Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Biden Crypto Bill Veto Deadline Today | Elizabeth Warren Done?
Transcript
- 0:07All right, so we have a deadline approaching. It is with mister Biden,
- 0:11and of course all of this is relating to SAB one twenty one.
- 0:13I'll break it down for you guys and what it might mean for crypto in
- 0:16the next few days. So make sure and stay tuned. Right here.
- 0:19My name is Paul Bara. Welcome back into tech Path. I want to
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- 0:55All right, let's get into it. A lot is happening right now.
- 0:59We'll break down some of the SAB one twenty one news and why this
- 1:02is such an important next really forty eight hours as we go through the weekend
- 1:07and on Monday, we're going to see a very interesting, I think,
- 1:11decision. But before that breaking April PCEE inflation now is holding steady right now,
- 1:18in line with expectations at two point seven, which is good. Core
- 1:21PCEE inflation was two point eight, in line with expectations at two point eight,
- 1:25so that at least is holding. So the key I think, of
- 1:30course with the FED is that we needed a little bit more on the downside
- 1:34to be able to see some potential. So I think we're still in for
- 1:38the narrative of no cuts now. Question whether or not we get cuts later
- 1:41in the fall still yet to see once we see the true inflation data start
- 1:46to come out over the summer months. Another thing I want to hit on
- 1:49right here, of course is coinbased coinbase platform APIs just launched, so the
- 1:53ETHTF is going to launch in the middle of on chain summer, so expect
- 1:57some pretty big movement there, I don't think, and I would agree with
- 2:00that you're probably not bullish enough because there's going to be a lot of movement
- 2:04I think through on chain summer base and everything that's happening within the eth ecosystem.
- 2:08Make sure and check that out. All right. One thing I want
- 2:12to do is get to a clip here, because this gets into a little
- 2:15bit about what's happened in the month of May, because a lot happened here.
- 2:19Take a look. Let's go back through the month of May. May
- 2:23eighth, the administration comes out says we're going to veto a relatively benign bipartisan
- 2:27bill working its way through Congress. President Trump sees that on May eleventh and
- 2:31says, there's a place for crypto in my administration. The eighty five ninety
- 2:38million Americans that own crypto look at that and say, well, that seems
- 2:40reasonable that the administration the Democratic Party realizes, oh geez, maybe we're on
- 2:45the wrong side of politics. They then say we won't veto an additional bill
- 2:50that's working its way through the House and ultimately passes the House. President Trump
- 2:54then doubles down says, not only is there a home for crypto, I
- 2:57want to support it. I wanted to develop here in America because I want
- 3:01to support interesting new technologies in this country. Then the administration looks at it
- 3:07and said, well, we have to do something. The ethereum ETF gets
- 3:12approved also in May, so you basically have both parties realizing you have a
- 3:16large elector, mostly male, many non white, disproportionately non white. We're
- 3:23interested in digital assetsting and interested in seeing developed, and so both parties are
- 3:28saying, what can we do to be helpful. It certainly all started with
- 3:30May eleventh at mar A Lago, President Trump saying, hey, there's a
- 3:35place here in my administration. All right, so I would agree to a
- 3:38certain extent. A lot of these kinds of situations did coil up, but
- 3:42there was a lot of work that was done, I think in the lobbying
- 3:46infrastructure in DC that put a lot of this in place. And I'll explain
- 3:50this in a second, because that really is the support. When you look
- 3:53at any kind of political support, it usually comes with money. Now,
- 3:55the validating stamp. Sure, I think that started with President Trump, former
- 4:00President Trump, and where that's going. In course, now we're seeing a
- 4:03complete almost pivot and about face from even the Biden Mighte House. So a
- 4:09lot of that queuing into this one thing, and that is SAB one twenty
- 4:14one. All right, So here's a quick tweet, right, here probably
- 4:15forgot, but I think a lot of people understand SAB one twenty one.
