Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Crypto Crashing📉Technical Analysis @TimWarrenTrades‬🔥
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: All right, guys, let's jump into whether or not this
- 0:02Speaker 1: is the dip to buy Crypto.
- 0:04Speaker 2: Of course has been adjusting down.
- 0:05Speaker 1: We're going to break it all out for you, and
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- 1:02Speaker 1: guys are not want to go to miss this one.
- 1:03Speaker 1: It is an awesome one. All right, let's jump into
- 1:06Speaker 1: it today. I want to welcome into the show mister
- 1:07Speaker 1: Tim Warren coming in. How are you, Tim doing great?
- 1:11Speaker 3: Good to be back on the show, Paul.
- 1:12Speaker 2: I'll you, nice to see you. Nice to see you.
- 1:14Speaker 1: Summer is almost here and we are ready to rock.
- 1:17Speaker 1: The question is is how are the markets going to respond?
- 1:20Speaker 1: I got a couple of tweets I want to show you,
- 1:22Speaker 1: and I want to get your opinion. And I also
- 1:25Speaker 1: have some tenfoil Tim foil hat ideas that we'll throw
- 1:29Speaker 1: past you as well, So we'll get into that. We
- 1:32Speaker 1: got a tweet here from Trump and here it is
- 1:35Speaker 1: right here, Gary Gensler and the anti crypto army nearly
- 1:39Speaker 1: destroyed the American crypto market. And of course he's talking
- 1:43Speaker 1: by something that I don't know that anybody has ever
- 1:47Speaker 1: seen before, and that is this topic around crypto perpetuals.
- 1:52Speaker 1: Trump is talking about literally listed out there perpetuals and innovation.
- 1:56Speaker 1: So when you look at this, and this is really
- 1:59Speaker 1: kind of his first real statement saying, hey, we need
- 2:02Speaker 1: the market structure, build to pass and future proof digital
- 2:05Speaker 1: assets for the you know, for America.
- 2:08Speaker 2: What's your percentage right now on.
- 2:10Speaker 3: Clarity, percentage on the passing?
- 2:13Speaker 2: Yeah, of passing.
- 2:15Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna put it. I don't think it's wise
- 2:17Speaker 3: to ever say one hundred percent for anything, So let's
- 2:19Speaker 3: go with like ninety to ninety five percent. WHOA okay, right,
- 2:23Speaker 3: And my reasoning for that is because of the investment
- 2:27Speaker 3: from large institutions, like we know that they've been the
- 2:30Speaker 3: ones kind of going back and forth on things. Even
- 2:32Speaker 3: think about the banks. Obviously, we just had a huge
- 2:34Speaker 3: argument between the banks and the crypto firms that we
- 2:37Speaker 3: always kind of had this feeling like there are some
- 2:39Speaker 3: language details that need to be worked out. But the
- 2:42Speaker 3: large banks, I'm not talking about your little local bank
- 2:44Speaker 3: maybe will get pushed out and crushed by crypto. We're
- 2:46Speaker 3: talking about the JP Morgans and the Fidelities and all
- 2:49Speaker 3: these other large banks they want crypto go through. They
- 2:53Speaker 3: realize the writings on the wall. If they want to
- 2:55Speaker 3: exist as institutions in the finance world, they need to increase,
- 2:58Speaker 3: they need to utilize cryptocurrency. Yeah, So what we've seen
- 3:02Speaker 3: recently is billions of dollars of investments into infrastructure to
- 3:07Speaker 3: prepare for an overhaul of utilizing crypto. They wouldn't have
- 3:12Speaker 3: invested in that kind of stuff if they don't see
- 3:14Speaker 3: it happening at least at some point this year or soon.
- 3:17Speaker 3: So I'm because of the money they're spending. I'm very
- 3:21Speaker 3: high on the clarity acts, but I do think they're
- 3:23Speaker 3: going to make it very dramatic. I do think it's
- 3:25Speaker 3: going to be a whole event all the way until
- 3:27Speaker 3: the final signing day.
- 3:28Speaker 1: Well, okay, so we agree on one thing, and I
- 3:30Speaker 1: think that is there's going.
- 3:31Speaker 2: To be a lot of drama.
- 3:33Speaker 1: I'm much more lower in terms of the percentage to pass.
- 3:38Speaker 1: I actually feel like this may get stalled out. I'm
- 3:41Speaker 1: a little concerned that this is being thrown into a
- 3:44Speaker 1: political pawn as we go into midterms, we'll see. I mean, really,
- 3:49Speaker 1: the timeline is getting so tight it's difficult. But if
- 3:53Speaker 1: you look at the other statements that he made, he
- 3:56Speaker 1: literally said I will never let crypto down. This is
- 4:00Speaker 1: this is crazy for the President of the United States
- 4:03Speaker 1: to make that, And then of course you get bitcoin
- 4:05Speaker 1: and it dumps two thousand after after that tweet. So, yeah,
- 4:10Speaker 1: what do what do the bitcoin crowd know that maybe
- 4:13Speaker 1: we don't when it comes to where the market is
- 4:16Speaker 1: adding right now.
- 4:17Speaker 2: So we'll see how that plays out.
- 4:20Speaker 1: But hey, listen, you have the concern right here, and
- 4:24Speaker 1: this is Lumus warning of a regulatory dark age if
- 4:28Speaker 1: the Clarity Act stalls.
- 4:30Speaker 2: Here here's my theory.
