Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 34: Week 3 College Football Betting Preview

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Episode 34: Week 3 College Football Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

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Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, fans of all ages. It's your
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favorite time of the week. You might need to brace yourself and grab a
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cold beverage. Mark and Scott are ready to drop from college football betting knowledge
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on your gass. The boys are back and ready to help you find some
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angles to beat your book, impress your friends, and get you ready to
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enjoy the greatest sport on the planet. So sit back and enjoy, because
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we're damn happy to have you. Welcome to the Crazy Sheet. Ladies and
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gentlemen, boys and girls. That your favorite timel weeper and leaving your mind.
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You download the Crazy Sheets, you get some of a drinking on the
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job to work you up for a walk which you born a paper and your
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doggy dog who knows I'm Mark Armer the pot guessing studio and Scotty I could
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see your face and you're at home, brother, How the hell are you?
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Man? I'm good. We're just, you know, just getting ready
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and getting ready to go to start Vegas the land. Watch the tigers come
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to town. It'd be fun. I wanted to play a little golf on
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Friday with with with a with a friend slash customer and gonna gonna get gonna
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get it home on Saturday, so it should be should be fun. So
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before we dive into this week, Scott, if you have looked at this
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week, if you're excited about watching college football, the first thing you will
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notice is there are not very many more key games on the schedule this week.
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It is not a great week to watch TV, but it's a good
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week to gamble. I got a loaded board, Scotty, and I am
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excited about it. We are one week away before just about every team dives
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into full conference plate and there is going to be some interesting storylines built this
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year. I think after we saw what Texas did the BAMA last week,
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Florida State did the LSU the opening week, what Clemson has looked like so
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far, and by god a Friday, how about the Pac twelve looking good
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as they can? And man, did Jimbo Fisher fall off the mountain in
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just seven days after everybody thought he had that thing rolling. I don't even
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know where to start from last week, Mark, I'm well, I'm gonna
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start with Jimbo Fisher. I don't I don't know how you don't, Man,
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I was watching the first half of that game, and I truly fall
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man they they might blow them back. It was because they got sure Gass
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hand in that. And I will tell you I would love what play calling
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sure felt different in the second half of that football game. I would love
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to know who was calling place, but I don't think it's Bobby. The
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other thing that I've been surprised with is the defense. I mean, I
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know Elko left and we've made points about it because he's improved Duke vastly yea,
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but I think DJ Durkin as a coach, but it's just working.
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They got more talent than that. Yeah, get him up almost fifty.
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That's against anybody, really, I mean they defensively, they've got the talent
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and so yeah, that's gonna be interesting. I'm on the road to seven
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and a half and that one, baby, so I will be riding it
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to what my life to say is my favorite friends from college station. I
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like to refer to them as Texas eight and four, And as long as
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they get me there this year, we'll still catch that ticket. When some
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bets. University of Texas traveled over to Tuscaloose last week, got a big
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win against Bayam. The biggest loss they've had at home since two thousand and
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four, and Mike Schuler was a coach then. Speaking of of eight and
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four, Sarking four finds out how to lose four this year, and he
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he's gonna have to make a real effort. Man. That is that's a
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pretty good football team. Nobody in the country made more money than when you
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were. He needed a big football game. And I'm not talking about nil.
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I'm talking about in the NFL. That guy was about to be returning
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to Texas and likely hitting the portal again depending on what happened in the spring
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and with the development of Arch Manning. So I think that kid in that
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ball game and that one bomb he threw, I'm surprised it didn't make it
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rain. I mean that ball that made it upper deck hip. It looked
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like a punt. I mean, he's just lived that ball up there.
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But they looked like a legitimate football team. Man. I said this to
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somebody on Sunday, and I'll say it again for everybody to hear it.
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I don't care how good Nick Saban is. I don't care what his record
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is. If you think you're going to make that quarterback a drop back quarterback,
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you're being a dumbass ask and you're being hard headed. I don't care
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how good he is. That is a bad coaching decision. I agree say
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it. I agree, you know, and we talked about this. If
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you go back and you look at Bama's staff, of the coaches there,
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it's amazing how many of them are head coaches now. I mean, I
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mean or something. I mean, look at Bill O'Brien coach the NFL nice
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with the Patriots. Day Ball was there, Lane Kiffin was there, Sark
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was there, Kevin Steele, I mean, Kirby Smart, Mario Crystal Ball,
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Uh, I mean, Tosh Leepo was there. I mean, And
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so I think personally with Bama, you and I talked about this before we
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go on. I don't think Bama's roster's bad. Bama's roster is good.
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I don't think they have a quarterback to run the explosive offense that they've been
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running. I think they need to go back to more of a Philip Sims
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style offense because he is a good athlete and he can run the rock.
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And defensive and defensively, I think this team can play. I mean,
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but the Texas team we took them on our podcast of the Big Twelve preview
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to win the Big Twelve, and I said going into it, this is
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the This Texas team has an sec ready roster and it's just going to be
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a matter if if Sark has fixed the culture issue that we've been talking about
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for a decade at Texas. And I was in the opinion that he's turned
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the corner. And I think going on the road at Babama was a huge
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win to this team. Their next big contest will be Oklahoma obviously, but
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you got to you gotta forget that's your Texas and you just gotta go win
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your clunkers because they're gonna have a couple as the season goes on. That's
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right, and every team has clunkers. And here's the thing. The difference
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is the Sark and anywhere he's been, whether it's sc whether it's Washington,
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whether it's Texas, when they have a clunker, he's not found a way
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to win. That's freezing me starking for and I'm stealing that name from a
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couple of couple of friends, but it is literally really to proof the guy
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figures out how to lose four games every year, and he's gonna have to
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really earn it. To lose four this year, that's a good football team.
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I think they desperately need to take him and run the football. Talking
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about Alabama at quarterback four, I think they've got to change quarterbacks. He's
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not a drop back guy. He looked on company, should they have three
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more picks? Texas were dropping picks, So I think that was a I
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think that was a really just a really eye opening game, Ole miss.
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How about Lane train getting into it pre game with the with the with the
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two Lane players that were barking at him when he came out on the field.
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That's a bad idea when you're less talented and you don't have your starting
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quarterback, don't tick off the coach. And Lane made sure he got the
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cover. I want to tell something about And there are a couple of coaches
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that I think this is true. And I think a couple of love on
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pay attention to the number because they know their fan bases care, they know
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their fan bases are traveling and gamp And I'm not I'm by no means saying
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Lane Kiffin's doing anything below board. I just think he's aware of it.
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When he gets a chance to cover He's like, why the heck not?
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Yea. Honestly, I think every coach I'll be doing that because it doesn't
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make a fan base happy. It makes you like they're all betting on you.
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You know, nobody's betting against you for the most part. And I
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don't think there's any doubt in my mind that between them talking smack and him
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knowing what the line was that he was trying to cover down there, I
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don't think there's any doubt about it. So I just thought that was really
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interesting. I was stunned, completely stunned. North Carolina didn't play better than
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they did hands this came out and just throttled Illinois on Friday night. And
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I always know him getting ready to have a good weekend when I get that
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game right, and it's like an easy cover it. I've never lost money
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on side and that count hid it again. So it was just another interesting
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day. Wazoo good. That Whiskey Wazoo game was a really good game that
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most people weren't watching because there's bigger games on opposite of that game. I
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thought that was interesting. How about the delay in the Notre Dame game and
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they decided to keep showing the Notre Dame blowout on ABC and bump to ESPN
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News Miami and Texas A and m if anybody wants to know how big of
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a brand and how many eyeballs watched Notre Dame right there, and because that
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was a gigantic game that they bumped the ESPN News and they ain't bumpet for
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ten minutes. It was an hour. Yeah, it was. It was
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an interesting move by them. I was at the Oregon Texas his Tech game.
