Speaker 4: this terrible Minnesota Twins bullpen. So yeah, I think the
- 40:03Speaker 4: Dodgers are in play. I'd have the Dodgers up there
- 40:06Speaker 4: pretty high up in my list here tonight.
- 40:09Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 40:09Speaker 3: Just helped his line up a lot too. Getting Tommy
- 40:11Speaker 3: I'd been back right switch hitter there. He's thirty six
- 40:14Speaker 3: hundred and a second base, third base week position. Mookie, right,
- 40:18Speaker 3: you like yourself some Mookie. He's finally starting. He's not
- 40:21Speaker 3: back to old Mookie, but he's starting to hit better.
- 40:23Speaker 3: Freeman hit a bomb last night. Otan, he let off
- 40:25Speaker 3: the game again yesterday with a bomb. Pahz Murders. I
- 40:30Speaker 3: mean he's got a ton of power. You got a
- 40:34Speaker 3: stone minimum, CHUCKI Robinson, if you want to play his
- 40:36Speaker 3: shitty asked down there, but he's two k at a
- 40:38Speaker 3: catcher position that you can wrap it around Freeland super
- 40:42Speaker 3: cheap again, Alex call And I think the majority of
- 40:46Speaker 3: these guys are probably pinchhit free. A print hit risk
- 40:50Speaker 3: is pretty lower, is lowered more so than it would
- 40:53Speaker 3: be with Kyle Tucker leaving the game yesterday, Dalton Rushing
- 40:56Speaker 3: leaving the game yesterday. I think there was one more
- 40:58Speaker 3: as well that that left the game, and then obviously
- 41:00Speaker 3: TiO Ornandez on the shelf too. So I think you're
- 41:04Speaker 3: probably pretty safe for full nine innings if this game
- 41:07Speaker 3: does play, it would be more of a full stack
- 41:11Speaker 3: or bust for me if you're taking on that risk.
- 41:13Speaker 3: I don't know if I'm gonna take on the risk
- 41:15Speaker 3: yet and one of my four teams in that main tournament,
- 41:18Speaker 3: but I do think the Dodgers are gonna get suppresed
- 41:20Speaker 3: ownership on the best offensive baseball against a bullpen game
- 41:23Speaker 3: from the Twins, which, yeah, can play matchups, but it
- 41:25Speaker 3: doesn't matter. Like I said, when the bullpen is not
- 41:27Speaker 3: good by any means, they're gonna see blow average pitching
- 41:31Speaker 3: for nine innings in this one.
- 41:34Speaker 2: Next spot, d Max Cardinals.
- 41:35Speaker 3: Kyle Leieh thought he was an all right option if
- 41:39Speaker 3: you needed to close your eyes, just because pitching is
- 41:42Speaker 3: just atrocious on this slate. Outside of a couple of
- 41:44Speaker 3: guys e Rod we talked about as a pivot up
- 41:46Speaker 3: in the top tier, Cardinal has been really good outside
- 41:49Speaker 3: of last night in terms of their run production and offense.
- 41:54Speaker 3: You got cheap guys at the back blaze Jordan Lars Newbar,
- 41:57Speaker 3: Mason win has been actually really solid thirty two hundred him.
- 42:00Speaker 3: You got Hosey Furman in this lineup, probably gonna be
- 42:03Speaker 3: a pinchhit guy in the heart, but he's hit fifth
- 42:05Speaker 3: for twenty five hundred. Play him at third base. Talk
- 42:08Speaker 3: to me Cardinals and the d Backs any interest in
- 42:11Speaker 3: this one.
- 42:14Speaker 4: I think I'd have more interest in the d back side,
- 42:17Speaker 4: just because you look at Leahy. I mean he's given
- 42:20Speaker 4: up a three ninety five wOBA to the left side.
- 42:23Speaker 4: He's got a thirteen percent barrel percentage to the left side.
- 42:26Speaker 2: So I mean.
- 42:27Speaker 4: Marte Perdomo, Corbyn Carrol, I think Pevin Smith might end
- 42:31Speaker 4: up being a pinch hit risk, but I don't mind
- 42:35Speaker 4: him at all either, So I mean I do like
- 42:36Speaker 4: the top part of the lineup for the d Backs.
