Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Best Bets | NFL Week 6

Transcript

Best Bets | NFL Week 6 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by DraftKings.
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: The crown is yours.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by my faves Kendra and Stucky
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: for a fun filled, picks filled Thursday show. On today's episode,
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: we'll submit our official plays for week six in the NFL.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: We've got our stat of the week, our two Kings,
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: and a Queen parlay, some public darlings that you need
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: to be aware of, like and subscribe wherever it is
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: that you are tuned in. Guys, I feel calm and
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: confident about my picks this week. All the teams that
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I'm betting on, all the bets have already been placed.
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: We are pencils down here at the Kravitz household, likely troubling. Kendra,
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: how do you feel as we enter week six?
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: I don't feel good. I don't feel good.
• 0:55
  Speaker 4: This has to be one of the weirdest seasons in
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: my recent memory. From like a gamble perspective, the spreads
• 1:02
  Speaker 4: for like weeks four.
• 1:03
  Speaker 3: Through six have been so massive for so so many teams.
• 1:07
  Speaker 4: It's got to be like I would say probably two
• 1:09
  Speaker 4: thirds of the league feel like some of these spreads
• 1:11
  Speaker 4: are getting to be like college numbers. And I have
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: to say I think the Seahawks are gonna beat my
• 1:16
  Speaker 4: dag Wars this week.
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: I've been saying that though it's.
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: One game, I've not made a bit on Stucky. How
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: do you feel heading into Week six? Confident, unsure, dis maade.
• 1:26
  Speaker 5: Same as always. I mean, just do the work. We've
• 1:29
  Speaker 5: doing this for being in the NFL for twenty years.
• 1:32
  Speaker 5: Do work and then Sunday comes, enjoy it and hope
• 1:37
  Speaker 5: you get the bounces. Like a lot of times, it's
• 1:38
  Speaker 5: just gonna come down to turnover margin, some fourth downs.
• 1:42
  Speaker 5: It's a gameplay with the oblong ball. You know, you
• 1:46
  Speaker 5: hope the injuries in game break right for you. So yeah,
• 1:50
  Speaker 5: just do the work, complete the grind, enjoy Sundays, and
• 1:53
  Speaker 5: hope the bounces, late game variants, field goals, all that's
• 1:57
  Speaker 5: all that stuff. The reason why we love sweat foot
• 2:01
  Speaker 5: goes your way.
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: So that you sound like a sports betting monk.
• 2:05
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I will say. I mean, I will say, like,
• 2:09
  Speaker 5: the one thing that I'm not confident about this week
• 2:12
  Speaker 5: is there are just a ton of injuries. I Mean,
• 2:15
  Speaker 5: this happens every year, but there's just a lot of
• 2:18
  Speaker 5: cluster injuries across the board, which which opens up uncertainty
• 2:23
  Speaker 5: and chances to potentially capitalize if you're able to price them.
• 2:26
  Speaker 5: But it's not easy. But you know, you look at
• 2:30
  Speaker 5: things like the Chargers offensive line, the Ravens defense, the
• 2:36
  Speaker 5: Lion's secondary. There are just countless examples across the board
• 2:42
  Speaker 5: of major injuries. And it's not just one guy, it's
• 2:46
  Speaker 5: multiple guys, and that's definitely makes it a bit tougher.
• 2:51
  Speaker 5: But it's a labor of love. So trying to crack
• 2:54
  Speaker 5: the code, which you'll never master, is why I love this.
• 2:58
  Speaker 5: So yeah, not too high or too low, just trying
• 3:03
  Speaker 5: to grind through the week.
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: We've definitely picked the most difficult sport to bet, but
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: here we are taking it head on.
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: We've got a lot of meat.
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: One's pretty tough.
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: I've never bet F one, so.
• 3:14
  Speaker 5: I place one once.
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: What makes F one so hard?
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: I thought the same, I thought Max verst Stappen wins
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: every weekk have you not.
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: Been watching in like sixteen months?
• 3:27
  Speaker 4: I would say the hardest thing about F one is
• 3:29
  Speaker 4: that it's not about you. Like if you get a
• 3:32
  Speaker 4: bad start off the jump and somebody hits you like
• 3:34
  Speaker 4: a lot of it's not in your control. It's in
• 3:36
  Speaker 4: other people's control of Like sometimes who hits you? How
• 3:39
  Speaker 4: many people get in an accident your pit crew being
• 3:42
  Speaker 4: able to get like a bolt off of a car
• 3:44
  Speaker 4: can cost you like two or three seconds. Like F
• 3:46
  Speaker 4: one is the hardest bet that I make every single week,
• 3:50
  Speaker 4: but it's there.
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: NFL definitely close.
• 3:53
  Speaker 4: But F one not even a question, just because there's
• 3:56
  Speaker 4: so many people that are hands on with the sport
• 3:59
  Speaker 4: that it's not just my best guys against your best guys.
• 4:03
  Speaker 4: It's like, is my mechanic? Is my machinery working? When
• 4:06
  Speaker 4: you put machinery in something, it gets a lot trick here.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: That's true. The cars do add a variable. Uh stat
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: That's what.
• 4:12
  Speaker 5: I've never gotten into. Like I tried to watch one.
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: That's the best watch Drive to Survive.
• 4:17
  Speaker 5: Yeah. I feel like the best part about F one
• 4:19
  Speaker 5: is everything surrounding the sport, Like you have you know,
• 4:23
  Speaker 5: like all the celebrities go to all the the back
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: and forth on like trying to get drivers, building out
• 4:28
  Speaker 5: of the cars, the drama, the celebrity of the drivers,
• 4:34
  Speaker 5: the you know, the the manufacturers, Like what goes into
• 4:40
  Speaker 5: giving getting an advantage on that end, Like I found
• 4:43
  Speaker 5: the ship, the shows and the content around it more
• 4:45
  Speaker 5: interesting than actually watching a race, but I will say
• 4:49
  Speaker 5: I don't fully. I don't spend time trying to understand it.
• 4:51
  Speaker 5: So I'm sure if you, yeah, understood all that stuff,
• 4:53
  Speaker 5: it would make it more interesting. But it's just I don't.
• 4:55
  Speaker 4: Yeah. I like it because there's only twenty people, so
• 4:58
  Speaker 4: you only have to keep up with twenty p people.
• 5:00
  Speaker 4: That's you know less than like us, the starters for
• 5:02
  Speaker 4: an NFL team, and you get to know them so
• 5:04
  Speaker 4: deeply that you learn to care about them a lot.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: I don't. I think this is above my pay grade.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: But Kendra, I would love to see some sort of
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: social video where you asked our audience what is the
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: toughest sport to bet on? Because I feel like most
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: would say the NFL. But I guess there's dissenting opinions
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: out there.
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: We found my video for today. Okay, great ook at Gifford.
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: Before we move on from this completely stat hoound Evan Abrams,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: where do you land on betting F one?
• 5:31
  Speaker 6: Nobody passes anyone.
• 5:32
  Speaker 7: I'd like to talk to somebody who bets on NASCAR,
• 5:35
  Speaker 7: like Nick Giffin.
• 5:35
  Speaker 6: I feel like it's much harder. I've done both.
• 5:38
  Speaker 7: I feel like f one's easier because the odds are
• 5:40
  Speaker 7: more predictable and things change with practices.
• 5:43
  Speaker 6: All say with that.
• 5:44
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean I'll say I think the hardest. I
• 5:46
  Speaker 5: think a lot of people might say NFL is probably
• 5:48
  Speaker 5: the most difficult as far as from an efficiency standpoint.
