Latest / Simmer Down / Fusion Energy: A Deep Dive with Sir Stephen Cowley
Transcript
- 0:18Kathleen Biggins: Welcome and thank you for joining us.
- 0:20Kathleen Biggins: My name is Kathleen Biggins, and I am the president and founder of SeaChange Conversations.
- 0:26Kathleen Biggins: Since 2014, our team has been pulling people together to educate them on the science and implications of climate change.
- 0:35Kathleen Biggins: Today we continue those efforts with our new solution series.
- 0:40Kathleen Biggins: We plan to bring you interviews with experts who can explain the new innovative ideas, new products, processes, policies, even new science that give us hope that we can address this challenge.
- 0:55Kathleen Biggins: Today we are going to focus on nuclear fusion, the power of the stars that humans are recreating right here on the planet.
- 1:05Kathleen Biggins: For many, it promises to be the Holy Grail, because it could offer limitless, carbon-free, clean energy for a wide range of applications, from electricity to manufacturing, even transportation.
- 1:20Kathleen Biggins: But others call it a pipe dream because after 70 years of fairly intensive research and investment, it remains slightly out of reach.
- 1:30Kathleen Biggins: So what is it?
- 1:32Kathleen Biggins: The Holy Grail or a pipe dream?
- 1:35Kathleen Biggins: Is fusion part of the answer to this challenge?
- 1:38Kathleen Biggins: How quickly could it come on board and how expensive would it be?
- 1:42Kathleen Biggins: How does it compare to other solutions we are pursuing?
- 1:45Kathleen Biggins: To help us answer these and other questions, we've invited a world-renowned expert on fusion energy, Sir Steve Cowley.
- 1:54Kathleen Biggins: Steve is the director of the Princeton Plasma Physics Lab for Fusion Energy.
- 1:59Kathleen Biggins: Earlier, he was the Chief Executive Officer of the United Kingdom's Atomic Energy Authority.
- 2:04Kathleen Biggins: And in 2018, Steve was knighted by the Queen of England for his work in the area of fusion.
- 2:11Kathleen Biggins: Steve, thank you for joining us.
- 2:12Kathleen Biggins: It is such a pleasure to have you with us.
- 2:15Steve Cowley: It's a pleasure to be here.
- 2:17Kathleen Biggins: So, Steve, set the table for us.
- 2:19Kathleen Biggins: Explain to us what nuclear fusion is and how it is different from nuclear energy we currently use.
- 2:26Steve Cowley: So nuclear fusion is what stars do.
- 2:28Steve Cowley: It joins small atoms, the nuclei, the atoms together to make larger ones.
- 2:35Steve Cowley: And what's different about this is we have the fuel for it on Earth to power the planet for billions of years in seawater.
- 2:45Steve Cowley: And if we can make it work in a commercial way, it has no waste that we have to worry about.
- 2:54Steve Cowley: It makes helium and in very small quantities.
- 3:01Kathleen Biggins: It is literally unleashing the power of the stars for our electricity grids to power our homes, to move our cargo.
- 3:10Kathleen Biggins: It sounds almost too good to be true.
- 3:13Steve Cowley: Well, you know, it's sort of the perfect way to make energy, except one thing.
- 3:20Steve Cowley: You have to create the conditions in the middle of a star.
- 3:23Steve Cowley: And that means it has to be incredibly hot, hundreds of millions of degrees, and you have to hold it while it's very hot, while it it does this reaction, and make that little star on Earth.
- 3:37Steve Cowley: We've done it.
- 3:39Steve Cowley: We've done it in science labs, and we've successfully created those conditions, but we've got quite a way to go before it's commercially viable.
- 3:51Kathleen Biggins: And how does it compare with other so-called solutions to the climate crisis, such as wind and solar energy or even the emerging battery storage sector?
- 4:00Kathleen Biggins: How does it compare?
- 4:01Kathleen Biggins: How does it work with or compete?
- 4:04Steve Cowley: Well, I don't think any of this is competing in the sense that we have to do everything we can to wean ourselves of fossil fuels.
- 4:11Steve Cowley: And this is one of the tools that we need to be able to put in place.
- 4:17Steve Cowley: But the key thing that fusion can do that wind and solar can't do is that it can generate electricity when the sun doesn't shine, the wind doesn't blow, and um that's going to be very important.