- 42:39Speaker 4: I mean I don't have them, you know, top five
- 42:41Speaker 4: or nothing, but I think they're definitely in play today.
- 42:44Speaker 4: I think they could get the job done, you get
- 42:46Speaker 4: you know, the extra at bat there. I don't mind
- 42:49Speaker 4: it at all as far as the Cards go. Picking
- 42:52Speaker 4: on E Rod, you know, I just picking on E Rod.
- 42:56Speaker 4: I mean, obviously you're.
- 42:57Speaker 5: Gonna want some good writings. I think Jordan Walker's in play.
- 43:00Speaker 4: Vesquez would be in play if you want to look
- 43:02Speaker 4: at that route. But uh, I mean E Rad's been
- 43:05Speaker 4: walking a lot of the righties to the right side.
- 43:08Speaker 4: Wolba's at three fourteen, which you know isn't isn't god awful,
- 43:12Speaker 4: but it isn't good either. But uh, you know, I
- 43:15Speaker 4: think there's just a different night for the Cards. I
- 43:18Speaker 4: just don't really like picking on E. Rod. But I
- 43:20Speaker 4: think the lefties for the Dbacks are definitely in play.
- 43:23Speaker 2: For me, Yeah, you'd want the righty.
- 43:25Speaker 3: So Ivon Herrera comes to the top of my list.
- 43:29Speaker 3: Nelson Alasquez, who hits lefties very good. Historically new new
- 43:33Speaker 3: edition here for this Cardinals offense. Kind of a platoon guy.
- 43:36Speaker 2: So I like that.
- 43:37Speaker 3: Two three four stack that that Herrera, Velasquez Walker all
- 43:42Speaker 3: hit lefties really good. Outside of Lasquez, don't really strike out,
- 43:45Speaker 3: they put the ball in play. They have hit for
- 43:48Speaker 3: a shit ton of power against lefties over last month.
- 43:51Speaker 3: So those three guys in particular, I think are interesting.
- 43:53Speaker 3: And then Blaze Jordan as well has a lot of
- 43:55Speaker 3: power against left handed pitching in his limited samples. So
- 43:59Speaker 3: I I do think I much prefer the Cardinals side
- 44:02Speaker 3: personally myself and the d Backs. I just I don't
- 44:05Speaker 3: like the d Backs outside of one or two guys. Moreno,
- 44:08Speaker 3: Corbyn Carroll are kind of the two main guys there.
- 44:12Speaker 3: The rest of this team, I mean one thirty IO. Yeah,
- 44:16Speaker 3: they don't strike out, but they just don't hit for power.
- 44:18Speaker 3: It's not a great stadium as well for offense, So yeah,
- 44:22Speaker 3: Cardinals are passed for me. But I get the reasonings
- 44:25Speaker 3: on both sides. Lee he's not not a ace by any means,
- 44:28Speaker 3: and at the current state, I just I don't think
- 44:30Speaker 3: e Rod's that great of an arm and right he's
- 44:35Speaker 3: really get to him for the most part there, barrels hard,
- 44:38Speaker 3: hits power, So yeah, I think it's pretty pretty interesting
- 44:42Speaker 3: for some of those Cardinals. More so as a ministack
- 44:44Speaker 3: than kind of a full five man. Let's get to it.
- 44:47Speaker 3: Let's talk about course field here. I faded this game yesterday.
- 44:51Speaker 3: It worked out pretty well. Probably gonna do more of
- 44:53Speaker 3: the same here. I just don't love this Red Sox offense.
- 44:59Speaker 3: I haven't really played that them all year, and I
- 45:01Speaker 3: really don't want to play them when they're gonna be
- 45:03Speaker 3: twice as owned of anyone else on the slate, when
- 45:05Speaker 3: there's other good spots on the slate, like Great American
- 45:08Speaker 3: Small Park. We're gonna talk about the game the next
- 45:10Speaker 3: game in Anaheim as well, that which I like a
- 45:13Speaker 3: lot more.
- 45:15Speaker 2: Red Sox do have a better matchup than they did yesterday.
- 45:17Speaker 3: Facing Sean Sullivan, our guy in the chat, he throws
- 45:20Speaker 3: beach balls up there.