- 4:31Speaker 1: So if if it does stall and the administration tries
- 4:37Speaker 1: to spin this in some way to possibly win a
- 4:41Speaker 1: handful of seats in the mid terms to try to
- 4:45Speaker 1: retain the Senate, because right now it's still kind of
- 4:47Speaker 1: iffy on whether or not the Republicans retain the Senate.
- 4:50Speaker 1: I guess the real question would be could they even
- 4:53Speaker 1: pass it afterwards?
- 4:54Speaker 3: You know?
- 4:55Speaker 2: So Jake was.
- 4:56Speaker 1: Talking about this. He says, there's not much time, you know,
- 4:59Speaker 1: to get it done. It may seem quiet, but right
- 5:02Speaker 1: now is when the work's supposed to get done. So
- 5:06Speaker 1: he's and even he says, easier said than done. Let's
- 5:09Speaker 1: get into whether or not we've got to buy the dip. Okay,
- 5:12Speaker 1: So I want to play a clip. This is more
- 5:13Speaker 1: cud more and he talks about is this the time
- 5:16Speaker 1: to do it?
- 5:17Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 5:18Speaker 4: Kind have said that the dip buyers come in. I
- 5:20Speaker 4: just think that they must be almost out ofmentumly. You
- 5:24Speaker 4: look at almost any way to value anything. You look
- 5:26Speaker 4: at the IPOs you got this year from SpaceX and
- 5:28Speaker 4: open AI. You just look at the earning projections. Everything
- 5:31Speaker 4: is priced to extreme.
- 5:33Speaker 2: So of course the.
- 5:34Speaker 4: Dip buyer is going to come in. The problem is
- 5:35Speaker 4: I just think that real economics is going to squeeze them.
- 5:38Speaker 4: And the dynamic is now is that so much of
- 5:40Speaker 4: the real economy actually depends on the wealth effect from
- 5:43Speaker 4: this kind of booming stock market. So the reason I'm
- 5:46Speaker 4: kind of transitioning from you know, the two weeks ago
- 5:49Speaker 4: kind of tactically a little bit more negative on markets,
- 5:51Speaker 4: but thinking you'd ultimately buy this dip to not be
- 5:54Speaker 4: convinced you by the dip, is that I think the
- 5:56Speaker 4: conditions are now ripe for a negative spiral to start
- 6:00Speaker 4: because the economy's only holding up in this K shaped
- 6:03Speaker 4: economy because enough consumers have a positive wealth effect in
- 6:07Speaker 4: the stock market booming, the stock market starts suffering, then
- 6:10Speaker 4: they start consuming less, the economic damage gets worse. That
- 6:13Speaker 4: means we start trading that negative economic narrative a little
- 6:16Speaker 4: bit more aggressive in the stock market. So I now
- 6:19Speaker 4: I think we're getting close to that tipping point where
- 6:21Speaker 4: we can start a negative spiral. I guess I'm still
- 6:25Speaker 4: on the fence if this is the you know, this
- 6:27Speaker 4: is really the top, but I'm now suddenly leaning that
- 6:29Speaker 4: way as of yesterday, when I wasn't before.
- 6:32Speaker 1: All right, so he's leaning that way. I'm looking at
- 6:34Speaker 1: the S and P chart right now. Oh this is
- 6:37Speaker 1: the daily and dude, this is just.
- 6:40Speaker 2: Straight up really yeah, So I'm as crazy. It's seventy
- 6:45Speaker 2: five sixty one right now.
- 6:46Speaker 1: We're on another green day which is continuing to break records.
- 6:50Speaker 1: So if this is the case, if we're at the top,
- 6:52Speaker 1: and we do see a full retracement, how do you
- 6:57Speaker 1: think this affects the major assets, especially big and eighth
- 7:00Speaker 1: if you charge bitcoin right now, where do you feel
- 7:04Speaker 1: like this falls? If in fact, cut Moore is right
- 7:06Speaker 1: and we see a pullback.
- 7:08Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, here's something we're going to start off with
- 7:10Speaker 3: that people have been talking about the crypto community for
- 7:13Speaker 3: years and that is when will bitcoin finally kind of
- 7:16Speaker 3: separate from traditional risk assets and the stock market overall
- 7:19Speaker 3: and do its own thing. I don't think this is
- 7:21Speaker 3: the way people want to see it happen. Because that's
- 7:23Speaker 3: kind of what we're seeing happen, Paul is we're seeing
- 7:25Speaker 3: a division and a split between traditional finance and crypto.
- 7:29Speaker 3: That the gist is we wanted to see crypto go
- 7:31Speaker 3: up and trad fi go down. We're seeing trad fi
- 7:33Speaker 3: go up crypto down. But in the same thought process, though,
- 7:37Speaker 3: I think it's going to be a perfect storm. I
- 7:39Speaker 3: don't think the bottoms in. I've been on your show before.
- 7:41Speaker 3: I know, I know people thought maybe I kind of
- 7:43Speaker 3: looked like an idiot here a couple of weeks ago
- 7:45Speaker 3: saying I don't think the bottoms in. I think the
- 7:46Speaker 3: bottoms in and Bitcoin sitting here ripping above eighty k.
- 7:50Speaker 3: But now I'm looking a little smarter with those claims.
