Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / 🚨 Warren Buffett WARNS: YOU Best LISTEN to This - Silver & Gold price news update
Transcript
- 0:00You know, the silver price can absolutely continue upward,
- 0:04upward, 80 dollars, $90.00. We're going to talk about all
- 0:08the reasons why. Great examples in this video.
- 0:11We got a big warning from Warren Buffett that I believe directly
- 0:16applies to the fact that the silver price can go much, much
- 0:20higher. But wait, there's more, right?
- 0:22This is a special Saturday night version of Ron's basement.
- 0:26By the way, thank you for joining me.
- 0:28Seriously, you are the most important part of this.
- 0:32Not for you. I'd be down here in the
- 0:34basement, this cold, dark basement all by myself.
- 0:37So thank you for joining me. Please remember, subscribe, give
- 0:40the video a thumbs up, leave a comment, all that great stuff.
- 0:43But we've got another billionaire, that guy Bateman.
- 0:46More news out of him. He's a massive wait till you
- 0:50hear about this. He's a massive silver hoarder.
- 0:53And what else, right? We got the Trump effect to talk
- 0:56about. More wind in your sails and my
- 1:00sails when it comes to precious metals technical analysis.
- 1:04And we're going to do a check on backwardation, one of our
- 1:07favorite subjects. We love to talk about
- 1:10backwardation, but let's get started with $80 silver.
- 1:14And this is a bonus. Didn't even tell you about this
- 1:16one. Our friend Rashad is at it
- 1:18again, and he's talking about 75 to $85 silver.
- 1:23Let's pull this up and see why he is indicating that could very
- 1:27well be the case. This comes from the X platform.
- 1:31He says looks like silver is about to enter a parabolic
- 1:36stage. And run to my $75 to $80 target
- 1:42in the matter of two to three weeks.
- 1:44Oh, we love you, Rashad. Following which he does expect
- 1:48two to three month pause. OK, so he's not saying it's just
- 1:51going to go up and up and up and consolidation.
- 1:55I do not believe Silver is going to test my $96 target at the
- 2:01present cycle. OK, so let's take a look here
- 2:05what he's talking about, and boy, you love the looks of this
- 2:09chart. As you can see here, guys, we
- 2:11had this what he's talking about consolidation phase.
- 2:15OK, we broke out. We did pull back a little bit.
- 2:18He actually drew that on the chart, but he's saying that we
- 2:22could head up here to the 75 to $85 range in the next couple
- 2:27weeks. OK, we know now next.
- 2:30Oh, I didn't, I didn't warn you about this.
- 2:33We've got the, the Silver festival article from Kitco that
- 2:38we're going to look at now. I'm just going to dive right
- 2:40into it. This has about, oh, maybe 18
- 2:44examples why you can be super excited about the future of the
- 2:48silver price. And hey, we love gold.
- 2:50We're going to talk about gold. Oh, a technical analysis pattern
- 2:57that I've never heard of, but it makes sense.
- 2:59And that's about gold. So we will get to gold, I
- 3:01promise you later in this video. We love gold.
- 3:04But this is from Ernest Hoffman from Kitco.
- 3:08Silver supply remains dislocated and prices should go higher
- 3:12before they retreat. That's from the CI.
- 3:15The CIO of Sprott, her name is. Well, we'll get Maria.
- 3:20Maria Smear Mavo. OK, we got a lot to cover in
- 3:23this article, but I've got it all highlighted in a rainbow of
- 3:27different colors for you in green.
- 3:29The supply problems. That have plagued the silver
- 3:32market in 2025 remain unresolved and surging investment demand
- 3:39has only exacerbated physical shortages where they're most
- 3:44needed. That's according to Maria.
- 3:46All right, Again, I'm trying to get you the highlights here in
- 3:48blue. When we talk about the Stock
- 3:51Exchange inventories, we talk primarily about London's LBMA,
- 3:56the London Bullion Market Association, the COMEX, or some
- 3:59people call it the Crimex in New York and Shanghai, the Shanghai
- 4:04Gold Exchange, OK, Those are the three biggies, the LBMA, the
- 4:07COMEX and the SGE. She said those inventories as of
- 4:13a few years back started declining, specifically in
- 4:17London, for example, this year. What's what happened is some of
- 4:21the metal was shipped from London to New York because of
- 4:24fear of tariffs. At the same time as ETF's have
- 4:28grown, they have reduced the available silver in London as
- 4:32well. So there's been a bit of a, did
- 4:36she say squeeze in London? But the key thing here, guys,
- 4:41we're going to come back to this and we've talked about this is
- 4:43such a critical thing for us as silver investors to remember.
- 4:47I heard Keith Neumeyer from First Majestic Silver say it.
- 4:50I heard Phillips Baker, the former CEO of Hecla Mining, say
- 4:55it, right. This is a physical driven rally
- 4:58that we've had in the last year to 18 months in the silver
- 5:01price. It's not been a squeeze.
- 5:04It's been a slow motion squeeze. We can.
- 5:07I heard Vince Lancey call it a semi squeeze and what I've
- 5:11called it, it's been a squeeze, a long drawn out squeeze, not a
- 5:19spike. Because when things spike, you
- 5:23know what happens, What goes straight up usually corrects and
- 5:27comes straight back down. No, instead we've had a nice, I
- 5:31could pull up a chart but you'd rather look at my hands.
- 5:33We've had a nice steady increase.
- 5:36In the silver price. OK, you know what?
