Latest / Disguised Coverage / Buffalo Bills Roster Reset: Biggest Questions, Needs, & More | DC
Transcript
- 0:00And thirty eight. All Bills can win it here, Mike puts it down,
- 0:03the kick is on the way out and he's got on the bill.
- 0:06Good one one one they won Party one thirty eighth incredible, what a combat
- 0:18by my Bill Jackson Bills perfect record on the line right here, keeping eide
- 0:31touchdown, Kyle Williams touchdown. Amazing, unbelievable. They put in william who's
- 0:54hats to full back and he scores a touchdown. It's wealthier to face tackle.
- 1:08What's good folks, Family, Friends, loved Ones, Enemies, Friendemies,
- 1:11Wizards, which is Muggles, mud Bloods, people of Middle Earth.
- 1:15To another episode of Disguise Coverage, the only podcast in existence that gives you
- 1:18an equal amount of blueberries in each muffin. I'm your host, Anthony pro
- 1:22Haska. Find me on Twitter at Pro Underscore Underscore Ant. That's Pro two
- 1:26Underscores, A and T. The show, of course, is sponsored by
- 1:30One Pie Pizza, the best pizza in Buffalo, New York, hands down
- 1:34official stamp of approval, Delicious Sweet Saucepie. They do a bunch of good
- 1:38for the community with all their different initiatives and drives. I'll talk about them
- 1:42later in the show when I plug the sponsor. Further, aside from this
- 1:45opening plug into night's episode, we're gonna dive into the Buffalo Bill's roster.
- 1:52Good timing here from Calgary Mafia just slightly off. He said, if I
- 1:55drop a leg when you start right now, you're very close. You're oh
- 1:57see and I see this mark. You're very close. What's up? John?
- 2:00Thank you for Roland, Thank you for joining me tonight on this episode,
- 2:02John, and in this episode of Disguise coverage tonight, as it is
- 2:06titled Buffalo Bill's Roster Reset, Biggest Questions, Needs and more. We are
- 2:10nine days away from the NFL Draft next Thursday, the twenty seventh of April.
- 2:17This channel Cover one the channel we'll be live with Night one of the
- 2:21draft, and then we'll have coverage on Night two, coverage on Day three,
- 2:23all of these things because the NFL Draft will be live next week starting
- 2:28Thursday, April twenty seventh, and we've been very draft focused here on this
- 2:31show, going back to well really once the Bills got eliminated and we kind
- 2:37of wrapped up the season in terms of what the Bills versus Bengals was,
- 2:39what the season was for the Bills this past year and what a mean going
- 2:45forward after we kind of did some housekeeping with the current roster. At that
- 2:47point, everything was really forward focused free agency targets, fits, schematics,
- 2:53coaching announcements, draft strategy, draft prospects, all of these pieces. And
- 3:00now that we're a week away, I wanted to kind of reset the table
- 3:02a little bit by resetting the discussion in regards to the Buffalo Bills roster.
- 3:07So in tonight's episode, we are going to go position group by position group.
- 3:09Some will require a deeper dive than others, but we're going to go
- 3:13position group by position group for this Buffalo Bills team and really take a look
- 3:19at everything in terms of proper scope, position by position to really see what
- 3:23the Bills look like not only for twenty twenty three, but for twenty twenty
- 3:28four in terms of looking at what each of these positions offer from a quality
- 3:32standpoint, from a depth standpoint, from a contract standpoint, in order to
- 3:37kind of put some focus into again what this team needs to focus on as
- 3:40the offseason continues, but also how that might potentially impact twenty twenty four.
- 3:46Again, the draft nine days away, there will be new additions to this
- 3:49Buffalo Bills team in a variety of ways, but I thought it would be
- 3:52important kind of reset things, take a step back, take a breath,
- 3:55look at the roster for what it is, and dive into players, position
- 4:00groups, needs, questions, and every single position group in terms of you
- 4:05know, what are some underlying questions, what are some minor questions, what
- 4:09are the biggest and more important, most important questions. There's legitimate, legitimately
- 4:13a lot to answer for this team, as we've talked about all offseason.
- 4:15This offseason I thought was a pivotal one for the Bills. I thought this
- 4:21draft was a pivotal one for the Bills. And it wasn't just because of
- 4:25what twenty twenty three offers or what twenty twenty three has in terms of needs
- 4:30for this team, but a lot of it ties into what twenty twenty four
- 4:32holds and beyond. So that's the focus of tonight's episode. As you folks
- 4:36know what we like to do here on the show. Any questions, thoughts,
- 4:41comments, concerns, philosophies, ideologies, maxims, whatever have you,
- 4:46please drop them into the chat as we go, position group by position group,
- 4:48I see some questions already coming in. I will answer them before we
- 4:51dive into the meat and crux of this episode. But any thoughts that are
- 4:55going through your head, I'm gonna mention it now, and I'll mention it
- 4:57once we really dive into each topic as well. What are your thoughts for
- 5:00each position group? Which position group is you know of the biggest concern to
- 5:04you? What do you think the biggest question is for this roster as a
- 5:08whole? What do you think the biggest question is at each position group?
- 5:11Is? I bring up the headers and change the topic. Feel free to
- 5:14flood the chat. Let me know you know where's your head at. What
- 5:16are you focused on both within this team and potentially into the draft next week?
- 5:20Thoughts, comments, question, concerns, all of those pieces and all
- 5:25of those things. Describe this question first from Anthony terrific, name, absolutely
- 5:30fantastic, name Love it. Anthony says, do you think the AJ Clein
- 5:34signing will mean we draft a linebacker later than Day two? I hope not.
- 5:39I don't think so. I don't think, and I don't mean this
- 5:43to be disrespectful to a J Clin. I don't think the AJ Klein move
- 5:47necessarily tips the scales tremendously in one direction or the other. I think this
- 5:55was a depth move, This was a leadership move. This is a guy
- 5:57who adds some salt in, some sandpaper too, or line up some tenacity,
- 6:00some violence. Got plenty of experience with Sean McDermott. He's a veteran
- 6:03in this league, and I think you need another veteran presence and somebody who's
- 6:08seen real snaps in the NFL aside from Matt Milano. I don't know if
- 6:13Milano's the most vocal guy or not, but I think adding another quality mind
- 6:16to the linebacker room is a big piece for this one. And you know,
- 6:19with somebody with client, you know who can step in and a pinch
- 6:23and provide you some snaps. But I don't necessarily think now this is a
- 6:28part of a bigger conversation that we've had on this show a bunch. There
- 6:30could be schematic changes for the Buffalo Bills defensively in terms of coverage as they
- 6:35play, in terms of what they ask from the linebacker role, in terms
- 6:39of the fronts that they use, and the overall mindset and philosophy they use,
- 6:43depending on how much they lean into what Sean McDermott was as a defensive
- 6:47coordinator with the Carolina Panthers, So potentially, I guess there is a world
- 6:51where AJ Klein is your first and second down linebacker and then you know you're
- 6:56bringing in Taylor rap to be your dime linebackerrou on third downs or try to
- 7:00get creative. I don't necessarily love that because I think if you have a
- 7:03siloed role like that, such as you know, a first and second down
- 7:08linebacker only kind of you know, shoehorns you into certain areas and can allow
- 7:12you to be dictated to by an opponent. So I don't love that too
- 7:15much. But I guess it's on the table. But in my heart of
- 7:18hearts right now, no, I don't think the client signing means too much
- 7:21towards the draft. I think if the Bills thought that I'm just making this
- 7:26up, if the Bills thought that Jack Campbell was the top priority in round
- 7:29one, you know, last week, I still think they think that right
- 7:31now. With aj climb, maybe it swings the tables a little bit and
- 7:34they think, you know, if the value is really tremendously great at that
- 7:39spot for another person who fell, maybe they feel quite more comfortable leaning into
- 7:43that because they do have the safety net somewhat of aj Clin, But I
- 7:47think that would be present regardless of aj Clin was there or not, and
- 7:51I don't think it sways anything too much. Ooh, thank you very much.
- 7:57NFL Draft Fanatics, constant viewer appear here on the show, always in
- 8:01the chat. Thank you very much for being here. Thank you very much
- 8:03for the super chat. I necessarily appreciate it. That's awesome. Thank you.
- 8:07Statement is tell us the fifth and sixth round position groups which can make
- 8:11the roster. I would look there, then work backwards to round one for
- 8:15the player position targets. Oh. Very interesting. So if we're looking at
- 8:20this from a draft perspective in terms of fifth and sixth round position groups,
- 8:24oh, I think those ones. I think you're you're kind of I don't
- 8:30want to say bottom of the barrel, but I think you're looking for more
- 8:33positions that are in flux and don't necessarily have firmly entrenched roles. So fifth
- 8:37and sixth round position groups that I think could make the roster running back potentially,
- 8:43you know, maybe if they really like somebody in the draft who falls
- 8:46to the fifth or sixth round. I think that's there's got there's some potential
- 8:48there. Tight end, potentially, just because your third tight end on the
- 8:52roster is Zach David sid in no disrespect, I don't think he has a
- 8:56spot sewn up. I think defensive tackle even potential your fifth and six defensive
- 9:01tackles on the roster or Ilianku and Brandon Bryant. I don't think it's out
- 9:05of the realm of possibility that a fifth or a sixth round defensive tackle could
- 9:09come in and you surp one of them and move up into that fifth spot
- 9:13or potentially climb up into the fourth spot, depending on the health or status
- 9:16of Jordan Phillips. I also think you know there's an outside shot a wide
- 9:22receiver as well. You know Kalil Shakir was a fifth rounder in last year's
- 9:26draft. I think there's always receiver value at some point in the draft,
- 9:30depending on what you're looking for. And I think the meat of this of
- 9:33the strength of this receiver classes in the second and third and into the fourth
- 9:37rounds, and I think some dudes will fall to the fifth, So I
- 9:41think you could find fifth and sixth round talent at those positions I mentioned.
- 9:45I also think you can find safety talent too, not that I think the
- 9:46Bills necessarily need it now, especially with Hamlin announcing that he is potentially coming
- 9:52back. But those are the positions I would look to outside shot at edge,
- 10:00but I don't think there's going to be a decent amount of edges that
- 10:05would last into the fifth and sixth that are necessarily going to crack the roster.
- 10:11That's where I'm at right now. That was a good question, though
- 10:13that I was not prepared for that at all, so I'm kind of just
- 10:16thinking off the top of my head. So it's a very fair question.
- 10:18And you say that you're laughing because you think similarly. Well, you know,
- 10:20great minds, as they say, good question got me thinking a little
- 10:22bit. Let's go to some other questions. Roy says, what position is
- 10:28most needed according to the tree? The tree is looking as beautiful as ever,
- 10:33still dressed in its easter pastels. We'll be switching up the garland for
- 10:37next week because it is, you know, draft miss and that is a
- 10:39special special time and occasion which the tree recognizes. The tree and I think
- 10:43very similarly in terms of what position is needed most and I think right now,
- 10:50depending on what you're looking at. I think the tree is leaning towards
- 10:52the trenches, both both in terms of the offense and defense offensive tackle and
- 11:01defensive tackle on edge. I think that's where the tree is looking. I
- 11:03gotta stop because we've got another super chat. Thank you very much, Justin
- 11:07for being here, and thank you very much for the monstery donation and a
- 11:09super chat. Sincerely appreciate it. That's awesome, Justin says wide receiver,
- 11:13tight end to defensive tackle, middle linebacker, edge, right tackle. I
- 11:20am team trade down? What say you? I would love the opportunity to
- 11:22trade down if I were the Buffalo Bills. I just I don't like to
- 11:26predict it or necessarily forecast it because there are so many variables you need.
- 11:33You need a team and a partner to dance with. You also need enough
- 11:37players that you like to potentially be there. You know, if you have
- 11:41a handful of guys, you're comfortable trading back because you're like, you know
- 11:43what, we'll take any of these guys right now, So as long as
- 11:46one of them falls cool, we'll trade back. But then what happens if
- 11:50the board falls a certain way, and that reduces the opportunity for you to
- 11:54trade with a partner. I mean we saw it from the opposite perspective when
- 11:58the Bills traded for Josh Allen. They had that trade lined up with the
- 12:01Broncos, and Elway told being like, hey, yeah, we'll do that
- 12:05trade, but if we have a guy who's gonna if he drops, we're
- 12:09gonna make that pick and use it on that guy. Lo and behold,
- 12:11that guy was Bradley Chubb. Chubb Fell, Broncos made that pick, trade
- 12:16Fell apart. Still worked out for the Bills, but a lot of variables
- 12:18when it comes to the trade down piece. But I would love that.
- 12:22Ideally, I would like the Bills if they could trade down into the mid
- 12:24thirties or the late thirties, get yourself an extra Day two pick. In
- 12:30an ideal world, I would love to amass as much draft capital on Day
- 12:33two this year, Day two as rounds two and three. I think that's
- 12:37where the best value for this draft class is. I think picks twenty five
- 12:43ish through fifty five ish sixty ish is where the most value is going to
- 12:48be. So I would love to amass as many picks as possible, even
- 12:50early Day three picks like a Round four I would like to amass that capital,
- 12:54depending again on how the board falls, but with the way I think
- 12:58the board is going to fall one of those positions, well, those positions
- 13:01you mentioned, I di legently think from wide receiver, defensive tackle, linebacker,
- 13:07edge, and right tackle, someone legitimate is going to fall to twenty
- 13:11seven. With how many quarterbacks I think go before pick twenty seven, With
- 13:16how many tight ends I think go before pick twenty seven some of the other
- 13:20given edge rushers and defensive tackle prospects, I think someone legitimate is going to
- 13:26fall to twenty seven, which will obviously influence my trade Doown philosophy and strategy
- 13:33going into this draft, But just off of the general value, the way
- 13:35the strength of this draft class is and where the weaknesses are, I would
- 13:39favor a trade Doown. I think that's a very fair question. Well done,
- 13:43well done, well done. Bum bump, bump, bum What do
- 13:48we got here? John says, Mazzi Smith is really starting to grow on
- 13:54me as our pick at twenty seven. I really love Mozzie Smith. I
- 13:56like what he adds from a defensive tackle standpoint. You know, his ability
- 14:01to play low. He's physical and powerful versus the run. He can tork
- 14:05offensive lineman almost like he's an offensive lineman. You know, he can operate
- 14:09in a center shade, a one tack, even some three tack four eye,
- 14:13straight up on the nose as a zero, or straight up on the
- 14:16center as a zero. He's not going to give you a bunch in terms
- 14:18of pass rush, but he's got that high motor. He wins with power
- 14:22and extension. And I think, you know, as a team that is
- 14:24probably going to continue to use light boxes and nickel personnel on defense. I
- 14:31want to beef up that interior. I want to be stronger in the spine
- 14:33of my defense and that spine your you know, your defensive tackles, your
- 14:37linebackers up to your safeties, and especially with where we're going to talk about
- 14:43as this episode goes on. But we've mentioned here on the show before the
- 14:45Bills don't have any defensive tackles signed for next season. There are some void
- 14:48years in terms of tap hits, but there is physically no player that is
- 14:52signed at defensive tackle for twenty twenty four as of right now. Everybody who's
- 14:56on the roster for twenty twenty three is no longer on the roster come twenty
- 15:01twenty four as of right now, so not against the idea of Mazzi Smith.
