Latest / Toadstool Sports / Sunday BEST BETS | Playoffs! | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/19/26

Transcript

Sunday BEST BETS | Playoffs! | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/19/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:02
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight it was
• 0:09
  Speaker 2: just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start off
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: this show horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: I don't even know.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: What to tell you about that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: A good day at all all in four I have
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: not had a good season. Man, with wookends slump that
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached into pink. Actually,
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I don't
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: know what is going on with the.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: Bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: with you after.
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: The worst day that I could possibly have with you,
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: as I always am until I die at least oh
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: and two.
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: Doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. To the slump yesterdays, the slump discontinuous,
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up?
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: Everybody? Sewed back with you with Toadstool Sports. It is Sunday,
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: April nineteenth, still on the twenty eight to eleven and
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: one run over the last fifteen days. Yesterday's one play
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: was a loser. I haven't jumped into the playoffs yet.
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: I'm not going to today either. I'm being super selective again.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have one baseball play. I'll give out a
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: couple other strong issue baseball opinions as well. I don't know, man,
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: I'm just not loving what I see here on the board.
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: A lot of times I will skip all the game ones.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: In playoffs, We're gonna have some zigzag spots coming up.
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: We're definitely gonna jump into the playoffs starting with some
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: of these game twos. But today, I mean, we'll talk
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: about it when we get to the NBA games today are
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: all the blowout games. So even though yesterday's games were
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: blowouts well something I'm not really but some of them
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: were kind of Yeah, I guess maybe we should have
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: gone with the Lakers.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: That was my strongest opinion yesterday.
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: But inexplicably Kevin Durant, he looked fine during shoo shoot
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: around and whatever, and then like he was listed as
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: a game time decision.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: But I'm like, yeah, he's gonna play.
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: Then inexplicably right before the game, oh no, all of
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: a sudden, he's not playing. What.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: I have no idea what that was.
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Yeah, it makes no sense to me.
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: And then he doesn't play and the line drops to two.
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: So if you had Lakers plus five, I had a
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: really good ticket, and yeah, that was it really really ridiculous.
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that was.
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: Knowing that information, I would have been less likely to
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: want Houston at the two, or excuse me, want the
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: Lakers at the plus two. The plus five, Yeah, we
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: probably should have just added a play on it. I
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: know I did have won. I think I got one.
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: I had one game one on my.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: Playoff card last year. I think in the NBA. I
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: think it was t Wolves Lakers.
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: I think I got it right with the tee Wolves,
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: I think whatever it was, but yeah, this time, we're
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: just not doing it. Man, I just don't see anything
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: strong enough here. The baseball play we did lose yesterday.
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: There was a rain delay in that game. So after
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: the rain delay, it was just like everything was just
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: off the table after the rain delay, although we'd already
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: lost the bet before that. The rain delay was I believe,
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: after the end of the fourth inning, and Paul Skeens
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: didn't allow any runs in the game, but they didn't
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: put him back in after the rain delay because the
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: rain delay just kind of ends, like you can't put
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: your starter back out there, you know, when he's not
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: when he's cooled off right like after like an hour
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: or two rain delay, you just can't do it. So
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: Skemes didn't allow any runs, so he lived up to
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: his part. He went four scoreless, but Rasmussen somehow gave
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: up some runs. And I looked at the box score,
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: it was four to nothing at the end of the
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: four thing. It was only two to nothing Pittsburgh going
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: into the fourth. I'm like, all right, we were still
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: alive with this, but then two more runs for Pittsburgh.
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh had four runs on two hits. What how do
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: you get four runs on two hits? I don't even
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: get it, man. And then, like I said, after the
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: rain delay, yeah, I mean it was like the Skies
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: opened up on the game and whatever, and everything just
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: went to hell and the Bullpens gave up a bunch
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: of runs and whatever. So that I mean, that's I
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: didn't go first five because I thought there was gonna
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: be a rain delay. I went first five because I
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: didn't trust the Bullpens. But either way, yeah, whatever, I'm
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: not happy about it. Whatever, mister Penze, what's up? Yeah,
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: the NBA wants to drag the series. It's such bullshit, dude.
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: Fuck all that.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: Uh, Kyle, what's up?
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: Fuck the Lakers. Lakers need to just get bounced. I'm
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: done with this shit, dude. I mean, Houston. Yeah, they
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: were probably too heavy a favorite on the series price,
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: but still a minus five hundred or whatever favorite.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: Should not lose the fucking series. I don't know.
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: Reeves is not coming back, though Luca seems like he's
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: probably coming back in the middle of the series, and
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: when he does, I think we actually want to fade
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: the Lakers in the reverse injured player spot. All right,
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: we gotta get to these games. I don't want this
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: show to be this long. Kansas City and the Yankees
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: is the first game up. This is my only play of.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: The day, so fuck it.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: The best bet is literally the first game I'm talking about.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Whatever, here we go.
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: We're gonna take the Kansas City Royals in this one,
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: So there you go, Zach. I'm gonna do a split
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: bet plus partially on the plus one and a half
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: run line at minus one sixty four the other part
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: of the plus one thirty five money line.
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: If you want to just go money line.
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: Go ahead, you could do that. I think we have
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: a situational angle here, and I like the pitching matchup
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: well enough that we'll just do it. I understand we're
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: gonna have to roll with a really really atrocious bullpen here,
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: but when we're going with like a run line situation
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: like this, and it's a situational play as well, we're
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: just gonna suck it up and.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: Do it here.
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: You know, the Yankees don't have the greatest bullpen either.
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: Even though Kansas City's has been really bad, I still
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: think Kansas City should turn it around at some point.
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: But looking at the situation here, the Yankees are on
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: the verge of a sweep. They had a blowout win yesterday,
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: so I think there should be some sort of bounce
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: back here for Kansas City for those reasons, like you
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: should get more effort out of them. But the Yankees
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: also might be looking ahead because even though the Red
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: Sox suck right now, that's who the Yankees playing next,
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: starting on Tuesday, So I think that should be a
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: look ahead.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, that is a massive series. It always is.
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: It's a huge rivalry, and the Red Sox kind of
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: have had the Yankees' number, even though I know they
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: lost the Wildcard series in the playoffs last year or whatever,
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: but the Red Sox have won the season series I
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: think the last couple of seasons. It's a big series,
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: is what I'm saying. So I think the Yankees could
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: easily overlook this game. Bullpen usage. Yesterday, Yankees only us
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: one relief pitcher, so their bullpen is fine. But Kansas
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: City also only used Mitch Spence, long relief man, so
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: all their better relievers are available today, So that will
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: help us out with the fact that Kansas City literally
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: has the worst bullpen in baseball and we're still rolling
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: with this year. I know, like I said, I don't
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: actually believe that they're the actual worst bullpen here. I
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: know they're not good, but we're still.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Going with it.
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: And the Yankees are in the bottom kind of third
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: as well, So it's not like the Yankees have a
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: massive bullpen edge here. They do have a bullpen edge,
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: but not massive, and I think it can be countered
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: by the starting pitching here. We're gonna go with Cole Reagan,
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: So who should be the better of these two pitchers.
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: The Royals have not given him run support, but he
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: does have a three point seven to eighty RA. He's
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: been one of their best starters throughout his career. His
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: whip is a little bit too high right now, one
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: point three to eight. He walked four guys in his
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: last outing, but it was still a one hit performance
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: six innings against Detroit, So I'm not ready to say that, oh,
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: he's just like totally out of form right now or
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: something like that. His walk numbers need to go down.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: But other than that start in his first start, he was,
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, he was in command like kind of otherwise,
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: except he had one weird start against Cleveland where they
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: took him out almost immediately.
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that was, but we're still gonna
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: roll with him here. Man.
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: Look at throughout his career, he's still good. I know
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: he's trying to come back from injury, whatever, but we're
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: gonna do it. And against the Yankees, he does have
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: good numbers and thirty seven at bats eight to five
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio, one to eight batting average allowed three
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: twenty two ops. Really really good numbers here from Reagan's
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: and then on the other side, Ryan Weathers, He's been
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: pretty good for the Yankees for the most part. Four
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: point two ninety RA the pretty mediocre one point three
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: to eight whip is not good. So both these pitchers,
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: their whips are not that good. Weathers does have a
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: high strikeout rate, well over one per inning twenty eight
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: to seven strike out walk ratio is not bad, but
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: he's allowed more than one hit per inning.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: He's been too hittable and he's been getting a little
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: bit worse.
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: He's been a little bit worse at home as well,
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: but that's also his most recent three starts all coming
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: at home, and his two worst starts of the season
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: were included in those three. So yeah, I mean his
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio does indicate that he is pitching
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: somewhat fine, but he's getting hit around quite a bit.
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: Did a lot of four home runs in his last outing,
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: which is a little bit concerning. Even though you could
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: argue it's a little bit fluky against the Royals. They
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: don't really have a lot of experience against them, only
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: eight at bats, but they do have a three seventy
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: five average off in oney sixty nine ops. And I
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: think there's some value here in Kansas City.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: Man. The money is agreeing with me on this.
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: Yankees eighty six percent of the tickets on them, seventy
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash, so they're public with less
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: money on them. The price has already been driven up
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: to minus one fifty one. I think it's too much
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: of a price to lay with the Yankees here. It's
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: a situational play as well. We're going with it. We
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: will go with the Kansas City Royals in that one
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: for my only play of the day, and hopefully we
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: just get it right. Yeah, all right, Giants and Washington.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Washington is trying to avoid a.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: Sweet beer as well, so I do look for possible
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: motivation right away. San Francisco also has the Dodgers next
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: starting on Tuesdays. San Francisco may very well overlook Washington
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: here because they've already won the series. They might be
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: looking ahead to the Dodgers Situationally, Yeah, Washington definitely fits
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: the situational criteria in this game, but I don't know
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: if they fit much else. Their bullpen is bad. The
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: Giants bullpen, as I said, they're starting to come around.
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: The Giants to have a fairly significant bullpen advantage in
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: this game. As far as the usage in the bullpen,
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: Giants did use a lot of their bullpen yesterday though
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: that that does actually kind of indicate towards Washington a
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: little bit. Again, they use five relief pitchers, but it
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: was an extra inning game. I think Washington used four.
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: So San Francisco does still have a bullpen edge here,
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: even though they're a little bit less rested. I guess
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: hitting wizs Washington does have.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: The edge there.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: They're fourth in ops right now, Giants are twenty fourth,
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: so the Giants offense really struggling again. Problem is, there's
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: no way that I could play Washington with this starting
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: I just can't do it.
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: Robbie Ray is pitching for the Giants, he's doing pretty
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: well two point four to two ERA one point zero
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: three whip.
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: His walks have been an issue though.
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: H twenty four strikeouts in twenty two and a third
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: innings is good, thirteen hits allowed as good. Ten walks
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: is way too many walks, and he's walked three or
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: more in his last three outings. That is definitely a concern.
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: So the wildness, he's got to get that under control.
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: But against Washington, they only have twelve at bats against him. Uh,
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: sometimes the unfamiliarity will help, although with guys like this,
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: you know, there is still film on them and stuff
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: like that. And I should have mentioned, you know, with
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: weathers for the Yankees. Yeah, the fact that he's a
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: little bit unfamiliar to the Royals, that is a little
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: bit of an advantage Tom, But I just don't know
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: if it's gonna help that much. But anyway, Ray does
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: have good numbers against Washington. They only have one hit
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: against him a noonyaz single, five strikeouts, no walks in
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: twelve innings eighty three average one sixty seven ops. I'm
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: not ready to say that Ray is gonna come out
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: here and do poorly. In this game, I don't really
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: think so. And he's going up against Miles Micholas, Like,
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: I just don't see how you could ever put your
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: money on him. Eleven point four to ninety IRA, two
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: point one seven whip, Like, just retire at this point.
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: Man eleven to nine strike out walk ratio and twenty
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: five hits allowed in fifteen to two thirds innings. Yeah,
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: that's not good. He hasn't gone five innings in any.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: Start since his first start.
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: Granted, yeah, he did face some lineups that have been
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: hitting pretty well, including Pittsburgh really and of course the Dodgers.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Mikolas, he's up against it man, and his
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: numbers against Sar Francisco they're better than you would think,
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: but they're not excellent. In seventy five at bats, seventeen
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: to five strike out walk ratio, two sixty seven batting
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: average allowed, seven to thirteen ops. You know, I mean,
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: not horrible, but still I just don't see how you
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: could do it.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is a public.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: Side, eighty four percent of the tickets, eighty nine percent
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: of the cash on they're up to minus one forty nine.
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: Money is coming in on the giant side, like I said,
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: it's one of those games where situationally, the situation indicates
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: on Washington, the matchup I think supports San Francisco, so like,
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: basically I just have to throw the game out, you know.
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: And I don't really have an opinion on the total
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: in this one either. So that's those are my thoughts
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: on that game. Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh, this is kind
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: of an interesting pitching matchup. These teams are trying to
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: they're trying to win the series here. They split the
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: first two games of the series. Yesterday's game, like I said,
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: we wound up going into extra innings after rain delay.
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: It went thirteen innings. So we have a lot of
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: bullpen usage here. Yesterday Pittsburgh we had, I should say,
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh used almost their entire bullpen. They use six relief
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: pitchers and Tampa Bay literally used everybody in their bullpen.
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: So these bullpens are jacked up right now, man. And
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: they're not particularly good bullpens either. Tampa Bay's has been
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: struggling their twenty first overall right now, and whip Pittsburgh's
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: a little bit better. Their era is a bit more tolerable,
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: but they're eighteenth. I would fade these bullpens and whatever
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna do here, Shane McClanahan is gonna be a
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: pitching for Tampa. Oh, I guess I should mention the offenses.
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: These offenses have actually been pretty good seventh and eighth
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay respectively.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: In ops.
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: Of course, by the way, I should have pointed out, Yeah,
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: the Yankees, by the way, obviously they're up to eighth
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: now after that offensive explosion yesterday. As we knew the
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: Yankees offense would come around. They're the better offense against
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: Kansas City. There's no no mystery there. But anyway, these
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: two teams have both been more offense oriented, Tampa Bay
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: and Pittsburgh. The bullpens haven't been good. The starting pitching though,
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: is not. I don't know if the starting pitching is
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: bad enough, because when I started looking at this, I'm like, oh,
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: the bullpens are totally fucked up. Peer. It looks like
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: this game should be an over because that bullpen carryover effect.
