Latest / Money In Motion with Klaas Financial / Blind Spots & Bull Markets: The Psychology of Investing
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: And joining us this morning from Class Financial our CJ
- 0:02Speaker 1: Closs and Josh Sterling. CJ, how you doing this morning?
- 0:06Speaker 2: I'm doing great, Sean. How are you?
- 0:08Speaker 1: I'm doing really well. Great to talk with you. Josh.
- 0:10Speaker 1: How have you been it's been a little bit. How
- 0:13Speaker 1: thing's been going for you?
- 0:14Speaker 3: Oh? Very good, Sean. Really good to be back on
- 0:17Speaker 3: and joining you today.
- 0:18Speaker 1: It's exciting to have you along. And we're going to
- 0:20Speaker 1: be talking about some of the blind spots and bull
- 0:23Speaker 1: markets that folks may engage, some of that psychology, some
- 0:26Speaker 1: of that deep thinking about about investing in some of
- 0:29Speaker 1: those behavioral risks that can can ultimately cost you, and
- 0:33Speaker 1: we'll talk with CJ and Josh about that this morning.
- 0:36Speaker 1: Don't forget it's a great opportunity if you've ever got
- 0:38Speaker 1: any questions about retirement, whether it's about a particular topic
- 0:41Speaker 1: that we're covering each week, or if it's something that's
- 0:43Speaker 1: just popped into your head, great opportunity to get you
- 0:45Speaker 1: on the air. Six oh eight three two one thirteen ten.
- 0:48Speaker 1: That's six oh eight three two one thirteen ten. Also,
- 0:51Speaker 1: you can submit a question right online at cossfinancial dot com.
- 0:54Speaker 1: That's Coss k L aasfinancial dot com. So phone lines
- 0:58Speaker 1: are open. You got the number at the website. Got
- 1:01Speaker 1: all the great information speaking of great things and great information,
- 1:03Speaker 1: a lot of great information in the program, and it
- 1:05Speaker 1: behooves you to pay close attention to the show. Not
- 1:07Speaker 1: only do you get that great conversation information, also be
- 1:10Speaker 1: a chance a little bit later on the program for
- 1:12Speaker 1: you to win a fantastic prize from our friends at
- 1:14Speaker 1: Class Financial. This week you'll have a chance to win
- 1:16Speaker 1: a twenty five dollars gift card to Starbucks with the
- 1:19Speaker 1: Class Quiz Question the Week. Pay close attention because just
- 1:22Speaker 1: about every show, the question and answer to the Class
- 1:24Speaker 1: Quiz Question the Week come up during the program, and
- 1:27Speaker 1: before we start talking about some of the behavioral risks
- 1:30Speaker 1: when it comes to investing and planning for retirement, let's
- 1:34Speaker 1: actually look back at last week's show and get the
- 1:37Speaker 1: question and answer there to the Class Quiz Question of
- 1:39Speaker 1: the Week. CJ.
- 1:41Speaker 4: Yeah, thanks Sean, So thank you to everyone who listens
- 1:45Speaker 4: and participates in our fun little closs quiz Question of
- 1:48Speaker 4: the Week every single week, and congratulations to our winner
- 1:51Speaker 4: from last week. Last week we were talking about estate
- 1:54Speaker 4: planning and we had a true or false question. The
- 1:57Speaker 4: question was the advisors at Coss Financial leave the beneficiary
- 2:01Speaker 4: form is one of the most simple and powerful estate
- 2:04Speaker 4: planning documents you own, true or false, and the answer
- 2:09Speaker 4: was true. So listen closely this week and you could
- 2:11Speaker 4: win this week's price.
