Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3833 U.S. Fighter Jets OBLITERATE Tehran as Iran Air Defense WIPED OUT!!!

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Ep. 3833 U.S. Fighter Jets OBLITERATE Tehran as Iran Air Defense WIPED OUT!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_02]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_02]: Dr. Steve Turley joined me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_02]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:30
  [SPEAKER_02]: The scenes from Iran over the weekend were literally apocalyptic.
• 0:35
  [SPEAKER_02]: 10 days of nonstop bombardments are reducing the regime to rubble.
• 0:41
  [SPEAKER_02]: Oil depose ablaze rivers a fire surging through the streets of Tehran, a sky so black was smoke that 10 million people woke up Sunday morning and couldn't see the sun.
• 1:01
  [SPEAKER_02]: and what rises from the ashes promises to change the world like never before.
• 1:18
  [SPEAKER_02]: up to the minute alerts and analysis of what's really happening in the Middle East literally right now.
• 1:24
  [SPEAKER_02]: It's all moving faster than any new cycle can keep up with.
• 1:28
  [SPEAKER_02]: So if you're only catching updates when YouTube serves them up, you're already behind.
• 1:33
  [SPEAKER_02]: Sign up from my free Patreon alerts and I'll get you the real story the moment it breaks.
• 1:39
  [SPEAKER_02]: Just click on that link below.
• 1:41
  [SPEAKER_02]: Those apocalyptic visuals we just witnessed were from the weekend strikes on
• 1:48
  [SPEAKER_02]: the first time energy targets were hit in this conflict a number of oil depots were destroyed and there were literal rivers of fire the burning oil actually started flowing into the sewers in the streets again the scenes were utterly cataclysmic uh... we are now officially in day 10
• 2:07
  [SPEAKER_02]: of the U.S. Israeli war with Iran, the United States and Israel have officially entered phase two of the Operation Epic Fury, the initial phase, which involved suppressing air defenses, decapitating command and control, destroying missile launchers, is now considered complete.
• 2:26
  [SPEAKER_02]: Phase two, just dismantling Iran's defense industrial base.
• 2:31
  [SPEAKER_02]: So missile production facilities,
• 2:37
  [SPEAKER_02]: You don't move to destroying production capacity unless you've already largely neutralized existing capacity, which is itself an admission that Iran's current arsenal is functionally spent.
• 2:50
  [SPEAKER_02]: Here's where we are at the moment.
• 2:52
  [SPEAKER_02]: I want to give a big shout out to our good friend data Republican who put together comprehensive data analysis of the war.
• 3:00
  [SPEAKER_02]: It reads like an intelligence brief, it's excellent.
• 3:03
  [SPEAKER_02]: The scoreboard is pretty staggering.
• 3:05
  [SPEAKER_02]: First and foremost, Iran's missile capability has been functionally destroyed.
• 3:12
  [SPEAKER_02]: Centcom reports a 90% decline in Iranian missile launches by day six, 75% of their launchers are gone, hundreds of warheads destroyed.
• 3:22
  [SPEAKER_02]: And the U.S. isn't just hitting the missiles, B2 stealth bombers are systematically raising the factories that build the missiles.
• 3:32
  [SPEAKER_02]: It's the launchers, it's the production capabilities, they're all being eradicated as we speak.
• 3:38
  [SPEAKER_02]: Secondly, the regime's leadership has basically been decapitated.
• 3:44
  [SPEAKER_02]: Three IRGC commanders have been killed in nine months.
• 3:47
  [SPEAKER_02]: The Supreme Leader, the Defense Minister, the head of Iran's National Security Council, all killed on day one in a daylight air strike that dropped 30 bombs on Kamini's compound
• 4:02
  [SPEAKER_02]: Third, we're now getting worried that Iran's entire air defense network, their S-300s, the Bavar 373s, they're all now operationally irrelevant.
• 4:14
  [SPEAKER_02]: And fourthly, Iran's proxies, is so called axis of resistance in the Middle East, is basically in ruins.
• 4:22
  [SPEAKER_02]: The Syria land bridge to Hezbollah?
• 4:24
  [SPEAKER_02]: Well, that's been gone since the sod fell in December 2024.
• 4:28
  [SPEAKER_02]: Hezbollah itself.
• 4:30
  [SPEAKER_02]: has been dramatically weakened.
• 4:32
  [SPEAKER_02]: Their longtime leader, Nasrallah was, of course, killed by Israeli forces back in September of 2024.
• 4:39
  [SPEAKER_02]: Their precision munitions are largely depleted.
• 4:43
  [SPEAKER_02]: Hamas has been catastrophically degraded after 18 months of Israeli ground operations.
• 4:49
  [SPEAKER_02]: The Houthis and Yemen, they're thus far sinning this one out.
• 4:53
  [SPEAKER_02]: We'll have to see what
• 4:55
  [SPEAKER_02]: happens here.