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: Like I know, yesterday's game went over, but it's like
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: a domino effect, you know, like you don't want to
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: just go under to zig zagon in the next game,
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: you know, with the bullpen's just absolutely trash. It looks
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: like this game might be an over again. But Shane
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: McClanahan is pitching for the Rays. He's a guy who
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: I've been pointing out he had a good beginning to
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: his career. It got derailed by injuries and he's trying
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: to come back from that and he hasn't been excellent,
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: but his overall numbers do look pretty good three point
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: nine to five v.
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: One point one to seven whip.
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: His issue is walks thirteen strikeouts, eleven walks. That's way, way,
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: way too many walks. But he's been like unhittable, five
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: hits allowed in thirteen to two thirds innings. So it's like,
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: what do you do with McLanahan right now? Like I
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: think he is gonna come around, but he's walked three
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: or more guys in every outing so far, so that
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: is definitely a major concern.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh hasn't really seen.
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: Him though, only Brian Reynolds has ever based him before
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: two for six with a double a strike gun of
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: no walks. So maybe McClanahan, because he is unfamiliar to Pittsburgh,
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: he might actually pitch well here. That is kind of
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: the concern if you want to go over in this game.
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: But if you do want to go over, McClanahan has
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: been really, really wild. He's going up against Mitch Keller,
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: who is having a decent season so far as well.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: Two point eight sixty RA, one point two to three whip.
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: He's had walk issues as well, though, fourteen to nine
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio, eighteen hits allowed in twenty two innings.
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: The amount of hits is pretty good, but the walks
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: are concerned. He's walked four or more guys well, exactly
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: four guys in two of his last three starts, both
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: games coming at home as well. Yeah, that's a bit
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: of a concern. Against Tampa Bay, he's been fine and
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: forty two at bats seven to four strike a walk
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: ratio is still not good, but two sixty two average,
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: seven h seven ops allowed. It's just, yeah, I don't know, man,
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: these starting pitchers just aren't.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're enough that I really want to
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: come in on an over here. I'm gonna lean to
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: the over in this one, but the money is completely
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: disagreeing with me. The totals it's seven and a half, which, again,
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: when you look at these bullpens, like, how could you
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: possibly play this under seven and a half in the
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: full game.
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: I just don't see it. Man.
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: Uh, eighty four percent of tickets on the over and
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: fifty four percent of the cash on the under.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: Money is clearly indicating on the under.
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: I think if you do go under on this game,
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: you have to limit it to the first five though,
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: and you'd be looking at three and a half again
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: probably by doing that, which again with these two pitchers,
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, we're not talking about Paul Skeens.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: On the mound this time.
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: So like, I don't know, I don't know if this
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup, I don't even know if this starting pitching
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: matchup really warrants a total is low as seven and
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: a half plus. Again, the bullpens could just completely kill
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: this thing. So I like the over in this one.
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: Even though usually you want to go under the low totals,
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: this is not a game where I would do that.
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: The starting pitching is really the only thing it's keeping
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: me off of actually wanted to do it though. Pittsburgh
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: is up to minus one eleven, but the money is
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: coming back. On Tampa Bay, fifty eight percent of tickets
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: are on Pittsburgh sixty seven percent of.
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: The cash on Tampa Bay.
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: Seems like the professional money does trust McClanahan to start
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: turning things around at some point based on his earlier
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: career numbers, But for me, that remains to be seen.
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: So that's what we got going on there. Jamin, what's up?
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: You passed on that one? Yeah, I mean I think
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: it was kind of bullshit. I mean, we had the
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: rain delay at the end of four innings, but it
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: was already dead at that point. But four runs on
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: two hits, I mean, come on, man, that is it's
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: pretty unlucky. Skeen's held up his end of the bargain.
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: And then again on the other side, four runs on
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: two hits. It's just usually it's.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: Not gonna happen. So yeah, I don't know.
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: I don't really think it was the wrong play, but
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: it lost Baltimore at Cleveland.
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: These two teams are trying to win the series.
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: I no, Cleveland's won two out of three in my mistake,
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: so Baltimore is trying to even the series here. Still,
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: I think it's a situation where both teams probably do
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: give you motivation. Here, Cleveland used two relief pitchers yesterday Baltimore.
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: If this load Baltimore only used Suarez, they only use
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: one guy. He's kind of a long relief type of guy.
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: So Baltimore's bullpen is in a little bit better shape here.
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: Baltimore's bullpen has or excuse I'm looking at their offense
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: right now, Baltimore middle of the pack offensively. Cleveland also
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: as well. They're both mediocre offenses right now. I think
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: Baltimore's is the better offense though. Bullpen wise, Baltimore has
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: been good top four right now in bullpen whip, so
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: their bullpen has been performing a lot better than last year.
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: So far, they do look pretty good. Cleveland doing way
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: worse than last year. Their bullpen era is horrific and
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: the whip is middle of the pack. But like it's
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: just because so many of these bullpen whips are terrible.
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with pitching, like bullpen
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: pitching this year just generally bullpen pitching has been terrible.
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: Looking at these whips, I don't know what's going on here, man,
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: because that is not good. These overall numbers for Cleveland's bullpen,
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: they're not good. So, yeah, Baltimore does have a bullpen
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: advantage here. Trevor Rodgers is pitching for Baltimore. He's been
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: good again. A whip maybe a little bit too high,
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: but three point four ERA, one point two to seven whip. Really,
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: it's just one bad start from him in his last
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: outing against Arizona. You give up nine hits, four and
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: runs and failed to make it five innings. But based
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: on what he's done the rest of the season, that
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: looks like more of a fluke than anything else. He
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: also still had six strikeouts one walk, so his command
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: was intact there. Twenty to six strikeout walk ratio overall,
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: twenty four hits loud in twenty three to two thirds innings.
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't Yeah, I don't really have much to complain
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: about with his numbers here on the season. I think
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: he probably does bounce back after one bad outing less
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: it starts becoming a trend. Probably, I would think he
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: would bounce back. However, his numbers against Cleveland are not good.
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: In thirty nine at bats, eight to six strike out
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is bad, three point thirty three batting average
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: a low twelve seventeen ops. That's all bad, but maybe
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: you gotta kind of.
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: Dial that back.
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: A little bit because Reese Hoskins specifically just destroys him
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: nine for twenty one with four home runs for streke, gouts,
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: two walks. If you want to go with the player
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: prop hits plus runs plus RBIs is what I recommend over.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: Hoskins might be your candidate here, but other than him,
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: like nobody else in this lineup really does that much damage.
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: So maybe Rogers can pitch around him. But I don't
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: know if I totally trust his numbers, but I still
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: I would lean more towards him pitching fairly well here.
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: Joey Cantillo is pitching for Cleveland. He's been pretty good.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: Two point six one ERA, one point two to one whip,
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: twenty four to nine.
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: Strike out walk ratio.
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: The walks are a little bit high for me sixteen
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: hits and twenty two thirds innings, though he's not been
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: that hittable. Strike out rate pretty good. He's a decent
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: pitcher with some decent strikeout stuff. Against Baltimore, they only
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: have eleven at bats against, only four of their heaters
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: have ever faced them before. Two to three strike out
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is not good, but two seventy three average
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: allowed seven oh one ohps, those numbers are fine. I mean,
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: it looks like this could kind of have the makings
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: of a pitching duel here. I wouldn't really disagree with an under.
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: The problem is you're looking at a six and a
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: half now in this game, which I don't know if
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: you could trust these bullpens enough to really do that
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: under six and a half. Maybe you can still find
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: a seven out there. You could go first five innings
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: on this maybe, because yeah, I think my opinion would
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: probably be towards.
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: The under here.
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: Sixty three percent of tickets ninety five percent of the
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: cash on the under.
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: You know, I think first five might.
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: Be the approach here, just to pull Cleveland's bullpen out
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: of the equation. Cleveland looks like they are the correct side, though.
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: Baltimore is a public road underdog here, which you never
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: want to be on a side like that with a
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: market read like this, fifty percent of ticket's only fifty
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on them minus won twelve
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: is the price on Cleveland there. So the oddsmakers are
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: telling you Cleveland has a slight advantage here on the
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: home field is being baked into that, of course, but
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: you know, the public doesn't want them. So that is
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: a situation where I do tend to look towards fading
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: the public. I mean I always, I mean my first
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: you know, my lean just by default is to fate
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: the public.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: Though, so you know how I am.
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: But anyway, Yeah, the market read does seem to support that,
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: but I think I would prefer first.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: Five under in that game.
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: But I do worry about Rogers numbers a little bit
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: there and the walks from Cantillo.
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: I almost said Castillo will what's up?
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: Celtics and Bruins are both in the playoffs here, Yes, Bruins.
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: You know, I don't really have much trust in them.
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: You saw what I do with my bracket. I did
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: give them the benefit of the doubt against a Buffalo.
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean I could see them possibly winning
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: this series.
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: I don't see them going further than that. Maybe they'll
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: surprise me.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: Celtics should make a run, but I'm not getting my
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: hopes too high here.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: Like I don't.
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: I just don't see anybody beating the thunder Red Sox.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: They just blow. I mean, what do you want.
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: I don't pay attention to English Premier League soccer at all.
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: That's way too gay for my liking. You're doing homework. Well,
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: my dude, the last three or four years, I've gone
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: to one game in every Celtics and Bruins playoff series
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: when I'm trying to conserve money right now. So I'm
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: not going, and that means I also I'm not gonna
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: go and get the fluff er nut or burger at
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: the garden either, which I want to try. I'm telling you,
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: peanut butter plus like an element of sweet on a burger.
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: It's actually really really good. So yeah, I'm pissed that
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna be going. I'd be going to that
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: Celtics game today, which is early as well. It's an
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: afternoon game. It's a matinee, all right. I gotta get
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: through these games, man, Milwaukee and Miami. Milwaukee is looking
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: for the sweep here, so you know, I keep talking
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: about it. When a team is looking for a sweep,
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: a lot of times they will overlook their opponent.
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: Coming into this last game of the series.
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: They do have Detroit next, which maybe they consider that
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: to be a bigger series. I mean, it's a it's
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: an interleague series, but still Detroit considered to be a
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: pretty good team. So maybe Milwaukee does overlook Miami in
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: the spot. As far as the bullpen, you sugg yesterday
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee used two relief pitchers, Miami used three. That's not
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: really that bad one way or the other. The Brewers
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: bullpen hasn't really been that good though they are twenty
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: fourth right now and Whip although the ERA is better
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: than a lot of the teams, like better than all
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: the teams around them, So I'm not ready to say
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: their bullpen is trap, but they're not great. Miami's both
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: been has been the better one this season. They're at
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: tenth right now, though they are falling off a little bit.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: That's based on Whip. Miami still is tenth offensively in
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: ops Milwaukee twelve. I do think Milwaukee does have the
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: better hitting, though they've been dealing with some injuries and stuff.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: I think.
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: Jacob Mizierowski is pitching for Milwaukee not exactly the guy
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: who really want to fade.
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: Three point three two ERA one point h two WHIP.
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you're gonna fade, I'm obviously you're hoping
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: that he's not gonna be in the game that long
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: because he does have a tendency to get pulled before
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: he makes it six innings. He's just not really efficient
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: enough with his pitches. Well, the last outing he actually was,
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: but they pulled him early for whatever reason against Toronto.
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: I don't know if there was a delay in that
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: game or what. He has a really high strikeout rate.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: We know this. His strikeout stuff is insane.
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: Thirty three strikeouts in twenty one to two thirds innings,
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: only thirteen hits allowed. He's not easy to hit. His
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: weakness is the walks. Uh, of course, very stereotypical. The
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: guy that throws a hundred consistently. You know, they walk
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: too many guys. That's what he does. Nine walks. It
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: is too many walks. But his strike got raded is
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: sky high. Miami basically has never seen him before. Only however,
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: the hell you pronounce this guy's name, Kayisi Cassie, I
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: have no idea. Is over one often with a strikeout
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: in a walk, whatever, But that should be an advantage
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: to Mizierowski though not having been seen before by Miami's lineup.
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: I always talk about how these young talented pitchers when
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: they haven't been seen before, that is an extra advantage
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: to them. Uri Perez is picture from the Marlins.
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: He hasn't been.
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: Good so far this season, but I think he is
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: significantly better than what these numbers would suggest.
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: Five point four ERA, one point five to five whip.
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: I realize that's not good, and he's definitely not in
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: good form right now, so that is a concern. That
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: he has multiple walks in his last three outings and
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: a twelve to ten strike got walk ratio over that span.
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's not good. But he's got to get those
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: walk numbers down.
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: He's striking out one guy per inning, He's a lining
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: one hit per inning. The walks have really been the
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: main issue with him. He's got to cut that down.
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: Got to get back into form, man. But right now
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: he is not really currently in good form. So I
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: can't really jump on Miami to try to avoid the
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: sweet Pier. Though against the Brewers, he does have good
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: numbers and sixteen at bats only five of their hitters
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: have seen him before. Eight strikeouts, one walk, one twenty
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: five average allowed. You can do that math a three
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: sixty four batting average, sorry, three sixty four ops. That's crazy,
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: that's really low. Yeah, I mean, I do think an
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: under does make sense in this game. I think both
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: bullpens might be up to the task here as well.
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: You could make it first five innings if you wanted
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: to really avoid you know, especially the Milwaukee bullpen isn't
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: that good, but they're not so bad that I would
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: necessarily want to exclude them. Fifty six percent of tickets
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: are on the over, seventy two percent of the cash
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: on the under. You know, you gotta worry about Perez
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: current forum though, so that would be my concern with that.
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I would have a lean to the under here.
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: Total dropped a little bit from eight and a half
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: down to eight juice to the under. Milwaukee is also
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: like seriously public, seventy seven percent of tickets, only sixty
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on Milwaukee, so at minus
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: one sixteen, Milwaukee is a very very heavily public, small
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: road favorite here. So the market indicators are saying to
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: take Miami as the slight dog there to avoid the sweep.
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: So I'm not going to disagree really with Miami, but
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: you know, I think my preference probably would be the under,
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: maybe limited limited to the verse five, all right, Cincinnati, Minnesota.
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati is looking for a sweep here, so Minnesota might
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: give you a little bit of extra motivation here. I
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: did tell you Minnesota is not as good as people
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: thought they were. Cincinnati, I don't know if they're really
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: gonna be looking ahead to playing Tampa Bay. I don't
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: think that's really that big of a series, but you
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: might get extra effort out of Minnesota here. Cincinnati might
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: not fully show up for this game knowing they've already
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: won the series. Cincinnati used five relief pitchers yesterday, Minnesota
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: used four.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's bullpen is much worse though.