- 2:12Speaker 1: Great opportunity for you again, pay close attention, chance to
- 2:15Speaker 1: win a twenty five dollars gift card to Starbucks. And
- 2:18Speaker 1: as mentioned this week on the show, we'red be talking
- 2:20Speaker 1: about blind spots, you know, the kind of stuff you
- 2:22Speaker 1: don't see coming, and why bull markets, of all things,
- 2:25Speaker 1: can which is interesting to think about, can actually increase
- 2:28Speaker 1: your risk of making costly investing mistakes. So, Josh, the
- 2:33Speaker 1: first question I've got is is when markets are strong
- 2:37Speaker 1: and portfolios are growing, why do investors often feel most
- 2:40Speaker 1: confident right before they make those those big mistakes. What's
- 2:44Speaker 1: exactly going on there?
- 2:45Speaker 3: Josh.
- 2:46Speaker 5: Yeah, that's a great question, Sean, and it gets right
- 2:49Speaker 5: to the heart of today's topic. So bull markets have
- 2:53Speaker 5: a way of disguising risk. When markets are rising, volatility
- 2:57Speaker 5: feels low, confidence feels super high, and people start to believe.
- 3:02Speaker 3: That what's been happening is just going to keep happening.
- 3:05Speaker 5: It's also worth recognizing that the environment we're in right now,
- 3:09Speaker 5: even though markets have moved up and down to start
- 3:11Speaker 5: the year and volatility is made to comeback at times,
- 3:14Speaker 5: we're still coming off several years of strong bull market performance.
- 3:19Speaker 5: That combination recent shoppiness layered on top of extended gains
- 3:24Speaker 5: is exactly the kind of backdrop that can amplify behavioral
- 3:28Speaker 5: blind spots, which is why the discussion today is so timely.
- 3:33Speaker 4: Yeah, and you know, the danger isn't the market itself,
- 3:37Speaker 4: it's the false sense of control that.
- 3:39Speaker 2: Bull markets often create.
- 3:41Speaker 4: That false sense of control is where behavior really starts
- 3:45Speaker 4: to drift. So when markets are rising, investors can begin
- 3:48Speaker 4: to think or feel like they're the ones driving the outcome,
- 3:51Speaker 4: that their decisions, their timing, or insights are what's producing
- 3:55Speaker 4: the results.
- 3:56Speaker 2: And once that.
- 3:56Speaker 4: Mindset takes hold, it can pull people into very different directions.
- 4:02Speaker 4: Some start to believe they can predict what's coming next
- 4:05Speaker 4: and take on more risk than their financial plan ever intended.
- 4:08Speaker 4: Others begin to fear that everything they've gained is suddenly
- 4:11Speaker 4: at risk and feel an urgent need to protect it
- 4:14Speaker 4: before it's all lost. In both cases, the market hasn't
- 4:17Speaker 4: actually changed, but the investor's perception of control has and
- 4:22Speaker 4: that's often when decisions start to move away from the
- 4:25Speaker 4: financial plan. So at Class Financial, one of our core
- 4:29Speaker 4: investment beliefs is that participation matters more than prediction.
- 4:34Speaker 2: Let me repeat that.
- 4:36Speaker 4: At Class Financial, one of our core investment beliefs is
- 4:38Speaker 4: that participation matters more than prediction. We don't believe that
- 4:42Speaker 4: long term success comes from trying to time the market,
- 4:45Speaker 4: guess the next move, or out smart short term headlines. Instead,
- 4:49Speaker 4: we believe that if you focus on building portfolios around
- 4:53Speaker 4: a client's financial plan, using that plan to define how
- 4:56Speaker 4: much risks they should take on and how long their
- 4:59Speaker 4: money needs to work for them, and what the portfolio
- 5:01Speaker 4: is actually meant to accomplish, that is the key to investing,
- 5:06Speaker 4: not trying to time the market. So when the plan
- 5:09Speaker 4: defines the investments instead of the market defining the plan,
- 5:14Speaker 4: it creates stability. But even with a great plan in place,
- 5:17Speaker 4: human behavior can still get in the way.
