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NCAAF Week 13 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my broins hat. Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape. Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have, Back with
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: you as I always am until I die at least
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go well
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: for me. Own five the worst month that I've ever
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't know
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: what to even tell you about this anymore. To the slump, praise,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up? Everybody's towed
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: back with you? Toad stool Sports. This is college Football
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: Week thirteen, Edition Week thirteen. I mean, this is a
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: tricky week, man, because you got a gauge motivation. There
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: are a whole lot of things going on. I've narrowed
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: it down to just three plays. Hopefully we can get
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: this done. It means it's gonna be difficult for me
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: to figure out what other plays I'm gonna put into
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: my like money pools, pick I've picked six whatever, and
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: two of these aren't even available in the one where
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: I have to pick six and pick a best bet,
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: So only one of these is gonna be available in
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: that one, so I guess that one's my best bet.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be very, very difficult. I hate this week.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'll give out a bunch of opinions. Some
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: of those are probably gonna be the ones that get
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: into my like pick them pools. I mean the ones
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: that I determine that I feel strong about more strongly. Charles,
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Zach, What's up? Rutgers
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: Ohio State? In the look Ahead spot? Yeah, I mean
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: I'll talk about that game. I don't have a whole
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: lot to say about that game. I don't really disagree
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: with that, but yeah, I mean, I'll talk about it.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: It's not a strong opinion of mine, though. All right, well,
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: we can get into it or I can talk about
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: what happened today. Today is not over yet though, so
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: I guess I'll hold off until tomorrow. Though, I'm gonna
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: tell you, man, these college basketball players say the margins
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: are raisor thin. So hopefully if you listen to the
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: show this morning, I think you won on the two
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: that were like right around the number, because the number
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: was just on the right side of it when I
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: gave it out this morning, and the banners actually weren't
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: even updated like the banners that I had. They went
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: oh one and one on those two. But I as
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: I even though I put the banner up at one
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: thing I mentioned, you know, as I was doing it,
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: I was like this line has actually moved, so get
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: the better number right now. College basketball, it's really hard
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: to gauge which way the line is gonna go sometimes,
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: so I'll talk about it in the morning, even though
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to talk about a ton of college
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: basketball in the morning too. Yeah, I mean, the Bruins,
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: whatever I'll take. I'll take a one nothing loss at
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: this point in that game. They better not give them
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: an empty net go and lose two and to nothing.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: I will really be angry at I mean, I want
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: the Bruins to win because they're my team. Yeah, I
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: don't know what's gonna happen in that. It's gonna be
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: a winning day anyway, though, because I think the Portland
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: Trailblazerers I'm pretty sure just hit right. I'm pretty sure
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: they did. I don't know they better. Of all right,
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: let's talk about college football here. College basketball is gonna
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: kill me tomorrow morning. Though. By the way, Florida State,
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: I don't if you saw this game tonight. They muffed
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: two punt returns. Not even the punt returns, but like
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: the catches, they muffed two of them. It's ridiculous. And
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: then yeah, UNLV, I think I'm gonna be correct about
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: that unless something really crazy happens, although I guess it
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: could not one of my plays though a non conference
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: basketball what do you mean, like not power conference. I'm
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: gonna do it anyway, Like where wherever I see the situation,
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do it. And actually the opposite is true,
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: because you find better. You find numbers that are off
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: in the smaller conferences way more often than in the
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: bigger conference. Even though I have a better gauge on
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: the bigger conferences, the smaller conferences there are too much
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: many games. The books. The books can't like, like, it's
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: just impossible to gather all the information. So if you
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: have some information like about these teams that might not
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: even be out there, like yeah, the books, I mean,
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: because the public doesn't get involved in those books, the
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: numbers are gonna be way further off. And some of
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: those smaller conferences. So no, I disagree completely with that.
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: The smaller conferences you can find much better numbers. Yeah,
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: it's just that I have a better feel for the
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: larger conference teams and like how the scheduling dynamics work there.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: All right, college football, I'm gonna get into it a
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: lot to cover. All right, we'll start with Rutgers in
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: Ohio State because BC I think isn't playing this week
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: or whatever. Yes, Ohio State number one in the country, rightfully,
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: so ten and OH seven and oh in the conference,
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: they got Rutgers here. I do agree with what was
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: it Zach talking about? Yes, Portland one straight up? Hell yeah?
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: All right, my NBA continues to crush. Yes, I agree
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: with Zach. Basically, I mean Ohio State they're the way
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: better team. Yes, they still have some incentive to remain
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: undefeated here in the conference though, because I mean that's
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: the only thing. Like Ohio State, they don't want to
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: take a loss, that's the only thing. I mean. I
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: don't think they're going to, but they want to make
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: sure they at least win the game because they don't
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: want to have to drop behind any of these teams. Like,
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know how the tie breakers are gonna work
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: out here. I do have the betting odds up here,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: by the way, although DraftKings keeps being a piece of shit,
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: But yeah, like you, these are important, Like when we
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: get down to these final weeks, it's like which teams
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: are even still alive? Basically in the Big Ten, you
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, Like, there is a chance that
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Ohio State misses out on the conference championship if things
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: go really haywire. I mean again, I don't think they will.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: They don't need style points. Really, they're gonna make the conference.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're gonna make the the playoff, you know whatever.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I generally agree. I mean, the game against
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: Michigan is huge. It's even big. It's even bigger for
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: Ohio State because I believe they lost it last year,
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: which is kind of inexplicable. It seems like they just
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: don't do well against Michigan for whatever reason, although of
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: course it didn't even matter or Ohio State won the
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: championship anyway. But yes, it'll be a bit of a
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: revenge spot. So yes, I agree, it's a look ahead spot.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: But this is also Senior Day. This is at noon,
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: by the way, I'm Fox, so it is an early game,
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: but it's senior Day, so Ohio State they're gonna get
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: some motivation from that. They don't need to win by
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: margin though, and Rutgers is still sitting at five wins,
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  Speaker 1: so Rutgers is still looking to get a Bowl berth
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: and Rutgers, you know, they'll probably try to step it
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Ohio State. You know, you're
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: not really getting any line value with Ohio State. So yes,
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: I agree with taking the points with the Rutgers. I
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: don't think it's a strong play though. Ohio State down
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: from thirty three and a half to thirty one and
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: a half, so the line is moving in that direction.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: Fifty two percent of tickets, fifty seven percent of the
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: cash on Rutgers. Don't have a whole lot else to
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: say about that, but yeah, I mean I I will
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: have a soft lean in that direction. All right, next game,
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about Missouri and Oklahoma and Missouri twenty
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: second in the country. So Missouri, I mean, they're eliminated
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: from the playoff, But do they have reason to show
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Oklahoma. I think they do.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: I mean it's a big game for Missouri. Like I mean,
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: when you're not really going anywhere like Missouri, you know,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: they're already in a bowl of some kind. But they
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: can't move up anymore. They're not gonna get into the
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: SEC Championship whatever. They already played their senior day last
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: week against Mississippi State, So what do they have left
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: to get up for well, they could play spoiler for Oklahoma,
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: I think they will still show up for this game.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: And it's a double edged sword here because I wanted
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: to play Missouri in this game, but now I have
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: reason to stay off of it, which kind of angers
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: me because I kind of liked how the set up
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: for Missouri, like they were coming off breaking Lost Street.
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: They got that win on Senior and I thought this
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: is gonna be the last game on Missouri's schedule where
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: they'll actually show up and play. Well. You're getting you
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: were getting a lot of points with Missouri, and I
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: think this is gonna be a low scoring game because
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: you're looking at two pretty good defenses year teams that
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: are better defensively than offensively. Missouri runs the football well,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: they don't pass it as well. For Oklahoma, this is
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Oklahoma because they just pulled off
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: multiple big wins in a row, including beating Alabama last week.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: I mean that's a huge deal. I think Oklahoma actually
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: came out of a bye before that. Yeah, they did
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: so really last week huge win for Oklahoma. I mean
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: you go into Alabama, into Tuscaloosa, and then you pull
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: off the upset massive, So yes, it is a letdown
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: spot for Oklahoma. It's also not their senior day. Their
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: senior day is next week against LSU. This is at
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: nowon on ABC. By the way, I have no idea
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: if it's college game day or not. As usual, I
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: have no idea where game day is, But yes, I
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: do think it's a letdown spot. The thing is Oklahoma,
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: they I believe could still make the conference championship here
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: and because their eighth in the country, of course, they
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: could still get into the playoff, so they can't really
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: afford to lose. So I'm not entirely looking to fade them.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: I was thinking about doing it, but now the problem
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: is this line has dropped. And yes, I do think
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: that that was a monumental win over Alabama, So that
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: was basically the reason I was looking to fade Oklahoma,
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: potentially a letdown. But now as you could see, Oklahoma's
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: now drop from a nine and a half point favorite
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: to a five and a half point favorite. It did
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: drop legitimately in the market down to about seven and
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: a half. But now the reason for this line move
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: is because Missouri's quarterback is coming back Pribula, and now
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: it looks like some of the money's coming back on
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: the Oklahoma side, because the line now has dropped so
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: much that I think some of the professionals now consider
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: that to be an overreaction to Missouri's quarterback coming back.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: And now at the lower number, somebody's coming back on
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: the Ou side, sixty seven percent of ticket, seventy five
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash now in Oklahoma. Nate, what's up man?
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. I don't even know how to
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: pronounce that, I would even try, but yeah, so now
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: you know I always talk about this. Now, pribul is
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: coming back from Missouri, so that does put them in
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: a reverse injured player theory spot now, because when a
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: team's quarterback comes back, you know, he has to kind
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: of get back up to speed. The team has to
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: adjust to him being back. Sometimes the team can ease
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: up a little bit when he comes back, you know,
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: and usually the line overreacts to it. Although I will
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: say that if Missouri is gonna play Pribual in this game,
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: that does mean they're trying to win this game. So
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: that does at least tell you that the Missouri is
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: not packing it in, you know, for the season. Here
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: they're gonna try to win the game with Pribula back.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: I'm actually surprised that he's back because he had that
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: bad ankle injury or whatever against Vandy where Vandy like
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: intentionally rolled his ankle, which I thought was bs not
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: just because I gave out a losing play on Missouri
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: in that game that was really close to being a winner.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I I don't know what I
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: would in this game. I guess I would say, Man,
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, I still want to lean towards Missouri in
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: this game because you're getting points with Missouri. Missouri is
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: a really good defense, and they run the football, and
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a low scoring game, so the points
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: are at a premium. I think I would still lean
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: to taking the points with Missouri, but I don't want
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: to do it at that lower number, especially not but
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: also not with their quarterback coming back, which those two
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: things go hand in hand anyway, So I have to pass.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: Although I think if I was gonna play this game,
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I would actually play the under. If I was gonna
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: play this it's down from forty three and a half
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: to forty two and a half, sixty seven percent of
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: tickets and uh only fifty percent of the cash on
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: the over. I think Missouri's offense could maybe struggle a
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: little bit. They could be cold out of the with
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: their quarterback coming back. And for Oklahoma, Matier just has
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: not been good since his injury. Man, So you're actually
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: getting two recovering injured quarterbacks playing in this game. I
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: think both teams are gonna look to run the football,
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: They're both gonna be playing defense. It might be kind
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: of a tightly played contest. I mean, almost like a
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: playoff game. Under definitely makes sense to me in that game,
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: which I think is actually better than the side at
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: this point. But you know me, I'm not giving out
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: totals in like basically anything besides baseball. So that's just
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: the way that it is. It's the way I've basically
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: always done. And I'm own one with the college football
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: totals this year, so I'm like, no, I just want
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: to focus on my favorite sides. So it's a very
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: light card, but it is what it is. Number thirteen
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: Miami is at Virginia Tech. Miami. I mean, they could
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: still make the playoff, and I believe they still have
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: a chance to get into the conference championship. They need
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: some help. But I do think because Miami is in
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: a situation where that is the like they don't control
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: their own destiny. Really, Yes, the Bruins scored. Yes, I
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: don't have it on over here, I have ESPN on
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: over here. But yes, dude, my team. I want him
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: to win baby, hopefully for whoever was throwing the prop
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: out there, imposter or not. Hopefully it was him, although
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: it's probably unlikely that it was. But yes, Miami, I
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: mean they're in a situation where they need to win,
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: but they also need help, I think, so I think
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: that means they could play a little bit looser. I
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: gave out Miami on the show last week, though, and
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: they had that easy win over NC State. That was
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: Miami's Senior Day or Senior night, I think. I think
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: it was a night game. NC State was coming out
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: of a buy off of their huge upset of Georgia Tech.
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: So I thought that that spot screamed Miami to me,
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: so I gave it out. We got the easy winner
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: with Miami. Now they are going on the road here
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: for Virginia Tech. Though I think they do have incentive
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: to step up and play spoiler here of Virginia Tech.
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: They're coming off an ugly loss to Florida State. This
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: is their Senior Day by the way, Virginia Tech, so
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: this is their last home game. It's on ESPN at noon.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: They get to try to play spoiler because if they
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: were able to beat Miami, they'd probably be knocking Miami
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: out of the playoff. If they were to do that,
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: I have a couple of issues though. I mean, yes,
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: they do it. Virginia up next in Virginia. I mean,
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: when you're Virginia Tech, Virginia is a huge deal for you.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's a rivalry game in state rival that's
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: going to be rivalry week next week. But does that
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: mean Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech is going to overlook Senior
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: Day against Miami. I don't really think so. I mean, also,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: Drones their quarterback as a senior, so that makes Senior
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: Day mean a little bit more to them, even though
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: he hasn't had a good season by any means. But yeah,
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: I mean I think Virginia Tech will show up here.
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: Then the other question is there's the other news here
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: now where Virginia Tech has hired James Franklin, who is
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: you know, the coach who's known for not winning any games,
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: although he he improved Vanderbilt their program when he was there.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Although I think Vanderbilt's current coach what's his name, Chuck
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: Lee or whatever, I think he's better than Franklin, dude,
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: and he's taken them to another level. Franklin, we know.
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: I mean he got fired from benn State this year.
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: They just about had it with him. I mean, he
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: just doesn't win big games, dude. But what's the atmosphere
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: gonna be like in Virginia Tech here? Like, are the
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: players going to be excited like the ones that are
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: coming back next year? Do they want to play for
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: James Franklin? Maybe? But then the other problem is, like
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: what about the coach here? Because now Virginia Tech they
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: have a coach who's coaching them for the remainder of
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: the season. Here, are the players still gonna play for him?
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: Or is he he's like a lame duck coach now
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: because he knows he's not gonna be here next year, right,
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: So I could see that going both ways. So that
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: kind of makes it a difficult handicap. This game is
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: definitely a difficult handicap all around. Miami is up from
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: sixteen and a half to eighteen and a half, so
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: it's gone through the key number seventeen. Miami's public not surprise,
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: saying eighty five percent of tickets only eighty three percent
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: of the cash very low total of forty nine so
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: the market read plus the fact that it's a really
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: low total, I would probably take the points with Virginia
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: attack if I was gonna play it. All that being said,
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: but it's not one of my plays down. Oh do
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: do what the fuck you want to do? What's up? Man? Geeky?
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: All right, Hell yeah, geeky with the score, do what
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: you want to do. Man, I I'm gonna try to
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: give up. I'm trying to give out winners here, but
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be in the best bet segment at the end. Man,
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna take me like two
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: hours to get to it though, which I guess is
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: the problem with my show because I get way too
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: into all these games, like I try to get to
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: every game people are gonna want to talk about. It
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: is definitely hard. I'm hard right now too. Man. If
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: you want to hang around, please do otherwise, dude, if
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: you can check out my show, I'm gonna I'm gonna
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: have the best bets at the at the end of
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: the show here, it's gonna be three them, which is
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: a light card for me. Minnesota at Northwestern. We're still
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: in the noonslate here. Oh wait, I'm gonna skip that
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: for now. I'm talking about the ranked games first, right, Well,
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: I mean I'm not even gonna talk about Charlotte and
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: Georgia because who gives a fuck. George is gonna win
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: the game obviously, USC Oregon CBS, three thirty pm Eastern.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: I mean this, this game is gonna be a big one. Oh,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: you're here all day Hell yeah, man, thank you sir,
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: all day long. Hell yeah. Let's get some new viewers here.
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: You're also a black Santa Claus, so yes, Merry Christmas
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: to you, sir. It's it is the season you like Kentucky.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: I don't really disagree with that. I will talk about
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: that game as that game's coming up shortly, so I'm
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about that very shortly. USC and Oregon is
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: a huge game on CBS at three thirty pm Eastern,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: Number fifteen, USC, number seven Oregon. Both these teams could
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: potentially make the playoffs. Still, Oregon obviously in a better
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: position to do so. There is a chance that these
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: teams could make the Big Ten championship, although it looks
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: pretty unlikely because you have Ohio State and Indiana both
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: still undefeated and unlikely that they're gonna slip up. Although
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: I guess Ohio State could actually slip up because Michigan
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: always beats them. But either way, this is a big game.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: Both teams are going to show up for this. The
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: handicap in this game, I actually think is somewhat simple
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: for me, although this is not going to be a
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: play for me. USC is coming off a difficult game
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: against a physical Iowa defense. This is a loser for us.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: On the show last week, I gave out USC minus
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: the six and a half they only won by five.