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: Minnesota they have like a bottom pretty bottom tier bullpen
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: bottom four bullpen here right now and whip, whereas Cincinnati
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: is in the top ten.
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: So Cincinnati, yeah, definitely has the better bullpen.
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati's offense is at the absolute bottom though. So Cincinnati's
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: offense has been really bad so far this season. I
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: don't think they're quite that bad. Minnesota is sitting at twelve.
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: I don't think Minnesota's offense is quite that good either,
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: But I think, yeah, you do have to say that
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: Minnesota is the better offense here. Brady Singer is pitching
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: for Cincinnati. You could definitely fade him. I think he
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: is fatable here. If you do want to play Minnesota here.
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: Five point sixty RRA, one point seven win. That's not good.
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: His last outing mostly looked good, giving up wonner and
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: run against San Francisco, but he only struck out one guy.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: He didn't walk anybody.
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: But the low strikeout rate is a little bit concerning
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: overall though, fourteen to three strike out walk ratio in
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: seventeen to two thirds innings, that's not really that bad.
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: Twenty seven hits though, that's way too many hits. He's
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: been way too hit a ball, so that's been his
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: issue against Minnesota's numbers are pretty bad and seventy five
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: at bats twenty one to five strike out walk ratio
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: is pretty good, but three thirty three batting average it's
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: really good actually, but three thirty three batting average allowed
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: nine to seventy five ohps.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: Those are not good numbers.
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: Buxton really really destroys him pretty much, seven for eighteen
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: to them runs off him, two doubles off him, three
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: strikeouts and no walks. But yeah, Singer does look like
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: he's not in a great matchup here. He's going up
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: against Bailey Ober though, so if you want to go
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: with Minnesota, you gotta trust Ober. I don't know about
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: that five point four to ninety are one point two
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: to seven whip is not that bad though, Ober. I mean,
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: throughout his career he's shown some signs of being a
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: guy that you can bet on, and he does look
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: like he's in decent form right now.
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: His last out it was against.
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: This putrid Red Sox offense, So this Red Sox offense
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: hasn't done anything. He had seven strikeouts one walk against
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: the six innings. But the Red Sox have had a
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: tendency to make a lot of bad pictures look good
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: this year. Ober. His problem really is that he gives
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: up too many hits, too many home runs. He's like
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: a pretty extreme fly ball pitcher. That is kind of
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: an issue. He's given up more than one hit per
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: inning this year. Fourteen to five strike a walk ratio
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: is not awful, you know, I mean, there are some
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: indicators that you could maybe make this play on Minnesota here.
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: His numbers against Cincinnati are not that bad and forty
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: nine at bats ten to three strike a walk ratio
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: two twenty four batting average a lot the ops is
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: only a little bit high seven point fifty nine.
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I would lean Minnesota in this game.
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: This one is actually closer to being a play for me,
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: but the money is fading them. Minnesota still manages to
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: be a public side here because you know the public.
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: The public likes offense. They don't like this Cincinnati offense.
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: It's been really bad. Sixty nine percent to take a
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: sixty six percent of the cash on Minnesota. There are
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: at minus one nineteen down for minus one thirty. Yeah,
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: so the money is actually indicating on Cincinnati.
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: I do not agree with that.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: I would go with Minnesota, although Minnesota's bullpen is bad
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: enough that you know, Minnesota first five innings might make
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: some sense here, just go with them.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: To get off to a good start.
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: But I think you're gonna get a motivated effort out
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: of Minnesota. Cincinnati might overlook them a little bit, but
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: it's not really a look ahead for Cincinnati there either.
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: So yeah, there were a couple of reasons why I
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: couldn't really get there with that one. Saint Louis at Houston.
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: Both these games in the series have gone over and
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: this game might not be any different.
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: Houston trying to avoid a sweet pier. Although these teams.
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: Might play tomorrow to actually, no, they don't, So Saint
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: Louis is trying to sweep Houston here now. The oddsmakers
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: have been telling you all series that Houston is actually
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: still the better team, though they've been a favorite in
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: every game in the series. Do we really think Saint
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: Louis is actually as good as they look right now?
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: I don't think so. They've won four in a row
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: on the verge of a sweep.
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: I don't know they're really gonna be looking ahead to
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: Miami though, because Miami has been falling off after a
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: hot start where they beat some bad teams early in
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: the season. I don't know, but you probably do get
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: an effort out of Houston to avoid this embarrassing sweep
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: at the hands of Saint Louis.
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: Houston they got some issues though.
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen is a big problem.
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: Possibly the worst bullpen in the majors.
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: They're listed as second worst right now in WHIP and
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: I think in RA as well. But they're bad, very
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: bad Houston bullpen. Saint Louis's bullpen is not much better.
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: They're a twenty second right now and their era is
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: worse than that at Saint Louis. Offensively, they've been hitting
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: a little bit. They have some decently talented young guys
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: in that lineup. They have that one young guy who's
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: just really hitting the cover off the bond. I forget
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: what his name is on my apology. Saint Louis is
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: like a middle of the pack offense. For that reason,
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: Houston is still third in ops, so Houston's offense still
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: is ranked pretty well. Houston only us one relief pitcher yesterday,
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: so maybe that helps their atrocious bullpen is at least
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: rested coming into this game.
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is not. Saint Louis used.
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: Four relief pitchers yesterday, so Houston does have a bullpen
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: rest advantage here, which might actually give them the bullpen
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: edge in this game, believe it or not. Matthew Libertrre
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: is pitching for Saint Louis. He's not particularly good. Four
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: point two ninety RRA, one point five to seven whip
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: is really bad. Twelve eight strike out walk ratio in
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: twenty one innings, along with twenty five hits allowed, five
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: home runs allowed to and all of it kind of
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: evenly just first.
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: None of that is good.
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: He's given up too many fly balls, too many home runs,
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: too many hits, too many walks.
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: Not really a good strike up guy. Yeah, I'm not
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: a fan.
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: Of Libratore, even though he is I believe based on
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: that name a fellow Italian man. His numbers against Houston
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: are pretty good, though they don't have much experience against him.
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: Only five hitters have faced him twelve at bats, only
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: one hit a single from Nick Allen, who also has
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: a walk. Overall, they have one strike out one walk
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: against them eighty three average two thirty seven ops. So
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: it looks like it's maybe a decent matchup for libratory
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: But it's such a small sample size and he's been
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: pitching so poorly. It's not like I'm ready to say, yeah,
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: he's gonna do well in this game.
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: I don't really think so.
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: Mike Burrows is pitching for the Astros, though he's having
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: a pretty bad season so far, six point five to
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: five ERA, one point eight to WHIP. I don't even
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: think he's that bad like he I mean, he showed
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: some signs with Pittsburgh last year. Houston looks like it's
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: just where pitchers go to die right now. I don't
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: know what's going on. Man.
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: They gotta fire their pitching coaching.
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: This is bad. Eighteen to seven strike at walk ratio.
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: You know, it could be worse, but it's not great.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: But he's given up thirty three hits in twenty two winnings,
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: so he's been way too hit a bowl, along with
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: five home runs allowed. So that's really been the issue
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: with Burrows. The walks aren't great, but too many hits
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: for sure.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: Maybe he has a little bit.
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: Of an edge here against Saint Louis because Saint Louis
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: has never seen him before. I'm gonna lean towards that
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: not being the case, though, I think I would go
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: over in this game again where you got two bad bullpens.
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: Both starting pitchers are very questionable here, although the matchup
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: it does look like the starting pitching matchup might be okay.
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: We have ninety nine percent of the tickets on the
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: over and seventy six percent of the cash on the overs.
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: The money is indicating towards the under. I mean, I
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: would not want to do that. If you're gonna do
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: under here, you gotta limit it to the first five
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: innings at the very least, and just focus on maybe
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: the unfamiliarity here and whatever the starting pitchers can kind
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: of get you through that. I wouldn't want to bank
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: on that, though, I think it over makes sense in
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: this game, Houston, I would also lean to Houston.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: They're trying to avoid the sweep. They're the better team.
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: They're up to minus one forty three though for minus
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: one oh five, and I don't know if maybe they
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: announced it, if it's starting pitcher or something, and that's
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: why the line moved that significantly. I'm not really sure
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: about that. Sixty six percent of tickets, ninety one percent
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Houston. The money looks like it
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: is on Houston. I agree with Houston there as the
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: better team to finally avoid the sweep. You know, it's
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: it's pretty difficult to try to rely on Houston's pitching though,
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: you know so I really don't think I can put
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: that on my card. I mean, can you really put
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: money on Mike Burrows right now? Probably not the Mets
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: at the Cubs. The Mets have lost like ten or
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: eleven games in a row. Now, this is getting ridiculous.
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: Mets trying to avoid a sweeper. Do these teams play
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: tomorrow too, No, they don't. The Cubs play Philadelphia tomorrow though,
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: so the Cubs might start looking ahead, man, because they're
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: on the verge of the sweep. They've already won the series.
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: The Mets are laughing stock right now. Maybe the Cubs
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: pack it in a little bit early. It's it's also
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: it's a lot easier to overlook your opponent in these
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: afternoon games, man, because remember it's getaway day. So the
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: look aheads actually are a little bit crazier because these
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: teams have to get out. You know, they're gonna leave home,
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: leave and go on the road and travel though we're
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: fading the Yankees. I know the Yankees don't play tomorrow,
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: but regardless, these teams are gonna be flying out after
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: the games today, you know what I mean. So it
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: makes that like look ahead spot a bit stronger.
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: In situations like this.
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: Cubs do have to play Philadelphia tomorrow, like I said, Uh,
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: they're staying at home though, so the Cubs are not
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: actually traveling whereas you know the Yankees are, but they're
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: only going to Boston. But yeah, you know, all things
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: to take into account here.
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: Mets. I don't really care who they're play next.
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: The Mets can't overlook anybody right now, so I'm not
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: too worried about that. The bullpens, These bullpens have both
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: been pretty They've been okay. Cubs use two relievers yesterday
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: Mets used three. I think the bullpens are kind of
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: evenly matched here. The Mets problem has been they can't
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: hit it at all. Cubs are a little bit better
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: bullpen wise right now, but it's not significant at all.
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: The hitting has been the main thing here. The Cubs
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: of skyrocketed like they started out really cold to start
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: the season.
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: We knew they were way more talented.
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: Than that on offense, and now they're fourth in offensive ops.
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: They've been really really hot right now, or recently, I
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: should say offensively. The Mets are second worst in baseball offensively,
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: which is really bad.
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: So but the Mets, they do have more talent than that.
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: Man. At some point, their offense is not going to
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: be this bad, you have to think. I think they
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: probably have a starting pitching edge year as well, with
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: Tobias pitching. They brought him over from the Brewers and
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: they've been having to pitch out of the bullpen. But
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: he's made starts in his career. He hasn't made a
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: start for the Mets yet, but he was making He
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: was a starter for a while with Milwaukee and he
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: was not horrible. Three point four to six ERA points
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: seven to seven whip out of the bullpen this year.
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: That's pretty good. Now.
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: The one concern with Myers is because he's been pitching
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: out of the bullpen, you have no idea how many
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: innings he's gonna pitch in this game, you know what
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, Like the Mets might have him go three
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: innings and then maybe he's out. We don't know, but
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: he might come in and give you three good innings
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: because he has pitched fairly well overall. He's not really
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: a strikeout guy, but his command is usually pretty good.
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: So far, he's got a nine to one strike out
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: walk ratio in thirteen innings, nine hits allowed, pretty good
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: numbers overall. Just again, you know, the strikeout rate isn't
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: particularly high. However, the Cubs have seen a lot of
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: them because he was on the Brewers, so the Cubs
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: are familiar with him. Fifty three at bats here, eleven
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: to four strike out walk ratio, two sixty four batting
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: average allowed, seven to sixty nine ops.
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: Those numbers are not horrible. I mean they're slightly on.
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: The higher side. Higher with Myers, man, I don't know.
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: I mean I like the Mets in this game, but
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: I don't know if we can fully trust Myers here.
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: He's going up against Javier assad the Dictator as Jeffrey
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: calls him. He's been bad this season, but really it's
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: because he's only made two starts, and he's had one
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: pretty good one and one really bad one. So he's
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: got an eight e r eight point one one point
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: six whip. I don't know what we could really take
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: away from that, though both of his starts have been
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: on the road. The one he got lit up in
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: was against Philly, which is not an easy place to pitch,
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: not an easy lineup to face really either.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: Against the Mets, his numbers are.
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: Not terrific at all though in thirty five at bats
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: two to three strikeout walk ratio two eighty six average
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: alloted eight twenty eight ops. So he does have the
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: worst matchup numbers here. I think he is probably the
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: lesser of these two as well. I would go with
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: the Mets. I know, I feel like I say that
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: all the time. The money's coming in on the Cubs,
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: which makes no sense to me. They're at minus one
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: thirty fifty six percent of ticket sixty six percent of
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: the cash on them. I don't know if it's just
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: the professionals just continuing to just fade this Mets cold streak.
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're gonna win a game at some point, dude,
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: and it might be this because again, the Cubs might
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: be looking ahead. The Cubs have already won the series.
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: Mets.
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: I believe they have the advantage of the starting pitching
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: matchups still in this game. So yeah, I would lean
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: to the Mets as the slight dog in that one.
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: Maybe they'll finally do it and it won't be a
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: play for me. I'll be kind of angry that I
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: didn't actually have that as a play when they actually
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: win the game. Yeah, we'll see you though. Dodgers at Colorado.
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: I think these two teams are actually playing tomorrow as well.
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: And somehow Colorado won the game yesterday. And I was
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: correct about the under in the game yesterday, not horrible
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: pitching in the game yesterday. These two teams, believe it
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: or not, their bullpens are actually pretty good. Dodgers bullpen
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: definitely struggled last year, but they're pitching well this season.
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: They're second in whip and their era is not bad either.
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: Colorado believe it or not. Their bullpen's been pretty good
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: as well. Sixth and considering they existed corps Field. They
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: haven't had that many home games yet, but their bullpen
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: probably isn't that good, but it's pretty impressive what they've
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: done so far. Dodgers are number one in offense. That's
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: not a surprise. Colorado has fallen off offensively. They're down
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: twenty second as they continue to play at home, though
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: their offensive numbers probably get a little bit better than that,
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: but they're not a good offense generally. Three relievers used
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: for Colorado yesterday. Dodgers also used three. I think the
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: Dodgers do have the better bullpen, though obviously the Dodgers
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: have a way better offense now looking at this game, though,
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: I would not recommend an under in this game.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: Let's just put it that way.