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Uh. I didn't think either one of those teams played well enough to
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win. Oregon ended up getting not only the win, but if you saw
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it, Tyler shuck through an interception as he was getting tackled on a and
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ended up costing the cover. So if you were on Texas Tech plus seven
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seven and a half, I am sorry for you. We didn't play that
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brutal beat. That was a brutal beat. The Pac twelve. I want
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to talk about this for a second. You and I have been Pac twelve
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After Dark fans as long as I mean, it's almost as soon as we
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adopted the Mac we started enjoying the Pac twelve. I mean, I distinctly
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remember watching Oregon State USC with Quiz Rogers with Oregon State upset him in a
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weekday night game, and that's kind of you know, as an adult,
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when I fell back in love with the PAC twelve. I love the Pac
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twelve this season, and everybody's like, oh, nobody's gonna get in from
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the Pac twelve. They're going to cannibalize each other. You may be right,
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but there are some really good football teams out west, and it is
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crazy to me that next season this conference is not going to exist at all.
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Well, I mean, it is still wild to me it's not gonna
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be a West Coast team. But look, they do that. And did
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you see the story going around yesterday on the news that they're talking about shutting
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down the cow program, Like there are legitimate boosters of the program, they're
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like, we need. That's why that league's failing is because they're a bunch
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of nerd heard boosters at a bunch of schools that think move football doing burd
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you know. I mean, that's that's that's why everybody else is lying across
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the country. And but I just this league is they're closer to getting two
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teams in the playoff than they are none. I mean, you've got You've
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got Washington, Ohio State, Oregon and I think I mean, I said,
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Ohio State, Washington, the USC and Or are all three legit.
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But Oregon State is a to me, a big time sleeper, and I
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don't based on what was he's doing now. They got a big game against
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in State next week, so one of them I think bumps themselves out of
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this conversation. But those teams are sneaky good, kind of off the radar,
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and there's already other good you know, Utah has gotten two really good
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non conference wins, one on the road. That's a decent football team.
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I mean, there's some good football teams. UCLA looks really good. They're
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starting to kind of get it on this kid. This is a good lead.
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And I don't see how anybody at for the first two weeks of football
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can think that the SEC's the best team in the country right no best leg
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in the country right now, because it's not. And I'll say this.
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You know, we talked about BAMA losing coaches and it's kind of like the
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Florida issue with Dan Mullen and all the coaches that he had there. I'm
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not Dan Mullen Urban Meyer. When he had Mullin, Charlie Strong and all
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those guys that were there that went on a coach successfully at other you know,
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coach at other places successfully and successfully whatever you want to talk about.
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But with the PAC twelve this season, it's interesting because they're just coming out
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to play and it's like, hey, we got one last shot. If
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this, let's do it. And I agree with you with the SEC.
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I think that the NIL thing. This is the first time I really feel
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like the NIL is making a difference in the game. You've got the transfer
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portal to NIL. It's changing the game. And I think Alabama's roster is
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still really good, probably top five in the country, but you don't have
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all the coaches that he used to have there, and it's a big piece
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of it. And then I think the other thing is the SEC teams don't
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have the depth that they used to have because I think it's getting pulled apart
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where they can go to other places and get some money. I think the
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SEC East, besides Georgia, and I'm assuming George is still good, but
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I think the SEC East is totally up for grabs on who's gonna finish some
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second there. And I think the SEC West is a coin flip on who
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can win it. I think there's definitely three teams in there that can win
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the SEC West. Yeah, I don't I don't disagree. I just think
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it's I think the Pactor was playing in really good football. It's a shame
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the league's breaking up. That's always been great football at night. It is
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really really wild to me what all's going on all over. You know,
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money and travel that cannot be good for these leagues. But people don't realize
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how big the trip was from Arizona to Oregon and to Washington and to Washington
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State. That wasn't a couple hour fly. I mean, that is a
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huge undertaking. So they stink been traveling a bunch here anyway. It was
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a really big area. But it ain't like going to Penn State from LA
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and you know stuff like that. It's just wild that the West Coast is
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literally not going to have a conference. It is crazy. It is crazy.
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Hey, I got a question for you. We hadn't talked about this,
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James Franklin, Penn State. I do think they've got a difference maker
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at quarterback. They a great, great offense with those backs that they've got
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back there great by a chef. Is this the year Penn State could sneak
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up and possibly win the Big Ten? Because I don't know that we're going
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to know how good Michigan is until they have to play Penn State in Ohio
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State, and Ohio State has got a quarterback problem Penn State for the white
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app Yeah, and so I think that's gonna be a fantastic game. I
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kind of wonder if this is losing one game and doing a round robin kind
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of you know, win deal, that would be fascinating. I don't know,
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you know, obviously, then you get it, who wins the league,
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who doesn't, who makes the playoff, who doesn't? You know all
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of that, So that would be that could be really fascinating. It's just
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college football. There's a lot of teams we don't know enough about yet.
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I'm confused by some of these teams. I mean, I'm talking about Mississippi
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State in Arizona. You look statistic league and you're like, well, hide
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Arizona not win that game. As a Mississippi State fan who watched every player
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that for thirty minutes of that game, this is they kicked them all over
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the field. I mean drugged them everywhere. But they fumble the ball into
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the end zone out of bounds. You know, boom, no points,
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miss field goal, try to run of the double reverse, don't score any
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points on the drive deep, they get deep into their territory, and then
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all of a sudden, you look up and it's half time and it's a
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close game because State hadn't put them away. And then you go into the
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overtime and you think State's gas, they're not going to do. Boom,
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they score after getting a holding penalty and it had first and twenty and boom,
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score on second down. I go thirty five yards or whatever it was,
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twenty or thirty yards on second down because they game five yards on a
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run and boom, it's a ball game. They stop them, get Arizona
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deep in their territory, I mean, get them backed up a couple of
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times, negative plays, and then boom, they stop him on inches short
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on four pounds. That was a wild game to me. So I don't
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know who Mississippi State is and I don't know who LSU is, and that's
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kind of leading us end of the week. But there's some teams that I
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do feel like I'm starting to get a whole top and we're going to talk
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about a couple of these guys. But can we talk about my man Prime
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or we go and get rolling? How about him? Foot on gas?
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I said last week, there's no way Nebraska has got enough firepower to cover
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this number. There's no way they can keep up with these guys for about
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a quarter and a half and then after that it's just full gas can and
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Dion is clearly going to hang fifty on somebody if he can hang fifty on.
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You know what's funny is is the national pundits are talking heads have talked
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about Okay, Colorado is doing something. Of course, you've got both pregame
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shows are going to be in Boulder this week for the Colorado Colorado State game.
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That shows you how bad this slate is and how good Prime is at
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media. But when in a week or so they get Oregon, then they
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get USC and the defense at Colorado is not great and the offensive line there,
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Shader Sanders is a phenomenal athlete and he's gonna need to be because the
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offensive line at Colorado is problematic. I mean, Nebraska was getting some push
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in there and they got it done. But I definitely think prime. But
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Prime's a he's a Bobby Bowden disciple. Baby. If he's gonna if he
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can score forty nine points, he's gonna score forty nine points. I mean,
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he knows, he knows about you. You don't quit score until the
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game ends, because you'll lose if you do that. I'm telling you,
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man, it was he was just steady rolling. Baby. I just I
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was. I really did think that was I really did think that was cool.
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I want to circle back to TAMU and Miami one more time. Jim
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Officier needs to be really glad the SEC's damn because I think you still got
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a chance to win nine games. I think he just took They gotta get
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a lot better, a lot faster. They were a bad football team and
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the second half last week. I have two g five things I want to
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talk about. Number one, JT. Daniels against you of h goes for
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four hundred and one yards passing, and so I'm gonna put this out there
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now and we're gonna talk about a week's come on. JT. Daniels was
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a five star quarterback coming out of high school when he committed and played at
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USC and you got McCaffrey, who was also a stud coming out, are
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both at Rice, and they are about to settle into the worst college football
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conference in the country. We may be playing we may be playing some Rice
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house this season goes on. I'm just putting out there, so you may
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want to start digging in a little bit to Rice. And then the second
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thing, my man Trent Dilda at UAB. If you don't watch his weekly
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press conference, you are missing out on some of the most incredible audible gibberish
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that can be said other than when Mitch McConnell and Joe Biden would have a
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debate with each other and they would just be hiding their own Easter eggs through
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the situation, my man Trent, my man Trent Dildo go look it up,
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talks about how after he lost that game last week, how you know
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my kids, my wife, my kid, My wife was hot when I'm
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married, or my kids are great. I love my grandson, but when
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we have weeks like this, my wife's not as hot as my kids get
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on my nerves. But I still love my grandson. And I'm like,
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what in the hell are you talking about? How do you make that analogy?