- 4:19This is essentially in the president's hands right now, and he can either veto
- 4:24this and it would basically approve what the sec was trying to do, which
- 4:28was keeping the banks from holding crypto custding crypto, or he can veto it.
- 4:33If he vetos it, then that would occur, and of course that
- 4:36changes everything. If he lets this go through, or even if he doesn't
- 4:40do anything, it would automatically go into LASS, So that in itself is
- 4:45a huge step in the right direction. We'll know all of this on Tuesday
- 4:47next week, so next few days very very important for what's happening. Here's
- 4:53Ryan sharn Adams from bank Lists talking about this. If he lets the SAB
- 4:57one twenty one repeal pass without a veto, then maybe I'll take his crypto
- 5:01pivot more seriously. And he's looking at the point of is the White House
- 5:05just positioning right now positively because of the potential vote swing that the pro crypto
- 5:13voters could be. Will know a little bit more early next week. Another
- 5:16thing that's happening though, which I thought was kind of interesting, is that
- 5:20Cynthia Lummis and Patrick McHenry are pressing Biden not to repeal this, So they
- 5:27actually did a letter. This is here recently too. A couple of points
- 5:30they noted out. This was a letter on Thursday yesterday to President Biden citing
- 5:36the bipartisan votes that supported this and the overwhelming vipartisan we urge you to sign
- 5:43out the HJA Res one nine into law and work with the SEC to send
- 5:47the staff guidance, which was the SAB one. So why would they send
- 5:54this letter if there's not some potential possibility of him actually vetoing. That will
- 6:00be something to watch. So there's a lot happening right now. DC politics
- 6:03are going to be politics, and I think we're going to see a very
- 6:06interesting next week, especially around Ethereum and I think some of the other projects
- 6:12that we're going to see more activity on, especially as we get through more
- 6:15regulatory alignment. Here. Another thing here coming in from uniswap right here to
- 6:21a little too late. This is pantern to the crowd is missing the point.
- 6:26The dem establishment is finally realizing that being anti crypto by letting Senator Warren
- 6:30run financial policy will lose elections. I think that is true because we have
- 6:35seen so many Democrats starting to cross the lines when it comes to supporting these
- 6:41crypto bills and also the legislation that's out there. So this I think is
- 6:46true. Whether they really change the Democratic Party, I think that still is
- 6:49up for debate. Remember, a lot of the Dems are in a position
- 6:55right now where they could lose the Senate. So I think this is becoming
- 6:58much more important over the summer. If you look at kind of where the
- 7:04support has come from, and this is in reference to lobbying. This is
- 7:08data coming back from twenty twenty two and crypto is here, big tech,
- 7:13pharma, defense, and then investment. I want you to note the investment
- 7:15category because when you go over to Open Secrets and you look at where the
- 7:20money is coming for from right now about a billion. That's These are the
- 7:25current data data points right here. Let me kind of zoom out on this
- 7:28for you guys, so you kind of know what's happening. But these are
- 7:30the interest groups. This is twenty twenty four right here, and you see
- 7:33right there on the top group finance, insurance, real estate. You drop
- 7:38into that to take a look at the sector and you start looking at the
- 7:42companies that are involved in all of this is either Wall Street or Big Crypto.
- 7:46Let me kind of zoom in on that. So you have Susquehanna,
- 7:49an Exchange, Citadel, Coinbase, Ripple, gray Lock, Andresen that's a
- 7:56sixteen Z and so on. So a lot coming in from the I would
- 8:01call it the staple financial support of the crypto side of things. And this
- 8:05is the biggest area of support, all right. So when you further look
- 8:09at where the money's coming from, you can kind of see the outside spending
- 8:11by super packs and you've got make America great again. This of course supporting
- 8:16Trump. You look in the size of that total race right there, one
- 8:20hundred and nine mil. Then you go in and look further down here,
- 8:22guess what fair Shake right there underneath it? And of course fair Shake is
- 8:28supporting a lot of what's happening in the crypto markets with mostly the finance side
- 8:33of the support. I want to go to another clip here real quick,
- 8:35and this is RFK talking a little bit more about Gensler and Trump's position on
- 8:41crypto listening and what's your message in the context of the fact that Trump has
- 8:43now come out and said he's broad crypto. I think it list the more
- 8:48politicians and you know, Gary Gensler, I'm also came out, you know,
- 8:54recently to do thet for Ethereum, and I think those are are promising.