- 5:39Speaking of silver, I want to say thank you to 1st Mint for
- 5:41sponsoring Ron's basement. They're a silver mint in Las
- 5:45Vegas, NV. They are owned by First Majestic
- 5:48Silver, Keith Newmeyer's company that I referred to just a few
- 5:51seconds ago. First Majestic mines the silver
- 5:55in Mexico, ships it to Las Vegas, NV to 1st Mint where it's
- 5:59transformed into these. Here's a great example, world
- 6:03class look at that beauty. Silver bullion products goes
- 6:08from the mine to the meant to you.
- 6:11Does not go to the Comex or the LBMA like Maria just talked
- 6:14about. It's free from the paper.
- 6:16Electronic manipulation of the big paper in electronic markets
- 6:21goes from the mine to the meant to you.
- 6:23This product right here, Folds of Honor is a product line they
- 6:28have. They have around a bar and then
- 6:31also this 10 oz bar. And it it.
- 6:35Benefits The Folds of Honor Foundation The Folds of Honor
- 6:37Foundation is very cool, OK. They provide academic
- 6:41scholarships to spouses and dependents of fallen members of
- 6:47the armed forces, military and 1st responders unit.
- 6:51Unit. So let me show you first Mint
- 6:53website for two seconds so you know where to go.
- 6:56They got a ton of different products that you can check out
- 6:59here. It is right here.
- 7:01First, mint.com and make sure we got the right screen up.
- 7:05Yep, they do have a Cyber Monday sale going on on bars.
- 7:10Let's go back to that $1.00 over spot.
- 7:13The discount code does not apply to the Cyber Monday sale, but
- 7:17does apply to everything else and that is VIP very important
- 7:20person RB as in Ron's basement. They've got, as you can see,
- 7:24rounds bars here. Go to their store bars, rounds,
- 7:29other accessories, and then there's the Folds of Honor.
- 7:33Let me make sure I had that right earlier because I know
- 7:35they've got the 10 oz bar that I showed you and yeah, they have a
- 7:4010 oz American flag, folded flag bar, regular 10 oz bar and a
- 7:45folds of on around. So thank you to First Men for
- 7:48sponsoring Ron's basement. Now let us go back to the
- 7:53article, she said. But again, OK, so she's talking
- 7:57about these markets. OK, hold on here.
- 8:01Hold on guys, I apologize. Now there we are back on the
- 8:05article so you can read along with me.
- 8:07These markets are in disarray. You I heard a guy from China
- 8:11talking about silver demand in China, the refiners and we're
- 8:15going to get into all this today.
- 8:17It's crazy what is happening right now in silver.
- 8:20And she brings up a good point in orange.
- 8:22But again, the backdrop of with the backdrop of deficits,
- 8:26there's not much new metal coming in.
- 8:28So she's talking about the Comex, the LBMA, the Shanghai
- 8:32Gold Exchange, all screwy situations right now, right?
- 8:36The physical, the physical demand for metal is is caught
- 8:39wreaking havoc on those poor people, mostly at the Comex and
- 8:43the LBMA who've played games with the silver price for years
- 8:47because, oh, there's these things called the deficits.
- 8:50And she also brings up another point, right?
- 8:52The silver's a monetary metal in red.
- 8:56We forget, right? Silver.
- 8:58We talked about all these industrial uses and how China
- 9:01needs it and everybody needs it for everything under the sun,
- 9:04which, you know, and we talked about ad nauseam.
- 9:06But on top of that, silver is a monetary metal.
- 9:11What I've heard is that silver was actually used for money
- 9:14before gold was. I mean, it's crazy, she says
- 9:17again in purple. Oh, this is another one, right?
- 9:22Again, silver is a very small market.
- 9:25Think about this, guys. If you think about a billion
- 9:29ounces of silver, which when you combine what the mining of the
- 9:34mining sector produces on an annual basis with the recycling,
- 9:38that's about the amount of silver that the world is able to
- 9:42produce in a whole year. Only 1 billion ounces.
- 9:45It's about $60 billion worth a year at the current high prices.
- 9:51That's what we're making. It's nothing that doesn't take a
- 9:54lot to move the price of silver. I mean, look, the the market cap
- 9:59of, of, of these tech companies as mammoth.
- 10:04Compare one tech company, Amazon, whoever you know, 2,
- 10:08three, $4 billion compared to the entire silver market.
- 10:12The big take away here is it's a tiny market.
- 10:16The smallest amount of money relative to most of the other
- 10:20quote UN quote big financial assets.
- 10:22The smallest amount of money can feel like a flood coming into
- 10:26the silver market. OK, on yellow, all right.
- 10:28On the ETF side, from January until now, we've had a / 100
- 10:32million oz go into the Western ETF.
- 10:36That's 1/8 of the world's mining output.
- 10:38At least that's what's tracked on on Bloomberg, she said.
- 10:42Again, that's a big amount of silver in purple.
- 10:46I'll, I'll give you how I think about it, how I think about it.
- 10:50A big silver mine is between 10 and 20 million ounces of silver,
- 10:55she added. There's not not that many mines
- 10:58like that and we've not had new mines like that at all, really.
- 11:04OK, so there's no new mines. And in the last 10 years we've
- 11:08lost 80 million ounces of supply from mining.
- 11:12Since 2016, guys, the amount of silver coming out of the silver
- 11:17mining sector has gone down. She's quoting by 80 million
- 11:21ounces. That's a handful of big the big
- 11:24mines that we need to replace, but they're not OK.
- 11:28What's happened in the last several years, and I experienced
- 11:31this, a lot of the silver companies.
- 11:32Let me look you in the eye. I feel like I'm not connecting
- 11:35with you just looking at this darn article.
