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Episode 497 - 4/22/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome to episode 490.
• 0:17
  Seven of the all. Systems.
• 0:19
  Go sports betting podcast. Powered by rhythm.
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  I'm your host, Josh. Applebaum What's going on,
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  everyone? Happy Wednesday, it's officially
• 0:33
  Hump. Day that means.
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  We're halfway. Through our work week guys, but
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  more importantly. We are now on the final
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  countdown. That's right, the last 24 hours
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  here. Until the NFL.
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  Draft. And wouldn't you know it,
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  there's another flip. With the number 2.
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  Pick You guys are probably sick of me talking about it, but I
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  just think this is. One of the ultimate.
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  Battles. Here between information and.
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  What's? Right.
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  And what's wrong? What's a smokescreen?
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  What's legit? Or do The Jets?
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  Are they so stupid that they really don't know what they're
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  going to do and it's literally a coin?
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  Flip in their own war room where they have half.
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  The the of their. People leaking out that they.
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  Like Bailey, the other half say they like Arvel Reese.
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  But once again, an unbelievable flip here, guys.
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  And you know if I had a if? I had a time machine if I had
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  BIFF. Tan and Zalmanac.
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  I would have just. Been taking anytime.
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  You know. Arvel Reese was plus money.
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  I'd take him. Anytime Bailey was.
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  Plus money. I'd take him but.
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  A lot of the. Books are protecting themselves.
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  Because whoever's the favorite, like -145 the other guy is like.
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  -1 O 5 -, 115 So it's kind of hard to.
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  Play that arbitrage game which is basically betting opposite.
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  Sides of the same. Bet and guaranteeing.
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  Yourself a profit because you're going to be basically get plus.
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  Money on both. Sides of the bet either way,
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  guys the. Update today is that.
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  Arvel Reese. Is back to being the favorite
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  -140. Five to be drafted.
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  Second overall, if you remember. From yesterday's podcast, David
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  Bailey. Was -120. 5 S.
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  Unbelievable here. Back and forth, back and forth.
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  You know, might as well, you know, I'll wake.
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  Up tomorrow guys, here I'll. Make it back.
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  For you, I bet David Bailey will be back to a minus number just
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  because that's how crazy this has been.
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  And I must. Say there.
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  Are a lot of. Beat reporters.
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  Who are like very committed to one or the other.
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  So I think a. Lot of these beat reporters.
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  We're. Going to find out who's who's
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  legit and who isn't. Like if you look at, you know,
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  the way these guys are talking about the second overall pick,
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  you have a lot. Of them who?
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  Are like very very. Confident here.
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  That you know it's going to be Bailey number.
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  Two or Reese number. 2 And here I'll give you another one that
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  that I I do respect this guy. Pete, Pete.
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  Traeger. He was on NFL Network.
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  And he's ESPN now, but he has Bailey.
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  Going second overall. He said.
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  I've had Bailey going. To The Jets.
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  For the past month and I have no further Intel telling.
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  Me any differently? Reese is a great.
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  Player, but I'm. Sticking with Bailey New.
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  York needs his instant. Production 14 half sacks last
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  year for its lackluster pass rush, so.
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  There are very clearly people who are.
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  Committed to. Bailey and I guess.
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  This does provide an. Opportunity because right now.
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  DraftKings. Excuse me?
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  David Bailey is. Plus 110 so.
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  I guess there is a little. Bit of plus money on the.
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  The Bailey to go second overall. Again, we'll see if.
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  Traeger's legit. You know if.
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  You if you get. Bailey plus 1/10.
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  And Traeger's right in this one, you know you're going to bet.
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  One unit get 1.1 units back, but then you have other people who
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  are. Very, very confident here.
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  That it is going to be Arvel. Reese and I, I.
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  Want to? Pull up the latest.
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  Mock draft from Mel. Kiper Junior.
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  Because Mel. Kiper's a guy I definitely
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  respect here, but if we look at his.
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  Final mock draft. Let me just pull it up here for
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  you guys. Mel Kiper, believe it or not.
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  Also as David Bailey, I just double checked this because
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  again you got a lot of our Val Reese people, but actually Kiper
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  and Trigger both have David Bailey dip with the breakdown
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  here from Mel Kiper. He says quote I get.
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  The sense. The Jets.
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  Will take production over potential.
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  Here and the great Bailey. Versus our Val Reese debate, New
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  York, yadda yadda yadda, 31st and Sachs.
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  Bailey would be an instant impact.
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  Player for The Jets. So again, those are two guys who
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  are. Looking at Bailey.