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: Now, maybe the Dodgers are embarrassed, and maybe they do
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: bounce back from losing to Colorado yesterday. These teams, like
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: I said, they're playing tomorrow as well, so this series
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: is going through into Monday. Roki Sasaki is pitching for
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers, though I don't really see him as being trustworthy.
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's ever made a start and course
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: field before. I looked at his history and I don't
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: believe so. Six point two to three ERA one point
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: eighty five whips so far. Things have not gone great
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: for him so far, and his walk numbers out of
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: control pun intended fifteen to tend strike out walk ratio
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: in thirteen innings. Strike out rate is fine, it's there,
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: but the walk rate is way too high. And he's
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: allowed more than one hit per inning as well. He's
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: just not trustworthy right now. Man.
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: His mental toughness is definitely in question right now.
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: Maybe he'll get better as he adjusts to pitching in
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: the majors. He's never been seen before by Colorado, so
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: maybe that's a little bit of an advantage to him
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: that he hasn't been seen before. But I don't know.
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: I just don't really trust him. He's going up against
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: Michael Lorenz and I don't know if he's trustworthy either.
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: His numbers are awful this year eight point one ERA
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: two point two two whip. You know, last outing he
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: threw seventy one pitches and two and two thirds innings.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: That's just really crazy.
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: But he couldn't get out of these innings because his
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: fielding was terrible behind him. He gave up seven runs
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: and only two of them were earned. So that's kind
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: of why it happened. Like blame the fielding. Don't blame
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: him for that one. I mean, he seemed like he
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: was actually kind of turning a corner. He had a
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: good start against Houston. The prior start where I guess
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: two starts before.
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: That, I don't know. It might have been a bullpen
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: appearance against San Diego. I don't know Lorenzen.
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, overall, I'm not sure that he's as bad
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: as his numbers might make him look.
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: Right now.
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: I think he might be kind of a mediocre pitcher.
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: He is a ground ball pitcher, which does help when
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: you're pitching a course field. You're not having as many
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: balls fly into the air. Thirteen to five strike a
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: walk race your Overall, it's not great, but it's not abysmal.
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: But thirty two hits aout in sixteen two thirds really bad.
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: Way too many hits.
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: But again, most of it was from that start where
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: it's fielding cost him and he couldn't get out of
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: that ending. And then the other one was one really
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: bad starting against Philly against the Dodgers. I know the
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: Dodgers are elite offensively, but his numbers against the Dodgers
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: are actually surprisingly good. In forty nine at bats, two
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: four batting average, allowed five to one OPS allowed seven
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: to two strikeout walk ratio. None of that is bad.
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: You know, I don't know, man. I mean, it seems
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: like you might want to lean to Colorado in this one.
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: The Dodgers mean minus two sixty six down for minus
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: two to eighty with Sasak pitching. I mean, doesn't seem
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: warranted to me. It really doesn't. Even though they might
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: be in bounced back mode after Yesterday's lost ninety two
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash on
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers, they're gonna be a really public side. I
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: might lean towards taking it. You probably can get like
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: a two and a half run line on Colorado here,
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: so I might lean that way, lean towards them to
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: kind of keep this game close. Maybe do it in
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: the first five innings, because I don't really think Colorado
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: has a bullpen edge. Although their bullpen hasn't been terrible.
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: Like I said, the totals high at eleven and a half.
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: You know, I still probably wouldn't disagree with an over
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: here eighty five percent of tickets ninety one percent of
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over. Both starting pitchers are pretty untrustworthy,
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: and if that happens, if they both give up some runs,
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: the bullpens have to come in early, and you get
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: some of the worst relievers in there that they could
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: spiral a little bit. So I don't think I would
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: disagree with an over in this one. But yeah, eighty
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: five percent of tickets, ninety one percent of the cash
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: on the over eleven and a half. The total is
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: that high for a reason. But you know, I guess
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: there is maybe an argument to be had that maybe
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: that total is a little bit too high. White Sox
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: at the A's congratulations to Jeffrey who played the A's
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: live when they were down six to two in the
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: game or something. He took the A's money line at
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: like plus two fifty five. Not a horrible idea because
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: so many runs get scored in the stadium. The A's
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: certainly had the ability to come back in that game,
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: and they did. And Chicago's bullpen is really bad as well,
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: so A's are able to win the game an extra innings,
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: which of course that does mean that the bullpens are
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: shot coming into this game. Well, I'm looking at I'm
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: looking at Atlanta. I was like, what, the A's used
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: four relief pitchers, maybe you'd expect a little bit worse.
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: The White Sox used almost all of their relief pitchers.
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: They used six. So yeah, the bullpens are not in
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: good shape coming into this one. We know it's a
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: hitter friendly park. It's this horrible stadium in Sacramento.
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: And the thing is, though, the starting pitching, like because
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: you know, you think about this and you think, oh,
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: this is definitely gonna be an over, but the starting
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: pitching gives me some hesitation on that. As far as
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: what the series, what we've seen in the series of Farm,
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: the teams is split the first two games in the series,
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: So I think the Bulls show up here bullpen wise, Yeah,
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: the White Sox are the third worst and whip they're
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: not good. The A's are the fifth worst. So both
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: bullpens are bad. Like I said, the A's do have
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: a better offense. The A's I think might be starting
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: to hit a little bit. Last year. They actually hit
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: pretty well. As I keep mentioning, they're twenty first right now,
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: which isn't good, but I think they're definitely the better
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: offense over a really really bad White Sox offense. Here.
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: Give me the.
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: A's hitting edge here, but starting pitching, it's really difficult
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: to figure this out. Noah Schultz is pitching for the
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: White Sox. You know, I talked about him before his
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: major league debut.
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: I liked him.
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: He didn't have a very good debut though, like I
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: liked the White Sox as a home dog with him
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: on the mound, he was just too wild man. He
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: went four and a third. He gave up four walks,
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: three earned runs. The fielding didn't help, but the fielding
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: was his though he made an errant throw and that
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: made it that allowed an under and run.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: To score as well.
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: He only lot three hits in four and a third innings,
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: so that's not that bad.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: He wasn't very hittable, and.
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: Like I said, he's a super tall six' ten lefty
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: with a pretty versatile pitch mix, here and he does
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: throw pretty, hard and he is a like pretty nasty
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: like hard sinker along with some other. PITCHES i think
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: he does have major league caliber stuff, man and he
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: was drafted as. Such it's just that some people feel
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: that he was rushed up to the, majors which can
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: ruin a. Pitcher BUT i don't. Know it's really hard
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: to figure out what we're gonna get out of. Him
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: like you could make the argument that maybe just he
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: was a little bit nervous first, start and his stuff
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: is good enough that maybe he is going to start
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: pitching better at a major league. Level but is he
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: gonna do well in this really really hit her friendly stadium.
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: HERE i have no. IDEA i don't really THINK i
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: want to bank on. It but, yes he does have
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: the advantage of not having been seen before by The
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: a's at the very. Least and if he's not going
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: out there and issuing free passes and hurting himself and throwing,
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: it you, know throwing wild throst his fielders as, well,
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: well we might have something with. Him Jeffrey springs is
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: pitching for The. A's he's not really a guy you
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: really want to look to fade right. Now he's been pitching,
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: well one point four to SIX era point seven to seven.
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: Whip clearly this is not, sustainable but he's not. Bad
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: twenty to eight strike up walk, ratio you know it
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: is too many walks in.
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: Twenty four and two thirds.
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: Innings he's been border line on hittable though eleven hits,
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: aloud not many hits allout at, all which is good
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: when you're pitching in a ballpark like.
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: This he hasn't allowed a home run.
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: Yet he's pitched in this ballpark twice Plus Yankee, stadium
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: which is not pitcher friendly, either so, yeah he is pitching. Well,
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: interestingly this Bad White sox lineup does actually have good
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: numbers against him, though twenty four at bats four to
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: two strike out walk ratio three thirty three, average allowed
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: nine to twenty six, Ops so you, Know, SPRINGS i don't,
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: know you could make the argument both these pitchers are
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: actually fadeable in this. Game i'm not gonna disagree with
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: an over in this. Game the total did flip initially
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: over to a nine and a.
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: Half juice to the.
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: Under we do see eighty five percent of tickets on the,
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: over ninety three percent of the cash on the. Over
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: public will have a tendency to play the, over you,
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: know with knowing what the stadium. Is you, know JUST
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: i think the game was pretty high scoring last. Night
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: not knowing who these pitchers. Are it might not be
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: the wrong move. THOUGH i, mean if one or either
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: of these pictures does happen to struggle here and the
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: bullpens have to come, In these bullpens are very, untrustworthy
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: SO i definitely could see the over. Happening wouldn't want
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: to be on an under in this. One if you're
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: gonna go under in this, game you gotta go first
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: five innings on, that which maybe actually makes a little
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: bit of. Sense but you, KNOW i just talk about
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: both starting. PITCHERS i mean they're definitely question marks. There
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: a's are at minus one fifty five, here eighty seven
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: percent of, tickets ninety percent of the, cash ninety seven
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on The.
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: A's, YEAH i mean The a's have a hitting.
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: Edge you could make maybe the argument they have a starting,
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: PITCH i, mean their favorite for a.
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: Reason.
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: Here Maybe schultz is undervalue though we just don't know
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: what he is, yet so that's really the question mark. There,
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: yeah that's a game That i'm staying away, from. Though for,
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: Sure jay Had What's Up Happy. SUNDAY i haven't talked
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: about THE nhl. Yet, No i'm not gonna do anything
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: with it.
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: Though what's, up.
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: EVERYBODY i only have one play today, actually and it's
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: The Kansas City royals is my only play. Today make
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: your own plus one run line is What i'm recommending
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: on that split bet run line money. Line i'm treading
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: very very lightly with this board, today even though there
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: might be some other. APPROACHES i haven't talked about my other.
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: Favorite i've two of these remaining GAMES i actually really
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: like in. Baseball hold on a. Second, yeah when we
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: hit the hour, Mark i'm gonna take a really quick,
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: break but hold, on we'll talk About San diego And anaheim.
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: First THEN i probably.
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: Will this game is ON Espn, unlimited so it's one
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: of those.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Games.
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: Anah i'm did get the win in the first game
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: of the series in a, shotout and Then San diego
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: bounced back yesterday with San diego's bullpen pitching pretty. Well
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: kind of surprised both starting pitchers in that game actually
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: pitched pretty. Well it was it looked like a really
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: ugly pitching matchup in yesterday's, Game marquez Against, kikuchi BUT
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: i think they both actually did. Alright, now now these
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: teams are trying to split the, series or actually they
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: might play tomorrow to no they do, not BUT i
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: think both teams are gonna show up trying To these
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: teams have split the first two, GAMES i should, say
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: so these teams are going to show up to try
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: to win the. SERIES i can't talk. Anymore anaheim used
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: three relief pitchers, yesterday but they only Use anderson for two,
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: pitches so he's probably available. Again they're bullpens bad, Though
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: like clearly San diego has the better. Bullpen That's San
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: diego's biggest advantage. Here San diego did Use Mason miller last, night,
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: though and they've had some pretty heavy usage over the
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: last couple of, days so that's not totally great For San.
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: Diego i'm gonna still give them a bullpen edge. Here
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: the Bullpen's anaheims is twenty third right now and whip really.
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: Bad San diego is.
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: Seventh but they're definitely arguments to be made that they're
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: the best bullpen in. Baseball we know they have the
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: best closer or, whatever although he might not pitch, today
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: might not be available TO i, mean but they do
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: have other. Options San diego offensively has been middle of
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: the pack. EIGHTEENTH i think basically that's what they. Are
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: kind of a middle of the pack, offense The angels
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: have been surprisingly good kind of staying healthy. Offensively they're
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: sixth on, offense so they have been hitting.
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: Well Michael king is pitching For San.
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: Diego he's having a good season two point seven to EIGHT,
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: era one point one to five.
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: Whip problem with him is the.
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: Walks you, know like so many other, pitchers twenty two
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: and two thirds, innings he's allowed ten.
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: Walks that is really.
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: Bad twenty strikeouts is a little bit low from what
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: you expect from.
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: Him he's usually a pretty good strikeout. Guy sixteen hits.
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: Allowed is good, though so he hasn't allowed that many,
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: hits but he's been too.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: Wild. Dude he's got to get those walks under.
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: Control his numbers Against anaheim are pretty good and forty
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: three at bats sixteen to three strike at walk ratio
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: one sixty three average, allowed five sixty six. Ops those
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: are good, numbers so you might be able to Trust
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: king in this particular. Matchup Reed Debt meer's is pitching For.
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: Anaheim he's actually pitched pretty. WELL i think he was
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: coming out of the bullpen and then they moved him
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: into the starting. Rotation three point five to seventy ra
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: one point oh six Whip those are good. Numbers he's
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: coming off a seven, inning one run effort against The
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: yankees on the road with nine strikeouts and no, walks
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: very very good outing after he had a really bad
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: outing the outing before. That but that was his only,
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: truly like really good outing of the. Season though he
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: did have a six to two third shutout Against, seattle
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: but he walked too many guys in that. Outing, overall,
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: though twenty six to six strike a walk ratio does
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: look pretty. Good eighteen hits a lot in twenty two
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: and two thirds overall number are, good but maybe we
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: have to dial it back a little. Bit maybe he'll
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: be in a little bit of a letdown mode after
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: that game against The yankees where he was too.
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: Good probably he's also not good Against San.
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: Diego in thirty three at, bats ten to five strikeout walk,
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: ratio three to zero three batting average allowed nine to
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: forty oh. Ps that's not, good so he might be
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: hittable in this. Game let's look at what the market
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: is doing. Here market is slightly indicating Towards San. DIEGO
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: i guess there at minus one fifteen with sixty four
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets sixty six.
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: Percent of the cash on.
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: Them money is definitely coming in on the under for
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: what that's, worth driving the total down from nine juice
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: to the over down to eight and a. Half so
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: it's off that key number of. Nine under eight and a.
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: Half, seems you, know it seems seems a lot. LESS
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: i don't know.