- 45:22Speaker 2: Talk to me, how do you see this game?
- 45:24Speaker 3: You're not gonna get sneaky really any which way you
- 45:27Speaker 3: kind of kind of shake it out with Boston here.
- 45:32Speaker 5: I don't know.
- 45:32Speaker 2: I don't don't love it.
- 45:34Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna take a fain approach again, especially in
- 45:38Speaker 3: my main lineups in that big large field contest, because
- 45:42Speaker 3: it is one hundred max and I know people are
- 45:44Speaker 3: gonna kind of have every which way covered in this game,
- 45:46Speaker 3: because a lot of people just play Cours no matter
- 45:49Speaker 3: when and who it is on the slate.
- 45:51Speaker 2: They just play.
- 45:52Speaker 4: Talk to me in this one, how do you see it?
- 45:55Speaker 4: I'm with you, It's hard for me to play any
- 45:57Speaker 4: Red Sox. They just haven't been playing them all year,
- 45:59Speaker 4: like you. I mean, they're gonna show up in cores,
- 46:01Speaker 4: and they threw up a dud yesterday, as you said,
- 46:03Speaker 4: so really not all that interested.
- 46:06Speaker 5: I mean it's it's tough.
- 46:08Speaker 4: I mean, you don't even I don't even really want
- 46:09Speaker 4: to pick off any kind of want offs. I mean,
- 46:11Speaker 4: Wilson contraras by far as the best play for the
- 46:14Speaker 4: Red Sox. I mean, he's sitting at a four thirty
- 46:16Speaker 4: seven Wolba against lefties and that definitely isn't play and
- 46:21Speaker 4: something I'd want to look at. But the rest of
- 46:23Speaker 4: the team I'm just all not all that thrilled about.
- 46:26Speaker 4: So gonna leave that bee in the Rockies here recent
- 46:29Speaker 4: times just haven't been hitting. I mean, you got Sonny
- 46:32Speaker 4: Gray on the other side. I mean he gets beat
- 46:35Speaker 4: up a little bit more by lefties. I mean maybe
- 46:38Speaker 4: somebody like Mickey Moniac who probably be sitting in that
- 46:40Speaker 4: two hole. I think is interesting. But I'm out on
- 46:45Speaker 4: the Rockies. I'm gonna be out on the Red Sox.
- 46:47Speaker 4: I think the Red Sox for me, I aren't even
- 46:49Speaker 4: in my top five today and they have the highest team.
- 46:51Speaker 4: Told me it's like, you know, like I'm not interested.
- 46:53Speaker 4: I'm not going If it beats me, it beats me.
- 46:55Speaker 4: That's just the way I feel about it.
- 46:58Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I just when the spitting out ninety
- 47:01Speaker 3: seven percent Boston Stacks, Yeah, I just I don't think
- 47:06Speaker 3: it's I don't think that's where that's the hill I
- 47:09Speaker 3: want to go down on personally myself. Sullivan's not gonna
- 47:12Speaker 3: throw super long anyways, and then you're not a good bullpen,
- 47:17Speaker 3: but you're still playing matchups. So guys like Monasterio is
- 47:20Speaker 3: probably gonna get pinch hit for. Eaton's gonna get pinch
- 47:22Speaker 3: it for if he makes the start. It's just I
- 47:25Speaker 3: don't know, I don't love it. If I had to
- 47:27Speaker 3: pick a side, it definitely be more so on the
- 47:29Speaker 3: Rockies runfield.
- 47:31Speaker 2: Jake McCarthy.
- 47:32Speaker 3: We got a guy, Mickey Moniac back in the lineup finally,
- 47:35Speaker 3: which does help the punch here. He was really really
- 47:37Speaker 3: good at the start of the year. Went on the
- 47:38Speaker 3: il and now he's back in that lineup. Troy Johnston,
- 47:42Speaker 3: Willie Castro. So you do have lefties, and you look
- 47:44Speaker 3: at the Rockies, they have way more power against right
- 47:48Speaker 3: hand and pitching in this over this last month right
- 47:52Speaker 3: two fifteen ice So as a team twenty k rate.