• 5:51
  Speaker 5: Just the amount of money that gets bet into the
• 5:55
  Speaker 5: NFL is massive.
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: Is your tenfoil hat on right now?
• 6:00
  Speaker 5: So but no, I'm saying, but like people are a
• 6:02
  Speaker 5: lot of people. Most people are betting NFL casually, and
• 6:03
  Speaker 5: it's like once a couple of days, times a week.
• 6:06
  Speaker 5: People that try to do that casually and try to
• 6:09
  Speaker 5: bet like baseball, the grind of baseball, that might be
• 6:12
  Speaker 5: the most difficult, like dealing with the swings and the
• 6:14
  Speaker 5: bad beats and trying to do that every day. You know,
• 6:16
  Speaker 5: you can say a thing about NHL and but yeah,
• 6:20
  Speaker 5: that it depends on how you frame.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: It, Stucky, This is where I passed things off to
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: you on a Thursday episode.
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: What do you want to hit us with today?
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: Hey, this is a dumb question.
• 6:32
  Speaker 6: Let me ask you a personal question kind of question.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: Is that is question?
• 6:37
  Speaker 7: All right?
• 6:38
  Speaker 5: My questions for today? You have to answer right away
• 6:42
  Speaker 5: because like it'll it gets to the essence of the question.
• 6:46
  Speaker 5: Kendra'll start with you and Brandon. I'm gonna trust that
• 6:49
  Speaker 5: you are going to give me your answer. You thought
• 6:50
  Speaker 5: of right away. You unfortunately went into a coma for
• 6:54
  Speaker 5: ten years and you woke up and everything was okay.
• 6:59
  Speaker 5: You had your memory, all of your thoughts, your health.
• 7:02
  Speaker 5: What is the first sports related thing that you google?
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: Did the Jaguars win a Super Bowl?
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: Oh?
• 7:08
  Speaker 5: You already you know the answer to that is no,
• 7:09
  Speaker 5: So that would be I thought about. For me, Yeah,
• 7:13
  Speaker 5: I thought about like the Ravens of the Super Bowl?
• 7:16
  Speaker 5: But I think that I would go the most interesting
• 7:18
  Speaker 5: thing that I would be most interested in two things,
• 7:21
  Speaker 5: like college wise, One is like what does the NCAA
• 7:24
  Speaker 5: tournament look like? Now? But I think I would look
• 7:29
  Speaker 5: at I would just google the current college football season
• 7:34
  Speaker 5: or depending on like the timing, to see like what
• 7:36
  Speaker 5: do the conferences look like? What does the what does
• 7:38
  Speaker 5: the college football Playoff look like? Who are the best teams?
• 7:42
  Speaker 6: Like?
• 7:43
  Speaker 5: Who knows where college football is going to be in
• 7:45
  Speaker 5: ten years? So like that's probably what I would look up. Brandon,
• 7:49
  Speaker 5: what was the first thing that you thought of? Did
• 7:51
  Speaker 5: the Dolphins? The Dolphins finally want a playoff game.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Maybe I don't know, you know if, And that's one
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: of those things that if I had time to come
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: up with the best possible answer, I would probably get there.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: But you said you wanted. The first thing that's snapped
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: into my brain, and it was checking my fantasy lineup
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: just to see if if my if my lineup is
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: still relevant, or if i've auto drafted, you know, when
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: we've missed ten years at this point, I'd want to
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: see how I stacked up before, especially in my keeper league,
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: to see how long my team was still successful before
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: eventually these guys aged out.
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: So I think that fantasy app would be the first
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: thing I would check later.
• 8:30
  Speaker 5: That's that's a terrible answer.
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that's well.
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, I assume that the team wouldn't still be good,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: but I would hope, let.
• 8:38
  Speaker 5: Me see what my fantasy team looks like now from
• 8:40
  Speaker 5: ten to guys from ten years ago those but.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: I would be auto drafting, you know, I would hope
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: that my league made you.
• 8:49
  Speaker 5: Want is what the auto drafted?
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to know.
• 8:53
  Speaker 5: The doctors want to know, Evan, what what did what?
• 8:58
  Speaker 5: Would did you have any thoughts?
• 9:00
  Speaker 7: My only comment is I've been in a fantasy league
• 9:02
  Speaker 7: for fourteen years and ten years ago, I kept a
• 9:05
  Speaker 7: guy named Jordan Cameron, so I'm assuming my fantasy team
• 9:08
  Speaker 7: would be pretty terrible. My answer was simple. I actually
• 9:11
  Speaker 7: the first thing that popped into my head was is
• 9:13
  Speaker 7: Lebron still playing? So I guess that's what's in my brand.
• 9:16
  Speaker 7: So that was the first thing I thought of.
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: Let's talk seafood.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: There are shrimply unbelievable stat of the week courtesy of
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: Action Network Director of Research Evan Abrams.
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: With some help from the Rainbow Shrimp.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: The Jaguars off of a short week after facing the
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: Chiefs on Monday Night Football. The last decade, teams that
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: were home underdogs on Monday Night Football have struggled the
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: following week putting together a good effort. They are twenty
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: six and forty two straight up, thirty and thirty eight
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: against the spread in those games. That's forty four percent
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: winning as an underdog on Monday Night Football and then
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: that quick turnaround. But we have some competing stats here.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: The Jaguars are also nine and four against the spread.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: With Trevor Lawrence in a game where he wins, this
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: is an outright underdog the game prior so we have
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: some conflicting stats here.
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: This is one that we were really.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: Stuck on on the Tuesday episode. I have not placed
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: a bet on this game. For me, it would be Seahawks,
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: but I also think I might not be buying into
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: the Jaguars quite enough, so I think I'm gonna sit
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: this one out.
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: I got a lot of bets that I do like
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: this week, Stucky.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: Where are you at on Jags Seahawks and the numbers
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: that we just spat out?
• 10:29
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I bet the Seahawks. This is a Jags podcast.
• 10:32
  Speaker 5: I'm all in on the Jags this year. I bet
• 10:34
  Speaker 5: that nothing but the Jags so far. But I think
• 10:36
  Speaker 5: this is a good spot for the Seahawks, who have
• 10:37
  Speaker 5: been really good on the road under Mike McDonald. You
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: have short week for Jacksonville with some key injuries, like
• 10:42
  Speaker 5: the offensive line is an healthy Bremans Strange, I think
• 10:44
  Speaker 5: is a big loss, especially in the red zone.
• 10:46
  Speaker 3: Huge security blanket probably.
• 10:48
  Speaker 5: Sits another week if he didn't play this week or
• 10:52
  Speaker 5: last week. I should say they weren't able to get
• 10:54
  Speaker 5: any pressure because it's so much easier to just focus
• 10:56
  Speaker 5: your attention on Josh Hanz Allen and and you saw
• 11:00
  Speaker 5: that against Mahomes he had all day. And it's not
• 11:02
  Speaker 5: a great Kansas City offensive line at the tackle positions.
• 11:08
  Speaker 5: And what does Jacksonville do in the back end. They
• 11:09
  Speaker 5: play zone, so like not being able to get pressure
• 11:12
  Speaker 5: playing zone. Sam Donald is playing at an unbelievable level.
• 11:15
  Speaker 5: I mean, he's number one in the league in success
• 11:16
  Speaker 5: ray A VPA for play EPA plus completion percentage of expectation.
• 11:21
  Speaker 5: Lawrence has been around the middle of the pack like that.