- 7:52Speaker 3: As we're dropping back down towards seventy thousand. I think
- 7:56Speaker 3: there's going to be a condition where I think the
- 7:57Speaker 3: stock market could keep climbing a little bit, and I
- 7:59Speaker 3: think crypto keep falling. I think Bitcoin is gonna go
- 8:01Speaker 3: down here below this support level. This is a very
- 8:03Speaker 3: classic bearish trend with that rising resistance and rising support
- 8:08Speaker 3: called a rising channel. Gets even worse when you connect
- 8:11Speaker 3: it to that big negative move called a bear flag.
- 8:13Speaker 3: I still have a mark. And I made this case
- 8:16Speaker 3: I think on your channel as well, but on my
- 8:18Speaker 3: channel several times. Now there's a lot of support at
- 8:20Speaker 3: fifty three K, and technically I could see even down
- 8:23Speaker 3: to forty eight k, staying within my realm of what
- 8:27Speaker 3: bitcoin's capable of doing. Okay, but what I think is
- 8:30Speaker 3: gonna happen is and I'm not gonna predict this crash
- 8:33Speaker 3: of the stock market that like the stock market has
- 8:36Speaker 3: like a thirty percent pullback or something, but like you
- 8:39Speaker 3: just said, this is a ridiculously bullish chart that at
- 8:43Speaker 3: some point needs some form of let's just call it
- 8:45Speaker 3: a healthy correction. Let's not even call it a crash
- 8:48Speaker 3: or a bear market, just a healthy correction. And so
- 8:50Speaker 3: people are gonna take profit from the spot. They're gonna
- 8:52Speaker 3: take profit from the AI space. It's booming, and they're
- 8:55Speaker 3: gonna say, where's the next asset class that has a
- 8:58Speaker 3: lot of excitement about the future, but it's underpriced. Go
- 9:03Speaker 3: no further and look at the entire crypto space. Just
- 9:05Speaker 3: look at crypto and what's happening right now, and you're
- 9:07Speaker 3: going to find exciting technology ridiculously over sold, and it's
- 9:12Speaker 3: going to be ripe for buying in. By the way,
- 9:14Speaker 3: when you look at onto, you measures. I know a
- 9:16Speaker 3: lot of people just look at price charts and they
- 9:17Speaker 3: take a pa attention of sentiment. Watch what whales are doing.
- 9:23Speaker 3: Watch the amount of accounts that hold x amount of bitcoinner,
- 9:26Speaker 3: x amount of ethereum, or x amount of chain link.
- 9:28Speaker 3: They're growing. The larger whale accounts are growing, and outflows
- 9:32Speaker 3: from exchanges are starting to increase, which is people putting
- 9:34Speaker 3: money into cold storage. This often happens not at the
- 9:37Speaker 3: exact bottom, but close to the bottom, and I think
- 9:40Speaker 3: that that's I think we're starting to see the signs
- 9:42Speaker 3: that wealthy people are accumulating crypto and they know the
- 9:46Speaker 3: time's coming soon. Now on the charts, I don't think
- 9:50Speaker 3: the bottom's in And one of the biggest reasons why
- 9:52Speaker 3: is because the daily bullish divergence is not in play yet.
- 9:55Speaker 3: We've never had a bearish a bear market end without
- 9:59Speaker 3: at least daily bl divergence. If you're wondering what that is,
- 10:02Speaker 3: that is when the price drops below the previous low.
- 10:05Speaker 3: In this case, daily close was on sixty two two hundred.
- 10:09Speaker 3: We need the daily candle to close below sixty two
- 10:12Speaker 3: two hundred. We need the RSI to stay above this
- 10:15Speaker 3: low back here at sixteen, and that'll be the daily
- 10:18Speaker 3: bullish divergence. Very easy to do from here. And like
- 10:20Speaker 3: I said, I think people have their cases between. I've
- 10:23Speaker 3: heard some people be as of the camp that says
- 10:26Speaker 3: sub sixty ky's to come. I've heard people as high
- 10:28Speaker 3: as fifty eight saying fifty eight's all we need to do.
- 10:31Speaker 3: I'm sitting in the middle around fifty three is my
- 10:33Speaker 3: I think just a confluence of support. I've heard a
- 10:37Speaker 3: very good case though for forty eight K to be
- 10:39Speaker 3: the level that bitcoin needs to be interesting.
- 10:42Speaker 1: I'm sure you've been watching what's going on with ethereum. This,
- 10:45Speaker 1: of course is the banklets guys. That's David Hoffman him
- 10:48Speaker 1: claiming that he's sold all of his ETH and he
- 10:51Speaker 1: had he got so much pushback that he had to
- 10:53Speaker 1: put out a community statement and then wrote a full
- 10:56Speaker 1: lengthy article about this.
- 10:57Speaker 2: I invite everybody to.
- 10:58Speaker 1: Go read it if you're an e max he or
- 11:00Speaker 1: you've purchased ETH before these bankless I would say is
- 11:04Speaker 1: one of the core media groups out there that have
- 11:09Speaker 1: been in support of Ethereum in general. When you look
- 11:12Speaker 1: at ETH, as it is, because I think people are
- 11:15Speaker 1: just now looking at hey eth is you know, the
- 11:18Speaker 1: narrative is gone and it's no longer money. There's the arguments,
- 11:21Speaker 1: are you know, proliferating typically around the bottom like it
- 11:25Speaker 1: has before. Where would you put ether on the chart
- 11:29Speaker 1: right now in comparison to your forty eight K to
- 11:33Speaker 1: fifty three K bitcoin?