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He's like, he's just talking about he's angry this UAB team. We're
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gonna be betting hard against them of the rest of the season. I think
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they're gonna be a mess and with him leading the charge. But yeah,
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and then the other I mean, let me ask you, this is Arkansas
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State maybe the worst team in the country. I mean, they are fucking
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awful. I don't know. Yeah, they're not good, but oh man,
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there's there are a couple teams that are really bad in Arkansas States right
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up there with him. And it is hard to believe that dude want ten
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games at Tennessee. He wont Cincinnati. He was like, that's what bolted
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him into getting the job. And I mean he looks terrible. I mean
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a lot of ebdy that thinks Tennessee jobs easy. I mean, give me
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a break. I mean, there's no you and I can make you go
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win ten games there. I mean it's if he Bus Jones is just I
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mean, getting dipped in the saving water did not help him. Oh man.
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And the last thing I'll say on this favorite thing I saw last week
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all the games I watched, and I didn't watch it live. I watched
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a twenty minute replay the game. Akron, the tire what used to be
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the tire and rubber capital of the North American state, you know, North
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America. Build all the tires up there. If you get a turnover in
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Akron, they don't have the turnover chain, they don't have the shoulder pads.
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What do you get? You get the turnover tire, my friend,
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I mean, that may outdo the UNLV Rebel roller. When you get a
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fucking tire that you get to carry around the sidelines could come up with that.
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That's hilarious. That's awesome. Yeah, it's incredible. I mean I
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saw it and I was like, is he an a tire in the air?
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And I only know about that because I've worked in Akron before and so
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I know it's the Rubber Bowl. That's the name of the stadium that they
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played, I think, unless they've renamed it. But they a turnover tire.
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What an incredible way. I'm I'm watching all year now just to see
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who gets the turnover tire. That awesome. A lot of turnover tires this
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week, I don't think, But again we'll get to that. Scotty,
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what do we do last week we were six and four? Get us back
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even on the year after a slow start first two weeks, and I was
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so close to crushing it last week. I still hadn't figured out. I
23:08
call didn't win that game. Oh, I mean, that was the ugliest
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football game. If you stayed awake and watch that, It's packed twelve after
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dark. And I know it's not technically packed twelve after dark anymore. Oh
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my gosh, that was an ugly football game. I mean, just ugly.
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Oh. I agree. I've watched many late night Cow games and would
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Chase Garver's quarterback in and the kid I can't remember his name, and I've
23:32
had a thousand tackles that play linebacker for them. I don't even think he's
23:36
in the league. But anyway, I've watched way too many Cow games that
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kick off at nine o'clock Central. Scotty, let's dive in this week.
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We got an interesting board. Starts tomorrow. Navy Memphis play tomorrow evening.
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Memphis Land fourteen against Navy. Navy through the rock a little bit last week,
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so it could be interesting in this one. I would typically lean to
23:52
the under in this spot, and I probably still will. Memphis has got
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a little bit more explosive offense. They could exploit Navy's defense, but I
24:02
don't have a play on it. But where I do want to go Scotty
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and you're gonna have to buy the hook. But I don't think it's gonna
24:07
matter. Let's head up to the snake pit. Let's set up to the
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DMV talking about Maryland playing Virginia. What you may not realize is because these
24:15
two teams aren't in the ACC anymore. Because it still bothers me that Maryland's
24:18
in the Big ten. This used to be a big rivalry between these two
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teams, and this is a recruiting battle. The DMV is a DC Maryland
24:25
Virginia area. You gotta recruit that space if you want to do it,
24:27
and Mike Laxley's done a really good job. Virginia last week plays JMU cross
24:33
state rival. Big game for JMU. JMU comes out, takes the lead,
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Virginia battles back, takes the lead back from him, carries it all
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the way through, only to lose the game in overtime. This was the
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game they dedicated to the players that they lost last year. Very emotional.
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Now they got to come back on a short week and play a Maryland team
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with Tuya Tungo Violoa playing quarterback there. This team is still pretty explosive on
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off I think Virginia is garbage on the offense, and defensively they're giving up
25:06
forty two points a game. Give me the Turtles, baby, fear the
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Turtles. Helen a shell. I'm taking Maryland minus fourteen fourteen and a half.
25:15
You can buy the hooking it down to fourteen. I think the Turtles
25:18
cover this one. I don't think the hook's gonna matter. Maryland is a
25:23
very balanced offense, and it is that kind of spread Reid, you know,
25:27
quarterbacks able to run the football, an athlete guy they got. They
25:32
do a really nice job of balancing it out. Virginia has no idea how
25:36
to run the football and no idea how to stop it when somebody else does.
25:41
They are averaging this is the worst from a Power five school I've ever
25:48
discovered. They are averaging one point five yards for rushing to tempt that is,
25:57
and yet they are five point three per carry. You want to know
26:03
what that is. That's how you lose, and that's how you lose a
26:07
lot of games. And that's how you lose by fourteen and a half or
26:10
more. Give me the Terrapins. I love it. Man, Let's get
26:14
the thing rolling Friday night. You got two other games. UTSA and Army
26:18
are playing over unders forty four. I would lean to the under and this
26:22
one. I don't know if Frank Harris is gonna play for UTSA. He
26:26
was walking wounded. But they're only scoring seventeen points a game. Army could
26:32
come in and muddy this thing up. You won't see the clock stop a
26:34
lot. I would lean under in that one. Air Force Utah State.
26:40
I would take air Force in this one. I don't think Utah State's very
26:42
good. I think this is a get right game for air Force U Scotty,
26:48
I don't remember if we got this on the board. Were are we
26:49
playing? No, no, we're not playing that one. I was gonna
26:52
say some Florida State and that one. First of all, I loved this
26:57
game until the hurricane. Yeah, and there's too much win, too much
27:03
weather. I'm out. I think if you I think, if you play
27:07
it, you gotta be watching. Honestly, I don't. I don't know
27:10
if they hand it all every play. Benson may run for four hundred yards
27:12
on BC. I still don't know that they won't cover it, but I
27:17
just don't like it. In the over under has gotten so low. Like
27:21
I honestly I could even in the rain with them doing nothing but running it
27:23
with quarterback and running back. They may run, they may score forty points.
27:29
So I just don't love this game. Boy, I did a ton
27:33
until the weather got bad. No, I would agree with you. All
27:36
right, let's go to Champagne Illinois. Penn State rolling in laying fourteen and
27:38
a half against Illinois football team, Penn State scoring fifty points a game,
27:42
giving up eleven, Illinois scoring twenty five points a game, giving up thirty
27:47
one. This is a this to me, I'm big on Penn State here.
27:52
I think Penn State blows his team out. There is a massive discrepancy
27:56
and roster talent on this one. I think you're coming out Illinois. Illinois
27:59
has not looked anything like what they look like last year. And you and
28:02
I talked about this. When you lose your defensive coordinator, when you lose
28:06
three defensive backs to the NFL and a defensive lineman, that's a lot of
28:11
talent for a team like Illinois has been that good, and I think Penn
28:15
State here is starting to get vision. I think they've got a breakout quarterback
28:18
that you're gonna start learning this kid's name as the season goes on. I
28:23
like where they're going here. They've got two fantastic running backs. It's a
28:26
very balanced offense. They're rushing and passing for over two hundred yards a game,
28:32
and they're scoring. I think Penn State goes to Illinois and just lunch
28:36
boxes. These guys just works from the death. Yeah, I don't disagree.
28:40
Ultimier's not playing nearly as well as the quarterback play they had last year.
28:45
They certainly missed the back half of that defensive in but they're not as
28:48
good up front as I thought they were being They really expected the strength of
28:53
this team to be that defensive line. They're given up five point four yards
28:56
to carry at just that's not All America and worthy, and they do have
29:00
an All American last year on that defensive line. They are just not playing
29:06
well. That's that's bottom line. Yes, I agree with you. I
29:07
think Penn State's going home for these guys. Scotty. Let's go to East
29:11
Lansing five o'clock kickoff. Washington will be traveling over to play Michigan State.