- 47:55Speaker 3: Sunny Gray just doesn't really strike many people out anymore
- 47:57Speaker 3: in his current state.
- 47:59Speaker 2: He's susceptible.
- 47:59Speaker 3: Lest So I think you can if you're picking a side,
- 48:02Speaker 3: give me the lower own side in the Rockies if
- 48:05Speaker 3: I'm going to it, but I'm gonna be on her
- 48:06Speaker 3: weight on both sides here McCarthy Moniac, I think is
- 48:09Speaker 3: a really good mini stack if you can afford at
- 48:11Speaker 3: forty eight hundred fifty two hundred, and you should be
- 48:13Speaker 3: able to because salary really doesn't mean too much on
- 48:16Speaker 3: the slate because of how weak the pitching is overall.
- 48:20Speaker 3: Next spot here Orioles Angels, Ryan Johnson on the mind,
- 48:24Speaker 3: not good bad Angels, bullpen behind him, Shane bas our
- 48:27Speaker 3: favorite pitcher, or at least my favorite pitcher on the slate.
- 48:30Speaker 3: Not a lot of Angels interest for me outside of
- 48:33Speaker 3: just the straight close your eyes and hope for some
- 48:36Speaker 3: leverage against one of the highest owned pitchers. I don't
- 48:38Speaker 3: love it because you got a really good bullpen behind
- 48:41Speaker 3: the Orioles as well, so angels are pretty much a
- 48:43Speaker 3: full cross off for me. But Orioles do go up
- 48:46Speaker 3: there at is one of my favorite stacks on the
- 48:49Speaker 3: slate in general. I just this park's gonna play above
- 48:52Speaker 3: average for hitting, which it always does, especially for home runs.
- 48:55Speaker 3: Tonight you got right around ten mile an hour winds
- 48:57Speaker 3: blowing straight off to centerfield, temperatures right around degrees, and
- 49:01Speaker 3: you got full nine and at bats against bad pitching.
- 49:04Speaker 3: So sign me up for the oreos. Gunnar Henderson looks
- 49:07Speaker 3: like one of the better players in the slate. Pete
- 49:08Speaker 3: Alonzo Pasaio if he's in there, Colton Kleser at twenty
- 49:12Speaker 3: seven hundred, hopefully he makes the start.
- 49:13Speaker 2: He's cheap.
- 49:14Speaker 3: Tyler O'Neil would be the guy that don't like just
- 49:17Speaker 3: because he's twenty five hundred and I think he's passed
- 49:21Speaker 3: his time in the major leagues.
- 49:23Speaker 2: But the rest of this lineup.
- 49:24Speaker 3: If Jackson Holiday makes it thirty five hundred for him
- 49:27Speaker 3: at a week second base position, I think he's interesting.
- 49:30Speaker 2: Talk to me. I love the o's here. Tonight.
- 49:32Speaker 3: I think they're really good stack, and I'd put the
- 49:34Speaker 3: O's up against the Red Sox any day.
- 49:37Speaker 4: Yeah, I'd have the O's higher than the reds I
- 49:39Speaker 4: actually put the O's up there with the Dodgers that
- 49:43Speaker 4: I also like here today, So I mean they're definitely
- 49:47Speaker 4: in play. I mean, the bullpen sucks, Johnson sucks. Johnson's
- 49:50Speaker 4: been bad. I mean he's at like a nine and
- 49:51Speaker 4: a half percent k right to Brighty's. He is at
- 49:54Speaker 4: seventeen percent the lefties, but he's been walking thirteen percent
- 49:57Speaker 4: of the lefties. His wolba is four to two to
- 50:00Speaker 4: the left side, four forty three to the right side.
- 50:03Speaker 4: I mean he's been getting buried up a little bit
- 50:05Speaker 4: over nine percent to both sides. I mean, you got guys.
- 50:08Speaker 4: You know, Alonzo hits right, he's pretty well. I think
- 50:12Speaker 4: he's in play. Taylor Ward even hits right as well,
- 50:14Speaker 4: and then he got, you know, Henderson Bassello, I think's
- 50:17Speaker 4: in play. You know you mentioned Holiday. I think all
- 50:20Speaker 4: these guys are in play. I think it's a pretty
- 50:22Speaker 4: decent stack. You know, he got a game total of
- 50:25Speaker 4: nine orioles a buck forty some favorite Yeah, I mean,
- 50:28Speaker 4: give me some Orioles. Like I said, I have him
- 50:31Speaker 4: up there with like the Brewers and the Dodgers.