- 11:36Speaker 3: Yeah? Well, when I take a look at the eight chart,
- 11:37Speaker 3: I mean this is one of the I don't want
- 11:40Speaker 3: to say, more barriers but less bullish charts of the
- 11:43Speaker 3: crypto space. Here we were in a similar channel to bitcoin,
- 11:47Speaker 3: but when you have constriction like this, it's more of
- 11:49Speaker 3: what we call a rising wedge power. Okay, you can
- 11:52Speaker 3: see here and I know some of your different trend lines.
- 11:53Speaker 3: This is my trend on I have drawn. It connects
- 11:55Speaker 3: with these three support levels quite well. We lost that
- 11:58Speaker 3: support level here about a week and some angego. We
- 12:00Speaker 3: came back up. If I zoom in, let's go to
- 12:02Speaker 3: the four hour charts, you can see this. We came
- 12:04Speaker 3: back up and pretty much treated it like resistance, so
- 12:06Speaker 3: pretty strong a bearish move right there. This right here
- 12:10Speaker 3: suggests to me in this wedge pattern again, it gets
- 12:14Speaker 3: worse if I call this a bear flag. Let's just
- 12:16Speaker 3: start with a conservative kind of approach here. I would
- 12:19Speaker 3: take a look here and say, the prediction for this
- 12:21Speaker 3: move comes right back down to a massive support level.
- 12:24Speaker 3: Somewhere here around sixteen fifty sixteen forty eight roughly is
- 12:28Speaker 3: the area to watch there. When I zoom out, you'll
- 12:31Speaker 3: see this is a long term support trend line going
- 12:34Speaker 3: back to the June twenty twenty two lows. Right. So
- 12:37Speaker 3: we've been in this channel for a long term. On
- 12:39Speaker 3: the theorem as well, I think it's very realistic at
- 12:41Speaker 3: this point for ETH to drop down there if the
- 12:44Speaker 3: bear flag part of it plays out. We're talking about
- 12:46Speaker 3: twelve hundred dollars. I think I've said this on the
- 12:48Speaker 3: show here long before as well. If we lose this
- 12:50Speaker 3: support level, I think some people say fourteen hundred. I
- 12:54Speaker 3: think you skip that. I think you're playing out the
- 12:55Speaker 3: bear flag. We're looking at twelve hundred. But it is
- 13:00Speaker 3: one of those things, Paul. I'll say this that a
- 13:02Speaker 3: lot of people, a lot of people look at charts
- 13:06Speaker 3: and they try to drive some sort of long term
- 13:09Speaker 3: narrative and they say, Okay, ethereum is dead. It's just
- 13:11Speaker 3: not performing well. And yet, to my knowledge, and I
- 13:14Speaker 3: know you read that story that one supporter ethereums kind
- 13:16Speaker 3: of sold all their ethereum, but other big ones are
- 13:18Speaker 3: coming in. It is still an institutional favorite at this point.
- 13:22Speaker 3: I know Blackrock really likes it. I know that you
- 13:25Speaker 3: know Mark Cuban just made a big deal about dumping
- 13:27Speaker 3: a lot of bitcoin because he's doubling down an ethereum.
- 13:30Speaker 3: So until I start to see bigger, bigger, bigger waves happen,
- 13:34Speaker 3: that actually showed me the fundamentals of ethereum are dead.
- 13:37Speaker 3: People have made this mistake before. At one point people
- 13:40Speaker 3: said XRP was dead because the price action wasn't doing anything,
- 13:43Speaker 3: and we know that was false. Remember when people thought
- 13:45Speaker 3: Solana was dead because the price action wasn't doing anything.
- 13:47Speaker 3: And now Solan is the coin that everyone's saying is
- 13:49Speaker 3: the reason why theorem is going to die. But literally
- 13:52Speaker 3: three years ago it was a dead coin, right, So
- 13:55Speaker 3: I try not to get too emotional too fast just
- 13:58Speaker 3: because price action looks bad, because it doesn't tell the
- 14:02Speaker 3: full story. There's still is a lot of fundamental long
- 14:04Speaker 3: term support. But from a technical standpoint, I buy signals
- 14:09Speaker 3: down at sixteen hundred and if those lose, I'll order
- 14:11Speaker 3: more down at twelve hundred, is there?
- 14:13Speaker 1: Yeah, so buying the dip for sure. Jumping over to
- 14:16Speaker 1: you speak of Solana. Of course, everybody's tagging Purpse now
- 14:21Speaker 1: and if you guys don't know, Solana grabbed up the
- 14:25Speaker 1: Purpse handle on X for a big reason. Obviously they
- 14:28Speaker 1: are going head to head with hyper Liquid, and we
- 14:31Speaker 1: could see a lot of activity. I mean, you look
- 14:33Speaker 1: at JTX, you look at what's happening with Jupiter. This
- 14:37Speaker 1: could be a pretty accelerated opportunity for them to take
- 14:41Speaker 1: on hyper Liquid. If you're looking at Solana right now,
- 14:44Speaker 1: where would be a good place tim for me, not
- 14:48Speaker 1: our audience, but for me. You're coaching Paul now, Yeah,
- 14:52Speaker 1: where do I buy my next bag at Solana?
- 14:56Speaker 3: Yeah? Well, I would say your next DCA should probably be.
- 14:59Speaker 3: So we're in this green box area north end around
- 15:02Speaker 3: seventy eight forty low end run seventy five to seventy two.