• 4:55
  [SPEAKER_02]: The sabers rattling there, but they've also been significantly weakened by US air strikes in the past, Iraqi militias are under active US strikes.
• 5:05
  [SPEAKER_02]: So when all said in Don Iran's 40-year investment in proxy warfare has been substantially dismantled and contrary to some of the absurdities that we were hearing over the weekend from online
• 5:24
  [SPEAKER_02]: It does not make any sense numerically.
• 5:28
  [SPEAKER_02]: Iran has 87 million people.
• 5:31
  [SPEAKER_02]: Or what is it?
• 5:32
  [SPEAKER_02]: Three times the size of Iraq.
• 5:35
  [SPEAKER_02]: And that would require, it's got 636,000 square miles of mountains.
• 5:42
  [SPEAKER_02]: I mean, you would need 600,000, 800,000 troops to occupy it.
• 5:46
  [SPEAKER_02]: The math kills the idea before strategy even enters the room.
• 5:51
  [SPEAKER_02]: The air campaign is the doctrine, and it is already delivering.
• 5:56
  [SPEAKER_02]: And I'm going to show you exactly what one war studies analyst is saying is the big takeaway from all of this is going to absolutely blow your way.
• 6:06
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• 6:17
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• 6:18
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• 6:20
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• 6:23
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• 6:26
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• 6:27
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• 6:31
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• 6:38
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• 6:49
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• 6:51
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• 6:57
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• 6:58
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• 7:04
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• 7:17
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• 7:23
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• 7:33
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• 7:40
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• 8:40
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• 9:17
  [SPEAKER_02]: John Spencer's the chair of War Studies, the Madison Policy Forum, is a very good analysis of the situation in the ground, and what he notes right away is that you can't judge a war by the explosions like we saw at the beginning.
• 9:32
  [SPEAKER_02]: You can't judge a war by the headlines or by the latest panic imposed
• 9:38
  [SPEAKER_02]: You judge a war by one question, one question only.
• 9:42
  [SPEAKER_02]: Is the use of force achieving the political objectives it was designed to achieve, right?
• 9:49
  [SPEAKER_02]: So he quotes the famous Maxim from the Great Prussian military strategist Carl van Klausowitz who we said that war is the continuation of politics by other means.
• 10:00
  [SPEAKER_02]: War is fundamentally about bending one side
• 10:06
  [SPEAKER_02]: objectives of the other, and so of course that raises the question, what are Trump's objectives?
• 10:14
  [SPEAKER_02]: President Trump laid them out on day one, a permanent end to Iran's nuclear weapons program.
• 10:22
  [SPEAKER_02]: The destruction of the missile arsenal Tehran has used to hold the entire region hostage, eliminate Iran's ability to choke global commerce through the straight-of-war moves,
• 10:32
  [SPEAKER_02]: and dismantle the proxy terror networks that have destabilized the Middle East for four decades.
• 10:39
  [SPEAKER_02]: Secretary Marco Rubio has echoed that, or Secretary Pete Higgseth has echoed that, Joint Chiefs Chairman General Cain, Raisin Cain has echoed that, it is not fundamentally a regime change war, and that distinction matters, right?
• 10:55
  [SPEAKER_02]: We're already seeing a fracture in
• 10:58
  [SPEAKER_02]: the regime.
• 10:59
  [SPEAKER_02]: Trump would be fine with the regime in place as long as it's the presidential wing that appears to be wanting to make a deal.
• 11:07
  [SPEAKER_02]: They're more pragmatic, they're more conciliatory, not the Islamic Revolutionary Guard wing, the IRGC wing.
• 11:16
  [SPEAKER_02]: They're the hard liners, as we just saw with their appointment of Mojtabuk, Kamanias, their supreme leader.
• 11:22
  [SPEAKER_02]: And he's apparently even worse than his father.
• 11:24
  [SPEAKER_02]: So,
• 11:25
  [SPEAKER_02]: Let's talk about what this is all really about.
• 11:30
  [SPEAKER_02]: For decades, Tehran built a grand strategy around chaos.
• 11:36
  [SPEAKER_02]: Proxy armies and Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen, Gaza.
• 11:40
  [SPEAKER_02]: Missiles pointed at every capital in the region, naval harassment in the Persian Gulf.
• 11:46
  [SPEAKER_02]: The message was simple and very clear.
• 11:49
  [SPEAKER_02]: The cost of confronting us Iranians is way too high.
• 11:56
  [SPEAKER_02]: you do not want to mess with us.
• 11:59
  [SPEAKER_02]: And when this war started around doubled down on that, they launched everything they had, missiles, drones, attacks all across the Gulf, hoping to spread enough devastation to fracture the coalition forming against them.
• 12:13
  [SPEAKER_02]: The bet was that if they could absorb the opening blows and keep firing,
• 12:21
  [SPEAKER_02]: Washington would face an impossible choice, either let the regime survive with its nukes intact or get dragged into a groundwater that would bleed America for years.