- 50:33Speaker 5: I think those three would be my favorite stacks today.
- 50:36Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you too, And I mean it's gonna
- 50:39Speaker 3: be more of a bullpen game because Johnson's gonna go
- 50:41Speaker 3: probably two and a third two and two thirds three
- 50:44Speaker 3: innings max. He's been average a right round fifty mid fifties,
- 50:48Speaker 3: low fifties in terms of pitch count, So unless he's
- 50:51Speaker 3: super super efficient, you're looking at three innings. And Brent
- 50:55Speaker 3: Souter did throw thirty five pitches yesterday and twenty on Sunday,
- 50:58Speaker 3: which is a lefty out of that, he's gonna be unavailable.
- 51:01Speaker 3: I'd be shocked if he's available. Kirby Yates, a thirty
- 51:05Speaker 3: nine year old, still still trotting out there. He's pitched
- 51:09Speaker 3: in three of the last four days. I don't know
- 51:11Speaker 3: if he's gonna go. So you do have Mattara, who's
- 51:15Speaker 3: a lefty out of there, which likely comes in because
- 51:17Speaker 3: he hasn't thrown in two days. So that does give
- 51:20Speaker 3: some pitch hick risk to guys like Jackson, Holliday, probably
- 51:24Speaker 3: Colton Kowser, maybe Basayo. But yeah, I have the Orioles
- 51:29Speaker 3: up there next to the Brewers and the Dodgers as well.
- 51:32Speaker 3: With you is kind of the main teams I'm going
- 51:35Speaker 3: in on. I do have two other fairly interesting stacks
- 51:38Speaker 3: as well that I have some interest in. In the
- 51:40Speaker 3: next two games here, just because of the slate at hand,
- 51:44Speaker 3: we get the Braves one of the best offenses in
- 51:46Speaker 3: baseball this year, getting German Marquet Herman Marquez coming off
- 51:49Speaker 3: the I l I've streamlined guys I don't know ge
- 51:54Speaker 3: Riisenwatt the last three years we've been doing baseball shows together.
- 51:56Speaker 3: I've streamlined opposing offenses. Again, it's this guy every single time.
- 52:01Speaker 3: I don't care if it's in San Diego. I know
- 52:04Speaker 3: San Diego has a good bullpen as well, but when
- 52:07Speaker 3: you got a guy like this trotting out there making
- 52:09Speaker 3: starts for you, you can look at these games as
- 52:12Speaker 3: kind of maybe it's just a punt type of game,
- 52:15Speaker 3: especially if the Braves jump out to a bigger lead.
- 52:17Speaker 3: So you're not gonna see Mason Miller, who just threw
- 52:19Speaker 3: twenty pitches yesterday. He's at forty one pitches in the
- 52:22Speaker 3: last three I doubt he's gonna go here.
- 52:24Speaker 2: Back to back.
- 52:25Speaker 3: You got more Sean at forty seven pitches in the
- 52:27Speaker 3: last three days. Don't know if he's gonna be available.
- 52:30Speaker 3: You still have good other arms in there. I still
- 52:33Speaker 3: think the Braves are super interesting here on the slate.
- 52:36Speaker 3: Baldwin being back in this lineup helps him a ton.
- 52:39Speaker 3: Michael Harris has been good, Olsen Alby's and you can
- 52:41Speaker 3: play the good guys. You don't have to mess with
- 52:43Speaker 3: the back half, the Austin Riley's of the world, the
- 52:45Speaker 3: Eli Whites of the world, the Ustremski's of the world,
- 52:49Speaker 3: because nobody's gonna play this offense anyway. So it's a
- 52:51Speaker 3: straight You can play the cop guys at the top
- 52:53Speaker 3: and play it that way. Jay Richie, I had some
- 52:56Speaker 3: interest in down low. Don't play the Padres really ever
- 53:00Speaker 3: going to mess with it in this matchup either, especially
- 53:02Speaker 3: with the Braves bullpen behind him as well. Talk to
- 53:05Speaker 3: me here any Braves offense interest for you against Herman
- 53:09Speaker 3: Mark Wise, it's more a bet on a good offense
- 53:11Speaker 3: against the terrible starting pitcher.