- 5:21Speaker 1: As I love Well said, Therefore, sure, as we talked
- 5:24Speaker 1: this morning with CJ. Closs and Josh Stirling, of course,
- 5:26Speaker 1: our retirement planning professionals from Class Financial. If you've got
- 5:29Speaker 1: any questions about retirement planning or at the topic at hand,
- 5:32Speaker 1: give a call up to hear from this morning six
- 5:34Speaker 1: so eight three two one thirteen ten. That's six soh
- 5:36Speaker 1: eight three two one thirteen ten. You can learn more
- 5:39Speaker 1: about COLSS Financial on their website coss financial dot com.
- 5:42Speaker 1: That's coss k l aas Financial dot com and the
- 5:45Speaker 1: telephone number six O eight four four two five six
- 5:48Speaker 1: three seven. No charge for that initial get to know
- 5:51Speaker 1: you apployment at COSS Financial. It will be complimentary to
- 5:53Speaker 1: you again their number six oh eight four four two
- 5:56Speaker 1: five six three seven. So Josh, Even when people are doing,
- 5:59Speaker 1: you know, all the right things on paper, there's still
- 6:02Speaker 1: an eternal struggle going on. What am I missing there?
- 6:06Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 6:07Speaker 5: Absolutely, this is something we see every single day. A
- 6:11Speaker 5: good financial plan doesn't eliminate emotion, It anticipates it. Markets
- 6:16Speaker 5: are uncertain by nature, and uncertainty creates this kind of discomfort.
- 6:21Speaker 5: When people feel uncomfortable, they're tempted to act just to
- 6:25Speaker 5: feel back and control.
- 6:26Speaker 3: Again.
- 6:27Speaker 5: What's interesting is that these challenges don't show up because
- 6:30Speaker 5: investors lack intelligence. Many of the people who struggle the
- 6:34Speaker 5: most with staying disciplined are highly successful analytical professionals. The
- 6:39Speaker 5: issue isn't the knowledge that it's the behavior under that pressure.
- 6:45Speaker 5: That's where behavioral bias comes in. These are predictable patterns
- 6:49Speaker 5: in how people think and react, especially when markets are
- 6:53Speaker 5: strong or volatile. Today, we want to walk through some
- 6:56Speaker 5: of the most common ones we see and more importantly,
- 6:59Speaker 5: how to wreck ignize them before they cause permanent.
- 7:01Speaker 1: Do well, that's going to be a fantastic conversation. We're
- 7:04Speaker 1: going to dig more into those behavioral biases. We will
- 7:07Speaker 1: do that in just a moment. In the meantime, you
- 7:08Speaker 1: have been to the website Cossfinancial dot com. That's Coss
- 7:11Speaker 1: Financial dot com k l aas Financial dot com. Great
- 7:14Speaker 1: opportunity right now to head on over to the website.
- 7:16Speaker 1: You can learn more about COLSS Financial. It can subscribe
- 7:19Speaker 1: as well as listen back to this in previous shows podcast.
- 7:21Speaker 1: You can also schedule a complimentary chat right from the website.
- 7:24Speaker 1: Again that's COSS Financial dot com. That's Coss k l
- 7:28Speaker 1: aas Financial dot com. Or give the call right at
- 7:30Speaker 1: the office here in Madison six oh eight four four
- 7:33Speaker 1: two five, six three seven. No charge for the initial
- 7:36Speaker 1: gets to know you appointment at Costs Financial. It will
- 7:38Speaker 1: be complimentary to you again their number six oh eight
- 7:41Speaker 1: four four two five six three seven. We'll continue our
- 7:43Speaker 1: conversation with CJ and Josh. We will do that next
- 7:46Speaker 1: as Money in Motion with COSS Financial continues right here
- 7:49Speaker 1: on thirteen ten WUIB eight. Our fold lines are open
- 7:52Speaker 1: for you if you've got questions, telephone number six oh
- 7:55Speaker 1: eight three two one thirteen ten. That's six oh eight
- 7:58Speaker 1: three two one thirteen ten at you on the air
- 8:00Speaker 1: with CJ Class and Josh Sterling, our retirement planning professionals
- 8:04Speaker 1: from Class Financial. Never forget about that website, COSS Financial
- 8:07Speaker 1: dot com. That's Class k l aa S Financial dot
- 8:10Speaker 1: com and Josh. Just before the break, you had mentioned
- 8:12Speaker 1: some of these behavioral biases. Let's kind of break those down.