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: They started out bad in the game. Iowa like didn't
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: score again for most of the game after they were
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: up twenty one to seven, but it was too much
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: of a hole for USC to get out of. I mean,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: they won the game, and they did have a final
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: possession where they could have potentially covered, but that Iowa
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: defense is definitely strong. I'm out of that difficult game
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: to come off of. Now they're going to Oregon. USC
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: is the better offense here, but Oregon's offense is not
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: that much worse, and Oregon has the way better defense
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: than USC. So I think I would lean to Oregon
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: here in Oregon's got an extra day of prep here
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: because they played on Friday. They easily beat Minnesota, and
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: this is Senior Night for Oregon. These teams didn't play
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: last year. It's weird, dude. These teams are in the
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: Big Ten now. It seems like a Pac twelve rivalry.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: Both these teams are staying on the Pacific coast for
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: this one, so there's no huge amount of travel involved
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: here either. Both teams beat Iowa recently, so that's kind
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: of a wash. As far as the recreational better as
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: will look at this, The public will be on Oregon
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: because they are the higher ranked team, even though I
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: think sometimes the public will see like a ranked matchup
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: like this and be like, oh, I'm getting a ton
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: of points with USC, and kind of want to lean
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: that way because oh, these two teams are competitive. You know,
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: take the points. But I would lay it with Oregon
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna do it, even though it looks
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: like the money is actually coming in against it. A
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: little bit. They're up from ten going through the ten
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: to ten and a half. So I mean, if you
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: do like Oregon, I think you got to try to
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: find the ten because it is a key number. I
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: wouldn't really want to lay ten and a half fifty
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the tickets, only fifty two percent of
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Oregon side. So the market read
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: right now is against Oregon. But I lean to the
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: Oregon side in that one, and again ten the key number,
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: so I would look out for that. Try to find
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: that if you can. The new Mexico line, which one,
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: Oh there's there, there is a there is a reason
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: why that line moved. I'll talk about it. I am
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: the I am the hardest, that's right. What's the what
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: was the Where do we get that was a clip
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: from Tower Gang? That that was one of our Tower
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: Gang drops? Right? Where do we get that from? Uh?
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: The IMO's Clint saying I'm the hardest. Yeah, man, I
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: miss Tower Gang, long lived Tower Gang man usc Ver, Oregon, Yep,
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: that's right, Syracuse, Notre Dame. I don't have a whole
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: lot to say about this, although because Notre Dame is
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're in pretty good position to make the
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: playoff now, but they might still think that they need
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: style points. This is their final home game. I mean,
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a good win last week in College
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: Game Day, which was a win for us on the show,
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: or I told you Padnardoosey, I played the clip for
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: you where he basically said, my team doesn't even care
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: about this game pit because it's not an ACC game.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: I was like, yeah, Notre Dame is gonna kill them
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: and it was not even as close as the final
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: score looked. Good win for Notre Dame, but this is
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: senior night. I expect Notre Dame probably to blow out
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: Syracuse in this one, but are they gonna cover the number?
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know. The thing about Notre Dame is they
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: do have to kind of keep blowing teams out to
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: make sure they make the playoffs because they're not in
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: a conference. Syracuse sucks. Although Syracuse, I mean, I guess
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna show up for a game, maybe it'll
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: be this one. But this Syracuse offense has been completely
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: inept since in Jelly or whatever his name is, their quarterback,
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: went down. I mean, if Syracuse is gonna show up
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: for a game, it will be this one. I guess
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: to finish off the season and try to finish the
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: season on a less embarrassing note, even though they do
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: have a Senior Night against BC next week, which is
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: a more winnable game for Syracuse. Syracuse is not going
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: to a bowl this year. But do you want to
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: lay thirty seven with Notre Dame a team that does
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: still run the football a lot and play defense. I
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: personally don't. They're up from thirty four and a half
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: to thirty seven, seventy five tickets, seventy nine percent of
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: the cash on Notre Dame. I mean, if you force
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: my hand, I would actually probably still lay the points
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: in that one. I mean it's it's a game that
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: looks like you could get out of control and Notre
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: Dame might actually be incentivized to run up the score.
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: But I don't want to touch it. I mean, that's
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: it's just not something I want to get involved in.
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: Tower game for life. Yeah, that's right, Zach go Irish.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not personally a fan. I know Shane
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: Gillis's We Got You, I know a couple of Notre
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: Dame fans, but yeah, and Jelly against his former team
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: I don't. I don't believe he's back. I don't think
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: he's coming back. So ESPN three thirty pm Eastern. By
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: the way, that Notre Dame games on NBC and Peecock
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: if you care, at three thirty eastern, three thirty eastern
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: ESPN Kentucky and Vandy. This is the one that Black
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: Santa wanted to hear about. This game. Vandy is fourteenth
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: in the country. Vandy does still have a chance to
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: make the playoff though, So that's why I hesitate a
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: little bit, because I agree with whatever his name is,
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: to do what the fuck you want. Whatever his name is,
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: I agree with him. On the Kentucky side here, Vandy
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: they went into a bye, so they had a bye
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: last week. But they went into the buying a good note,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: and it pissed me off because I gave out a
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: Auburn plus the six and a half in that one.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: The seven never came up in that game. There's absolutely
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: no way that Auburn should have not covered. That goes
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: into overtime and they lose by seven. I mean, come on, man,
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: So Vandy, they got that win over Auburn. They went
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: into the buy and a good note, which I think
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: is a bad thing because when you go into the
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: buying a good note, it's like you don't have anything
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: to fix, so like what do you do? Like you
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: don't use that buy effectively typically, And they do have
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: a huge game against Tennessee up next. I know Vandy's
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: ranked higher than Tennessee, but Vandy always gets up for Tennessee.
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: Vandy is still the little brother to Tennessee, like basically always,
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: so there is the potential they overlook this. Although Vandy
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: they could still make the playoffs, so they can't really lose.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: They can't lose this game. If they lose this game,
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna make the playoff even if they win.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they will, but they have a
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: decent chance to do it. We can look at that
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: right now. Actually, like what's the chance that Vandy makes
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: the playoff. They're plus four hundred, so that's not bad actually,
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: so they do have some incentive because of that. And
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: this is Senior Night or Senior Day or whatever, so
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: that's kind of an incentive. So this one doesn't make
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: my Card'll overget Kentucky. They're trying to become Bowl eligible here,
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: although I think they were Bowl in a Bowl last year.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: They do have Louisville up next, which is probably a
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: more winnable game, even though it is also on the road.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: That is a big rivalry. But you gotta figure Kentucky's
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for Vandy. Kentucky basically had to buy
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: last week they won against Tennessee Tech. But I think
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: that's better than a buy, because that continues your momentum,
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: right because you have to prep for a game. Still,
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: you get out and you play that game, so it's
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: not gonna stop your momentum, you know what I mean,
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: Whereas Vandy's buy might have stopped their momentum. Kentucky played through,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: which I do like, So I agree with the Kentucky
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: side here. It's also gonna be a line that's gonna
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: look way too easy to play Vandy like they're down
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: from nine to eight and a half, like, it looks
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: so easy to lay the points with Vandy right like
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: and ranked fourteenth in the country at eight and two
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: against a five and five team, it looks so easy
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: to lay those points. Seventy four percent of the tickets
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: on Vandy fifty one percent of the cash though on
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: the Kentucky side, so like kind of a Pros Versus
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Joe's situation where the Pros like Kentucky, I'll agree, you
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: know Vandy. I mean I keep talking about how I
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: think they're overrated, which I still think that. But some
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: of these teams that I say are overrated just keep
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: like owning me, like BYU, so you know there is that,
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: but like BYU Virginia, you know Vandy makes that list.
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: I think these teams are still overrated. Man, So Pitt
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech actually is more overrated than Pitt, which I'm
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about. I will definitely talk about that game. Yes, sir,
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out. Man. South Bend, well, I mean
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: they had Pete bouda judge as their mayor, and their
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: town the name of the city sounds like it's like
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: a downward bending dick or something, the South Bend. I
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: don't know, Man, Pros Versus Joe's. I don't remember that
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: being a show. But all right, Yeah, we have Arkansas
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: and Tech on ABC at three point thirty pm. Texas
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: seventeenth in the country. Man, it's looking dire for Texas.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: They're not totally out of it yet. I mean they're
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: fifteen to one right now to make the playoff. It's
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: looking pretty dire, but I would say that there's enough
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: of a chance remaining there that I don't think they're
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: gonna be like in dream crushing mode. I wouldn't say,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: but still, I mean, that was a tough loss to
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: take last week. Man, they lost real ugly to Georgia.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: I thought that Georgia was gonna win the game and cover,
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: but I didn't expect thirty five to ten. And now Texas.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: They do have Texas A and M to finish off
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: the season next week, and that that's gonna be a
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: huge game too. So it is possible that they overlook
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: Arkansas here. Man, maybe you do see a kind of
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: a defeated Texas team here. Texas is the way better defense,
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: so there's no question about that, and I'd usually do
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: like defense over offense. Arkansas is a better offense. Arkansas
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: is probably gonna show up, although they are coming off
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: a tough game. We had Arkansas on the show last week.
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: They covered for US, and they debatably should have won
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: the game outright against LSU. They're winning a lot of
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: that game, so I wanted to get the outright win
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: hit on the money line. But whatever, we took the points.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: We got the win there with Arkansas plus the points.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: So now it is kind of difficult for Arkansas too
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: because they're coming up that LSU game. LSU is a
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: tough defense man and now another physical defense on the road,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: so I don't really love how the spot sets up
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: for Arkansas. You gotta think they will try to show
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: up for this because they're still looking for their first
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: SEC win and you know, they're the only team that
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: doesn't have one in the entire SEC, which I still
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: think they might not be the worst team in the
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: SEC though, which I talked about last week when I
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: talked about that LSU game. So yeah, I think they'll
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: show up at least, but it's gonna be a little
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: bit of a difficult turnaround from facing LSU. Although again
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: Texas did also face Georgia last week, so it's going
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: to be difficult to come back from that too. The
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: money is all coming in on Arkansas, and it looks
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: like it was initially Texas minus ten, so I guess
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: you could have had that key number of ten at
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: some point. It's still above seven and a half. At
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: eight and a half here on Texas, sixty nine percent
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: of the tickets only fifty seven percent of the cash
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: on Texas, so the money is saying to take the
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: points with Arkansas. The total is headed upward action and
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: I actually think it's an odd situation where because the
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: team getting points is the better offense. I actually think
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: Arkansas is correlated to the over here, and the money
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the over seems like a very
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: high total for a Texas game at fifty eight, So
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: the odsweakers are kind of telling you something that they
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: kind of think Arkansas is gonna be able to put
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: up some points here even though Texas defense is very good.
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: Maybe they're also saying Texas's offense actually will have an
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: easier time because Arkansas's defense isn't good. So yeah, I
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: mean the over. I wouldn't disagree with the over, just
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: because it looks so weird to see that total be
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: so high in a Texas game. And I could see,
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: you know, both defense is kind of you know, like
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: herding or well, yeah, the teams are just kind of
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: physically punished coming into this game, you know, so the
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: over kind of makes sense to me. I would also
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: take the points of the Arkansas. I was gonna play
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: the side, but we will see Charles, what are we
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: what are we saying? Oh about a jelly? Justin? What's up? Man?
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: Missouri State, Kennesaw, Kasu. Whenever I see Chasu, I think
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: that's Kansas State. Man. I'll talk about that when I
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: talk about the additional games Tulane and Temple three five
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: Easter on espn U. Tulane is in the rankings now,
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: and you know, I always talk about when a team
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: like cracks into the rankings basically for the first time
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: or whatever, they tend to kind of have a little
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: bit more of a target on their back, and sometimes
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: they can tend to fall flat in that game just
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: because they see that number, and it kind of like
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: messes with you mentally. As far as Tulane is concerned,
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're in a great spot here like
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: I would be looking to fade them here. They came
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: off that huge win over Memphis a couple of weeks ago,
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: and they didn't have the letdown last week and they
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: still won against FAU, although if you look at what
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: happened to this game, Tulane did not play well. In
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: this game. FAU actually outgained them by almost seventy yards
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: and even though Tulane was plus three in turnovers, they
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: still only won the game by eleven. Like that's not
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: a good sign. Like, if you're plus three in turnovers,
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: you should be blowing that other team out and they didn't.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: And Tulane was a big favorite in this game. I assume, Yeah,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: seventeen and a half. They didn't cover the spread. So
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: some things about that game don't look great for Tulane.
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: They got it done, though, and it was a flat
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: spot for them. Now they're going to Temple Tulane. I mean.
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: The reason why I don't really want to fade them
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: still those because Tulane is still sitting here. They're in
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: line to get into the American Championship right now, so
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: they still want to maintain that position. And there is
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: I believe a shot that they make the playoff. I'm
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: looking at it right now. Playoffs. What can they really
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: make the playoffs? I don't know, can they playoffs? Don't
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: talk about playoffs? You kidding me? Playoffs? I just hope
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: we can win a game another game Tulane is. Yeah,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: they're looking pretty good to make the playoff right now
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: at plus one ninety, but that their hopes are gonna
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: be like pretty dashed if they don't win, but that
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: doesn't mean there's pressure on them, and they're laying a
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: lot of points. They're going on the road to Temple.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: Temple's sitting at five and five, and for a team
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: like Temple, they don't make the bowls that often. Really,
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: I don't think for Temple, they've had multiple cracks to
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: try to get Bowl eligible, man, and they still haven't
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: done it. But now this is senior day for them
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: against Tulane, so I do expect them to show up.
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: And it's not likely they're gonna be able to get
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: that Bowl eligibility by going on the road to North
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: Texas next week. So I think Temple's gonna show up here, man,
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: and this is probably gonna be their shot to try
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: to get that six win. At this point, I would
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: lean to taking the points with Temple in this one,
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: even though there are reasons for Tulane to still be
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: motivated here. Tulane doesn't really need to cover though. They
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: need to get out of here with a win, and
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: the pressure is on them. Seventy three percent of tickets,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: only seventy percent of the cash on Tulane. They're up
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: from eight and a half to ten. So if you
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: like Temple, you're probably gonna get the key number of
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: ten there. So that is the way that I would
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: go in that game. I would take the ten with
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: Temple if I was gonna play it. I just have
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: a few concerns, you know, I'm really trying to narrow
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: it down to fading teams that I just think of
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: very little motivation this week. So that's what I'm trying
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: to do. All right, Justin is a representative of a
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: Missouri state. Yes, oh you're Zi suk Suki, You're you're
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: a representative. You mean, yes, you're both of your representatives
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: of the state of Missouri. All right, where did I
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: leave off? Oh? Yes, all right. ESPN two we got
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: Kansas State and Utah. Utah ranked twelfth in the country. Here.
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: I still, dude, I still think Utah is better than BYU.
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: I still think Utah's the second best team in the
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: Big Twelve. Utah could still make the Big Twelve title game. Man,
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: So Utah has still got something to play for here.
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: That won easy last week at Baylor. I mean they
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: looked good and doing so. Kansas State, they're still trying
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: to make a bowl here. But I mean Kansas State.
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, they came into the season thinking they were
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: gonna contend for the Big Twelve to title. Man and
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: those hopes are completely god So I don't know. I mean,
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: I think we might see a kind of defeated Kansas
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: State team here. I mean, they didn't look good last
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: week against Oklahoma State either, though, though the fact that
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: they played that badly means maybe they were maybe they
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: were looking ahead to Utah because I mean that game
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: was also sandwiched in between Texas Tech and Utah, so
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: maybe that was part of the reason they didn't really
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: show up in that game. But Kansas State and Man,
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: I just don't know how much they even care about
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: bowl eligibility because this is a team that's always in
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: bowls and their sites, you know, to start the season
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: they had their sites set way higher, so they're gonna
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: be disappointed. They're probably gonna be a team you want
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: to look to fade in a bowl game if they
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: make the balls, which they probably will because they played
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: Colorado at home next week, so Kansas State probably wins
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: that game. They're not gonna win this game at Utah, though,
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, the question is is Utah gonna cover this number.
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know it is senior night. I mean,
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be tough for KSE State to have to
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: go into elevation here. I would say Kansas State had
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: trouble I think going into elevation last year? Right that was?