- 15:05Speaker 3: So this is a support box we've been in since
- 15:07Speaker 3: back in February, and you can see here we've just
- 15:09Speaker 3: been bouncing back and forth a couple outliers above resistance,
- 15:12Speaker 3: but we keep finding support in this green box problem
- 15:15Speaker 3: again is this is a sideways channel connected to a
- 15:18Speaker 3: big move down, So you could easily call this a
- 15:20Speaker 3: bear flag as well. There's two marks I'm looking at,
- 15:22Speaker 3: so I have longer term bisingle. So I think a
- 15:24Speaker 3: good DCA spot seventy seven because just in case, right,
- 15:28Speaker 3: I always have the just in case I'm wrong. I
- 15:30Speaker 3: want to make sure I'm locked in because I think
- 15:32Speaker 3: we're closer to bottom than the top. But realistically, if
- 15:36Speaker 3: Bitcoin's going sub sixty k, if Ethereum's going to sixteen hundred,
- 15:41Speaker 3: Solana's probably going closer to sixty, and the disaster scenario
- 15:45Speaker 3: for me is closer to fifty. I would almost say,
- 15:47Speaker 3: let's compare to bitcoin. If Bitcoin makes it to like
- 15:51Speaker 3: fifty three, Solana's probably at sixty dollars. If bitcoin goes
- 15:55Speaker 3: to like forty eight, Solana's probably at fifty dollars.
- 15:58Speaker 1: Okay, all right, Salona at fifty would be the case,
- 16:03Speaker 1: at least on the bare side of this, if we
- 16:04Speaker 1: do see the kind of numbers that you're talking about,
- 16:06Speaker 1: which is pretty significant. All right, So beyond Solana, because
- 16:12Speaker 1: let's just jump over to hype, I want to kind
- 16:14Speaker 1: of go to this tweet year.
- 16:14Speaker 2: But Matt Hogan.
- 16:16Speaker 1: Having done it a few times, I can say discussing
- 16:19Speaker 1: hyper liquid with financial advisors is magic. I've got a
- 16:23Speaker 1: clip here from the roll up they were talking about
- 16:25Speaker 1: this also talking about it the easiest sales pitch, and
- 16:28Speaker 1: then I want to ask you a question after this.
- 16:30Speaker 2: Let's play this clip.
- 16:32Speaker 5: This thing has a billion dollars and more of free
- 16:34Speaker 5: cash flows, and it's going back to buy the tokens.
- 16:37Speaker 5: Like when I talk to institutional investors, all I have
- 16:39Speaker 5: to say is that in the same way that the
- 16:41Speaker 5: Theme Foundation is like looking for Tom Lee and some
- 16:44Speaker 5: of these other dats to like go be their institutional BD,
- 16:48Speaker 5: these hype liquid ets just unlocked this next wave of
- 16:51Speaker 5: incentive aligned Wall Street salesmen. Like It's just it's exactly
- 16:58Speaker 5: what we needed to get this to allocators and to
- 17:02Speaker 5: make this pitch kind of go global.
- 17:04Speaker 6: The token is the problem. The hyper Liquid team is
- 17:06Speaker 6: not paying for a think, not for marketing, not for
- 17:09Speaker 6: market makers, not for listings, not for ETFs. They're not
- 17:13Speaker 6: paying for a thing that took it upon himself and
- 17:16Speaker 6: upon him, upon himself and on behalf of a bit
- 17:18Speaker 6: wise to go out find the asset that is going
- 17:21Speaker 6: to help his customers.
- 17:23Speaker 7: Most people think it's a crypto app targeting the three
- 17:25Speaker 7: trillion dollar crypto market. It's a super app targeting the
- 17:28Speaker 7: six hundred trillion dollar global asset market. And that's why
- 17:32Speaker 7: it's so exciting. If it were just doing crypto futures,
- 17:36Speaker 7: it'd be just about tapped out. But it has barely
- 17:39Speaker 7: penetrated into the rest of all assets, which is actually
- 17:42Speaker 7: the market that's going after.
- 17:44Speaker 1: So remember, Matt's got a you know, a dog in
- 17:47Speaker 1: the hump. He's got a hyper liquid fund out there.
- 17:50Speaker 1: He's very happy about it. There's been a lot of
- 17:53Speaker 1: talk about hyper liquid just mainly because of what it's
- 17:55Speaker 1: been doing over the past six months. Where would you
- 17:59Speaker 1: put high liquid right now? Do you think this is
- 18:02Speaker 1: due for a pullback or do you think this is
- 18:03Speaker 1: just the beginning of a supercycle because of perpetuals.
- 18:07Speaker 3: It is hard because hype is running off so much
- 18:11Speaker 3: sentiment right now and pump what I would call pumpamnals.
- 18:14Speaker 3: But when I take a look at it and I
- 18:16Speaker 3: look at my indicators in this case, I don't know
- 18:19Speaker 3: what pretty look at my neurowave indicator. We have red reversal, bearish,
- 18:24Speaker 3: bearish momentum, dot and negative moneyful. This is on the
- 18:26Speaker 3: daily chart, by the way, so that's a that's a
- 18:28Speaker 3: decent daily cell signal. Doesn't promise me a colossal crash.
- 18:33Speaker 3: But these previous ones we've had have had decent pullbacks,
- 18:36Speaker 3: let's call them decent pullbacks. Now here's where I'll say
- 18:39Speaker 3: the pumpamentals kind of come in because this rising wedge
- 18:42Speaker 3: pattern seventy percent of the time we're gonna get a
- 18:45Speaker 3: barish breakout, and it ended up pumping to the upside instead.