• 12:33
  [SPEAKER_02]: That bet is failing.
• 12:36
  [SPEAKER_02]: Again, heat this war analyst notes that Iran's missile launch activity has dropped 90%.
• 12:44
  [SPEAKER_02]: Drone launches are down over 80%.
• 12:46
  [SPEAKER_02]: 75% of their launchers are destroyed.
• 12:50
  [SPEAKER_02]: I guess we saw there was just a report that came out from the UAE, the UAE,
• 12:57
  [SPEAKER_02]: uh... shot down yesterday uh... fifteen uh... drone attack well sorry they were attacked by fifteen uh... drones is shot down four one got one got through why that was so significant is on average they've been attacked hundreds of times a day
• 13:15
  [SPEAKER_02]: And now it's just, it's basically collapsed down to 15.
• 13:19
  [SPEAKER_02]: So that appears to be a very clear 85% reduction in their drone capacity.
• 13:26
  [SPEAKER_02]: And as we noted earlier, the factories that build the missiles are being leveled one by one.
• 13:30
  [SPEAKER_02]: The nuclear program at Forto, the Underground and Richmond site buried in the mountain was hit with America's largest bunker busters.
• 13:45
  [SPEAKER_02]: They were destroyed or severely damaged.
• 13:47
  [SPEAKER_02]: Iran went from a zero day nuclear breakout capability to years of reconstruction.
• 13:53
  [SPEAKER_02]: Some estimations are decades.
• 13:56
  [SPEAKER_02]: The leadership has been decapitated.
• 13:59
  [SPEAKER_02]: And here's where Clash of It's comes back in here.
• 14:04
  [SPEAKER_02]: This fellow, Clash of It's Road, as well, that War is the realm of uncertainty.
• 14:11
  [SPEAKER_02]: And that uncertainty itself can be a weapon.
• 14:15
  [SPEAKER_02]: The Trump administration is using it brilliantly.
• 14:18
  [SPEAKER_02]: With his campaign last days or weeks, maybe even months, will ground forces be introduced.
• 14:23
  [SPEAKER_02]: He said, he says he won't rule it out.
• 14:27
  [SPEAKER_02]: Again, it's not gonna happen, but Iran has no idea that.
• 14:30
  [SPEAKER_02]: Could Kurdish fighters on Iran's Western border get involved?
• 14:33
  [SPEAKER_02]: Could is there a unrest inside Iran explode?
• 14:37
  [SPEAKER_02]: Our Azerbaijani force is gonna step in as a result.
• 14:41
  [SPEAKER_02]: None of these things need to happen.
• 14:45
  [SPEAKER_02]: forces Iranian leaders to confront multiple simultaneous nightmares they cannot plan for.
• 14:53
  [SPEAKER_02]: And so the key here is that based on this analysis on this assessment, Iran is not shaping this war.
• 15:03
  [SPEAKER_02]: Iran is reacting to it.
• 15:06
  [SPEAKER_02]: As we stand 10 days in, Iran is not shaping this war.
• 15:12
  [SPEAKER_02]: Iran is reacting to it.
• 15:14
  [SPEAKER_02]: And again, we're already seeing the cracks, Iran's president publicly apologized to neighboring countries for the regime's attacks.
• 15:21
  [SPEAKER_02]: I was an extraordinary signal that the calculus inside Tehran is already shifting.
• 15:27
  [SPEAKER_02]: Qatar is throwing Hamas out.
• 15:30
  [SPEAKER_02]: The UAE is entering the fight.
• 15:34
  [SPEAKER_02]: Hezbollah is weaker than it's been in a generation.
• 15:37
  [SPEAKER_02]: The axis of resistance around 40 year investment in regional terror is coming apart at the seams.
• 15:45
  [SPEAKER_02]: Now, of course, this does not guarantee the outcome.
• 15:49
  [SPEAKER_02]: That's not how war works.
• 15:51
  [SPEAKER_02]: War never guarantees anything.
• 15:53
  [SPEAKER_02]: Nobody can tell you today whether the regime will surrender its enriched uranium, dismantle its missile program or stop funding terror.
• 16:01
  [SPEAKER_02]: But here's what we can say 10 days in, the strategy is clearly working, forces being applied systematically across every domain, nuclear, missile, naval, leadership, proxy networks, and the measure of strategies not noise, it's not destruction, it's not cable news, kyrons.
• 16:28
  [SPEAKER_02]: The measure of strategies, whether force is bending the enemy toward your political objective.
• 16:35
  [SPEAKER_02]: Ten days in, that is exactly what is happening.
• 16:40
  [SPEAKER_02]: Thanks so much for listening to this episode of the Turley Talks Podcast.
• 16:44
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• 16:49
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• 16:56
  [SPEAKER_02]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.