Latest / Tiger Territory: A Detroit Tigers Podcast / Greene, Vierling Need To Get Going
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: And welcome into another episode of Tiger Territory, part of
- 0:10Speaker 1: the Foul Territory Nowork, a Detroit Tiger's podcast. I'm Kieren
- 0:13Speaker 1: Stickley with me as always as a man who knows
- 0:16Speaker 1: that just because you're from Texas does not make you
- 0:19Speaker 1: a cowboy.
- 0:21Speaker 2: Hey, how you doing?
- 0:23Speaker 3: Hey? Hey? Good true. If you guys haven't checked out
- 0:25Speaker 3: the King of the Hill reboot, you know there's my
- 0:27Speaker 3: plug for that. You can be Texan without being a cowboy.
- 0:30Speaker 3: You can be cowboy without being Texan. Not always the
- 0:33Speaker 3: same thing.
- 0:34Speaker 2: That was inspired by and I and I like him.
- 0:37Speaker 2: I like him.
- 0:37Speaker 1: I never met him, but I like him. But Greganya
- 0:40Speaker 1: being like, you know.
- 0:40Speaker 2: I saw Chris Baddock walking in with his boots in
- 0:44Speaker 2: his head.
- 0:44Speaker 1: I was like, that's a man from Texas. If he
- 0:46Speaker 1: came in on a horse, I wouldn't be surprised.
- 0:48Speaker 3: Yeah, well, let's just dive into this. If you guys aren't,
- 0:51Speaker 3: aren't down for a whole episode of this talk and whatever?
- 0:54Speaker 3: I mean. That was like when they would type up
- 0:56Speaker 3: Tyler Alexander being a Texan. Yes, he's from Softley, will Vest,
- 1:00Speaker 3: even will Vest has a little country twinge, but he's
- 1:03Speaker 3: from like a nice area of Houston, like the horses here.
- 1:07Speaker 3: Come on.
- 1:10Speaker 1: But we saw Paddock for the second time, and and
- 1:12Speaker 1: we we've got a couple. We're starting to get into
- 1:15Speaker 1: the rotations a little bit. But we'll start with Paddick
- 1:17Speaker 1: because he started today and and and I'll I'll recount
- 1:20Speaker 1: because I actually got a text from if you guys
- 1:22Speaker 1: remember I got I asked one of my co workers,
- 1:25Speaker 1: as a Twins fan, like, what's the scout on Chris Paddock?
- 1:28Speaker 1: And he's like, he could either be really pretty solid
- 1:31Speaker 1: to really good for five to six or he's going
- 1:34Speaker 1: to give up three earned runs in the first inning.
- 1:38Speaker 1: That's as about a good source as it.
- 1:42Speaker 3: Needs to be working for a major league team.
- 1:44Speaker 1: Oh my god, that's exactly what we've experienced with Paddock
- 1:47Speaker 1: so far. He did settle down today, but the three
- 1:49Speaker 1: runs in the first uh put obviously the Tigers behind
- 1:52Speaker 1: the eight ball. But uh, you're you're as we say
- 1:56Speaker 1: here on on on the graphic here, Cody, your second
- 1:58Speaker 1: impression of one Chris Paddock not a cowboy.
- 2:01Speaker 3: But Chris Paddock is a cowboy. Chris, I mean he
- 2:04Speaker 3: dresses like a cowboy. He you know, so I think
- 2:07Speaker 3: Chris Paddock is a real cowboy uh as a pitcher.
- 2:13Speaker 3: My second impressions weren't a ton different than my first
- 2:16Speaker 3: store really my impressions from several years of watching Chris
- 2:19Speaker 3: Batic pitch. I mean, this guy has a what four
- 2:21Speaker 3: to four career era for a reason, It's been a
- 2:25Speaker 3: pretty big sample at this point. I think that's who
- 2:27Speaker 3: he is. And to your point, or to your your
- 2:30Speaker 3: sources point, like sometimes it's going to work out. His
- 2:33Speaker 3: first start, really good scoreboard results, But the Diamondbacks had
- 2:37Speaker 3: every average exitveilosity of ninety six miles an hour. What
- 2:40Speaker 3: that means is he gave up a lot of heart contact.
- 2:42Speaker 3: And if you give up a lot of hard contact,
- 2:44Speaker 3: more likely than not you were not going to have success.
- 2:47Speaker 3: The batting average is going to be higher, the slogging
- 2:49Speaker 3: person is just going to be higher, and more runs
- 2:51Speaker 3: are going to score. Had it came out first setting said, hey,
- 2:54Speaker 3: guess what a lot of hard contact one oh four,
- 2:58Speaker 3: one O seven, one o seven and those balls did
- 3:01Speaker 3: not fall in the gloves of fielders. Yeah, Matt Vierling
- 3:03Speaker 3: misplayed one, but there were some balls over the middle
- 3:06Speaker 3: of the plate that really got hammered. Kind of who
- 3:10Speaker 3: Paddock's been, He's not going to be a huge strikeout guy,
- 3:13Speaker 3: so it's tough for him to beat people on the zone.
- 3:15Speaker 3: Even though he does fill up the own, he doesn't
- 3:17Speaker 3: issue a lot of walks. But tonight he went four innings,
- 3:20Speaker 3: he only got one swing and miss. That was a
- 3:22Speaker 3: pretty big problem for the Tigers all night. They only
- 3:25Speaker 3: struck out two batters. We saw a lot of different arms.
- 3:28Speaker 3: So I don't I don't want to, like, I don't know.
- 3:31Speaker 3: I think this is who Paddock is, and the report
- 3:33Speaker 3: you gave Karen may well be the Paddock we're going
- 3:36Speaker 3: to see the rest of this season. He'll probably have
- 3:38Speaker 3: a couple more nice starts in them, and he'll probably
- 3:40Speaker 3: get rocked a couple of times, kind of how who's
- 3:42Speaker 3: been throughout his career.