- 53:13Speaker 4: Yeah, Marquez sucks balls, so definitely like going after him.
- 53:18Speaker 4: As you said, we have chase after this guy for
- 53:20Speaker 4: the last few years. I mean you could even look
- 53:23Speaker 4: and say, oh, well, maybe he was a little bit
- 53:25Speaker 4: hurt when he started out. I mean he's only gone
- 53:27Speaker 4: what six starts. His last one was awful. It was
- 53:30Speaker 4: what beginning of May. So he's been out almost almost
- 53:35Speaker 4: two months, so he's been he's been on the shelf.
- 53:38Speaker 4: So I mean you can even look at last year.
- 53:40Speaker 4: You mean he got smacked around big time by lefties.
- 53:43Speaker 4: He had a three ninety three wOBA against lefties last year,
- 53:46Speaker 4: a twelve percent barrel rate. So I mean he's had
- 53:49Speaker 4: a four to sixteen wOBA and a fourteen percent barrel
- 53:52Speaker 4: rate so far this year against lefties. I mean you're
- 53:55Speaker 4: sitting looking at Baldwin, Olsen, Albees, Harris all there in
- 53:58Speaker 4: the top five. I think all the those guys are
- 54:00Speaker 4: in play, and you got Dubon who's been hitting the
- 54:02Speaker 4: shit out of it. Now, you did mention that San
- 54:05Speaker 4: Diego bullpen. They are pretty good. I look just you know,
- 54:08Speaker 4: for hits and giggles. While you were talking to see
- 54:10Speaker 4: what happened yesterday, it was a one nothing game. They
- 54:12Speaker 4: used two of the relievers for an inning. They both
- 54:15Speaker 4: do like twenty pretty close to fifteen to twenty.
- 54:17Speaker 5: Pitches, so I don't.
- 54:19Speaker 4: Necessarily feel as if those guys you know, will be
- 54:22Speaker 4: available today, but that bullpen is just really good. I
- 54:25Speaker 4: was kind of hoping to see maybe three or four
- 54:27Speaker 4: guys go through that game. You know, got a little
- 54:29Speaker 4: deeper in that pen, so I'm not I mean, they're
- 54:33Speaker 4: you know, they're fairly rested. Maybe one of those guys,
- 54:35Speaker 4: I think one of them went twenty. I think the
- 54:36Speaker 4: other one with like thirteen or fourteen something like that.
- 54:38Speaker 4: I don't remember, but Nate, so yeah, I mean that
- 54:41Speaker 4: bullpen is kind of scary. Who knows how long Hermond
- 54:43Speaker 4: will go. But I mean the Brave is one of
- 54:45Speaker 4: the best offenses. I really don't like the park either,
- 54:49Speaker 4: but I mean we normally don't pick on teams, you know,
- 54:52Speaker 4: go for teams out in San Diego or San Francisco
- 54:54Speaker 4: for that matter.
- 54:55Speaker 5: But uh yeah, I mean I think this one's in play.
- 54:58Speaker 4: You could leave them in your pool, feel decent about
- 55:01Speaker 4: it that they can get the job done.
- 55:03Speaker 3: Yeah. I just think Baldwin, Harris Olsen Alby's can hit
- 55:08Speaker 3: it out in any stadium and it doesn't really matter, right,
- 55:11Speaker 3: So with that added in, and yeah, Mason Miller, like
- 55:15Speaker 3: I said, probably unavailable in Morejon, Yeah, they still have
- 55:18Speaker 3: good pictures at the back half, like like you talked about,
- 55:21Speaker 3: but those top two arms up are probably unavailable. Like
- 55:25Speaker 3: I said, forty one and forty seven pitchers in the
- 55:27Speaker 3: last three days, and they threw yesterday right as well.