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  And this is a battle here. So you have. 2 Inside sources
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  who have are very tied in. They know what they're.
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  Doing they're saying David Bailey, he's plus one. 10 at
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  DraftKings. Arvel Reese, though, flipped to
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  a favorite. Today, so this will.
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  Be an incredible test. Case of you know.
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  Betters late money. Versus industry sources.
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  And again, where are these guys getting their Intel?
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  So Reese's back to a favorite. But both Schrager and Kuiper.
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  Have Bailey which would be plus 110 now I would mention to.
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  Daniel, Jeremiah. Another guy really respect.
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  I just saw this. It was a tweet.
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  That came across my my, my timeline, but tonight at 8:00.
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  Daniel. Jeremiah is doing his.
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  Final NFL mock. Draft and Daniel Jeremiah is a
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  guy who's also really, really tied in so I might be a little a
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  little nerd here and have my baseball sweats on but then
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  also. Turn on NFL Network.
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  And see what Daniel Jeremiah says for his second overall
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  pick. But man, I guess the value.
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  Here, if you think about it, would be Bailey plus money.
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  But again, we'll see how this plays out.
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  And we've, we've been waiting this long, guys.
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  When you preach patience, you know why for something today,
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  when we might as well wait until tomorrow and see where that.
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  Late money breaks. But I do have my.
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  Eyes on all. Of these.
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  Bets and I would recommend you guys.
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  If you haven't done it yet, screenshot.
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  These odds who will go in the 1st?
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  Round head to head matchups over unders.
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  For all these guys, we'll see how these move from today.
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  And the other point is you want the other angle.
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  Is having multiple reference. Points so.
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  You know, a week ago I. Screenshot of the odds.
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  Now we'll do. It the night before.
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  When we. Wake up tomorrow and look.
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  Through this late movement. Breaking.
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  Throughout the day, because that's when.
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  Word leaks out. People know things.
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  You're seeing some, obviously. News break as we speak.
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  You know, just. Looking at different different.
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  Angles and and. People talking about.
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  Different guys being drafted. But then we'll be.
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  Able to compare a week ago. To today, to obviously game day
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  in that last 24. Hours, so very interesting.
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  Here, but again, Reese versus Bailey.
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  A lot of people. People are going to be.
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  Proven right. Other people are going to get
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  exposed. So we'll see how this develops.
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  And we got. One final day.
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  Here, until the draft is upon us.
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  Now that being said, let's get right back to betting.
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  Major League Baseball. Because I have a three pack of
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  sweats. For you guys, all favorites here
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  and I would mention, as always, try to take.
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  Advantage of. Odds boosts or whatever they
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  want to call it these little you know.
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  Boost. Coins which Bet MGM will give
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  you. Because there are a.
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  Couple games today where. I was able.
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  To knock down these money line. Prices a little bit.
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  And every little. Bit helps and if they're going
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  to offer. It to you.
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  You might as well take it. So 3 bets overall, 645 game, 740
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  game, 940 game can try to go. 2 and 1 eek.
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  Out a winning day. Now looking back to her last
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  night, guys, that's exactly what we did. 2 and 1 + 0 point. 72
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  units. Had a couple, great.
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  Hits with the Cincinnati. Reds First off.
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  That was a. Dog to favorite or.
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  Pick them to favorite sneaky sharp Rd. line.
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  Move here. And the Reds came through 112 to
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  six. They were rolling.
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  Pretty much the whole time. Gave up a few runs in the
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  bottom. Of the 9th but they were in
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  control so a nice to get a hit with the Reds early.
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  Also got the Chicago. Cubs doing it again?
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  7 to 4 over the Phillies. Only loss was my red.
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  Sox, and boy, are my Red Sox, pathetic.
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  They can't do anything. Offensively, they got no.
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  Hitting whatsoever even though they were sharp.
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  Dog to fave, couldn't come through.
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  Lost 4 nothing. To the Yankees.
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  But Cubs and Reds? Came through, Red Sox didn't.
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  That's a 2 and 1 + 0.72 winning night.
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  So we will take. It and reinvest it toward today.
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  Reminder because it's Wednesday, the calm before the storm of the
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  NFL Draft. Tomorrow's Thursday.
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  That means we will have another rhythm rundown.
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  So me and my buddy. Kate Harper will be.
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  Breaking down MLB as well as some probably playoff NBA and
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  maybe we'll. Fit in some some late NFL draft.
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  Bets that'll be fun because the draft starts at.
