Latest / What the Flux / News Corp's black sheep | McDonald's chicken rules the roost | Spotify's price rise sparks shares
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: This is what the Flux.
- 0:06Speaker 2: I'm Brettan, I'm justin and it's Monday, eleventh of August.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Josey boy. Tomorrow is the big day where the Reserve
- 0:12Speaker 1: Bank of Australia's board members will announce their big cash
- 0:14Speaker 1: rate decision for August. Will it remain paused? Will it drop?
- 0:18Speaker 1: Will it increase?
- 0:19Speaker 2: Likely?
- 0:19Speaker 1: Does it? Boy? The markets are currently tipping a ninety
- 0:22Speaker 1: six percent chance of a cash rate cut, but it
- 0:24Speaker 1: was pretty high last month and the RBA held firm
- 0:27Speaker 1: two thirty pm tomorrow.
- 0:29Speaker 2: That is right, be man, and you can guarantee that
- 0:31Speaker 2: Flux will be there with you as soon as it happens.
- 0:33Speaker 2: We'll have the breakdown of the decision, why the RBA
- 0:36Speaker 2: made that call and what it means for you. To
- 0:38Speaker 2: make sure to download the Flux app and check it out.
- 0:40Speaker 1: Three riveting stories today, Juzzy boy, Let's do it for
- 0:44Speaker 1: our first news. Corp has seen a fourteen percent jump
- 0:47Speaker 1: in Ebitt Dart for the full year, but parts of
- 0:49Speaker 1: its Australian operations have become a bit of a family embarrassment.
- 0:53Speaker 2: I believe they called these results sterling very on brand
- 0:56Speaker 2: for a company that owns The Times in the UK,
- 0:58Speaker 2: so tell me more so.
- 0:59Speaker 1: News Coop is the global media in publishing behemoth that
- 1:02Speaker 1: was founded way back in nineteen eighty.
- 1:04Speaker 2: It owns newspapers all over the world, from the Wall
- 1:06Speaker 2: Street Journal to the New York Post to The Times
- 1:09Speaker 2: in the UK and.
- 1:10Speaker 1: In Australia we'd been talking the Australian Herald's, Sun, Daily
- 1:14Speaker 1: Telegraph and several others.
- 1:16Speaker 2: Yep. Not to forget, it owns a sixty one percent
- 1:18Speaker 2: chunk of Ozzie real estate Giant, Aria.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Group and Juseyboy. Overall, the year panned out pretty well
- 1:24Speaker 1: for News Corp yep. Sor it's four year revenue jump
- 1:27Speaker 1: two percent not bad, and it's earning for interest, tax,
- 1:30Speaker 1: appreciation and amortization or EBIT dark jumped fourteen percent. They
- 1:34Speaker 1: tipped their hat off to Aria Group as well as
- 1:36Speaker 1: their US publication dow joone.
- 1:38Speaker 2: Yep, But they man it was News Corp's og Ozzie
- 1:40Speaker 2: publications that really let them down. Yep.
- 1:43Speaker 1: In FY twenty five, Melbourne's Herald Sun and Brisbane's Courier
- 1:46Speaker 1: Mail and Adelaide's The Advertiser they all lost paid subscriber couch.
- 1:49Speaker 2: But in good news for News Corp, The Australian and
- 1:52Speaker 2: Sydney's Daily Telegraph jumped five percent in subscriber.
- 1:55Speaker 1: Base and Juzzie Boy subscriber churn on its media division
- 1:58Speaker 1: is an ongoing challenge that you News Corp just needs to.
- 2:00Speaker 2: Manage yep, So what is the key learning here?
- 2:03Speaker 1: Subscription churn is the number or percentage of customers who
- 2:06Speaker 1: stop paying for a subscription service during a specific period.
- 2:10Speaker 2: For media companies, churney is a critical metric because their
- 2:13Speaker 2: subscriber revenue is recurring.