- 55:31Speaker 3: So yeah, I definitely have the Braves up there as
- 55:34Speaker 3: a contrarian stack. I kind of put them in the
- 55:37Speaker 3: Cubs in kind of the same boat looking at it
- 55:40Speaker 3: when you kind of put it in retrospect to the
- 55:42Speaker 3: slate of kind of ranking these teams. I kind of
- 55:45Speaker 3: put the Braves in the Cubs as two of the
- 55:47Speaker 3: offenses that yeah, not great hitting parks, but it's more
- 55:51Speaker 3: of the matchup against the starting the opposing starting pitcher
- 55:54Speaker 3: with some upside and you don't have to go crazy
- 55:56Speaker 3: with with the shitty guys at the back half. Last
- 55:59Speaker 3: game of the Late Giants and the Athletics, Robbie Ray
- 56:03Speaker 3: is gonna be the most popular pitcher on the slate.
- 56:06Speaker 2: He's a lefty.
- 56:07Speaker 3: Anytime Robbie Ray's chalk, it always feels kind of gross.
- 56:11Speaker 3: Issue with the A's is not only the ballpark, the
- 56:15Speaker 3: I mean, it's just the prices. I mean, geeloff at
- 56:21Speaker 3: five k Kurtz lang Lears. I mean, if I'm picking
- 56:24Speaker 3: one at Beatshay lang Lears. But he's fifty eight hundred dollars,
- 56:28Speaker 3: I mean, and he's got to outscore guys like Wilson
- 56:30Speaker 3: contre or William contrere Is and Gary Sanchez in much
- 56:35Speaker 3: better matchups and parks for much cheaper right, So PAYMP
- 56:39Speaker 3: to be contrarian and just leverage the highest one pitcher
- 56:41Speaker 3: on the slate.
- 56:42Speaker 2: I don't love the A's in this one at all. Really.
- 56:46Speaker 3: If I were to pick a side, it'd be the Giants,
- 56:48Speaker 3: just because I don't think Aaron Savali is any good
- 56:50Speaker 3: at at baseball anymore, especially throwing the rock. Giants actually
- 56:54Speaker 3: been hitting over the last month, which is shocking to say.
- 56:57Speaker 3: They don't strike out. Savali has been pretty pretty atrocious
- 57:01Speaker 3: to both sets the plate. Definitely lefties for sure, so Devers,
- 57:04Speaker 3: Bryce Eldridge, Drew Gilbert. You got some cheap guys in there,
- 57:09Speaker 3: you gotta it does suck. You have to make the
- 57:11Speaker 3: decision between Eldridge and Devers thirty three and thirty eight hundred.
- 57:16Speaker 3: I think the Giants are fairly interesting on this slate.
- 57:20Speaker 3: Is kind of in that same category as the Braves
- 57:23Speaker 3: in the Cubs. For me, as a lower owned stack
- 57:25Speaker 3: was upsiding. You got a bad a's bullpen behind a
- 57:28Speaker 3: bad starting pitcher as well. I know the bullpark sucks,
- 57:31Speaker 3: but again, I think it could be a pretty pretty
- 57:35Speaker 3: interesting spot here to run up the slate.
- 57:38Speaker 5: Talk to me.
- 57:40Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean the Giants Savalley has been so bad
- 57:42Speaker 4: against lefties.
- 57:43Speaker 5: I mean you definitely got to consider that. Eldridge lead Devers.
- 57:46Speaker 4: I mean, but I mean, we just don't like the park,
- 57:48Speaker 4: right like, I mean, we don't like it. I think
- 57:51Speaker 4: there's enough offense here on this slate where you don't
- 57:53Speaker 4: really have to jam it. But I will say, when
- 57:55Speaker 4: I'm looking at it all, I mean I'd put the Giants,
- 57:59Speaker 4: you know, in the same kind of boat as you know,
- 58:02Speaker 4: like you said, the Cubbies or you know, I don't
- 58:05Speaker 4: have them into my top five.
- 58:06Speaker 5: I put them outside my top five.
- 58:08Speaker 4: I think I'd rather play the Giants so than the
- 58:10Speaker 4: Red Sox, be honest with you, So, I mean that's
- 58:13Speaker 4: where I'm at, playing the Giants in San Francisco instead
- 58:16Speaker 4: of playing the Red Sox and Corps. I mean, yeah,
- 58:18Speaker 4: That's where I'm at. So yeah, I mean it kind
- 58:22Speaker 4: of sounds funny, but that's the truth of it. So
- 58:24Speaker 4: I mean that's basically it. So yeah, I mean interesting
- 58:28Speaker 4: slate we got, that's for sure. I mean nine games.