- 9:01Are they politically driven? You know, probably, but I'm not going
- 9:03to look into their motivations. I'm just happy they're doing it. We need
- 9:07to go a lot further. We need to make sure that we can get
- 9:11capital flowing into cryptos in this country. And there have been twelve hundred new
- 9:16cryptocurrencies registered in Switzerland. The collective value of those companies is three hundred and
- 9:24sixty billion dollars. All of those are registered there. Because of the hostility
- 9:31of this administration, the war that they mounted on cryptocurrencies. The only way
- 9:37that we're going to resolve the dead crisis is with the new industry. And
- 9:41the obvious industries for doing that are blockchain and AI, and we need to
- 9:46make sure not to drive them out of this country. So totally agree with
- 9:52RFK on this one. You look at the size and he is mentioning that
- 9:56the and with this is something we've talked about over and over again as innovation
- 9:58as been moving offshore for quite some time. It's pretty much been kind of
- 10:01our mantra of you know, backing what's happening within the blockchain industry. Just
- 10:07look at the blockchain developer jobs. This was back in twenty two. Look
- 10:09at that growing, growing, growing, I mean, this is exponential growth
- 10:13from twenty twenty up to twenty two. And imagine had we had policy in
- 10:18place where this would be now, you could be seeing ten thousand jobs out
- 10:22there now in twenty twenty three, very little activity. Of course, this
- 10:28means jobs, this means money and GDP, it means innovation. All of
- 10:33that potential starting to come back to the United States. But at the end
- 10:37of the day, we have to be able to really show it and not
- 10:41just do lip service to the industry, which is really just you know,
- 10:45taking the money from the lobbies and not actually getting things done. The good
- 10:48thing is we have a lot of movement in the right direction. Now it's
- 10:52not done yet. All right, Let's go to another clip here. This
- 10:54is just RFK talking about his chances, and he talks a little bit about,
- 10:58you know, kind of his position against the two other candidates. Take
- 11:01a look, let's you and I do a poll in October of you against
- 11:07President Trump and me against President Trump will joint finance the poll, big group
- 11:11of people, and whoever does worse against President Trump will drop out of the
- 11:16race. And I'm happy to do that if he takes that deal. But
- 11:20I have five months in five days, and I'm beating I'm beating President Trump
- 11:26and President Biden among people under thirty five years mayor all Americans under thirty five.
- 11:31I'm beating them in independence, and I beat them in a lot of
- 11:35other courts. The one group that I don't do well in is with baby
- 11:39bloomers. The group that I don't do well with this group that never sees
- 11:45me. And so my job really over the next five months is to convince
- 11:48Americans to vote out of hope rather than vote out of fear. Eighty percent
- 11:52of Americans say they don't want to have to choose between President Trump and President
- 11:56Biden. And all right, so you guys can kind of see the landscape
- 12:01is shaping up, kind of interesting. We are going to have an electrically
- 12:05charged summer for sure with these candidates. And remember Trump gets convicted yesterday thirty
- 12:11four counts. This could change a lot of the polls going forward. It
- 12:16also could shift some of the center, because that's one of the things I
- 12:20look at is who controls the center? Is that Biden? I feel like
- 12:24he leans a little bit more to the hard left. Trump I feel like
- 12:26leans a little bit more to the hard right. You have, you know,
- 12:30RFK kind of in the middle here, But who picks up more in
- 12:33the center? Is the question? After those convictions yesterday was with Trump,
- 12:37many people would look, all right, we'll see how he's doing now.