- 4:30Steve Cowley: We see renewables right now sometimes producing huge amounts of energy and powering almost everything that we need.
- 4:37Steve Cowley: But a couple of years back in Britain, December was a month, if you've ever been December in Britain, there was no sun, obviously, and the wind didn't blow for the whole of December.
- 4:49Steve Cowley: There's no way you can store energy for that time over that length of period in any of the ways we know right now.
- 4:56Steve Cowley: And so, of course, we had to burn lots of fossil fuels during during December.
- 5:01Steve Cowley: We've got to replace that.
- 5:02Steve Cowley: We've got to change that situation.
- 5:04Steve Cowley: And fusion could do that.
- 5:08Kathleen Biggins: That's interesting you say that because I think some of the detractors from fusion say we have these technologies in hand.
- 5:14Kathleen Biggins: We have wind, we have solar, we have emerging batteries that are coming down in cost.
- 5:18Kathleen Biggins: Shouldn't we be spending our investment there because we know we can achieve it, versus on fusion, which holds so much promise yet still is somewhat far off and may not come online quickly enough to help us address this?
- 5:32Steve Cowley: Yeah, and and I think, you know, we do have to, it's all hands-on-deck to get as much renewables online as fast as possible.
- 5:42Steve Cowley: But that gap that you have from intermittency is a major issue if you want to go to net zero.
- 5:55Steve Cowley: If you want to reduce our emissions by 50%, then renewables will get us there.
- 6:00Steve Cowley: And that's helpful.
- 6:01Steve Cowley: But we need to get to net zero, and that means having energy when we need it as cheaply as we need it.
- 6:08Steve Cowley: Now, developing fusion may cost of 10 costs tens of billions of dollars.
- 6:14Steve Cowley: But in a world energy market that's seven trillion, tens of billions ain't much money.
- 6:19Steve Cowley: Right?
- 6:20Steve Cowley: And we should do it, right?
- 6:21Steve Cowley: We should put that option on the table and see how it works its way into the market.
- 6:26Steve Cowley: The market will find its niche, its niche when it's when it's there.
- 6:32Kathleen Biggins: So you've talked about the fact that it's clean, you've talked about the fact that it could power us for the rest of our time, that this earth still exists.
- 6:39Kathleen Biggins: What are the downsides?
- 6:41Kathleen Biggins: What do you think are the complications in moving forward?
- 6:45Steve Cowley: Well, there's really only one downside, and that is that it's really difficult to do.
- 6:51Steve Cowley: This business that you have to have be able to contain the fuel at these immense temperatures means that we've had to invent technologies that there is no natural analog for.
- 7:02Steve Cowley: There are very few technologies in which there's no natural analog.
- 7:07Steve Cowley: The airplane has the bird.
- 7:09Steve Cowley: Right.
- 7:10Steve Cowley: Right?
- 7:10Steve Cowley: The, you know, the fire, well, there were natural fires, right?
- 7:14Steve Cowley: Um in nuclear fusion, the natural analog is a star, right?
- 7:19Steve Cowley: Imagine trying to make a star on Earth.
- 7:21Steve Cowley: That's exactly what we're trying to do.
- 7:23Steve Cowley: Right?
- 7:24Steve Cowley: Um, so the the problem with fusion, there are no problems if we can make it work.
- 7:31Steve Cowley: There are only problems making it work.
- 7:34Kathleen Biggins: What are the breakthroughs that are enabling us to actually think it is within our reach, within time, to help us address climate change?
- 7:42Steve Cowley: So um I think one of the things, let's look at the climate change issue on this one, which is of course renewable energy is coming down in cost, and it's going to play a big part in our future net zero energy system.
- 7:59Steve Cowley: But the problem, obviously, with renewables is that the sun doesn't always shine, the wind does not always blow, and storing energy for long periods of time is very hard.
- 8:10Steve Cowley: So we need alongside renewables what the experts are now calling firm energy, which is something you can switch on when you need it, and you switch off when you don't need it, and we'll always be there.
- 8:23Steve Cowley: Um and fusion is probably the perfect solution to that problem.
- 8:28Steve Cowley: So there is a growing awareness that we need to accelerate the delivery of fusion.
- 8:34Steve Cowley: We've done a lot of the science.