- 3:44Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, the funny thing is like the more
- 3:48Speaker 1: I study Sky Harrison Company and the more I like
- 3:52Speaker 1: evaluate their moves like after they play out, the more
- 3:55Speaker 1: I just kind of real like I just get it.
- 3:58Speaker 1: Not that I understand them, but I like, I get
- 4:00Speaker 1: like the philosophy of eliminating as many variants as possible,
- 4:05Speaker 1: Like even though technically Paddocks has had like two variable outcomes,
- 4:09Speaker 1: it's all been in the zone. It could have been
- 4:11Speaker 1: worse too, by the way today had Winstel and I
- 4:14Speaker 1: made a stretching catch there and.
- 4:16Speaker 3: Right, few things more variable than the ball and play though,
- 4:20Speaker 3: So but he's.
- 4:23Speaker 2: He'specially to his reputation, though I guess.
- 4:26Speaker 3: Yeah, it is a consistent projectable results throughout his career.
- 4:30Speaker 1: Sure, which which I think is I don't think it's
- 4:34Speaker 1: a stretch to say that was one of the more
- 4:36Speaker 1: valuable traits or assets or whatever that they ended up
- 4:41Speaker 1: targeting in the trade headline and then ended up.
- 4:43Speaker 3: There's some stability in Chris Paddock if you consider a
- 4:47Speaker 3: mediocre e r A like stability there, there is.
- 4:51Speaker 1: That, Yeah, I mean, because I mean we've been doing
- 4:54Speaker 1: this podcast. Almost the entire time we've been doing this
- 4:56Speaker 1: podcast has been on the edges of very ability. And
- 5:00Speaker 1: that's why we have the Matt Manning conversations. That's why
- 5:02Speaker 1: we Tongue in Chink have the the Jack Flaherty conversation.
- 5:05Speaker 1: Now those now these are examples of wider outcomes. But
- 5:10Speaker 1: but but I think Paddock fits into that more narrow
- 5:12Speaker 1: outcome and and and you and you, and I think
- 5:15Speaker 1: AJ manages this way too, like like the entire the
- 5:19Speaker 1: entire system is built on, you know, having the greatest
- 5:23Speaker 1: degree of certainty that you can in a highly uncertain game.
- 5:27Speaker 1: So uh so, yeah, I mean it's like, you know,
- 5:30Speaker 1: the phrase he is who we thought he was certainly
- 5:34Speaker 1: comes to mind, but somebody that we hadn't seen yet.
- 5:37Speaker 2: And so we finally had a first impression. Cause slowly
- 5:39Speaker 2: trickling these uh these out a little bit is as we.
- 5:42Speaker 1: Saw the other Montero, uh, Raphael Montero, that is with
- 5:47Speaker 1: his luscious locks there on the mound. And and so
- 5:51Speaker 1: I'll say, I'll just throw to you, what did you
- 5:53Speaker 1: What did you think of the split?
- 5:56Speaker 3: Pretty much pitch to his reputation, the split had some
- 5:58Speaker 3: good action. He also struggled to find the strike zone.
- 6:01Speaker 3: He issued a couple of walks. It wasn't really the
- 6:04Speaker 3: eye test was not really pretty. It's one inning. Not
- 6:07Speaker 3: going to judge the guy too much on one outing,
- 6:10Speaker 3: just like we're not going to, you know, overreact to
- 6:12Speaker 3: the fact Charlie Morton had a very good start, Like,
- 6:14Speaker 3: let's see what happens. Give him some more time with
- 6:16Speaker 3: the pitching coaches, maybe he can figure something out. But
- 6:19Speaker 3: first impression of Rafael Montero is kind of a tough watch.
- 6:22Speaker 1: I thought, Yeah, I mean, I wouldn't call it the
- 6:26Speaker 1: toughest watch that we had out there tonight, but it
- 6:28Speaker 1: but it but but but it was a tough watch,
- 6:31Speaker 1: and and it and it again. There were the the
- 6:35Speaker 1: the little traits there that I recognized as like, okay,
- 6:38Speaker 1: that's why. But you also put him in when you're
- 6:41Speaker 1: down what three runs?
- 6:43Speaker 4: Uh?
- 6:43Speaker 1: And like AJ uses guys in situations for a reason,
- 6:48Speaker 1: specifically the pictures, but hitters to a certain extent, but
- 6:51Speaker 1: it's specifically the pitchers. And I think the fact that
- 6:53Speaker 1: we just now saw Raphael kind of speaks to like
- 6:58Speaker 1: where in the pecking order he is. And then and
- 7:00Speaker 1: then the question that's just going to keep coming up
- 7:03Speaker 1: until there's a resolution. Cody is the Brandon Hannafie aspect
- 7:07Speaker 1: of this, and then also the Luke Jackson aspect of this.
- 7:12Speaker 1: So I don't know, like it's like that one I
- 7:16Speaker 1: have a harder time getting a grasp on.
- 7:18Speaker 3: I'll just say that, Yeah, I feel like I really
- 7:21Speaker 3: try to not overreact to even if I don't personally
- 7:26Speaker 3: agree with every single move the teammates, to explain the
- 7:29Speaker 3: team's thinking, right, because They do these things for a reason.
- 7:31Speaker 3: It's not like they're sitting in the office and they're
- 7:33Speaker 3: just like, you know what, I think we should send
- 7:35Speaker 3: down Brennan. Like they study these things, they make these
- 7:38Speaker 3: mature reasons. I can't get behind this. I think gets
- 7:40Speaker 3: since a bad message. Cher Clubhouse that Brennan Hannafee is
- 7:43Speaker 3: in Triple A right now and Luke Jackson is up
- 7:45Speaker 3: here in the major leagues. Just had a pretty ugly outing,
- 7:48Speaker 3: a pretty tough watch. A couple of his outings up
- 7:51Speaker 3: here have been tough watches. This is the guy you've got.