• 11:23
  Speaker 5: Jacksonville offense is starting to get there, it's not at
• 11:27
  Speaker 5: the level that Seattle has been. Donald's playing incredible, and
• 11:29
  Speaker 5: he's been number one in the NFL against zone defense,
• 11:31
  Speaker 5: which is what Jacksonville is going to play a lot
• 11:33
  Speaker 5: of this The one thing that gives me a little
• 11:36
  Speaker 5: bit of pause is Seattle's defense. Another one of these
• 11:40
  Speaker 5: injury situations on the back end. We'll see if DeMarcus
• 11:42
  Speaker 5: Lawrence can go. But they were without three starters in
• 11:45
  Speaker 5: the secondary last week against the Bucks. I think that
• 11:48
  Speaker 5: they will probably get two of at least two of
• 11:52
  Speaker 5: the four guys back, which will be enough for me.
• 11:55
  Speaker 5: So I did play Seattle. I think it's a pretty
• 11:57
  Speaker 5: good matchup in spot but I do respect the Jags,
• 12:02
  Speaker 5: but there's there's also some potential turnover regression coming for Jacksonville.
• 12:05
  Speaker 5: They can't They're eventually got to have a game where
• 12:07
  Speaker 5: they're not going to get a pick six or three
• 12:09
  Speaker 5: or four turnovers. So as Kenzer had that feeling as
• 12:13
  Speaker 5: a Jags fan, they're gonna if they beat the Chiefs.
• 12:17
  Speaker 4: And I'm going to this game, so of course that's
• 12:20
  Speaker 4: just gonna happen.
• 12:21
  Speaker 5: Well, you got that, you have the dear Joy in
• 12:23
  Speaker 5: San Francisco, but I don't think I think it'll be close.
• 12:26
  Speaker 5: But I like the matchup for Seattle on this spot,
• 12:29
  Speaker 5: So yeah, I did play the Seahawks.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: The turnover differential of these two teams plus nine in
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: favor of the Jacksonville Jaguars. You mentioned the regression, I
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: mean that is that is strong. And the luck rankings
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: also from Nick Giffen, which we will reference throughout the
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: course of the podcast today favor the Seahawks. The Seahawks
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: are ranked twenty fourth, the Jags are up to fifth.
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: No surprise, leballer on the road, and the yeah, I mean,
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: I mean you could just I test the Jags in
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: terms of a luck ranking. Their quarterback literally fell down
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: and then baby Diraft into the end zone. There at
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: the end of the game, still become our two Kings
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: and a Queen Parlay will nominate our weekly picks. But
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: first a word from yours truly as we chat about
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: our friends at DraftKings. The Favorites are sponsored by DraftKings
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: and in partnership with DraftKings, we'd like to tell you
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• 13:43
  Speaker 2: The crown is yours.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: A segment that I always relish. Kendra, what game has
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: you in a pickle?
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: We're in a pickle?
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: Now, I'm really in a pickle?
• 13:55
  Speaker 7: Now?
• 13:56
  Speaker 5: All right, look we're in a pickle again.
• 14:01
  Speaker 3: It's the Chiefs Lions game.
• 14:02
  Speaker 4: For obvious reasons, the Lions are so injured, a lot
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: of people questionable on the defense for them. Offense too,
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: more so concerned about the defense for me. But the Chiefs,
• 14:13
  Speaker 4: they just lost to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Their entire fan
• 14:16
  Speaker 4: base is having a freaking melt down. It's a short
• 14:18
  Speaker 4: week for them, but they're relatively healthy in comparison. You
• 14:20
  Speaker 4: could talk about some of their you know, ir issues
• 14:23
  Speaker 4: or whatever. But they have to turn this around at
• 14:25
  Speaker 4: some point, right like the Chiefs have the chief we
• 14:28
  Speaker 4: have to expect Patrick Mahomes and them getting healthier, of
• 14:31
  Speaker 4: them getting players back from you know, suspension coming soon, whatever.
• 14:35
  Speaker 4: They have to turn this around. I just this doesn't
• 14:39
  Speaker 4: feel like a great spot for the Lions. It feels
• 14:41
  Speaker 4: like a good spot for the Chiefs. But how how
• 14:43
  Speaker 4: with the Lions how they've been playing. Am I supposed
• 14:45
  Speaker 4: to put any stock in that? They're obviously injured this
• 14:48
  Speaker 4: game for playoff reasons for both sides NFCAFC. Sure they're different,
• 14:53
  Speaker 4: not the biggest game in the world, not divisional, nothing
• 14:55
  Speaker 4: like that. But I feel like it's a spot for
• 14:57
  Speaker 4: can the Lions keep this rolling or can the chief
• 15:00
  Speaker 4: maybe turn their season around. I just don't know which
• 15:03
  Speaker 4: side to be on here, because the Lions have been
• 15:05
  Speaker 4: absolute world beaters, But the Chiefs still are the Chiefs.
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: You know, when the Jags went.
• 15:09
  Speaker 4: Up the other night, I was like, there's still time
• 15:11
  Speaker 4: on the clock. It doesn't matter if Patrick Mahomes has
• 15:13
  Speaker 4: two minutes or two seconds. It's always scary when he's
• 15:16
  Speaker 4: playing this game. I do not know where to be.
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are gonna look at
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: it in that same sort of way, because this line,
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: for a lot of people is gonna look mysterious. The
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: Lions plus two and a half against anybody looks like
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: a gift from the gods.
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: But I think I saw it in the docks.
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: I'm sort of cheating ahead, but Stucky, I think you
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: and I are going to be on the same of
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: the same mindset here that this is the honey trap
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: of all honey traps. That you get the Lions of
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: plus two and a half, all the cluster injuries they're
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: dealing with in the secondary, and the Chiefs offense has
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: been pretty good twenty nine points per game over the
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: last three And we'll talk about some public darlings in
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: a moment. The Lions are one of them. The bets
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: on the Detroit Lions. That is a heavy, heavy public
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: side stuck you where you out on this.
• 16:07
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I played the Chiefs. I like the Chiefs here.
• 16:10
  Speaker 5: I'm a believer in that offense. Now, after what I
• 16:12
  Speaker 5: saw last week with worthy back Thornton, I think is
• 16:15
  Speaker 5: the real deal. They had a sixty four percent success rate,
• 16:18
  Speaker 5: which is that's the highest of any game this year
• 16:21
  Speaker 5: by any team against Jacksonville last week, and Detroit has
• 16:25
  Speaker 5: they had no corners left, their safeties are banged up,
• 16:27
  Speaker 5: and you have to keep in mind at this Detroit team. Yes,
• 16:30
  Speaker 5: they've looked good over the past four weeks, but for
• 16:35
  Speaker 5: somemadded context. Remember they got blown out at Green Bay
• 16:39
  Speaker 5: to start the year and everyone wrote them off. Now
• 16:40
  Speaker 5: everyone is penciling in the Super Bowl. They beat the
• 16:43
  Speaker 5: Bears at home without their entire secondary. They beat the
• 16:47
  Speaker 5: Ravens and their current state of their defense, which is
• 16:51
  Speaker 5: a disaster and probably the worst defense in the league.
• 16:54
  Speaker 5: Then they beat the Browns with Joe Flacco, who was
• 16:57
  Speaker 5: so bad that he got traded to the Bank. Oh
• 17:00
  Speaker 5: and guess what, They beat the Bengals with Jake Browning
• 17:04
  Speaker 5: and who was so bad that the Bengals traded for
• 17:06
  Speaker 5: Joe Flacco, who was so bad in Cleveland that he
• 17:08
  Speaker 5: got benched for Dylan Gabriel. That's who they played the
• 17:11
  Speaker 5: last four weeks. They're in the tank. Ravens, the Bears
• 17:16
  Speaker 5: were two of the most injured defenses in the league.