29:17
I'm not gonna get into the melt Tucker stuff. It's super weird, but
29:21
they're laying Michigan State's getting sixteen at home. D'Antonio is going to be on
29:25
the sidelines. Is the assistant coach. Apparently he's not the head coach,
29:30
but he's the assistant to the interim so I'm sure he's in charge this Washington
29:34
team. To me, I took them to win the Pac twelve. I
29:37
think this team has a great shot and actually getting into the College Football Playoff
29:41
if they can win the big Pac twelve. Michael Pinnox, Kylin Deboor.
29:45
I love what they're doing up there. I think this Washington team is totally
29:49
legit, and I realize nobody outside of the Pacific Northwest is paying attention to
29:55
this squad. This is a good fucking football team. This Michigan State team
29:59
is not good all right. I think they got some fight in them to
30:03
get some athletes. They can tough it out. But I think Washington goes
30:06
on the road, takes care of business, gets this one done easily,
30:11
cover sixteen. They're way too explosive for Michigan State. Yeah, I agree
30:15
with you. I think they've just got too many weapons at Washington. I
30:19
think Pennox is doing a phenomenal job. I think this offense is really good,
30:23
but I think they're better on defense than people realize. I don't think
30:27
Michigan State's gonna be able to score on them. There's the other thing.
30:30
I think they're really going to have some trouble. You know, it's easy
30:33
to look around and look at you know, the stats and all of this
30:38
and think, oh, well, this game is going to be closer than
30:41
that. Oh they've got a chance to hang around, And I just don't
30:45
see it. I just don't think this team is remotely good enough to play
30:51
with what I think is a potential health team. I think this team has
30:55
got a legitimate chance to play for the national championship. I like Washington a
31:00
lot. I think that much like we said in the last game, I
31:03
think Washington is going to go in to East Lancing and gas can them.
31:11
And I am going on the Meltucker stuff because anyone in their right mind this
31:18
has been going on since January. Anybody that thinks that Michigan State didn't drop
31:26
this and get this out there so they can fire melt Tucker for calls and
31:30
not get out from under a contract, and the girls look going, I'm
31:33
offended didn't got out and you know blah blah blah blah blah. I won't
31:37
even talk about how stupid he is. I will say, you can't not
31:42
know, and how some major media guy is not talking about it. It's
31:47
just completely ascent on to me. All they're trying to do is fire this
31:51
guy and get out from under the contract. Nobody, nobody's going to admit
31:55
that I didn't need to do it by being an idiot, period. All
32:00
will say. If you haven't read on it, it's awesome. If you're
32:02
an A and M fan and you're ready to let Jimbo go, you got
32:07
to be crossing your fingers that someone has tape of him jacking off having a
32:12
phone call like I've supposedly they got with melt Tuckers. How do you dood
32:16
with the girls? Living? Um? Are you kidding me? I mean,
32:23
the bailor deal this stupid. I mean, I know guys are dumb,
32:30
but calm man, come on, man, oh man, Oh that's
32:36
some good stuff. Scottie. Let's travel to just up the road to where
32:39
you'll be on Saturday. Let's go to I don't know what everybody else talks
32:44
about on their podcast, but I don't know if they talk about phone sex
32:46
and jack at all. But we're just getting warmed up. Let's talk about
32:49
Old Miss being at home against Ji Tech. Oh Miss came off a pretty
32:53
physical game against two Lane last week. They still have some injuries on this
32:59
squad. I think they've got one of the two offensive linemen they're banged up
33:01
that may not play. They've got a couple of guys that hadn't seen the
33:05
field yet. I'm still not one hundred percent. Jackson Dark's the best quarterback
33:08
on this team, and they're averaging fifty five points a game. But they're
33:13
playing Georgia Tech coming in here, and this is a Georgia Tech team that
33:15
we haven't talked about since Paul Johnson was there. We didn't pay attention during
33:20
the Jeff Collins era. He's got Haynes Keen, the old quarterback from Georgia
33:23
Tech that's in there. This team's getting eighteen as they get ready for this
33:29
game and Georgia Tech. And guess who Old Miss has on deck next week.
33:32
That'd be the big red Elephant baby Scotty Howe playing this game man.
33:37
I I like the point tho of this Old Miss offensive line is a business.
33:42
It's bad. Well, they've got two big injuries on it, two
33:44
big injuries on it. They've gotten some big injuries. It's bad. Dark
33:47
was running for his life last week. They keep running the football at all.
33:52
I mean, that's the most surprising thing to me because Judkins doesn't need
33:55
it but a crease and he can go right. He's one of the best
34:00
running backs in the league, if not the country. I mean, that
34:02
guy is a really good football player. And they can't run the football at
34:07
all. And Kivin's always been able to get that quarterback out and get some
34:12
huge runs because they're all folcused on the running back and he hadn't been able
34:16
to do that. And at the end of the day, I think they're
34:20
really struggling, and the team that's going to come in and I think,
34:23
fighting under a new head coach, going to give it all they got.
34:27
I don't think they're a great football team, but if we get the same
34:30
effort we got against Louisville, they cover this number and cover it easy.
34:35
I like Georgia Tech here and Rebels need to watch out. They need to
34:38
be they need to watch out. This team's got enough holes that they don't
34:45
play well. They could lose this football game Saturday. I won't disagree with
34:47
that. I mean they lay in every year, it seems like, but
34:52
typically they do it on the road. But I could see. I mean,
34:54
that was a physical game for them last week. And I like Georgia
34:58
Tech a lot. Think all they had. I mean, they gave it
35:00
all they had at their practice there. They might have won that football game,
35:06
but oh man, boll miss it was a physical game. Both teams
35:08
are laying some wood. Yeah, I agree with you, and I'm interested.
35:14
I mean, I am very interested in this game to see what goes
35:15
on. And I like Georgia Tech quite a bit. I think they're gonna
35:20
cover this game. I don't know if they can win it, but I
35:22
definitely think they can stay within the number here because I don't know that Layne
35:25
gets this win at home. He just moves on and he's got Bama next
35:29
week. That's what everybody's talking about. I think Georgia Tech is weirdly a
35:32
G five team or a Power five team that you would overlook, and so
35:37
I could see this. But I think this team's gonna give them problems.
35:39
Next game, Scotty, let's go to a game. Ain't no motherfucker listen
35:43
to this podcast is gonna watch unless you happen to graduate from there. Florida
35:47
International Yukon over unders forty. Yukon is laying seven. Both of these teams
35:57
are scoring less than twenty eight points a game. You Can is owing two
36:00
straight up, scoring fourteen points a game with Joey Fagnano, and he is
36:06
laying seven against Florida International. Mike McIntyre, he's at Florida International. This
36:12
is a terrible roster. If you listen to us enough. You know,
36:15
just a couple of years ago, we talked about Butch David's going gas can
36:19
on this program and how they were playing with hand me down pads and all
36:22
kinds of ship that's there. But I think this game goes under. I
36:27
don't think either one of these offenses can get it going. And the other
36:30
thing you gotta deal with is the hurricane. It's gonna be coming up there.
36:32
It's gotten beaten up a little bit. It's under the key number of
36:36
forty two. But I think this game goes under. You're looking at twenty
36:38
mile an hour power wins. They're through there. They're gonna to run the
36:43
rock and neither one of these teams can get that done. Oh, I
36:45
totally agree with you. I think I think the weather man, you start
36:49
again, you start talking about rain and fifteen mile hour wins, and it
36:52
is nasty and hard to play in. Let's still turn into a lot of
36:54
running. I think that certainly gives you can the advantage. I think McIntyre
37:00
is a good foot. I think he's a good football I do too,
37:04
totally due. I think he's doing a really, really good job with what
37:08
is a terrible roster making them competitive, and that is a step in the
37:15
right direction. But it's a very similar thing that Moura's doing with Yukon.
37:19
So I think these two teams are gonna fight in the phone booth, bad
37:22
weather. We're gonna get a low scoring football game. I think there'll be
37:24
some turnovers and I think we stay under the forty number. I like it.