- 8:37Steve Cowley: Here at Princeton in 1994, quite a long time ago now, we actually created 10 million watts of fusion power in a machine here at Princeton.
- 8:47Steve Cowley: It was the world record at the time.
- 8:49Steve Cowley: And in the center of that machine, we were holding the fusion fuel in a cage of magnetic field at temperatures around 300 million degrees.
- 8:59Steve Cowley: And we were holding it steady and it was everything was working.
- 9:04Steve Cowley: That's not commercial energy.
- 9:06Steve Cowley: That's a scientist experiment.
- 9:08Steve Cowley: And what we have to do now is take what is a scientific possibility and turn it into what's a commercial possibility.
- 9:17Kathleen Biggins: So it sounds like if we bear down and do the investment and continue to explore the science and continue to scale it, it could indeed be part of the solution as we move towards the middle of the century.
- 9:31Kathleen Biggins: When do you actually see it coming onto the grid?
- 9:34Kathleen Biggins: What's possible?
- 9:36Steve Cowley: So, you know, that depends, of course, on investment levels.
- 9:40Steve Cowley: Um just on the 22nd of March, we had a summit in the White House.
- 9:46Steve Cowley: And White House leadership on this is has taken a huge step forward.
- 9:51Steve Cowley: And I think there are several reasons for this.
- 9:54Steve Cowley: Um, first of all, is that realization that we need to find another way to fill the gaps, firm energy.
- 10:01Steve Cowley: The second is I think that um there has been huge private sector investment in the last two years, approaching four billion in investment in fusion startup companies.
- 10:13Steve Cowley: Those startup companies are taking what we in the science community have been producing and starting to say, okay, how do we engineer this as a commercial source?
- 10:23Steve Cowley: And at the summit, the Secretary of Energy, uh Secretary Grant Holm, uh said, let's aim for a decadal timescale into the ring fusion.
- 10:36Steve Cowley: Now, decadal, they didn't say decade, uh, which I think means that uh many of us feel that it'd be hard to get you know net energy net electricity production in a decade.
- 10:50Steve Cowley: Um, but the National Academy has said towards the end of the 2030s, first electricity from this source.
- 10:58Steve Cowley: Which means by the middle of the century we may actually be producing commercial objects that people will buy.
- 11:04Steve Cowley: Um not as quick as I'd like.
- 11:07Steve Cowley: I mean, we we need it now, um, but I think that you know it's an extraordinary technology.
- 11:14Steve Cowley: How do you create a the take the fuel to 200 million degrees, which is sort of the right temperature to optimum temperature for this to happen at 200 million degrees, hold it, make sure that it it exhausts properly, convert that energy into electricity.
- 11:33Steve Cowley: These are all things that are sort of ahead of us now.
- 11:36Steve Cowley: Um and I'm really pleased that the White House has stepped forward to sort of push this forward and say we want to deliver on this time scale.
- 11:46Steve Cowley: Um, and I'm pleased to see commercial companies coming forward to put investment into it.
- 11:53Steve Cowley: But there's probably three or four things in which we're looking for young people to come in and innovate so that that part of the problem works better.
- 12:05Steve Cowley: We have a solution for almost everything in that step, but some of our solutions are a little less than what you might call optimum.
- 12:13Steve Cowley: If we come to market and it it's not at a price that people want to pay for their energy, then it won't be successful.
- 12:24Kathleen Biggins: So you gave us a lot of information there.
- 12:26Kathleen Biggins: Um first, let's tell our audiences what the other baseload energy uh systems are that we currently use and that fusion would potentially be replacing.
- 12:35Kathleen Biggins: Right.
- 12:35Kathleen Biggins: Which would be what coal, natural gas, nuclear as we know it.
- 12:41Steve Cowley: So baseload at the moment is carried by coal and uh nuclear.
- 12:49Steve Cowley: Um natural gas is used a lot more these days to fill in the gaps.
- 12:56Steve Cowley: And as we move forward to decarbonizing and removing coal from the equation, I think people will be looking for more natural gas to fill the gaps left by coal.
- 13:11Steve Cowley: Um but ultimately if we want to decarbonize, natural gas is also CO2 producing.
- 13:19Steve Cowley: So to fill that gap, uh what are the options to fill that gap with zero carbon emissions?