• 17:19
  Speaker 5: Then the Browns and Bengals, who have swapped backup quarterbacks
• 17:23
  Speaker 5: in the two weeks since. So like, let's let's pause
• 17:27
  Speaker 5: for a moment here, and you just throw all those
• 17:30
  Speaker 5: injuries in, like the offense might not even be fully
• 17:32
  Speaker 5: healthy as well. And because of all the cluster injuries
• 17:36
  Speaker 5: on the back end for Detroit, what are they going
• 17:39
  Speaker 5: to do?
• 17:40
  Speaker 6: They?
• 17:40
  Speaker 5: I mean, they blitz a lot. You don't want to
• 17:41
  Speaker 5: blitz Mahomes. They usually play man. Mahomes has struggled against
• 17:46
  Speaker 5: more man this year. But they can't play man with
• 17:48
  Speaker 5: their corners that they have against all that chief speed
• 17:50
  Speaker 5: with all their backup corners. So what they do last
• 17:52
  Speaker 5: week they played more zone. I expect them to do
• 17:55
  Speaker 5: that this week playing zone against Mahomes with backup corner.
• 18:00
  Speaker 5: I don't know what Detroit can really do here. So yeah,
• 18:04
  Speaker 5: the troutll has success running the ball, but this is
• 18:07
  Speaker 5: a great get right, you know, save your season spot
• 18:11
  Speaker 5: for Kansas City against what I think is an overvalue
• 18:14
  Speaker 5: to Troy team that's benefited so much from who their
• 18:17
  Speaker 5: opponents were, who the quarterbacks, they face, the injuries that
• 18:20
  Speaker 5: they've benefited from. Now they're the team that's dealing with
• 18:23
  Speaker 5: all the injuries and they're going up against one of
• 18:25
  Speaker 5: the better quarterbacks in the NFL. So yeah, I like
• 18:28
  Speaker 5: Kansas City here anything under a field goal?
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: Do anything for you, Kendra? Do we sway you?
• 18:33
  Speaker 7: Yeah?
• 18:33
  Speaker 4: That kind of a little bit, honestly, Yeah, a little bit,
• 18:37
  Speaker 4: because I do agree. It feels like this has to
• 18:40
  Speaker 4: be like the Chiefs save our season moment. Like I said,
• 18:42
  Speaker 4: I know that it's an NFC opponent and not a
• 18:44
  Speaker 4: divisional or AFC or anything like that, but even just
• 18:46
  Speaker 4: from like a raw rob we're back situation.
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: Are they on the buy next week?
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: They play the Raiders next week?
• 18:53
  Speaker 4: Because the Lions have a look ahead, and you can
• 18:55
  Speaker 4: call it a look at you can't look ahead past
• 18:57
  Speaker 4: the Chiefs. But going from the Chiefs to the box
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: their Monday night next week, that's still like a little
• 19:02
  Speaker 4: bit of a distraction factor to me. But I didn't
• 19:06
  Speaker 4: know who the Chiefs played, so and they'll they'll have
• 19:09
  Speaker 4: the Chiefs. The Chiefs will be completely back next week.
• 19:11
  Speaker 4: So it is it's a get right, get right spot
• 19:15
  Speaker 4: of all get right spots for them.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: Listen, if we're gonna look a week ahead, the Raiders
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: consistently cover the spread against the Kansas City Chiefs.
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: If the Chiefs beat the.
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: Lions, then all of a sudden, everybody loves the Chiefs again.
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: Then they play the Raiders, and the Raiders have been terrible,
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: So let's keep an eye on that.
• 19:31
  Speaker 5: For they have a pulse this week.
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: Against the Titans.
• 19:35
  Speaker 5: Yeah, against the Titans, and I mean cold Miller's loss
• 19:38
  Speaker 5: is huge for them at left tackle. We'll see in
• 19:40
  Speaker 5: the status of Rock Bowers.
• 19:43
  Speaker 3: I don't think he should play, Yeah, but.
• 19:45
  Speaker 5: If he's definitely not at one hundred percent, but we'll
• 19:47
  Speaker 5: see if they If he plays this week, he would
• 19:52
  Speaker 5: have a massive, massive matchup advantages for Tennessee. But yeah,
• 19:55
  Speaker 5: he doesn't look like the old Rock Bowers. But if
• 19:58
  Speaker 5: he does play, we'll see what he looks like because
• 20:00
  Speaker 5: obviously the Raiders would need him against Kansas City. But yeah,
• 20:04
  Speaker 5: the Raiders have been a mass think about this is
• 20:07
  Speaker 5: how quick things can change in the NFL, and like,
• 20:10
  Speaker 5: just stay the course, don't overreact. For the most part,
• 20:14
  Speaker 5: week one, We're all this uncertainty about the Patriots and
• 20:21
  Speaker 5: everyone was like, Ooh, the Raiders are going to be sneaky.
• 20:23
  Speaker 5: The Raiders go into New England across the country beat
• 20:26
  Speaker 5: them pretty soundly. Everyone says, ah, Patriots, they stink the Raiders.
• 20:32
  Speaker 5: Is this a playoff team? Fast forward a month later,
• 20:36
  Speaker 5: the Patriots win in Buffalo, are now significant favorites to
• 20:41
  Speaker 5: make the playoffs, and the Raiders are getting bet against,
• 20:44
  Speaker 5: Like people know the final score at home against the
• 20:48
  Speaker 5: Titans and they look like the most dysfunctional team in
• 20:53
  Speaker 5: the NFL. Crazy how those teams have kind of reversed
• 20:58
  Speaker 5: roles since Week one when the Raiders won in Foxborough.
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: This will surprise nobody that of the Sunday games, Action
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: Network is tracking that the Titans Raiders is the least
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: bet on Sunday game in the NFL. I don't think
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: anybody wants to touch that. Also, according to Action Network
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: betting data, teams with sixty percent of the tickets continue
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: to fail the public out there this season thirteen and
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: thirty against the spread through five weeks. Teams with seventy
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets the Lions qualify for that. By
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: the way, are three to thirteen ats, including zero and
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: seven against the spread. If that team with more than
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of the tickets is playing at home, buyer
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: beware on the following teams. Eagles tonight against the Giants,
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: Cowboys sixty three percent of the bets.
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: The Seahawks, which I was.
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: Surprised to see because the Jags just beat the Chiefs
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: on Monday Night Football, They're sitting at seventy three percent,
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: the Steelers at sixty four percent. We already talked about
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: the Lions, the Bills at sixty nine against the Atlanta Falcons,
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: and the Patriots, who everybody loves again at sixty one percent.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: Also shout out to the Luck Rankings presented by Nick
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: Giffen week to week.
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: You guys have to check this out.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: Giants Eagles is the biggest luck rankings game that's out there.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: The Eagles rank second in the Luck Rankings. The Giants
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: are at thirtieth. That's a twenty eight spot difference. So
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: we don't want to spend too much time on this
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: because I think most that are consuming this podcast are
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: probably listening to it around the time that this game
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: is either starting or is already wrapped up. But does
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: anybody have anything on the Thursday Night football game?
• 22:35
  Speaker 5: Thursday Night Football.
• 22:37
  Speaker 4: I don't know where to be with this game. I
• 22:38
  Speaker 4: feel like the number has just gotten too big. Giants
• 22:41
  Speaker 4: got embarrassed last week.
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: Eagles.