- 58:31Speaker 4: I mean usually we got twelve games. We would have
- 58:32Speaker 4: three more names going on. We're already at like five o'clock.
- 58:35Speaker 4: We had a lot of fun talking about, you know,
- 58:38Speaker 4: our cats fighting and all that shit in the beginning
- 58:40Speaker 4: of the show. But I mean, yeah, good times here.
- 58:43Speaker 4: I mean, I love a little Tuesday baseball. Usually the
- 58:46Speaker 4: pots are bigger on Tuesday, too, So let's get us
- 58:49Speaker 4: some winners here. But I feel pretty good about what
- 58:51Speaker 4: we've been talking about here tonight. So yeah, I mean, man,
- 58:55Speaker 4: I'm really leaning toward that Milwaukee Cincinnati Gamestack. Man.
- 58:58Speaker 5: I think that is.
- 58:59Speaker 4: If I'm playing three teams on FANDO, I'm telling you
- 59:01Speaker 4: one of them is gonna be Milwaukee Cincinnati Gamestack.
- 59:05Speaker 3: Yeah, that does look really good for me. Rounds us
- 59:07Speaker 3: out to the end of the show. Here, do you
- 59:09Speaker 3: rise in your favorites pitching combination? You gotta plug your
- 59:11Speaker 3: nose and pick two with the DraftKings. Focus here your
- 59:15Speaker 3: top three stacks and a home run call for the people.
- 59:18Speaker 4: I think I'm gonna go Burke Man Burke, Bez e
- 59:24Speaker 4: Rod and I'll probably go Richie. I mean it's bad,
- 59:28Speaker 4: It's really bad. I just like Richie because he's cheap stacks.
- 59:31Speaker 4: I'm gonna go Dodgers, Baltimore and Milwaukee, I think are
- 59:36Speaker 4: my favorites. My home run, I'm gonna go with Pete Alonzo.
- 59:41Speaker 4: I think is gonna get a home run.
- 59:43Speaker 2: All right, Pete Alonzo, I like that.
- 59:45Speaker 3: I will go with Shane Boz and Sean Burke is
- 59:48Speaker 3: kind of my two favorites. There is my favorite combination
- 59:53Speaker 3: Brewers number one for me, Dodgers number two and that
- 59:58Speaker 3: are sorry, Baltimore number two, Dodgers three, and then a
- 1:00:02Speaker 3: sneakier one for me with some upside is that Atlanta
- 1:00:06Speaker 3: stack mainly top half of it, and those in particular
- 1:00:10Speaker 3: the lefties there that that top four I think is
- 1:00:12Speaker 3: really interesting. My home run call, I'm gonna go to
- 1:00:15Speaker 3: the cups. I'm gonna go to PCA against code a
- 1:00:18Speaker 3: Senga who can't seem to to keep the ball on
- 1:00:21Speaker 3: the ground. I think PCA keeps the hot streak rolling.
- 1:00:25Speaker 3: I'm riding some PCA and then I'm going to the Brewers.
- 1:00:28Speaker 3: I'm going to Jackson Cherio. Two expensive home run calls there.
- 1:00:33Speaker 3: They're gonna get some ownership, but PCA is gonna be unowned.
- 1:00:35Speaker 3: So I like those two guys. They hit home run
- 1:00:37Speaker 3: to pair with Pete a Lonzo. That's gonna do it
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: for everyone tuning in. Hit that like button, hit that
- 1:00:42Speaker 3: subscribe button, helps us out a ton Good luck tonight
- 1:00:44Speaker 3: in those contest. If it's not me taking home the
- 1:00:47Speaker 3: two hundred k top prize on DraftKings, hopefully it's one
- 1:00:50Speaker 3: of you in the chat or in the discord for
- 1:00:53Speaker 3: g rising I made.
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: It's good luck tonight. We're out of here. Peace.
- 1:01:10Speaker 4: Has Ma Hansos had still had mons