- 8:17Speaker 1: Let's kind of get get a kickstart on those. Which
- 8:20Speaker 1: one is kind of the one that jumps out the
- 8:22Speaker 1: most to you.
- 8:23Speaker 5: Yeah, Well, let's start with the one bias that we
- 8:26Speaker 5: see the most often, which is the anchoring bias. Now,
- 8:29Speaker 5: anchoring happens when investors latch on to a specific number
- 8:34Speaker 5: and then treat it as the reference point for every
- 8:36Speaker 5: decision they made. That number could be many different things.
- 8:40Speaker 5: It might be the price that they paid for a stock.
- 8:43Speaker 5: It might be the highest value of their portfolio, or
- 8:47Speaker 5: it might be the interest rate or what the market's
- 8:50Speaker 5: basically used to be. The most common example we see
- 8:54Speaker 5: is individuals watching their total portfolio on their monthly statements
- 8:58Speaker 5: that they received. People will anchor it to nice round numbers,
- 9:01Speaker 5: so let's say five hundred thousand dollars. Their perception of
- 9:05Speaker 5: the market or decisions around how much the risk they
- 9:08Speaker 5: can take is suddenly influenced by the movement on this number.
- 9:13Speaker 5: If their portfolio jumps from five hundred thousand to six
- 9:16Speaker 5: hundred thousand, they may suddenly feel very good about their
- 9:19Speaker 5: portfolio and say, let's take on more risk, or vice versa.
- 9:23Speaker 5: Let's say it goes from five hundred thousand and then
- 9:25Speaker 5: suddenly drops down to four hundred thousand. They may may
- 9:28Speaker 5: be calling us, asking to sell out of the market completely,
- 9:32Speaker 5: even when their financial plan clearly shows that they should
- 9:35Speaker 5: neither increase risk or sell out of the market. Anchoring
- 9:39Speaker 5: to a single number kind of distorts perspective. It pulls
- 9:42Speaker 5: attention away from the plan and instead focuses it on
- 9:45Speaker 5: a number that may no longer be relevant.
- 9:48Speaker 1: And Josh, I think as they're talking it makes perfect sense.
- 9:53Speaker 1: I do sometimes think when we're in the mix of it, though,
- 9:55Speaker 1: we have a hard time seeing the forest through the trees.
- 9:58Speaker 1: How can somebody tell if anchoring is influencing their decisions?
- 10:03Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 10:03Speaker 5: Well, thankfully, This is a very simple test. You just
- 10:06Speaker 5: have to ask yourself, are you using an old price
- 10:10Speaker 5: or pass value as kind of a decision rule instead
- 10:13Speaker 5: of asking what the role of that investment actually plays
- 10:16Speaker 5: in your plan. At COSS we try to replace price
- 10:20Speaker 5: anchors with plan anchors, things like time horizons, cash needs,
- 10:25Speaker 5: risk capacity. When you're anchoring decisions to the plan instead
- 10:30Speaker 5: of a past number, clarity improves dramatically.
- 10:34Speaker 3: C J.
- 10:35Speaker 5: I guess what is the second bias that we typically see?
- 10:38Speaker 2: Yeah, good question.
- 10:39Speaker 4: The second one we often see is what we call
- 10:41Speaker 4: the framing bias. So framing bias occurs when the way
- 10:45Speaker 4: a choice is presented influences decisions more than the underlying
- 10:50Speaker 4: facts themselves. A classic example comes from behavioral research study
- 10:55Speaker 4: called the Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice.
