Latest / The Extra Point / Week 4 Preview | Utah-Texas Tech, Oklahoma -Auburn, and more

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Week 4 Preview | Utah-Texas Tech, Oklahoma -Auburn, and more · The Extra Point

• 0:00
  What's up y'all? You're listening to the extra
• 0:02
  point college football podcast. I'm your host Jacob Carter
• 0:05
  joined us always by my Co host Daniel Hammock.
• 0:07
  Daniel, Week 3 in the books. That means unfortunately, we're
• 0:11
  25% of the way through the college football season.
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  I know some teams have played two games, but we're three weeks
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  in. We're we're right at that 25%
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  mark. And so we're learning about a
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  lot of teams. Daniel, and mantra for this week
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  is, hey, we've seen three games. Trust your eyes, like teams have
• 0:27
  through this point at least shown us a little bit or a lot
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  of bit of who they are. Trust your eyes.
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  And we have a couple more games, a couple more teams even.
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  We're going to talk about today that I feel like haven't been
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  tested yet. But man, after this week, it's
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  kind of teams have put it on the field and it's time to trust
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  what you know, trust your eyes, what they put on the field.
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  We had a lot of good games this past weekend.
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  Daniel, how you doing? Doing good.
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  You said it, you said it correct.
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  And there are a couple that snuck through the cracks,
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  haven't played maybe anyone in their conference yet or
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  something like that. We're going to need to kind of
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  see that come out. But yeah, this has been this
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  week was telling more good upsets, more, I mean, just some
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  great games in every window where it was almost like you
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  couldn't miss a possession. And that's honestly the best
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  kind of football. So I was glued basically from
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  noon until, you know, 11:00 at night, which is what I want to
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  be. So it was awesome.
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  I love it Daniel. Let's let's dive into our, you
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  know our regular season, our show structure.
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  If this your first time listening, we cover college
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  football, it's a four quarter sport.
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  Our end season show is 4 quarters as well.
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  Here's we enter the first quarter of our show.
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  Daniel, our first quarter, We go through one thing we learned
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  this weekend. Daniel, what's one thing you
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  learned after watching the games this past weekend?
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  Yeah, I'm going to use a quote from head coach Brett Key of the
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  Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. And he says when you see the
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  Haines King gangster limp, then you're in trouble.
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  And anyone who watches Georgia Tech regularly knows exactly
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  what we're talking about. This man does not look healthy,
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  ever. He is putting his body on the
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  line he throws himself. If you see the meme of that kid
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  from The Simpsons getting thrown through the window, that's
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  that's Hank's king every game. With Hank's king face and a
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  helmet on that kid, it was phenomenal.
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  My gosh, yeah. So but they asked, they actually
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  had Brent Key discussed that a little bit and he said, you
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  know, he walks around normal and everything like that and he'll
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  he'll kind of Sprint around in the game and be fine.
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  But it's almost like it it locks him in when he gets banged up a
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  little bit and he kind of locks in and really like hones in.
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  And that's really where the game is 1 is when he when he's, you
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  know, been touched up a little bit because he's he's that kind
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  of guy likes to stick his nose in there.
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  And he kind of grew up always trying to prove himself to his
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  dad, who's a a football coach. So, yeah, impressed with the
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  win, obviously, Georgia Tech over Clemson, kind of that fire
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  drill at the end to kick that long field goal walk off.
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  I mean, unbelievable, unbelievable.
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  Great way to start our college football Saturday.
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  And we talked about this, that Georgia Tech, when they hired
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  Brent Key, I was worried about the hire because they had
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  cheaped out and not, I mean, the biggest one was Willie Fritz of
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  like Willie Fritz said, let me coach the bowl game.
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  But allegedly, of course, you know, every coach is every
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  school's first choice and only choice.
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  You know, that he wanted away through the bowl game.
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  Tech was like, no. And he wanted to, you know, pay
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  raise for all of his staff to bring and they kind of didn't
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  have the money. So they hire Brett Key and
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  they've gotten Daniel just like a football coach.
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  And that's what Georgia Tech needed was a football coach to
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  come in and establish a culture, especially when, again, like
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  your two rivals and teams you play every year are Georgia and
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  Clemson. And so like, you need like
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  physicality, composure, and like, I thought that that kick
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  at the end to win was an encapsulation of that program of
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  just, I mean, prepared. I think that's like when you
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  look at Georgia Tech, like physical and prepared, which you
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  have been able to say for years for Georgia Tech because that
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  was perfect execution. I mean, I feel like that that
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  program has embodied their head coach.
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  And Daniel, you, you talk about Haines King and the the gangster
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  limp. Is that what you said?
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  Yeah, the gangster limp. That's what Brent Key called it.
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  I'm looking at Georgia Tech schedule, man.
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  They've got Temple at home, they go to Wake Forest.
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  They've got a head coach was Virginia Tech at home.
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  They go to Duke. They've got Syracuse at home.
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  They go to NC State, they go to Boston College.
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  After a bye week, they host Pitt and then they go, you know, to a
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  neutral site in Atlanta and Mercedes-Benz to play Georgia.
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  They're not going to have to use hangings King like that.
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  I think into, I mean, maybe against again, I could be wrong,
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  but like Duke on the road, maybe NC State, maybe, you know,
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  Boston College looked awful. Syracuse doesn't look great.
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  Maybe pit and then Georgia, like can you just get him healthy for
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  Georgia? Can we be looking at
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  realistically they're three, you know, like I think 9:00 and 3:00
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  at this point should be the floor for Georgetown.
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  Like that might be disappointing for sure.
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  Nine and three. And last year, you look at it,
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  when they were giving Haynes King some rest early on, they're
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  putting in Zac Pyron, which was their initial backup before they
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  discovered Aaron Philo, which is a very capable backup.
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  So even if they play Philo, who's now the you know #2 guy, I
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  I don't think they lose a lot in the sense that they can win
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  games with him, especially Temple, Wake Forest, who's
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  terrible, you know, NC State, a lot of these games, they should
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  be in good hands. Not saying that they should go
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  there, but maybe split the, you know, reps up a little bit.
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  You don't have to give him the whole game.
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  You don't have to run him so hard.
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  That kind of stuff kind of play, you know, not necessarily, you
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  know, with your left hand, but maybe you don't use the whole,
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  you know, playbook because you don't have to.
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  You just you got the win that most people were counting as a
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  loss when they looked at the schedule.
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  So you're already ahead of the game.
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  So great job, Georgia Tech. I'm glad we talked about winners
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  first, Daniel, because the one thing I learned is,
• 6:21
  unfortunately, Clemson's exactly who I thought they were.
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  That's what I learned and I should have listened to myself
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  for the past four years before being in on Clemson this year.
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  And I'll excuse myself in that it wasn't just me, it was
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  everyone. You know, I believed in them and
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  you did them to everybody else. Because I think last year showed
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  Clemson of like, OK, no longer a national powerhouse, but still
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  owns the ACC right? Of like, which is exactly who I
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  thought they were. And coming into the season, I I
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  even said that line of I think they're going to go 12:00 and
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  1:00, but I don't believe for one second they can compete for
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  a national championship. And it turns out I was right and
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  wrong and that I'm right about their they can't compete for a
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  national championship anymore. But man, I don't even know if
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  they can run the ACC anymore given what they just did.
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  The Georgia Tech. One thing we've been consistent
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  about on this show is that hey, watch out for Clemson post 2020.
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  Just went on a run of like one of the best quarterbacks in
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  program history, Taj Boyd, generational talent, Deshaun
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  Watson, one year of Kelly Bryant, generational talent,
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  Trevor Lawrence. Like you hit three out of four
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  quarterbacks in a row, which 99% of programs do not do in college
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  football. And because of that, then you
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  pair it with you had one top three class and really one top
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  seven class for that matter, where you had this massive
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  defensive line where you get all hits.
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  It all clicked. You have the ACCS, all time
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  leading rusher. It all clicked and it was
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  covering up what we thought were some major problems for Clemson,
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  which one of those being offensive line was consistently
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  bad during that time period. But everything else is so good,
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  it didn't matter, especially generational quarterback play
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  and that they weren't recruit. They were developing great, they
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  great evaluation, but they were not recruiting and adapting like
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  other national title players. And again, the reason I'm
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  comparing Clemson to other national title programs is
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  because they won two out of three national titles.
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  They slayed Saban and Alabama, Dabo raised the standard for
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  this program and this I wrote all this down Daniel in my notes
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  prior to Dabo going on his rant on Monday, which made it so good
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  that I already had this ready. Because The thing is for Dabo
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  complaining about people being like, you know, we, we, we won
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  the ACC 7 out of 10 years. Is that good?
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  Which we, we were talking pre show.
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  By the way, if you've seen the Dabo rants, just go and find the
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  question that was asked before he went on a 13 minute rant over
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  an hour long press conference. By the way, the question that
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  was asked was if you could have back one play on offense in the
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  Georgia Tech team, what would it be?
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  And then you got 13 minutes of a lot of the clips you've probably
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  seen on social media. Well Dang of the reason people
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  are comparing Clemson to that is because of the standard that he
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  himself set at Clemson. And that's that's a compliment
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  to Dabo and Clemson and that he's the greatest coach in
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  Clemson history. He took that program from a good
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  program to we should expect to compete for the national
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  championship. That's what Dabo Swinney did at
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  Clemson, build the statue. He could never win another game
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  at Clemson and he's the greatest coach that program's ever had.
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  But they went from regional to national like that.
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  Overnight and again a program that everyone rooted for because
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  again, when you have a dominant program, people want to root
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  against Arth Vader. They want to root for Luke
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  Skywalker and that's what Clemson was that they're going
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  up against bam a year after a year and people are rooting for
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  him. We're rooting for him right as
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  fans growing up and look they ranked out of 68 power five
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  teams power four teams. Excuse me, I'm they ranked 68th
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  out of 68th and transfers over the last two years.
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  Dabo has not adapted to the new wave of college football.
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  They not only can't win a national title with OK G's, but
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  it looks like they can't even win the ACC with OK GS.