- 7:54Speaker 3: He was a project. He's had some success. A couple
- 7:57Speaker 3: of years ago, he was let go by another team
- 8:00Speaker 3: for a reason because he wasn't performing well. And by
- 8:03Speaker 3: the way, yeah, Brenon Hannafy Karen has what a three
- 8:08Speaker 3: to one oherer. He had thrown nine scoreless outings before
- 8:12Speaker 3: he gave up a run in Philly. He had been
- 8:14Speaker 3: one of your better bullpen arms. He was an integral
- 8:16Speaker 3: part of the things you pulled off down the stretch
- 8:19Speaker 3: last season, and you optioned that guy. So you can
- 8:22Speaker 3: see a few more innings of Luke Jackson. I guess
- 8:26Speaker 3: the fun off is rationale is they must think they
- 8:28Speaker 3: can unlock something with Luke Jackson. Maybe it'll be worth it.
- 8:31Speaker 3: I don't know, maybe they'll be proven right. I kind
- 8:34Speaker 3: of think it's gonna be hard to justify Luke Jackson
- 8:36Speaker 3: be in here on Wednesday morning, And like I said,
- 8:39Speaker 3: I just think that sends a bad message to the
- 8:40Speaker 3: rest of your team, not just what's brendon hand? If
- 8:42Speaker 3: he's supposed to think, what is each guy in there?
- 8:44Speaker 3: What's Trek Scooble's supposed to think? It's kind of when
- 8:46Speaker 3: you guys are World Series and the guy who just
- 8:51Speaker 3: threw nine straight scoreless outings is in Triple A, so
- 8:53Speaker 3: we can watch Luke Jackson because a slider looks good
- 8:56Speaker 3: on the stuff plus models like, come on, man, I
- 8:58Speaker 3: don't I think that's I think that's tough. I think
- 9:00Speaker 3: that's a tough sell.
- 9:03Speaker 1: It's an easier sell in on June fifth than it
- 9:06Speaker 1: is August fifth optically, and and and and how you
- 9:11Speaker 1: feel about it. Whether that's the more right or wrong
- 9:14Speaker 1: way to go about thinking about it, I don't know,
- 9:16Speaker 1: but I'm just telling you that's how it feels. Because
- 9:18Speaker 1: I like the Carlos Hernandez thing. It was like, okay,
- 9:22Speaker 1: we get it.
- 9:23Speaker 3: Like and they needed a body when they picked up
- 9:27Speaker 3: Luke Jackson. You know, there's not necessarily that cressing need.
- 9:29Speaker 1: Now, Yeah, well, you need bodies you can trust, and
- 9:32Speaker 1: hannife was a trusted guy, uh all the way through.
- 9:35Speaker 1: So I mean, obviously it's not gonna be very long,
- 9:37Speaker 1: but I imagine that was quite an interesting uh manager's
- 9:41Speaker 1: office conversation for for for one Handifee and speaking of clubhouses,
- 9:46Speaker 1: we're gonna take a break. But on the other end
- 9:48Speaker 1: of this break, we're gonna ask Cody, who's now you
- 9:51Speaker 1: know there and seeing the clubhouse and like all these
- 9:54Speaker 1: new faces. We're gonna ask him what the clubhouse looks
- 9:56Speaker 1: like now. But first a word from our sponsors.
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- 11:00Speaker 1: Well, all right, speaking of comfort, you know, the Tigers
- 11:06Speaker 1: had obviously several additions made to the teams, particularly the
- 11:10Speaker 1: bullpen exclusively the bullpen, not exclusive, almost exclusively the bullpen exclusively,
- 11:14Speaker 1: the pitching staff. And that's a little bit of a turnover.
- 11:17Speaker 1: That's something that we're not used to covering the Tigers.
- 11:20Speaker 1: You're not used to covering a buyer at the deadline,
- 11:23Speaker 1: and unfortunately, because of travel issues, you weren't able to
- 11:25Speaker 1: be there in Philadelphia when this stuff was all new.
- 11:27Speaker 1: Since then, we've seen, as we talked about, some of
- 11:30Speaker 1: these guys come come come to play.
- 11:35Speaker 2: What's it like? What's it what's it like?
- 11:37Speaker 1: Seeing all these new faces and you know, keep in
- 11:39Speaker 1: mind also another new thing is there's a lot more
- 11:42Speaker 1: of these like brotherhood sort of like anecdotal things kind
- 11:45Speaker 1: of going around there. I'm not disputing, I'm not endorsing.
- 11:48Speaker 1: I'm just saying they are out there. So you're you're
- 11:50Speaker 1: a man on the street right now, Cody, what's what's
- 11:53Speaker 1: the vibes in the clubhouse now? After trade deadline and
- 11:56Speaker 1: a series loss and then a split with the Twins
- 11:59Speaker 1: who sold as hard as you could sell the deadline?
- 12:02Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it sure seems to me like the
- 12:04Speaker 3: Tigers have had good team chemistry all year, whether you
- 12:06Speaker 3: believe in the important to that or not, Like this
- 12:09Speaker 3: is a good group. This seems to be a group
- 12:10Speaker 3: that meshes together well, that plays as a team, that
- 12:14Speaker 3: plays with common goals in mind. I don't think the
- 12:16Speaker 3: fact that they like played ping pong together the other
- 12:19Speaker 3: night means they're gonna win the World Series. Like I'm
- 12:22Speaker 3: not sure that's I just don't really think that's relevant
- 12:24Speaker 3: to anything. But I do think this is a good
- 12:27Speaker 3: room and a good group of guys. I don't know
- 12:30Speaker 3: that it's, at least from what I can tell, super
- 12:32Speaker 3: changed by a few additions. Especially you look at the
- 12:34Speaker 3: guys they brought in. Chris Paddock. You know, he seems
- 12:38Speaker 3: like he's he's felt very welcome since walking in the door.