- 18:49Speaker 3: Why Because the sentiments so good, the fundamentals are so good,
- 18:52Speaker 3: so it's hard to bet against hype. Where I would
- 18:56Speaker 3: turn bearish on it, like I'm bullish on hype right now.
- 18:59Speaker 3: Where I would my turn barrass is if we come
- 19:01Speaker 3: up with a weekly cell signal, and right now I'm
- 19:05Speaker 3: just not seeing that necessary play out. It looks like
- 19:07Speaker 3: we just got back up here. We don't embarished divergence
- 19:10Speaker 3: on the weekly chart. I think it's unwise to enter
- 19:15Speaker 3: long term shorts just yet on hype, but it could
- 19:18Speaker 3: get there. I want to let me actually take a
- 19:20Speaker 3: look here real quick with you actually haven't checked this out? Yeah,
- 19:22Speaker 3: we don't. We have those daily cell signals. We don't
- 19:25Speaker 3: even officially have a two daily cell scenel yet. It's close.
- 19:28Speaker 3: It looks like the two days about to happen. But
- 19:30Speaker 3: if we don't even have the two day it might
- 19:31Speaker 3: take a couple of weeks for the weekly prints off
- 19:33Speaker 3: on us. Where I'm looking though, is bit the daily
- 19:36Speaker 3: cell signal being in here, and you'll probably find some
- 19:38Speaker 3: bar stuff down below. I told our community two levels
- 19:41Speaker 3: that I was keeping an eye on the first one
- 19:43Speaker 3: we just bounced here pretty much yesterday around fifty six.
- 19:46Speaker 3: The other one back down towards this red line. If
- 19:49Speaker 3: I were extend this out around fifty three fifty two
- 19:52Speaker 3: is the next area I would look for. And then
- 19:54Speaker 3: what you're looking for at those levels, and by the way,
- 19:56Speaker 3: we're getting it here today as we hit my first
- 19:59Speaker 3: level here at fifty six the four hour chart, now
- 20:01Speaker 3: you're seeing some buys starting to sweep back in for
- 20:03Speaker 3: short term scalping. That's not a long term chart. But
- 20:07Speaker 3: that's what I'm saying right there is is it's clearly
- 20:09Speaker 3: in a bull trend, higher highs and higher lows. We
- 20:12Speaker 3: do have a celsiene on the daily chart, but not
- 20:14Speaker 3: up on the weekly chart, and in a bullish trend.
- 20:16Speaker 3: Cell signals are just healthy corrections, healthy pullbacks. They don't
- 20:20Speaker 3: bring lower lows and lower highs guaranteed weekly sell signals.
- 20:24Speaker 3: That would be a different call. That would be something
- 20:26Speaker 3: I would take a lot more seriously.
- 20:27Speaker 1: It's really the winning chart right now in crypto, I
- 20:30Speaker 1: would say it's the darling of it. If it's barely penetrated.
- 20:34Speaker 1: Where where is hyper liquid gonna go? If purpse gets
- 20:38Speaker 1: fully released within clarity or at least the sec kind
- 20:43Speaker 1: of getting in a position where they're gonna let.
- 20:45Speaker 2: This go through. What would what would be your your bull.
- 20:49Speaker 1: Case for highs hype. Let's go with a bull case
- 20:52Speaker 1: and a bear or a base case for hyper liquid.
- 20:56Speaker 3: Very man, that's a hard one. I haven't I haven't
- 20:59Speaker 3: thought about the long term perspective there. I'd have to
- 21:01Speaker 3: look at some market cap stuff and do some analysis
- 21:04Speaker 3: on that one. I did say to my community that
- 21:07Speaker 3: until the bear, until we confirm our selves in on
- 21:09Speaker 3: the weekly chart, my target would be back up towards
- 21:12Speaker 3: a trend of resistance towards almost eighty dollars seventy nine
- 21:15Speaker 3: thirty nine to fifty, give or take all.
- 21:17Speaker 1: Right, So let's jump over to Ando real quick. You
- 21:19Speaker 1: had the founder of Ando, Nathan Almond. He passed away
- 21:22Speaker 1: at the age of thirty two. Yeah, and Ondo gets stumped.
- 21:28Speaker 1: This is pretty sad because we actually were gonna have
- 21:31Speaker 1: the Ondo team on before this happened, and when the
- 21:34Speaker 1: terrible news hit, Onto of course gets nailed. Do you
- 21:39Speaker 1: think this is just the community kind of in a
- 21:42Speaker 1: position of God. This is terrible for a chain when
- 21:45Speaker 1: you have a major founder in there. Do you think
- 21:47Speaker 1: it can can bounce back as an asset?
- 21:50Speaker 3: Well, let's start off with the fact that it's not
- 21:52Speaker 3: really collapsing that hard at the moment. I mean, you
- 21:55Speaker 3: can say it's down from where it was the other
- 21:57Speaker 3: day and you zoom in here, but all things considered,
- 22:00Speaker 3: paired to the rest of the crypto space, it's actually
- 22:02Speaker 3: technically still in a bullish trend. I had a support
- 22:05Speaker 3: level that I actually had this level back up here
- 22:07Speaker 3: when we first crossed above like forty seven almost forty
- 22:10Speaker 3: eight cents. Back here on May ninth, I said, okay,
- 22:13Speaker 3: line in the sands support wise right now, this yellow
- 22:16Speaker 3: line right here thirty three cents. If we can maintain
- 22:18Speaker 3: above thirty three cents, there's no reason to be freaking
- 22:21Speaker 3: out about Ondo, and you can see, sure enough, we
- 22:23Speaker 3: bounced almost perfectly on the line I had drawn. Now
- 22:26Speaker 3: we came up and put in a slightly lower high.