- 15:05I really really, really really like him a lot, a lot of
- 15:07thoughts coming through for protect our quarterback, Protect our quarterback, protect our quarterback.
- 15:15Tim says random thought. McDermott takes a Jedi defense and gets sith nasty
- 15:18in twenty twenty three. I'm here for it, yes or alert, that
- 15:22was very good. That was very good. Elvis says. The aj Klein
- 15:26signing makes me feel much better. Richard says this wide receiver class is below
- 15:31average. Better get Hopkins or the Bills may end up being third in the
- 15:33AFC East. I do think I don't love this wide receiver class. As
- 15:39I stated last week on the show. I think the value is more for
- 15:41second and third round for the wide receiver class than I do first round.
- 15:45The only receiver that I have a true first round grade on in this draft
- 15:48is Jackson Smith and Jigba. But I would be comfortable taking Jack's or is
- 15:50A Flowers or Jordan Addison in the first round. Some other guys I'm a
- 15:56little more wishy washy on, but I think there was way more value in
- 15:58rounds two, Ring and four and again, as I stated last week and
- 16:02I've said on Twitter Jackson Smith and Jig, but like even if he's your
- 16:04number one receiver, whoever your number one receiver is in this year's class for
- 16:07me, at best, their wide receiver six in last year's class, which
- 16:11was a very good class. Not that that makes them any worse, but
- 16:15you have to think of it from the perspective of somebody who might be good
- 16:18in their individual class. Once they get drafted, they're getting put into the
- 16:22big pool of the NFL and depending on where they fall. Again, value
- 16:26value value value value. Roy says, after watching all the different bill shows
- 16:33and listening to multiple opinions from experts, I still have no idea who being
- 16:37will take in round one, two or three. And that's how he wants
- 16:38it. He wants smokescreen season. He wants you to not know what he's
- 16:41doing. He doesn't want to tip his hand for himself or the organization.
- 16:45I think it's very smart. I think it's very smart. Oh Spin says
- 16:48our needs right tackle, middle linebacker, defensive end, defensive tackle, and
- 16:52center to learn behind Morrison replace in the future, wide receiver for the boundary
- 16:56and tight end for blocking we're going to get into a bunch of those pieces
- 17:00spin. I'm like, where your head's at. Oh cr says loves your
- 17:03Christmas trees in the background. Yes there is two. There's this easter one
- 17:08and then there's this little Easter beauty. I'm so horrible appointing and stuff on
- 17:11camera. Well done, Cr, I appreciate your appreciation for the tree.
- 17:15Also, my wife does the background, so she will appreciate that as well.
- 17:21Oh Josh says Siaki Ega, defensive tackle from Baylor, feels like he's
- 17:23going to be a bill. His power seems different than most of the defensive
- 17:26tackles in this group. Justin again, super chat, Thank you so much
- 17:30man. Justin says, I think being loves the fifth year option, so
- 17:33I think he will stay at twenty seven, but he might trade down on
- 17:37day two. So that's a fair point, right if you get if you
- 17:40get taken in the first round. For those who don't know, you have
- 17:44the four year contract, but then the team has the option to pick up
- 17:47your fifth year. That does not exist if you're taken after the first round.
- 17:51So if you take somebody in the first round, you have that option
- 17:53to potentially have them under pretty good cost control four five years, and that's
- 17:57a very fair point. So that's very fair. That's very fair. Bill
- 18:03says, any thought on next year's wide receiver class where would JSNB? I'll
- 18:07be honest with you, Bill, I haven't even started to go down that
- 18:10rabbit hole yet. That'll be that's like a July August task as I kind
- 18:15of put together pieces for the upcoming college football season and kind of do preseason
- 18:22rankings from myself to kind of formulate my structure for everything. But that's a
- 18:26good question. But I got no ideas at this point, but I appreciate
- 18:29it. David says, as aunt doing the show by himself this week,
- 18:32and I the answer from Spin. Spin says, he usually does the show
- 18:34by himself every week. That's right. Sometimes I work in guests, sometimes
- 18:38I do him solo. This is mainly just you know, my solo show,
- 18:41but I work in different people, depends on what's going on. Who
- 18:45oh, well, look at it. I like all the kind words.
- 18:48Tim says, sometimes he does the show solo, plays the drums and files
- 18:51our taxes. He is a treasurer. Thank you, Tim. I appreciate
- 18:53it. I don't even I can't even I can't even make a joke.
- 18:57That was very good. That was very good. Oh appreciate, appreciate,
- 19:02Dame. I just got what Bill met. I'm taking that comment down.
- 19:03I appreciate you all right. I appreciate all the kind words coming through.
- 19:07I don't like to pull up too many, I say through the outrole all
- 19:11the time. I feel corny pulling up a lot of kind things for myself.
- 19:14But I like where your folks, where your heads are at. Except
- 19:17for you, Bill with that last comment. But well played, you got
- 19:18me. So let's dive into the buffalo Bill's roster reset, biggest questions,
- 19:25needs and more. When I dive into things just from a depth chart order
- 19:30perspective as I normally have it in my head whenever I go through depth charts,
- 19:36and as I mentioned before, as we go through each position group,
- 19:38questions, thoughts, comments, concerns, put them into the chat. Biggest
- 19:41question or concern for that position group, put it into the chat. General
- 19:45thoughts, whatever you got thrown up into the chat. I will pull up
- 19:49as many comments as physically possible as I read off my notes and go through
- 19:52here as I stayed all the time and have done already on the show.
- 19:56Super chats are a guaranteed pull up comment, you know, whether it's a
- 20:00comment question or anything. He got automatic pull up because one, I respect
- 20:04the monetary donation. Two I see the color and it attracts my eyes and
- 20:07it pulls me away from my notes. So as we dive into this CRU's
- 20:15main portion, main event of the episode, we're gonna start with the quarterback
- 20:21group, which I don't think we're gonna spend a ton of time here,
- 20:23but we're looking at this group. It's Josh Allen, Kyle Allen, and
- 20:26Matt Barkley as of now. For some reason, my notes say Matt Markley
- 20:30and I don't know why, but those are the three right now. From
- 20:33a high level perspective, this group goes as Josh Allen goes. We saw
- 20:37the elbow injury that he had last year. I don't even want to put
- 20:41this out into the ether, but I don't know what it would even take
- 20:45to get Josh Allen out of the lineup. Like that elbow injury. He
- 20:48probably should have sat for at least one or two weeks and kind of rested
- 20:52a little bit. We saw him affected really for the first two or three
- 20:57weeks. I thought from a mechanical perspect in terms of how it altered his
- 21:00release and his success, especially going to his left and especially in the intermediate
- 21:04part of the field, you know, physically and mechanically. I thought it
- 21:07also impacted some of his decision making. And you had a capable backup in
- 21:11case keenom but the Bills didn't go to Kingdom men. I really don't know
- 21:17what it would take for Josh Allen to be out of the lineup. I
- 21:18think you would have to be missing a limb. And so if you're looking
- 21:22at this group as it stands right now, again, this group goes as
- 21:25Josh Allen goes. The Bills brought in Kyle Allen to be the main backup
- 21:30for Josh Allen this year. Kyle Allen is a friend of Josh Allen,
- 21:33as is Matt Barkley. So next year, when Kyle Allen is an unrestricted
- 21:37free agent, we will see if we continue the string of one year backup
- 21:42quarterbacks and or friends of Josh Allen, or maybe the Bills bring a quarterback
- 21:51in late in the draft, which I kind of doubt, or potentially an
- 21:55undrafted free agent. My biggest question here for this position group is as it
- 22:00is going to kind of be every year. What do you want in a
- 22:03backup to Josh Allen? Do you want more of the case keenum Mold,
- 22:07the savvy vet who is good in the QB room and and or on the
- 22:14sideline and is kind of like an extension of the coaching staff and can help
- 22:17Josh Allen mentally and can be that guy who you know, can help game
- 22:22manage if he has to go into the game, the guy who will just
- 22:23keep you on track, won't lose the game for you, but isn't going
- 22:26to go and win. And again, his real value is in the film
- 22:30room, you know, in the QB room during the week, in terms
- 22:33of identifying coverages and putting game plans together, helping you on the Microsoft surface
- 22:37tablet on the sideline and kind of breaking things down that extension of the coaching
- 22:40staff piece or again, if he's thrust into game action, can manage things,
- 22:45keep you on track, kind of like with Chad Henny has been to
- 22:48Patrick Mahomes with the Kansas City Chiefs. So do the Bills stay in that
- 22:52direction kind of year after year or do they opt to go with someone who's
- 22:57a more designed fit to Josh Allen. Do you go the route of having
- 23:02a backup who is more similar in skill set to your starting quarterback. I'll
- 23:06out what the Baltimore Ravens have done or did with Tyler Huntley to Lamar Jackson.
- 23:10That is the biggest question for me when it comes to the quarterback grouping.
- 23:14I don't think there's too much mystery. I don't think there's anything that
- 23:18really has to kind of kick this position group into the forefront. In terms
- 23:23of conversation, it's Josh Allen and then everything else. If anything happens to
- 23:27Josh Allen, this team is in dire strengths status of this group as a
- 23:33whole. But I do think it's interesting to wonder what this back with the
- 23:37backup looks like going forward. Is it every year just a new guy.
- 23:41One year guy Mitch Drubisky, case Keenum, this year it's Kyle Allen.
- 23:45Do they keep cycling through? Are they looking I'm not even making a joke
- 23:48like, is Josh Allen just literally asking them to bring in his boys for
- 23:52whatever reason and that's what they're opting with. Are they looking for a certain
- 23:55mindset or they're looking for a certain skill set, or do they want to
- 23:57lean into. Hey, do we want to get more of a mobile guy
- 24:00to try and build off of what Alan does or we just want to keep
- 24:03it with a vet. I think that's the biggest question for the quarterback grouping
- 24:07right now as we look at the roster as it's constructed again, Josh Allen,
- 24:11Kyle Allen, Matt Barkley. Kyle Allen is an understricted free agent next
- 24:15year. Barkley is what he is, so at this point next year we
- 24:18may be having this exact same conversation in terms of who is the backup and
- 24:22what that looks like. Oh question here from Spin Spin says, would you
- 24:26be opposed to drafting Darnel Right or Dewan Jones in the first round? Second
- 24:30round? O Cyrus Torrance Round three Whippler. I know it's not realistic.
- 24:34Maybe they can trade up in the second. If your question is what I
- 24:37want to do all of those in the first three rounds, I don't think
- 24:41I'd go that heavy old line. But if I'm looking at them individually in
- 24:45a vacuum, I would not be opposed to drafting Darnel Right in the first
- 24:48round. He is still my dream fall at twenty seven. I think he
- 24:52comes in and beats out Spencer Brown for right tackle. He's an athletic grizzly
- 24:56bear who still got technique and again got a good seal. He represents a
- 25:00high floor, powerful in the run game, but athletic and still technical enough
- 25:04in the past game. And I think he will get better the more snaps
- 25:07that he gets at right tackle. So I would love for Darnaut right to
- 25:11fall down Jones, I like, I don't know if i'd want to take
- 25:15him in the first I do have some questions about Dewan Jones from a Again,
- 25:22the dude is what let me go to my notes here, six foot
- 25:27six foot, six foot eight, three hundred and fifty pounds. He's strong,
- 25:33he's powerful, his hand placement his fine. Once he gets his paws
- 25:37on you, it's really tough to kind of go anywhere. I do wonder
- 25:40the NFL level if he's going to be vulnerable and susceptible to inside moves,
- 25:45and if he can consistently anchor, and if he has the feet in the
- 25:47balance for that, and a lot of that is just tied to he's huge.
- 25:52He's six ft eight, three hundred fifty pounds, which sounds awesome because
- 25:55he's a mountain of a man, and when he washes down, he caves
- 25:57in the entire rights out of the line and it's impressive as hell. Right,
- 26:00and when he does a snatch and trap and he chops you on the
- 26:03risk, guy's face plant fall in the dirt. But I do wonder will
- 26:07mobility being an issue just because of his size? You know he is,
- 26:11he being six foot eight, three hundred fifty pounds, and it doesn't really
- 26:14lend itself to you being an extremely mobile or athletic guy. So will mobility
- 26:18be an issue if you put him on an island in wide alignments? How
- 26:22will he hold up consistently in the NFL? So I do like Dwan Jones,
- 26:25I would target him more in the second round. Ideally, I don't
- 26:27think he makes it to the bills at fifty nine. I think somebody bets
- 26:30on the traits and the size and the positives of him and kind of leans
- 26:33into those. I think he goes somewhere in the early to mid second round.
- 26:37I do like Oh Sirens Torrents from Florida. I don't know how much
- 26:41he fits the scheme though I like that he's a physical people mover a road
- 26:45greater or kind of guard. But he's more gap scheme than he is zone,
- 26:48and I think the Bills lean into more zone scheme this year. So
- 26:51we'll see Luke Whippler. You're round three option there center from Ohio State.
- 26:55I really like Luke Whippler broken down a bunch of tape on him. I
- 27:00think that would be awesome to the guy get to get a guy like him
- 27:02who can be waiting in the wings to take over for Mitch Morse when or
- 27:07if that day comes. I don't know if it's the best value given what
- 27:11else you could potentially get in the third round, but as a prospect,
- 27:12what you have in Luke Whippler, I think it is kind of like a
- 27:18mini Mitch Morse. Good movement in space, good mobility, he can pin
- 27:21and pull. He is more zone based, So that works if the Bills
- 27:25are going to lean into his own run scheme with James Cook, real technical.
- 27:30So I do like those options for the Bills. What else do we
- 27:37got anything? Anything? Anything? Anything? All right, let's move on
- 27:44to our next position group here, the running backs. So not to kind
- 27:47of gloss over QB, but I think that was kind of straightforward and easy.
- 27:49In terms of what we're looking at running backs for the Buffalo Bills.
- 27:56You've got James Cook, Nahem Hines, and Day and Harris. Nahim Hines
- 28:02is a unrestricted free agent in twenty twenty five. He's got a minimal dead
- 28:06cap hit. If he gets cut next year pre or post June first,
- 28:11it's only a five hundred thousand dollars dead cap hit. You'd save about five
- 28:14million, that's per the website. Over the cap, they're tremendous. Damien
- 28:18Harris a UFA in twenty twenty four. If released this offseason post June first,
- 28:22it's a one million dollar dead cap hit in a savings of seven hundred
- 28:26and seventy thousand, so almost an even split. And then of course you've
- 28:30got James Cook entering year two locked up for that four year contract starting from
- 28:34last year, so he's got this year plus another two. That's where her
- 28:37running back group looks like as of right now. I don't think it's out
- 28:41of the question that Damion Harris doesn't make this roster, even though he's brought
- 28:45in and spoke with the press conference and he is a nice complimentary piece.
- 28:48I don't think it's out of the question that he somehow gets cutter doesn't make
- 28:52this roster, it makes his team. But the biggest question for this group,
- 28:56I think it really comes down to what the time sho and by extension,
- 29:00what the run game overall looks like. In twenty twenty one, as
- 29:06the season went on, we saw a gap scheme start to really take over
- 29:10for this Bill's offense. More pin and pull, more powers, more counter,
- 29:12more Reggie Gilliam and twelve personnel or twenty one personnel, depending on however
- 29:18you view Reggie Gilliam. That's how they closed out the twenty twenty one season.