• 7:41
  I think it's 8:20 PM. Around 8:00 and and we'll be
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  doing. The stream from.
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  Six to seven, so those moves will be.
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  Moving. And probably some bets will be
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  coming off the board because it's just too.
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  Late and and they'll be closing them.
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  But looking forward to that. Tomorrow night, stream live on.
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  Twitter Six to seven. PM the rhythm rundown.
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  Now that being said. Guys.
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  Let's waste no more time get. Right back to.
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  Doing what we love. Betting Major League Baseball
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  grinding MLB, so let's see if we can produce another.
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  Winning night here for. Tonight and.
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  Get a little. Hot streak going.
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  So first one on the board for me, let's look at a 6:45 PM
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  Eastern Time. First pitch I'm.
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  Focusing on the Atlanta. Braves visiting the Washington.
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  Nationals. Now let's set.
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  The stage talk splits. Line moves.
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  I'll give my play for this one. Now this is the third game of
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  four-game set. Braves come in with one of the
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  best records in baseball. They're. 16 and eight.
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  They won the opener 9:00 to 4:00.
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  Took care of business. As a -1. 60 road favorite.
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  Then the Nationals 11 and 13. Pretty.
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  Competitive team this year. They just.
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  Bounced back last night with. An 11 to 4 win.
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  Came through as a + 135 home. Dog now in the.
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  Rematch for tonight, Braves. Are going to go with the righty
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  Didier. Fuentes O&O 2.25 era.
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  I was reading about him. He's a young kid, I.
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  Think he's only 20 but he's their.
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  Top 3 prospect in their. System.
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  So he's supposed to be a good pitcher.
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  Knock on wood, because I'm on the Braves.
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  Tonight, Nationals. Meanwhile, going with the.
• 9:03
  Fellow righty Zach Litelle. Journeyman Righty O and Two
• 9:06
  7.11. ERA so.
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  What do you sit across the market here?
• 9:10
  Will this game open with Atlanta listed around a minus?
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  140 road favorite. Washington around a plus. 120
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  home dog. And -140 Rd.
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  Fave Atlanta, You're thinking OK, divisional.
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  Game maybe, you know. Washington's frisky.
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  At home, take the plus money. Or a wise guy.
• 9:24
  Saying hey grab. Atlanta, that's a relatively.
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  Cheap price Atlanta. 'S a really good.
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  Team this year. Lay it and it.
• 9:30
  Sounds like it's the. The latter, not the.
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  Former because we've seen. This line move up toward the
• 9:35
  Braves. -140. Up to -150. 5 S about a. 15 cent
• 9:40
  Steam move in favor of. Atlanta.
• 9:42
  Atlanta. 'S got some pretty good bet
• 9:43
  splits here at DraftKings. 79% bets 90% money line dollars at
• 9:49
  circa 71% bets 93% money line dollars.
• 9:53
  So very similar similar. Splits at both DK.
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  Nationally and circa out in. Vegas that just tells us we got
• 9:59
  a good low bets, high dollar split.
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  At both the National and and Sharp book out in the desert.
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  In favor of. Atlanta, now Atlanta, they're
• 10:07
  not a non division. Favorite because unfortunately,
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  you know, not perfect here. This would be a divisional
• 10:11
  favorite typically. A Lean.
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  Divisional dog, but Atlanta does have.
• 10:17
  An opportunity here. Hopefully to to cash a ticket
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  because they. Have a big advantage
• 10:22
  offensively. You look at the Braves.
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  Offensively, they're hitting two. 72 against righties this
• 10:27
  season. Nat That's second best in
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  baseball. The Nationals.
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  Are only hitting. 242. That ranks 14th.
• 10:33
  In baseball, Atlanta. Also off a loss.
• 10:35
  So. Braves lost last night.
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  Bounce back The Braves are five and two off a loss this year.
• 10:40
  That's a. 71%. Win rate. 16% ROI.
• 10:43
  So typically you lose, you fight back and.
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  Play well the next game, knock. On wood.
• 10:47
  Hope that happens tonight. And then also.
• 10:49
  Home Rd. Braves 8 and. 4 on the road.
• 10:51
  Nats are only three and. 8 at home.
• 10:53
  That's the worst home record in Major League.
• 10:55
  Baseball. So you add.
• 10:56
  All up here, guys, we got Atlanta off a loss playing very
• 10:59
  well. They're second in.
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  Baseball against righties. Nats are. 14th and they also.
• 11:04
  Have some good bet. Splits and system matches.
• 11:07
  So I'll be laying it with. The Braves, let's go Fuentes.