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: I think, wasn't that one of the games I gave
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: out on BYU last year? I don't know, I forget
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: I seem to remember that. I think BYU benefited off
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: a lot of turnovers in that one. But I think
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: I gave up b YU at home against KSE State
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: last year. Maybe that was two years ago and I
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: don't even remember whatever, But it is gonna be tough
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: for them because they're gonna be facing a Utah team
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: that is motivated because again, Utah could still potentially win
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: the Big Twelve. So Utah making the playoff is not
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: totally out of the question for Utah here, and they
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: were my preseason pick to win the Big Twelve. Although
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're as good as Texas Tech, I
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: do think they're better than BYU. I'm rooting for Utah
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: just so that I can be right Utah from sixteen
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: and a half to seventeen here sixty one percent of tickets,
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of the cash. The money is coming in
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: on Utah. It's going through that key number seventeen. So
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: that is a pretty key move there, A big move
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: through the key number seventeen. I would probably lean to
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: laying it with Utah. But I'm I mean, I'm not
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: gonna get involved in that one big ten network. I mean,
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: none of the games I'm talking about right now are
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: gonna be games. I'm gonna give out a give out,
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: a give out, a game we're gonna actually play here,
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: Morris like Jimmy Stewart. Really, I don't know. Jimmy Stewart's
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: voice is not that high pitch, right. I've watched those
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: Hitchcock movies recently. Okay, okay, z I know who you are,
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: but I won't say your actual name. I get you.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: You don't make the nah Ah covers. That's true that
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: I'm the only one baby me and a foundering of
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: the foundering. I love that dude. Great piano player, great
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: at making up satirical like lyrics and whatever. He is hilarious.
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: I think my cover of nach Age is better than
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: his look because he didn't sing it so and then
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: I think when he did, I think he parodied it
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: or something. I don't know. That's the only negative thing
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: I'll say about him though, Full name and picture. Yeah, Charles,
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: you're hanging out with us here. You're gonna be in
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: trouble man. Big ten Network. At four pm, we have
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: number eighteen Michigan against Maryland. Maryland very outside chance that
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: Maryland can become Bowl eligible. That they need to win
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: this game against Michigan and then when whatever game they have,
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: I think they have Michigan State to finish the season,
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: is that right? Yeah? At home? So this is not
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: Senior Day for Maryland. That'll be next week. Maryland, they've
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: been ugly man for most of the season, by which
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: I mean their players are not good looking. But once
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: Maryland started conference play it's been really really bad for them.
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: Their only win was somehow they won on the road
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: at Wisconsin as a big underdog, and since then they
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: haven't won a game at all. They'll probably show up though,
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: for a game against Michigan, especially because Maryland played horribly
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: last week against Illinois. So I do think Maryland will
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: show up for this for Michigan. It's kind of a
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: weird spot to have to go out to Maryland still,
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: but Michigan is coming off a very bad performance against
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: Northwestern in Wrigley Field last week. Michigan had to win
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: this game on a field goal right at the end
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: of the game. So I think Michigan they could be
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: focused just because of that, because they really didn't play
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: well against Northwestern and they had an escape. Man. I mean,
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: this Michigan team, they can't lose at all right now,
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: and they almost lost. Northwestern almost spoiled the part. Michigan
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: ten and a half point favorites in that game, almost lost.
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: Michigan still staying alive. I mean, what's interesting about Michigan
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: is they could still make the Big Ten championship game
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: if they beat Ohio State because then they would tie
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: Ohio State and take the tiebreaker from Ohio State, which
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: is insane to think about that being a possibility. And
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: Michigan has them at home next week. That could mean
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: it's a look ahead from Michigan, though they gotta have
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: this weird travel out to Maryland. Ohio State's going to
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: be a huge game for them, man, But they do
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: have to win this game against Maryland for that to
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: be a possibility. But it is kind of a tricky
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: spot for Michigan, even though yes, they are coming off
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: an ugly game there that could refocus them a little bit.
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the point stuff I was gonna
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: play this at the money is saying otherwise. Michigan's up
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: from twelve through the fourteen now fifty percent of the
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: cash on them, fifty one percent of the tickets on Maryland.
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: Maryland being public makes absolutely no sense to me. You
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: gotta think the public is gonna be on the Michigan
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: side of this one. I don't see how they couldn't be.
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: You're getting two touchdowns at home with Maryland and you're
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: getting a low total in this game to a forty
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: six and a half. So I do like taking big
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: points spread underdogs with in games that have low totals,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: So I would probably meant to taking it with Maryland,
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: but I don't love it. Yeah, So it would be
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: hilarious though, if it comes down to Michigan beating Ohio
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: State in the next week and then Michigan gets because
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: I said in my preseason show that I did I
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: did say Michigan was they were kind of my like
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: outside shot at winning the Big Ten that I gave out.
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: I think if I remember correctly, all right, four PM Fox,
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: TCU at number twenty three, Houston, Houston sitting at eight
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: and two, five and two in the Big Twelve, Houston,
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: they could potentially make the Big twelve title games. Still
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: they need help, so they are in a situation where
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: they might be able to play a little bit looser
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: because they're probably not gonna make it. They're not gonna
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: make the playoff, but I don't know if they expected to,
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: like I think Houston, I don't think they expected to
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: even be in position to make the Big twelve title
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: game this year, so I think they're kind of free
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: rolling here. So I think they might play a little
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: bit loose. But TCU, I think is gonna step up
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: their game against them too though. I mean this is
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: a big game. I think both teams will show up.
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: It's a big Texas rivalry type of game here. TCU
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: got absolutely annihilated at BYU last week, so TCU is
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: coming off looking really, really bad, Whereas Houston went down
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: to UCF, and I thought that was a really tricky
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: spot for Houston at UCF, and they got the win
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: anyway somehow, So I think the spot actually looks a
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: little bit better for TCU to bounce back. And I
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna get some maybe some line value on
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: TCU because they looked so bad last week. And interesting,
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: the OS makers are actually telling you Houston's not even
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: the better team here because they're lying at as a
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: two point favorite at home and it's actually down to
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: one money coming in on he on TCU, fifty percent
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on Houston. Public's gonna come in on Houston.
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: I mean this is crazy, like it's, oh, pick the winner,
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: and you're giving me the ranked team at home who
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: has the better record. It looks so easy to play
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: Houston here, right. I think it is kind of a
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: It looks like a trap line though, like the OS
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: makers are telling you something different than what the rankings
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: makers are telling you. They're telling you TCUs a little
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: bit undervalued here and then fifty four percent of the
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: cash coming back on the TCU side here. So yeah,
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: And TCU had that ugly game against Iowa State where
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: they somehow they came back, they had the lead late
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: and then they blew the game. I think it was
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: a weird play that. I think it was like a
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: punt return like a huge punt return for Iowa State
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: or something like that that got them that win. I forget.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: But TCU, I mean that was a weird game for
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: them too. So public is just kind of off the
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: TCU train here. But again, the osbeggers are telling you
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: that they're actually a lot better than the record looks here,
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: or that Houston might be worse, although this is Houston
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: Senior Day, and the thing about Houston is they are
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: still the better defense out of these two teams. I
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: think TCU is the better offense. But I'll agree with
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: the TCU side. I mean, the money is coming in
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: that way. I don't want to do anything with it. Though.
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: My covers are great, thank you. So yeah, I mean
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: I think they're they're not that good. I just I
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: taught myself UKULELEI. I mean, I've always been a singer.
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: I think my voice is okay ukuleleia. I'm not very good.
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I just kind of make it my own. Maryland.
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of the state. Yeah, to be honest,
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: Bruins are up two to one. That means it's over.
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: Overtime is sudden death in hockey, man, that means they won,
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: which is great because that means we scoop the pot, man,
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: because if they had lost, have been a push with
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: making your run plus one puck line. Hell yea Bruins,
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: all right, ESPN seven pm. This is a game everybody's
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: talking about. Man Pitt at number sixteen Georgia Tech. Georgia
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: Tech is nine to one overall, Pitt seven and three.
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: Pitt dropped out of the rankings last week because they
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: got crushed by Notre Dame. Both of these teams played
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: horribly last week, though. Pittsburgh got annihilated at home on
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: College Game Day. But I showed you that video of
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: Narduzi man where he was telling you we don't care
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: about this game. So I said, all right, Notre Dame
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: is gonna kill them, and that's what happened. Pittsburgh is
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: focused on these acc games, man, So pitt They looked
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: really bad last week, but everything is still in front
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: of them. Georgia Tech, though they looked pretty bad too,
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: and I mentioned I leaned against Georgia Tech last week
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: as well. They had to go up to Boston College,
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: kind of a tricky spot up there, and BC almost
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: won the game. Man. BC was in position to win
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: that game, and they blew it, like BC almost pulled
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: off and upset. BC kind of made that their like
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: statement game. It looked like that was the game that
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: BC really rallied for and they lost. That is brutal, dude,
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: Like this week. If BC was playing this week, this
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: would be a week to absolutely fade BC. But they're
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: not playing this week. I don't know if they're playing
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: next week, but a week removed from it, maybe less
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: of a fade spot. If they're playing next week, it'll
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: be some rivalry game anyway anyway. Yeah, but yeah, So
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: both these teams are coming up bad performances, so they're
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: both gonna be focused in this game. Now. I think
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: Pitt is the better defense, though Georgia Tech they're good
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: offense or balanced offense. Their offense is better than Pitt.
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: Pitt I don't think can run the ball very effectively,
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: So I don't love that because I usually like to
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: take teams as underdogs that run the football, although they're
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: only a slight underdog here. Georgia Tech down from three
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: to two and a half, seventy five percent of tickets,
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: only sixty five percent of the cash on Georgia Tech's
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: of the public is on Georgia Tech. I do keep
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: talking about how Georgia Tech is overrated, although this is
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: the overrated Bowl because both these teams are overrated. But
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: the thing is, at this point, at two and a
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: half under, a field goal looks way too easy to
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: lay that with Georgia Tech, doesn't it at home? When
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: they're the ranked team, They've been ranked all year, they
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: only have one loss, everybody's gonna consider them to be
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: the better team. But the Osburgers are telling you that
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: Pitt might actually be the slightly better team here. And
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: I think people are gonna give Pit like less credit
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: last week even though they played the much better team
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: and Notre Dame. Just I think people are gonna think
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: that that's worse that they got annihilated by Notre Dame
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: than Georgia Tech winning against Boston College even though they
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: had to escape. I think, But I don't know, But overall,
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: I would lean to taking the points with Pitt in
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: this one man. It's also a high total though at
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: sixty and a half, but it has dropped. The money
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the under in that game. I
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: do see the under maybe being the way to go
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: there as well, because it looks like it might be
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: a playoff type of atmosphere. I usually like to go
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: over the higher totals usually what I recommend, but in
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: this game, maybe not. You know, again, I could see
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: the teams kind of feeling each other out like an
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: under early in the game. Might make a lot of
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: sense because it's gonna be like a playoff game. Because again,
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: this game has huge implications obviously, like the team that
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: loses this game is gonna be out of the ACC Championship.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure because Virginia is still in the mixer
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: and SMU could still do it. I think there's a
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: shot for Miami to still do it too. Duke, I
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: think it's possible, But Duke, I think is almost certainly
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: out of it. Although I think it's mathematically possible that
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: they still make it, but I think it's almost impossible.
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong about that. You're gonna upload a profile picture,
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: all right, changing your name to Z and then if
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: Suke is your last name that reminds you of you
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: remember the Simpsons classic episode, the one where Lisa is like,
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, she's a vegetarian, we all know that, but
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: the one where she's going hardcore vegetarian, like opposing the
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: meat at the school or whatever. You remember that episode
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: long time ago and Principal Skinner is like, is like
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: talking to the the class and he's like, he's like,
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: we've had a number of complaints from a certain Lisa.
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: S Oh no, that's far too obvious. Let's call her
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: l Simpson. Dude, I love those old Simpsons. The show
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: used to be so good, man. I used to love
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: those old Simpsons jokes, and now it's just gone fully yeah,
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: like leftist bs. Simpsons used to be awesome, man, just
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: it was. It was the greatest show of all time
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: and it's heyday and they had to go and ruin
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: it because I would have said it was the greatest
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: show of all time if it didn't get as bad
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: as it is now. All Right, So yeah, lean to
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: Pitt in that one. All Right, we're almost through. We're
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: in the night slate here, ABC seven thirty PM. We
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: got number twenty Tennessee and Florida. This is maybe we
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: call this one of the disappointment balls because Tennessee, I
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: mean they expected to make the playoff this year and
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: they're not going to Florida. I mean, Florida is not
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: even gonna make a Bowl unless they get to five
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: wins somehow and then petition because sometimes if they are
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: not enough bowl teams, teams that are five and seven
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: can petition. If they're like a team with a massive
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: fan base, they can actually still get into a Bowl.
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: So I guess Florida could do that maybe, But Florida
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: might make this like one of their huge games, man,
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: because like Florida, I know they're a completely dead team,
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: but I think they'll probably show up because it is
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: Tennessee coming into their place, although Florida does have Florida
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: stayed up next, but I mean that is a huge rivalry.
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. To me, Tennessee almost seems like
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: it matters a little bit more to Floridaida now because
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: they're always like the better I mean, well, recently Tennessee
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: has been the better team over Florida State and the
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: last couple of years at least in Tennessee, you know
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: they're in the SEC with Florida. Florida is coming off
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: a game where they played Mississippi really tough. Though Florida
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: was on the road at Ole miss and Florida was
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: in that game, they were only losing by one score
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: late in that game. I had it on downstairs for
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: a while. So Florida it's gonna be a tough turnaround
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: time coming off of that game though. And Florida, I
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: believe they're playing Florida State at home, so I guess
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: that is gonna be their senior night against Florida State.
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: So this is not their senior game. But Tennessee struggles
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: when they go to Florida. Man. I think Tennessee hasn't
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: won in Florida for like eight years or something like that.
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: So Tennessee doesn't do well in Florida. Last year. I
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: believe Florida gave them a big time scare as well,
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken. Yeah, Florida took them into overtime
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: in Tennessee last year. But it's Tennis gonna remember that.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: I don't know is Tennessee gonna care about this game.
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know. They might care about Vandy Moore because
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: they have Vandy up next and that's gonna be senior
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: night for Tennessee. Tennessee. It's a big Tennessee rivalry. Tennessee's
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: gonna want to prove that there's still the big guy
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: in Tennessee because I think Tennessee's gonna have a little
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: bit of anger because Vandy's actually ranked ahead of them now,
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: which Tennessee is not used to seeing. So I think
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: it is possible Tennessee just doesn't really show up for
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: this game man against Florida. I mean Tennessee, they don't
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: really have anything else to play for, like they're in
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: a bowl whatever, They're not gonna make the SEC championship game,
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna make the playoffs, so they don't really
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: have much to play for, and Florida is so down
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: this year they just might not care. So I like
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: Florida in this game. The only issue is that Florida's
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: coming off of a really tough game in their last game,
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: so they might be a little bit fatigued. Tennessee is
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: up from three and a half to four here, but
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: they're public sixty five percent of tickets only six or
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: excuse me, and sixty seven percent of the cash. Some
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: more of the cash than tickets, but it's a close
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: percentage difference there, so you might see that flip around. Yeah,
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the points to Florida if I
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: was gonna do it. It's not gonna be a play though,
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: since it should have ended fifteen years ago. It was
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: good up through like season I don't know, maybe fourteen
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: or so. I think I'm in the minority even saying that,
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: But if you look at some of the episodes that
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: were in like seasons twelve, thirteen, fourteen, whatever, there's some
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: real bangers in there. Big ten Networks seven thirty pm.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: We have Illinois ranked twenty first in the country against
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin at Wisconsin. I mean, these teams are kind of
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: just playing out the stretch. I mean, neither team really
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: has a whole lot left to play for. Illinois does
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: have Northwestern up next with just kind of a big,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: you know, Illinois rivalry there, so Illinois might look ahead
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: to that game a little bit. They might overlook Wisconsin
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: having to go on the road here, Illinois has not
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: been good on the road. They did beat Purdue on
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: the road. Other than that, they got annihilated by Indiana
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: on the road. They didn't do well on the road
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: at Washington. That was a tough spot having to go
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: out to the Pacific coast. But they haven't been going
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: on the road Wisconsin. It's been a lost season for them.
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: Although this is their senior day. Though, with a ranked
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: Illinois team coming in, I do expect Wisconsin to kind
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: of show up for this one with not a whole
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: lot left to play for. Although for Wisconsin I don't
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: even know if they have a quarterback at this point.
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: As we've seen they have major quarterback issues. They've had injuries,
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: they've had their quarterbacks just completely unable to perform. But
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Wisconsin in this one.
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: Illinois is down from nine to eight and a half.
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: Their public sixty seven percent of tickets, only sixty two
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash, so money looks like it's fading
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: Illinois in this one and coming in on the Wisconsin side.
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with that. Fox eight pm Eastern BYU and Cincinnati.