- 29:22We saw more physicality. We saw more of an attack minded run game
- 29:25where they were running at opponents and kind of people moving. Devin Singletary saw
- 29:30the heavy heavy line share of the snap rate and workload down the stretch.
- 29:34What we saw last year was more zone running mixed into this run game.
- 29:41As James Cook went in, we saw more zone. We saw him a
- 29:44mid zone, outside zone. That's not that he can't be a good gap
- 29:48scheme runner, but he is built for that zone work. He has built
- 29:52for that zone life. The way he can kind of press the line of
- 29:53scrimmage and flow like water through whatever hole comes available, similar to his brother
- 29:57Dalvin Cook. I hate making that because I feel like it's low hanging fruit
- 30:00in kind of a week. But he's a very good zone runner. The
- 30:03Bills leaned into that with him as the season went on last year. So
- 30:08is James Cook the number one? How much does Naheim Hines get worked in?
- 30:12How much of a factor is Damien Harris? Is the timeshare split?
- 30:17Is it a one two like we've seen in the past several years, Like
- 30:19last year it was you know, Singletary and Cook? This year is it
- 30:22Cook and Harris? Is it Cook and Hines? Is it Cook Harris and
- 30:26Hines? Is it mainly James Cook? And the number two is whoever the
- 30:32hell they want? The timeshare piece is very interesting, and oh, I
- 30:37gotta stop because we've got a super chat. Thank you very much for being
- 30:41here in more than mine. I appreciate it, and thank you very much
- 30:42of a super chat. That's awesome to see. Thank you. The question
- 30:45is what's your view on getting d Hop. I'd love to see him as
- 30:48a Bill and then onto the Super Bowl God Bills. Ooh, I would
- 30:52be pretty happy if the Bill's got DeAndre Hopkins. I still think he has
- 30:59the potential to be an umber one wide receiver in the NFL at the worst,
- 31:02worst worst. He's a high end wide receiver too. You put him
- 31:06with Stefan Diggs. Both of those guys have gravity, Both of those guys
- 31:10can beat man coverage. Both of those guys and they also win in different
- 31:14ways. Hopkins plays real big at the catch point. He's good contested catches,
- 31:18He's good at finding space, he's better with his yards after the catch.
- 31:21Even though he's not a burner or the most elusive guy. I would
- 31:25gladly add him to the Buffalo Bills. I think it ticks a need for
- 31:29this team with wide receiver. It ticks that box, it checks that box,
- 31:33and I think, all of a sudden, you have one of the
- 31:36best wide receiver combinations in terms of a one two wide receiver tandem in Stefon
- 31:41Diggs and DeAndre Hopkins. I would gladly take him if again, if the
- 31:45value was right in terms of why you have to trade and money and contract
- 31:48and how that all works out. But I think he would swing the pendulum
- 31:52heavily into the Bill's favor if they were to get DeAndre Hopkins, it would
- 31:56be it would be a big move, So I would I would second that
- 31:59no one DF comes in and says Aunt, great to see you, Bro,
- 32:04appreciate your DF forever, and DF says smack that like button like a
- 32:07woodpecker and heat. I think that's fantastic. Similarly there, and I think
- 32:10it's a good message if you would, folks be so kind. If you
- 32:14folks would be so kind, please drop Alke on this video. It goes
- 32:16a long way to its helping myself, the entire team to track and trend
- 32:20in front of more eyes and ears. It significantly affects the algorithm. So
- 32:22if you'd be so kind, please, please, please, and thank you.
- 32:24If you're just coming in or you've been in here, please drop Alke
- 32:28on this video. Even if you're watching later and you're not here live,
- 32:30that's cool. Please drop a likeke. It would be greatly, greatly,
- 32:34greatly appreciated. So oh, now here's the comment or question here from Aiden.
- 32:39So this ties into the next point right, The timeshare question I think
- 32:43is the biggest question for this running back group. Is it mainly going to
- 32:46be cook? Is a cook in someone else? I think either way you
- 32:50slice it, Cook is going to get significant touches in this offense. It's
- 32:54just a matter of how much is it fifty fifty, is it's sixty forties,
- 32:58it's seventy thirty, is it seven, fifteen, fifteen? I think
- 33:01he gets the lion's share or gets worked in to some degree for a significant
- 33:07level. It's just a matter of is he the true one? Is it
- 33:09a one two? If it's a one two, is the two Hines or
- 33:14Harris? Or is it a one two three? Or is it matchup dependent
- 33:17and matchup specific. Now this ties into my next point. I don't think
- 33:22you can rule the Bills out drafting or running back in this draft, whether
- 33:25it's Round one with b Jean Robinson or elsewhere. That then complicates this conversation
- 33:30even further because if you draft or running back, they're restructured to him Hines.
- 33:36Hines isn't going to go anywhere. If they drafted or running back,
- 33:38that to me would signal that Damien Harris is likely going to be a cap
- 33:44casualty or cut. Again, like I mentioned, if released this offseason post
- 33:49June first, it's a one million dollars dead cap hit and the savings of
- 33:52seven hundred and seventy thousand, so you're losing about two hundred and thirty thousand,
- 33:57But it's not some number where it's like, well, we can't cut
- 34:00him, Like the dead cap is just astronomical. So Harris could be a
- 34:02guy who's cut. To answer this specific question, if for Aiden, Aiden
- 34:07says, who is our number one? If Bijean falls and we take him,
- 34:10I really like James Cook. I liked him coming out of Georgia before
- 34:15the Bills got him. Myself and Eric Turner and Kendall Murski broke him down
- 34:19in the Cover one film Room. I like his skill set a lot.
- 34:22If Bijean falls and the Bills take him, Bijean Robinson is the one and
- 34:29he gets the lion's share. If Beijean Robinson goes to the Buffalo Bills,
- 34:34he is the number one. I honestly think if Bijean Robinson goes to like
- 34:37any of the teams that are rumored to be interested in him, he's the
- 34:39number one. Bijean is an elite. He is one of This is a
- 34:45draft that isn't full of top tier, blue chip level prospect. There's only
- 34:47a handful, like depending on how you view it really only like four to
- 34:51seven depending on what you're looking at. Bijean is easily one of the blue
- 34:54chip prospects in this draft. Positional value is a whole another conversation. If
- 34:58you don't think running backs are worth a first round pick, if you don't
- 35:01want to waste a fifth year option on a running back, that's a whole
- 35:07other conversation. I understand that piece, but we're just looking at it from
- 35:10a talent standpoint. From a player's standpoint, Bijean Robinson is one of the
- 35:15best players in this draft. If Bijean Robinson gets drafted by the Buffalo Bills,
- 35:20he is the number one Noah answer, Butts, that's it, like
- 35:22case close. Usually I don't deal in absolutes like that, even though I
- 35:25am a fan of the sith Bijean And again I say this is a person
- 35:30who likes James Cook. I really like his skill set. I was happy
- 35:32with the pick last year. I'm excited to see what he can do with
- 35:36more workload and snapshare this year. But if it's between him and Bijean,
- 35:39I think that's a cool pairing. You get a little bit of a different
- 35:44dynamic there in terms of what they can both offer. But Bijean can do
- 35:47everything like he Oh and as DF says here, he's a generational running back.
- 35:52He legitimately is. Like the conversation that is continuing to be had about
- 35:57Bijean Robinson, is he like one of you're trying to find drafts where he
- 36:02wouldn't have been the best running back in the draft. Like the conversation is
- 36:06really like, oh, who would have been the better prospect coming out?
- 36:07Was it Bijean Robinson or was it Sequon Barkley, Like Bijean is a stud.
- 36:12He can catch the ball out of the backfield. He can run routes
- 36:14down field or underneath. He's got power, he's got contact, balance,
- 36:17he's got vision, he's got agility. He can make make him miss in
- 36:20a phone booth. He still runs in the four fours, towards the higher
- 36:23end of the four force, but he can still pull away and bust off
- 36:25of seventy five yard touchdown run. He creates his own holes in his alley.
- 36:30He doesn't need on runway or an offensive line to open things up for
- 36:32him. Bijean is absolutely tremendous. So if Bijean comes to the Buffalo Bills,
- 36:39then at your point here, if Bijean falls and the Bills take him,
- 36:45Bijean is the hands down number one. Now, I don't think the
- 36:47conversation necessarily just has to be geared towards Bijean Robinson. If we're talking about
- 36:52running backs and the draft for the Bills, there's a ton of really really
- 36:57good backs in this draft class or for any team who is looking for one,
- 37:02whether you're looking for one early, whether you're looking for one late.
- 37:06There's just a multitude of guys who I think take a lot of boxes in
- 37:10terms of possibility and skill set. You know, you've got Bijean Robinson,
- 37:15but Jamir Gibbs from Alabama, who is the RB two in this draft,
- 37:19would be the RB one, hands down if not for Bijean Robinson, at
- 37:22least in my eyes. And then you've got Zach Charbone, You've got Taija
- 37:25Spears, You've got Devin a Chain from Texas A and M. You even
- 37:29got guys like Tank Bigsby from Auburn who I like. I like Hendry Miller
- 37:31from TCUM, some people like Eric Gray, some people like Kenny Mackintosh.
- 37:37Like there's there's a lot of value someone who I like late is Mohammed Ibraheim
- 37:42or Abraham depending on how you want to pronounce the name from Minnesota, had
- 37:45some injuries and some tread on the tires. He's not going to pull away,
- 37:47but he's a hammer and he's a thumper. Like there's a lot of
- 37:51value at running back throughout this entire draft, So I wouldn't rule out the
- 37:55Bills taking a running back at any point in this draft if the value is
- 37:59there, because again, and there's a bunch of good running backs in this
- 38:01draft, and like I mentioned earlier, Harris's contract doesn't necessarily handcuff you to
- 38:07the point where you have to keep Damian Harris. So I wouldn't rule out
- 38:10the Bills drafting and running back in this draft, whether it's Bijean Robinson in
- 38:14the first or a running back at any point going forward. But just on
- 38:19the conversation of Bijeon, I don't think he's there at twenty seven, Like
- 38:22I really think he goes before that. He's one of the best dudes in
- 38:25this draft. Again, positional value is a whole other conversation. If you
- 38:30don't think running back is worthy of a first round pick, no matter who
- 38:34the prospect it's completely fine. But if you're talking about guys who are like
- 38:37the best football players in this draft, Bijean is up there with almost everyone.
- 38:42So I don't think he lasted twenty seven. But we'll see. We'll
- 38:45see. Oh NFL Draft NX puts this up here. I think it might
- 38:49have changed since then, I hope. But he says, seventy watching.
- 38:51There's more watching now, but only twenty nine lights. Let's drive that like
- 38:53that light count up there. Please and thank you, folks, if you
- 38:55would be so kind. Spin asked what would you what would be the most
- 39:05you would be willing to give up to get Hopkins. I'd give a second
- 39:09round pick for Hopkins. I would love to give a third or you know,
- 39:16a combination to day three picks. And honestly, it's gonna depend on
- 39:20how much contract you're eating and what the contract looks like and how you're able
- 39:22to lay that out. But I would give up a second because ideally I
- 39:28would like I wouldn't love, but I would like the Bills to add a
- 39:31receiver on day not day one, but on day two. So round two
- 39:36or round three, and you're drafting one of those guys hoping that they could
- 39:39be something consistent for you. So I have no problem giving a Day two
- 39:44pick to get somebody who I know is an established product and who is one
- 39:47of the best players at his position in the league. So I would give
- 39:50a second round pick for DeAndre Hopkins. But the money is going to depend
- 39:52on it a little bit, a little bit. Oh Backbone five says,
- 40:00is Beijean is there twenty seven, they have to take him. He probably
- 40:02won't be there, though, especially with Dallas picking at twenty six. Dallas
- 40:06would take Beijean, especially because he's a Texas dude and Jerry Jones loves running
- 40:08back, so very fair, very fair. M Johnny Blaze says people seem
- 40:15to stop saying generational, and he says, generational doesn't mean every three to
- 40:20five years. But I don't think. I don't think that's what it means
- 40:22with Beijean. I think he's generational because he's like one of the best running
- 40:24back prospects to like come out like he's up there, he's up there with
- 40:30like top dudes. And Johnny comes in and says, there's a generational running
- 40:34back that comes out of the draft every three to five years. I don't
- 40:36think that necessarily a case. I think the last one was sa Quon because
- 40:38Sequan was a stud, as is Bijean. I don't think there's necessarily a
- 40:43generational running back that comes out every three to five years. But you have
- 40:45any thoughts, feel free to throw them in there. Throw him in there.
- 40:50Fair point here from half akc Ohich's fan in the building. What up?
- 40:52Half A says Bijean played in the Big twelve, so if he on
- 40:55him, that's fair. They don't play defense in the Big twelve, which
- 40:59is a very fair point. But I think when you look at the way
- 41:04he won, it projects very well to the NFL. It is very sustainable
- 41:07in terms of seeing the contact balance, the agility, the elusiveness, the
- 41:14power, the speed, the vision, the hands, and the receiving game.
- 41:16Like he's winning in ways that aren't just due to poor competition. He's
- 41:23winning in ways that are sustainable in the NFL. And then you add it
- 41:27in with the size and him being five eleven and two hundred and fifteen pounds,
- 41:30and he's got the frame, he's got the body like he's good between
- 41:35the ears from a football perspective, like he ticks almost every box. The
- 41:37only thing that would make Bijon better is if instead of running a four four
- 41:40six forty he ran like a four or four two like that would push him
- 41:45into another stratosphere in terms of prospectability. But I think it's a fair point.
- 41:50You know, again, they don't play defense in the Big twelve.
- 41:52But the way he wins, I'm not too worried. But that's fair.
- 41:57That's fair, that's fair. M what else? What else? Questions Darrel
- 42:06says, there's no defensive tackle on the roster past one year contract? What
- 42:08do you think? What around do you think they draft one? We're gonna
- 42:12talk about that, Darrel when we get to the defensive tackle part of this
- 42:15episode of like where your head's at? Very fair? Very fair. Oh,
- 42:17I don't think Johnny, says McCaffrey before that, I don't think McCaffrey
- 42:23was a generational McCaffrey wasn't talked about generational, generationally from a running back propectible.
- 42:29I didn't view him as a generational running back. Um. I don't
- 42:31think he was talking in the same breath as say Quon and as Bijean.
- 42:38Um. I may I may be wrong on that piece, but I don't
- 42:40think McCaffrey was talking. McCaffrey was talking about as a good running back and
- 42:45a good piece. But I don't think he was talked about in the same
- 42:46manner as say Quan and U and Bijean or if he was, at least
- 42:52in my eyes, he was not. Like I don't view McCaffrey as I
- 42:54mean, it's a little different to say now considering where he's risen to in
- 42:59the NFL out, But I don't think for me, if I'm evaluating,
- 43:02I didn't view McCaffrey as generational in the same way that I viewed what Sequan
- 43:07was and what b Jean Robinson was. But teach their own what else?
- 43:15What else? All right? So again, the running back spot timeshare is
- 43:20gonna be the biggest question for this Buffalo Bills team. Is it James Cook's
- 43:24backfield? If they draft someone else where do they draft them, what happens
- 43:28and if we're just looking at it in a vacuum in terms of what they
- 43:30have now, it is pretty interesting. Like even just from nahem Heinz perspective,
- 43:35he's got some juice and a skill set aspect to his game that not
- 43:38a lot of other backs on this team have. And when I say not
- 43:42all the other It's kind of like tongue in cheek because there's only two other
- 43:44running backs really, so he represents a different piece, although he does have
- 43:47some similar skill set aspects to his game like James Cook does. But we'll
- 43:52see what this timeshare looks like. I think that's the biggest question. Then.