37:30
I like it, Scotty. I hadn't talked about a rotation number a
37:34
little bit. Let's go down to page a little bit. Let's go town
37:37
game two zero eight, my friends, And if you don't know what that
37:40
is, all you gotta do is turn your TV on at eight or nine
37:44
o'clock in the more in and you're gonna hear all about it. Colorado State
37:47
Colorado over under here is at sixty one and Coach Prime and the boys are
37:52
laying twenty three Scotty. This game is gonna have more hype around it than
37:59
you can imagine. I would have told you four weeks ago I would have
38:04
bet Colorado State in the spot. See what Coach Prime's done. I have
38:08
a hard time back in them this time against the Colorado State team that has
38:12
not looked nearly as good as I want them to, and they are giving
38:15
up fifty points a game in this spot. How are we going to play
38:20
this one? Man? I love the over in this play that look when
38:25
you have a little chart that I follow and a red red blocks bad numbers,
38:31
green blocks blue numbers, and it's just a really good stat information deal
38:37
and you kind of go through it and look, Colorado Colorado State have as
38:43
much read as anybody I've ever looked at in a ball game. Neither one
38:49
of them can run the football. They're averaging one point nine and one point
38:52
eight yards to carry for a stunning thirty seven yards a game and fifty eight
38:58
yards a game. I mean it's brutal. I mean it's just brutal.
39:02
Oh, but they give up Colorado's given up six point two yards to carry
39:07
on the ground, ninety yards on the ground for Colorado's state. But oh
39:12
you think, oh, well, they're gonna be able to slow him down
39:15
now because Prob's not gonna run it. Because they're giving up nine point three
39:17
yards of passing a tenth and four hundred and sixty six yards through the air.
39:23
This is going to be big play after big play after a big play.
39:30
It's just gonna keep on rolling. I think this game sales over.
39:34
I mean, I hate saying, I'm I won't be surprised at all in
39:43
Colorado State. This is a huge robe for this guy. Everybody forgetting Orbell's
39:46
an offensive guy man Nevada at the end of his team was hanging up points
39:52
and was a good football team. So and he's totally rebuilding that roster,
39:55
and he brought in a bunch of guys with him, and he's bringing guys
39:58
in. I think they're gonna be able to score too, because candidly,
40:01
I think there's a lot of problems on this Colorado defense. I mean,
40:05
you don't give up a six point two yards and carry. I don't care
40:08
if you're playing the nineteen ninety five corn Husters. I mean that's bad.
40:15
So I think there's gonna be a lot of points. I think we're gonna
40:19
see a lot of scoring. I think Prime gets it done. There is
40:22
a big part of making thanks Colorado State make cover this twenty three and a
40:27
half. But I like the over more than the back. Would you sprinkle
40:30
anything on the money line in Colorado State in this game? Oh? Do
40:36
you think? Can you imagine if they pulled this game mark? We talked
40:40
about this. I don't This Colorado roster has still got lots of problems.
40:44
I love what Prime's doing. We talked about that kind of honestly at nauseum.
40:50
But they have a lot of holes. I mean, look, it's
40:52
not like the Colorado State team doesn't have a lot of holes too. But
40:55
yes, could I see it happening one hundred percent? Yeah? I think
40:59
their offense has got some problem. I think their offensive lines got some problems.
41:01
I think problems down to on both those running stats. Those offensive lines
41:07
aren't gotten. And here's what it is. They're playing with kit State offensive
41:12
linemen in Colorado. That's the deal, and you can't. You're not gonna
41:15
win football games like that. No, they get into the heart of that
41:19
thankful schedule they're going with. Problem. I agree, I agree, but
41:22
I love what's going on now, Scotty. Let's go to Midwest. Seven
41:25
thirty KIOF Syracuse traveling to Westlafviette, Indiana to play Perdue over run. Here's
41:31
fifty seven and a half Purdue getting two and a half points at home.
41:35
This was a great game last year. If you don't remember, Syracuse came
41:37
back in won. I think they won in overtime. Yeah, Friday night,
41:42
Yeah, I think that's right. But we watched that and they won
41:45
that game. But here's where I'm at with this. Syracuse is interesting to
41:49
me. If you have watched this team over the Dino Baber's era. He
41:53
comes in running the Art Brows offense that he brought with him from Bowling Green.
41:59
And remember they were flinging it everywhere and putting some points up and touchdown.
42:04
Tommy DeVito got in and he couldn't get it done. And so last
42:07
year they slowed this offense down to a crawl. And if you don't remember,
42:12
they were six and oh at going into the middle of the part of
42:15
the season before their roster just couldn't handle the bang that they were going to
42:20
get into with the spot and forgot banged up. I mean they forgot banged
42:23
up. And so here I am with this team here now Syracuse has come
42:30
back. They're running tempo, They're letting Garrett Strader do some things. This
42:35
Purdue team offensively is still trying to find itself. In my personal opinion,
42:39
They've got a defensive head coach who was at Illinois last year. He does
42:45
not have the talent that he had at Illinois. It's hard to believe at
42:49
Purdue to do these things. I'm going Syracuse to cover on the road,
42:54
laying two and a half in this spot. I like the Orange a lot.
43:00
Garrett Schrader, it feels like has been in college football for nine hundred
43:05
and fifty years. He was in Joe Mooreheads first signing class at Mississippi State.
43:12
That was in twenty eighteen. I mean, that is a long time
43:19
to play football. I mean Fall eighteen, nineteen, twenty twenty one,
43:23
twenty two pretty makes six years. Man. I mean this dude, is
43:30
he's been playing long enough to have gone on a warman mission and come back.
43:35
I mean, he has been playing for ever and he looked so.
43:39
But I do think he's playing better. He was always a talented guy,
43:43
who's really highly rated quarterback of the group, more exactable, bit of depend
43:46
state for a couple of coffee while Morehead was there, So anyway, a
43:51
talented quarterback. I think he is the difference in this team. I really
43:55
like Rocky Long obviously at that on the defensive side of football. Who's coordinator
44:01
at Syracuse. So at the end of the day, I think that's one
44:06
of the things that's allowing them to play faster as well. That three three
44:09
five is made for that type of speed. You got more athletes, less
44:15
big guys, and I think that's helping them up the tempo a good bit.
44:20
So I like Syracuse here. I agree with you, Scotty. What's
44:22
the next game you got? I usually do the announcing on this one.
44:25
I know I've got a couple more rolling for me. What's your next game?
44:28
You got? Wildcats? After watching them, watched every play of this
44:32
game. First off, if the Kansas City Chiefs don't draft this quarterback the
44:40
bench behind Homes or the squad for a couple of years and let him just
44:45
learn from my Homes. The dude is a gun slinger. I mean he
44:50
just rolls around. He makes some stupid decisions. But look, my Homes
44:55
made some stupid decisions in college. I mean, you know, so I'm
45:00
and I do think the guys a gun slinger. He gets after it.
45:01
He's a great athlete. But I think there's on the team's better. That
45:06
offensive line. They did some work in the portal. It's a good offensive
45:08
line. State got after them a good bit trying to get after the quarterback.
45:13
Now they weren't blitzing. It was more five guys or four guys sending
45:19
a linebacker, you know, stuff like that, and trying to keep him
45:22
in the pocket. But man, they put a wall up. They did
45:24
not get to him at all. I think Arizona is a better football team.
45:29
Defense is full of transfers. I think they've got three guys or something
45:34
crazy back if I remember off that defense and everybody else is a transfer.
45:37
I mean they're from all over pick of School and they probably got somebody from
45:43
there. They are everywhere, but they're better on defense and the day.
45:50
I just don't think Utah has got enough. They got a couple of big
45:52
receivers. I can't remember the kid's name that transferred from Colorado that left after
45:59
the spring, transferred to an m didn't he They got the kid. They
46:05
got that big, tall kid, oh yeah, with the double Knight.
46:08
I can't remember his name, but anyway, he's a big, physical receiver.
46:13
And then they got the McMillian kid, who's a tall, lanky he
46:17
played great events state last year or two. That kid's a tall, lanky
46:21
guy, big target, does a lot over the middle of the field.
46:24
I like that guy. I just don't think UTEP's got the ability to keep
46:28
up with these guys, and it is better. I like Arizona here big,
46:31
and I like them big, big, big. I don't think this
46:35
game's remotely close. I agree with you. Most people couldn't name two players
46:39
who played for Arizona. I mean, Scooby Right and Khalil Tate are not
46:43
there anymore. But jet Fish has done a really good job turning this program
46:49
around, and I'm excited for him to be in the Big twelve next year.