- 13:27Steve Cowley: There are really only two at the moment.
- 13:29Steve Cowley: One is conventional nuclear.
- 13:33Steve Cowley: If we can uh keep the price down and we can get the public acceptance of conventional nuclear.
- 13:41Steve Cowley: Um nobody's quite sure if that's possible.
- 13:45Steve Cowley: And the second is to burn fossil fuels and bury the carbon.
- 13:51Kathleen Biggins: Carbon capture.
- 13:52Steve Cowley: Carbon capture.
- 13:53Steve Cowley: And if you look at something like the Princeton Net Zero project, which looks at how you might construct an energy system that has no cut CO2 emissions, uh those two options are the how you get your base load.
- 14:10Steve Cowley: Um and so the problem is, you know, the acceptability of a large amount of of conventional nuclear is is not clear.
- 14:21Steve Cowley: And the second is how long do you want to bury CO2 in the ground?
- 14:26Steve Cowley: I see it personally as a transition technology.
- 14:30Steve Cowley: It's a it's a way to get from A to B, but over decades it's probably not a good solution, right?
- 14:39Steve Cowley: Because you're putting an awful lot of liquidized CO2 under the ground.
- 14:46Kathleen Biggins: So you mentioned solar and wind and how they currently provide carbon-free energy, and that there's a lot of hope that they can take up a larger portion of our energy load going forward.
- 14:57Kathleen Biggins: But there's also a lot of concern about the amount of land that both solar and wind could take if indeed we were going to depend on it for much more.
- 15:06Kathleen Biggins: Could you see fusion actually coming in later in the century and allowing us to then reuse that land for agriculture and other things?
- 15:14Kathleen Biggins: Could it be something that would replace renewables as well?
- 15:19Steve Cowley: Oh, I think that's probably true.
- 15:20Steve Cowley: Yeah.
- 15:21Steve Cowley: Um I think at the moment um the cost of wind is sufficiently low, particularly wind, but in places like California and Arizona, solar too, um, that it would be difficult to challenge it for some decades.
- 15:37Steve Cowley: Um I I also think that the ability, you know, the ability to have your energy when you need it and not sort of when the wind blows, is a major advantage.
- 15:53Steve Cowley: And the way we cost their sources at the moment is we don't cost those peripheral things that come with it.
- 16:01Steve Cowley: Like when you put in wind, you have to put in something that will you'll be able to turn on when the wind doesn't blow.
- 16:09Kathleen Biggins: Or battery storage.
- 16:10Steve Cowley: Or battery storage.
- 16:11Steve Cowley: Yeah.
- 16:12Steve Cowley: Um so uh fusion gets around all of those problems because it will be addressable on the at the moment you need the energy, you can turn on the energy, and the moment you don't need the energy, you can turn it off.
- 16:24Steve Cowley: Um that will make a big difference.
- 16:26Kathleen Biggins: So how easy will it be to integrate into our grid?
- 16:29Kathleen Biggins: I've read fantastic stories of how small ones could potentially be on container ships or they could be put into fossil fuel plants that are already attached to the grid.
- 16:38Kathleen Biggins: Is it that flexible or are those indeed the pipe dreams?
- 16:43Steve Cowley: Um You know the one of the big advantages of fusion is is its safety.
- 16:51Steve Cowley: It doesn't have the possibility of a runaway reaction.
- 16:56Steve Cowley: And that's critical, which means that we can put fusion power stations next to houses.
- 17:02Steve Cowley: We can put fusion power stations next to cities.
- 17:08Steve Cowley: This is a big help because of course most of our energy goes to those large places and big industrial centers.
- 17:16Steve Cowley: And uh it means that we can replace coal-fired power stations directly with fusion power stations.
- 17:25Steve Cowley: A lot of coal-fired power stations are next to cities, they're in industrial areas, um, and uh fusion would fit right into that slot.
- 17:35Steve Cowley: That's very helpful because of course the grid is built around those slots.
- 17:39Kathleen Biggins: Right.
- 17:40Steve Cowley: Our distribution is built around those slots.
- 17:42Steve Cowley: And so, in terms of what would a utility boss want to buy, you most want to buy something that would fit exactly into the slot of the one you're retiring, and fusion can do that.