- 43:57Based on what the timeshare looks like, I think that also ties into
- 44:00what kind of scheme the Bills lean into. If it is a James Cook
- 44:02backfield, I think you see more zone scheme. If it is a Damien
- 44:06Harris backfield, or well, if he factors in more, I think that's
- 44:10where you're seeing more of those gap scheme pieces or more duo or more inside
- 44:15zone get him running downhill. He's also very good running out of the eye
- 44:19formation, running out of the backfield, those under center runs as a whole,
- 44:22So maybe you see more Reggie gilliam in that way with him, and
- 44:25then maybe that leads into more play actions. So depending on what the timeshare
- 44:30it looks like, I think that's a very interesting question to have. That's
- 44:32the biggest question I have for this running back group. What does the timeshare
- 44:36look like? Who gets the Lion's share, who's the two, who's the
- 44:39three? Is it consistent every week? Does a change based on matchup or
- 44:44opponent? And then we go back and forth, and then there is the
- 44:46wildcard question of if Bejan's there at twenty seven, what do you do?
- 44:51Very interesting question. Now move on to the next position grouping here, wide
- 44:55receiver, which is a bit of a contentious one or Bills fans. Gabe
- 45:00Davis has been thrown through the ringer. We've had some questions already in the
- 45:04show about DeAndre Hopkins. If we're looking at this wide receiver grouping right now,
- 45:08the Buffalo Bills have a grouping of Stefan Diggs, Gabe Davis, Deontay
- 45:12Hardy, Khalil Shakir, Trent Sharefield, Desmond Patman, Keyshawn Johnson, not
- 45:17that Keyshn Johnson, a different one with a different spelling, and Isaiah Coulter.
- 45:22Gabe Davis is a unrestricted free agent in twenty twenty four, so is
- 45:27Trent Sharefield. Deontay Hardy is an unrestricted free agent in twenty twenty five.
- 45:30The only wide receivers on the roster for twenty twenty four are Stefan Diggs,
- 45:35Deontay Hardy, and Khalil Shakir. The only wide receivers on the roster for
- 45:38twenty twenty five are Diggs and Shakir. So again twenty twenty four, he
- 45:43only got Diggs, Hardy Shakir. Twenty twenty five just Diggs and Shakir.
- 45:47With this grouping, I think there's a lot of potential biggest question candidates here
- 45:52when it comes to the Bills wide receiver grouping. So my answer here is
- 45:57kind of a cheat answer, and it's one that potentially I tried to come
- 46:00up with the one that addresses all of them to a degree, and that
- 46:07question really is what does the future at the wide receiver group look like?
- 46:12It starts with Gabe Davis. He's an unerstricted free agent. In twenty twenty
- 46:15four, the wide receiver free agent market kind of came down to earth a
- 46:19little bit after what we saw last year with Christian Kirk and Zay Jones.
- 46:22This year it kind of set a little bit. You had guys like Jacobe
- 46:24Myers only go for about eleven million dollars average annual value, so things kind
- 46:30of came back down to earth. We saw the deal that Juju got,
- 46:34which was the same deal that Myers got to go to New England. Those
- 46:37are like the top guys in free agency at the wide receiver position. So
- 46:40maybe the market is starting to reset itself a little bit at wide receiver,
- 46:44which will impact what Gabe Davis gets in twenty twenty four. But does Gabe
- 46:49Davis come back? Does he resign? Another question? Is Khalil Shakier your
- 46:53slot receiver or do you want him working into the boundary or both? Is
- 46:58he a multiple alignment? I talked about it last year going into the season.
- 47:01I thought he was more than just a slot I thought he could work
- 47:05as a boundary receiver based on what he did at Boise State. I'm still
- 47:07a fan of his game. I thought the Bill's got great value for him
- 47:09in the fifth round. But depending on how you view Khalil Shakir, that
- 47:15dictates what kind of wide receiver you go after in the draft, especially when
- 47:20tied into what may happen with Gabe Davis. If you're not confident that you
- 47:23can bring Gabe Davis back, does Shakier become that boundary receiver? And do
- 47:29you look more for a slot receiver this year or if Shakier is your slot
- 47:32guy, are you looking more for a boundary receiver to potentially replace Gabe Davis
- 47:37next year and give you some more juice this year. Then you tie in
- 47:39the Deonte Hardy signing, which I like. I think it raises the floor
- 47:43for that slop position. Add some juice, adds some speed, add some
- 47:45legitimate electricity to the wide receiver group in a way that I don't think they've
- 47:50had. I think he's different after the catch than Isaiah McKenzie. No disrespect
- 47:52to Isaiah McKenzie, but big piece with him Kenny stay healthy. You haven't
- 47:59seen what a full season of Deontay Hardy looks like because even you know,
- 48:02back when he was with the Saints ofs Deontay Harris, who's picking up knocks,
- 48:06we haven't really seen a full season and him get a full workload,
- 48:08snapshare and roll in a team consistently. So can he stay healthy? What
- 48:13does that look like? If so, that ties into what happens to Khalil
- 48:17Shakir's role, because Deontay Hardy is going to be I don't want to see
- 48:21he's a slot only, but he's best in the slot and he's got some
- 48:23gadget street aspects to his game. Does less Deontay Hardy. Does that mean
- 48:28more Shakiir in the slot than initially planned? If if Hardy gets banged up,
- 48:31and if Hardy gets banged up, is it a Trent share Field Khalil
- 48:37Shakir time share in the slot? And who does that favor and by how
- 48:39much? And what do you lean into? Because again, if you wanted
- 48:43Shakire to see more reps on the boundary, Hardy's going to be your slot
- 48:45guy. If Hardy drops down, do you try to plug Shrefield in there?
- 48:49Do you bring Shakier into the slot a little bit more? You try
- 48:52to work Gabe Davis and the slot a little bit? Does Stefan did see
- 48:54the slot? His slot? You should? And percentage increased significantly last year
- 48:59versus what it was the year before. There's a lot of dominoes that have
- 49:05serious ramifications for this position group for the Buffalo Bills, not only in twenty
- 49:08twenty three, but beyond. And if you want to see what the Bills
- 49:15will look for in the draft a wide receiver, I think it starts with
- 49:21you know, what do you what do you do with what you currently have
- 49:25on the roster? What are you doing with Gabe Davis? What are you
- 49:29doing with Kalio Shakier and with Gabe Davis. I mean, you know,
- 49:31we know that he's wide receiver too for this team. Whether or not you
- 49:35think he's a valuable wide receiver too or not, or is an actual wide
- 49:37receiver too a whole another conversation. But we know this coaching staff and organization
- 49:43thinks very highly of him. Josh Allen thinks very highly of him. Allen
- 49:46spoke about him today at the podium for OTAs and said similar things that he
- 49:52said almost every time that he's been asked about Gabe Davis going into the offseason
- 49:54last year, going into the season two years ago. He talks about Davis
- 49:58being reliable, doing the dirty work, doing what's asked of him, being
- 50:01reliable, and being someone that he trusts both on and off the field.
- 50:06We know Davis is that guy. But for twenty twenty four, again,
- 50:10like I said, all you have right now is official guys on the roster
- 50:14next year. At this time, Stefan Diggs, Deontay Hardy, Kalio Shakir,
- 50:17and Deontay Hardy has questions around his health. Kalio Shakir, we still
- 50:21don't know what kind of pro he's going to be. I think the trajectory
- 50:24is solid and I like what he projects at. But as right now,
- 50:28we still don't know. Shakir could be just the guy and he's not on
- 50:30the roster, or he's a solid core or receiver member of this team for
- 50:34the next several years who looks to get a second contract. And then again
- 50:37in twenty twenty five, it's just defon Diggs, it's just Kalio Shakir.
- 50:42So there's a ton of dominoes for this position and it starts with Gabe Davis,
- 50:47Kalio Shakir, and I really think Deontay Hardy like who is playing the
- 50:51slot, who's working into the boundary, What alignments and usages do you have
- 50:54for each person and buy how much? And then that dictates what you're looking
- 50:59for or in the draft. Are you looking for somebody who's more of a
- 51:02best than the slot kind of guy. Are you looking for somebody who's more
- 51:06best in the boundary? Are you looking for somebody who can live in both
- 51:07worlds? Because you're trying to really go with the whole versatility and positionless receiver
- 51:13type aspect, you're trying to throw in different personnel groupings and looks and dictate
- 51:17more to a defense than you have previously. And when you have that versatility
- 51:21and variability, it allows you to lean into those avenues a little bit more.
- 51:24So I think that's a very interesting conversation to have as well. But
- 51:28again, the biggest question, and again I try to use the biggest question
- 51:31to tie all these things together, really is what does the future look like
- 51:36for wide receiver at this position group, because they could look drastically different next
- 51:39year. Like we're sitting here with Khalio Shakir now at this point next year,
- 51:44that arrow might be trending more up, it might be down. It
- 51:46might still be you Plateau Deonte Hardy. We might be thrilled at the value
- 51:51of signing that he was this year at this time next year, or could
- 51:54be a waste, or we still don't know because he got hurt. Like
- 51:58maybe there's a rookie that came in and performed, well, maybe there's a
- 52:00rookie who was going into year two next year, and we're looking at that
- 52:02trajectory. A lot of questions when it comes to that position grouping. Connor
- 52:08says, I take a wide receiver in round one just for the fifth year
- 52:14option. That's fair. I just don't like the receiver class a ton this
- 52:19year with how much I've studied him. Again, I would be okay with
- 52:21a first round pick for Jackson Smith and Jigba is a Flowers and or and
- 52:25or Jordan Addison. I think a lot of how this class falls on the
- 52:30board is going to be determined by need. You know, just using Jackson
- 52:32Smith and Jigba as an example, like, he is suited for the slot
- 52:37heavily primarily. I think he's a dude who in the NFL probably sees slot
- 52:42snaps eighty to eighty five percent of the time. So his value is tied
- 52:46to how much eleven personality you run. And if you do run eleven personnel,
- 52:51what kind of offense do you run? What kind of slot receiver do
- 52:52you need? Do you want more of a power slot do you want more
- 52:55of a long speed guy. Are you a vertical offense? Are you looking
- 52:58for him to just leverage space on the in the middle of the field,
- 53:01like what are you looking for? You're looking for shaking yards after catch like
- 53:06that might change where you value him. Or again, also, if do
- 53:09you need a slot receiver, do you want your first receiver or a guy
- 53:14you're going to invest first round resources in. Do you want them to have
- 53:17more Z wide receiver potential or an X potential? Like, do you want
- 53:22them to have more size? What kind of again? Frame size, skill
- 53:24set offense. I think that muddies the waters for the first round wide receivers.
- 53:30But I like where your heads at, especially if you're trying to give
- 53:31Josh Allen some consistent weapons. My only issue is I just don't love the
- 53:36wide receivers in this year's class. But fair piece, fair piece? Oh
- 53:40cool? Call me here from Johnny Blaze. So Shakure has been working out
- 53:44with Eric Moulds. I think I heard that. Maybe I'm making that up
- 53:45in my head, but I don't know. DF comes in and says,
- 53:49I think Shakire starts a slot fair point. I do wonder. I think
- 53:52he is better in the slot, but I do think he can work on
- 53:55the boundary and I like that dual alignment potential for him. White Town's King,
- 54:01what up? He says? Do you think that Jalen Hyde is the
- 54:05deep threat that would improve all of our over the middle issues? He said,
- 54:08I think so because he can be used like Emmanuel Sanders was Here's the
- 54:10thing with Jalen Hyatt. He comes from a very gimmicky Mickey Mouse offense at
- 54:16Tennessee. It's the art Ryles Baylor offense that is just ridiculously spread out in
- 54:24terms of how they space the field. And you don't really see a lot
- 54:29of NFL type routes from receivers in this offense. Sometimes you don't even see
- 54:34routes from them. If you're looking at a guy like Jalen Hyatt, there's
- 54:37reps where he's away from the throw. He's not even running a route like
- 54:40because he knows the balls and come in his way. Most of his routes
- 54:44are just reading, leveraging what's going on. Okay, if if they're you're
- 54:47in one on one coverage. If this guy's ten yards off, you do
- 54:51this. If he sits, you do this. He's getting matched up against
- 54:53safeties and against guys that from a skill set standpoint and ability and frame stamp
- 55:00point won't be covering him in the NFL. His speed is real, his
- 55:04speed is legitimate. I know his combine numbers weren't as great as they potentially
- 55:07could have been. I think he is a legitimate deep threat. I think
- 55:12he's different than Emmanuel Sanders because Emanuel Sanders was such a technically sound player even
- 55:19early on in his career. But from a route running standpoint and a football
- 55:22IQ standpoint, he was a very close to a complete receiver. Aside from
- 55:27being on the smaller side, he was tremendous. I think Hyatt as a
- 55:30rookie is just pure deep threat. You're using him to just clear out space
- 55:36for the underneath and the intermediate, which has some value. And then if
- 55:38he gets on top of a guy and gets past the guy, you chuck
- 55:42it up there and you let him run under it and see what happens.
- 55:44He does have good ball skills. He is good at tracking the ball.
- 55:46He does have good hands, So that's a fun piece, Like you can
- 55:51chuck it up there and he'll find it and go get it. But he
- 55:53doesn't have a ton of shake, doesn't have a ton of wiggle after the
- 55:57catch. You know he's more You try to get it to him on the
- 55:59move and let him keep going. You're not going to just you know,
- 56:00flip the ball to him and then he's gonna shake a couple of dudes and
- 56:04make his own yards and make his own way. And get up field.
- 56:07So I think he's got a bit of a different skill set, but he
- 56:08is a legitimate deep threat. I think he would help. I think he
- 56:13would help the intermediate underneath for anyone that he goes to, because again,
- 56:15his speed has to be respected. You can use him to clear out routes,
- 56:19although there is some predictability in that. I just wonder what his long
- 56:22term pieces. Can he run NFL caliber routes consistently? How does he face
- 56:28or face up from a physical and frame standpoint. He is slight, he
- 56:32is skinny, he is small. What does he do when dudes get physical
- 56:37with him in the route stem, get physical with him at the line.
- 56:39He didn't see a ton of press in college or a ton of jams.
- 56:43So it's not that he can't do it, it's it's one of those absence
- 56:45of evidence is not evidence of absence type deals. So how does he hold
- 56:50up with the physicality at the line and in the stem and at the catchpoint?
- 56:52Really, I think there are some questions around that for him is a
- 56:55total prospect, but he is a legitimate deep threat. Where are we going?
- 57:04Oh, Tim, bringing back conversation on CMC, says, looking back
- 57:06at CMC's college scouting report. One of them. It seems like a big
- 57:08knock on him was his frame. That and Derrick Henry was in the same
- 57:12class. Oh, it's funny. Yeah, Henry went in the second round.
- 57:15People just didn't even when he went to Tennessee early. I think he
- 57:19was seeing second string reps to DeMarco Murray. I remember I had Derrick Henry
- 57:22his first and I think second year in fantasy football. I just kept waiting
- 57:27for him to break out and for them to give him the ball because I
- 57:29had faith in him, and Tennessee just kept not giving him the ball.