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: Palatable let's SAY i DON'T i don't know what the
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: World i'm looking for, is BUT i would not want
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: to go under in any way that Includes anaheim's bullpen,
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i just can't do. It fifty ticket sixty two
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the. Under IF i was
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: gonna go under, HERE i would make it a first
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: five inning play and then that way you don't have
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: to worry about it being off that key number. Either
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: so under verse five innings kind of makes sense in this.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: Game probably wouldn't disagree With San diego based on the pitching.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: Matchup it looks like the starting pitching they do have
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: the matchup edge there plus the bullpen, edge So i'm
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: not gonna really disagree With San diego there, again we'll
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: See i'm gonna take a quick break finish off of
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: the rest of these. Games then we'll talk about the
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: PLAYOFFS nhl AND.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: Nba one. Second, yah.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: All, right these next two GAMES i actually do have
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: somewhat strong opinions. On here.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: We Have zach what's? Up Red?
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: Sox The Red sox fucking, suck. Dude The royals also.
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: Suck but The royals are my only play of the,
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: Day so, yes Go. Royals, Bruins Go. Bruins, yeah The.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: Bruins i'm not expecting a whole lot out of, them but,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i think The bruins can win this first. Series
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: but beyond, THAT i don't really see anything from. Them All,
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: Right texas At seattle, HERE i looked at this starting pitching,
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: matchup and my thought right away was this is gonna
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: be an Under. UH i THOUGHT i might put it
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: on my. CARD i you, KNOW i kind of want.
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: To the Market reid was really the only thing that
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: was kind of keeping me away from.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: This But i'm jumping ahead here a little.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: Bit.
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: Uh these teams have split the first two.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: Games seattle did just end a losing streak by Beating texas,
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: yesterday so that might Give seattle a little bit of
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: a new. Momentum but this is a big. Series both
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: teams are gonna show up and try to win this.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: GAME i don't think there's a motivational part of this
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: handicap here really that helps one team or the. Other
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: texas only used one relief, pitcher long relief Man Cal quantrill.
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: Yesterdays their bullpens in good. Shape seattle is not as.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: Much seattle use six relief pitchers, YESTERDAY i think is
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: what that. Is but they limited the usage for a
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: couple of the. Guys probably a couple of those guys
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: might have to come into this game, again you, know
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: two nights in a. Row we'll. See But, Seattle, yeah
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: that would worry me a little bit About seattle's bullpen.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: There as far as the bullpens are, concerned they're both
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: pretty good. Bullpens Though texas right now is eleventh in bullpen.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: WHIP i think they're pretty.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: SOLID i Think seattle is pretty solid as, well even
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: though their whip doesn't look good right now and they're.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: Sixteenth BUT i do think both bullpens are generally. Trustworthy
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: the hitting hasn't really been that great for me either.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: Team seattle really needs to get it. Going they're twenty
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: fifth ops, Wise texas actually has been better than That
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: texas is, tenth BUT i don't think their offense is that.
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: GREAT i Think seattle will kind of come around a
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: little bit and start hitting a bit better at some.
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: Point hasn't really happened, yet but of course we know
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: this is a pitcher friendly ball park. Here the offenses
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: are not. Terrific, here the bullpens are both, solid although
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: Again seattle did use too much of. It but maybe
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: because they have their best picture on the, mound maybe
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: that will help limit their bullpen.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: Usage, Today Mackenzie gore is pitching For. Texas he's been.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: Good his walks are a bit, concerning but he does
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: have a THREE era one point one. Whip you, know
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: he really struggled With, washington but maybe The rangers have
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: turned him. Around, Man, rangers they seem to do that with.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: Pictures problem is the. Walks thirty strike, cuts eleven. Walks
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: he walked six guys.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: In his last.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: Outing maybe you give him a little bit of a
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: pass because it was at The A's, stadium but THE A.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: Stadium the problem with THE A stadium is usually you
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: give up a lot of home runs in that. Stadium the,
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: walks that's on, you, Man so that wasn't. Good he
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: walked way too many guys, there but maybe it was
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: a fluke because he'd only walked two guys over the
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: last two. Outings he's only allowed twelve hits in twenty one,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: innings so has a really high strikeout. Rate he's really
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: really hard to, hit but he's just wild. Man that's,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: again he's another one of those pitchers that throws, hard
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: gets a lot of, strikeouts walks too many. Guys numbers
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: Against seattle are really good and sixty three at bats
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: pretty good, sample twenty two to four strikeout walk, ratio
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: so even his walks haven't been that much of an
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: issue against. Them one forty three batting, average allot, three
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: eighty five. Ohps those ARE i think those are numbers
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: you could definitely rely. ON i, mean those are excellent
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: numbers Against. Seattle and he's going up Against brian wu
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: who is very consistently, good especially at. Home two point
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: one sixty ra point nine to two whip this, season
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: twenty to five strike out walk. Ratio he's not a
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: huge strikeout, guy but good command numbers still only eighteen
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: hits a lot in twenty five. Innings he's allowed three
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: or fewer earned runs in every single. Start he's only
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: made one home start this season as, well and that
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: was his highest strikeout rate that he had in that.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: One he's been, good.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: Dude, now one issue with looking at under here is
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: both of these pictures digit face these opposing. Lineups SO
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: i talk about that how when a lineup just saw a,
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: picture sometimes they'll do better against that picture the next
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: time if they didn't do well the first, time because
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: now they just saw that. Picture so that can be
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: an advantage to the hitters the next. Time when the
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: picture doesn't do well the first, time, though sometimes THEY'LL i,
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: think change what they do and maybe do a little
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: bit better the next, time even though the hitters are
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: now more familiar with. Them but in this, CASE i don't,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: know because there's a lot of familiarity here, anyway Especially
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: texas With. WU i, mean they've seen a bunch of
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: them over the last few. Seasons they have ninety three
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: at bats against, him But wu has had the upper,
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: hand which is not. Surprising twenty two to six strike
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: out walker raceio two thirty seven average, allowed six thirty eight. Ohps,
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: really the only guy that's really consistently done damage against
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: him Is Corey seeger six for ten with two of
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: them runs four walks besides. Him really not a lot
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: going on. THERE i like the under in this.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: One money is pretty.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: Heavily indicating towards the, over though the totals at seven
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: fifty three percent of tickets on the over ninety one
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the. OVER i don't agree with,
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: that AND i kind of like the undermore because it
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: looks like the money is indicating Against seattle, Here so
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: you gotta think that that money is not FADING wu
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE wu is like always. Good so, REALLY i think
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: what that money is doing is saying there's some value
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: On texas and That gore is probably under the radar
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: right now and undervalued right.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: NOW i think that is.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: Correct seventy percent of tickets only sixty two percent of
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: the cash On. Seattle you, Know i've been saying since
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: we saw What gore looked like at the beginning of the,
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: Season i've been, SAYING i Think texas might have turned
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: this guy around a, Bit so that is What i've been.
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: Saying but, yeah the public's On seattle less of the
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: money on them there minus one thirty. TWO i might
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: agree actually with The texas. Side Because gore can probably
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: Battle wu here and then if we get to the,
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: Bullpens texas bullpen is much more. Rested SO i don't
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: really disagree With, texas BUT i do like the under.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: Here LIKE i, said.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: This one is, LIKE i don't, know, man this one
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: is really close to me on my. CARD i kind
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: of want to do. It i'm thinking about. It i'm
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: gonna have to think about some of these games. Here,
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: yeah you know WHAT i. THINK i, THINK i think
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: let's do. It the market read is really the only
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: thing that's kind of really keep me away from. It
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: that AND i Guess, gore you, know was a little bit,
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: wild but that's kind of always the. Case i'm not
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: as worried about. That let me see, Here, YEAH i don't.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: Know on action networking makes it look like the money
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: is kind of agreeing with the under, here looks like
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: it's just straight up like it's just seven literally seven
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: minus one ten on both sides of the seven at
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: every single, Book so it's really just sitting there at.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: Seven all, Right, fine let's do, it.
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: You. Know and the other, concern LIKE i, said is
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: little bit of unrest In seattle's, bullpen but hopefully woo
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: can get us deep enough that it doesn't really. Matter
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: let's do. It you could go under first five in
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: this one if you want. To you're looking at three
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: and a. Half if you go under first. Five let's
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: go under full game seven there and hope that the
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: starting pitching and get us deep into this.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: Game all, Right, yeah let's do.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: It this seems like a like a toad underplay to.
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: Me all, Right toronto At. Arizona arizona is on the
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: verge of a. Sweep. NOW i don't think they have
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: a big game up next when they might Overlook.
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: Toronto LIKE i, said any team it's you, know any
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: team is playing first sweep.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: HERE a lot of times they will overlook that opponent
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: a little. Bit but they only have The White sox.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: Next that's not really that big of a. Deal arizona
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: has this stupid international crap. Upcoming by the, Way arizona
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: And San diego are gonna be playing a two game
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: event In Mexico.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: CITY i hate this.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: Shit it makes it impossible to handicap really, too because
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: you don't really know what the stadium is like it's gonna.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: Be that's gonna be like a corese field. Game. THOUGH i,
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: MEAN i don't want to jump, ahead BUT i can
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: tell you that Now Mexico city is at insanely high,
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: elevation SO i think that's gonna be a Ridiculous the
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: totals in that game are probably gonna be like thirteen.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: Fourteen i'm not even.
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: Joking Maybe San diego's pitching will keep that down a little,
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: bit but that's. Yeah, Anyway, toronto they should show up
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: here because they're trying to avoid the. Sweep as far
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: as the bullpens are, Concerned arizona they used three relief pitchers.
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: Yesterday toronto used, two So toronto's bullpen.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: Is in decent.
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: Shape arizona's bullpen is third in whip this, season WHICH
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: i still don't know IF i can buy, it, DUDE
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: i really don't. Know their era remains a lot worse than.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: That we know Who arizona's personnel is in their, bullpen
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: And i'm not impressed by.
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: It SO i don't. KNOW i Just i'm.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: Still not sold On arizona's, bullpen And toronto's willman has
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: not been very.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: Good they're at. Nineteenth we pretty much know they're not
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: a great. Bullpen.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: Arizona they're hitting took a while to start taking. Off
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: they've been a bit better. Recently they're at, seventeenth which.
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: That was kind of.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: Expected they're hitting is not that. Bad toronto's at. TWENTIETH
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: i think their hitting should get better as, well but
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: again they've been dealing with. Injuries looking at the starting,
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: pitching if you watch my, show you know, me Then
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna be leaning To goussman in this. Game however
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: you pronounce his, Name Kevin. Gaussman he's having a good
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: season For. Toronto here two point four TWO era point
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: eighty five, whip really really, good strike at walk ratio
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: thirty one to five and twenty two and a third
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: innings along with fourteen hits. Allowed this is some good, stuff,
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: Man and he faced The dodgers in There. Milwaukee Those,
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: yeah granted those starts are a little bit, shakier But
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 2: i'm not gonna give him too much crap for that
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: because those are good. Offenses so, yeah he's been quite
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: good on the. Season Against, arizona he's been really good as.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: Well in seventy three at, bats eleven to, six strike
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: at walk ratio isn't that, good but one sixty four
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: average a lot four forty seven. Ops those are really
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: good numbers From gussman Against arizona, here and he's going
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: up Against Ryan. Nelson and you, KNOW i am not
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: a fan Of Ryan, nelson but last year he put
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: up good. Numbers this year he's putting up good numbers.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i don't know what's going, on, Man LIKE i
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: don't know if he changes, mechanics LIKE i was thinking
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: he maybe he was cheating last year because he saw
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: some of The arizona pitchers getting caught with like pine tarn.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: STUFF i don't, know, MAN i really, don't or.
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: At least speculation was that that was happening with those
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: splotches that they. Had it was never proven, though not him,
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: specifically but maybe he's doing it. Too three point five FOUR,
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: era one point zero three, WHIP i, mean those are good.
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: Numbers the nineteen to eight strike a walk ratio isn't
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: that good, Though but he did walk three guys in
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: the season opener against The dodgers in his season, OPENER
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: i should.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: SAY i don't know if it was the team season,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: opener probably was.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: Not but, yeah since, then his walk, numbers, well really
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: they haven't gotten that much, better to be, Honest he's
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: walked multiple guys.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: In all but one. Outing.
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: Uh he's only allowed thirteen hits in twenty to third innings,
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: though so he has not allowed many, hits but he's
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: allowed too many. Walks he's still a GUY i don't,
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: trust like looking at what he's done in his. Career
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: his numbers Against toronto are pretty good. Though in twenty
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: four at, bats three, strikeouts no walks to await average
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: a little bit high seven hundred.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: Ops.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: Uh Vlad guerrero does have a home run off, him you,
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: know and it looks like there's a triple hero From.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: Varshow it's, like where's that triple coming? In you have
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: va Show, ANYWAY i Like toronto in this game to try.
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: To avoid the. Sweep you.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: KNOW i think That arizona's bullpen's a little bit. OVERRATED
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: i Think goussman is the better pitcher here Against. Nelson
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: the money's not agreeing with me. Though arizona's at minus
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: one oh. Five fifty five percent of tickets are On,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: toronto fifty eight percent of the cash On, Arizona so
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in On. Arizona, YEAH i MEAN
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: i don't really agree with. That i'm not agreeing with
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: the market on that. ONE i THINK i would lean
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: To toronto and that one to come out with effort
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: to avoid the sweep get the better pitching performance. There,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: Yes nelson does have good matchup numbers here, though Though
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: SODA's gousman so AND i think he's more. Trustworthy all,
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: Right detroit at My Boston Red. Sox Red sox obviously
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: lost yesterday against Schoolable. Bao couldn't even Like bao threw
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: like seventy pitches in the first inning or some. SHIT
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: i don't, know, DUDE i don't even, know, MAN i
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: just don't. Know maybe The Red sox bounce back, HERE
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: i mean they better Because crochet is pitching. Today The
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: Red sox have used three relief pitchers. Yesterday that's not
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 2: as bad as you would have expected the way that
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: game went, Yesterday detroit only used. Two Red sox have
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 2: had the better bullpen on the, season. Though that's been
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: the one thing saving The Red sox really has been
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: their bullpens so.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: Far they're the fifth bullpen whip right.
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: Now detroit's has been, okay they're middle of the pack
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: right now. Fifteenth their bullpen's not bad, Though hitting, wise
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: The Red sox have been quite.
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: Bad they're twenty sixth right. Now they're.