- 11:37I can tell you first hand a lot of the big silver companies
- 11:41switch to gold mining. OK, Now they may be regretting
- 11:45that. I won't comment on that any
- 11:47further, but a lot of the big I could give you names.
- 11:51They switched from being silver miners 3456 years ago to
- 11:56suddenly becoming gold miners, right?
- 11:58Because there was no money to be made because of the price
- 12:02suppression by the COMEX in the LBMA.
- 12:05So what does all that mean? That means that down the road,
- 12:08now that we got $60.00 silver in that company, that was XYZ
- 12:13silver mining that switched to XYZ gold mining is like darn, I
- 12:17wish I could become a silver miner again.
- 12:19Well guess what? You can't just become a silver
- 12:22miner. It takes five years at the
- 12:24earliest, 10 years in most cases, right, to start a new
- 12:28silver mine. What that means for you, The big
- 12:31take away here is as a silver investor, they can't just flip a
- 12:35switch just because silver went to $60.00 an ounce 7080 like our
- 12:40friend Rashad's talking about. They can't just flip a switch
- 12:43and make more silver. It's very, very exciting.
- 12:46And the demand? For silver because of things
- 12:48like solar panels and electric car.
- 12:52State batteries, anything electronic is going through the
- 12:55roof, man. I feel like we could stop now.
- 12:58I mean, but we don't want to stop.
- 12:59We want to keep. I mean like mic drop.
- 13:02I can't drop this mic because it's on the table, but you know
- 13:05what I'm saying? It's looking very good.
- 13:07Are you feeling good? I hope you are.
- 13:10You deserve it. I really appreciate you joining
- 13:12me down here in the basement. All right, we're almost done
- 13:14with this article. Then we're going to listen to
- 13:16Warren Buffett. Big warning.
- 13:18Then we're going to talk about more billionaires in green.
- 13:21It says the big companies now are trying to buy silver
- 13:24deposits and silver mines, but there's a shortage of them.
- 13:28Only the visionaries, the people that were true believers, right?
- 13:32Like Keith Neumeyer, who's the other guy that from Dolly Varden
- 13:36Silver, Sean Koon. Koon, you know, any of these
- 13:40guys, Galen McNamara from Silver 47, Like they were, they were,
- 13:44they have a head start because they were visionaries.
- 13:47OK, OK. But there's a shortage of them.
- 13:49There's not many good assets in the silver mining space.
- 13:54It will take time to permit these things like she said, to
- 13:57finance them and build them. She said, oh, here in my mind,
- 14:00it's a 5 to 10 year process and that's it.
- 14:03Thank you Ernest Hoffman from Kitco for that.
- 14:06Wonderful, wonderful piece of literary work.
- 14:10We appreciate it from down here in the basement.
- 14:12Me and the basement dwellers say thank you.
- 14:14Now we're going to talk about Warren Buffett and what he.
- 14:17Look, if we, if you choose to price silver in U.S. dollars,
- 14:22you can price silver and oil. We talked about that earlier in
- 14:25the week. Right now, like 1 ounce of
- 14:26silver, we'll buy you one whole barrel of oil, which has never
- 14:31been the case in history. And why I've said for years that
- 14:34silver is the new energy metal, right?
- 14:38It's replacing oil. Silver is energy, nuclear power,
- 14:42solar power, all that. I digress.
- 14:44Okay, if we choose to price our silver in U.S. dollars, right,
- 14:49the US dollar is going bye bye the US dollar.
- 14:52Unfortunately, we don't like it. We love our country.
- 14:55If you live in America, all that great stuff, but.
- 14:57The reality is, because we could look at the US debt, clock
- 15:00everything else, the dollar is in big, big trouble.
- 15:02Let's listen to what Warren Buffett, the warning.
- 15:05This is Warren Buffett, right? Mr. America, Mr. made all of his
- 15:09money out of America. Let's listen to what he has to
- 15:12say about a big warning about the US dollar.
- 15:15I've got this queued up right where he starts to.
- 15:18Really. He'd already talked about the
- 15:19weakness on the dollar, but it gets even more crazy.
- 15:23Here we go. There's Warren with his
- 15:25Coca-Cola. See.
- 15:27Ya, they devalue at rates that are breathtaking and that's
- 15:31that's continued. I mean, people can study
- 15:33economics and you can have all kinds of arrangements, but in
- 15:35the end, if you've got people to control the currency, you can,
- 15:40you can issue paper money and you will, or you can engage in
- 15:45clipping currencies like they just do centuries.
- 15:48There will always be people. It's the nature of their job.
- 15:53I'm not singling them out as particularly evil or anything
- 15:56like that, but the natural course of government this too is
- 16:00to make the currency worth less overtime and.
- 16:04Make the currency worth less overtime or worthless Warren.
- 16:09An important consequences and it's very hard to build checks
- 16:12and bounces into the system to keep that from happening.
- 16:16OK, so you can go find that back on your own.
- 16:19That was on CNBC. He's basically saying the dollar
- 16:22is becoming worth less and less the real value.
- 16:26Think about what you can buy with an ounce of silver.
- 16:28What will, will I think the big take away from listening to
- 16:32Warren? Is this OK?
- 16:35How much, how many, how many groceries could you buy at the
- 16:38grocery store today with an ounce of silver compared to, oh,
- 16:42let's say one year ago? Twice as much.
- 16:46Congratulations, right? And that's a very short cherry
- 16:49pick time frame. But throughout history, silver
- 16:52has maintained its value. We can look at one year or we
- 16:55can look at 1000 years. It doesn't make a difference,
- 16:59right? 1000 years ago.
- 17:00I'm going to tell you this right now.