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  And I'll go to a program that's an old school rival of Clemson
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  that does what Clemson should be doing.
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  We've talked about this, and that's Georgia.
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  Georgia's never going to rank top five in transfer classes,
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  but look at George's win on Saturday.
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  London Humphreys transfer, Colby Young transfer, Zachariah Branch
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  transfer, Josh McRae transfer. In a game of margins, the
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  players that made the biggest difference on offense and where
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  Georgia was not good last year at receiver and not enough depth
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  and different bodies at running back.
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  Georgia went out and maybe, you know, Colby Young and Humphreys
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  were two cycles ago, Branch and McRae were this cycle.
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  Georgia went out and got pieces to add to their foundation of
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  culture in high school recruiting.
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  Kirby still says I want to get all my players from high school
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  recruiting, but when some of those players leave, he's got to
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  plug holes. That's what Dabo and Clemson
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  should be doing because they had the foundation of national
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  brand. Now I'm afraid they're losing
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  that of now you're so far removed from those national
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  championships that can players still going to believe Clemson
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  can compete on the national title stage with Oregon and Ohio
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  State and Texas and Alabama and Georgia.
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  I think I learned is Clemson exactly who I thought they were
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  for the past four years and I shouldn't have believed in
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  coming into this year. They're one and two and sure,
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  Dabo, you can go nine and three and go compete for the ACC and
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  win a bowl game and say is that good?
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  It is good. But what we've come to expect
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  from Clemson is great because of what Dabo built and Clemson is
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  not great. That's exactly who I thought
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  they were. Trust your gut.
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  Trust your gut, man. We jump into our two questions.
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  We're in the second quarter now, 2 questions.
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  We have my first question, Jacob, something that came as a
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  result of this weekend's games. Is this smart to fire your head
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  coach early or late if you're making that decision?
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  I like to look in this a couple different ways, but you know,
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  Virginia Tech fired Brent Pry after their abysmal start.
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  Obviously they lost two SEC games, which somewhat could be
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  excusable in the fashion they lost to Vandy.
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  Maybe not. But the then they followed up by
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  getting, you know, their doors kicked in by Old Dominion
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  thought that was just a freight line that is not acceptable and
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  then you add to it. UCLA also part part ways with
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  Sean Foster their head coach after an O and three start as
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  well. Jacob reason I'm even mentioning
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  this. We're heading into week 4.
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  The new transfer portal rules, NIL rules and red shirt rules.
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  You could play in four games and red shirt once a coach is fired,
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  there's an open window of 30 days for a transfer portal and
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  all of these players are now eligible to go into the transfer
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  portal And they are, you know, for whatever ones are are
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  available, are able to red shirt and maybe keep a year of
• 13:08
  eligibility, go find a new home if they'd like to.
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  It seems risky on one hand. The other hand is you want to be
• 13:15
  ahead of this. You don't want to just, you
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  know, have a fake recruiting class and have a team have to
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  figure it out, you know, all at all at once.
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  Maybe your first one to hire somebody because you're the
• 13:26
  first one to fire. But I don't know, strategically,
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  I would probably wait until after the 4th week just to get
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  most of the players kind of locked in, not to be, you know,
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  against player rights and everything.
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  But I would probably as a stat, you know, try my best to just
• 13:44
  try to keep A-Team together and wait till maybe Week 5.
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  What do you say? Yeah, I mean this is a business
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  right? So sorry for the player rights
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  but frights folks. But no one that added the NIL
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  and transfer portal era and paying players is for player
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  rights. This is all money they want to
• 14:00
  keep it sustainable. I mean, you had the most watched
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  it was the most watched ABC 330 game since 2006 with George and
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  Tennessee this week. So obviously the sports not
• 14:11
  hurting despite changes that even you and I are not a fan of
• 14:15
  like the expanded playoff, but sports not hurting.
• 14:18
  So it's a business that sucks. I would I think I'd wait.
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  I just I've never been a part of these locker rooms, Daniel and
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  so I you know, when the teams quit like Virginia Tech looks
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  like they've quit. Is your hope that when you fire
• 14:31
  early that you know they're out on pry they've quit on him, but
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  the linebacker coach who you're going to make into your.
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  I don't know who they made into your head coach, but like they
• 14:43
  love him and he gets a spark. They get you to a bowl game or
• 14:47
  something right there where where players don't quit and
• 14:50
  you're doing it so that they do stay and that's going to be the
• 14:53
  only reason I see if the benefit of going early or having first
• 14:57
  choice at a head coach. But again, then it's like, if I
• 15:02
  mean, Virginia Tech's a really good example of how good is that
• 15:04
  job. CLAI think is just I don't know
• 15:08
  who's going to take that job. I don't.
• 15:10
  I can't even go near that. They're at least in the Big 10
• 15:13
  at least job like, you know, make money.
• 15:16
  You know, it's again, you're they're one of the ones getting
• 15:19
  cannibalized in the Big 10. But, you know, you can win at
• 15:23
  Virginia Tech, you can make money or you can, you know, have
• 15:27
  a stable program money wise at at UCLA.
• 15:30
  That's the thing, man, is UCLA's athletic department, you know,
• 15:33
  operated at a deficit. And someone said that, I think
• 15:36
  it was Bud Elliott on Twitter said like that.
• 15:39
  You know, at some schools it's hard to get either the fan base
• 15:42
  to buy in or the like, the school people, administration,
• 15:46
  the administration, thank you, UCLA, you're going to have to do
• 15:49
  both. Fans don't want it and the
• 15:50
  administration doesn't want. It it's the culture, yeah.
• 15:52
  It's a culture, man. And like, and then you've got
• 15:54
  USC across the street who is bought in from a fan base in an
• 15:58
  administrative perspective. So that's one thing.
• 16:02
  Virginia, it's actually interesting of how good of a job
• 16:04
  is it, because I've seen names like Clark Lee.
• 16:07
  Why would Clark Lee leave Vanderbilt?
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  Number one is it's his alma mater #2 he's proven he can go
• 16:13
  make a bowl game, I think, and pretty consistently a
• 16:15
  Vanderbilt. He's in the SEC.
• 16:18
  Shane Beamer, again, You talk about the whole like floor
• 16:21
  stuff. If he can go average 7, you
• 16:24
  know, seven wins a year at South Carolina, they're not going to
• 16:26
  fire him. I don't think he does that.
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  He averages eight wins a season. He'll go down as the second best
• 16:30
  coach in South Carolina history. So I just I'm curious.
• 16:34
  He's going to take a job like that because then you go to some
• 16:36
  of these high profile coordinators and I just think
• 16:38
  the current state of college football, they're smart to sit
• 16:41
  still, make a ton of money and wait for a dream job to open up.
• 16:44
  I mean, Kirby did it with Georgia, but I've been thinking
• 16:47
  about like a Shannon Dawson in Miami right now.
• 16:49
  He's going to be a name. It's that's how we talked about
• 16:52
  dude, he's smart to sit at Miami until the exact job he once
• 16:54
  opens up because they're just going to keep paying him.
• 16:57
  The Glenn Schumann at Georgia. They're going to keep giving him
• 16:59
  raise after raise after raise to keep him there.
• 17:01
  And he's not going to go take the Virginia Tech job.
• 17:04
  He's going to wait on. I mean, hypothetically, he's
• 17:07
  going to wait on an Auburn right in Alabama.
• 17:09
  He he's going to do what some of these other big coaches have
• 17:12
  done to wait on the big jobs to get back to you raised the
• 17:16
  question when's the best time to fire a coach?
• 17:19
  I'm just wondering what the advance like what's the they
• 17:22
  clearly did it for a reason. What's the advantage?
• 17:24
  I would tend to wait till later because I don't think these
• 17:26
  other guys are going to leave any earlier.
• 17:29
  Like they're going to consider their options too.
• 17:31
  They're not going to jump at the 1st jump.
• 17:33
  So I don't see the benefit of firing early.
• 17:35
  But I'm also not, you know, I'm not in the I don't know if it's
• 17:38
  a money thing. I don't know, I don't see the
• 17:40
  benefit to answer your question. Great question, though.
• 17:42
  My first question, Daniel, is the Ireland curse real?
• 17:46
  Just quickly Raska in 2022 they lose Northwestern and come back
• 17:51
  fashion. They went four and eight for the
• 17:55
  state last year coming off of their thirteen and one season
• 17:59
  ACC champs, they lose last second to Georgia Tech.
• 18:03
  They go to and 10. Kansas State loses in last
• 18:07
  second fashion in Ireland. They've started one and three.
• 18:10
  I picked them to win the Big 12. One of my regrets of the
• 18:12
  offseason they were they were the highest power rated team in
• 18:15
  the Big 12 picked by a lot of the media.
• 18:17
  They've started one and three. Unless they have a huge turn
• 18:19
  around, looks like it's not going to happen.
• 18:21
  Is the Ireland curse real? Maybe.
• 18:22
  Yeah, that the more I've watched Kansas State, the more I've been
• 18:27
  like, OK, is this the Madden curse?
• 18:29
  Is this the same thing like you lose in Ireland and it just
• 18:32
  never gets you, gets you going? It's weird.
• 18:36
  Yeah, that's, I mean, cuz that like we've joked about the Big
• 18:40
  12 being, you know, we don't know, but there is something we
• 18:44
  do know. We feel like Kansas State's
• 18:46
  going to be in it and it doesn't seem like they're going to be
• 18:50
  now at this point. So that's tough.
• 18:54
  That is tough. All right.
• 18:55
  Well, I'll jump into my last question then, which is still
• 18:58
  related to those firings, but also I feel like this is a good
• 19:04
  weekend to mention it. Has there ever been a bigger
• 19:08
  fumble of the bag than Nico? I just can't.
• 19:15
  Obviously, the transfer portal is newish, 5 years old or so.
• 19:19
  Same with NIL. It's ramped up, obviously in
• 19:22
  recent years as people have started to kind of figure things
• 19:25
  out, navigate things, Rep share, starting all of that.
• 19:30
  He obviously overplayed his hand in the spring.