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: DUDE i mean the hitters they have in their lineup
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: should be much better than. This AS i keep, SAYING
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: i don't know what is going on with This Red sox.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: Offense detroit is middle of the pack right, now it's.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: Sixteenth their offense is not too. Bad. Now The Red
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: sox should have a pitching advantage, here but they're going
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: up against From, beervaldez who is not a terrible, pitcher you,
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: know in his own. Right three point seventy FIVE vra this.
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: Year one point two to nine whip is a bit too,
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 2: high though sometimes he struggles with some walks and. Stuff
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: he's walked two guys apiece in his last three outings
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: eight to six strike out walk ratio over that span
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: is not. Great he's not in the greatest form right. Now,
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 2: still he's only allowed more than one or run in
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: one start this, season so you can't really argue with
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: that that much fewer than one hit per inning allowed
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: in the last eighteen innings that he's. Pitched, generally he's
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: pitching pretty, well and he's been extremely ground ball, heavy
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: which plays pretty well In.
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: Fenway, park getting a lot of ground balls.
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: Here his numbers against The Red sox are okay and
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: forty nine at bats seven to one strike out walk
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: ratio two eighty six average allowed is a bit, high
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: but THE ops is low six forty, seven so most
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: of the hits he's allowed have been. Singles he is
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: going up Against Garrett, crochet who should still be considered
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: to be an elite, pitcher even though he has a
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: seven point five EIGHTY rra and one point five eight
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: whip right, now all because he had one unbelievably bad
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: start Against. MINNESOTA i have no idea what that. Was
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: you gotta think that was a huge. OUTLIER i still
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: have no idea HIS i don't know what the hell
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: of this, Is like games score or whatever was negative
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: eight in that game compared to his first game with seventy,
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: two when he had a six innings shot out Against.
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: CINCINNATI i have no, idea. Dude he should bounce.
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: Back although twenty two to seven strike out walk ratio
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: is not quite as. GOOD i, mean that's not even that,
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: bad but it's not as good as you'd expect usually
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: out of, him and he's allowed twenty three hits in
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: nineteen innings so, far but again those numbers are being
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: skewed by that outing Against. Minnesota no idea what that.
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: Was when a guy that's an elite pitcher Like crochet
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: he has a bad start like, that.
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: There are two things going.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: On either he's, hurt WHICH i actually kind of speculated
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 2: that and a lot of people did because it looked
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: like his velocity was down and. Whatever either that's the,
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: case or it was a complete fluke and he's gonna
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: bounce back and pitch really. Well and The Red sox
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: are saying he's not, Hurt SO i guess you have
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: to go with. THAT i guess and go with. That
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: he's gonna bounce back. Here he couldn't possibly be that. Bad,
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i, mean that was a career awful performance like
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: that was significantly worse than any start that he's made
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: in his.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: Career it's.
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: Unbelievable due The Red, sox they gotta Fire Andrew, bailey
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: their pitching, coach former major league, pitcher because you cannot
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: get like, these like performances like that out Of crochet
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: out of how like you just cannot get performances like
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: that out of multiple pictures like these are historically bad,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 2: performances and they're all coming from the same pitching Staff
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: Fire Andrew, Bailey Fire Alex. Korra crochet does not have
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: good numbers Against, detroit, though which does worry. Man we
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: Know crochet was on The White, sox So detroit has
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: some familiarity with. Him thirty eight bats isn't a, ton
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: but eight to five strike out walk ratio that's concerning
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 2: three thirty three batting average, allowed that's concerning seven to
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: ninety five ops is a bit. High all of that
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: is kind of. Concerning DO i really Think crochet is
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: gonna do bad? HERE i don't you? Know The Red
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: sox are getting the money. Here they're up from minus
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 2: one twenty to minus one thirty, eight sixty percent of
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: ticket seventy one percent of the cash on The Red.
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: Sox it's not a Game i'm gonna come in and
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: jump in, on, Man it really. Isn't BUT i do
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: Think crochet should bounce back from how absolutely atrocious that performance.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: WAS i Think valdez on the other side is probably
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: gonna give you a good outing as. WELL i think
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 2: the under does make some sense in this. Game there's
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: not a lot of room for error here with it
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: being seven in a hitter friendly. Park BUT i see
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: more arguments for the under than for anything else in this.
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: Game sixty three percent of tickets on the over and
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: fifty five percent of the cash on the, over so
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: the money is indicating on the under and on the
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: red sox. Here but, YEAH i would agree with an
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: under in that. Game and you get some okay bullpens
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: coming into this game as, Well so, yeah the under
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: doesn't make sense to me. There that's not one that's
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: actually gonna be on my card. Though the last Game
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: Peacock Sunday night game here Between atlanta.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: And, PHILADELPHIA.
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: I kind of like this. ONE i don't think this
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: one's gonna make my card. Now philadelphia is trying to
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: avoid a, sweep so you might get extra motivation out
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: Of philly. Here, ATLANTA i don't know whether they're going
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: To washington, next SO i don't know if they're really
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: gonna be looking ahead To, washington Although washington is ahead
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 2: Of philadelphia and the standings right, now as ridiculous as that,
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: Sounds atlanta leading the division right now and off to
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: a really hot. Start But atlanta might Take philadelphia a
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: little bit more lightly after beating them in the first
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: two games of the series and already having the series.
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: One so, AGAIN i think you might want to look
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: to Fade. Atlanta from a situational, Perspective atlanta used two
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers. Yesterday philadelphia used, Three so it looks like. This.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: Uh this, site by the, way just tracks the CURRENTLY
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: i think active. PITCHERS i don't, know but usually it's pretty.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: Accurate as far as the bullpens are, Concerned, Yeah atlanta's.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: Had a really good.
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: Bullpen they're number one In Major League baseball and bullpen,
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: whip which is very. Surprising i'm not totally sold that
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: they're the best bullpen in, baseball but you gotta admit
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: they're a good. Bullpen philadelphia's has been. Okay they're eighth right.
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: Now their era is a lot, worse their whip isn't that.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: BAD i think they're an okay, bullpen but, Yeah atlanta's is.
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: Better atlanta has been the second best hitting team as,
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: well And philadelphia hasn't really come around. Yet they're like
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: in the bottom third right now in ops. Offensively But,
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: philadelphia we know they have more talent than, that SO
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: i think they will start Hitting. ATLANTA i almost think
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: there's some regression in store. There AS i keep saying on,
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: Offense Grant holmes is pitching for The. Braves he's pitching
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: pretty well the season three point three two e one
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: point one to one. Whip, now last year he was
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: really bad on the. Road that hasn't been the case
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: this year. Though this year he's actually been better on
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: the road than at. Home his two bad starts actually
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: came at, home or one bad start and one kind
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 2: of okay. START i guess his two better starts came
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: on the, road which is. Weird although how good were they,
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: REALLY i don't know because he is walking way too many.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: Guys but, again if you look at last year the
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: large sample, size he was significantly worse on the road
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: than at. Home so maybe that's not a good sign.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: Here seventeen to ten strike up walk. Ratio that's way
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: too many, walks, dude. Homes he's wild multiple guys in every.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: Outing he's allowed only fourteen hits in twenty one and
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: two thirds, innings so he's not a very hittable, pitcher
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: so that's, good but the walks are. Bad his numbers
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: Against phillies specifically are good though in twenty at bats
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: nine to six strike at walk ratio again is not.
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: Good the too many, walks but one fifty batting, average
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: allowed five to forty six, ops only one extra base
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: hit a double From brandon. Mash you can't really argue
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: with those numbers. Really, again though the walks maybe a
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: little bit of an, issue BUT i might say that
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: based on the fact That holmes wasn't good on the
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: road last.
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: Year he and he walks too many.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: Guys you might have to give the edge To andrew
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: Paint or for The phillies.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: Here he's a.
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: Rookie he's got a three point seven to seven ERO
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: ra so. Far one point three to three whip is
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: a little bit too, high but if you look at
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: what he's done so. Far he had one bad outing
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: At San francisco where he was too, hittable but his
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: command numbers are quite. Good in fourteen third in, pitch sixteen,
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: hits three Walks, PAINTER i, mean he was a highly touted.
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: Prospect he's got high. Heat you, know he's able to
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: fool major league. Hitters his command looks really good so.
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: FAR a lot of times you'll see these rookies kind
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: of struggle like in Their major league debut and. Whatever
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: he did not really do. That so he's actually been
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: pretty much good for the most. Part you, know the
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: command numbers have been quite. Good quite you, know they've been.
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: There the only issue is too many. Hits sixteen hits
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: and fourteen to, third basically all because of that one
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: bat outing on.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: The road At San.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: Francisco but he's back at home here and he's been
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: better at, home and The braves have never seen him,
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: before SO i think he has an extra edge here
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: against The braves because he's never faced them. Before the
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: hitters are gonna have to try to figure him, out
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: and he's a good young pitcher, man SO i like.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: IT i think there is a starting pitching edge here For.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: PHILADELPHIA i think their bullpen is not that much. WORSE
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: i think they could start hitting at some point. Here
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: they're trying to avoid the. Sweep the motivation is. There
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: it would Go philadelphia in this. GAME i like. It
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: they've moved to a favorite at minus one fifteen from
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: plus one hundred uh sixty percent of, tickets sixty five
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash On. PHILLY i like. IT i
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: would go With.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia that almost makes my.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: Card, DUDE i think IF i was gonna add any
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: other game to my, CARD i would add that one With.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia but, Yeah holmes does have good matchup numbers. There
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: you could definitely argue for the under as. Well here
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: you got two pretty decent. Bullpens maybe both starting pitchers
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: do actually come out and pitch. Well, here fifty three percent,
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: tickets sixty five on the, over and sixty five percent
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the. Under totals already dropped off
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: of that key number nine and a half through the
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: nine all the way down to eight, Now so, yeah
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: that total really has gotten hit down towards the, under
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: and AGAIN i would agree with. It it is off
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: of that key number nine, Though But, holmes, again based
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: on how he pitched on the road last, YEAR i
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: would worry about that a little bit. More my preference
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: in that game is The philadelphia. Side all, right let's
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 2: go to THE nhl. Here i'm gonna get rid of
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: all that. STUFF i don't have any plays, here, man
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 2: but we'll talk ABOUT nhl AND. Nba first series up
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: IS la At. Colorado these first two games are ON
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: tnt THROUGH tv AND Hbo max. Today this, game it's
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 2: a pretty big mismatch At colorado's really good at, home
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: but they've been really good just in. General we know
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: they have the best record in. Hockey The kings have
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: been pretty good on the road, though even though they've
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: won more loss than, win The kings have actually been
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: worse at home than on the, road believe it or.
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: Not So king's not a very good team.
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i, mean if you include overtime, losses they have
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 2: more losses than. Wins they might be the weakest team
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: in the playoff field to be. Honest regular, season The
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: kings or excuse The avs swept them three nothing and
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: won every game by multiple. Goals so The kings didn't
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: particularly match up well against.
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: Them you, know it's not really a.
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: GAME i just can't get involved with, it, Man AND i,
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: Mean colorado is a huge.
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: Favorite they're a huge favorite for a.
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: Reason they finished The season's still pretty hot with three
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: wins to finish off the. SEASON i just in games
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: it didn't even really matter to. Them The kings did
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: have two really ugly losses to finish the season and
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: still made the playoffs. Somehow so they're really limping into
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: the playoffs with two losses To vancouver And. Calgary that's pretty,
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 2: bad you. KNOW i, mean maybe they do bounce back from.
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: That SOMETIMES i do like to jump on a team
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 2: that finished the season really ugly because a lot of
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: times they're a little bit, Undervalue and maybe they are
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: Because colorado's minus two seventy here in the totals five
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: and a. Half BUT i don't want to do anything
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: with the game ninety one percent of, tickets ninety seven
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash On. Colorado, OBVIOUSLY i Think colorado's
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: gonna win the game in win the, series you. KNOW
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: i don't know that they're gonna do it in a,
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: sweep but maybe there is a little bit of value
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 2: looking towards like AN la puck line or something to
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: maybe keep this game. Close they weren't really able to
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: do it against all around of this, season, though and
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: you gotta worry about the empty netters and whatever too
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: if you do try to do it that. Way the
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: money is slightly indicated towards the over in this game as.
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: Well but these first, games you, know Like i'm gonna
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: say it again WITH nba AND, nhl the unders kind
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: of make more sense in these first games because the teams.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: Have been off for a little.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 2: While, though hockey maybe not so much because a lot
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 2: of these teams played like one or two days, ago
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 2: but or two or three days. AGO i mean they
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: didn't play, yesterday two or three days. Ago but, yeah
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: in THE, nba you can kind of isolate the first
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: halves because a lot of times THE, nba especially these
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: teams have been off for a while because they had
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: to wait for the play ins and, stuff so that
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: can like make their offenses get. Cold and usually the
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: defenses come out better than the offenses, early so unders
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: make sense more so in these first, games and plus
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 2: you get more, intense deepense now that it's. Playoffs the
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: next game up Is montreal And Tampa.
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: Bay Tampa bay.
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: Pretty good at, home only one overtime loss at home
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: is quite good at. Home montreal was surprisingly good on
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: the road, too, though So montreal they could definitely win
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: on the. Road this was a competitive regular season series,
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: two with the series going to. Two both teams went
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: one to one like home and away, too so each
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: team won a road game each team won a home,
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 2: game so it.
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: Was a fairly close.
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: Series The lightning did win the first two games of
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: the season series on The canadians won the last, two
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: including one ten days, Ago so maybe The lightning do
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: have some adjustments that they'll make, here because at that,
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: point The lightning didn't have that much to play for,
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: necessarily ALTHOUGH i, guess, WELL i don't, know neither team really,
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: did but these two teams were still fighting for home,
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: ice Which Tampa bay did wind up getting, anyway despite
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: losing To. Montreal but this game's back In Tampa. Bay,
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: now Maybe Tampa bay will make the adjustments to whatever
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: happened in that loss To montreal that last time it
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: was a close. Game montreal finished the season with a
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: loss To. Philadelphia philadelphia was fighting to make the, playoffs,
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: though which they. Did Tampa bay took an uglier loss
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: to The rangers to finish the, season but at that
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: point the game really didn't.
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: Matter.
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: Uh Tampa bay also staying at home after, That SO
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: i Think Tampa bay maybe does have some advantages, here you,
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: know maybe kind of a little bit of a zigzag
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 2: off of that loss To, montreal losing twice To montreal
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 2: in the later part of the, season and the fact
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: that they had a really ugly loss to finish the
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: regular season that really just didn't. Matter i'm gonna slightly
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: lean Towards tampa here there are minus one eighty. Eight
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: we KNOW i have them winning the, championship SO i
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: know that's not. Surprising but the money is agreeing With tampa,
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: here sixty percent of, tickets ninety one percent of the
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 2: cash on The tampa side. Here i'm not gonna disagree with.