- 17:02OK, this here. Here's the Year of the Dragon
- 17:07from first met. 1000 years ago, this much silver would buy just
- 17:12about as many groceries, as much food as it would today.
- 17:15All right, Now, more billionaires, right?
- 17:17We've got the new Hunt Brothers and this is crazy.
- 17:20This guy owns 13 million ounces of silver.
- 17:24But wait, there's more. There's a couple big kickers in
- 17:27this one for you. Couple bonus factors.
- 17:29Let's go see what David Bateman, he's the new Hunt Brothers is
- 17:33what we like to call him and some other people call him that
- 17:35as well. He has over 13 million ounces of
- 17:39silver, which is breathtaking. I did the math earlier.
- 17:43I think it's like almost a, it's under a billion, but maybe like
- 17:45780 million U.S. dollars now worth of silver.
- 17:49But he says this, listen to this.
- 17:52This is just when was this? Yesterday he said a guy I know,
- 17:56this is not him. This is a guy he knows in Utah,
- 18:00just reached out to ask me how he should go about a 10 million
- 18:06U.S. dollar silver purchase. He says a few are starting to
- 18:10see what's happening. Some of those sheeple that we've
- 18:14talked about before, sheeple people sheeple turn into people
- 18:18sheeple are waking up. He says silver will be
- 18:22unobtainium soon. Makes me sad to see so many
- 18:26people cashing in their silver right now that the refineries
- 18:30cannot keep up. OK, well.
- 18:34Let me tell you that, let me comment on that.
- 18:36And I think there's something very important.
- 18:39And then we got a lot more from Bateman.
- 18:41But but guys, the fact that the refineries can't keep up, that's
- 18:47OK, because silver is a worldwide market.
- 18:50Yes, in America when you I'm talking to people that are in
- 18:53the, the coin shop business, the retail side, there are people
- 18:57cashing in their silver. But you know what, India, if you
- 19:01heard of that country, India, let me look you in the eye for
- 19:04the, uh oh, hold on, little tech issue.
- 19:06Hold on here. Think I can fix it?
- 19:09And I did. Thank you.
- 19:10I think we're still alive. Hopefully you're still in the
- 19:13basement with me. Didn't float off into cyberspace
- 19:16on me or anything, now, did you? OK, the Chinese and the Indians
- 19:20are sucking it all in. And there's only so much silver
- 19:24that can be, quote, UN quote, cashed in in the United States,
- 19:28right? But the world is happy to bring
- 19:30it in. It's been a little while since
- 19:33we've talked about this. There are 1.4 billion people in
- 19:37India. They love gold and silver.
- 19:39We looked at ETF data the other day.
- 19:42They love it. They're going to be able to use
- 19:43silver. They've, they're monetizing
- 19:45silver in India, right? People in India use silver to
- 19:49save. Imagine that.
- 19:52I'd imagine they're pretty darn happy they did after what's
- 19:54happened over the last year right now.
- 19:57But wait, there's more. There's another country out
- 19:59there called China. Maybe you've heard of the
- 20:02Shanghai Gold Exchange. It also has 1.4 billion people.
- 20:06Oh, and also embedded in their culture, just like India are
- 20:12silver and gold in the end. And the Chinese, you know what's
- 20:16going on with China. So whatever little bit of
- 20:19silver, because in the United States, you know, right, a lot
- 20:24of people don't know about silver and gold.
- 20:26They don't. We don't.
- 20:27Did you get taught about silver and gold in elementary school?
- 20:31No, we didn't. We had to do the hard work.
- 20:33If you're joining me from America and dig in for
- 20:36ourselves, most the people out there who we like to
- 20:40affectionately refer to as affectionately, and we mean this
- 20:44in a respectful way, the sheeple.
- 20:48Right, they're just starting to learn about silver.
- 20:50I'm getting in trouble for the sheep noise.
- 20:52If you don't like the sheep noise, I'm sorry.
- 20:57I'll try to warn you next time. Used to be I rang a bell and
- 21:00people would get mad. And you know, I can't keep
- 21:02everybody happy down here. And you're not forced to be
- 21:05here. I love it when you're here and I
- 21:06want you to stay here. But I do like to make the sheep
- 21:09noise from time to time. But in the future, I will warn
- 21:13you of that off. Let's get back on track, right?
- 21:18Right. OK, these people in the world,
- 21:21silver. The big take away here is silver
- 21:23is a worldwide market. It's not just the United States
- 21:27of America. Look, I'm not putting my country
- 21:29down, but a lot of Americans just think America is
- 21:32everything. No, we got 300 million people,
- 21:35OK? China and India both have
- 21:37rapidly advancing economy. Some people say China's economy
- 21:40is as big as the United States. Now they got like, what is that?
- 21:44Four times as many people as us? And they love silver and gold
- 21:48and they're consuming silver and gold.
- 21:49And they're going to be, here's a little something for you that
- 21:52I'm hearing that in January, China's going to like like stop.
- 21:56They're going to put, they're called export controls on
- 21:59silver. So you can't export silver.
- 22:02Very interesting. All right, back to Bateman.
- 22:04I apologize. I'm all over on you guys
- 22:06tonight, but let's go back to Bateman and go to his next
- 22:09point. So he's got a buddy who just
- 22:10wants to spend $10 million on silver.
- 22:14But then this comes out from Bateman again, this is who I
- 22:18like to refer to as the new Hunt Brothers.
- 22:21Although he's doing it with, there's a difference.
- 22:23He's doing it by buying physical.
- 22:25He's not using the, he's not buying futures and leverage.