- 57:31Again, from what I remember, and maybe I'm just tying it with my
- 57:35own evaluation, McCaffrey was good. Was definitely a good running back coming out.
- 57:37I don't think he was talked about as it was a generational guy like
- 57:42se Quon was or Bijean Robinson. Again, sa Quan was like was a
- 57:45top five prospect in his class or top three. Same thing for Beijean.
- 57:49I don't think that was the case of McCaffrey, but he is very good.
- 57:54Oh, Walter says, if you have a wide receiver one, I
- 57:57feel like wide receiver two is a churn and burn because there's an abundant of
- 58:00wide receiver two's coming into the league every year. I don't see the value
- 58:04of resigning one. I'm guessing that is in reference to bringing back Abe Davis.
- 58:10Oh, Darrell says, I think they're resigned Davis early in the season.
- 58:15Very interesting. Oh, spicy from Billy. Billy says, trade a
- 58:17first and Ed Oliver to the Giants for Dexter Lawrence. I don't think they
- 58:22do that. Oh, I don't know if I would do that. That's
- 58:24interesting. Dexter Lawrence had a hell of a year last year, All Pro
- 58:29candidate type of year man. There was just a ton of really good interior
- 58:31players, two of them being in New York, New Jersey with Dexter Lawrence
- 58:36and Quinny williams, Oh, you're basically giving up a first for Dexton.
- 58:39Not that Oh, I think I would do that. I don't know.
- 58:43I have to think about it. That's pretty awesome. That's a spicy one.
- 58:45Very interesting. Johnny says, I think the Bills are going to target
- 58:51Flowers in the first. Oh, and that Molds post his workouts was secure
- 58:54a lot. That's cool. Eric Mould is one of the most under I
- 58:57think, at least from me, underrated Buffalo Bills of all time. I
- 59:00love Eric Molts. I hate that he has that playoff record in the game
- 59:04against Miami and the Bills lost that game because it makes me not want to
- 59:06look back at that game and appreciate that game because the Bills lost in Miami.
- 59:08But he's awesome. Elvis comes in and says, give me these two
- 59:14Jonathan Mingo and Cedra Tillman. Dudes a bigger frames, bigger bodies, a
- 59:17little ex potential. They stand out in this draft class that is filled with
- 59:22a lot of smaller guys, slot guys, Z receiver potential guys, slender
- 59:27frames, less weight. So very interesting, very interesting. Oh appreciate you?
- 59:32Why a great show? Smash that like, thank you very much.
- 59:35Why I appreciate you. I appreciate you. Yeah, I filiate Molto is
- 59:42underrated. He deserved better. So that's the wide receiver conversation again. Biggest
- 59:45question what does this group look like? Also from a floor perspective, if
- 59:49we're forgetting the future, we're just looking at twenty twenty three. How much
- 59:52of the floor got raised with Deontay Hardy and with the additions of trend.
- 59:57Shurfield right, what can you lean into schematically next as a nose wise,
- 1:00:00with Shorefield and Hardy, I think you've added more to more speed. You've
- 1:00:05had a significant speed element to your wide receiver room. Shurefield also gives you
- 1:00:08some power slot opportunity with this frame and his blocking ability and his ability to
- 1:00:13function off RPOs. So I'm interested from that perspective as well. Like if
- 1:00:17the Bills don't address receiver at all in this draft, I do think they
- 1:00:21will. It's just a matter of when and how the board falls. Again,
- 1:00:23I think the best value for this wide receiver classes in rounds two through
- 1:00:27four. My favorite value pick of the draft was Jonathan Mingo in round four.
- 1:00:31I don't know if he lasts there now considering all the buzzies getting again,
- 1:00:38a lot of it is due to just physical measurables in his size and
- 1:00:42frame. Like you know, six foot two two and twenty plus pounds runs
- 1:00:45a four four six forty dude can break tackles from linebackers and safeties. Take
- 1:00:52one of the house high point the football. You know, moss guys downfield
- 1:00:54on back shoulder catches or cowboy routes. So and his route round is better
- 1:01:00than he was able to showcase at Old Miss. So he was a dude
- 1:01:04who I loved in like round four, round three. Now I'm wondering if
- 1:01:06he goes before pick ninety one for the Bills at round three. Oh A
- 1:01:09lot of drama with his wide receiver groupment, but overall, I don't think
- 1:01:12it's a class that I love. Whoa really Elvis says Peter Schrager has him
- 1:01:16going in round one. Peter Schreger as Jonathan Mingo going in round one?
- 1:01:21Is that what a statement is in regards to I feel like I can't do
- 1:01:24the show until I know this answer. Man. That's wild. I will
- 1:01:29bring up this comment from DF who says the problem is the best value for
- 1:01:30inside linebackers rounds two through three. Round four for a wide receiver is too
- 1:01:35late. Depends on what you're looking for. If you're looking for somebody to
- 1:01:37be a wide receiver two as a rookie, round four might be too late.
- 1:01:42If you're looking for somebody to be your wide receiver three or four as
- 1:01:45a rookie and develop into a wide receiver two in year two, I think
- 1:01:51round four is okay. That's where you're looking for me, that's where I
- 1:01:53have the Mingos of the world and the Xavier Hutchinsons and guys like that.
- 1:01:57Wow, Elvia says yes Man Peter schregard Jonnathan Bingo going in the first what
- 1:02:00a time. I liked him at the Senior Bowl. I've talked about him
- 1:02:04so much on this show, and I was like, oh cool, third
- 1:02:06fourth round guy, man man man, man man, man, How the
- 1:02:10how the turntables. Let's move to the next position grouping. Let's move to
- 1:02:15tight end. Dawson Knox, Quintin Morris, Zach Davidson, Poy I mentioned
- 1:02:19earlier, So Dawson Knox signed that extension earlier last year, which makes him
- 1:02:24a UFA in twenty twenty seven. Quintin Morris is an exclusive rights free agent
- 1:02:30next offseason in twenty twenty four. That means he is a player with fewer
- 1:02:34than three accrued seasons and an expired contract. If his original team, meaning
- 1:02:38the Buffalo Bills, offers him a one year contract at the league minimum based
- 1:02:42on his credited seasons, the player cannot negotiate with other teams. I like
- 1:02:45Quintin Morris former wide receiver. I think his former receiver Chops showed well at
- 1:02:51receiver in or a tight end in the preseason. This past year, I
- 1:02:54thought he got better as the season went on. I like his size and
- 1:03:00frame. I like how he's built. I like the speed, I like
- 1:03:02the athleticism. I like the release package at the line. My biggest question
- 1:03:07for this tight end grouping and this position grouping as a whole, is Quintin
- 1:03:13Morris tight end two. I think there's a lot of quality in depth of
- 1:03:15tight end in this draft class on really every day, on Day one,
- 1:03:20on Day two, especially on Day two, but even in early Day three.
- 1:03:23Zach Coon's from old dominion as someone who I really really really liked.
- 1:03:27He's another freak though in terms of size and length, you know, being
- 1:03:30six foot seven and how he can move. So maybe he's going to creep
- 1:03:34up onto Day two into that third round. But there is good tight end
- 1:03:37value in this draft. Do the Bills dip into this position in the draft?
- 1:03:42I'm fine with Quintin Morris's tight end two, but I also think you
- 1:03:45could upgrade. But then there's also the other side of the conversation where rookie
- 1:03:51tight ends usually don't make a tremendous impact, and tight end is also a
- 1:03:55position with usually a pretty significant learning curve, And there's also no guarantee,
- 1:04:00you know, tied into that learning curve and that rookie impact, there's no
- 1:04:03guarantee that a rookie tight end comes in and beats out Quintin Morris or gives
- 1:04:08you more than Quintin Morris could give you. So I think there is some
- 1:04:11risk reward there. But there's there's a lot, a lot, a lot
- 1:04:15of good tight ends in this class, whether you're looking in round one with
- 1:04:18the um you know the Kincaid's and the mayors. And I'm not a huge
- 1:04:23guy or a fan of Luke Musgrave, but I know some people really like
- 1:04:27him. He didn't really wow me at the Senior Bowl. Um, you
- 1:04:29have his Dan Kinki puts in Darnat Washington with three exclamation points. You have
- 1:04:33darn At Washington who is just a mountain of a man, blocks like an
- 1:04:39extra offensive lineman, but has the size and frame and length just moss dudes,
- 1:04:43especially down in the red zone. Um, I'm wondering what he becomes
- 1:04:46as a receiver m and as a pass catcher. He doesn't. He doesn't
- 1:04:50start out the fastest because of his size, and his frame and his length,
- 1:04:54but once he gets moving, he's athletic and he's a bit fluid.
- 1:04:57Um He's a real interesting one. It'll be interesting to see if he goes
- 1:05:00to a team and functions as their tight end two or if he has tight
- 1:05:04end one expectations. I think if he goes to a power run scheme team
- 1:05:08and can just function off a play action with that, it would really really,
- 1:05:11really really kind of allow him to flourish a bit. But that's a
- 1:05:16name that we have there as well. He's probably like a day one,
- 1:05:23day two guy, depending on the team, and then day further. Day
- 1:05:25two guys, you know, you've got the Sam Laportas of the world,
- 1:05:28and the Day three guys you've got the actually even on day two, so
- 1:05:31you've still got Tucker Craft maybe a schoolmaker from Michigan crawls into round two or
- 1:05:36he's on A's in round three. Like, there's just a lot of value
- 1:05:40a tight ends. So the Bills want to add to this position grouping.
- 1:05:44There's a lot of good candidates on day one and day two and even into
- 1:05:46early day three, but it's all going to come down to for me,
- 1:05:49the biggest question with this group which is is Quentin Morris tight end two.
- 1:05:54I think he's fine to be tight end two, but I also think it
- 1:05:57is completely fine to upgrade from Quentin Moore, which again, no disrespect to
- 1:06:01Quentin Morris, you know, but we'll see what happens with Quentin Morris.
- 1:06:05Now, next position, offensive tackle. Big conversation piece if you watch the
- 1:06:12show regularly, I've been talking about Spencer Brown all offseason. It's going to
- 1:06:15be no different. Right here, as I take a drink of water,
- 1:06:21we look at the offensive tackle group for the Buffalo Bills. Deon Dawkins,
- 1:06:27Spencer Brown, David quest Tommy Doyle, Ryan Vandemark, Alec Anderson, everyone
- 1:06:31that I just listed, but David Questenberry is on the roster. In twenty
- 1:06:35twenty five, the Bills have no offensive tackles on the roster in twenty twenty
- 1:06:41five. Wait, let me go back, as I don't know if I
- 1:06:44said this wrong in my head or said it out loud. So everyone that
- 1:06:45I mentioned, Dawkins, Spencer Brown, Tommy Doyle, Ryan Bandermark Alec Anderson
- 1:06:50are all on the roster in twenty twenty four. The Bills have no tackle
- 1:06:55on the roster. In twenty twenty five, Deon Dawkins has a void year
- 1:06:59cap hit that year. He also has won for twenty twenty six as well,
- 1:07:00so the Bills do not have an offensive tackle on the roster for twenty
- 1:07:03twenty five as of now under contract. My biggest question here, and it
- 1:07:09has been the questions that I've been asking all offseason, all offseason, all
- 1:07:14off season. Oh DF says, this conversation is annoying me, and this
- 1:07:18team is way too happy at the right tackle position they could be. But
- 1:07:21this is the question, this is what it's going to tie into. The
- 1:07:25biggest question here is what does Spencer Brown look like in year three? What
- 1:07:30do you have out of year three Spencer Brown? Year two Spencer Brown?
- 1:07:34You know, as as we've gone over here on the show, still had
- 1:07:40that mercurial play. He was tied for sixty ninth amongst eighty eight tackles in
- 1:07:48pass blocking efficiency of the two hundred and six offensive linemen with at least twenty
- 1:07:54percent of pass protection snaps. He was tied for one hundred and eightieth amongst
- 1:07:58all offensive linemen and pass block off fency and true pass sets. He was
- 1:08:01seventieth amongst the eighty eight offensive tackles in true pass sets. From a volume
- 1:08:05standpoint, he was tied for the eighth most pressures allowed last year amongst all
- 1:08:10offensive linemen. He was tied for the fifth most amongst all tackles. We've
- 1:08:15been over and on this show, so I don't want to harp on on
- 1:08:16it too much. Yes, the injuries have impacted his career trajectory to this
- 1:08:21point, maybe even more than it would most offensive tackles, because again,
- 1:08:25like said on the show, played eight man football in high school, then
- 1:08:29he went to the university in Northern Iowa, then he sat out the COVID
- 1:08:31year and came into the NFL very very raw, and he needed reps to
- 1:08:36get better and literally learned to play tackle on the job in the NFL,
- 1:08:41which is already hard before you introduced injuries to that process. Yes, the
- 1:08:46Bills organization likes him, the coaching staff likes him, and yes, he
- 1:08:49still could be a good tackle like I in this league. I don't think
- 1:08:54that's out of the question. But right now, no matter the reason,
- 1:08:57no matter the cause, no matter how you slice it, he's a very
- 1:09:00inconsistent right tackle at this very time, and he has a very mercurial nature
- 1:09:04to his game. He's got some really cool, you know, high high
- 1:09:06some cool moments where he's malling dudes, or he's using that athleticism where he's
- 1:09:11functioning in space, and he's got those really low loads where he's getting beat
- 1:09:14in like a half a second and fallen on his face. If you're betting
- 1:09:17on him taking a jump in year three two show that he can be the
- 1:09:21guy for the future, that's completely fine to me. It's just a little
- 1:09:25risky. Now. That doesn't mean he can't do it, that doesn't mean
- 1:09:28that he won't do it. It also doesn't mean that the Bills are out
- 1:09:30on him or don't believe in him. But last year, again, no
- 1:09:34matter what the reason, and I think the reasons are valid, Like I've
- 1:09:38stated this all offseason, like there's always that caveat, like he's had that
- 1:09:42mercurial play and the poor performances on tape and with the advanced metrics, I
- 1:09:45understand the reasoning behind it, but at the end of the day, the
- 1:09:50on field execution is extremely inconsistent and very mercurial. He was a vulnerability in
- 1:09:57past protection last year, and for me just don't think you can continue to
- 1:10:00have that with Josh Allen. Now Bill is brought in Connor McGovern to start
- 1:10:04at left guard. So maybe if Connor McGovern works out and you have more
- 1:10:08consistency from left tackle to right guard, maybe that can cover up for Spencer
- 1:10:14Brown a little bit. Maybe a full off season of practices and health and
- 1:10:19reps and chemistry with Ryan Bates on that right side, maybe that helps him
- 1:10:26race his floor even more, potentially scratch the surface of his ceiling even more.
- 1:10:30But Spencer Brown is the biggest question at the tackle spot, both in
- 1:10:34season and heading into the draft right now. Because I also think too,
- 1:10:36if you're looking at it from the draft perspective, what are you looking at
- 1:10:41in the draft, Because even if you're not focusing on just Spencer Brown and
- 1:10:45you're looking at this tackle group as a whole again, Deon Dawkins, Spencer
- 1:10:48Brown, David Questenberry, and Tommy Doyle, Ryan Vandermark, Alec Anderson,
- 1:10:53Deon Dawkins is Deon Dawkins, Spencer Brown. We've already talked about David Questenberry.