• 11:10
  I got Atlanta at the time they were -145 and I had a 5.
• 11:14
  What is it? A $0.05 coin.
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  Boost. From from bet MGM so I got.
• 11:18
  Atlanta down to -139? But definitely shop around
• 11:21
  because it looks. Like most books -150 even -155
• 11:24
  now. At this point, but let's go
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  Bravos. Next one for you and ain't
• 11:29
  broke. Don't.
• 11:30
  Fix a play who? Wants to meet me back at
• 11:32
  Wrigley. Field we've been posting.
• 11:34
  Up their last couple nights. And I'm doing it again here
• 11:36
  tonight, guys. 7:40 PM, Phillies.
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  At the cubbies. Now Cubs come in. 14 to 9 on the
• 11:42
  year they're. Taking the first two games of
• 11:44
  this four-game series, they won the opener 5 to 1.
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  As a -1. 15 home favorite. One again last night. 7:00 to
• 11:50
  4:00. As a minus. 130 home favorite
• 11:53
  pitching match up for tonight, the Phils. 8 and 15 on the year
• 11:56
  they're going with the. Lefty Kyle Backus.
• 11:59
  Who is? O&O.
• 11:59
  With a 5.4 O ERA Cubs meanwhile, going with.
• 12:02
  The fellow lefty? Matthew Boyd.
• 12:04
  One in one 6.75 ERA. So just sitting across the
• 12:08
  market here. Will this game open cubbies
• 12:10
  around a -, 165 Home favorite Philly A + 140.
• 12:14
  Five Rd. Dog and again, Cubs are playing
• 12:16
  great. On a winning streak?
• 12:17
  Philly is really struggling. On a big losing streak?
• 12:20
  You know, at some. Point Philly's probably going to
• 12:21
  bounce back. Chicago's.
• 12:22
  Probably due for a. Loss but looks like.
• 12:25
  Sharps aren't thinking that's going to happen tonight, so I'm
• 12:27
  going to ride the. Hot hand and go.
• 12:28
  With the cubbies guys cuz Cubs have gotten.
• 12:30
  Steamed up -165 up to -175 and now I'm seeing some books as
• 12:35
  high as minus. 180 even minus. 180. 5 so I.
• 12:38
  Jumped on the Cubs little bit earlier today. -170. 5 I had.
• 12:42
  Another bet MGM coin boost where I got them down to -167.
• 12:47
  So as always, try to shop for the best line, have those
• 12:49
  multiple outs and always go to promos at the top of the page.
• 12:53
  You know, different books are going to appear a little bit
• 12:55
  different, but just click the promo, see what's.
• 12:58
  Available to you. And sometimes you got to like.
• 13:00
  Add them to the. Bet.
• 13:01
  But I am seeing now some books as high as -180 -, 180.
• 13:05
  Five, it looks like. At FanDuel.
• 13:07
  They're still -178 So looking at the.
• 13:10
  Cubs here, hopefully. To come through and.
• 13:12
  Again, don't love betting numbers much higher than this.
• 13:15
  But at least your sub 200 so that's a good.
• 13:17
  Thing. But I like the splits on the
• 13:19
  Cubs. 80% bets over 90% money line dollars at Circa.
• 13:24
  Tells me big money out in Vegas also.
• 13:26
  Going with the. Cubs here run line because this
• 13:29
  is a play where I remember talking about it yesterday where
• 13:32
  the Reds were getting a lot of run line support and Reds ended.
• 13:34
  Up winning by what? Was it 6?
• 13:36
  So they covered the run line I. Was happy they cashed my -110
• 13:40
  but. Always want to be aware if
• 13:42
  you're a little bit bolder. And you don't want to.
• 13:45
  You know, take more of a risk here you sometimes can get.
• 13:48
  Rewarded and I'm mentioning. That because the Cubs.
• 13:51
  Run line -1 1/2 at plus 1/20. 550% bets, 81% spread dollars
• 13:56
  at. Circa.
• 13:57
  So looks like some short money also.
• 13:59
  Going run line here. With the Cubs now Cubs have.
• 14:01
  That non division favorite value lack of.
• 14:03
  Familiarity benefiting the betting.
• 14:05
  Better team. They also have a favorite low,
• 14:07
  low total. Correlative betting value.
• 14:09
  The total this game is 8. It's a juice decently to the
• 14:12
  under -1. 15 anytime you see. A low total juiced under you.
• 14:16
  Always think about the weather and the.
• 14:18
  Wind is blowing. In at Wrigley.