- 22:29You know, he's, from what I understand, actually buying the
- 22:32metal. He says this yesterday, yes, the
- 22:3612th of December at 9:32 PM. He says I bought 350,000 ounces
- 22:44of physical silver last week during the dip at $57.
- 22:49And he says I'm up 9% already. Can't stop, won't stop buying
- 22:54more next week. Grateful for the slam today.
- 22:57And that was the slam yesterday. Oh, yeah.
- 22:59But we didn't even talk about that.
- 23:01So there's Bateman, there's the silver billionaire.
- 23:03We heard from Warren Buffett. The dollar is is going to
- 23:06continue to become, as he said, worth less.
- 23:10We like to say potentially worthless, but then we've got
- 23:14the other billionaire, David Bateman, who continues to buy
- 23:17more and more physical metal. OK, the future looks really
- 23:22bright for the for the value of silver and gold.
- 23:24OK, I got to look at my notes. We got a lot more to cover.
- 23:27We got Bateman. OK, we're going to talk about
- 23:29the gold, the gold to silver ratio.
- 23:32This is interesting. OK, I didn't realize this.
- 23:35I did the math before I came on. The current gold price is around
- 23:39$4300 per oz silver. We're going to say 62.
- 23:43I did the math and if my calculator is working correctly,
- 23:46we're down to 70 on the gold to silver ratio, meaning it takes
- 23:51you 70 ounces of silver to get one ounce of gold.
- 23:55Let me remind you, this is a tube of 20 American Silver
- 24:00Eagles, OK? That would take three of these
- 24:04plus another 10 ounces of silver still to get one ounce of gold
- 24:09still traditionally very, very high.
- 24:11The lower that goes, that means the higher the silver price
- 24:15goes. And in conjunction with that, if
- 24:18the gold price goes even higher, right, that drags it up even
- 24:22more. That's what they're talking
- 24:24about with a slingshot move in the silver price.
- 24:27Let's go take a look at what Tavi Costa is telling us about
- 24:31the gold to silver ratio, and then we're going to look at this
- 24:35chart. He said that the GSR ratio is
- 24:38starting to move abruptly, as it often does after reaching
- 24:42extreme elevated levels. Wait till you see this chart.
- 24:45As always, investors convince themselves that this time was
- 24:48different and that we wouldn't revert back to the historical
- 24:53average. The historical average OK, and
- 24:58history does not always exactly repeat, but it does often rhyme.
- 25:01It's ironic how these extremes appear obvious in hindsight, yet
- 25:06in real time they're often rationalized as anomalies.
- 25:09My views to the GSR ratio is set to decline substantially, and
- 25:14this is likely only the early stages of this move.
- 25:17I've got another visual we're going to look at on this next
- 25:21that will blow your mind. OK, but here's the gold to
- 25:24silver ratio. Let me get the crayons out.
- 25:27The virtual crayons. OK, this chart, as you may see,
- 25:31I hope this is a long enough time frame for you, goes back to
- 25:34the year 1687. Many of you are probably old
- 25:37enough to remember that time frame like I am over here.
- 25:41This is the gold to silver ratio, right up 100, which we
- 25:45actually hit not long ago. Felt like we were at 100
- 25:49recently. Here's 20.
- 25:53OK, here's 50. Alright, as you can see, for
- 25:57many, many years, right, many hundreds of years, the gold to
- 26:01silver ratio was below 20. Then it's spiked up here when
- 26:05around 1934 and then we had back in 1999 or I'm sorry, yeah,
- 26:12861999 but look, look where we are, look where we have been way
- 26:17up here, 2.5 standard deviations above its historical mean, OK,
- 26:23which is right here 30, OK, but even and then again this is
- 26:28where we are right now. We've it's dropped a bit.
- 26:31So we're probably closer to 70. If we were to get back to 50, if
- 26:36my math is correct, I don't know what would we have.
- 26:38We would have like 80. I'm sorry.
- 26:40If we got back to 50, wow. Yeah, we would have around $85
- 26:45per oz silver. We'll say 84.
- 26:50OK. If we get back just to this
- 26:52level right here, which again is still 2 standard deviations if
- 26:57we got back to the historical average.
- 26:59Let me get my calculator out here real quickly.
- 27:01If we divide 4300, 4300 divided by, hey, we'll just use that
- 27:10#29.170, that would be right here.
- 27:16And that would be, do you know what it would be?
- 27:18You probably do it in your head, you genius.
- 27:21That would be $147 silver. Now think of what we're looking
- 27:26at right there. That's at a gold and silver
- 27:28ratio of 30. Now let's go out to see what
- 27:33Marin Catoosa, one of the brightest minds out there, had
- 27:37to say about what's going on in the gold and silver ratio.
- 27:40Catoosa research says Nature provides only 8 ounces of silver
- 27:45for every one ounce of gold mine.
- 27:47The market trades like it's 80 times more common.
- 27:51Are we watching the greatest geological mispricing in history
- 27:56snap back to reality? Yes, we are Marin, absolutely.
- 28:02So guys, look at this. I'll get the crayons out one
- 28:04more time. The geological lie, there's
- 28:08nature's ratio, right? Eight to one on gold to silver.
- 28:13OK, this is where the markets trading right now, 80 to 1.
- 28:18So Mother Earth prices, it gave us 8 ounces of silver for each
- 28:24one ounce of gold. The market prices it like
- 28:27there's actually 80 ounces of silver for each one ounce of
- 28:31gold. And hey, just for fun, you know
- 28:33what, let's just say we did get back to if we divide 4300 and if
- 28:40we got back to an 8 to 1 gold to silver ratio, the price of
- 28:47silver would be $537. I know it sounds crazy, right?