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: This is a big one because this does have Big
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: twelve title game implications. Cincinnati can still make it into
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: that game. They need some help, though, and they need
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: to win against BYU. Here BYU, of course they have
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: the inside track. They have to win, but they control
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: their own destiny. And you know I talk about this
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: especially in the NFL. When a team controls their own destiny,
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: the pressure is really on them. Man. So sometimes when
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: a team controls their own destiny. I mean, you'll see
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: like the team is favored by too much. Sometimes like
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: there won't be line value on that team, they'll be
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: line value going against them, and the pressure just becomes
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: too much, you know what I mean. And I've been
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: talking about how overrated. I think BYU was still sitting
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: with one loss at this point, ranked eleventh. They're having
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: to go to kind of an unfamiliar venue here to Cincinnati,
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: and I think Cincinnati might be motivated for a couple
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: of reasons here because they could spoil BYU season and
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati could potentially get into this Big twelve championship. Of
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: though it's pretty unlikely they need a lot of the
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: teams ahead of them to lose, but they could still
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: do it. Cincinnati is coming up an ugly game. Last
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: week they lost as a favorite to Arizona and they're
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: staying at home. Cincinnati is six and a half point
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: favorites in this game. Yeah, and ugly loss for them,
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: and that was Yeah, that was last week, So Cincinnati,
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: they could be a little bit of a bounce back
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: mode here after that. And this is their final home game,
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: so this is senior Day for US Cincinnati. So I
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: do expect them to show up. BYU. Of course, they
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: do have to show up still, But BYU, I still
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: think they look better than they actually are. They've been
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse on the road, I guess. I
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: mean they struggled against Colorado on the road. They came
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: close to losing that game, only one by three, only
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: one by six. At Arizona, which I think went into overtime. Yeah,
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: two overtimes, so they almost lost that game too. They've
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: had a lot of nail biers Man. Of course, we
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: lost the game here on the show with Iowa State,
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: which I thought that was a great spot to play
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: Iowa State there, and Iowa State had lead in that
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: game and then they completely fell apart after leading by
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: multiple scores. That was also a road game for BYU,
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: and then BYU took their first loss a winner for
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: US on the show with Texas Tech, also on the road.
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: So BYU, I mean they're not as good on the road,
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: and they're coming off a win where again I think
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: they probably look too good. I would probably look towards
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati in this game. Maybe some of that is my
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: anti BYU bias, although it's that bias I think is
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: it's not like just subject like I mean, it's well,
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: it's subjective, but it's not just what's the word I'm
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: looking for. It's not just like based on emotion, you
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: know what I mean? Like it's based on like seeing
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: BYU like lower in the power ratings than they're ranked,
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: like all season, Like the guys that do the power ratings,
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: the odds makers whatever, keep telling you the BYU is
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: not as good as their ranking. B YU here is
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: laying two and a half. It's almost up to three.
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: If you like Cincinnati, I think you got to take
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: the plus three here because three is a key number.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: Seventy eight percent of tickets eighty four percent of the
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: cash on BYU, so they are public. Some of the
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: cash looks like it's coming in on that side to
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: begin with as well, but I would probably fade them
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it. I do think the
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: over also makes sense in this game, though, and maybe
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: makes more sense than trying to play the side. Total
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: is all the way up to fifty six and a half.
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: Though if you like the over, I would not let
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: it get to fifty seven, at least because fifty seven
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: is a key number, fifty six less so ninety two
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash. On
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: the over, I mean Cincinnati is an over style of team,
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: Like they have a really prolific offense and they don't
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: have a good defense, So that alone, it kind of
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: makes sense to start looking over. But yeah, I mean
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: I think BYU kind of more of an offense oriented
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: team to some extent as well. So that's those are
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: my thoughts on that game. Z. You did put a
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: profile picture in there. There you go, Rotgers is your
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: only bet? All right? That one? Man? I mean, I
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: don't love it, but you're gonna You're gonna just go
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: with whatever I tell you to. The's a lot of
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: pressure on me, man, to give you out winners. I mean,
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to do that. Masters of their domain. I
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: gotta get some sidefelt drops in here, man. Yeah, not arbitrary,
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: I guess is the other way to put it. All right?
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: Final game on the ranked slate here at eight pm
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: Eastern on ESPN two, number twenty five Arizona State at Colorado.
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: Arizona State. I think they could potentially still make the
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: Big twelve title game. Well, if Cincinnati CA and Arizona
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: State still can, they need help. They would need to
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: win and they would need help. I don't think it's
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: gonna happen for them because they're without their quarterback now.
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: Their offense is really taking a dip without them without Levitt,
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: he's done for the season. But Arizona State is coming
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: off of a real ugly game against West Virginia last
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: week where they barely got to win. Arizona State had
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: a nice upset in the prior game against Iowa State
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: on the road, so I don't know. I could see
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: Arizona State maybe refocusing after that bad game against West
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: Virginia where they barely won. But Arizona State does have
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: Arizona in the rivalry game to finish off the season. Although,
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: as I'm gonna talk about in a bit, I think
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: Arizona has more reason to look ahead to that game
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: Arizona State. Again, they might have more reason to show
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: up in this game just because they still could potentially
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: get into the Big Twelve title game of a lot
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: of things fallow their way. For Colorado, they've had an
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: embarrassing season. This is their senior day. I do expect
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: them to show up. I mean, players will probably try
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: to show up here for coach Prime. Colorado just lost
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: to that same West Virginia team, So I think people
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: are gonna look at that. The public's gonna look at that.
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: They're gonna see Arizona State with a way better record,
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: Arizona State ranked. The public's only gonna come in on
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: the Arizona State side. And then oh yeah, Arizona beat
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: West Virginia even though they barely did. But West Virginia
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: of course beat Colorado. So the public's gonna see all
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: that too. For Colorado, I believe they're coming out of
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: a bye, right, Yes, Colorado's coming out of a bye,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: so that will help them a little bit as well,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: because they went into the buy in a really bad note,
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: losing three games in a row, and when they played
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: at West Virginia they were like equipment truck or something
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: went the wrong way and got stuck twice, I think,
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: both on the way in and out. Something like that.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: Very very strange, not knowing how to drive in Morgantown.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: But yes, I think that buy will help Colorado, and
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: they might treat this like their bowl game because it's
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: senior Day. They're not going to a bowl this year.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: They should show up, So I would take the points
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: in this one. If I was gonna play it, the
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: money seems to definitely agree with that. Arizona State down
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: from seven and a half to seven. If you like Colorado,
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: you might still be able to get seven and a half.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: You got to at least get seven here. Seventy one
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on Arizona State. Undo the cash on Colorado. Yeah,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: I would take it with Colorado, and I think that's it.
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: The only other thing I wanted to look up is
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: I forget if Temple is coming out of a buy
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: or not, because if they are, that makes that spot
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit better. Yes, they are, by the way,
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: I forgot to mention that. So Temple against Tulane, Temple
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: went into a buy on a two game lost streak.
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: So again I talk about this, When you go into
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: a buy, the buy can break whatever momentum you currently had,
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: So going into the by after you've lost multiple games
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: is good because the buy can like help you fix things.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: So Temple is coming out of a bye that I
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: think will be helpful. So that helps Temple in that
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: game against Tulane. So I do like Temple in that one.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: Delaware State You mean Delaware, right? The San Jose state.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: You probably mean Delaware. Delaware is up in FBS now
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: Delaware State's in FCS. I don't know what's going on
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: with Delaware State football. I don't even know if their
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: games have lines on them, But yes, sob if that's Delaware,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: I agree with it. I probably agree with San Jose
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: State as well. Third one Minnesota. You're on Minnesota as well.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: I also agree with that. By the way, I was
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: about to talk about that. That's the next game I'm
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: going to talk about. I think, yes, you're going with touchdowns,
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: scoring props or something. What are you talking about? Gronowski
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: on Iowa, Pavia on Vandy, Haynes King on Georgia Tech
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: almost said Golden State, Georgia Tech. Bachmeyer, who's at what?
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: By U? Sims? I don't even know who Sims is. Yeah,
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: those guys score on the ground. Put my leans somewhere,
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean maybe, like, if you
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: want my lean in every single game, some of them
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: might change though prior to the game. I don't know.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: I'd have to go through member, Like I mean, if
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: you want me to try to like weigh the strength
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: of them and like put some of the stronger leans
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: out there. I guess I could do that. Maybe, guys
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: who are gonna play Wake Forest? All right, yeah, let's
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: get into the the extra games I'm gonna talk about.
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: Hopefully this is not gonna take too long, man, because
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: there are a lot of games with like conference implications here. Man,
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: all right, what do we have here? Uh? Yeah, Minnesota,
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: Northwestern Big Ten Network, regally Field again. So now there
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of an advantage for Northwestern here
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: because well, first of all, I mean it's a semi
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: home game for them in Chicago, but still Northwestern played
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: at Wrigley Field last week, so they're used to the venue,
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: which Minnesota is not. So there is like a slight
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: advantage there for Northwestern. But I don't like to spa
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: for Northwestern. I mean they just they took Michigan to
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: the wire last week, man, in this same venue. That
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: was huge for Northwestern. So yeah, I mean they almost
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: won the game. So I think that's kind of a
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: deflating loss for Northwestern there. Taking Michigan right to the
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: wire and losing literally on the final play of the
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: game on a field goal. It's just not good, man.
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: And in this game, I think Michigan completely like outgained them. Yeah,
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: Michigan outgained them four ninety six to two forty five.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: So Northwestern didn't even play well in this game, and
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: the game was still close because Michigan was totally unfocused
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: and had five turnovers in the game. So Northwestern plus
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: five and turnovers still lost the game. They got dominated statistically, man, Michigan, Yeah,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: outgained them by whatever that is, two hundred and fifty
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: something yards. They outfirst down them twenty five to eleven,
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: outpossessed them by only six minutes or so. But still
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: the game was closer than it actually. The game looked
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: closer than it actually was. Now Northwestern is coming up
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: of that and they do have a big game against
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: Illinois way up next, so it's a sandwich spot because
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: that is a rivalry game, big game Northwestern. They consider
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: themselves to be a little brother to Illinois in the
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: state of Illinois, so I think they'll look ahead to
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: that game as well. Oh, Simms is the backup for
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: Arizona State. Yeah, with Levitt out, all right, Yeah that's true.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's very good at all though, So yes,
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: I agree with Minnesota here. I think it's a tough
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: spot for Northwestern to try to come focus here. Although, yeah,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: in Northwestern they're trying to make a bowl, which does
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: kind of mean something because they didn't make a bowl
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: last year, so that does warry me a little bit
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: that maybe they will still show up for that reason.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: And it is senior Day for them, so there is that.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: So a couple of reasons why I kind of want
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: to just leave it off my card. This one was
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: close to making my card. So the games that I
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: can tell you if you want, like the stronger leans
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: the games that I've talked about so far that almost
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: made my card Minnesota plus the points and Temple plus
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: the points. I definitely like the Temple one. Out of
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: the other games I talked about, I don't think I
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: really was that strong on the other ones. The money
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: is saying Northwestern here though Minnesota's got fifty seven percent
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: of tickets and only fifty two percent of the cash
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: because if you look at the records, Minnesota actually has
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: the better record, and Minnesota, I mean, they've already accomplished
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: their goals. So that's the problem, Like, is Minnesota gonna
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: get up for this game? That's kind of the issue.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: That's the other issue I have with Minnesota is what's
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: the effort going to be like on their side? Because
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: they're already in a bowl, they already have their six win,
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: They're not going anywhere, So are they really going to
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: show up for Northwestern? I'm not so sure, Like going
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: to Wrigley Field and they're coming off that primetime game
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: where they had to go to the Pacific Coast and
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: they lost to Oregon. I mean, everybody saw them look
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: really bad against Oregon, sure, and I guess some people
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: were complaining the refs were helping Oregon, But I don't know.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: I think Oregon destroyed Minnesota anyway. But that does make
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: the travel spot a little bit tough, even though I
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: think Minnesota does have an extra day of prep, but
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: they're having to come back from the Pacific Coast, so
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: that doesn't make it that easy either. So yeah, I
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: do kind of worry about that side of it, Like
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: is Minnesota going to be totally focused here? So that's
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: the other issue. Other're already ball eligible, so but that
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: does kind of mean they can play loose in a way,
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: whereas Northwestern is going to be maybe playing tighter, Although
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: that kind of conflicts with saying that it's a sandwich spoty,
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: they might not show up. So yeah, I mean I
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: have a lot of conflicting thoughts about this. And then
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: the market Reid says Northwestern, which is bizarre. It might
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: change tomorrow though fifty percent of tickets. Oh now, it
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: did change to Minnesota. Fifty percent of tickets, fifty nine
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the casual of Minnesota. Northwestern did drop from
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: four to three and a half. Now, the other thing
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: about taking the points that is good here is this
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: is a very low total of forty and a half.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: So taking the points, uh is better when it's a
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: low total. Again, every point means more. So Sims runs, Yeah,
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: Colorado is awful. Yeah, but I still lean towards them
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: to cover in that game. Plus Arizona with Sims these
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: Arizona Arizona State. Excuse me, that's who's playing Colorado, right,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: Arizona State. Yeah, their were offenses. Just it's not good
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: with Sims out there. I know that's factoring into the line,
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: but you're asking them to cover a spread like that
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: with a low total of forty seven on the road
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: and kind of a questionable spot. Yeah, I mean I
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: would take it with Colorado, all right, ESPN two Louisville
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: at SMU Louisville. I mean they're effectively eliminated, man, Like,
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: they have three losses now in the ACC. They're not
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be in the ACC title game, so I don't
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: know how they're gonna respond. They just had that big
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: primetime home game against Clemson and they lost the game.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go to Dallas and play SMU, which
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: I don't think is a place where they usually go.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: And to finish off the season, they have their Senior
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: Day against Kentucky, which is a huge Kentucky rivalry game.
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: So this is a bad spot for Louisville. Dude, I'm
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: not sure that they're going to totally show up. And
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: SMU has more motivation here because SMU is sitting forth
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: in the ACC with one loss. SMU could still make
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: the ACC Championship game here, so SMU I think is
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: going to be more focused. However, SMU is coming out
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: of a bye and that by could have been a
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: momentum stopper because they went into the bye after upsetting Miami,
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: a huge win for SMU, and then they went up
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: to b C and they beat me because I gave
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: out BC plus like a double digit spread there in
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: Red Bandana Day for BC or whatever it is, the
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: nine to eleven they honor a nine to eleven volunteer
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: firefighter I think who was a BC lacrosse player. Yeah,
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: BC could not get it done for us there, So
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: SMU went into the buy off of that, and I
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: talked about how that buy can be a momentum killer,
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: which maybe it could be. Although SMU, I do expect
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: them to show up because it's senior Day. They need
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: to win to stay in contention for the ACC here.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: The only problem is that means the pressure is on
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: them and you're asking them to lay a price here
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: up from three and a half to four. So I
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: don't love it when a team, you know, it's like
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: kind of in a must win and you're asking them
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: to lay points like there's gonna be a little bit
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: less value on that team because the public knows that
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: as well, sixty seven percent of tickets only sixty four
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on SMU. I still lean to
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: the SMU side here though, because I just don't see
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: what the motivation is for Louisville here other than the
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: fact that Louisville could uh spoil SMU season, So I
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: guess is their motivation there for that reason? I don't know.
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, do they play last year? Let me say, oh, man,
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: my neck hurts, man, my voice hurts from doing these shows. Yeah,
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: Louisville did lose at home to SMU last year, so
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: I guess that is one reason maybe that Louisville will
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: show up if they care about that revenge factor. But
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: I mean Louisville, they they came into the season, think
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: they were gonna contend for the ACC man that was
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: one of their goals. They're already Bowl eligible, and the
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: fact that now they're not gonna be able to get
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: into the a SEC Championship game. Yeah, I mean, I
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: still think it's it's just a spot where I don't
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: see where the motivation is really gonna come from, other
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: than maybe that revenge from last year. So I like
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: SMU in that one slightly, but it's not a play
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: for me at all. You're gonna take Charlotte plus the points.
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: I didn't even talk about that game. I just I
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: don't even think that there's a reason to talk about it.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, of course, the spot's I mean, it's not
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: a spot where Georgia cares about the game, right, Like, well,
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: Georgia still needs to make the playoffs, so they can't
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: really lose. Even though it's an out of conference game.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: Georgia can't lose that game. Certainly they're not going to
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: lose though, but Georgia could obviously win without covering. Like, yeah,
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: I think Georgia is gonna get in get out. I
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: mean I would probably take the points, but I don't
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: want to get involved in that at all. Georgia is
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: coming off the huge win over Texas and then they
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: have Georgia Tech to finish off of the season next week.
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: I think, So Georgia, I think they're done playing SEC teams,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean I don't know. I mean, even
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: though it's not an SEC game, Georgia still needs to
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: at least win it. GEO, what's up man? Yes, yeah,
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: I lean to Minnesota still in that game. Yeah, taking
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: the points, but I just I have a lot of
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: reservations with that one, which is why it does not
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: make my card. I know, I'm like all over the
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: place here my strongest opinions I'm gonna give out as
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: my best bets here. Maybe I overr analyze these things.
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: A good point with Minnesota. Yeah, I worry about Minnesota's
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: motivation there. I think it is a bad spot for Northwestern,
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: Like I would still fade Northwestern there. So yes, I
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: lean to Minnesota plus the points and it's I think
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: it's still probably one that would be in my like
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: top like it might make like you know, my pick six,
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: pick seven. I'm not sure yet, it might be in there.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: You don't think SMU is impressive, Well, the entire acc
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: is not impressive. Yeah, I remember that game because I
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: gave out a winner on Missouri State plus twenty eight
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: in that game. That was a winner here on the
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: show way back then. But you can't gauge what SMU
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: is based off of that game because the entire handicap
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: is that SMU was not going to show up in
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: that game, and that is pretty much what happened. So
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: that was a bad spot for SMU, So you can't
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: just gauge it based off of that. A couple of
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: free plays. Everything I give out on the show is free, man,
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: My best best are just gonna be at the end.