- 22:29Speaker 3: So I'm interested to see what this looks like going forward.
- 22:31Speaker 3: But We're still above this level overall, so I'm not
- 22:34Speaker 3: freaking out about Ondo just yet. If there was this
- 22:36Speaker 3: real panic, then I think it would be dropping a
- 22:38Speaker 3: lot faster and more furiously than it is now. If
- 22:41Speaker 3: it starts to lose some partnerships, if some of the
- 22:43Speaker 3: people that have worked with it start to say, you know,
- 22:46Speaker 3: we want to work with a different, real old asset
- 22:48Speaker 3: project instead, then I would start to be concerned about Ondo.
- 22:52Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 22:53Speaker 3: What I'll say about the very tragic and sad news
- 22:57Speaker 3: of allman is it looks or appears like he built
- 23:01Speaker 3: a team that, even though he might have been a
- 23:04Speaker 3: lot of the brains behind the operations, he had a
- 23:05Speaker 3: good team around him who's gonna be able to continue
- 23:07Speaker 3: to do what he first thought would happen. So I'm
- 23:11Speaker 3: gonna default to trust in the team he leaves behind
- 23:14Speaker 3: to say Ono is still special. They still have all
- 23:16Speaker 3: these relationships. I still think they can do well. If
- 23:19Speaker 3: it starts to go south though with those partnerships, I'll
- 23:21Speaker 3: change my mind. The sad news about the death, though,
- 23:25Speaker 3: I will say, and I told our community this, and
- 23:26Speaker 3: I'm not gonna say on the channel because I don't
- 23:28Speaker 3: want YouTube to get problems. But if there was a
- 23:31Speaker 3: if it was a car accident or a health related thing,
- 23:33Speaker 3: they usually tell people it was a tragic accent. They
- 23:35Speaker 3: tell people there's two types of deaths that they usually
- 23:38Speaker 3: don't release details on, and I'll let people kind of
- 23:41Speaker 3: think for themselves what those two types of deaths are.
- 23:43Speaker 3: So it will be interesting even on that note, what
- 23:46Speaker 3: comes out, if it ever comes out. I think one
- 23:49Speaker 3: of my business partners are telling me some people remember
- 23:52Speaker 3: Plume's founder died last year, and we still don't know
- 23:56Speaker 3: exactly why he died. So will we ever find out?
- 23:59Speaker 3: I know, But at the moment, back to the price
- 24:02Speaker 3: action itself, I'm going to continue to trust and onto
- 24:05Speaker 3: team until they give me a good reason not to.
- 24:08Speaker 1: Let's take a look at Okay, so when you think
- 24:12Speaker 1: about where Ondo is as a token, you look at
- 24:15Speaker 1: really the innovation that Ondo has really brought forward, you
- 24:19Speaker 1: kind of have to leap forward and go all right,
- 24:20Speaker 1: what other major innovations are underway out there because if
- 24:25Speaker 1: you look at Agentic Trading, Robinhood launched Agentic trading and
- 24:30Speaker 1: an Agentic credit card.
- 24:32Speaker 2: So this is going to let.
- 24:33Speaker 1: AI agents basically to use Robinhood through MCP services. Talking
- 24:38Speaker 1: about it here in the tweet, you're going to have
- 24:40Speaker 1: Agentic trading as a separate account so you can utilize
- 24:43Speaker 1: it there. I just wonder, if Robinhood has advanced fast enough,
- 24:49Speaker 1: will would you allow this?
- 24:51Speaker 3: If?
- 24:51Speaker 1: I mean, you're a trader, would you let aargentic trading
- 24:54Speaker 1: work in your account even if it was a separate account,
- 24:57Speaker 1: and you'd let it run?
- 24:59Speaker 3: I will someday. I'm not trusting the first couple of models.
- 25:03Speaker 3: I still think at the moment, a good human mind
- 25:05Speaker 3: is a better trader than AI. That might not be
- 25:09Speaker 3: the case long term. I don't know, we'll have this
- 25:10Speaker 3: kind of seal this develops because the problem is once
- 25:13Speaker 3: you start getting everything trading AI and all the algorithms
- 25:15Speaker 3: are just working well, now all of a sudden, someone's
- 25:17Speaker 3: going to create an algorithm to come in and disrupt
- 25:19Speaker 3: the other algorithms so that they win and the others lose.
- 25:22Speaker 3: So I think there's always gonna be a time period.
- 25:24Speaker 3: I think there's always gonna be a way to say
- 25:27Speaker 3: human brains. This was so crazy, Paul, human brains are
- 25:31Speaker 3: still Scientists can't explain the way our brains work, the
- 25:34Speaker 3: way they work. AI is brilliant. I incorporate AI into
- 25:37Speaker 3: my work every single day, but it still is nothing
- 25:40Speaker 3: compared to a human brain. So as much as I'm
- 25:43Speaker 3: excited about AI and I want to incorporate it into
- 25:46Speaker 3: my financial journey, I'm not gonna just blindly trust it
- 25:50Speaker 3: and turn off my human brain either. And I think
- 25:52Speaker 3: going forward's gonna be very important that people don't just
- 25:55Speaker 3: default to AI for trading, default to AI for investing,
- 25:59Speaker 3: and they still to learn and process it all themselves.