- 28:56But let me tell you what else sounds crazy and what I was.
- 28:59Accused of just a year ago when the silver price was $30.00 an
- 29:02ounce a year ago today, right? Right now, right.
- 29:06December 13th, 2024, we sat down here in the basement, we talked
- 29:12about silver going to 50-60 dollars, $7080 an ounce, $40.00
- 29:17an ounce. 45 people said we were crazy, didn't they?
- 29:22Well, how did that work out for them?
- 29:25I used to get emails and it was, it was hard for me to read these
- 29:28things where people would say you're a liar.
- 29:31You're telling people silver will never, I got a whole file
- 29:34of them. Silver will never go back to
- 29:36$50.00 an ounce. You're a shill for the silver
- 29:39companies. You're the blah, blah, blah.
- 29:41You're dreaming, right? Well, where are we today?
- 29:44Am I dreaming? Is this a dream?
- 29:45Are we on Fantasy Island? No, we're in reality.
- 29:48I'll tell you what's in Fantasy Island and we call it Fantasy
- 29:51Island Silver. And that would be the Comex and
- 29:54the LBMA. That's what they are.
- 29:57They're in fantasyland. They're trading paper make
- 30:00believe silver. And I think the day is coming,
- 30:03the day is nigh, right where the physical demand for silver is
- 30:07overtaking the paper markets. OK, next we're going to look at
- 30:11gold. We've got a brand new technical
- 30:13chart and gold, because gold is still the granddaddy, the grand
- 30:17pappy of all the precious metals.
- 30:20We're going to look at some interesting data on gold and.
- 30:24A lot more. But before I do that, Speaking
- 30:26of gold, I do want to say thank you to 1st Mining Gold for
- 30:29sponsoring the Ron's basement gold and silver content.
- 30:32It's a stock I own long before they sponsored my channel.
- 30:35I'm not a financial advisor, do your own research, but I love
- 30:39First Mining Gold because they have two huge development stage
- 30:43gold projects in Canada. And when I say huge, I mean
- 30:47millions of Oz of gold in the ground.
- 30:50And they've been working on these projects for a long, long
- 30:53time. You know, like 5-6 years.
- 30:56They've worked on them. Other companies had worked on
- 30:58them prior to that. There just aren't a lot of huge
- 31:01gold deposits in favorable parts of the world.
- 31:06Good jurisdictions in Canada is considered to be one of the best
- 31:10jurisdictions for gold mining in the world.
- 31:13You can learn more about First Mining Gold at
- 31:15firstmininggold.com here. I'll show you their website real
- 31:19fast. See if I get this working.
- 31:21Hopefully my wrong one. That is, it is here we go and
- 31:26here we go. Here's first Mining gold,
- 31:28firstmininggold.com, advancing two major gold projects in
- 31:32Canada. If you're interested, you can go
- 31:34out and check them out and even reach out to the company.
- 31:37Paul Morris, their director of investor relations is a
- 31:40wonderful guy. Gets back to everyone if you
- 31:43have any questions. OK, All right, let's look at oh,
- 31:47hey, guess who's back? I guess who's back.
- 31:49Not Shady. No.
- 31:51OK, Rashad is back and he's got something to say about gold.
- 31:55And then hold on. And then we got even more
- 31:59something super interesting, a technical pattern and gold that
- 32:03I've never seen before. So let's go out to here we go.
- 32:08Rashad, hold on. Here.
- 32:12Here we go. Now you see it.
- 32:14Now you see it. There's Rashad Gold two-month
- 32:18triangle broke out yesterday. This is not the new one, but
- 32:22this is worth listening to. It's amplitude applied to apex.
- 32:30I'm not going to act like I know what that means.
- 32:32Suggest that immediate target is $4700 for gold.
- 32:37Rashad, we love you again with gold to silver ratio expected
- 32:42around 58 to 62. I expect the silver price around
- 32:4775 to 80 in the present cycle. He says no.
- 32:50The move in gold to 4700 from present price levels, excuse me,
- 32:56makes up nearly 10%. Gold rallied 11% within seven
- 33:01days, most recently from October 9th through 16th of 2025.
- 33:08Above mentioned assumption suggests that gold could reach
- 33:114700 in silver. What?
- 33:14Wait a minute. Silver.
- 33:16At least $75 per oz before the end of the year.
- 33:21OK, Rashad. And again, he says not, not
- 33:23investment advice. Yeah.
- 33:25And I'll say the same thing too, Guys, look, I'm not a financial
- 33:29planner or a financial advisor. I'm a guy in my basement who
- 33:34does a lot of research on gold and silver.
- 33:36And I just tell you what, I see what I believe.
- 33:39Always do your own research. But there's what he's talking
- 33:42about. And this was just recently.
- 33:45This was from. Here's the start of October, and
- 33:49here's the start of December. So we had this triangle pattern
- 33:55in gold, OK. And whenever there's a triangle
- 33:57pattern as time goes by, which is over here on this access
- 34:02axis, eventually it's forced to break out either to the
- 34:06downside, right, or to the upside, as we can see.
- 34:12And what he pointed out here on this chart is there.
- 34:16It all goes right there. If you look, we broke out to the
- 34:20upside and gold's been strong, even though on Friday we had a
- 34:24little bit of a challenge in the silver market.
- 34:26Gold's been strong. But wait till you see this next
- 34:28one because I got to be honest and I love it.
- 34:33We all know about the cup and handle pattern, but what about
- 34:37the triple? The golden triple cup sounds
- 34:41like a horse race or something. We got a new tech pad, a new
- 34:44technical analysis pattern. New to me, Maybe not new to you,
- 34:47but new to me. But it's good news.