• 19:32
  Everybody kind of knew that and then there was kind of a, you
• 19:36
  know, posturing of, you know, well, he just wanted to get into
• 19:39
  more of a prostyle offense and I actually do understand that.
• 19:42
  Like if that was an argument truthfully, you know, that has
• 19:45
  been a criticism of the hypo offenses that maybe those that
• 19:48
  doesn't it's great for Saturday's, maybe not great for
• 19:52
  a Sunday quarterback, or it may be slow, slow plays their
• 19:54
  development on the Sunday, you know, gridiron.
• 19:57
  But yeah, I just you you factor in that you know, he probably
• 20:03
  lost all. He obviously lost all of all
• 20:06
  nation as far as any sort of a, you know, a network of people
• 20:11
  for afterwards. Like if you know, if he's ever
• 20:13
  got a volunteer person who's going to do any hiring at any
• 20:17
  point in his life, they will not consider him, unfortunately for
• 20:21
  his sake. Obviously the the lost revenue
• 20:25
  and the additional taxes he pays.
• 20:27
  Also, you're going to playing, you know, in the middle of the
• 20:30
  night in the front of nobody, whereas in the SEC you'd at
• 20:34
  least be playing in front of full stadiums.
• 20:36
  You'd be talked about weekly. Even if they lost a couple
• 20:39
  games, they'd be talked about weekly and he'd his name would
• 20:42
  be around, you know, in the air. But man, 1/3 on the season and
• 20:51
  then fired head coach. They're playing in front of
• 20:54
  nobody in the middle of the night.
• 20:57
  And you have to weigh it against basically the trade that
• 21:01
  happened because Joey Aguilar was at UCLA with the intention
• 21:05
  of being their starting quarterback and ends up back
• 21:07
  east at Tennessee. And even though Tennessee lost
• 21:11
  this weekend, I mean, my goodness, they pushed Georgia to
• 21:13
  the brink. Aguilar looks very much the
• 21:17
  part, looks like one of the best quarterbacks in the SEC and has
• 21:21
  revitalized this Volunteer offense.
• 21:23
  It's exactly what Josh Hypel wants to do back to like what
• 21:27
  Hinden Hooker was doing for him. And he just got to sit back and
• 21:30
  think like, it just looks like Aguilar and Tennessee hit the
• 21:35
  lottery and got lucked into something.
• 21:38
  And Nico, who was the all everything high school recruit 5
• 21:42
  star, you know, the original NIL spend that Tennessee did was on
• 21:47
  Nico and his package to get him there.
• 21:50
  And it all comes crumbling down like it's it's just the ultimate
• 21:53
  fail. And we're only three games into
• 21:55
  the season, Jacob. Yeah, this is a just a classic
• 21:58
  example of listening to bad advice.
• 22:00
  I mean, I feel part of me feels bad for him because at the end
• 22:03
  of the day, he is a 20 year old kid who got told some really bad
• 22:09
  advice by people who say they care about him.
• 22:11
  I think it's a great exam. Just a a life thing of the the,
• 22:15
  the here and now versus, you know, thinking about long term.
• 22:20
  Yeah, Nika fumble the bag bad. Tennessee definitely won the
• 22:23
  train. Aguilar looks unbelievable.
• 22:24
  What are the oddities in the portal again this next
• 22:26
  offseason? For sure he could be in now.
• 22:30
  And where does he go? You know, like, does he go to
• 22:33
  like, does he do the like Malachi Nelson thing where it's
• 22:36
  like he's a like Idaho State, you know what I mean?
• 22:39
  Where it's like, yeah, these big schools are like, and this is a
• 22:42
  good thing, I think is like the the coaching community's
• 22:44
  connected. No one's taking a jab at another
• 22:47
  coach by taking Nico at this point.
• 22:48
  It's like, hey, we've all seen what you you spurned some
• 22:51
  coaches. Clearly not worth the
• 22:52
  investment. You're probably going to make
• 22:53
  even less money now for 1/3 time.
• 22:56
  Yeah, for his sake, I hope he gets it turned around and is a
• 23:00
  great NFL quarterback one day and learns from this.
• 23:03
  But yeah, he definitely, definitely fumble the bag.
• 23:05
  And my second question, what other teams or how many teams
• 23:09
  can win when they're forced to play a different style of game?
• 23:14
  I saw I've seen 3 examples of this this season, 2 examples
• 23:18
  this past weekend. Georgia goes down 21, seven.
• 23:21
  We said it was going to be a low scoring game.
• 23:23
  I think I said 2714 in there. And very quickly you realize
• 23:27
  you've already given it more points on 1/4 than you have to
• 23:29
  Josh Hypel in the last five years of playing them.
• 23:32
  So it's very quickly this is not going to be a we shut them down,
• 23:36
  run the ball, hold the ball, score 20 points and get out of
• 23:40
  there with the win. They give up 200 passing yards
• 23:42
  in the fourth quarter quarter alone.
• 23:43
  They win the game 4441. Lot of question marks about
• 23:46
  Gunner Stockton and the Georgia offense heading into this game
• 23:49
  about vertical passing threat. I thought it was Mike Bobo
• 23:52
  called one of his best games first play.
• 23:54
  They get that confidence for the quarterback.
• 23:56
  They throw a 50 yard pass first play of the game to go vertical.
• 24:00
  I said the solid verbal guy said this.
• 24:02
  They said has there ever been a better throw on like with the
• 24:06
  game on the line than gunner to London Humphreys on 4th and six?
• 24:10
  Like he was like, I'm not brave enough to make that throw in the
• 24:13
  video game. Like the stones to make that
• 24:16
  call and throw to the end zone with the game on the line with
• 24:19
  two minutes left on the road was unbelievable.
• 24:22
  So Georgia proved to me they can win a different style of game.
• 24:25
  Texas A&M, same kind of identity as a program under my Calco.
• 24:29
  They want to go. They want to go in Notre Dame
• 24:31
  and win 21 to 20 and they go and win in a shootout where they
• 24:35
  have to score in the 40s to win. So they've proven to me they can
• 24:38
  win multiple ways. Miami has already won a game.
• 24:41
  You know where you know, I know they've played USF, but we saw
• 24:44
  what USF can do. They can.
• 24:46
  Miami can go score 50 when they need to.
• 24:48
  Miami can go win a game of the 20s against Notre Dame.
• 24:51
  They did. Miami show multiple ways.
• 24:54
  Can Texas go win in a shootout? Can Ohio State go in a shootout?
• 25:00
  Can Oregon win a slobber knocker, you know, 17 to 14?
• 25:04
  Can LSU go in in a shootout? So I'm looking at a few teams
• 25:10
  that have shown me already they come in multiple ways.
• 25:12
  And I'm wondering how many other teams that we think are
• 25:15
  contending for the national championship can go win a game
• 25:19
  that goes differently to their team identity this year.
• 25:22
  And that's my question as we as we head into this the next 3/4
• 25:25
  of the season. Daniel.
• 25:27
  Yeah, IILSU is one that I had circled when you said that
• 25:33
  because the perception going into the year was that they're a
• 25:36
  shootout kind of a team. The defense is going to be kind
• 25:39
  of late to the game. So far they've been winning with
• 25:42
  defense, so I am interested to see if they're going to be able
• 25:48
  to kind of turn that around a little bit offensively.
• 25:52
  But yeah, if you heard Brian Kelly's comments after the game,
• 25:55
  which were kind of spicy in their own right, he he talks
• 25:59
  about how they coached to win it this way, Punter being involved
• 26:04
  in kicking, punting the ball five times inside the five or
• 26:08
  whatever it was, which was obviously that's great.
• 26:10
  And field position is a great way to win the game, especially
• 26:13
  if you trust your defense. But you know, team throws 5
• 26:17
  interceptions, you probably should have more than 20 points,
• 26:21
  especially if one of those goes to the house.
• 26:23
  So all that would be said, yeah, LSU is one that I would be
• 26:26
  really interested if they could win a different way than what
• 26:28
  they've shown us so far. So far, they can lock you down
• 26:30
  defensively, play field position and the one with clutch plays.
• 26:35
  There's going to be a game where they're going to have to go toe
• 26:36
  to toe with somebody there on their schedule.
• 26:39
  We'll see. We'll see.
• 26:41
  That's a good question, Jacob. Thank you.
• 26:43
  Let's let's head to halftime. We've got our updated XPR.
• 26:46
  If you're watching on ET or Spotify, you can see it on
• 26:49
  screen. Daniel #1 Ohio State #2 Georgia
• 26:52
  3, Oregon 4, Miami 5 Ole Miss. You can see the rest at the
• 26:57
  Extra Point pod on YouTube, Facebook, Instagram or on
• 27:01
  Twitter at Deep South Daniel at Jacob Karns with AK Daniel the
• 27:05
  top five. I think Ole Miss I'm still
• 27:07
  waiting to see on Ole Miss, but the numbers are screaming Ole
• 27:10
  Miss on the computers. At least I'm I'm still waiting
• 27:12
  to see on Ole Miss. But again, also the resume looks
• 27:15
  good. They've got two wins over ICC
• 27:17
  opponents already, so the numbers are going to look good,
• 27:20
  including one on the road right now.
• 27:22
  I think oregon's the best team in the country.
• 27:24
  That's that's my take right now. As far as teams, I've I.
• 27:26
  Agree. OK, yeah, dude, I was about to
• 27:29
  say that. Dude I yes they've looked the
• 27:32
  most impressive. They've won like, yeah, they
• 27:35
  looked the most dominant and sure, you can say like, well,
• 27:37
  they haven't played a good opponent.
• 27:39
  Again, watch how they win. And regardless of how low I
• 27:44
  think of this program, what they did to Oklahoma State was really
• 27:47
  impressive and everything has looked easy, which is what Egan,
• 27:52
  when you're an elite team, that's how it should look, is
• 27:55
  easy. I mean, it looks like Dan
• 27:56
  Lanning again has brought in a transfer quarterback.