- 26:01Speaker 1: All right, Well, let's take a look at robin hood
- 26:04Speaker 1: from a chart standpoint, because people will probably buy this
- 26:08Speaker 1: in the sense of understanding that agentic. If you just
- 26:11Speaker 1: stick a gentic on anything, it feels like the chart
- 26:13Speaker 1: goes up.
- 26:15Speaker 3: Yeah, this is well, this is when the assets actually
- 26:17Speaker 3: in the stock world that I've been accumulating here since
- 26:19Speaker 3: this correction down. You know, we had this call from
- 26:22Speaker 3: from weeks ago at this point, I mean months ago,
- 26:24Speaker 3: excuse me, December January, we talked about a big break
- 26:27Speaker 3: to the downside. You guys can see here we had
- 26:29Speaker 3: a target that we had from you know, way back
- 26:32Speaker 3: in January hit just perfectly around sixty four. So our
- 26:35Speaker 3: community has been accumulating Robinhood in this area right here
- 26:40Speaker 3: between sixty four and roughly seventy six dollars. So as
- 26:45Speaker 3: we're gonn to go back up, I'm very glad this
- 26:46Speaker 3: is good for my portfolio. I knew it was about time,
- 26:49Speaker 3: you know, I've been tracking here that we were starting
- 26:51Speaker 3: to get some by signals coming back in on the
- 26:54Speaker 3: on the daily chart, I think even the weekly chart,
- 26:57Speaker 3: if I'm not wrong, Yeah, the weekly chart recently had
- 27:00Speaker 3: some really bullish stuff happening here. Fresh weekly by signals.
- 27:03Speaker 3: The mac D crossed bullish here recently, all very good
- 27:05Speaker 3: signs for HOOD. And and I don't dislike Base, like
- 27:09Speaker 3: I don't don't take what I'm about to say is
- 27:11Speaker 3: being like nobody should invest in coinbase or coin. I
- 27:14Speaker 3: said Base, I'm at coin. No one should go in
- 27:16Speaker 3: to coin. But but I kind of came to a
- 27:18Speaker 3: place where I was building my new portfolio with crypto
- 27:20Speaker 3: and stocks, and I wanted to only choose five stocks
- 27:23Speaker 3: for this new portfolio, and it came down to shy
- 27:25Speaker 3: voting coin or Hood. After all of the TA and
- 27:30Speaker 3: the data I was going through, I just I came
- 27:32Speaker 3: to the conclusion I think that Hood is the better
- 27:34Speaker 3: play than coin. And that doesn't mean coin's not gonna
- 27:36Speaker 3: do well. It doesn't mean coin's not worth people's investments.
- 27:39Speaker 3: But I came to my personal conclusion I would rather
- 27:42Speaker 3: hold Hood than coin. And we'll see if I'm right
- 27:45Speaker 3: or not.
- 27:45Speaker 1: All Right, well, it's down forty six percent from last October,
- 27:50Speaker 1: so if you are going to get into it, even
- 27:52Speaker 1: though the last day or so, again, I think because
- 27:55Speaker 1: of some of these announcements that they're making, it's had
- 27:57Speaker 1: a nice little move up to eighty two, but yeah,
- 27:59Speaker 1: still down forty six percent. Really if you look at it,
- 28:04Speaker 1: so it might be a good time. Might be a
- 28:05Speaker 1: good time to try to accumulate some of Robinhood. All right,
- 28:09Speaker 1: you guys know what to do. Check out Tim's channel
- 28:11Speaker 1: over there. It's Tim Warren Trades on YouTube doing a
- 28:14Speaker 1: great job hitting on a few things on this Let's
- 28:18Speaker 1: go to your videos right there? Should I sell and
- 28:20Speaker 1: that's talking about onto? Yeah, I like that one and
- 28:24Speaker 1: of course, Bitcoin updates all the time. How many videos
- 28:26Speaker 1: are you guys dropping a day?
- 28:27Speaker 2: Is it one to day?
- 28:28Speaker 3: It depends. There's certain days we put out two we're
- 28:31Speaker 3: doing We're going live every single day at three pm
- 28:33Speaker 3: Eastern Standard time to cover news and charts, and then
- 28:37Speaker 3: I used to do another video per day, but I've
- 28:40Speaker 3: really been I've really kind of come back and said,
- 28:43Speaker 3: you know what, I'm not going to put out one
- 28:44Speaker 3: hundred different videos that some of them are good and
- 28:47Speaker 3: some other bad. We're going for quality over quantity now.
- 28:50Speaker 3: So if i don't have a good video to put out,
- 28:52Speaker 3: I'll just skip that date. If I have a good
- 28:53Speaker 3: video to put out, we're putting somebody out that day.
- 28:55Speaker 2: There you go, my man. Check it out. Tim, thanks
- 28:58Speaker 2: a lot for stepping in today.
- 28:59Speaker 3: We appreciate it absolutely. Thanks for having me, Paul.
- 29:07Speaker 1: If you like this video, hit like and subscribe, drop
- 29:10Speaker 1: a comment down below, and also join our free private
- 29:13Speaker 1: member group.
- 29:14Speaker 2: The link is in the description m HM