• 22:43
  Speaker 4: I've said this before. It feels like the Eagles are
• 22:46
  Speaker 4: the Chiefs of last year. Just everything seems to fall
• 22:49
  Speaker 4: in their favor. I just too much divisional game. Those
• 22:52
  Speaker 4: are different to me. Probably would be on the Giants
• 22:55
  Speaker 4: to cover the seven and a half. There's still some
• 22:57
  Speaker 4: of those out there, just because it's divisional. But I
• 23:00
  Speaker 4: can't get there the Giants. It helps that their defensive
• 23:04
  Speaker 4: line is good against the run, and that's what you're
• 23:07
  Speaker 4: gonna expect the Eagles to do.
• 23:09
  Speaker 3: But I just can't get there.
• 23:11
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I played. I played the Giants tonight. It's very small.
• 23:14
  Speaker 5: I hate there's a night football. There's a lot of
• 23:16
  Speaker 5: injury uncertainty of a rookie quarterback on a short week
• 23:18
  Speaker 5: against the Bangio defense. But you mentioned the similarities to
• 23:23
  Speaker 5: the Chiefs. I mean as a whole, the Giants run
• 23:24
  Speaker 5: defense is bad, but the Eagles haven't been able to
• 23:26
  Speaker 5: run the ball this year, like Saquan is a non
• 23:29
  Speaker 5: factor because the offensive line is way worse, and now
• 23:32
  Speaker 5: there's no Landon Dickerson. I think that the Giants defensive
• 23:36
  Speaker 5: line can get after hurts. But you mentioned the similarities
• 23:39
  Speaker 5: to the Chiefs. Yeah, I mean they feel like the
• 23:42
  Speaker 5: new Chiefs, which means that they're incapable of building margin
• 23:46
  Speaker 5: against teams. And like the Chiefs for years, you just
• 23:49
  Speaker 5: always bet against them when they were a favorite of
• 23:51
  Speaker 5: definitely have seven plus, but it felt like whenever they
• 23:54
  Speaker 5: were a favored of over a field goal. And this
• 23:57
  Speaker 5: is going to be a low scoring game. These are
• 23:58
  Speaker 5: two slow paced teams. I mean that the Eagles are
• 24:01
  Speaker 5: snapping the ball with less than five seconds on the
• 24:03
  Speaker 5: play clock over seventy five percent of the time, like
• 24:06
  Speaker 5: the highest rate we've seen by a wide margin over
• 24:09
  Speaker 5: the last five years. Like, how are the Giants gonna
• 24:14
  Speaker 5: move the ball? They don't have any receivers left, but
• 24:17
  Speaker 5: they probably weren't gona be able to throw it against
• 24:18
  Speaker 5: the Eagles secondary. Anyway, you can run them the Eagles
• 24:21
  Speaker 5: a bit this year. You're gonna they're gonna throw their
• 24:23
  Speaker 5: tight ends, use the QB run game. It's not gonna
• 24:27
  Speaker 5: be pretty for the Giants offense. But divisional home dog
• 24:29
  Speaker 5: catching over a touchdown. I make this under a touchdown,
• 24:33
  Speaker 5: So yeah, I took the seven and a half. I
• 24:35
  Speaker 5: agree with them the move on the under with that
• 24:38
  Speaker 5: coming down so which I think it's gonna be low scoring,
• 24:40
  Speaker 5: which makes the seven and a half even more valuable.
• 24:42
  Speaker 5: And like this Eagles team, they have one half every
• 24:44
  Speaker 5: every week, they have one half where they just can't
• 24:46
  Speaker 5: do anything. So until I see more from this offense,
• 24:49
  Speaker 5: I did not trust this team to lay seven and
• 24:52
  Speaker 5: a half on the road divisional game, So yeah, I took.
• 24:55
  Speaker 5: I took the seven and a half with the Giants
• 24:57
  Speaker 5: would lean under. And when when the Eagles get a
• 25:00
  Speaker 5: lead against like an overmatch up point, they just sit
• 25:03
  Speaker 5: on the ball for like the entire thing they could have.
• 25:05
  Speaker 5: They could be up like they could be up ten.
• 25:09
  Speaker 5: In the fourth quarter, the Giants kick a field goal
• 25:13
  Speaker 5: to go down seven, and then the Eagles have like
• 25:15
  Speaker 5: a nine minute drive and end it with like knees
• 25:17
  Speaker 5: like that. They're just not a they don't profile is
• 25:20
  Speaker 5: a great favorite, similar to like what some of those
• 25:21
  Speaker 5: Chiefs teams used to do. So I high play the Giants.
• 25:23
  Speaker 4: Small random question, I know, just because this is what's
• 25:28
  Speaker 4: on my mind right now.
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: We talked about this last week. Who do you guys.
• 25:31
  Speaker 4: Think is the best team in the NFL right now?
• 25:33
  Speaker 4: Just because they're everyone is all over the place. The
• 25:37
  Speaker 4: Lions haven't looked good at times, the Eagles haven't looked
• 25:39
  Speaker 4: good at times.
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: The Bills just lost to the Patriots. Those were the Ravens. Suck.
• 25:43
  Speaker 4: Those were supposed to be the Juggernauts heading into this season.
• 25:46
  Speaker 3: If the Super Bowl was tomorrow.
• 25:47
  Speaker 4: I'm sitting here like, I don't really even know who
• 25:49
  Speaker 4: the best team in this league is right now. There
• 25:51
  Speaker 4: isn't one, which makes it entertaining, but what's going on.
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: I think Detroit, fully healthy, is the best team in
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: the NFL right now.
• 26:00
  Speaker 5: I would agree I think green Bay is better than Detroit.
• 26:02
  Speaker 5: So we can argue about that. When green Bay is
• 26:05
  Speaker 5: fully healthy and Detroit's healthy, I'd take green Bay over them.
• 26:08
  Speaker 5: I would take yeah. I mean, I mean, I can
• 26:11
  Speaker 5: look at my numbers, just.
• 26:14
  Speaker 4: A random We don't need to spend a ton of
• 26:15
  Speaker 4: time on it. Just the fact that there's so many injuries.
• 26:18
  Speaker 5: Yeah, the Ravens to me are the best team in
• 26:20
  Speaker 5: the NFL at full strike, which they're not the best
• 26:25
  Speaker 5: team in the NFL. Whoever, plays the Ravens. I mean, if
• 26:29
  Speaker 5: you look the best two weeks, the Texas looked like
• 26:31
  Speaker 5: the best team, The Lions look like the best team,
• 26:34
  Speaker 5: The Chiefs look like the best team soever plays. The
• 26:37
  Speaker 5: Ravens looks like the best team in the NFL. To me,
• 26:41
  Speaker 5: the Bills. So I had Ravens won two Ravens Bills
• 26:45
  Speaker 5: Packers coming into the year, But the Bills have not
• 26:49
  Speaker 5: looked great and their defenses issues and injuries. So it's
• 26:53
  Speaker 5: a great question. It is a like we're not talking.
• 26:56
  Speaker 5: There's no huge separation. There's no team that is a
• 27:01
  Speaker 5: step above. I mean, if you look at the market
• 27:03
  Speaker 5: right now, they probably have just looking at where teams
• 27:08
  Speaker 5: are rank based on where their teams are power rated
• 27:11
  Speaker 5: based on lines, like they probably have Green Bay, Philly, Chiefs, Lions,
• 27:17
  Speaker 5: Bills around a plus five, like I mean, five points
• 27:23
  Speaker 5: better than average team. And they're all within like a
• 27:27
  Speaker 5: point of each other. So and then there's a big
• 27:31
  Speaker 5: drop off because the Ravens are a shell of themselves
• 27:34
  Speaker 5: and hurt, but there's a drop off to them, Like
• 27:37
  Speaker 5: your second tier is probably.