- 10:58Speaker 4: In that study, parts were asked to choose between two
- 11:02Speaker 4: medical programs to address a deadly disease. When the outcomes
- 11:06Speaker 4: were framed in terms of lives, saved. Most people preferred
- 11:10Speaker 4: the option that would certainly save a specific number of people,
- 11:13Speaker 4: even if the alternative had a higher potential benefit. But
- 11:17Speaker 4: when the exact same choices were framed in terms of
- 11:19Speaker 4: people who would die, preferences flipped, so, say, faced with
- 11:24Speaker 4: certain losses, participants suddenly became much more willing to take risk,
- 11:29Speaker 4: despite the math being identical in both scenarios. So you
- 11:33Speaker 4: kind of see that framing bias play out in this example.
- 11:37Speaker 4: So nothing about the facts change, only the words did.
- 11:40Speaker 4: Yet those words dramatically altered how people felt about the decision.
- 11:44Speaker 4: So we see that same dynamic play out in the
- 11:47Speaker 4: investing world. You'll hear strategies described as protecting against loss
- 11:52Speaker 4: rather than limiting upside, or guaranteed income instead of illiquid
- 11:57Speaker 4: and expensive. Those frames trigger emotional responses safety, fear, certainty
- 12:02Speaker 4: that can push investors towards decisions that might take that
- 12:06Speaker 4: that might not make it if the trade offs were
- 12:08Speaker 4: described more neutrally. That's why framing bias is so powerful.
- 12:13Speaker 4: It doesn't change the numbers, it changes perception. The discipline
- 12:17Speaker 4: for investors is to slow the conversation down and ask,
- 12:21Speaker 4: what are the trade offs?
- 12:23Speaker 2: What am I giving up to get.
- 12:24Speaker 4: This benefit, and how does this decision fit into my
- 12:28Speaker 4: overall plan.
- 12:29Speaker 2: Let me let me give you a specific example of this.
- 12:33Speaker 4: If you'll often hear people say this is not dogging
- 12:36Speaker 4: on annuities by any means, but people will say, I
- 12:39Speaker 4: bought an annuity because of the downside protection and the
- 12:44Speaker 4: fact that I can never go negative and it gives
- 12:48Speaker 4: me income for life and all these great things, and
- 12:51Speaker 4: which is fine, that's that may be true. And then
- 12:53Speaker 4: we go what are the downsides, you know, just to
- 12:56Speaker 4: kind of test whether the consumer knew what they were
- 12:58Speaker 4: doing before they bought it, and they go, I don't think.
- 12:59Speaker 2: They're there are any downsides any you.
- 13:02Speaker 4: Go well, life is a series of trade offs, right,
- 13:05Speaker 4: pros and cons. There is no free lunch when it
- 13:08Speaker 4: comes to this stuff. So if you ever have a
- 13:11Speaker 4: list of just positives and there is no trade off
- 13:14Speaker 4: or no downside that you have heard of, you're probably
- 13:17Speaker 4: being sold something and you don't.
- 13:19Speaker 2: Have a fooduciary working on your behalf. So listen. We
- 13:22Speaker 2: always will talk with our clients.
- 13:24Speaker 4: More risk, more equity exposure, more risk, more potential long
- 13:29Speaker 4: term return, but way more volatility, lower risk, lower return,
- 13:33Speaker 4: lower expectations but less volatility. So we always try to
- 13:38Speaker 4: talk in terms that talk about the kind of the
- 13:41Speaker 4: the balance between those decisions.
- 13:43Speaker 1: Talk this morning with CJ. Closs and Josh Struling our
- 13:45Speaker 1: retirement planning professionals from Class Financial online, Classfinancial dot com.
- 13:50Speaker 1: That's Claus k l aa s Financial dot com and
- 13:53Speaker 1: their telephone number six So eight four four two five
- 13:56Speaker 1: six three seven. So CJ. If I'm hearing, you're right,
- 13:59Speaker 1: the danger is an necessarily bad information. It's incomplete context exactly.
- 14:05Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 14:05Speaker 4: The challenge isn't the math, it's how decisions are framed
- 14:08Speaker 4: under pressure. So Josh, can you help us with the
- 14:11Speaker 4: final bias we're going to talk about today?