- 17:56Kathleen Biggins: So you mentioned earlier about the fact that the White House has come out very strongly in support of pursuing this new technology.
- 18:04Kathleen Biggins: Is this something that has bipartisan support if we have a new administration coming in?
- 18:09Kathleen Biggins: Do you expect that fusion will continue to be supported?
- 18:13Kathleen Biggins: And then a secondary question is is this a technology that we can lead in and be the leaders in the world, or is it something that, like many other new technologies, we are playing catch-up?
- 18:26Steve Cowley: Um first of all, it's clearly very bipartisan.
- 18:32Steve Cowley: There's a fusion caucus in in Congress, and this is a new thing, and we are and the fusion caucus has people from both sides of the house.
- 18:44Steve Cowley: Um very strong support in the previous administration actually was growing support in the previous administration under the previous Secretary of Energy and the under-secretary, Paul Dabar, was a huge supporter of growing the fusion program, and he's he was very helpful moving into this.
- 19:03Steve Cowley: So I don't see it as a partisan issue at all.
- 19:07Steve Cowley: Um this administration uh has come on board very strongly on this because I think there's a this growing realization that we need something like fusion, if not fusion itself, uh to fill a hole in the mid-century market.
- 19:26Steve Cowley: And while everybody agrees that one day we'll have fusion, this administration is saying we need it faster than you could possibly think.
- 19:35Steve Cowley: So we need we need to get going very fast.
- 19:37Steve Cowley: We're expecting it to come as public-private partnerships, almost entirely.
- 19:43Steve Cowley: I think we've all been impressed how that's worked in in the the space industry.
- 19:48unknown: Okay.
- 19:58Steve Cowley: And I think, you know, people like me are not experts in how to get something to market that will be really commercially uh competitive.
- 20:09Steve Cowley: So that melding of private and public, I think, is going to be critical to the delivery of this.
- 20:16Steve Cowley: And we see that in the current administration, and I think it would resonate with any future uh party.
- 20:23Steve Cowley: I don't I think it would resonate with the Republican administration too.
- 20:27Steve Cowley: So I can see that very strongly.
- 20:30Steve Cowley: Um sorry, what was the other part of that question?
- 20:34Kathleen Biggins: How do we fit into uh the international activities that are going on?
- 20:39Kathleen Biggins: Are we leading?
- 20:40Kathleen Biggins: Are we following?
- 20:40Kathleen Biggins: Are we creating the partnerships there that will enable us to get where we need to go?
- 20:45Steve Cowley: So this is interesting actually.
- 20:46Steve Cowley: Um in this area, American science is led, right?
- 20:51Steve Cowley: I in my view, and I'm British, so I have a somewhat unbiased view, although I'm running an American lab, um, I think the science has largely been led by the Americans, some good work in Europe, Britain, Japan, and now a growing amount of work in China.
- 21:13Steve Cowley: Um and historically, of course, the Russians had a very strong program, but that kind of fell by the wayside.
- 21:19Steve Cowley: Um we can't afford not to do this.
- 21:24Steve Cowley: I said at the White House summit, I'm not sure if it's a very good quote, but um, I said, look, if we don't do it, somebody else will do it.
- 21:33Steve Cowley: And if this is going to be, let's say, 30% of the world energy market, the world energy market is seven, eight trillion a year.
- 21:42Steve Cowley: It's a huge market.
- 21:44Steve Cowley: It's vast.
- 21:44Steve Cowley: And uh you want to pass up 30% of that market?
- 21:48Steve Cowley: I don't think so.
- 21:50Steve Cowley: Right?
- 21:50Steve Cowley: Somebody, and the thing about fusion is it it depends on what you know how to do, not what's under your ground or what really Resources you have, it's very technology dependent, right?
- 22:05Steve Cowley: And the people who are going to dominate that market are the people with the highest tech and the best version of a fusion reactor.
- 22:12Steve Cowley: And the US should aim to be that, right?
- 22:15Steve Cowley: We have that capability, we have the science, we need to deliver that technology.
- 22:20Steve Cowley: Just as, you know, we currently dominate the electric car market.
- 22:25Steve Cowley: Why does the US dominate that?
- 22:28Steve Cowley: Because the US system of innovation is, in my opinion, the best in the world.
- 22:34Steve Cowley: We drive things into the market faster than almost faster than anybody in the world.