• 27:59
  It's worked. I think him being with the
• 28:01
  program last year. This is a former 5 star so this
• 28:04
  he got a full offseason watching a Heisman Trophy finalist and
• 28:08
  Dylan Gabriel work the offense. He's more talented than Dylan
• 28:12
  Gabriel. So again, and they've made this
• 28:14
  look easy. The new guys are receiver have
• 28:16
  looked unbelievable. Penn State's at 10 on our list,
• 28:18
  Daniel and I think we're way ahead of this right now.
• 28:21
  No one's watched Penn State play.
• 28:23
  They're still ranked two in the AP poll.
• 28:25
  And again, a lot's been said about the AP voters and how
• 28:28
  incompetent a lot of them are. But like, has no one watched
• 28:31
  Penn State play? Because things have looked
• 28:34
  really difficult to the point where there's Penn State fans
• 28:37
  looking over at Missouri, who we have at 16 and saying Beau
• 28:42
  Purbullo looks really good. Drew, our has not looked good
• 28:46
  this season. So I think the people haven't
• 28:48
  Penn State in the top 2, still have not watched Penn State
• 28:50
  play. And they just see the final
• 28:52
  scores and they see three and O and they're like, yeah, we we
• 28:55
  thought highly of Penn State coming in.
• 28:56
  They're a national championship contender.
• 28:59
  You know, I had them I think down at 15 on my personal
• 29:01
  rankings. They just have not looked
• 29:04
  impressive. And I think if you're going off
• 29:05
  of what you've watched this year, I think it's, I mean,
• 29:09
  everyone has an opinion. I think it's just plain wrong to
• 29:11
  think they're a top two team right now.
• 29:14
  Yeah, you see Tyler Warren doing his thing in the NFL.
• 29:17
  Obviously he was such a big part of the offense, specifically as
• 29:21
  the main primary target for Draller, and he balanced the
• 29:26
  offense. The offense has the run game and
• 29:29
  Aller needed his security blanket in Tyler Warren.
• 29:33
  We were told we were promised Jacob that these transfer
• 29:37
  receivers were going to be the difference.
• 29:39
  I bought into it. I say that they are my Clemson.
• 29:42
  I believed I have them beating Oregon or Ohio State this year.
• 29:47
  I said one and one. I I they still could do that.
• 29:50
  I said they're going to go one and one in those games.
• 29:53
  Oregon's a whiteout game, so a lot of people circle that one.
• 29:55
  But I I basically was like, hey, they're going to win one of
• 29:58
  those games because they're big time.
• 30:00
  And maybe they do. And maybe these first three
• 30:02
  weeks have been them trying to get calibrated with those
• 30:06
  receivers, those new transfer whiteouts.
• 30:09
  But I agree, Jacob, it just is hard.
• 30:12
  It looks hard. There's been years where certain
• 30:14
  offenses just don't click and a first down is hard.
• 30:18
  A touchdown is hard. It had to manufacture everything
• 30:21
  and the three teams they've played so far have been severely
• 30:24
  overmatched. So it's not come to fruition or
• 30:27
  anything for for Penn State. They're about to start league
• 30:30
  play here coming up. So we'll see as as that that
• 30:33
  that part starts. But yeah, good call there.
• 30:37
  You mentioned Oregon, which I agree.
• 30:39
  I have them listed. I've got that in my notes.
• 30:41
  They're right now. They're the top team in the
• 30:44
  country as far as the eye test. Dante Moore, if you look at that
• 30:49
  recruiting class of quarterbacks, the top ten, he's
• 30:52
  the only one that's, I think he's the only one that's having
• 30:56
  success this season. Arch Manning is in that list as
• 30:58
  well. Not throwing shade right now.
• 31:00
  Arch looks hurt, but Dante Moore looks like the best quarterback
• 31:04
  from that class and I think he was #6 out of 10.
• 31:07
  So tuck that one away. I mean, Speaking of
• 31:10
  quarterbacks, I already done two teams, LSU in Texas of what's
• 31:13
  you know, Brian Kelly went on his rant about someone asking
• 31:15
  what's wrong with the offense or whatever.
• 31:16
  The question was what is wrong with she's offense because
• 31:21
  they've got the horses at receiver.
• 31:23
  They've I mean, they've they should have had a Heisman
• 31:26
  hopeful in quarterback. They did say on Monday that Ness
• 31:29
  Meyer's been dealing with since before the season something
• 31:31
  torso, which sounds similar to like JT Daniels in 2020.
• 31:35
  One, I was going to say yeah of a bleed.
• 31:37
  Kind of like that messes and everything throwing wise, Josh
• 31:40
  Pate said. You know, I guess, you know,
• 31:43
  he's much more connected than we are of he knew that going into
• 31:46
  the Clemson game, which is why it was so impressive they were
• 31:48
  able to go in and do that with a limited and injured quarterback
• 31:52
  and then Arch Manning. What's like both of those teams
• 31:54
  are just kind of question marks of neither one of your offenses
• 31:57
  have been explosive. You should have had Heisman
• 31:59
  hopeful quarterbacks. I had both of the quarterbacks
• 32:01
  going to New York in my preseason picks.
• 32:04
  Yeah. What is wrong with both?
• 32:06
  We both had Dante Moore, dude. Yeah, we did.
• 32:09
  We were. We were right on that one.
• 32:11
  One for three, you know, 7:00 and 12:00, we have LSU and Text,
• 32:14
  respectively. OK, a couple of the teams.
• 32:16
  Vandy. What if Vandy's just good man?
• 32:18
  We've got him at 19. I think I had him at 16 or 17.
• 32:22
  My personal rankings, I felt like, wait, did you pick South
• 32:25
  Carolina? Did you pick Mandy?
• 32:27
  I picked we. Didn't talk about the game but.
• 32:30
  I think I picked South Carolina dude.
• 32:31
  I've I had that siren song still happen with Lenora Sellers man
• 32:35
  and he has drug me into the deep water and I am struggling to
• 32:40
  swim right now so. Yeah, it is.
• 32:43
  I mean, I looked at it and said they had a common opponent, Van.
• 32:47
  You played them on the road. South Carolina played on a
• 32:49
  neutral. And this is again, my theme of
• 32:51
  like, hey, just trust your eyes, man.
• 32:52
  But I watched both those teams play Virginia Tech and one
• 32:55
  obliterated them. One had a pretty good win.
• 32:57
  What if? Van like there's I think there's
• 32:59
  individual players better at South Carolina.
• 33:02
  Obviously we know certain names, but Vandy just looks like a
• 33:06
  tough, hard nosed SEC football team.
• 33:08
  That's like a good team. They're not like they got 3-4
• 33:13
  running backs. They can all get you first downs
• 33:15
  and score touchdowns. They got a good offensive line
• 33:18
  quarterback. Obviously everybody knows Pavia
• 33:20
  doing his thing defensively. They make plays.
• 33:25
  Pavia is something we've seen go away from the sport, which is
• 33:28
  you have these COVID air quarterbacks where you know it's
• 33:31
  they're they're in their sixth years.
• 33:32
  So you had several teams, the quarterbacks where it's like
• 33:35
  they have so much experience in college, which weren't used to.
• 33:38
  Pavi is kind of the last of that breed where he's got so much
• 33:41
  college experience. Dude, Zach Calzada still out
• 33:44
  there? OK.
• 33:45
  That's true. He's a Yolo player, man.
• 33:48
  I'm he does not he is. He throws so many Yolo balls
• 33:51
  that just get caught and he is so just, I mean he is perfect
• 33:55
  for Vanderbilt. Yeah, I agree.
• 33:58
  It's all I think might be a top ten team.
• 34:00
  They're going to have their first Test to speak against
• 34:01
  Texas Tech. We're going to talk about them.
• 34:04
  And I'll again say everybody's sleeping on USC.
• 34:07
  They are far and above the best opponent, adjusted EPA, net EPA
• 34:11
  per play team in the country right now.
• 34:14
  They're playing. And again, they're going to play
• 34:15
  at 11:00 PM this week. So nobody's going to see him.
• 34:18
  We'll see how the Indiana, Illinois game turns out this
• 34:21
  week. But then they make a trip to
• 34:23
  Illinois, which I think with the first game where everyone
• 34:25
  watches them play, and we'll see how good USC is.
• 34:27
  I think that's gonna be very telling for the rest of their
• 34:29
  season. Those are my takeaways from our
• 34:30
  rankings. Daniel, any any other ones from?
• 34:32
  You. Oh, I don't think so.
• 34:34
  Hold on. I'm just doing one quick pan
• 34:36
  over to make sure Yeah, no, I I like where we're at.
• 34:40
  I like everybody. I think I think this is a good a
• 34:43
  good mix. This is, this is exactly as, as
• 34:47
  I see it. I feel like we're, I feel like
• 34:49
  this is way better than anything the AP or the coaches poll can
• 34:52
  do. We're on it man.
• 34:54
  And again, these rankings are meant to be BCS like so Daniel
• 34:58
  and I have input. Think of it as the AP and the
• 35:00
  coaches pull on the BCS ranking. We we pulled from some of the
• 35:03
  best computer models out there, including Kelly Ford, K4
• 35:06
  ratings, Brian Freemail, FBI, Bill Conley, SU plus just in a
• 35:10
  few. But we pull from these models to
• 35:12
  give you a both like I test S resume, best computer rated
• 35:16
  teams to give you a ABCS like poll, which I still think is the
• 35:20
  best way to rank teams. We can all complain about when
• 35:23
  we had it. Now that it's gone, it's like,
• 35:25
  man, that really was really pretty good.
• 35:27
  So that's our that's our XPR Daniel, it's headed to the third
• 35:30
  quarter. Tough one this week.
• 35:32
  A lot of good games on this weekend.
• 35:34
  What are three games that we're watching?
• 35:36
  We've got our eye on that that we're not picking this week,
• 35:39
  Daniel. Yeah, so I cheated last week and
• 35:42
  mentioned five. I think I'm going to do the same
• 35:44
  thing. I'm going to still mention three
• 35:45
  is the main one, but I'm going to give 2 honorable mentions
• 35:48
  because my goodness, college football.