- 2:14Speaker 1: So that means losing a paying reader isn't just a
- 2:17Speaker 1: one off hit, it's an ongoing loss of income and
- 2:20Speaker 1: be man In news Corp's case, the one to two
- 2:22Speaker 1: percent drop in subscribers across their tabloids means thousands of
- 2:25Speaker 1: people canceling and improving retention by just five percent can
- 2:28Speaker 1: boost profits by anywhere between twenty five percent and even
- 2:32Speaker 1: up to ninety five percent, but.
- 2:33Speaker 2: They man The flip side is that acquiring a new
- 2:35Speaker 2: customer can cost five to seven times more than retaining
- 2:38Speaker 2: an existing one, and for News Corp, there aren't enough
- 2:41Speaker 2: new subscribers that are offsetting the churned one and this
- 2:44Speaker 2: compounds over time.
- 2:45Speaker 1: So unless News Corp. Can stop the churn, and they'll
- 2:48Speaker 1: be stuck in a pretty expensive game of marketing to
- 2:50Speaker 1: sustain their subscriber numbers.
- 2:52Speaker 2: For our second story, McDonald's has bounced back in the
- 2:55Speaker 2: most recent quarter. It's going full Klonel Sanders in the
- 2:58Speaker 2: Chicken Wars.
- 3:00Speaker 1: Macide's flipping burgers and flipping their fortunes as well. What
- 3:03Speaker 1: the Ronald McDonald is going on here?
- 3:05Speaker 2: Okay? So McDonald's found back in nineteen forty in California
- 3:08Speaker 2: and has become the world's largest fast food chain.
- 3:11Speaker 1: Get this, McDonald serves over sixty five million customers daily
- 3:14Speaker 1: across more than one hundred countries and then man.
- 3:16Speaker 2: In May this year, McDonald's gave a complete mayor of
- 3:19Speaker 2: an earnings update.
- 3:20Speaker 1: Yes, I do recall that macas warned of its worst
- 3:22Speaker 1: results since the pandemic. So this quarter, investors and shareholders
- 3:25Speaker 1: and obviously McDonald's customers were eagerly awaiting the results and
- 3:29Speaker 1: the next collab or new product announcement.
- 3:31Speaker 2: And it was good news for all because they quarterly
- 3:33Speaker 2: revenue hit six point eight four billion US dollars, which
- 3:36Speaker 2: beat expectations of around six point seven bill.
- 3:38Speaker 1: And net income increased to two point twenty five billion
- 3:41Speaker 1: US dollars, up from just over two billion US dollars
- 3:44Speaker 1: last year.
- 3:45Speaker 2: Even the Grimma's milkshake flop couldn't slow it.
- 3:47Speaker 1: Down, and does it wait? The secret to its turnaround
- 3:50Speaker 1: in profit comes from its push into chicken.
- 3:51Speaker 2: Which has really appealed to its value customers because it
- 3:54Speaker 2: can charge value prices.
- 3:56Speaker 1: So what is the grimms milkshake key learning?
- 3:59Speaker 2: Here at fast who joins? Many choices aren't just about taste,
- 4:02Speaker 2: They're about what fattens the bottom line.
- 4:04Speaker 1: In a cost of living crunch. Macca's reckons that value
- 4:07Speaker 1: has become a non negotiable for customers.
- 4:09Speaker 2: And the man, last time I checked it, you can't
- 4:11Speaker 2: offer value on beef products.
- 4:12Speaker 1: We'll get this juzzi boy. According to US government data,
- 4:15Speaker 1: the average price of a whole chicken in the US
- 4:17Speaker 1: was one dollar ninety nine per pound, and that was
- 4:20Speaker 1: in October twenty twenty four, while a.
- 4:21Speaker 2: Pound of ground beef was five dollars fifty nine.
- 4:24Speaker 1: And in Australia, beef is roughly four and a half
- 4:26Speaker 1: times more expensive than chicken as an average retail price,
- 4:29Speaker 1: and that's according to Rabobank.
- 4:30Speaker 2: So Mackidee has capitalized on that price differential and chicken demand.