- 14:14Speaker 3: Definitely?
- 14:15Speaker 5: The final bias will we'll chat through is over confidence,
- 14:20Speaker 5: and this surprisingly shows up the most during full markets
- 14:24Speaker 5: the markets were in currently typically after a period of
- 14:27Speaker 5: strong results, we tend to overestimate our abilities to predict markets,
- 14:32Speaker 5: picking winners or timing the markets, kind of mistaking reskill
- 14:37Speaker 5: rather than just favorable conditions that were already in. Research
- 14:42Speaker 5: consistently shows that excessive trading, which often comes from overconfidence,
- 14:48Speaker 5: tends to reduce long term returns the most often or
- 14:52Speaker 5: the more often investors try to outsmart the market, the
- 14:55Speaker 5: harder it becomes to actually stay.
- 14:57Speaker 3: Invested throughout full cycles.
- 15:00Speaker 5: We see this dynamic show up clearly in Vanguard's How America.
- 15:04Speaker 3: Saves twenty twenty five report.
- 15:07Speaker 5: This report looks at real world outcomes for four one
- 15:10Speaker 5: k participants. Vanguard compares investors who use professionally managed target
- 15:15Speaker 5: date funds, which are diversified, rules based solutions, in comparing
- 15:21Speaker 5: those to people who build and manage their own portfolios.
- 15:26Speaker 5: What's interesting is that over the past five years, looking
- 15:29Speaker 5: at the time period from twenty twenty to twenty twenty four,
- 15:32Speaker 5: the average returns for both groups was actually roughly the same,
- 15:35Speaker 5: right around eight percent. On the surface, that might suggest
- 15:39Speaker 5: that managing your own portfolio works just as well, but
- 15:43Speaker 5: the more important insight is found in the dispersion of outcomes.
- 15:48Speaker 5: Investors using target date funds experienced a much narrower range
- 15:52Speaker 5: of results, with outcomes clustering between roughly four point eight
- 15:56Speaker 5: percent and nine point one percent annualized. By contrast, investors
- 16:02Speaker 5: who manage their own allocations saw far wider spreads from
- 16:06Speaker 5: strong outcomes and hear thirteen percent on the high end
- 16:09Speaker 5: to much weak.
- 16:11Speaker 3: Results around two percent on the low end.
- 16:14Speaker 5: That wider dispersion is where overconfidence shows up when investors
- 16:18Speaker 5: feel a control and trade more frequently. Some are going
- 16:21Speaker 5: to get lucky, but many are not. Structure and professional
- 16:27Speaker 5: manage they don't necessarily boost average returns, but they significantly
- 16:32Speaker 5: reduce the risk of poor outcomes driven by that overconfidence.
- 16:36Speaker 3: And that's because you're.
- 16:37Speaker 5: Relying on these rules based products. It's going to create
- 16:42Speaker 5: a lot more stability, hopefully in the long run, at costs.
- 16:46Speaker 5: We counter over confidence with that structure, written policies, diversification,
- 16:52Speaker 5: rebalancing rules, and discipline that doesn't depend on how confident
- 16:56Speaker 5: or nervous someone feels in that moment. Is actually myself
- 17:01Speaker 5: and my my Investment Policy Committee.
- 17:03Speaker 1: Team really important as we talk about this stuff with
- 17:06Speaker 1: Josh Stirling and CJ. Closs, really great information highlighting some
- 17:10Speaker 1: of those behavioral risks out there when it comes to
- 17:14Speaker 1: investing in blind spots. You may have, you know, one
- 17:17Speaker 1: of the areas that we haven't touched on, and we're
- 17:19Speaker 1: going to get into it in just a moment. Is
- 17:20Speaker 1: AI What effect has AI had on some of this stuff.