• 35:50
  All right, two quick honorable mentions because I'm not really
• 35:53
  going to watch these games. I'm going to watch a little bit
• 35:55
  of them, but the rival reason that happened in the week 3, how
• 36:00
  about Civil War and the Apple Cup?
• 36:02
  OK, anytime your rivalry has a name and it's in state rival,
• 36:06
  I'm going to I'm going to care about it.
• 36:08
  I'm going to mention it. These fans care.
• 36:10
  I will just throw it out there that this is the best
• 36:12
  quarterback that this Oregon defense has had to play against
• 36:17
  Malik Murphy for Oregon State. Granted, he's thrown 5
• 36:21
  interceptions so far on the young season.
• 36:22
  They are O and three, so maybe not the great team around him.
• 36:26
  He's trying to make things happen, but he's a very highly
• 36:29
  touted recruit. Should be a good challenge at
• 36:32
  least. But they are 3034 1/2 point
• 36:34
  favorite. So don't, you know, focus too
• 36:37
  much on that. And yeah, Apple Cup, always a
• 36:40
  good one. Used to both of these games
• 36:42
  being at the end of the year. They happen now early on because
• 36:46
  of, you know, conference realignment and all of the such.
• 36:49
  All right, three games I'm watching, I'm thinking at least
• 36:55
  one of these might end up on your uniform list.
• 36:59
  First one, Ole Miss at home against Tulane.
• 37:03
  The old SEC throw down. Ole Miss 10 1/2 point favorite
• 37:06
  over Tulane. This one Ole Miss I agree with
• 37:10
  the metrics so far and why Ole Miss is, especially after
• 37:13
  watching them against Arkansas. Arkansas came feel like came and
• 37:16
  punched him in the mouth and gave them a very good shot.
• 37:19
  And Ole Miss with a second quarterback who I think might be
• 37:22
  their first quarterback, Trinidad Chambliss did.
• 37:25
  They are explosive offensively. They can run it, they can throw
• 37:28
  it. Lane Kiffin is in his bag.
• 37:31
  All that if he said Tulane is not an easy out and 10 1/2
• 37:36
  points is a lot of points against the Tulane team that can
• 37:39
  score the ball. So I might like Tulane with the
• 37:42
  points, Miami and Florida. This is where college game day
• 37:45
  is going. If it wasn't for Florida losing
• 37:47
  to South Florida, they might still be ranked because LSU is
• 37:51
  at least a ranked loss and this might be actually a good game.
• 37:54
  I'm glad that this game's happening.
• 37:56
  It's in state rivalry that doesn't happen all the time.
• 37:59
  You always get Florida, Florida State and you always get Miami,
• 38:02
  FL State. You don't always get Miami and
• 38:04
  Florida. These are like, you know,
• 38:06
  enemies in law, if you will, because they both hate Florida
• 38:10
  State, but they also hate each other.
• 38:11
  So there's plenty of hate to go around in that great state of
• 38:14
  Florida. Miami's a 7 1/2 point favorite.
• 38:18
  What's what's going to break first?
• 38:19
  Like is Florida going to, they've got a great defense?
• 38:22
  Are they going to be able to hold Miami at Bay and like not
• 38:27
  throw 5 interceptions and maybe be in this game and maybe give
• 38:30
  the ball to Jaden Ball who's their best player and maybe
• 38:33
  don't drop their quarterback back 55 times and maybe give
• 38:37
  Ball more than 8 carries? I don't know.
• 38:39
  I don't call plays, Billy Napier does.
• 38:42
  Maybe he should do something like that.
• 38:43
  Also, I call this one the Protestant Bowl.
• 38:46
  I don't know what it's actually supposed to be called.
• 38:47
  SMU hosting TCU, Iron skillet. They just the Protestant bowl.
• 38:52
  Methodist versus Christians, whatever you've got.
• 38:55
  Dallas versus Fort Worth, Taylor's oldest time.
• 39:00
  These people hate each other. TCU is a 6 1/2 point favorite.
• 39:05
  Obviously. Sonny Dykes left T or less SMU a
• 39:09
  few years ago to take TCU job. SMU is in the playoff.
• 39:11
  Last year kind of had a rocky start to the year.
• 39:16
  I like SMU with the points at home 6 1/2, but that one should
• 39:19
  be a high flying fun game as well.
• 39:20
  So those are my three games, Ole Miss, Tulane, Miami and Florida
• 39:24
  and SMUTCU. Love it.
• 39:26
  I'll I'll be watching all those games as well.
• 39:29
  Since you cheated, I'll cheat here too.
• 39:31
  One I'll award my and if my third quarter 3U matchups we've
• 39:34
  got our eye on, one I will award our uniform matchup of the week
• 39:40
  for week 3 was Tennessee and Georgia.
• 39:43
  It looked amazing on the field. The white color white for
• 39:45
  Tennessee and in color white color for Georgia looks great.
• 39:49
  Check her kneel and looked unbelievable on the I'm sure it
• 39:52
  looks great in person. It looked amazing on TV.
• 39:54
  So that helped with that uniform vibe.
• 39:56
  So that that one gets the award for week 3.
• 39:59
  Daniel 3 for this week #1 Oklahoma and Auburn.
• 40:02
  Again, these are two of my like top five uniforms, your top six
• 40:05
  uniforms in the SEC playing against each other.
• 40:08
  So that's an easy 1 for me. #2 Nebraska and Michigan to both
• 40:13
  games. We're picking big brands.
• 40:15
  Michigan can wear either any of their pants, honestly, and this
• 40:19
  one's going to look good as long as Nebraska doesn't wear black,
• 40:21
  which they're not in all red, which they were last week, so I
• 40:24
  don't think they will. And this one should be a really
• 40:26
  good one. And then lastly, USC and
• 40:29
  Michigan State, this one they should play every year in like
• 40:32
  have a new trophy. It's like a Trojan horse or
• 40:34
  something since it's the Spartan Trojans.
• 40:36
  I think that's awesome. These are two I mean, one, USC
• 40:39
  is a classic look. It looks great under the lights.
• 40:42
  I don't think that uniform looks so good under the lights.
• 40:45
  And then Michigan State, they kind of read their template a
• 40:47
  little bit, but to me it's kind of a modern classic in that they
• 40:51
  don't have a normal pants stripe, but the I like it's
• 40:54
  almost for the state esque where the the pants stripe and the
• 40:56
  stripe on the sleeves. It's like a Spartan pattern.
• 41:00
  It's minimal. It looks really good.
• 41:02
  It makes it a little bit different and they've got kind
• 41:04
  of a modern blocky font. I love the Michigan State green
• 41:07
  and white. I love the logo.
• 41:09
  I think it's a really good looking uniform, green and red
• 41:11
  and gold. I think you're going to look
• 41:12
  really good in the field together.
• 41:14
  Yeah, looks good together. If you want to, I'll call it one
• 41:17
  individual uniform. Oregon is wearing a a Field
• 41:20
  Knight Nike inspired uniform this week that looks really
• 41:23
  cool. The helmet is asymmetrical in
• 41:25
  that on one side it's wings on both sides.
• 41:28
  One side it's it's wings inspired by the Nike statue,
• 41:35
  like the goddess of victory that I forget who made the statue.
• 41:38
  It's embarrassing. And the other one's the classic
• 41:40
  Oregon like duck wing. So it's asymmetrical.
• 41:43
  It looks really cool. It's kind of like a black and
• 41:46
  like bronzy gold kind of based on the the I wish I would have
• 41:50
  brought the book over here of the color scheme of Phil
• 41:52
  Knight's book, the Shoe Dog. And they're playing Oregon State
• 41:55
  and rivalry game. That's going to look really good
• 41:58
  almost in Tulane. You mentioned can look good.
• 42:01
  I'm in on Tulane like half the time.
• 42:04
  Some of their stuff doesn't look good.
• 42:05
  That's a really, it's a really unique color combination.
• 42:07
  So they have some that looks really good.
• 42:09
  Interested to see what they wear at Ole Miss CF in north in North
• 42:13
  Carolina. That can be a really good one.
• 42:15
  Miami and Florida can be a really good one if there's not
• 42:17
  too much orange. Washington State and Washington
• 42:21
  I think can look really cool when I like, I love a
• 42:23
  Washington. Washington state.
• 42:24
  Where is that like anticrete Gray?
• 42:28
  Yeah, like a red helmet or something that could look really
• 42:30
  cool this weekend if they wear that.
• 42:32
  I'll mention a few that like let's on the on the cutting room
• 42:34
  floor. Daniel, those are the uniform
• 42:37
  matchups I'm excited to watch. Will award the uniform matchup
• 42:40
  of the week for Week 4 on Saturday.
• 42:43
  We into the fourth quarter that we've gone long on this one.
• 42:45
  I'm telling you, it was a great week of college football.
• 42:48
  Fourth quarter picking four games against the spread.
• 42:51
  I told you pre show I've got data, I've got notes because we
• 42:55
  have three games for most of these teams.
• 42:58
  Can't wait this first game. Really tough to pick though.
• 43:03
  Utah in Texas Tech Daniel, by my eyes, an estimation so far
• 43:08
  through three games, these are the best two teams in the Big
• 43:11
  12. We get the game in Utah.
• 43:13
  They're a three-point favorite, which depending on how you know
• 43:16
  which book does what with home field advantage, basically
• 43:19
  saying this, these teams are pretty evenly matched.
• 43:22
  This game is at noon, So what is that like 10 AM mountain time
• 43:27
  pre Utah early game? Who do you like in this match up
• 43:30
  between Utah? Texas Tech could be could very
• 43:32
  well decide the Big 12 Championship.
• 43:33
  Yeah, this is definitely, definitely in that realm.
• 43:38
  And now that we've had a few weeks to kind of let things let
• 43:41
  things play out, one of the media darlings, I'll say with
• 43:45
  Texas Tech because of their money spent and people starting
• 43:48
  to recognize them as a a big player potentially in the Big
• 43:52
  12, Utah, kind of just that old, you know, old head in the group.
• 43:57
  Everybody's like, ah, you know, they're probably washed.
• 44:00
  You know, we're going to wait and see.