• 14:19
  About 5. MPH from dead center down to
• 14:22
  home. Plate, but the Cubs.
• 14:23
  Also have the better bats. Knock on wood, they.
• 14:26
  Continue to hit here. Because.
• 14:28
  They're hitting 255 on the Year 3. 50 on base percentage.
• 14:31
  They've scored 120, four runs. Phillies only hitting 2:18 with
• 14:35
  a 298 on. Base percentage they've only.
• 14:37
  Scored 80. Runs now you.
• 14:40
  Look at couple. Lefties on the bump.
• 14:42
  I always. Want to just have a reference?
• 14:44
  Point of hey, how does each team hit against lefties?
• 14:46
  Because some teams. Are better than others?
• 14:48
  Well, Chicago. Is hitting 275 against lefties
• 14:50
  that's. 5th best in baseball. Phillies only hitting $1.71.
• 14:55
  That is 30th. And how many teams are in them?
• 14:57
  Major League Baseball 30. Teams so the.
• 14:59
  Phillies are dead. Last against lefties.
• 15:02
  Lastly, Cubbies at Wrigley. Nine and five at home.
• 15:04
  Phillies on the road. Just three and five.
• 15:07
  So we have a. Line move toward Chicago.
• 15:09
  We have a. Non division favorite We have a
• 15:12
  correlative betting favorite low.
• 15:13
  Total we got good. Splits.
• 15:14
  We got better bats. And we are better against.
• 15:17
  Lefties doesn't. Hurt that we also.
• 15:19
  Have a 17. Percent sharp mush edge in favor
• 15:22
  of the Cubs from our friends at Juice Reel, so 17.
• 15:25
  Percent more of the. Sharper winning betters, also
• 15:27
  going cubbies. And we also have.
• 15:29
  A rhythm. Green Star recommendation.
• 15:32
  Also on the Cubs, so rhythm AI model is high in the Cubs
• 15:35
  tonight as well. So again, you might have gotten
• 15:37
  around a -, 175. I use that coin boost to get the
• 15:40
  Cubs. Down to -167 but shop around.
• 15:43
  Looks like -170. 8 is your best. Number at FanDuel.
• 15:47
  But a lot of. Books are closer to -180.
• 15:49
  Either way, let's go cubbies. Now, last bit of the night. 9.
• 15:54
  40 PM Eastern Time Let's. Go out to the desert, Chicago
• 15:57
  White Sox. Visiting the Arizona
• 15:59
  Diamondbacks. Now the the Chicago.
• 16:01
  White Sox 9 and. 14 on the year they won last night's
• 16:05
  interleague series opener. 11:00 to 5:00.
• 16:06
  Came through as a. Plus 120 road dog my buddy da.
• 16:09
  Rouche, who's a big White Sox guy, He was at the.
• 16:12
  Game and. He had the.
• 16:13
  White Sox to win, and he had Murakami.
• 16:15
  To hit a Homer. So da Rouche.
• 16:17
  You know, Cash Bigley. So drinks on da Rouche.
• 16:19
  Tonight. But anyway, hope that doesn't
• 16:21
  happen tonight. Merkamic and.
• 16:22
  Homer, I don't mind about that. But I like Arizona here,
• 16:25
  hopefully. To get a win tonight at home
• 16:28
  pitching match. Up we got the White Sox going
• 16:29
  to. Lefty Anthony K he's one and O
• 16:32
  with a 2.6 OE. RA.
• 16:34
  D Backs, meanwhile, who are 13 and 10 they're.
• 16:36
  Going to go with. The fellow southpaw.
• 16:38
  Eduardo Rodriguez, he's one, and O with A. 1.95 year, right?
• 16:42
  What are we seen across the market here?
• 16:44
  This game open with the snakes listed around a -, 145 home.
• 16:48
  Favorite Chicago around? A + 120.
• 16:50
  Five row dog and we've seen this line move further toward Arizona
• 16:54
  -145 up. To -155.
• 16:57
  Look at the splits, at circle they look.
• 16:59
  Pretty good on the D backs 86. Percent money line bets, but
• 17:02
  over 90%. Of money line dollars so tells
• 17:04
  me we got a lot of big money out in Vegas going to.
• 17:07
  Snakes as well. Also seen some Arizona run line
• 17:10
  action. -1 1/2. At plus 135, so they got to win
• 17:13
  by two or more. But they are getting. 50% spread
• 17:16
  bets. Over 90.
• 17:17
  Percent spread dollars at circa and over.