- 1:10:57I like his story, I like his veteran presence. I like that
- 1:10:59he offers you a little bit at left and right tackle. I still see
- 1:11:02him as the slow footed dude who got beat around the corner by Bryce Huff
- 1:11:06against the Jets and got Josh Allen's elbow hurt. That may be unfair to
- 1:11:10place on him. He also gutted out that performance against Miami and the heat
- 1:11:14when he was all injured and everything. He had a lot of gutsy performances.
- 1:11:17I think it was in Miami game or maybe blending with another one,
- 1:11:21but he's got it through a lot. I think you could also use some
- 1:11:26youth and just overall depth and athleticism at this position in general. Like,
- 1:11:30we don't know what we have in Tommy Doyle, he got banged up last
- 1:11:32year. You know, Ryan vander Mark, Alec Anderson, even bigger questions.
- 1:11:35So you're looking at the top three of Dion Dawkins, Spencer Brown,
- 1:11:39David Questenberry. Like that top three is a little shaky. So I would
- 1:11:45like to address offensive tackle in this draft regardless. But depending on how you
- 1:11:48feel about Spencer Brown, if you're the Bills, are you looking to draft
- 1:11:51a replacement for him? Are you looking to draft just competition for him?
- 1:11:56And if Spencer Brown wins out, cool, then you have depth. Are
- 1:12:00you cool at tackle in general, and you're not going to invest in this
- 1:12:02position at all. This is a very interesting one to look at because I
- 1:12:09do think, again, I like the upside or Brown or brown of oh
- 1:12:15yeah, so it's a Brown. Sorry, I was thinking of Darnel right
- 1:12:15and I thought, I said right out loud, I like the upside that
- 1:12:19Spencer Brown presents. And I still think it's there. You see the athleticism,
- 1:12:23you saw the ras score all of these pieces sc sc SCSS. I
- 1:12:26understand it, all of it, and I'm fine with it. I do
- 1:12:30think the reasons of why he has struggled up to this point in his career
- 1:12:32and why he had such a mercurial performance last year that is very valid.
- 1:12:38He needed reps in the off season, very raw from a football IQ standpoint
- 1:12:43and from a technicality standpoint, coming out of Northern Iowa playing eight man football,
- 1:12:46he needed as much time on task as possible to get up to NFL
- 1:12:50standards in NFL level. That's very fair. Like I think it's a fair
- 1:12:55cavey have to throw that in there and say, well, look at all
- 1:12:57the injuries, that's why he's off course, that's line. But at the
- 1:13:00end of the day, he's extremely inconsistent. He was of legitimate vulnerability at
- 1:13:04right tackle. Next year, you had no idea what you were getting from
- 1:13:08him from rap to rap, snap to snap and pass protection. I don't
- 1:13:12like to put together a ton of negative film clips for players when I do
- 1:13:16episodes or when I put things out on Twitter, but I man, there
- 1:13:20were so many readily available clips of him just getting wax, and I think
- 1:13:25it would be nice if he takes a jump in year three. I just
- 1:13:28think if you're thinking that he's going to take a jump in year three,
- 1:13:30it's very much hope based and it's very much projection based. That's where I
- 1:13:34stand on the offensive tackle piece, and that's why he's the biggest question for
- 1:13:40this offensive tackle grouping. What does year three Spencer Brown look like? Because
- 1:13:44if he's solid, does he beat out who they draft? Do they not
- 1:13:47draft anyone? And they're just thinking that he's going to take a jump and
- 1:13:49he's the guy if they get. If year three Spencer Brown is anywhere close
- 1:13:55to what year two Spencer Brown was, that's a problem. I've gone over
- 1:13:58the advanced metrics here already in this episode. I've gone over them at several
- 1:14:01other points this offseason. He's just too up and down. He's too much
- 1:14:04of a roller coaster, and I think you need to get off that roller
- 1:14:08coaster. And if that's because he raised the floor of his game and he
- 1:14:11gives you more consistency and sustainability, cool, that's awesome. I just think
- 1:14:15it's fairly risky to go into the year with Spencer Brown, Pencilvanage or right
- 1:14:19tackle number one, especially with what he did last year. Again, the
- 1:14:23injuries are valid, but it is just a little worrisome and bum bum bum
- 1:14:29b, what do we kind of df says if we took an all,
- 1:14:34if we picked offensive tackle around one, I would be very very happy.
- 1:14:38I like this comment from Thomas. Does it give me Darnell right or give
- 1:14:40me death? Yeah, it's tough. I mean I also really like Darnel
- 1:14:46Right. I like a lot of the tackles towards the top end of the
- 1:14:48board. So that's a fair point in conversation as well. Let's move on
- 1:14:54to the guard and center position and kind of combine them into one grouping.
- 1:14:59Um, we're gonna start with so if we're looking at a guard, Ryan
- 1:15:01Bates, Connor McGovern, David Edwards, Mike Budker and Kevin Jarvis. If
- 1:15:06we're looking at twenty twenty four, only Ryan Bates and Connor mcgovernor on the
- 1:15:11roster in twenty twenty four. I think the biggest question for this grouping,
- 1:15:15and it ties into the center position as well, is how much of an
- 1:15:18improvement do the Bills get a guard in Connor McGovern versus what they got from
- 1:15:24Roger Staffold last year. I've spoken about Connor McGovern on the show, broken
- 1:15:28down his tape in the cover one film room, just some highlights as we
- 1:15:30go through now. He's better in pass protection than he is as a run
- 1:15:33blocker. He's not a people mover in the run game. He's more of
- 1:15:38an escorter, more of a shepherd. He's athletic, he's smart, he
- 1:15:41can move. I don't think McGovern is going to set the world on fire.
- 1:15:44I don't think he's going to come in and necessarily be an all pro.
- 1:15:47But Roger Staffold last year, with all due respect, because he was
- 1:15:50a pro bowler, Roger Staffold was a d or at his absolute best a
- 1:15:57C last year. Connor McGovern I think he comes in. I think he
- 1:16:00gives you a bus to a b at your left guard spot, which isn't
- 1:16:03the sexiest thing in the world, but that's a significant upgrade from what you
- 1:16:08had last year in terms of consistency and performance and on fieldability, not to
- 1:16:12mention the athleticism. If you're going from a deed to a B minus,
- 1:16:15that's a huge jump. If you're looking at it in a vacuum and you're
- 1:16:16like, oh, well, dude, it's only a B minus. That's
- 1:16:18a lot better than a friggin D. And then I think I'm in this
- 1:16:21system and scheme with Cromer and with what Josh Allen does. I think Connor
- 1:16:27mcgovernor can be a solid be maybe even a B plus. But I think
- 1:16:30that's the biggest question, like how much of an improvement is Connor McGovern over
- 1:16:35Roger Saffold last year. Does he give you consistency and sustainability on at least
- 1:16:42one side of the line, even if Spencer Brown stays at right tackle?
- 1:16:45Fine? Is your left side at least solid? From Dion Dawkins to Connor
- 1:16:49McGovern to Mitch Morse, are you solid there in terms of pre snap communication
- 1:16:54and identification, in terms of pass protection setting, in terms of your rules,
- 1:16:59in terms of non leakage coming from that left side. Are you consistent
- 1:17:03on at least one side of your line? The worst thing that can happen
- 1:17:08in this Bill's offensive line is to have the roller coaster at left guard and
- 1:17:12right tackle like they did last year with Roger Saffold and Spencer Brown respectively.
- 1:17:15So the biggest question here at guard is how much of an improvement is Connor
- 1:17:19McGovern over Roger Saffold from last year. I think a side question here as
- 1:17:24well is what does the depth look like overall on the interior with David Edwards
- 1:17:31and Ike Vodka, but also with how that ties into Mitch Morse with Mitch
- 1:17:35Morrise's concussion history. If he goes down, does Greg Manks step in or
- 1:17:42is it Ryan Bates? And are you putting Ryan Bates into center? And
- 1:17:45then you're shuffle in David Edwards or right Bodker into guard after you're starting five,
- 1:17:50which at this point as of right now is Dion Dawkins, Connor McGovern,
- 1:17:55Mitch Morrise, Ryan Bates, and Spencer Brown. After that start five,
- 1:18:00what is your next best starting five? If Morse goes down, is
- 1:18:04it Manks at center? Is it Ryan Bates at center? And Edwards at
- 1:18:08right guard, or Ike butt Kerr at right guard, or McGovern at right
- 1:18:12guard and Edwards at left guard, like and with Bates at center, what
- 1:18:15games do you play? What shuffling do you have if Mitch Morse goes down.
- 1:18:19That's also the biggest question at center, if we're looking at that position
- 1:18:23in a vacuum. The health of Mitch Morse in twenty twenty three m beyond
- 1:18:27I hate even saying because I don't want to like speak it into existence in
- 1:18:30the universe, but one more concussion for Mitch Morse could legitimately knock him out
- 1:18:33for the year or his career, or cause him to just legitimately reevaluate things
- 1:18:39and be fine to come back. Let's say I don't want to And as
- 1:18:43of right now, it's only him and Greg Manks on this roster at center
- 1:18:45in twenty twenty three. In twenty twenty four, it's just Mitch Morse.
- 1:18:50And I've said it for years. I think he's gotten a little more appreciation
- 1:18:53now. Mitch Morse does so much for this offense, not even just the
- 1:18:58offensive line, but the offense in general. What he does in terms of
- 1:19:00helping to set pass protections, what he does to help get the offensive line
- 1:19:04set. His ability to function on pop sets his ability to execute false polls
- 1:19:10and end up as a left or right tackle, setting the width of the
- 1:19:13pocket. He's great in space, he's great on the move. He's great
- 1:19:15between the ears. He's a great locker room guy. He's smart, he's
- 1:19:18heady, high character, all this stuff, like he takes so many boxes
- 1:19:23for any offense. Good centers are hard to come by. There's a reason
- 1:19:29why you usually see a good, heady, veteran knowledgeable center paired with a
- 1:19:35young QB to help that QB develop. It would be nice to have much
- 1:19:43more so around for the long haul. But I think that's a significant question.
- 1:19:46What does his health look like. Concussions are a tricky thing. Like
- 1:19:50you see guys, once they get one concussion, they're susceptible to others.
- 1:19:55It's like dislocating your shoulder. And we've seen more have multiple concussions. And
- 1:20:00once you get one or especially two, but even once you just get one,
- 1:20:03you don't need to really get smacked in the head like hard. It
- 1:20:06can be the gentlest hit that when you see it on the replane, you're
- 1:20:11like, that gave him a concussion, like really that it's a tricky injury
- 1:20:15to predict or protect against. It's a tricky injury to come back from.
- 1:20:18Like brain health is no joke. So that's a huge question. You know,
- 1:20:23Mitch Morse's health for twenty twenty three, m beyond, and then again
- 1:20:27I think you tie that into the guard position. In an ideal world,
- 1:20:30again, you've got McGovern in Bates and Morse is your center if you're looking
- 1:20:33at the interior offensive line. But if Morse goes down, who kicks into
- 1:20:38center? Is it Manx, is it Bates? Are you testing the rest
- 1:20:41of your guard depth with Edwards and Bud Kerr? I think that's potentially what
- 1:20:44you're looking at with why you bring Edwards in addition to just having good depth
- 1:20:46on the interior in general. But they're significant questions there if Mitch Morse goes
- 1:20:54down. But if we're just looking at the surface in terms of everybody's healthy
- 1:20:57and everything is sunshine and rainbows, the biggest question on the interior, and
- 1:21:00especially when we're just folks in a guard is how much of an improvement is
- 1:21:03Connor McGovern over Roger Saffold, How much consistency and stability does he give you
- 1:21:09on the left side of the line, You give Dion Dawkins a better dance
- 1:21:12partner, you give Mitch Morse a better dance partner, especially in terms of
- 1:21:15athleticism. It helps them do their job a little bit better. And if
- 1:21:17you get consistent play from McGovern, it adds consistency all down the road.
- 1:21:23And again, I think that potentially helps the right side if Spencer Brown is
- 1:21:26there, if you know, you are consistently stable on that left side of
- 1:21:30the ball. So it's a fair point. That's a fair point. Al
- 1:21:35Shar says, I hate to say it, but I think Darnell Right will
- 1:21:38be long gone before we pick. I do as well. I think he
- 1:21:40goes to Tampa Bay at nineteen. He might even go earlier than that.
- 1:21:45You know, initially it was Paris Johnson and Roderick Jones were tackles one and
- 1:21:49tackle two depending on how you view Peter Scronsky from Northwestern. But now there's
- 1:21:56a conversation that Darnell Right is up in the in the mix for tackle one
- 1:22:00under tackle two on some team's boards or some analyst boards. I think he's
- 1:22:03a good fit in Tampa Bay with them potentially taking Tristan Worth from right tackle
- 1:22:09and moving him to left plug Darnell Right into right tackle. You just have
- 1:22:14two tremendous pillars and bookends on the offensive line. So it'll be interesting.
- 1:22:20Tim says by that logic, and if the Bills learned from Staffold, won't
- 1:22:25they similarly learned from Spencer Brown and draft a good tackle early potentially, But
- 1:22:29that's also tied into what they feel about Spencer Brown. You know, Roger
- 1:22:32Staffold was long in the tooth. He was at the end of his career.
- 1:22:36His problems weren't mental hit the mental aspects like football IQ and picking up
- 1:22:42things. He was just limited because of his mobility and lack of athleticism,
- 1:22:46which he was never the most athletic dude, but he just had a lot
- 1:22:49of mileage on the tires combined with his age, and he just couldn't physically
- 1:22:53get to the areas that they needed him to. I think they might view
- 1:22:57Spencer Brown differently, So I don't know if this is necessarily orange st oranges
- 1:23:00or apples to apples. I think it might be a little different. You
- 1:23:02know, Spencer Brown is much younger, is very raw, somebody that needs
- 1:23:06development. So even just off of that, Like, I don't think you're
- 1:23:11ready to jettison a guy into the sun that early. But also if they
- 1:23:15view him higher, if they view him in terms of still being able to
- 1:23:18achieve that ceiling. You know, it's not necessarily a similar situation, but
- 1:23:25I would like them to get some pieces there on the offensive line. DF
- 1:23:30says, Aunt, could we draft a center this year plug and play at
- 1:23:33center guard when needed, and start him at center next year? You could,
- 1:23:38but then you just have to invest in round one or two or three,
- 1:23:41And then you're also banking on like Mitch Morris not coming back? Are
- 1:23:45you? Is he retiring or you cutting him? Or you getting rid of
- 1:23:46them? Like what's the play there? Like you just get into this muddied
- 1:23:51mix of taking someone in rounds one or two or three or maybe even round
- 1:23:59four, And then are you like burning that pick when you could have helped
- 1:24:02you for twenty twenty three even though it could help you for twenty twenty four.
- 1:24:04Kind of gets you into this, you know, high variable and high
- 1:24:08variant situation. But it's possibility, It is a possibility. Oh Ralph says,
- 1:24:15what about Edwards is concussions? He missed the last thirteen games with two
- 1:24:17of them, concussion history for him as well. There's injury concerns you know,
- 1:24:24abound for this offensive line in addition, in addition to some development questions.