• 44:03
  You know, that Winningham's not going to be there for very much
• 44:06
  longer. Is this his swan song season?
• 44:08
  You know, what's he what's he doing, dude?
• 44:11
  Dampier, Devon Dampier, quarterback for Utah has been
• 44:16
  very impressive this year. I know that they've I mean, I
• 44:19
  say they haven't played anybody That would include UCLA was
• 44:23
  their first game at UCLAAK Roseville match up and then just
• 44:29
  a couple of smaller teams after that that you look at Texas
• 44:32
  Tech, they started with a couple of smaller teams and then end,
• 44:35
  you know, with Oregon State. Both teams have dominated
• 44:39
  everybody they've played this year.
• 44:40
  So from that aspect, I feel like this is both of their first real
• 44:45
  tests of of anything. I like both quarterbacks in this
• 44:50
  game. Morton for Texas Tech, 11
• 44:53
  touchdowns already on the young season, almost 1000 passing
• 44:56
  yards. So they've definitely, you know,
• 45:00
  accumulated stats. One thing that's just rings true
• 45:04
  over and over when we make these picks, it's like Utah just
• 45:08
  doesn't really lose at home. So I'm just going to kind of
• 45:12
  hang my hat on something. I do know I'm going to trust my
• 45:14
  gut. The sexy pic is Texas Tech.
• 45:17
  They're, you know, very flashy. They've gone in the 60s twice
• 45:21
  already so far this year. You know, the lowest point total
• 45:25
  was 45 S Offense has definitely been there.
• 45:28
  I just something about Utah, man.
• 45:31
  I just feel like they're built for this.
• 45:34
  They're it's in their DNA. It's in their pedigree, their
• 45:37
  head coaches used to this kind of a game.
• 45:40
  He's not going to run, you know, if he was to get scored on a
• 45:43
  little bit. And I think they can make Texas
• 45:45
  Tech play a game that they don't really want to play.
• 45:48
  And I also did Dan Pierre being the leading rusher right now for
• 45:52
  Utah. Sometimes that worries me from a
• 45:54
  quarterback. But on early on in the season,
• 45:56
  all it tells me is that they just relied on him to get them
• 46:00
  out of some bad stuff. And if you've got a guy who can
• 46:03
  make plays with his legs, plays with his arm and you've got a
• 46:05
  pretty good defense at home, that's a lot of check marks for
• 46:09
  me. So I mean, Utah is what we got
• 46:12
  it at 4 1/2 for the points. Three, this is sorry.
• 46:15
  Three, it's come way down. Three, OK, OK, it's it's moved
• 46:18
  since I wrote earlier on my other so 3 I feel even better
• 46:21
  about so I'll take three. I don't need to lay 4 1/2 Let me
• 46:25
  lay three with Utah, the utes at home.
• 46:29
  Big new kickoff. For what it's worth, Utah the
• 46:32
  last three years, 15 and 5 is the home team.
• 46:34
  Straight up 13 and 7 against the spread as the home team to to
• 46:42
  support your claim here you were.
• 46:44
  You dive into some stats, Daniel, because this is a game I
• 46:46
  had a really hard time figuring out.
• 46:49
  It's a number three team and net EPA per play in the country #2
• 46:53
  net success rate in the country. Texas Tech number 7 and yards
• 46:59
  for play #4 net success rate. So both teams have been
• 47:02
  efficient, beaten bad teams. Well, Texas Tech you mentioned
• 47:06
  is the number one scoring offense in the country.
• 47:08
  They're putting up a lot of points.
• 47:10
  Doesn't always tell the full story.
• 47:11
  But that that success rate in the Archer play tells me being
• 47:14
  very efficient on a down to down basis, not just scoring a bunch
• 47:17
  of points on bad teams. Utah though #8 scoring defense
• 47:21
  in the country. So I'm actually going to start
• 47:24
  with Texas Tech's offense versus Utah's defense.
• 47:26
  So when Texas Tech is passing the ball, do you think this is
• 47:30
  about an even kind of game here? This is strength on strength.
• 47:33
  When Texas Tech is running the ball, I think this is a spot to
• 47:37
  pick. Can Texas Tech run the ball on
• 47:39
  the road to win? That's what travels.
• 47:41
  I think this absolutely can be the difference in the game.
• 47:44
  Texas Tech is 88th in the APA per play when running the ball.
• 47:48
  The Utah defense very, very good on early downs.
• 47:51
  They're first and second down when Utah's on offense, Texas
• 47:55
  Tech on defense, the opposite strength on strength is running
• 47:58
  the ball and that Utah's been very good running the ball.
• 48:00
  And you mentioned quarterback run as well, which does give you
• 48:03
  an extra hat, which leads to some of that efficiency.
• 48:06
  Texas Tech's rush defense has been very good Week on week is
• 48:09
  going to be when Utah's passing the ball.
• 48:11
  You also in Texas Tech is defending the pass.
• 48:13
  I don't trust Texas test secondary.
• 48:15
  Dimpier hasn't really had to test.
• 48:18
  Can he like throw the ball to win?
• 48:21
  Can Utah be explosive in this game to win?
• 48:24
  That's my question because they rank 113th so far in explosive
• 48:29
  pass plays and again, hasn't been a grip against great teams.
• 48:33
  Has this been by design or is it because they can't be explosive
• 48:37
  through the year? That's my question.
• 48:39
  Going into the game. I think we're going to have an
• 48:41
  answer. I think it's a very close game.
• 48:43
  You mentioned something as a home favorite.
• 48:45
  It's not just a home team. As a home favorite, Utah was 14
• 48:48
  and two straight up, excuse me, 15 and two straight up 11 and
• 48:52
  six against the spread. That's a 65% winning percentage
• 48:56
  against the spread. Give me Utah by 4 to cover.
• 49:00
  I think it's a close game. Give me Utah 3127 ish.
• 49:03
  Lay the points. I like the utes That felt really
• 49:07
  good to just start naming some stats in the season.
• 49:10
  It just felt. So freaky.
• 49:14
  All right, we're both on the we're both on the Ute side.
• 49:17
  That first one, let's go to Norman, OK, the return, Daniel,
• 49:22
  the return of Jackson Arnold. So Norman, a lot will be said
• 49:25
  about that. It may or may not decide the
• 49:27
  game. These are two good teams.
• 49:29
  Oklahoma's look very good to start the year.
• 49:32
  They've had that game against Michigan.
• 49:34
  Auburn's had their game on the road against Baylor to kind of
• 49:36
  prove they're they're a good team this year.
• 49:38
  They're both ranked in our XPR. Auburn at 22.
• 49:41
  Oklahoma all the way up at 6:00. Oklahoma's favored by 6 1/2 out
• 49:45
  of this morning. Daniel, who do you like in
• 49:47
  Norman? Yeah, this one.
• 49:48
  I mean, this is the ultimate like ex-girlfriend and you're
• 49:53
  showing off your new girlfriend. We all run into each other at
• 49:56
  the movies. Like that's what's going on
• 49:58
  right now. Auburn with Jackson Arnold, the
• 50:02
  Oklahoma cast off, if you will, and Oklahoma just claiming, hey,
• 50:07
  John Matier is what we were missing.
• 50:09
  And so far it looks like that looks like both of them improved
• 50:13
  with the transfer quarterbacks. Obviously it's not all only
• 50:16
  about quarterback, but that's definitely the highlight here.
• 50:20
  Jacob, this one's at 3:30. This feels like a classic like
• 50:23
  SEC, like last week, Tennessee and Georgia was at 3:30.
• 50:28
  And even though the, you know, ESPN puts the main attraction
• 50:32
  technically at 7:30, we got the best game at 3:30 last week and
• 50:37
  then this week is the best games at 3:30 again, I think.
• 50:41
  Love it. College game day.
• 50:42
  Missed out by not going to this game.
• 50:44
  I think it's because they just went to Norman.
• 50:46
  Yeah, you know, two weeks ago when they played when Michigan
• 50:50
  came to town. So I get it.
• 50:52
  I get they want to spread the wealth a little bit.
• 50:54
  I'm not mad at it. But dude, this one's going to
• 50:57
  be. This was going to be a big time
• 51:00
  classic. I think I, I think you're going
• 51:01
  to, there's going to be a lot of quarterback run that's going to
• 51:05
  decide this game on both sides. I think Metier with his legs
• 51:09
  outside the pocket, scrambling, throwing the ball down the
• 51:11
  field. Also his ability to scramble and
• 51:14
  get, you know, points, get in the red zone is going to be big.
• 51:17
  And then Jackson Arnold so far still has not really been tested
• 51:22
  through the air. He's not had to, He's been able
• 51:24
  to run the ball. They've been able to kind of
• 51:26
  win, you know, kind of the way they want to because they've had
• 51:31
  lesser opponents. Obviously that first game
• 51:32
  against Baylor, they were able to just run the run the rock and
• 51:36
  I, I feel good about Auburn's running game.
• 51:39
  This Oklahoma defense is different.
• 51:41
  Oklahoma will be able to make Auburn throw the ball and we're
• 51:45
  going to finally see we're going to see if Jackson Arnold has
• 51:48
  developed. He's got the receivers to do it.
• 51:51
  So we're going to see if that's the case.
• 51:52
  Oklahoma, I like their, their tight end, Kanak, Jaren Kanak,
• 51:57
  he's he's a been a big time playmaker already, you know, 245
• 52:03
  yards on the young season so far.
• 52:05
  He's their leading receiver. Actually.
• 52:07
  I I want to see who rises to the occasion for this moment.
• 52:11
  I like that the game's in Norman because that way Arnold gets to
• 52:14
  come back to where he was. It's not just playing his former
• 52:17
  team, is playing his former team at, you know, his former
• 52:21
  stadium. It's got all the makings for a
• 52:24
  classic. I trust John Matier more.
• 52:27
  He seemed that he's able to do both.
• 52:30
  He's able to be prolific in the past and the run game.
• 52:33
  I think that's what's going to be difference in this game.