• 17:20
  At DraftKings 56. Percent spread bets, 88% spread
• 17:23
  dollars so. A lot of big money on.
• 17:25
  Arizona to win. Or even win by.
• 17:27
  Two or more. Arizona has that.
• 17:29
  Interleague favorite value. Again, lack of.
• 17:31
  Familiarity benefiting quote UN quote The better team expected
• 17:34
  to win. And here's another angle.
• 17:36
  In particular, it's generically speaking.
• 17:38
  Hopefully the bats of Arizona can get to K&E.
• 17:42
  Rod can limit. The South siders here.
• 17:44
  But Diamondbacks hitting 242 on the year.
• 17:46
  They've scored 100 and four runs.
• 17:48
  White Sox. Hitting 218, they've scored 93
• 17:50
  runs, but in. Particular once again we.
• 17:53
  Just mentioned that Philly Chicago game where?
• 17:55
  Two lefties were pitching. Backus and Boyd and.
• 17:58
  Cubs were great against. Lefties and Philly was worse in
• 18:00
  the league. Well, did you know Arizona
• 18:03
  snakes? They're hitting 284 against
• 18:05
  lefties this year. That's.
• 18:06
  Number one in baseball. Chicago is hitting two. 28
• 18:09
  against lefties, that ranks 19th.
• 18:11
  Also better. Bullpen for the snakes.
• 18:13
  The area of four. .4 O versus. 5.73.
• 18:17
  For the White Sox. Lastly, little home Rd.
• 18:19
  White Sox not terrible on the road, 6 and eight, but the
• 18:22
  Diamondbacks are 7. And four at home.
• 18:24
  So I'm going to take a shot here, hopefully on Arizona.
• 18:27
  And I must admit. The White Sox are a bit of a
• 18:29
  bugaboo, I feel. Like when I bet against them
• 18:31
  they always beat me, but sometimes that doesn't.
• 18:34
  Happen. I remember the Orioles series.
• 18:35
  They did pretty well. But there was a game I took the.
• 18:38
  A's was it last week? And.
• 18:39
  Chicago. Chicago took me down.
• 18:41
  There hopefully the Arizona. Snakes can get back on track.
• 18:44
  So I laid it. With Arizona guys.
• 18:46
  I got the snakes -1. 50 at the score.
• 18:49
  But shop around because some books as high as -150. 5 S
• 18:52
  Arizona Chicago Cubs Atlanta Braves Nicely Spaced out Six
• 18:58
  Forty 574940. So let's even go 1 by 1.
• 19:01
  Hopefully get 2 out of. Three and extend our.
• 19:04
  Winning streak. So that about does it for
• 19:07
  episode 490. Seven of the ASG.
• 19:09
  Pod as always, powered. And presented by rhythm.
• 19:12
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
• 19:14
  always start first by. Saying thank you, thank.
• 19:17
  You for listening. Thank you for.
• 19:18
  Grinding in the arena with me through the.
• 19:20
  UPS and the downs. The good and the bad.
• 19:22
  The Great. Wins the heartbreaking losses.
• 19:24
  We wouldn't have it any other way, right?
• 19:26
  I'm sure we'd all. Love to win?
• 19:27
  Every night. But that just isn't realistic.
• 19:29
  It's a very. Difficult market, but we enter
• 19:31
  that market with a cautious, optimistic attitude.
• 19:35
  Every single day. So of course.
• 19:37
  If you do enjoy this pod, now I'm going.
• 19:38
  To ask a. Favor of you.
• 19:40
  If you wouldn't mind, could you please give this?
• 19:41
  Podcast A 5 star. Review if.
• 19:43
  You're listening on. Spotify or iTunes?
• 19:46
  I'll leave a comment if you feel so inclined.
• 19:48
  Click the follow button that way you.
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  Get a pop up. Notification on your phone as
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  soon as. The pod drops each day.
• 19:54
  Recommend the pod to a friend or.
• 19:55
  Retweet the pod. When I put.
• 19:57
  It out on Twitter. At Josh under Score Insights.
• 19:59
  Each day next. If you enjoy this style of
• 20:02
  sports betting, breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian
• 20:05
  betting. You wake.
• 20:06
  Up and you don't say, oh, I want to bet on this.
• 20:08
  Team Why? Because I think they're going.
• 20:09
  To win? No, We.
• 20:10
  Wake up every day. With a clear.
• 20:12
  Open mind. Let the board speak.
• 20:13
  To us, look. For the games with sharp action.
• 20:16
  Easy tip to. Try not.
• 20:18
  To get your bias involved is. When a.