- 34:50This came from the gold predictors.
- 34:52Gold is broken out of a quote UN quote.
- 34:55Do I have the right screen up? Yeah, I believe I do.
- 34:57Yes, I do. OK.
- 34:59Gold broke out of a here it is triple cup formation, signaling
- 35:04a strong bullish momentum. As long as price holds above the
- 35:09breakout zone, this guy says the path towards 5000 remains
- 35:13intact. And here's the old triple cup
- 35:16formation. So you know we know this one,
- 35:19the cup in handle OK, but this is the triple cup right there.
- 35:27You can see it right? Whoop, whoop, whoop, triple cup.
- 35:32But nonetheless, on all seriousness, I like this because
- 35:37as he points out again there, we actually broke up of that as
- 35:41well. OK.
- 35:42The other big thing that we follow in the silver market
- 35:46because there are major dislocations.
- 35:49I listened to a guy from China, two people from China talking
- 35:53about the the physical situation with silver in China and it is
- 35:58becoming precarious. You know, there's these refinery
- 36:00issues here in the United States becoming precarious.
- 36:04I'm hearing about like, like like buybacks on junk silver.
- 36:08It like $20 below spot. I would not recommend cashing in
- 36:12junk silver right now. And obviously the prices that
- 36:15are being offered are discouraging you from from doing
- 36:18that. But the other big thing, the
- 36:20lease rates, the amount of this and then we got the big one
- 36:23we're going to look at which is backwardation.
- 36:25But lease rates are going up and up and up again as well.
- 36:30That's the amount of what it, what it costs basically to
- 36:33borrow silver, silver in London, right.
- 36:36And when the lease rates go up, that indicates, and that's what
- 36:39a lot of the top people are following very closely, stress
- 36:42in the markets. OK, but what about
- 36:44backwardation? Backwardation is another huge,
- 36:47huge signal that there's issues in the market because the way
- 36:51the markets work, the current spot price for silver or for any
- 36:56commodity for that matter, should always be lower than what
- 37:00the futures price is like. You should be able to buy the
- 37:03commodity in this case, we're talking about silver now for a
- 37:07cheaper amount than what you would have to pay for it, let's
- 37:10say three months in the future. Backwardation, what that means,
- 37:14that's when the spot price, the immediate price for silver goes
- 37:19higher than the futures price, OK?
- 37:22That happened like 3-4 weeks ago, that kind of institute or
- 37:26was coincided with a very large increase in the silver price.
- 37:30And then things went back into what they call contango, which
- 37:33is that natural state that I described earlier where the
- 37:36futures price of silver went higher than the spot price.
- 37:40Where are we now? Is it getting interesting?
- 37:43Hint, hint. Let's go take a look.
- 37:45Let's go out and take a look at the first.
- 37:48We'll look at the spot price of silver and we will go to Kitco
- 37:52for that. So on Friday, as you can see,
- 37:57just so you know, not pulling your leg, that's the world spot
- 38:01price, OK. Gold was 4300 silver, OK, We're
- 38:07going to say $62.00 per oz. That's the ask all right now.
- 38:12So that should be significantly or noticeably lower, maybe not
- 38:18significantly, noticeably lower than the futures price.
- 38:21Well, let's go out and look at the to remember that, right,
- 38:24Easy to remember 61, excuse me, 6199, almost $62.00 if we go out
- 38:30and look at the futures price, right And our friends, what they
- 38:34change their logo. What did you see that CNBC
- 38:38change their logo on us those stinkers All right got to get
- 38:42used to that anyway, the silver price in the futures market.
- 38:47Oh. $62.08, I can tell you, I don't know what it like
- 38:52percentage wise it should be, but I would think in a healthy
- 38:56market, OK, that's getting very close.
- 38:58We are not officially in the state of backwardation.
- 39:00We're in a state of almost backwardation right now.
- 39:04So that the futures price should be much higher than that, right?
- 39:09Let's say like 636350 per oz. So we are almost in
- 39:15backwardation. It's very unusual to be in
- 39:17backwardation. And again, we were in
- 39:19backwardation, what, 4-5 weeks ago?
- 39:22But let's look at the silver chart just for kicks and
- 39:24giggles. Hopefully it didn't change that
- 39:26on me too. I'm really going to look
- 39:28foolish. OK, so this is and here we go.
- 39:34This is this is where we can see that's the March that's pretty
- 39:38far out too. Jeez, that should be a lot
- 39:41higher than the spot price. It's the March price for silver.
- 39:45And let's take a look at this horrible, horrible crash that we
- 39:52had in the silver price on Friday.
- 39:57This is a. One month chart.
- 39:58And as you can see, yeah, I know it felt bad, guys, but look,
- 40:02even on the one month chart, we got nothing to complain about.
- 40:06Wow. I mean, do you see that here?
- 40:09In case you can't see it, I'll draw it for you.
- 40:12This was the 24th of November. What is today the 13th?
- 40:17So that was like in three weeks. This is what the silver price
- 40:22did. OK, Looking pretty darn good.
- 40:25OK. Now let's go just check on the
- 40:29one year chart to make sure it looks healthy and again, OK, the
- 40:34only thing I'm concerned about on this chart is this right
- 40:37here. OK, here.
- 40:40We'll go back to. Is that April?
- 40:42Yeah, that's one year. Geez, look at that.
- 40:45Do you see that number right there?
- 40:46You may not remember that. That's $30 per oz silver.
- 40:50That's April and that's about where we were at that point.