- 12:41Speaker 3: And yeah, he is a Texan, just like Jake Rogers
- 12:45Speaker 3: and Will vest and some other guys in there, so
- 12:47Speaker 3: maybe he has some commonalities Charlie Morton. I mean, this
- 12:50Speaker 3: guy's forty one. Now, he is much older than pretty
- 12:52Speaker 3: much everyone else in that room. But Morton was kind
- 12:56Speaker 3: of like, you know, it's a big league clubhouse. They're
- 12:58Speaker 3: all kind of the same. They're little differences here and there.
- 13:01Speaker 3: He wasn't necessarily like poo pooing the idea of chemistry,
- 13:04Speaker 3: but he did kind of been like, you know, it's
- 13:06Speaker 3: a similar vibing where you go. It's a baseball team,
- 13:09Speaker 3: and this is a guy who's been there and seen
- 13:11Speaker 3: it all, so I think, you know that that kind
- 13:14Speaker 3: of gets you thinking a little bit. And then some
- 13:16Speaker 3: other bullpen additions. Also note it's not like anyone notable
- 13:22Speaker 3: was shipped out at the deadline, so I think that
- 13:24Speaker 3: helps keep the feel of the room intact. So so far,
- 13:29Speaker 3: I'm not I'm not seeing a huge difference one way
- 13:31Speaker 3: or another, and that's probably a good thing.
- 13:34Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I guess it is worth noting that
- 13:37Speaker 1: outside of a couple instances that are pretty obvious, but
- 13:40Speaker 1: there weren't a whole lot of jobs lost rights as
- 13:44Speaker 1: you would typically expect when you bring in all these
- 13:47Speaker 1: make all this major league talent, So that probably that
- 13:50Speaker 1: probably does help. And I will I will say, I
- 13:52Speaker 1: don't know, like I'm not plugged into Twins Twitter or whatever,
- 13:59Speaker 1: or or any Twitter than the Tigres Twitter, but it did.
- 14:02Speaker 1: It did bring it out from Paddock when he said,
- 14:06Speaker 1: like all the things about the facilities and the staff
- 14:09Speaker 1: and the nutrition, and you're like, I don't want you know,
- 14:11Speaker 1: I'm paraphrasing, but he basically said all that other stuff
- 14:14Speaker 1: that players value that we don't necessarily see. That was
- 14:18Speaker 1: one that I actually did think that could be like
- 14:22Speaker 1: a real thing, is like, you know, the Tigers do
- 14:25Speaker 1: really good if that was like an infrastructure thing that
- 14:27Speaker 1: you don't always get and from that too, so he
- 14:30Speaker 1: would know.
- 14:31Speaker 3: Yeah, I hate like praising Chrisilich for like upgrading the
- 14:35Speaker 3: showers and stuff like that. But I do think the
- 14:38Speaker 3: investments the Tigers have made in terms of player facilities
- 14:42Speaker 3: and the general player experience has made a real difference.
- 14:45Speaker 3: I mean, a couple of years ago, before all these
- 14:47Speaker 3: renovations number one, in the clubhouse stuff, it wasn't in
- 14:50Speaker 3: good shape. It was aging quick. You could start to
- 14:53Speaker 3: hear players kind of grumbling about it. And now pretty
- 14:56Speaker 3: much that everyone who comes in here they're saying, like, hey,
- 14:58Speaker 3: this is a first class experience. For Chris Paddocks to
- 15:01Speaker 3: be saying that on day one, that's not nothing. You know,
- 15:04Speaker 3: the Tigers, they're not a perfect organization they've put but
- 15:09Speaker 3: they've put a lot of resources into the player experience.
- 15:13Speaker 3: So I do think players are being treated pretty well
- 15:15Speaker 3: in Detroit right now. Yeah.
- 15:18Speaker 1: The phrase, uh not everything, it's something or not. You know,
- 15:23Speaker 1: everything affects everything. Not a big deal, but it does.
- 15:26Speaker 1: But things do matter, you know, so like put that
- 15:30Speaker 1: forever it's worth. But it is like a thing that
- 15:33Speaker 1: does count for something. Uh So, so yeah, uh.
- 15:38Speaker 2: Let's let's transition to.
- 15:42Speaker 1: Another Like it's kind of newsy today even though it
- 15:44Speaker 1: didn't play, But that's why it's newsy.
- 15:46Speaker 2: And that and that's and that's Riley Green.
- 15:47Speaker 1: So we actually got a comment on her on our
- 15:50Speaker 1: YouTube page for our last episode, we didn't mention his slump.
- 15:53Speaker 1: And and you know, sometimes we don't get to everything.
- 15:55Speaker 1: It's okay to ask us why we didn't get to
- 15:57Speaker 1: something doesn't doesn't offend.
- 15:59Speaker 2: Me at all.
- 16:00Speaker 1: But but it feels fitting now to talk about it
- 16:03Speaker 1: because again, he sat against a right handed starting pitcher.
- 16:07Speaker 2: He's obviously going through right now.
- 16:08Speaker 1: You guys have probably all seen the stats about his
- 16:10Speaker 1: bat and averages since this date, that day whatever. He
- 16:14Speaker 1: is on pace to break the strikeout record, which is
- 16:19Speaker 1: something that even in an era where we're not supposed
- 16:23Speaker 1: to care about strikeouts, does seem kind of heavy. And
- 16:25Speaker 1: and and so he's no longer doing the mustache thing.
- 16:28Speaker 1: He's going back to the beer thing, like you've been
- 16:31Speaker 1: there a couple of days. So I'm just kind of curious,
- 16:33Speaker 1: like if there's any and what aj perhaps said or
- 16:37Speaker 1: didn't say about it, Like what's kind of the the
- 16:40Speaker 1: Riley Green vibe?