• 20:20
  Lot of people look at the sports.
• 20:21
  Betting board and this is a tip a mentor of mine taught me very
• 20:25
  long ago when I first started working at Sports Insights.
• 20:28
  He always said cover. Up the names of the teams
• 20:30
  because. When a lot of.
• 20:31
  Betters wake. Up in the morning the.
• 20:32
  First thing I look at are the games.
• 20:35
  Who's playing who? Red Sox are.
• 20:36
  Playing Yankees. OK, Red Sox.
• 20:38
  Think Yankees are going to take the Yankees well?
• 20:40
  Maybe that's a bad example because that actually, you know,
• 20:41
  ended. Up happening.
• 20:42
  Last night with the Yankees, but.
• 20:44
  You want to cover up the names of the teams.
• 20:46
  And if you're staring? At a live.
• 20:47
  Odds page all the. Team names will be.
• 20:49
  Listed on the left, visitor on top.
• 20:51
  You know, home team on the bottom.
• 20:53
  Instead of going right to the. The games and the teams go to
• 20:55
  the right. Don't even look at who the teams
• 20:57
  are, look at the open. Line to the current line.
• 21:00
  See which? Direction lines move it.
• 21:01
  It's better to start. With the line movement.
• 21:03
  Because that's going to. Make basically eliminate your.
• 21:06
  Bias. And allow you to.
• 21:08
  Diagnose the games. From a.
• 21:09
  Objective, not a subjective. Standpoint.
• 21:12
  I'll be the way guys of this style betting has.
• 21:14
  Appealed to you, you. Want to learn more about
• 21:16
  data-driven betting you. Have someone in your.
• 21:17
  Life who could use some data-driven.
• 21:19
  Tips or you want? To make my day, let me know you.
• 21:21
  Appreciate the insights. Every day.
• 21:23
  Please go to. Amazon.com Type.
• 21:26
  In the. NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 21:27
  Or the everything. Guide to sports betting.
• 21:29
  Those are the 2. Books that I've written.
• 21:31
  Very proud of both. If you want to grab a copy.
• 21:33
  Of one or. Both of them.
• 21:35
  Bringing the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
• 21:36
  I'll. Buy you a beer.
• 21:38
  Or ginger ale. And we'll sweat some some
• 21:40
  baseball games together tonight. Next if you enjoy these.
• 21:44
  Breakdowns and getting insights from.
• 21:46
  AI models like Rhythm and Juice reel.
• 21:48
  Then you got to go download the Rhythm and Juice Reel apps
• 21:51
  first. Rhythm great for their AI backed
• 21:53
  models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 21:55
  Reminder rhythm rundown tomorrow. 6:00 PM Eastern Time.
• 21:58
  Stream live on Twitter. And then juice.
• 22:00
  Reel So many great features of juice.
• 22:02
  Reel You can sync up your sports books.
• 22:04
  Get a running report card of your action.
• 22:06
  You can also get the Robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp
• 22:09
  mush indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
• 22:12
  the best line. Futures and of course if you
• 22:14
  want to be a. Hero and really make my day, you
• 22:17
  know? This pod, it's.
• 22:17
  Free. It cost you nothing to listen.
• 22:19
  So if you want to repay the favor, let me know you
• 22:21
  appreciate the insights. If you want to support the pod
• 22:23
  and tip your. Podcast host All You.
• 22:25
  Got to do. Is sign up for the all systems?
• 22:27
  Go best bet picks on the Juice Real app that's going to cost
• 22:30
  you $4.99 a week. 5 bucks a week to get.
• 22:34
  All the bets. Get them early.
• 22:36
  Hopefully beat some closing. Lines and then again, hopefully
• 22:39
  we'll. Catch some tickets together.
• 22:40
  But download rhythm. Download Juice Real.
• 22:42
  Give them both a five star review in the app.
• 22:44
  Store next. Do you have a?
• 22:47
  Live odds page. Well, if you don't have one, you
• 22:49
  need. One, I can't stress it enough.
• 22:51
  You got to be. Able to track the market what
• 22:52
  did what are the games I have to I can.
• 22:54
  Bet on today. That's the very first thing.
• 22:56
  Give me all the games. Across the different sports,
• 22:58
  what's in. Action.
• 23:00
  But then I need to know the opening.
• 23:01
  Line that never changes. It's a static.
• 23:03
  Column then you can. Compare it to the right with all
• 23:05
  the current numbers. We can diagnose line.
• 23:07
  Movement pull up line history, we can shop for the best price.