• 27:40
  Speaker 3: Doctor Seattle, Tampa Bay.
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: San Francisco.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: I think they have to be thrown into the mix
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: as beat up as they are and what they've still
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: been able to do. If we're giving teams credit for
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: fully healthy San Francisco even though they're not getting Bosa bad, Yeah.
• 27:54
  Speaker 5: If San Francisco fully healthy, isn't that second tier.
• 27:57
  Speaker 4: I think when you throw the Chargers there too, when
• 27:59
  Speaker 4: they're fully healthy, ardis in fully healthy.
• 28:00
  Speaker 5: Broncos are up there near the.
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: Chargers, nobody's health.
• 28:03
  Speaker 4: I don't want to talk about health versus not health,
• 28:05
  Speaker 4: because that's not an that's.
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: Not you're saying. So you're saying, right everything considered.
• 28:11
  Speaker 5: Rams are They're close to that first here too. Right now,
• 28:15
  Speaker 5: at this moment, I'm taking the Packers.
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they haven't looked right the last two weeks, but.
• 28:21
  Speaker 5: I mean they haven't play.
• 28:22
  Speaker 4: I'm still going to go Lions, despite the fact that
• 28:25
  Speaker 4: Dan Campbell's kind of a dummy sometimes.
• 28:27
  Speaker 5: Like I think, Packers now are basically fully healthy, I believe,
• 28:32
  Speaker 5: and I love them. They're my only Super Bowl future,
• 28:35
  Speaker 5: so I love them. Coming into the year, I'll go
• 28:38
  Speaker 5: Green Bay.
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: It's a it's a loaded question. It is a good one.
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: It's time for the reason y'all came here today are
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: newly named to King.
• 28:46
  Speaker 5: And who who would you say, Yeah, it's still the Packers.
• 28:49
  Speaker 7: I wish the Rams had a better secondary, and I
• 28:51
  Speaker 7: wish the Bucks were healthier. I would make a case
• 28:53
  Speaker 7: for both of them, but I still think Green May
• 28:55
  Speaker 7: is the best.
• 28:55
  Speaker 5: I mean, the Tampa's the best if they're down with
• 28:58
  Speaker 5: one minute to go, But I don't trust that offense.
• 29:04
  Speaker 7: Yeah, that offense all healthy, though, would scare the living
• 29:07
  Speaker 7: crap out of me from many teams. So I think
• 29:10
  Speaker 7: it's just hard to and I love Van like I
• 29:11
  Speaker 7: love things about Tampa Bay.
• 29:13
  Speaker 6: If they're all healthy.
• 29:13
  Speaker 7: I'm just saying, though, the Rams would be one for
• 29:15
  Speaker 7: me if they literally added like one or two players
• 29:18
  Speaker 7: in the secondary.
• 29:18
  Speaker 6: I just feel like they can get beat all the time.
• 29:20
  Speaker 5: But yeah, I thought they were gonna get Ramsey in
• 29:23
  Speaker 5: the off season, which I think would have done a
• 29:24
  Speaker 5: lot elevated their secondary. And I shouldn't say that the
• 29:28
  Speaker 5: Packers were fully outy. I assume we'll see Their offensive
• 29:31
  Speaker 5: line has some still questions, but they're coming off the buy. Yeah,
• 29:33
  Speaker 5: but I think Green Bay is probably the most well
• 29:35
  Speaker 5: rounded right now. And Mike adding Michael Parsons, who's now
• 29:40
  Speaker 5: probably gonna be like a full snapshare did a lot
• 29:44
  Speaker 5: to elevate that defense to make them there. But all right,
• 29:46
  Speaker 5: where are we going.
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: Next, Kendrew? This is your fault that this happened. This Uh,
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: no time to nominate our two plays?
• 29:55
  Speaker 5: Hold on, Kendrick, I'm sorry. I'm gonna let you go eventually, Brandon,
• 29:57
  Speaker 5: I'm really happy for you. I'm gonna let you finish.
• 30:00
  Speaker 5: But Beyonce had one of your best videos of all time.
• 30:03
  Speaker 5: That could be part of your your video today because
• 30:06
  Speaker 5: it's an interesting already.
• 30:06
  Speaker 3: Forgot what my original video was?
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: That was gonna be the toughest sport to bet on
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: who's the best in the NFL.
• 30:12
  Speaker 5: You can always ask that later, like I feel like
• 30:15
  Speaker 5: right now what you do?
• 30:17
  Speaker 6: Both?
• 30:17
  Speaker 5: But that is a fascinate question. You'll get a ton
• 30:19
  Speaker 5: of different answers. I think.
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: Okay, those will be my two videos for the week.
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: Yep, can I go now?
• 30:24
  Speaker 3: Yes? Sorry, I'm so sorry.
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: Two Kings and a Queen.
• 30:29
  Speaker 3: Sorry?
• 30:30
  Speaker 4: Sorry, sorry said kidding.
• 30:32
  Speaker 3: I'm kidding. I'm kidding.
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: Kendrew. We'll start with you. Who do you want to nominate?
• 30:43
  Speaker 4: Okay, so you guys are gonna hate me. I know
• 30:46
  Speaker 4: that we are on two different sides, me and you
• 30:49
  Speaker 4: the Pats or once again, I am addicted to betting
• 30:53
  Speaker 4: on the Chargers.
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: The Saints are so injured. I don't know how. I
• 30:58
  Speaker 3: don't want to blow up your spot. I know that
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: you that's something that you want to talk about in
• 31:01
  Speaker 3: a second. But they're so injured.
• 31:03
  Speaker 4: Patriots are rolling a little bit, and then the Chargers.
• 31:05
  Speaker 4: The Dolphins are just so bad. They've given up on
• 31:08
  Speaker 4: this season. The Chargers need some wins. I get that
• 31:10
  Speaker 4: their offensive line. I even like the under in this game,
• 31:12
  Speaker 4: whatever it is, I don't care if it moves. The
• 31:14
  Speaker 4: under on this game has got to look pretty for
• 31:16
  Speaker 4: everybody huge lean from me.
• 31:17
  Speaker 3: You might get to the window on it.
• 31:18
  Speaker 4: But I just believe in the Chargers, the coaching, the quarterback,
• 31:21
  Speaker 4: everything so much more that this number. Even though it's
• 31:24
  Speaker 4: over a field goal at this point, I got it
• 31:26
  Speaker 4: at a better price earlier this week.
• 31:28
  Speaker 3: I don't really care. The Chargers have to beat bad teams,
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: and they have to beat up on bad teams. This
• 31:36
  Speaker 3: Charger then, did not like either of these options. I
• 31:39
  Speaker 3: saw him just kind of like the.
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: Chargers offensive line is a problem.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: And I know that Stucky has been had this on
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: his mind throughout the course of the week. The Dolphins
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: defensive line is not exactly the one that can take
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: advantage of that. Herbert has been really good out East
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: thirteen and six against the spreading games on the East coast.
• 31:56
  Speaker 4: But guys, believe me, every single week and here I
• 31:59
  Speaker 4: am still like flipping the bird to you.
• 32:01
  Speaker 5: Guys, I will say, I don't like the past minus
• 32:04
  Speaker 5: three and a half. That's like we're you're buying high
• 32:07
  Speaker 5: on the Pats after their big win going down the
• 32:10
  Speaker 5: ones who hasn't been bad.
• 32:11
  Speaker 6: I haven't bet.
• 32:12
  Speaker 3: They're just so hurt, dude, They're so hurt.