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: I'm giving out my opinions on every single game, and
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to I don't know, I try to make
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: it obvious, like what you know? Like how confident I
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: am in each one? All right? This next one up?
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: Kansas and Iowa stayed at noon on FS one. This
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: is close to being a play for me. I like
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: Kansas in this game, plus the points. This one is close. Kansas,
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: they're one went away from getting into a bowl, so
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: there is that they're five and five, although of course
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: the public knows that too. But in this case, Kansas
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: is an underdog. So if you're getting an underdog that
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: you think is gonna give you effort, that's good. Kansas
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: didn't make a bowl last year at all, so I
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: think that's gonna motivate them a little bit more to
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: try to get bowl eligible here. And they're coming out
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: of a bye, so I like all that. They went
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: into a buy and a bad note losing at Arizona,
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: losing three out of four, so I think they're gonna
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: use that buy to fix some things. Man. Now they're
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: going to Iowa State, and this Iowa State team, this
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: is a deflated Iowa State team, man. I mean they
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: absolutely thought they were gonna contend for the Big Twelve
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: title game here. I mean Iowa State, they lost the
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: Big Twelve title game last year, and that was what
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: kept them out of the playoff last year, losing to
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: Arizona State. Iowa State had very very high aspirations this
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: year and now those are all gone, and they also
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: went into a bye. But they went into the buy
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: in a good note pulling off the upset at TCU,
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: so Iowa State kind of showed up for that game.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: They got the win, it did break their losing momentum,
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: so at least there was that. But going into the
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: buying a good note like that, I don't think it's
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: a good thing because I don't know that you really
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: prepare anything and come out of there, you know, like
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: totally focused. And Iowa State, you know, they're not going anywhere.
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: They're not making the Big twelve title game whatever. They're
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: already Bowl eligible. They got six wins, so they really
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: have nothing left to play for. Except the hesitation I
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: have with the Kansas year is that this is senior
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: day for Iowa State, although bet I don't even think
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: it's a senior. Yeah, he's a junior. They're quarterback there,
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: although I don't know if he's planning on coming back
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: or is he entering the draft or something. I don't know.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he's good enough, so that is
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: kind of a question. But it is still their last
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: home game. And the other thing is I believe Kansas
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: did beat Iowa State last year in a crucial game. Yeah,
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: so Iowa State was undefeated last year until they lost
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: to Texas Tech by one, and then I think that
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: hung them over into the next game and they lost
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: to Kansas as well. So if you think revenge for
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: last year as any sort of motivator, then that's something
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: I guess for Iowa State here. But I think there's
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: a lot more motivation on the Kansas side. And you know,
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: I do think that, and I think I am going
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: to be fading at least one team in their senior
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: day today once I get to my best bets, and
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: I think Kansas is getting to a bowl is more meaningful.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: So I like Kansas in this one. Iowa States down
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: from four and a half to three and a half here,
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the tickets on Iowa State, but
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the cash coming back in on Kansas.
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: You know, I'm tempted to do it. I don't know
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: if my reservations are really that powerful on this one.
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: Should I add this one? This one is very very
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: close to being a play man. I just don't know
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: if Iowa State's really gonna care about revenge for last year,
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: you know, Senior Day. How much do they really care
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: about that? As well as kind of a question. You
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: know what, Let's do it. Let's add a play. I'm
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: gonna have four. Now I'm gonna add Kansas on the fly.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: Oh god, somebody helped me. All right, let's see Kansas.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: What can we get on this? You gotta at least
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: get three and a half on this though it looks
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: like there should be a four. No, no, it was gonna
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: get his three and a half. It's down from four
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: and a half, but still three is the most key number.
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: So yeah, you can get plus three and a half. Still,
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: all right, let's do it, because I think you're absolutely
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: gonna get motivation out of Kansas here at least you
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: know the way they're coming out of the by looking
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: to get into a bowl for the first time in
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: two years. They were in a ball two years ago,
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: although I think they lost it to UNLV, so they
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: haven't won a bowl in a while. There's your first
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: play there. It's an early one Kansas plus three and
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: a half. So that's one of them, all right. Sometimes
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: I do that, Sometimes I change my mind. There you go,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: uh Black Santa, there you go. Man, Yeah, it would
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: be a connect four. I mean you're gonna need to
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: connect four if you parlay these things, which I would
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: not recommend doing. I don't recommend alternate spreads either, unless
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: you can really get unless you can get a really
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: good price on it, I don't really recommend doing it.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: But you like Kansas State? Wait, well, I already talked
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: about the Kansas State. I do not like Kansas State.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean you guys can all give it. Yeah,
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: what what you guys are doing? Yeah, you have Kentucky.
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: I do agree with that. I already talked about the
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: Kansas State one. You can go back and look at it.
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: I don't like it at all. I think they're gonna
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: get blown out by Utah. I think Kansas State at
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: this point, I think is a very disappointed team and
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get Bowl eligibility anyway. I think because they
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: play like some crap team next week at home. I
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: think Colorado. All right, where did I leave off here?
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: Too many games to talk about, man, still my plays
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: besides the Kansas one are still we still need to
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: talk about those two. Washington stated, James Madison is just
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: a weird one at this point because James Madison, they're
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: already in the sun Belt Championship now because they're seven
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: to zero. They already won the sun Belt East. But
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: now the thing is James Madison as a one loss team,
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: they can still make the playoff, so that's playoffs. I'm
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: not gonna play that drop again, but that's the thing.
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: So JMU they got to keep winning if they want
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: to make the playoffs. They actually can't afford to lose.
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: The game against Coastal Carolina coming up next week isn't
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: gonna matter as much now because they already have the
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: two game lead over them, so it's not it's not
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: gonna matter anymore because all they have to do is
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: beat them to ensure that they're gonna win the sun
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: Belt East. But that being said, JMU does actually need
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: to beat Washington State here if they want, if they
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: want to make the playoff, because they can actually make
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: playoff right now, so they got to do it. So
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: I think this game does actually still mean something for
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: Washington State. They're sitting at five and five. They want
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: to make the playoff, but they will have their revenge
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: game at home against Oregon State coming up in the
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: final week. They lost at Oregon State, which that was
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: an opinion I gave it on the show a lean,
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: So they are gonna have that coming up. So Washington State,
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, ideally, I guess they would want to
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: show up and try to win this game and spoil
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: it for JMU and Washington State. They have actually played
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: well when they've gone east. They were really competitive against
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss and Virginia on the road when they went east.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: But I think those teams just took Washington State for
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: granted though. I think those teams just didn't even show
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: up pretty much because they were out of conference games,
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: like they thought it was gonna be easy or whatever.
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: So I don't know how much we can really take
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: away from that. It's still gonna be a weird spot
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: having to go east, you know. As far as Washington State,
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: the game next week matters more to them. I think
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: the revenge in their into Pack two conference there. Yeah, so,
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: I think because JMU does still have playoff aspirations, I
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: think the game actually means more to them. They're up
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: from thirteen and a half to fourteen, eighty eight percent
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: of the tickets ninety one percent of the cash. On JMU,
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: they're up to fourteen. I mean, I guess, oh man,
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: I mean I laying the points with the LOWTS total
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: of forty three and a half is just so ugly though,
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I need to laying the points
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: with JMU. But I don't love it. It would be
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: entirely just based off of the fact that they they
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: could still make the College Football Playoff. Missouri State Kenesaw
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: State for justin here, they're both shitty offensive teams. You
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: like the under in in Washington State, James Madison, Yeah,
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the under. I don't
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: really have much of an opinion on it, but yeah,
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: it's at forty three and a half. It's not really
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: a key number there right now. So I mean, I'm
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: not gonna disagree with it. But Nevada and Wyoming, I'll
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: I'll talk about it, Yeah, all right, Missouri State and
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: Knnessas State, and then I'll talk about Nevada Wyoming. That
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: game is not what I was planning on talking about.
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: That is ugly. Missouri State Kanessas State. I was gonna
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: talk about anyway, because this game has implications in the
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: Conference USA. Man, these teams can still make the CUSA
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: championship game. Big deal for both teams because Missouri State's
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: new to the FBS this year. Kennesaw was new last
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: year and had a really bad season last year. Another
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: much much improved this year. Oh you like the under
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: in Nevada Wyoming. Yeah, those offenses are really bad, but
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: they're not good in the other game that we're just
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: talking about either though. But yes, these teams, they're both
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: going to be motivated. Here on Missouri State. You know,
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: they're coming off another win. They won five games in
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: a row. I thought it was a bad spot for
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: them last week because they had upset Liberty the week
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: before that, and they still got it done and it
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: was not misleading. They crushed UTAP, So Justin was correct
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: about that his team got that win there against UTEP
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: not misleading at all. They won it. They beat them
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: statistically pretty badly. Kennesaw coming off a loss, but that
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: was a loss that broke a long win streager there
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: is they hadn't lost since Week one, I think because
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: I think they played in Week zero against wake Forest
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: and then they lost to Indiana really badly, but they
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: hadn't lost since then. They were undefeated in conference as well,
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: and then kennisaw lost to Jacksonville State. Jacksonville State now
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: the only undefeated left in the conference, looking very likely
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State will make the conference championship. Now, that sets
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: this up as a difficult spot for kennisaw Man because
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: they just hadn't lost in so long and that was
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: a huge game that they got up for. And now
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: that they lost that game, I know this is senior
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: day for them, and I know they're still trying to
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: make the playoff. Here. This is a big game that
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: Liberty up next. Is not gonna make the conference championship anymore.
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: I think I said playoff, I meant college I met
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: the conference championship here because these teams are not gonna
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: be in the college football playoff. But yeah, it's gonna
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: be tough to turn around to bounce back up off
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: the mat after that Jacksonville State game. And even though
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: this is senior night, Liberty might matter a little bit
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: less now, even though their name is still big, just
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: because they're not in contention anymore. Kennisaw is just sitting
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: at six and a half. It's almost like the osmakers
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: want you to lay the points with Kennesaw here, even
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: though the record isn't that much better than Missouri. So
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know if the public is totally biting on it.
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: We have fifty one percent of tickets on Missouri State,
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: but eighty six percent of the cash, so the money
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: is on the Missouri State side. It looks like right now,
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: and I actually agree with it. I think Kennisaw it's
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: gonna be difficult, man, just the fact they haven't lost
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: in so long. That was a huge game that they're
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: coming off of. Even though both these teams are gonna
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: be motivated. I like, yeah, I lean to Missouri State
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: in that one. Oklahoma, Yeah, I mean that game. Oh god,
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: I talked about that, talked about that game at the
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: beginning of the show. I still need to taking the
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: points with Missouri in that one. But now that Pribula
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: is coming back, it makes me not like it because
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: you get less value on Missouri and that means he
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: has to work his way back into the offense because
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: otherwise I was gonna say it's a terrible spot for
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma coming off the big win over Alabama, even though
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma does still potentially have like playoff hopes. I think, so, yeah,
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: those are my brief thoughts on that. I would probably
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: still take the points with Missouri, but I mean, it's
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: certainly not gonna be anything that makes my card at
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: the much worse number. All right, Nevada Wyoming, I mean, why,
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: oh god, this game. I don't really have many thoughts
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: on this. I don't even I don't do totals either.
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, Nevada's coming off a ridiculous win over San
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: Jose State fifty five to ten. I mean, I don't
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: even know how Nevada did that because their offense is
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: absolute trash. They did put up four to thirteen yards
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: of offense, although San Jose stated five turnovers in the game,
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: so that made the score I think way more misleading.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: I did break a long lost streak for Nevada, and
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: that was their first win against an FBS team all seasons,
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: so that might actually give them some confidence coming into
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: this game against Wyoming. Although Nevada does have their huge
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: rivalry against UNLV next, and that is if they're gonna
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: focus on any remaining game, it's obviously gonna be that one.
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: Because Nevada is not going anywhere at this point. Wyoming,
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, they would have to win out to get
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: into a Bowl, which is possible because they're hosting Nevada.
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: They're gonna go on the road to Hawaii, which is
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be difficult, although I guess it is possible
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: that Wyoming can still become Bowl eligible, and this is
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: their senior day, so I guess the game does mean
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: more to Wyoming. Money is coming in against it. It's
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: gone through the key number seven down from a seven
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: and a half to six and a half. Seventy percent
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: of the tickets only sixty eight percent of the cash
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: on Wyoming, very low total. It's off the key number
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: forty one to forty though, so if you do like
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: the under, I think you had to have gotten the
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: forty one. I mean, there is a difference there. Forty
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: one is a key number, so and the money is
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: saying to take the points with the vata, but I
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: don't really agree with that. Although except for the fact
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be again, like you said, these are
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: two really ugly offenses, so laying points is not really
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: that desirable in a game like this. Sometimes when Woming
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: is a tough place to play though, because it's you know,
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: we're getting into the time of year where there could
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: be snow and whatever, and it's in high elevation. Although
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know where how highly elevated Reno is, even
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: though I've been there, I'm not really sure. Yeah, I mean,
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: I don't really have many thoughts on the total there
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: money's coming in on the over. It looks like sixty
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the tickets and ninety one percent of
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over. I don't think I really
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: like an over either, though. I mean, oh man, I
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: mean those offenses are real bad. Man. It's yeah, it's
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: a suck fest. One of their games that I really
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: want to talk about. I mean, Toledo still has a
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: chance to make the MAC Championship, and I still think
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: they're the best team in the MAC, although they're gonna
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: need help. But they're playing an awful ball State team
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: here laying a ton of points. I mean, I would
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: probably still lay it with Toledo though if I was
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: gonna play that one. Just kind of a quick thought
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: on that game. Toledo looks like they're taking some of
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: the money. It's up to that key number twenty eight
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the tickets eighty one percent of the
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: cash on them. And it looks kind of difficult to
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: even do that because Toledo's record isn't that good. But
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: I am telling you they're better than the record looks.
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: As I've been saying a lot recently, Marshall at app State,
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: Marshall is sitting at five and five. I think they're
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: gonna be pretty motivated, man, because this Marshall team was
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: expected to be atrocious this year because the whole team
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: left to go to Southern Miss after last year, and
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: they all the team left, so they had to drop
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: out of their bowl game last year too, so they
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: weren't in a bowl anymore last year. So it's gonna
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: mean something to this new Marshall team to make a bowl,
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: I think, and they could do it if they win
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: one of these last two games. You're probably gonna see
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: them motivated. Uh, Georgia, excuse they're playing app State? What
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: am I saying? App State? I think it's been kind
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: of a down year for them. They could only get
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: to a bowl if they win out. They just got
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: crushed by JMU last week, and this is not their
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: final home game either, so yeah, I mean, let me see,
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: how does this set up? I looked at this game earlier,
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: and you know, I had some thoughts, but it wasn't anything.
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: I was like, yeah, I want to do this, but yeah,
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: app State. I mean, I guess it was embarrassing. I
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: guess to lose that badly to Jmu, but Jam, he
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: was really good fifty eight to ten, and this app
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: State offense has been really really struggling. Marshall coming out
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: of a win over Georgia State, second straight road game
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: makes it a little bit difficult, third road game in
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: four weeks. But again, I think they're motivated because it
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: would mean something for them to make a bowl. Money
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: is coming in a Marshall I'll agree with it. Fifty tickets,
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of the cash on Marshall up from
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: three to four and a half there on that one,
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: So I would agree with it, probably laying it with
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: Marshall there, though obviously laying a three would have been
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: a lot better than four and a half. What else
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: do we have here to talk about? I don't know, man,
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: I mean a lot of these games. I mean I
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: went through all these games self. Florida. I mean, this
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: is a team that They may very well be in
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: like dream crusher mode here because I don't even know
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: if it's possible for them to win the American at
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: this point because there are four teams at one loss
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: that are above them. I guess, I guess technically it's
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: still mathematically possible, but I think this Seuth Florida team,
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: they might be out of it now. Man. I mean
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: that was a game they had to win, that game
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: against Navy last week, and they lost as big favorites,
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: And normally I would say when a team this is
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: a big favorite, they're gonna be embarrassed and bounced back
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: from it. But in this case, I don't know if
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: they're gonna bounce back from it. Man. I think they're
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: kind of a dead team now. After that loss to Navy.
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: They're going to UAB here, second straight road game. UAB
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: doesn't have anything to really play for left except this
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: is their senior day. They lost bad last week against
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: North Texas, so I think UAB will show up because
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: it is senior day, it is against South Florida. Has
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: been in you know, the playoff talks this year, so
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: it makes more sense to look towards UAB in this one.
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: Money is agreeing with that South Florida off from twenty
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: one to twenty one and a half, sixty two percent
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on South Florida, sixty five percent of
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: the cash on UAB. I agree with that. I would
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: take the points with UAB if I was gonna play it.