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: It looks like a strong cash dis verity. There but you,
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: know that's a pretty hefty money line to lay. There
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: AND i don't really like puck lines in THE, nhl,
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: though if, you you, know you could do split that
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 2: puck line money line.
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: Here But i'm gonna look more for.
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: Like zigzags in like more competitive price ranges in, hockey which, hint,
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: hint there might be one of those That i'm gonna
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: look at pretty heavily and probably add to my car.
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: Tomorrow SO i think tomorrow we will have my first
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: play in THE nhl.
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: Playoffs but, YEAH i.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: Think Tampa bay is probably the right side. There the
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: money is indicating towards the under in that. Game for
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: what that's where the total dropped a little bit to.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: SIX i don't necessarily disagree with. THAT i think these
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: teams kind of have this image of their good, offenses
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: but their goaltending has been pretty.
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: Good Tampa bay.
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: Has a very experienced goalie With. Vassilevsky so all, right
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: we Have boston At. Buffalo you, KNOW i Took boston
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: in my bracket to win this. Series the money is
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: unfortunately coming in On buffalo right now, though up to
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: minus one sixty three seventy eight percent of, tickets eighty
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 2: six percent of the cash On.
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: Buffalo money is coming in On.
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: BUFFALO i Think buffalo is the weakest one seed in
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: the playoffs though out of all the one, SEASON i
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 2: mean there are only four of, them BUT i Think
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: buffalo is pretty clearly the weakest of all of.
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: Them.
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 2: Buffalo they did finish the season with a loss to
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 2: dall but it was a tough, game close. Loss dallas
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: is good despite what we saw yesterday they.
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: Lost buffalo lost a.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: Four game win streak with that, loss so sometimes that
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: type of loss will hang you over a little. Bit
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: in that wind, streak the only impressive win was Against
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: Tampa bay, there SO i don't. KNOW i don't know
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: what we're gonna get out Of buffalo.
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: Man buffalo is good at home, though that's the one
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: thing The bruins are really bad on the. Road The
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: bruins were well below five hundred on the. Road The
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: bruins were excellent at home this. Year bruins have extreme
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: home roads splits where they're way better at home than
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: on the. Road so it's unfortunate they have to play
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: a road series. Here they're gonna need to steal at
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: least one road game in the. SERIES i think they
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: can do. It but The sabers are good at. Home
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 2: but you, know this is not like a totally unfamiliar
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: venue for The. Bruins SO i think some of the
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: reason why The sabers were probably this good at. Home
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: probably a lot of these teams were less familiar with
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 2: this venue than The bruins, are you, know BECAUSE i
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: think The bruins are in the same vision as The sabers, too,
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: Right SO i Believe so Maybe i'm wrong about.
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: THAT i Think i'm.
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: Right, Yeah so The bruins are definitely more familiar with
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: with this season. Series The bruins won the season series
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 2: three to. One the only, loss of, course was At, buffalo,
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: though so The bruins won both home, games one of
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: those was. Overtime The sabers won or excuse, me The. Bruins, yeah,
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: correct The bruins won both games at. Home The bruins
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: won one game In buffalo as well in, overtime and
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: Then buffalo their only win did come at home in.
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: The season, series which obviously that makes.
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: Sense, again that kind of leads you to believe it
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: will be a home centric series. Here maybe The bruins
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 2: can steal a game because again they did have one
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: road win in the. Series they had the only road.
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: Win AND i do think we're looking at the better goalie,
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: here the more experienced. Goalie With swayman going up, AGAINST
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: i Think lion is probably gonna be the guy for The.
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: SABERS i THINK i kind of trust The bruins experience
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 2: a little bit more. Man bruins missed the playoffs last,
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 2: year but they've been in the playoffs year after year
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: leading up to, that you, know and they had they
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 2: won The President's trophy not that long. AGO i know
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 2: it's a different, team but some of those guys are still.
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 2: Here bruins won their last two. GAMES i don't know
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: if that really, matters but you, know they they won
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: a game they didn't even need Against New, Jersey so
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: that does kind of show The bruins have something there
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: in a, Shutout i'm gonna still lean to The bruins
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 2: and go with WHAT i did in my bracket. There but,
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 2: again the home home road disparity The bruins have is very.
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 2: Concerning BUT i think the price On buffalo is a
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: bit too high at minus one sixty. Three you could
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: make your own plus one puck line on The bruins
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: and maybe get some value that.
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: Way that would be my opinion, There.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: Sab what's. Up good to see you. Again you're on the.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: MAMMOTH i do not like. THAT i Have vegas winning
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: The Western conference in my. BRACKET i don't like. IT
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: i really Don't vegas has the. EXPERIENCE i, MEAN i
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: know they had turmoil and they fired their coach and,
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: whatever so that's not.
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: Good BUT i don't Trust. UTAH i just. Don't they
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: haven't been here for how long has it?
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: BEEN i, Mean, utah it's their first time in the
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: playoffs at, all but how long has it been? Since
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: Like arizona The, coyotes who are the, mammoth how long
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 2: has it been since they've been in the.
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: PLAYOFFS i don't like. IT i Think vegas is pretty.
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: Dangerous they had a lot of overtime losses this year and,
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 2: whatever and we're talking about that game right.
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: Now this is the other.
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 2: Game this is AN espn doubleheader by the, way for
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 2: these night Games utah At vegas in the season series,
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: here which you, KNOW i do like to look at
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: just to kind of get a gauge on how these games.
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: Went utah won two of the three, games and The
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: knights have not beaten them Since. NOVEMBER i think that's
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 2: gonna skew people's perception of these, teams, DUDE i really.
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: Do with The mammoth beating The knights five to one
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: In utah and then four to nothing In, vegas which
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 2: was the most recent game a month, AGO i think
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: The knights are gonna look at that game and make
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 2: a bunch of. Adjustments, DUDE i Like vegas in this
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: game after. THAT i think this is very. Misleading, uh
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 2: the oddsbeakers are telling you The knights of the better
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 2: team even though they haven't Beaten utah again Since.
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: November but, AGAIN i think that's very.
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: Misleading, YES i, know since The tortorella installation here For,
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: vegas they've they've been really, good but they haven't really
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: beaten anybody that, good except they Beat, colorado But colorado.
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: Didn't need the game at.
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 2: All but, Still tortorella is a very experienced, coach, Dude
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: and you Know heart is kind of.
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: Healthy.
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: NOW i don't, really, Dude, HONESTLY i don't Trust utah's,
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 2: goalies uh The melka and whoever. ELSE i, mean he's,
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 2: fine but, YEAH i don't, know, MAN i don't think
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 2: he's that. GOOD i Believe heart is gonna be the
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 2: guy For Golden. Knights that's kind of the one concerned
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: with The knights is who's their goalie gonna? Be Between
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: Schmid hill And. HEART i think it's gonna be Either
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 2: hill Or. Heart Because heart was, injured he came, back
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: he's looking pretty. Good they might just hand him the.
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 2: Reins hill really did struggle quite a. Bit, YEAH i
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: think it is going to be, Hard BUT i, Dude,
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 2: VEGAS i don't, know, MAN i just think they have more.
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 2: TALENT i think they're stacked with more talent. Here as
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 2: far as the home road splits Here, VEGAS i, mean you,
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 2: know they weren't really that good at. HOME i Know
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: vegas wasn't particularly good on the road, either.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i Mean.
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: Knights around five hundred at home, basically But utah was
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: basically five hundred on the road. Too vegas down to
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty. Two but they're getting the money right,
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 2: now seventy nine percent of, tickets eighty nine percent of.
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: The cash On.
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: Vegas, YEAH i Think vegas is a dangerous. TEAM i
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 2: think they're under the. RADAR i think they underperformed this. Season,
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 2: again the, team it has the. Experience they're in the
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 2: playoffs every single, year SO i think that will give
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: them a leg, up especially in this. Series SO i
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 2: do not agree With utah in that, series AND i
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 2: don't agree with them In game one.
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: EITHER i Think vegas is gonna.
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 2: Make a lot of adjustments to those two hideous losses
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: they took to You, utah AND i Like. UTAH i
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: have a jersey for both of these, teams by the,
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 2: Way vegas just because it is the gambling. Town BUT
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: i Like. UTAH i like their you, know their new.
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 2: LOOK i like the the. Mascot i'm not gonna hate
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: it If utah. WINS i don't like being wrong at,
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: all but you, KNOW i as far as like which
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: teams are like rootable, Teams, YEAH i do Like. Utah
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 2: as far as rooting for, Them let's go to THE.
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 2: Nba THE nba is just boring, today though in my,
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: OPINION i don't see much of an angle here in these. Games,
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i will point out unders kind of makes sense
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 2: in these. Games, oh by the, WAY i forgot to
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 2: talk about the totals in these hockey. Games not really
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 2: a total, guy But bruins In buffalo the money has
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 2: come in on the under a little, bit no surprise.
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: There and it's also indicating on the under in The
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 2: utah In vegas game as. Well and you, KNOW i
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 2: kind of already explain. Why but it might be a
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 2: better idea in some games than. Others in THESE nba,
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 2: games seventy six Or celtics is the first game up
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 2: at ONE. Pm IF i was gonna go to the,
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: GAME i would have already had to have left to
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: get out. There i'm not doing, it, Man i'm not
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: doing it for. Once i've been to one. Game i've
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 2: been to a lot of good. GAMES i was at
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: The Jalen brown shot game in The Eastern conference finals
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 2: there against The.
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: PACERS i was at that.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: Game The celtics lost to the seventy Six ers with
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 2: that late. IMPLOSION i was at that twenty point implosion
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: last year against The.
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: Knicks you, Know i've been at a lot of.
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: GAMES i was at the game one of the finals
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 2: the year The celtics won the championship Against luca And.
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: Dallas you. Know but this, year, yeah, unfortunately got to
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 2: save some. Money but, anyway The celtics are twelve and
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 2: a half way. Favorite the money has actually driven the
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: number up on The. Celtics seventy one percent, ticket seventy
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash on The. Celtics money is
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 2: hitting the under. Here the totals low at two fourteen
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: and a. Half it hasn't, moved it's moved. Up actually
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 2: a little. Bit public is slamming the over here because
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 2: just the perception of these two teams is we're gonna
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: we're gonna get. POINTS i don't know IF i think.
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 2: SO i mean, Again celtics have had a lot of
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 2: time off, here so the offenses might start a little bit.
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: Slow seventy percent of tickets and only fifty seven percent
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the over, HERE i wouldn't disagree
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 2: with an under in this. Game you, know The celtics
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 2: play a slow pace, anyway and the offense is A
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 2: celtics offense, especially might take a little bit of time
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 2: to get back into.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: Rhythm which is the other.
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: Thing like a lot of times these playing, teams like
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: the seventy Six, ers they've had a little bit of
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: time off, too though they won the first playing game
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: that they. Played but a lot of times these teams
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 2: that go through the play in ESPECIALLY i think the
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 2: team that plays two playing, GAMES i actually think that
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 2: team has an advantage early on in these. Games so
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 2: we'll talk about The suns in a, minute but that
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: might be an advantage that The suns have there this.
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 2: Game The sixers might not have as much of it
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 2: because they did.
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: They've had time.
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 2: Off now after they Beat, orlando nobody's gonna be impressed
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: by the fact they Beat, orlando THOUGH i don't THINK
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: i would lay the points of The, celtics, THOUGH i
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 2: mean it might be. Game The celtics kind of have,
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: a you, know just a sleep walk type of attitude.
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 2: Here celtics starters haven't played for even longer because The
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 2: celtics rested their starters in the last regular season, game
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 2: and that was the game where they won his thirteen
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 2: point underdogs with all their backups Against orlando. Ridiculous maybe
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 2: it's not the greatest spot for The celtics.
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: Here i'm gonna slightly lean to The sixers plus the points.
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: Here And beid is out of, course we know this
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: after his emergency appendeck. Tomy he's supposed to come back
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 2: at some point during this. SERIES i have no idea
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 2: if that's even gonna. HAPPEN i know he's not playing
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 2: in this, game, though so The celtics should be able
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 2: to have some advantage on.
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: The interior With embiid not.
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: There celtics obviously are the better. Team they're favored by a.
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 2: Ton they better win the game. Obviously as A celtic,
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: fan don't have a whole lot else to say about the.
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: Game but, YEAH i.
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: Think the under is the better way to look at
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 2: that game though than the Side phoenix At Oklahoma. City
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 2: there are indicators for, me like there are factors going
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 2: both ways. Here Oklahoma city is a fifteen point. Favorite
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: the money is indicating against, them eighty six percent of,
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: tickets sixty percent of.
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: The cash on the thunder.
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 2: Here, actually hold on a, second so, yes the money
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 2: is indicating On. Phoenix but hold, ON i was going
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 2: to talk about The celtics And philadelphia season series, here
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: which they actually split two and, two and each team
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 2: won one game on the road, too so it was
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: a very even season.
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: Series but three of the four.
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: Games were early in the, season so these teams are
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 2: definitely a little bit different. Now, obviously The celtics Have
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: Jason tatum, now and The celtics did beat The sixers In,
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: march WHICH i think was still Without Jason.
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: TATUM i want to, say, SO i think The.
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 2: Celtics, Yeah Jason tatum didn't play in any of the
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: four games against The, sixers And Joel EMBIID i think
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: played in probably at least most of these. GAMES i would, say,
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 2: SO i don't think there's, yeah just to say when
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 2: you look at the season series, HERE i don't think
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: there's a whole lot of weight you can put behind.
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 2: These The celtics did win the most recent game In
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 2: boston by a decent margin, there but The celtics did
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 2: not Beat that was the only game where The celtics
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 2: won by this, margin and they barely did.
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 1: It they won by.
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: Sixteen the other games they did not cover this number against,
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 2: Them so do with that information what you.
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: Want The celtics are good.
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 2: At home, though thirty and eleven at Home philadelphia only
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 2: twenty two to nineteen on the, road so The celtics
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 2: do have a bit of a home edge there all.
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: Right, Anyway phoenix At Oklahoma, city.