• 32:16
  Speaker 5: Their offense those the necessary weapons. You also got Taysom Hill.
• 32:19
  Speaker 3: Back for Tis Hill.
• 32:22
  Speaker 5: Mrado is playing well. He's playing like at an average level.
• 32:24
  Speaker 5: So I played the Saint So I can't authorize the
• 32:27
  Speaker 5: Pats if I have to charge the charges of three
• 32:31
  Speaker 5: and a half. There's here's some money line them again.
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: They lost play seventeen when we did that, like.
• 32:36
  Speaker 3: The price, Yeah, but I'm not.
• 32:38
  Speaker 5: I already bet the Pats. Yeah, we can money line
• 32:41
  Speaker 5: them because it's the Chargers. You can charges money. Yeah,
• 32:46
  Speaker 5: we can put that in as a moneyline piece because.
• 32:50
  Speaker 3: Oh, you guys, that's so much low.
• 32:52
  Speaker 5: Yeah, but we're parlaying three and this is going to
• 32:54
  Speaker 5: be a lower scoring game. I agree with that, so
• 32:57
  Speaker 5: points are going to be at a premium. I don't
• 32:59
  Speaker 5: know if they can win by margin with their offensive
• 33:01
  Speaker 5: line injuryes. Maybe they get all back, maybe back to
• 33:03
  Speaker 5: like there's some question on the offense line. It could
• 33:05
  Speaker 5: just create their offense. But Miami, you.
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: Guys want to switch to the under.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: I just want to say that if this doesn't hit Kendro,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: the Chargers are in bet jail for you.
• 33:14
  Speaker 5: Okay, yeah, no, let's say we got to make you
• 33:16
  Speaker 5: have the Chargers to win, because I mean, first of all,
• 33:18
  Speaker 5: I will say, here are the things I like about it.
• 33:20
  Speaker 5: The Chargers are going to play a ton of zone
• 33:23
  Speaker 5: coverage on the back end Miami. With Miami's offense, I mean, Sabine,
• 33:28
  Speaker 5: their left guard, is the worst start in the league.
• 33:29
  Speaker 5: It's like a zero pass block rate. He's basically like
• 33:31
  Speaker 5: a traffic cone. But they're gonna play a ton of
• 33:33
  Speaker 5: zone coverage Miami's off I don't know what Miami's offense
• 33:35
  Speaker 5: can do, but two against Man has been the best
• 33:37
  Speaker 5: quarterback in the league EPA for play against zone, he's
• 33:39
  Speaker 5: been bottom three. That's always how you stop the Dolphins
• 33:43
  Speaker 5: offense under Mike McDonald, and that's all the Chargers are
• 33:45
  Speaker 5: gonna do. Play a ton of zone in the back
• 33:47
  Speaker 5: end and then on the other side. Yes, the Dolphins
• 33:49
  Speaker 5: can't get pressure at all. Their bottom five and pressure right.
• 33:53
  Speaker 5: They're top five in blitzerrate, which is crazy. They're blitzing
• 33:56
  Speaker 5: constantly because they don't trust their secondary. They can't get
• 33:58
  Speaker 5: pressure on the tone and they're still not getting home.
• 34:02
  Speaker 5: Maybe the Chargers offensive line is that bad, but you
• 34:04
  Speaker 5: generally don't want to blitz Herbert, who's really good against
• 34:08
  Speaker 5: the blitz, one of the best quarterbacks in the league.
• 34:11
  Speaker 5: So there's a lot of things I like. Who knows
• 34:13
  Speaker 5: Remiami is a mentally I think Harball will have the
• 34:15
  Speaker 5: Chargers much. I think they'll they'll be much more focused
• 34:18
  Speaker 5: this week. They were so sloppy last week. So I'm
• 34:22
  Speaker 5: gonna go Chargers money line because.
• 34:23
  Speaker 4: I know that we throw a lot of McConkey in
• 34:25
  Speaker 4: there too, or am I no kidding?
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: I'm kidding a lot. McConkie is still in bet Yell
• 34:33
  Speaker 3: for me, I'm still not at him in my.
• 34:35
  Speaker 5: Seniority car were he's in Chargers money line because well,
• 34:38
  Speaker 5: I know Brandon can't. He's not going to choose the
• 34:43
  Speaker 5: Patriots because he has the Saints in his But I
• 34:45
  Speaker 5: will well for the voice of God. Would you go?
• 34:49
  Speaker 5: Would you go? Chargers or Pats?
• 34:52
  Speaker 7: Heavan, I would not touch pat Saints with a ten
• 34:57
  Speaker 7: football Spencer Raler coming off his first career win Patriots
• 35:01
  Speaker 7: off of the most emotional or emotionals like, I could
• 35:04
  Speaker 7: not care about that game one way or the other.
• 35:06
  Speaker 7: Chargers money line sounds beautiful.
• 35:08
  Speaker 5: Okay, yeah, I mean I took the three and a half.
• 35:10
  Speaker 5: I think it should be three.
• 35:11
  Speaker 7: Sure, so it's Saints are nothing in that game, and
• 35:14
  Speaker 7: I couldn't even consider the Saints, I think, So.
• 35:17
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna go. My two are the Chiefs.
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: Yes, so the Chiefs and my vote.
• 35:24
  Speaker 5: We will go with the forty nine Ers. Can't do
• 35:28
  Speaker 5: money nine. You gotta take plus three because Baker will
• 35:30
  Speaker 5: win in the last minute by one or two or three.
• 35:33
  Speaker 5: The Bucks, by the way of four Wednesday, I have
• 35:35
  Speaker 5: yet to win by more than a field goal. I
• 35:39
  Speaker 5: just think there's not much difference between those two teams.
• 35:41
  Speaker 5: The forty nine Ers I think should get some weapons
• 35:42
  Speaker 5: back this week. The Bucks are just as hurt as
• 35:45
  Speaker 5: the forty nine ers.
• 35:46
  Speaker 3: Is it brought party?
• 35:48
  Speaker 5: I think it's gonna be Mac Jones, but I don't
• 35:50
  Speaker 5: really carry the way.
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: Who do we want it to be? By the way
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: I've been thinking about it?
• 35:54
  Speaker 3: Better with Mac Jones.
• 35:55
  Speaker 4: I don't care what people say about brock Perty's contract.
• 35:58
  Speaker 4: The Jacksonville Jaguars got rid of that Nick Foles contract,
• 36:01
  Speaker 4: so they can get rid of it if they want to.
• 36:03
  Speaker 4: It's Mac Jones team at this point. Sure they're paying him,
• 36:06
  Speaker 4: Sure he probably is the better quarterback, but you're winning
• 36:08
  Speaker 4: with Mac Jones.
• 36:09
  Speaker 3: It's got to be Mac forty nine.
• 36:12
  Speaker 5: Ers extra time too. They played Thursday, so better chance
• 36:15
  Speaker 5: that they might get some guys back than Tampa Tampa
• 36:18
  Speaker 5: coming back across the country. They've been one of the luckiest.
• 36:20
  Speaker 5: I think they're number one in our luck rankings for
• 36:22
  Speaker 5: a reason.
• 36:24
  Speaker 3: Mac Jones with the bananas, I can't Channing.
• 36:28
  Speaker 5: Is scheming up some He's he's in. He is as
• 36:31
  Speaker 5: good as I've seen him from a scheme perspective, and
• 36:34
  Speaker 5: this Bucks defense is not good at all. So it's
• 36:39
  Speaker 5: either going to be San fran San Francisco plus three
• 36:43
  Speaker 5: minus one oh five. About Chiefs Kansas City Money Online
• 36:47
  Speaker 5: minus one thirty five.