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: I do think South Florida is probably in the dream
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: crusher mode there and on what's up? Thanks for hanging out? Okay,
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: what else do we have here in Michigan State and Iowa?
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, Iowa might be in a little bit of
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: a somewhat of a dream crusher as well, man, because
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna make the Big Ten Championship anymore. They
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: just had to go out to the Pacific Coast, and
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: now they're coming off two huge performances against Oregon and
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: USC almost able to win each of those games, and
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: instead they lost both. Now they're pretty much done. They
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: do already have Bowl eligibility, so that's not gonna be
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: a factor. Nebraska up next, probably gonna be a bigger
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: game for them. They probably won't care about Michigan State
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: very much. Michigan State's still looking for their first Big
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: Ten victory and they're just playing out the stretch, although
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: they do have their Senior Day up next week against Maryland. Man,
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I mean this is this
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: is still technically Iowa's Senior Night year, so maybe they
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: will show up for for that reason or Senior Day.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: I struggle to kind of see the motivation for Iowa
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: here though it's a low total, because of course it's Iowa.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: They almost all defense, even though their offense is improved
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: this year. I was laying seventeen points when it's total
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: of forty two and a half. Though, you know, I
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: like to take the points when it's a high total
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of tickets only seventy three percent of
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: the cash on Iowa, and again flying back from the
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: Pacific Coast difficult as well, so I would take the
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: points with Michigan State, although Michigan State has let me
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: down more than once this year, so I don't want
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: to deal with it. Duke at North Carolina a huge
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: rivalry game here. Duke Duke could be in a dream
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: crusher here too. Man. I mean, I guess they technically
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: are not totally eliminated from getting into the ACC Championship,
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: but they almost are. I mean, they had to win
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: that game pretty much against Virginia last week and they
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: took the loss. That's ugly, dude. Now they're gonna go
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: on the road. I mean, they might still show up
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: because it is North Carolina. It is a rivalry game.
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: But North Carolina I think is probably gonna be more
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: motivated here because they've just had a bad season. But
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: they can actually still make a bowl if they win
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: these last two games here and this is the senior
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: day and it's against Duke. They're coming up an ugly
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: loss last week to Wake Forest, another North Carolina team,
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: where I thought Wake was gonna be in a bad
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: spot there because Wake had played I believe a close
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: game against Virginia the week before that. U UNC did
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: not do well in that game. Of though their offense
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: is their defense, excuse me, has been better recently, but yeah,
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, I worry about the motivation for Duke, man.
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, they might still show up because it's a rivalry,
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: but that's kind of the only reason that I see
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: Duke showing up. Duke got from six and a half
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: to seven to fifty one percent of tickets on Duke,
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of the cash coming back on North
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: Carolina and the money's coming in on UNC. I would
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: agree with that. It's barely a road game. I mean
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: it still is though, like I mean, it matters more
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: in basketball, But like, would you say that about basketball?
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: Would you? Would you say that, like UNC and basketball
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: has no home advantage just because Duke is twenty minutes away,
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: And don't it's not twenty to thirty minutes, right, I
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: think it's a couple of hours, isn't it. Maybe I'm
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: wrong about that, but no, I mean I still think
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: there is some form of home advantage there, and I
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: think Duke is laying way too many points on the
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: road there as well. So yeah, I would take the
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: points with North Carolina in that game. That one is,
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's a decently strong opinion for me, by
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: the way I mean that one. I would definitely consider
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State at FIU. Jacksonville State coming up that huge
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: win man over Kennesaw and Western Kentucky is the team
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: it's closest to Jacksonville State in the Conference USA standings,
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: and that's who they finished the season against in their
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: senior day, So it's very likely Jacksonville State will be
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: in the CUSA Championship. I mean, I guess technically they
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: still want to win this game because there is still
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: a chance they don't make it into that game. But
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: I think FIU is gonna be way more motivated here. FIU,
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: this is a team that hasn't been in a bowl
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: since like probably pre covid BS, Like they probably haven't
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: been to a bowl I would guess since like twenty
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: nineteen somewhere in that range, and they can get to
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: a bowl with one more win. So I like FIU
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: in this one. This is also their senior night. One
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: issue that maybe I would have with this is they're
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: coming off a big win over Liberty, and that's always
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: big beating Liberty in Conference USA, So I would I
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: would look towards FIU in this one. And it also
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: is gonna look really strange that FIU is a favorite here,
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: Like why would FIU at five and five be a
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: favorite against Jacksonville State who is seven and three, right,
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: like it's picked the winner. Also, like getting a point
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: with Jacksonville State almost looks way too easy to take
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State. I would lay it with FIU or play
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: the money line on FIU. Fifty eight percent of the
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: tickets only fifty one percent of the cash on Jacksonville State.
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would play FIU in that one man.
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: That one's close to a play for me as well.
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: It's just that Jacksonville State still probably has some motivation there,
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: but so does FIU. So I like fu in that
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: one seventeen minutes. That doesn't sound right. I've never been there,
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: but even so, I mean, I would not discount the
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: home advantage there. Southern Miss at South Alabama, Southern Miss
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: atop the sun Belt West, so they got to finish
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: off the sun Belt West to get into the sun
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: Belt Championship and then likely lose it to James Madison.
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: But Southern Miss on the road here after taking the
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: loss their first conference loss to Texas State last week,
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: that was the game I gave out a lean on
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: Texas State. I wish I made it a play man.
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: Texas State probably was, like probably even still the most
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: underrated team in college football. Texas State has lost so
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: many games in which they were favored. They're way better
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: than the record looks, and they really caught Southern Miss.
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss that could give them a hangover effect after
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: losing for the first time in a long time, and
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: they do have Troy next, and Troy is the only
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: team that can really catch them in the sun Belt West. Although, yeah,
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: if Southern Miss wins this game, then they'll clinch their
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: birth in the Sun Belt Championship, I believe. But if
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: they lose, I mean, it's gonna put pressure on them
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: if they lose, though, because they'll have to beat Troy,
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: assuming that Troy wins. Oh, no, Troy already, No Troy.
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: I didn't play yet this week. They lost for US
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: last week against Old Dominion. But I still like South
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: Alabama in this one. And people are gonna look at
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: this and see, wait a minute, South Alabama is favored
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: even though they are three and seven team and Southern
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: Miss is seven and three and they've only lost once
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: in the sun Belt. It looks so easy to play
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: the Southern Miss side here man getting points. I want
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: to do it. I would take South Alabama. You can
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: get them maybe at a pick them price, money line whatever.
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: Fifty four percent of the tickets on Southern Miss, fifty
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on South Alabama money coming
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: into the South Alabama side. That one is a decent
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: lean for me as well. There. I like South Alabama
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: in that one. Big Papa, not big Poppy. What are
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: we talking about. Don't go into anything that's called a triangle, man,
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: you'll disappear a Hurricanes fan. What are we talking about? Miami? Who? Wait? What?
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: I don't know what we're talking about? Jacksonville State. I
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: expect them to lose that game though, at Pitbull Stadium,
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: which I think is fi use home stadium. East Carolina
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: and UTSA. East Carolina coming off a big win, Man,
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: they beat Memphis on Senior Night last week, this could
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: be a letdown spot for them coming off of that.
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: The only thing that gives me hesitation is they could
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: still make the American Championship Games, so that might cause
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: them to not be let down here. But they're going
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: to UTSA and UTSA needs one more win to become
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: Bowl eligible again. Although they're basically usually in a bowl.
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: I would say, but it is. He's not their senior
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: day though, because they do play Army next week. But
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: this UTSA team is a lot better at home. I mean,
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: we saw them. They got that win for US at
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: home against Tulane, A nice win for UTSA there. They
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: run the ball really well at home. They play really
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: well in the Alamo Dome there. They're coming off an
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: easy win over Charlotte, so they did not have to
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: put in a huge effort last week like hold on
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: like East Carolina did. So Yeah, I would take the
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: points with Texas San Antonio and this one I was
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: gonna play it. Uh. The only hesitation is the East
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: Carolina still kind of needs to show up because they're
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: trying to make the American Championship Game. East Carolina down
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: from three to two and a half, seventy nine tickets
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of the cash on Texas San Antonio,
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: which is the way I would lean in that one.
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: All right, what other games are there that are of note? Here?
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: We're almost gonna we're about to get to my plays,
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: I think here, man. I mean, Troy still needs to win,
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: like to try to get into like their only shot
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: basically at getting into the Sunbell Championship is that they're
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: gonna have to win this week. It is Senior Night
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: or Southern Miss needs to lose this week and Troy
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: would have to beat Southern Miss on the road next week,
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: which is probably not gonna happen, but it is Senior
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: Night for them. They're coming off that ugly thirty three
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: to nothing lost, which was a loss for us on
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: the show that was bad against Old Dominion last week,
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: or that might have been two weeks ago. Actually, hang
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: on Troy, it was yeah, like the prior Thursday. So
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: they've had like nine days off here, so they've had
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 1: extra time off to prepare for this. I do expect
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: Troy to probably get this one done. Georgia State has
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: been awful and they really have nothing left to play
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: for after they lost their Senior Night to a Marshall.
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean it would probably be Troy or
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: pass here. But the money's coming in on Georgia State
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: and the public does know Troy to need to win
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: this game. Leanth ten with Troy doesn't seem like something
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: I really want to do down for twelve and a
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: half to ten, fifty six percent of tickets on them,
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash on the Georgia State side
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 1: there though, But I mean, Troy, they have reason to
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: show up there in Georgia State doesn't really, So that's
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: kind of the issue with that one. We got to
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: talk about Nebraska because that is z That is your team,
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: right or is it Nate, which which one of you
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: is the Nebraska fan, both of you. I don't even
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: remember Nebraska. I don't like the spot for Nebraska here, man,
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: They're going to Penn State here. Nebraska has had that
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: big game two weeks ago at UCLA where that was
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: the injured players spot with Ryola had gotten injured and
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: Latif made his first start, and I think they got
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: really pumped up for Latif because he was returning to
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: his home state there in California. Latif is from the
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: LA area, Nate, that's your team. Yeah, So I think
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: Nebraska's in a bad spot here man. I mean they
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: had that pump up with Latif that was the injured
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: player spot. Now, not only are they in the game
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: off of the injured player spot, which I always talk
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: about how there's usually a letdown of some kind after
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: that because they played really well for that injured player.
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: And in this case, they think it's even more exacerbated
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 1: because they had to go to the Pacific Coast. It
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: was his hometown, huge thing. They got the win and
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: they went into a bye. Now, so they think that
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: buy can like disrupt their momentum a lot A lot
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: of the time. They gotta go to Penn State. I
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: mean they might focus on it just because it is
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: the name Penn State. They do have Iowe next, which
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 1: is kind of considered to be that rivalry game and
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: rivalry week, but this is Penn State senior night man.
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: And this has been a bad, bad season for Penn State,
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 1: which we know. But they finally got a win against
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 1: Michigan State, a big ten win finally for Penn State.
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna get that monkey off their back. That
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: can kind of play loose here. They can actually still
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: make a bowl, though I don't think they really care
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: about that because Penn State had championship aspiration this year
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: meant so I don't think they really care about making
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: a bowl, but they could do it if they win
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: the last two games, which is certainly possible. I would
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: lay it with Penn State in this one. All of
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: the money's coming in. Otherwise, I think it's a bad
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: spot for Nebraska. And for Nebraska, I mean, they're not
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: going anywhere now. They got three conference losses, so they're
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: in a bowl already. They just I don't really see
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: where the motivation is gonna come from other than the
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: name Penn State. So Penn State down from ten to
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: eight by the way, fifty four percent of tickets, seventy
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on Nebraska. Ryola is
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: not coming back, So there's no real reason for that
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: line to have dropped like that. So I don't know, man,
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: it's gonna look like the public's not really gonna want
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: I would think they're not gonna want Penn State because
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 1: why would you want a four and sixteen with one
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: conference win laying eight points to a seven and three team.
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 1: It just looks totally bizarre for that to be the case, right,
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: So very misleading looking spread there. I would lay it
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: with Penn State if I was gonna play that one. Zach,
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: you're the Notre Dame, Notre Dame fan and a Royals fan.
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: All right, there you go. I'm all confused, man, I apologize.
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: All right, New Mexico air Force because you guys ask
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: me about this line. Here, pretty simple explanation. Where is
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: New Mexico. That's New Mexico State. I mean, I know
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: I know where New Mexico is as a hold on,
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 1: what the hell? I know where New Mexico is is
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: a state. But yeah, the line's gone up from a
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: pick them to three and a half. But the money's
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 1: coming back against them seventy four percent of the tickets
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 1: only fifty seven percent of the cash on New Mexico.
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: The reason for the line move is Air Force's quarterback
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: is hurt and they don't even have a backup quarterback basically.
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: So Air Force. You might think, well, they don't need
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: their quarterback because they run the football all the time
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: because they're a service academy, but that's not true because
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: the quarterback like really dictates the offense. In the triple option,
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: the quarterback is still a huge part of it. The
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: quarterback also runs a lot. In the case with the
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: Air Force, they're actually throwing the ball a decent amount
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: this year too, and their quarterback going down. It's bad
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 1: because their backup quarterback is literally a full back. So
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be throwing the ball anymore,
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: and I think the defense is gonna know that that
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 1: they can just focus on the run. Air Force is
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: just gonna be running man like this quarterback that they
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: had not been there anymore. That's gonna take away the
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: air part of their game completely. Man, New Mexico, I
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: should have given it out as a play last week.
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: I thought New Mexico becoming Bowl eligible with a huge
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: win over UNLV. That was a big deal for New
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 1: Mexico because they haven't been to a bowl in a
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: long time. So I thought it was a bad spot
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: for them, letdown spot against Colorado State. I was correct.
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: New Mexico didn't even come close to covering. They were
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: fourteen point favorites. Ugly game only one twenty to seventeen.
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: I just don't know what New Mexico's motivation is gonna
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: be here, man. Just like I said last week, like
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 1: New Mexico, I mean, I guess technically they can make
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 1: the Mountain West title games. So I guess that's it.
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: If a lot of things fall their way. I guess
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: they could do that, which is insane to think about,
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 1: but that's basically it. They do have San Diego State
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: in their final game, which is gonna be a bigger game,
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: but for air Force, they're gonna become very one dimensional.
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: So I don't really want air Force here. The Air
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 1: Force is traveling back from having to go to Yukon though,
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: so it's kind of a bad travel spot having to
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: travel back from Yukon there. Zarka was their quarterback and
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: he's now hurt man. So that's not good for them,
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: like I said, but coming back from the East a
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: little bit difficult for them too, although this is gonna
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: be senior day for them, so maybe air Force will
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: show up for that reason. It looks like at the
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: higher number the money is coming in on air Force
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: because it is technically the injured player spot for air Force.
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: Or maybe the team will step up their game knowing
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: that their quarterback is hurt. They'll come out with some
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: effort in this game. So that is the concern if
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: you try to fade air Force here, So you know
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: that nice. I still think New Mexico might not be
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: totally motivated there either, even though yes, they could potentially
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: make the conference championship, which Boise could still make it too,
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: and they're playing Colorado State Boise. I was wrong, one
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: of you guys. I was on San Diego State last week,
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 1: sob maybe I don't know. I did not agree with it.
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 1: I was an injured player spot for Boise. Boise. Their
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 1: offense is just awful without Madson, Man, I don't know
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: what to tell you. It was bad. They lost to
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: San Diego State, but Boise, I mean they could still
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 1: potentially make them Mountain West title game. Man. I mean,
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: they're not going to make the playoff or anything like that,
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: but this is going to be their senior day. It's
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 1: a much much weaker opponent here in Colorado State. Colorado
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: State did just play really well as a big underdog
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: last week against New Mexico. Now second straight road game,
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 1: you know. And then Colorado State does have air Force next, which,
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 1: by the way, I should have mentioned that when I
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: talked about air Force too. That is a rivalry game
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: because both teams are in colorad Rado, all right, But yeah,
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 1: in this game, I don't know, man. I mean, Boise's
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: up from seventeen to seventeen with juice seventy percent of tickets,
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: only sixty six percent of the cash on them. It's
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: a low total at forty five and a half. I
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: don't like laying points with a low total. The money
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: is saying to fade Boise State. But I don't know, man,
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: I might even lean towards laying the points with Boise
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: in that game. I don't want to touch it at all,
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: but I mean they might still come out with some
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 1: motivation there just because of the way that thing sets up.
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: And then we do have North Texas. They could potentially
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: get into the College Football Playoff. They need to keep
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 1: winning and they're trying to make the American Championship as well,
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: so they got to keep their foot on the gas.
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: They're going to play Rice here for North Texas though,
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: coming up another blowout win against UAB though, so I mean,
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, a second straight road game. Rice
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: probably will show up because Rice could make a bowl
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: I think for the first time in quite a while.
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I'd have to go back and look,
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: I don't remember when the last time they were in
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 1: a bowl was. I think it's been quite a while.
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: And this is senior Day for Rice, so this does matter.
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 1: You know, they're gonna show up against North Texas and Rice.