- 40:56Look at what the silver price has done in that period.
- 41:00The only thing I'm getting a little worried about on this
- 41:03chart is this right here, OK, this move from 50 up to 65,
- 41:11because remember what we said, I'm not going to call that a
- 41:14squeeze. I'm not going to call that.
- 41:16That's almost a semi spike and guys, look.
- 41:19If we get back to 6050, even if we get back to $55 silver, we're
- 41:26still going to be in such good shape because what's happening
- 41:29right now is we are seeing the floor for the silver price, the
- 41:33floor move. Up and up and up.
- 41:36You remember being down here like 2 years ago?
- 41:39My gosh, I was talking to Dan Wilton, the CEO of First Mining
- 41:44Gold on Friday. I was in, I went on a mine tour
- 41:49with him up in Quebec in October of 2023.
- 41:52OK, that's a little over two years ago and it's hard to
- 41:56believe. And I had it written down the
- 41:58two years ago, the silver, I'm sorry, the gold price, was it
- 42:02like 1800? Nineteen, $100 per oz, OK And
- 42:07back to silver. The silver floor is going up and
- 42:12up and up and up. And it didn't happen overnight.
- 42:16It happened through consolidation and what
- 42:18consolidation means. And that's what's happening
- 42:20right now. Anybody who wants to sell their
- 42:23silver, it's $60.00 per oz and get out OK is doing it and those
- 42:29people are being replaced. There's like this foundation of,
- 42:32of people that are silver handed not going to sell their silver.
- 42:39You know, I've never sold an ounce of silver in my life, OK,
- 42:42Never ever if I'd gone to a coin shop or any online and said
- 42:46here, here, right. So the people like us, right,
- 42:51that are silver handed are growing and growing and growing.
- 42:54And then the people that are like, oh, I don't know this the
- 42:58chickens, the silver chickens, right?
- 43:01They're getting out. They're gone and but they get
- 43:04replaced with other people that are that are that are long term
- 43:08holders, long term believers and know the thesis behind it all.
- 43:13It's going to be wild, man. There is just so much going on.
- 43:16Oh, before I forget, hope walks. You want to do something nice
- 43:20this holiday season, please let me see if I can pull them up
- 43:23real quick. Wonderful organization helping
- 43:26treat children all over the world with clubfoot.
- 43:29OK clubfoot is something that we don't talk about a lot in the
- 43:33United States or hear a lot about because even though
- 43:35there's what I think 4 or 5000 children born with the.
- 43:40It's a birth defect every year they get treated immediately.
- 43:44Troy Aikman head clubfoot via ham head clubfoot.
- 43:48But the reality is throughout about the rest of the world,
- 43:50especially in poor countries, like there's like 200,000
- 43:54children born with clubfoot every year and a lot of them
- 43:57don't get treated. This organization has helped
- 44:00treat 20,000 children with clubfoot and it happens all over
- 44:06the world. That makes a major impact in
- 44:08these children's Life, OK. And it's not that expensive.
- 44:12It only costs like $500 per patient to completely treat
- 44:16clubfoot. So they're going all over the
- 44:18world training physicians, providing the braces and the
- 44:22necessary equipment to train these children in making a
- 44:26major, major difference. So if you want to do something
- 44:28nice, go check them out. Don't forget also.
- 44:31Hey, hey, hey, wait a minute, you want to be a pirate?
- 44:34This is the funnest part. I love this dirty man.
- 44:38Safe. See it.
- 44:39This is the small version of The Dirty man safe.
- 44:42They also have a micro version on out now.
- 44:44But this is a safe that you bury in the ground just like the
- 44:48pirates did and you can put whatever you want in it.
- 44:50Here, let me show you how this works.
- 44:53Here we go. Everyone's got a little plastic
- 44:55Unicorn in it, but you can put silver, gold, anything you want
- 44:58to keep safe. None of my business, but you
- 45:00bury these in your wherever you want.
- 45:04Don't tell anybody, but maybe one other person and you get to
- 45:07bury and keep things safe from fire flood.
- 45:10Maybe you've got a regular safe at your house.
- 45:12Maybe you've got a safety deposit box.
- 45:14I don't know. Maybe you hide stuff in the
- 45:16rafters, whatever. But this gives you an option to
- 45:20do. See that too.
- 45:21There's a discount code Ron 10, right?
- 45:24And what a great gift idea. Maybe you're sitting hanging out
- 45:28with me in the basement, but you need to do some holiday
- 45:32shopping. Go check out dirty man safe.
- 45:34They've got this new here. Here it is here.
- 45:36I got one right here, like the micro version or the OR the
- 45:42crypto version they're calling it.
- 45:44These things are so cool, so well built, and let me show you
- 45:50this one again opens up from the bottom and just as an example, I
- 45:55can show you, you guess what's in here.
- 45:57Do you have any idea what's in here?
- 45:59There you go, here we go. Susie's favorite upstairs,
- 46:05Susie, a 5 oz bar from can you see that?
- 46:10Isn't silver beautiful from firstment.
- 46:12So if you're looking for something to do, don't forget
- 46:14discount code Ron 10. Don't forget it's always a big
- 46:17deal when you join me down here in the basement.
- 46:19Seriously, it's like a like a community of people, basement
- 46:23dwellers. We love our gold.
- 46:25We love our silver. We love our precious metal
- 46:28mining stocks, but it's just a big honor when you come down
- 46:31here. So thank you for doing it.
- 46:33Please subscribe to the channel and most importantly, have a
- 46:36good night. Happy Saturday and I will see
- 46:39you, Yes, you next time. Thank you.