- 4:34Speaker 1: We're talking the chicken, Big Mac and the crispy range,
- 4:37Speaker 1: which is more affordable for customers but also better for
- 4:40Speaker 1: Maca's own margins.
- 4:41Speaker 2: In fact, be Man McDonald's grown its chicken business to
- 4:44Speaker 2: double the size of beef in terms of market.
- 4:46Speaker 1: Share and jusie boy. It's a sign of how much
- 4:48Speaker 1: the fast food landscape has shifted.
- 4:50Speaker 2: Yeah, for decades, beef burgers with a crown jewel of the.
- 4:53Speaker 1: Menu, but now it seems like chicken is ruling the roost.
- 4:57Speaker 2: For our third and final story, Spotify has warned customers
- 5:01Speaker 2: of a price rise for its premium subscription, and a
- 5:03Speaker 2: shares jumped eight percent on the news.
- 5:06Speaker 1: This is certainly not music to the ears of Spotify subscribers,
- 5:09Speaker 1: so tell me more.
- 5:10Speaker 2: Spotify launching Sweden in two thousand and eight and is
- 5:12Speaker 2: the world's largest music streaming service.
- 5:14Speaker 1: It has nearly seven hundred million total users with two
- 5:17Speaker 1: hundred and seventy six million paying subscribers.
- 5:20Speaker 2: But then manned. Last month. Spotify shares got whacked after
- 5:23Speaker 2: it posted an eighty six million euro quarterly loss.
- 5:26Speaker 1: We're talking higher costs of staffing, marketing, and payroll taxes, So.
- 5:29Speaker 2: Now Spotify will pull the price leave to recover from
- 5:32Speaker 2: some of those losses.
- 5:33Speaker 1: Yep, they're planning to raise subscription prices across South Asia,
- 5:37Speaker 1: the Middle East, Africa, Europe, Latin America, and Asia Pacific.
- 5:41Speaker 2: The only region saved was the US because they've already
- 5:43Speaker 2: capped two price rises in the past two years.
- 5:45Speaker 1: And Jazi Boy investors have been pushing for more price
- 5:48Speaker 1: increases for years.
- 5:49Speaker 2: So when they got wind of this news, Spotify shares
- 5:51Speaker 2: popped eight percent.
- 5:52Speaker 1: Because there isn't expected to be any impact on total
- 5:56Speaker 1: subscriber numbers.
- 5:57Speaker 2: So what is the key learning here?
- 5:58Speaker 1: Pricing power is the ability of a company to increase
- 6:01Speaker 1: prices without significantly reducing demand for its product or service and.
- 6:05Speaker 2: Be man in subscription based businesses like Spotify. Pricing power
- 6:08Speaker 2: can be built on a range of factors.
- 6:10Speaker 1: For some subscribers, it might be the playlists or the
- 6:12Speaker 1: exclusive podcasts that keep them around despite the price rise.
- 6:15Speaker 2: For others, it's more part of a habit formation because
- 6:18Speaker 2: Spotify's become an embedded part of their daily life, and
- 6:21Speaker 2: with these sticky features, it means subscribers are less likely
- 6:23Speaker 2: to cancel when prices rise. This means Spotify can lift
- 6:26Speaker 2: prices incrementally while retaining most of its base. But be man,
- 6:30Speaker 2: it is a bit of a balancing act.
- 6:32Speaker 1: Yeap Raise prices too much or too often, and you
- 6:35Speaker 1: risk losing subscribers to rivals like Apple Music or YouTube
- 6:38Speaker 1: Music plucks.
- 6:39Speaker 2: An two thirty pm tomorrow, the RBA will be announcing
- 6:42Speaker 2: their cash rate decision. It might be a pause, might
- 6:44Speaker 2: be a point two five percent drop, even a point
- 6:47Speaker 2: five percent drop, and the man, We're going to have
- 6:49Speaker 2: it all here in the Flux apps. Make sure to
- 6:51Speaker 2: download the app if you want to hear about the
- 6:52Speaker 2: news first.
- 6:53Speaker 1: Thanks for listening, and we'll see you on Wednesday.