- 16:43Speaker 3: I mean, I think that ViBe's pretty unchanged too. I
- 16:45Speaker 3: think we've talked about it a lot all year, the
- 16:48Speaker 3: strikeouts and how's Riley feel, and how's the team feel?
- 16:50Speaker 3: And the production has been there still at a high level.
- 16:54Speaker 3: I've been a pretty big Riley Green defender all year
- 16:57Speaker 3: and sayda, I can live with the strikeouts. It is
- 16:59Speaker 3: getting harder order to defend as they keep stacking up,
- 17:02Speaker 3: as that rate creeps well over thirty percent. I think
- 17:06Speaker 3: it was good to get him a day off Tuesday.
- 17:08Speaker 3: He probably needs something he needs to reset. Yeah, Like
- 17:13Speaker 3: I just think this has gotten a little too extreme.
- 17:16Speaker 3: Can live with a high strikeout rate, can't live with
- 17:18Speaker 3: a ton of chase. Can't live with not walking at
- 17:21Speaker 3: all here, and that's been a huge thing. The walk
- 17:23Speaker 3: rate has dropped off big time, if you recall the
- 17:26Speaker 3: reason people were talking up Riley Green before the season.
- 17:30Speaker 3: In each of his years, the strikeout rate has gone down,
- 17:33Speaker 3: the walk rate has gone up. The hard hit rate
- 17:35Speaker 3: has also gone up well. This year, the strikeout rate
- 17:38Speaker 3: has jumped from twenty six percent to thirty two percent,
- 17:41Speaker 3: and the walk rate has dropped from eleven percent to
- 17:44Speaker 3: six percent, which is a career low. So in a way,
- 17:47Speaker 3: it's almost less about the strikeouts. It's the lack of
- 17:50Speaker 3: walks hurts his hitting profile. The chase rate also the
- 17:56Speaker 3: worst of his career. So there are a difference between
- 17:58Speaker 3: going up there and hey, you're gonna be on high
- 18:00Speaker 3: fastballs and making poor swing decisions, Like, like, there's got
- 18:05Speaker 3: to be a little bit more of a balance. I
- 18:07Speaker 3: think we're at a point where it's certainly fair to
- 18:08Speaker 3: admit that.
- 18:10Speaker 1: Here's something that kind of had me raise my eyebrows.
- 18:14Speaker 1: Was last year Green obviously his like breakout year. He
- 18:18Speaker 1: was a five point four when war player warplayer. Right
- 18:24Speaker 1: now as currently stands on references, it's two point one.
- 18:28Speaker 2: Like this is slipping and.
- 18:30Speaker 3: He's getting knocked on his defense too. Even though he
- 18:32Speaker 3: keeps making a lot of highlight reels, he's not greating
- 18:34Speaker 3: out the same.
- 18:35Speaker 1: And another thing, I'm just gonna throw a couple of
- 18:37Speaker 1: random stats out there. What they mean, you know, can
- 18:40Speaker 1: be up to everybody's interpretation. But last year he played
- 18:44Speaker 1: now he was you know, he had the hamstring injury,
- 18:46Speaker 1: but he played one hundred and thirty seven games last year.
- 18:49Speaker 1: This year he's already up to one eleven and we
- 18:54Speaker 1: still got like what forty seven games left ish, give
- 18:58Speaker 1: or take. So we're talking about toll on the body stuff,
- 19:01Speaker 1: and then something don't know I don't. I don't, you know,
- 19:06Speaker 1: like I would be curious what his batting plan was
- 19:10Speaker 1: last offseason, how much of it was him and his
- 19:13Speaker 1: team scause you know this happens with players. How much
- 19:14Speaker 1: it was him and his team, and how much of
- 19:16Speaker 1: it was you know, Tigers advised and you know all
- 19:19Speaker 1: that stuff. That's every organization goes through this with every player,
- 19:22Speaker 1: especially players of note. But anyway, he is swinging at
- 19:26Speaker 1: first pitches Cody at a forty point two percent clip
- 19:31Speaker 1: last year thirty point two, so a ten percent increase
- 19:36Speaker 1: in first pitch swing decisions this year. So I looked
- 19:40Speaker 1: at that and I thought, okay, well, maybe he's got
- 19:43Speaker 1: to take more pitches, because, like you know, maybe that's
- 19:47Speaker 1: maybe a source of him not doing damage.
- 19:49Speaker 2: Well, actually, no, the opposite.
- 19:51Speaker 3: Uh.
- 19:51Speaker 1: He's he's got a one point two eight six oh
- 19:56Speaker 1: ps on first pitches and and he's also also on
- 20:01Speaker 1: one oh counts though he's got a one point two
- 20:04Speaker 1: eighty six oh ps. Uh when when he when he's
- 20:06Speaker 1: in one o county first of all, and play there.
- 20:09Speaker 1: The problem is, here's something weird. His batting average is
- 20:14Speaker 1: only one point a point one two five on a
- 20:18Speaker 1: two oh count on a.
- 20:19Speaker 3: Two o count Cody, that's not that's not good.
- 20:23Speaker 1: I feel like I feel like that's like a hitter
- 20:25Speaker 1: of his caliber's got to take advantage of two oh counts.
- 20:27Speaker 2: I don't think that's an outlandish thing to say.
- 20:30Speaker 1: And then of course when he's behind in counts, he
- 20:33Speaker 1: he struggles as well, but you would.
- 20:35Speaker 3: He's getting jumpedy on two oh, like trying too hard
- 20:38Speaker 3: to look for damage. Either that or he's having some
- 20:40Speaker 3: horrible babbit block on two oh. But that's that's pretty extreme.
- 20:45Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean his babbage is about the same.