• 52:36
  And I think the Oklahoma's defense is better than Auburn's
• 52:39
  defense overall. So give me Oklahoma.
• 52:41
  I'm going to lay the points. Actually, I'm going to lay the
• 52:44
  touchdown. So I'm just going to take
• 52:45
  Oklahoma straight up to win, but win by that touchdown to cover
• 52:49
  as well. But I I think we're we're in
• 52:51
  this one for the long haul. I think it's a four quarter
• 52:53
  game, yeah. This is which by the way, I
• 52:58
  might have not updated the sheet here I need to make, I'm going
• 53:00
  to check the line real quick, but it's 5 1/2 or 6 1/2.
• 53:03
  I don't know if it's come down. I don't care for what it's
• 53:05
  worth. Give me Oklahoma to cover as
• 53:07
  well. I what's the best unit on the
• 53:10
  field? Daniel?
• 53:11
  It's Oklahoma's defense. That's the, you said it like
• 53:14
  that's, that's the, the best unit on the field is Oklahoma's
• 53:16
  defense. You know, if you want to go top
• 53:18
  level stats, they're they're the number 4 scoring defense in the
• 53:21
  country #4 in points for play #4 in total defense, but they're
• 53:24
  also third and yards for play allowed #4 in 3rd down
• 53:28
  percentage. They're really good on 3rd down.
• 53:31
  So in Auburn's offense on the field, I think of Auburn can
• 53:35
  like hold on to the ball and run the ball.
• 53:36
  It's how they win the football. As much as football has changed,
• 53:39
  football hasn't changed. If they can slow the game down
• 53:43
  on time of possession, they're number Auburn is #4 in EPA per
• 53:47
  play, running the ball. Oklahoma's defense is 37th in
• 53:50
  that same category. Auburn passing.
• 53:53
  This is how they lose the game, Daniel.
• 53:54
  They're they're they're 64th and EPA per play passing against the
• 53:58
  most efficient passing defense in the country in Oklahoma
• 54:02
  against their former quarterback.
• 54:03
  Auburn has an incredible wide receiver duo in Cam Conan, Eric
• 54:07
  Singleton, probably one of the best wide receiver rooms in the
• 54:09
  SEC. They're going to have to win
• 54:13
  one-on-one because I think Oklahoma might have one of the
• 54:15
  best secondaries in the country. They're also number one in 3rd
• 54:18
  and 4th down success rates. Auburn's going to have to win
• 54:22
  one-on-one because I think Oklahoma can put more guys in
• 54:28
  the box to defend the run and then force Jackson Arnold to
• 54:32
  like, hey, we're going to leave guys one-on-one outside.
• 54:36
  We don't think you can beat us with your arm.
• 54:38
  And so I think they're going to put seven and eight in the box
• 54:41
  the whole night and just say we're OK giving up four
• 54:45
  hundredth of the air because we don't think you can do it.
• 54:48
  And I think that's how Oklahoma wins, especially if you know,
• 54:51
  like, hey, we we haven't been amazing with four guys to defend
• 54:54
  the run. Michigan was able to run the
• 54:55
  ball a little bit. That's how they win.
• 54:58
  On the other side, Oklahoma's offense.
• 55:00
  I think when Oklahoma's running the ball advantage and it goes
• 55:03
  to Auburn, they're outside the top 75 in the country in total
• 55:06
  rushing yards per carry, online yards and explosive runs.
• 55:10
  I think Auburn can run a light box and try to defend the run
• 55:13
  here. Auburn top ten in all this
• 55:14
  categories when passing the ball, though advantage OU.
• 55:18
  This is where Auburn secondary is not as good.
• 55:21
  So it's the it's the opposite problem in that they're going to
• 55:24
  have to put more guys. You know, they're going to have
• 55:28
  to run out and extra. They're going to have to run
• 55:29
  nickel and dime all night to different the pass and run a
• 55:33
  light box, which I think is going to allow Oklahoma to be
• 55:36
  more balanced on offense. I think this is just a bad spot
• 55:38
  and bad matchup for Auburn, especially being on the road.
• 55:42
  Auburn allows too many explosive plays.
• 55:46
  Auburn Alaska makes what's it plays Oklahoma forces Jackson
• 55:48
  Arnold to win through the air. All I can buy a touchdown,
• 55:51
  though I think lower scoring like 2720.
• 55:55
  And maybe it's you know, it feels like it's been Oklahoma's
• 55:58
  game the whole time. You know, like it's it's been
• 56:01
  it's been 27 to 13 for a while. And Auburn scores late to make a
• 56:06
  2720. Yeah, lay the points with
• 56:09
  Oklahoma, similar to Utah. They're fourteen or two straight
• 56:12
  up at home over the last three years and 11 and 60 gets the
• 56:15
  spread as a home favorite over the last three years.
• 56:18
  So give me the Sooners. Also at 3:30 we go to the Big
• 56:22
  10, Nebraska and Michigan, the bus and bowl.
• 56:27
  Yeah, yeah. Look, Michigan on the road, 2
• 56:31
  1/2 point favorite is Matt Ruin. Year three, the play Daniel.
• 56:35
  Who do you like in Lincoln? Yeah, if this is truly the
• 56:39
  busting with the Boys bowl, you know, do you like Taylor Luan or
• 56:44
  Will Compton better? I'm a Will Compton guy myself.
• 56:48
  He's what, you know, the straw that stirs to drink on that
• 56:51
  podcast. I think without him, Luan is,
• 56:55
  you know, jobless right now because Compton is the man great
• 56:59
  content. He's been a little too much of a
• 57:02
  believer in Nebraska, which he can't fault him.
• 57:04
  He loves his his alma mater that rule year 33 and O so far.
• 57:10
  This is the game. This is a huge game for both
• 57:14
  teams. Nebraska from the sense of if
• 57:18
  they've truly arrived, if they have arrived as a program, they
• 57:22
  will win this game. If this is truly like we're, we
• 57:27
  are part of the story of the Big 10 this year.
• 57:31
  When we are in the mix, we're not only going to be 9 and
• 57:36
  three, we're going to be 10 and two.
• 57:37
  This is the game that matters if you're in Nebraska.
• 57:41
  On the flip side for Michigan, this could be Bryce Underwood's
• 57:46
  like, announcement of like, I'm here and I'm here to stay.
• 57:51
  He could have had that moment in Norman.
• 57:53
  OK, he definitely didn't shrivel up, but it was you just saw a
• 57:57
  much better team, a really good defense.
• 58:00
  Michigan hasn't quite been ready for that moment so far this
• 58:03
  year. I like Michigan in this spot.
• 58:06
  I like, I think the pressure is on Nebraska, the home team, and
• 58:10
  I think Michigan's going to come in and, you know, Nebraska's
• 58:14
  like, oh, we've been building, we've been building, we've been
• 58:16
  building. And Michigan's like we had one
• 58:18
  bad year because we had the greatest year ever the year
• 58:20
  before that. And now we just paid a bunch of
• 58:22
  money and Bryce, Bryce Underwood is here and he just kind of, you
• 58:27
  know, steals the show. I think he can do that in this
• 58:29
  game is 2 1/2 point spread. I like Michigan by a touchdown.
• 58:33
  So give me new Wolverines, lay the points on the road.
• 58:38
  I I like this. I like the spot for Michigan and
• 58:41
  I think it's a vibes play. I think you're going to see a
• 58:43
  tight Nebraska team and I think you're going to see a loose
• 58:46
  Michigan team. It's ultimately going to lead to
• 58:49
  Justice Haynes running the ball, getting big first downs, and
• 58:53
  you're going to see Underwood just being a star.
• 58:57
  And he's going to have a moment in this game where it's going to
• 58:59
  make everybody remember his name, and he's going to be part
• 59:02
  of college football lore, you know, from this moment on.
• 59:05
  You've almost got, I'm taking Nebraska.
• 59:07
  You've always got me to change my pick here, Bryce Underwood.
• 59:09
  So I I went into it just thinking vibes, same thing.
• 59:13
  Nebraska's tight, like Michigan has nothing to lose.
• 59:18
  Nebraska's like clamoring for a big win like this.
• 59:20
  All the pressure in the world on them, none of it Michigan Matt
• 59:27
  rule your three man. It's it's really hard not to see
• 59:29
  the improvement. The Cincinnati game scared me.
• 59:32
  They've played a lot better the last two weeks.
• 59:34
  The opponents have been bad, but their efficiency has been really
• 59:36
  good. Maybe they needed that that game
• 59:38
  away from home in Week 1 to just against the Big 12 team to get
• 59:42
  the jitters out. You go win, you win your
• 59:44
  clunker, you move on. Chris Underwood ran the ball a
• 59:47
  lot more last week in the Connor Stallions Bowl.
• 59:50
  Michigan versus Central Michigan went he carried about 9 times
• 59:55
  for 114 yards and two touchdowns.
• 59:57
  Like, can he do that against Nebraska?
• 59:59
  Nebraska's offense has like a lot more In Sync since the
• 1:00:02
  sensei game. Again, Akron, Houston Chronicle.
• 1:00:07
  For what it's worth, when Nebraska's on offense, like
• 1:00:09
  they're number six in the country in EPA per pass attempt,
• 1:00:13
  Michigan's defense #51 huge advantage.
• 1:00:16
  Nebraska in in that area. When Nebraska's running the
• 1:00:18
  ball, they're number 57 in EPA, per Rush Michigan. 24 allowed on
• 1:00:23
  defense, third down success rate.
• 1:00:26
  This is this is a huge red flag for me for Michigan is Nebraska
• 1:00:29
  desert 19th in the country and 3rd down success rate.
• 1:00:31
  Michigan's defense, 99 in the country.
• 1:00:34
  And I think a big reason for this is the defensive flying has
• 1:00:37
  taken a huge step down from what they had the last three or four
• 1:00:40
  years there in that program. And you saw that against
• 1:00:42
  Oklahoma where the Oklahoma offensive line dominated up
• 1:00:45
  front when they had to go on the road.