46:52
I think he's doing a great job with this one. This uteph roster
46:54
is going to be completely outmatched. Plus, this is a weird travel week.
46:59
When you go from Passhole to Chicago, you got to come back to
47:04
El Passhole and you can jump a puddle jumper almost to get to Tucson.
47:07
I mean, you got to realize these are the two most border cities that
47:12
we deal with that You've got with Tucson on utub and so it's interesting what's
47:16
gonna go on. But I think they'll have a good crowd the Arizona game.
47:19
It doesn't kick off until eleven pm Eastern time. This is so much
47:22
pack twelve after dark. It's forgotten this name Montana Lamonious Craig. I can't
47:30
even miss that. I'm just falling now on my job Mark. I mean
47:36
Connel Oh, I forgot that too. He reminds me so much of rowdy
47:40
beers. I mean, it's a good time talking about these things. Sky
47:45
the last one I got that I'll put on the board this week. Bama
47:47
laying thirty two is playing South Florida. South Florida's quarterback Jerry Bohannah is still
47:53
out. I don't think they're bringing back this team offensively has been struggling,
47:59
and I think Bama has got an offensive problem, but this week is not
48:02
gonna matter. They're going on the road. Scotty, how many games has
48:07
Nick Saban since he's been there played on the road out of conference? Do
48:14
you know? And can you name a few? I only know because we
48:16
talked about this earlier in the week. They have played five and no I
48:23
think that one of them was Duke. They played. Should be able to
48:30
come up with one more. They played so many of the chick Pilats and
48:34
everything, all of them started running together, you know, when they're playing
48:37
a bunch of those teams, and you know the Cotton Bowl and in Atlanta
48:40
and all of that. I think that's all I gotten for you. They
48:44
hadn't played many but just five out of conference games they've started. When you
48:49
look at Bama's roster and when you look at times when they've been beat in
48:52
the bounceback that comes in. I mean, keep in mind, Scott,
48:55
a couple of years ago, one of our favorite bets was Bama anything under
49:00
thirty five. We were betting Bama first half over every single week. And
49:07
this offense has changed. It can't do it. But this week I think
49:10
we get physical. I think we get Milrow some confidence. But I also
49:14
think we're gonna bring any other quarterbacks in this one. And I'm not saying
49:16
Saban's gonna hang seventy on them, but I could easily see this game being
49:22
a double nickel to seven in a situation that the defensive Bama is not broken,
49:28
It's good. It's gonna play good, It'll play aggressive. They will
49:31
totally outmatch this team. There's no fucking way they come out flat against South
49:37
Florida this week. I think Bama rolls Lay thirty two. I think Bam
49:42
Kid is gonna roll. You had a great stat It's just about the last
49:46
time Bama lost at home by double digits. It was the stunning coaching matchup
49:55
of Lou Holtz and Mike shoot Love in two thousand and three, twenty years
50:06
since they lost by double digits at home. Yeah, I haven't bounced back.
50:09
Saving's going the full red ass, Scott. You got any other games
50:15
you want to put on the board this week? After what we laid out,
50:17
there a couple of things to talk about it and I can't get away
50:21
without a couple of matching games. You know, when does Nebraska start to
50:25
reel? Because I think they feel like they could have. They were probably
50:31
hoping to start two and oh at worst, by my eyes, should be
50:36
one and one. When do they When do they bail? Is it this
50:40
week against Northern Illinois? Plus eleven? It seems like a big number for
50:46
a team that can't score. I know they are more physical, and they
50:50
are more physical at the line of scrimmage, and that is the only reasons
50:53
when they pull back from this game, like I'm going back with Ohio.
50:58
Can't believe I didn't til I took him last week. I can't believe it
51:00
didn't take him. On the podcast, nice win last week it gets Florida
51:04
Atlantic coming back baby hosting Iowa State. How fired up do you think those
51:10
do it? From Ioway? You think ames Ilwa sucks? You ain't been
51:15
the Athens Ohio. Baby, this is gonna be all of This is gonna
51:20
be a brutal game for those guys. I think Ohio gets it done.
51:23
But I love catching the two and a half, and I think Kentucky talking
51:29
about big numbers. I think they are going to full gas can the turn
51:34
over time. I think it's a good football team. I think they have
51:37
got him a quarterback. They're playing typical Kentucky defense. This offense is better
51:44
than it's been being and what it is is what we expected with Will Levice
51:47
last year, and Levis was banged up and Larry hadn't been and he's come
51:52
out and he's done a pretty good job. I don't think Acorn is very
51:54
good. Look, they've already covered basically this number earlier in the year,
52:00
and I think they're going to come out and do it again. Let's get
52:05
to a couple of the biggest games on the schedule this week. Tennessee be
52:07
traveling down to the swamp. Tennessee is laying six and a half seven if
52:13
you can find it over under, here's fifty eight. This is an interesting
52:17
game to me, and I want to break this one down. I don't
52:20
have a bet on this. I'm leaning Florida. And here's my thing is
52:24
the last time everybody watched Florida was against Utah up at Rice Eckles Stadium.
52:30
You can say what you want to. Rice Eckles is a hard place to
52:32
play, and we've talked about it numerous times. When we talk about handicap
52:37
and pack twelve times. When USC goes to Rice Seckles, we almost always
52:42
take Utah because it's so hard to play there. Cam Rising is not coming
52:45
back, But that's beside the point. This is an interesting spot for me.
52:49
Tennessee is not the Tennessee of last year. Joe Milton. As much
52:54
as I like the kid, he is not hendon hooker. He's dynamic,
53:00
he can't make the throws. He's got a gigantic arm, but he can't
53:05
make the throws in this one. And I kind of wonder in the swamp
53:07
if Florida doesn't ugly this one up and possibly even get the upset against Tennessee
53:13
in the spot, because I've watched Tennessee play both their games and this is
53:16
an In the Virginia game, they couldn't stretch away until late, and so
53:22
this is a team that has not impressed me so far, not like they
53:24
did last year. But I could see Florida covering this game and even get
53:28
to win. Yeah, neither of these teams have been impressive. I will
53:32
completely agree with that. I just man, I can't get on board.
53:37
But I can't get on board billing that year. I mean I really can't.
53:42
I man, I know there's he is recruiting better this year, and
53:47
you know you're three The difference in now in the way it used to be,
53:51
you're three years from that really helping you. And if all those kids
53:54
he's signing don't start right away, their ass is gone and they're gonna transfer
53:59
and hit the pot. You know, this is such a different environment,
54:04
and I think Napier is just such a different dude that I just I'm not
54:09
I'm not bought on board with him. I'm really not. Do you think
54:14
Typel is a really really good offensive football coach and I figures out how to
54:21
get this, how to get this worked out. And I don't have that
54:25
same confidence with Napier because honestly, I just hadn't I hadn't seen it.
54:31
His best teams at Ulila are the ones in it. He inherited a lot
54:37
of that town and and I like the backs and the quarterbacks he definitely did,
54:43
so I just think it is a this is gonna be interesting. I
54:45
don't think Martz has the ability to do what they're asking him. I think
54:51
he's a good kid. I think he is doing the best he can do.
54:53
They just don't seem like they've got very much, very much firepower at
54:58
all. So I am just the opposite of you can I see them covering
55:02
it? Because yeah, because I don't. I don't like either one of
55:07
these teams. Candidly, I think they're both performing well below expectations, and
55:12
I had low expectations for Florida. I didn't have low expectations for Tennessee.