- 20:48Speaker 1: So yeah, so he's he's yeah, I think it's jumpy,
- 20:52Speaker 1: or maybe he's assuming he's getting something better than he's getting.
- 20:55Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 20:56Speaker 2: So so those are just a couple of numbers.
- 20:59Speaker 3: On base percentage all the way down to three point fifteen,
- 21:02Speaker 3: that's gonna be a big knock on your war. Again,
- 21:04Speaker 3: if you can get that walk rate even up to
- 21:06Speaker 3: league average eight percent, you're probably looking what three twenty five,
- 21:10Speaker 3: three thirty, that's gonna help you out. That's gonna look nice.
- 21:13Speaker 3: All that requires chasing less. And let's just bring up
- 21:16Speaker 3: one other concern I have with this team, Karen not
- 21:19Speaker 3: dominating the strike zone. I read off their strikeout percentage
- 21:24Speaker 3: before the trade deadline. I think I must have had
- 21:26Speaker 3: my splits wrong on fangrafts or something is wrong. They're
- 21:29Speaker 3: all the way up. They're striking out the third highest
- 21:31Speaker 3: clip in the major leagues, and their walk rate is twentieth,
- 21:35Speaker 3: so they're walking a little bit less than the average
- 21:39Speaker 3: bottom third and they're striking out the third most main
- 21:42Speaker 3: team in baseball. Riley is a huge part of that, obviously,
- 21:44Speaker 3: but there are other guys too. That's not gonna bode
- 21:47Speaker 3: well for you in the postseason. That's that's been a
- 21:50Speaker 3: big part of their offensive decline, uh post All Star Break,
- 21:54Speaker 3: and that's something that's gonna have to correct, I think
- 21:57Speaker 3: to really have confidence in this team heading INTOCTAB, I.
- 22:01Speaker 1: Think there's a good I think there's a good argument
- 22:05Speaker 1: to be made that this team's success postseason. Uh, well,
- 22:10Speaker 1: you know, getting to the postseason and then seeding and
- 22:12Speaker 1: then you know, success in the postseason will largely be
- 22:15Speaker 1: determined by how real are.
- 22:19Speaker 2: In season adjustments.
- 22:21Speaker 1: Because I mean all those numbers that we laid out there,
- 22:23Speaker 1: Riley's gonna have to make some sort of late late
- 22:26Speaker 1: in season adjustments and then how much of regression countering
- 22:31Speaker 1: can occur.
- 22:32Speaker 2: Those are those are the really the two things.
- 22:34Speaker 1: Those are really the two test cases that we are
- 22:36Speaker 1: going to see play out in real time. Will be
- 22:40Speaker 1: that will determine what the Tigers do this season, because
- 22:43Speaker 1: to get here obviously has had a lot of special
- 22:45Speaker 1: but to truly be special, those two things are going
- 22:48Speaker 1: to have to either occur or or be you know,
- 22:52Speaker 1: or be crescendo the possibility of regressing so or decrescendoed
- 22:56Speaker 1: I should say so. Which brings us to another outfielder,
- 23:01Speaker 1: another guy who literally just had a collision with Riley Green.
- 23:05Speaker 1: We'll talk about Matt Vierling here.
- 23:06Speaker 2: In a second, but first a word from our sponsors.
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- 24:09Speaker 1: Go for it, all right, So we got a little
- 24:15Speaker 1: bit of a medical update regarding Parker Meadows and that
- 24:18Speaker 1: he's beginning I'm quoting as close as I can here,
- 24:21Speaker 1: Cody beginning a return to run progression. Uh, seems as
- 24:25Speaker 1: close to the phrasing there. And he's taking VP and
- 24:28Speaker 1: you know all this stuff. But so when he's in
- 24:30Speaker 1: center field, that obviously changes the dynamic potentially, even though
- 24:33Speaker 1: we haven't seen it of the team. But the whole
- 24:35Speaker 1: point of like sort of this roster construction is that
- 24:39Speaker 1: if Parker gets hurt, which he has been prone to
- 24:42Speaker 1: do as a professional, if he struggles, which as a
- 24:45Speaker 1: major leaguer and as a professional in general. We have
- 24:48Speaker 1: seen before like Vierlink can kind of hold hold water
- 24:53Speaker 1: there in center field and then you know, split some
- 24:55Speaker 1: third base there. The problem is we haven't really seen
- 24:59Speaker 1: anything close to Matt Vierlan that was a like, like
- 25:03Speaker 1: a real valuable asset to the team last year. Just
- 25:06Speaker 1: to recap, he had his seven thirty five ops last season,
- 25:09Speaker 1: sixteen home runs, nearly a two to sixty average. Like
- 25:14Speaker 1: he was a guy that you could count on to
- 25:16Speaker 1: like a pretty good extent, to make the right play,
- 25:21Speaker 1: to to hit lefties, to like be sound defensively, and
- 25:27Speaker 1: in ninety three played appearances coming into today, it just
- 25:31Speaker 1: hasn't really shown that. And then he has you know,
- 25:33Speaker 1: misplays in center field, and and he had his.
- 25:36Speaker 2: First you know, credit to him. I don't want to like,
- 25:39Speaker 2: you know.
- 25:39Speaker 1: He did have his first multi hit game of the season,
- 25:42Speaker 1: so like you I don't want to be overly negative
- 25:44Speaker 1: when he had in theory his best hitting performance of
- 25:46Speaker 1: the season. But at the same time, these concerns are
- 25:49Speaker 1: very real because even if Parker comes back, you don't
- 25:53Speaker 1: know exactly what you're getting out of Parker right now,
- 25:55Speaker 1: and you and you want you want Matt to be
- 25:58Speaker 1: a little bit more of a known commodity.