• 36:49
  Speaker 3: I about Chiefs.
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: I like both of these. I like the Chiefs a
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: little bit more. I've actually played that one, so let's
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: add to the pot.
• 36:56
  Speaker 6: Heaven.
• 36:56
  Speaker 5: Do you have any opinion on either?
• 36:58
  Speaker 6: Those are really difficult.
• 36:59
  Speaker 7: I hate the forty nine ers, so I would probably
• 37:02
  Speaker 7: go with the Chiefs in that situation.
• 37:04
  Speaker 6: I just I have no interest in San Francisco.
• 37:06
  Speaker 7: And the comment of Mac being better than I don't know,
• 37:10
  Speaker 7: I don't better is not the right word.
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: I didn't say better.
• 37:13
  Speaker 6: Yeah, better's not the right word. But party is so efficient.
• 37:17
  Speaker 7: If it's Mac, which I think it's probably going to be,
• 37:19
  Speaker 7: I want nothing to do with that game.
• 37:21
  Speaker 3: Yeah, but they're winning with him. That's the thing. You
• 37:24
  Speaker 3: gotta win, Maxy.
• 37:25
  Speaker 6: They both those quarterbacks have moxie and I have.
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: Perty hasn't been healthy when he's tried to play.
• 37:31
  Speaker 6: Yeah, that's the problem to an.
• 37:33
  Speaker 5: Max, isn't. He's getting rid of the ball quick and
• 37:35
  Speaker 5: just going to his first read.
• 37:36
  Speaker 3: And it's the bananas.
• 37:38
  Speaker 5: He's basically Kyle Shannon's like puppet so and he's doing
• 37:41
  Speaker 5: a good job of feeling it. Soon Kyle Shannon wanted
• 37:43
  Speaker 5: to as his quarterback and there's a good chance to
• 37:45
  Speaker 5: get Pearsall and Door Jennings back this week. And both
• 37:49
  Speaker 5: teams are just so beat up so and they're going
• 37:50
  Speaker 5: to play a lot of zone take away the explosives
• 37:52
  Speaker 5: for Tampa who can't keep getting away with this? So
• 37:56
  Speaker 5: all right, we got Chargers chiefs, my Brandon, what are
• 37:58
  Speaker 5: your too?
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: I am opposed to Kendra on this on the Patriots pick,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: I like this Saints plus three and a half and
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the wood with the Packers minus fourteen.
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: I know we don't like these double digit favorites, but
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: you mentioned it, Stucky. The Packers might be the best
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: team in the NFL. The Bengals have the worst point
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: differential in the league. They can't run the ball three
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: point one yards per carry. That's dead last in the NFL.
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: So the Packers could just pin their ears back at home.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: Tee off on Flacco. Who people are gonna say this week.
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: They're gonna say this, Flacco's already beaten the Packers. Flacco
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: didn't beat the Packers. Flacco had a fifty five passer.
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: Rating in that game.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: The Browns won despite the fact that Flacco is their quarterback.
• 38:44
  Speaker 3: You're crazy the Packers should.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: Get their O line healthy and back, and if that happens,
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: it's just this is going to be a slaughter.
• 38:51
  Speaker 3: You're crazy.
• 38:53
  Speaker 4: Flacco is a vets that he's getting vetterable, he's getting
• 38:57
  Speaker 4: better receivers.
• 38:58
  Speaker 5: But that's the thing that these played with these guys,
• 39:03
  Speaker 5: that's the biggest problem.
• 39:04
  Speaker 4: It gives them juice though, like this is the reason
• 39:07
  Speaker 4: for that team to get up.
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: Now, I can get with you on that, like two
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: weeks down the road. But he just he had traded
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: after Sunday. He just got there.
• 39:17
  Speaker 5: The problem is he has no offensive line against that
• 39:19
  Speaker 5: pass rush. So that's the Yeah, he's.
• 39:20
  Speaker 3: Gonna get murdered.
• 39:21
  Speaker 5: But I can't believe I can't lay fourteen. I mean
• 39:23
  Speaker 5: it's laying fourteen. The NFL is just I just can't.
• 39:26
  Speaker 5: It's so dumb because there's no I shouldn't say it's
• 39:29
  Speaker 5: so dumb, but a lot of times it's just a
• 39:31
  Speaker 5: fool's thereon like it you're because there's no it's not
• 39:34
  Speaker 5: like college football. There's no incentive for these NFL teams
• 39:37
  Speaker 5: to win by a lot. So you're up by seventeen,
• 39:39
  Speaker 5: you're up by twenty one, which is a complete blowout
• 39:42
  Speaker 5: in the NFL, and then you're not You're just gonna
• 39:45
  Speaker 5: make all right, let's not turn it over. You run, run, run,
• 39:47
  Speaker 5: you punt, and then you like you saw at the
• 39:50
  Speaker 5: Bengals last week, they have really talented receivers. They could
• 39:53
  Speaker 5: hit some easy scores at the end. It's easily getting
• 39:56
  Speaker 5: his back door. So I can't authorize that I did
• 39:59
  Speaker 5: play this Saints, So I'm gonna vote then plus three
• 40:04
  Speaker 5: and a half your in, kenjer.
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: Let me just say this, there will be a live
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: line during Packers Bengals that is north of twenty points.
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: Maybe if you felt uncomfortable with it, come back in
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: on the Bengals.
• 40:17
  Speaker 5: Maybe Saints plus. All right, So Saints, Evan, do you
• 40:20
  Speaker 5: have any any thoughts there?
• 40:23
  Speaker 7: Give me the three and a half with the Saints
• 40:24
  Speaker 7: in the game. I told you I wouldn't bet on
• 40:26
  Speaker 7: five minutes ago.
• 40:27
  Speaker 5: All right.
• 40:29
  Speaker 3: The NFL just looks to me every fucking week.
• 40:33
  Speaker 5: All Right, We're going it's Saints plus three and a half,
• 40:35
  Speaker 5: Chargers money line, Chiefs money line plus three seventy.
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: I can't wait to whip it out. I'm so serious.
• 40:42
  Speaker 5: Bat draftings, you can say that I can't. Uh So, Yeah,
• 40:48
  Speaker 5: plus three seven. Let's hit our second one in three weeks.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah, let's do it.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: Chargers, money Line, Chiefs, money Line, Saints plus three.
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: And a half.
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: That I have a heart attack.
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: Special thanks Star producers Gifford Gold, David pay, Evan Abrams
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: on Stats and also on the Saints.
• 41:03
  Speaker 5: Ironically enough, there is, by the way, you the one,
• 41:08
  Speaker 5: the one thing that's good about the if you want
• 41:10
  Speaker 5: if I kind of convince you in the forty nine
• 41:12
  Speaker 5: Ers we're still doing this, or you convince people on
• 41:15
  Speaker 5: the Bengals. The four o'clock slate is so super reliant
• 41:18
  Speaker 5: on the Bank on the forty nine Ers, Bucks, it's Raiders.
• 41:21
  Speaker 5: There's only three games Raiders, Titans, Packers, Bengals, and then
• 41:27
  Speaker 5: Bucks forty nine Ers. I'm worried about that four o'clock
• 41:29
  Speaker 5: slate like that. We need that gain to be good.
• 41:32
  Speaker 5: It's the NFL. One of the other games we will
• 41:33
  Speaker 5: end up being weirdly good. But anyway, thanks for tuning in.
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: We'll see you next time here on the Favorites presented
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: by DraftKings, Let's Go cash these tickets.
• 41:50
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• 41:55
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• 41:58
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