- 17:23Speaker 1: We'll get the details from CJ and Josh. We'll get
- 17:25Speaker 1: that in just a moment. I hope you had a
- 17:27Speaker 1: chance to check out the website. If not, head on
- 17:28Speaker 1: over there now costs Financial dot com that's coss k
- 17:32Speaker 1: l aa as Financial dot com. You can learn all
- 17:34Speaker 1: about Coss Financially. You can learn about the team, their
- 17:36Speaker 1: separate divisions, how they can help you or if you're
- 17:38Speaker 1: an employer. They've got great stuff up there as well
- 17:40Speaker 1: as links to this in the most previous podcast. Again
- 17:43Speaker 1: that available to you at Cossfinancial dot com. They're teleph
- 17:46Speaker 1: number six O eight four four two five six three seven.
- 17:49Speaker 1: No charge for that initial get to know you appointment
- 17:51Speaker 1: at Loss Financial. It will be complementary to you again
- 17:54Speaker 1: their number six oh eight four four two five six
- 17:56Speaker 1: three seven. We'll take it down the home stretch. We'll
- 17:58Speaker 1: talk a little bit about AI the class quiz question
- 18:01Speaker 1: the week next as Money in Motion with Class Financial
- 18:03Speaker 1: continues right here on thirteen den wuib I talk this
- 18:06Speaker 1: morning without retirement planning professionals CJ. Closs and Josh Stirling.
- 18:10Speaker 1: They come to us from Class Financial online. Class Financial
- 18:13Speaker 1: dot com. That's Coss k l Aasfinancial dot com and
- 18:17Speaker 1: they're telephon number six so eight four four two five, six,
- 18:20Speaker 1: three seven. Now, before we wrap, one thing I did
- 18:23Speaker 1: want to ask you about in Josh, I'll put this
- 18:25Speaker 1: one to you is the growing use of AI. Does
- 18:28Speaker 1: that bring any new blind spot potential for investors?
- 18:31Speaker 3: Yeah, it's actually really interesting.
- 18:33Speaker 5: I feel like every new wonderful technology that we get,
- 18:37Speaker 5: eventually you start to realize, oh, there are some biases
- 18:40Speaker 5: in these, and you know what, AI is no exception
- 18:43Speaker 5: to that. So recent research highlighted by the CFA Institute's
- 18:48Speaker 5: Enterprising Investor blog, they're pointing to a new source of
- 18:52Speaker 5: behavioral bias, bias that's embedded in artificial intelligence tools themselves.
- 18:58Speaker 5: AI systems learn from existing financial commentary, news research, market narratives,
- 19:05Speaker 5: but that information is not evenly distributed. Larger, more popular
- 19:11Speaker 5: companies receive far more attention, which means those AI tools
- 19:16Speaker 5: can unintentionally reinforce crowding, concentration, and attention bias rather than
- 19:22Speaker 5: uncovering new opportunities. Now, the takeaway from this isn't that
- 19:26Speaker 5: AI is bad. It's that it should be treated as
- 19:29Speaker 5: an input, not a decision maker. Used thoughtfully, it can
- 19:34Speaker 5: improve efficiency and be a really good idea generator, but
- 19:38Speaker 5: judgment diversification and risk management, it's still got to be
- 19:42Speaker 5: human driven. Just like with every other bias we've discussed today,
- 19:47Speaker 5: awareness is simply the first step. The goal isn't to
- 19:50Speaker 5: eliminate technology, it's to understand how it frames that information
- 19:55Speaker 5: and to make sure it doesn't quietly push portfolios to
- 19:58Speaker 5: the crowd.
- 19:59Speaker 1: Love here. That's it's interesting and fascinating and I love
- 20:02Speaker 1: that the idea. Know you think about AI and yeah,
- 20:04Speaker 1: efficiency and ideas and other things. What a great tool
- 20:07Speaker 1: it is. But again, with everything there are there are
- 20:09Speaker 1: some goods, bads, and some things that need to be
- 20:11Speaker 1: understood and CJ. Before we wrap up this week, some
- 20:15Speaker 1: main takeaways for folks. Things that should If anything sticks
- 20:18Speaker 1: out in people's minds today, what should they be?