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: They're running this weird triple option thing, which North Texas
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: they've seen the triple option already this year, though they
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: did beat Navy, so that's like the end beat Army
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: as well, so they've beaten both of them, although they
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: kind of struggled with Army. But Rice, I don't think
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: they're as good at the triple option as those two teams,
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: but at least North Texas has seen up before, so
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: they won't be totally thrown off by it. Although when
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: you're an underdog at home and the fact that you
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: run the football, that's not too bad. So I would
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: still take the points with Rice. Yeah, for all those reasons.
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 1: Eighty six percent of tickets, eighty one percent of the
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 1: cash on North Texas up from seventeen and a half
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: to eighteen. Yeah, I think Rice. I mean, with their
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 1: triple option attack, they could potentially keep that game within reach.
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky and LSU is a very weird game because
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky they don't need the game. I mean, it's
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: insane to think that Western Kentucky might not show up
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: when they're playing LSU. But they might not because they
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: do have Jacksonville State next and Western Kentucky this is
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: a non conference game, so it doesn't affect their Conference
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: USA standing. Their ability to win the Conference USA kind
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 1: of comes down to next week against Jacksonville State. So
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: there's a possibility that Western Kentucky just doesn't want to
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 1: like get themselves injured or do anything in this LSU game,
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: which sounds insane, but that's true. And for LSU, I mean,
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: they're a deflated team now too, right because they're not
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: going anywhere. They're already Bowl eligible because they got the
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: win last week against Arkansas. This is senior night. But
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: I just don't really pretend. I don't really see LSU
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: caring about this game either, so I don't think either
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: team is gonna care. Total, I mean, the lines up
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 1: from twenty one and a half to twenty two, eighty
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets, eighty nine percent of the cash
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: on LSU. Maybe that's the thought of the betters too,
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 1: is that Western Kentucky doesn't care about this game. I
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: would probably lay it with LSU. I would probably agree
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: with that, but I think an over might be the
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: way to look. Although the total has gone through the
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: key number fifty one to fifty one and a half here, Yeah,
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man seventy tickets ninety six percent of
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over, so the money is coming
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: in towards the over. Yeah, I agree with the over,
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: just because both teams like they just might not give
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: a full effort on defense. So that's that all right.
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: And then yeah, Washington UCLA. I mean, I don't know
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 1: if I have a ton to say about this. Washington's
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 1: definitely the better team, not a whole lot to play
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: for for either team, though, Washington having to travel now
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: down to UCLA, and Washington does have Oregon next, which
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 1: is the big rivalry game, the former Pac twelve rivalry
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: that they had their Ucla. This is senior night for
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: them though, but they are flying back from Ohio State
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: and they got blasted by Ohio State. Their rivalry game
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: is next week against UCLA. So I don't know. It
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: all depends on which team you think is gonna have more.
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: I mean that's what we try to gauge motivation here,
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 1: and I just don't know how to gauge the motivation
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: in this one. I mean, if you think both teams
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: might show up here, then maybe you want to lay
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: it with Washington because they are the better team. They're
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: laying ten and a half on the road. Now. It's
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: up from the key number of ten, but it was
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: already juiced above the ten. But I mean, if you
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 1: can find ten still, I mean, that would probably be
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 1: the way I would go. I don't think it's gonna
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 1: come back though, because the public is on Washington too,
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of tickets eighty one percent of the
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 1: cash though, so it looks like public and the actual
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 1: money all on the Washington side. Don't have a whole
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: lot else to say about that, though, I mean I'd
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: lean to Washington slightly there though Fresno, I mean Fresno,
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think they're this good, but they're
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: in the mix for potentially getting into the Mountain West Championship.
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: They're hosting Utah State here. It is their senior Night, Fresno.
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: It is for Fresno. Yeah, they're gonna keep trying to
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: win Man because they're trying to get into the Mountain
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 1: West Championship in Utah State. It's gonna be a big
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: deal if they make a bowl first year with the
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: Bronco Menden Hall there, I think, because Utah State hasn't
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: made a Bowl for quite a while either, I don't think,
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: and they could make win this year with one more win,
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: so I think they're gonna show up too. However, they're
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: coming off a big game where they took UNLV to
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 1: doublet last week and they fell short lost the game,
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: so it might be difficult to bounce back up off
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: the mat after that. Man and they do a boise
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: at home to finish off the season in their senior Night.
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: But this is a more winnable game though, because Fresno's
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: just not that good, so Utah State might show up
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: because of the Bowl eligibility thing. Fresno's two and a
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 1: half point favorite here almost three. If you can get
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: three on Utah State, I would consider taking the three
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: with the Utah State sixty percent of the tickets on
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 1: Fresno but sixty two percent of the cash on Utah State,
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: so the money coming in on the Utah State side,
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: I would agree with that. I agree with you, tas State.
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: I just don't think Fresno is that good, even though yes,
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: they're probably gonna still show up because they're trying to
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: make the championship game. But yeah, a money line parlay
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: with three or two teams, I mean, I generally I
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: recommend against parlays, like if you're actually trying to win
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: money long term, because the books never give you like
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: good enough odds on the parlays. But if you want
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: to do it, you know, if we're like recreational or whatever,
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 1: man a money line parlay, that's difficult because I wouldn't
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 1: recommend like including some of my plays that I'm gonna
• 1:56:35
  Speaker 1: give out here, because some of mine are huge underdogs
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 1: but I would say Kansas because it's a small line.
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: You could all right, I would do let's do this,
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: Florida International. Put Florida International in it because they're right
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 1: around a pick com so you could do that. South
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 1: Alabama and Man Kansas. Maybe because I do let Kansas,
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: I gave them as one of my plays. Maybe those three. Yeah,
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't recommend parlaying anything though generally. Yeah,
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: so Blazers and Bruins both hit. Yeah. So we started
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: off real bad today with those two losses in college basketball,
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: but I think every other game won. So I'll take
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: it if you got the best numbers on those two
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 1: razor thin edges there. Those two basketball games, all right,
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: San Jose State, San Diego State, because sab I think
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 1: you have San Jose State here. San Jose State. They're
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: coming off getting absolutely embarrassed by Nevada man last week
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: fifty five to ten, and I pointed out it was
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: worse than it. I mean, it wasn't good. I mean
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: Nevada somehow outgained them by like almost two hundred yards
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: I think, so you know, it wasn't totally misleading, but
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: it was still kind of misleading because San Jose State
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: had a ton of turnovers in the game. It was
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 1: just an embarrassing game, and it was the most embarrassing
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 1: loss they've had in quite some time. So I think
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 1: they're gonna show up. Maybe they're already looking ahead here,
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: so I do lean to San Jose State in this one.
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 1: I think they're going to show up. They're going to
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 1: try to spoil the party for San Diego State. San
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: Diego State is the worst coming off a big win
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: against Poising that was a huge win. However, this is
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: their senior night and San Jose san Diego State, you know,
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 1: they are still trying to make the conference championship game,
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: although they're the team in the best position to do so.
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, Man, it's gonna be kind of
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: difficult at New Mexico next week, so they do still
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: want to win this game. So that's kind of my
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 1: hesitation is that it's senior night and you're looking at
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 1: a San Diego State team that still needs to keep
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 1: winning to make sure that they make the conference title games.
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: That's my hesitation with it, although I do still agree
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: with taking the points with San Jose State. San Diego
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 1: State's I'm from eleven and a half to twelve, eighty
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets, eighty six percent of the cash
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 1: for now. But I do think if you take San
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 1: Jose State, you're definitely fading the public. The public's not
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: gonna wint anything to do with San Diego State, and
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 1: they are more of a defensive team than an offensive team,
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: so that makes it better to take the points against
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 1: them as well. So yep, that's what I would do.
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 1: All right, let's do this best bets. I kind of
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 1: want to go get water. I don't know if I
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 1: want to leave you guys hanging. Though we've already given
• 1:59:22
  Speaker 1: out Kansas. I'm gonna give about three more plays here.
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 1: The next one up is going to be somebody already
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: mentioned this that they called them Delaware State. It's not
• 1:59:31
  Speaker 1: Delaware State. It's Delaware. We're gonna play Delaware plus the
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: points you can get eighteen. Now it's seventeen and a
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 1: half year eighteen not really a huge difference. But we're
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 1: gonna fade wake Forest here. First of all, Wake Forest,
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're not good offensively, so you're asking I mean,
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 1: their offense is offensive to me, but you're asking this
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: pretty weak wake offense to cover this huge number right away.
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: I don't like that, so I'm gonna start looking towards
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: taking the points. The totals down to forty nine and
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 1: a half, so you're taking double digit points with a
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 1: pretty low toed. Also, you know, I like that too
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: because the points are worth more. I know we have
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 1: seventy seven percent takes ninety one percent of the cash
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: on Wake for now, But I think you might see
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 1: those lines shift around a little bit, or those percentages,
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 1: I mean shift around a little bit by the time
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 1: the game kicks off, because I think this this spot
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 1: is all Delaware, man, and this is on the ACC
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 1: Network if you really want to watch this game at
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 1: noon Eastern for Delaware, they had a bad loss last week.
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 1: Dude really ugly lost to him Sam Houston. I mean,
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: come on, man, Sam Houston was a one win team.
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 1: There were a zero win team two weeks ago, and
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: they're still so bad that Delaware was a thirteen and
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite of this game and they lost
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 1: the game. So you know, I talk about when a
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: team loses a game like that, they're gonna show up
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 1: with a lot of effort in their next game. And
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 1: they lose. Is a huge favorite, and you got to
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 1: look into the box score, like why did they lose
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 1: this game? It's because they had three turnovers. That was
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: a big reason why they outgained s Uston by like
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: eighty yards. They had more first downs, they had more
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 1: time of possessions. So really the reason they lost was
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 1: they were minus three in turnovers. Sloppy play from Delaware,
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 1: So that's definitely something you can correct. You could fix that.
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: They're gonna show up for a game against Wake, you know,
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, like it's gonna be a big game for
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 1: them because it's an ACC team. Man, I mean Delaware,
• 2:01:22
  Speaker 1: I mean they played one other Power conference team. I
• 2:01:25
  Speaker 1: know they lost badly, but it was their second game
• 2:01:27
  Speaker 1: of the year, was their it was their first FBS game.
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 1: It was their first FBS versus FBS game because Delaware
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: is new to FBS this year, so and they had
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 1: to go to high elevation to Colorado. That was bad.
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be an easier spot, man, because Delaware
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 1: is just going down to North Carolina here, So I
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: think that's better for them. They're gonna get up for it.
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 1: They're also a more experienced team now because they played
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: in an entire season, so they won't be intimidated at
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: this point. And I mean they did already beat Yukon
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 1: right after the Colorado games. That was a win for
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 1: them against a team that's gonna be in the bowls Yukon.
• 2:02:04
  Speaker 1: For Delaware this is gonna mean something if they can
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 1: become Bowl eligible man, because they'd have to petition to
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 1: actually get in because they're in the transition period technical
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: because they're new to FBS. But if they get six
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 1: wins and there aren't enough bowl teams to fill the slots,
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: they can petition the NCAA and they can still get
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 1: into a bowl. So getting that six win is gonna
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: be big for them. So for that reason, I think
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 1: they're gonna show up. Uh and for Wake, I think
• 2:02:30
  Speaker 1: this is a bad spot for Wake as well. On
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 1: the other side of things, Wake, by the way, remember
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 1: the other Conference USA team they played to start the
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: season was Kenna Saw and Wake only beat them ten
• 2:02:40
  Speaker 1: to nine. So Wake has had some really ugly offensive performances,
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 1: even against some much inferior teams. So now they're playing
• 2:02:49
  Speaker 1: another team from that same conference, So that's not a
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 1: good sign for Wake. Wake's offense has not been doing well.
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: Man but look at what Wake is coming off of now.
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 1: I just don't know if Wake really has a whole
• 2:02:59
  Speaker 1: lot to play at this point, man, because they're already
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 1: Bowl eligible, which is big. They haven't been to a
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 1: Bowl for a while, but they already have seven wins,
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: so that's not in question anymore. And they're coming off
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 1: two huge wins. They went on the road, they beat Virginia,
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 1: who was ranked in Virginia still in the mixed win
• 2:03:16
  Speaker 1: the ACC here. That was a big win for Wake.
• 2:03:19
  Speaker 1: And then what do they do? Last week? They played
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: North Carolina, who they considered to be a bigger brother
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: in the state of North Carolina. That was a big
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 1: game for Wake. So that was one thing I didn't
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 1: consider when I said that I leaned to North Carolina
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 1: last week. I should have thought about that more strongly.
• 2:03:35
  Speaker 1: I didn't give it out as a play, but I
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 1: thought North Carolina would cover because I thought Wake was
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 1: kind of in a letdown of for Virginia. But I
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 1: forgot North Carolina is a huge deal for Wake because
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 1: they're one of the bigger brothers in North Carolina. Oh
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 1: and by the way, guess who else is a bigger
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 1: brother in the state of North Carolina. Oh yeah, that
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 1: would be the team that Wake is playing next Duke
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: to finish the season. So Wake is in a North
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: Carolina pulled pork barbecue sandwich here. Man, there's your barbecue
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 1: reference right here. Even though this is senior night for Wake,
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 1: this is the one I talked about wrou. I'm fading
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 1: a team on senior night. This is one of the
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: rare or senior day because it's twelve pm. So I
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: think senior night, when it's night, it actually becomes more
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: rowdy because everybody's drunk in the crowd. But when it's
• 2:04:20
  Speaker 1: new and I think the game actually becomes less crazy.
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 1: But because they're facing a Conference USA team here, I
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: just think they're not gonna have full focus, man, coming
• 2:04:29
  Speaker 1: of all these big wins. Again, they can't make the
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 1: a SEC title game or anything like that. Wig's focus
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 1: is gonna be on Duke next week. Man, So I
• 2:04:37
  Speaker 1: think the game means way more to Delaware. I think
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 1: it means almost nothing to Wake. So we're gonna take
• 2:04:43
  Speaker 1: the points with Delaware there. I like how that one
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 1: sets up. So Delaware plus the points seventeen and a
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: half is I'm gonna finish it off, man, I'm gonna
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 1: power through, Thank you, sir, Yes, sir, definitely do a
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: lot of research. Yeah, you like seeing UNC lose. I
• 2:05:02
  Speaker 1: like seeing them lose just because I hate Bill Belichick,
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 1: so I want to see him lose all the time.
• 2:05:07
  Speaker 1: And that probably means I'm a Patriot fan once again,
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 1: because I hated the Patriots with Bill Belichick, loved them
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 1: before that because I'm from Boston. Now I might root
• 2:05:16
  Speaker 1: for the Patriots again because it means being against Bill
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 1: Belichick because he's basically like screwing over Drake May, basically
• 2:05:23
  Speaker 1: saying that his name can't even be uttered at North Carolina.
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 1: All right, next up another I mean these are all
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 1: huge motivational plays, man, That's what I do. Here, we're
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 1: gonna take Baylor plus the points. It's six and a
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 1: half right now, but I would say, if you weigh
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 1: on this, you might be able to get seven. Here.
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 1: This is against Arizona, so actually we're fading Arizona on
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: Senior Day too. I think so be that as it may.
• 2:05:49
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is bad for Arizona, which I'll
• 2:05:52
  Speaker 1: explain in a second. Fifty nine percent of the tickets
• 2:05:54
  Speaker 1: are on Arizona, seventy three percent of the cash on Baylor.
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 1: I know it's a high total at sixty two. Usually
• 2:06:00
  Speaker 1: I don't like taking the points of the high total,
• 2:06:03
  Speaker 1: but in this case, I'm gonna do it. The money
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 1: is agreeing with me. On the Baylor side here again,
• 2:06:08
  Speaker 1: I would wait because there's no difference between six and
• 2:06:10
  Speaker 1: a half and six. So the key number of seven, man,
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 1: that is key. So if you can get seven, even
• 2:06:14
  Speaker 1: if it's juiced a little bit, that's what I'm gonna
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 1: be looking for the plus seven, so hopefully I can
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: score it at seven. The spot for Arizona is bad, dude.