55:16
So I am interested to see what they do. But I would not bet
55:20
on this game. But if I did, I am taking Tennessee. That's
55:23
that's the bottom line for me. I still think that they're good enough throwing
55:30
the football that they're gonna be able to keep keep Florida off balance. That's
55:36
that's my opinion. But I could see Florida, I mean honestly, and
55:38
see Florida winning this game because I don't think either one of these teams are
55:42
very good. I'm telling you, Scotty, let's go to the oldest rivalry
55:45
in the Southeastern Conference. And I'm assuming you know what game. This is
55:53
LSU in Mississippi State. This will be their one hundred and seventeen time to
55:59
play each other. Are you serious. I didn't even know that. You
56:02
didn't know that. I just Mississippi stated you. Mississippi stated, I did
56:07
not know that old I'm like George and Altar played South the oldest robbery in
56:14
Southeastern Conference. They've played one hundred and seventeen times. Mississippi State will be
56:17
at home in Stark, Vegas, Ringdam Cowbells at noon Eastern times. LSU
56:22
rolls in here. The last time most of you watched LSU play was the
56:24
Florida State game where basically in the third quarter they just broke down after a
56:30
drop pass and defense, they gave up some things Mississippi State. You probably
56:35
haven't watched him if you're not Scott Dinson or a Missisippi State graduate, because
56:38
Mike Leach isn't there anymore, and by god, he made them more interesting.
56:43
I sure do miss him. This is an interesting game to me,
56:45
Scotty. Where I'm leaning right here is I'm gonna go LSU. I'm gonna
56:49
go LSU. I'm gonna lay the points in the spot. I think this
56:52
game, I think Mason Smith is finally gonna show up and be real,
56:57
and I think Harold Perkins from what I've read, they're gonna move him out
57:01
and put him in more of a position where he can do some damage from
57:05
the outside and put on more states in the middle, but Mississippi States not
57:09
flinging the ball man, and I think they've got a chance to win the
57:14
game here. They need to do it and they need to try to take
57:16
advantage of that LSU secondary that I'm not sure short up yet, but I
57:21
think Zach Garnett wants to make this a rock fight, and I think LSU
57:24
may just overpower him as the game goes on. Yeah, I think I'm
57:31
waiting to see what both these teams are. That's what I don't like about
57:37
this game my heart obviously, the Altar stating one to weilp us too much
57:42
that who think State's gonna play? They're gonna play as hard as they're physically
57:45
capable of playing. Absolutely, I don't know if they're physically good enough to
57:50
keep it within nine and a half. But I want to know who LSU
57:53
is, and I don't know who they are, and how are they the
57:55
team that showed up in the first half, really, that showed up in
58:00
a quarter and showed up for about half the third quarter? Or are they
58:04
the team that had five possessions and couldn't get it in the end zone and
58:07
eleven downs in side to five and couldn't get it in for a touchdown against
58:12
Florida State. Or are they the team that just completely wilted when they had
58:16
them in a fourth and two and they run a screen pass, let get
58:21
down to the one boom Florida State scores and then they get the next possession,
58:24
throw a pick in the ball games over and it's sprout. Are they
58:28
that team? Or are they the team that I think they are, which
58:32
is a really good football team, one of the better teams in this league.
58:36
So I don't know who they are, and I think, yes,
58:39
I think a smart bet I'm not betting on this game. I think the
58:43
smart bet is probably at LSU laying the points. After what I watched from
58:46
Mississippi State, it's pretty clear they are not comfortable trying to throw football down
58:52
the field in this offense. And I do not know why. It has
58:55
to be because this coaching staff doesn't have confidence and will arm strength. But
59:00
how do you ben him with everything that he's done and go to more of
59:04
a run first, read option kind of game. I don't. I don't
59:08
think he can do that. I think they know they can't do that,
59:12
and I think as a result, when they play teams like this, they
59:15
very likely are going to get overpowered. But I want to see who LSU
59:21
is before I'm a hundred percent confident in that. Another game. I like
59:24
Scott. I like Kansas State against Missouri. Here I kind of think real
59:30
proud last week. I think Kansas State is really good. Like I was
59:36
leaning Kansas State under eight and a half, thinking they'd regress. I mean,
59:39
you and I made a lot of money bet on the Purple Wizard back
59:43
in the day, and I'm going to go out on a limb and say,
59:46
there may be Purple Wizard junior that's at Kansas State right now because he
59:52
gets the talent in there. I mean Will John, I mean the because
59:57
he knows who he is and what he can run. Any coaches like that
1:00:00
go find players, and they find them with dudes that everybody else passes unique.
1:00:07
You know, you don't have to be a six foot five three twenty
1:00:10
five pound alignment to do what he's trying to do. And there are guys
1:00:16
you can go sign to get that guy. Man he's got they got a
1:00:19
lot of nasty You watch that team play and I say this meaning in in
1:00:28
a good way. So if there's Kansas State fans listing. Don't get all
1:00:30
pissed because I mean this as a compliment. They're on the burge of dirty
1:00:34
that they play so much to the whistle. They play hard, get after
1:00:38
it and and that's a good thing. And that's old school football, and
1:00:43
that's the way I like. I like teams like that. But again,
1:00:46
you can get by with different kids. You don't have to go sign top
1:00:51
five guys at the position to play that kind of football. There's an edge
1:00:54
to those guys. And that is one thing that are really like about this
1:01:00
coaching staff, and it's one reason I think they're gonna be able to sustain
1:01:04
what they're doing at Kansas State because you can get that guy in and you
1:01:07
can develop them. They're not hitting the transfer poor. It's a it's a
1:01:12
good roster. I mean defensively, they play physically and by watch the backup
1:01:17
quarterback at Kase State, Avery Johnson. He's something special. So if you're
1:01:22
a Wildcat fan, don't be worried about well Howard, you know, moving
1:01:24
on, it's out there. You've got somebody back there. It's gonna be
1:01:28
good. But I like what you've got there. Scotty. Next, when
1:01:30
I just wanted to blow it up to you. I'm just get those near
1:01:34
Vanderbilt traveling to Vegas laying four and a half against you, and LV,
1:01:37
are you gonna beout the rebel roller here? Man, I want to really
1:01:43
really bad that that's got a little bit of upset look to me. It
1:01:49
really does. But I think, I boyd Vandy has just they have not
1:01:55
looked good. Boy, they looked bad against under fan that I'm watching a
1:02:00
bunch of TVs and watching games. They looked really bad last week in the
1:02:05
in the part of the games I watched against wake Forest, I mean they
1:02:08
just were getting just dominated. That's not a very good football team. But
1:02:13
then I watched a little bit of that UNLV Michigan game two, so I'm
1:02:15
like, oh, UNLB doesn't look very good either. But yes, I
1:02:20
think that that may be a maybe a tad. They are certainly on one
1:02:23
hundred dog watch, I mean on upset watch. But man, how about
1:02:30
my guys, the Scarlet Knights from Rutgers. Here we go. They got
1:02:35
chance to go three and oh baby favored by passed down against another Power five
1:02:38
team hosting Virginia Tech. Ken Rugger's getting done go three and oh, I
1:02:45
mean, come on man, what was it over? Under went till four
1:02:47
and a half and put three weeks in he got chanst at three dogs.
1:02:52
I mean, Grace Yiado is doing a good job. Is one of the
1:02:55
hardest jobs in the country. I mean, like I hear I was talking
1:03:00
about the SEC and they're like, well, mis superstikes one of the toughest
1:03:02
jobs in the country. Man, it takes me six minutes to get my
1:03:08
handful, but my hands full of jobs that are harder than Mississippi State simply
1:03:13
because of the talent within five hours of start. I mean, as you
1:03:17
kidding that Rudgers jobs sucks. Its terrible and they're playing in every bit as
1:03:23
part of the league. Is Mississippi State? Yeah, I mean that I've
1:03:27
sucked. And if he gets him because look, man, he did a
1:03:30
great job the first time he's there. He's turning it around again because it
1:03:32
was a mess when he got it again. And here they are maybe starting
1:03:37
three and oh can they get it done late at seven? And Richard than
1:03:39
I would like, But Virginia Tech, I don't it's very good either.
1:03:44
This is a This is a really big game for both of these teams.
1:03:47
Grant Wells, quarterback that transferred from Marshall of Virginia Tech. My man can
1:03:52
throw him an interception as good as anything I've ever seen. It is unbelievable
1:03:58
watching him play. I mean, and I love Virginia Tech. I'm like
1:04:00
old school Bomer ball. I was at the Virginia Tech week night game when
1:04:04
they played Texas and it was I mean, this was before they actually stopped
1:04:09
games because of rain and lightning. And they stopped the game because it went
1:04:13
on it was pouring down rain and we're up there watching, So I mean,
1:04:16
I love everything about it, Inner sand Man, but man, it's
1:04:18
hard to watch. Last one I want to talk about, and I'll give
1:04:20
it to you. Oregon State lay at twenty four and a half. If
1:04:25
you can find at twenty four against San Diego State, I would lay it
1:04:28
here. Man. I think this Oregon State team they played with a chip
1:04:31
on their shoulder. They've got a very aggressive defense, only given up twelve
1:04:34
points a game. Dj Ungle Apparently he just needed a new voice. Man.