• 23:10
  Find that book giving us the best number.
• 23:13
  Again, we want to bet you know this team at. -140 maybe there's
• 23:16
  a book at -135 out there. We want to bet a you.
• 23:19
  Know an NFL plus 3 1/2 dog? We need that.
• 23:22
  Hook. Versus other books that are down
• 23:23
  to three, so. Odds Logic is the best live odds
• 23:26
  page. Around helps me.
• 23:28
  When it's going. To help you win.
• 23:29
  I promise. You it's going to be.
• 23:31
  The most frequented website? You're going to bookmark it.
• 23:34
  You're going to stare at this page.
• 23:35
  It's a it's a great resource. It becomes your sports betting
• 23:38
  Bible tracking the odds. So if you want to give.
• 23:41
  Odds logic a shot I got AI got a little link.
• 23:44
  For you it'll give. You a 7 day free trial and 50%
• 23:46
  off your first month of service. All you got to do is go to
• 23:49
  oddslogic.com/josh. 123. So that about does it for
• 23:55
  episode 497 of the ASG pod. As always guys, two final.
• 23:58
  Thoughts One whether I. See you at the Borgata in
• 24:01
  Atlantic City Twin. River in Rhode Island, the
• 24:03
  Brooklyn, New Hampshire. Foxwoods or Mohegan?
• 24:05
  Sun down in Connecticut. At the encore.
• 24:07
  In Boston. Plain Ridge Park Casino.
• 24:09
  MGM Springfield or the Nash? On the border of.
• 24:12
  Massachusetts in New Hampshire. Which is.
• 24:14
  My local sports book or of course, out in the desert where
• 24:17
  the true grinders. Get Down where Billy Walter
• 24:19
  sends his number runners. Where the lowest as possible is
• 24:21
  found at the South point. Or sweat and sharp.
• 24:23
  Contrarian plays. Jumping in the stadium.
• 24:25
  Swimming pool when you. Catch a big ticket at Circa?
• 24:27
  You're. Going to walk up to me.
• 24:29
  Show me a nice Cincinnati Red Legs ticket.
• 24:32
  Show me a cubbies ticket. 1st. One's on me, next one's on you.
• 24:35
  Will post. About the book and sweat some
• 24:37
  more. MLB for tonight.
• 24:39
  So as always, guys coming off a two and one or one and two A3
• 24:42
  and O or an O. And three a winning.
• 24:44
  Night. A losing night, a hot streak, a
• 24:45
  cold streak, Whether everything's going our way or
• 24:47
  nothing's going our way, we. Just got to stay.
• 24:49
  Even keeled, we can't. Get too high when things are
• 24:51
  good. Can't get too.
• 24:53
  Low when things. Are bad.
• 24:54
  We got to. Stick to the model.
• 24:55
  Stick to the. Blueprint avoid the.
• 24:57
  Games with red. Flags bet the.
• 24:58
  Games that are sharp and fit our model.
• 25:01
  Games that are simultaneously. Against the public with, the
• 25:03
  House with. The pros Flat bet avoid parlays
• 25:06
  and get that. CLV if we can do that.
• 25:08
  We're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 25:10
  So hope everyone has a great Wednesday night, guys.
• 25:12
  Again, NFL draft tomorrow. You know, screenshot those odds.
• 25:16
  We'll see where the late money breaks.
• 25:17
  I'm. Sure, I'll have a couple NFL
• 25:20
  draft. Bets for you guys tomorrow?
• 25:21
  So very much looking. Forward to that.
• 25:23
  I know by the way, my Boston Bruins, I had no.
• 25:26
  Action on the game I had just. Action as a fan.
• 25:28
  Boston Bruins. Nice comeback win after blown
• 25:33
  game one came to play almost. Blew it.
• 25:35
  I thought they might blow it again last night.
• 25:36
  They're up. For nothing and.
• 25:37
  Then I got to. Forward it to him like here we
• 25:39
  go again. But they hung on.
• 25:40
  The series goes. Back to Boston.
• 25:43
  So it's always nice in the spring when you get a Stanley.
• 25:45
  Cup winner, playoff winner, that is.
• 25:48
  If they could win the Cup, hey, that'd be even better.
• 25:50
  But good luck everybody. I'll see you tomorrow for
• 25:52
  episode 498. Of the All Systems Go sports
• 25:55
  betting podcast. Powered by rhythm.
• 25:58
  Good luck guys and have a. Great.
• 25:59
  Tuesday night or Wednesday? Night, I should say.
• 26:01
  Good luck.