- 20:22Speaker 4: Yeah, three things really stand out to me from today's show.
- 20:25Speaker 2: So.
- 20:25Speaker 4: First, strong markets don't eliminate risk, They often change where
- 20:30Speaker 4: the risk shows up. In bull markets, the biggest threat
- 20:33Speaker 4: isn't usually price declines. It's over confidence, increased activity and
- 20:38Speaker 4: decisions drifting away from your well designed financial plan. Second,
- 20:43Speaker 4: structure matters more than prediction. The investors who tend to
- 20:47Speaker 4: have the most consistent outcomes aren't the ones making the
- 20:50Speaker 4: most decisions. They're the ones with clear rules, diversification, and
- 20:55Speaker 4: an investment process that doesn't depend on how confident or
- 20:58Speaker 4: nervous they feel in the moment. And third, behavior compounds
- 21:04Speaker 4: just like returns do. Every time you stay disciplined, rebalance thoughtfully,
- 21:09Speaker 4: and stick with a strategy through uncertainty, you give compounding
- 21:13Speaker 4: another chance to work. Every time you react emotionally or
- 21:16Speaker 4: chase what feels obvious, you interrupt that process.
- 21:20Speaker 2: So listen.
- 21:21Speaker 4: At the end of the day, successful investing isn't about
- 21:23Speaker 4: seeing the future more clearly than everyone else. It's about
- 21:26Speaker 4: building a plan you can stick with in good markets
- 21:30Speaker 4: and in challenging ones.
- 21:32Speaker 1: Great takeaways there, great conversation this week. Don't forget if
- 21:35Speaker 1: you missed any part today's show, you can always listen
- 21:37Speaker 1: back right online Class financial dot com. That's Class klaas
- 21:41Speaker 1: Financial dot com. You can also schedule a conversation right
- 21:45Speaker 1: from the website. That's Class financial dot com speaking up
- 21:48Speaker 1: scheduling a conversation. Don't forget their telephone number six oh
- 21:51Speaker 1: eight four four two five six three seven No charge
- 21:54Speaker 1: for that initial gets know you chat with Class Financial.
- 21:56Speaker 1: This is going to be complimentary to you again. Their
- 21:58Speaker 1: number six oh eight four four two five, six three seven.
- 22:01Speaker 1: You want to hold on to that telephone number now
- 22:03Speaker 1: because it's time for the class quiz question in the week.
- 22:05Speaker 1: It works like this. In just a moment, I'll ask
- 22:07Speaker 1: you the class quiz question the week. We'll then have
- 22:09Speaker 1: thirty minutes from the today's program to call the Class
- 22:11Speaker 1: Financial office right here in Madison at six oh eight
- 22:14Speaker 1: four four two five six three seven. And if you
- 22:16Speaker 1: are the first call correct answer, win this week's prize,
- 22:19Speaker 1: which is a twenty five dollars gift card two Starbucks.
- 22:22Speaker 1: This week's class quiz question week? Is this true or false?
- 22:26Speaker 1: One of Koss Financial's core investment beliefs is that participation
- 22:31Speaker 1: matters more than prediction. Telephone number six oh eight four
- 22:34Speaker 1: four two five six three seven, first gart correct answer
- 22:37Speaker 1: and that twenty five dollars gift card to Starbucks, nor
- 22:39Speaker 1: forget as well. That's Coss Financials Office right here in Madison,
- 22:42Speaker 1: that number six oh eight four four two five six
- 22:45Speaker 1: three seven. CJ. Josh. Great chatting with both of you
- 22:48Speaker 1: guys this morning. You enjoy this fantastic day.
- 22:51Speaker 2: Thanks Sean.
- 22:52Speaker 3: Thank you very much.
- 22:53Speaker 1: Sean, Take care, guys. News comes your way next here
- 22:55Speaker 1: on thirteen ten dough, Will you have you