• 1:00:47
  Michigan's offense, I guess the Nebraska defense, when Michigan
• 1:00:50
  is passing the ball, they're 53rd in the country and EPA per
• 1:00:53
  pass, where Nebraska has been really good in that area in
• 1:00:56
  defending the past #12 here's another like lopsided thing that
• 1:01:00
  Daniel is. Michigan's offense number 27th
• 1:01:03
  in the country. It's the top 30 in EAPA per run.
• 1:01:06
  Nebraska's defenseman 126. They've been terrible against
• 1:01:09
  the run. So I think Michigan's path to
• 1:01:12
  victory is a lot of running the ball because honestly, they've
• 1:01:16
  got terrible receivers. Like they've got nobody at
• 1:01:19
  receiver. So it's a lot of Justice Haynes.
• 1:01:22
  It's a lot of Bryce Underwood. It's doing 9 carries again for
• 1:01:25
  114 yards. And maybe last week was settling
• 1:01:28
  more into what their game plan is going to be moving forward
• 1:01:31
  this year. If they can keep Bryce Underwood
• 1:01:33
  healthy, the Michigan defensive line is not as good.
• 1:01:36
  They're going to have to commit more guys to stop the run.
• 1:01:39
  I think that's going to give Riola opportunities to have
• 1:01:41
  explosive plays and in a game of margin, I think it could be 1
• 1:01:45
  explosive play or Nebraska has better receivers for them to
• 1:01:48
  actually pull this out and win their underdogs at home.
• 1:01:52
  Michigan wants to run the ball. I think Nebraska can leave their
• 1:01:55
  corners on an island and just put it guys in the box and say
• 1:01:58
  we're going to stop you no matter what.
• 1:02:01
  And when a low scoring game, Nebraska wins. 2423 by 1, their
• 1:02:07
  dogs by 2 1/2. Give me the Corn Husker straight
• 1:02:10
  up, but I'll take the 2 1/2 points.
• 1:02:13
  Nebraska wins a big one and we start to look and say, oh boy,
• 1:02:17
  could you know is Nebraska back what you talk about in the
• 1:02:20
  offseason? So give me Nebraska in this one.
• 1:02:25
  We go to another Big 10 game, Indiana, Indiana and Illinois.
• 1:02:29
  Indiana college ball playoff team last year.
• 1:02:31
  Illinois high hopes coming into the season to be a team that
• 1:02:35
  gets into the College Football Playoff.
• 1:02:37
  This game could determine one of these teams getting into the
• 1:02:41
  playoff this year. Big big game Indiana at home. 5
• 1:02:46
  point favorites. Daniel, Who do you like in this
• 1:02:49
  game in Indiana? Yeah, I, I'm looking at, you
• 1:02:55
  know, their schedules so far, both of them haven't really
• 1:02:58
  played anybody, but I guess Old Dominion ended up being
• 1:03:01
  something in Indiana, you know, because Old Dominion beat
• 1:03:04
  Virginia Tech, Illinois beat Duke on the road.
• 1:03:08
  You know, that's that's really the best games so far that
• 1:03:12
  either one of these teams have played.
• 1:03:13
  They both dominated their lesser opponents.
• 1:03:15
  I really like both quarterbacks in this game.
• 1:03:18
  Fernando Mendoza was a a top transfer target by a lot of
• 1:03:23
  people and him in a landing with Kurt Zignetti in Indiana, I
• 1:03:27
  think it's a big deal. I really like his poise and
• 1:03:30
  composure in the pocket. I think that he raises the level
• 1:03:34
  of play of guys around him and I don't think a lot of stuff
• 1:03:36
  surprises him. He seems very like calm, cool
• 1:03:39
  and collected with the ball in his hand.
• 1:03:41
  I think that his leadership is going to do well for any end of
• 1:03:44
  this year. Illinois is one of these teams
• 1:03:46
  that's kind of like built in the coach's image.
• 1:03:48
  And like, Luke Altemeyer's been there for this is I think his
• 1:03:51
  third season after his transfer from Ole Miss.
• 1:03:54
  And then I think just, you know, this coaching staff, this team
• 1:03:59
  is just a rough, you know, you know, hard nosed team that
• 1:04:04
  mirrors something maybe from the SEC.
• 1:04:06
  And I know Indiana, you know, Kurt Zignetti had some choice
• 1:04:09
  words in the offseason about, you know, the SEC specifically,
• 1:04:14
  even though he's from the SEC as well about scheduling and
• 1:04:17
  different things like this. And then, you know, if he wants
• 1:04:20
  to see an SEC team, Illinois is it's kind of close the way
• 1:04:22
  they're built. Brett Bielmos from the SEC has
• 1:04:25
  had his time there. Obviously, you know, after after
• 1:04:29
  he left Wisconsin back in the day, but all that to be said, I
• 1:04:32
  kind of I, this is a 5 point spread from what I, I see on our
• 1:04:36
  sheet here, Indiana should win this game if they're at home.
• 1:04:41
  I'm taking points though. That's where my mindset's at.
• 1:04:44
  I like Illinois with the points. Illinois can win this game
• 1:04:47
  outright and I think that's why I prefer to just take the points
• 1:04:50
  in this one. I think it's going to be that
• 1:04:52
  that good of a game. I think this is going to be
• 1:04:54
  something that Illinois challenges Indiana's strength
• 1:04:59
  and their toughness and you're going to see them kind of lean
• 1:05:02
  on them over the course of four quarters.
• 1:05:03
  So it's two different 2 clashing of styles.
• 1:05:06
  But give me Illinois, give me the points, and we'll see how
• 1:05:09
  things shake out Saturday night. Very similar here, Daniel.
• 1:05:12
  I, I have no idea what's going to happen in this game.
• 1:05:15
  Both teams have played like, you know, Indiana was, played three
• 1:05:18
  high school teams and looked great.
• 1:05:20
  That's what Indiana did last year in these games.
• 1:05:22
  They just ran the score up on these teams that really didn't
• 1:05:25
  belong in the same playing field.
• 1:05:26
  I wouldn't always play Duke, but again, a high turnover game
• 1:05:29
  where they had less yards by like 200 and less of a success
• 1:05:33
  rate. But hey, when Duke throws you
• 1:05:35
  the ball four or five times, you just take it and go run up the
• 1:05:38
  score. College football rolled angle
• 1:05:40
  tails all this time. A good running game and a
• 1:05:43
  defense will travel well. Illinois 30th in the country in
• 1:05:46
  EPA per rush versus Indiana team is 49th on defense in that
• 1:05:50
  category in Indiana, third in EPA per rush against an Illinois
• 1:05:53
  defense that's 17th in that category.
• 1:05:54
  So yeah, I wanted to go into the game leaning Illinois of like
• 1:05:58
  hard nosed team, kind of rough up Indiana in this game, but
• 1:06:03
  Indiana's just been really efficient, man.
• 1:06:06
  You talk about loving the quarterback from those have been
• 1:06:07
  on fire. They have great receivers.
• 1:06:09
  They've looked really, really good through three games.
• 1:06:11
  I think it's a really close lower scoring game.
• 1:06:14
  Here's another stat I thought was going to go in the way and
• 1:06:16
  actually didn't go in the other I had in my head and I was only
• 1:06:19
  able to look at this for 2024. It's kind of hard to hard to
• 1:06:22
  see. If anyone out there has any
• 1:06:23
  websites to do this for me, please tell me.
• 1:06:25
  I wanted to see Daniel. When a team is ranked higher in
• 1:06:27
  the AP poll, but it's the underdog in the game, what's the
• 1:06:32
  record of those teams? In my head I'm thinking Vegas is
• 1:06:35
  smarter than you. So like for example, Illinois is
• 1:06:39
  ranked in the top 10. Indiana's what like in the
• 1:06:42
  teens, but Indiana's favored by 5.
• 1:06:44
  So like not just a 2-3 point spread, 5 in those games.
• 1:06:47
  Daniel, the team that is ranked higher but underdogs are worth
• 1:06:51
  the last year with three and one straight up three O and one
• 1:06:55
  against the spread. Notre Dame was ranked higher
• 1:06:58
  than A&M, but A&M was a three-point favorite.
• 1:07:00
  Notre Dame one outright. Utah was ranked above Oklahoma
• 1:07:03
  State. Oklahoma State favored by three,
• 1:07:05
  Utah 1 outright. Louisville was ranked the 100.
• 1:07:08
  Notre Dame by 1. Notre Dame was a 7 point
• 1:07:09
  favorite. That was the push against the
• 1:07:11
  spread. Notre Dame one Illinois and
• 1:07:12
  Michigan. Michigan was ranked lower, 3 1/2
• 1:07:15
  point favorite. It went over ranked higher.
• 1:07:16
  It went only one outright. So I'm going to middle this one
• 1:07:19
  with you. I'm going to say Indiana wins
• 1:07:21
  the game 2724 ish by three. I will take the five points
• 1:07:26
  because I have no idea what's going to happen when you have no
• 1:07:28
  idea what's going to happen. There's five points sitting
• 1:07:30
  there. I think you just take him and
• 1:07:32
  hold on to him. I think we're going to learn a
• 1:07:34
  lot about both teams in this game, so this will be really
• 1:07:36
  good for future picks and to see what these teams are going to do
• 1:07:40
  this season. That was our most packed episode
• 1:07:44
  so far in season and for good reason.
• 1:07:46
  We had some of the good games to talk about this week or XPR is
• 1:07:49
  really coming into shape. We've got big games this week.
• 1:07:53
  I love college football and I know if you're listening, you do
• 1:07:55
  too. And Daniel, I know you do too.
• 1:07:57
  Be sure to follow us at the Extra Point pod if you love
• 1:08:00
  college football from here on YouTube, Facebook, Instagram,
• 1:08:04
  the extra Point pod. Subscribe to our podcast, Apple
• 1:08:08
  podcast, Spotify, you're listening on there and you can
• 1:08:10
  follow Daniel on Twitter. Deep South Daniel, you can
• 1:08:14
  follow me on Twitter. Jacob Carnes with AK that'll
• 1:08:16
  live for this edition of The extra point.
• 1:08:18
  He is Daniel. I am Jacob, CEO.