- 26:01Speaker 3: Yeah, we're twenty eight games in. Vierling has only two doubles,
- 26:05Speaker 3: no triples, no home runs. That's not good. We've heard
- 26:09Speaker 3: aj Hinch and others kind of throw out, well, you know,
- 26:11Speaker 3: he didn't have the spring training. In a way, this
- 26:14Speaker 3: is his spring training. For as much as we complain
- 26:16Speaker 3: about spring training and being too long, there are a
- 26:19Speaker 3: lot of examples of when guys don't play in spring training,
- 26:22Speaker 3: it takes them a while to get going in the
- 26:25Speaker 3: regular season. But I'll just say this, it's go time
- 26:30Speaker 3: for matf Viarling. Okay, he did a lot of rehab games.
- 26:33Speaker 3: I know he had to go back and kind of
- 26:35Speaker 3: start that over, but he had sixty three at bats
- 26:39Speaker 3: in his rehab Sence, he's now had ninety plus plate
- 26:43Speaker 3: appearances in the major leagues, most of those since being
- 26:48Speaker 3: since being active. Like, he's had a spring training's worth
- 26:52Speaker 3: of plate appearances. So let's go back. Okay, we're past
- 26:56Speaker 3: the point of that being an excuse, where now he
- 26:59Speaker 3: just goes other twenty thirty at bats. It's like, is
- 27:02Speaker 3: this viable? Like what do we do? It could get
- 27:05Speaker 3: real awkward, real quick. So it's go time. You've had
- 27:09Speaker 3: that sample, You've had plenty of played appearances. Maybe two
- 27:12Speaker 3: hits is a good start. I don't know. Miss playing
- 27:16Speaker 3: two balls. They had some weird backspin on him, they
- 27:18Speaker 3: were both smoked. Doesn't really make an excuse at the
- 27:21Speaker 3: major league level, but obviously you don't want to see that.
- 27:24Speaker 3: I think a little bit of a reminder that Vierling
- 27:27Speaker 3: did not great out well in centerfield early in his
- 27:29Speaker 3: career negative seven one year in Philly, minus four his
- 27:32Speaker 3: first year in Detroit, and then better last year. But
- 27:36Speaker 3: he's not a Parker Meadows caliber center fielder by any means.
- 27:39Speaker 3: Even though he's fast, I don't think he patrols the outfield,
- 27:43Speaker 3: especially center, in quite the same way. You need Matt
- 27:47Speaker 3: Virling's bats to produce. You need at least one of
- 27:50Speaker 3: Vierling where Meadows to play well for you in August
- 27:53Speaker 3: in September, and we're going to be having the same
- 27:56Speaker 3: discussion with Meadows. I assume he's probably gonna need a
- 27:58Speaker 3: short rehab assignment, and that's gonna be like, well, he's
- 28:01Speaker 3: never really gotten going, he's never really got in a rhythm.
- 28:03Speaker 3: He kind of had to spring training worth of the
- 28:05Speaker 3: bats then he had to start all over again. So
- 28:08Speaker 3: Matt Verling on this is going to be on you
- 28:10Speaker 3: a little bit. And Vieling's been a good player at
- 28:13Speaker 3: this level. It's in there, it's just time to make
- 28:17Speaker 3: it happen.
- 28:18Speaker 1: Yeah, there's belief there because there were several contenders that
- 28:21Speaker 1: made acquisitions for other like pieces in center field, and
- 28:25Speaker 1: obviously the Tigers were We're not We're not one of them.
- 28:28Speaker 3: No, I think they would rather bet on Vierling end
- 28:31Speaker 3: meadows than what Harrison Bader like. I think the Scott
- 28:35Speaker 3: Harris quote about judging what you could have first what
- 28:38Speaker 3: you already have is very applicable to center field, and
- 28:41Speaker 3: I agree with it. I think I would battle on
- 28:43Speaker 3: those guys over the other type of options that were
- 28:47Speaker 3: available as well.
- 28:48Speaker 1: If you want to feel a little bit better, He's
- 28:51Speaker 1: got he doesn't qualify for this, but ver Lane is
- 28:54Speaker 1: you know, he's got good eggs at be low. He's
- 28:57Speaker 1: got good with percentage, Like his arm is actually holding
- 29:00Speaker 1: up well, which again was it you know, concerns that
- 29:04Speaker 1: was his injury. So there are some things that you think,
- 29:06Speaker 1: like if he gets going like it will translate. Interestingly,
- 29:09Speaker 1: he's only in the fifty eight percent tile in sprints,
- 29:11Speaker 1: speed baseball A savant seems seems low, but you know
- 29:16Speaker 1: he's got to he's he does have to get going.
- 29:19Speaker 1: I think that's one of the more underrated keys for
- 29:22Speaker 1: this for this team moving forward as we kind of
- 29:24Speaker 1: reshape the the expectations and and what they could do
- 29:27Speaker 1: based on what they have done so far this year.
- 29:30Speaker 1: All right, wrapping up, it's Torres didn't play today. Seems
- 29:35Speaker 1: like should be okay.
- 29:38Speaker 3: That's that's the early word for Aj Hinch. He'd been
- 29:40Speaker 3: battling some form of forum pain or tightness for a
- 29:43Speaker 3: couple of days. So hey, I don't I don't think
- 29:45Speaker 3: i'd prefer to do one a bat off the bench,
- 29:48Speaker 3: AJ said, basically, we're just gonna give you the day off,
- 29:50Speaker 3: you know, unless it's an emergency. I think the hope
- 29:53Speaker 3: is we'll be back to normal Wednesday. It's a day game,
- 29:55Speaker 3: so we'll see. But initial word, no huge concern with
- 29:59Speaker 3: Clicker Torres.
- 30:00Speaker 2: And you heard from Reese Olsen.
- 30:02Speaker 3: Yeah, Reese still waiting final word on his latest medical evaluation,
- 30:07Speaker 3: but he seemed to think that he's getting good news.