1:04:41
He's looked really good up there through for about two hundred and fifty sixty
1:04:45
yards last week with three touchdowns. But he looks so composed and I love
1:04:49
what Jeremy Smith, does you know, and how he puts his team together.
1:04:54
He overperformed last year. And this San Diego State team, they're not
1:04:59
very good. This is not the Rocky Long, this is not the you
1:05:02
know, Zack's not there anymore, He's gone. The other coaches moved on
1:05:05
into Mexico. They've got a safety playing quarterback and Brady Hoax there. I
1:05:11
just I'm not down with this team. This team shouldn't have beaten Ohio week
1:05:15
one and now they're two and one straight up. I think Oregon State going
1:05:19
to Corvallis is a weird spot to get to. I think Oregon State could
1:05:23
throttle these guys. Uncle lay Lay is showing everybody that he wasn't a problem
1:05:29
in Clemson Carolina. I think that is exactly what's going on. Jonathan Smith,
1:05:33
with a great hire, knows the program played there. Now, he's
1:05:38
got a legitimately talented quarterback. I mean, let's not forget Uncle Lately.
1:05:42
I believe was the number one quarterback in the country the year he came out.
1:05:45
He was one of meat sometime. Is a big old kid, and
1:05:53
I just at the end of the day, I like to fit here.
1:05:57
I agree with you I think they probably get this. There's a lot of
1:06:00
shock this week. Yeah, but there's also some bad teams playing some really
1:06:04
good or underrated teams. I think Oregon State may be one of those teams.
1:06:09
And I kind of wonder what Ungle Ala and Jeremy Smith is. He
1:06:13
didn't look like he's kind of rebooting his career Smith, John Smith, He's
1:06:16
kind of rebooting his career here. I mean, uncle Ala has a good
1:06:20
year at organ State. I mean, coming out of nowhere, he's a
1:06:25
first He's a second day draft pick, There's no doubt about it, because
1:06:29
the guy's highly right did and boom he gets under a decent system and and
1:06:32
now he's a player. I mean, can you imagine these guys win ten
1:06:35
games with that defense and he puts up good numbers. Yeah, he's a
1:06:42
second day draft pick. And you start by lots problems on the recruiting trail,
1:06:50
you know, because I think, honestly that's where Saban's biggest problem is.
1:06:54
He didn't have anybody to develop a quarterback. Right now, they have
1:06:57
done a really bad job developing He's quarterbacks. I mean, look, Simpson's
1:07:00
young man. That kid was stud too. He could have gone anywhere,
1:07:05
and you know he's not getting any snaps. They continues from Milrow is super
1:07:11
talented, but they're asking him to do things don't fit his game. Well,
1:07:15
I just find it interesting. But sark in Lane Train, where who
1:07:19
were doing a bunch of the quarterback work? Yeah, and let's face it,
1:07:25
they also weren't the ones that developed Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts was the
1:07:28
same quarterback the day he got there is the day he left. And so
1:07:34
I think it's you know, and then he goes to Oklahoma and now as
1:07:38
the quarterback he is in the NFL. So, I mean, I think
1:07:41
it's a I think there's some question marks about you know them in the quarterback
1:07:45
quarterback position. You're going to see the exact same thing going on in Clemson,
1:07:48
South Carolina. If Uncle la Lay continues to do what he's doing.
1:07:53
Yeah, I think the game the audio cut out. He weren't saying Jimbo,
1:07:57
you're saying Dabbo. I think the game's passing Dabo. Yeah, sorry
1:08:01
depa. This uh, this Clemson team, him not coming into the portal
1:08:06
and not endorsing nil and the way the games make it. I mean that
1:08:12
first game they against Duke that was not a fluke. Duke came out and
1:08:15
they they outschemed them. They beat them, I mean in every aspect of
1:08:19
the game. And next week when Florida State and Clemson playing, Florida State's
1:08:26
gonna be laying seven and a half of that's my guess when the number hits.
1:08:30
If it's anything lower than that, I'll be going Florida State and this
1:08:33
one because I think Norvelle's gonna outscheme them. And I don't think Dabo has
1:08:39
given Riley the keys to the offense because it has not looked any different than
1:08:43
it was last year. Or maybe they just don't have the explosion on the
1:08:46
outside that they can get guys open. But this Clemson team, to me,
1:08:51
they could lose four games this season. I don't think there's any doubt
1:08:55
about that. Dames legit four States certainly seemed to be legit to this point.
1:09:00
I think we find a lot out about Florida State tomorrow based on what
1:09:04
LSU does. I heard Dusty Dvorchik say today. If you're an LSU fan,
1:09:12
I mean, if you're a Florida State fan, you your second favorite
1:09:15
team better be LSU. The rest of the year, you need them to
1:09:19
go. But he said, you need them to go to start one win
1:09:21
by three touchdowns. He said, you need them to you need them to
1:09:26
go ten and two. You need them to be on the verge of making
1:09:30
the playoff or making the playoff, because you can lose football games if you
1:09:33
do. If they continue to play well, people aren't going to forget that.
1:09:39
And I think he's right. LSU goes eight and four and everybody's naw
1:09:44
on Florida State, you know. So now look, somebody from the ACC,
1:09:47
I thinks getting in, you know, Georgia, I don't know.
1:09:51
I'll be honest, I don't know how in the world they could possibly lose
1:09:54
two games with what I've seen from the Southeastern Conference to this point, and
1:09:59
with that schedule. I mean, I guess Old Miss is in their next
1:10:02
most losable game after after Tennessee. I mean, I just can't see that
1:10:09
going on. So I think they get in. I think PAC twelve is
1:10:13
a legit a contender this year, and I think the Big Den's obviously a
1:10:17
contender. So the ACC's got to look out. They may be the odd
1:10:21
man out again because Texas is gonna have to They're gonna have to lose twice
1:10:28
but not make it. That's the deal. They got that road win and
1:10:31
it's Alabama and saving ain't going eight and four. We all know that.
1:10:35
I don't care how bad Mill Road looks. They're gonna end up nine and
1:10:39
three, ten and two or eleven and one. That's just what they do.
1:10:44
And in Texas is gonna have to blow it to not make it.
1:10:49
That's the deal. So Florida State does need LSU to be good. That's
1:10:53
the interesting part of it. Scotty, this is a good week, good
1:10:57
week to watch football and bet on football. Not a great we have to
1:11:00
watch football, but a great week to bet on football. You got anything
1:11:02
else you want to throw out there before we wrap it up. The only
1:11:04
thing I'll tell you before we wrap it up is it's always a great week
1:11:08
to watch football. Baby. It don't matter what the teams are. I
1:11:11
mean, come on, are you kidding me? I mean, what the
1:11:14
hell else would we be watching right now? Oh man, I'm pissed out
1:11:17
to go to a high school game tomorrow night and I can't even watch the
1:11:19
Thursday night game. I mean, that's my favorite thing to do is bet
1:11:23
a first half under on a Thursday night game. I mean, by god,
1:11:27
that's like, that's American right there is betting the under on the first
1:11:30
half. Get you some on a Thursday night. I sometimes I'll even parlay
1:11:33
in the NFL game because it's so terrible. But yeah, we get it
1:11:36
done in that spot, Scotty. That being said, we got a full
1:11:41
board. We'll put that up there. You can hit us up on Twitter.
1:11:43
Shaffs like us. Put us out there with your friends. Folk.
1:11:45
We do this for fun. Hopefully we can make you a couple of dollars.
1:11:47
We're trying to get ahead of the SNP or break even after three weeks
1:11:51
or four weeks now, so it's nowhere to go butt up. Obviously.
1:11:56
If you've been with us for years, love to have you. We'll talk
1:12:00
up to you next week. Have a good week, and everybody go out
1:12:01
there and have some fun.