- 22:40Steve Cowley: We may not be so good when those technologies get very mature.
- 22:46Steve Cowley: I always said this was true about Britain, and I think it's also true about America.
- 22:50Steve Cowley: We get bored, you know, delivering the same old thing, the same old thing.
- 22:55Steve Cowley: But I always remember when I was a student, and I've been in fusion the whole time, we worried about Japan.
- 23:05unknown: Right?
- 23:06Steve Cowley: This is the 1980s, right?
- 23:07Steve Cowley: In the 1980s, we worried about Japan.
- 23:09Steve Cowley: They were going to swallow us.
- 23:10Steve Cowley: Their capability of producing cars and ships and things like the technologies of then seemed to be dominating us and swallowing us up.
- 23:22Steve Cowley: And yet they didn't.
- 23:23Steve Cowley: And why didn't they?
- 23:24Steve Cowley: Because actually those weren't the technologies of tomorrow.
- 23:27Steve Cowley: The technologies of tomorrow were Microsoft, they were Google, they were, you know, all the information technologies that grew up in that period from the late 80s to the 2000.
- 23:40Steve Cowley: Fusion's one of those technologies now, right?
- 23:43Steve Cowley: Whoever dominates the technology of Fusion dominates the energy market of the future.
- 23:50Steve Cowley: So you cannot afford not to be in it.
- 23:53Kathleen Biggins: So, Steve, you have given me a lot of hope here today because I have heard so much about fusion, and it seems like it is within reach if we decide to do the investment and do the hard work of making and have smart scientists like you making the magic happen.
- 24:08Kathleen Biggins: Does it give you hope for future generations and that we can meet this challenge of climate change?
- 24:19Steve Cowley: We can meet this challenge of climate change.
- 24:22Steve Cowley: This will be one of the tools in it.
- 24:25Steve Cowley: My guess is that as time goes on, as we know how to do fusion better and better, it may become a bigger and bigger fraction of the energy market.
- 24:37Steve Cowley: Because it is very compact.
- 24:41Steve Cowley: It is easy to put where you need it.
- 24:43Steve Cowley: It is easy to turn on when you and so I see this as an evolving challenge.
- 24:50Steve Cowley: You know, the the challenge of getting as much carbon out of the energy system as possible is something we should address right now.
- 24:57Steve Cowley: We should be getting as much wind and solar in onto the grid as we can get, right?
- 25:02Steve Cowley: Um and reducing coal, all those things.
- 25:08Steve Cowley: But to make a truly sustainable energy source, I think we're going to need fusion.
- 25:14Steve Cowley: And what I'm so excited about, you know, the White House initiative is that this is going to mean a real stimulus to build the first set of electricity-producing fusion reactors.
- 25:26Steve Cowley: The timescale for that, somewhere in the 2030s.
- 25:31Steve Cowley: And I'm I'm going to be around in the 2030s, and I'm going to see those first electricity-producing reactors.
- 25:38Steve Cowley: And I think once we can show that you can produce electricity, then the market will just would just run towards it.
- 25:48Kathleen Biggins: Wonderful.
- 25:49Kathleen Biggins: Well, this has been so interesting and uplifting.
- 25:53Kathleen Biggins: And thank you for spending this last 45 minutes with us explaining to us about the potential of fusion.
- 26:00Kathleen Biggins: I'm sorry to shut the conversation off.
- 26:02Kathleen Biggins: And for our audience, I'd like to remind you that this is Sir Stephen Cowley, a world-renowned expert on fusion energy, and currently the director of the Princeton Plasma Physics Lab.
- 26:14Kathleen Biggins: We hope you enjoyed this conversation.
- 26:19Kathleen Biggins: We certainly appreciate the fact that you spent this time with us.
- 26:22Kathleen Biggins: We look forward to sharing further interviews with you as well.
- 26:26Kathleen Biggins: In the meantime, please look to our website, cchangeconversations.org, for more information about climate, including our monthly newsletter that curates news of hope and news of concern in this climate arena.
- 26:39Kathleen Biggins: In addition, follow us on social media for information about climate change and things that are happening in our world today.
- 26:47Kathleen Biggins: Hope to see you next time.
- 26:49Kathleen Biggins: Again, thank you for joining us.