- 30:10Speaker 3: Says it's not going to be something that requires surgery,
- 30:12Speaker 3: which I think was certainly the fear based on how
- 30:15Speaker 3: the Tigers were talking about this injury earlier. He's saying,
- 30:18Speaker 3: everyone thinks it could be a scenario where if the
- 30:21Speaker 3: Tigers make a deep run into October, maybe he's able
- 30:24Speaker 3: to come back and contribute. I do think it's fair
- 30:27Speaker 3: to look at that through kind of skeptical leins, like,
- 30:29Speaker 3: all right, you know you're saying deep runs, So does
- 30:31Speaker 3: that mean you're not ready for the Alds? And then
- 30:34Speaker 3: if they're in the ALCS and you haven't pitched in
- 30:37Speaker 3: two months, you're really going to be comfortable activating him.
- 30:40Speaker 3: If you are, that probably means your bullpen has not
- 30:43Speaker 3: been performing well. And if your bullpen has not been
- 30:45Speaker 3: performing well, or are you going to be in the ALCS.
- 30:47Speaker 3: So a little bit of a lot going on there.
- 30:50Speaker 3: But if Reese is able to avoid surgery and at
- 30:53Speaker 3: the very least have a normal off season in spring training,
- 30:55Speaker 3: I think that's kind of a win based on where
- 30:59Speaker 3: we're at in with that situation.
- 31:02Speaker 1: Yeah, if he's even remotely available regardless of whether they
- 31:05Speaker 1: activate him, I would consider that a good thing moving
- 31:08Speaker 1: forward long term.
- 31:09Speaker 2: Reese, all right, you can.
- 31:12Speaker 3: I got I got one point. I want to bring
- 31:13Speaker 3: up to we saw I met Paul Seawald today. Paul
- 31:17Speaker 3: sewal trade acquisition, probably their biggest name trade acquisition in
- 31:21Speaker 3: a way that we've all forgotten about because he's not
- 31:24Speaker 3: healthy until September tenth. If I were to play Devil's
- 31:28Speaker 3: advocate with myself right and they like, did Scott Ayers
- 31:33Speaker 3: have a better trade deadline than everyone's giving him a
- 31:35Speaker 3: credit for, I think it might start an end with
- 31:38Speaker 3: Paul Seawal because it doesn't like it all right, this
- 31:42Speaker 3: guy isn't pitched, it's not healthy, Like, what's the point
- 31:44Speaker 3: of getting him if you're not healthy? Well, you have
- 31:47Speaker 3: a huge lead in this division. Fangrefs gives you a
- 31:50Speaker 3: ninety six percent chance to win the Ale Central right now?
- 31:53Speaker 3: Was it smarter to get a guy basically for nothing
- 31:58Speaker 3: that you don't need an aug and maybe he's ready
- 32:01Speaker 3: to come help you in September and October when it
- 32:05Speaker 3: really matters. You're getting a guy who's been a closer
- 32:08Speaker 3: at the major league level, who does strike guys out,
- 32:11Speaker 3: who can be a very good pitcher when he's healthy,
- 32:14Speaker 3: when he's at his best. Instead of giving up prospects
- 32:18Speaker 3: for Ryan Helsley or whoever else you want to throw
- 32:22Speaker 3: in this mix. You got this guy for like nothing,
- 32:25Speaker 3: and you can probably feel a little more comfortable doing
- 32:27Speaker 3: that because you have such a big lead in your division.
- 32:30Speaker 3: If this was almost an October only move, maybe that's smart. Now,
- 32:37Speaker 3: I'd still be a little worried going back to my
- 32:39Speaker 3: regular self, like he just hasn't been healthy. I'd been
- 32:44Speaker 3: when guys miss a long time, I just struggle to
- 32:47Speaker 3: think they're going to come back from day one or
- 32:50Speaker 3: week one or week two and be the best version
- 32:52Speaker 3: of themselves. It just doesn't happen very often. So that's
- 32:55Speaker 3: a concernless sea all. But I don't know. Maybe that's
- 32:59Speaker 3: a smarter move and we've given it credit for.
- 33:02Speaker 1: I mean, I always kind of bank that into like
- 33:06Speaker 1: the thought process, and I always believe that that was
- 33:11Speaker 1: the that was the intention. But at the same time,
- 33:16Speaker 1: it's not. It's not a long time to get going
- 33:19Speaker 1: because the whole jose ercurity thing or key D thing
- 33:23Speaker 1: is it plays into that as well. So, uh, that
- 33:28Speaker 1: is something that you could be looking like a genius.
- 33:30Speaker 2: It's a low, low risk, high reward move, but maybe.
- 33:35Speaker 1: It's one of those ones that puts you puts you
- 33:37Speaker 1: over the top, or maybe we never see Sea Wald
- 33:40Speaker 1: pitch more than like two.
- 33:41Speaker 2: Ends, so it's like the range of outcomes is wide.
- 33:44Speaker 2: So this is one of those ones where.
- 33:45Speaker 1: The range of outcomes is wide, whereas we just talked
- 33:47Speaker 1: to the beginning about small range of outcomes.
- 33:50Speaker 2: So there you go. Tie it into what we started
- 33:52Speaker 2: talking about.
- 33:52Speaker 1: So you can follow us on x probably known as
- 33:54Speaker 1: Twitter at Coobe Steven Hagen, I'm at Kieran Underscore, Deckley
- 33:57Speaker 1: pot Page at Tiger Territory Underscore. Reminder, our shop is
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- 34:05Speaker 2: Just ordered some of myself. Can't wait to wear them
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- 34:08Speaker 1: Pod, Apple, Spotify, YouTube, Instagram, wherever you listen to your podcast.
- 34:13Speaker 1: You guys know what to do. We appreciate all of you.
- 34:14Speaker 1: So for Cody Stavienhagen, I'm Karen Steckley. There, we have
- 34:18Speaker 1: a great day.