Latest / The Bear Market Podcast with Fexingo: Surviving Downturns, Buying the Dip, and Long-Term Resilience
The 10-Year Yield at 4.49 Percent and What It Means for Stocks
Lucas and Luna dig into the 10-year Treasury yield hitting 4.49 percent on June 17, 2026, and how it is reshaping equity valuations. They focus on the growing divergence between the S&P 500's resilience and the Russell 2000's recent 0.9 percent weekly drop, arguing that the bond market is sending a signal about economic growth that stock investors may be ignoring. Lucas uses the Buffett Indicator—total market cap to GDP at roughly 200 percent—to frame the risk, and compares today's yield levels to the 2023-2024 period when stocks struggled under similar bond pressure. The…
The skinny
The skinny isn't ready yet — notes appear once the transcript is processed.