- 1:24:29So it's a fair point all around. We're gonna move to the defensive
- 1:24:31side of the ball now here on disguised coverage before we do that. Plug
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- 1:25:11you'll get a little treat and a bonus and a benefit. Now, as
- 1:25:15I mentioned, let's kick to the defensive side of the ball here. Oh
- 1:25:18actually, let me get this from Alscher. It says, Anthony, what
- 1:25:23do you think about drafting Carter Warren in the mid rounds. He's older and
- 1:25:26isn't a good run blocker, but he's really good in past protection. I've
- 1:25:28watched some of his tape, big dude, lanky, not lanky, long,
- 1:25:33injured this past year, I believe, so, not a ton of
- 1:25:38tape. He's somebody who initially I thought could be had in like the rounds
- 1:25:44four and five ish type area, and now he's starting to creep up.
- 1:25:46He's somebody who I like. I like Nick Selda very more from old dominion,
- 1:25:50But I think Warren is in that tier of tackles on early day three
- 1:25:57that I think would fit you. See what he can do I think he
- 1:26:00should do. Who competes with Spencer Brown potentially, or just adds tackle depth
- 1:26:05in general. That's a very fair point. Now we move on to the
- 1:26:09edge grouping. This is about I've talked about a lot this offseason. The
- 1:26:13edge grouping. Right now as it stands, Von Miller Von Miller Von Miller
- 1:26:16Gregor Russo, a JP and SA Boogie, Basham Kingsley, Jonathan Kendall,
- 1:26:20Vickers, and Shack Lawson. We've talked a lot on this show about the
- 1:26:25lack of pop off the edge once von Miller went down. My biggest question
- 1:26:30here is twofold who steps up or steps in wink wick nudge nudge potential free
- 1:26:34agent or drafty as the edge number two if von Miller misses time, and
- 1:26:40or who steps up or steps in his edge number three when von Miller returns.
- 1:26:45I wanted to bring up some numbers here just to kind of re reiterate
- 1:26:49some things and refresh some things for your folks. So defensive line pass rush
- 1:26:53productivity a formula that combines sacks, hits, and hurries relative to how many
- 1:26:58times they rushed the passer weeks one through eleven out of two hundred and forty
- 1:27:01qualifying defensive linemen, this is weeks one through eleven. I'm just gonna do
- 1:27:04weeks one through eleven and weeks twelve through eighteen. So weeks one through eleven
- 1:27:10there was two hundred and forty qualifying defensive linemen. Weeks twelve through eighteen there
- 1:27:14were two hundred and thirteen, and this is their past rush productivity for the
- 1:27:16Bills individually. In those two different groupings one through eleven verses twelve through eighteen,
- 1:27:21Greg Rousseau he was eighth in past rush productivity weeks one through eleven.
- 1:27:26Weeks twelve through eighteen, he was twenty second. Aj Panessa was forty first
- 1:27:32in past rush productivity in weeks one through eleven. Weeks twelve through eighteen,
- 1:27:36he was twenty ninth. He stepped his game up. Jordan Phillips was twenty
- 1:27:41second impass rush productivity. Weeks one through eleven, He was tied for one
- 1:27:45hundred and twenty second in weeks twelve through eighteen. Shack Lawson was tied for
- 1:27:51fifty second im pass rush productivity in weeks one through eleven. He was one
- 1:27:56hundred and twenty second in weeks twelve through eighteen, tied with Jordan Phillips.
- 1:28:00At Oliver did not qualify and weeks one through eleven because he missed some time,
- 1:28:04But weeks twelve through eighteen, out of those two hundred and thirteen qualifying
- 1:28:08defensive lineman, he was tied for one hundred and fortieth. Impastor's productivity.
- 1:28:12Boogie Basham he was sixtieth out of two forty Impastor's productivity weeks one through eleven.
- 1:28:16Weeks twelveth through eighteen, he was one hundred and fortieth out of two
- 1:28:20hundred and thirteen. Tim Settle bad all around weeks one through eleven, two
- 1:28:26hundred and tenth out of two hundred and forty qualifying defensive linemen in Pastors Productivity
- 1:28:30weeks twelve through eighteen, one hundred and ninety second. For those who don't
- 1:28:33know, Week eleven is when von Miller went down, so I broke it
- 1:28:38up. Week went through eleven, Verse twelve through eighteen. He had a
- 1:28:42huge impact on the defense as a whole, on the defensive line as a
- 1:28:45whole. So you've got the individual performances there in twenty twenty three and how
- 1:28:50that's affected If von Miller misses time, which I do think he does.
- 1:28:54I know he was at OTA's to day working out, running around wearing a
- 1:28:56brace, but I do think he misses time to start this year. I'm
- 1:29:00continuing continuing to say it. I think a solid timetable for his return is
- 1:29:04middle of October to middle or end of November, similar to what we saw
- 1:29:09with Trey White, von is into his early slash early mid thirties. This
- 1:29:14is the second time he's torn that ACL. I don't think it's necessarily just
- 1:29:17a given that he'll be back to start the year. I think you want
- 1:29:19to take us low. You want him for December and January more than you
- 1:29:24do for September, October, November. You need the closer for the playoffs,
- 1:29:28not for you know, the start of the seasons, as much as
- 1:29:30I would like him, but you've got those questions for twenty twenty three,
- 1:29:34if or when he misses time, and then the other questions that you have
- 1:29:40is the future of this group in twenty twenty four and beyond, because the
- 1:29:44only edge rushers you have under contract in twenty twenty four are Von Miller,
- 1:29:47Greg Russo and Boogie Basham. So if you're looking at twenty twenty three,
- 1:29:51can this group other than von Miller make an impact on the edge. I
- 1:29:56think Rousseau had a better year than he gets credit for, especially considering he
- 1:29:59was playing with that banged up ankle as the season went on. We know
- 1:30:01what he can do from age edge setting standpoint and a run defense standpoint,
- 1:30:05but I think he got a little bit better as a pass rusher this year
- 1:30:09as well. Aj Epanessa, like I mentioned, had a very strong end
- 1:30:13to the year weeks twelve through eighteen. Once von Miller went down two hundred
- 1:30:16and thirteen qualifying defensive lineman, he was twenty ninth in pass rush productivity.
- 1:30:21He was only seven spots behind group, and he jumped up from forty first
- 1:30:26in weeks one through eleven to twenty ninth in weeks twelve through eighteen. That's
- 1:30:29really good. I think he started to fix up some of his mistackling issues.
- 1:30:32He was playing the run better. Can he clean that up? Clean
- 1:30:35that up enough to be a consistent number two? To Greg Rousseau, von
- 1:30:39is out or be a consistent number three? If Von is good and is
- 1:30:43the number one, so can this group other than Von make an impact on
- 1:30:47the edge. And if it's in twenty twenty three, who is it?
- 1:30:49Is it by committee? Is it a rotation of Epanessa and Shack? And
- 1:30:54do you get something out of boohe bash him finally? Or is it one
- 1:30:58person holistically owning it? Does bash him take a jump? Does a Jpanessa
- 1:31:01take a jump? I don't think you're going to see that from Shack Lawson.
- 1:31:03I think at this point he is who he is. And then based
- 1:31:06off what happens in twenty twenty three, what does that look like for twenty
- 1:31:10twenty four. If Eponessa steps his game up this year, does he get
- 1:31:13a deal and does he stay? Do they draft an Edge this year?
- 1:31:16Do they dip into free agency and signed Leonard Floyd, which I would love.
- 1:31:19I think this is a position group that, unfortunately, as I've said
- 1:31:23on the show, despite the investment that they've sunk into this group and free
- 1:31:26agency and the draft, I think this is a group that unfortunately has a
- 1:31:30lot of question marks and still isn't necessarily being talked about as a group that
- 1:31:36has a lot of question marks. Chris says, aunt you aiming for three
- 1:31:41hours to night or what great showman? I appreciate the kind words. No,
- 1:31:44this is regular. We usually go about an hour and thirty two hour
- 1:31:45forty five here in the sky's coverage, depending on what's going on in the
- 1:31:48jet. But fair point, fair point, oh Roy says, soon to
- 1:31:53be pro bowler aj Epanessa. Oh, very interesting, very interesting, very
- 1:31:57interesting. I don't like the idea of having to invest in Edge again.
- 1:32:04But I don't rule it out of the realm of possibility of them going edge
- 1:32:08in round one, two, three, four, or five six at any
- 1:32:12point in this draft. I really like a lot of the edges at the
- 1:32:15top part of this draft, Like we talked about him last week's episode.
- 1:32:17If this edge class is really deep, I would love for them to go
- 1:32:19edge on day one or day two. We'll see how the board falls.
- 1:32:25I don't think it's the biggest need. I do think it is a bigger
- 1:32:27need that is getting credit four and again, I think they're significant questions,
- 1:32:32like what are you getting from this grouping in twenty twenty three if Von Miller
- 1:32:35is out and even when moon Miller's back cool, you have Von and you
- 1:32:38have group what do you have after them? You know, Shaq Lawson is
- 1:32:43solid against the run. But you know, I think Bruce Nolan mentioned it
- 1:32:46several weeks ago when I had him on the show, or no, was
- 1:32:48Joe Marino when I had him on the show. When Bond went down,
- 1:32:51Shack Lawson became edge number two. That kind of told you where they thought
- 1:32:57Epanessa and Boogie Basham were. Now I've been, as I mentioned, played
- 1:33:00better down the stretch. But the fact that Shack Lawson became the two kind
- 1:33:05of tells you where they saw that edge grouping hierarchy at that point last year,
- 1:33:09and it's a very similar group this year now as we moved to the
- 1:33:15other part of the defensive line, the defensive tackle grouping. I've talked about
- 1:33:18this one a lot all off season, so I don't want to, you
- 1:33:23know, really drive it home too much here, but you're looking at the
- 1:33:25defensive tackle grouping now Daquan Jones at Oliver, Jordan Phillips, Tim Settle,
- 1:33:30Eleanku, Brandon Bryant, Cortez Browton. Your top four right now are Daklon
- 1:33:35Jones, at Oliver, Jordan Phillips, and Tim Settle. Tim Settle,
- 1:33:39like I mentioned earlier, had some of the worst advanced metrics on the entire
- 1:33:44year, both with von and without vond Miller. I know he was banged
- 1:33:47up as the season went on, but he disappeared a little bit on tape.
- 1:33:51He's your defensive tackle three, your defensive tackle four, depending on how
- 1:33:56you view Jordan Phillips, and then Jordan Phillips is your defensive tackle three or
- 1:33:59your defense tackle four. That means two of your top four guys are Tim
- 1:34:02Settle and Jordan Phillips. And Settle, like I mentioned, disappeared a bit
- 1:34:06from a metric standpoint and a film standpoint. Maybe some of that or a
- 1:34:11majority of that was due to the injury. We'll see Jordan Phillips is unreliable
- 1:34:14as a consistent guy to plug into this lineup just because of the injury history.
- 1:34:17When healthy, he's very effective, especially in this scheme, especially on
- 1:34:20this team and in this system. The issue is he can't stay healthy.
- 1:34:25Yeah, I'm not even necessarily talking about the shoulder injury that he suffered at
- 1:34:28the end of the yearlast year. I think about the hamstring injury when he
- 1:34:30pulled up laming against the Tennessee Titans. Like he keeps getting these soft muscle
- 1:34:32injuries that date back it was time in Arizona, which is why he didn't
- 1:34:35really work out there. So you've got a top four right now where your
- 1:34:41number three and number four defensive tackle are not necessarily ideal. At Oliver is
- 1:34:45your two or you're one, dependent on how you're looking at it. He
- 1:34:48disappears in stretches day. Kuan Jones is fantastic, but he doesn't give you
- 1:34:51a ton of pass rush pop which I don't think he should need to give
- 1:34:55him what else you have. Then you add in the fact that there is
- 1:34:59literally no diff tackle that is under contract in twenty twenty four. That goes
- 1:35:01back to a comment made earlier here in the show and a question that I
- 1:35:05said I would get to when we got to defensive tackles. You have no
- 1:35:09defensive tackles under contract in twenty twenty four. You do have Deacon Jones and
- 1:35:12Tim Settle with void years, but you physically do not have anyone over contract
- 1:35:15or under contract. The biggest question for this grouping right now, in this
- 1:35:19roster reset here is the strength of the top four in the future. Again,
- 1:35:24Tim Settle awful advanced metrics disappeared as the season went on. Grantedy did
- 1:35:28have the injury, Jordan Phillips went healthy fantastic. Problem is he's not really
- 1:35:32healthy often and he suffers injuries that prevent him from even functioning at like seventy
- 1:35:40or eighty percent or don't even allow him to get into the lineup. I
- 1:35:44don't think Jordan Phillips can be counted on for a full season as a top
- 1:35:46four defensive tackle, and right now he might be your defensive tackle three ahead
- 1:35:50of Tim Settle, you have no one under contract or twenty twenty four.
- 1:35:55Defensive line is crucial to the Buffalo Bills team building philosophy. They build from
- 1:36:00the defensive line out. As stated by Brandon Bean and as co signed by
- 1:36:04Sean McDermott, you need more from this position group in twenty twenty three,
- 1:36:08and you legitimately have no one on the roster for twenty twenty four. This
- 1:36:13is another grouping much like edge. I think this goes to the comment earlier
- 1:36:16for whoever asked about Mazzi Smith. It's part of the reason I really like
- 1:36:18Mazzi Smith. I think they need more reinforcements on the interior for twenty twenty
- 1:36:24three and also just some kind of roster stability and semblance of who you got
- 1:36:28and who you're going to plug in for twenty twenty four and beyond, because
- 1:36:30you got nobody. This defensive line is important in this scheme and system and
- 1:36:34philosophy in general, but even more so if you're a defense is that is
- 1:36:40going to play with light boxes and play with nickel personnel like the Buffalo Bills
- 1:36:43are. You need that defensive line to be stout and solid against the run,
- 1:36:46to give you some pass pop, to not get blown off the line,
- 1:36:49to be sound structurally and schematically within your gaps, get penetration, like
- 1:36:54I talked about it earlier, you need to be strong and that spine of
- 1:36:56the defense defensive tackles, linebackers safety. You need to be thorough in that
- 1:37:00area. The Bills are questionable on their interior right now, which is again
- 1:37:05unfortunate. Dia Forever says we need a one tech defensive tackle now. Oh.
- 1:37:11I like this Roy perspective, who said Benton or Eco would be nice.
- 1:37:15I really like Keanu Benton. I like him more as a fit than
- 1:37:18Sick Eco from Baylor. ECA's weird like he's big and burly and thick,
- 1:37:26and I hear the Vita Vea comp for him, but he does not play
- 1:37:29like Vita Vea. He's lighter in the feet that he gets credit for,
- 1:37:31which is cool because he's more athletic, like he pull spin moves and chase
- 1:37:35guys down when he gets penetration, but it also means he doesn't sit an
- 1:37:40anchor as well against double teams and isn't necessarily playing to his size and frame.
- 1:37:45He's more athletic than he gets credit for which is fun. But he's
- 1:37:47not as much of a physical dominant holder at the line of scrimmage and point
- 1:37:51of attack that his weight or size or frame may indicate. But I would
- 1:37:55welcome him. I would welcome Mozzi Smith. I think Keanu Benton is the
- 1:37:58perfect size plus frame plus scheme fit potential. It's just a big dude who
- 1:38:03can penetrate, who can stay strong at the point of attack, who's quick.
- 1:38:08I really like the idea of Keanu Benton in the second round. That's
- 1:38:11been my ideal round two pick all off season, or at least for the
- 1:38:15last month or so. Keano Ben at fifty nine. I think the fit
- 1:38:19is great, the need is great. I would really really really really really
- 1:38:23really really really really really really really really like Keano Benton in that second round.