- 12:41Currently, campaign says it's raised another thirty four point eight million. Remember the
- 12:46website. I don't know if you guys saw this, but his website for
- 12:48his site in terms of they're raising money went down because of traffic. So
- 12:54that was right after the event. And of course you've got other things happening
- 12:58out here, and that is meme coins political meme coins now starting to heat
- 13:01up after the jury found Trump guilty. You look at what's happening with one
- 13:07of the meme coins is to write out there, which is just Trump.
- 13:09This of course is the seven day. You can see it just taking off
- 13:13right here. So again, what's the real state of the United States in
- 13:18terms of how people are looking at the candidates, especially when you're thinking pro
- 13:24crypto and who are you going to vote for? You know, let me
- 13:26know down in the comments. I always love to get you guys feedback.
- 13:30I want to go to another clip here. This gets into mister Deaton,
- 13:33John Daton going head to head with Senator Warren. This is something that may
- 13:39actually change the face of the race. Take a look. So, assuming
- 13:43you do, can you realistically beat Senator Warren on that turf? Sixty four
- 13:48percent of voters in Massachusetts are independent. She has a forty one percent approval
- 13:52rating. She came in third in the Democratic primary. She couldn't even take
- 13:58second place in her state, in the state, which proves with the right
- 14:01candidate, she will be beat. And I am the right candidate. But
- 14:05Warren had at that point seventeen million. How do you compete? Well,
- 14:09actually, right now, I outraised her in the first quarter, even though
- 14:13I only had half of the time. She has four point two million in
- 14:18the bank last reported and I had one point three. So I'm behind her,
- 14:22but not behind her as many would think. But she just issued another
- 14:26letter specifically at Crypto, tied to the Fennyl trades. She is staying in
- 14:31the crypto headline a curarently Crypto is the blame for everything, and her focus
- 14:37on crypto proves that she is now the number one lobbyist for the banking industry
- 14:43in America. The White House today pivoted on crypto, said, now of
- 14:46a sudden, they want to work with the crypto industry. So the good
- 14:50news is she's losing. It's going to be her and Gary Gensler is going
- 14:54to be the entire anti crypto army. But as I mentioned, you also
- 14:58have a a primary coming up. What's your prediction for how you doing?
- 15:03I September third? Is that right? Yes? And I can tell you
- 15:07I'm very confident that I'm going to be the Republican nominee. And you want
- 15:11to know who else is confident I'll be the Republican nominee. Elizabeth Warren.
- 15:16She also called me a threat to democracy and all this other kind of nonsense.
- 15:20But I got her attention. She got up, uttered my name,
- 15:24started making jokes with her friends about me. So I have her attention.
- 15:28I will be the nominee, and I'm telling you we're going to shock the
- 15:31world. I'm gonna retire Elizabeth Warren. I'd feel it in my core.
- 15:37I love John. He's been on our show many times. I'm a big
- 15:41fan of Deaton and what he's doing and what he stands for really is just
- 15:43freedom. I think that's the whole concept. If you guys are not behind
- 15:46him right now, and they're not, you know, the campaign is not
- 15:50paying us to insert this at all. This is just us looking at the
- 15:54landscape. If you understand what's happening in crypto, you understand that Senator Warren
- 15:58is most likely the arch nemesis and this is one that we have to displace.
- 16:03Deeton is right now the number one potential opportunity. So get out there,
- 16:07donate help them out, because even if you're not moving in Massachusetts,
- 16:12I think this is one of those times in our chance where we get to
- 16:17actually make a difference out there. So if you're not part of the Diamond
- 16:21Circle, get in right now. It's a great place to get additional content.
- 16:23We do an email daily. It goes out with additional materials. Sometimes
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- 16:30of my Twitter audience, all you have to do is follow me. It's
- 16:34on x at Paul Baron. We'll catch you next time. Right here on tech Maath