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 2: LIKE i, said the money is fading the thunder, here
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: and you, know it is really really tough to want
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 2: to fade the. Thunder but the thing is The thunder
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: haven't played for quite a. While they finished the season,
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: ugly WHICH i will talk about in a, minute because
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 2: they literally finished by Playing, phoenix and that is a
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: factor in this, GAME i. Think BUT i Think phoenix
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 2: does have an advantage with the fact that they had
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 2: to make it through the play, ins which we don't see.
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 2: There but playing two playing games that'll give you, momentum,
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 2: dude you know WHAT i. Mean the fact That phoenix
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 2: just had to win again the other night and we
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: got to win with that on the.
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: Show that's gonna Give phoenix.
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 2: MOMENTUM i think that is an, advantage especially early in this.
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: Game so if you wanted to Go phoenix first half
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 2: in this, game Take phoenix like plus the eight or
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 2: whatever it is in the first. HALF i think that's
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 2: not a bad idea because they might come, out you,
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: know their offense already ready to go because they played
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 2: the other, night WHEREAS okac has been off for a long.
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 2: TIME i think Okay see will turn it. Around though
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 2: if they start, SLOW i still think they're.
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: Gonna win the.
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: Game maybe some live betting, there If phoenix has a
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 2: lead early in the, game you can Bet Oklahoma city
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 2: maybe at a better price on the money line at
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 2: some point in that.
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: Game both these games are ON. Abc by the, Way, now.
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 2: As far as the season series is, concerned, well first of,
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 2: All Oklahoma city is really good at home thirty four and.
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 2: Seven so even though, YES i think the fact That
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 2: phoenix did play in the play in that has me
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: leaning Towards, phoenix there aren't that many other things That
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: i've been Wanting phoenix in this. Game they're bad on the.
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 2: Road they're below five hundred on the, road although of
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 2: course they can cover and not win the game at a.
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: Price like this season series, Here phoenix won three out
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 2: of the five. GAMES i think there might have been
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 2: there must have been a cup game in. There Oklahoma
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 2: city won the first game in a close. Game they
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 2: won the next game in a blowout both games at,
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 2: home then they won in A phoenix won in a
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 2: close game At, Phoenix Oklahoma city blew them out In.
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 2: Phoenix then the most recent, game the last game of
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: the regular, season Was phoenix won by thirty two points
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 2: In Oklahoma, city which obviously that's completely misleading Because Oklahoma
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 2: city didn't play most of their players and, whatever so
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 2: it Was Oklahoma city's.
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: Backups Although Oklahoma.
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 2: City is an extremely deep, team, dude so even their
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: backups can do well. Here but of course that was
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: the game Where Oklahoma city had no reason to show,
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 2: up you know WHAT i. Mean and now that they
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 2: lost by thirty two points at, home and literally the
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: last Time Oklahoma city played they were losing on this
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 2: exact same floor to This phoenix, team that that's going
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 2: to Motivate Oklahoma city a little, bit. Man SO i
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: think they will actually not really Overlook phoenix because of.
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 2: That so that would be an indicator towards okayse and
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 2: once this game gets, Going SO i think if you
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 2: want to Play, PHOENIX i think Maybe i'm not A
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: halves guy really except for in, baseball but first Half
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 2: phoenix plus the points makes sense to me, Here, YEAH
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: i Mean that's basically WHAT i have to say about the.
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 2: Game the totals sitting pretty much just still at two fifteen,
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 2: money indicating a little bit on the over in that.
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: Game you, know maybe the argument is that The suns
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 2: don't really have an. Offense it's going to be that
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 2: cool because they're gonna come into the game already having played,
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 2: recently so their offense will already be kind of in.
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: Rhythm maybe that's the argument for.
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 2: IT i wouldn't want to go over in a game
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 2: like this, though with you, know The thunder having a
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: lot of days off here and defense usually being at a.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: Maximum in games like this.
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 2: Game two on the quick turnaround time is where you
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 2: can maybe find some spots to. PLAY i don't do
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 2: a whole lot with totals, anyway, though as you Know
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 2: orlando At, detroit this total is getting hit towards the,
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 2: under fifty two tickets and fifty seven percent of the
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 2: cash on the. Under this total has dropped From june
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 2: twenty two to two nineteen and a. Half pretty low.
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 2: Total all the totals are pretty low. Today, Really i'm
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 2: not gonna disagree really with an under. Here you, KNOW
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 2: i think the better unders are probably maybe this, game
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 2: The six Or, celtics those may be the better couple
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: of unders. Here but The, magic you, know The magic
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: do have that offensive, chemistry at least because they did
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 2: have to play in a second playing game as. Well
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 2: the problem for The magic is they look too good
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: in that. Game they blew out the over Hyped Charlotte. Hornets, here,
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 2: man they're gonna get a lot of credit for crushing The.
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 2: HORNETS i don't see it, there you, know on the schedule,
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 2: there but you, Know orlando looked bad and that loss
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: Of philadelphia and then they crushed The.
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: Hornets now was that a? FLUKE i don't.
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 2: Know but no team is ever as good as their best,
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 2: game and that was Really orlando's best. Game orlando is
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 2: not really that good of an offensive team, here so
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 2: the under might still make some sense. Here we know
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 2: The pistons are gonna come into this game a little
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 2: bit cold here because they haven't played in quite a.
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 2: While The pistons finished the season still with a few
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 2: wins in a row, here including Against, charlotte but they're
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 2: wresting some of their guys. Too cunningham did come. BACK
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 2: i don't know how is collapsed lung as holding up
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 2: though it seems crazy that he came back from. THAT
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: i Think duran might have missed a couple of those remaining,
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 2: games And i'm assuming they're both going to be back
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 2: in this game. Now, detroit they're inexperience, though So orlando
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 2: does have an experience edge, here whereas you, know all
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 2: the teams we talked about so far kind of have
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: experience of The Oklahoma city has an experienced edge Over
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 2: phoenix though for, sure And celtics And philadelphia are both very.
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 2: Experienced But orlando does have a bit of an experience
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 2: edge Over.
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: Detroit detroit's still.
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 2: Young they made the playoffs last, year they lost in
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 2: the first. ROUND i think they get through this. SERIES i,
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 2: do BUT i think the, experience you, know is going
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: to catch up to the lack of experience is going
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 2: to catch up To detroit at some. Point as you
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 2: saw with my bracket THAT i, DID i do have
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 2: them losing To cleveland in the second. Round these two
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 2: night games AROUND nbc And peacock by the, way for
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 2: what that's. Worth looking at the season, series in this season,
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 2: series they split two two AND i believe each team
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 2: won a road game in a home game in this
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 2: series as. Well, yes and each of the last two
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 2: games are In. Orlando orlando won the last game by double,
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 2: digits so Maybe detroit's gonna bounce back from.
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: That that was like a little bit.
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 2: Over a week ago, basically SO i Think detroit might
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 2: have adjustments to make off of. That maybe that does
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 2: Help detroit a little bit in this. Game that game
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 2: was really kind of an, OUTLIER i think Because detroit
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 2: was already locked into the one seed by.
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: Then they were pretty close to, it so they didn't
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 1: really need that.
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 2: Game so that GAME i wouldn't put much weight into
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 2: That orlando win. There but you, Know detroit's a nine point.
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 2: Favorite they're definitely public seventy nine percent, tickets seventy nine
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 2: percent of the. Cash the public does not like what
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 2: they're seeing out of This magic, team despite what they
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 2: did in their last. Game there are the rumors of
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 2: The magic quit on their, coach but they just Crush Charlotte.
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 2: Man so maybe The magic are actually coming in and trying.
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: A little, bit and they do have.
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 2: Experience you, know they have talent on This magic, roster
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 2: and they're healthy right now with the Bunchero Suggs. Wagner
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 2: they're all there right. Now i'm pretty Sure i'm gonna
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 2: lean in the magic and this one plus the. Points you,
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 2: KNOW i don't love. It it's not gonna make my
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 2: card or. Anything BUT i know the only underdog that
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 2: covered yesterday was The. Lakers but you, know maybe we
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 2: see some underdog action here in some of these games,
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 2: here and maybe this is it BECAUSE i think The
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 2: pistons are a little bit of an overrated one seed
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 2: here and the oddsmakers are kind of telling you that
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 2: there's a reason why The pistons are the only non
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 2: double digit favorite. Here and then the final game Is Trailblazer.
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 2: Spurs The blazers did win in the play, in but
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 2: they haven't played for a while because they won the
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 2: first playing game and that was a miracle. WIN i
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 2: think it was kind of. BULLSHIT i don't think The
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 2: blazers are very. Good you, know they had to hit
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 2: a bunch of threes in the. Game they had to
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 2: have a miracle. Comeback portland is a very very bad turnover,
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 2: Team like they turned the ball over more than any
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 2: team in the, League so that's not. Good, obviously that's
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 2: not gonna help them out much. Here they're a bad
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 2: road team eighteen and twenty.
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: Three on the.
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 2: Road spurs are very good at home thirty two and. Eight,
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 2: obviously The spurs are gonna be a huge favorite, here
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 2: BUT i think it is. Warranted The spurs did lose
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 2: one game of the regular season To, portland which was In,
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 2: january BUT i believe When Ben, YAMA i think missed
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 2: all three regular season, Games SO i think you just
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 2: throw these games out. Completely the spurs best player didn't
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 2: play in any of, them and they still won two
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 2: out of the. Three so, YEAH i don't think you
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 2: put much weight into. That The spurs did win the
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 2: most recent game eleven days ago by eleven on this
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 2: floor at, home BUT i don't think that matters that. Much,
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 2: yeah The spurs haven't played for. WHILE i don't know
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 2: if that's gonna be as much of a disadvantage, here because,
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i Think portland should not have won that game Against.
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 1: Phoenix they really shouldn't be.
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 2: Here both teams actually kind of lack experience right, Now
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 2: portland especially though probably you, Know portland very very young.
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 2: Team Still San antonio is young as, well but Obviously
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 2: San antonio is the better.
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: Team they're laying.
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 2: Eleven in this, game it goes to eleven eighty five
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets and cash on The.
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: Spurs they are a public. Side BUT.
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 2: I don't, know, MAN i kind of lean towards The
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 2: spurs here to cover this. ONE i don't like The
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 2: blazers much at. All uh seventy seven percent of, tickets
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 2: eighty three percent of the cash on the.
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: Over money is coming in a little bit on the
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: over in this.
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 2: One even though total dropped from two twenty two and
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 2: a half to two twenty, one it's the highest total
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 2: out of all.
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: The, games so there is.
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 2: That you, know maybe it's slightly higher for a reason.
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 2: Here but The spurs also have the best defensive player
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 2: in THE nba And Wem, Binyama SO i think The
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 2: blazers might struggle to score in the, one you, know
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 2: and again you might have the offenses coming into this
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 2: game a little bit cool even though The blazers played
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 2: one playing. GAME i DON'T i don't really like the over.
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 2: HERE i think the under.
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: Does make more.
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 2: Sense but these, also these games could turn into. Unders
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 2: if you see like a, blowout you know WHAT i.
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 2: Mean if the game becomes a, blowout it becomes like
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 2: a slower paced, game right because the team that has
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 2: the huge lead is just taking up longer, possessions you
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 2: know WHAT i, mean to just try to hold onto
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 2: the lead more and, slow you, know like get the
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 2: game over with, faster you know WHAT i. Mean so
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 2: that comes into play as well potentially in these games.
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 2: TODAY i don't have much else to, say, MAN i
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 2: forgot to talk About. Detroit their home record is, good
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 2: by the, WAY i forgot to tell you that they're
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 2: thirty one and nine at. Home Or orlando's nineteen and
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 2: twenty on the, road which is not.
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: Good so, Yeah detroit does have a really good home.
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: Record so there is. THAT i don't have much, else.
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: Man that's gonna do it for.
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 2: Today the two plays THAT i do have are The
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 2: Kansas City royals split bet run line money. Line if
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 2: you want to go just money line on, it you
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 2: could do that. Too find a plus one run line
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 2: at some of the books that offer. That you could
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 2: do that as. Well and we did add the. UNDER
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 2: i decided to do it In Ranger seattle under the.
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 2: Seven let's get some wins. Today let's get back on
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 2: the winning side. Here let's get back on the winning. Track,
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 2: DUDE i told, you, like we're so, hot like there
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 2: is gonna be some, downswing like that's just what.
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 1: Happens but we want to keep.
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 2: Going.
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: Man the goal is to get a win every. Day
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: that's what we want to.
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 2: DO i had to take my heater out of the
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 2: band or there, though because it's not a heater. Anymore
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 2: after we took a loss, yesterday a losing day, Yesterday
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 2: so two losing days in the last. Three i'm not
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 2: happy about. That let's get back to. IT i appreciate.
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: It everybody.
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 2: Learn a tone On, twitter learn a tone On, instagram
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 2: like subscribe to the channel, here get the notifications WHEN
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 2: i go. Live, probably, Yeah i'll just Obviously i'll be back.
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 2: Tomorrow it'd be an easier show, tomorrow.
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 1: Probably because less.
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 2: Baseball, STILL i think there were like ten games though
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 2: the Baseball It's Patriots day as, well so there's an
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 2: early Pet Patriots Day Red sox game where they have
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 2: to change the timing around The Boston marathon and when
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 2: the runners are coming through that same area Of boston kind,
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 2: of so we'll talk about that tomorrow as.
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: Well Red socks usually do well.
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 2: In the Marathon monday, game, Though Miracle Miracle Marathon. Monday
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 2: they've had a couple of like crazy walkoffs in that game.
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 2: Before all, Right i'll talk about that tomorrow. Though what
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 2: else do we? Have we've covered in you because my
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 2: yuke channel on, YouTube you can check that. Out this
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 2: show is on. Audio the numbers have been going up
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 2: a little bit, there so let's keep that. Going we
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 2: need more subscribers, here, man so we can get. Monetized
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 2: so let's get that. Happening tell your friends you, know
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 2: we're getting some good plays out on the. Show but,
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 2: yeah we're On, Apple, Spotify. Spreaker you can review over.
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 2: There that helps me out as. Well what else do we? Have?
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 2: Oh loser?
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 1: Casts how COULD i?
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 2: Forget Loser casts will be back On tuesday And patreon dot,
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 2: com slash learn to if you want to support, me
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 2: and you, know don't do a whole lot on The
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 2: patreon at this. Point BUT i you, know LIKE i,
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 2: SAID i gotta start doing like hangouts with THE uk and.
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 2: Stuff i'm one, man, Man i'm a one man show.
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 2: HERE i run, everything so you, KNOW i gotta find
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 2: time to do everything that's gonna do.
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: It, peace