- 1:38:30Let's tie that into another position group as we continue on this roster reset.
- 1:38:33Here with three more position groupings to go. Linebacker got Matt Milano,
- 1:38:38You've got to Roll Bernard, You've got Babylon Specter, You've got Tyler Metkevic,
- 1:38:41You've got aj Klein who they just brought back. Milano, Specter,
- 1:38:45and Bernard are all back again in twenty twenty three. I'm not gonna get
- 1:38:47Q here. In diving into the linebackers, biggest question, who's replacing Tremaine
- 1:38:51Evans? That's it. Are they already on the roster, Is it going
- 1:38:55to be a rookie? Is it a timeshare? Is there going to be
- 1:38:58more three safety looks? And the nature of the position is changing in that
- 1:39:01regard, like we talked about earlier. Are you're going to go with a
- 1:39:04bigger thumper. Are you going to go with a J. Klein on first
- 1:39:08and second down and then sub him out on third down and run kind of
- 1:39:11a sub package linebacker spot, maybe with Taylor rap as your dime linebacker.
- 1:39:15Maybe it's Terrell Bernard. Are they're more schematic changes? Sean McDermott is going
- 1:39:20to be implementing all as the full time defensive coordinator and play caller. And
- 1:39:25then you add in how depending on who the Bills select at linebacker in the
- 1:39:31draft, if they do if they pick Campbell or Simpson or Drew Sanders,
- 1:39:36who they select or go with could potentially indicate what they will do, what
- 1:39:41they will be doing schematically in twenty twenty three. If you go with Drew
- 1:39:45Sanders or Trent and Simpson, guys who they're strong suit right now, isn't
- 1:39:48stacking and shedding in the box, Guys who are more versatile and more mobile
- 1:39:53and you want to keep clean. That ties into the importance of defensive tackle.
- 1:39:57You need more reinforcements at the defensive tackle spot we just talked about in
- 1:40:00general, but also to keep your young, fast flowing linebackers clean at the
- 1:40:04second level. We saw the improvement that this Bill's defense had as a whole
- 1:40:10with the addition of Daquan Jones, and the improvement in play for Matt Milano
- 1:40:14who became an All Pro and Tremaine Hedmans who had a great year in cash
- 1:40:16In Big Time. We saw how their play went up with the addition of
- 1:40:20de Quon Jones when they had better play in front of them. If it's
- 1:40:24a young guy or smaller guys, so if it is Tarrell Bernard, if
- 1:40:28it is Trent and Simpson, if it is Drew Sanders, those defensive tackles
- 1:40:32were even more important and the line in general in keeping them clean and not
- 1:40:35allowing lineman to climb to the second level and get into their chest and get
- 1:40:40into their frame and prevent them from using their speed and athleticism and fluidity.
- 1:40:45So depending on what the Bills do here is interesting because if they stand pat,
- 1:40:51I guess they really believe in Tarrol Bernard or a J. Kleine or
- 1:40:55Specter I suppose, or I guess outside shot at Metakevich, but I don't
- 1:40:58believe it. That means, okay, if you're staying with the guys that
- 1:41:01you have in house, where are you sinking in resources to elsewhere? I
- 1:41:05would like it to be on that defensive line, especially a defensive tackle,
- 1:41:09because if Terrell Bernard is a guy cool, he's tremendously undersized. You have
- 1:41:12to keep him clean. You cannot let guards and centers and tackles climb to
- 1:41:15the second level to get to Terrell Bernard because you don't want him having a
- 1:41:19body lineman like that. You don't want him having to bang against lineman like
- 1:41:24that and stack and shed and find his way around guys consistently like that's not
- 1:41:28what he's made for. That's not what he's built for. You don't want
- 1:41:30Milana live in in that world either. So if it's Bernard, you need
- 1:41:33reinforcements for him. If it's a young guy like Simpson or Sanders, you
- 1:41:38need and want reinforcements for him. Jack Campbell you would want reinforcements as well.
- 1:41:42But he can bang a little more in the box and kind of stack
- 1:41:45and shed even though he does have smaller arms, but shorter arms, I
- 1:41:47should say, but his processing and read and reaction speed and ability to come
- 1:41:53forward allow him to kind of play ahead at times, which I think helps
- 1:41:57him in that area. Very comment, very fair comment here from Chris saying
- 1:42:02I miss Tremayne. Yeah, that's very fair. Roy says, So basically
- 1:42:06the only starting caliber linebacker we have is Mulanto. Well, it depends on
- 1:42:13what you do by starting caliber, but right now, of all the other
- 1:42:15linebackers on the roster, everybody's a question mark. Besides Matt Milano, you
- 1:42:18have Matt Milano, who's an All Pro. That's awesome. If I had
- 1:42:23to start another linebacker that's on the roster right now, it's probably between Bernard
- 1:42:29and Klein, and I don't I don't even know where i'd go. If
- 1:42:32I go Cline, that means I have to go with a dime linebacker on
- 1:42:35third downs, and I have to do a whole bunch of different options.
- 1:42:38If I go with Bernard. That means I have to really reinforce the interior
- 1:42:42because I don't want dudes getting to him on first and second down because he's
- 1:42:45more of a will than he is a Mike. Oh. A lot of
- 1:42:47options, and none of them I deal corner. Davis White, Tarn Johnson,
- 1:42:55Kyer Elam, Dane Jackson, Christian Benford, cam Lewis, Kyler McMichael,
- 1:42:59and Jamaica Ingram. Everyone that I mentioned, but Dane Jackson and cam
- 1:43:03Lewis are under contract in twenty twenty four. The biggest question here, I
- 1:43:08think there's two. The first one who is CB two? I want to
- 1:43:12tie this into some cbtwo action from last year. I keep seeing the comment
- 1:43:16all the time that like being doesn't or McDermott doesn't play rookies and should have
- 1:43:19been playing kyrieing Lam all year, YadA yadas on and so forth. Dane
- 1:43:24Jackson, I think had a better year in twenty twenty two than he gets
- 1:43:26credit for. I know he had that stretch where he wasn't making plays at
- 1:43:30the catch point, but that was also happening into a lot of the bills
- 1:43:31dbs, not just Dane Jackson, and also some of the coverages that he
- 1:43:35was getting blamed for in terms of allowing catches and receptions. It was more
- 1:43:40of the scheme in the system than it was like like guys that were getting
- 1:43:43open weren't necessarily his responsibility. I think that's where understanding coverages and route concepts
- 1:43:47come into play. But regardless of all that, Dane Jackson in twenty twenty
- 1:43:51two, there was one hundred and thirty six corners in twenty twenty two that
- 1:43:56had at least twenty percent of coverage snaps in the regular season and post season.
- 1:44:00Dane Jackson was tied for eleventh in pass breakups with ten. He had
- 1:44:04ten pass breakups like I just said, Kyrie Elam had one. Just for
- 1:44:08reference, Dane Jackson was also out of those hundred and thirty six corners,
- 1:44:12he was tied for the thirty eighth lowest quarterback rating when targeted at eighty one
- 1:44:16point nine. Kyrielm for reference, was at eighty three point seven. Dane
- 1:44:20Jackson was also tied for the thirty seventh lowest reception percentage allowed at fifty eight
- 1:44:26point two percent. Kye Elm was tied for the one hundred and sixth lowest
- 1:44:30at seventy one point seven percent big gap there. I just think we need
- 1:44:34to stop acting like it was such a travesty that Dane Jackson saw reps and
- 1:44:40saw snaps for this team. He's reliable, he's smart, he's not the
- 1:44:45most athletic. We know he's limited athletically, we know he's limited from a
- 1:44:48coverage versatility standpoint, But Dan Jackson is not a bad corner. But now
- 1:44:54we go into this year thinking who is going to be corner number two?
- 1:44:57Also tied into that, I think is what does Strevious White look like another
- 1:45:00year removed from that ACL injury? Does he get back to more of pre
- 1:45:04ACL injury Trdavious White. We started to see that Trey White start to peak
- 1:45:10his head out a little more each week with literally each snap, each passing
- 1:45:14snap, passing drive, passing week, we saw him get closer to that
- 1:45:16old tradevious White in twenty twenty two, and so does he get back to
- 1:45:23his old tradevious White self to be corner one? And then you're looking at
- 1:45:26corner two. It's fair to say you wanted Kyrie Lam to get more reps
- 1:45:30last year to potentially being a bit better position for his development here in twenty
- 1:45:33twenty three, That's fine. That's where we are now. Is he corner
- 1:45:38two? Is it Dane Jackson? Is it Christian Benford who showed well last
- 1:45:42year and who I liked. Is Christian Benford gonna move to safety? And
- 1:45:45again, tied into all of that is what does Trdavious White look like another
- 1:45:48year removed from his acl I think the biggest question for this corner grouping who
- 1:45:54is corner two? I think Trdavious White gets back to his old self.
- 1:45:56I think he's corner one. And again we're looking at corner two. Is
- 1:46:00it a timeshare? Is it matchup specific? We've seen the Bills rotate at
- 1:46:04corner two almost every year under Sean McDermott and then Levi I kind of stabilize
- 1:46:11that position a little bit. Do they go back away from that rotation?
- 1:46:15Does Kyrie Elam show well this offseason? Do they want to move Benford to
- 1:46:17safety? Again? I really like what Benford did last year. I would
- 1:46:20be okay with him getting a shot at corner two, But do they want
- 1:46:23to move him to safety? Is it Elam? Is it Dane? Is
- 1:46:26it Benford? They've got good depth in the corner room. A minor question
- 1:46:30in the cornerback position grouping that I think is secondary to the biggest question that
- 1:46:34I just asked of who is CB two? The second biggest question or I
- 1:46:39guess minor question question B who's the backup slot corner. This isn't something that
- 1:46:45you know we're going to dive into too much now, but I want to
- 1:46:47put on the radar Terren Johnson's super important in this defense. His ability to
- 1:46:50cover in man and zone and function as a linebacker, with his physicality and
- 1:46:56his violence and his willingness to come forward, He's very important an integral to
- 1:47:00what this Bill's defense does, especially against teams who run a majority of eleven
- 1:47:04personnel, which is the majority of teams in the NFL. There's always been
- 1:47:09a significant drop off for whoever comes in for him, whether it's Cam Lewis,
- 1:47:13whether it's Sarron Neil Like, there's never a high floor confidence level for
- 1:47:17myself, at least when it comes to someone replacing Taron Johnson. So I
- 1:47:21think a fair question is you know who's the backup Nicol is a Taylor rap
- 1:47:27now. He saw Nicole snaps and reps at times in his tenure with the
- 1:47:32Rams, especially based on certain matchups or is he more of the dime linebacker
- 1:47:35guy. I think that's a fair question to ask, and it's one that
- 1:47:40worries me literally every single week because there is a huge drop off from Taron
- 1:47:44Johnson to whoever else they put it slock corner. There's a big, big,
- 1:47:46big, big, big, big big difference. I think that question
- 1:47:49is secondary to the cornerback to question. But who is the backup slot?
- 1:47:55Who's that backup nickel corner is a fair question. If I had to lean
- 1:48:00into someone, I probably leaned into Taylor rap I think like that, But
- 1:48:05that's not even a given right now. That's what scares me a little bit
- 1:48:10about this group, and I think that's the biggest question there. Safety last
- 1:48:14position grouping here, Micah Hyde, Jordan Poyer, Taylor Rapp. Newvie signed
- 1:48:17DeMar Hamlin, sirn Neil, Zane Anderson, and Jared Maiden next year.
- 1:48:23In twenty twenty four, they only have Jordan Poyer, Siron Neil, DeMar
- 1:48:26Hamlin, and Zane Anderson under contract. In twenty twenty four, we know
- 1:48:30the drill at safety went healthy. My guide Jordan Poyer arguably, if not
- 1:48:34the best safety tandem in the entire RNFL with what they can do. We
- 1:48:39know what they mean to this team on the field and off the field mentally,
- 1:48:42physically, execution everything. They're tremendous. Somewhat of a big question here.
- 1:48:47First with Micah Hyde, what does he look like returning from his neck
- 1:48:50injury? You know, I think it was encouraging that if the Bills did
- 1:48:54make the AFC Championship last year, there were rumors that he would have played.
- 1:48:58I think that's tremendously encouraging. What does he look like having a full
- 1:49:01offseason to rest, recuperate, recover. Does that injury affect him mentally?
- 1:49:05Is he a little more wary going into contact? Does he guard himself a
- 1:49:10little more because it's in the back of his mind or in the forefront of
- 1:49:13his mind? Or are there any physical ramifications? Can he not play the
- 1:49:15same way, turn the same way, lean the same way, run the
- 1:49:18same way? How does that impact him? I think that's a big question
- 1:49:23to ask. What does Mike a Hide look like returning from injury? But
- 1:49:27I don't want to say the bigger question, but the more schematic or interesting
- 1:49:30question I think is what does the Taylor rap signing mean and do we see
- 1:49:34more three safety looks. Is he the dime linebacker? Is he the backup
- 1:49:39Nickeol like I mentioned a Arren Johnson. Is he just depth at safety?
- 1:49:43Is he just insurance in depth for this year and maybe the twenty twenty fourth
- 1:49:47starter and like a high doesn't return and then you re up Taylor Rap for
- 1:49:50the year. His signing is still a very interesting one for me because I
- 1:49:58thought he could have gone elsewhere to see more starter like minutes, and he
- 1:50:02came here to kind of be safety three. Maybe I don't think safety four.
- 1:50:09I think he would be ahead with the Mark Hamlin, even though I
- 1:50:12know how people like Hamlin. What is Taylor Rap's future like? Is he
- 1:50:16you know, I see what Chris Kapner from a cover one here he coined
- 1:50:20this turn. Whenever you put Taylor Rap on the field, it's the Raptor
- 1:50:25package, and I think that's phenomenal. That needs to be a thing.
- 1:50:27So absolutely shot it with all caps on exclamation point justin, says raps a
- 1:50:30chess BC. Yeah. I think he is, like I think he can
- 1:50:33do a lot of things. I like what he can do around the box,
- 1:50:36not that he can't cover in two high, you know, looks or
- 1:50:39splits safety looks or cover deep. But I like him more in the box.
- 1:50:43I like him as a dime linebacker, as that wall defender, that
- 1:50:47guy who can carry carrying tight ends and who can carry slot receivers or function
- 1:50:51in the hook curls and the flats. I like him as that dime linebacker
- 1:50:56or as a slot backup option potentially to Taron Johnson, just because as I
- 1:51:00don't have faith in Sir Ronneil or Cam Lewis at that spot, although I'm
- 1:51:03probably higher on Camp Lewis at the slot corner than I am Sir run Neil.
- 1:51:06But I think that's a significant question. Do you see more three safety
- 1:51:10looks? Is there is rap coming in tied to some of the schematic changes
- 1:51:15or philosophical changes this Bill's defense might have as they shift to Sean McDermott controlling
- 1:51:21the reins completely instead of having some of that Leslie Fraser influence as well into
- 1:51:26this defense. So that's that's the question there at that safety standpoint. And
- 1:51:31then I'll do it for us here on this episode of Disguised Coverage, we
- 1:51:34start to wind down before any of you folks leave. I know it's late
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- 1:52:01the week before the draft. There's no real news. Everything's kind of slow.
- 1:52:05I know a lot of people are just kind of sitting and waiting for
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