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: This is at one pm. Kind of a weird time
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 1: for one of the college games on TNT. Arizona they
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 1: just beat ranked Cincinnati last week as an underdog. Man,
• 2:06:35
  Speaker 1: so I wasn't sure what Arizona was gonna do because
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 1: Arizona actually became bowl eligible the game before that against Kansas,
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: and Arizona did not make a bowl last year, so
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 1: becoming bowl eligible was pretty big for Arizona. But they
• 2:06:50
  Speaker 1: went in and they beat ranked Cincinnati, so that was
• 2:06:52
  Speaker 1: a nice big upset for Arizona. Six and a half
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 1: point underdogs there, Arizona was able to get the win
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 1: not totally misleading. They outgained Cincinnati, outplayed them, but it
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 1: was a big win. Nice big game for them. Now
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 1: they got Baylor. But up next, Arizona has their huge
• 2:07:09
  Speaker 1: rivalry game against Arizona State, and it's gonna matter more
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 1: to Arizona because look at what Arizona State did to
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 1: them last year. Man, in the rivalry week at Arizona,
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 1: Arizona State came into Arizona and beat them forty nine
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: to seven, massively embarrassing. You gotta think Arizona's gonna remember that,
• 2:07:27
  Speaker 1: and Arizona's gonna want to repay the favor. They're going
• 2:07:30
  Speaker 1: to Arizona State, So you know Arizona's gonna be looking
• 2:07:33
  Speaker 1: ahead to that Arizona State game. Arizona, they can't make
• 2:07:36
  Speaker 1: the Big twelve championship or anything like that. I think
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 1: their goal this year was really just to make a
• 2:07:41
  Speaker 1: bowl game because they didn't really have high aspirations. They've
• 2:07:44
  Speaker 1: already done that. They're coming off an upset on the
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 1: road of a ranked opponent. I know this is senior Day,
• 2:07:49
  Speaker 1: but I just don't see it. Man. I think the
• 2:07:52
  Speaker 1: Arizona State game is gonna matter more to them and
• 2:07:55
  Speaker 1: for Baylor. I know Baylor is always in a bowl,
• 2:07:58
  Speaker 1: but they're still trying to get into a bowl. I mean,
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 1: they're five and five. I think they're still gonna be
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: motivated to do it. They're coming off an embarrassing loss
• 2:08:05
  Speaker 1: at home to Utah, so I think they're gonna get
• 2:08:08
  Speaker 1: overlooked because they look so bad last week. So that's
• 2:08:11
  Speaker 1: another thing. You know, the public like they shift their
• 2:08:14
  Speaker 1: perception week to weeks, so they're not gonna like what
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 1: Baylor looks like after that. But Utah is a punishing,
• 2:08:19
  Speaker 1: physical team, man, and Baylor is a finesse team. But
• 2:08:23
  Speaker 1: Arizona kind of is as well. This is gonna be
• 2:08:25
  Speaker 1: an easier matchup for Baylor here, man. I know, yeah,
• 2:08:29
  Speaker 1: they're going on the road here. I know Baylor does
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 1: have Houston to finish off the season at home, but
• 2:08:32
  Speaker 1: Baylor I expect motivation because they're gonna try to get
• 2:08:35
  Speaker 1: that sixth winstim try to redeem themselves from that loss.
• 2:08:39
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I like Baylor. I think it's a sandwich
• 2:08:42
  Speaker 1: spot for Arizona. I just don't see where the motivation
• 2:08:45
  Speaker 1: is gonna come from for Arizona. I think you're gonna
• 2:08:47
  Speaker 1: get a more motivated Baylor team is an underdog. That's
• 2:08:51
  Speaker 1: that one. I would wait to see if you can
• 2:08:53
  Speaker 1: get the seven though hopefully you can because Arizona, I
• 2:08:55
  Speaker 1: think will be They should be public enough that hopefully
• 2:08:58
  Speaker 1: the sevens will be up there some where. And finally,
• 2:09:01
  Speaker 1: this one is gonna be the oh Man. This one
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 1: is weird and the market read looked like it was
• 2:09:06
  Speaker 1: against me. But we're gonna go. Coastal Carolina plus twenty four.
• 2:09:10
  Speaker 1: This is a very very strange one, but I actually
• 2:09:14
  Speaker 1: like it. South Carolina. They're up to twenty four. Key
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 1: number at twenty four, so you got to try to
• 2:09:20
  Speaker 1: get the twenty four, maybe even twenty four and a
• 2:09:22
  Speaker 1: half if it shows up. Sixty two percent of tickets
• 2:09:25
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of the cash on South Carolina. So
• 2:09:28
  Speaker 1: right now it looks like the money coming in on
• 2:09:30
  Speaker 1: South Carolina, which I do not agree with. Coastal or
• 2:09:34
  Speaker 1: excuse me. The totals down to fifty, so the total
• 2:09:37
  Speaker 1: to drop a little bit, so you know, I like
• 2:09:39
  Speaker 1: taking points when it's a lower total. This total isn't
• 2:09:41
  Speaker 1: exactly high. South Carolina, by the way, their offense is
• 2:09:45
  Speaker 1: pretty putrid, so you're asking their offense to you know,
• 2:09:48
  Speaker 1: cover a huge number like this that doesn't seem great
• 2:09:52
  Speaker 1: to me, But I know Coastal Carolina. The one issue is,
• 2:09:56
  Speaker 1: like the numbers, guys will tell you the Coastal Carolina
• 2:09:59
  Speaker 1: is not as good as they look. So I mean, yeah,
• 2:10:01
  Speaker 1: I agree with that. I've been saying that all season
• 2:10:04
  Speaker 1: the Coastal Carolina is not as good as they look.
• 2:10:06
  Speaker 1: They're not the second best team even in their division
• 2:10:08
  Speaker 1: in the Sun Belt. But now this is a weird scenario.
• 2:10:11
  Speaker 1: Man Er Coastal Carolina. They're pretty much out of it
• 2:10:15
  Speaker 1: now in the Sun Belt because they only have one
• 2:10:16
  Speaker 1: more sun Belt game left against James Madison and they
• 2:10:20
  Speaker 1: can't do anything now because they're five and two. So
• 2:10:22
  Speaker 1: even if James Madison loses and drops to seven to one,
• 2:10:26
  Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina beating them next week, they could only become
• 2:10:29
  Speaker 1: six and two, you got what I'm saying, So JMU
• 2:10:32
  Speaker 1: would still be ahead of them, so Coastal cannot catch
• 2:10:37
  Speaker 1: them in the Sun Belt. So that's the thing Coastal Carolina.
• 2:10:40
  Speaker 1: That means what normally would be a huge game, Coastal's
• 2:10:44
  Speaker 1: senior game against James Madison that looked like it was
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 1: gonna be to determine the Sun Belt East, it doesn't anymore.
• 2:10:52
  Speaker 1: So now I think the bigger game is Coastal Carolina
• 2:10:54
  Speaker 1: playing in state big brother South Carolina. I think Coastal
• 2:10:58
  Speaker 1: Carolina is gonna want to get up for this game instead,
• 2:11:00
  Speaker 1: And I think the game against JMU is actually somewhat
• 2:11:03
  Speaker 1: meaningless now because they can't overtake them anymore. As crazy
• 2:11:07
  Speaker 1: as that sounds, Coastal is a little brother in the
• 2:11:11
  Speaker 1: state of South Carolina, so I think they are gonna
• 2:11:13
  Speaker 1: want to show up for this game against South Carolina,
• 2:11:16
  Speaker 1: where you know, normally they might Coastal might take it
• 2:11:19
  Speaker 1: a little bit more easily if they wanted to try
• 2:11:21
  Speaker 1: to beat James Madison. But now I don't think that's gonna,
• 2:11:25
  Speaker 1: you know, be what they're gonna do. South Carolina, They're done,
• 2:11:28
  Speaker 1: we know, other down the bottom of the SEC. They're
• 2:11:32
  Speaker 1: not going anywhere. They can't even become Bowl eligible now.
• 2:11:34
  Speaker 1: But look at what South Carolina's coming off of. Man,
• 2:11:37
  Speaker 1: they just went to Texas A and M was ranked
• 2:11:39
  Speaker 1: third in the country, still undefeated, and South Carolina all
• 2:11:43
  Speaker 1: but had them dead. If you remember what happened in
• 2:11:45
  Speaker 1: this game, South Carolina was beating Texas A and M
• 2:11:48
  Speaker 1: thirty to three at halftime, and then they lost the game.
• 2:11:53
  Speaker 1: This was a massive, massive performance with South Carolina, and
• 2:11:56
  Speaker 1: they had Texas A and M completely on the ropes
• 2:11:59
  Speaker 1: and then they lost game in the fourth quarter. And
• 2:12:03
  Speaker 1: by the way, they were playing the entire fourth quarter
• 2:12:05
  Speaker 1: down by one point, so they could have potentially still
• 2:12:07
  Speaker 1: won the game and they didn't do it. That's just brutal,
• 2:12:11
  Speaker 1: man Like, how does South Carolina get up after a
• 2:12:13
  Speaker 1: game like that? Like they treated that game like their
• 2:12:16
  Speaker 1: super Bowl. They thought they had to win. Everybody was
• 2:12:18
  Speaker 1: writing Texas A and M off when they were losing
• 2:12:20
  Speaker 1: thirty to three at halftime, and then South Carolina to
• 2:12:24
  Speaker 1: lose that game, I mean, that is just crazy. Now
• 2:12:28
  Speaker 1: they got Coastal, come on, man Like, I don't think
• 2:12:31
  Speaker 1: they're gonna focus on Coastal at all. And next week
• 2:12:33
  Speaker 1: South Carolina does have their rivalry game against Clemson, even
• 2:12:36
  Speaker 1: though Clemson might care about that game a little bit
• 2:12:38
  Speaker 1: more because South Carolina did beat Clemson in that game
• 2:12:41
  Speaker 1: last year, but still that's a big game for both teams.
• 2:12:45
  Speaker 1: I don't see South Carolina showing up here. This is
• 2:12:47
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot. It's a major hangover spot after what
• 2:12:50
  Speaker 1: they did in that last game. Man, I think they're
• 2:12:53
  Speaker 1: gonna fall completely flat in this one game means way
• 2:12:56
  Speaker 1: more to Coastal. I know Coastal's really bad and not
• 2:12:59
  Speaker 1: as good as their record looks. I know Coastal is
• 2:13:01
  Speaker 1: already Bowl eligible, but I mean they're a team that
• 2:13:05
  Speaker 1: makes the Bowl. Like recently, recent years, they're in Bowls
• 2:13:08
  Speaker 1: more often than they're not. Coastal. By the way, they
• 2:13:12
  Speaker 1: they took an ugly loss last week and that's why
• 2:13:14
  Speaker 1: they're out of the Sun Belt. So in a way
• 2:13:17
  Speaker 1: you could actually like say, well, that would be the
• 2:13:19
  Speaker 1: dream crusher, right because they lost to Georgia Southern last week,
• 2:13:22
  Speaker 1: So that means their dreams are crushed because they can't
• 2:13:25
  Speaker 1: vie for the Sun Belt. Now, yeah, that's true, they
• 2:13:28
  Speaker 1: can't win the Sun Belt anymore, but still they gotta
• 2:13:31
  Speaker 1: they get South Carolina, man, So I think they will
• 2:13:33
  Speaker 1: show up for it. I think this will be, like
• 2:13:36
  Speaker 1: you know, this will be essentially their Sun Belt championship
• 2:13:38
  Speaker 1: now because they can't get into the Sun Belt Championship,
• 2:13:41
  Speaker 1: I think gonna they're gonna want to show up and
• 2:13:43
  Speaker 1: stick it to South Carolina. So I think the motivation
• 2:13:46
  Speaker 1: lies all on the Coastal side. As far as I'm
• 2:13:49
  Speaker 1: reading that, we'll take the points with Coastal and that's
• 2:13:52
  Speaker 1: my final play, man, So hopefully that all makes sense.
• 2:13:57
  Speaker 1: You and Sea fans screaming in your ear. Yeah, they're
• 2:14:03
  Speaker 1: football talkers, man, That's what they are. Football screamers. One
• 2:14:08
  Speaker 1: angle for Penn State. Oh that's a good point. Yeah,
• 2:14:12
  Speaker 1: Matt Rule, I've forgotten to talk about that. There was
• 2:14:15
  Speaker 1: the questions about Matt Rule. Is he leaving? But now
• 2:14:19
  Speaker 1: he's not. Of course, he's staying at Nebraska. So I
• 2:14:21
  Speaker 1: think that helped Nebraska against UCLA because the questions were
• 2:14:25
  Speaker 1: coming in before that. I think that gave Nebraska some
• 2:14:28
  Speaker 1: stability before that UCLA games. Well, I forgot about that,
• 2:14:32
  Speaker 1: So the question marks around Rule weren't there anymore because
• 2:14:34
  Speaker 1: I think he had signed the extension right before that.
• 2:14:37
  Speaker 1: So yeah, oh yeah, but you're right, Penn State was
• 2:14:40
  Speaker 1: potentially getting Rule and now they're not going to So
• 2:14:43
  Speaker 1: Penn State, yeah, might be a little bit angry about
• 2:14:45
  Speaker 1: that too. So yeah, that's a good point. Sob you
• 2:14:50
  Speaker 1: like that as well. Yeah, South Carolina terrible spot. I agree.
• 2:14:54
  Speaker 1: And their game against Clemson is is that a neutral
• 2:14:57
  Speaker 1: site game or is that a or is that a
• 2:14:59
  Speaker 1: whole home game for them, because then if it's a
• 2:15:02
  Speaker 1: home game, that would be that would be their senior
• 2:15:04
  Speaker 1: day and this game wouldn't be. Although again I don't
• 2:15:06
  Speaker 1: know that they're gonna show up against Coastal anyway. Let
• 2:15:10
  Speaker 1: me see here. Yeah, that game is at South Carolina
• 2:15:13
  Speaker 1: against Clemson, so that's technically their senior night basically next
• 2:15:17
  Speaker 1: week two in the rivalry week. So yeah, thank you sir.
• 2:15:20
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we get them. I'll let's do it. That's gonna
• 2:15:23
  Speaker 1: do it for me. And once again the plays here. Man,
• 2:15:25
  Speaker 1: it's always so late at the end of the show.
• 2:15:28
  Speaker 1: We're gonna do h Delaware plus the seventeen and a
• 2:15:31
  Speaker 1: half Kansas plus three and a half Baylor. I said,
• 2:15:35
  Speaker 1: wait to see if you get the seven. You might
• 2:15:37
  Speaker 1: be able to get the seven, even if you have
• 2:15:38
  Speaker 1: to lay like minus one fifteen on it. It's such
• 2:15:41
  Speaker 1: a key number. I probably would do that, maybe even
• 2:15:43
  Speaker 1: up to about minus one twenty. Still would probably do
• 2:15:47
  Speaker 1: it at six and a half though, but I think
• 2:15:49
  Speaker 1: you'll probably be able to get the seven. I'll be
• 2:15:52
  Speaker 1: watching the market, and you know, whatever the best I
• 2:15:55
  Speaker 1: see out there, I'll I'll put it in the description
• 2:15:58
  Speaker 1: and score it that and then hostal carolineaup plus twenty four.
• 2:16:02
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Thank you, sir. Thanks to you
• 2:16:05
  Speaker 1: guys for all hanging out, the regulars the newcomers. I
• 2:16:08
  Speaker 1: appreciate it, man. Thanks everybody. Learn it tone on Twitter
• 2:16:12
  Speaker 1: and learn it tone on instagrams. You can get all
• 2:16:14
  Speaker 1: the stuff that I do there. The instagram is all
• 2:16:16
  Speaker 1: short form betting content, and then Twitter is a mix
• 2:16:20
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• 2:16:26
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• 2:16:28
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• 2:16:30
  Speaker 1: me out. Listen on audio and give me a good
• 2:16:33
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• 2:16:37
  Speaker 1: Covered in Yukes my yuke channel. Ukulelely covers man on YouTube,
• 2:16:42
  Speaker 1: so check that out as well. Patreon dot com slash
• 2:16:44
  Speaker 1: learned to town and you get some bonus yuke content.
• 2:16:47
  Speaker 1: There's a yuke Spotify feed there and at the highest
• 2:16:51
  Speaker 1: level requests for me, which Charles has done a couple
• 2:16:54
  Speaker 1: of times. I apologize by the way, I haven't looked.
• 2:16:56
  Speaker 1: I haven't looked at Patreon in a while. I know
• 2:16:58
  Speaker 1: I have to keep it up to date, my voice
• 2:17:00
  Speaker 1: I apologize to do. My voice has been so bad.
• 2:17:02
  Speaker 1: I just haven't been doing any covers. The last one
• 2:17:04
  Speaker 1: I did was that baritone Sawyer Hill one because I
• 2:17:07
  Speaker 1: could do his low voice. But it's because these shows
• 2:17:11
  Speaker 1: I think, I just oh man, I can feel it
• 2:17:15
  Speaker 1: in my voice. I just I over exert with my voice.
• 2:17:18
  Speaker 1: I get too excited. So maybe I don't know, I
• 2:17:20
  Speaker 1: gotta find a way to not do that. It's just
• 2:17:23
  Speaker 1: instinctually I just talk like that. So I don't know.
• 2:17:25
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Let's get some sleep. I gotta
• 2:17:27
  Speaker 1: get the audio up for this and I'll be back
• 2:17:29
  Speaker 1: tomorrow morning. College basketball is gonna be huge tomorrow too,
• 2:17:33
  Speaker 1: so that's gonna kill me. And then we are. We
• 2:17:35
  Speaker 1: do have NHL. There's a lot of NHL on Saturday too,
• 2:17:38
  Speaker 1: and some NBA, so oh god, oh no more requests.
• 2:17:46
  Speaker 1: All right, It's gonna take me a while, but I'll
• 2:17:49
  Speaker 1: try to do them. That's gonna do it for now.
• 2:17:52
  Speaker 1: Thanks guys, peace until tomorrow.